2012 republican presidential nominee III: can romney get santorum out of his hair?

we're all rooting for santorum for the lols right?

oh, definitely.

even outside of the lols santorum's better for 'us'

It really is amazing--go back two weeks ago, and Santorum was fighting Bachmann for last place.

kathrynlopez Kathryn Jean Lopez
newt congratulates @ricksantorum right now. #itisawinforrickwhatevertheorderatthispoint
1 hour ago Favorite Retweet Reply

romney is like having a conversation with someone in the audience or something wt hell is he doing

kathrynlopez Kathryn Jean Lopez
.@ricksantorum just about never reads from notes. he's overwhelmed that hard work has indeed paid off. #littleenginethatcouldhesaidformonths
23 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply

I do love when they start blaming Obama for divorces and depression.

Those k-lo hashtags make me #dieinsideeverytime

"A bunch of fellow rightwingers have been depressed since he got elected and now their spouses are divorcing them because they've become emotionally isolated and utterly monomaniacal. This must stop!"

This has been Romney's schtick all week--quoting from "America the Beautiful." Wait until Newt unleashes "You Should Never Have Opened That Door" starting tomorrow.

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

A Romneybot would hearken unto such lines as "Thine alabaster cities gleam, undimmed by human tears", now wouldn't it?

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

― iatee, Wednesday, January 4, 2012 12:57 AM (58 seconds ago)

percent chance of winning?

those intrade bounces/plummets are fascinating.

I remember looking around there last year, and there was a totally inexplicable one day bump for romney where all of a sudden he was in the 90s.

toddstarnes toddstarnes
Santorum spent about $1.65 per vote; Romney spent around $113 per vote. bit.ly/yYdPBq
2 minutes ago

Perry and his PACs spent $6,000,000 for 12,500 votes -- %480 per vote.

$480...

lead down to 18

NEWT: We can't wait. I don't care what David Gergen says about inevitability, Romney's weak, that's it. That's the key for us. Gotta get Romney.

CALLISTA: Lemme ask you something, Professor. I mean--what about Paul and Santorum, huh? What do we do with these...nuisances?

NEWT: They wanna have a debate with me, right? It will be me, Santorum, Paul, and Romney. Let's set the debate. Get our Twitter people to find out where it's gonna be held. Now, we insist it's a public place--an auditorium, a town hall, some place where there's people so I feel safe.
They're gonna shake hands with me when I first meet them, right, so I can't be frothing at the mouth then. But if Bill Kristol can figure a way to have opposition research planted there for me--then I'll kill 'em all.

debates are for sissies. newt will only settle for lincoln-douglas debates

ONE VOTE

Rick Santorum seen that shit and said: "Fuck it, imma run too, fuck it"

i see these dudes going, "You can win Rick, coz you're bigger than motherfucking Mitt Romney. Fuck Mitt Romney. Fuck him man, run for president." And Rick going: "Yeah, fuck that shit."

You know he got a chance he can win. White dudes like to do shit like that...vote for the wrong dude as a goof. They get drunk and shit and go like, "Let's vote for Rick Santorum!" *pulls lever* "haha I just voted for Rick Santorum!" And next day would be like this: "He fuckin' won?"

ricky 'the body' santorum

http://img839.imageshack.us/img839/3140/30121529301225611cerebu.jpg

shame that this isn't a contest that matters

Romney wins by 8.

damn

was it good for all of you/

would looooove for 8 votes to decide the Obamney election in Nov.

For this I got up? The only good thing that may come out of this is that the salt has been rubbed into the wound a little deeper.

http://www.cnn.com/2012/01/04/politics/gop-iowa-gingrich/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

"Lying in wait"--sounds good to me.

you really need baseball to start soon. you know, something significant.

Go Newt! I mean, go Jays!

On the one hand this is pretty easy to spin for Romney, he can just point out that it's a marathon not a sprint. For him. For Santorum, it's a sprint.

On the other hand, nearly exactly 30,000 out of 120,000* does look like there are actual occult forces pinning him to 25%.

*Yeah, I know, 120,000 is not the exact figure, just the one being thrown around.

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

i think this says everything you need to know about how much attention to pay to intrade

he won by 5 votes!

intrade is a pretty useful marker of public expectations, but yeah, bad at predicting elections w/ an 8 vote margin

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2012/01/03/us/politics/20110104_IOWA-slide-C37Z/20110104_IOWA-slide-C37Z-hpLarge-v2.jpg
guuys

the one on the far right (heh) is cute

waht abt the one in the middle HUBBA HUBBA

iatee i'd say it's worse than that - with romney at 97.5 intrade wasn't even remotely accurate as to how tight the outcome would be

both those numbers were reactions to nearly finished vote counting totals no

if you want to evaluate its predictive powers its prob better to look before the voting started

before the caucuses intrade had them romney->santorum->paul

when the votes were being counted it was just people trying to be the first ones to play on public information. it's not really a prediction market in the same sense during moments like those.

xp right

Sincere question: between now and New Hampshire, will there be people from this whispered-about Republican Establishment contacting Gingrich--either directly or through intermediaries--and asking him to back off for the sake of getting Romney elected, and also to secure whatever future he has as a party eminence?

man i'm so glad this whole thing is over!

no xp

assume thats been going on the whole time, the gop establishment has been in a frothy panic for the last month that gingrich might win, the other anti romneys they dont really take serious

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2012/01/republican-nomination

in this and other stories like it i'm always a little struck that the people they talk to (esp those who are explaining why they are voting for romney) seem a lot less crazy than the aggregate shitshow. maybe it's an iowa thing...

lol i can only pray http://motherjones.com/politics/2012/01/newt-gingrich-romney-gop-destroyer