This is the thread where you make predictions about what will be in/win magazines' end of year critics' polls

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I know that after the magazine lists come out, many of you will go "That was soooo predictable." This is where you can prove this by putting your money where your mouth is. Predict what will win a certain poll if you wish. See if you can predict a top 10. Even predict 50 albums that you think will be in a certain poll, and see how many you get. But please, don't say nothing now, then call the polls predictable in hindsight.

I'll go first.

NME's top 10 will feature: The Vines, coldplay, Doves, Queens of the Stone Age, The Streets, the Coral, the Electric Soft Parade, the Datsuns, Boards of Canada, Badly Drawn Boy. (close behind - the Libertines, Polyphonic Spree, Eminem, The Flaming Lips)

My brother and I have a bet - i say the Streets will win, he reckons the Vines will.

Mojo will be won by one of the Tom Waits albums, with Beck's Sea Change close behind.

Uncut's top 3 will be composed of Wilco, The Streets, the Flaming Lips.

Whaddya think? Am I way off?

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Monday, 4 November 2002 11:36 (twenty-one years ago) link

you're certainly VERY way off with Uncut, but then I voted in the poll hah! I'm saying nothing else for the time being.

Marcello Carlin, Monday, 4 November 2002 11:40 (twenty-one years ago) link

No, tell me more Marcello!

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Monday, 4 November 2002 11:41 (twenty-one years ago) link

The predictability is general though, not specific. i.e. you have named a Top 10 for the NME. 5 of them then appear. Does that mean that the other 5 are fresh exciting albums you'd never think the NME would support? Hardly.

Mind you people who complain about poll predictability are missing the point, me included. Or rather, complaining about the point.

Tom (Groke), Monday, 4 November 2002 11:48 (twenty-one years ago) link

sorry kilian i am sworn to secrecy, though several of us have done some tactical voting to get one particular record off the top spot hah!

Marcello Carlin, Monday, 4 November 2002 11:52 (twenty-one years ago) link

ah ! Marcello as I thought - it's company confidential till early December.

Marcello, so you know the overall results of the Uncut poll? is it a top 50? or top 75? or top 100 this year?

The Wire publish their poll later than the other magazines, Marcelo, when do you vote in The Wire poll?

DJ Martian (djmartian), Monday, 4 November 2002 11:58 (twenty-one years ago) link

Uncut giving Flaming Lips a 'most important album in our lifetime' five-and-a-half stars is a clue to what will happen there, I think; likewise Mojo sayingb Beth Gibbons/Rustin Man (not mentioned above) was 'one of the best albums ever made'.

jon (jon), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:00 (twenty-one years ago) link

UNCUT - Lambchop - Is A Woman or Beth Gibbons
NME - The Streets - Original Pirate Material
MUZIK - The Streets, or Lemon Jelly's Lost Horizons
KERRANG! - Queens of the Stone Age - Songs For The Deaf
MOJO - Beth Gibbons or possibly Beck.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:10 (twenty-one years ago) link

UNCUT - Flaming Lips - Yoshimi battles the pink robots.
NME - Vines - Highly evolved.
MUZIK - The Streets - Original pirate material.
KERRANG! - Cooper Temple Clause as a long shot.
MOJO - prob most difficult to predict, other than the ones mentioned I'd go for Aimee Mann - Lost in Space or Cornershop - handcream for a generation.

More to the point what will the ILx album of the year be?

Billy Dods (Billy Dods), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:17 (twenty-one years ago) link

More to the point what will the ILx album of the year be?

- I reckon that this should be organised ILM poll by e-mail (say top 20), counted by someone trustworthy and then published on ILM [also with individual voting lists published on a FT article]

DJ Martian (djmartian), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:22 (twenty-one years ago) link

Maybe NME will show some love to the Delgados this year...it could happen...

Brian the Snorf, Monday, 4 November 2002 12:29 (twenty-one years ago) link

If people want an ILX poll - and I must admit I do have a nagging curiosity somewhere in my sense of overwhelming dread - then I'll run one. Counting things is my job after all and I enjoy it.

Tom (Groke), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:33 (twenty-one years ago) link

poll please....dont bother doing singles tho as it will obviously be blummin Nelly!

blueski, Monday, 4 November 2002 12:40 (twenty-one years ago) link

i'll be amazed if the NME put The Streets at number one - can they really break their 4 year American rawk n roll fetish? and they havent voted a dance based album at the top since 1989 have they? (unless you count 'Pills n Thrills' but i wouldnt really)...

personally as much as i love 'O.P.M.' its just not quite got enough to make me think it deserves any number one spot, tho i'm still not sure what else does so its still highly likely Cassette Boy are gonna get mine by default

blueski, Monday, 4 November 2002 12:45 (twenty-one years ago) link

Yes yes to ILX poll. I was going to offer to run it, since I thought Tom hated polls. Dilemma: do we need a separate mix CD category?

Re the orig. question, I shall go out on a limb and predict that a Derek Bailey record gets in The Wire Top 50.

Jeff W (Jeff W), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:48 (twenty-one years ago) link

an interesting point: i would put Ladytron's 'Light & Magic' among my top choices except its not officially released until January 2003...anyone else feel inclined to include albums they've downloaded in advance of release on the basis that you vote by when you hear things rather than when you can legitimately purchase them? i guess the magazines wont do that...but Ladytron clearly havent learnt their lesson after the Jan/Feb release of '604' last year meant it had been curiously disregarded when it came to voting time...likewise The Avalanches 'Since I Left You' - lucky i write these things down well in advance and just edit them to suit 2 weeks before Christmas ;)

blueski, Monday, 4 November 2002 12:50 (twenty-one years ago) link

Jeff I hate the results of most polls but as the focus group shows I have a secret love of watching the results come in. (I'm also an election night results junkie too).

I suggest two categories - single track and multi-track. Single track includes singles obviously and other tracks of merit (since in an MP3 age everything's a potential single). Multi-track includes EPs, LPs, mixes and compilations.

I have another secret gimmick for the poll too :)

Tom (Groke), Monday, 4 November 2002 12:55 (twenty-one years ago) link

re: Ladytron - it's being released on Telstar ! in the UK.

The last I read it was coming in November, and now according to blueski it's another delayed to 2003 !

As ILM is not just UK centric, then I reckon blueski - if you want to vote for Ladytron then go ahead !

DJ Martian (djmartian), Monday, 4 November 2002 13:00 (twenty-one years ago) link

I'm sure the winner of an ILX album-of-the-year poll will inevitably be The Streets, but it'd be a laugh nonetheless.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Monday, 4 November 2002 13:05 (twenty-one years ago) link

no please don't do a poll. lists are rub.

Julio Desouza (jdesouza), Monday, 4 November 2002 13:08 (twenty-one years ago) link

jeff - don't rule out a derek bailey album getting in the UNCUT top 50!

Marcello Carlin, Monday, 4 November 2002 13:15 (twenty-one years ago) link

Sorry Julio - alea jacta estXoR.

Tom (Groke), Monday, 4 November 2002 13:19 (twenty-one years ago) link

Tom- if you want more work i can give you some here. that'll save from counting the votes. i'll 'count' the votes instead (we'll all be happier with the result).

Julio Desouza (jdesouza), Monday, 4 November 2002 13:25 (twenty-one years ago) link

The NME (henceforth refered to as "the scum") will give the album to the Streets, with the Vines in second place, but give the single of the year to the Vines. Mike Skinner will then give an interview about how shocked he is at winning, because he's not really done much press for the album.

"Songs for the Deaf" is a lock for Kerrang. How about the Brit awards? Ms Dynamite to do the Mercury and Brits double?

Oh, and ILM's would be won by "Original Pirate Mangetout, Rodders, Mangetout"

Dom Passantino (Dom Passantino), Monday, 4 November 2002 14:27 (twenty-one years ago) link

As for Pazz and Jop, I'm guessing the Wilco/Springsteen backlash will be enough to give Top Album honors to Murray Street. "Hot In Herre" will win best single and [comment deleted].

Nate Patrin (Nate Patrin), Monday, 4 November 2002 14:43 (twenty-one years ago) link

"The predictability is general though, not specific. i.e. you have named a Top 10 for the NME. 5 of them then appear. Does that mean that the other 5 are fresh exciting albums you'd never think the NME would support? Hardly."

Yeah, I know. I'm not saying that unless all your forecasts are 100% accurate, the polls have been proven to be unpredictable . Its just that the whole thing of saying noyhing beforehand, then going "I knew that would happen" afterwards annoys me. And the fact is, specific choices will be picked up on, and labelled "predictable" later. So let's hear some predictions now!

"sorry kilian i am sworn to secrecy"

You're mean!

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Monday, 4 November 2002 15:13 (twenty-one years ago) link

ipc pay me (allegedly) to be mean ;-)

although i've just been told i have to write 60-word blurbs for four of the albums in the end of year uncut list. by their brevity i assume none of them has won - grrr plot thwarted! no i'm not telling you which ones.

Marcello Carlin, Monday, 4 November 2002 15:18 (twenty-one years ago) link

update - make that five. three of them have not been mentioned on this thread thus far, and one to my knowledge has never been mentioned anywhere on ilm.

Marcello Carlin, Monday, 4 November 2002 15:21 (twenty-one years ago) link

I have a feeling that all my personal favs from 2002 (such as Blackalicious' Blazing Arrow, DJ Shadow's Private Press, Flaming Lips' Yoshimi Vs. the Pink Robots, Tom Waits' Alice and Blood Money, Wilco's Yankee Hotel Foxtrot, Coldplay's Rush of Blood..., Fishbone's Live at the Temple Bar) will all be snubbed in favor of bands whose names start with the word "The".

Nickalicious, Monday, 4 November 2002 15:36 (twenty-one years ago) link

Not to mention all three of the awesome albums Buckethead put out this year, Funnel Weaver, Bermuda Triangle, and Electric Tears.

Nickalicious, Monday, 4 November 2002 15:38 (twenty-one years ago) link

Were you referring to a specific poll, Nickalicious? Cos i think those albums should do pretty well in a lot of lists. Except maybe Buckethead.

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Monday, 4 November 2002 15:40 (twenty-one years ago) link

Nah, more like a general distaste for the rampant industry push behind the recent crop of "The" bands that are getting (in my opinion) WAY too much critical praise, be them The Vines, The Hives, The Strokes, The White Stripes, The (insert word here)...I simply have a feeling many of this year's great releases will be washed under by the "The" band hype-machine. That's all.

Nickalicious, Monday, 4 November 2002 16:42 (twenty-one years ago) link

Like "The" Flaming Lips, for instance?

Denise Lambert, Monday, 4 November 2002 16:44 (twenty-one years ago) link

I like the idea of 'the' Wilco and 'the' Coldplay.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Monday, 4 November 2002 17:00 (twenty-one years ago) link

the swans.

jess (dubplatestyle), Monday, 4 November 2002 17:02 (twenty-one years ago) link

I got a slightly baffling email thing from Warners saying that Flaming Lips had now been 'confirmed' as Uncut's album of the year, I'm not sure why I got this or how reliable it is...

alexfack, Monday, 4 November 2002 19:54 (twenty-one years ago) link

"How about the Brit awards?"

Coldplay win best band and best album

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Monday, 4 November 2002 20:13 (twenty-one years ago) link

nothing baffling about it, alex, it is uncut's album of the year (wilco and the streets for 2 and 3, though? you'll have to wait and see).

well don't look at me, i didn't vote for it.

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 08:12 (twenty-one years ago) link

Until this thread, I can completely forgotten about Yoshimi vs The Pink Robots despite having bought it. This is not a good sign.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:28 (twenty-one years ago) link

as indeed i had until rob young's hissy fit in the wire!

btw, re. uncut: streets and wilco are both in the top ten, but number two in the list is an extremely obvious one which no one on this thread has mentioned yet.

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:35 (twenty-one years ago) link

hear'say!!

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:43 (twenty-one years ago) link

re: Ladytron - it's being released on Telstar ! in the UK.

The last I read it was coming in November, and now according to blueski it's another delayed to 2003 !

December 2nd I heard.

Anna (Anna), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:49 (twenty-one years ago) link

Re:Uncut - Please say it's not bloody Demolition...

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:49 (twenty-one years ago) link

no mark that wd be even less likely than derek bailey making the cut (wch sadly he didn't do :-( ). no, think of a blindingly obv one for which the nigels and nicks of uncut would vote.

in particular, think "worthy."

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:52 (twenty-one years ago) link

no, ryan adams is up there, but not in second place.

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:53 (twenty-one years ago) link

brooooooooce!!

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:53 (twenty-one years ago) link

Is A Woman already mentioned... not Beth Orton?

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:54 (twenty-one years ago) link

YES, MARK, THE CORRECT AND ONLY ANSWER - GIVE THAT MAN AN ALEX VON SCHLIPPENBACH BOX SET!

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:55 (twenty-one years ago) link

Ah.

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 11:59 (twenty-one years ago) link

Are we going to continue this until we get the entire Uncut list?

Right then - Number 3... I reckon it has to be either Wilco or Lambchop.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 12:33 (twenty-one years ago) link

My Computer = third or fourth in Uncut poll?

Dr. C (Dr. C), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 12:43 (twenty-one years ago) link

uh, dr c, we're still working on that one ;-)

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 12:55 (twenty-one years ago) link

I thought it was supposed to be a Lester and Carlin propelled stalking horse designed to beak the Americana stranglehold?

I mean trojan horse. Or maybe talking horse? A record by a talking horse!

Dr. C (Dr. C), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:09 (twenty-one years ago) link

beak = break. God, I'm a mess today.

Dr. C (Dr. C), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:11 (twenty-one years ago) link

None of this matters, so long as Neko's in there somewhere...

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:14 (twenty-one years ago) link

i've now got a sneaky suspicion Nelly is gonna top either the albums list or the singles list in NME as well as ILM!

blueski, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:18 (twenty-one years ago) link

nope, neko c came out too late for the polls.

dr c, lester & i = leonidas at thermopylae. we are fighting a rearguard action against the wracked, harrowing hordes of nigels and nicks!

nellyville only got 5/10 in nme.

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:19 (twenty-one years ago) link

Nelly topping albums would be odd, but he'll be in their top 50.

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 13:58 (twenty-one years ago) link

then again i remember barney hoskyns giving prince's "parade" an almighty slagging in the nme, and it still ended up their album of the year, so who knows? my bet would still be on one of those guitar bands with five letters in their name, though.

Marcello Carlin, Tuesday, 5 November 2002 14:10 (twenty-one years ago) link

Nah, it'll be the Streets. Sidebet on the charidee album, though.

Mr Swygart (mrswygart), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 14:27 (twenty-one years ago) link

"Nah, it'll be the Streets."

I think so.

"Sidebet on the charidee album, though"

They wouldn't, would they?

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 21:35 (twenty-one years ago) link

Did any of you see Q's top 50? It's SOOOOO PREDICTABLE!

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 22:47 (twenty-one years ago) link

Ha, Kilian - I was just about to mention it !

I don't believe earlier today i popped into a newsagant - and a new edition of that ghastly Q magazine is on sale - with an essential Top 50 albums of 2002 feature, it's only November 5th!

Things are just getting ridiculous like last year NME did their end of year albums list early December when ever year before it was in the double end of year issue.

I flicked through the Q 50 feature - it's full of NME approved crap. Has anyone noticed that gradually over the past decade Q demographic profile has been lowering (partly due to the introduction of Mojo).

In my late teenage youth I sneered at Q for being an old fogeys music rag (Simon Reynolds - called it Mortgage rock)- you know: Dire Straits/ Clapton/ Phil Collins/ Paul McCartney - music for over 30something dullards with a company car.

..now Q magazine seems to be aimed at the casual 20something and upwards crowd with an interest in traditional song structured (mostly rock) music,

typical Q reader profile:
the only music magazine they read is Q! they look forward to watching Jools Holland Later on TV and reckon that the [tame and bland] daytime playlists of XFm, 6 music and Virgin - is where music is at !, the last CD they bought was the new Badly Drawn Boy yesterday, they reckon Coldplay have made a masterpiece and The Vines, Aqualung and The Coral are the best new bands of 2002, they are going to see David Gray in concert soon and are looking forward to new albums from say Turin Brakes and Starsailor next year, oh and they want new the U2 best of album for Christmas. Does anyone else notice this demographic? do you actually know people like this? Do these people really exist?

I see that Q magazine from reading MediaGuardian.co.uk recently has a new team in charge: editor in chief: Phil Alexander (ex Kerrang) and Paul Rees (ex Kerrang editor) as the new partnership, more yoof and rawk oriented?

One last thing most magazine end of year polls are total crap - they are just stuffed full of the most familiar/ over exposed/ high profile artists that happen to release music that particularly year.

I despise how both Q and NME approach music and what they select as important.

DJ Martian (djmartian), Tuesday, 5 November 2002 22:52 (twenty-one years ago) link

thanks to DJ Martian we will know instantly when any magazine anywhere evah has published a year-end list!

Paul (scifisoul), Wednesday, 6 November 2002 03:21 (twenty-one years ago) link

Most of the people I know that read Q don't fall into that demographic.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Friday, 8 November 2002 12:26 (twenty-one years ago) link

surely Doves 'The Last Broadcast' is Q's AOTY?

blueski, Friday, 8 November 2002 12:33 (twenty-one years ago) link

Q doesn't usually do a countdown-style AOTY list, does it? Which is odd because they appear addicted to doing them for every other fucking subject they can possibly think of.

I thought they just picked 50 albums without actually ordering them as such.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Friday, 8 November 2002 14:24 (twenty-one years ago) link

correct - no order - just goes under the slogan that goes something like: the 50 essential albums of 2002

DJ Martian (djmartian), Friday, 8 November 2002 14:26 (twenty-one years ago) link

predictable kate rant:

that "best of 2002" cd had only ONE woman on it. out of their 50 albums, only four of them even had women playing on them (and that's counting the tuba players from the polyphonic spree)

i wish i didn't notice these things... it makes me sound like a boring old riot grrrlie or something.

what are girls like me supposed to read? i'd read girlie magazines, but they're about boring things like fashion and makeup and have no music. lad magazines at least have stuff about music in them, why do we get left out? so i read muso magazines, and there's no girls. why don't girls read muso magazines? cause they're not represented. chicken or egg, self defeating cycle, etc. etc.

this is bad, cause i only ever buy the music press when i'm in it. i should cease this and just wait for my pr to mail the reviews to me instead of buying the whole mag to be upset by.

kate, Friday, 8 November 2002 18:03 (twenty-one years ago) link

three weeks pass...
New Uncut is in the shops. Top 70 albums listed

top 10 as follows: most people predicted these:

1. Flaming Lips
2. Brucie Springsteen
3. El-P
4. Wilco
5. The Streets
6. Lambchop
7. My Computer
8. Beck
9. Suicide
10.Bowie

Marcello warned us there is far too much dull americana rock/ alt.country


some exceptions:

7. My Computer
9. Suicide
12. Beth Gibbons and Rustin Man.
22. Boards of Canada
24. Radio 4
25. Interpol
26. Doves
30. Rob
36. Ladytron
43. ESG
46. Schneider TM
47. ShelleyDevoto
50. Cornelius
52. Saint Etienne
56. Notwist

DJ Martian (djmartian), Thursday, 5 December 2002 10:33 (twenty-one years ago) link

I am surprised no one else has commented on Uncut's best albums of 2002.

DJ Martian (djmartian), Thursday, 5 December 2002 17:37 (twenty-one years ago) link

we all haf poll fatigue. our ire is all spent, Martian

7. My Computer
9. Suicide
12. Beth Gibbons and Rustin Man

I see the "influence" of Marcello here, fo' sure. But where is Derek Bailey?

Jeff W, Thursday, 5 December 2002 17:57 (twenty-one years ago) link

Ok I just skimmed this thread, so forgive me, but does Marcello write for Uncut - has he been there a long time?

Vic, Friday, 6 December 2002 01:41 (twenty-one years ago) link

Yes, Marcello has recently started to write some album reviews in the last 2 or 3 issues?

DJ Martian (djmartian), Friday, 6 December 2002 01:44 (twenty-one years ago) link

"Uncut's top 3 will be composed of Wilco, The Streets, the Flaming Lips."

1, 4, 5. I didn't do too badly, did I? Uncut is actually the best poll. It's very much a list of the writers' most listened-to and enjoyed records of the year, whereas the NME and Q forget about all the little records which they've given great reviews to throughout the year, in favour of recs which have had a bigger impact. I liked their films of the year, also. Mullholland Drive, The Royal Tenenbaums and Donnie Darko all in the top 5. Hats off.

"I see the "influence" of Marcello here, fo' sure"

Rob's "Satyred Love" at number 30 also (it got a glowing review from Marcello).

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Friday, 6 December 2002 12:28 (twenty-one years ago) link

any predictions for the wire list? does marcello get to vote in that too? better yet does he get a paragraph to himself!!!!!

bob zemko (bob), Friday, 6 December 2002 13:46 (twenty-one years ago) link

Top 10: Coldplay Vines Streets Coral BMRC QOTSA Doves Eminem
Datsuns Interpol

Close behind: Flaming Lips Libertines Polyphonic Spree
NERD

Prediction:
Top 10:The Vines, coldplay, Doves, Queens of the Stone Age, The Streets, the Coral, the Electric Soft Parade, the Datsuns, Boards of Canada, Badly Drawn Boy.

(close behind - the Libertines, Polyphonic Spree, Eminem, The Flaming Lips)

I got 7 out of 10. 10 out of 14, if you count the "close behind" predictions. I conclude: NME is prob the most predictable of the polls.

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Wednesday, 18 December 2002 10:40 (twenty-one years ago) link

I haven't heard anything from the Wire for ages. I keep pestering Messrs Herrington and Bohn about voting in the end of year poll (and perhaps getting a paragraph) but to no avail. Maybe Rob Y finally found that CoM post hah!

El-P at #3 in the Uncut list was, heheh, also a partial result of my, uh, "influence" ;-) - reynolds, stubbs, mulvey, andy gill and i all had it either first or second in our lists. doesn't appear at all in the nme list, as far as i can see.

Marcello Carlin, Wednesday, 18 December 2002 10:47 (twenty-one years ago) link

"The predictability is general though, not specific. i.e. you have named a Top 10 for the NME. 5 of them then appear. Does that mean that the other 5 are fresh exciting albums you'd never think the NME would support? Hardly."

Tom is proven correct. I missed out on BRMC and Interpol, but NME have hardly thrown us a curveball by putting those in. And I'm still the only person who loves Beachwood Sparks!

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Wednesday, 18 December 2002 11:11 (twenty-one years ago) link

ten months pass...
is it a good time to revive this?

weasel diesel (K1l14n), Friday, 31 October 2003 16:33 (twenty years ago) link

Maybe a new thread for 2003?

jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 31 October 2003 16:44 (twenty years ago) link

Yeah, start a new one, Kilian.

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Friday, 31 October 2003 16:46 (twenty years ago) link


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