is there any reason to suspect early vote would be non-representative or skewed democrat in iowa?
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:49 (eleven years ago) link
seems to be the case but i wonder why
In Colorado, Florida, Iowa and North Carolina, Obama banked so many early votes in 2008 that he won those states even though he ran behind in each in votes cast on Election Day itself, according to voting data compiled by the Associated Press.
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:50 (eleven years ago) link
democrats just trying harder to get people to vote early prob
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:51 (eleven years ago) link
dems pushed early voting harder + just a bigger gotv machine + obv more enthusiasm last time xp
― iatee, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:53 (eleven years ago) link
there's an inherent interest in it for dems because their base is less likely to vote regardless
― iatee, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:54 (eleven years ago) link
k cool
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:57 (eleven years ago) link
also if youve voted then that eliminates the chance you wont vote
Even if you get hit by a bus before Election Day. That's why I like early voting -- the potential to influence earthly events from beyond the grave.
― something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:00 (eleven years ago) link
surprised zombie voting parties haven't caught on already
― Victory Goon (some dude), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:01 (eleven years ago) link
So Romney will probably take Florida, huh?
― O-Jah Da Lionmane (longneck), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:06 (eleven years ago) link
Probably. Miami-Dade, Broward, and Hillsborough just ain't enough.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:07 (eleven years ago) link
there's a 64.7% chance, I'd say
― beef richards (Mr. Que), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:07 (eleven years ago) link
god i'm just getting panicked
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:36 (eleven years ago) link
need a hug?
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:37 (eleven years ago) link
this minnesota detour headfake is pretty weird
i'm chalking it up to the eastern seaboard & rust belt being air-traffic-jammed, tbh
heinous traffic outside the music shop where i take guitar lessons last night. apparently paul ryan was doing a thing in the republican-owned (?) bar across the street. heavy SUVs and secret service everywhere.
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:40 (eleven years ago) link
what bar is that so i can avoid it in the future
― I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:49 (eleven years ago) link
o'gara's!
they also hosted a big yes-on-voter-id blowout a month ago
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:51 (eleven years ago) link
oh yeah haha well it wont be hard to avoid that place since i fucking hate it anyway.
taking a stand!
― I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:53 (eleven years ago) link
LOL, never been in there. Never will be.
― Bobby Ken Doll (Eric H.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:56 (eleven years ago) link
o'garas - all the charm of an applebees with food to match
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:59 (eleven years ago) link
now bigot friendly!
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:00 (eleven years ago) link
http://www.ogaras.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Serving-Our-Troops.jpeg
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:01 (eleven years ago) link
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, October 31, 2012 11:37 AM (34 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
YES
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:11 (eleven years ago) link
oh god ok fuck o'garas
hated that place anyway
is martin zeller still a thing?
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:12 (eleven years ago) link
i think so? hes actually a decent dude, so i cant really blame him for cash grabbing for years there, even if it does have the cool factor of having a residency at a low-rent bubba gump shrimp factory
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:13 (eleven years ago) link
yeah i figured he was ok and all. i actually still love the first gear daddies album.
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:17 (eleven years ago) link
My brother was one-third of a Rush tribute band at this establishment.
― pretty even gender split (Eazy), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:25 (eleven years ago) link
2112: A Tribute to Rush?
also i still need a reassuring hug
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:29 (eleven years ago) link
http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mc2cjgvulV1rrzs39.gif
― Sug ban (Nicole), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:32 (eleven years ago) link
aw thx
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:32 (eleven years ago) link
OK, google tells me he played keyboards with Exit Stage Right.
― pretty even gender split (Eazy), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:36 (eleven years ago) link
haha i've been hunting thru political donation tracker sites to get something definitive on the o'gara's ownerhsip but coming up blank. i don't want to besmirch the place out of hand, but, it is kind of a terrible bar and the evidence so far isn't good, imo.
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:48 (eleven years ago) link
Wait, I think I have it mixed up in my head with Alary's.
― Bobby Ken Doll (Eric H.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:50 (eleven years ago) link
Either way, not somewhere I'm likely headed.
Daily Kos piece pointing out that it's been almost three weeks since Romney gave an interview and more than a month since he answered a single question from the reporters that travel with him. He can't, obviously. He can't answer questions about his auto industry claims and now he can't answer about FEMA either.
― timellison, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:51 (eleven years ago) link
ha alarys is a different but also awful shithole.
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:53 (eleven years ago) link
2-party shitstem politricks
― am0n, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:00 (eleven years ago) link
i'm not american and i am starting to be quite nervous about this.
― Van Horn Street, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:09 (eleven years ago) link
You have my personal promise that Romney will not win.
― Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:33 (eleven years ago) link
recent polls out today aren't looking too good for obama
― all mods con (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:35 (eleven years ago) link
lol whatever
― beef richards (Mr. Que), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:36 (eleven years ago) link
like this one?
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/marquette-poll-obama-leads-wisconsin.php
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:36 (eleven years ago) link
be a man and post a link or stfu
xpost
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/10/31/nate-silver-and-the-forecasting-consensus-in-one-chart/
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:37 (eleven years ago) link
but that's from twelve whole hours ago so you never know
in the last 12 hours three undecideds in Idaho moved into the Romney camp.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:37 (eleven years ago) link
haha you guys aren't any fun
― all mods con (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:42 (eleven years ago) link
I got some applesauce for ya, baby.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:43 (eleven years ago) link
it's been almost three weeks since Romney gave an interview and more than a month since he answered a single question from the reporters that travel with him. He can't, obviously. He can't answer questions about his auto industry claims and now he can't answer about FEMA either.
is this getting traction in the MSM/ cable news? seems like a p big deal to me if Romney won't answer questions from the reporters traveling with him
― it's smdh time in America (will), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:45 (eleven years ago) link
Staging donations?
Empty-handed supporters pled for entrance, with one woman asking, “What if we dropped off our donations up front?”
The volunteer gestured toward a pile of groceries conveniently stacked near the candidate. “Just grab something,” he said.
Two teenage boys retrieved a jar of peanut butter each, and got in line. When it was their turn, they handed their “donations” to Romney. He took them, smiled, and offered an earnest “Thank you.”
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:53 (eleven years ago) link
keeping it classy
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:54 (eleven years ago) link