I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

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I think it's impossible to HAVE a "heavier throw weight" within the Rep. party now.

timellison, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:08 (eleven years ago) link

It's funny how these things have solidified because, and maybe I was just super hopeful, it seemed winnable at the time, even with Dems basically acknowledging they had a lame candidate, it still came down to an election-night nail-biter, right? It seemed possible, waking up on Election Day, that Bush would be a one-term president

oh I don't know. The polls the last few weeks showed Bush with a small but decided lead. Plus, he had (a) incumbency (b) I'M A WARTIME PRESIDENT on his side.

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:10 (eleven years ago) link

A friend who was and remains a DNC hack said he knew the Dems lost the election after John Kerry's acceptance speech ("I'm John Kerry and I'm reporting for duty!").

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:11 (eleven years ago) link

tim, are you forgetting gov christie?

Aimless, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:12 (eleven years ago) link

I think it's impossible to HAVE a "heavier throw weight" within the Rep. party now.

― timellison, Wednesday, September 19, 2012 8:08 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

http://www.theblaze.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/AP689319454044.jpg

could def not throw

xp

lag∞n, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:12 (eleven years ago) link

Maybe I'm a Dem hack, too, but I never thought Dukakis and Gore and Kerry were "lame candidates." Oh well.

timellison, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:14 (eleven years ago) link

polls had bush ahead but barely w/ margin narrowing. exit polls had kerry winning, and winning pretty easily tbh, carring virginia etc. i can remember going to go bar anticipating partying, then virginia went bush and i thought 'well, that's something but what were the odds of a dem carrying virginia anyway' and i told ppl not to panic, kerry had it in the bag. then florida went bush and i kinda knew the jig was up and just sat there and drank heavily waiting for ohio to fall. in 2008 by contrast i never panicked but at the same time i assumed nothing until ohio went obama and the networks called the election. this year i haven't panicked but i've also assumed nothing. i am at the point where if someone were to tell me today that romney was gonna win in six weeks i would be surprised.

balls, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:14 (eleven years ago) link

My records show that I got off work, briefly attended an "election party" which I don't recall at all, and the next day I was feeling ill. It would appear I went to the bank and the thrift store, bought some candy, and was unsuccessful in attempting to pick up some photos, or something. And then there was a Guided By Voices show. It was, based on the available evidence, a fairly listless 24-hour period.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:18 (eleven years ago) link

I mean, so freaking what if they weren't cool enough.

timellison, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:18 (eleven years ago) link

i remember election 00 and election 08 but not 04

lag∞n, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:19 (eleven years ago) link

i was not a kerry fan - dean supporter initially (still think his role in building the present day dem party is underrated), edwards voter (sigh) by the time of the ga primary. i did come to actually like kerry enough by the time of the actual election though. still think it was ultimately a good thing for the democratic party (albeit not the country) that kerry lost in 04. would go dukakis>gore>kerry. gary hart over the lot.

balls, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:20 (eleven years ago) link

Kerry as prez nominee was a neoliberal administrator of a war economy, very far from his liberal roots in the late eighties. He wasn't Dean but I didn't dislike him as I did the vacuous Edwards.

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:21 (eleven years ago) link

i can remember the bush campaign totally bought those exit polls also, by sundown there were leaks from the campaign about how rove had blown it etc a la pick yr avg recent politico story.

balls, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:22 (eleven years ago) link

the fuck did i do on election nite 04

lag∞n, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:22 (eleven years ago) link

I expect the 'debates' are just not going to give Mitt much of a push in the polls, bcz unless a whole new hot issue comes up, mitt has nothing new to say and no new way to say it. and if a hot new issue does come up, like an Israeli strike against Iran, it will probably work in favor of the sitting president. unless, of course, it is another Lehman-type failure and crash.

Mitt has nothing left in his quiver. And 'he leads in no polls'.

Aimless, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:22 (eleven years ago) link

maybe i just stayed home

lag∞n, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:23 (eleven years ago) link

There was an ILX thread, right? I wasn't reading the boards then and I can't find it now.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:25 (eleven years ago) link

I was drinking from 2 p.m. onwards on Election Day 2004, in full anticipation of a Bush win. The worst part: the next day, at the Memphis airport for a convention, every douche at a bar cheering Kerry's concession.

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:25 (eleven years ago) link

yah I joined ILX in January 2005 and skimmed the political threads from two months earlier and was frankly surprised at the number of people all like I'M MOVING TO CANADIA THAT'S IT

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:25 (eleven years ago) link

i remember election night 04 because i got out the vote in milwaukee in a dismally poorly organized effort (08 put it to shame) and drove back to chicago with friends listening to election coverage and went to sleep really late and woke up, turned on the news, cried, went to class.

horseshoe, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:26 (eleven years ago) link

edwards always felt like a televangelist to me. gore was a colossal fuckup imo, he ran a terrible campaign. i felt like he had it in the bag early on but he just played right into bush's hands. kerry is a decent guy who never had a real chance imo, i realize the polls were close-ish but still...he was running less as an answer to the country's problems and more of "hey at least i'm not bush."

omar little, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:26 (eleven years ago) link

Two different "prediction" threads:

Predict the electoral vote of the US Presidential Election
Predict the electoral vote of the US Presidential Election

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:26 (eleven years ago) link

er...hangon

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:26 (eleven years ago) link

Predict the results of the 2004 US Presidential Election

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:26 (eleven years ago) link

Romney's "Hey at least I'm like Bush!"

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:27 (eleven years ago) link

Kerry

― gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, March 12, 200

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:27 (eleven years ago) link

i feel like romney is a combination campaign-wise of both gore's errors and kerry's "other guy" routine.

omar little, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:27 (eleven years ago) link

Today I have my first significant doubt that Bush will win.

I will admit that Gabbneb's unrelenting ground campaign--endles, spintastic poll posting--has given me pause, but it has never been overly convincing.

It's because Bush is allegedly going after the Third Rail of politics tonight: Social Security. I am shocked he has the audacity to do this at the convention.

Even though Social Security (and more importantly, Medicare) is in dire need of reform, Kerryco has the brains to avoid discussing it in a forum such as this. Bush is set to open up a huge can of worms, and the Kerry campaign is going to be given a time-tested issue to hammer away with in the next two months. I am shocked Bush is going to hand over an issue that Kerry will be able to demogogue so easily with seniors, given the ramifications in states like Florida.

― don carville weiner, Thursday, September 2, 2004

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:28 (eleven years ago) link

then every talk i went to at school that year was about the 04 liberal depression fuck red states shit, which is kind of hard to take coming from English professors.

horseshoe, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:30 (eleven years ago) link

i remember election night 04 because i got out the vote in milwaukee in a dismally poorly organized effort (08 put it to shame) and drove back to chicago
That's funny, I canvassed in Milwaukee from Chicago that day too. I rode the bus there and back, and as I recall there was no radio or updates on the way back, by the time I arrived it looked to be over.

boxall, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:34 (eleven years ago) link

gore campaign was hobbled by an uncharismatic candidate running in the shadow of a super charismatic president (not that this has to be a problem - see poppy bush - but gore made it one somehow anyway, despite the 98 midterms the dems somehow never figured how that the lewinsky affair had actually helped them) w/ bob shrum and donna brazile as yr strategists. and he still won the popular vote and florida.

balls, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:35 (eleven years ago) link

then every talk i went to at school that year was about the 04 liberal depression fuck red states shit, which is kind of hard to take coming from English professors.

Even more than 2000 this was the year when RED VERSUS BLUE got currency and I hated it.

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:36 (eleven years ago) link

the thing that sticks out in my mind about '04 is the democrats I knew irl being like "maybe we shouldn't bring up things like gay marriage anymore"

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:36 (eleven years ago) link

I can't blame Gore for what happened in '00, the media vendetta against him that year was unstoppable

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:38 (eleven years ago) link

haha balls: I'm reading Peter Baker's gabbneb-esque The Breach on the Clinton impeachment and Dem incompetence on capitalizing on public support for throwing out the GOP bums by limiting it to the '98 race (which nevertheless defied 60 years of history) is depressing.

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:38 (eleven years ago) link

I can't blame Gore for what happened in '00,

haha yes you can -- even with the vendetta

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:38 (eleven years ago) link

ok maybe I can lol

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:40 (eleven years ago) link

still of all the politicians they could have branded as a liar, they chose Gore in 2000 smh

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:41 (eleven years ago) link

I watched the '04 returns in a bar, then the next night went and saw I Heart Huckabees and thought it nailed Red State vs. Blue State. Haven't seen it since, so I can't remember why.

canonical casual cordouroy (Eazy), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:41 (eleven years ago) link

that movie is hilarious

lag∞n, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:41 (eleven years ago) link

would've made Lily Tomlin my nominee

a regina spektor is haunting europe (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:44 (eleven years ago) link

WORD

balls, Thursday, 20 September 2012 00:45 (eleven years ago) link

haha yes you can

I'm not sure that you can. Media landscape feels different to me now.

timellison, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:09 (eleven years ago) link

In 04 I just remember feeling destroyed the next day

Raymond Cummings, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:26 (eleven years ago) link

But maybe in a way it was a good thing. Politics will never, ever fuck me up like that again. No longer a virgin.

Raymond Cummings, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:28 (eleven years ago) link

I felt destroyed for probably the next two months. I'm normally pessimistic but I had built up some hope that Kerry could win. xp

controversial cabaret roommate (Nicole), Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:29 (eleven years ago) link

For real

It was like living a nightmare

Raymond Cummings, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:31 (eleven years ago) link

yeah it was the worst

horseshoe, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:34 (eleven years ago) link

I recently found the playlist of angry songs I played on my college radio show the night after the '04 results, with 'thefacebook.com' scrawled at the top. All told, a sadly apropos document of where things went severely wrong in the mid-2000s.

Old Lunch, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:38 (eleven years ago) link

I always remember a paid Dukakis spot, must have been a whole half-hour bio and campaign piece, running on, I think, one of the main networks onelection night '88. I just remember that thing running while the election was already a foregone conclusion and how sad it was.

timellison, Thursday, 20 September 2012 01:39 (eleven years ago) link


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