otoh it's kind of surprising that this was the first Arab Spring uprising-type thing to go, really REALLY bad. Like, I would not have put odds on the successful overthrow of Qaddafi or Mubarak a few years ago.
― Artful Dodderer (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 24 February 2012 00:20 (1 year ago) Permalink
so this conference today seems like a pretty clear signal that ramping up for full-scale civil war is imminent...
― Artful Dodderer (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 24 February 2012 16:56 (1 year ago) Permalink
Russia has said it will not attend the Tunisia meeting and news reports on Thursday said China had not committed, blunting the gathering’s chances of securing strong action against Mr. Assad’s government.
The photographer and Ms. Colvin had been working in a makeshift media center that was destroyed in the assault. Activists said that the center had been targeted and that Syrian reconnaissance aircraft had probably spotted satellite transmitters on the roof of the building where it was located. The government denied targeting journalists.
One of the wounded journalists, Edith Bouvier, 31, is a freelance reporter for the French newspaper Le Figaro. Videos on YouTube showed her and Paul Conroy, a photographer who lives in Britain, appealing for help.
One of the videos also shows a Syrian man in medical scrubs and a stethoscope who seconded Ms. Bouvier’s call for immediate evacuation and said her life was in danger. “We need help to stop the bombardments and save Edith,” the man said in Arabic.
― curmudgeon, Friday, 24 February 2012 17:34 (1 year ago) Permalink
Despite the show of unity, which diplomats said they hoped would impress upon Assad that the end of his family’s four-decade autocratic rule is inevitable and at hand, there were signs of division. Some nations argued for arming Assad’s foes, while others called for the creation of protected humanitarian corridors to deliver aid.Neither idea was included in the conference’s final document, which instead focused on steps nations should take to tighten the noose on the regime, including boycotting Syrian oil, imposing travel and financial sanctions on Assad’s inner circle, and working with the opposition to prepare for a post-Assad Syria, including lucrative commercial deals. It also welcomed the appointment of former U.N. chief Kofi Annan to be a joint U.N.-Arab League special envoy for Syria.
― curmudgeon, Friday, 24 February 2012 21:57 (1 year ago) Permalink
This whole Paul Conroy situation appears to have become a massive clusterfuck.
― James Mitchell, Tuesday, 28 February 2012 10:46 (1 year ago) Permalink
What do you mean? British Sunday Times photographer Paul Conroy is no longer in Syria, having been smuggled out of the besieged city of Homs and the Syrian constitutional referendum passed, all is good!
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 28 February 2012 15:06 (1 year ago) Permalink
Oh, At least 59 Syrian civilians and soldiers were killed on Sunday
Bodies found dumped. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/syrian-activists-dozens-of-bodies-found-near-homs-in-one-of-worst-mass-killings-of-conflict/2012/02/27/gIQANnebeR_story.html?hpid=z1
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 28 February 2012 15:09 (1 year ago) Permalink
― Fonz Hour (Eazy), Wednesday, 29 February 2012 05:47 (1 year ago) Permalink
Maybe we should start arming the opposition even if we know nothing about them. Likely not to be worse, right?
― curmudgeon, Wednesday, 29 February 2012 13:25 (1 year ago) Permalink
from what I can tell there are PLENTY of weapons in Syria, the bigger issue is probably organizational - safe communications, supply lines, etc.
― Artful Dodderer (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 29 February 2012 17:04 (1 year ago) Permalink
This does not help
― curmudgeon, Wednesday, 29 February 2012 17:09 (1 year ago) Permalink
― "marvellously inoffensive" (Eazy), Thursday, 8 March 2012 16:08 (1 year ago) Permalink
Not entirely convinced given the sources (Stratfor via Wikileaks, Jerusalem Post), but anyway:
Alawite defections from Syrian army may be on rise
― Pauper Management Improved (Sanpaku), Thursday, 8 March 2012 16:55 (1 year ago) Permalink
In a video posted on the Internet, Abdo Hussameldin, the deputy oil minister, said he had defected from President Bashar al-Assad’s government, making him one of the highest-ranking civilian officials to bail on Mr. Assad in the increasingly chaotic insurgency, which the United Nations estimates has left at least 7,500 people dead.
― curmudgeon, Thursday, 8 March 2012 20:05 (1 year ago) Permalink
This is the 2nd piece I have read suggesting that Fayza Aboulnaga, Egypt’s minister for planning and international cooperation, a holdover from the Mubarak regime, is a problematic presence
― curmudgeon, Monday, 12 March 2012 15:25 (1 year ago) Permalink
We'll see if US efforts to get Russia to alter their view will work. I'm skeptical
― curmudgeon, Monday, 12 March 2012 15:27 (1 year ago) Permalink
The Obama administration has decided to resume funding for Egypt’s military and will bypass congressional requirements that U.S. officials certify the country’s progress toward democracy, according to Capitol Hill aides.
This decision seems wrong to me
― curmudgeon, Friday, 23 March 2012 18:47 (1 year ago) Permalink
The post-Gaddaffi Libyan situation has now created chaos in Mali
― curmudgeon, Friday, 23 March 2012 18:48 (1 year ago) Permalink
Can I advocate supporting the Syrian rebels without sounding like a neo-con and their not well thought out ideas regarding Iraq, Iran and Syria?
― curmudgeon, Friday, 23 March 2012 19:20 (1 year ago) Permalink
x-post-I guess that Malian coup will prevent the election scheduled there in around a month
― curmudgeon, Saturday, 24 March 2012 19:57 (1 year ago) Permalink
So I am sure the EU's new sanctions on Assad's wife will cause her hubby to give up.
The £3,795 that Asma Assad spent on a pair of Christian Louboutin shoes with crystal heels, or the £29,200 she spent on candlesticks and chandeliers from Paris, were just a fraction of the real price that Syria’s First Lady will have to pay for such excesses. They are about to cost her
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 27 March 2012 16:17 (1 year ago) Permalink
I knew it, his wife made him do this. (yes I am kidding )
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 27 March 2012 19:00 (1 year ago) Permalink
He's gonna break this deal though, the question is how soon
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 27 March 2012 19:01 (1 year ago) Permalink
W. Post columnist is optimistic about this plan (but no mention of candlesticks, chandeliers, and crystal heels)
― curmudgeon, Thursday, 29 March 2012 19:59 (1 year ago) Permalink
US State Department folks were on NPR this morning defending the renewal of US military aid to Egypt. An Egyptian blogger who was interviewed (and who had been previously jailed) disagreed.
― curmudgeon, Thursday, 29 March 2012 20:01 (1 year ago) Permalink
DJ Rupture's week in Cairo
― curmudgeon, Tuesday, 17 April 2012 20:26 (1 year ago) Permalink
via Greenwald, long NYT Mag piece on lawlessness and militia rule in post-Qaddafi Libya:
Also, from Tuesday's NYT:
Truckloads of armed men attacked the Tripoli headquarters of Libya’s interim prime minister on Tuesday, in a new demonstration of the lawlessness pervading the capital just weeks before a scheduled national election. . . . Security in the capital is negligible, and gunfights between armed groups from rival neighborhoods or towns are a frequent occurrence in its streets. . . .
“You know that security here is a big joke,” Fathi Baja, a council member, said at the time. With an antiaircraft gun mounted on a pickup truck, he said, “you can do whatever you want — nobody can stop you.”
― World Congress of Itch (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:02 (1 year ago) Permalink
So Greenwald is pointing out that Libya is now chaotic. Ok. But if the US and the others involved in getting rid of Q, had instead decided to stick around to help maintain order in the transition, wouldn't Greenwald be grumbling about the US and Western powers being in yet another country?
― curmudgeon, Friday, 11 May 2012 17:39 (1 year ago) Permalink
Or is he arguing that a Q dictatorship was preferable in a Mussolini trains run on time kinda way.
― curmudgeon, Friday, 11 May 2012 17:40 (1 year ago) Permalink
this seems stupid. of course it's chaotic, they're remaking their country after 50 years.
― Roger Barfing (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:46 (1 year ago) Permalink
it's the NYT not GG dooing the reporting.... All that's being illustrated is you don't get to go "yay, victory, democracy via bombs and an execution, cue Star Wars medal theme."
― World Congress of Itch (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:47 (1 year ago) Permalink
so, Rumsfeld-style "messiness"
― World Congress of Itch (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:48 (1 year ago) Permalink
pretty sure 99% of democracies started with bombs/executions tbh
― Roger Barfing (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:48 (1 year ago) Permalink
generally speaking peaceful transitions from one form of government to another don't happen
― Roger Barfing (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:49 (1 year ago) Permalink
Around 1/3 of Americans were loyalists during the Revolution and many were tarred and feathered (usually fatally) and forcibly disposssed of their property. Also, the Whiskey Rebellion....
― Love Max Ophüls of us all (Michael White), Friday, 11 May 2012 17:56 (1 year ago) Permalink
I want Libya's Thomas Jefferson and "yay democracy" now(we'll ignore some of TJ's faults)
Perhaps someone who know Libya's people, and who saw the mistakes in Iraq, can make a case that the US and the West could have avoided some (but not all) of this Rumsfeld style messyiness and aided in a transition by doing x, y and z, and getting a, b, and c involved.
― curmudgeon, Friday, 11 May 2012 18:31 (1 year ago) Permalink
― curmudgeon, Friday, 11 May 2012 19:18 (1 year ago) Permalink
Election in Egypt today. Runoff likely
DJ Rupture on Egyptian radio in below link
― curmudgeon, Wednesday, 23 May 2012 16:01 (1 year ago) Permalink
"It is a shock. I don't want either one, so I am not going to vote."AHMED KABANY, an engineer, on the upcoming Egyptian election for president, in which a hardline Islamist is facing off against an authoritarian former general.
from NY Times
― curmudgeon, Saturday, 26 May 2012 21:27 (1 year ago) Permalink
and there's this bit of sad, horrible news too
― curmudgeon, Saturday, 26 May 2012 21:36 (1 year ago) Permalink
32 children under the age of 10 killed
― sonderangerbot, Saturday, 26 May 2012 22:38 (1 year ago) Permalink
WTF WTF WTF
― the late great, Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:13 (1 year ago) Permalink
― goole, Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:18 (1 year ago) Permalink
I don't really understand the ruling - on what basis were all the parliamentary election rules "illegal"? the way the US press reports on these things (with absolutely zero understanding of Egyptian jurisprudence) just makes it sound like a naked power grab.
― a dense custard of infinity (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:20 (1 year ago) Permalink
• Egypt's political transition has been thrown into chaos by a court ruling which invalidates the recent parliamentary election where Islamists won a majority. The court ruled that the system for electing a third of the MPs was unconstitutional and its decision is being seen as a "soft coup" for the military.
• Former prime minister Ahmed Shafiq has been cleared to contest this weekend's presidential run off against the Muslim Brotherhood's Mohammed Morsi. The court ruled that banning Shafiq as member of the former regime was unconstitutional. There was a heavy police presence outside the court as activists gathered to protest against the verdict. The Muslim Brotherhood said it accepted the verdict on Shafiq.
― goole, Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:21 (1 year ago) Permalink
from gaurdian, today
The court ruled that the system for electing a third of the MPs was unconstitutional
I thought they didn't even have a constitution! they're getting a new one on Friday...?
― a dense custard of infinity (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:25 (1 year ago) Permalink
― goole, Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:25 (1 year ago) Permalink
ah okay, this is the answer I was looking for
The parliamentary election law also ran against past SCC rulings requiring independents to have the same chances to get elected as party members. Of course, since the two-thirds of seats assigned to party lists were written into the constitutional declaration (as amended in September 2011), so that could not be challenged easily. But for the remaining one-third the case of unconstitutionality was easier to make. (Past rulings rested in part on constitutional rights in the 1971 constitution that had been removed from the March 2011 constitutional declaration, as Harvard's Tarek Masoud has pointed out. But there was still strong jurisprudence suggesting that the court regarded the system as discriminatory against Egyptians who were not members of any party.)
― a dense custard of infinity (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 14 June 2012 17:28 (1 year ago) Permalink