Oscars 2015

the Nick Pinkteron line about biopics is so good that I wish it were true.

I could barely muster up the effort for the nominations articles. It's only really fun Oscar blogging imo when you have a preset slate you can rip into.

well, you used "distaff" in a sentence, so that counts.

You went for Cotillard and Jake too.

I told Ed he totally subtweeted me with his choice of pics (e.g. each seems like the most likely to not get nominated).

what are yr off-the-record picks for makeup, then?

I was about to write Steve Carell's nose even before checking to see if there was a shortlist and ... I'll be damned, it's actually in the running.

Also, it feels like Budapest is headed toward double-digit nominations, so.

you think? that would shock me.

I guess the probability that it's getting scratched in acting categories stands in the way of that.

If Cotillard, Spall, and Fiennes all made it, I would delight in Jeffrey Wells' head exploding.

It's not well known that the Carell nose is the same one Woody & Diane stole in Sleeper.

it does seem like there's been this crazy momentum shift towards GBH

Won the Globe, led the BAFTA nods, hasn't really missed any major guild nominations...

I would've never guessed it.

driven by empty calories of year-end bullshit, finally?

Gone Girl took nothing at the GGs and i bet the same happens at the Oscars. what is it with Fincher? Se7en, Social Network and Fight Club were all stiffed too and Zodiac didn't even get ONE nomination!

actually GG will at least maybe win best adapted screenplay i guess. but still..

it's still in the running for best pic and i figured it had a good chance after leaving the theater but there's been so much bait released EOY it'll get pushed out. the imitation theory game just got plopped right in there.

XP Zodiac's original release was bumped from awards season due to some studio be, and after that I don't think any lobbying bucks were thrown its way.

"Studio B.S."

ah i vaguely remember that.

Brody on Oscary acting in "grotesquely tasteful" bait by good actors (ie JuMoo and Aniston)

http://www.newyorker.com/culture/cultural-comment/oscars-go-bad-performances

how thrilling

http://www.awardsdaily.com/blog/2015/01/academy-to-announce-all-24-categories-live/

Too much of a good thing, perhaps.

i'm amused that Hair & Makeup goes in the first tier, Docs in the second

Mark Harris' fourth and final predix column of the week

http://grantland.com/hollywood-prospectus/2015-oscar-nomination-predictions-best-director-best-picture/

FilmExp

http://thefilmexperience.net/prediction-index/

Just Jared: http://www.justjared.com/2015/01/15/oscar-nominations-2015-final-predictions-live-stream/

all coalescing around same shit

whoa, no Ebert doc

keira knightley. didn't expect that.

she was cited often in the last few weeks but tbh I didn't notice her amid the nonsense

Gone Girl stiffed for Adapted Screenplay. Fincher's lousy Oscars run continues.

Cotillard is in.

fucking Steve Carrel and Bradley Cooper. No Jake.

boringly predictable the whole thing.

American Sniper with Best Pic nod, no directing nod for Clint.

boringly predictable the whole thing.

― piscesx

Coop was a long shot.

Selma got only BP and song, i believe

Ida and Mr Turner for cinematography

thinking Ida beats Leviathan for foreign

probably

only one nod for Gone Girl. Who's going to watch this broadcast w/out the audience pleasers?

how the hell did bennett miller get that directing nom?

re Gone Girl, how can a film that made THAT much money with such a relatively small budget, was so critically respected and liked by the public get such short shrift? i know subjects like that never do well with 'The Academy' but still. good to see Ros Pike get a nod mind.

my predix:

GBH, maybe Boyhood
Wes Anderson, maybe Linklater
Cumberbatch, maybe Keaton
Moore or Cotillard (fingers crossed for the latter)
Arquette
Simmons

It's Moore.

wondering if The Judge is really so awful.

No Best Actor nod for Fiennes is a shame.

Can anyone point me to a piece by a reliable Oscarologist on why Grand Budapest Hotel has gone so much further than other Anderson movies? It's different (and excellent) but not different enough to explain this giant leap in recognition.

box office $$ and years of accumulating good will in the Academy sense

Lot of familiar names just scattered around various categories, especially the acting noms, which should just be called "people we know who are in lots of movies all the time but this time we're arranging them in shorter lists." Oyelowo was hosed. Too measured?

Yeah, Fiennes, too. Talk about carrying a movie.

GBH and its setting and title are very "prestigious" in a way

Boyhood and Linklater will win. Moore is the easy way out, but hope for Cotillard. I bet Keaton gets the statue, and he's lauded with a long standing O like he's 20 years older and it's the second coming of Nicholson.