I'm guessing the actual results will be slightly better for Obama than the raw polls indicate because a lot of them don't include households without a landline -- missing a lot of the under-30 voters, who don't turn out to the polls as much as others, but who lean Democratic. (I believe 538 takes this into account but I'm not sure.)
― abanana, Thursday, 1 November 2012 17:51 (eleven years ago) link
the odds of Romney winning goes down the more he says things like this:
http://tv.msnbc.com/2012/10/31/romney-compares-sandy-relief-to-cleaning-up-after-high-school-football-game/
― Gandalf’s Gobble Melt (DJP), Thursday, 1 November 2012 17:59 (eleven years ago) link
I saw that last night while watching Last Word (ugh, Lawrence O'Donnell) because nothing else was on. Was hoping some other media outlet would pick up on it so I don't have to link to his page.
― Johnny Fever, Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:02 (eleven years ago) link
(xpost) I imagine the world Romney carries around in his head looks a lot like this:
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/__hspjzfC024/TDLdWOX1uMI/AAAAAAAABd0/FzCfyhWzQYA/s1600/pleasantville-Islam.jpg
Which I sort of understand--the one in my own head looks something like this:
http://s3.amazonaws.com/auteurs_production/images/film/dazed-and-confused/w448/dazed-and-confused.jpg?1337960424
― clemenza, Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:20 (eleven years ago) link
the world in my head looks like this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXT6KrX-PF4
― Gandalf’s Gobble Melt (DJP), Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:24 (eleven years ago) link
"What World Do You Carry Around in Your Head?"
http://www.springfieldfiles.com/albums/food/0229.JPG
― clemenza, Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:27 (eleven years ago) link
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQiZhghc1d3tWt0yjX1EbUYUoM5iaf6istSZIwzWQWaVEjLhw8Q9Q
― Sug ban (Nicole), Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:31 (eleven years ago) link
^^ good idea, but needs its own thread. not here, plz.
― Aimless, Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:32 (eleven years ago) link
Doesn't one big statistically misread involve the overwhelming, almost exclusive support Obama has among blacks and Latinos? I could have sworn I read something about how the various models have trouble with political data that anomalously skewed.
― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 November 2012 18:37 (eleven years ago) link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TxMD02zU9SE
mittens getting ruffled by a (quite conservative, iirc) iowa radio host about his political waffling vis-a-vis the stance of the mormon church on abortion
― j., Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:41 (eleven years ago) link
holy crap
― Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:44 (eleven years ago) link
wait what the hell?
― Grimy Little Pimp (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:46 (eleven years ago) link
would love to see the setup/context for that, it seems like mitt just starts shouting like crazy for no reason but OMG this guy is a basketcase, really bizarre next to that "silent statue of jello while crowd shouts down global warming protester"
― Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:46 (eleven years ago) link
O_o Kinda shows why Mitt hasn't really talked religion much on the campaign trail.
― Sex Kitten mind control slave (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:48 (eleven years ago) link
OMG this guy is a basketcase
hey how the fuck else are you supposed to hold all that shit together
― j., Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:50 (eleven years ago) link
the pacing!
― difficult listening hour, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:50 (eleven years ago) link
Video is from 07?
― Grimy Little Pimp (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:51 (eleven years ago) link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MRbIwshAvU
― Grimy Little Pimp (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:52 (eleven years ago) link
this is an odd thing to only see NOW
xxpost Really? Wow. Can't believe it hasn't been passed around more, it's just...the blowsy short-tempered bullying quality of it, it's this glimpse into the board-room hardman Mitt that we got teeny little glimpses of in the debates, the total impatience with the person he's arguing with. I really can't wait for the inevitable tell-alls from his campaign staffers.
― Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:53 (eleven years ago) link
http://youtu.be/IFkaCji-UDA
20 min director's cut (rage portion starts @ 10:00
― Grimy Little Pimp (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:55 (eleven years ago) link
7:45 or so gets onto the topic it seems
― Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:57 (eleven years ago) link
OK obv he's a dick in this video but it's almost a relief to see some blood flowing here...I think this actually humanizes him. Also relative to his typical convolutions his argument seems (?) rhetorically sound.
― Hadrian VIII, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:58 (eleven years ago) link
yeah I agree, if anything reminds me of romney in debate #1
― iatee, Thursday, 1 November 2012 19:59 (eleven years ago) link
I mean he's way more likeable getting his panties in a wad like this — w/o simultaneously wearing that shit-eating smirk.
― Hadrian VIII, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:00 (eleven years ago) link
Yeah I'm actually with him insofar as, the question about the church actually is not really fair or germane. What's staggering is just the realization that there's some kind of human being in there who gets angry and goes ham, y'know? That it takes the specific form of this board-room motherfucker is the icing on the cake really.
― Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:00 (eleven years ago) link
Christ appears in Jerusalem, splits the mount of olives to stop the war, it's coming to kill all the Jews.
― Mordy, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:00 (eleven years ago) link
I love his hair when he's angry.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:01 (eleven years ago) link
i always took it as a given that the reason his genial campaign trail demeanor is so contrived and 'robotic' was that he has to work so hard to stifle how unappealing his natural human self can be
― some dude, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:01 (eleven years ago) link
http://olivemountainrestaurant.com/g/Olive-Mountain-Money-Mailer-Ad.jpg
― tylerw, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:01 (eleven years ago) link
have to say it really is impressive how little mormonism has come up at all in this campaign though (xpost)
― some dude, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:02 (eleven years ago) link
interviewer: talk to me about how crazy your religion is...romney: [smiles blankly]
― tylerw, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:02 (eleven years ago) link
He really does remind me of Bob Dole - when ordered by handlers to stifle his natural sarcasm he turned into a imbecile.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:03 (eleven years ago) link
true but even that Romney couldn't get away w/ "I'm not running as a Mormon!" which I suspect a lot of Christian "centrists" are dying to hear from this guy. It would probably be smart of the Romney Campaign to own this one and get it defined on these terms
― Hadrian VIII, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:04 (eleven years ago) link
― some dude, Thursday, November 1, 2012 4:01 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
― Hadrian VIII, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:05 (eleven years ago) link
nice piece on silver - http://www.tnr.com/blog/plank/109495/%E2%80%98predict-nate-silver%E2%80%99s-future-look-the-more-enlightened-sports-world
― balls, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:12 (eleven years ago) link
I'm reminded of this guy:
http://www.supermegamonkey.net/chronocomic/entries/scans8/EA4_KenWind.jpg
― Elvis Telecom, Thursday, 1 November 2012 20:23 (eleven years ago) link
Probably late to the party, but the Margaret Sullivan/Nate Silver feud is hilarious.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 November 2012 13:55 (eleven years ago) link
When he came to work at The Times, Mr. Silver gained a lot more visibility and the credibility associated with a prominent institution. But he lost something, too: the right to act like a free agent with responsibilities to nobody’s standards but his own.
...lol
― iatee, Friday, 2 November 2012 14:02 (eleven years ago) link
gingrich endorses obama?
http://news.yahoo.com/errant-gingrich-email-obama-going-win-174518235.html
lol
― reggie (qualmsley), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:03 (eleven years ago) link
Is it really a feud though? She was critical of him, but he doesn't seem to be bothered by it.
― Sug ban (Nicole), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:26 (eleven years ago) link
Yeah feud seems a bit strong. I seriously doubt 538 will be on NYT next election cycle though.
― One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:31 (eleven years ago) link
not this Margaret?
http://brightlightsfilm.com/49/49_images/0Sullavan_1940_1.jpg
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:32 (eleven years ago) link
538 is only leaving the nyt if nate silver wants to leave. he has a more credible brand than they do at this point.
― iatee, Friday, 2 November 2012 14:32 (eleven years ago) link
Right I meant that he is likely leaving not that they would show him the door.
― One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:34 (eleven years ago) link
I dunno, I mean he seems to have as much independence as he wants + people like steady paychecks + hitching himself to some other media property can't improve his life much. but if he did I would imagine it would be to like, the economist ie something safe and big.
― iatee, Friday, 2 November 2012 14:47 (eleven years ago) link
@DennisThePerrinTo my comedian friends: Pile on Romney now, because after Tuesday he becomes Wendell Willkie.
― saltwater incursion (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:48 (eleven years ago) link
ha – Wilkie became an essential FDR ally and liasion after we declared war on the Axis powers.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:51 (eleven years ago) link
you mean like Mittens' lockstep w/ Bam on the drone wars?
― saltwater incursion (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:53 (eleven years ago) link
...and boring listeners to death as a FOX News contributor until the end of his days.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 November 2012 14:56 (eleven years ago) link