2008 Primaries Thread

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obama's still winning the less-democratic groups, ergo obama is more electable afaic

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

A 1-1 score after the first inning means absolutely nothing.

By calling it a 1-1 score you're implicitly granting my point.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Will news people learn not to go all batshit from this? Likely not.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ media

still, fuck hillary

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

It sounds like Obama and Hillary are both going after the Edwards supporters who might be getting ready to bolt after his lackluster showing in NH: they both made a bigger point of taking an anti-corporate stance than either did in their post-Iowa speeches.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

PLZ STOP WITH BASEBALL ANALOGY

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary looks like 'this shit is tiresome - can you give me the keys already?'

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Gabbneb OTM about what won N.H. for HRC. In 2004, when the youth anti-war vote was supposed to help Kerry win, Joe Scarborough -- watching people waiting to vote in line -- said, ''I dunno; looks like the same old voters to me.'' Not saying this will hold true in 2008, but don't count out the old, Baby Boomers vote yet.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary insults my intelligence. fuck you, hillary!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

Yes, but he was more also vocally anti-corporate in his concession speech tonight than he was after Iowa. I'm listening to NPR and Brian Lehrer just remarked on it as well. Hillary also included some corporate-bashing in her victory speech.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Edwards give a concession speech yet?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, he did.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Tom Petty rocks!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary pointing at imaginary friends in the audience

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Was it a good concession speech?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

As you said, the "found my voice" part was genius.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

so teatro

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Lesson: You don't want to be the ''inevitable nominee'' in the Democratic primary.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

OTM

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

wolfblitzen is a douche

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of like this quotation from Yglesias:

The TV coverage I've been watching has implied that New Hampshire is a crazy comeback surprise and Iowa is somehow the "real" result. I think they're wrong. Iowa is the anomaly, because of the bizarre public forum that is the Iowa caucus. You know why Hillary does worse in a caucus? Because women who are leaning Hillary go to the caucus with their husbands, and he says "Let's go for Obama" or "Let's go for Edwards" and she says "Well, all right then" because she doesn't want to spend the next hour sitting alone in the Hillary group. I've sat through a caucus. This is how it works.

Hindsight's always 20/20 and all that ...

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

how often are primaries this close? it's still 2 pts between them

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Yglesias is smart. Also, in a caucus -- where 2d choices are important -- I think the ''anti-HRC'' vote is magnified (unifies a lot of the anti-HRC vote).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews is all about a candidates looks (and machismo).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:35 (sixteen years ago) link

disliking edwards more than every

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Is it possible that independents -- seeing the huge advantage for Obama in the polls -- decided to vote in the Republican primary, where their votes may count?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I think they said that the independent voters still went heavier towards the dems.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

But Hills got more of a percentage of them than anyone expected.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

stolen election, amirite??

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe New Hampshire is just populated by racists?

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Brian Williams just referenced "Dewey Defeats Truman." Well, c'mon. Let's not get silly.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder whether black voters -- who (according to polls) were waiting to see how Obama did before deciding to support him, and had great hope after Iowa -- now stay with HRC in South Carolina?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:54 (sixteen years ago) link

chris matthews is such a sexist jackass. i don't know what happens after this but i will say, part of the commentary on here is why i'm spending hardly any time around ilx. you see a bunch of guys trashing a woman long enough, guess what - it's fucking annoying and on the internet, you can just go somewhere else. it's worse when it's coming from the national press corps trying to tell the country how to pick a president.

look at the gender gap in new hampshire. obama might be inspiring to some but in that debate when he gave hillary that snooty look and said "you're likable enough" in that utterly condescending, dismissive tone i was like, hey man, fuck you. seriously.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:54 (sixteen years ago) link

hrc - our first black female president lolz

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews: Voters are racist/sexist, and only show it when an ''Archie Bunker voice'' asks them who they'll vote for.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, he should know his place, right?
xpost

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

lol hillary. lololol. burn the witch. the media and the big blogs will have to try harder next time (i'm sure they will).

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria's right about that ''You're likable ENOUGH'' line by Obama. I think it hurt him. It made him look petty and frat boy-ish, not high-minded and transformative.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't speak for anyone else, but I don't hate Hillary because she's a woman. It's because she's Hillary Clinton.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

paul tsongas, gary hart, ed muskie

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

daria how would you feel if someone claimed the hillary campaign's near constant attacks on obama were because of her racism?

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

A persecution complex is a term given to an array of psychologically complex behaviours that specifically deal with the perception of being persecuted for various possible reasons, imagined or real.

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

But I think you misjudge Obama's motives for saying that, Daria. I don't think he was showing his sexism. I think it was a way of showing himself as an aggressive frontrunner (gently jabbing down at your opponents). But it was unbecoming and, given Obama's image, the line made him look bad.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Agreed that line was a bad idea. Totally unnecessary. She was in the middle of her own Kodak moment and it was bad form for him to spoil it.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know how you can follow the meta-coverage on the press in this race and not understand that there's some deeply rooted misogyny at work here. esp in the mean girls high school sense

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:06 (sixteen years ago) link

of course there is - im not saying there is no misogyny ever im saying obama isnt the source of it just cuz he took a shot at somebody he's running against

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't notice any, even subversive, misogyny directed at her for a full year when she appeared to be on the fast track to the White House. It's only when her candidacy became an uncertain proposition. News dudes always dismiss the underdogs in ugly ways.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I think daria is just saying she agrees that that was a shitty line

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't notice any, even subversive, misogyny directed at her for a full year when she appeared to be on the fast track to the White House.

are you fucking serious

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:10 (sixteen years ago) link


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