2008 Primaries Thread

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J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

CW is wrong on this point.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually I think the best thing for Hillary at this point would be for Edward to stay in the race and keep making nasty cracks at her.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, that may be true, but I think Edwards won't make that mistake again (to the same degree, at least).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Sully speculates that, apart from NH's non-conformist tendencies, more voters thought HRC did really well in Saturday's debate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Ugh:

Look, Barack Obama’s an impressive guy; I don’t know anybody who dislikes him. But I think we should be encouraged that voters can stand up against an emotional 24/7 media Valentine for one candidate, and vote instead for a person they think will be a steadier and more reliable Commander-in-Chief (especially important in time of war). Hillary as insurgent against the liberal MSM—you go, girl!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes (re: debate, Alfred).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I still think her allegedly "shrill" response to the change theme was actually quite good.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:04 (sixteen years ago) link

We all did!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:05 (sixteen years ago) link

ILX Wisdom trumps Conventional Wisdom. Again!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Looking swell!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC can make the MSM's apparent dislike for her work to her advantage.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

That ''I found my own voice'' line was a brilliant phrase.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

nate - the candidates have less than 25 delegates so far. on super tuesday, more than 1500 delegates are awarded. so the answer to your question is no.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, you never know - it could come down to those last 25 delegates, couldn't it?

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

no, it won't

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton and obama are tied in delegate count now, i believe

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I still think her allegedly "shrill" response to the change theme was actually quite good.

i thought it sucked, actually

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

delegate numbers mean absolutely nothing at this stage

Isn't that a bit like saying that the score in a baseball game means nothing after the first inning?

-- o. nate, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 10:56 PM (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

A 1-1 score after the first inning means absolutely nothing.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

what won for her was sympathy and generations - more old people voted, fewer young ones did

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Come on people! Media narrative means everything = big Hillary win.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

but it isn't a 1-1 score. in baseball terms, it's still 0-0.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Media narrative means everything

right, and delegate count means nothing

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's still winning the less-democratic groups, ergo obama is more electable afaic

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

A 1-1 score after the first inning means absolutely nothing.

By calling it a 1-1 score you're implicitly granting my point.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Will news people learn not to go all batshit from this? Likely not.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ media

still, fuck hillary

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

It sounds like Obama and Hillary are both going after the Edwards supporters who might be getting ready to bolt after his lackluster showing in NH: they both made a bigger point of taking an anti-corporate stance than either did in their post-Iowa speeches.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

PLZ STOP WITH BASEBALL ANALOGY

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary looks like 'this shit is tiresome - can you give me the keys already?'

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Gabbneb OTM about what won N.H. for HRC. In 2004, when the youth anti-war vote was supposed to help Kerry win, Joe Scarborough -- watching people waiting to vote in line -- said, ''I dunno; looks like the same old voters to me.'' Not saying this will hold true in 2008, but don't count out the old, Baby Boomers vote yet.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary insults my intelligence. fuck you, hillary!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

Yes, but he was more also vocally anti-corporate in his concession speech tonight than he was after Iowa. I'm listening to NPR and Brian Lehrer just remarked on it as well. Hillary also included some corporate-bashing in her victory speech.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Edwards give a concession speech yet?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, he did.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Tom Petty rocks!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary pointing at imaginary friends in the audience

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Was it a good concession speech?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

As you said, the "found my voice" part was genius.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

so teatro

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Lesson: You don't want to be the ''inevitable nominee'' in the Democratic primary.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

OTM

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

wolfblitzen is a douche

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of like this quotation from Yglesias:

The TV coverage I've been watching has implied that New Hampshire is a crazy comeback surprise and Iowa is somehow the "real" result. I think they're wrong. Iowa is the anomaly, because of the bizarre public forum that is the Iowa caucus. You know why Hillary does worse in a caucus? Because women who are leaning Hillary go to the caucus with their husbands, and he says "Let's go for Obama" or "Let's go for Edwards" and she says "Well, all right then" because she doesn't want to spend the next hour sitting alone in the Hillary group. I've sat through a caucus. This is how it works.

Hindsight's always 20/20 and all that ...

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

how often are primaries this close? it's still 2 pts between them

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Yglesias is smart. Also, in a caucus -- where 2d choices are important -- I think the ''anti-HRC'' vote is magnified (unifies a lot of the anti-HRC vote).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews is all about a candidates looks (and machismo).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:35 (sixteen years ago) link

disliking edwards more than every

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link


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