Odyssey Dawn: a military operations in Libya thread.

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Lotus Eaters, beware:

http://media.giantbomb.com/uploads/0/2579/1666065-lunatic_dawn_odyssey_box_front_large.jpg

A new thread so that the "Civil unrest in Egypt in Egypt (& elsewhere in 'the region')" doesn't become unwieldy.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:10 (thirteen years ago) link

Fuck.

taco al pastorius (Steve Shasta), Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:32 (thirteen years ago) link

wonder what its like being a journalist in march 2011

puff puff post (uh oh I'm having a fantasy), Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:35 (thirteen years ago) link

Like having some job security for the time being?

Algae-Eating Bowlkeeper (kkvgz), Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:44 (thirteen years ago) link

good luck libya

call all destroyer, Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:45 (thirteen years ago) link

My girlfriend actually is a journalist, she's not getting a great deal of sleep at the moment; especially as she covers the IAEA in Vienna...

Stone Monkey, Saturday, 19 March 2011 21:58 (thirteen years ago) link

I guess deciding "what is news?" is always a question or whatever, but as someone who has never worked for a big news media conglomerate wig company or something, I wonder how they even decide what the fuck to do now. Obv this question comes with the caveat that these papers are not in japan or the middle east. This is probably for another thread too.

puff puff post (uh oh I'm having a fantasy), Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:08 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm pretty confident that most newspaper stories on these various events are drawn pretty extensively from wire services with stringers and reporters in the respective region.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:23 (thirteen years ago) link

Yeah, quick look shows that Chicago Tribune and LA Times are sharing the same headline story, for example.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:24 (thirteen years ago) link

SOMEWHAT US-CENTRIC thread title:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opération_Harmattan
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ellamy

"biggest asshole on ILX" (history mayne), Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:26 (thirteen years ago) link

Its more like how to determine how much space to give to everything, again, maybe this is a really stupid question

puff puff post (uh oh I'm having a fantasy), Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:26 (thirteen years ago) link

we're gonna lib'ya

buzza, Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:27 (thirteen years ago) link

More than 110 missiles have been fired by the UK and US, officials at the Pentagon say.
Each costs about $600,000 U.S.D.

Bargain!

not_goodwin, Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:57 (thirteen years ago) link

Sorry about the US centric title, the other operation names weren't public in the English speaking press at the time.

Meanwhile, from the France being France dossier:

Two senior Western diplomats said the Paris meeting, which was organized by Mr Sarkozy, may actually have delayed allied operations to stop Colonel Gaddafi's troops as they were approaching Benghazi. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to comment on the matter.

The initial French air sorties, which were not coordinated with other countries, angered some of the countries gathered at the summit meeting, according to a senior Nato-country diplomat. Information about the movement of Gaddafi troops toward Benghazi had been clear on Friday, but France blocked any Nato agreement on airstrikes until the Paris meeting, the diplomat said, suggesting that overflights could have begun Friday night before Mr Gaddafi's troops reached the city.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Saturday, 19 March 2011 22:58 (thirteen years ago) link

damn frogs

VegemiteGrrl, Saturday, 19 March 2011 23:18 (thirteen years ago) link

Fortunately there's nothing riding on my opinion of all this, so I can just be troubled and deeply ambivalent.

something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 20 March 2011 04:00 (thirteen years ago) link

Greenwald on what The Liar said about prez war-making powers as a candidate:

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2011/03/18/libya

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:27 (thirteen years ago) link

the west's attempts to install world capitalism are getting more and more surreal and desperate. the grasp, it is crumbling, and there will be missiles before there is free food

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:29 (thirteen years ago) link

lmao where did you c+p that from?

"biggest asshole on ILX" (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:31 (thirteen years ago) link

All US presidents, upon taking office, should receive a tattoo that reads, "Cruise missiles mean never having to say you're sorry."

I wish I knew what all these national leaders were really thinking when they decided to jump into this, because my hunch is that the calculation was only a bit more sophisticated than "nobody likes Ghadafi, so there's no real political cost for smacking him around if we all do it together".

Aimless, Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah they were also like 'let's install world capitalism'

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:41 (thirteen years ago) link

what they are always like

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:42 (thirteen years ago) link

presumably HM will still be carping on an ILE politics thread while we're all tending to the community rice-drive and reassigning living-space to accommodate everybody

about time libya had a debt crisis anyway

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:48 (thirteen years ago) link

"Our Violent Torpedos of Truth" would have been so much better than "Odyssey Dawn."

clemenza, Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:49 (thirteen years ago) link

presumably HM will still be carping on an ILE politics thread while we're all tending to the community rice-drive and reassigning living-space to accommodate everybody

about time libya had a debt crisis anyway

― WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, March 20, 2011 4:48 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark

yeah the libyan people seem really happy with the status quo. capitalism makes people so unhappy. don't really understand the first bit tbh.

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Cold feet:

The Arab League’s secretary general, Amr Moussa, has announced an emergency meeting of the grouping, saying that the current situation isn’t what Arabs had envisaged. “What is happening in Libya differs from the aim of imposing a no-fly zone, and what we want is the protection of civilians and not the bombardment of more civilians."

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:26 (thirteen years ago) link

the current situation isn’t what Arabs had envisaged

due diligence lacking here

Aimless, Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:29 (thirteen years ago) link

dont think these guys are bombing anyone (despite defence cutbacks)

http://static.ibnlive.com/pix/slideshow/03-2011/in-pics-libya/libya_unrest_coverpic1.jpg

Right after a meeting of world leaders over action on Libya, in Paris, French jets were seen flying over Libya.

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:34 (thirteen years ago) link

status quo is shit, oppressive etc like most/all modern top-down government but what is western capitalism if not opportunistic

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:35 (thirteen years ago) link

quite liked 'rockin' all over the world' myself

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:36 (thirteen years ago) link

status quo is shit, oppressive etc like most/all modern top-down government but what is western capitalism if not opportunistic

― WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, March 20, 2011 5:35 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark

when you think about it, top-down governments are all pretty much the same...

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:39 (thirteen years ago) link

lj my sympathies to some degree lie with you here but you gotta realize this is like arguing about manowar with algerian goalkeeper

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:41 (thirteen years ago) link

opinions will remain steadfast and you just look as the guy who continues arguing with algerian goalkeeper

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:42 (thirteen years ago) link

get on my level

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:42 (thirteen years ago) link

lol

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:42 (thirteen years ago) link

also 'world capitalism' is kind of a lol phrase tbh

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:44 (thirteen years ago) link

if the kids are united they'll never be divided

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

you do realize I have slept 3 hours since fucking 2 days ago, taken narcotics and units of alcohol into the tens in the meantime and am now writing 27 pages for someone's fucking management studies course

not that the man can't kiss my arse when I'm sober and rested

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:47 (thirteen years ago) link

everyone read david c korten's shit btw, he's the don

peace

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:48 (thirteen years ago) link

you need to meet a nice girl

Ismael Klata, Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:49 (thirteen years ago) link

will do in an hour when I wake her up

god when will this fucking project end, someone make a new board again, keep me entertained

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:52 (thirteen years ago) link

i'll go start 'i love status quo'

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

nah dogg you always be talking funny like this it seems. listen to a hoos

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:54 (thirteen years ago) link

suggest 'i love dongles' for the ilx IT crowd. would hold finite possibilities for lj, tho

Aimless, Sunday, 20 March 2011 17:55 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway the french are at it again

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12800635

there's a 'USS Barry'?

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:00 (thirteen years ago) link

and am now writing 27 pages for someone's fucking management studies course

ooh, someones's smashing capitalism

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:19 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway jokes but i'd probably a BIT more cautious with the neo-neo-con shtick if the objectively-pro-gafaffi crew weren't such stinkers or, like louis, incoherent

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:22 (thirteen years ago) link

judging from newsnight the other night stwc got literally tens of mutants out to their little do

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:25 (thirteen years ago) link

you do realize I have slept 3 hours since fucking 2 days ago, taken narcotics and units of alcohol into the tens in the meantime and am now writing 27 pages for someone's fucking management studies course

not that the man can't kiss my arse when I'm sober and rested

You are a terrible person who should probably stop using the Internet, fyi

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:29 (thirteen years ago) link

you do realize I have slept 3 hours since fucking 2 days ago, taken narcotics and units of alcohol into the tens in the meantime and am now writing 27 pages for someone's fucking management studies course

why would anyone have any reason to "realize" this

lowfat dry milquetoast (WmC), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:36 (thirteen years ago) link

his tumblr was pretty explicit

Kerm, Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:38 (thirteen years ago) link

he's also eaten a mess of peppercorns

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:41 (thirteen years ago) link

#jaggerblood

Kerm, Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:41 (thirteen years ago) link

omg lol

VegemiteGrrl, Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:41 (thirteen years ago) link

milo z you are such a hardass and I am in no way pro-gadaffi

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:42 (thirteen years ago) link

his tumblr was pretty explicit

― Kerm, Sunday, March 20, 2011 1:38 PM (3 minutes ago)

ah, the extra nugget that presumes a degree of gives-a-shit...it's always in there somewhere, like the baby in the king cake

lowfat dry milquetoast (WmC), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:43 (thirteen years ago) link

I am in no way pro-gadaffi

― WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, March 20, 2011 6:42 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

'objectively' boo

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:44 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway, when ppl insult others they're just mirroring insecurities they have about themselves, so I'll assure milo he's cool to keep posting by me although maybe lay off the 'god my ex is such an alcoholic slut/prise it out of my cold dead hands' posturing

WmC your inability to detect my swagalicious register is upsetting

wish I had more time to post about resource-based economies and holistic universe-energy shit, just gonna say that empirical paradigms and debt economies suck and leave it at that

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:47 (thirteen years ago) link

wish I had more time to post about resource-based economies and holistic universe-energy shit, just gonna say that empirical paradigms and debt economies suck and leave it at that

― WD-40 (acoleuthic), Sunday, March 20, 2011 6:47 PM (22 seconds ago) Bookmark

right... ok. so, about libya.

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 18:49 (thirteen years ago) link

there's a 'USS Barry'?

never gets up to full speed and very slow on the turn

utterfilth (whatever), Sunday, 20 March 2011 19:14 (thirteen years ago) link

Doesn't request authorization from Congressional leaders on deck getting sun tans.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 19:18 (thirteen years ago) link

lol greenwald never change:

How, then, can Obama's campaign position possibly be reconciled with his ordering military action in Libya without Congressional approval (something, it should be said, he has not yet done)?

difficult listening hour, Sunday, 20 March 2011 19:57 (thirteen years ago) link

seems like the western allies here are making a fairly conventional gamble - assist with the toppling of the current regime and the subsequent regime will be beholden to us/more likely to act in our interests. this has worked out pretty reliably in the past. real question is how long will it take to knock of Qawdawfi

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:01 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm pretty sure that, as president, it's "no way imma wait for those dithering fuckwads to approve this!"

Aimless, Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:02 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway jokes but i'd probably a BIT more cautious with the neo-neo-con shtick if the objectively-pro-gafaffi crew weren't such stinkers or, like louis, incoherent

Pretty much how I feel. Most of the people I'm reading or talking to who are in favour of intervention are cautious, conflicted and took a while to weigh up the options - most of those against are "It's all about oil, Milosevic was a sweetheart, blah". A generalisation maybe but I at least I can be sure of one thing: Neil Clark is a joke.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:15 (thirteen years ago) link

was kinda hoping for a 'uss dave' or a 'uss terry' or something

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:22 (thirteen years ago) link

why does the USS Barry weigh so much?
its full of options!

Threadkiller General (Viceroy), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:24 (thirteen years ago) link

that's my mark russell style political zing of the week.

Threadkiller General (Viceroy), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Louis, I have made terrible sexing decisions in the past indeed. But I can make better decisions in the future - you will always be a terrible person who gives leftists a bad name.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:39 (thirteen years ago) link

took a while to weigh up the options

This didn't seem to be the case with France or UK govs? They seemed pretty keen.

a lot is my favorite number (Ned Trifle II), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:43 (thirteen years ago) link

well, you know what the french are like, always spoiling for a fight

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Esp. when they've behind the National Front in the polls.

a lot is my favorite number (Ned Trifle II), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Not sure that getting sucked into a potentially messy war in the Middle East is a sure-fire poll-rating booster.

It's interesting - there doesn't look like there's much prospect of Gaddafi being removed any time soon. In the medium term, at least, all those British, French and American corporate interests (oil, guns, etc) are going to be hugely disadvantaged.

Ha ha ha ha. Jack my swag. (ShariVari), Sunday, 20 March 2011 21:02 (thirteen years ago) link

looks like someone just blew up his house

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 21:12 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost I haven't come across anyone who's put the pro-intervention case in the same kneejerk terms as some of the antis. This is costly, risky and will very quickly become unpopular if it goes wrong - the idea that this is an easy way to a fast buck or a poll boost is idiotic, as is the idea that this is just Iraq redux.

Been reading Andrew Rawnsley's account of New Labour, with a big detailed chunk on Iraq, which has reminded me that you can make dumb foreign policy decisions (and lie to justify them) for moral reasons. It's a misunderstanding of Blair's ego and moral zealotry to say that it was all about oil and business interests. It also shows how close Britain came to not going to war, and all the different personalities, calculations, decisions and mistakes that led to it - another thing that tends to get left out of the Pilger/Neil Clark/etc view that all wars are part of the same imperialist masterplan.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Sunday, 20 March 2011 21:12 (thirteen years ago) link

xp: Gaddafi was buying his weapons from the Russians and the major oil producers were Italy's ENI, France's Total and China's CNPC. The U.S. and Britain had rather little economic interest here.

I do like how the Chinese and Russians abstained from vetoing another engagement that will divert U.S. attention away from Europe and East Asia. Someone read their Machiavelli/Sun Tzu.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Sunday, 20 March 2011 21:39 (thirteen years ago) link

This is costly, risky and will very quickly become unpopular if it goes wrong - the idea that this is an easy way to a fast buck or a poll boost is idiotic, as is the idea that this is just Iraq redux.

Exactly...which is why I've decided not to have an opinion.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 22:58 (thirteen years ago) link

I think people are being hard on the antis here. Implying that those who oppose the strikes are somehow 'pro-Gaddafi' is beneath everyone here. I happen to favour the intervention, but it's probably the first military action in my lifetime that I have been in favour of. "It's all about oil, Milosevic was a sweetheart, blah" is a disgusting characterisation of the opposition. One thing that surprised me this weekend is that I am yet to meet a serviceman/woman who supports this action.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:11 (thirteen years ago) link

Don't talk to history mayne though, for whom any kind of hesitation is "objectively" pro-Qaddafi.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:13 (thirteen years ago) link

"It's all about oil, Milosevic was a sweetheart, blah" is a disgusting characterisation of the opposition

no it isnt

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:17 (thirteen years ago) link

Yes it is.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:18 (thirteen years ago) link

no it isnt

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Cool! I'm so happy it's 2003 again!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:19 (thirteen years ago) link

lol

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:19 (thirteen years ago) link

you can be george galloway

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:21 (thirteen years ago) link

we still need someone with brains

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:23 (thirteen years ago) link

let's make lots of money

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:23 (thirteen years ago) link

Of course, Galloway was (along with a large and varied section of society) right about Iraq...

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:26 (thirteen years ago) link

(in the binary 'good/bad idea' sense.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:27 (thirteen years ago) link

He was right for the wrong reasons -- he was a Saddam quisling.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:27 (thirteen years ago) link

That's kind of the point - people oppose or support something for a wide variety of reasons. It's not just a handful of fellow posters who are capable of nuanced thought, or complex motives.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:30 (thirteen years ago) link

all im hearing from the anti crowd is wide variety of bad reasons tbf

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:34 (thirteen years ago) link

Andrew Sullivan is screaming about We're At War, and he's technically wrong, but I'm not in the wait-and-see mode: the odds are Obama won't go to seek authorization for this as he is constitutionally bound to.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:38 (thirteen years ago) link

(x-post) I get that, and I have no doubt that there are loads of terrible SWP types trotting (see?) out the same nonsense. It's an interesting experience to be on the 'pro' side - I opposed and protested action in Kosovo, Afghanistan and Iraq. Anyway, grumpy guts, we'll see what tomorrow brings, I guess.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:40 (thirteen years ago) link

slim pickens riding a bomb i hope

Romford Spring (DG), Sunday, 20 March 2011 23:43 (thirteen years ago) link

On balance, I’m anti because
a)It westernises a region-wide revolution, making said revolution less likely to succeed in the long term
b)Americans etc yet again bombing an Arab country, how can this turn out well
c)Unless the West gets lucky with a direct hit on Gaddafi it’s going to be a protracted affair anyway - a months-long or years-long civil war is probably unavoidable, western bombs or no

ps I was in favour of the Kosovo intervention and don’t think Milosevic was a sweetheart. Kosovo was about as good as it gets for this kind of intervention, and more than a decade on the situation there is still highly unstable, held together by UN troops etc.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Also, why are we doing nothing, zilch, nada to help Bahrain protesters and yet we are prepared to bomb Libya, i.e, it is actually about Western interests

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:08 (thirteen years ago) link

fucking hell you illiterates "objectively pro-" is a pretty well established rhetorical device read a book

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:08 (thirteen years ago) link

Adverbs are silly.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:11 (thirteen years ago) link

Also, why are we doing nothing, zilch, nada to help Bahrain protesters and yet we are prepared to bomb Libya

because it's easier to justify intervention when the country has already descended into near civil war, than when the government is still in full control?

ledge, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:14 (thirteen years ago) link

"the eggs are already broken, we're just doing a bit of whisking" vs "let's start breakin' some eggs!". as it were.

ledge, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:16 (thirteen years ago) link

because Qaddaffi is much more easily made into a target, and easier to topple.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:17 (thirteen years ago) link

Er, dowd, I made pretty clear my "disgusting" characterisation was a qualified generalisation and that it obviously doesn't apply to every anti but a lot of the loudest voices (in the wider debate rather than itt) appear to be on anti-war autopilot, recycling the same criticisms from conflict to conflict. The Milosevic apologists disgust me but of course I'm not saying that's everyone.

I was pro Kosovo, anti Iraq, conflicted about Afghanistan and slow to be pro this time for pretty much exactly the reasons Zelda gives but persuaded by the Arab League request, UN consensus and increasing bloodshed.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Also, why are we doing nothing, zilch, nada to help Bahrain protesters and yet we are prepared to bomb Libya

this argument is an honoured guest and we can hardly refuse him entry after so many visits, but it always sounds to me like a maverick, mccain-esque 'let's bomb saudi arabia' warcry rather than what i guess it's meant to say, which is something like 'we're bombing libya for its oil that we already get'.

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:21 (thirteen years ago) link

a)It westernises a region-wide revolution, making said revolution less likely to succeed in the long term

not wild about this argument: most people would rather the libyans had been able to succeed in the short term, but they didn't, and now they're asking for help. well, some of them are -- i wish we knew more about all that. i'm not crazy about western/non-western as a way of looking at anything: gadaffi's libya is pretty westernized already by being a soviet client, part of opec, etc., and the protesters/revolutionaries seem to want freedoms-that-are-called-western. i think people put too much stress on authenticity, tradition, etc. those things are very resonant fictions, no doubt, but they are fictions.

b)Americans etc yet again bombing an Arab country, how can this turn out well

again, it's not ideal. but 'dictator loosing his army upon rebellious population' can't turn out well either.

c)Unless the West gets lucky with a direct hit on Gaddafi it’s going to be a protracted affair anyway - a months-long or years-long civil war is probably unavoidable, western bombs or no

i don't know enough about the logistics. feel like his army won't want to keep going on forever even if he does.

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:28 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost
I'm not suggesting we bomb Saudi, Bahrain, or anyone. The Saudis have basically occupied Bahrain and suppressed the revolt with only the mildest protestations from the U.S. and yet bombs are being dropped on Libya. That sits poorly with the argument that the Libyan intervention is simply a humanitarian matter.

gadaffi's libya is pretty westernized already by being a soviet client, part of opec, etc., and the protesters/revolutionaries seem to want freedoms-that-are-called-western. i think people put too much stress on authenticity, tradition, etc. those things are very resonant fictions, no doubt, but they are fictions.

If a fiction is very resonant, then it's best to pay attention to it. An uprising completely unaided by the Americans is going to be harder to argue against than one that only succeeded with American help, which historically has fatally weakened such uprisings.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:52 (thirteen years ago) link

hey i haven't been paying tons of attention but uh it didn't really look like the uprising was going to succeed?

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 00:54 (thirteen years ago) link

the unaided uprising foundered and asked for support

we could trade historical examples on whether that means it's doomed; you might be right, i don't know, but there isn't, unfortunately, a choice between a UN-supported successful rebellion and a successful unaided one

xpost

I *\m/* metal soooo much (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 00:57 (thirteen years ago) link

20th anniversary

Early on April 15, 2006 – to mark the 20th anniversary of the bombing raid – a concert involving U.S. singer Lionel Richie and Spanish tenor José Carreras was held in front of Gaddafi's bombed house in Tripoli. Diplomats, businessmen and politicians were among the audience of what Libya dubbed the "concert for peace". The BBC reported Lionel Richie as telling the audience, regarding Gaddafi's supposed adopted daughter, "Hanna will be honored tonight because of the fact that you've attached peace to her name."

omar little, Monday, 21 March 2011 01:08 (thirteen years ago) link

ready to hate Richie for using "the fact that" for no reason tbh

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 01:09 (thirteen years ago) link

Libya is probably in for a long period of violence and instability with or without Western bombs. Yes, the unaided uprising asked for support, it's very, very difficult. Similar arguments were no doubt being played out 10 years ago wrt Afghanistan which, to begin with, was a bombing campaign to help the anti-Taliban forces. I don't know. On balance I'm against this intervention, but I guess it's a fine balance.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 21 March 2011 01:13 (thirteen years ago) link

Louis, I have made terrible sexing decisions in the past indeed. But I can make better decisions in the future - you will always be a terrible person who gives leftists a bad name.

― boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Sunday, 20 March 2011 20:39 (Yesterday)

can you explain this please? when it's proved wrong I hope you are there to witness it. also be mindful that you're projecting

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 01:41 (thirteen years ago) link

ShababLibya LibyanYouthMovement
BREAKING: It has been confirmed by a few sources and now also Al Manara, Khamis Gaddafi has died today, as a result of burns #Libya #Feb17
1 hour ago

ice cr?m, Monday, 21 March 2011 01:46 (thirteen years ago) link

since when did louis become a psychologist

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 01:47 (thirteen years ago) link

when people started saying really, really needless and hurtful stuff at me despite my reduced posting volume and efforts to be inclusive. it's like what is there to still hang onto? oh wait it's because I do politics wrong, or at least frame my terms with a cartoonish abandon (n.b. this won't happen when I come to write about this stuff in a more serious and scholarly register). well sorry you live in a country where two states have just imposed fascist 'emergency' sanctions which enable elected officials to be fired on a whim. please understand that a traditionally 'far-left' but overwhelmingly holistic, naturalistic and humanistic political ideology is rapidly gaining traction around the world, and that its manifestation will occur through popular consent and not violent revolution. it is not an idiocy to claim that the capitalist paradigm is showing more cracks by the year, and that the indefinite pursuit of increased revenues is unleashing a truly fucked set of values on the world's people, which they are increasingly choosing to reject.

so when the corporate powers of state unleash lots and lots of missiles, I have to set myself firmly against the action, because it is another regrettable example of intimidation and thus mediation of superiority. no set of humans are superior; we must work together, not have some of us dandle entire countries as playthings in order to leverage positive influence among an area which we've fucked up morally and physically almost beyond repair

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 01:59 (thirteen years ago) link

friendly, slightly assholish reminder: if you don't engage with that and continue to insist that I'm a terrible person who will 'give leftists a bad name' all of my life (a bad name among whom?) then you really will be projecting. if you engage with it and still insist that I'm a terrible person, c'est la vie, we haven't synchronized our perspectives yet. it'll come.

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Louis, I agree you've shown a lot more posting restraint the last couple of months, and I regret sniping at you. My apologies. I'll never be able to relate to your hyperbolic style, but it's my job to get over it, not yours.

lowfat dry milquetoast (WmC), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:05 (thirteen years ago) link

Thanks, dude. There are some topics where I'm more liable to play the fool and ramp up the manic pixie quotient - completely baffling airstrikes by NATO are pretty high on that list

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:12 (thirteen years ago) link

also can I gently suggest getting a good night's sleep will help this whole conversation, LJ...

VegemiteGrrl, Monday, 21 March 2011 02:22 (thirteen years ago) link

i feel like generally speaking if being tired or drunk turns you into a raging asshole, you prob should know this & not post under such circumstances

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:23 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway, this seems level headed and considered http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2011/03/at_the_end_of_last.php

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:23 (thirteen years ago) link

feel like that article outlines a lot of the reasons why this is bad but god damn do i hate the alternative.

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 02:28 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah I'm with that. On principles I think this is terrible and am against it, in the real world equation it's more of a tossup. Too early to begin following the money but I really can't figure out what US/EU interests are here beyond saving a little humanitarian face - unless they're rolling the dice to try and get a more amenable spigot-warden as Tracer said on the other thread.

sleeve, Monday, 21 March 2011 02:38 (thirteen years ago) link

this is all really pretty bizarre, out of all the barking mad dictators still in control i figured gaddafi would be the last one standing and the only one w/a grudging level of acceptance by the UN.

omar little, Monday, 21 March 2011 02:40 (thirteen years ago) link

FASCISM is comin' back!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:51 (thirteen years ago) link

careful soto, round here we save humanitarian face with airstrikes!

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 02:53 (thirteen years ago) link

life's a bitch

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 03:00 (thirteen years ago) link

dont know why so many of you have opinions about this, seems a lot easier to sit back and form an opinion later after its clear whos right

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 03:07 (thirteen years ago) link

The ironic thing is that Qaddafi is the ultimate "wrong," and yet he appears to be in the strongest position (from a maniacal despot standpoint, but still - he and Mugabe can hi-five).

Amazing how waiting/dithering/delaying/postponing the no-fly zone a mere week may have made all the difference between this being a good idea and a bad idea. History hurtling forward.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 03:10 (thirteen years ago) link

so when the corporate powers of state unleash lots and lots of missiles, I have to set myself firmly against the action, because it is another regrettable example of intimidation

This is why you're give leftism a bad name, btw. An inability to assess situations on their own merits, rather than through a rigid ideology.

I am terribly ambivalent about US military interventionism in all its forms (including Libya) - but responses such as this are just as useless as kneejerk western nationalism, and despite your claims otherwise, do amount to support for scum like Qaddafi because he is the opposition you support. I'll take my leftism in the "the only good fascist is a dead fascist" vein, thanks.

well sorry you live in a country where two states have just imposed fascist 'emergency' sanctions which enable elected officials to be fired on a whim.

And these cheap attempts are what make you a terrible person. You're essentially a hypocrite when it comes to attacking the US vs. other states. Every American posting to ILX opposes what the far right is doing to our state.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Monday, 21 March 2011 03:12 (thirteen years ago) link

shoulda been called delta dawn because awesome theme song already exists

buzza, Monday, 21 March 2011 03:19 (thirteen years ago) link

xp

You can call him insensitive, unfair, passive-aggressive, wrong, or whatever, but you don't have to call him a terrible person. It's really not hard to stay on lj's good side because he genuinely wants to do the right thing. And I know "the road to hell is paved with good intentions," but lj is so harmless, even when he's supposedly being a dick, that I find it hard to believe that people take what he says personally.

bamcquern, Monday, 21 March 2011 03:23 (thirteen years ago) link

^^^^

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Monday, 21 March 2011 04:02 (thirteen years ago) link

out of all the barking mad dictators still in control i figured gaddafi would be the last one standing

He kind of is, though, isn't he? Is there any world leader who has been around as long as him? It blows my mind that when he first became leader, the Beatles hadn't broken up yet.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 21 March 2011 04:02 (thirteen years ago) link

Kinda amazing story (edited from Libya 17 Feb blog:

15 March:

20:03 BREAKING – Almanara Media confirms the following: Shooting and explosions have happened in Baab Al Aziziyah (a military barracks/compound with the Gaddafi family compund in Tripoli). A big fire has erupted inside Baab Al Aziziyah

16 March:

00:33 @ShababLibya tweet: The Pilot who flew his jet into Bab Azizia was the martyr Muhammad Mokhtar Osman from Benghazi. May God have mercy on your soul dear brother, your sacrifice has not gone in vain and we will continue with this till our country is free.

01:14 Almanara Media reports that two people of “importance” have been badly injured as a result of the fighter jet crash into Baab Al Aziziyah earlier and have been taken to Tripoli’s Burns and Reconstruction hospital.

23:16 Update: A trusted source has confirmed to us this story: The pilot who flew his plane into Baab Al Aziziyah took off as part of a 2 plane team with the mission of bombing strategic points in Al Guradibya base in Sirte. Their orders were to return immedietly after completing the mission. One pilot followed orders while the other flew to Tripoli where he emptied what he had left of ammunition on Baab Al Aziziyah and then crashed his plane into it.

21 March:

2:13 Almanara Media is confirming from trusted sources that Khamis Al Gaddafi has passed away on Sunday due to severe burn injuries he sustained a few days ago. The burns were caused when a fighter jet pilot performed a martyr mission and crashed his fighter jet into Gaddafi’s compound Baab Al Aziziyah.

The brigade commanded by Khamis Al Gaddafi was the spearpoint for pro-Gaddafi forces in the East, retaking Azzawiya and Zwara, and presently investing Musurata.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 04:20 (thirteen years ago) link

whoa

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 04:22 (thirteen years ago) link

Er, that should be in the West rather than East.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 04:22 (thirteen years ago) link

3/16 Never Forget?

Elegant Bitch (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 21 March 2011 04:26 (thirteen years ago) link

This is why you're give leftism a bad name, btw. An inability to assess situations on their own merits, rather than through a rigid ideology.

I am terribly ambivalent about US military interventionism in all its forms (including Libya) - but responses such as this are just as useless as kneejerk western nationalism, and despite your claims otherwise, do amount to support for scum like Qaddafi because he is the opposition you support. I'll take my leftism in the "the only good fascist is a dead fascist" vein, thanks.

I've assessed plenty of situations on their own merits, and I'm increasingly finding the need for a different paradigm of good actions vs bad actions. Good actions are no longer actions which militaristically depose unwanted state organs, even if the deposition is efficient and permanent. The very presence of an all-powerful interventionist military is in itself a bad action, because it perpetuates the elitist slide of resources, power and influence towards the few. Are they bombing Libya for the people? Organized campaigns of state bombing are never for the people. If the USA or the UK had an iota of compassion towards the people oppressed by Gaddafi, they'd have already used their vast wealth to organize free food, shelter and education for every Libyan. But they can't even do that for their own people, so why say it any other way than with bombs? Sure, the bombs may oust Gaddafi and sure, the people may get a more generous individual in charge. There will still be massive poverty problems and sentiments of hatred stirred by the military climate installed not only by Gaddafi but by the countries teaching Libya that international diplomacy is not a matter of engaging on a human level and helping the people, but a matter of killing humans and destroying buildings. So while of course there are nuances to this intervention and while the intentions might not be entirely greedy, the medium of the message is completely fucked. If you're so blind to it that you can't see any other way of conducting an improvement in Libya, then your version of leftism isn't the one I see growing and growing in every nation on this planet. You're stuck in a militaristic 20th century leftist paradigm; you need to realize that the different left factions need to pull together not as a movement but as a holistic way of life, supporting each other away from a crippling debt-based financial system which makes money for money's sake. It may be a cliche but we really need to concentrate on imagining the world without borders, and any military action taken upon any part of the world as a dagger to our own breast. A situation where I really do feel ambiguities, for instance, is a state-organized profit-making charitable aid initiative, for instance, or a crackdown upon religious extremism (which only ever comes from there being a corresponding extremism elsewhere). I need to read more about Buddhism and energy and stuff which a hard-nosed militaristic Western corporate capitalist paradigm doesn't think exists along with happiness, meaning or equality, but these are my current thoughts about the notion that the role of certain countries is to dominate over others with the force of arms. We need to get away from short-termist, goal-oriented analyses of success and realize that the bad action here is playing Gaddafi at his own adversarial game. I don't support his actions at all, btw; I support his individual humanity and deplore how he has abused it by seeking despotic power. But he is not the only oppressive element at play here. He's just oppressing a people who have to represent themselves in the world media. Youtube is a wonderful thing. The only good fascist, of course, is one who has discovered that their principles are not making them or their community happy or fulfilled; the abandonment of such principles will require a revolution of the mind, but killing people for their beliefs? You're the fascist. As I said before, to oppose rather than to show compassion is to mirror.

And these cheap attempts are what make you a terrible person. You're essentially a hypocrite when it comes to attacking the US vs. other states. Every American posting to ILX opposes what the far right is doing to our state.

I said that partially to explain why you might be so gung-ho at the moment (hell if I lived in either of those two states I'd be on the streets every day) and also to show you that Gaddafi is not the only person inflicting unspeakable things on his people; in fact, those bombing him are doing similar. Do you think a quarter of Libya's black male population are in jail? Does illegalization of drugs make any moral sense whatsoever or is it a clumsy means of population control? I make these points because while ILX's Americans rightfully despair at much of the shit occurring in their country, they don't all get so worked up when America takes it overseas and exercises its responsibility. The UK and in fact every developed country is perpetuating horrible, horrible things upon the world (ever read the UK politics thread?). America is just where most of the big corporations and the debt happen to be, so it's got a lot of my attention. I don't think that's unfair. In order to make the world an equal place, America has a lot to front up to, and a lot to give. Nothing personal against you as a citizen of the world but you rather jumped on Washington's dick there for a second.

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 05:35 (thirteen years ago) link

make these points because while ILX's Americans rightfully despair at much of the shit occurring in their country, they don't all get so worked up when America takes it overseas and exercises its responsibility.

what????

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 05:51 (thirteen years ago) link

louis you are now officially talking out of your ass with this

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 05:52 (thirteen years ago) link

I must have imagined all those demonstrations I was at.

sleeve, Monday, 21 March 2011 05:53 (thirteen years ago) link

"the protest i was at yesterday did not exist"

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 05:55 (thirteen years ago) link

should have put 'responsibility' in scare quotes, or not because scare quotes are rubbish

what I'm saying is that it's easy to complain about the latest hot domestic issue of the day, but harder to complain about ongoing evils perpetuated by the state organ of the country in which one lives, especially when they exist in a hazy, shady routine of just-so acceptance

sleeve, I'm saying that there is some opposition, but it's on a case-by-case basis, and a lot of stuff is overlooked! plus, clearly some people do regularly oppose Western interventionism

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 05:56 (thirteen years ago) link

what I'm saying is that it's easy to complain about the latest hot domestic issue of the day, but harder to complain about ongoing evils perpetuated by the state organ of the country in which one lives, especially when they exist in a hazy, shady routine of just-so acceptance

the thing is, the stereotype of the American left is that the opposite is true. Like back in the 90s, we joked about how everyone wanted to Free Tibet, but nobody really gave a shit about the fucked up domestic situation.

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 05:57 (thirteen years ago) link

louis you are now officially talking out of your ass with this

― HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, March 21, 2011 1:52 AM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

for context, this is coming from someone who once bombed shopping malls in his free time

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 05:58 (thirteen years ago) link

granted i kind of gave up on louis' post, but the solution to the libyan problem is for the us & the uk to buy everyone a house & set up schools for them to get a good education?

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:00 (thirteen years ago) link

Hoos bombed a shopping mall???

ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Why isn't he in federal prison

ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:01 (thirteen years ago) link

louis is kind of a big new age hippie huh

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:01 (thirteen years ago) link

really not trying to be a dick, but that post is utterly insane

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:01 (thirteen years ago) link

harder to complain about ongoing evils perpetuated by the state organ of the country in which one lives, especially when they exist in a hazy, shady routine of just-so acceptance

it is actually not harder to complain. you might be marginalized by doing so in the media, because that's the nature of the discourse in this country, but it's just as easy to speak out, and among vast swathes of the american populace in different kinds of language it happens often

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:02 (thirteen years ago) link

that seems to be the core of your beef with the american left such as it is, and it's flat out wrong.

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:02 (thirteen years ago) link

i guess insane is the wrong word, but something like that

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:02 (thirteen years ago) link

lj it's more like the opposition is just straight up ignored but we do it anyway because what the hell else can you do except die or go to jail.

seriously dude I am probably fairly close to you in terms of analysis but you are still looking around for institutions to point fingers at, when imo the real problem (to paraphrase Octavia Butler) is that we as a species have been cursed with both intelligence and hardwired hierarchical behavior.

anyway, props to the suicide fighter pilot.

sleeve, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:02 (thirteen years ago) link

but we're not talking about libya. let's talk about libya.

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:02 (thirteen years ago) link

can we not use the phrase "state organ" cuz i want to stop thinking about the US with a dangling penis

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:03 (thirteen years ago) link

florida imo

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:04 (thirteen years ago) link

it has one, it's called 'florida'

xp dammit

An adult guest rapper (donna rouge), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:04 (thirteen years ago) link

haha NICE JOB BRINGING THE TOPIC BACK TO LIBYA HOOS

sleeve, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:05 (thirteen years ago) link

texas is this country's balls amirite

omar little, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:05 (thirteen years ago) link

HOOS, I don't have beef with the American left; I know it exists and that it does a hell of a lot of good work! I know my Jacque Fresco from my David Korten etc etc etc and that you, sleeve and many others on ILX stand up to this shit. But there are also plenty of people who only take it halfway. Anyway, this is all distracting from my main point, which is that armed coercion is evil.

Hardwired hierarchical behavior? That's being evolved out of us as I type.

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:10 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah get back to me on that in a decade or so

sleeve, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:16 (thirteen years ago) link

my main point, which is that armed coercion is evil.

that's succinct, at least, though I disagree.

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:19 (thirteen years ago) link

"I make these points because while ILX's Americans rightfully despair at much of the shit occurring in their country, they don't all get so worked up when America takes it overseas and exercises its responsibility"

^^^gonna concede that this was muddled - but the rest I stand by

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:36 (thirteen years ago) link

as ever, ILX pounces on the one muddled line and ignores the rest

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:37 (thirteen years ago) link

youtube is p wonderful, i agree

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:37 (thirteen years ago) link

fwiw i thought this line was pretty muddled too

If the USA or the UK had an iota of compassion towards the people oppressed by Gaddafi, they'd have already used their vast wealth to organize free food, shelter and education for every Libyan.

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:38 (thirteen years ago) link

right, because everyone in the USA is adequately educated, housed and fed!

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:39 (thirteen years ago) link

read the very next sentence sarahel

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:40 (thirteen years ago) link

But they can't even do that for their own people, so why say it any other way than with bombs?

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:40 (thirteen years ago) link

not that that, uh, clears anything up

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:40 (thirteen years ago) link

as ever, ILX pounces on the one muddled line and ignores the rest

― WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, March 21, 2011 6:37 AM (36 seconds ago) Bookmark

ideas

-some people are ignoring the rest because they think it is absurd and aren't going to bother arguing with someone they see as so far off the deep end

-some people are ignoring the rest because they agree with you and are only focusing on the portion that seems to form a large part of the point you were making before you decided to dissemble it into 'military force is bad'

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:40 (thirteen years ago) link

i have work in the morning. i'm going to bed. good night all.

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:42 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway louis it should be obvious to you or to anyone that pays attention to world affairs that "buy everyone in the middle east a reasonable house and provide them with good schooling" and "bomb the shit out of them for no reason" is not an either/or binary -- in iraq we've failed for many, many reasons but you could probably boil it down succinctly to the fact that we've operated too far towards the latter pole

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:44 (thirteen years ago) link

ok, let me break this down

- I made the point that America conjures institutionally oppressive and ongoing situations both domestically and overseas. These are not flashpoints so much as a status quo.

- I then made the point that while many people, not all present but many people, are up in arms about individual policies or moments of intervention, they are not so quick to rail against the system and its ongoing ills, especially when they form the fabric of capitalist logic.

- Military force is only useful for repelling other military force; it is a self-creating paradigm with dreadful human collateral and it is the world fucking itself over.

this is necessarily polarized but it's the principle, dammit

WD-40 (acoleuthic), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:48 (thirteen years ago) link

yes but the problem is that principles very rarely equal solutions

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:51 (thirteen years ago) link

- I then made the point that while many people, not all present but many people, are up in arms about individual policies or moments of intervention, they are not so quick to rail against the system and its ongoing ills, especially when they form the fabric of capitalist logic.

lots of people I know rail against the system and its ongoing ills vis a vis the "fabric of capitalist logic" - and they often use it as an excuse to avoid dealing with difficult issues and decisions about individual policies and moments of intervention.

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:52 (thirteen years ago) link

they are not so quick to rail against the system and its ongoing ills, especially when they form the fabric of capitalist logic.

this is also kind of 'hi, welcome to activism, nice to have you'

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:54 (thirteen years ago) link

lol!

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:54 (thirteen years ago) link

the fabric of capitalist logic i inhale it

blingee cummings (J0rdan S.), Monday, 21 March 2011 06:55 (thirteen years ago) link

does it smell fresh?

sarahel, Monday, 21 March 2011 06:56 (thirteen years ago) link

the idea that this is an easy way to a fast buck or a poll boost is idiotic

I may be idiotic but I didn't say it was an easy way. I don't think this is the reason Sarko's doing it, but he's a politician facing electoral defeats, it's not like it won't have crossed his mind.

Ned Trifle (Notinmyname), Monday, 21 March 2011 12:20 (thirteen years ago) link

That and wanting to make up for being totally on the wrong side of everything with the Tunisia uprising

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 12:22 (thirteen years ago) link

(and with, like, Tunisia in general for the last 100 years)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 12:23 (thirteen years ago) link

I think I continue to miss whether this operation has a stated goal aside from the vague "no-fly zone." Is the idea that by taking out Qaddafi's heavy weapons and planes that the rebels can then regroup and conceivably take out Qaddafi themselves (even though we/the UN has explicitly stated that taking out Qaddafi is not the goal)? What do we want to the rebels to gain, survival or victory?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 12:57 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost to Notinmyname, I wasn't trying to insult anyone itt or pretend that cynical motives aren't part of the whole mix. My posts come from cutting between ILX and some of the more aggravating nonsense on Guardian comment threads. I'm not in the business of calling anyone on ILX idiotic, especially not in such a complicated situation.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 21 March 2011 12:59 (thirteen years ago) link

I think I continue to miss whether this operation has a stated goal aside from the vague "no-fly zone." Is the idea that by taking out Qaddafi's heavy weapons and planes that the rebels can then regroup and conceivably take out Qaddafi themselves (even though we/the UN has explicitly stated that taking out Qaddafi is not the goal)? What do we want to the rebels to gain, survival or victory?

― Josh in Chicago, Monday, March 21, 2011 12:57 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark

i agree there is too much vagueness, and the TPM blogpost j0rdan linked to had things i agreed with too, on the question of momentum. the turnaround in US opinion hasn't been adequately been explained. meanwhile, the attacks seem to be exceeding what was mandated. there's a lot to worry about.

on the french thing: genuine question: is the french public in favour of doing this, to the extent it would help sarko in the election? i thought the french were generally solidly against war.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:03 (thirteen years ago) link

Can we start this thread again with all the Louis/ History Mayne shite taken out?

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:04 (thirteen years ago) link

An American general on the news last night (it was unclear if he was was retired or not) was very frank that this was about removing Gaddafi, and that the military operations have already gone far beyond establishing a no-fly zone i.e. missile strikes have been hitting convoys, tanks, etc. And he said the "rhetoric" of the Arab League that "we cannot stand idly by" when a leader targets his own people was obviously laughable since that is what half of them are currently doing, i.e. the AL sees this as a way to get rid of a loose cannon that none of them like. How this squares with yesterday's statements from the AL to the effect of "whoa, whoa, we thought we were supporting a no-fly zone, not a full-scale NATO assault" I don't know.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:04 (thirteen years ago) link

... not specifically what Louis/HM posted themselves (xp)

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:05 (thirteen years ago) link

Basically it seems like the idea is to reduce Gaddafi's heavy weapons just to the point where the rebels can win "by themselves".

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:10 (thirteen years ago) link

i thought the french were generally solidly against war.

What, in general? Haven't seen any polls in the UK about this intervention, but getting the distinct impression the GBP are not thrilled about it.

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:14 (thirteen years ago) link

I think the french are in favour of not having lots of brown people turning up on the south coast claiming asylum and a family in Clichy-sous-Bois.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:19 (thirteen years ago) link

:(

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:33 (thirteen years ago) link

lol oh yeah

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:34 (thirteen years ago) link

See also: Sarkozy having to fight an election against Marine Le Penn next year.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:35 (thirteen years ago) link

the lack of clarity among the brits is already apparent... meanwhile, has her majesty's opposition ventured an opinion?

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:36 (thirteen years ago) link

i mean sure we need a six month policy review before really taking sides but -- a preliminary view perhaps?

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:37 (thirteen years ago) link

For the intervention but reserving the right to carp impotently (xp)

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:38 (thirteen years ago) link

Lol I've managed to not realise this was happening until now. Kudos to all involved.

tending tropics (jim in glasgow), Monday, 21 March 2011 13:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Official: U.K. Subs Fired at Tripoli Compound

But will they give back their performance fees?

kkvgz, Monday, 21 March 2011 13:47 (thirteen years ago) link

How this squares with yesterday's statements from the AL to the effect of "whoa, whoa, we thought we were supporting a no-fly zone, not a full-scale NATO assault" I don't know.

Just covering their asses. Hard to believe many Arab leaders give much of a shit about Libya being bombed to pieces. It's not like they're thinking, "Oh no, Bahrain is next," since it very obviously isn't.

something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Monday, 21 March 2011 14:06 (thirteen years ago) link

An American general on the news last night (it was unclear if he was was retired or not) was very frank that this was about removing Gaddafi

"It is not or mission to kill Qaddafi. Cut off his money, food and weapons, yes. Destroy his army, that too. Blind him and cripple him, OK. Give his enemies better weapons and directions to his bunker, maybe. But kill him? No."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 14:08 (thirteen years ago) link

Recommend watching your back there, Dmitry

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 15:28 (thirteen years ago) link

part of this is the_west giving a fuck when it ain't its turn

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 15:32 (thirteen years ago) link

whose turn is it? Just Qaddaffi with money from Russia, China and others? Or others (the weak Arab league or coalition of African nations)?

curmudgeon, Monday, 21 March 2011 15:47 (thirteen years ago) link

when is it the_west's turn?

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:00 (thirteen years ago) link

i think we weve properly reassembled our paradigm to include buddhism and energy and stuff

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:01 (thirteen years ago) link

^ hilarious post

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:02 (thirteen years ago) link

funny US politics note to all this:

Obama changing his mind is attrib'd to Sec. Clinton, Amb. Rice, NSCer Samantha Power

Power called Hillary a "monster" (actually didn't, but...) in 08, got fired.

well, people here think it's interesting

and they're all ladies! imagine that. ladies!

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:13 (thirteen years ago) link

not joking/combatitive (mostly cuz i dont know where i stand on this frankly) wondering what ilx poster 'aerosmith' thinks of all this

D-40, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:16 (thirteen years ago) link

Freddie deBoer, over the last couple days:

I believe in the importance of internal resistance movements. I believe in them precisely as long as they remain internal, because I understand, as so many seem not to, that it is a blatant and ridiculous contradiction in terms to enforce democracy by foreign military aggression. You cannot enforce democracy from without. Self-determination is the non-negotiable precondition for democracy. After we have installed our Vichy democracies, they tend to operate as you would assume such governments would. You only have to ask the minority parties of Iraq, which have reported again and again that they are excluded, marginalized, and oppressed, up to and including the disappearance of protesters.

I believe in resistance, but that doesn't mean I believe in good outcomes coming from all resistance. And this is the fundamental error, among so many, of the supporters of Libyan revolution, or of the supposed "pan-Arab" uprising: they look to this incredibly complex phenomenon, made up of a shifting multitude of actors and interests, supported by foreign powers both near and far, which proceeds in fits and starts towards whatever goal the aggregate of its parts supports at the moment... and they pronounce it good. With their child's view of the world, with their infantile Manicheanism, they feel that the must sort all actors at all times into the piles of good and bad. With their American arrogance, they believe that they actually possess the wisdom and knowledge capable of performing such a feat. With their imperial hubris, they believe that this knowledge gives them the right to impose their judgments with force and by fiat, and they will do so even while they know that doing so will kill innocent people. That's the condition of the contemporary American.

...

What disturbs me so much about those who are arguing the side of the Libyan revolution and against the side of Qaddafi is that they think that this is sufficient to justify engaging in war. That democracy insists that their opinion on the question is irrelevant to whether to go to war, or that even if we knew for a fact what was right and wrong we'd have no right to invade, seems not even to compute, not for a moment. Of course, I prefer the revolution to Qaddafi. I don't mistake my ill-informed (as any must be) preference with real knowledge; I don't mistake the value of my opinion for the value of a Libyan's; I don't pretend that my Western bleeding-heart morals have any right dictating who lives and dies thousands of miles from our borders; I don't imagine that every Libyan who is revolting has inside them some mini-American, waiting to burst forth and adopt perfectly American values. Support for democracy that is dependent on our agreement with the outcome of democracy is a sham.

i agree with the sentiments well enough, but i guess i haven't made up my mind about all this yet (max otm)

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:18 (thirteen years ago) link

first protester with a KEEP YOUR ROSY FINGERS OFF LIBYA! sign gets a cookie from me

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:23 (thirteen years ago) link

I believe in the importance of internal resistance movements. I believe in them precisely as long as they remain internal, because I understand, as so many seem not to, that it is a blatant and ridiculous contradiction in terms to enforce democracy by foreign military aggression.

And as we discussed on the other thread I guess people with views like this do not recognize the legitimacy of the American revolution because the French helped.

curmudgeon, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:27 (thirteen years ago) link

That wasn't aggression, that was France bringing its unique capabilities to bear.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:29 (thirteen years ago) link

or any e. european gov't after '89, yeah...

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:29 (thirteen years ago) link

i realize that the above article does not represent all objections to or qualms with the situation, but i still think it is ridiculous to paint united nations intervention to prevent the illegal massacre of civilians by a united nations member as some kind of ghastly violation of the enlightened precepts of moral relativism because WHO ARE WE TO SAY???? weirdly this is possibly the only position actually more infantile than manicheanism.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:30 (thirteen years ago) link

We certainly don't recognise its legitimacy over here (xxxp)

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:30 (thirteen years ago) link

it's true that foreign intervention perverts and damages revolutions. that's why egypt was so cool. if only everything were a best-case scenario.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:32 (thirteen years ago) link

and they're all ladies! imagine that. ladies!

― goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:13 (17 minutes ago) Bookmark

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:33 (thirteen years ago) link

<3 u goole

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:33 (thirteen years ago) link

the LeCarre fan in me rears its head and wonders if the military part of the opposition to Gaddafi weren't the result of plans laid years ago by the_west in tandem with various obstinate tribes and incubated for this moment to strike. This assigns a degree of competency and long-range planning to the CIA and Special Forces which I doubt has ever existed but if such plans DID get made (a "sleeper revolution") what better time than the present to have pressed the Play button?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:35 (thirteen years ago) link

it's true that foreign intervention perverts and damages revolutions. that's why egypt was so cool. if only everything were a best-case scenario.

I read that sentence 4 times before I realized you weren't talking about "foreign intervention perverts"... Like, hmm...does he mean the US? or the French? who are the perverts in this scenario...

VegemiteGrrl, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:35 (thirteen years ago) link

well obviously the french.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:36 (thirteen years ago) link

though i'd keep my eye on belgium.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:36 (thirteen years ago) link

my money is on the French, definitely

VegemiteGrrl, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:37 (thirteen years ago) link

difficult listening hour (who r u btw?? enjoyed your posts lately and i'm always like 6wks behind on the rename game):

yeah all that falls down somewhat because i think it's really pretty easy to consider QDF as being uniquely, totally horrible! like, how bad would a 'resistance movement' have to be to be worse than him? this is something that can be accurately judged from outside, relatively.

the principle of non-intervention hinges on something else than what deboer describes, in this case. practicality? like, i think the operation has a slim chance of doing anything good.

also, when was the last time a popular resistance movement turned out to be significantly worse for a nation and neighbors than the status quo ante? iran 79?

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:38 (thirteen years ago) link

Attributing any kind of forethought to 'Special Forces' is kind of a basic misunderstanding of their role, IMO. They take orders for involvement from other parts of the government, they don't go starting revolutions on their own.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

iran 79?

Significantly worse than the Shah? Are you sure about that?

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:41 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm perhaps alone in thinking UNSCR 1973 might strike just the right ethical balance, so long as its limited to no-fly + halt armor advancing on rebel cities.

The stories out of Az-Zawiya, Zuara, and Ajdabiya of mass reprisals against civilians are pretty ugly, if true. If, at limited human cost the rest of the world can prevent similar atrocities at the larger towns of Misrata and Benghazi it was a correct decision. But it ends there. Let Libya separate into Tripolitania and Cyrenaica, if need be. Libya was an invention of Italian colonialism, just as Iraq an invention of the Treaty of Versailles.

I don't see any on reason on balance why the rest of the world should support a rebel advance on Tripoli, and the political difficulty is now whether we'll resist an instinct to bring the civil war to a speedy conclusion.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:42 (thirteen years ago) link

it depends on what you mean by "status quo" - the united states has sort of made a specialty of eliminating progressive resistance movements in favor of extremist resistance movements, which it can then point to as extremists who need to be crushed (i.e. Viet Cong in Vietnam; Tudeh in Iran); not sure what the most recent example of this is (Hamas?) but they must be legion

milo good point (guess i was thinkin about planning AND execution but you're right, they don't merit a mention in my fantasy scnario of ultra-clever regime change plan-makin)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:45 (thirteen years ago) link

part of this is the_west giving a fuck when it ain't its turn

― BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, March 21, 2011 3:32 PM (58 minutes ago)

Hold on - quite apart from any butchering, a fairly likely consequence of doing nothing would be hundreds of thousands of Libyan refugees coming to Europe. That's a pretty clear interest in the outcome. In fact, refugee and asylum and human rights protection doesn't make huge sense as a coherent, sustainable system without the will/ability to tackle such things at source. Otherwise it's a bit like having an obligation to clean up after your messy flatmate, while prohibiting you from calling him on it.

Ismael Klata, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:47 (thirteen years ago) link

Hundred of thousands of anti-Gadaffi refugees vs. hundred of thousands of pro-Gadaffi refugees, perhaps?

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:49 (thirteen years ago) link

xp to goole: yeah, i mean, all the "wait how are we going to do this? what's the plan? what happens if he falls? what happens if he doesn't? who's going in? with what? for how long?" questions are totally legitimate and troubling, especially since this happened so fast (and yet not fast enough). but i don't have a lot of patience for "nobody is ever allowed to touch anything outside their borders no matter what because how could they know anything about anything".

you'd need to know more about iran than i to make the call re: the shah. pretty sure though that it was clear before he fell that khomeini et al had thoroughly hijacked the country's opposition, which was not all that hard to do because the shah was so completely and nakedly a western puppet and so the revolution had plenty of inherent anti-western feeling that could be coupled neatly to fundamentalist islam. that's not the case here (though we don't know exactly what the case is here).

i am ready to oppose significant deployment of american troops to libya because i don't think they could do much except get trapped in there forever. this isn't going to happen under the current resolution, but i doubt obama would bother with congressional authorization if he wanted to do it, which is A Problem but apparently just how things work these days. in the meantime, as someone who'd been worrying about the impending massacre for weeks before the intervention, i am cautiously OK with cruise missiles and bombers, and very happy gaddafi's advance was stopped.

(i am new so you are not failing at the rename game. this is me.)

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:51 (thirteen years ago) link

eah all that falls down somewhat because i think it's really pretty easy to consider QDF as being uniquely, totally horrible! like, how bad would a 'resistance movement' have to be to be worse than him? this is something that can be accurately judged from outside, relatively.

One of the most fruitless tasks is assessing horribleness. If we agree that Stalin and Hitler were uniquely monstrous, and other bad guys are in second or third tiers, where would you stick'em? We can agree Saddam and Pol Pot are worse than Fidel and Tito, but what about Trujillo, Mubarek, Qaddafi? What about Allende? By what standard is Bahrain's autocracy "better" than Qaddafi's regime? It's frustrating.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:52 (thirteen years ago) link

useful rubric: "is he bad enough to kill basically everyone in this city by wednesday y/n"

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:53 (thirteen years ago) link

I haven't been reading al-Jazeera the last couple of weeks, but what was the perception on the streets about Mubarek's American ties – a puppet with his own brains?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

One of the most fruitless tasks is assessing horribleness. If we agree that Stalin and Hitler were uniquely monstrous, and other bad guys are in second or third tiers, where would you stick'em? We can agree Saddam and Pol Pot are worse than Fidel and Tito, but what about Trujillo, Mubarek, Qaddafi? What about Allende? By what standard is Bahrain's autocracy "better" than Qaddafi's regime? It's frustrating.

― Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, March 21, 2011 4:52 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

cant say im really a fan of turning this into some greatest-of-all-time list like we're SI ranking Jordan's competition in the all-time greats list

D-40, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:56 (thirteen years ago) link

that's partly my point

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:56 (thirteen years ago) link

xxp -- obv there's a certain amount of that, which is one of the reasons the u.s. admin was so comically dithering re: the revolution. ultimately i think they played it decently. not sure what the kids think at the moment.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:57 (thirteen years ago) link

(also: the problem of post-WWII U.S. foreign policy)

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 16:57 (thirteen years ago) link

alfred:

it's a double calculus (or triple maybe): how horrible is the dude x what can we do about it really x what are the costs of doing it (or not)

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:58 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry that's kind of obvious :/

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 16:58 (thirteen years ago) link

it's a double calculus (or triple maybe): how horrible is the dude x what can we do about it really x what are the costs of doing it (or not)

...on which no one will agree. We should start our own think tank.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:00 (thirteen years ago) link

The ILXor Institute: We Didn't Realize You Were All Gonna Be Such Dicks About This

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:09 (thirteen years ago) link

lol

ancient, but very sexy (DJP), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:11 (thirteen years ago) link

while we're on a theoretical level, can i say that i don't really think the idea of cutting up countries is a good one? the fact that said boundaries were drawn a few generations ago by assholes doesn't seem all that salient in the here-and-now. separatism is a very weak substitute for rights-based treatment of minorities, and creates weak and dependent states in the process. maybe in cases like east timor that 'very weak substitute' was the only one on offer, not too familiar with that situation. kosovo is kind of a shithole.

i live in a country whose lines were drawn for all kinds of ass-backward reasons, AND fought a civil war to keep parts from going their own way, so, i dunno, no thanks. this goes for your catalunyas and your occitanias too. i don't really get the point of it, just looks like the return of shitty ethno-something-ism. i could be convinced tho.

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:12 (thirteen years ago) link

the poor Kurds.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:14 (thirteen years ago) link

There's an awful lol in Margaret McMillan's Paris 1919 when Wilson, despairing, turns to Lloyd George after studying a map of Europe and says, "Please remind me: are we creating North or South Silesia?"

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:16 (thirteen years ago) link

if this thread is anything like your average room then three-quarters of the people in it hate christopher hitchens, but this (pre-intervention) line is i think worth considering:

Libya is a country with barely 6 million inhabitants. By any computation, however cold and actuarial, the regime of its present dictator cannot possibly last very much longer. As a matter of pure realism, the post-Qaddafi epoch is upon us whether we choose to welcome the fact or not. The immediate task is therefore to limit the amount of damage Qaddafi can do and sharply minimize the number of people he can murder.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:18 (thirteen years ago) link

remember when this was going around?

http://www.globalresearch.ca/articlePictures/The%20Project%20for%20the%20New%20Middle%20East.jpg

lol i had to gis long and hard to find a website that was not alex jones-y

i can't remember/find what the origin of it was either

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:20 (thirteen years ago) link

Baghdad (city-state)

oh the lols

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:21 (thirteen years ago) link

Islamic Sacred State vs Free Baluchistan

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:22 (thirteen years ago) link

"west bank - status undetermined"

just a couple of i's to dot and t's to cross then

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:22 (thirteen years ago) link

Self-determination is the non-negotiable precondition for democracy

This is one of those statements that looks great on paper until you actually apply it to the situation in hand.

Matt DC, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:22 (thirteen years ago) link

the let's-just-call-this-part-here-iraq decision after ww1 really was a disaster, though, and as Imperialist as anything gets. but yeah not sure what you're supposed to do about it now. "baghdad (city-state)" isn't it.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:23 (thirteen years ago) link

One unique aspect to this whole shebang: perhaps the first middle east conflict, en masse, where the "blame the Jews/Israel" crew are for once out a boogeyman. Was shocked when a recent New Yorker began with an editorial about the state of Israel/Palestine, and I was all like, people still care about that? (I mean, I know they do, but that particular perennial disaster has been relegated to the b-list for the time being.)

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Lost to history: what the hell Orlando's saying that's so amusing.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Clearly they are discussing the previous day's acquisition of what they used to call "hot tail."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:27 (thirteen years ago) link

what they used to call "hot tail."

http://go.hrw.com/venus_images/0909MC20.gif

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:28 (thirteen years ago) link

I thought Italy was the "hot tail."

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:29 (thirteen years ago) link

robert gates sez the US will retreat to a secondary role within a few days. other people will take up the slack. no idea if he means someone who isn't britain or france. hope so!

idk, if i were in the libyan military, id be at a 'fuck this' crossroads right now. but im not, im some message board guy. wonder what they'd post.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:35 (thirteen years ago) link

free baluchistan comes from this article:

http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2006/06/1833899/

"In a June 2006 article titled "Blood borders: How a better Middle East would look", Peters conducted a thought experiment by changing the borders in the Middle East: "In each case, this hypothetical redrawing of boundaries reflects ethnic affinities and religious communalism—but iran have a perfect blood border-in some cases, both."[16]

He has drawn strong criticism for his maps in the countries involved, who viewed these as a direct attack on the integrity of their borders and usually attributed the maps to US Military and US Intelligence services and government, and their future plans for the region, rather than the retired Lieutenant Colonel.[citation needed]

In a February 2008 column, Peters called for giving the majority-Serb enclave in northern Kosovo to Serbia, calling it a "cancerous issue" that "just promises further conflict down the road - like forcing an ex-husband and -wife to share an apartment after a savage divorce." In the same column, he also called for a division by ethnicity of Pakistan, writing that "Islam has not been enough to unite Sindhis and Punjabis, Baluchis and Pashtuns."[17]

Regarding Iraq, he wrote, "might it not have been wiser - as several of us suggested in 2003 - to shake off Europe's vicious legacies and give Kurds their state, Iraqi Shias their state, and the country's Sunni Arabs a rump Iraq to do with as they wished?" Regarding all these countries, he wrote, "We needn't launch an endless war to fix the mess Europeans in pinstriped trousers left us - but we'd damned well better accept that, when we expend blood and treasure to prop up phony states, we're standing on the tracks in front of the speeding train of history."[18]

In a column for Armchair General Magazine, he wrote in support for regime change in Syria, Iran and Pakistan:

Syria's determination to develop nuclear weapons apes Iran's and North Korea's nuke programs, as well as Pakistan's successful bid to join the club of nuclear powers. ... Given a choice between taking out Osama Bin Laden and his entire leadership network and eliminating renegade nuclear engineers, the latter option might do far more for our long-term security.[19]"

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:41 (thirteen years ago) link

wonder what they'd post.

― BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, March 21, 2011 1:35 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

"pls ban me from ilx for the next few weeks, i have a big project"

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:42 (thirteen years ago) link

lol

on a srs tip, maybe the libyan military are not at a 'fuck this' xroads because what happens to them post-qaddafi is really bad.

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

can we just combine Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, into something appropriately Wilsonian like "Arabic North Africa"?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

xp: Libyan military saying "fuck it".

The ones who sided with the rebels in the East were already in this state. After Gaddafi detained/kidnapped the families of their officers in Tripoli they just sat in their barracks while the kids from Benghazi got shot up.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:47 (thirteen years ago) link

maybe the libyan military are not at a 'fuck this' xroads because what happens to them post-qaddafi is really bad.

― goole, Monday, March 21, 2011 5:46 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

this is another big worry, yeah. ugh.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

the big problem with the free baluchistan map is how lame the country names are

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:51 (thirteen years ago) link

at first I thought it said "Belugastan" and I thought ew caviar fuck them

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:52 (thirteen years ago) link

to fix the mess Europeans in pinstriped trousers left us

goddam it I KNOW, so SICK of this

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:52 (thirteen years ago) link

can we just combine Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, into something appropriately Wilsonian like "Arabic North Africa"?

― Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, March 21, 2011 5:46 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark

p sure this was what a bunch of people in those countries wanted [via pan-arabism]

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

Trump crowing about "screwing" Qadafi out of a bunch of money is disgusting fwiw

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Unconfirmed: Qaddafi's son dead in suicide attack.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 17:55 (thirteen years ago) link

DIABEETUS

goole, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:57 (thirteen years ago) link

this whole no fly zone is a very jed bartlett move

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:58 (thirteen years ago) link

wouldve been a good 6-episode arc

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:58 (thirteen years ago) link

I think the West should not have got involved in Libya, because then we could have complained about how they were propping up crazy dictators.

The New Dirty Vicar, Monday, 21 March 2011 17:58 (thirteen years ago) link

While it seems highly sensible to recreate the middle east as a larger set of smaller nations, of more equal size and more consistent ethnic makeup, I've got a hunch that it could rather easily lead to a lot of border skirmishes between the new ethnically-assembled nations and the older border-shrunken nations, sometimes turning into hot wars, similar to what we saw when the former USSR broke into pieces. In the former SSRs, this didn't matter so much. In the heart of Oildom, this is still nagl.

Aimless, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:00 (thirteen years ago) link

goole killin it itt

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 18:02 (thirteen years ago) link

A lot of those claimed ethnic make-ups are nonsense anyway, and it mixes up religion and ethnicity. I don't see any particular reason why Shia muslims in what is now Bahrain would like to be in the same country as coreligionists in Iraq that they have never really had anything to do with. The map also ignores how intermingled a lot of these people are (though the article it comes from does not - the crazy man who wrote it was upfront about how he thought ethnic cleansing was a great idea) and it ignores all the little groups like Christian Arabs (or various stripes) and Armenians who live in a lot of different countries as small minorities.

The New Dirty Vicar, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:05 (thirteen years ago) link

Evidently Turkey finally relented:

AFP French foreign minister Alain Juppe has said that NATO is ready to support the coalition intervening in Libya “within a few days”.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 18:09 (thirteen years ago) link

A lot of those claimed ethnic make-ups are nonsense anyway, and it mixes up religion and ethnicity. I don't see any particular reason why Shia muslims in what is now Bahrain would like to be in the same country as coreligionists in Iraq that they have never really had anything to do with. The map also ignores how intermingled a lot of these people are (though the article it comes from does not - the crazy man who wrote it was upfront about how he thought ethnic cleansing was a great idea) and it ignores all the little groups like Christian Arabs (or various stripes) and Armenians who live in a lot of different countries as small minorities.

― The New Dirty Vicar, Monday, March 21, 2011 6:05 PM (5 minutes ago) Bookmark

i... agree. long story short. when people say libya or iraq are fake countries, you know, i get it, but so is belgium if you want to look at it that way.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 18:17 (thirteen years ago) link

In a column for Armchair General Magazine

heh

Ismael Klata, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:18 (thirteen years ago) link

fakest country of all is the u.s. in that regard, if we want to take it all the way

omar little, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:23 (thirteen years ago) link

*strokes beard*

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:27 (thirteen years ago) link

fakest country of all is the u.s. in that regard, if we want to take it all the way

More champagne!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 18:27 (thirteen years ago) link

can we just combine Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, into something appropriately Wilsonian like

I read this as Wisconsin-like.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:28 (thirteen years ago) link

http://content7.flixster.com/photo/11/97/40/11974065_gal.jpg

omar little, Monday, 21 March 2011 18:38 (thirteen years ago) link

f u washburn county, f u very much

gtfopocalypse (dan m), Monday, 21 March 2011 20:08 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.newdeal20.org/2011/03/21/intervention-in-libya-neo-cons-1-civilized-world-0-39224/

^^^ i think i'm starting to work out a position on this whole thing because this really pissed me off

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 21:05 (thirteen years ago) link

like the defense budget was ever going to be cut

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Monday, 21 March 2011 21:09 (thirteen years ago) link

At least this particular argument pissed me off--elsewhere I've been reminded this was not done as candidate Obama promised something like it would be done, that no compelling case has been made for it to occur, that no endgame has been elucidated...so max otm is what i'm saying

HOOStory is back. Fasten your steenbelts. (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 21:09 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm basically holding out for the fantasy scenario of the_west's material self-interest coinciding with a humanitarian success :D

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 21:28 (thirteen years ago) link

plus a pony

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 21 March 2011 21:30 (thirteen years ago) link

so no one cares that this is unconstitutional, i guess

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:05 (thirteen years ago) link

lol are you serious

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:10 (thirteen years ago) link

Given the visceral hatred of the CinC by some on the other side of the aisle, I await their challenge to the Court. Precedent suggests the Consitution is just another political tool, and the Right knows they will have to abide by a strict interpretation, too.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:10 (thirteen years ago) link

I heard on NPR an hour ago that Obama had "informed" Congressional leaders, which I suppose meets the requirements of the War Powers Act (which probably needs a constitutional challenge or two). I'm not crazy about what's going on constitutionally either.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:12 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm sure this is covered somewhere else itt but how did enforcement of a no fly zone become the degrading of Gadaffi's military capability?

utterfilth (whatever), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:12 (thirteen years ago) link

um that's kind of what a no-fly zone is?

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:14 (thirteen years ago) link

I marvel at some of the objections raised against the UN actions here, alternately sad and laughable

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:14 (thirteen years ago) link

Think of planes and tanks as the terminal twigs of a command and control branching tree. Prune severely.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:14 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm sure this is covered somewhere else itt but how did enforcement of a no fly zone become the degrading of Gadaffi's military capability?

― utterfilth (whatever), Monday, March 21, 2011 6:12 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

he can't use planes to bomb the shit out of his own people--any other questions?

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:16 (thirteen years ago) link

enforcing a no fly zone

utterfilth (whatever), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:18 (thirteen years ago) link

shoulda said shoot the shit out of his planes, sorry

utterfilth (whatever), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:21 (thirteen years ago) link

lol'ing at the insinuation that congress would somehow do the right thing here (and in a timely fashion too)

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:22 (thirteen years ago) link

Nah, I'm pretty sure Congress would have given him the authority, even if it is Barack Hussein Obama -- they're chickenshits when it comes to this.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:24 (thirteen years ago) link

The real question: would Obama have defined "this" as a war?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:26 (thirteen years ago) link

eh, semantics. more useful to think about what the goals are and how best to achieve them.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:26 (thirteen years ago) link

uh waht

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:29 (thirteen years ago) link

presidents haven't asked Congress for shit regarding the military since Vietnam, a little lat to go putting the rabbit back in the hat, it just isn't going to happen. whether or Obama would define this as a "war" or not is mostly irrelevant. the real question at hand is how far does our moral responsibility to the Libyan opposition extend, and what does meeting that obligation entail.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:32 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm sure glad we got all this sorted out during the last administration.

Kerm, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:34 (thirteen years ago) link

Sorry, but that question also requires us to ask whether we have any obligation at all to the Libyan opposition, whatever it is. I'm pretty sure you'd be more uncomfortable if it was Dubya as president.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:36 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm pretty sure you'd be more uncomfortable if it was Dubya as president.

ugh

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:36 (thirteen years ago) link

think you have an obligation to the UN. or not! idk. odd debate not happening here between antis who say it's all in america's self-interest and antis who say it's not in the national interest at all.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:38 (thirteen years ago) link

i would be more uncomfortable if george w. bush was president, yes

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:39 (thirteen years ago) link

because george w. bush was a shitty, incompetent president

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:40 (thirteen years ago) link

Had to say it! I'm receptive to the administration's argument that abandoning a "pro-reform" movement would send crippling shockwaves across the region; but that's where my certainty ends. I'm just shocked that some of ILX's leading liberals are suddenly indifferent to the reach of a president's war powers.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:40 (thirteen years ago) link

also Gates > Rumsfeld

ryan, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:40 (thirteen years ago) link

because george w. bush was a shitty, incompetent president

What a comfort!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:41 (thirteen years ago) link

my feeling is that a u.s. president has zero 'responsibility' or 'obligation' to intervene in a civil war on the other side of the world, as opposed to, say, swearing an oath to adhere to the constitution.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:41 (thirteen years ago) link

radical, i know

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:41 (thirteen years ago) link

seems like ppl may think it's all cool until there are troops on the ground

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:41 (thirteen years ago) link

It's also possible that the tension between HRC's hawkishness here and Gates' natural caution eventually produces a mission with real outlines.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Sorry, but that question also requires us to ask whether we have any obligation at all to the Libyan opposition, whatever it is.

This is a perfectly legitimate question, and one I'm largely ambivalent about. On the one hand Kaddawfy seems pretty bad, and I don't like the prospect of him massacring his own people from a humanitarian perspective. And unlike other, much messier ethnic conflicts and civil wars, it seems pretty clear-cut from the recent sequence of events who the agressor is. On the other hand, should we be the world's cops? well we are in many ways, whether I like it or not. But the options here either seemed to be 1) the US acts unilaterally to intervene, possibly with disastrous consequences. I was against this. 2) We intervene in collaboration with other allies and regional powers to present as much of a unified front as possible and share the burden/responsibility of either significantly shortening or resolving this conflict. This is what happened, and while I'm very apprehensive about the outcome, this seems like the best option to me. 3) We do nothing, Kaddafeee butchers the opposition, continues to rule with an iron fist, now even more angry and paranoid than before. This is not really acceptable to me on a moral level.

I'm pretty sure you'd be more uncomfortable if it was Dubya as president.

you insult me.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:43 (thirteen years ago) link

i mean i dont know what to say, alfred! i am more uncomfortable with a terrible president and his incompetent DoD running a military intervention

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:43 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm glad you're that convinced of Obama's superiority to Bush.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:44 (thirteen years ago) link

I sure as hell am

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:44 (thirteen years ago) link

(but, yeah, Obama's appropriation of much of Bush's foreign policy guidelines are for now irrelevant -- don't wanna derail thread)

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:45 (thirteen years ago) link

btw, Shakes, I vastly prefer your spelling of Q's name.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Also: your framing of the argument is the most concise I've seen to date. Dubya line officially retracted.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:47 (thirteen years ago) link

The Corner breaks it down for us: "Obama’s pusillanimity has been hugely magnified by the contrast with the women directing his foreign policy and the fact that they nagged him to attack Libya until he gave in."

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/262607/they-know-who-wears-pants-country-mark-krikorian

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:51 (thirteen years ago) link

lol these guys

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:52 (thirteen years ago) link

my feeling is that a u.s. president has zero 'responsibility' or 'obligation' to intervene in a civil war on the other side of the world, as opposed to, say, swearing an oath to adhere to the constitution.

What about genocide or ethnic cleansing or helping victims of natural disasters?

I'm as wary of the US flexing its muscles overseas as anyone, but hardline isolationism is difficult for me to swallow.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:53 (thirteen years ago) link

"Zero responsibility" is basically Ron Paul's argument, isn't it?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:56 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post: it is for me too, but i'm in favor of overseas interventions being carried out legally with congressional authorization, not whenever a president decides it's a good idea.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:57 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm on board with the War Powers Resolution being unconstitutional and all, but it's still on the books so...

Matt Armstrong, Monday, 21 March 2011 22:58 (thirteen years ago) link

The Corner has been schizophrenic the last few days; these events have really confused them. Andy "Let's rape Moslems with a rolled-up copy of the U.S. Constitution" McCarthy opposes this while a couple of others wonder why Obama's been such a pussy.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 22:59 (thirteen years ago) link

please alfred, the word is "pusillanimous".

difficult listening hour, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:00 (thirteen years ago) link

does it not matter to you that waiting for congress' rubber stamp would have been too late anyway JD

so glad you think taking the time to thoroughly resolve legal arguments that have been rather unambiguously ignored for 50+ years is more important than stopping people half the world away from dying. Supreme Court's docket is totally open this year I think, let's prep some briefs! 5 years later: we have a ruling! Too bad everybody is dead in Libya by then.
xp

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:04 (thirteen years ago) link

btw the "three female advisors" story is 'overstated':

As has been reported, the crucial decisions were made at a pair of meetings Tuesday, which an Administration official said were far from the showdowns depicted in some accounts. Power, for instance, was present at a 4:10 p.m. meeting but didn't speak, an official said; Clinton, overseas, wasn't patched in to that meeting. Obama, told a no-fly zone wouldn't be enough to stop Qadhafi, sent Donilon to draw up other political and military options in the Situation Room, the official said; Donilon brought his notes to a 9:00 p.m. principals' meeting, at which the course was set.

"Everyone started with a healthy degree of skepticism," White House spokesman Tommy Vietor said. "But everyone moved toward the final decision based on the president's urging, but also because of what was happening on the ground, with Qadhafi moving toward Bengazi and [saying] he would show no mercy."

This isn't to say that a version of the narrative isn't true: Some of the prominent women on the foreign policy team, notably -- an official said -- Rice, did push hard for intervention, and did speak in key meetings. But the notion of an internal battle fought and won, or a shift in the poles of internal politics or Obama's evolving doctrine, seems to overstate the point.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0311/Boys_against_girls_over_Libya.html

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Politico, don't ever change.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:10 (thirteen years ago) link

haha i only bring it up here because NRO is citing it in typical classy fashion

max, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:12 (thirteen years ago) link

we should poll spelling variations of the leader of libya's name

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:14 (thirteen years ago) link

i think i've seen at least 20

call all destroyer, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:15 (thirteen years ago) link

xhotaphi

Ismael Klata, Monday, 21 March 2011 23:18 (thirteen years ago) link

I heard on NPR an hour ago that Obama had "informed" Congressional leaders, which I suppose meets the requirements of the War Powers Act (which probably needs a constitutional challenge or two). I'm not crazy about what's going on constitutionally either.

― Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, March 21, 2011 10:12 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

fwiw in his "informing" of congressional leaders he did specifically cite war powers

Godspeed HOOS! Black Steendriver (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:42 (thirteen years ago) link

For some historical perspective, it's worth nothing that both Gingrich and (esp) Bob Dole had Clinton's back on Bosnia and Kosovo.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Samantha Power's A Problem From Hell is worth reading.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:51 (thirteen years ago) link

(I know both were out of power by the time Kosovo happened, btw)

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 21 March 2011 23:52 (thirteen years ago) link

both Gingrich and (esp) Bob Dole had Clinton's back on Bosnia and Kosovo

shoulda shared a cell.

for you Biden fans: Impeach Bam

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 00:08 (thirteen years ago) link

Really love the particular rightwing attack on this that is basically "nothing that a group of women support (EVEN if they are UN ambassador/Secretary of State) should be taken seriously" because looool women are dumb, right?!

that said, I don't really get what is the end game here

daria, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 00:20 (thirteen years ago) link

women! never planning ahead

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 00:20 (thirteen years ago) link

shoulda shared a cell.

Fail.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 00:32 (thirteen years ago) link

love the nagging angle, like at some point obama was just like "ugh, FINE whatever..."

rent, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 01:19 (thirteen years ago) link

The Bombing Moe series:

http://dickdestiny.com/blog1/category/bombing-moe/

Or the syndic version at Globalsecurity.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/

Under the SITREP banner on the right of the page.

Gorge, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 01:29 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm not sure why utter filth got, uh, shot down so quickly for asking how a no-fly zone turned into an assault on gaddafi's heavy weapons.

i'm sure this is covered somewhere else itt but how did enforcement of a no fly zone become the degrading of Gadaffi's military capability?

― utterfilth (whatever), Monday, March 21, 2011 10:12 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

um that's kind of what a no-fly zone is?

― Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, March 21, 2011 10:14 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

blowing up tanks and convoys has nothing to do with "establishing a no-fly zone"! tanks don't shoot down airplanes iirc

it seems gaddafi is being cagey - he hasn't even turned the radars of his anti-aircraft weapons on yet. he hasn't even tried to fly any planes. so practically speaking there's a no-fly zone at the moment but he still has a lot of his assets

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 01:39 (thirteen years ago) link

gorge thank you!! i love your writing on this stuff

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 01:39 (thirteen years ago) link

Well, the tactical ground attacks go off (or will go off) because the US military is faced with the reality that the "rebels" are an armed rabble incapable of waging successful war even against an inept military like Moe's.

From tv pics it looks like they have soaked up all the US myth-making about military prowess over the last eight years. They've seen or perhaps heard of all the pictures of everything getting blown up -- they saw some of it over the weekend -- and now are joyful because they think they're an ally. And these 'allies' probably think all they have to do is march to Tripoli -- a long trek -- with the US blowing to smithereens anything that gets in their way.

Which it can do. But that means waging a war more a little more like it did to overthrow the Taliban in Afghanistan. It means bombers and cruise missiles and tons of JDAMs on call, over the country, called down as the rabble advances. It kind of means they'd almost have to put special forces on the ground to help guide some of the strikes.

Now it might not turn out like that. But if the 'rebels' want to go to Tripoli, they're going to need someone around to knock out Moe's artillery and armor, all of it.

I don't think anyone believes the French or the British can do that, or that some silly token volunteers from the Arab League flying around the periphery will. So if again faced with a 'rebel' force marching into a slaughter, US assets will have to go into action.

My opinion's that they opening assault was as heavy-handed as the US military could make it precisely because someone knew this would be the situation and they were hoping to get as much as possible early. And perhaps afflict Moe's military with paralysis and a lasting fear of operation.

Gorge, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 02:22 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost

Thanks, btw. The kind words are appreciated.

Gorge, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 02:26 (thirteen years ago) link

tanks don't shoot down airplanes iirc

they can though!

ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 02:47 (thirteen years ago) link

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_1973

  • demands the immediate establishment of a ceasefire and a complete end to violence and all attacks against, and abuses of, civilians;
  • authorises all necessary means to protect civilians and civilian-populated areas, except for a "foreign occupation force";
= lets fuck up some tanks

ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 02:55 (thirteen years ago) link

thanks Tracer...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_1973

* demands the immediate establishment of a ceasefire and a complete end to violence and all attacks against, and abuses of, civilians;

* authorises all necessary means to protect civilians and civilian-populated areas, except for a "foreign occupation force";

= lets fuck up some tanks

― ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, March 22, 2011 2:55 AM (4 hours ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

i understand the resolution allows the use of more force than comes with the imposition of a no fly zone. my question was how did all the talk of nfz (which in the beginning had cameron isolated and ridiculed iirc, with obama keeping well clear) become a diplomatic freefall into aggressive air strikes on military capabilities, command facilities etc etc? the same air strikes that the arab league and russia immediately distanced themselves from.

it looks increasingly as though another agenda is more important than merely protecting citizens. sure, gaddafi provoked action when he called and ignored his own ceasefire, but when the talk is now of a third war for america and other allied countries, i think we've moved on from enforcement of a no fly zone.

utterfilth (whatever), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 07:35 (thirteen years ago) link

PM and military split over war aims

a lot is my favorite number (Ned Trifle II), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 08:19 (thirteen years ago) link

has her majesty's opposition ventured an opinion?

Overwhelmingly in favour, if the vote in the HofC was anything to go by. A few voted vs.

John Baron; CON (Basildon & Billericay)
Graham Allen; LAB (Nottingham North)
Ronnie Campbell; LAB (Blyth Valley)
Jeremy Corbyn; LAB (Islington North)
Barry Gardiner; LAB (Brent North)
Roger Godsiff; LAB (Birmingham Hall Green)
John McDonnell; LAB (Hayes and Harlington)
Linda Riordan; LAB (Halifax)
Dennis Skinner; LAB (Bolsover)
Mike Wood; LAB (Batley and Spen).
Caroline Lucas; GREEN (Brighton Pavilion)
Mark Durkan; SDLP (Foyle)
Margaret Ritchie; SDLP (Down South)

a lot is my favorite number (Ned Trifle II), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 08:24 (thirteen years ago) link

Perrin's right, the Western world is run by the fucking Sopranos. Fuck giving a shit, stooges.

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 11:28 (thirteen years ago) link

i guess if i lived in america i would also say fuck giving a shit. libya is a long way away.

but even im getting increasingly cold feet on this.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 11:38 (thirteen years ago) link

as perrin says, everyone plays their role:

But I think our national values are closer to The Sopranos -- armed sociopaths trying to maintain their power and wealth by any means necessary. And if a former friend/ally/business partner becomes inconvenient, two in the back of his head. Bada bang. It's only business.

"former friend/ally/business partner"... yeah. reaching a bit there. which of these was gadaffi? either way plainly wasn't becoming inconvenient for the US.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 11:43 (thirteen years ago) link

gorge (aka dick destiny) quotes this from the new york times. just in case anyone was still wondering why bahrain is being treated differently:

The mainly Shiite demonstrators moved beyond Pearl Square, taking over areas leading to the financial and diplomatic districts of the capital. They closed off streets with makeshift roadblocks and shouted slogans calling for the death of the royal family.

“Twenty-five percent of Bahrain’s G.D.P. comes from banks,” Mr. Abdulmalik said as he sat in the soft Persian Gulf sunshine. “I sympathize with many of the demands of the demonstrators. But no country would allow the takeover of its financial district. The economic future of the country was at stake. What happened this week, as sad as it is, is good.”

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 11:57 (thirteen years ago) link

US warplane crash-lands in Libya

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 12:10 (thirteen years ago) link

"I don't mind a few hundred Tomahawk strikes, what really bothers me is that I was not consulted!"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 12:34 (thirteen years ago) link

#fragileegos

DISPLAY NAMING RIGHTS (Upt0eleven), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 12:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Seriously. Do you have a point, or are you just all of a sudden really concerned about Constitutional interpretation?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 12:47 (thirteen years ago) link

By the way, I love how the NY Times' top coverage of Libya these days comes with a D.C. dateline. And they're by Elizabeth Bumiller. You may remember Bumiller as the author of the White House Letter in the months and years following the invasion of Iraq. It contained memorable passages like these:

Mr. Bush, it should be noted, spent one hour at the Houston rodeo last week. There he patted some cows on the head and said, briefly, "I thought there was a lot of bull in Washington, D.C."

...

When George W. Bush campaigned for president in 2000, he brought along his feather pillow, complained about having to sleep in hotels and missed his cats. He wanted to be president, all right, but he also wanted to wake up in his own bed in the governor's mansion in Austin, Tex., and pad downstairs for the comforting ritual of fetching the newspapers and making coffee.

...

The next dust-up, also music-related, involved the president’s iPod, which was a gift from his daughters. It was reported in this column that an aide to President Bush maintained the device’s playlist. What was not reported was that the iPod came pre-programmed by his daughters as part of the gift. Among the email to this reporter generated by that story, nearly all of it positive, came a note from the office of the First Daughters that included the gift’s original playlist (Eric Clapton exclusively) and a request to let the public know that the Bush daughters “rock.”

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 13:08 (thirteen years ago) link

my question was how did all the talk of nfz (which in the beginning had cameron isolated and ridiculed iirc, with obama keeping well clear) become a diplomatic freefall into aggressive air strikes on military capabilities, command facilities etc etc? the same air strikes that the arab league and russia immediately distanced themselves from

The rebels wanted the attacks on tanks, etc. according to the stories I read and heard. Russia, like China, never wanted anything. They're happy doing doing business with Quadaffi no matter what's happening in his country.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 13:10 (thirteen years ago) link

Take the byline with a grain of salt, but here's Jack Goldsmith arguing that Obama's policy might be unnecessary but it's not unconstitutional.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 13:18 (thirteen years ago) link

By the way, I love how the NY Times' top coverage of Libya these days comes with a D.C. dateline

this is because the four writers the nyt sent to libya were captured by the libyan government and only freed yesterday, dude

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:09 (thirteen years ago) link

two writers, two fotogs iirc

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:13 (thirteen years ago) link

but yes that is a fairly iron-clad excuse.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:14 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah sorry should have said 4 journalists

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:15 (thirteen years ago) link

i really just wanted to pour scorn on elizabeth bumiller

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:15 (thirteen years ago) link

"let's see, our four people in libya have been taken hostage, who should take the lead in our reporting? i know, the lady who spent three years living inside george w. bush's asshole"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:17 (thirteen years ago) link

i kind of regret invoking that image

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:20 (thirteen years ago) link

worst lynch parody

Elegant Bitch (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:22 (thirteen years ago) link

i have to remember that one the next time i'm late for work. "where have you been??" "sorry, running a little late, got taken hostage in libya" "it's ok we gave your job to brett, our ceo's scheduling assistant"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:26 (thirteen years ago) link

Every minute this goes on, it just seems worse and worse. The biggest difference between now and last week is that now we own a piece of this mess, and will no doubt get stuck with its bloody legacy and pricey clean-up. Seriously, after the last decade of military boondoggles, how could we so blithely enter into yet another pointless and pricey middle eastern military campaign? It boggles the mind.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:46 (thirteen years ago) link

i've begun to wonder if that isn't the point, in a way - that now the USA and/or the_west will "own" some of the contours of this unprecedented uprising in the middle east - get to influence its eventual shape. the crudest form being that now libyans will "owe us" something. yes there are massive downsides but i suppose the thinking is that there could be massive upsides as well.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:50 (thirteen years ago) link

and hey, it pisses china and russia off, so

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:51 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer i really wonder why the stated objective of a 'humanitarian intervention' is so hard for you to accept as the real motivation for this.

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 15:56 (thirteen years ago) link

what about this resembles a humanitarian intervention? we've chosen sides in a civil war. that's it.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:02 (thirteen years ago) link

well, go tell the president!

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:02 (thirteen years ago) link

'they can't be this simple-minded, there must be some other calculation'

yeah well no

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:03 (thirteen years ago) link

our "humanitarian intervention" in Kosovo simply accelerated the killing, I seem to recall

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:07 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't see why it can't be both humanitarian AND opportunistic. it's some combination of both imho

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:08 (thirteen years ago) link

bad show Morbz

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:08 (thirteen years ago) link

altho as I've said before: in Libya, as in Kosov, this would all be brought to a much tidier resolution if we could execute a little targeted decapitation of the leaders in question. The Bosnian conflict wouldn't have gotten nearly so bad if Milosevic had been killed earlier, and Libya would similarly have benefited from Kaddaffey being iced earlier in this flare-up.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:10 (thirteen years ago) link

(and before anyone jumps on me yes I am perfectly aware of why this strategy - while most likely very effective - is also completely illegal, dangerous, and not really possible to implement)

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:10 (thirteen years ago) link

'they can't be this simple-minded, there must be some other calculation'

yeah well no

it's plausible that all they really want to do is protect the anti-gaddafi fighters, sure. but it really is a measure of those fighters' ineptitude that close air support for their operations is being billed as "humanitarian intervention"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:17 (thirteen years ago) link

The "humanitarian" aspects of this are bogus. Qaddafi was just a run of the mill bad guy dictator until a small fraction of the population took up arms against him and he retaliated (which is of course no different than how Qaddafi himself took power, except he won). This was not genocide in progress. This was not pointless, malicious mass murdering of innocent women and children. This was a bad guy, with many decades of bad guy-ness to his name, suppressing a limited uprising.

Playing realpolitik here, since when did anyone give a shit about the Libyan people, any more than the millions of oppressed people elsewhere in the region at large we'd managed to more or less ignore until they started taking matters into their own hands a few months ago?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:17 (thirteen years ago) link

The "humanitarian" aspects of this are bogus. Qaddafi was just a run of the mill bad guy dictator until a small fraction of the population took up arms against him and he retaliated (which is of course no different than how Qaddafi himself took power, except he won). This was not genocide in progress. This was not pointless, malicious mass murdering of innocent women and children. This was a bad guy, with many decades of bad guy-ness to his name, suppressing a limited uprising.

Playing realpolitik here, since when did anyone give a shit about the Libyan people, any more than the millions of oppressed people elsewhere in the region at large we'd managed to more or less ignore until they started taking matters into their own hands a few months ago?

― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, March 22, 2011 4:17 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

is this true? what are you basing your knowledge of the scale of this on? not saying your wrong per se, but you're contending a pretty diff picture than what id read so i was wondering if u have some info i dont

D-40, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:22 (thirteen years ago) link

"Genocide". STOP USING THIS WORD, WORLD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Tom D (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:24 (thirteen years ago) link

i can't wait to see what action the UN security council takes when pres. obiang takes his inevitable revenge on the people organizing protests on march 23rd in equatorial guinea

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:24 (thirteen years ago) link

Also, this "he kills his own people" thing, how is that worse than killing anybody else?

Tom D (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:26 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post Well, here's what I mean. In Kosovo, there were people - men, women, children - targeted and killed based on their ethnicity. In Iraq, too (Kurds). In Afghanistan, no one would challenge the Taliban's active, aggressive, expansionist oppressiveness. Not saying they necessarily justified intervention, but at least there was some justification. But AFAIK, Qaddafi treated his whole country equally bad, and currently is repelling a rebellion.

Would we intervene on behalf of the Tibetan people vs. China? The Zimbabweans vs. Mugabe? Clearly Bahrain is SOL. Somalia began as a humanitarian mission, before we just held up our hands and said fuck it. What made Libya, of all the rotten or broken countries in the world, worth the potential costs of intervention?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:33 (thirteen years ago) link

i mean the guy's a total monster but i don't recall anything in libya over the last couple of months being as bad as those snipers killing 50 protesters in yemen the other day from the rooftops. the civil war in libya ramped up quick; it was soldier v soldier almost immediately. correct me if i'm wrong goole but it's the positions of rebel soldiers being protected here, not civilians.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Though of course, the rebels are "civilians."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:39 (thirteen years ago) link

are people actually claiming that qaddafi is committing genocide? or is that just something youre saying?

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:41 (thirteen years ago) link

this really cant be said enough, but "there are dictators all over the world" isnt an argument against libyan intervention.

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:42 (thirteen years ago) link

we give a shit about libya over bahrain or china because we feel as though we can make a positive difference at a low cost to our resources, int'l standing, money, investments, whatever

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:43 (thirteen years ago) link

i keep hearing we have to 'prevent a genocide'

Godspeed HOOS! Black Steendriver (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:44 (thirteen years ago) link

from

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer

ancient, but very sexy (DJP), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:45 (thirteen years ago) link

ban tracer

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:45 (thirteen years ago) link

I've heard it used in the media and by idiot politicians. I've heard all of the old Saddam cliches wheeled out... though, bizarrely, it was Gadaffi who brought up Hitler first, getting his retaliation in first I suppose

Tom D (Tom D.), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:47 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post Well, here's what I mean. In Kosovo, there were people - men, women, children - targeted and killed based on their ethnicity. In Iraq, too (Kurds). In Afghanistan, no one would challenge the Taliban's active, aggressive, expansionist oppressiveness. Not saying they necessarily justified intervention, but at least there was some justification. But AFAIK, Qaddafi treated his whole country equally bad, and currently is repelling a rebellion.

I don't get this at all. So ending ethnic cleansing is theoretically a justification for military intervention - but if men, women and children are being killed for reasons other than ethnicity, there is no justification?

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:48 (thirteen years ago) link

this really cant be said enough, but "there are dictators all over the world" isnt an argument against libyan intervention.

it's actually an argument for intervention ALL OVER THE WORLD. get ready, equatorial guinea

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:49 (thirteen years ago) link

yes milo that's EXACTLY what everyone's saying

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Um... Tracer, I'm responding to a paragraph which says exactly that. I didn't say anything about what other people believe.

Christ.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:51 (thirteen years ago) link

I, at least, never said Qaddafi was committing genocide. In fact, my point is that he is clearly not committing genocide, which in the recent past has been an excuse for intervention in various hot spots. As far as I know, he has not even been targeting men, women and children, specifically. He has been targeting a group of people who have undeniably taken up arms with the goal being his ouster or death. I don't support the dude one bit, but what is he supposed to do? Just die?

There are lots of reasons against Libyan intervention, but I have yet to hear a coherent pro that doesn't implicate a dozen other countries and/or failed states. To call this a cheap use of our resources both underplays the potential cost as well as the many potential damages, with the benefit being ... goodwill on behalf of some Libyans? Will they greet us as liberators?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:51 (thirteen years ago) link

hmm a couple benefits might be "libyan civilians dont get massacred by a dictator" and also "a brutal autocrat no longer oppresses a country"

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:52 (thirteen years ago) link

correct me if i'm wrong goole but it's the positions of rebel soldiers being protected here, not civilians.

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, March 22, 2011 11:37 AM (7 minutes ago) Bookmark

i'm not the guy you ought to be arguing with then. you keep saying there must be more to the administration thinking than 'protecting the libyan people', for all these other reasons, it just can't possibly make sense! nobody could really say that with a straight face!

i'm saying, yes, that's what they are doing, that's what they think they're doing. i get that people look askance at the idea of 'humanitarian intervention'. but i really don't get why you don't think Obama et al really believe that's what they're doing.

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:53 (thirteen years ago) link

There was no genocide in Kosovo, Afghanistan or Iraq - the examples you used as potentially justified interventions. So I don't really know why you'd hold Qaddafi to a genocide standard here?

I'm not arguing about the correctness of your opposition to the Libyan action (or anyone's support for), but your argument seems terribly illogical to me.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

xxp, of course

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry for my tone, milo, you're right

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

for one thing, behind those 'positions of rebel soldiers' is a whole city full of people.

there are plenty of stories of gov't forces carrying out violent reprisals against non-combatants, and shelling into cities

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:55 (thirteen years ago) link

The killing of innocent Libyan citizens is one thing, the targeting of innocent Libyan civilians another. This isn't one of those deals where a dictator invented a rebellion just so he can kill off a few thousand unarmed opponents. They started this! Again, what was he supposed to do? Give up his 40 year dictatorship and hand over the keys?

And re: freeing the country from the rule of a brutal autocrat, please. Qaddafi can get in line.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:57 (thirteen years ago) link

our "humanitarian intervention" in Kosovo simply accelerated the killing, I seem to recall

They were already killing people before the intervention, Morbz. Do you think they would have just stopped out of goodwill if NATO had done nothing?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 16:57 (thirteen years ago) link

the rebels held a city. the city liked the rebels. if gaddaffi had taken the city, all the rebel sympathizers or suspected rebel sympathizers in the city would have been killed. we know this because he kept saying it, on tv, in between charlie sheen broadcasts. and not that it's really relevant but it actually would have been way worse than 50 people in yemen. it's not about what happened "over the past couple months"; it's about what was gonna happen in like a week.

obviously there are a billion places in the world where Bad Stuff happens and "we" don't "care", and obviously using the word "genocide" here is a really regrettable linguistic error, but to outright deny that the u.n. has any humanitarian impulses at all is kinda silly.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:00 (thirteen years ago) link

The killing of innocent Libyan citizens is one thing, the targeting of innocent Libyan civilians another. This isn't one of those deals where a dictator invented a rebellion just so he can kill off a few thousand unarmed opponents. They started this! Again, what was he supposed to do? Give up his 40 year dictatorship and hand over the keys?

And re: freeing the country from the rule of a brutal autocrat, please. Qaddafi can get in line.

― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, March 22, 2011 12:57 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

waht

call all destroyer, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:00 (thirteen years ago) link

"guys, he was here, we should be cool to him"

call all destroyer, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:00 (thirteen years ago) link

The killing of innocent Libyan citizens is one thing, the targeting of innocent Libyan civilians another. This isn't one of those deals where a dictator invented a rebellion just so he can kill off a few thousand unarmed opponents. They started this! Again, what was he supposed to do? Give up his 40 year dictatorship and hand over the keys?

Uh... sorry, I don't think I can talk about this with you.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Right now the rebel counteradvance is being stalled 100 km south of Benghazi (10 km N of Sultan, identified from Al Jazeera footage) by daylight ambushes. Today's pro-Gaddafi MO is to hang back behind a low rise/berm, ambush lead rebel vehicles with large caliber MG fire at 700-1000 m. The rebels make frantic U-turns in confusion, drive back a couple of km, park and mill about on the side of the road. The pro-Gaddafi units use this time to plot an artillery solution on the congregation. A few burning vehicles and body parts are left in the rebel's hasty retreat.

I've completely changed opinions on the rebel chances over the past two weeks. All Libyan men serve 6 months conscription (enough for basic arms proficiency and indoctrination in following commands). I assumed that with high morale and numerous former officers they'd be ragtag but at least have someone collecting intel, setting objectives, running recon, organizing a LRDG-like raiding group etc. Now I pretty much agree with a colonel on the rebel side (quoted by Al Jaz) that the kids are "brave but suicidal". This was true with the Sunni insurgency in Iraq too. What eventually happens is that the suicidally brave are culled, leaving a smaller but more calculating core of guerrilas, but it takes a few years.

Assuming the UN coalition's orders are "enforce a no fly zone, and halt any pro-Gaddafi columns advancing within 100 km of Benghazi", this civil war could stagnate near this point on the map for quite some time.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:02 (thirteen years ago) link

so close to Godwining this with a reference to putting down the Warsaw Rebellion or something

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:02 (thirteen years ago) link

xxxp: josh's point makes sense re: a head of state's right to put down violent military uprisings in his country. the intervention happened after gaddaffi made it clear a whole lot of civilians were going to be tortured to death.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:02 (thirteen years ago) link

Seriously, the goal here seems to be as noble as possible: free people from a dictator, protect the lives of innocents. I'm all for that, because how can you not be? But practically speaking, that alone, as noble and great an idealistic a goal as it is, is shaky grounds for intervention, especially in context. How long will we "care?" How long should we "care?" How long should a no-fly zone be imposed? What happens if/when the rebels lose? What then? We just shrug and leave Qaddafi to his malevolent whims?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:03 (thirteen years ago) link

haha goole are you suggesting that gaddafi's dudes were marching towards benghazi like "we are gonna kill all this women and children" and the rebels stepped in between them? benghazi is the rebel base - it's where most of their fighters are (setting aside the various tribes and factions within the libyan resistance and their differing agendas). if you're gonna crush a rebellion that's where you're gonna go. again, i'm not giving gaddafi credit for being some kind of good guy but the civilians killed in libya so far fit entirely under the "normal" kind of tit-for-tat retribution, collateral damage, and just plain mistakes that happen in any war. it is horrible but it's like, this is what happens when civil wars start.

so if the motivation behind the_west's military intervention were merely to save innocent lives, there are far starker humanitarian crises to blow billions of dollars on. right? so there have to be other motivations. i'm just trying to work out what those are. it's sorta weird how that seems like an offensive thing for me to be doing!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Like, I'm "for" intervention, in the abstract. But practically speaking, I'm still waiting for a clear idea of what we aim to achieve, and how we hope to achieve it.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:04 (thirteen years ago) link

How long will we "care?" How long should we "care?" How long should a no-fly zone be imposed? What happens if/when the rebels lose? What then? We just shrug and leave Qaddafi to his malevolent whims?

these are all good questions and i am not all that optimistic about our ability to answer them. but like i said upthread, i'm still glad gaddafi didn't enter benghazi.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:05 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah i think everyone's on the same page there. its just not clear that this is worse than the alternative

D-40, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:06 (thirteen years ago) link

re: josh's quote DLH quoted

D-40, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:06 (thirteen years ago) link

Defending Qaddafi on killing civilians because the rebels are among them is a bit too "Well, that Pashtun wedding shouldn't have looked like an al-Qaeda training camp" and "Palestinian parents should move their children so that when the Israelis blow up buildings they aren't hurt."

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:07 (thirteen years ago) link

so if the motivation behind the_west's military intervention were merely to save innocent lives, there are far starker humanitarian crises to blow billions of dollars on. right?

sure, but not all of them have a pre-existing armed rebellion to back and a whole lot of international support including from the arab league whom we would be very excited to get some props from post-egypt. so yeah, there are Other Motives, but they're not all necessarily OIL! or whatever.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:08 (thirteen years ago) link

(well for the french there's probably some OIL! involved)

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:08 (thirteen years ago) link

Do you think they would have just stopped (killing) out of goodwill if NATO had done nothing?

Based on everything I read at the time, some bombs might've helped 5 years before Clinton dropped them. Too bad Monica was still in high school then.

"there are dictators all over the world" isnt an argument against libyan intervention

oh sure it is.

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:09 (thirteen years ago) link

Based on everything I read at the time, some bombs might've helped 5 years before Clinton dropped them. Too bad Monica was still in high school then.

― Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, March 22, 2011 5:09 PM (4 seconds ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

sounds like rushing to war.

D-40, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:09 (thirteen years ago) link

Worrying about exit strategy is perfectly valid, but often the game is just about retaining options til the next move. At the rate of the pro-Gaddafi advance last week there were likely to be no palatable options for intervention shortly.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:10 (thirteen years ago) link

this thread makin me get all morbius up in here

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:12 (thirteen years ago) link

Josh I would just like to point out that you are totally wrong in characterizing this as something the rebels "started". Protests started out peacefully, Qaddafi reacted violently, killing innocents, arresting and torturing protesters, brutal military crackdown etc. then the fighting started.

xp

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:13 (thirteen years ago) link

That's fair enough, though par for the course for the guy who was already a human rights pariah. But again, how is the situation any better off, now we're between him and his targets? Is this just a game of chicken, to see who packs up first? Because unfortunately I put my money on the guy with billions of ill-gotten funds who has been the repressive dictator of Libya for 40 years.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:14 (thirteen years ago) link

so if the motivation behind the_west's military intervention were merely to save innocent lives, there are far starker humanitarian crises to blow billions of dollars on. right? so there have to be other motivations. i'm just trying to work out what those are. it's sorta weird how that seems like an offensive thing for me to be doing!

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, March 22, 2011 12:04 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark

no there don't! that's what i keep saying. there really don't. libya just 'happened.' and here we are.

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:15 (thirteen years ago) link

But again, how is the situation any better off, now we're between him and his targets?

you kind of answer the question there

max, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:15 (thirteen years ago) link

So we're/the UN is a permanent occupying force until he steps down?

Like, no one will defend the guy, one of the baddest dictators of all time. Of all time! But this is the same bad guy we just renewed ties with a few years ago to reward him for good behavior, no?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:16 (thirteen years ago) link

the guy with billions of ill-gotten funds who has been the repressive dictator of Libya for 40 year

these kinds of guys tend to not have real good track records fwiw. most of them come to an ignominious end.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:17 (thirteen years ago) link

But this is the same bad guy we just renewed ties with a few years ago to reward him for good behavior, no?

this was stupid but also totally self-serving - Qaddafi hates Islamists cuz they threaten his power, we hate Islamists cuz they blow up shit. Win win! The enemy of my enemy is my friend etc

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:17 (thirteen years ago) link

So we're/the UN is a permanent occupying force until he steps down?

who the fuck is occupying anything?

call all destroyer, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:19 (thirteen years ago) link

xp Josh re "I put my money on the guy with billions of ill-gotten funds":

The French presidential election is April/May 2012.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Like, no one will defend the guy, one of the baddest dictators of all time. Of all time!

You kind of are, though. He's only killing civilians, not targeting them!

But this is the same bad guy we just renewed ties with a few years ago to reward him for good behavior, no?

What's with all the sweeping they and us statements - Benghazi is entirely occupied by rebels from infants to grandmothers, 'we' renewed ties.

Far as I know, Obama wasn't President when we "renewed ties" (which 'we' of course, had no say in) and infants are rarely politically conscious.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:22 (thirteen years ago) link

goole i think we are talkin past each other - i totally agree with you that the people makin the decisions (hillary, gates, obama, sarko, etc) may really be totally pure at heart about all this and are like god love this li'l ragtag group of teenage boys who are takin the fight to gaddafi, we can't just let em get deadded, this could be a decisive moment for an unprecedented wave of middle east uprising and send a message to other countries in the region that they'd better play nice - whoa but i've already just exceeded your mandate of "that's all it is" - as soon as you start making decisions based on "sending messages" or whatever we are into what i am calling "other motivations". which is fine! they don't have to be sinister! or competently thought through! or even conscious at all! but they're there. otherwise every li'l ragtag army of incompetents would get the same treatment, and they don't.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:23 (thirteen years ago) link

But these were ragtag incompetents with Facebook pages, blogs, and streaming TV.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Milo, I mean "we" in the sense that "we" - the US, the UN, "the west" at large - will all take the blame if this goes bad or gets worse. I've never personally authorized a single military action, and I assume neither have you.

I hate the idea of anyone dying here, short of Qaddafi himself, but it's a civil war, isn't it? If one side isn't dying the other will be. The only way to prevent bloodshed is to put peacekeepers on the ground, and I haven't heard anyone suggest such a crazy thing. Though if this were truly an international crisis I imagine all options would be on the table, not just the current tentative steps being taken.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:28 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost Well as I understood it the main broader motive here was to stop the region's dictators getting the idea that they can put down a rebellion with military massacres. The repression elsewhere isn't (yet) on the same scale. Also events in Tunisia and Egypt had focussed the world's attention on north Africa so this was already a bigger deal for the western public than, say, Ivory Coast - not fair, perhaps, but a factor.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:30 (thirteen years ago) link

dictators getting the idea that they can put down a rebellion with military massacres

But isn't this basically what makes dictators dictators?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:32 (thirteen years ago) link

For comparison, the cost of enforcing no-fly zones in Northern and Southern Iraq from 1991-2003 is estimated at about 1 billion/year (excluding the 1998 Desert Fox / Lewinsky distraction airstrikes). The incremental cost of flying over hostile territory isn't that much greater than that of just procuring, maintaining and training in peacetime.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:32 (thirteen years ago) link

Greenwald (in part):

I understand -- and absolutely believe -- that many people who support the intervention in Libya are doing so for good and noble reasons: disgust at standing by and watching Gadaffi murder hundreds or thousands of rebels. I also believe that some people who supported the attack on Iraq did so out of disgust for Saddam Hussein and a desire to see him removed from power. It's commendable to oppose that type of despotism, and I understand -- and share -- the impulse.

But what I cannot understand at all is how people are willing to believe that the U.S. Government is deploying its military and fighting this war because, out of abundant humanitarianism, it simply cannot abide internal repression, tyranny and violence against one's own citizens. This is the same government that enthusiastically supports and props up regimes around the world that do exactly that, and that have done exactly that for decades.

By all accounts, one of the prime administration advocates for this war was Hillary Clinton; she's the same person who, just two years ago, said this about the torture-loving Egyptian dictator: "I really consider President and Mrs. Mubarak to be friends of my family." They're the same people overseeing multiple wars that routinely result in all sorts of atrocities. They are winking and nodding to their Yemeni, Bahrani and Saudi friends who are doing very similar things to what Gadaffi is doing, albeit (for now) on a smaller scale. They just all suddenly woke up one day and decided to wage war in an oil-rich Muslim nation because they just can't stand idly by and tolerate internal repression and violence against civilians? Please.

For the reasons I identified the other day, there are major differences between the military actions in Iraq and Libya. But what is true of both -- as is true for most wars -- is that each will spawn suffering for some people even if they alleviate it for others. Dropping lots of American bombs on a country tends to kill a lot of innocent people. For that reason, indifference to suffering is often what war proponents -- not war opponents -- are guilty of. But whatever else is true, the notion that opposing a war is evidence of indifference to tyranny and suffering is equally simple-minded, propagandistic, manipulative and intellectually bankrupt in both the Iraq and Libya contexts. And, in particular, those who opposed or still oppose intervention in Bahrain, Yemen, Egypt, Iraq, the Sudan, against Israel, in the Ivory Coast -- and/or any other similar places where there is widespread human-caused suffering -- have no business advancing that argument.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:33 (thirteen years ago) link

I have no idea what point "just dictators being dictators" is supposed to make, tbh.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:34 (thirteen years ago) link

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:35 (thirteen years ago) link

greenwald has his uses and i'm extremely glad that he's around but god he's just this perpetual 12-year-old who can't get over Hypocrisy. OF COURSE WE LET SOME DICTATORS GO AND ATTACK OTHERS. OF COURSE WE DO. that's not a reason to oppose this happy moment when we had enough geopolitical interest in something that was also a humanitarian concern, or to assume that we have absolutely no humanitarian impulses at all.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:37 (thirteen years ago) link

And, in particular, those who opposed or still oppose intervention in Bahrain, Yemen, Egypt, Iraq, the Sudan, against Israel, in the Ivory Coast -- and/or any other similar places where there is widespread human-caused suffering -- have no business advancing that argument.

Iraq?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:37 (thirteen years ago) link

or to assume that we, like, plan everything. xp

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Good job bundling together half a dozen hugely different situations though.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:38 (thirteen years ago) link

also lol "in part" because it wouldn't be a greenwald post without 8239528952 paragraphs

UPDATE: three more paragraphs
UPDATE II: wait i remembered something else to be petulant about

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:39 (thirteen years ago) link

greenwald has his uses and i'm extremely glad that he's around but god he's just this perpetual 12-year-old who can't get over Hypocrisy. OF COURSE WE LET SOME DICTATORS GO AND ATTACK OTHERS. OF COURSE WE DO. t

I don't think that's his point – in fact he explained how and why Iraq and Libya are different.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:40 (thirteen years ago) link

i just like the idea of hillary having a really great dinner with President and Mrs. Mubarak

velko, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:40 (thirteen years ago) link

I think the "why not dictator x too?" argument can be disingenuous - as if critics of the Libyan action would be overjoyed at intervention in any of those other countries, most of whom have oil or mineral wealth or gas pipelines or something that would be brought up as a criticism. It's a bogus alternative.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:43 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't think that's his point – in fact he explained how and why Iraq and Libya are different.

he mentioned that a difference exists, yes, to head off the comments. but he spent pretty much all of his rhetorical time on "but they're still both wars and wars are :(" and "look at all these other dictators, if we REALLY loved our brothers we'd kill ALL of them" and even managed to fit in a quick "oil!" mention. his thesis, at least in what you quoted, is "the u.s. government doesn't REALLY care, wake up sheeple". which is booooooooooooooooooring.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:44 (thirteen years ago) link

"Would you like the snifters or champagne glasses?"

http://commentmideast.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/t1larg.clinton.mubarak.afp_..jpg

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:45 (thirteen years ago) link

oh sorry i forgot the part where he says "no, YOU'RE indifferent to suffering".

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:45 (thirteen years ago) link

hahaha

ancient, but very sexy (DJP), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

But these were ragtag incompetents with Facebook pages, blogs, and streaming TV.

no this is a good point - i've been reading some pretty raw accounts by someone actually in benghazi as i type this and he has been very impressed by the media savvy of the benghazites - he says they're always busy, busy updating web sites, making phone calls, etc. but he also says - and this is just one very jaded dude talking, so take w grain of salt - that they have lied over and over again - about air attacks that didn't exist, about people killed that didn't exist - and he was sorta leaning no intervention happening because he figured the_west was not into this sort of crying wolf (and that made him anxious, because everybody on the ground could see that the rebels really WERE going to get the shit kicked out of them if nothing changed)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:48 (thirteen years ago) link

his thesis, at least in what you quoted, is "the u.s. government doesn't REALLY care, wake up sheeple". which is booooooooooooooooooring.

Failing to entertain, the truth sucketh

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

the sheeple bat-signal

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

besides, I agree w/ Bill Maher, the American public is more like a dog. A fat, stupid dog.

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost

It's a bogus alternative.

But it's not an alternative at all, it just underscores what a rocky precedent this sets. "The west" is picking a fight with a dictator over his treatment of his people, siding with rebels out to take him down. But what dictator doesn't have an opposition? Picking and choosing fights is the prerogative of the people with the bigger guns, but the result is that it's righteous military interventions like this one that ultimately seem disingenuous. And the last thing the region needs is more reasons to doubt the motivations of "the west."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:55 (thirteen years ago) link

besides, I agree w/ Bill Maher, the American public is more like a dog. A fat, stupid dog.

And Maher is the sheeple watching them?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:56 (thirteen years ago) link

look, no government in the history of ever has just "not cared". that's not how history works. governments aren't sociopaths. governments are extremely complex entities caught up in a historical tide with a huge amount of momentum, and they act based on a combination of self-interest and ideology; prediction and guesswork; selfishness and generosity. if you want to actually understand a historical moment, instead of just dropping a few emptyheaded one-liners of impregnable cynicism but of absolutely no depth or usefulness or contextual relevance, you have to consider everything, with curiosity, empathy, and openmindedness, and also you have to consider the incontrovertible fact that governments, especially in fast-moving times of crisis, do not actually know everything about why they are doing what they are doing. that's what historians are for. what ten-paragraph essays attacking imaginary people who think that the united states government is the red cross are for has yet to be determined.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:56 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm just kind of amazed at how easily people here for whom i have a tremendous admiration and respect can be all "the world will be a better place with (x) gone". i mean, we make fun of blair and bush and cheney for saying this stuff because these are not good justifications. even if they're true, or said sincerely.

personally it's very hard for me to see any conflict where i'd be alright with the united states sending in fighter jets and cruise missiles and whatever. maybe the congo, ten years ago? i don't know.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:57 (thirteen years ago) link

I agree w/ Bill Maher

oh this explains it. carry on.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 17:59 (thirteen years ago) link

Would endorse a Security Council vote to eliminate Bill Maher for reliance on cynicism to mask deep disinterest in history.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:01 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost

you have to consider the incontrovertible fact that governments, especially in fast-moving times of crisis, do not actually know everything about why they are doing what they are doing. that's what historians are for.

Good point. We should therefore all chill and wait to see how this plays out in 10 or 20 years.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:02 (thirteen years ago) link

We should therefore all chill and wait to see how this plays out in 10 or 20 years.

no this wasn't part of the "what should we do about libya" argument, it was part of the "is falling back on shallow TV sound bytes re: the callousness of the united states government a useful or interesting thing to do" argument. you can do history while it happens as long as you try.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:04 (thirteen years ago) link

but i mean then you might actually have to think about stuff. or have doubts. which are bummers.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:04 (thirteen years ago) link

there are things I detest about Bill Maher (and difficult listening hour) too.

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:07 (thirteen years ago) link

like smug atheism

Fuck bein' hard, Dr Morbz is complicated (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:08 (thirteen years ago) link

stop being creepy, morbius

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:08 (thirteen years ago) link

"the world will be a better place with (x) gone"

better to say that it would be better had he never been around. but yeah, the attempt to make (x) gone might just make a shitty situation chaotic and shittier. this goes for internal and external pressure.

but the libyans who started protesting -- all across libya, in tripoli too -- weren't really waiting for anybody's permission. they were pretty sure that, not the world, but libya itself would be better with Q gone.

sorry to be a pedant as always, but iirc the sequence went like this:

- after tunisia and egypt, libyans get in on the "dictators out" act
- Q shows no dignified restraint and starts putting it down by any means nec
- 'protesters' quickly become? are replaced by? are intermixed with? are simultaneously? 'rebels' (ie guns out) (this transition has been under-explained imo)
- 'rebels' fare no better than 'protester's, worse actually, as Q's forces clear out uncooperative territory, starting with the capital
- world gets invovled, drawing a ring around the last rebel-held city

the point i'm trying to get to is that there a HUGE element to this that happened way beyond the_west's plans for anything.

goole, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:10 (thirteen years ago) link

protesters' quickly become? are replaced by? are intermixed with? are simultaneously? 'rebels' (ie guns out) (this transition has been under-explained imo)

Yeah, if someone wants to post a helpful news article. This ignorance has shaped a lot of my attitudes.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:12 (thirteen years ago) link

i myself am a smug pantheist.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:13 (thirteen years ago) link

To be honest, it's useful to pause every once and a while and try to piece things in order like that. This is all happening very fast, in several places at once. (Which is yet another reason "the west" may have been rash in committing here so soon; God only knows what next week has in store.)

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:14 (thirteen years ago) link

all signs point to mass slaughter if we had waited any longer

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:16 (thirteen years ago) link

like, Capital Q's troops were within 24 hours of taking Benghazi and after that, the jig would be up

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:17 (thirteen years ago) link

Picking and choosing fights is the prerogative of the people with the bigger guns, but the result is that it's righteous military interventions like this one that ultimately seem disingenuous. And the last thing the region needs is more reasons to doubt the motivations of "the west."

My rash thoughts: So because the US government has been disengenuous and hypocritical in the past (and present) and its motivations cannot be trusted, and there are dictators everywhere, and innocent civilians get hurt if you try to stop a dictator, the US should never get involved anywhere? I'm not quite comfortable with that but I guess some of you are.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:17 (thirteen years ago) link

xp

yeah the painful thing is that in many ways we went in too hastily and in many other ways we went in too slowly

and in some ways we went in juuuuuuuuuuust right (maybe)

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:18 (thirteen years ago) link

But the mass slaughter will resume the minute "the west" stops enforcing a no-fly zone, right? So we didn't stop anything. We indefinitely postponed it, barring the removal of Qaddafi.

xp I think the US should get involved more places - providing food, medicine, even intelligence and strategic assistance, but ideally not directly militarily. Again, if this particular rebellion cannot topple Qaddafi without the help of the west, then essentially the west is trying to topple Qaddafi. But we're not trying that hard, since toppling Qaddafi has been ruled out as a goal. Which leaves the west in an awkward bind.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:25 (thirteen years ago) link

We're committed to something we won't commit to.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:26 (thirteen years ago) link

But the mass slaughter will resume the minute "the west" stops enforcing a no-fly zone, right?

pretty sure the no-fly zone will be enforced until Qawdaffy's gone

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:27 (thirteen years ago) link

i'm just kind of amazed at how easily people here for whom i have a tremendous admiration and respect can be all "the world will be a better place with (x) gone". i mean, we make fun of blair and bush and cheney for saying this stuff because these are not good justifications. even if they're true, or said sincerely.

That's either not really true or a sad indictment of progressivism/liberalism/leftism.

We don't make fun of Bush and Cheney and Blair for saying the world would be a better place for (x) being dead - we make fun of them because they say this with a blinded fervor and a disregard for facts (both of the necessity/justness and what the action will create down the road).

I'd like to think people left of center can get behind the basic statement that the world is generally a better place when autocrats and dictators are no longer breathing. This doesn't mean that you support Global Thermonuclear War or even intervention in all instances (because intervention can make things worse) - but a recognition that a moral high ground exists, and that you and I have it over Qaddafi, is sort of valuable.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:29 (thirteen years ago) link

the last thing the region needs is more reasons to doubt the motivations of "the west."

Russia's Lukoil, China's CNPC, Malaysia's Petronas, Italy's ENI, Britain's BP all got major contracts rebuilding Iraqi oil infrastructure. As far as I can tell, US corporations are a distinct minority.

I do think deterring anti-American/anti-West attitudes among Libyan Islamists was distinct thread in the decision to intervene. As Gaddafi attests (correctly), these are disproportionately concentrated in the regions now held by rebels.

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:45 (thirteen years ago) link

My rash thoughts: So because the US government has been disengenuous and hypocritical in the past (and present) and its motivations cannot be trusted, and there are dictators everywhere, and innocent civilians get hurt if you try to stop a dictator, the US should never get involved anywhere?

Well yes, this is a very common argument in certain quarters. It's consistent, I'll give it that.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Irrationality/inconsistency is v useful in foreign policy. Going to town on K*dafy puts e.g. Assad in a hell of a difficult position should the protests ever reach Syria.

Ismael Klata, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 19:04 (thirteen years ago) link

haha goole are you suggesting that gaddafi's dudes were marching towards benghazi like "we are gonna kill all this women and children" and the rebels stepped in between them? benghazi is the rebel base - it's where most of their fighters are (setting aside the various tribes and factions within the libyan resistance and their differing agendas). if you're gonna crush a rebellion that's where you're gonna go. again, i'm not giving gaddafi credit for being some kind of good guy but the civilians killed in libya so far fit entirely under the "normal" kind of tit-for-tat retribution, collateral damage, and just plain mistakes that happen in any war. it is horrible but it's like, this is what happens when civil wars start.

so if the motivation behind the_west's military intervention were merely to save innocent lives, there are far starker humanitarian crises to blow billions of dollars on. right? so there have to be other motivations. i'm just trying to work out what those are. it's sorta weird how that seems like an offensive thing for me to be doing!

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, March 22, 2011 5:04 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

you give way more leeway to gadaffi here than the UN, or, i suppose, the_west

goole's post just above otm: this was not a 'civil war' started by armed rebels. this was gadaffi killing unarmed protesters just like in yemen. so "the civilians killed in libya so far fit entirely under the "normal" kind of tit-for-tat retribution, collateral damage, and just plain mistakes that happen in any war." really dog?

but anyway: have you figured it out yet, what the_west/UN gains? sweeter oil deals? they seemed sweet enough for BP et al. some oversight of the transition to a post-gadaffi libya? im willing to go there and say the second motivation isn't even that bad. potentially less bloody. i don't know. im halfway idealist -- not enough to think getting rid of gadaffi will solve everything in a minute. and i don't think the UN has been a complete waste of time over the years.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 19:16 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post

Protests have reached Syria and some protestors are already dead

By BASSEM MROUE, Associated Press Bassem Mroue, Associated Press – 51 mins ago
DAMASCUS, Syria – Protests spread in southern Syria Tuesday as hundreds of people marched to demand reforms in a previously peaceful village, witnesses and activists said.

In a nearby city, troops and protesters faced off outside a mosque where demonstrators have taken shelter.

The government sought to contain the first serious intrusion of the Arab world's political unrest by firing the governor of the southern province of Daraa, where security forces killed seven protesters in the main city of Daraa over the weekend.

The governor's dismissal failed to quell popular anger and the protests reached the village of Nawa, where hundreds of people marched demanding reforms, an activist told The Associated Press.

The activist said troops were trying to reach the mosque in Daraa's historic center where protesters have sought protection. He said protesters placed large rocks in the streets near the al-Omari mosque to block the troops.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110322/ap_on_re_mi_ea/ml_syria

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 19:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Hm okay, maybe Assad doesn't see it that way but he should.

Ismael Klata, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 19:36 (thirteen years ago) link

The latest edition in the Bombing Moe series:

http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/110322731-bombing-moe-gilt-furniture-and.htm

Gorge, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 19:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Good point. We should therefore all chill and wait to see how this plays out in 10 or 20 years.

― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 18:02 (2 hours ago) Bookmark

i'd just like to point out max said this like a month ago

Godspeed HOOS! Black Steendriver (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:08 (thirteen years ago) link

shoulda posted this here

Moammar Gadhafi's snipers and tanks are terrorizing civilians in the coastal city of Misrata, a resident said, and the U.S. military warned Tuesday it was "considering all options" in response to dire conditions there that have left people cowering in darkened homes and scrounging for food and rainwater.

Heavy anti-aircraft fire and loud explosions sounded in Tripoli after nightfall, possibly a new attack in the international air campaign that so far has focused on military targets. But conditions have deteriorated sharply in Misrata, the last major city in western Libya held by the rebel force trying to end Gadhafi's four-decade rule. Residents of the city 125 miles (200 kilometers) southeast of Tripoli, say shelling and sniper attacks are unrelenting. A doctor said tanks opened fire on a peaceful protest on Monday.

just a dictator soin some dictatin', nothing to see here...

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:14 (thirteen years ago) link

Maybe this isn't as obvious as I think it is, but isn't what makes a dictator a dictator the fact that they do and have done these kinds of things for years? Like, you're not a dictator upon taking office. First you have to prove your merits as a dictator but tormenting, oppressing and generally mistreating your people, right? Not saying being a dictator is a good thing and these abhorrent actions aren't worth objection, but this is where I detect disingenuousness on the part of the humanitarians: what made Qaddafi tolerable for the past four decades? What threshold did he cross, considering he's always been known as a bully, lunatic, terrorist supporter, serial human rights abuser and all-around terrible person? Is he qualitatively worse now?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:27 (thirteen years ago) link

I mean, he's not exactly evincing a sudden change of disposition. Dude's ruthless.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:29 (thirteen years ago) link

What threshold did he cross, considering he's always been known as a bully, lunatic, terrorist supporter, serial human rights abuser and all-around terrible person?

the threshhold that was crossed was that his people rebelled.

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:31 (thirteen years ago) link

hmm, i wonder what could possibly have held the_west back during the first and i guess most violent-est twenty years (other than, well, bombing tripoli). what could it possibly have been?

apparently it has got a mite less oppressive in the last decade, but that's exactly when revolutions begin: when things get a bit better.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 21:32 (thirteen years ago) link

^^^This is true. Qaddafi was starting to appear almost reasonable for helping out with TERROR stuff, Libya's in OPEC and his kids were studying abroad and writing very bad dissertations about opening up government in the developing world. I am hopeful because North African agitants thus far are not Islamic zealots; they're mostly young people not getting a fair crack of the whip but getting very pissed off with heads of state who have been in situ for 30 years and foment a cult of personality. This is, I hope, generational.

anna sui generis (suzy), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:10 (thirteen years ago) link

this kids were studying abroad and writing very bad dissertations

Which proves they've been Westernized.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:12 (thirteen years ago) link

the threshhold that was crossed was that his people rebelled.

The opportunity for the Libyans to determine their own government for the first time in ages is worthy. The opportunity for the US to help its image by helping is good. A democratic Libya between a democratic Egypt and a democratic Tunisia is nothing to sniff at. I wish them luck. They'll need it.

exécutés avec l’insolence accoutumée du (Michael White), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:13 (thirteen years ago) link

LOLSOTO what about the Beyonce gigs? Proof that MTV Base is/was the international soundtrack of jet-trash assholes who live in opulent transient beigeness the world over.

anna sui generis (suzy), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:18 (thirteen years ago) link

for lots of rich folks it pays to have fluctuating levels of ignorance and awareness and a conveniently timed sense of moral outrage

omar little, Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:22 (thirteen years ago) link

would just like to say the (albeit limited and scattered) political blowback Obama is getting in the US is alternately disgustingly opportunistic and pathetically blinkered

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:27 (thirteen years ago) link

So basically the usual, then.

anna sui generis (suzy), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:28 (thirteen years ago) link

mostly

Hyper Rescue Troop (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 22 March 2011 22:32 (thirteen years ago) link

A bit more about who the the rebels are, and the mushy area between nonviolent resistance and running gun battles:

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/22/world/africa/22tripoli.html

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 00:03 (thirteen years ago) link

And the story of the 4 journalists who were abducted:

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/23/world/africa/23times.html

(Should I be tweeting this and then linking to the tweet?? so confusing)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 00:23 (thirteen years ago) link

hillary is saying that qaddafi is looking for an exit strategy, which would be so great but strikes me as wishful thinking most likely

max, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 00:36 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry i mean what the hell do i know? i just feel like if i were qaddafi id be looking to make this as difficult as possible for the coalition forces

max, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 00:37 (thirteen years ago) link

the question there is how much his military will take. well, *a* question. hard to read his mind. by clinging on, he would make life very hard for western leaders. and im sure that does matter to him, but he ends up that dead that way, when he could just be chilling poolside in caracas.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 00:43 (thirteen years ago) link

The smartest thing Qaddafi could do is nothing, which would indeed make this as difficult as possible for the coalition forces.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 01:17 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't know how that works. not sure where the revenue comes from. feel like although the rebels are disorganized, gaddaffi pulling back from attacking benghazi (which is what 'doing nothing' means surely?) presages his downfall.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 01:26 (thirteen years ago) link

By nothing, I assume you mean "park the tanks next to kindergartens, and start disappearing suspected opponents of the Gaddafi clan at night".

What is here is dangerous and repulsive to us. (Sanpaku), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 01:27 (thirteen years ago) link

there's a lot of bullshit out there about this of course, but this might be the most annoying

http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/85528/we-intervene

nb i'm only thru the first paragraph so far

goole, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 16:15 (thirteen years ago) link

oh god why are you doing that to yourself?

max, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 16:19 (thirteen years ago) link

i dunno, it's like going to the gym or something

goole, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 16:21 (thirteen years ago) link

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/48/Flagellants.png

max, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 16:25 (thirteen years ago) link

That picture is how I feel for at least 50% of my time on the internet.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 16:57 (thirteen years ago) link

i need some shoes like that

goole, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 17:00 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2011/03/22/what-is-the-us-plan-for-libya?hp

All kinds of different ideas from putting Un peacekeepers in to enforce a ceasefire to splitting the country in 2 with a rebel East and a Quadaffi West, to coming up with carrots to get Quadaffi to go to Venezuela or using military sticks to end things for him

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 17:04 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12837330

Col Muammar Gaddafi's air force "no longer exists as a fighting force", the commander of British aircraft operating over Libya has said.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 18:09 (thirteen years ago) link

But his ground forces are still operating

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 23 March 2011 18:52 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh sure. It just makes it weird when people keep referring to the broader UN resolution as just a no-fly
zone when there's no more planes to fly.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 20:04 (thirteen years ago) link

I think there are plenty of planes left to fly, and plenty of anti-aircraft weaponry still in Gaddafi's hands but he's chosen not to use or expose them, pretty sensibly

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 22:27 (thirteen years ago) link

(Though I'm not suggesting for a minute they pose any kind of threat to the US)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 22:27 (thirteen years ago) link

I think there are plenty of planes left to fly

any source for this?

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Wednesday, 23 March 2011 23:59 (thirteen years ago) link

i haven't read or heard a single report of gaddafi's planes themselves being blown up. what i've been reading is that they are "grounded" as a result of command and control being degraded, and visible air defences being taken out. so they may as well not exist right now because they can't be protected and organized.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 24 March 2011 00:11 (thirteen years ago) link

not for the first time, seumas milne marks himself as a right cunt:

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/mar/23/nothing-moral-nato-intervention-libya

"western forces are in action against yet another Muslim state"

for dudes like gerry healy, not a million miles from milne ideologicially, the beauty of gadaffi's libya was its lefist secularism... but anyway onwards

As in Iraq and Afghanistan, they insist humanitarian motives are crucial. And as in both previous interventions, the media are baying for the blood of a pantomime villain leader, while regime change is quickly starting to displace the stated mission.

what is the object of this rhetoric? gadaffi is a bit pantomimic, yes. so was idi amin. it's as if milne wants to say the villain talk is all hype.

On the ground, the western attacks have failed to halt the fighting and killing

they seem to have stopped the advance into benghazi. ah, but then perhaps civilians in the east were not at risk. or had it coming:

As its secretary general, Amr Moussa, argued, the bombardment clearly went well beyond a no-fly zone from the outset. By attacking regime troops fighting rebel forces on the ground, the Nato governments are unequivocally intervening in a civil war, tilting the balance of forces in favour of the Benghazi-based insurrection.

well, the resolution called for more than a NFZ, for better or worse. but well, "regime troops fighting rebel forces", yeah i guess that's it, isn't it? he'll mention civilians being killed by western bombs -- legitimately -- but not, you know, the killing of unarmed civilians by libyan forces.

but then the massacre, says milne, was never going to happen...

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Thursday, 24 March 2011 08:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh, look, Syria is firing on its protestors, too.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 24 March 2011 11:44 (thirteen years ago) link

I rushed out of the house while trying to frame a response to the Milne piece that hm linked to and went to a meeting with a reporter who had been in Benghazi for 10 days before the intervention. She didn't tell me anything brand new but it was good to hear from someone who had been there. Her thoughts:

1. It feels more like a rebellion than a civil war because the rebels' passion dwarfs their organisational skills. They're doing everything on the hoof. She met some guys who were in a death metal band and had taken up arms when they saw their friends being killed. These are not trained fighters.

2. When she got there the atmosphere was like a festival and she saw graffiti reading NO FOREIGN INTERVENTION because they wanted it to be a purely Libyan affair but by the time she left she was convinced there would be a massacre and the rebels told her they were now desperate for intervention.

3. She thinks that the current media coverage, by focussing overwhelmingly on strategy and hardware, undersells the reasons for the intervention, which is a bunch of ordinary citizens who were on the verge of being massacred.

What angers me most about Milne's argument (apart from the fairly repellent suggestion that everything would have been fine) is the attempt to gloss over the major differences between the conflicts with phrases like "as in Iraq and Afghanistan" and "another muslim state". Even at the time it was obvious that, even when humanitarian factors were added to the mix, Afghanistan was about a response to 9/11 and Iraq was about removing a potential threat. There was no humanitarian emergency in either case - no sense that a week could make the difference between life and death for thousands of people. Whether you agree with the intervention or not, Libya is a different case.

Also, I don't know what he's trying to say by quoting this guy: "figures such as the Lebanese Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah have denounced the intervention as a return to the "days of occupation, colonisation and partition"." Hezbollah leader opposes the west? Wow.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 24 March 2011 12:35 (thirteen years ago) link

basically you can see milne as a realist-in-reverse. anything that he perceives as harming FSVO "the US national interest" is OK. i think i read another recent one where he was hoping tunisia got the islamist leaders it deserved. shares the realists' lack of interest in the lives of people who are not part of the political or military struggle, that is, most people.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Thursday, 24 March 2011 12:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Great post, thanks DL. I fucking hate Milne.

Ismael Klata, Thursday, 24 March 2011 12:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Truth be told, though, one reason there was no humanitarian disaster in Iraq is because we had a no-fly zone in place for a decade. And Afghanistan, to say what was going on there did not constitute a humanitarian disaster requires a pretty tight standard as to what constitutes a humanitarian disaster. The Taliban is/was as oppressive as any totalitarian government in history. But that Milne dude is wrong about lack of (or indifference to) moral obligation, even if he is right about hypocrisy.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 24 March 2011 12:51 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm with you on the Taliban - utter bastards - but that was not the main casus belli as I understood it. They were no more shitty in the weeks before the invasion than they had been up to that point afaik so it couldn't hold up as a humanitarian intervention, even if it had a (not uncomplicated) humanitarian upside. I don't know enough to guess at what Saddam would have done to his own people without a no-fly zone but that's a counterfactual - the way it shook down in 2003 there was no ticking-clock emergency scenario, except the alleged WMD one.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 24 March 2011 12:58 (thirteen years ago) link

slightly ot: Kosovo's the only time averting a humanitarian catastrophe has been used as a basis for military action, everything else has had UN cover. Meaning that it's still not clear whether the Kosovo intervention was legal or not (my view is that it was, for morality and because it would've been for the_west to deal with the consequences).

Ismael Klata, Thursday, 24 March 2011 13:08 (thirteen years ago) link

Sierra Leone is complicated though. From Wikipedia:

The situation in the country [after the UN action] deteriorated to such an extent that British troops were deployed in Operation Palliser, originally simply to evacuate foreign nationals. However, the British exceeded their original mandate, and took full military action to finally defeat the rebels and restore order. The British were the catalyst for the ceasefire that ended the civil war.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 24 March 2011 13:16 (thirteen years ago) link

However, the British exceeded their original mandate, and took full military action to finally defeat the rebels and restore order.

British Army did it themselves, without asking the British government first? I think that's right. General David Richards.

Tom D (Tom D.), Thursday, 24 March 2011 13:19 (thirteen years ago) link

More googling about Sierra Leone brings up this. Nice. Not that I want to make Gaddafi into a "pantomime villain", obvs.

Muammar al-Gaddafi both trained and supported Charles Taylor.[34] Gaddafi also helped Foday Sankoh, the founder of Revolutionary United Front.[35]

According to Douglas Farah:[35]

The amputation of the arms and legs of men, women, and children as part of a scorched-earth campaign was designed to take over the region’s rich diamond fields and was backed by Gaddafi, who routinely reviewed their progress and supplied weapons.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 24 March 2011 13:23 (thirteen years ago) link

I think there are plenty of planes left to fly

any source for this?

― BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Wednesday, March 23, 2011 11:59 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark

The fact that they just "shot down" (it was actually down but the principle seems the same) another plane would seem to suggest earlier pronouncements were a tad premature.

a lot is my favorite number (Ned Trifle II), Thursday, 24 March 2011 16:05 (thirteen years ago) link

there was a pretty good observer (uk) article on sierra leone just after the paper relaunched a while ago, in case anyone's interested. think the british are still considered liberators & blair is a hero, there.

your LiveJournal experience (schlump), Thursday, 24 March 2011 16:11 (thirteen years ago) link

The Washington Post has an article on the billions of dollars Libya has in bank accounts. The NY Times tracks some of the interesting ways Libya acquired cash:

In 2009, top aides to Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi called together 15 executives from global energy companies operating in Libya’s oil fields and issued an extraordinary demand: Shell out the money for his country’s $1.5 billion bill for its role in the downing of Pan Am Flight 103 and other terrorist attacks

Libya became so flush with cash that Bernard L. Madoff, the New York financial manager who stole billions of dollars in a long-running Ponzi scheme, approached officials overseeing the country’s $70 billion sovereign fund a few years ago about an “investment opportunity,” according to a State Department summary of the episode in 2010. “We did not accept,” a Libyan official reported

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/24/world/africa/24qaddafi.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha2

curmudgeon, Thursday, 24 March 2011 16:55 (thirteen years ago) link

NATO reached the agreement to take over full command of the military campaign in Libya as allied warplanes delivered a ferocious round of airstrikes on Libyan ground forces. NY Times

curmudgeon, Thursday, 24 March 2011 20:45 (thirteen years ago) link

not sure i agree with history mayne and dl in their reading of milne's piece. does he really insinuate that if there were no intervention everything would be fine? sure, he suggests that gaddafi's forces were not capable of taking benghazi, but if that line is to be doubted then i'm equally doubtful of cameron's line of "phew thank god we got there JUST in time".

the elephant in the room is the reason for intervention. and nothing from the coalition of the willing suggests that they have a coherent agreed reason. on the contrary, countries are covering their tracks with different rhetorics (in particular the oft quoted 'preventing a massacre') while on the ground western planes and bombs continue to be deployed.

utterfilth (whatever), Thursday, 24 March 2011 20:46 (thirteen years ago) link

what are the rhetorics being quoted besides "preventing a massacre"?

max, Thursday, 24 March 2011 20:47 (thirteen years ago) link

stopping brutal dictator being a meanie

utterfilth (whatever), Thursday, 24 March 2011 20:54 (thirteen years ago) link

does he really insinuate that if there were no intervention everything would be fine? sure, he suggests that gaddafi's forces were not capable of taking benghazi

i think we may have just answered our own question -- that's exactly what he insinuates

but if that line is to be doubted then i'm equally doubtful of cameron's line of "phew thank god we got there JUST in time".

i just... do you know the meaning of foreboding?

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Thursday, 24 March 2011 20:56 (thirteen years ago) link

meanwhile in Syria:

Andrew J. Tabler, who spent a decade living in Syria and is now at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, said six days of protests of this size were unknown in Syria since at least 1982. In February of that year, Mr. Assad’s father, Hafez al-Assad, killed at least 10,000 people in an assault on the city of Hama to definitively end an Islamist uprising.

1982, the good ol' days

curmudgeon, Thursday, 24 March 2011 21:02 (thirteen years ago) link

a stock line from the antis is that the_west does nothing about protesters getting killed elsewhere: and with yemen and saudi and bahrain they can say, these are key US allies, so it's obvious what's going on there. when the same thing happened in iran, milne was all: these are just student rich kids, 'tehran's gilded youth' getting beaten, raped, killed, etc. he honestly did! that's an actual quote. not sure if he's weighed in on syria, but that's the measure of the guy.

BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Thursday, 24 March 2011 21:14 (thirteen years ago) link

does he really insinuate that if there were no intervention everything would be fine? sure, he suggests that gaddafi's forces were not capable of taking benghazi

i think we may have just answered our own question -- that's exactly what he insinuates

but if that line is to be doubted then i'm equally doubtful of cameron's line of "phew thank god we got there JUST in time".

i just... do you know the meaning of foreboding?

― BIG GERTRUDE aka the steindriver (history mayne), Thursday, March 24, 2011 8:56 PM (36 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

point 1 yes well put.
point 2 yes, but i mistrust the staging of the foreboding

utterfilth (whatever), Thursday, 24 March 2011 21:35 (thirteen years ago) link

Nature of Moe's heavy weapons as contrasted with rebel armament. Some comment on token militaries in the 'coalition.'

http://sitrep.globalsecurity.org/articles/110324735-bombing-moe-heavy-arty-versus.htm

Gorge, Thursday, 24 March 2011 22:04 (thirteen years ago) link

1. It feels more like a rebellion than a civil war because the rebels' passion dwarfs their organisational skills. They're doing everything on the hoof. She met some guys who were in a death metal band and had taken up arms when they saw their friends being killed. These are not trained fighters.

hmm, but what does it taste like?

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Thursday, 24 March 2011 22:06 (thirteen years ago) link

'Civil war' first got mentioned when the spread of revolt met Gaddafi's forces. It wasn't a change of participants ("who are these guys with guns?"), but a change of means. I'm hard-left, and I'm surprised by how many leftists oppose this intervention. The revolution in North Africa/Middle East shouldn't be allowed to die with a massacre in Benghazi. This is probably the most important geo-political change since the fall of the Soviet Union. And while it's not a leftist revolution, a bourgeois revolution is what is both necessary, and worth fighting for here. It's possible that the West can act in it's self interest whilst still driving progress (in fact, it's maybe necessary that these things go together).

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 25 March 2011 01:25 (thirteen years ago) link

I know I'm good at killing threads, but I would have thought this thread would be immune!

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 25 March 2011 18:25 (thirteen years ago) link

A NATO decision to take charge of a no-fly zone over Libya does not include conducting air strikes against Muammar Gaddafi's ground forces, a mission that will remain in U.S. hands until a new command deal is reached, Vice Admiral Bill Gortney said on Friday.

Gortney, chief of the U.S. military's Joint Staff, said the U.N.-backed operation against Gaddafi's forces involved three different missions -- an arms embargo, a no-fly zone and protecting Libyan civilians.

He said the U.S. military initially assumed command of all three missions in order to quickly implement the U.N. resolution authorizing the action. But President Barack Obama and other U.S. officials made it clear the United States would hand off control of the operation as soon as feasible.

From MSNBC.

Also, I was reading rightwinger Charles Krauthammer in the Washington Post badmouthing the "Professor Obama" decisions to get approval from others and to hand off to others (whom he also mocked). Charles says the folks rebelling want the US to lead. There are certainly flaws in the approach but I'm not ready to agree with Charles' proposed method. He apparently likes the good ol Bush ways where you make up stuff about weapons of mass destruction and go in unilaterally.

curmudgeon, Friday, 25 March 2011 20:43 (thirteen years ago) link

A Canadian's been put in charge: http://www.globaltvedmonton.com/Canadian+head+NATO+mission+Libya/4505412/story.html. "Odyssey Dawn," out; hello "Operation Roll Up the Rim to Win."

clemenza, Friday, 25 March 2011 20:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Krauthammer isn't looking for a solution, he's looking for cudgel to bash Obama.

exécutés avec l’insolence accoutumée du (Michael White), Friday, 25 March 2011 20:58 (thirteen years ago) link

xp the left has really disgraced itself in foreign policy over the last decade imo and I'm still not sure why that came to be so. There seems to have been a reluctance to view any issue other than on whether it is palatable to Bush (basically, still) and therefore evil, with its counterpart being a refusal to engage with non-westerners as independent actors. I can just about see the sense if the cold war were ongoing (historically it seems to have been ever thus which you could understand if one were picking sides and one chose international socialism; not so much if one's choosing Hizbollah or Gaddafi), but it's a fundamentally childish way of looking at the world as it is now. I don't see why leaning left on economics should require leaning like this on foreign policy.

(Obviously I'm speaking in generalities here, generally I'm with Blair on the broad approach to foreign policy etc and I still consider him to be of the left - but it isn't half hard sometimes.)

Ismael Klata, Friday, 25 March 2011 21:10 (thirteen years ago) link

the left has really disgraced itself in foreign policy over the last decade imo

Are you talking about UK leftwing bloggers or academics or ? because the left has not had a prominent political role or a strong media role in most nations over the last decade unless you're consider the Blair govt. to be Left

curmudgeon, Friday, 25 March 2011 21:22 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm talking about those with the loudest voices really, which yeah you could say is mostly unrepresentative types like Galloway and Stop The War, but they did capture the media and polite opinion on those issues for a long time and gave islamists an unwelcome leg-up into the bargain (specifically Ken Livingstone, who was in a position to do more than just posture)

Ismael Klata, Friday, 25 March 2011 21:26 (thirteen years ago) link

But yeah, where the left has been in real power it has mostly been relatively pragmatic - though as you hint this seems to disqualify them from being considered as such.

Ismael Klata, Friday, 25 March 2011 21:30 (thirteen years ago) link

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2011/03/201132681812362552.html

Looks like the rebels have regained momentum, retaking Ajdabiya.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Saturday, 26 March 2011 11:26 (thirteen years ago) link

When your opponents have just had the shit pounded out of them for a week, at a cost of a couple of billion dollars, regaining momentum is made rather simpler.

Aimless, Saturday, 26 March 2011 17:34 (thirteen years ago) link

There seems to have been a reluctance to view any issue other than on whether it is palatable to Bush (basically, still)

i know bringing michael moore up is basically strawmanning, but i somehow managed to be surprised that all his tweets were like "JUSTIFICATION FOR GOING INTO LIBYA: THEM GOT WMDS!" and "JUSTIFICATION FOR GOING INTO LIBYA: THEY TRIED TO KILL MY PAW!" and apparently 2003-2008's flood of self-righteous snot just choked off michael moore's brain forever.

difficult listening hour, Saturday, 26 March 2011 17:41 (thirteen years ago) link

"michael moore's brain"

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 March 2011 17:47 (thirteen years ago) link

ha

curmudgeon, Saturday, 26 March 2011 19:03 (thirteen years ago) link

Still want to know how much the rebels have to "win" before the_west stops bombing.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 26 March 2011 19:35 (thirteen years ago) link

I am guessing that, for now, NATO military operations will continue until Qwodaiffffi (sp?) resigns or is killed, or until everything is so bogged down and hopeless that no one knows what should be done next.

Aimless, Saturday, 26 March 2011 20:04 (thirteen years ago) link

We need to poll all the permutations of this man's name.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 March 2011 20:18 (thirteen years ago) link

poll only has 50 choices?

I expected big laughs from "Corky Romano" (brownie), Saturday, 26 March 2011 20:20 (thirteen years ago) link

I've been waiting to use this quote from the West Wing pilot...

LEO: Margaret. Please call the editor of the New York Times crossword and tell him that Khaddafi is spelled with an h, and two d’s, and isn’t a seven letter word for anything.
MARGARET: Is this for real? Or is this just funny?
LEO: Apparently, it’s neither.

[Later, on the phone to the New York Times]

LEO: [on phone] Seventeen across. Yes. Seventeen across is wrong. You're spelling his name wrong. What's my name? My name doesn't matter. I'm just an ordinary citizen who relies on the Times crossword for stimulation. And I'm telling you, that I've met the man twice, and I've recommended a preemptive Exocet Missile strike against his airforce. So, I think I know how to...
C.J.: [in shock] Leo!
LEO: [looking at the phone, then hanging up] They hang up on me. Every time.
C.J.: That's almost hard to believe.

VegemiteGrrl, Saturday, 26 March 2011 20:50 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry, I'll go away now :D

VegemiteGrrl, Saturday, 26 March 2011 20:50 (thirteen years ago) link

When your opponents have just had the shit pounded out of them for a week, at a cost of a couple of billion dollars, regaining momentum is made rather simpler.

Yes, that's the point.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Saturday, 26 March 2011 21:09 (thirteen years ago) link

So, when the rebels reach the Team Qaddafi towns and begin their inevitable massacre in that direction, backed by allied warplanes, we all cool with those innocent men, women and children amongst the supporters getting slaughtered?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 27 March 2011 19:58 (thirteen years ago) link

A literal reading of the UN resolution would suggest the "allies" then start bombing the rebels, right?

Carthusian Product (seandalai), Sunday, 27 March 2011 20:15 (thirteen years ago) link

So, when the rebels reach the Team Qaddafi towns and begin their inevitable massacre in that direction, backed by allied warplanes, we all cool with those innocent men, women and children amongst the supporters getting slaughtered?

What makes you think the rebels will massacre people?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 27 March 2011 21:29 (thirteen years ago) link

The rebels will strike with surgical precision, using laser-guided weapons, to eliminate only the 52 villains soon to be depicted on a pack of custom-printed playing cards.

Aimless, Sunday, 27 March 2011 21:33 (thirteen years ago) link

And anything else would be a massacre.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 27 March 2011 21:36 (thirteen years ago) link

Casualties inflicted during battle, even upon innocent civilians, would not qualify as a massacre. However, if deadly force is deliberately used against civilians in a situation where no military resistance is expected, then "massacre" would fit. I have no idea if the rebels in Libya will do this or not. Retribution is a common sequel to successful armed uprisings.

Aimless, Sunday, 27 March 2011 21:45 (thirteen years ago) link

The rebels are going to need the continuing support of the UN, which might keep them from getting over-zealous. I suspect that most of the violence will be in the character of the other revolts, or the early anti-soviet protests - the people will turn on groups like the secret police. We also don't know if the army will defend Tripoli - they're on the backfoot at the moment, presumable to try to ringfence Tripoli, but things might look hopeless by then, with defections within the army, and internal revolt within the city.

"How long must the footsteps of freedom be gravestones" is a legitimate question, but people forget that the alternative situation was that freedom took a couple of steps, faltered and stumbled, falling into a mass-grave in Benghazi. I'd take the risk of possible retaliatory violence (which I think is unlikely) over the near certain slaughter that would have followed Gaddafi's victory.

What makes a revolt worthwhile is not the success or failure of the struggle for freedom - this is no difference from the other revolutions recently except this has been met with force - what matters is that people were willing to commit to that struggle, and we should stand by them.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 27 March 2011 22:06 (thirteen years ago) link

/drunk/flowery/sorry

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 27 March 2011 22:06 (thirteen years ago) link

also otm

harlan, Sunday, 27 March 2011 22:33 (thirteen years ago) link

a few questions

- what does this have to do with us

- isn't it extremely likely that becoming the air force of the libyan rebels will have the opposite of the declared effect, i.e. instead of buttressing the most exciting, broad-based arab uprising in literally centuries we have stomped in like a bull in a china shop and guaranteed that whoever succeeds gaddafi will be seen as an illegitimate western puppet

- most people on this thread seem to be hanging their support of this strange coalition on "civilian deaths" - that gaddafi has been egregious in this respect and must be stopped at all costs. so - if this ragtag libyan oppositon were holed up in benghazi with their backs to the wall, gaddafi's tanks and planes advancing inexorably toward them, you would NOT support airstrikes by the global north in the absence of earlier instances of civilians being killed?

- what does this have to do with us

- if a 16-year-old deathmetal fan picks up an AK and jumps in a jeep and is then killed by mortar fire, is that a "civilian death"?

- who are we fighting for? do we stand foursquare with the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group LIFG, formerly backed by bin laden, then qatar, who have assassinated dozens of libyan policemen, who tried several times to assassinate gaddafi, who in 2009 supposedly renounced violence, and who sparked the initial libyan protests in mid-february (allegedly shooting and killing more than 100 libyan soldiers)? we're probably more sympatico with the National Front for the Salvation of Libya (NFSL), given that they were created by israel and the CIA and subsequently backed by britain, morocca, saudi arabia, france and iraq. what do we think of the Libyan League for Human Rights, a geneva-based organization that gets heavily quoted in the media, predicting "a massacre like rwanda" in the absence of air support? how far we will go with the Libyan Constitutional Union, which wants a return to the monarchy?

- what does this have to do with us

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 11:44 (thirteen years ago) link

- what does this have to do with us

some of the points are worth addressing, but posing this question three times, as if particularly perceptive and overlooked, strikes me as beyond retarded, unless you're into abandoning the UN, joining #team_pat_buchanan, etc

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 11:52 (thirteen years ago) link

hackney tourist board gonna give himself an aneurysm here

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 11:53 (thirteen years ago) link

isn't it extremely likely that becoming the air force of the libyan rebels will have the opposite of the declared effect, i.e. instead of buttressing the most exciting, broad-based arab uprising in literally centuries we have stomped in like a bull in a china shop and guaranteed that whoever succeeds gaddafi will be seen as an illegitimate western puppet

is it 'extremely likely'? what makes the likelihood so extreme? all of this is so crudely put -- won't it GUARANTEE THE EXACT OPPOSITE EFFECT? isn't the rebellion EXCITING whereas arab league, UN, and western intervention will make the winners PUPPETS even if they asked for help!? anyway anyway: it isn't out business to buttress or not-buttress anything because what the fuck does it have to do with us, right? why should we buttress these dudes who, you then say, are probably either islamists or agents of mossad anyway? what's so exciting, by the way, about the rebellion if it's being pushed by the islamists? what's your line here?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 11:55 (thirteen years ago) link

: it isn't out business to buttress or not-buttress anything because what the fuck does it have to do with us, right?

well, in a nutshell.

what's exciting about all this rebellions to me is that they're broad-based and largely positive; intolerance and fear are not the main weapons involved, which marks a big difference from most revolutionary and civil wars of the last couple of decades, from the balkans to rwanda to afghanistan. it makes me think that the 90s may finally be over, and that arabs are leading the way. or at least they were.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:02 (thirteen years ago) link

unless you're into abandoning the UN

haha yes, the united states just takes its marching orders from the UN. right.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:04 (thirteen years ago) link

by your own account, the revolutionaries don't all sound that positive and tolerant:

do we stand foursquare with the Libyan Islamic Fighting Group LIFG, formerly backed by bin laden, then qatar, who have assassinated dozens of libyan policemen, who tried several times to assassinate gaddafi, who in 2009 supposedly renounced violence, and who sparked the initial libyan protests in mid-february (allegedly shooting and killing more than 100 libyan soldiers)? we're probably more sympatico with the National Front for the Salvation of Libya (NFSL), given that they were created by israel and the CIA and subsequently backed by britain, morocca, saudi arabia, france and iraq.

and this rebellion was going to be smashed, so how the west has destroyed the momentum of the arab spring by stopping that happening is unclear to me.

xpost

the UN is such a US puppet: that's why it okayed the iraq war. i kid: obviously it is. but idk, anti-war kids used to say things like 'the iraq war lacked a UN resolution'; now they say 'the UN is a bunch of bullshit' i suppose.

not really sure you could have a UN-type outfit that wasn't dominated by the great powers. would be really interested to hear how that could work.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:07 (thirteen years ago) link

it makes me think that the 90s may finally be over

get one calendar

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:09 (thirteen years ago) link

dude i just saw a guy who looked he was in a Verve video this morning. and all those tattoos will last FOREVER.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:12 (thirteen years ago) link

where were the UN when kulashaker were releasing records eh

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:17 (thirteen years ago) link

regarding the makeup of the revolutionaries in libya i think yes - some of them are just thugs with a grievance who happened to have been trained by the CIA in chad. but a lot of them are idealistic young people with a grievance. sometimes those are the same people. i think it's very broad-based and very complicated. IBM should send in Watson the supercomputer to help the rebels keep track of themselves.

and this rebellion was going to be smashed, so how the west has destroyed the momentum of the arab spring by stopping that happening is unclear to me.

i was thinking more in terms of shockwaves throughout the region. i.e. the Egyptian military is supplying truckloads of arms to the Libyan rebels; will this de facto alliance with NATO eventually delegitimize the New Egypt? maybe not. who knows? kapow!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:20 (thirteen years ago) link

anyway i noticed that no supporters of the Libyan rebels' new air force have been interested in answering the question about whether they would still support it in the absence of civilian deaths leading up to the standoff in benghazi. if demonstrators had not been killed previously, would you have been willing to bite your lip and watch the rebel troops get killed (actually i think "slaughter" was the favored term) with the_global_north doing nothing overt to stop it?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:38 (thirteen years ago) link

most of these countries are part of the global north, id have thought, really, being relatively rich and technologically advanced

i don't know if they hate europe and america as much as you'd like them to, though -- it's possible, and then, yes, maybe kapow!

no-one knows what the new egypt is yet. those arms that they're giving to the libyan rebels, be they CIA-trained or pure-of-heart islamists, are probably from the old, ie US-backed, egypt. kapow!

xpost

that's a really strange hypothetical to me. are you in favour of the gadaffi family's assets being frozen? what, after all, has it to do with us?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:43 (thirteen years ago) link

those arms that they're giving to the libyan rebels, be they CIA-trained or pure-of-heart islamists, are probably from the old, ie US-backed, egypt. kapow!

no, those arms being delivered right now, as we type.

that's a really strange hypothetical to me.

i pose it because to me it seemed that a lot of the emotional urgency driving this new war was the image of this tiny band of rebels facing certain death at the hands of a dictator's army. yet the justifications for intervention - on this thread, in the media, and from the state department - weren't military but humanitarian.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:52 (thirteen years ago) link

no, those arms being delivered right now, as we type.

but the arms are, i would imagine, from existing egyptian stock? that's what im assuming. has the US cut all ties with the egyptian military now? or has it magicked up some other way of paying its way and that of the libyan rebels?

i think the justification for the war came itt from the prospect of "this tiny band of rebels AND A BUNCH OF UNARMED CIVILIAN PROTESTERS facing certain death at the hands of a dictator's army", yep. reasonably sure gaddafi would not have distinguished the CIA-backed guys (who obviously weren't that well trained over in chad since they did a pretty bad job) from the unhappy burghers of benghazi.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 12:58 (thirteen years ago) link

oh i mean there is no doubt that anyone in benghazi who so much as provided a bed for a rebel or journalist to sleep in would have been killed. but what does that have to do with us?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:07 (thirteen years ago) link

warning: conspiracy theorist alert: given that probably about half the factions of the National Transitional Council ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Transitional_Council ) were either created directly by western powers or funded by them over the past thirty years, could the United States (and the UK, and France, etc) not only feel a special responsibility here, but actually bear a direct responsibility?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:10 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't know. nothing. let em die i guess.

it's obviously crazy to have western europeans and americans involved in arab affairs, and that's why we should let the ottomans do their thing

xpost

holy shit really? putting this thread in my reahview for a bit. someone else can discuss questions of agency w/ you.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:14 (thirteen years ago) link

is it so so crazy to see this as yet another western-backed failed coup of gaddafi's regime, this time with the heartbreaking add-on of peaceful young demonstrators?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:21 (thirteen years ago) link

given its far from over, yes

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:24 (thirteen years ago) link

no this was gonna be quick, obama said so

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:28 (thirteen years ago) link

Or just US lead role was gonna be over quick

curmudgeon, Monday, 28 March 2011 13:43 (thirteen years ago) link

Although NATO heavily relies on US

curmudgeon, Monday, 28 March 2011 13:44 (thirteen years ago) link

that's one way of putting it!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 13:54 (thirteen years ago) link

kinda interested that the_left is gearing up to gloat over dead arabs rather than dead jews for a change

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:02 (thirteen years ago) link

my conspiracy theory goes as follows:

- tunisia then egypt see broad-based, secular uprisings that result in long-time dictators being shown the door

- state department, cia and diplomat types look at the map and are like, wtf. we've got the NFSL and all sorts of other exile opposition groups, we've been funding opposition malcontents in libya for decades, this is their fucking moment! what the hell are they doing?? let's sow some liberty, team. send a telegram: go go go go go

- "day of rage" organized by NFSL and LIFG (whose main branch disavows the action: "rage" signifies violence and the LIFG formally renounced violence four months earlier in exchange for the release of more than a hundred prisoners)

- protestors are (predictably) killed

- but the country really does want change, and thousands of youths clamor both with placards and with AKs

- they fail miserably

- the NSLF and LIFG are like hey USA - you really gonna hang us out to dry?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:06 (thirteen years ago) link

given that probably about half the factions of the National Transitional Council (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Transitional_Council ) were either created directly by western powers or funded by them over the past thirty years, could the United States (and the UK, and France, etc) not only feel a special responsibility here, but actually bear a direct responsibility?

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, March 28, 2011 2:10 PM (53 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

is it so so crazy to see this as yet another western-backed failed coup of gaddafi's regime, this time with the heartbreaking add-on of peaceful young demonstrators?

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, March 28, 2011 2:21 PM (42 minutes ago) Bookmark

"probably about half the factions of the National Transitional Council" "were either created directly by western powers or funded by them over the past thirty years, could the United States (and the UK, and France, etc)" -- to you this adds up to western-backed coup, in which the thousands or protesters were dupes? were the other about-half of the factions backed by outside states? would be interested to know. pretty sure, for example, that the palestinians get overseas assistance.

btw "heartbreaking add-on of peaceful young demonstrators" -- really classy.

xpost

lol at you

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:09 (thirteen years ago) link

either created directly by western powers or funded by them over the past thirty years

Sounds a bit like that stuff about how every single Shia political organisation in the Middle East, no matter how large or small, is funded by the Iranians

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:12 (thirteen years ago) link

well, look it up. a large part of the organized opposition groups are either western backed or want a return to the monarchy.

you don't have to buy my conspiracy theory to have a lot of trouble with the USA, UK and France raining bombs down on libya to support them.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:39 (thirteen years ago) link

Ha, no doubt Iran is at least a little bit why everyone's so mum about Syria, which is just about as egregious a situation as Libya.

The problem with any US involvement is that, frankly, the the_west can't do much without our support/weapons. So hand it to NATO, hand it to the UN, hand it to France, but we're footing the bill and unloading the bombs.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 March 2011 14:40 (thirteen years ago) link

juan cole's open letter to the left, which disagrees with everything i've said:

http://www.juancole.com/2011/03/an-open-letter-to-the-left-on-libya.html

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:47 (thirteen years ago) link

Misread that as John Cale there!

Tom D (Tom D.), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:48 (thirteen years ago) link

that reminds me, the world hasn't heard from moe tucker about foreigners in awhile

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 14:49 (thirteen years ago) link

Is she beating the drum to invade Iran? Get it?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 March 2011 14:52 (thirteen years ago) link

Ha, I was just about to post that Juan Cole piece.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 28 March 2011 15:06 (thirteen years ago) link

well, look it up. a large part of the organized opposition groups are either western backed or want a return to the monarchy.

you don't have to buy my conspiracy theory to have a lot of trouble with the USA, UK and France raining bombs down on libya to support them.

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, March 28, 2011 3:39 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

do the other organized opposition groups get outside help? genuine question, it's just that your whole thing seems to be based on the idea of the US as a uniquely evil agent in the world. you're going to have to go further in your denunciation of the transitional council than saying they have had support from the west, which in itself isn't a lot. especially given that ten days ago your line was that the US was not getting involved because it liked gadaffi being in power. now we learn that the_west was conspiring to get rid of gadaffi! for shame, the_west. for shame.

The problem with any US involvement is that, frankly, the the_west can't do much without our support/weapons. So hand it to NATO, hand it to the UN, hand it to France, but we're footing the bill and unloading the bombs.

― Josh in Chicago, Monday, March 28, 2011 3:40 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

that's also a problem with egyptian involvement. or, hell, saudi involvement, if it comes to that. (im pretty sure the french don't get much US help or use US weapons but ehh.)

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 15:46 (thirteen years ago) link

This is one thing that puzzles me about certain proponents of the anti-war case. On the one hand the_west have been shamelessly colluding with Gaddafi for the past x years and on the other they've been plotting his downfall for x years and just waiting for their chance. Which is it? I know the usual argument is "aha, he's outlived his usefulness." Well, what usefulness and why has he only outlived it now?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 28 March 2011 15:58 (thirteen years ago) link

ten days ago your line was that the US was not getting involved because it liked gadaffi being in power

well, i think i was obviously pretty wrong about that. i was talking, how do you say, out of my ass. in the meantime i've had the benefit of a few days off work and i've been trying to catch up.

DL i don't think there's a real contradiction there. the usefulness of New Gaddafi had mainly to do with oil and some to do with sharing anti-islamicist intelligence, but all along he's been volatile, unpredictable, and has a history of alarmingly pro-pan-Arabist sentiments and statist policies (full-on nationalisation of industry, etc). both neighbors dumping their leaders has to be the best chance the USA will get for some time.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:14 (thirteen years ago) link

honestly i think the US and french administrations and all the rest of the world around them are just bumbling through this. i don't think anyone has any clear idea. the interests and moral imperatives kind of halfway add up to a reason for this to be done at all and that was good enough at the time, a couple weeks ago, so here we are

goole, Monday, 28 March 2011 16:19 (thirteen years ago) link

also i read that bernard henri-levi basically talked sarkozy into this himself?

goole, Monday, 28 March 2011 16:21 (thirteen years ago) link

alarmingly pro-pan-Arabist sentiments and statist policies

Why are these relevant? No point being pan-Arabist when the rest of the Arab countries think you're a liability. And statist - so?

I prefer the "bumbling" theory.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:21 (thirteen years ago) link

he hasn't nationalized the only industry that anyone outside of libya gives a fuck about. i know america hates nationalized industry, but not that much. they're still allies with a bunch of western european countries last i heard. im not sure if his pan-arabist stance is that alarming, given how much other arab states hate him.

but yes, the US has made no bones about basically hating gadaffi, apart from the slight rapprochement in the last decade. i wouldn't be surprised if opposition groups there had some links with the US, but it seems to have been pretty low-level stuff and it doesn't bother me too much.

from where should the underground pro-democracy opposition have got support? in the region of you have US-backed dictatorship egypt, or -- who?

xposts

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:23 (thirteen years ago) link

goole otm but it is always really hard to convince people that "bumbling" is how things work, like, 99.billion% of the time.

difficult listening hour, Monday, 28 March 2011 16:25 (thirteen years ago) link

i keep saying this, but Q's main 'chit' with the west was not his anti-islamist bonafides or whatever, it's deciding to suddenly break open the world's most dangerous nuclear proliferation ring

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abdul_Qadeer_Khan#Iran_and_Libya

...for reasons i still don't quite get. he's a wild man.

goole, Monday, 28 March 2011 16:28 (thirteen years ago) link

also i read that bernard henri-levi basically talked sarkozy into this himself?

well he's certainly been bashfully telling every reporter within earshot that he did..

the underground pro-democracy opposition

who dat? not snarky, just want to know. i've been trying to learn about the opposition in libya and this is tough info to dig out.

for the record i am totally, 100% in agreement with the notion that the_west is bumbling into this without much of a plan, my conspiracy theory notwithstanding. which is a big part of why i don't like it.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:31 (thirteen years ago) link

(also note that my conspiracy theory also depends on massive amounts of bumbling)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:33 (thirteen years ago) link

I can’t tell you how annoyed I am by the fringe left adulation for Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, on the grounds that he is ‘anti-imperialist,’ and with an assumption that he is somehow on the Left.

Wait -- who's done this?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:34 (thirteen years ago) link

'They have elected a ­Labour government," a Savoy diner famously declared on the night of Britain's election landslide in 1945. "The country will never stand for it." From the evidence so far coming out of Iran, something similar seems to be ­happening on the streets of Tehran – and in the western capitals just as desperate to see the back of Iranian president ­Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/jun/18/iran-elections-us-foreign-policy

joe, Monday, 28 March 2011 16:39 (thirteen years ago) link

guys like george galloway are pro-ahmadinejad

xpost

oh i misspoke i guess. the transitional council seems to be pro-democracy, yes? and about half of them were CIA-backed by your reckoning? i put two and two together and figured some of them knew each other before this year.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:39 (thirteen years ago) link

there are no "guys like george galloway" besides george galloway

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:44 (thirteen years ago) link

for the record yes i am also 100% trying to rain on the feel-good parade of American bombs blasting a glorious rescue in yet another war in the Middle East at the same time that states are attempting to plug the holes in their budgets with the most cynical attacks on the working class in memory, firing entire professions and attempting to demolish the last vestiges of union power. ooh that's unfair! is it? national finance is a zero-sum game in 2011. should that play a part in my opinions on this war, on its morality? maybe not. but it does.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 16:58 (thirteen years ago) link

another question:

- where are the vaunted arab "partners" in this military effort?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:03 (thirteen years ago) link

such a debbie downer! i know!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:04 (thirteen years ago) link

well if any of them had militaries that were really worth anything they wouldn't be 'partners' with us probably

goole, Monday, 28 March 2011 17:04 (thirteen years ago) link

im not having a feel-good parade about this! it could go incredibly badly. and you know, like most people, im very much affected by the cuts, but again, your rhetoric is a bit ott. (not sure what you mean by "national finance is a zero-sum game". the economy is fucked and the governing class, on both sides, are ideologically opposed to doing much about it. but the level of state spending is still historically very high, how is it "zero-sum"?)

- where are the vaunted arab "partners" in this military effort?

they're sending like 12 planes by the end of the week or something. most of the arab governments are fucking nasty dictatorships so. and also what does it have to do with them?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:06 (thirteen years ago) link

er, also, didn't you JUST SAY that egypt was arming the rebels??

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:09 (thirteen years ago) link

secretly

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:11 (thirteen years ago) link

("secretly")

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:11 (thirteen years ago) link

well there's your arab support. or de-legitimizing US support, i guess, given who funds the egyptian military. whichever way you want it.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:12 (thirteen years ago) link

dude it is so annoying talking to you! are you trying to say anything?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:14 (thirteen years ago) link

im generally responding to your points, p well i think

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:15 (thirteen years ago) link

there are no "guys like george galloway" besides george galloway

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, March 28, 2011 5:44 PM

ken livingstone
jeremy corbyn

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 17:57 (thirteen years ago) link

ok, fair

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 18:09 (thirteen years ago) link

Not fair on Livingstone and Corbyn TBH - Galloway's uniquely repellent and self-serving.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Monday, 28 March 2011 19:10 (thirteen years ago) link

perfectly fair, and at least galloway confines himself to the anti-semite after dinner circuit; looking forward to the mayoral elections next year

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 19:13 (thirteen years ago) link

pep talk from the president tonight!

goole, Monday, 28 March 2011 19:36 (thirteen years ago) link

welllll it's not fair in that i LIKE red ken but in certain respects i.e. shameless opportunism and a certain stunt mentality towards political alliances I can see the comparison

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 28 March 2011 20:29 (thirteen years ago) link

they're also all press tv bros, which is kinda what started this tangent

Romford Spring (DG), Monday, 28 March 2011 20:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Do any others have a problem, with corbyn - just out of interest

cherry blossom, Monday, 28 March 2011 20:50 (thirteen years ago) link

"Hmm," ponders Mr. Obama. "I wonder how I can muddy the waters even more? I know! How about an ambiguous, defensive national address to get the attention of the majority of Americans who probably don't even realize I've gotten us into another middle east boondoggle, with even less to gain from it than the last few times? Yeah! That seems like just the right thing to do."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 March 2011 20:56 (thirteen years ago) link

couldn't really listen to obama tbf. i tried, in the car while running some errands. what i heard sounded either obvious or tendentious. heavy LBJ vibe.

goole, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 02:56 (thirteen years ago) link

- just because we can't stop EVERY atrocity doesn't mean we shouldn't stop ANY atrocity

- if no one had stopped gaddafi, dictators around the region would have gotten the message that violent repression "works"

- we will send americans into harm's way if "the flow of commerce" is at stake

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 09:07 (thirteen years ago) link

(no seriously i didn't just imagine him saying that last part did i?)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 09:33 (thirteen years ago) link

he said "Let me be clear" a couple of times.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 12:21 (thirteen years ago) link

Conservative bloggers I see are fixated on how many times he says "let me be clear."

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:27 (thirteen years ago) link

seems as good a time as any to break out the emulators

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/38/Desert_strike_gameplay.png

Romford Spring (DG), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:31 (thirteen years ago) link

A conference on Tuesday is being held to shape a vision of a post-Qaddafi era. On the battlefield, rebels were facing resistance in the crucial town of Surt. NY Times

While in Syria, government supporters were out today in Damascus in response to:

Monday, marchers gathered in the city’s main square, chanting “Not Sunnis, not Alawis, we all want freedom” and “God, Syria and freedom only.” By late afternoon, hundreds of people had staged a sit-in, uncertain whether the army would try to break them up during the night. More than 60 people have been killed in Syria since March 18, human rights groups say; it was unclear if there were any casualties on Monday

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:40 (thirteen years ago) link

Not sure how one gets to a post-Qadaffi era when rebels may not be strong enough militarily to win.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:41 (thirteen years ago) link

the bombing will continue until peace is achieved

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:58 (thirteen years ago) link

And you would prefer Quaddaffi killing until peace is achieved

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 13:58 (thirteen years ago) link

for what its worth, even tho i think hes mostly wrong, i appreciate tracer's posts in this thread if only for forcing ppl to articulate & think stuff thru because its def not like hes the only one thinking this

they reminisce over dayo (D-40), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:00 (thirteen years ago) link

I was just hoping he would accept the merits of the Juan Cole Open letter to the Left that he posted previously. But he keeps coming back and challenging each point in that posting.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:03 (thirteen years ago) link

(ineptly)

Romford Spring (DG), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:05 (thirteen years ago) link

i think juan cole's letter is persuasive at times but parts of it feel blinkered. the anti-intervention arguments he demolishes are very simplistic ("pure pacifism is a crock", etc). they're far from being the strongest arguments he can muster against this military action. i.e. he doesn't take on any of the practical arguments against. which is weird, because he doesn't usually straw-man like that. i find the tone strangely rah-rah at times, with paens to "the working people" of libya, as if opponents of this military intervention are opposed to the desires of the working people of libya's desires. there's a lot of that kind of rhetorical bullshit in there, to be honest. according to cole, opponents of this intervention "all did have the implication that it was all right with the world community if Qaddafi deployed tanks against innocent civilian crowds just exercising their right to peaceful assembly and to petition their government." i mean.. again it's reminiscent of every war build-up ever. "so you're ok with (x) killing his own people?" "uh no" "then we agree"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:21 (thirteen years ago) link

's desires

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Do Syrians believe their state radio--

State news media have largely blamed foreigners and residents of a Palestinian camp near the city for the unrest in Latakia. On Sunday, state radio reported multiple sightings of foreigners in the coastal town, including “a group of Lebanese women who said they wanted to rent an apartment but ran away when asked for identification.” NY Times

That's as good as Fox tv or Rush L.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:29 (thirteen years ago) link

that's a very left-sounding argumentative strategy to me: 'either you do something about it or you're ok with it'.

j., Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:33 (thirteen years ago) link

xp oh yeah there was a Syrian govt spokeswoman on the radio over here, she said the shooting of protesters was nothing to do with the security forces, it was a bunch of guys who'd come over the border - with uniforms, and guns - and they'd all been arrested. o_O doesn't begin to describe it.

and the hint of parp (ledge), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 14:34 (thirteen years ago) link

for what its worth, even tho i think hes mostly wrong, i appreciate tracer's posts in this thread if only for forcing ppl to articulate & think stuff thru because its def not like hes the only one thinking this

Totally.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 16:39 (thirteen years ago) link

"even tho i think hes mostly wrong" haha thanks MUCH fucker

goole, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

The Nation magazine is still fighting the constitutional debate on this saying Obama needs to get authorization from Congress while others have moved on to the stalemate debate--will Ghaddaffi just hunker down with his troops and his money and his supporters while the rebels will not be eager to fight street by street in the cities against Ghaddaffi supporters and Ghadaffi's troops (especially since they don't have the weapons)

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 17:11 (thirteen years ago) link

"they" meaning the rebels don't have the weapons

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 17:12 (thirteen years ago) link

"even tho i think hes mostly wrong" haha thanks MUCH fucker

― goole, Tuesday, March 29, 2011 4:40 PM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

ha well more like 'even tho i think other arguments are more convincing'

they reminisce over dayo (D-40), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 17:23 (thirteen years ago) link

i agree with tracer's take on the cole letter

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 19:25 (thirteen years ago) link

So what is your take on the "war buildup" story re Quadaffi's tanks and the potential for massacre. Do you think the Allies made that up or that Quaddaffi's troops were heading there to have tea and a discussion, or what? And if you're not ok with what Q was arguably intending to do, what do you think the Allies should have done instead?

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 19:42 (thirteen years ago) link

as if opponents of this military intervention are opposed to the desires of the working people of libya's desires

So how would you demonstrate your support for the desires of the working people of Libya?

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 19:46 (thirteen years ago) link

With Iraq, in response to war buildup talk, one could say that Bush was lying about weapons of mass destruction, but I don't see how this war buildup is comparable based on Q's actions and talk from the days before.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 19:52 (thirteen years ago) link

i never equated iraq and libya

i sympathize with the "working class people of libya", whoever that is, but am a little leery of jumping in and expending resources and money we could use at home. i don't have a huge problem with the way NATO handled this, given the imminent threat to (actual) civilians articulated by gaddafi, though i don't doubt they could have accomplished just as much without our help. but that's our job i guess, always taking the lead.

my real beef, and i know this makes me a crazy liberal and very not serious, was with taking action without authorization from congress (which bam could have gotten anyway, if he wanted to!). committing acts of war absent an imminent threat is serious business imo, and should require consent of the people, through their elected representatives.

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 21:35 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't think saving "resources and money we could use at home" is a moral argument though, especially as it's not as if all that military spending would otherwise be spent on education and infrastructure.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 21:40 (thirteen years ago) link

there are plenty of things that go into the decision to go to war or not that aren't necessarily morally sound arguments. that's beside the point, though; whether this was the right thing to do or not (and i think, with some reservation, it was, for someone at least), it should be up to the people to decide if they want to engage. that kind of decision-making isn't purely moral and it shouldn't have to be

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 21:48 (thirteen years ago) link

Fair enough. I wasn't critiquing your constitutional point. Not living in the US, that bothers me less but I respect that it bothers you.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 21:51 (thirteen years ago) link

people are being killed all over the world, and we're sitting "idly by". we've got the power to stop some of that, at least temporarily, but why don't we? well, lots of reasons xpost to myself

xpost sadly it's not even a constitiutional point anymore, it's been ignored for so long now. i think the principle is a good one, regardless

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 21:52 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't doubt they could have accomplished just as much without our help.

...

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 22:13 (thirteen years ago) link

i honestly have no idea how capable other UN countries are miliarily. you guys don't have your own planes and shit? the entire rest of the UN couldn't handle LIBYA for a week without us babysitting you? better hope you stay on our good side for WW3

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 22:32 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah you'd think, but no. think US commitment was necessary to get the acquiescence of russia, china, india, etc. britain is maxed out, not sure about france. but the arab league, african union?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 22:53 (thirteen years ago) link

dictators around the region would have gotten the message that violent repression "works"

Ha ha, yeah, violent repression totally fails. Granted, it typically takes decades to fail, which is longer than many "successes" last, but still. Violent repressive dictators around the globe take note: your time is running out! Very, very slowly.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 29 March 2011 23:45 (thirteen years ago) link

In the meantime you can lend us a few Mirages to bolster our coalition cred. No, not Mazda Mirages! The planes we sold you. I don't know, where's the last place you remember seeing them?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 29 March 2011 23:52 (thirteen years ago) link

The idea of humanitarian intervention begins in 1968 with the Biafran war.

really? what about the genocide convention 20 years earlier? curtis is such a bullshitter sometimes.

joe, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 00:22 (thirteen years ago) link

more questions today

- is armed rebellion the best response to living under Gaddafi in spring of 2011?

- how in the world did the rebels ever expect to win a military confrontation w/gaddafi?

- if no rebel had ever picked up a gun, and a steady drib-drab of protestors kept getting killed each week would this intervention have ever happened? should it have?

- UNR 1973 calls for "protection of civilians" - hasn't this been achieved? if not, how will we know when it's been achieved? if we continue bombing gaddafi's army after this point are we in violation of the resolution?

- if rebels harm or kill any civilians will we bomb them too? should we?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:28 (thirteen years ago) link

The idea of humanitarian intervention begins in 1968 with the Biafran war.

hahahahaha

no son

http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/84194/Bulgarian-Horrors

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:32 (thirteen years ago) link

those are good questions tracer but

- how in the world did the rebels ever expect to win a military confrontation w/gaddafi?
is a bit off. the rebels have been pretty useless, but i don't think there was a meeting where they were like 'let's do this'. there was a popular protest and it turned into a fight.

like: http://www.haaretz.com/news/international/pro-gadhafi-force-opens-fire-on-tripoli-protest-casualties-reported-1.346302

there were protests in tripoli too

this didn't start as an 'armed rebellion'

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:36 (thirteen years ago) link

1. Not for us to judge
2. The impetus of Tunisia and Egypt - high hopes - naivete - not sure why this is a pressing question TBH
3. No, because sadly that happens all over the place. Once the stakes were raised and there was a chance of a massacre everything changed.
4. That's the big one - the general feeling is that if Gaddafi stays in power he will punish the rebels.
5. Not "any civilians" no - large numbers, ie a massacre, yes (morally), tricky (politically)

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:36 (thirteen years ago) link

2. The impetus of Tunisia and Egypt - high hopes - naivete - not sure why this is a pressing question TBH

tunisia and egypt succeeded without armed rebellions. arguably BECAUSE they weren't armed rebellions.

it's a pressing question because once you initiate a civil war/armed rebellion/what have you, between teenagers riding on technicals vs a very big military, you guarantee massive loss of life, massive internal displacement, massive reprisal. you don't know where it's going to end, how and if it's going to escalate. and that's even if you "win". maybe wasn't for us to judge in february but now that we are their air force i think we have permission to weigh things up.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:52 (thirteen years ago) link

tunisia and egypt succeeded without armed rebellions. arguably BECAUSE they weren't armed rebellions.

think it's more to do with the egyptian military not firing on unarmed protesters? whereas gadaffi did fire on unarmed protesters. again for the cheap seats, what happened in libya did not begin as an armed rebellion.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:54 (thirteen years ago) link

allllllso, think the jury is somewhat out on whether the rebellion in egypt has succeeded yet.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:55 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost But it didn't start of as an armed rebellion - it was completely ad hoc, with protesters becoming fighters. I appreciate all the questions your posing but do you have answers to any of them? What do you think should happen when protesters pick up guns?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 09:57 (thirteen years ago) link

i think they shouldn't pick up guns. especially when it's perfectly clear they stand no chance.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:04 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't think it was perfectly clear at all - the early phase of the rebellion was very successful and there was a belief (wrong but not absurd) that Gaddafi's forces would abandon him, as had happened in Tunisia and Egypt.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:10 (thirteen years ago) link

civilian protesters were being shot in the streets and could reasonably have anticipated worse. you're saying they have bitten their tongue, said sorry, and promised never to protest again. im not sure gadaffi would have forgiven them.

should the libyan people just knuckle down and live under gadaffi? what is the next move there? they should have help from outside , and they shouldn't pick up a gun (they'll lose), and they shouldn't protest peacefully (they'll get shot), by your reckoning, so far as i can tell.

xpost

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:13 (thirteen years ago) link

shoulN'T have help from outside

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:14 (thirteen years ago) link

should the libyan people just knuckle down and live under gadaffi? what is the next move there?

i really don't know.

initiating an armed rebellion is one of the biggest things any political group can do, with the biggest consequences in terms of human misery and suffering and you'd better fucking know what you're doing. it seems the rebels (who i don't consider an identical category with "the protestors") didn't have a clue. would the suffering have been less if no one had picked up a gun? would other pressure have been brought to bear had the protests remained peaceful? we'll never know.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:22 (thirteen years ago) link

i just sort of have to boggle that we're throwing our lot in with people whose judgement has been like "gaddafi'll fold when he gets a load of our thirty toyotas"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:26 (thirteen years ago) link

Here's a question based on the current New Statesman cover and the general "why only Libya?" argument. Where among the following would someone who opposes the Libyan intervention be happy to see western military action?

Iran
Gaza
Sudan
Yemen
Bahrain
Ivory Coast
Zimbabwe
Burma
North Korea

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:27 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't completely know. but i don't think that in these situations decisions are made rationally, or on the basis of very much knowledge. i've no doubt that some of the rebels are dangerous and the prospect of them carrying out reprisals is frightening. i don't think one does know what one's doing! in other 'successful' bloody revolutions of the past, i doubt they knew what they were in for: hundreds of thousands of people died in the french revolution.

so no-one knows, and the end result is still unknown. but i would say that the protests were made non-peaceful by gadaffi's forces shooting at them, on the whole. i guess he took a hard line because he thought there was risk of a real armed rebellion kicking off. that's life as a dictator.

xposts

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:29 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer, wouldn't you agree that a large group of people have the same right to self defence as a small group? i.e. when the early movement was under violent attack people were morally justified in taking up arms to protect themselves?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:36 (thirteen years ago) link

*small group or individual

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:36 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost i have to say none. i just don't think the US has any credibility as an honest broker, especially in the middle east. i think any military step it takes in any of the countries mentioned will make things worse. i mean it sucks.

this episode - which i have every expectation will end badly, though i really hope not - kind of points up the contradictions of the westphalian concept of sovereignty. every nation is supposed to have a monopoly on the use of force inside its borders, which is contingent on the consent of its people. now we have a situation where "the international community" (i.e. the_global_north) can openly make an outside determination that this deal isn't being honored or conducted fairly. the contradiction (inherent in any treaty or war) is, from where does this determination happen? in what venue? in a country? outside all countries? when the very concept of rules depends on a state to enforce them, what do we make of rules that exist outside of any state? (EU countries have been thinking about this for some time, though there they've constructed a quasi-state or a super-state)

dowd sure they have the "right" to launch a quasi military campaign but they also have the responsibility to think it through.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:45 (thirteen years ago) link

ehh pretty sure 'the consent of its people' was not at the forefront of european rulers' minds when the treaty of westphalia was signed.

gadaffi sure as hell lacks it. but yes i agree, the concept of international law is pretty much horseshit. who enforces it? who writes it? im kind of hobbesian on this point.

i don't think the initial resort to arms was 'launching quasi military campaign' btw. i think it was to fend of armed assaults by gadaffi's forces on unarmed protesters.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 10:52 (thirteen years ago) link

ehh pretty sure 'the consent of its people' was not at the forefront of european rulers' minds when the treaty of westphalia was signed.

eeeeeeeeeeiouhhhh no but the concept of sovereignty now includes that. even the worst dictator claims his people love him.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 11:17 (thirteen years ago) link

well, yes, but the_west/the_global_north/the imperialist running dogs of the so-called free world can point out that it's bullshit. and i think in some cases rational people can agree! there's no impartial, neutral, honest broker out there, who can say with complete disinterest, gadaffi has to go. but im not sure what you're saying here. we should continue to uphold the westphalian concept of sovereignty? or the surely contradictory ideal of the UN? or what?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 11:23 (thirteen years ago) link

oh i'm not making any argument at all about that. we're stuck with the concept of sovereignty for awhile i think. it's just unavoidable thinking about this stuff in a situation like this.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 11:30 (thirteen years ago) link

It has to be said, this thread is the only place I can find to discuss this stuff reasonably. Comment Is Free is full of Imperialism! Neocons! Links to Prison Planet!

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 11:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Comment is free could do with a special 'green type' setting.

anna sui generis (suzy), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 12:07 (thirteen years ago) link

Fears that providing arms would pull the United States into a civil war, as well as concerns that some fighters may have links to Al Qaeda, have spawned fierce debate

NY Times article quotes CIA guy saying he/we have no idea whether Al Queda are 2 % or 80% of the rebel force. No surprise that the CIA is not knowledgeable. Neither Juan Cole nor "Tracer Hand" quoted on the question!

France wants the US to arm the rebels. I guess they don't have the military hardware that the US does.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 12:28 (thirteen years ago) link

No expert here, but I'm going to say arming the rebels has an even greater chance of biting us on the ass than bombing Qadddafi's forces does.

Find it ruefully funny that anyone would posit the rebels were ever doing well, or ever had any real inertia. Yeah, they did well ... until Qaddafi fought back. And then they did terribly ... until we bombed Qaddafi. It's like hovering by a teetering toddler learning to walk, then lurching forward to catch him every time he tips over head-first.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 12:37 (thirteen years ago) link

pretty much agree. even on a practical level i don't get how you 'arm' people who have no idea how to fight. modern weapons are p sophisticated. bad show.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 12:40 (thirteen years ago) link

Heard an analysis on the radio that even if we (someone) supplied them RPGs, we'd still need to train them. Because after all those years in Iraq and Afghanistan, we've had such a resounding success rate training people to use these weapons. Which will inevitably be sold, stolen or passed off to someone else who will similarly inevitably point them back in our direction.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:17 (thirteen years ago) link

So if dictators use force against protestors you folks are basically saying protestors can never suceeed because invariably, if they need weapons they will not likely be trained already, and we can't take a chance in trying to give them weapons because such methods have failed in the past. Ugh. Logical and depressing. Maybe I can find a quote from the French(!) arguing a contrary position re providing weapons!

I think this was once discussed previously upthread, but I think under Tracer's Rules of Protest, the American Revolution would never have happened or been viewed as legitimate.

Oh, and I do wish Obama had gone early to Congress for the same authorization the UN gave even though I have read views on both sides of the constitutional argument that seemed convincing.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:25 (thirteen years ago) link

It's like hovering by a teetering toddler learning to walk, then lurching forward to catch him every time he tips over head-first.

Naive me wants the US to do this with the Libyans.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:27 (thirteen years ago) link

Maybe I can find a quote from the French(!) arguing a contrary position re providing weapons!

let's... not get into the irony there

fwiw im pretty much in favour of intervention, but i think it's imperative to ask who we'd be giving weapons to and what they'd do with them

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:34 (thirteen years ago) link

ha, that was my position last week! A large part of my skepticism (which you mocked) rested in my ignorance about who The Rebels are. We're getting a better idea now.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:37 (thirteen years ago) link

curmudgeon your post reads like you're trying to extrapolate grand rules that can govern this and all future (and past!) situations. or you think that's what i'm doing. i'm not, and i doubt such a set of rules would be useful or realistic even if they could be drawn up.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:38 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh, I thought you were trying to come up with such rules.

So in this other NY Times article it says that Q pays his military officers well and relies on close relatives but:

And within the cities, Mr. Li argued, even a few tanks or other heavy weapons would allow Colonel Qaddafi’s forces to hold off the rebels and elude Western airstrikes. “A deadlock,” Mr. Li called it.

The wild card is the divided loyalties of the tribes who dominate the military’s upper echelons.

Although Colonel Qaddafi has surrounded himself with guards drawn from his own tribe and those close to it, a coup would not be unexpected.

A 1986 disagreement between Colonel Qaddafi and a cousin from the Qaddafa tribe who had been a top military commander ended when the cousin’s body was left at the gates of Colonel Qaddafi’s compound in Tripoli.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 13:41 (thirteen years ago) link

the way tracer is arguing itt is turning me into hillary clinton.

goole, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:03 (thirteen years ago) link

pant suit on standby

Romford Spring (DG), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:05 (thirteen years ago) link

the way tracer is arguing itt is turning me into hillary clinton.

Ya rly

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:36 (thirteen years ago) link

how am i arguin, idgi

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:43 (thirteen years ago) link

several posts in a row questioning not only the efficacy (fair enough) but the legitimacy of armed resistance against Qdf -- plus a really weird statement that we couldn't/shouldn't judge them at the time, but now that american planes are over the country, we can say that that anti-regime dudes should have just stayed indoors anyway. and nothing at all about the legitimacy of Qdf's violence against the protesters. whatever conclusions you can make about the situation, Qdf is the first actor here. he shot first and he's still shooting most.

i really don't get your whole orientation. either intervention in libya will work or it won't, but second-guessing the moral basis of the uprising is really rubbing me the wrong way

goole, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:50 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah me too

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:52 (thirteen years ago) link

like there's this weird subtext of somehow painting the rebels as the aggressors/in the wrong, you're giving the impression that you think they should have just continued peacefully protesting until Qudhaffy shot, tortured, imprisoned, "disappeared" all of them. because that would have been the "right" thing to do. How that is any less offensive/patronizing/morally invalid than Western intervention is kinda beyond me.

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 15:54 (thirteen years ago) link

goole do you really need to hear me say that shooting and killing peaceful protestors is reprehensible??

i'm not sure where i questioned the legitimacy of the armed uprising. i don't know what that means, actually - moral legitimacy? legal legitimacy? at any rate, i didn't mean to imply that the rebels were "illegitimate" by choosing to fight gaddafi militarily.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:01 (thirteen years ago) link

initiating an armed rebellion is one of the biggest things any political group can do, with the biggest consequences in terms of human misery and suffering and you'd better fucking know what you're doing. i

^^^this is not how these things happen in real-time. there is no centralized decision-making process, no time for long-term strategizing or cost-benefit analysis. it's more like "holy shit they're shooting everybody! what am I gonna do! hey those guys over there have some molotov cocktails, I'm going with them"

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:03 (thirteen years ago) link

like even categorizing them as a political group is just wrong.

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:04 (thirteen years ago) link

initiating an armed rebellion is one of the biggest things any political group can do, with the biggest consequences in terms of human misery and suffering and you'd better fucking know what you're doing. it seems the rebels (who i don't consider an identical category with "the protestors") didn't have a clue. would the suffering have been less if no one had picked up a gun? would other pressure have been brought to bear had the protests remained peaceful? we'll never know.

tracer this whole paragraph is very "who is the real war criminal? well never know!"

max, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:04 (thirteen years ago) link

no it's not

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:05 (thirteen years ago) link

if it were, that's what i would have written

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:05 (thirteen years ago) link

The difference between Egypt and Libya in this respect is that, while Mubarak had thugs, the bulk of the military in a passive coup refused to fire on the ppl while they demonstrated and dismantled the police force. Qaddafi and his military, otoh, have never flinched from using gunfire, including aerial gunfire, and beatings, arrest and torture to repress the demonstations. It's worth noting that many of the insurgents are ex-military who decided against propping up the regime.

exécutés avec l’insolence accoutumée du (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:09 (thirteen years ago) link

would other pressure have been brought to bear had the protests remained peaceful?

In other words, I assert that the primary responsibility for the protests not remaining peaceful was Qadaffi's.

exécutés avec l’insolence accoutumée du (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:11 (thirteen years ago) link

Uh, Tracer you said:

i think they shouldn't pick up guns. especially when it's perfectly clear they stand no chance.

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Plus countless other postings repeatedly critiquing these rebels and how apparently despite the facts showing Q shooting at protestors, you seem to think rebelling with weapons was wrong. That's why I said "Tracer's Rules of Protest"

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:13 (thirteen years ago) link

guys i apologise i must be even more unclear than usual.

primary responsibility for the protests not remaining peaceful was Qadaffi's

obviously. i'm talking about AFTER this, when rebels decided to mobilize technicals, tanks and militias.

i think they shouldn't pick up guns. especially when it's perfectly clear they stand no chance.

this isn't questioning the legitimacy of organized violence against the gaddafi regime. it's questioning whether it will work. it's also questioning whether such a move would lead to MORE death, displacement and suffering than a different move (or no move).

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:17 (thirteen years ago) link

with the biggest consequences in terms of human misery and suffering and you'd better fucking know what you're doing.

The American revolution almost failed. The French revolution can be said to have failed (or to have essentially taken the better part of a century to 'take'). The Russian revolutions can be said to have failed and you could certainly say that of the Iranian revolution, too. None of that changes the fact that the very nature of the start of the revolt in Tunisia and its spread elsewhere is that disparate people of all stripes without much forethought or strategy simply were more willing to endure the the threat of violence from their regimes than to continue to bow down and remain silent.

exécutés avec l’insolence accoutumée du (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:18 (thirteen years ago) link

well to be fair, the initial phase (forgetting the dates here) of the armed part of the rebellion looked to be going pretty well too! key oil towns fell, Qdf's hold on the country looked like it was down to his 'base' support areas. it was not 'perfectly clear' they stood no chance, when they started, or even a week or so into the effort.

the_west's hands-off approach looked to be a win-win at the time. but Qdf managed to re-organize and rally, and with better equipment and trained soldiers swept back the rebellion very quickly.

goole, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:23 (thirteen years ago) link

Plus Al-Qaeda's LSD strategy didn't work as well as planned.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et m (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:27 (thirteen years ago) link

You are Derek Clontz and I claim my £5

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:34 (thirteen years ago) link

No idea who that is.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:37 (thirteen years ago) link

He has broken many important stories, like space aliens capping the BP oil spill

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

You're talking about Al-Qaeda cropdusting America with mind-bending LSD, right?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

No, that was Q's own colourful theory - that the protesters had all been spiked by Al-Qaeda because why would anyone not on drugs hate Q?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:42 (thirteen years ago) link

No I'm talking about Qaddafi's assertion in February that the protestors were Al-Qaeda dupes who had had their coffee dosed with LSD.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Haha - I wasn't aware that focusing intently on your nation's political problems was one of the major effects of LSD

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 16:49 (thirteen years ago) link

The parallel (non?) story in Syria is illustrative. Decades-long middle east dictator decides the only way to stay in power is to tighter power further, or at least ratify or reinforce restrictions that have been in place for years. And yet from Europe to the US ... nothing.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:31 (thirteen years ago) link

"Oh, but Syria is totally different! Bashar's neo-Hitler stash is a lot more becoming than Qaddafi's frizzy hair transplant."

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:33 (thirteen years ago) link

Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Iraq, Josh.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:38 (thirteen years ago) link

But Elliot Abrams who was convicted of a crime in the Iran-Contra affair and later pardoned by George Bush Sr., did an editorial in the Washington Post re how the US should go after Syria! These neo-cons are trying to link everything going on with their spin on the past that conveniently overlooks the slimy ways they have always tried to accomplish their goals

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ridding-syria-of-a-despot/2011/03/25/AFSRRVYB_story.html

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:44 (thirteen years ago) link

The WaPo editorial page is where neocons go to die, curmudgeon

You're talking about Al-Qaeda cropdusting America with mind-bending LSD, right?

would love to see this gif tbf

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh, but Syria is totally different!

it is a totally different situation involving a completely different set of regional actors/interests. so yes, it is totally different.

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:48 (thirteen years ago) link

tracer this whole paragraph is very "who is the real war criminal? well never know!"

I've got to say I didn't get even a hint of this vibe from what Tracer wrote, let alone any assertion that resembled this one.

It is stupidly easy to take the moral position that oppressed people ought to sacrifice not only their own lives, but those of their families and neighbors, in the sacred pursuit of political freedom, if only because the person taking that position doesn't envision making any such sacrifice themselves. Tracer was just noticing the salient fact that civil wars are bloody messes that can ruin countries for a couple of generations, with no guarantee that the outcome will be anything remotely like what the combatants sought as their original goal.

Once such a war starts, everyone gets blood on their hands, not just the 'bad guys', and it's a fairly dodgy exercise to intervene in such wars simply for high-minded moral reasons, instead of hard, practical ones. War and high-minded morality make poor partners in almost every case.

For example, France intervened in the American Revolution for the simple reason that we were the enemy of their enemy and it was in France's interest to see to it that Britain spent a lot of treasure trying to keep her colonies and ultimately failed to do so. They didn't just come flying to our aid as soon as the war started, either. They waited to see if we could muster an effective army.

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Neo-cons have been after Syria for a good while; Hezbollah, threat to Israel, alliance with Iran....

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post
Washington Post editorial page editor Fred Hyatt loves neo-cons and is apparently one himself. So it's uh interesting watching a US should do whatever it wants guy like Abrams advocate the following steps:

Second, we should prosecute Syria in every available multilateral forum, including the U.N. Security Council and the Human Rights Council. Others should refer Assad to the International Criminal Court. With blood flowing, there should be no delays; this is the moment to call for special sessions and action to prevent more killing. Even if these bodies do not act, the attention should give heart to Syrian demonstrators.

Third, we should ask the new governments in Egypt and Tunisia to immediately call Arab League sessions to debate the violence in Syria. Libya was expelled; let’s demand that Syria be, too

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:51 (thirteen years ago) link

Third, we should ask the new governments in Egypt and Tunisia to immediately call Arab League sessions to debate the violence in Syria. Libya was expelled; let’s demand that Syria be, too

this would be nice but so not gonna happen

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:52 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost So, hard-nosed realpolitik and morality be damned?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

There should be a break between "realpolitik" and "and"

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

"realpolitik" and "morality" have no business being together.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer was just noticing the salient fact that civil wars are bloody messes that can ruin countries for a couple of generations, with no guarantee that the outcome will be anything remotely like what the combatants sought as their original goal.

One of the possible outcomes would be a split between Cyrenaica and Tripolitania (no idea where the Fezzan would go). I've been reading that Cyrenaica linguistically and tribally looks more to the East and Tripolitania looks more to the Maghreb. Since Benghazi is the capital of Cyrenaica (in insurgent hands) and Tripoli is in Qaddafi's hands, I can see some kind of cease-fire along those lines. Unfortunately, since most of the oil is in the East, Qaddafi could always make his usual anti-imperialist noises and would probably always intrigue at the very least in an attempt to get the region back.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 17:56 (thirteen years ago) link

Brokering a peace based on extensive compromises has not been working especially well in the middle east lately, but I must say it would be a welcome outcome.

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:03 (thirteen years ago) link

Even if these bodies do not act, the attention should give heart to Syrian demonstrators.

Fred's problem, like most neo-cons, is that his head is too far rectally inserted to clearly see the situation. The uprisings in Libya were pretty wide-spread and quickly joined by people abandoning the regime. In Syria, they have not been as widespread, concentrating recently mostly on Daraa. I rather wish that Assad would read the handwriting on the wall and get rid of the emergency law that has been in place since '62 and call for genuine, multi-party elections but after today's speech, I'm not terribly sanguine about that.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:07 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/0330/President-Assad-s-defiant-speech-stuns-Syrians-who-call-for-more-protests

Assad's speech may make opposition in Syria more widespread

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:12 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost I meant that Syria and Libya are on their face more or less the same: repressive dictator putting down citizen revolt with excessive violence. Reasons for intervening - or not intervening, as the case may be- are indeed totally different. But anyone else think that the US/UN intervening in Libya but not Syria or wherever just might be giving some of those other regional dictators the idea that if they give at all they're done for? And that the only way to survive is to fire on protestors, clamp down, etc.? I understand the regional players are all different, but they have the internet in Syria, too. And Iran. And everywhere. So even if our action is limited to Libya, the impact of our actions doesn't stop at the Libyan border. Obama's speech more or less said that to do nothing sends the wrong message. But to do something sends a message, too, which surely some of these bad guys are hearing loud and clear as they dig their heals/trenches.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:13 (thirteen years ago) link

should give heart to Syrian demonstrators

See: Hungary, circa 1954. The western powers, esp USA, "gave heart" to demonstrators then, too. Fat lot of good it did them.

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:13 (thirteen years ago) link

Assad's speech may make opposition in Syria more widespread

^^^my suspicion as well

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:14 (thirteen years ago) link

(Not saying we should get involved in Syria at all, btw. Just that by dint of intervening in Libya we're now sort of passively involved, or at least connected, regardless).

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:14 (thirteen years ago) link

they have the internet in Syria, too. And Iran.

um

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:16 (thirteen years ago) link

Just meant that it's not like they don't see what's going on, and are reacting accordingly is all.

Anyway, I don't see why Syria won't go the full Iran and suppress any malcontents with extreme prejudice. Remember, not too long ago Iran's streets were teeming with people calling for reform. But now reformers are laying way low. Those that weren't killed, imprisoned or otherwise disappeared, that is.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:17 (thirteen years ago) link

might be giving some of those other regional dictators the idea that if they give at all they're done for?

also dude this is their default modus operandi

xp

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:17 (thirteen years ago) link

High speed internet access is a concession the Ba'athist party has made in Syria only since january

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:18 (thirteen years ago) link

geez don't these guys know how to use facebook yet wtf

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:20 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry just to be clear i dont ACTUALLY think tracer was saying "who is the real war criminal"

max, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:23 (thirteen years ago) link

Syria's identity is a bit more fractured than Libya's. btw. There's a sizeable Kurdish population, a sizeable Christian population and the Alawites mostly in charge of the govmnt are an odd sect of Shia.

I really do think the Iranian/Hezbollah connection and our presence in Iraq (which I truly believe Obama wants us to get out of) complicates any intervention in Syrian affairs. First off, Russia isn't happy at the way UN1973 is being applied nor is China, so any future UN resolutions aimed at 'halting bloodshed' in Syria probably won't get anywhere. Assad is claiming that the army has been instructed not to harm any Syrians or shed their blood. I'm not sure what that actually means and I'm not so sure of his hold on power within the present regime. (This a country prone to coups since its independence in '46.)

Hizbollah, Syria's client in Lebanon and whose member, Najib Mikati, was just elected prime minister after the national unity govmnt collapsed also recently bloodied the Israelis. Lebanon is in as much danger as at any time since 2008 of returning to civil war (the last one lasted 15 years and was horribly destructive) and unrest in Syria has far greater and potentially more dire regional ramifications than what's happening in Libya.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:32 (thirteen years ago) link

The Syria Revolution 2011 Facebook page called on protesters to take to the streets immediately following Assad’s speech. “Go down into the streets now and announce the uprising – control all the cities and declare civil disobedience from this moment onward,” it declared

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:44 (thirteen years ago) link

See, this is just where it all seems such a frustrating mess. We may mean well in Libya, and probably do, but for every Libya there's another country relatively nearby facing the same issues that we're more or less powerless to help with, due to macro-political constrictions. I admire the notion of humanitarian intervention, but at the same time I feel we could do a lot more good in a lot less unstable places by spending those billions on food, medicine and other parcels of practical aid around the world.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:52 (thirteen years ago) link

So, hard-nosed realpolitik and morality be damned?

False dichotomy. It is somewhat possible to blend realpolitik and morality, but it is particularly difficult to do so when you add in high explosives in large quantities or for extended periods. The moral conscience of explosives is very unreliable.

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 March 2011 18:55 (thirteen years ago) link

unrest in Syria has far greater and potentially more dire regional ramifications than what's happening in Libya.

Also, the potential of either a free Libya or a Libya that remembers that we did something wedged in between Egypt, Libya and an Algeria that has emerged to repeal the emergency law (does it always come down to emergency laws in this region?) from the aborted elections in '92 lends itself to a kind of domino effect strategy in the Maghreb/North Africa whereas who the fcuk knows what lies ahead for the Levant?

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 19:51 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer was just noticing the salient fact that civil wars are bloody messes that can ruin countries for a couple of generations, with no guarantee that the outcome will be anything remotely like what the combatants sought as their original goal.

i think most people get something like what ur saying aimless, but really, 'ruin' libya, will this? fuuuuuck, how could they? it was going so well there. and they're rising up without a guarantee of success... idiots. historically that's how revolutions have preceded, and that's why so many of them lead to the outcomes everyone has sought. if only the libyans could see this.

Once such a war starts, everyone gets blood on their hands, not just the 'bad guys', and it's a fairly dodgy exercise to intervene in such wars simply for high-minded moral reasons, instead of hard, practical ones. War and high-minded morality make poor partners in almost every case.

on this logic i guess it's BETTER that the US is doing this for the oil? idk you seem to think everyone else is really dumb and naive and blind to the hypocrisy etc?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 22:40 (thirteen years ago) link

meanwhile it sounds like there've been some high-level defections. i hope they've got their families out too.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 22:42 (thirteen years ago) link

I really, really hope these defections mark a sinking-ship moment because I think the only way this is going to end at all well is if Q's own guys abandon him. People only stick with a dictator when he's winning and my hope since this whole thing began is that he would begin to seem enough like a failure that high-profile folk in the govt and military would throw him under a bus.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 23:11 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm still massively uncomfortable with this, especially in light of today's late breaking story that HRC said the White House will thumb its nose at Congress. More unitary executive bullshit. Yeah yeah -- the Aims Are Noble.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 30 March 2011 23:19 (thirteen years ago) link

but really, 'ruin' libya, will this? fuuuuuck, how could they?

Perhaps your imagination is a trifle underpowered.

Taking the position that Libya could not possibly become any worse than it was, say, just six months ago is not credible. Look at how Iraq improved after Saddam Hussein was forcibly removed. Hundreds of thousands dead, infrastructure gutted, national treasures looted and shipped away, national income cratered. You'll get no argument that Libya is cruelly oppressed by a dictator, but this quote shows no grasp of the possibilities for bloody mayhem now that bombs and bullets have been added to the mix.

on this logic i guess it's BETTER that the US is doing this for the oil?

Don't be a putz. Libya's oil was never withheld from the US or world markets. Sure, Iraq was about oil. But it is exceedingly unclear what this one is about, other than a desire to take down Qadaffi without the mess and expense of a real invasion. Oh, and all those noble aims in support of the Democratic Aspirations of the Libyan People.

Aimless, Thursday, 31 March 2011 03:05 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh, and all those noble aims in support of the Democratic Aspirations of the Libyan People.

see kids, the capital letters let you know he's being sarcastic

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 07:48 (thirteen years ago) link

Taking the position that Libya could not possibly become any worse than it was, say, just six months ago is not credible ... this quote shows no grasp of the possibilities for bloody mayhem now that bombs and bullets have been added to the mix.

of course im aware libya post-uprising could likely be worse in the short term, or hell, even long-term, than libya under gadaffi. that's the same with pretty much every revolution ever, american, french, whatever. you and tracer are saying no-one should ever have one, afaict. im very much aware of the possibilities for bloody mayhem, but the bullets, for the millionth time, were added to the mix by gadaffi. he had unarmed protesters shot.

i take it that in your view they should not have protested, because a violent response was inevitable? would be really interested to know what, from your vantage point in the post-revolutionary west, the libyans who rose up should have done instead.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 07:54 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry i mean 'Really Interested'

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 07:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Sure, Iraq was about oil.

Oh, FFS. This again?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 08:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Has any country in this region, either pre- or post-colonial meddling, ever had a stable democracy (Israel excepted)? India (not exactly the region, but still) seems to be a shining example of a diverse, huge population reaching some sort of cooperative consensus across religious, etc. lines (recall reading that India's Muslim minority is larger than the entire middle eastern Arab population put together). Turkey, too, right? But the odds of a democratic government coming out of this Libya incursion seems about as unlikely as, I don't know, a truly democratic government coming out of what happened in Egypt, or Tunisia. Or Iraq. Or Afghanistan. (Stretching the "region" here, admittedly). Which means the only way to "achieve" our "goals" is to maintain a presence in the region to bolster whatever temp/phony government fills the vacuum (is this the inevitable outcome of mission creep?). Just amazing to me that here we are in 2011, with Iraq still simmering and Afghanistan active and all sorts of other shit going on, and we've voluntarily entered into an open-ended military mission in the middle east with vague, unfocused goals and an as yet undeclared means of achieving them.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:30 (thirteen years ago) link

Lebanon's had democratic governments? Not very stable mind you! But I'm not sure that's their own fault.

Tom D (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:36 (thirteen years ago) link

It's never their own fault! That's part of the point. Is the region just irreparably broken?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Has any country in this region, either pre- or post-colonial meddling, ever had a stable democracy (Israel excepted)?

it's an impossible, somewhat loaded question -- 'colonial meddling' assumes what? which empire do you mean? the land we call libya has was under imperial control for half a millennium before the fall of mussolini. and under gadaffi it became a russian client. that's not 'meddling', it's a near-permanent state of affairs.

but no, there hasn't been much democracy in libya, historically. nor in any other part of the world.

i don't understand why you think it so unlikely that these north african countries could have democratic government when you also say that india and turkey do have it. im not sure many countries have a 'truly democratic' government, but either way, very few countries started out as democracies.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:45 (thirteen years ago) link

Is the region just irreparably broken?

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, March 31, 2011 1:42 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark

jeepers, it's as if western europe hadn't had an episode of mass slaughter within the span of some people's memories. who is the 'control' in this thought experiment?

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:46 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't know why, but it's surprising to realise that through the 1930s Libya was an actual colony - a colony - of Italy.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:47 (thirteen years ago) link

(And only stopped being one because the British and the French took over)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:48 (thirteen years ago) link

The Italians and Germans had imperialist envy at the beginning of the 20th century. Note Germany's interests in Southwest Africa (Namibia), the Cameroons, a sphere of influence in China, and a few specks in the Pacific used as coaling stations.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 March 2011 12:49 (thirteen years ago) link

Off the point but I was shocked when I first started reading about Rwanda to learn that the main reason the Hutus resented the Tutsis wasn't centuries of rivalry but the divide-and-rule racial politics of the Germans. From Wikipedia:

"During this period, many Europeans had become obsessed with race, and this had an impact on life in Rwanda. The Germans believed the Tutsi ruling class was a superior racial type who, because of their apparent "Hamitic" origins on the Horn of Africa, were more "European" than the Hutu. Because of their seemingly taller stature, more "honorable and eloquent" personalities, and their willingness to convert to Roman Catholicism, the colonist, including powerful Roman Catholic officials, favored the Tutsis. They were put in charge of the farming Hutus (almost in a feudalistic manner), the newly formed principalities, and were given basic ruling positions. Eventually, these positions would turn into the overall governing body of Rwanda. The Tutsi oppression of the Hutus seemed somehow normal and expected."

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 13:02 (thirteen years ago) link

By "meddling" I meant broad western interference, from outright colonization (or worse) on down. Anyway, my point is that it seems no more effective to foster the rise of democracy (like was pointed out, a historical anomaly anyway) in this region than it is to redraw borders or partition countries.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 13:51 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost And of course, vast swaths of Africa and Asia were European colonies as well, well into the 20th century. It doesn't take much history to reach back to some seemingly inconceivable scenarios that comprised our weird collective reality just a couple of generations ago.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 13:55 (thirteen years ago) link

But what if the citizens of those countries want democracy? Do we just say, no, you're not ready for it, you'll only fuck it up.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 13:57 (thirteen years ago) link

I mean, in some ways that's a good question. It's conceivable, for numerous cultural/religious reasons, that democracy literally can't work there, though of course there can be compromises. I'd suggest that even Israel is a compromised democracy (and hey, the US, too). But the ethnic/religious divides there are ancient and real, and grudges and distrust go back for centuries. How did India and Turkey pull it off?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Also, it's sort of being difficult, but who are "the citizens?" A majority? A vocal minority? The rebels? And it's almost like trying to resolve an abusive relationship decades down the line: it's possibly less that anyone wants democracy, per se, so much as something, anything better than their decades-reigning bad-drunk stepfathers, with "democracy" a loose ideal.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:03 (thirteen years ago) link

(Obv. this is just one hypothesis, because at this point there haven't been a lot of "what's next?" specifics)

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:05 (thirteen years ago) link

It's never their own fault!

Re: Lebanon. Guessing that been stuck between Syria and Israel might, uh, put some strain on a country

Tom D (Tom D.), Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:09 (thirteen years ago) link

there are a lot of reasons to oppose intervention in libya but afiac "arabs/muslims/libyans cant do democracy" seems like one of the worst

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Sure, I'll give you that. Because obviously they *can*.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:23 (thirteen years ago) link

this is a good essay from last week about the discourse around libya: http://zunguzungu.wordpress.com/2011/03/26/libya-waiting-to-see/

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:26 (thirteen years ago) link

This is particularly a problem because there is no good option in Libya: with respect to UN intervention, both “nothing” and “something” are completely terrible. And you need to understand that I understand that, because otherwise — no matter how I say what I will eventually say about it — you may mistake me for someone who is in the business of not only predicting the future, but of demanding that a particular course of action, based on my particular insight into events, is the right one. You will mistake me for someone who is under the illusion that “if I were president” is a useful premise for commentary. It’s not, and I’m not doing that. I’m watching the news day-by-day, reading about the past and revising my opinion as I get more information. “When the facts change, I change my opinion,” as Keynes supposedly said; “What do you do, sir?”

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:27 (thirteen years ago) link

CIA teams on the ground

goole, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:29 (thirteen years ago) link

gathering intelligence to direct airstrikes and to assist the few libyan officers working for the opposition in training.

maybe it'll work this time!

goole, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:30 (thirteen years ago) link

haha

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:31 (thirteen years ago) link

there are a lot of reasons to oppose intervention in libya but afiac "arabs/muslims/libyans cant do democracy" seems like one of the worst

Mere orientalism

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:32 (thirteen years ago) link

Re: Lebanon. Guessing that been stuck between Syria and Israel might, uh, put some strain on a country

A country, like many in the post European imperialist era that was formed from disparate elements that dislike and mistrust each other. The very fact that the president is supposed to be Maronite, the PM Sunni, the speaker of the parliament Shiite and the chief of staff Druze is the result of the worst kind of imperialist gerrymandering. I'm no fan of the Syrian Ba'athists or the Alawite elite in Syria but the impetus towards a 'greater Syria' isn't entirely devoid of historical relevance and prior to being manipulated by the French, the locals were, of course, under the dominion of the Turks.

The Alawite gang in Syria need war w/Israel and the Emergency Law to maintain themselves in power and I'm sure they fear that, if allowed to vote, the majority of the Syrian people wouldn't be terribly well-disposed toward them.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:45 (thirteen years ago) link

That's a great link, max

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:53 (thirteen years ago) link

"There’s a dangerous narcissism in imagining the West has a monopoly on things like imperialism, and that kind of solipsism is often particularly tempting and satisfying to even those in the West that think bad things about “the West”: it allows us to maintain the belief that the West is still the center of the universe, even if it’s now the Devil rather than God. But being opposed to the devil we know doesn’t change the fact that there actually are other devils. And a legacy of anti-colonial thinking has left a lot of leftists unable to understand that being the enemy of our enemy doesn’t make someone our friend. Just because the great powers of The West are imperialist in some sense doesn’t mean that those who oppose them in some sense — people like Gaddafi, Chavez, Mugabe, or Ahmadinejad — actually are anti-imperialist."

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 14:58 (thirteen years ago) link

so a lot of the anti-intervention voices ive been reading have been holding up kosovo as--i guess--a disaster? or at least a good example of why intervention isnt the right policy. is this the general sentiment? this was all before my political consciousness and ive never really read about it, but i always thought u.s. involvement was more or less "successful"?

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Again, non-intervention in Kosovo might have been worse. It's still a major cf but then, so is Serbia generally and the Russians' paternalistic attitude towards the southern Slavs doesn't entirely help.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:25 (thirteen years ago) link

The Balkans can be seen through a post-imperialist lens as well, it's just that the imperialists were Turks.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:27 (thirteen years ago) link

Maybe I've been looking in the wrong places but I was under the impression that the Kosovo intervention was generally deemed a success, thought not an unqualified one. But there seems to be a growing argument that it was wrong, for a variety of reasons, none of which I find convincing and some of which seem to involved whitewashing Milosevic. I don't know why this is such a popular POV now, unless it's the internet echo-chamber effect - the same phrases and stats keep recurring.

This guy represents the anti case pretty clearly, though without the pro-Milosevic stuff you find in the comments below

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:28 (thirteen years ago) link

The 3 responses that Glen Greenwald linked to on Salon responding to Juan Cole did not seem very impressive to me. Some (or 1) mentioned the Balkans--the long stalemate there.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:32 (thirteen years ago) link

I was unimpressed with Cole's two-line response from a couple of days ago.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:39 (thirteen years ago) link

Links?

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:41 (thirteen years ago) link

Kosovo (like Libya) wasn't a chocolate vs dog shit choice. It's still deeply fcuked up and almost a million ppl were displaced and some 11K killed but doing nothing wouldn't have been a better option and Milosevic can emerge any time he likes from his grave and kiss my ass.

I may seriously question the committment of France, the UK and the US in Libya but sitting back and watching Qaddafi massacre the insurgents from the air like Saddam did to the Shia and Kurds in '91 did not sit well with me at all and it would have tarnished the Arab Spring to a very great extent.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 15:55 (thirteen years ago) link

watching Qaddafi massacre the insurgents from the air

...

Q: Do you see any evidence that he actually has fired on his own people from the air? There were reports of it, but do you have independent confirmation? If so, to what extent?

SEC. GATES: We’ve seen the press reports, but we have no confirmation of that.

ADM. MULLEN: That’s correct. We’ve seen no confirmation whatsoever.

March 1 2011
http://www.defense.gov/transcripts/transcript.aspx?transcriptid=4777

...

A top Vatican official citing reliable sources in close contact with residents told Reuters at least 40 civilians have been killed in air strikes over Tripoli.

March 31 2011
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2011/03/2011331142051984358.html

...

it's not like i'm usually all about the US SecDef and the, uh, Vatican as reliable, truthful sources about military operations but.. it seems kind of germane to the conversation we're having

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2011/03/2011331142051984358.html

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:07 (thirteen years ago) link

sorry, didn't mean to post that al-j article twice

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:08 (thirteen years ago) link

here's another one:

http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/2011/03/2011328194855872276.html

this guy says the transitional council is NOT buddies with the west (though he provides scant evidence for this). i really would like to know more about these dudes.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:17 (thirteen years ago) link

I don't see the problem with Cole's response TBH.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:48 (thirteen years ago) link

OK he updated it; yesterday he posted a three-sentence answer.

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:51 (thirteen years ago) link

btw, my trivia team would've won last Sunday night if any of us had remembered "Odyssey Dawn."

(That's OK -- NONE of the teams correctly identified the host of ABC's This Week either. Truly trivial information.)

your generation appalls me (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 31 March 2011 16:59 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost Ah, of course, that figures.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Johan Galtung: 20 Years of War in Libya

The opposition in Libya, according to Galtung, stands for the West. France, Italy, the UK, and the US are likely to invest huge sums in that opposition. On Monday Obama promised to transfer $33 billion in seized Libyan assets to "the people" of Libya; that means the opposition. What's underway, Galtung says, is a civil war, not a no-fly zone protecting civilians. And killing Gadaffi would make him a martyr.

Gadaffi's military is not primarily foreign mercenaries. Prior to U.S. involvement, military forces were defecting to the rebel side; now one doesn't hear of that happening. The leader of the rebels is a CIA creation. Going back to the U.S. liberation of Cuba and the Philippines, the U.S. military has stepped in to "help" dozens of countries and overstayed its welcome every single time without exception.

Galtung doesn't predict that the United States will be at war in Libya for 20 years. He expects Western Europe to take over the poisonous role of empire from the current global power. China, he believes, even if it were powerful enough to step into that role, is not stupid enough to do so.

light...sweet...crude (Sanpaku), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:02 (thirteen years ago) link

The paramount Greenwald question: "How many times do we have to arm one side of a civil war -- only for that side to then become our Enemy five or ten or fifteen years later -- before we learn not to do that any more?"

your generation appalls me (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:05 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm fully willing to admit that I supported Iraq II, at least initially, on entirely humanitarian grounds. How would I feel if I were a Kurd? I thought. How would I feel if I were under the rule of a brutal dictator? I would want to be free, I thought. To be freed. My anti-war friends thought I was nuts, and there was much yelling. But soon enough I saw what a fuck-up the whole thing became and it really changed my mind on these things. Per what I said above, if you really want to help as many people as possible, provide food, water, shelter, education. But I increasingly believe there's little hope in helping a fully dysfunctional state (a repressive dictatorship that kills its own people being the most dysfunctional of all). I wish there was, but at best massacres can be delayed or forestalled, often at great cost, but as long as the dictator doing the killing is still in charge it's a bit pointless. But I'm also pretty firmly head of state anti-assassination, and to pussyfoot around that whole ethical quagmire reveals a lack of commitment on the part of those who say the ouster of said dictator would be a good thing.

Has there even been a call for the arrest of Qaddafi? Or just a "demand" that he step down?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:13 (thirteen years ago) link

xpost Yeah, yesterday China said to Sarkozy:

The aim of the UN's resolution is to stop violence and protect civilians.

If the military action brings disaster to innocent civilians and creates a bigger humanitarian crisis, that would violate the original intention of the Security Council resolution.

China disapproves of using military force in international affairs.

You have to admire the precision of adding "in international affairs" there on the end.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:14 (thirteen years ago) link

Josh I believe Obama has said Gaddafi "must go" as have countless Libyan opposition figures.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:14 (thirteen years ago) link

What does "must go" even mean? Must go or what?

Intervention is really a moral/ethical quagmire. Say we could turn back time and stop the massacre in Rwanda? Could we have done it? At what cost? What cost would we have been willing to pay, in money, in lives, to save the lives of hundreds of thousands?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:15 (thirteen years ago) link

Somalia being one example of the limitations of humanitarian intervention, practical or otherwise.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:16 (thirteen years ago) link

provide food, water, shelter, education

You can say a LOT of nasty things about Qaddafi but Libya has the highest HDI in Africa, the fourth highest GDP, has the highest literacy rate in North Africa and was spending almost 40% of its budget on education.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:25 (thirteen years ago) link

of course im aware libya post-uprising could likely be worse in the short term, or hell, even long-term, than libya under gadaffi.

I must say it is difficult to reconcile this statement with your earlier statement: "but really, 'ruin' libya, will this? fuuuuuck, how could they?"

And while people are notorious for being able to hold two irreconcilable opinions at the same time, you will pardon me if I point this out. I was, of course, only reponding to the first one, as I was not yet aware of the second.

i take it that in your view they should not have protested, because a violent response was inevitable? would be really interested to know what, from your vantage point in the post-revolutionary west, the libyans who rose up should have done instead.

I have no firm opinions on whether or not the protestors in Libya should have protested. I was speaking of whether or not the USA and western powers had any reason for the direct application of the tools of war on their behalf.

You seem to think that the Libyans who oppose Qadaffi have an absolute moral claim to the use of our aircraft, bombs and cruise missiles to assist their cause, once they took to the streets and were shot at. This would be true if deposing Qadaffi were an absolute moral imperative in and of itself, so that all humankind would share this presumed obligation to come to Libya and kill anyone who stands with Qadaffi. I don't see it.

However, you seem perfectly aware that war is not moral, but chaotic, and no such absolute moral imperative for ware exists, while you simultaneously argue that there are no moral alternatives for the rest of the world but to enter this war. I understand your desire to seek a just and moral outcome, but you have to recognize that we have no tools to ensure this, only explosives - and they won't do the job.

Aimless, Thursday, 31 March 2011 17:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, fresh intelligence this week showed that Libyan government forces were supplying assault rifles to civilians in the town of Surt, which is populated largely by Qaddafi loyalists. These civilian Qaddafi sympathizers were seenchasing rebel forces in nonmilitary vehicles like sedans and trucks, accompanied by Libyan troops, according to American military officers.

man this is gonna be ugly

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:08 (thirteen years ago) link

uglIER anyway

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:08 (thirteen years ago) link

I have no firm opinions on whether or not the protestors in Libya should have protested. I was speaking of whether or not the USA and western powers had any reason for the direct application of the tools of war on their behalf.

erm, no, you were not. what you said was:

It is stupidly easy to take the moral position that oppressed people ought to sacrifice not only their own lives, but those of their families and neighbors, in the sacred pursuit of political freedom, if only because the person taking that position doesn't envision making any such sacrifice themselves. Tracer was just noticing the salient fact that civil wars are bloody messes that can ruin countries for a couple of generations, with no guarantee that the outcome will be anything remotely like what the combatants sought as their original goal.

that's strictly about the protesters.

re. 'ruining' libya: i was being sarcastic, dummy.

You seem to think that the Libyans who oppose Qadaffi have an absolute moral claim to the use of our aircraft, bombs and cruise missiles to assist their cause, once they took to the streets and were shot at.

i don't really trade in absolute moral claims tbh. i don't 'like' this war, but i think we have, or should have, other tools than explosives to bring about... some improvement. a just and moral outcome, maybe not, we don't live in a very just world ourselves.

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:12 (thirteen years ago) link

in nonmilitary vehicles like sedans and trucks

Tactical adaptation to comouflage them from aircraft.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:13 (thirteen years ago) link

The new Nato head of operations there just said he is opposed to arming the rebels.

We could just have a long stalemate.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:16 (thirteen years ago) link

And now it's our long stalemate, because it's only a stalemate as long as we're hovering nearby with our fingers on the trigger. And the second the international presence leaves ...

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:19 (thirteen years ago) link

(shrugs) I can't see anything in that second quote that contradicts anything I said in the first one. The second quote, afaics, was about non-Libyans who form opinions on what the protestors should have done. The first quote declined to form such an opinion.

But we live two different worlds, you and I, and it is clear we shall never marry.

Aimless, Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:34 (thirteen years ago) link

dont know why so many of you have opinions about this, seems a lot easier to sit back and form an opinion later after its clear whos right

― max, Monday, March 21, 2011 3:07 AM (1 week ago) Bookmark

overlooked truth bomb

patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:35 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/03/26/111109/new-rebel-leader-spent-much-of.html

"Libyan rebel leader spent much of past 20 years in suburban Virginia"

Since coming to the United States in the early 1990s, Hifter lived in suburban Virginia outside Washington, D.C. Badr said he was unsure exactly what Hifter did to support himself, and that Hifter primarily focused on helping his large family.

this country is domed (Hunt3r), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:51 (thirteen years ago) link

keep thinking "you know who else lived in northern VA? HIFTER!"

this country is domed (Hunt3r), Thursday, 31 March 2011 18:52 (thirteen years ago) link

overlooked truth bomb

― patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, March 31, 2011 2:35 PM (39 minutes ago)

i think like 3 people itt have expressed opinions tbf

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:29 (thirteen years ago) link

huh i wonder was mr hifter was doing in suburban virginia? cant really think of any major institutions or complexes located there

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:38 (thirteen years ago) link

i know it's funny and everything but let's not get crazy with this CIA stuff just because an asylee lives in northern virginia

goole, Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:40 (thirteen years ago) link

just a bit of spycraft, lets be cool

max, Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:43 (thirteen years ago) link

i mean, i wouldn't be surprised, but come on

goole, Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:44 (thirteen years ago) link

In 1975, during the Fall of Saigon, Nguyễn fled South Vietnam. He moved to the United States, and opened a pizza restaurant at Rolling Valley Mall, in the Washington, D.C. suburb of Burke, Virginia. In 1991, Nguyễn was forced into retirement when his identity was publicly disclosed. Photographer Eddie Adams recalled that on his last visit to the pizza shop, he had seen written on a toilet wall, "We know who you are, fucker".[5]

goole, Thursday, 31 March 2011 19:49 (thirteen years ago) link

Taking the position that Libya could not possibly become any worse than it was, say, just six months ago is not credible ... this quote shows no grasp of the possibilities for bloody mayhem now that bombs and bullets have been added to the mix.

of course im aware libya post-uprising could likely be worse in the short term, or hell, even long-term, than libya under gadaffi. that's the same with pretty much every revolution ever, american, french, whatever. you and tracer are saying no-one should ever have one, afaict. im very much aware of the possibilities for bloody mayhem, but the bullets, for the millionth time, were added to the mix by gadaffi. he had unarmed protesters shot.

i take it that in your view they should not have protested, because a violent response was inevitable? would be really interested to know what, from your vantage point in the post-revolutionary west, the libyans who rose up should have done instead.

― patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, March 31, 2011 7:54 AM (11 hours ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

invoking revolution is misleading here. events in libya stopped being revolution (in the context you're talking about) when the u.n. got involved. it then became a sort of assisted insurrection, with the focus on the nations trying to oust q/gfi, not on the presumed 'revolutionaries'

more than a Bale-sized gulf (whatever), Thursday, 31 March 2011 20:11 (thirteen years ago) link

dont know why so many of you have opinions about this, seems a lot easier to sit back and form an opinion later after its clear whos right

― max, Monday, March 21, 2011 3:07 AM (1 week ago) Bookmark

overlooked truth bomb

― patrice wil$on is my favorite rapper (history mayne), Thursday, March 31, 2011 6:35 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

can't recall the famous quote max's post paraphrases (sorry bad syntax etc). but good quote and good post.

more than a Bale-sized gulf (whatever), Thursday, 31 March 2011 20:18 (thirteen years ago) link

j@gg3r?

timbo slice (D-40), Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:15 (thirteen years ago) link

well him too

call all destroyer, Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:16 (thirteen years ago) link

I still can't tell if that "wait and see" truthbomb is supposed to be a joke or note.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:19 (thirteen years ago) link

best to wait and see

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:20 (thirteen years ago) link

Don't Worry Jagger (Moammar's Only Looking For Your Hand in the Snow)

Hey Look More Than Five Years Has Passed And You Have A C (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:22 (thirteen years ago) link

I still can't tell if that "wait and see" truthbomb is supposed to be a joke or note.

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, March 31, 2011 11:19 PM (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

basically = 'boy im glad i didnt have to make that decision' right

timbo slice (D-40), Thursday, 31 March 2011 23:33 (thirteen years ago) link

i feel like NATO is helping the rebels just enough for this to go on for fucking years.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 1 April 2011 09:26 (thirteen years ago) link

Speaking of Bosnia, their slightly odd ethno-political system still causing problems : http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/12933096.stm

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 1 April 2011 09:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Coalition air strike 'killed seven civilians'

.. in rebel held territory, so assume the doctor is not pro-Gadaffi?

Tom D (Tom D.), Friday, 1 April 2011 11:59 (thirteen years ago) link

A small price to pay for freedom. Freedom isn't free! Had they not been killed, Qaddafi may have killed them.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 1 April 2011 13:11 (thirteen years ago) link

An aide to one of Q's sons defected to the UK.

And since its Friday, I believe there were more protests in various parts of the world after services, in Syria:

Al-Jazeera, and other media, report that so far, the government is using only tear gas, water cannon and people in plainclothes armed with sticks to try to subdue the protesters

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 13:46 (thirteen years ago) link

The new kinder and gentler Syria

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 13:47 (thirteen years ago) link

xp: 'killed seven civilians'

Note the airstrike hit a pro-Gaddafi ammunition truck. The secondary explosion destroyed two nearby houses. Not entirely comparable to cluster bombing Kosovo refugees by accident.

light...sweet...crude (Sanpaku), Friday, 1 April 2011 14:09 (thirteen years ago) link

At least one dead now reported in Syria

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 14:18 (thirteen years ago) link

If NATO start attacking civilians, will NATO hit NATO with aerial attacks too?

and the hint of parp (ledge), Friday, 1 April 2011 15:11 (thirteen years ago) link

u guys should check this book 'catch 22' its rlly great

timbo slice (D-40), Friday, 1 April 2011 15:11 (thirteen years ago) link

you don't have to be crazy to bomb libya, but it helps!

and the hint of parp (ledge), Friday, 1 April 2011 15:15 (thirteen years ago) link

So author Jeremy Scahill (from the far left) is mocking the Libyan rebels as a small ragtag bunch similar to the contras that Reagan backed, while some on the far right are convinced they're all Al queda and will turn on the US next....

Scahill has a long article in the Nation on Yemen and the US battles with Al Queda there. The comment section discusses his disagreements with liberal MSNBC host Ed Schultz re Libya.

http://www.thenation.com/article/159578/dangerous-us-game-yemen?comment_sort=ASC#comments

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 16:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh FFS North Africans don't want to start Al Q groups.

nights of d. cameron (suzy), Friday, 1 April 2011 16:39 (thirteen years ago) link

I read Scahill's book on Blackwater and admired it and him, until I peeked at his Facebook photos and saw photos of him in the late nineties hanging out with Fidel. Unironically.

US ending air combat role

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 1 April 2011 16:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Whatever that means. Directly, you mean, since I assume we will continue to supply intel and whatnot.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 1 April 2011 16:53 (thirteen years ago) link

I think it means we aren't gonna fly planes and drop bombs

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 1 April 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

from the far left (bill o'reilly voice)

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Friday, 1 April 2011 16:56 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh FFS North Africans don't want to start Al Q groups.

It was my understanding that there were numerous Libyans w/Al Qaeda in Afghanistan though that was said to reflect the futility of operations in Libya as much as anything.

It was my understanding that "Al Qaeda is secretly running the Libyan revolution/arming them with Islamist strings attached" was basically a unsubstantiated rumor taken seriously by the likes of Alex Jones and George Noory...

I love my puppy -- and she loves me! (Viceroy), Friday, 1 April 2011 17:23 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah i mean no one besides complete idiots believes they're "secretly running" the whole thing or whatever absolute terms you'd like to use - the makeup of the_rebels is still v much unclear tho obv which is (one of the many reasons) why the US is hesitant to arm them

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Friday, 1 April 2011 18:15 (thirteen years ago) link

Oh FFS North Africans don't want to start Al Q groups.

― nights of d. cameron (suzy), Friday, April 1, 2011 5:39 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

eh? dunno how they feel about OG al-q, but violent islamists have been known to inhabit the region (and indeed inspired osama's merry band), and could take on the brand. don't think they are 'running tings' but it's a factor in the equation.

ban max (history mayne), Friday, 1 April 2011 18:39 (thirteen years ago) link

TS: an administration that directly and openly funded terrorism against the west vs a rebellion that may or may not (while accepting aid from the west) end up rebelling violently against the west.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 1 April 2011 20:11 (thirteen years ago) link

i keep forgetting everything wrt libya fits into these neat binaries

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Friday, 1 April 2011 20:14 (thirteen years ago) link

Het, if the world doesn't fit into binaries then those in power acr as if it does, which is kind of the same thing. I mean, any weapons we give the rebels will be be less (or equal) to what Gaddafi would have if he wins.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 1 April 2011 20:16 (thirteen years ago) link

The US seems more worried about the Al Queda unit (AQAP) operating in Yemen and what will happen if (when at this point, maybe) Yemen's head of state leaves. Scahill thinks that the US' single-minded focus on AQAP without any support for bread and butter economic issues there has backfired for the US.

Will Syria eventually succeed Iran-style in supressing dissent?
From the NY Times:
Thousands of protesters took to the streets in cities around Syria on Friday to chants of “We want freedom” and security forces responded with tear gas, electrified batons, clubs and bullets, killing at least seven people, according to activists, residents and a Syrian human rights group.

demonstrators had chanted “Freedom is not a foreign conspiracy or call to sectarian division,” in response to the Wednesday speech in which President Assad accused protesters of advancing “an Israeli agenda” against Syria and said they had been “duped” or were conspiring to destroy the nation.

Syrian state media on Friday reported that imams and prayer leaders had repeated President Assad’s warning about foreign conspiracies.

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 20:18 (thirteen years ago) link

demonstrators had chanted “Freedom is not a foreign conspiracy or call to sectarian division,” i

It probably flows better in Arabic

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 20:20 (thirteen years ago) link

haha

kl0p's son (k3vin k.), Friday, 1 April 2011 20:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Do the Libyan rebels want a ceasefire now because they don't expect NATO to be as agressive as the US in bombing?

ABC news:

Coalition forces "captured all of what we may call the low-hanging fruit, the armored columns, those targets in obvious positions on open roads, sitting on open terrain," Shashank Joshi of the British think tank Royal United Services Institute told Reuters.

"What we may now be left with is heavy weaponry on the ground that's more difficult to find and isolate because it is next to urban targets," he said.

Cordesman said the dynamic could pose a challenge for NATO and European militaries which are not as well equipped as the U.S. with aerial surveillance technologies

curmudgeon, Friday, 1 April 2011 20:50 (thirteen years ago) link

NATO may have accidentally bombed the rebels. Meanwhile, hundreds of pro-democracy rebels in Ivory Coast massacred for trying to take down their own democracy-resisting strongman. Better keep those jet engines running, right? Especially if we want to keep global cocoa prices down.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 2 April 2011 17:31 (thirteen years ago) link

All in all, i think it's going pretty well over there.

not_goodwin, Saturday, 2 April 2011 17:34 (thirteen years ago) link

so: seif qaddafi leading libya during a transition to constitutional democracy?

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/04/world/africa/04libya.html?hp

seems kinda... counterintuitive.

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Monday, 4 April 2011 07:01 (thirteen years ago) link

The idea also touches on longstanding differences among his sons. While Seif and Saadi have leaned toward Western-style economic and political openings, Colonel Qaddafi’s sons Khamis and Mutuassim are considered hard-liners. Khamis leads a fearsome militia focused on repressing internal unrest.

And Mutuassim, a national security adviser who also commands his own militia, has been considered a rival to Seif in the competition to succeed their father. But Saadi, who has drifted through careers as a professional soccer player, a military officer and a businessman, firmly backs the plan, an associate said

Can't someone just offer the whole family a reality tv show instead?

curmudgeon, Monday, 4 April 2011 14:06 (thirteen years ago) link

They already have a reality show, and we're watching it right now. It's called ... reality.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 4 April 2011 15:34 (thirteen years ago) link

doh!

So the US is now sorta saying that Yemen's prez for life should go.

curmudgeon, Monday, 4 April 2011 16:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Speaking of reality shows, they should just have Yemen dude and Qaddafi swap countries. Like, Nation Swap. Just to shake things up, see what happens.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 4 April 2011 16:58 (thirteen years ago) link

The UK is gonna give rebels fancy communication equipment. This is to help prevent further air strikes on the wrong people as well as to allow communication among the rebels. But the UK is not ready to give them weapons yet either.

curmudgeon, Monday, 4 April 2011 18:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, hundreds of pro-democracy rebels in Ivory Coast massacred for trying to take down their own democracy-resisting strongman. Better keep those jet engines running, right? Especially if we want to keep global cocoa prices down.

UN and French troops are shooting people there too if it makes you feel any better

in my world of loose geirs (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 4 April 2011 22:54 (thirteen years ago) link

lol france is pissed these days

k3vin k., Monday, 4 April 2011 23:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Libyan rebels near Brega and Libyan civilians are pissed that NATO is not doing enough to help them.

curmudgeon, Monday, 4 April 2011 23:16 (thirteen years ago) link

Those Libyans don't understand the delicate intricacies of not-wars. We are at not-war in Libya. If we were at war, they'd be super-pissed at us for coming in, steamrolling the country, flattening the infrastructure, taking over the government and trying to build schools for girls.

Aimless, Tuesday, 5 April 2011 00:33 (thirteen years ago) link

What do the "why Libya, why not Ivory Coast?" people make of the Ivory Coast intervention? Do they like this one? Seems to be working.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/africa/2011/04/110405_jj_latest.shtml

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 17:41 (thirteen years ago) link

I dunno what those guys think, but the tide was already against Gbagbo, and has been for months. The UN intervention has (hopefully) reduced the cost in life and time before a solution. But it was still different from Libya where those holding power had the upper hand.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 19:22 (thirteen years ago) link

What do the "why Libya, why not Ivory Coast?" people make of the Ivory Coast intervention? Do they like this one? Seems to be working.

well i'm confused as to why intervention in ivory coast is so easy to do and get away with, whereas libya requires a whole host of subterranean diplomatic agreements, quid-pro-quos, resolutions etc etc. is it because libya is closer to europe as the crow flies?

nultybutnice (whatever), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 19:48 (thirteen years ago) link

Arab countries have much more global political influence than African ones.

Aimless, Tuesday, 5 April 2011 19:56 (thirteen years ago) link

Gbagbo lost his election, the AU condemned him, the US condemned him, the UN condemned him, he's batshit but w/o as deep a power base, the only ppl realistically who can intervene are France under the aegis of the UN, Nigeria just postponed local and presidential elections so they're unlikely to want to get involved. Libya, otoh, is close to France, Italy and Malta and it's a major supplier of oil to Italy but also to France, did I mention that the European economy isn't exactly flourishing right now, PIGS and all? Yet interference is far more risky politically and the dividing lines are less clear.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 20:13 (thirteen years ago) link

NY Times:

BREGA, Libya — Forces loyal to Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi battered rebel fighters on the road outside this strategic oil town on Tuesday with rocket fire, mortars and artillery, driving them many miles to the north and leaving them in disarray.

A day after a senior Libyan rebel leader had criticized NATO for “a delay in reacting and lack of response to what’s going on on the ground,” there was still no sign of the air power that two weeks ago seemed to have the loyalist forces reeling toward the Qaddafi stronghold of Surt, more than 100 miles to the west.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 5 April 2011 21:04 (thirteen years ago) link

BBC guy reporting on that retreat, and how the assault took them by surprise, also mentioned seeing 2 Gaddafi armoured cars smouldering in the road after an airstrike. Also claims by the UN that they've taken out a third of Gaddafi's forces.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 21:24 (thirteen years ago) link

The NATO coalition shouldn't have bothered attacking at all. The point was to prevent bombardment of civilians, not to pick winners. The ideal (given stated aims) would be an enforced stalemate wherein all transport between 17 and 19 East longitude is considered in violation. Let them stew and find a dignified exit for Gaddafi and a federalized constitution for the rebels.

light...sweet...crude (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 22:24 (thirteen years ago) link

it's the "picking winners" part that i really really really have a problem with, even if i were totally on board with the winners picked

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 22:47 (thirteen years ago) link

Is this one of those bombing the trains to Auschwitz type dilemmas?

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 22:54 (thirteen years ago) link

It's not picking winners, it's choosing sides - and there is a difference, even if not in outcome. Hell, even Gandhi stressed the importance of choosing sides in WWII. Failure to act is to support Gadaffi. Partitioning the country would take more force than removing him. The problem remains that the world has not acted enough, rather than acting too little.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 23:07 (thirteen years ago) link

i hear all that

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 5 April 2011 23:29 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm with Dowd on this. If you allow Gaddaffi's troops to retake towns hence life will be dangerous for civilians in those towns. Jeeez Tracer, you're still worried that these rebels might be worse than Gaddaffi.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 04:39 (thirteen years ago) link

what?? when did i ever say that?

really, i mean i DO understand that being opposed to western airstrikes is equal to supporting gaddafi's right to kill civilians in cold blood, but no one should have to bring up hitler to make their arguments

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 07:39 (thirteen years ago) link

I probably wouldn't put it as strongly as saying that opposition is "equal to supporting gaddafi's right to kill civilians in cold blood" - it may enable his actions, but it doesn't condone them. I guess it gets a bit too act and omissions doctrine at this point.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 08:30 (thirteen years ago) link

JUST A LITTLE BIT

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 09:12 (thirteen years ago) link

In the case of Ivory Coast, it's been an intervention months in the making, plus a much more clear cut idea of the opposition: the is, the guy that won the national election and the millions that support him, vs. the despot refusing to concede who has nationalized the banks, cocoa industry, etc., to consolidate power and fund his side. Libya just seems so much more ambiguous/amorphous, with "Qaddafi is a bad guy" the only thing obvious to everyone. Just about every other aspect of it is a degree of guesswork.

So, with regard to Ivory Coast, I'm fine with intervention. Though the French, obviously, owe a much greater debt to and have a much deeper relationship with Ivory Coast that we do with Libya.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 12:00 (thirteen years ago) link

^sorry for all the typos, packing a kid's lunch while I wrote this

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 12:48 (thirteen years ago) link

Re Ivory Coast, here's an article from the Nation on how the exploitive role played by American agribusiness companies like Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland (in not paying farmers fairly for cocoa) will continue to be a problem there even if/when the guy who lost the election finally leaves

http://www.thenation.com/article/159707/roots-cote-divoire-crisis

NPR this morning covered Libya and Yemen from the perspective of those in the US government who are trying to stop Al Queda. Sadly it seems that civilians in both of those countries are irrelevent pawns. All of the military 'experts' just assume that changes in governments in those 2 countries will help Al Queda in Libya(alleged to exist based on prior reports) and Al Queda in the Arabian Peninsula(AQAP gave us the underwear bomber). There was no discussion of economic aid or anything else for the people in Yemen, just how the US has been unable to use Predator drones in recent months to target AQAP.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 13:55 (thirteen years ago) link

Josh in Chicago, do you have a child?

the pinefox, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 13:57 (thirteen years ago) link

I've got two!

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 15:42 (thirteen years ago) link

That's impressive. Congratulations.

the pinefox, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 15:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Well, they're not that new! ;)

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 15:52 (thirteen years ago) link

But thanks.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 15:52 (thirteen years ago) link

NATO bombing missions in Libya apparently up a bit today, but Gaddaffi is trying to use non-military vehicles and hiding troops in urban areas to make things more difficult.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 21:20 (thirteen years ago) link

good to know. any idea when it will end?

nultybutnice (whatever), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 21:31 (thirteen years ago) link

Ha. I liked the story that one of Gaddaffi's sons was suggesting that if his Dad be considered a British style king, he would go along with having a Parliament.

Gaddafi also wrote another letter to Obama:

from the NY Times

In a letter to President Barack Obama on Wednesday, Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi called for an end to airstrikes on his forces and addressed the American leader as “our son,” apparently referring to Mr. Obama’s African heritage.

Colonel Qaddafi also assured Mr. Obama that he has not taken the American military action personally, and even endorsed his campaign for reelection in 2012.

As White House Press Secretary Jay Carney reminded reporters on Wednesday, the letter was “not the first,” from the Libyan leader to the American president.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 21:41 (thirteen years ago) link

omg

sleeve, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 21:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Man, Muammar really needs to go into exile on a talk show. If it weren't for the evil, he'd be a zany comic genius.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 21:55 (thirteen years ago) link

the letter was “not the first,” from the Libyan leader to the American president

Muammar el-Gaddfly

brownie, Wednesday, 6 April 2011 22:57 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm sure the big thing Obama wants in his corner right now is the endorsement of a crazy black man dressed as a future pimp

fat fat fat fat Usher (DJP), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 23:00 (thirteen years ago) link

just got nostalgic for Idi Amin for a moment there

cockroach shakespeare (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 6 April 2011 23:03 (thirteen years ago) link

Many of the fighters are brave, but by any measures by which a military might be assessed, they are hapless NY Times on Libyan rebels

So I guess these "hapless" rebels are not Al Queda?

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 April 2011 13:43 (thirteen years ago) link

You'd have to check their driver's licenses to be sure

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 13:43 (thirteen years ago) link

@bencnn benwedeman
Fighters, civilians fleeing ajdabiya after apparent NATO airstrikes kills at least three (including doctor), wound more than 10 opposition
1 minute ago via Twitter for iPhone

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 13:50 (thirteen years ago) link

"We Support the Libyan Democratic Revolution and Oppose Western Military Intervention and Domination "

http://www.cpdweb.org/

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 14:18 (thirteen years ago) link

And elsewhere in the region:

After Bahrain’s Sunni rulers crushed protests last month, the Shiite opposition is trying to regain momentum

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 April 2011 14:18 (thirteen years ago) link

Phyllis Bennis responds to Juan Cole:

http://www.zcommunications.org/on-libya-a-response-to-juan-cole-by-phyllis-bennis

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 14:22 (thirteen years ago) link

She's just rehashing old arguments. Her argument about the military strength of the rebels might have seemed logical when the rebellion began, but I don't see many people voicing that view now about the "hapless" rebels.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 April 2011 14:39 (thirteen years ago) link

Nothing surprising in that CPD statement - just wishful thinking and a pretty casual approach to massacres.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 7 April 2011 15:07 (thirteen years ago) link

I guess you must be referring to those predicted massacres that did not happen, but are now happening in an alternate reality.

Aimless, Thursday, 7 April 2011 17:26 (thirteen years ago) link

They did not happen because of the bombings, yes.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 April 2011 17:29 (thirteen years ago) link

Easy to infer, much harder to establish.

I have learned through bitter experience that governments are quite good at inventing reasons to bomb. The Vietnam War was begun after an "incident" in the Gulf of Tonkin that never happeded. The first Gulf War peddled atrocity stories from Kuwait that were pure fiction, but widely advertised. The Iraq War was sold on the imminent threat of WMD's that didn't exist. A presumably "imminent massacre", even if it were valid in this case, should not be referred to as a massacre.

My point was that DL's dismissal of the linked article as "casual" was itself exceedingly casual, and tbf, was a lot less well thought out.

Aimless, Thursday, 7 April 2011 17:41 (thirteen years ago) link

In a letter to President Barack Obama on Wednesday, Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi called for an end to airstrikes on his forces and addressed the American leader as “our son,” apparently referring to Mr. Obama’s African heritage.

Colonel Qaddafi also assured Mr. Obama that he has not taken the American military action personally, and even endorsed his campaign for reelection in 2012.

Obama sonned in a Libyan beef

strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 7 April 2011 17:46 (thirteen years ago) link

Aimless, I don't just mean the averted massacre in Libya (which even the CPD piece acknowledges) but the imo dishonest description of Kosovo: "Besieged Muslim Bosnians and Kosovar Albanians called for help from NATO; the results were permanent ethnic partition in Bosnia and the creation of a gangster state in Kosovo." Well, the results were also the removal of a tyrant and an end to a campaign of ethnic cleansing. I lost faith in the argument when they started making bogus comparisons (neither Libya nor Kosovo are at all the same as Iraq) in order to argue that all interventions are doomed to failure. And to go back to Libya, pretending that because a massacre didn't happen that it was never going to happen doesn't wash with me. (Reading it again, the paragraph about Qaddafi is all bet-hedging and guesswork while the paragraph about how anyone in the left who doesn't oppose all intervention is just a sucker for the imperialists is so fucking arrogant and condescending. It's a really badly argued statement.)

Why do you think govts have "invented" a reason to bomb Libya? What's in it for them? It's expensive, unpopular in polls, and may drag on for months. Qaddafi had already been brought in from the cold, had given up his WMDs, and was selling oil to the west - as, again, CPD acknowledges. The best they can come up with "However, once the situation became unstable they sought to assert more reliable control over Libya and its resources." Sorry, too vague, too groundless.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 7 April 2011 20:11 (thirteen years ago) link

It's not as if Libya can forego getting oil revenue. They import more than 75% of their food! It's not a one-way street. Yeah, Italians (and the West) may be casually treated as imperialists (they acknowledged Libyan independence in '48 and left in '51) but Libya has set itself up as a resource extraction based society run by a thoughtless, corrupt elite and they need markets to friggin' even live.

My complaint, really, is that the better options; leave Libya to its own devices (and witness a long, brutal civil war and suffer the ignominy of knowing that we could have helped ppl undoubtedly better than Qaddafy) or stomp the regime hard and quickly (and further rend international security arrangements as embodied by the UN, cause outcry at home and abroad, and cost us blood and money) were avoided and instead, with a half-assed exertion we'll end up with all of the negatives anyway.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 7 April 2011 20:24 (thirteen years ago) link

I think there are many sound objections to the current plan, but I'm still waiting for someone opposed to the intervention to honestly confront the likelihood that many people would have died and a dictator would have triumphed while we did nothing (because I don't think there would have been a "long, brutal civil war" given the military weakness of the rebels). That was an option, and I respect anyone who says, sure, they could live with that and it's the lesser of two evils, but instead I just see people saying there wouldn't really have been a massacre, or the rebels would have triumphed with just our good wishes. I don't believe that and I don't think all the people saying it believe that either.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 7 April 2011 20:33 (thirteen years ago) link

And I'm saying this while feeling that the current path is messy and fraught and could be a disaster and I wish the whole crisis had never arisen in the first place.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 7 April 2011 20:35 (thirteen years ago) link

honestly confront the likelihood that many people would have died and a dictator would have triumphed

I'm not saying that we are not each other's brothers and it sounds callous to say realpolitk must be considered along with every other prism but the stakes are more than just national and more than just oil and Tamoil, etc... Chad, Niger, Algeria, Egypt, Tunisia, heck all of North Africa, and the legacy of the Arab Spring are in the balance.

Si tu parles, tu meurs. Si tu te tais, tu meurs. Alors, dis et (Michael White), Thursday, 7 April 2011 20:46 (thirteen years ago) link

i posted those links not because i agreed with everything in them but to expose them to the light of debate - to help people skeptical of the intervention (like me) to sharpen our own thinking about it. DL your issues with the CPD piece are pretty accurate i think. the reasoning is very wooly.

of course you're right that no one can know what would have happened had no one stepped in - it's certainly unlikely that the rebels would have held off gaddafi's army forever, even in the absence of his air force. many would probably have died in benghazi, both in the fighting and the retribution - rebel soldiers, civilians-turned-rebels, defected grunts, and all those who conspired to help them - shopkeepers, even children. that's what happens when you take up arms against a dictator. if he can exact his revenge he will. the rebels knew that. everyone who helped the rebels knew that. it's utterly horrible. but i think the word "massacre" is a kind of unearned trump card - it conjures images of british troops firing into protestors in amritsar. what was in store for benghazi was horrible, but it was not like this. it was almost an entire city that had decided to violently overthrow its ruler, with guns, mortars and defections. it was a pitched urban battle, with a hundred shades of gray between civilians and full-on soldiers.

i agree too that if no intervention had happened this particular conflict may have actually been quite short, and left gaddafi in power (for now). i also suspect it would have been less bloody than what is to follow - a kind of long, grinding drip drip of attrition, skirmishes, bombs and possibly growing "terrorist" tactics as an increasingly desperate public tries whatever it can to destabilize the country.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 21:08 (thirteen years ago) link

I think that's a smarter, more honest and more coherent response than most of what I've read elsewhere. Though I still reckon that if the_west had done nothing, allowing if not a massacre than bloody repression, and the collapse of the Arab spring, a lot of people would be talking about Obama's disgraceful weakness and abdication of responsibility - maybe not on the level of Srebrenica or Rwanda in terms of body count and one-sidedness but in the same vein. I don't know - we agree there were two shitty options, the issue is which was the shittiest.

Pop is superior to all other genres (DL), Thursday, 7 April 2011 21:27 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah, and there's no guarantee that even with a swift defeat there wouldn't have been a kind of grinding, low-level insurgency against gaddafi stretching out over the years as well. though he seems to have been pretty effective at snuffing things like that out over the years.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 7 April 2011 21:58 (thirteen years ago) link

Nato refuses to apologise for strike on Libya rebels

Tom D (Tom D.), Friday, 8 April 2011 11:56 (thirteen years ago) link

Look, pro or con intervention, I really don't think Qaddafi massacring, or killing, or putting down the rebellion would have been shamefully hung around Obama's neck, let alone the_west's. We're talking about a region literally composed of nothing but dictators and despots who got where they've been for decades by violently or otherwise suppressing their people. And that's where precedent comes in, because from now on, if Obama does nothing or says nothing in similar scenarios, he *does* deserve to be at least slightly ashamed. Hence, perhaps, his confused responses to Yemen, where, unlike Libya, US interests are being directly affected (New Yorker piece was good on the complexities of that country, btw, a country that seems held together - or held at bay - entirely by rampant bribery and a daily narcotic-fueled siesta haze).

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 8 April 2011 14:00 (thirteen years ago) link

Has anyone suggested that Gaddafi's massacre would be hung around Obama's neck?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 8 April 2011 21:53 (thirteen years ago) link

Republicans in the US like to blame everything on him anyway

curmudgeon, Saturday, 9 April 2011 15:47 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post dowd, look four posts above yours:

Though I still reckon that if the_west had done nothing, allowing if not a massacre than bloody repression, and the collapse of the Arab spring, a lot of people would be talking about Obama's disgraceful weakness and abdication of responsibility

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 9 April 2011 16:50 (thirteen years ago) link

Sure, but I'm just not sure that would have happened.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Saturday, 9 April 2011 16:53 (thirteen years ago) link

But it will now! Go, 'Bama!

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 9 April 2011 17:05 (thirteen years ago) link

Thanks for linking that article on Cote d'Ivoire, curmudgeon.

Confused Turtle (Zora), Monday, 11 April 2011 09:46 (thirteen years ago) link

Since the press (or at least the Observer) seems to be labouring under some misapprehensions about the British Embassy in Abidjan, some notes:

- There is no British Embassy in Abidjan. There's an old embassy building with a couple of staff, but the embassy proper is run out of Ghana.
- The building is located in Cocody, and has been for several years (Observer map out of date). Hence the mortar landing in the garden.
- It has been evacuated, but not of 17 staff. There aren't 17 staff, only 4. Two members of staff, family members who had been sheltering in the bunker, and some of the contracted guards were air-lifted out this weekend, 15 people in all.

Which for me personally is a massive fucking relief. I just wish we / France / the UN could make everyone else safe too.

Confused Turtle (Zora), Monday, 11 April 2011 10:21 (thirteen years ago) link

Sorry, that should have been in the Civil Unrest thread.

Confused Turtle (Zora), Monday, 11 April 2011 14:27 (thirteen years ago) link

a thread about the civil unrest in egypt (& elsewhere in 'the region' if necessary)

We all seem to be going back and forth from these 2 threads

curmudgeon, Monday, 11 April 2011 15:20 (thirteen years ago) link

So, Gbaggy's been arrested. I wonder what happens next - he has significant support, this isn't going to go down well.

Confused Turtle (Zora), Monday, 11 April 2011 16:08 (thirteen years ago) link

There's bound to be some violence, but I don't see it going on for very long. Anyway, probably wrong thread.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 11 April 2011 16:16 (thirteen years ago) link

Ivory Coast probably deserves a different thread of its own as the election there and the refusal of the president to leave and now his arrest is not really related to either of the two threads.

curmudgeon, Monday, 11 April 2011 16:46 (thirteen years ago) link

Libyans rebels reject African Union ceasefire plan. The rebels don't trust the African Union because of its prior favoritism toward Gaddafi.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 12 April 2011 14:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Which, given the AU's 'peace with no imperialist involvement' is probably sensible, as far as the rebels go.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 12 April 2011 16:18 (thirteen years ago) link

So the Brits and French are mad at the slow pace of NATO attacks, and I read somewhere that the rebels want a certain kind of US plane, the Warthog, that can fly lower and help guide more precise attacks by other planes. Does this mean that the Brits, French, and other NATO countries don't have this type of plane, or that the current NATO leaders of the mission have a more limited notion of the meaning of the mission. Or both?

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 13 April 2011 13:42 (thirteen years ago) link

Or neither?

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 13 April 2011 13:42 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't think the French of British have the A10 or that type of aircraft

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairchild_Republic_A-10_Thunderbolt_II

brownie, Wednesday, 13 April 2011 14:02 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.juancole.com/2011/04/misratas-people-under-siege.html

Juan Cole's latest on Libya

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 13 April 2011 14:27 (thirteen years ago) link

And I think there are A-10s in Libya already, though I might be mistaken. They probably want more. It's the sort of role the Harrier could have served, until they got decomishioned, other than that I'm not sure what advantages the A-10 would have over Lightnings\Tornados supported by Apaches.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 14:58 (thirteen years ago) link

scratch lighnings, but F15-F16s are about. If you look at the 'forces committed' section on wiki http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_military_intervention_in_Libya It seems clear that it's not the lack of any specific hardware that is the problem.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 15:11 (thirteen years ago) link

Loitering time, lethality, low-altitude survivability. An A-10 out of Sicily can stay on station over Ajdabiya for hours, whereas the NATO Air Forces generally prefer flying high and fast, dropping standoff weapons, and flying home in a hurry. The US Air Force kinda hates them, as an originally $10 million dollar plane is far more feared by adversaries than their $132 million fighter showcases, which have little use in the kinds of conflicts the US has fought for 40 years. Most A-10s are relegated to reserve units.

AIt would work better with rebel units/covert agents designating targets though.

AFAIK, there aren't any attack helicopters on the scene except maybe 4 U.S. Marine SuperCobras onboard the USS Bataan. The USS Kearsage it replaced had an all MV-22 airwing.

light...sweet...crude (Sanpaku), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 15:18 (thirteen years ago) link

Yeah, that's what I was wondering - why more attack helicopters aren't in use?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 15:24 (thirteen years ago) link

I mean we are meant to have shifted ground attack over to the Typhoon, but delay after delay means we can only use 10 (don't have enough pilots - doesn't stop them buzzing around here all day)

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 15:28 (thirteen years ago) link

fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck

(warning: lots of dead bodies)

https://www.facebook.com/album.php?aid=54891&id=200260906660331

google translate says: "Photos taken from camera one of the soldiers Alqma"

quickie book deal (gr8080), Wednesday, 13 April 2011 20:47 (thirteen years ago) link

Aid agencies have been struggling to reach civilians in the cities of Benghazi and Misrata, where residents and migrant workers have faced shortages of basic foodstuffs, a lack of medical supplies and sporadic water and electricity supplies.

"According to available information, mainly from the eastern parts of the country, the food that is in the country is being consumed, without being adequately replenished," the WFP said
reuters story

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 13 April 2011 20:52 (thirteen years ago) link

NATO still struggling with same issue

"To avoid civilian casualties we need very sophisticated equipment so we need a few more precision fighter ground attack aircraft for air-to-ground missions," Rasmussen said. Admitting that he did not receive "no specific pledges or promises from this meeting," he expressed confidence that member nations would soon "step up to the plate."

the double negatives in that last sentence confuse me

curmudgeon, Thursday, 14 April 2011 18:18 (thirteen years ago) link

regarding NATO Alliance helicopters, google noted links saying this 4 days ago:

Libyan government forces shot down two U.S.-built attack helicopters being used by rebel forces in the east of the country, the deputy foreign minister said early on Sunday. ...

curmudgeon, Thursday, 14 April 2011 18:22 (thirteen years ago) link

Just me or is anyone else thinking that a "no fly zone" doesn't amount to shit given that Gaddafi never really used his airforce in the first place...?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 14 April 2011 18:47 (thirteen years ago) link

Do you really not remember the struggle in the early stages?

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2011/03/08/world/08Libya2_cnd/08Libya2_cnd-articleLarge.jpg

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Friday, 15 April 2011 00:08 (thirteen years ago) link

It's looking rough for civilians and rebels in Misrata,

curmudgeon, Friday, 15 April 2011 14:57 (thirteen years ago) link

NY Times says forces loyal to Gaddaffi are firing cluster bombs (banned by much of the world) into residential neighborhoods in Misrata

curmudgeon, Friday, 15 April 2011 18:48 (thirteen years ago) link

we in the united states, however, do not stand for the use of cluster bombs

k3vin k., Friday, 15 April 2011 19:55 (thirteen years ago) link

So, now Ghadafi is bringing himself down to the level of the Israeli Defense Forces when they went into Gaza? (/cheapshotartist)

Aimless, Friday, 15 April 2011 19:59 (thirteen years ago) link

I knew someone would point that out

curmudgeon, Friday, 15 April 2011 20:02 (thirteen years ago) link

... because the idea so naturally suggests itself to the engaged mind.

Aimless, Friday, 15 April 2011 20:03 (thirteen years ago) link

hey guys, the mission is regime change now!

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2011/04/15/libya/index.html

lies, lii-iiii-iiiies

your generation appalls me (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 16 April 2011 01:30 (thirteen years ago) link

dowd i do remember that, but the no-fly zone was intended to protect civilians, i thought? gaddafi didn't bomb any civilians with planes iirc

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 17 April 2011 15:01 (thirteen years ago) link

UPDATE: Writing yesterday in The Boston Globe, University of Texas Professor Alan Kuperman makes a compelling case "that President Barack Obama grossly exaggerated the humanitarian threat to justify military action in Libya." He also argues that "US interference has prolonged Libya’s civil war and the resultant suffering of innocents." I'm not adopting all of his arguments, but they are well-argued and definitely worth reading.

and it begins

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Sunday, 17 April 2011 16:04 (thirteen years ago) link

yeah history mayne there were a lot of "reportedly" bombed civilians but no journalist ever confirmed it afaik

please note this is not a defense of gaddafi, but an attempt to just use facts we know to be true in an effort to understand the rationale behind the no-fly zone

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 17 April 2011 17:28 (thirteen years ago) link

(and you know what presstv is, right?)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 17 April 2011 17:32 (thirteen years ago) link

iirc the issue was never whether or not qaddafi had bombed civilians, it was whether not he was going to. which--again iirc--he made explicitly clear that he would, once he took benghazi.

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Sunday, 17 April 2011 17:52 (thirteen years ago) link

(and you know what presstv is, right?)

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, April 17, 2011 6:32 PM (33 minutes ago) Bookmark

yeah i used it coz it seemed your sort of thing rly.

idk, he made it clear he would chase people from "house to house" in benghazi, which would preclude bombing -- but i don't find it that much of an effort trying to find the "rationale" for stopping gadaffi's forces getting there. different strokes though.

resolution 1973 is a dog's dinner, but it doesn't limit activity to a no-fly zone.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Sunday, 17 April 2011 18:10 (thirteen years ago) link

max i hadn't heard that. it sounds sufficiently crazy. if gaddafi's troops had taken benghazi it's hard to see why they'd need to bomb anything from the air. anyway this is all maybe a small point, but i get irritated when pieces of the casus belli end up kind of... not actually having happened and everyone just forgetting about it

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 17 April 2011 18:22 (thirteen years ago) link

it seemed your sort of thing rly.

cheap

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 17 April 2011 18:31 (thirteen years ago) link

cheap

also, very much in character

Aimless, Sunday, 17 April 2011 18:37 (thirteen years ago) link

iirc the issue was never whether or not qaddafi had bombed civilians, it was whether not he was going to. which--again iirc--he made explicitly clear that he would, once he took benghazi.

― ban drake (the rapper) (max), Sunday, April 17, 2011 5:52 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

i'm not sure this is correct. gaddafi's benghazi rant, prior to the 1973 resolution, was about going "house to house" to find and kill armed rebels. he didn't say he would take benghazi and then bomb civilians.

nultybutnice (whatever), Sunday, 17 April 2011 19:25 (thirteen years ago) link

dowd i do remember that, but the no-fly zone was intended to protect civilians, i thought? gaddafi didn't bomb any civilians with planes iirc

OK: civilians rebel, are opposed with force. Rebels defend themselves. Gaddafi bombs civilians (albeit armed), the UN stops Gaddafi from bombing these people.

I don't know - when does an uprising cease to be civilian? These were not military forces, after all. In my (admittedly ideosyncratic) opinion Gaddafi is fighting the people - the people he is attacking are the people we are meant to protect.

And as for the idea that several of the NATO countries are calling for 'regime change' - that was always the damn point. Otherwise what was the point? OK, there may have been reasons not to state it, but the intervention was always meant to prevent the rebels from losing (and I really don't think it's a stretch to say that it was to help them win). Which would mean the removal of Gaddafi, by some means. Claiming the mission was a lie only means you weren't paying attention.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 18 April 2011 00:35 (thirteen years ago) link

To clarify my meaning: the State was bombing the people's attempt at self-defence.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 18 April 2011 00:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Claiming the mission was a lie only means you weren't paying attention.

Not so. The publically stated, official reason was "humanitarian", so as to prevent a "massacre of civilians". The fact that it was a transparent, self-serving lie doesn't mean it wasn't a lie, but only a poorly formed lie.

Aimless, Monday, 18 April 2011 03:54 (thirteen years ago) link

what's transparent is that the aim of the intervention included gadaffi going. but yes, they also said we're not going to do regime change. this was, i guess, a forlorn attempt to not make this seem like iraq II, ie, it was a probably unwise promise not to put in ground troops. the current position is contradictory-ish; it's difficult to see how the stalemate can be broken without increased involvement, but they're promising not to go much further than they have. they're still saying they won't put boots on the ground.

it wasn't a lie to say the aim was to stop a massacre; gadaffi going was the only way of making that (not) happen. it's a lie if you think that all along obama wanted gadaffi out and was looking for an excuse, i guess. that seems unlikely to me, and as for 'self-serving'? i don't think he wanted this really.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 08:19 (thirteen years ago) link

gadaffi going was the only way of making that (not) happen

o rly

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 10:30 (thirteen years ago) link

lotta fortune tellers itt!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 10:30 (thirteen years ago) link

yes, anticipating future events is 'fortune telling'

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 10:32 (thirteen years ago) link

this is hair-splitting though: you're against the intervention, so it doesn't really make any difference whether the killing could have been stopped without gadaffi's departure. i don't know why you're pressing the point -- it's irrelevant to your argument. the intervention is wrong whether or not it was aimed at getting rid of gadaffi or... some alternative where gadaffi stays.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 10:35 (thirteen years ago) link

i don't really have an argument. i think the case for war was built on a flimsy foundation. i think a lot of assertions about gaddafi's actions and intentions have been thrown around, some of which have turned out not to be true (that his air force bombed civilians, for instance). so i'm suspicious of anyone who claims to know what he would have done in an alternate universe, or what would have happened to extremely ill-defined "civilians" in an alternate universe, either over time or in the space of a weekend.

please understand that i'm not interpreting any of this as a consequence of the_west wanting "an excuse" to go to war (as was so transparently clear in the case of iraq). it's probably true that obama didn't really want this. but strangely, as in iraq, "truthiness" appears to have prevailed here in the run-up to war. where in iraq you had vastly different genres of unconventional weapons all lumped together as "WMD" (and thereby upgraded to be par with a nuclear bomb), in libya you have vastly different types of violence by the gaddafi regime lumped together, and thereby all upgraded to "attacks on innocent civilians". it's worth trying to parse the different level of threat and attack - and against whom - not only to understand the US and NATO response (and possibly critique it, or identify it as wrong-headed or misguided or perfectly pitched or what have you) but just to understand what the hell is going on in the first place.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 10:53 (thirteen years ago) link

Even as journalists and historians preoccupy themselves with trying to explain why something happened, they are playing a mug's game: however creative or well-sourced, their answers will be speculative, partial, and ambiguous. It can't be otherwise.

Rather than 'why', what deserves far more attention is the question of 'how'. Here is where we find Barack Obama and George W Bush (not to mention Bill Clinton, George HW Bush, Ronald Reagan, and Jimmy Carter) joined at the hip.

When it comes to the Islamic world, for more than three decades, Washington's answer to 'how' has been remarkably consistent: through the determined application of hard power wielded by the United States.

http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/04/2011413113026323290.html

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 11:24 (thirteen years ago) link

Even as journalists and historians preoccupy themselves with trying to explain why something happened, they are playing a mug's game: however creative or well-sourced, their answers will be speculative, partial, and ambiguous. It can't be otherwise.

i reeeally have to dispute this, completely divorcing this from anything to do with libya. of course i don't believe there's a absolute, final answer to any question of history. but calling the whole thing a mug's game? that's irrational, and anyway impossible.

of course the US has used hard power against some parts of 'the islamic world' in the last three decades. but they have also had other kinds of relations with 'the islamic world', which isn't a unified thing by any stretch of the imagination. i don't know where libya fits within it. gadaffi doesn't have many friends among other (predominantly) muslim states.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 11:29 (thirteen years ago) link

it's a bit over the top but pretty accurate i think. it's good to be reminded that the "why" of any intervention is a pick n mix bag of consensus.

one thing about gaddafi is that he has been a master at exploiting power vaccums in the region, and indeed all over africa. i have to wonder - it's hard to shake this "why" instinct! - if the US and NATO saw a great danger in an unfettered gaddafi moving to fill the void in egypt and tunisia. so that the broader "humanitarian" aim of this intervention was to stop that from happening - to protect the green shoots put down in egypt and tunisia.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 11:38 (thirteen years ago) link

i think william hague has said straight up that two major concerns were oil and refugees. sounds to me that you get refugees whatever happens. but i saw that in the sunday times iirc.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 11:41 (thirteen years ago) link

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2011/04/14/false_pretense_for_war_in_libya/?camp=misc:on:share:article

The actual prospect in Benghazi was the final defeat of the rebels. To avoid this fate, they desperately concocted an impending genocide to rally international support for “humanitarian’’ intervention that would save their rebellion.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:19 (thirteen years ago) link

It is poignant to recall that if not for intervention, the war almost surely would have ended last month.

poignant? well, fuck that guy. sorry, i mean: however creative or well-sourced, his answers will be speculative, partial, and ambiguous.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:32 (thirteen years ago) link

really, though poignant? the prospect of gadaffi's prisons and torture chambers (and mass graves) filling up with new inmates is poignant? because it would be better than trying to stop him and aiding the rebels?

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:34 (thirteen years ago) link

(to pre-empt, yes, there are big questions about the rebels, but the rebels are only a part of the very large number of libyans against gadaffi, who would also have faced repercussions)

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:36 (thirteen years ago) link

i think i probably would not have used that word myself

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:36 (thirteen years ago) link

alan kuperman is just mad that nato is bombing libya and not iran

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:42 (thirteen years ago) link

i just saw him on the youtube. he has a ridiculous beard, i mean really egregious. also he's an associate prof or was then, but they billed him as prof. also he's too young to be prof, and the whole american thing of calling any bastard with a degree a prof makes me crazy.

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:43 (thirteen years ago) link

i just remember him writing a really long op ed a year or so ago about why the US should bomb iran

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Monday, 18 April 2011 12:47 (thirteen years ago) link

weird.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 13:18 (thirteen years ago) link

from the comments page here - http://louisproyect.wordpress.com/2011/04/16/alan-j-kuperman-useful-idiot/

I’d be very surprised if HRW monitors captured all of the killing. On the other hand, if Kuperman’s piece is intended to suggest that the narrative of genocide is wrong, and that the main thrust of Qadhafi’s assault is aimed at people presumed to be enemies of the state, then I think it’s basically right. The real controversy here is not at the level of stats, or even morals, but politics. In this respect, Kuperman’s very interesting – he’s a right-wing thinker, basically, but someone whose commitment to ‘Realism’ in international relations gives him a critical perspective on the claims of humanitarian intervention which results in useful work. His work on Rwanda, which I’ve cited, is an example of just this kind of thing.

Another problem here is that there’s an exile leadership allied to the transitional council that has been pushing the narrative of genocide from very early on – I recall this argument from a spokesperson on Al Jazeera right at the beginning of Qadhafi’s crackdown. These are the same people who have pushed the incorrect and unhelpful argument that Qadhafi carried out the Lockerbie bombing, and that if he wins he will carry out a wave of terrorist attacks in the European continent. It’s understandable why they would resort to such tactics – they think this is what will win them wider political support and put pressure on European political leaders to throw money and arms at the rebels. Alas, it’s only created a fug, which the Qadhafi apologists can all too easily exploit.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 13:23 (thirteen years ago) link

that commenters blog: http://leninology.blogspot.com/

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Monday, 18 April 2011 13:24 (thirteen years ago) link

according to wikipedia it is the 21st-most-popular blog in the uk!

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Monday, 18 April 2011 13:26 (thirteen years ago) link

with 730 daily visits!

joe, Monday, 18 April 2011 13:36 (thirteen years ago) link

thanks for that link max. i've read that blog before (one of the daily 730!) but didn't connect the two.

this post is very much worth reading imo (and takes kuperman apart, a bit) -

http://leninology.blogspot.com/2011/04/creep.html

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 13:38 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post
So does Kuperman think the Gaddaffi forces cluster bomb attacks going on now in Misrata are just aimed at the rebels and somehow not making life difficult for the civilians?

curmudgeon, Monday, 18 April 2011 14:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Does something depend on the answer to that question?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 14:12 (thirteen years ago) link

no

curmudgeon, Monday, 18 April 2011 14:17 (thirteen years ago) link

:D

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 14:23 (thirteen years ago) link

I mean, I think bombing in general is making life "difficult" for civilians. Every time a town gets retaken, lost, re-retaken, etc, the whole place gets fucking shelled. Mortars aren't cluster bombs but they're not exactly pinpoint accurate.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 14:32 (thirteen years ago) link

from leninology again:

The humanitarian argument presupposes the foreclosure of options that was built-in to the intervention in the first place. It's quite right that opponents of the war have pointed out that there were a number of alternatives to a bombing campaign from the start, if the motive was to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe. Those being, as I review the antiwar blogs, columns and newspapers: the handing over Libya's frozen funds to the Transitional Council to enable them to arm themselves; a regional intervention building on extant support provided by Egypt; a diplomatic settlement, in the event that outright military victory on the part of the rebels was out of the question. But when people ask what your alternative to bombing is - "what would YOU do?" - they are asking us to hypothesize, to speculate, and to do so in a terrain in which most people, including the advocates of humanitarian intervention themselves, have no experience whatever. That is, they're asking for a speculation concerning military logic, in which most are not trained, as it might play out in a situation where do not have intelligence, or networks of associates or informers. And such hypotheses are necessarily less immediately compelling than the seeming obviousness and corporeal bluntness of imperialist solutions. The question, once addressed, should be reversed: the burden of justification is on those who are doing the bombing or supporting it. The option that needs to be interrogated is the one being pursued: bombing. And it won't do to justify it on the basis of abstract humanitarianism. Humanitarianism is a contested, political term, and arguments predicated on it can only be assessed and settled in the political sphere.

And the fact is that the political bases for such a war are hopelessly confused. It can't be justified on the ground of liberal internationalism, since we're not talking about spreading democracy or promoting a liberal world order - that idea has taken a serious knock in the last decade. But the Realist grounds for the war seem even more incoherent. This is hardly a power-balancing operation, and any 'security threat' that can be conjured up is both less than convincing and potentially liable to fly back in any scaremonger's face if the same 'threat' is imputed to the rebels themselves. As for any attempt to justify the bombing on leftist internationalist grounds, of supporting the revolution, that is perhaps the least convincing of all. The logic of this, if taken to its conclusion, is that should air strikes fail to result in Qadhafi's overthrow, then the US and its allies should invade and finish the job. Any ideas where that might lead to? The US has a long history of intervening in revolutionary situations: the Spanish-American War, the Mexican revolution, the Russian civil war, the Greek civil war, the Vietnamese revolution, indeed a whole series of anti-colonial and leftist revolutions in Latin America, Africa, South-East Asia and the Middle East. In not one of them has the United States military been a pro-revolutionary force. In this case, the US and its European allies have been consistently intervening in the region on the side of the counter-revolution. Expecting such forces to be part of any revolutionary transformation of the Middle East is frankly unworldly. In the last analysis, there seems to be no coherent, intelligent way to defend this war.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 15:43 (thirteen years ago) link

These are the same people who have pushed the incorrect and unhelpful argument that Qadhafi carried out the Lockerbie bombing

whoa hold the phone

goole, Monday, 18 April 2011 15:47 (thirteen years ago) link

As for any attempt to justify the bombing on leftist internationalist grounds, of supporting the revolution, that is perhaps the least convincing of all. The logic of this, if taken to its conclusion, is that should air strikes fail to result in Qadhafi's overthrow, then the US and its allies should invade and finish the job.

I don't see how this follows.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:03 (thirteen years ago) link

revolution - regime change

nultybutnice (whatever), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:09 (thirteen years ago) link

well, if you want "the revolution" to succeed then you want to overthrow gaddafi, ergo if airstrikes don't work you need to ratchet things up to the next level.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:09 (thirteen years ago) link

You can be willing to go so far in aiding revolution, and then be willing to admit that it's failed. Being willing to do something leading to an end does not necessitate doing anything to achieve this end. I'm a socialist internationalist who supports this intervention but there is nothing about that stance that requires me to support a ground invasion of Libya.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:24 (thirteen years ago) link

there are some "boots on the ground" btw

goole, Monday, 18 April 2011 16:27 (thirteen years ago) link

well, you know what i mean.

dowd interesting! are you saying you thought airstrikes might have been enough to lead to an outright rebel victory? (and hence your support for the airstrikes?) what do you think the endgame is, or ought to be?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:30 (thirteen years ago) link

i sort of wonder what it would be like to live in a non-NATO country and "support the revolution".

goole, Monday, 18 April 2011 16:40 (thirteen years ago) link

I think the revolution would have failed without intervention - I think arming Libyans directly would be a great help; I don't think having the change carried out by foreign militaries in it's entirety would lead to anything good. Ultimately I can't see the rebels succeeding unless the stress-lines within the Gaddafi camp fracture. I suspect the most likely (rebel friendly) outcome would be palace coup/increased defections leading to a somewhat liberal democracy.
The endgame will be a bourgeois revolution at best - I have no illusions about a socialist Libya (in the sense I would define it). At the moment the progressive forces in the middle east/north Africa are capitalist/democratic in nature, and I'm (somewhat) marxist enough to believe that this is a desirable stage of development. (It is, of course, complicated to tell how progressive these elements can be within a world of global capitalist exploitation rather than 18th century western Europe)

But basically, if the attempts to destroy Gaddafi's military advantages over the rebels fail, then I think that's a tragedy, but I wouldn't just keep ramping up force.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 18 April 2011 16:55 (thirteen years ago) link

i just can't help thinking this intervention has guaranteed failure of the revolution, at least in the sense that the non-defector, non-CIA revolutionary wing wanted.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 18 April 2011 20:54 (thirteen years ago) link

If you mean that with Gaddafi refusing to give in to protestors who became rebels, feet on the ground are probably needed and that Gaddaffi's well-paid inner circle and troops are not turning on him, well yes.

Here's a problem with this intervention courtesy of the Washington Post:

"Less than a month into the Libyan conflict, NATO is running short of precision bombs, highlighting the limitations of Britain, France and other European countries in sustaining even a relatively small military action over an extended period of time."

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 19 April 2011 14:24 (thirteen years ago) link

A spokesman for the Misurata City Council appealed for NATO to send ground troops to secure the port that is the besieged city’s only remaining humanitarian lifeline.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nato-runs-short-on-some-munitions-in-libya/2011/04/15/AF3O7ElD_story.html?hpid=z1

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 19 April 2011 14:33 (thirteen years ago) link

Clearly the time is ripe for the US to invade Britain and France.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 19 April 2011 15:38 (thirteen years ago) link

Obama turns heel

Yossarian's sense of humour (NotEnough), Tuesday, 19 April 2011 15:44 (thirteen years ago) link

Last time they proved to be somewhat of a bad influence.

Periblepsis occasioned by homoeoteleuton (Michael White), Tuesday, 19 April 2011 15:51 (thirteen years ago) link

Libya “has not been a very big war. If [the Europeans] would run out of these munitions this early in such a small operation, you have to wonder what kind of war they were planning on fighting,” said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a defense think tank. “Maybe they were just planning on using their air force for air shows.”

Zing!

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 19 April 2011 15:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Obama's busy doing his deficit dog and pony show appearances this week-- no time to think about Misurata

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 19 April 2011 15:56 (thirteen years ago) link

restrepo director and a pulitzer prize nominated photographer were killed in misrata

http://www.avclub.com/articles/restrepo-director-tim-hetherington-reportedly-kill,54857/

if u see l ron this weekend be sure & tell him THETAN THETAN THETAN (Edward III), Wednesday, 20 April 2011 21:09 (thirteen years ago) link

tracer are you really quoting lenin's tomb upthread?

lol

a random quote of mine abt a shitty rapper (history mayne), Wednesday, 20 April 2011 22:10 (thirteen years ago) link

tracer are you really quoting lenin's tomb upthread?

lol

Again, I respectfully request you actually say something. Give it a shot.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 26 April 2011 09:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Like, I'm perfectly open to a brief explanation of why I should disregard what that guy says but "lol" is perhaps too brief.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 26 April 2011 10:37 (thirteen years ago) link

Italy now onboard

April 26 (Bloomberg) -- Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said Italian air-force jets will carry out strikes against Libya as NATO seeks to break an impasse in the nine-week struggle to oust Muammar Qaddafi’s regime.

Italian planes will target military installations in Libya, Berlusconi told reporters in Rome today after meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy. Italy, once Libya’s colonial ruler, announced yesterday it will change course and join in airstrikes on pro-regime forces that threaten civilians

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 26 April 2011 13:36 (thirteen years ago) link

this is where we cluck at the spectacle of buying Obama's humanitarian horsehit upthread

http://www.thenation.com/blog/160177/hawks-want-libya-escalation-will-obama-agree

your generation appalls me (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 26 April 2011 15:42 (thirteen years ago) link

tracer isn't this enough?

These are the same people who have pushed the incorrect and unhelpful argument that Qadhafi carried out the Lockerbie bombing

incorrect?

goole, Tuesday, 26 April 2011 15:48 (thirteen years ago) link

I have no idea.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 26 April 2011 15:57 (thirteen years ago) link

this is where we cluck at the spectacle of buying Obama's humanitarian horsehit upthread

http://www.thenation.com/blog/160177/hawks-want-libya-escalation-will-obama-agree

― your generation appalls me (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, April 26, 2011 3:42 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark

i dont understand, this article asks a question that you seem to be claiming it answers

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 04:28 (thirteen years ago) link

Those, including “humanitarian interventionists” who are congratulating themselves over the coalition’s success in rescuing Benghazi from Qaddafi’s forces at the start of the NATO campaign, ought to be counting the dead on both sides now.

So what is he suggesting? That there should have been no intervention and Libya would have been better off with Qadaffi only counting the dead and congratulating himself on subduing Benghazi and elsewhere?

And I don't trust the thinking of the neo-cons either but knee-jerk reactions that we have to do the opposite of what they want is not exactly a nuanced approach.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 14:30 (thirteen years ago) link

Libya would have been better off

You keep bringing up Qadaffi killing Libyan people as Surely A Bad Thing. Granted, but this doesn't justify our killing some other Libyan people as Surely A Good Thing.

Foreign policy can't simply be measured by whether some other country might be better off for it. Especially when the policy means we are engaged in killing people. There are far too many damsels in distress for the USA to go charging around saving them all and too many evil-doers for us to ever kill them all. Another justification is required.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 17:50 (thirteen years ago) link

If we weren't still mired in Iraq/Afghanistan and had the troops and materiel to help, I would have favored an intervention here a lot more than I did the invasion of Iraq.

Concatenated without abruption (Michael White), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 17:53 (thirteen years ago) link

Like, I'm perfectly open to a brief explanation of why I should disregard what that guy says but "lol" is perhaps too brief.

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, April 26, 2011 11:37 AM (Yesterday) Bookmark

he's called 'lenin's tomb': he's SWP: you'll find any amount of apologias for totalitarians of various stripes on his blog: and he's appeared on press tv

lloyd banks knew my father (history mayne), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 17:54 (thirteen years ago) link

Especially when the policy means we are engaged in killing people. There are far too many damsels in distress for the USA to go charging around saving them all and too many evil-doers for us to ever kill them all. Another justification is required.

― Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 17:50 (38 minutes ago) Permalink

It does not look like there is any justification that would satisfy your beliefs. And no one is advocating that the USA can save "them all."

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 18:34 (thirteen years ago) link

the US CAN'T intervene everywhere it should, simply from a practical standpoint (case in point - Syria). but where we can and we have a moral obligation to do so (as I believe we did in Libya), then we should.

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 18:44 (thirteen years ago) link

And I don't trust the thinking of the neo-cons either but knee-jerk reactions that we have to do the opposite of what they want is not exactly a nuanced approach.

also very otm

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 18:44 (thirteen years ago) link

can it really be a moral obligation to do something that isn't possible?

goole, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 18:47 (thirteen years ago) link

xp

There are many quite strong and well-established justifications for going to war against a country and it I have no problem with them whatsoever. For example, if that country's armred forces invades or attacks your country, or it blockades your ports, or seizes ships at sea that sail under your flag. There are other, similar causus belli and I won't bother to name them all. They are united by the simple fact of violent aggression against your country.

However, invading a country, or bombing it, because your country doesn't approve of its internal policies and you desire a change of government more amenable to your way of thinking is only another form of colonialism, no matter how you dress it up.

Getting the sanction and approval of a bunch of other, third party countries before you bomb the country you all agree "deserves it" may be a step in the right direction, perhaps, but it is still pretty damn shaky ground, imo, because it still amounts to aggression and should not be touted as some moral high ground.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 18:55 (thirteen years ago) link

I prefer the shakey ground of the current Libya approach to your isolationist one.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:03 (thirteen years ago) link

So, to leap straight to Godwin's you would have been fine with the Nazis killing 6 million people if they hadn't breached another country's borders?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:04 (thirteen years ago) link

just to be clear here, aimless thinks colonialism is worse than genocide. sounds great.

lol xp

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:05 (thirteen years ago) link

because your country doesn't approve of its internal policies and you desire a change of government more amenable to your way of thinking

Also -- some of the people in Libya don't appear to be too pleased with their government. It's not a situation involving some cliched colonialist power trying to impose its values.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:06 (thirteen years ago) link

he's called 'lenin's tomb': he's SWP: you'll find any amount of apologias for totalitarians of various stripes on his blog: and he's appeared on press tv

― lloyd banks knew my father (history mayne), Wednesday, April 27, 2011 5:54 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

I'm not marrying the guy. I haven't signed up to some kind of blood-pact. I just think he has some sensible things to say about Libya.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:10 (thirteen years ago) link

xp Using force against a country because it has attacked a third nation, rather than your own, has a legal and moral justification stretching back centuries. The idea of intervention because a government has attacked a subsection of its own population is newer, and more controversial, but it's tough to make an absolute moral distinction. There's never really been any suggestion in the modern era that your own state needs to be at direct or indirect risk.

I LOVE BELARUS (ShariVari), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:11 (thirteen years ago) link

The weird thing to me is, our new doctrine seems to be, "If you can get ahold of some guns and start a war against your dictator, we'll help. But if you stick to nonviolence, you're on your own."

Is that where the "moral obligation" comes from? The fact that the Libyan rebels decided to use technicals and mortars and raise a small army?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:12 (thirteen years ago) link

xp

Isolationists do not believe in getting involved in the far off wars of other countries.

At present the USA is bound by treaty to involve itself in wars if one of our many, many, many treaty allies are attacked from without. I would not not renounce these treaties, even though the number of countries we are obliged to protect probably number around 50 or 60.

If it is isolalionist to say we ought not as a rule seek out and aggressively start wars, that protect neither ourselves, nor our allies, then I guess I am isolationist. But that seems a damned peculiar way to define isolationism. Basically, if any war is proposed, and any reason can be produced for starting it, opposing it becomes "isolationist", by your apparent definition.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:13 (thirteen years ago) link

x-post Again, they started with non-violence and were attacked by their state.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:14 (thirteen years ago) link

just to be clear here, aimless thinks colonialism is worse than genocide

another case where 2 + 2 = 22.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:15 (thirteen years ago) link

There's never really been any suggestion in the modern era that your own state needs to be at direct or indirect risk.

And what a lovely era it has been, too.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:17 (thirteen years ago) link

If you can get ahold of some guns and start a war against your dictator,

uh

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:18 (thirteen years ago) link

dowd I'm kind of aware of that. So did protestors all over the middle east. But they're not getting rewarded with an air force.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:18 (thirteen years ago) link

So did protestors all over the middle east.

no, what happened in Libya has not happened anywhere else.

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:18 (thirteen years ago) link

oh that's not true at all!

goole, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:19 (thirteen years ago) link

Again: where is the difference? Why the "moral obligation" in Libya but not elsewhere, where peaceful protestors are getting killed like shooting gallery targets? It seems the difference is that in Libya, the protestors responded by picking up guns and turning a violent crackdown into a civil war. The message appears to be that this behavior will get you an airforce. But stick to nonviolence and well, good luck with getting shot.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:20 (thirteen years ago) link

the difference is that every country is different. why is this so hard to grasp.

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:21 (thirteen years ago) link

like the consequences of bomging Libya /= the consequences of bombing Syria /= the consequences of bombing Yemen /= the consequences of bombing Bahrain

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:22 (thirteen years ago) link

The difference was possibility, maybe. Chance of success, both with and without external force, has to be a consideration.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:23 (thirteen years ago) link

we've done all this

the reason the US hasn't done this in different places is they are different: either the US is sided with the government, as in bahrain, or, as with syria, it's just like no way

ie there was an element of expediency

lloyd banks knew my father (history mayne), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:24 (thirteen years ago) link

for example: consequences of NATO bombing Syria = Iran gets involved, Israel gets involved, mass regional warfare on a heretofore unprecedented scale that would have impacts WAY beyond the bounds of Syria's internal politics.

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:25 (thirteen years ago) link

See also: Tienamen Square.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:26 (thirteen years ago) link

but if we're godwinning: the ussr violated other countries' borders (poland, finland) *and* had unpleasant internal policies... and yet the US refused to attack. what's up with that? why single out germany?

lloyd banks knew my father (history mayne), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:26 (thirteen years ago) link

tbf Russia probably would have been better off if we had iced Stalin. too bad there were all those pesky treaties and promises made at Yalta and the UN Security Council etc

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:28 (thirteen years ago) link

Spoken like a true Curtis LeMay acolyte, shakey mo.

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:29 (thirteen years ago) link

never heard of him

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:30 (thirteen years ago) link

playin' possum

Aimless, Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:30 (thirteen years ago) link

did the music to Superfly IIRC

I just like… I just have to say… (Starts crying) (DJP), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:30 (thirteen years ago) link

I get all that dudes; I was picking at the contention of "moral obligation".

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:31 (thirteen years ago) link

ah the "stone age" guy. yeah that really reflects my politics *rolls eyes*

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:50 (thirteen years ago) link

There's arguably a moral obligation to prevent crimes against humanity where they can reasonably be predicted. The idea that Benghazi would be flattened with huge civilian loss of life is probably the primary moral / legal (rather than logistical) difference between Libya and some of the other states in question.

In some cases acting on that moral obligation won't be possible, in others it might make things worse, in many the obligation will simply be ignored. Where it's possible to act legally, effectively and in line with the principles of the UN, i don't think inaction elsewhere prevents it from being valid. Whether that's what's happened in Libya is clearly open to debate.

I LOVE BELARUS (ShariVari), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 19:58 (thirteen years ago) link

Again: where is the difference? Why the "moral obligation" in Libya but not elsewhere, where peaceful protestors are getting killed like shooting gallery targets? It seems the difference is that in Libya, the protestors responded by picking up guns and turning a violent crackdown into a civil war. The message appears to be that this behavior will get you an airforce. But stick to nonviolence and well, good luck with getting shot.

― 40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, April 27, 2011 7:20 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

this is such a false set-up
the reason they picked up guns & didnt stick with nonviolence is because they would be beaten/killed. how effective do you see nonviolence being in libya exactly

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 22:12 (thirteen years ago) link

hoping we compare it to the civil rights movement soon

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 22:13 (thirteen years ago) link

I'm not saying that amping up resistance into a civil war was the wrong move. I don't know. But yeah you're right, before that happened, I guess the nonviolent resistance was about as effective as it is in Syria right now. It made the whole world sit up and pay attention. It discredited Gaddafi (to the extent that there was any more discrediting to be had with him; more meaningfully it thoroughly discredited the rehabilitated image that Gaddafi's son had been meticulously pushing for years). It was doing a lot. Would it have toppled Gaddafi on its own? Not fucking likely.

So I guess my question is, what if Syrians managed to cobble together a rebel army? What if they held some towns, started ambushing Syrian army troops? I imagine the US would find a reason or two not to prevent the inevitable slaughter that would ensue.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 22:23 (thirteen years ago) link

(For the reasons posted above by Shakey and history mayne)

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 22:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Comes back to the gap between what the US / UN would like to do and what they can do in practice. The moral case for action would still be there but it would be overridden by the threat of sparking a massive conflagration in the region.

I LOVE BELARUS (ShariVari), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 22:46 (thirteen years ago) link

it's funny that rabid interventionists never seem to bring up any historical example other than WW2 -- i mean, you'd think if it were inherently such a great idea, you'd have loads and loads of examples of it working out just fine other than a war that wasn't even an "intervention" to begin with.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 23:21 (thirteen years ago) link

It's pretty fucked for Italy to now be taking the lead in bombing fuck out of things in Libya. Well played, NATO, well played.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 27 April 2011 23:59 (thirteen years ago) link

never seem to bring up any historical example other than WW2

Bosnia's been referenced several times on this very thread. Rwanda is probably a case where intervention should have happened but didn't. But yeah inalienable human rights and the idea that genocide is wrong are pretty much a 20th century ideas.

no slouch of a snipster (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 28 April 2011 00:04 (thirteen years ago) link

Did we or did we not agree itt that "genocide" is not applicable to the Libyan situation, speculative or otherwise?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 28 April 2011 00:06 (thirteen years ago) link

yes, but it is such a tempting argument, because it makes a moral morass look much more like a moral imperative.

Aimless, Thursday, 28 April 2011 00:21 (thirteen years ago) link

who is applying genocide to this situation

lol @ aimless being an utter hypocrit about using misleading language to imply the obvious rightness of his position

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Thursday, 28 April 2011 00:30 (thirteen years ago) link

i do wish everyone itt would stop acting like the answer is OBVIOUSLY the one they agree with.

i think its important that we keep discussing this shit obv -- it could turn out to have been a terrible idea. but its not super obvious in either direction right now that this is the wrong thing to do so stop acting like its elementary

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Thursday, 28 April 2011 00:31 (thirteen years ago) link

xp The British intervention in Sierra Leone is generally thought to have been justifiable and effective, the same is often said about the Indian intervention in the civil war in Pakistan. There are a couple of other examples that stand up reasonably well.

There's no right or wrong answer as the cases are always different. Liberal intervention can be used as a cloak for darker aims (as with some of the later justification of Iraq) and even where there's a case on paper it doesn't mean that the method of intervention (aerial bombing of Serb cities) is moral. Libya should be discussed on its own merits.

I LOVE BELARUS (ShariVari), Thursday, 28 April 2011 04:50 (thirteen years ago) link

whats weird about the anti-intervention in all cases thing to me is that its bassline understanding of human rights is weirdly nationalistic -- we dont want this blood on OUR hands -- let it be in gaddaffis. even if theres more of it

geeks, dweebs, nerds & lames (D-40), Thursday, 28 April 2011 05:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Agreed. There's a legitimate question as to whether states should act on their own to secure similar ends but the idea that what goes on within the borders of a nation is their own business to resolve in all cases looks, to me, like an abrogation of the post-1945 idea of the international community having responsibilities not just to member nations but to the cause of human dignity. I can see why people might be sceptical after Afghanistan and Iraq, and the countless occasions when the UN and NATO have failed to step up the plate properly, but the underlying principle that human rights don't stop at international borders is about as sound as any concept of the modern era.

I LOVE BELARUS (ShariVari), Thursday, 28 April 2011 05:32 (thirteen years ago) link

bassline understanding:

http://www.notreble.com/buzz/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/jaco-pastorius.jpg

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 28 April 2011 09:12 (thirteen years ago) link

lol

ban drake (the rapper) (max), Thursday, 28 April 2011 12:25 (thirteen years ago) link

Tracer, Italy's not taking the lead-

Italian fighter jets will soon join the ongoing NATO-led airstrikes on military targets in Libya, Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi announced following a phone conversation with US President Barack Obama.

.....
"Italy has decided to increase the operative flexibility of its planes by means of aimed actions against specific military targets belonging to Qadhafi's regime with the goal of defending the Libyan civil population," the statement added.

Italy had earlier refused to join the NATO-led airstrikes against Libyan military targets, citing its four decade-long colonial rule over the north African country. So far, the involvement of Italian warships and military aircraft in the ongoing NATO-led military mission in Libya has been limited to refueling and other support operations. Italy has also made several of its airbases available to the mission.

http://www.rttnews.com/Content/GeneralNews.aspx?Id=1605654&SM=1

curmudgeon, Thursday, 28 April 2011 12:57 (thirteen years ago) link

Juan Cole:

For those who keep asking why there should be an international intervention in Libya but not in Syria, here is one answer: Russia and China have blocked an attempt to have the United Nations Security Council from making any statement at all about the political repression in Syria, which has left an estimated 350-450 persons dead, most of them protesters rather than police or troops.

Moreover, Lebanon also opposed having a statement made, and no Arab country approached the UNSC to do something about Syria.

Russia argued that the situation in Syria is purely domestic and does not threaten international order.

France did lead a charge to get the UNSC to take a strong stand against the use of military means to repress dissent in Syria, but it was blocked. I don’t see how this disparity in the treatment of the two countries can be laid at the feet of “Western hypcrisy.” Surely if anything it is “Eurasian hypocrisy,” insofar as Russia and China declined to stop the condemnation of Libya or the call for a no-fly zone, but they have stopped so much as a slap on the wrist for Syria.

Of course, as bad as the situation in Syria is, it isn’t so far comparable to Libya, where the loss of life is in the thousands, not hundreds, and 30 tanks were lined up to fire on non-combatant crowds demonstrating in downtown Zawiya and Misrata.

The Baath regime’s crackdown in Deraa has in any case provoked the resignations of 200 members of the ruling Baath Party, most of them living in or near Deraa. Resigning from the authoritarian ruling party in protest was unheard of until this week.

This Aljazeera English report says that soldiers, armor and snipers are now everywhere in the southern city of Deraa, which has been invaded. There have also been defections from the officer corps to the dissenters, as in Deraa.

http://www.juancole.com/2011/04/russia-china-block-condemnation-of-syria-as-200-baathists-resign.html

curmudgeon, Thursday, 28 April 2011 16:22 (thirteen years ago) link

British Brigadier Rob Weighill, director of NATO operations in Libya, said NATO warships stopped pro-Gadhafi forces on Friday from laying water mines in Misrata's harbour.

"Our ships intercepted the small boats that were laying them and we are disposing the mines that we found," Weighill told reporters via videoconference from his headquarters in Naples, Italy.

"It again shows his complete disregard for international law and his willingness to attack humanitarian delivery efforts," he said.

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Battle+rages+Misrata+rebels+hold+Libya+border+post/4697838/story.html

So much fighting going on in Misrata

curmudgeon, Friday, 29 April 2011 16:12 (thirteen years ago) link

Gotta say, that shitheel has no more respect for international law than Henry Kissinger did. Which is saying a mouthful and none of it meant to be good.

Aimless, Friday, 29 April 2011 21:24 (thirteen years ago) link

Gadhafi or Brigadier Weighill?

No pop, no style -- all simply (Viceroy), Friday, 29 April 2011 21:29 (thirteen years ago) link

The irony in all of this is that it's pretty obvious that the NATO partners all think Gadhafi is illegitimate and it would suit them just fine if he were gone. The Chinese don't care, nor do the Russians; they just don't want to look like heartless bastards so they went along with the 'protecting the civilians' charade. The reason that ppl on the right in the US don't care about the UN is because they think we're the one country that doesn't have to whereas China, Russia, the UK, France, Italy, they all know that their world is better w/the UN than w/o it, so they want some kind of fig leaf to cover what is clearly foreign aggression against the recognized regime and also, somewhat more murkily, real aid to both innocent civilians and those who seek the freedom of their country from the almost 40 years of this man's tyranny. As I said some time ago, this looks likely to split Cyrenaica from Tripolitania and the Fezzan and I can't see that as an enduring acceptable option, either. I just wish he would walk into someone's bullet.

Concatenated without abruption (Michael White), Friday, 29 April 2011 21:45 (thirteen years ago) link

The Chinese and Russians are against even investigations of Syria, but they've been quieter re Libya.

Latest News:

NATO has rejected an offer from Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi for negotiations to end the conflict in Libya. A NATO official said that NATO operations will go on as long as civilians in Libya are threatened.

Witnesses in the besieged western Libyan port city of Misrata say that forces loyal to Colonel Gadhafi shelled the city indiscriminately, once again Saturday, causing numerous casualties. The attacks came just hours after the embattled Libyan leader demanded that rebels in the city surrender, and urged NATO to accept a ceasefire and to begin peace negotiations.

NATO rejected the offer saying it wanted to see threats to civilians in Libya end.

Colonel Gadhafi made his demands during a rambling speech on Libyan TV early Saturday which lasted close to an hour and a half.

curmudgeon, Saturday, 30 April 2011 17:54 (thirteen years ago) link

A Nato air strike in Tripoli has killed the youngest son of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, a Libyan government spokesman has said.

Saif al-Arab Gaddafi, 29, was killed along with three of Muammar Gaddafi's grandsons, according to reports.

The Libyan leader was in the building at the time of the strike, but was unharmed. Several of Gaddafi's friends and relatives were wounded.

Expected this kind of thing sooner to be honest.

Lidl Monsters (seandalai), Saturday, 30 April 2011 23:31 (thirteen years ago) link

what the fuck is up with this "kill their sons" thing? was this a thing in Vietnam (I don't think Ho Chi Minh had children -- did he?) or I don't know where the hell else but fuck this is the 2nd time in 10 years I've thought "it is fucking gruesome to be hearing about 'the sons of the despot we've decided to oust have been killed'"

five gone cats from Boston (underrated aerosmith bootlegs I have owned), Monday, 2 May 2011 00:01 (thirteen years ago) link

Nato is now denying it, and saying Quaddaffi made it up. Weird.

curmudgeon, Monday, 2 May 2011 00:09 (thirteen years ago) link

I think if I did critical theory I'd do something about how this concept is kinda up on some Rage of Achilles weirdness

five gone cats from Boston (underrated aerosmith bootlegs I have owned), Monday, 2 May 2011 00:31 (thirteen years ago) link

is it that weird? it's not like we're precision bombing his genetic legacy out of existence, just one of lots of grizzly messes.

ogmor, Monday, 2 May 2011 00:41 (thirteen years ago) link

The Guardian:

Gaddafi's forces have bombarded Misrata with missiles and tank fire, preventing ships carrying humanitarian aid from entering the port for a fourth straight day.

The sustained attacks on the port are causing deep concern in the city, which has been surrounded by Gaddafi's troops on land for more than two months. Food, medical supplies and other aid can only be delivered through the harbour, while migrant workers and casualties can only be evacuated by boat.

curmudgeon, Monday, 2 May 2011 20:49 (thirteen years ago) link

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan Tuesday called for embattled Libyan President Moammar Gadhafi to step down ...

Several thousand people attended the funeral in Tripoli today of Qaddafi’s son, Saif al-Arab, 29, and three of his grandchildren killed in an April 30 NATO airstrike on the leader’s Bab al-Aziziya compound, the Associated Press reported. Anti-aircraft fire thundered in the background while mourners flashed victory signs and chanted for revenge, the AP said.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 3 May 2011 13:32 (thirteen years ago) link

A Libya revolution blog

http://www.libyafeb17.com/

Ha, like me it links to lots of articles

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 4 May 2011 13:32 (thirteen years ago) link

here's a good one that's all original, written by a libyan

http://revolutionology.wordpress.com/

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 4 May 2011 13:49 (thirteen years ago) link

The Gaddafi regime committed war crimes against Libyan pro-democracy demonstrations, opening fire "systematically" on peaceful protesters, according to a report issued by the prosecutor for the International Criminal Court (ICC), who will seek arrest warrants against Muammar Gaddafi and two other senior members of his regime later this month.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 4 May 2011 21:30 (thirteen years ago) link

If the judges grant his request, the question will be who should carry out the arrests. Moreno-Ocampo will say that if the Libyan government fails to act, the security council itself "should evaluate" how to do it. It is unclear whether Russia or China would veto the authorisation of Nato to carry out the arrests. That would most likely involve sending troops into Tripoli.

Have to assume this is coincidental (?) but authorisation to send in troops has been what many Nato members have been looking for since it became clear the rebels weren't up to winning even with air support. Convenient, like.

Lidl Monsters (seandalai), Wednesday, 4 May 2011 22:43 (thirteen years ago) link

Hundreds of thousands have fled the violence. The exodus statistics compiled by the United Nations contain all categories of Libyan migrants. UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres on Tuesday called on Western nations to help, with the agency saying 686,422 had left Libya as of May 4, mostly for Egypt and Tunisia.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 5 May 2011 18:13 (thirteen years ago) link

God forbid Europe allow any refugees to come there

curmudgeon, Friday, 6 May 2011 17:17 (thirteen years ago) link

The United States said Thursday that it would try to release some of the more than $30 billion in assets seized from Libya's leader, Moammar Khadafy, as international officials said they would create a fund to give money directly to the Libyan rebels.

And for the first time, Qatar put the question of supplying arms to the rebels on the table, but no agreement was reached

curmudgeon, Friday, 6 May 2011 18:10 (thirteen years ago) link

Muamar, The Man Who Would Not Die When the World Told Him To.

Aimless, Friday, 6 May 2011 18:12 (thirteen years ago) link

And on Saturday, the Gaddafi regime unleashed a salvo of ground-to-ground Grad rockets on towns in Libya's western mountains near the border with Tunisia as it bombed Misrata's fuel depots.

At least nine rebels were killed and 50 wounded in fierce clashes in the northwestern mountain town of Zintan as Gaddafi forces pressed the insurgents on several fronts.

A barrage of shells also struck Wazin, a western mountain town near the border with Tunisia, forcing thousands to flee, while loyalist fighters also attacked the southern oasis towns of Ojla and Jalo, which neighbour oil facilities.

The day before, Gaddafi's forces dropped mines into Misrata's harbour using small helicopters bearing the Red Cross and Red Crescent emblems, the rebels said.

Amnesty International's senior adviser Donatella Rovera lashed out at the Gaddafi regime, saying the mines do not "distinguish between civilian and military vehicles."

"Such systematic targeting of Misrata's only conduit for humanitarian supplies and for the evacuation of critically ill and wounded patients is nothing short of collective punishment against the city's population," she said.

curmudgeon, Monday, 9 May 2011 03:06 (twelve years ago) link

What I think is that this is going to be long and hard.”

That has proved even more true in Libya, where Mr. Obama reluctantly threw his support behind a NATO-led bombing campaign that has bogged down. Libya has become a major preoccupation for him, necessitating daily meetings, in which officials said he was being briefed on the targets for airstrikes and on diplomatic efforts to pry Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi from power.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/12/us/politics/12prexy.html?_r=1&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha22

curmudgeon, Thursday, 12 May 2011 16:10 (twelve years ago) link

They keep missing him--

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - NATO air strikes hit Muammar Gaddafi's compound on Thursday, hours after the Libyan leader was shown on television for the first time since another aerial attack killed his son nearly two weeks ago.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 12 May 2011 16:25 (twelve years ago) link

"I tell the cowardly crusader (NATO) that I live in a place they cannot reach and where you cannot kill me," said the voice, which sounded like Gaddafi's

curmudgeon, Saturday, 14 May 2011 22:23 (twelve years ago) link

cowardly crusader

curmudgeon, Saturday, 14 May 2011 22:23 (twelve years ago) link

Hmmm, maybe the rebels can't sell oil themselves:

What does seem likely, more than a dozen shipping and sanctions experts have told Reuters, is that the tanker's expensive cargo has been caught in a legal and political limbo created by international sanctions on Libya. Western governments seem happy for the rebels to sell their oil, and a few western companies may even be ready to buy it and ship it out. But the sanctions, which never anticipated the emergence of two Libyas, make that a dangerous gamble.

The ship's fate illustrates the often blunt nature of sanctions regimes. Diplomats and international legal experts who design sanctions often talk about making them "smart" or "targeted," and say they can be used to hurt governments without hitting citizens. But in the case of a country divided, sorting friend from enemy can be next to impossible.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/16/us-libya-rebels-ship-idUSTRE74F45U20110516

curmudgeon, Monday, 16 May 2011 18:57 (twelve years ago) link

tomorrow is the 61st day of american involvement - has anything been announced out of the white house re: justification for action past 60 days?

trade ilxor for whiney? (k3vin k.), Saturday, 21 May 2011 04:22 (twelve years ago) link

preventing a genocidal massacre in benghazi iirc

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 21 May 2011 09:05 (twelve years ago) link

Kevin, if you're talking about the War Powers Act, yep--Congress and Obama have failed to follow it.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/death-of-the-war-powers-act/2011/05/17/AF3Jh35G_story.html

In another piece I read, the argument was made that Congress has not demanded that the Act be followed because if the Libya action goes wrong they want to be able to just pin the blame on the White House.

curmudgeon, Saturday, 21 May 2011 15:45 (twelve years ago) link

Washington Post--Michael Birnbaum, Published: May 20

TRIPOLI, Libya — The NATO bombardment of Tripoli has forced Moammar Gaddafi into hiding, a spokesman for the bloc said Friday, as Western officials kept up efforts to undermine support for the Libyan leader.
....

Western officials appear to be trying to isolate Gaddafi in the hopes that support for him will eventually melt away at the highest levels of his government. One top official, Shokri Ghanem, head of the National Oil Co., fled the country this week, and the Libyan government says it has been in only intermittent contact with him since.

.....NATO has been dropping leaflets and broadcasting radio messages aimed at government troops, telling them to abandon the fight, Bracken said.

curmudgeon, Saturday, 21 May 2011 15:54 (twelve years ago) link

After dropping a couple billion on high-tech warfare, not forgetting to drop those ever-important leaflets btw, we've forced that sucker Koodaffy into hiding! And we now feel bold enough to cherish hopes that support for him will eventually melt away!!

Aimless, Saturday, 21 May 2011 19:04 (twelve years ago) link

I guess the leaflets weren't enough, now more NATO bombing and maybe helicopters coming soon:

NATO planes carried out bombings early Tuesday in Tripoli in what appeared to be one of the heaviest since its Libyan air campaign began two months ago.

...
Meanwhile, in London the British government said it was considering deploying attack helicopters against targets and forces in Libya.

Armed Forces Minister Nick Harvey said no decision had yet been taken on helicopters, but it was 'among a range of capability options under consideration.'

Media reports had earlier suggested as many as 18 British and French helicopters would be deployed to support rebel forces.

http://www.monstersandcritics.com/news/africa/news/article_1641124.php/Libya-conflicts-Tripoli-airstrikes-reportedly-biggest-yet-of-NATO-campaign

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 24 May 2011 13:23 (twelve years ago) link

In for a dime, in for a dollar, as they say. Next up, loaning the rebels some heavy tanks and five free lessons.

Aimless, Tuesday, 24 May 2011 19:29 (twelve years ago) link

Pretty soon there will be, as Rumsfeld said of Afghanistan, "nothing left to bomb."

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 24 May 2011 19:42 (twelve years ago) link

I heard Obama on the radio this morning defending the Libyan approach with words to the effect that while it will take time, NATO will be successful.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 14:43 (twelve years ago) link

All give praise to the healing power of our bombery

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 14:44 (twelve years ago) link

The reason they are discussing helicopters is that the bombery just works on the obvious big command centers and in-ground missile launchers, but not on smaller targets. If Gaddafi would just leave, all the bombing could stop.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 14:48 (twelve years ago) link

It is mystifying how the leaders of other nations don't just abdicate when we tell them to!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 14:50 (twelve years ago) link

Yemen too and Syria. And way back when that Hitler guy and others.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 14:57 (twelve years ago) link

Others! Totally, them too!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:04 (twelve years ago) link

None of them would go! So, we had no choice.

It was almost as though we ourselves were not making the decisions... Almost as if the hated despot himself were in charge of when bombing began and ended..

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:22 (twelve years ago) link

I'm sure the Libyan rebels would like to hear you tell them that they're better off with Gaddafi attacking them or starving them, then they are with those imperialist NATO nations trying to bomb Gaddafi. And maybe you'll return to your argument that they should try non-violent protest, and hey the Western powers unfairly meddled in Libya numerous times over the years, and why help Libya but not Syria, etc.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:30 (twelve years ago) link

While Gaddafi is in hiding we should rearrange all the buildings, streets and furniture, so that when he comes out he'll be all, like, what happened? Where am I? Then he'll just leave, looking for where we put Libya.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:42 (twelve years ago) link

Well we're certainly rearranging a lot of concrete.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:46 (twelve years ago) link

curmudgeon do you realize that it's possible to both hate Gaddafi and wish him gone yet also - simultaneously - believe that NATO bombardment of Libya is a tragic mistake?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 15:55 (twelve years ago) link

Where are your comments deriding what Gaddafi is doing in Misrata and elsewhere in Libya now? You're just complaining about NATO bombardment (while weeks ago rebels were complaining that there was not enough NATO bombing attacks).

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 16:38 (twelve years ago) link

Maybe I can make a blanket statement that whenever Gaddafi's forces bombard, harrass or kill people in Libya I'm against it. Otherwise I'm going to carry on talking about my own government, the one that claims to represent me.

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 16:48 (twelve years ago) link

curmudgeon, way back when, in the mid-1960s, it was self-evident that the Vietnamese people were only hoping for self-determination and the USA was acting as a benevolent (and selflessly generous) force by assisting them in this goal, by defending them from the aggressive terror tactics of the hated Communists.

It was generally agreed that the basic facts of the situation were crystal clear and, given time, the outcome was a foregone conclusion. And while the S. Vietnamese government left something to be desired, as democracy took hold the S. Vietnamese would sort it all out, and flawed as their goverment was, they were undoubtedly 1000 times better than the ruthless murdering Viet Cong or the despot Ho Chi Minh.

The arguments all lined up in favor of military intervention. Distasteful as this solution was, the USA understood that to stand aside would be a political and humanitarian disaster. Only fools thought otherwise.

Of course, Libya isn't Vietnam. I am only pointing out that your lines of argument have been viewed as ironclad in the past, but they proved to be so much hooey when tested by reality.

Aimless, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 17:34 (twelve years ago) link

uh the Cold War overshadowed Vietnam pretty heavily, leaving that out as a major motivator of US foreign policy is sort of o_0

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 17:38 (twelve years ago) link

ie, the Vietnamese saw the conflict as a civil war. we did not.

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 17:39 (twelve years ago) link

The justifications for the Vietnam War were offered as a smorgasbord of propaganda, from which one might choose those which suited one's tastes. The Domino Theory was certainly on the steam table, and quite a few people helped themseves to it. But all the arguments I listed were also given, and they tended to be prominent in news sources such as Time magazine, that catered to a more liberal audience.

Aimless, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 17:51 (twelve years ago) link

I don't see the analogy. I don't foresee the US getting stuck in an endless war in Libya with Americans soldiers dying to protect a South Vietnamese like government. I also don't see the Libyan rebels versus Gaddafi conflict as like the communist Viet Cong versus the South Vietnamese government.

You're right that there are risks that things can go wrong, and you've earlier suggested that the US should stay out of countries that have not attacked the US, but I would rather take a risk on these type of missions than adopt your isolationist approach (even with the lesson of Viet Nam and other conflicts that have gone wrong).

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:01 (twelve years ago) link

I'll start entertaining Vietnam analogies when the gov't starts talking about the necessity of escalation. in the meantime, seems like we are making as limited a commitment as possible.

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:09 (twelve years ago) link

And while there have been some mistakes with the bombing that have had tragic consequences, I have not read about indiscriminate bombing campaigns in Libya that are killing thousands of civilians and destroying civilian infrastructure.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:25 (twelve years ago) link

also we haven't flown over the border and bombed Morrocco

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:29 (twelve years ago) link

one more article of impeachment, plz

the gay bloggers are onto the faggot tweets (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:32 (twelve years ago) link

I don't see the analogy.

I'll start entertaining Vietnam analogies when...

My point, such as it was, was not that Libya is just like Vietnam and will follow the same course. In an attempt to forestall such a mistaken impression I specifically wrote: "Of course, Libya isn't Vietnam." You may have seen it. If not, eh. Maybe I should have bolded it. My mistake. Sorry.

My point was (and is) that the arguments contenderizer has used in regard to Libya are ready-made stuff that sits on a shelf of well-worn propaganda arguments, designed to justify our getting into war and pacify people's misgivings over what our purposes and goals are. This line of argument should be seen as such when it is trotted out, but people swallow it happily because it goes down so easily.

I am totally unconvinced that the people of Libya are going to benefit from this war, however much this is invoked as the sole purpose of our bombing.

Aimless, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:58 (twelve years ago) link

That reminds me, we should bomb the shit out of Morocco. Pre-emptively, of course.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 18:59 (twelve years ago) link

My point was (and is) that the arguments contenderizer has used in regard to Libya are ready-made stuff that sits on a shelf of well-worn propaganda arguments

you could say the same thing about anti-war arguments. this does not invalidate either set of arguments.

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:02 (twelve years ago) link

TS: Anti-war arguments that point to presnt day death and destruction at a cost of vast sums of money, in pursuit of sketchy and probably chimerical future goals vs. pro-war arguments that point to sketchy and probably chimerical goals to be obtained in some hazy future, but require lots of expensive death and destruction at present time.

(shrugs) we can regard these as equally valid arguments, I suppose.

Aimless, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:12 (twelve years ago) link

think you left out the part where the expensive death and destruction happened regardless of whether NATO got involved or not

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:15 (twelve years ago) link

was already happening, I guess that should say

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:16 (twelve years ago) link

So, clearly, more was needed at once.

Aimless, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:17 (twelve years ago) link

it's like when two wrongs make a right!

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:17 (twelve years ago) link

any clear coordinated message yet from the 'allies' what this week's mission is?

if not, don't forget to leave a note out for the milkman munitions industry - 400 more missiles tomorrow please

nultybutnice (whatever), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 19:32 (twelve years ago) link

And Gaddafi's troops are still using lots of old missiles they got from the Russians and maybe some more recent hand-held launch types too.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:06 (twelve years ago) link

reduce, reuse, recycle

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:14 (twelve years ago) link

notice which comes first

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:14 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jv9lKmmE7knx7mHFNp2HlY0Effhg?docId=CNG.6d368e1b8c6c3ad77e8681f96fb6d5ee.2f1

the AU re-proposes a ceasefire, the UN makes encouraging noises, rebels conscious of the AU's gaddafi connections disdain it

http://www.hindustantimes.com/Delhi-backs-AU-calls-for-end-of-hostility-in-Libya/Article1-701955.aspx

india supports the AU direction

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:22 (twelve years ago) link

Stop hostilities, arrest gaddafi...

For one throb of the (Michael White), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:30 (twelve years ago) link

sure, just send a squad car over

metally ill (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:32 (twelve years ago) link

Comedy gold...

For one throb of the (Michael White), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 22:33 (twelve years ago) link

it's hard to win when there's no one to surrender to you

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 25 May 2011 23:01 (twelve years ago) link

the arguments contenderizer has used in regard to Libya are ready-made stuff that sits on a shelf of well-worn propaganda

man, i'm wrong even when i don't say anything

contenderizer, Wednesday, 25 May 2011 23:05 (twelve years ago) link

A thousand apologies, good sir, craving your pardon. 'Twas a brain fart. I meant to say curmudgeon.

Aimless, Thursday, 26 May 2011 00:23 (twelve years ago) link

Last week was good for some supercilious humor.

http://dickdestiny.com/blog1/2011/05/20/bombing-moes-sitting-ducks/

Gorge, Thursday, 26 May 2011 04:12 (twelve years ago) link

Juan Cole on Libya (he's more optimistic than some):

People who wonder what the end game in Libya is should consider that the Tripoli government is now offering negotiations with everything on the table (i.e. including the possibility that the Qaddafi family will have to step down). Heavy NATO air strikes on military installations in the capital have upped the ante, as has the rebel defeat of Qaddafi’s forces at Misrata, with UN/ NATO help. Likewise, the International Criminal Court indictment of Qaddafi has further isolated his regime, and there are signs of the African Union backing away from him

curmudgeon, Thursday, 26 May 2011 18:27 (twelve years ago) link

i don't have any information to second-guess him, but i have to say his total emotional full-throated support of this whole thing has really made me take what he says with a grain of salt

goole, Thursday, 26 May 2011 19:22 (twelve years ago) link

I'd like to hope he's right, but you're correct that his posts seem to be based largely on emotion

curmudgeon, Thursday, 26 May 2011 20:23 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/fisk/who-cares-in-the-middle-east-what-obama-says-2290761.html

In the middle of commentator Fisk's Obama denunciations he alleges that Algeria might be providing military aid to Gadaffi:

if Algerian armour is indeed being handed over to Gaddafi to replace the material that has been destroyed in air strikes, it would account for the ridiculously slow progress which the Nato campaign is making against Gaddafi.

Of course, it all depends on whether Bouteflika really controls his army – or whether the Algerian "pouvoir", which includes plenty of secretive and corrupt generals, are doing the deals. Algerian equipment is superior to Gaddafi's and thus for every tank he loses, Ghaddafi might be getting an improved model to replace it. Below Tunisia, Algeria and Libya share a 750-mile desert frontier, an easy access route for weapons to pass across the border

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 31 May 2011 16:16 (twelve years ago) link

US politics re Libya:

With Moammar Gadhafi still in power and fears of a prolonged stalemate growing, there appears to be little appetite among House members for a full-throated endorsement of U.S. military involvement.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 31 May 2011 19:22 (twelve years ago) link

What is the current degree of US involvement, actually?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 31 May 2011 20:37 (twelve years ago) link

good question. IS Nato using US aircraft and bombs? Obama dodged questions when he was in the UK re whether the US would provide helicopters or specialty planes that can fly low.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 31 May 2011 21:51 (twelve years ago) link

The helicopters they've been arguing about for weeks are due to arrive soon !: British and French ones that is

In Paris, the French Defence Minister, Gerard Longuet, refused to say when the British Apaches and French Tiger helicopters, on warships in the Mediterranean, would be deployed, but added: ''In any case, very rapidly.''

Rebel leaders expect this deployment in the next few days after the peace mission to Tripoli by the South African President, Jacob Zuma, failed to produce Colonel Gaddafi's resignation.

Mr Zuma said Colonel Gaddafi had insisted on remaining in the country and that his personal safety had been ''of concern''.

But the dictator's 41-year rule may be just as threatened by opposition in his own capital as NATO hardware.

http://www.smh.com.au/world/nato-extends-libya-campaign-as-helicopters-move-in-20110601-1fggm.html

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 1 June 2011 15:44 (twelve years ago) link

nice domain name there

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 1 June 2011 15:47 (twelve years ago) link

Ha. It's actually Australian-- Sydney Morning Herald

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 1 June 2011 15:59 (twelve years ago) link

More airstrikes and more defections but Gaddafi's not leaving yet

curmudgeon, Thursday, 2 June 2011 14:33 (twelve years ago) link

At this point it's okay to wonder about the constitutionality of all this.

The Edge of Gloryhole (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 2 June 2011 14:40 (twelve years ago) link

Which constitution?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 2 June 2011 14:41 (twelve years ago) link

Re the US constitution, the House GOP leadership defended Obama by blocking a vote on Libya. Also, to play devils advocate here, some say the War Powers Act itself is not constitutional, and Obama has lawyers who will say that this NATO action does not constitute the US engaging in war.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 2 June 2011 14:47 (twelve years ago) link

why wonder? it's not constitutional at all and i haven't seen a single serious argument that it is. obama himself contended prior to his election that presidents have no right to wage war without the consent of congress.

in obama's defense, i guess, presidents have been ignoring this particular aspect of the constitution -- with little to no complaint from congress -- since truman.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 2 June 2011 17:43 (twelve years ago) link

Republicans blocking a vote on Libya is not pure altruism on their part. If this adventure goes sour in the public's mind, as they still could, this leaves their own fingerprints off it and only Obama to blame. It also weakens the War Powers Act even further, so future Republican presidents can point to this and claim precedent for ignoring the law whenever they feel like it.

Aimless, Thursday, 2 June 2011 17:46 (twelve years ago) link

Exactly.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 2 June 2011 18:17 (twelve years ago) link

I said "it's okay to wonder" because several passionate supporters of intervention blew their collective gaskets when I hinted as such in March.

The Edge of Gloryhole (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 2 June 2011 18:20 (twelve years ago) link

since lincoln won the pres-as-writer poll, seems only fitting to cite one of his most OTM moments:

Allow the President to invade a neighboring nation whenever he shall deem it necessary to repel an invasion, and you allow him to do so whenever he may choose to say he deems it necessary for such purpose, and you allow him to make war at pleasure. Study to see if you can fix any limit to his power in this respect, after having given him so much as you propose. If to-day he should choose to say he thinks it necessary to invade Canada to prevent the British from invading us, how could you stop him? You may say to him,--"I see no probability of the British invading us"; but he will say to you, "Be silent: I see it, if you don't."

The provision of the Constitution giving the war making power to Congress was dictated, as I understand it, by the following reasons: kings had always been involving and impoverishing their people in wars, pretending generally, if not always, that the good of the people was the object. This our convention understood to be the most oppressive of all kingly oppressions, and they resolved to so frame the Constitution that no one man should hold the power of bringing this oppression upon us. But your view destroys the whole matter, and places our President where kings have always stood.

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Thursday, 2 June 2011 19:21 (twelve years ago) link

it's not like the wisdom was so amazing there tbh. the deal that has settled in modernity is that congress builds a giant military constantly because contracts = jerbs, and then the executive gets to use it whenever he likes.

goole, Thursday, 2 June 2011 19:26 (twelve years ago) link

There's always a pressing need to start a war without a moment's delay, just as soon as the prez makes up his mind. What could be more presidential?

Aimless, Thursday, 2 June 2011 19:27 (twelve years ago) link

What about "war on terror" attacks on Al Quada in Yemen or other countries around the world (other than Afghanistan or even Pakistan)

curmudgeon, Thursday, 2 June 2011 19:56 (twelve years ago) link

zackly goole, death is our #1 export cept for maybe Hollywood blockbusters

the gay bloggers are onto the faggot tweets (Dr Morbius), Friday, 3 June 2011 19:54 (twelve years ago) link

those are also death, i'm assming

goole, Friday, 3 June 2011 20:00 (twelve years ago) link

-u-

goole, Friday, 3 June 2011 20:00 (twelve years ago) link

ha

curmudgeon, Friday, 3 June 2011 20:08 (twelve years ago) link

Helicopters!

With the costs of the air campaign mounting, and the stresses growing on air crews, finding a way of breaking the stalemate has become a priority for NATO, and particularly for Britain and France, which are carrying the brunt of the campaign.

Mr. Obama has let NATO allies take the lead in the Libyan operations, an unusual role for them in the history of such operations. The United States’ role has been confined primarily to air refueling, airborne command and control, surveillance and the deployment of missile-carrying drones.

Lt. Gen. Charles Bouchard, the Canadian commander who oversees the air campaign from a base in Naples, Italy, issued a statement on Saturday calling the helicopters’ first missions successful and adding: “We will continue to use these assets whenever and wherever needed

curmudgeon, Sunday, 5 June 2011 21:06 (twelve years ago) link

The use of helicopters and the latest NATO bombing of Tripoli has not stopped Gaddafi yet:

"Misrata is under heavy shelling ... Gaddafi forces are shelling Misrata from three sides: east, west and south," rebel spokesman Hassan al-Misrati told Reuters from inside the besieged town.

"He has sent thousands of troops from all sides and they are trying to enter the city. They are still outside, though."

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/08/us-libya-idUSTRE7270JP20110608

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 8 June 2011 20:50 (twelve years ago) link

Financial costs for the operation for NATO countries keeps going up as this drags on. Hilary Clinton though keeps giving speeches saying it is only a matter of time before Gaddafi leaves. And I think the White House is going to actually submit some type of report to the House (though not ask for authority)

curmudgeon, Friday, 10 June 2011 13:33 (twelve years ago) link

Gaddafi is still shelling Misrata no matter what Ms. Clinton thinks

curmudgeon, Friday, 10 June 2011 17:10 (twelve years ago) link

Gates growls:

http://dickdestiny.com/blog1/2011/06/10/complaining-about-the-other-pantywaists/

Gorge, Friday, 10 June 2011 17:23 (twelve years ago) link

greenwald on oil interests and their role in the war:

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2011/06/11/libya/index.html

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Saturday, 11 June 2011 21:46 (twelve years ago) link

^ correct answer = simplest, etc, ad nauseum

already president FYI (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 12 June 2011 15:34 (twelve years ago) link

all of that stuff is of course true but lol @ UPDATE #1 in which he responds to the complaints of the PEONS:

To clarify what I believe was already clear ... That's not to say that Gaddafi's "resource nationalism" is the only or even overriding motive for the war in Libya. Wars are typically caused by the interests of multiple factions and rarely have just one motive.

oh!

difficult listening hour, Sunday, 12 June 2011 16:15 (twelve years ago) link

lmao

nice mea culpa

lebroner (D-40), Sunday, 12 June 2011 16:16 (twelve years ago) link

The White House says the act requiring approval by Congress doesn’t apply to the Libya operation because what United States forces are doing there doesn’t amount to “hostilities.”

that's some catch, that Catch-22

already president FYI (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 16 June 2011 01:58 (twelve years ago) link

While Obama and Boehner flip-flop re the War Powers Act,the AP reports that in Libya

Tunisian army official Mokhtar Ben Nasr said the number of Libyans fleeing has mounted in recent days, with 6,330 Libyan refugees crossing into Tunisia earlier this week. Dozens of Libyan soldiers also have defected to Tunisia by boat, the state news agency there reported Wednesday.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 16 June 2011 20:27 (twelve years ago) link

What a mess--NATO bombing errors; stubborn Gaddafi won't leave and won't stop his own ugly killing; Obama won't get Congressional approval.

I wonder if the compromise plan to have elections discussed above can get support from either the rebels or Gaddafi.

curmudgeon, Monday, 20 June 2011 17:16 (twelve years ago) link

surely the first rule of war in the new west is to pick a fight only where you know you can win. the libyan intervention has been 95% misguided from day 1. something seriously wrong if it's down to a 'stubborn' leader who won't do what we want him to do (but we'll forget about what assad is doing).

whatever, Tuesday, 21 June 2011 20:54 (twelve years ago) link

Doing the bombing from above approach (like in the Clinton 90s) is difficult.

Juan Cole who has supported the effort from the beginning has recently listed 10 things wrong with the operation

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 21 June 2011 21:30 (twelve years ago) link

what's your view curmudgeon?

whatever, Tuesday, 21 June 2011 21:45 (twelve years ago) link

I support the intervention but think Obama should have gone to Congress for authorization. I recognize that it is inconsistent to be taking action in Libya but not in Syria (or Bahrain or Yemen) but there seem to be so many elements that factor into those decisions (not all logical). I do not know enough to discuss specifics of the NATO strategy. If you read upthread, you'll see that others think the whole thing is wrong. Glenn Greenwald and others are making that case elsewhere.

Also, Syria is discussed on this other thread:

a thread about the civil unrest in egypt (& elsewhere in 'the region' if necessary)

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 21 June 2011 21:56 (twelve years ago) link

on its own terms it's not "inconsistent", NATO countries had some chance of knocking off Qdf and/or "protecting civilians" by intervening in libya and don't have that chance in syria at all

goole, Tuesday, 21 June 2011 22:43 (twelve years ago) link

The House on Friday rejected a measure that would have authorized the United States’s mission in Libya, but also rejected a measure to limit financing.

Uh, ok.

curmudgeon, Friday, 24 June 2011 19:02 (twelve years ago) link

Judges from the International Criminal Court on Monday issued a warrant for the arrest of Libyan President Moammar Gaddafi, his son and a top military intelligence chief, calling for them to to stand trial for crimes against humanity in connection with a violent crackdown on anti-government protesters this year.

Good luck in enforcing the warrant

curmudgeon, Monday, 27 June 2011 14:24 (twelve years ago) link

The House on Friday rejected a measure that would have authorized the United States’s mission in Libya, but also rejected a measure to limit financing.

Uh, ok.

― curmudgeon, Friday, June 24, 2011 7:02 PM (3 days ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

US Congress, just thinkin baout thangs

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Monday, 27 June 2011 14:27 (twelve years ago) link

Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi will have to receive security guarantees to relinquish his four decades of rule over the North African nation, said Mikhail Margelov, Russia’s envoy for negotiating Qaddafi’s departure.

“Qaddafi will be interested in getting guarantees about his personal security,” Margelov said in a phone interview from Harare today after holding talks with Zimbabwe’s President Robert Mugabe.

Can they get Q and Mugabe to leave power?

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 5 July 2011 16:31 (twelve years ago) link

that's basically the devil's bargain for a lot of despots i think. not a bad bargain either, imo

the day the world turned dayo, u kno u kno (goole), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 16:37 (twelve years ago) link

getting off easy is what it is

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 16:49 (twelve years ago) link

for whom?

the day the world turned dayo, u kno u kno (goole), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 16:53 (twelve years ago) link

what exactly would 'personal security' imply though? being arrested probably safer than lynched or bombed

sonderangerbot, Tuesday, 5 July 2011 16:58 (twelve years ago) link

letting him slip quietly away to some shithole to live in a villa seems measurably safer for a whole lot of libyans...

the day the world turned dayo, u kno u kno (goole), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 17:17 (twelve years ago) link

yeah just buy him off along with mugabe, lukashenko and the rest, put them on an island and make a tv show of it

sonderangerbot, Tuesday, 5 July 2011 17:48 (twelve years ago) link

^^^presumably some kidn of Battle Royale show

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 17:50 (twelve years ago) link

ha

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 5 July 2011 18:49 (twelve years ago) link

And Qadafi has just chewed off Mugabe's ear! But will they be able to avoid the deathtrap Lukashenko has waiting for them? TUNE IN NEXT WEEK

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 5 July 2011 18:55 (twelve years ago) link

That program is not on yet.

For now, according to NPR, Qadaffi is using sub-Saharan Africans who had come to Libya to work, as soldiers to bolster the size of his force. He is paying them and suggesting that being part of his military is the only way they can stay. NPR says that the rebels assert that Q is hiring experienced Sub-Saharan mercenaries, but NPR based on what they have seen in refugee camps, says that is not the case.

curmudgeon, Friday, 8 July 2011 14:07 (twelve years ago) link

Meat grinder war. But the west will keep it going as long as there are rebels willing to die with our assistance.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 17:51 (twelve years ago) link

^^^

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 17:54 (twelve years ago) link

i think the rebels would be willing to die without our assistance, too! and in many cases "willing" wouldnt really enter into it!

☂ (max), Friday, 8 July 2011 18:37 (twelve years ago) link

Qadaffi could leave for Zimbabwe or somewhere today and the rebels and the west would be happy for the fighting to stop, as would the folks that for financial reasons have enlisted in Qadaffi's military

curmudgeon, Friday, 8 July 2011 18:48 (twelve years ago) link

xp to max

In which case, obviously, our assistance is not required.

Except you will rejoin that, of course, it is. But to accomplish what? Oh, yes, that's right, protecting civilians. Except this can only be accomplished through offensive operations against Q, but not too much offense, lest we protect civilians too vigorously, because that would overstep the UN resolution and amount to regime change. So the regime does not change, but it still must be fought.

Or something like that.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 18:53 (twelve years ago) link

I don't think our support of the rebels here is morally wrong btw, so while I agree with yr assessment of the conflict I don't really agree that we should just wash our hands of the whole affair

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 18:55 (twelve years ago) link

If the sole strategic aim is to convince Q to step down, then we have no strategy.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 18:55 (twelve years ago) link

I think our strategic aims would be met if the rebels manage to off Q. or if we happen to kill him in an airstrike.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 18:57 (twelve years ago) link

At this point, the rebels have no prayer of getting close enough to Q to kill him and that will not change for the foreseeable future. If an airstrike were to kill Q, but one of his sons immediately stepped in to fill his shoes, this would not amount to anything new and the war would continue.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 19:00 (twelve years ago) link

i dont know if i really "support" the war i just didnt like your characterization of it above as some kind of... western project to make sure a lot of libyan civilians died

☂ (max), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:08 (twelve years ago) link

At this point, the rebels have no prayer of getting close enough to Q to kill him and that will not change for the foreseeable future.

I dunno how yr so sure about this or how long the "foreseeable future" is. if your point is that this war is just going to go on and on and there's nothing anybody can do about it... well, what kind of point is that, exactly.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:11 (twelve years ago) link

I mean if that really is your prognostication, what is so wrong with trying, however marginally, to increase the odds that the side we would like to win eventually prevails? we're only "prolonging" this conflict in the sense that if we weren't assisting, Q would butcher all his enemies in short order. You are okay with that, I assume.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:12 (twelve years ago) link

or do you think Q would just be like, "nah that's cool, let's partition the country, I get the west, you keep the east. Pardons for all!"

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:13 (twelve years ago) link

or do you think that by prolonging this conflict even MORE people will die than if Q just got to have his way with the country? we're talking about the calculus of mass murder here, and none of the options are good. they range from "horrific" to "slightly less horrific". I'm going with the "slightly less horrific" option.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:19 (twelve years ago) link

You are okay with that, I assume.

Shakey, you may take that road, if you like, but the world is rife with autocratic leaders killing or torturing their enemies. We are not intervening militarily in those countries. Often we are offering military assistance to the leader instead. You are okay with that, I assume.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 19:25 (twelve years ago) link

no I'm not. but just because we're doing the wrong thing in other places shouldn't preclude us from doing the right thing in this particular place. every international conflagration is, in its way, unique, and treating them all the same is both wrong and ill-advised.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:27 (twelve years ago) link

nice misdirection there though

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:27 (twelve years ago) link

no, I'm not

I see my assumption was as untrue as yours was, then. Why you would think I am okay with anybody perpetrating a massacre is stupid, even as rhetoric.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 19:37 (twelve years ago) link

Now that we've settled that bit of kerfuffle, let's examine your position:

every international conflagration is, in its way, unique, and treating them all the same is both wrong and ill-advised.

So, clearly, the fact of killing of innocent people and government-sanctioned criminal injustice is insufficient, of itself, to justify military intervention. Absent more compelling factors (which you do not specify) such an intervention could be "wrong and ill-advised" in your view. I happen to agree.

Where we disagree is whether those other, compelling factors exist in Libya. Slamming me for amorality and uncaring is a sweet little game, but you are just as willing to be amoral and uncaring when it suits you. Call it misdirection, but I think it is relevant.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 19:49 (twelve years ago) link

I just don't understand what you think we should do here, since you're always very elliptical about it

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:52 (twelve years ago) link

also the compelling factors here (which I and others have specified upthread more times than I can count) are a) opportunity and b) support of both the surrounding and larger international communities

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:53 (twelve years ago) link

like, we have no leverage in Syria, we can't get away with arming anybody there. but we do have some room to operate in Libya, as well as allies, UN backing, support for (or at least lack of opposition to) our involvement from Q's neighbors, etc.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 19:54 (twelve years ago) link

i don't think starting an unwinnable civil war with a ruthless dictator is really "the right thing to do"

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:08 (twelve years ago) link

and fwiw i don't think starting an unwinnable civil war with a ruthless dictator and then pleading for NATO assistance as a matter of moral urgency is "the right thing to do", either

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:09 (twelve years ago) link

uh we didn't start it?

xp

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:09 (twelve years ago) link

or are you blaming the protestors for "starting" the war again? I thought we put that weird misconception to rest

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:11 (twelve years ago) link

Why you would think I am okay with anybody perpetrating a massacre is stupid, even as rhetoric.

― Aimless, Friday, July 8, 2011 7:37 PM (2

Earlier on this thread I am pretty sure you voiced the view that countries including the US should only get involved in war when they are directly attacked. I suggested you were an isolationist and you did not seem to like that label. So while you might not be ok with a massacre, you in the past seemed to suggest that other countries should not intervene to stop one.

curmudgeon, Friday, 8 July 2011 20:11 (twelve years ago) link

xp to Shakey

The difficulty is that the room to operate, the allies and the lack of opposition from neighboring countries do not extend far enough to allow a coherent and workable strategy for removing Q.

The only strategy that amounts to more than a roll of dice would require an army to oppose his. The rebels, howeve brave they may be, are not an army. The only army in Libya belongs to Q. If you want to dislodge an army, you need to place another army on the ground.

Our allies aren't willing to do this. His neighbors are not willing to countenance this. Our own nation would not be willing to start yet another war, as this would require conscription in order to enlarge our own army, or else moving troops out of Iraq or Afghanistan. Not to mention the cost of another full scale war.

So, we are rolling the dice instead.

You seem to be happy with this. For you this is a legitimate strategy. Max objects to characterizing this as a western project for killing a lot of Libyans. I can't see it as much else but gambling with Libyan lives, and as long as their are lives to gamble with, we'll keep it up. But this is not what I view as a legitimate use of US military power.

As for what I want us to do, that is much trickier now that we've waded in knee-deep. The external factors (no army in Libya, our country, allies and neighbors unwilling to back a real war) aren't going to improve one jot. That leaves us only a graceless exit or a lucky roll of the dice. Since I don't wish to roll the dice interminably, a graceless exit, ugly, with recriminations to spare, as the only bad choice among worse choices.

I just wish someone had had the sense to foresee this (aside from me) and forestall this before Obama dragged us in.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 20:13 (twelve years ago) link

shakey mo are you conflating peaceful protests with the establishment of rebel military bases and dudes riding around in technicals with mortars again? i thought we put that weird misconception to rest

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:14 (twelve years ago) link

even if you want to see them as the same people - even if they were the same people - i think it was a terrible mistake for the gaddafi opposition to see their opposition on a military basis

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:16 (twelve years ago) link

"happy" is kind of overstating it. I'm more like "okay" with it.

I don't really see Q prevailing in the long-term. he's old, he's isolated, and lots of people want him dead. not really a recipe for long-term success. I'll be surprised if this turns into a 30-year civil war a la Columbia. I guess it could happen...

otoh I just don't really get why you think a graceless exit, resulting in a massacre, is somehow preferable (or less bloody?) than gambling on forestalling it indefinitely.

xp

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:18 (twelve years ago) link

even if you want to see them as the same people - even if they were the same people - i think it was a terrible mistake for the gaddafi opposition to see their opposition on a military basis

yeah and I see this as first world condescension in one of its worst forms - telling people they don't have the right to defend themselves.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:18 (twelve years ago) link

like telling a hapless protestor whose being shot at not to shoot back and just lay down and die = NAGL

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:19 (twelve years ago) link

especially when its a defense of last resort (it's not like they started out with the mortars, things started peacefully and then deteriorated because of Q's escalation)

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 20:20 (twelve years ago) link

Earlier on this thread I am pretty sure you voiced the view that countries including the US should only get involved in war when they are directly attacked.

Here is what I did say (as you seem dislinclined to go find it on your own):

There are many quite strong and well-established justifications for going to war against a country and it I have no problem with them whatsoever. For example, if that country's armred forces invades or attacks your country, or it blockades your ports, or seizes ships at sea that sail under your flag. There are other, similar causus belli and I won't bother to name them all. They are united by the simple fact of violent aggression against your country.

What is lacking in what I said, that you included in what you recalled me saying, is the word "only", or any other indication that violent agression against one's country is the sole legitimate reason for going to war. Elsewhere I also included aggression against allies with whom we have treaty obligations. This includes, by now, half the world at least. I suggested then, as I do now, that sanctioning war to protect our own country or up to half the world, is a peculiar definition of isolationist.

Moreover, I would be willing to consider war in cases where other clear national interests are at stake, but I am certainly not willing to write a blank check for any all wars of choice. Fuck me if I will go that far.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:01 (twelve years ago) link

it is weird that you continue to elide the fact that the result of such a stance is that massacres - and most pertinently massacres we could have perhaps prevented from happening - are going to happen. it does not seem unfair to characterize this position as being "okay" with massacres occurring. because if you were not really okay with it, you would advocate for our involvement in preventing them.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:05 (twelve years ago) link

I think that's exactly what Aimless is saying! Massacres will happen.

The Edge of Gloryhole (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:05 (twelve years ago) link

imho we have an obligation to act where we have the ability to act. we had the ability in Libya, Q hasn't killed quite as many people as he would have, or would like to. this is a net positive.

xp

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:06 (twelve years ago) link

Why you would think I am okay with anybody perpetrating a massacre is stupid, even as rhetoric.

― Aimless, Friday, July 8, 2011 7:37 PM (2

for Alfred

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:07 (twelve years ago) link

silence = consent etc

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:07 (twelve years ago) link

or I guess in this case inaction = consent

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:07 (twelve years ago) link

Isn't that inevitable in some conflicts though?

The Edge of Gloryhole (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:08 (twelve years ago) link

btw this discussion is ancillary to the Obama administration's confusion -- intentional or otherwise -- about what it wants in Libya. "To prevent a massacre"? Oust Qaddafi? Not freak out the Europeans dependent on Libya's oil? Is it a police action? A war?

The Edge of Gloryhole (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:09 (twelve years ago) link

imho we have an obligation to act where we have the ability to act.

paul wolfowitz over here

j/k

kinda

goole, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:09 (twelve years ago) link

Wolfie would invent a "they are making nuclear weapons" justification first

curmudgeon, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:14 (twelve years ago) link

wolfowitz's logic totally convoluted and self-serving, not to mention delusional, dishonest and evil

thx tho

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:20 (twelve years ago) link

for one thing re: Iraq we didn't have much of an obligation since no attack/massacre/threat was imminent and all arguments to the contrary were entirely spurious

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:24 (twelve years ago) link

On an opportunistic note, I'll just say the odds of success in intervening in Libya are greater than in intervening in Syria and the downsides of Q's continuing rule in Libya after the Arab Spring were much worse for Italy and France and perhaps the UK than whatever happens in Syria, which is precisely why they (and we) are there. Does anybody really think it a good idea to leave before Q is ousted or leaves? You guys can squabble all you want about how we got there, but NATO is there and if we pull out before ousting the Guide, we'll earn hatred from the rebels and contempt from the regime, the economy will contine to flounder, and the tensions in the country will not abate, even if Q tries to imprison or kill every rebel.

From what I hear, there is increasingly talk of some kind of peace talks in Libya and even the possibility of Q staying there if he relinquishes power. I do hope there's a good endgame.

in an arrangement that mimics idiocy (Michael White), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:27 (twelve years ago) link

inaction = consent

Christ, Shakey, you have a short memory. Your own inaction is consenting to shit from here to kingdom come, but somehow that doesn't seem to dent your thick skull. It only matters to you that in this one instance it applies to me, not that it applies to you in a dozen cases I could name.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:39 (twelve years ago) link

I am totally not in control of everything my gov't does, nor do I approve of all of (or even most of) it lol. I happen to think that in this specific instance they're pursuing the best option of many bad ones. You seem to be of the opposite opinion, and that letting Q kill a bunch of people is preferable to taking a chance that said killing can be indefinitely forestalled. You have yet to explain why you think this is so.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:42 (twelve years ago) link

anyway M. White otm

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:43 (twelve years ago) link

It only matters to you that in this one instance it applies to me,

only because we are discussing this specific instance! if you want to talk about some other instance where US foreign policy is clearly in the wrong (and I am more than willing to agree there are many) take it to some other thread

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:44 (twelve years ago) link

shakey, my point is that "the ability to act" = "huge fuckin military"

in a better state of affairs we might well not have "the ability to act" in this way

goole, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:45 (twelve years ago) link

sure.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:45 (twelve years ago) link

which kind of shades the morality of acting?

goole, Friday, 8 July 2011 21:47 (twelve years ago) link

well I'm against us having a military in the first place (especially an all volunteer military) but since for the most part nobody in this country agrees with me, I'm not gonna complain when our military happens to be on the right side of an equation for once.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 21:50 (twelve years ago) link

i think the evidence has borne out that 1) jerry-rigging a shoestring military opposition force against a conscienceless dictator or 2) dropping hundreds of bombs or 3) both is not a recipe for "forestalling killing", indefinitely or otherwise

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:28 (twelve years ago) link

really. so you think the total amount of people killed in the conflict to-date is less than the number Q would have killed (dunno if I should include tortured/imprisoned here as well) if allowed to indiscriminately crush the opposition?

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:35 (twelve years ago) link

really. so you think the total amount of people killed in the conflict to-date is less greater than the number Q would have killed (dunno if I should include tortured/imprisoned here as well) if allowed to indiscriminately crush the opposition?

FIXED

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:36 (twelve years ago) link

given what was going on before NATO jumped in I really dunno how you could draw that conclusion. if NATO hadn't propped up the rebels, Q would have wiped them out in a massively lopsided military operation, crushed dissent, arrested whoever he pleased, and cemented his hold on power for the rest of his life (which would be what, another 15 or 20 years maybe?)

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:38 (twelve years ago) link

I mean yr whole argument rests on the idea that Qaddaffi wouldn't have killed that many people, would have shown some restraint, that the general populace would not have continued a hopeless resistance etc which, frankly, is not borne out by any of Qwudawfee's actual actions either before or after this whole conflict sprang up. dude has demonstrated himself more than happy to kill civilians, bomb urban centers, terrorize the general populace into submission, ad nauseam

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:48 (twelve years ago) link

I think even now he's 'disappeared' a not unsubstantial number of ppl in areas he controls.

in an arrangement that mimics idiocy (Michael White), Friday, 8 July 2011 22:52 (twelve years ago) link

He actually has more ample justification for this kind of brutality than he had before NATO intervened. Our presence escalated the level of violent opposition to his rule overnight, both directly through the violence of our bombing and indirectly through our encouragement of the opposition to armed insurrection; he has responded by escalating the level of his violent response. These are complements of one another and entirely predictable.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 23:15 (twelve years ago) link

the bombing will continue until peace is achieved!

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:16 (twelve years ago) link

Col Gaddafi on Friday night threatened to send hundreds of Libyans to launch attacks in Europe in revenge for the NATO-led military campaign against him.

“Hundreds of Libyans will martyr in Europe. I told you it is eye for an eye and tooth for a tooth. But we will give them a chance to come back to their senses,” the Libyan leader said in a televised speech.

:/

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:20 (twelve years ago) link

this is sort of obvious, no?

i'm sure the reals would love an opportunity to kill more people, go retro gaddafi!

you've got male (jim in glasgow), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:22 (twelve years ago) link

The weakness of a bombing campaign against an army, in support of what is not an army, is manifest here. If there really were an army to support, our air campaign could be decisive, and peace would become possible through military victory. Instead we've got this morass and no end in sight. Meat grinder war.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 23:22 (twelve years ago) link

He actually has more ample justification for this kind of brutality than he had before NATO intervened.

O RLY

cuz before NATO he was playing nice

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:23 (twelve years ago) link

reading comprehension, mo. The actions do not need to change for the justification to change.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 23:29 (twelve years ago) link

Republican Representative Tom Cole narrowly won a ban on military spending to train or equip rebels fighting to topple Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

...

One of the most successful budget-cutting efforts was led by Representative Betty McCollum, a Democrat who doggedly pressed her drive to slash more than $120 million for military bands.

:(

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/08/usa-budget-defense-idUSN1E7670UA20110708

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:32 (twelve years ago) link

reading comprehension, mo. The actions do not need to change for the justification to change.

if the justifications don't matter why did you bring them up

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:33 (twelve years ago) link

i mean come on, out of the entire military budget she's sticking it to BANDS for a 120 mil

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:33 (twelve years ago) link

seriously it's always "LOOK! OVER THERE!" *runs away* with you

xp

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:34 (twelve years ago) link

if the justifications don't matter why did you bring them up

If, by our actions, we are supplying Q with greater justification in the eyes of the world (this requires you to understand that not everyone in the world automatically sees Q as a monster of depravity) then I should think that matters. Who said it didn't?

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 23:38 (twelve years ago) link

rmde

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:39 (twelve years ago) link

Shakey, I realize you think you are providing a constant stream of unanswerable ripostes and you also clearly think I am ducking them and dodging furiously, but from where i sit, you are riposting based on a hasty and superficial reading of whatever I say, leading to unwarranted conclusions, which you then answer brialliantly, except, they are the products of your misunderstanding and not actually answering me so much as the voice in your head that you impose on me.

All that dodging you perceive so clearly is me trying to point out your misunderstanding (aha! wriggling out of what I just said, by your lights, in order to avoid answering your brilliant riposte!) by patiently going back and correcting your misperceptions of my statements.

I've been through this so many times on the internet I've come to recognize it. But, do go on. I love to hear you talk. Don't let me stop you.

Aimless, Friday, 8 July 2011 23:44 (twelve years ago) link

are you asking me a question? I asked you a question. Trayce answered it.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:47 (twelve years ago) link

er Tracer

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:47 (twelve years ago) link

You seem to be of the opposite opinion, and that letting Q kill a bunch of people is preferable to taking a chance that said killing can be indefinitely forestalled. You have yet to explain why you think this is so.

― a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, July 8, 2011 9:42 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 8 July 2011 23:48 (twelve years ago) link

First, some clarification.

We are already letting Q kill a bunch of people. He is killing them on a daily basis. This act of "forestalling" that you speak of also entails killing people on a daily basis. Letting this go on indefinitely entails both Q and ourselves killing a bunch of people, indefinitely.

Since many people are already being killed, and maintaining our current level of military activity ensures that this killing will go on and on and on, then it is disingenuous to imply, as your question does, that only one of these choices entails "a bunch of people" being killed. This implication serves a fine rhetorical purpose, but it also carries a large degree of distortion and oversimplification. As such, it is what is called a loaded question.

Answering loaded questions is not a sensible pastime. Perhaps you might like to rephrase your question in such a way that a reasonable person might be able to respond.

Aimless, Saturday, 9 July 2011 00:03 (twelve years ago) link

France has denied claims that it has changed its policy towards the Libyan conflict and is negotiating directly with the regime of Muammar Gaddafi, but has called for political flexibility over the terms and timing of his departure.

The country's foreign ministry said on Monday that the Libyan leader must go and insisted there were no direct negotiations with him, as claimed by his son.

That is from the Guardian (UK)

curmudgeon, Monday, 11 July 2011 19:57 (twelve years ago) link

Since many people are already being killed, and maintaining our current level of military activity ensures that this killing will go on and on and on, then it is disingenuous to imply, as your question does, that only one of these choices entails "a bunch of people" being killed.

it's a question of scale. I think the number of people killed by pursuing Option A (NATO backing of rebels) is smaller than the number of people that would be killed under Option B (letting Q settle his own internal affairs). This is the issue.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 11 July 2011 20:01 (twelve years ago) link

Is Q gonna get to live in the South of France!

TRIPOLI (Reuters) - France said Muammar Gaddafi was ready to leave power, according to emissaries, the latest sign contacts were underway between the Libyan leader and NATO members to find a way out of the crisis.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 12 July 2011 14:49 (twelve years ago) link

As far as France as concerned he isn't technically part of the Libyan government anymore iirc

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 12 July 2011 15:00 (twelve years ago) link

Technicalities.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 12 July 2011 15:05 (twelve years ago) link

obviously Q leaving is a net positive. otoh I hate these amnesty-for-dictators deals in principle.

a man is only a guy (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 12 July 2011 16:09 (twelve years ago) link

Yeah, but how binding are they? Chile went back on Pinochet's. I guess you just say that the agreement was made under one government, when they left, and will be broken by another afterwards, who aren't restricted by the agreement. Plus the amnesty doesn't trump international law which allows anyone else to punish them if their nation is unable or unwilling. So you need to get them out of the country. Then Thatcher can let them go again.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 12 July 2011 16:40 (twelve years ago) link

happy 100th, air power!

http://counterpunch.org/patrick07252011.html

you call it trollin' i call it steamrollin' (Dr Morbius), Monday, 25 July 2011 19:26 (twelve years ago) link

(Reuters) - Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's camp has vowed to push on with its war against rebels whether or not NATO stops its bombing campaign,

Great.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 13:40 (twelve years ago) link

Then there is this:

The assassination of Gen. Younis is a major challenge to the rebels – and to the strategy of the US and others who recognized the rebels as Libya's government and must stay the course.

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2011/0802/Can-US-Libya-strategy-survive-the-assassination-of-rebels-top-general

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 14:48 (twelve years ago) link

(Reuters) - Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi's camp has vowed to push on with its war against rebels whether or not NATO stops its bombing campaign,

Great.

lol that's just him pushing the narrative that NATO had something to do with initiating the hostilities in the first place (it did not, btw)

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:13 (twelve years ago) link

?? has anyone ever thought that?

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:19 (twelve years ago) link

Q's blamed the whole conflagration on "outside agitators" and "foreign elements" since day one

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:20 (twelve years ago) link

hmm yeah i don't think he meant NATO

40% chill and 100% negative (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:24 (twelve years ago) link

O RLY

7/25: Late on Saturday Gaddafi said in an audio message on state television that the unrest that has swept his country since a popular uprising erupted in mid-February was a "colonial plot."

He did not elaborate.

He also denied accusations by international rights groups of a brutal suppression of dissent and allegations that his regime had killed thousands of protesters.

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:37 (twelve years ago) link

he blames whoever's handy

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:37 (twelve years ago) link

TS: bombing Gaddafi's dupes in Libya or bombing Assad's dupes in Syria

I've come to hate Sarkozy & Cameron for forcing this intervention on the rest of NATO. Its pretty clear that Obama wanted no part of it from the beginning.

waxing gibbous (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 19:58 (twelve years ago) link

It's much better when the US are forcing their allies into wars of course. The US has done fairly little so far, too. But yes, of course, we should be supporting the rebels/people in Syria as well.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:04 (twelve years ago) link

It's amazing how much that Racky wants no part of, he gets.

Patrick Cockbun on the Younes killing and our 'freedom fighters':

http://counterpunch.org/patrick08012011.html

satan club sandwich (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:07 (twelve years ago) link

Syria, as we've discussed before, because of its involvement with Iran and Lebanon (and other issues), seems more complicated than Libya (although Libya has obviously been a more complicated situation than the Brits and the French once apparently thought it would be)

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:08 (twelve years ago) link

x-post- I am always a bit skeptical of Cockburn's often out there views. Morbs, is anyone else saying this?

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:10 (twelve years ago) link

The nature of the civil war in Libya has been persistently underplayed by foreign governments and media alike. The enthusiasm in some 30 foreign capitals to recognize the mysterious self-appointed group in Benghazi as the leaders of Libya is at this stage probably motivated primarily by expectations of commercial concessions and a carve-up of oilfields.

yeah, uh... I don't really buy this

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:11 (twelve years ago) link

is Patrick related to Alexander?

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:11 (twelve years ago) link

more probably motivated by a desperate need to give an ugly civil/tribal stalemate some degree of legitimacy.

goole, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:14 (twelve years ago) link

alexander, andrew and patrick cockburn, all brothers

andrew also father of olivia "wilde", importantly.

goole, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:16 (twelve years ago) link

Both of them go a little too far in an extreme simplistic way for me.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:17 (twelve years ago) link

was gonna read that patrick cockburn piece but i was distracted by "The Forced Drugging of America's Children"

max, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:27 (twelve years ago) link

first the drugging, then the slavery

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:28 (twelve years ago) link

The enthusiasm in some 30 foreign capitals to recognize the mysterious self-appointed group in Benghazi as the leaders of Libya is at this stage probably motivated primarily by expectations of commercial concessions and a carve-up of oilfields.

yeah we did all this really, didn't we? the energy companies were doing ok trading with gadaffi / who does cockburn recognizer as the leader(s) of libya? etc.

i think claud would be very disappointed in this though: is junior really complaining about a 'mysterious self-appointed group' running things? is he some kind of liberal democrat now?

but it is pretty clusterfucky over there. do 'get' why the clean-hands feeling of non-intervention / letting someone else intervene appeals.

je suis marxiste – tendance richard (history mayne), Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:35 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.maynereport.com/templateimages/logo.gif

zvookster, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:38 (twelve years ago) link

i see this after all yr posts now

zvookster, Tuesday, 2 August 2011 20:38 (twelve years ago) link

i think claud would be very disappointed in this though: is junior really complaining about a 'mysterious self-appointed group' running things? is he some kind of liberal democrat now?

oh, you

goole, Wednesday, 3 August 2011 01:26 (twelve years ago) link

Juan Cole does not agree with the Cockburns either:

But logically speaking there are only four likely outcomes.

1. Qaddafi wins and conquers the East

2. The Free Libya forces over time win and take Tripoli

3. Elites in Tripoli overthrow Qaddafi and seek a national unity government with Benghazi

4. The country is partitioned

The UN allies won’t allow Qaddafi to take the east and massacre and imprison thousands, however much Alexander Cockburn, the Tea Party, and the World Socialist Web site would like to see that happen, or at least they object to practical steps to prevent it.

curmudgeon, Friday, 5 August 2011 13:46 (twelve years ago) link

rebels claim Tripoli is surrounded, Qadhafi cut off

probably less than 100% true, I'm guessing

Richard Nixon's Field of Warmth (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 15 August 2011 19:00 (twelve years ago) link

Wow, this story making the rounds now, after recent stories re rebel dissension and in-fighting

curmudgeon, Monday, 15 August 2011 19:15 (twelve years ago) link

Helpful map:

http://www.twitpic.com/67nmsz

polyphonic, Wednesday, 17 August 2011 22:34 (twelve years ago) link

Reuters are reporting unverified information that the Presidential Guard has surrendered to rebels in Tripoli.

goldie hawn (ShariVari), Sunday, 21 August 2011 20:58 (twelve years ago) link

Everything seems to be happening all at once now...

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:22 (twelve years ago) link

This war is finally starting to look like the rebels are forcing Qwudophy into his endgame, for which I am happy. Really, I am. The sooner hostilities can be over, the better off Libyans will be.

However, I do notice that NATO has given up any pretense whatsoever that it is only using force "to protect civilian lives", or whatever the formula was that Obama used to justify making war directly on Q's forces. They've been pretty skillful at allowing the rebel force not to look like a minor military appendage to NATO's air offensive, which was a political necessity, for western leaders as well as for the Libyan ones.

It will be interesting to see if the numbers of sorties and tonnage of bombs dropped ever make it into the news. I have a feeling they would be large numbers.

Final tidbit will be to see if Q gets to skip out with an Idi Amin deal, or comes to a Mussolini finish.

Aimless, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:22 (twelve years ago) link

Gaddaffi reported dead - https://twitter.com/#!/MalikAlAbdeh/status/105384291495723012

James Mitchell, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:42 (twelve years ago) link

killed by a follow friday. how sad.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:46 (twelve years ago) link

also he's on the radio right now. assuming it's not recorded.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:48 (twelve years ago) link

CORRECTION: Source in #Tripoli who has been v. reliable got his wires crossed. A lot of confusion out there. #Gaddafi is ALIVE. Just about.
https://twitter.com/#!/MalikAlAbdeh/status/105397570171445248

James Mitchell, Sunday, 21 August 2011 21:58 (twelve years ago) link

i mis-read the original tweet & thought it was 'and was shot by @FF', as if there's a guy out there with a twitter account being all, just shot gadaffi nbd.

meanwhile: Government spokesman Moussa Ibrahim says 1,300 people have been killed in Tripoli since midday and 5,000 injured

i don't know whether in this regard 'government spokesman' totally disqualifies the subsequent text from being taken as fact but like i can't even imagine?

sexual union prayerbook slam (schlump), Sunday, 21 August 2011 22:02 (twelve years ago) link

yeah the general opinion seems to be that ibrahim is full of shit and not to be taken seriously.

sonderangerbot, Sunday, 21 August 2011 22:17 (twelve years ago) link

al jazeera has been showing the same short loop of excitable tripolites for 45 mins, which is now quite annoying -- except for the one guy in what looks like a deathmetal T-shirt, which i call on ILX to crowd-source identify

LORD SUkRAT of that ilk (mark s), Sunday, 21 August 2011 22:29 (twelve years ago) link

@Reuters: ICC PROSECUTOR'S SPOKESWOMAN HAS CONFIRMATION GADDAFI HAS BEEN DETAINED

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 21 August 2011 23:00 (twelve years ago) link

they already corrected that ed: it's his son not him

LORD SUkRAT of that ilk (mark s), Sunday, 21 August 2011 23:03 (twelve years ago) link

curses, social media fails again.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 21 August 2011 23:04 (twelve years ago) link

the correction was also on social media

LORD SUkRAT of that ilk (mark s), Sunday, 21 August 2011 23:05 (twelve years ago) link

but not universally retweeted

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Sunday, 21 August 2011 23:05 (twelve years ago) link

all's well that ends well

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Monday, 22 August 2011 02:31 (twelve years ago) link

The Libyan leader's son, Mohammed Gaddafi, spoke to Al Jazeera Arabic for a live interview a short while ago, in which he took a very apologetic tone and said it was a lack of wisdom that caused the revolution and crisis in Libya.

As he spoke though, his house was attacked and shot at and the interview ended with the sound of gunfire.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Monday, 22 August 2011 02:36 (twelve years ago) link

"I'm being attacked right now," he said. "This is gunfire inside my house, they're inside my house. There is no God but Allah - no God but Allah and Muhammad is his messenger."

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Monday, 22 August 2011 02:37 (twelve years ago) link

from NY Times:

Through Saturday, NATO and its allies had flown 7,459 strike missions, or sorties, attacking thousands of targets, from individual rocket launchers to major military headquarters. The cumulative effect not only destroyed Libya’s military infrastructure but also greatly diminished the ability of Colonel Qaddafi’s commanders to control forces, leaving even committed fighting units unable to move, resupply or coordinate operations.

On Saturday, the last day NATO reported its strikes, the alliance flew only 39 sorties against 29 targets, 22 of them in Tripoli. In the weeks after the initial bombardments in March, by contrast, the allies routinely flew 60 or more sorties a day.

“NATO got smarter,” said Frederic Wehrey, a senior policy analyst with the RAND Corporation who follows Libya closely. “The strikes were better controlled. There was better coordination in avoiding collateral damage.” The rebels, while ill-trained and poorly organized even now, made the most of NATO’s direct and indirect support, becoming more effective in selecting targets and transmitting their location, using technology provided by individual NATO allies, to NATO’s targeting team in Italy.

“The rebels certainly have our phone number,” the diplomat said. “We have a much better picture of what’s happening on the ground.”

Rebel leaders in the west credited NATO with thwarting an attempt on Sunday by Qaddafi loyalists to reclaim Zawiyah with a flank assault on the city.

Administration officials greeted the developments with guarded elation that the overthrow of a reviled dictator would vindicate the demands for democracy that have swept the Arab world.

curmudgeon, Monday, 22 August 2011 02:44 (twelve years ago) link

"I'm being attacked right now," he said. "This is gunfire inside my house, they're inside my house. There is no God but Allah - no God but Allah and Muhammad is his messenger."

― mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Monday, August 22, 2011 2:37 AM (8 minutes ago) Bookmark

wow

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 02:50 (twelve years ago) link

yeah hoos i thought for sure he'd give Ra some love but whatever

k3vin k., Monday, 22 August 2011 03:06 (twelve years ago) link

"there is no god but jah"

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 03:41 (twelve years ago) link

congrats on yr cynicism tho

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 03:42 (twelve years ago) link

dogg the "whatever" was a continuation of my ironic icredulity at Ra's snub

k3vin k., Monday, 22 August 2011 03:43 (twelve years ago) link

lol

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 03:44 (twelve years ago) link

would pay dollars to see gaddhafi big up jah, no lie

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 03:44 (twelve years ago) link

ay

caek, Monday, 22 August 2011 09:02 (twelve years ago) link

LOL

Now he's doing horse (DL), Monday, 22 August 2011 12:56 (twelve years ago) link

ha. but if you check lenin's tomb today, he says: "Qadhafi is finished, as I rashly predicted he would be." so he's covered all the bases.

joe, Monday, 22 August 2011 13:05 (twelve years ago) link

"It wasn't very long ago that most news articles highlighted the fractious, poorly armed, badly trained, indisciplined character of the opposition, and the territorial gains made by Qadhafi."

Yes, including articles by, er, this guy.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Monday, 22 August 2011 13:13 (twelve years ago) link

"Reuters FLASH: Libyan state TV goes off air, rebel spokesman says state TV HQ is now under rebel control"

Actually only true when TV comes back on air again, but still. Interesting to see how quickly this is "professional" -- by local standards -- as that's a sign of how smoothly the state TV functionaries have switched sides.

mark s, Monday, 22 August 2011 13:53 (twelve years ago) link

From the Washington Post:

As rebels in Libya continued to establish their control of Tripoli on Monday, senior NATO officials they were startled by the speed with which Moammar Gaddafi’s defenses have collapsed.

curmudgeon, Monday, 22 August 2011 13:55 (twelve years ago) link

Washington Post grammar typo

curmudgeon, Monday, 22 August 2011 13:56 (twelve years ago) link

my -- utterly uninformed guess -- is that the apparent stalement in fact allowed time for a LOT of undecideds to conclude that, while they wouldn't head any charges against any gun emplacements any time soon, they would, if push came to shove, quietly open doors for the rebels and fail to return gaddafiist phonecalls. So that people who -- when caught by surprise four months ago -- would have reluctantly defended the pre-rebel status quo, had now had plenty of time to grasp that the pre-rebel status quo was not at all a given.

mark s, Monday, 22 August 2011 13:59 (twelve years ago) link

The BBC's Tripoli correspondent, Rana Jawad, who has been unable to report openly since March, says people in her neighbourhood in eastern Tripoli were woken by the imam at the local mosque singing the national anthem of the pre-Gaddafi monarchy.

timellison, Monday, 22 August 2011 14:11 (twelve years ago) link

i don't know anything about the pre-g monarchy but that is a kind of rad bit of reporting

steens furiously (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Monday, 22 August 2011 14:38 (twelve years ago) link

report fails to mention that the pre-gaddafi anthem was sugar, sugar by the archies

Once Were Moderators (DG), Monday, 22 August 2011 14:41 (twelve years ago) link

I think Cole's been OTM throughout this. I can forgive him a little smugness today.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Monday, 22 August 2011 16:15 (twelve years ago) link

"lead from behind" supporters also feeling smug:

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/political-animal/2011_08/revisiting_leading_from_behind031709.php#

curmudgeon, Monday, 22 August 2011 16:18 (twelve years ago) link

right now watching an AJA doc on metal in the islamic world -- still have hopes my tripoli fellow upthread will have his fandom identified

mark s, Monday, 22 August 2011 17:49 (twelve years ago) link

i was trying to spot him but didn't see which one you were talking about! i saw a dude with a red shirt that i thought might have been the guy you meant, but then i thought "red? death metal??"

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Monday, 22 August 2011 20:16 (twelve years ago) link

on the back of his T he had a kind of gothy screamy face with dark hatched scribbles all round it like a cowl: he was walking away -- hence seeing his back -- alongside the car

mark s, Monday, 22 August 2011 20:24 (twelve years ago) link

and yes, it was white on black not red

mark s, Monday, 22 August 2011 20:25 (twelve years ago) link

all the saif body-doubles now playing silly buggers w/world's media: is it me or is it him? which one got the phd at the lse?

mark s, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 00:02 (twelve years ago) link

Gaddafi has an honorary degree from the State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics in Belarus:

http://www.bsuir.by/online/showpage.jsp?PageID=87178&resID=100229&lang=ru&menuItemID=115808

geeta, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 00:08 (twelve years ago) link

i totally want one of those guys to get my old video so the picture shows on my new TV

mark s, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 00:12 (twelve years ago) link

I realize the rebels are in Tripoli, whatever that means, but I could have sworn this thing has been close to over several times already. There are still loyalists shelling and shooting. Gaddafi and his sons are still at large. And regardless, there's a looming power vacuum ready to kick in, and as soon as NATO/US pulls support what's to stop civil war? Or will this be another permanent Western military engagement?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 12:14 (twelve years ago) link

i don't know anything about the pre-g monarchy

I know Gaddafi overthrew King Idris, but no explanation of how a Welshman ended up being king of Libya in the first place.

Duncan Disorderly (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 12:22 (twelve years ago) link

It looks like the rebels might be trying to bring as much of the existing state infrastructure along with them as possible, rather than taking a new broom approach. The statement yesterday was that everyone in the police, civil service and security apparatus was being asked to turn up for work as usual. Might be one way of avoiding the kind of massive destabilisation we've seen in Iraq.

A little bit like Peter Crouch but with more mobility (ShariVari), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 12:26 (twelve years ago) link

Yes, de-Ba'athication (or whatever the equivalent) is not the way to go.

I don't know why the default should be pessimism, Josh. To talk about a power vacuum and civil war as the only alternative to permanent western presence is to treat the Libyans as idiots. Of course it's hard to replace a dictator who has had the system in place for over 40 years - doesn't mean it's impossible.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 13:59 (twelve years ago) link

how a Welshman ended up being king of Libya in the first place.

lol @ history

*steens furiHOOSly* (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 14:34 (twelve years ago) link

I could have sworn this thing has been close to over several times already

Only if you believe the Western news media, bowing before the holy monstrance of NATO air power.

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 14:48 (twelve years ago) link

tbh i haven't been reading pravda too closely of late, but i was not under the impression this was close to over. the media was telling me that it was in stalemate.

The Western news media taking the rebels at their word yesterday re the capture of Gadhafi's son are today asking more questions.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 14:53 (twelve years ago) link

But yes various political figures and NATO people were saying the Gadhafi regime was nearly finished at various times over the past weeks.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 15:05 (twelve years ago) link

i only watched on al-jazeera on sunday night -- don't know if that counts as "western news media" -- and they were pretty gung-ho about it all, even if they only showed the same three-minute clip of rebels stamping on a gadaffi-carpet in endless loop about a thousand times

also: it was pretty hard to listen to the translations and sound quality of muammar g's broadcasts and be feeling "this is a man with a clear grip on events"

mark s, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 15:34 (twelve years ago) link

no don't you see the western media is lying to you because they're always lying about everything and any second now Capital Q is going to surge back to power with a crack army of mercenaries and dedicated loyalists who will plunge the country back into a protracted civil war that is going to turn into a morass, dragging NATO and the US into an interminable war that will just prolong the suffering of the Libyan people and waste billions of dollars in resources on a horribly misguided colonialist adventure. or something.

I know a NATO-assisted rebel victory would be horribly inconvenient for you, Morbius. Let's hope Gaddafi fights back and wreaks a bloody revenge just to prove you right.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 15:45 (twelve years ago) link

no don't you see the western media is lying to you because they're always lying about everything and any second now Capital Q is going to surge back to power with a crack army of mercenaries and dedicated loyalists who will plunge the country back into a protracted civil war that is going to turn into a morass, dragging NATO and the US into an interminable war that will just prolong the suffering of the Libyan people and waste billions of dollars in resources on a horribly misguided colonialist adventure. or something.

yeah well never say never

goole, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:05 (twelve years ago) link

just being a "realist" dontchaknow

way to bet: horrible old murderous bastard is replaced by others.

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:17 (twelve years ago) link

love this btw:

With his 42-year rule appearing to crumble, to whom did Colonel Qaddafi turn for a sympathetic ear?

Apparently, to his old chess buddy.

Kirsan Ilyumzhinov, the head of the World Chess Federation, claims to have spoken to the embattled -- and still unaccounted for -- Colonel Qaddafi by phone, according to Russia's Interfax news agency. Mr. Ilyumzhinov said the Libyan leader was still in Tripoli.

FIDE head Ilyumzhinov says he talked to Gaddafi on phone, he is in Tripoli with his eldest son Mohammed, no plans to leave Libya.

This account could not be verified, though it is not entirely from left field. Colonel Qaddafi and Mr. Ilyumzhinov met in Tripoli for a chess match staged for the Libyan state television cameras in June.

Of course, as The Lede pointed out then, Mr. Ilyumzhinov has a reputation for being something of an eccentric, believing, among other things, that chess is "a gift from extraterrestrial civilizations."

Morbz keepin hope alive

He's our very own little ray of sunshine

Duncan Disorderly (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:19 (twelve years ago) link

people in libya don't know wtf is going on so i'd take it all pretty circumspectly for another few months at least

goole, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:23 (twelve years ago) link

I bet Bam can remake the world into paradise with lots more bombing. What a wonderful world it would be.

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:23 (twelve years ago) link

it's weird how everything is so black and white with you. like there's no "worse" or "better" there is only "BEST" and "WORST" and no in between

blame the nuns, I guess

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:45 (twelve years ago) link

I didn't even realise Morbius had a BEST

Now he's doing horse (DL), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:47 (twelve years ago) link

man if i was godawfly i'd have rigged that whole compound with bombs out the ass and would be sitting on a couch in algeria right now with my remote control blowing that whole place up the minute it got stormed

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 16:56 (twelve years ago) link

Tweet of the day, from Eli Lake of the Washington Times:

Worth noting. President Birth Certificate has done what Reagan and W could not: end Gadhafi’s reign and kill bin Laden.

curmudgeon, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 17:10 (twelve years ago) link

to be fair reagan did manage to kill his adopted daughter

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 17:25 (twelve years ago) link

bam's bombs may have contributed but they didn't start it -- this was a genuine generational uprising also: as ditto across all arab world

mark s, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 17:53 (twelve years ago) link

you know your army is awesome when the uniform is "chicago bulls shorts"
http://media.timesleader.com/images/Mideast%20Libya_Acco(2).jpg

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 18:39 (twelve years ago) link

isn't that the Miami Heat?

Gukbe, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 18:57 (twelve years ago) link

yep

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 18:59 (twelve years ago) link

typical frontrunners, right?

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 18:59 (twelve years ago) link

:( - fine ruin my witty zinger you bastards

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 18:59 (twelve years ago) link

so where is Q'wdawfy? South Africa? Algeria? in a hole in the desert?

Le Figaro is saying that the rebels have taken his compound but there's no Gadhafi.

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 19:47 (twelve years ago) link

he is at a Miami Heat training mission

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 19:48 (twelve years ago) link

mccain stayed on MG's ranch -- and a ranch is not a compound -- so maybe he's there

mark s, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 19:51 (twelve years ago) link

per that above picture, you know it's a clusterfuck when the guy with the gun is leading off people dressed just as casually as he is.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 23 August 2011 20:15 (twelve years ago) link

dig those weird turquiose pants - mc hammer style?

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Tuesday, 23 August 2011 20:16 (twelve years ago) link

He probably goes further than I would but, for the most part, I don't find myself disagreeing with Simon Jenkins here.

The UN basis for the intervention, supposedly to prevent "massacre in Benghazi", showed how tenuous was the case for British aggression to achieve regime change. Britons might fervently will freedom on Libyans, as on Egyptians and Syrians, but how these people achieve it is their business, not Britain's. The more we make it our business, the less robust their liberation will be.

Upt0eleven, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 09:58 (twelve years ago) link

SJ's not shown any sign of knowing what he's talking about so far:

The great lie has once again been rumbled, that air power can deliver any sort of victory... The resolution is rotten, based on the false premise that a no-fly zone can determine a civil war.

This is the oldest fallacy in the book, that you can "shock and awe" a population into rising up against a dictator and driving him from power...The no-fly zone saved Benghazi from what might have been extensive killings, but Britain then slid into every interventionist fallacy. It did not put in ground troops when they were the only way to render the intervention effective. It relied on air power to deliver a politico-military goal.

Britain's half-war against Libya is careering onward from reckless gesture to full-scale fiasco. As it reaches six months' duration, every sensibly pessimistic forecast has turned out true and every jingoistic boast false.

There remains no sign that the terror bombing of civilian areas now is contributing to military victory any more effectively than when Bomber Harris advocated it. The enterprise has been delegated to the navy and air force, each desperate to show its latest kit can be of use. They have duly deployed costly cruise missiles and Typhoon bombers, which have done no more than impose stalemate on a distant civil war at a cost of hundreds of millions of pounds.

Had David Cameron the courage of his convictions at the start and declared proper war on Gaddafi, we might be contemplating a Libyan spring.

joe, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 11:25 (twelve years ago) link

Sure, certainly not saying I agree with everything he's written on the subject. It just seems to me that those that were opposed to this intervention out of fear of mission creep, were at least partially justified in their concerns.

Upt0eleven, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 11:37 (twelve years ago) link

wasn't trying to have a go at you, i've just been nauseated by jenkins' reverse-triumphalism over the last few months, and am glad to see him wrong. long may it continue.

joe, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 11:54 (twelve years ago) link

I hated the Simon Jenkins piece and I hate his smug isolationism. These comments captured my own feelings:

Can't you just be happy for the libyans and the arabs as a whole? Tunisia and Egypt both had armies that refused to turn their guns on their own people. That's the difference. The West had access to oil under Ghaddafi anyway so that's not even a valid argument. in fact it makes no sense what so ever. It's so much easier to sit in london and preach when it's not your family or people being massacred. Most arabs (i'm one) are so bored with anti western rhetoric from the older generation and the islamic lunatics that it is falling on deaf ears. It's not about the west anymore. that just suited every idiot dictator. Like the arabs ever had a say in anything before this January.

"Britons might fervently will freedom on Libyans, as on Egyptians and Syrians, but how these people achieve it is their business, not Britain's."

Noble sentiments about the right to self-determination? No, a cynical fig-leaf to hide the nasty truth - that "freedom for Libyans" is unimportant, and will even be bitterly opposed, if it entails western help. "How these people achieve it is their business..." That really makes me sick. You know, as do we all, that they had no chance of "achieving it" in the face of the dictator's tanks. "How these people achieve it is their business" translates to "These people can rot."

Now he's doing horse (DL), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 12:06 (twelve years ago) link

His stance seems to be that a failed uprising without western help would have been fine but a successful one with western help is wrong. The idea that the rebels could have succeeded on their own is a fantasy.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 12:08 (twelve years ago) link

I do see where you're coming from and on the whole I agree with you far more than I do with Simon Jenkins. Still, I don't feel comfortable being instructed to "just" think one thing. I supported the intervention within my understanding of its original parameters - that of preventing a massacre of civilians - and I think foreign states not only have a right but a responsibility to protect a people whose leaders have turned on it. Where I feel uncomfortable, from an international law perspective, is with the suggestion that that right extends to providing air support for a rebellion, even if that means the rebellion is caused to stall.

Upt0eleven, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 13:07 (twelve years ago) link

Sure, well I'm not saying you have to think one thing but I think without sustained assistance the massacre would only have been postponed. Once the rebellion was crushed, which it would have been, the rebels would have been in as perilous a position as the Benghazi residents back in March. Whether that assistance contravened international law I'm not expert enough to say.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 13:12 (twelve years ago) link

I think experts on international law would probably agree on nothing except the fact that the politicians don't give a shit about international law and do what they like, when they can, anyway. In my view they went a lot further than the mandate said they could and, because it did, talk of assassinating Ghadaffi, supplying weapons and putting men on the ground to topple the regime made me feel very uneasy. None of that happened, of course, but it quite conceivably could have.

I think without sustained assistance the massacre would only have been postponed. Once the rebellion was crushed, which it would have been, the rebels would have been in as perilous a position as the Benghazi residents back in March.

Almost certainly. There aren't, obviously, any appetizing alternatives to the way things unfolded and as I'm as happy with the outcome as anyone there's not a whole lot quibbling about how it came about. Still, I'd hoped we'd gotten past the idea that it's okay for foreign states rather than local people to choose how and when and which governments (dictatorships or otherwise) should rise and fall. That is prob a bit naive of me tbh.

Upt0eleven, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 13:55 (twelve years ago) link

i think we might be at the "it's not okay, kinda grody, but we're gonna do it anyway" stage of that idea

Kerm, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:05 (twelve years ago) link

xp I don't quite understand your last point. What about when local people specifically ask for help from foreign states? Misleading to say it's the west choosing the how and when in this case.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:14 (twelve years ago) link

i read a piece in the economist the other day which said that rebels in east libya had threatened to destroy oil pipelines if the_west *didn't* intervene, which is a nice twist on the war-for-oil meme.

joe, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:15 (twelve years ago) link

no one in the US government leadership gives a tinker's ass about who asks for what.

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:16 (twelve years ago) link

"You can't always get what you want, but if you try sometime...."

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:25 (twelve years ago) link

What about when local people specifically ask for help from foreign states? Misleading to say it's the west choosing the how and when in this case.

Probably was a bit misleading there as my thoughts sort of drifted onto Syria and Iran &c which, while not irrelevant, is obv not quite what we're talking about. To the first bit of the question it is, to my mind, the distinction between when a people asks for protection from a brutal regime and when it asks for the regime to be overthrown. The former, not the latter, being okay to agree to. Obviously the distinction is not that clear cut which is why mission creep is even possible and it's also why I've gone back and forth on how I feel about this whole thing.

Upt0eleven, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:36 (twelve years ago) link

The legality of the war is arguable both ways. What seems fairly clear, however, is that the members of the Security Council that abstained could have nixed it if they wanted to and it's unlikely that they believed the intervention would be limited to a no-fly zone. Russia and China might have made a lot of noise about their misgivings after the fact but it looks like tacit approval in the absence of formal disapproval.

A little bit like Peter Crouch but with more mobility (ShariVari), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:38 (twelve years ago) link

Ah OK, I see. It certainly is a case of mission creep, just one that seemed inevitable and, imo, right.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:46 (twelve years ago) link

The basic reason Obama decided to aid this stems not from his desire to see the Arab spring more successful (though I think he'll be happy for Libyans and happy to see the last of Gadhafi) but to support NATO, led by France/Britain (and to a lesser extent, Italy) both of which have far more interest in the outcome than we do from regional, economic, and refugee/immigration aspects. I will not deny the populist and diversionary aspects of Cameron's and Sarkozy's decisions to display the remaining bits of power both countries still have but over all, I think they were right and while I deplore Obama's possibly illegal use of American weaponry, I, for one, refue to be one of those petulant, navel-gazing American narcissists who clamor for our allies to always help us but don't give a damn if they need help. This is more important than the Falklands and just as defensible as Suez (where we rightly messed with them).

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:49 (twelve years ago) link

Somewhat like our intervention in the Balkans was less about universals than the health of Europe and the future of NATO.

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 14:49 (twelve years ago) link

I find it hard to believe that anyone thought the 'mission' presented to the security council would be the end of it, including the UN. Is it a US thing? Certainly here the presentation was that the Libyan rebels had joined similar uprisings, they were stalling, losing, at risk of massacre, we help it succeed.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 15:33 (twelve years ago) link

lol...just trust the generals, they know what's best

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 15:43 (twelve years ago) link

otm as long as we dont trust that rascal k3vin k

funky house septics (D-40), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 16:06 (twelve years ago) link

all I know is they are gonna need a whole lot more Miami Heat apparell for their army

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 17:38 (twelve years ago) link

Reminds me that the American Revolution might not have succeeded w/o European advisers, European money and the French navy.

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 17:45 (twelve years ago) link

don't forget the Mexican help as well

Earthquake in my vagina (Latham Green), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 17:48 (twelve years ago) link

You mean New Spain?

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:03 (twelve years ago) link

Le pacte de famille

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:12 (twelve years ago) link

The thing is, we would've taken England over eventually, and the Windsors would've married into the Kennedys.

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:18 (twelve years ago) link

The Windseys? The Kennedors?

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:20 (twelve years ago) link

Btw, le pacte de famille sounds much better in American English:

The Bourbon family pact

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:20 (twelve years ago) link

family pack of bourbon, 12.99 at costco

goole, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:21 (twelve years ago) link

Plus you get to invade Florida!

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:26 (twelve years ago) link

Frabce is regretting helping us now - they are like "meirde! now they insult us everyday ! what burly cocks!"

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:30 (twelve years ago) link

worth noting that there were indeed NATO/other "boots" on the ground, the CIA from the beginning of the evacuation of non-libyans, and the SAS:

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2011/0307/Britain-s-SAS-in-Libya-What-happened-there/What-is-the-SAS

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/23/sas-troopers-help-coordinate-rebels

France is understood to have deployed special forces in Libya and Qatari and Jordanian special forces are believed to have also played a role.

goole, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 18:30 (twelve years ago) link

lol...just trust the generals, they know what's best

― karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Wednesday, August 24, 2011 11:43 AM (3 hours ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

otm as long as we dont trust that rascal k3vin k

― funky house septics (D-40), Wednesday, August 24, 2011 12:06 PM (3 hours ago)

lol what's the point of authorizing military action at home, or even being honest when voting on a UN mission (just a no-fly zone!)? everything worked out fine, we knew it would anyway, always does, except for the times it doesn't

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 19:41 (twelve years ago) link

fuckin liberals

karen d. foreskin (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 19:41 (twelve years ago) link

Dude, there are CIA all over the place all the time!

Indefensible ad vaginem attacks (Michael White), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 19:51 (twelve years ago) link

^^^

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 20:03 (twelve years ago) link

Cia in my rectum

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 20:06 (twelve years ago) link

rectum? cia damn near killed um.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Wednesday, 24 August 2011 20:08 (twelve years ago) link

ha, the ol' rectum comedic line...

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 20:34 (twelve years ago) link

NY Times on upcoming international conference and plans for a new constitution and election

The international conference on Sept. 1, which is expected to include more than 30 countries, with China, Russia and Brazil also invited, will be guided by the new Libyan leadership, Mr. Sarkozy said. Mr. Jibril said that Sept. 1 was especially important for Libyans, "because it was on Sept. 1 that Qaddafi came to power 40 years ago.”

Mr. Jibril promised an inclusive, just Libya and laid out a procedure for a new government that would begin with an assembly of Libyans from all major cities, towns and regions to elect a group to draft a new constitution and name a transitional government. A draft constitution will be put to a referendum by Libyans, and new elections overseen by United Nations observers will take place within four months for a new parliament and a new government to replace the transitional one, Mr. Jibril said.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 24 August 2011 20:40 (twelve years ago) link

The international conference on Sept. 1, which is expected to include more than 30 countries, with China, Russia and Brazil also invited, will be guided by the new Libyan leadership, Mr. Sarkozy said. Mr. Jibril said that Sept. 1 was especially important for Libyans, "because it was on Sept. 1 that Qaddafi came into my rectum 40 years ago.”

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Thursday, 25 August 2011 13:37 (twelve years ago) link

god bless you, Hanle y

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 25 August 2011 14:06 (twelve years ago) link

in realted news did you read that story about how the North Koreans miss their "beloved leader" and how they "pine for him" and have "endless meloncholia" about him being away? what an f-ed up country. Its as if Kim Jon Il is in ALL of their rectums

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Thursday, 25 August 2011 14:35 (twelve years ago) link

I missed that.

Below are various right-wingers on Libya (not all in agreement): we should have used American might and done it quicker; nah we should not have gone in at all; now they're going to have Islamic fundamentalist shariah governing no matter what they say about freedom and liberty; why hasn't Obama announced a post-revolution plan for Libya; Obama gets a B says one

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/aug/25/obama-libya-fox-news

curmudgeon, Thursday, 25 August 2011 14:39 (twelve years ago) link

found in Gadhafi's lair: 1 photo album filled with pictures of Condoleezza Rice

http://blogues.cyberpresse.ca/hetu/files/2011/08/pb-110825-condi-moammar-da-03.photoblog900-420x279.jpg

peter in montreal, Thursday, 25 August 2011 15:08 (twelve years ago) link

I like to think it was found under Gadhafi's mattress

peter in montreal, Thursday, 25 August 2011 15:09 (twelve years ago) link

that's actually Qaddafi in last year's Halloween costume, guys.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 15:09 (twelve years ago) link

#tinyrevolution
Watching Libya on TV. Haven't been this excited about a war ending since the Northern Alliance took Kabul on November 13, 2001!

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:02 (twelve years ago) link

I think Morbs and Oliver North are almost in agreement!:

North agreed that the whole thing was yet another case of "irrational exuberance". He didn't think it was a bad thing to see the back of Gaddafi, but we still don't know where the fallen dictator is (though he's clearly not running Libya any longer), and he is pretty sure that there are months of chaos ahead and that it may well become a "Somalia with oil, with tribal warlords and, of course, piracy".

curmudgeon, Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:15 (twelve years ago) link

figured Morbz would be into pirates, tbh

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:19 (twelve years ago) link

i like to think the photo album said "nubian goddess" on the spine

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:56 (twelve years ago) link

piracy on the Mediterranean, seems a little unlikely

goole, Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:58 (twelve years ago) link

somalia with oil, huh? wonder how many helicopters and navy seals we could squander there.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:18 (twelve years ago) link

COndolezza will please ya

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:18 (twelve years ago) link

Geeenwald on how Obamahawks are sounding ludicrously 'Mission Accomplished' this week:

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2011/08/24/obama/index.html

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:37 (twelve years ago) link

I urge everyone to read this brief though amazing compilation of U.S. media commentary from 2003 after U.S. forces entered Baghdad: in which The Liberal Media lavished Bush with intense praise for vanquishing Saddam, complained that Democrats were not giving the President the credit he deserved, and demanded that all those loser-war-opponents shamefully confess their error. Sound familiar?

lazy, innacurate comparison. stopped reading.

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:46 (twelve years ago) link

all Islamic dictators and countries are the same, apparently

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:46 (twelve years ago) link

Comparisons to Somalia are really crazy/uninformed.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:48 (twelve years ago) link

that too

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:50 (twelve years ago) link

it's like these guys look at a map and think "well, they're nearby, must be identical"

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:50 (twelve years ago) link

yeah well the triumphalism has been ridiculous -- QDF still at large, transitional organization still totally unknown, infrastructure wrecked, military elements of the old regime still unknown. some kind of anti-anti-obama derangement frankly.

goole, Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:50 (twelve years ago) link

triumphalism is always ridiculous

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:52 (twelve years ago) link

miami heat pants being worn...

The Golden Vagina Shines for You and Your Lucky Day (Latham Green), Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:53 (twelve years ago) link

Later Greenwald says: "no matter how vast you believe the differences are between Libya and Iraq (and there are significant differences)..."

But despite those differences Greenwald sticks to his meme that Obama is Dubya (torture, unconstitutional actions, implying that NATO's bombing is the same as Iraq war Bush). While in many foreign policy matters that may be true, here it seems more of a stretch.

curmudgeon, Thursday, 25 August 2011 17:57 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Backchannels/2011/0825/Lessons-from-Iraq-for-Libya-Don-t-do-what-the-US-did

Here's a more reasoned comparison(not the best article title though)

curmudgeon, Thursday, 25 August 2011 18:01 (twelve years ago) link

Libya = Iraq is one of the laziest, most disingenous arguments you can make. "Sound familiar?" Sure, if you pick and choose the bits that overlap and ignore the huge fucking differences.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Thursday, 25 August 2011 21:59 (twelve years ago) link

QDF still at large, transitional organization still totally unknown, infrastructure wrecked, military elements of the old regime still unknown. some kind of anti-anti-obama derangement frankly.

otm

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:14 (twelve years ago) link

yeah well the triumphalism has been ridiculous -- QDF still at large, transitional organization still totally unknown, infrastructure wrecked, military elements of the old regime still unknown. some kind of anti-anti-obama derangement frankly.

― goole, Thursday, August 25, 2011 1:50 PM (4 hours ago)

^^^

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:31 (twelve years ago) link

alfred get your defense secretary in line

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:33 (twelve years ago) link

please to point out where I have been a "triumphalist" on this thread

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:37 (twelve years ago) link

I don't think it's accurate to call the transitional organization "totally unknown", that's about as far as I'll go in disagreeing with goole.

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:38 (twelve years ago) link

I wasn't pointing at you, Mr. Secretary -- I was remarking on the number of fools in journalism and Beltwaytocracy already crowing about who 'won.'

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:39 (twelve years ago) link

lol how about "pretty unknown, probably not very reliable"

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:41 (twelve years ago) link

i mean look just for the record i'm not like, totally against what nato's doing over there - i think it'd be really sweet if the us's decision to go to war at least had the pretense of some sort of democratic process, and it'd be nice if nato were actually honest about what the mission was when the time for a vote was held and had to be held to that mission at least somewhat. i realize the former is pretty much a 19th-century preference for most people, including liberals, but hey. i just think ppl are being pretttttttty naive about this whole thing like there's not a 90% chance it's going to be a complete hellhole in a few months when these rebels actually have to govern

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:47 (twelve years ago) link

I don't know enough about Libyan tribal politics and behind-the-scenes coordination with NATO/other countries to really say how well structured they are at this point. their spokesman talks a good game about reconciliation and the path forward - move rebel gov't to Tripoli, re-establish critical services as quickly as possible, allow holdovers from previous admin to continue to serve, referendum to establish interim gov't that will propose a constitution followed by a full vote, etc. Naturally there's a lot of uncertainty - there's still fighting going on! - but this seems like the most reasonable series of steps one can recommend in all this chaos.

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:49 (twelve years ago) link

their = the rebel gov't obviously

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:49 (twelve years ago) link

They're going to have a Constitutional convention and then elections next April.

There's a multi-national meeting scheduled for September 1st

giraffes have been heard making strange flutelike sounds! (Michael White), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:52 (twelve years ago) link

90% chance it's going to be a complete hellhole in a few months when these rebels actually have to govern

I wouldn't even pretend to know what the odds are. How willing the eastern tribes are to forego any kind of revenge on western tribes seems key, and then there's the berbers... who knows really.

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:52 (twelve years ago) link

I think it's safe to say that NATO and especially France and Italy have a heavily vested interest in their not being a prolonged civil war.

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:53 (twelve years ago) link

there

arrrrgh

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:53 (twelve years ago) link

Libya either I would assume. They need oil revenue to buy food and most of the oil workers left the country.

giraffes have been heard making strange flutelike sounds! (Michael White), Thursday, 25 August 2011 22:58 (twelve years ago) link

i just think ppl are being pretttttttty naive about this whole thing like there's not a 90% chance it's going to be a complete hellhole in a few months when these rebels actually have to govern

― frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, August 25, 2011 11:47 PM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark

feel like this thread just goes round and round

it may well be a hellhole in a few months, but really, all you're saying is that the libyans were wrong to take on gadaffi. they brought revenge upon themselves, and fucked matters up even further by inviting nato into their house. so far as i can tell, you would rather have the regional strongmen in place than even a revolution that was at least *started* by the ruled over.

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:03 (twelve years ago) link

possible counter-arguments: the rebels were cia stooges/the rebels represent an insignificant minority/something something bad about the rebels

or: if they'd backed down fast it would have been over quicker. which does not seem to have happened in syria.

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:04 (twelve years ago) link

themaynepreport.jpg

zvookster, Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:05 (twelve years ago) link

history mayne, fuck you.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:07 (twelve years ago) link

Whenever someone asks a question or expresses well-reasoned doubt, you accuse them of being Qaddafi apologists.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:08 (twelve years ago) link

yeah the 90% number i pulled out of my ass i was just saying people were being a lil optimistic about the whole thing when a lot of shit still has to go right. not that i'm not rooting for it to go right! but yeah those things you said i said that was exactly what i meant, thanks

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:11 (twelve years ago) link

haha no, it's your assumption that no-one else has doubt -- 'pretttty naive'

xp

sorry, who is being a lil optimistic? specify

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:12 (twelve years ago) link

possible counter-arguments: the rebels were cia stooges/the rebels represent an insignificant minority/something something bad about the rebels

yeahhh you're a moron

xp BLOGGERS

but no basically people who get all butthurt for their rebel boyfriends when anyone expresses doubt that they're reliable/capable etc, see above

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:16 (twelve years ago) link

again, i think the doubt can be assumed. and again this is getting repetitive -- when libya does turn into a fullblown hellhole, then would be the time to bring it up.

it would be more productive to spend your time looking for fissures within the syrian resistance *now*, because that situation can still be saved.

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:22 (twelve years ago) link

if you demonstrate their lack of reliability etc, hopefully the west will turn their backs on them and... it'll play out the way it should

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:23 (twelve years ago) link

Whenever someone asks a question or expresses well-reasoned doubt, you accuse them of being Qaddafi apologists.

― a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, August 25, 2011 11:08 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

his guesstimate percentage was a 'well-reasoned doubt'??

funky house septics (D-40), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:30 (twelve years ago) link

I was referring to goole.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:31 (twelve years ago) link

again, i think the doubt can be assumed. and again this is getting repetitive -- when libya does turn into a fullblown hellhole, then would be the time to bring it up.

hmm

frogsb (k3vin k.), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:32 (twelve years ago) link

assets to be unfrozen

can someone explain to me what the Qwadawfwy/South Africa connections is and why they would bother being dicks about this...?

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:32 (twelve years ago) link

again, i think the doubt can be assumed

PASSIVE VOICE

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:33 (twelve years ago) link

there is nothing wrong with the passive voice; anyway i assume doubt, yall pretty much sound like blowhards

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:34 (twelve years ago) link

i am in favor of people doing something about bad governments they live under. nobody's an angel or anything, but as a general deal, that's my thing, man

my list of problems up there aren't with the anti-qdf partisans -- whatever their strengths or weaknesses on somebody else's metric, it doesn't really matter to me morally, except to try to think about what's happening there clearly, if that makes sense. "reliability" is an odd word to be throwing around. will they get what they want? will life be better? i...dk, yet!

my comment was really directed stateside, where defenders of the president have been eager to chalk this up as a "win" for "us" or "obama", not really to speak of libya in itself but to stick it in the face of obama's domestic enemies. bit early for that.

goole, Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:40 (twelve years ago) link

Howard Dean and Tina Brown gave a weird interview on MSNBC with Jeremy Scahill the other day in which they praised the President's "performance" on purely political terms when they weren't applauding his use of drones, proxies, and the CIA as opposed to "putting boots on the ground." I was stupefied.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:42 (twelve years ago) link

yeah I don't have any use for considering this in terms of domestic politics

xp

satisfying punishment for that thing he said about lesbians (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:42 (twelve years ago) link

don't think of the rebels as proxies personally

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:50 (twelve years ago) link

im sure some of them are awful and could turn libya into some kind of military dictatorship, but proxies?

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:51 (twelve years ago) link

I don't think of "the rebels" as a monolith personally.

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:52 (twelve years ago) link

but some of them are proxie

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:54 (twelve years ago) link

s

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:54 (twelve years ago) link

HM where/who is this "proxy" stuff coming from? i don't think anyone here is arguing as much. plenty of outside help, sure, but...

goole, Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:55 (twelve years ago) link

yall pretty much sound like blowhards

― some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, August 25, 2011 4:34 PM (17 minutes ago)

pot, kettle, etc. enjoy your armchair general realpolitik cynicism.

also:

when libya does turn into a fullblown hellhole

can I borrow your crystal ball, I need to check what your SB numbers will be in a couple of days.

sleeve, Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:58 (twelve years ago) link

when they weren't applauding his use of drones, proxies, and the CIA as opposed to "putting boots on the ground." I was stupefied.

― a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, August 26, 2011 12:42 AM (15 minutes ago) Bookmark

i just hadn't heard there were proxies for US ground forces before

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Thursday, 25 August 2011 23:59 (twelve years ago) link

wait, *my* cynicism? im pretty sure im being the optimist in this argument

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Friday, 26 August 2011 00:00 (twelve years ago) link

ok well i don't know what exactly was said in that TV spot, nor do i know exactly what alfred means, but, other NATO and gulf special forces troops could count as "proxies" for obama's interests, if you squint

goole, Friday, 26 August 2011 00:02 (twelve years ago) link

re "proxies": We've (as in the Defense Intelligence Agency, CIA, NSA, and the other members of the alphabet soup) paid locals in Egypt, Afghanistan, Yemen, and Iraq to fight, capture, and torture for years.

Here's some evidence: http://www.thenation.com/article/161936/cias-secret-sites-somalia

a 'catch-all', almost humorous, 'Jeez' quality (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 26 August 2011 00:11 (twelve years ago) link

Do you think there's a difference in principle between a US-supported rebellion and a proxy war?

lukas, Friday, 26 August 2011 00:15 (twelve years ago) link

oh ok -- that doesn't directly relate to libya. torture is bad imo.
there is less triumphalism here.

xpost

yes. but i don't think US involvement is unproblematic.

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Friday, 26 August 2011 00:20 (twelve years ago) link

you guys are misusing the term proxy war here

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 00:26 (twelve years ago) link

lol bbc

Ursula, emails: Muammar (Gaddafi) does not have palaces - quit the false propaganda. His throne is only in the hearts of the people! This so-called tyrant is in reality different from the fiction the media, controlled by world powers seeks to portray. The Jamahiriya is a democracy of all the people where Muammar sought to have the people rule themselves! They vote every year and several times per year, not for parties but for the people who represent them in manager positions for the Jamahiriyah or the people. Rats is a nice term for people who invite the Nato countries coalition to massacre their people and bomb the hell out of them over the past six months. In the heat, Nato forces not only kill en masse and terrorise the Libyans but they cut off electricity so food goes off both in warehouses and in homes! Muammar and the people of Libya will not surrender.

ok richard seymour i mean 'ursula'

Once Were Moderators (DG), Friday, 26 August 2011 01:36 (twelve years ago) link

Triumphalism is always tasteless and misjudged but the flipside to so is the determination on the part of some of those who opposed the intervention to see it all go bad. I've read predictions (itt and elsewhere) that the fall of Q will lead to (a) an Islamist takeover (b) a western puppet state (c) a military dictatorship or (d) civil war. These are all possible of course, but the aftermath of a long dictatorship is invariably messy and at least in this case there appears to have been a serious degree of planning and no powerful Karzai-like demagogue seeking to seize the reins. If the revolution had succeeded without NATO help would the same people be predicting disaster or would they be wishing the Libyans well? This is far from over, and I'm in no position to say the more grisly scenarios won't unfold, but it would be nice to give the Libyan people a bit of credit as opposed to seeing them as a sinister and/or incompetent bunch of extremists and western stooges.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 09:50 (twelve years ago) link

"the Libyan people"

zvookster, Friday, 26 August 2011 09:53 (twelve years ago) link

it will be interesting to see how it all plays out. libya has exactly zero experience with the cut and thrust of national democracy. its politics has been defined totally and completely by quetzalcoatal for the last what, 40 years, and before that it was a colony. and before that, a region of scattered tribes. so there is this tremendous opportunity, but also a big possibility of just slipping into whatever the national default mode of informal tribal governance is i.e. bribes, tributes, feudal stuff, with a veneer of elections over the top of it. which wouldn't be the end of the world, of course. but it's amazing to me how strong these cultural modes can be. the soviet union had one of the world's most radical systems of government ever, and after 80 years threw the whole thing overboard in favor of the plain, naked corruption they'd had before. it's as if there really is such a thing as a continuous national character, in some places at least. so i guess my question is, what is libya's?

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 August 2011 10:17 (twelve years ago) link

monarchy between Q and colony

one thing i haven't seen any discussion of is the extent to which there's a post-spring pan-arabism in operation (answer may be none, but the western triumphalists and west-as-monovillain commentators are pretty much parochially as one in not speaking arabic or having any evolving sense of the actually existing generational semi-post-islamist at work here, so i don;t see any very good reason to trust their conflicting commentaries) (which is not to argue that it's at all the most significant element in the dynamic yet: the impression i get with libya is that we're so in the dark about what happened off-camera that no one's guesses are defensible at this stage)

mark s, Friday, 26 August 2011 10:27 (twelve years ago) link

british jets apprently bombing gaddafi's compound right now

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 August 2011 11:03 (twelve years ago) link

which compound? i thought it was full of looting rebels?

mark s, Friday, 26 August 2011 11:07 (twelve years ago) link

in sirte

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 August 2011 11:10 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-14677754

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 August 2011 11:10 (twelve years ago) link

whoops never mind, was last night and they're just announcing it now

i suspect they hoped to gettim and be announcing THAT right now, instead they're saying "this is not and never was about actually killing gaddafi, perish the thought"

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 August 2011 11:12 (twelve years ago) link

xp to mark s. This is why I trust Juan Cole more than any other commentators. He actually knows the arab world. Many others - on both sides, as you say - can only see Libya through western eyes. My experience on places like the Guardian comment threads is that the Libyans and other arabs who comment are overwhelmingly in favour of what has happened. Of course they're not the only voices, but when Seumas Milne says things like a messy transition will be "no liberation at all" I want to say: try asking someone who's lived their whole lives under a dictator.

I think the west-as-monovillain camp has more of a case when it comes to the reconstruction. I don't want to see the shock doctrine in action, but let's wait and see before burying the revolution in advance. Considering most of these people were predicting a disastrous end to the fighting - and haven't once conceded they called it wrong - I don't have much faith in their crystal balls. Cole's point about Iraq and Iran backing Assad for internal reasons to do with Shi'ites vs Sunni shows how complicated responses to the arab spring are even within the arab world. I'm amazed anyone feels equipped to make confident predictions at this stage.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 11:21 (twelve years ago) link

george galloway popped up on the radio this morning claiming that gaddafi is actually jewish and a lot of the rebel chants that the_media aren't translating are anti-semitic slurs. now aside from the fact that concerns over arab anti-semitism aren't something that i'd have thought keep galloway up at night, is he right? a quick google seems to only produce sites with headlines like is gaddafi a rothschild? so i'm wondering if someone needs to tell young george not to believe everything he reads on the internet

Once Were Moderators (DG), Friday, 26 August 2011 12:41 (twelve years ago) link

juan cole is overrated

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 16:43 (twelve years ago) link

(i'm sorry but)

some jock-bully out to take down the hipsters (history mayne), Friday, 26 August 2011 16:47 (twelve years ago) link

Thanks for your insight.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 16:50 (twelve years ago) link

you're welcome. i have met juan cole personally and i have family/friends who have worked with him. personality wise he is sort of a typical "i am telling truth to power" blowhard.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:10 (twelve years ago) link

I can believe that but I'm looking for people who know what they're talking about vis a vis the arab spring. If you can point me in the direction of others then great.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:12 (twelve years ago) link

try al jazeera english

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:13 (twelve years ago) link

Sure, I've been using that since Egypt kicked off at the start of the year.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:15 (twelve years ago) link

that's cool. there are lots of good links on the liveblogs and twitter feeds. just saying that if i was pointing you toward info about the arab spring, i wouldn't point in the direction of the university of michigan.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:15 (twelve years ago) link

Ha, fair point. He's not my only source.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:18 (twelve years ago) link

cole is an american version of hitchens in that he can't help but inject his outsized ego into the topic. at the end of the day, you learn as much or more about hitchens as you do about the middle east.

i mean, sympomatic of juan cole: his wikipedia entry, which lists him as a "kahlil gibran expert" is longer than kahlil gibran's wikipedia entry.

mr peabody (moonship journey to baja), Friday, 26 August 2011 17:20 (twelve years ago) link

I think Cole's a bit more humble than Hitchens, but that's not saying much. Obviously if one has time, it's best to read a variety of sources. Speaking of which, on the current transition and comparisons to Iraq:

From Reuters:

For months a handful of Western advisers has worked with the NTC, based in the eastern city of Benghazi, on plans for a power transition that would avoid the disasters of Iraq.

Intentions are one thing, implementation another.

From Washington Post:
Among the first waves of rebels to storm Tripoli this week was a small team whose members carried smartphones along with their weapons. Under a well-rehearsed plan, they blasted Arabic text messages that would appear on tens of thousands of cellphones throughout the city.

“Don’t destroy public buildings,” one read. “These are for the future of Libya.”

curmudgeon, Friday, 26 August 2011 17:43 (twelve years ago) link

Libyan novelist Hisham Matar's POV

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/26/libya-revolution-hisham-matar-edinburgh?CMP=twt_fd

Now he's doing horse (DL), Friday, 26 August 2011 19:34 (twelve years ago) link

this is over a month old but i don't think its being talked about at all?

http://humanrightsinvestigations.org/2011/07/17/lynching-in-benghazi/

 (gr8080), Friday, 26 August 2011 19:58 (twelve years ago) link

The treatment of black Africans is a horrible element of all this - I have seen it mentioned but not much, that's true - but what's with the final paragraph?

We ask our readers to contact news organisations to demand they cover this story and to contact politicians to ensure that the rebels, amongst whom are clearly a significant faction equivalent to Al Qaeda /the Ku Klux Klan, are not supported in taking control of any further population centres.

Doesn't seem like an impartial human rights group to me. Other stories on that site include one claiming that not buying oil from Syria will amount to infanticide: "The move has been supported by Human Rights Watch, who seem to have forgotten the lessons of the Iraqi sanctions, or perhaps are so wedded to US foreign policy that they don’t care." Weirdly they don't seem to care at all about the human rights of demonstrators murdered by Assad.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Saturday, 27 August 2011 09:05 (twelve years ago) link

Obviously there is a horrifying and dangerous and racist propaganda and violence campaign against sub-saharans happening as part of this. Otherizing the enemy is a sad and awful and predictable part of a war.

That said, I do find it interesting that HRI came into existence on 4/21, a month after Odyssey Dawn started. HRI has reported almost exclusively on Libya, and has fielded accusations of being Gaddhafi-funded. Things that make me go hmm, to say the least.

*steens furiHOOSly* (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Saturday, 27 August 2011 09:32 (twelve years ago) link

Interesting piece from a pro-intervention Marxist:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/08/27/1010769/-Who-really-beat-Qaddafi?via=blog_511082

Gist: "Much of the anti-war movement, short on analysis and driven by reflex, came out opposed to NATO. They took a counter-revolutionary stand with regards to the Libyan revolution."

Now he's doing horse (DL), Sunday, 28 August 2011 13:16 (twelve years ago) link

cf hitch

*steens furiHOOSly* (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 28 August 2011 15:31 (twelve years ago) link

"your analysis is lacking" was always my fave marxist-to-marxist zing

*steens furiHOOSly* (BIG HOOS aka the steendriver), Sunday, 28 August 2011 15:32 (twelve years ago) link

I love Marxist v Marxist beef. I like "counter-revolutionary" as an unashamedly old school put-down.

Now he's doing horse (DL), Sunday, 28 August 2011 15:51 (twelve years ago) link

Hell, I'm a 'pro-intervention Marxist' - I hope we're not so rare that it's a gimmick. And I hope that other Marxists write better articles than that one - it's kind of repetitive.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Sunday, 28 August 2011 23:42 (twelve years ago) link

marxists were the o.g. interventionists

goole, Monday, 29 August 2011 14:56 (twelve years ago) link

And I hope that other Marxists write better articles than that one - it's kind of repetitive.

haha

my Sonicare toothbrush (difficult listening hour), Monday, 29 August 2011 15:42 (twelve years ago) link

On a lighter note:

http://www.spiegel.de/fotostrecke/fotostrecke-72187.html

Beginning of one strange porn sequence, surely.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 29 August 2011 15:47 (twelve years ago) link

http://lens.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/29/a-qaddafi-family-photo-album/

dayo, Monday, 29 August 2011 16:06 (twelve years ago) link

The Algerian foreign ministry said Gaddafi's wife Safiya, daughter Aisha and sons Hannibal and Mohammed and their children had entered Algeria at 8.45am on Monday, according to the state-run APS news agency.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/29/gaddafi-family-escape-libya-algeria

curmudgeon, Monday, 29 August 2011 21:29 (twelve years ago) link

Algerian authorities earlier this year crushed an attempt to create a Tunisian-style uprising in Algiers

curmudgeon, Monday, 29 August 2011 21:32 (twelve years ago) link

There's lots of blad blood in Algeria; brutal war for independence, election results in '91 that would have put Islamists into power were nullified and subsequent civil war...

giraffes have been heard making strange flutelike sounds! (Michael White), Monday, 29 August 2011 21:36 (twelve years ago) link

kind of bummed this didnt result in an interview:

http://29.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lqrbf4ALy81qk7pano1_500.png

 (gr8080), Tuesday, 30 August 2011 21:17 (twelve years ago) link

http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/features/2011/08/2011831151258728747.html

I managed to smuggle away some documents, among them some that indicate the Gaddafi regime, despite its constant anti-American rhetoric – maintained direct communications with influential figures in the US.

I found what appeared to be the minutes of a meeting between senior Libyan officials – Abubakr Alzleitny and Mohammed Ahmed Ismail – and David Welch, former assistant secretary of state under George W Bush. Welch was the man who brokered the deal to restore diplomatic relations between the US and Libya in 2008.
Papers and files were strewn about the offices of Libya's intelligence agency [Evan Hill/Al Jazeera]

Welch now works for Bechtel, a multinational American company with billion-dollar construction deals across the Middle East. The documents record that, on August 2, 2011, David Welch met with Gaddafi's officials at the Four Seasons Hotel in Cairo, just a few blocks from the US embassy.

...

On the floor of the intelligence chief's office lay an envelope addressed to Gaddafi's son Saif Al-Islam. Inside, I found what appears to be a summary of a conversation between US congressman Denis Kucinich, who publicly opposed US policy on Libya, and an intermediary for the Libyan leader's son.

It details a request by the congressman for information he needed to lobby US lawmakers to suspend their support for the Libyan National Transitional Council (NTC) and to put an end to NATO airstrikes.

According to the document, Kucinich wanted evidence of corruption within the NTC and, like Welch, any possible links within rebel ranks to al-Qaeda.

goole, Wednesday, 31 August 2011 20:17 (twelve years ago) link

holy shit

 (gr8080), Thursday, 1 September 2011 00:01 (twelve years ago) link

kooch fights dirty, yo.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 1 September 2011 00:50 (twelve years ago) link

When you want grits, you go to the grocery. When you want dirt on somebody, you go to their enemy. This is how a practical pol thinks.

Aimless, Thursday, 1 September 2011 01:14 (twelve years ago) link

never would i have called kooch practical.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 1 September 2011 01:17 (twelve years ago) link

and yet!!!!!!!!!!!

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 1 September 2011 01:17 (twelve years ago) link

gr8080, your wish is granted. LA road-trip dude interviewed:

http://www.thenational.ae/news/worldwide/middle-east/road-trip-american-student-joins-rebels-in-fight-for-muammar-qaddafis-hometown

Science, you guys. Science. (DL), Thursday, 1 September 2011 10:36 (twelve years ago) link

The tent glowed with morning. A scuffle of noise approached. I got up and pulled on my cargo shorts. The men entered, the tall one first. Three excitable akhii were behind him.

"We found your phone charger, Chris Jeon," he said. "It was behind the latrine."

"Gross," I said.

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 1 September 2011 10:57 (twelve years ago) link

On the floor of the intelligence chief's office lay an envelope addressed to Gaddafi's son Saif Al-Islam. Inside, I found what appears to be a summary of a conversation between US congressman Denis Kucinich, who publicly opposed US policy on Libya, and an intermediary for the Libyan leader's son.

Worth taking with a pinch of salt. There was a similar situation with 'conveniently accessible' documents found by Telegraph reporters in the Iraqi intelligence ministry linking George Galloway with all sorts of dodgy stuff. It's widely accepted that they were false and put there deliberately to discredit him. Not sure who by, though.

A little bit like Peter Crouch but with more mobility (ShariVari), Thursday, 1 September 2011 11:11 (twelve years ago) link

the when and the what of this so-called conversation would seem to be pertinent also, since the gadaffis were persona NON non grata with the "international community" until early this year...

mark s, Thursday, 1 September 2011 11:34 (twelve years ago) link

"It is the end of my summer vacation, so I thought it would be cool to join the rebels," said Chris Jeon, a 21-year-old university student from Los Angeles, shrugging cooly.

http://i649.photobucket.com/albums/uu216/le_bateau_ivre/zi7hd.gif

Vision Kreayshawn Newsun (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 1 September 2011 11:35 (twelve years ago) link

hipstercenaries

mark s, Thursday, 1 September 2011 11:44 (twelve years ago) link

It's widely accepted that they were false and put there deliberately to discredit him.

is it? the tele lost its libel action because a comment piece that called him a "traitor" demolished the public interest defence they were trying to use, by making it a partisan attack rather than an impartial presentation of evidence. galloway certainly did make use of oil-for-food cash in the mariam appeal, which paid for his travel and political campaigning in a way that makes the issue of personal gain a very fine one. the commons standards and privileges committee judged that the telegraph docs were authentic, and that the reporter's account of finding them was genuine.

joe, Thursday, 1 September 2011 11:57 (twelve years ago) link

Yes, perhaps 'widely accepted' was a bit strong. It's certainly true that there's always been a significant amount of doubt about the authenticity of the documents although there's little doubt that they were believed to have been genuine by the Telegraph's reporter and there was never a question of deception on his part.

A little bit like Peter Crouch but with more mobility (ShariVari), Thursday, 1 September 2011 12:02 (twelve years ago) link

the commons committee got the forensics expert which galloway had hired for the libel action (whose work wasn't finished because the case wasn't going to hinge on authenticity) to complete the analysis of the documents. his report said:

"In my opinion the evidence found fully supports that the vast majority of the submitted documents are authentic. In my opinion the submitted documents are not all forgeries created at a later time. Whilst I cannot totally exclude the theoretical possibility that all the submitted documents were created during the time that they state but by a non-authentic source such as a 'shadow office', I consider that this is extremely unlikely.

"Given that the vast majority of the submitted documents are authentic then, in my opinion, there is a high probability that all the disputed Telegraph documents are also authentic. I find no evidence that any are forgeries or altered and I consider this possibility to be extremely unlikely."

can't really imagine why anyone would behave the way galloway behaved if it wasn't for money.

joe, Thursday, 1 September 2011 12:15 (twelve years ago) link

The story about the American student terrifies me. I can't understand how someone could act that way, and I'm inclined to think he's unhinged.

Volvo Twilight (p-dog), Thursday, 1 September 2011 13:08 (twelve years ago) link

You're saying that's an atypical American mindset?

Upt0eleven, Thursday, 1 September 2011 13:36 (twelve years ago) link

I can't understand how someone could act that way

Thinks he's Hemingway

like preggers, it's all in there (Michael White), Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:17 (twelve years ago) link

that's the thing tho - there is obviously a precedent for young men setting off to join foreign wars, plenty of Irish went to Spain at the same time as Hemingway (fighting on both sides). I can understand that, same as I can understand those guys who left the UK/US to join various jihads (this is probably still going on). There are also Irish-Libyans who have left here to fight.

But this guy by his own account has neither any connections to, nor even any strong understanding of the conflict (which is pretty complex). Plus he paid his own way - one-way. Imo he's either a lunatic or a spy/agent provocateur (could be both of course).

Volvo Twilight (p-dog), Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:46 (twelve years ago) link

hmmm a lot of parentheses in that post

Volvo Twilight (p-dog), Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:46 (twelve years ago) link

He's damaging the cause by setting himself up to be used in government propaganda--not just in Libya, but elsewhere in the Arab world--as proof that the rebel movement is a front for US interests.

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:47 (twelve years ago) link

yep

Volvo Twilight (p-dog), Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:49 (twelve years ago) link

to be fair to hemingway, he served with the red cross in WW1 (when he was actually a teenager): he was in his late 30s when he want to spain

mark s, Thursday, 1 September 2011 14:49 (twelve years ago) link

don't forget Orwell

I can feel it in my spiritual hat (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 1 September 2011 15:38 (twelve years ago) link

*remembers orwell*

max, Thursday, 1 September 2011 15:38 (twelve years ago) link

the rebel movement is a front for US UCLA interests.

Kreayshawnism should be taught alongside evolushawn (Michael White), Thursday, 1 September 2011 15:40 (twelve years ago) link

Their math dept obv a major, though obscure, player in international intrigue

Kreayshawnism should be taught alongside evolushawn (Michael White), Thursday, 1 September 2011 15:41 (twelve years ago) link

Now waitaminute. I was under the impression that algebra was a Muslim plot to cloud people's minds.

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Thursday, 1 September 2011 16:16 (twelve years ago) link

that guy is a long tweet from home

Birth Control is Sinful in the ILE Marriages (Latham Green), Thursday, 1 September 2011 16:20 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/09/ucla-student-libya/

goole, Thursday, 1 September 2011 20:20 (twelve years ago) link

So who's gonna play him in the movie comedy version surely coming soon

curmudgeon, Thursday, 1 September 2011 20:32 (twelve years ago) link

this guy rules.

 (gr8080), Thursday, 1 September 2011 21:11 (twelve years ago) link

he'll be on hipster runoff by tomorrow, right?

 (gr8080), Friday, 2 September 2011 01:06 (twelve years ago) link

wondered why this thread had so many new answers all of a sudden, of course it had to be about hipsters

sonderangerbot, Friday, 2 September 2011 01:18 (twelve years ago) link

LOL NEW BOARD DESCRIPTION

 (gr8080), Friday, 2 September 2011 01:19 (twelve years ago) link

Libyan fighters have surrounded the ousted dictator Muammar Qaddafi, and it is only a matter of time until he is captured or killed, a spokesman for Tripoli's new military council said Wednesday.

Anis Sharif would not say where Qaddafi had been found, but said he was still in Libya and had been tracked using high technology and human intelligence. Qaddafi is trapped within a 40-mile-radius area surrounded by rebels, he said.

Wonder if this is true...

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 7 September 2011 13:30 (twelve years ago) link

that's from CBS news

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 7 September 2011 13:30 (twelve years ago) link

oh god

dayo, Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:17 (twelve years ago) link

Can someone explain that headline to me?

Euripides Trousers (Tom D.), Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:28 (twelve years ago) link

there's this One Power, that comes from the True Source, and there is a male half and a female half..

dayo, Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:34 (twelve years ago) link

Very good but can someone explain that headline to me?

Euripides Trousers (Tom D.), Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:38 (twelve years ago) link

Someone American, obviously

Euripides Trousers (Tom D.), Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:39 (twelve years ago) link

thats my morning paper btw

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 8 September 2011 16:58 (twelve years ago) link

"rebels are hunting down what remains of the distasteful gaddhafi regime"

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 8 September 2011 17:00 (twelve years ago) link

Thank you. US newspaper speak is different from UK newspaper speak also I'm imagining there's some double entendre there that isn't crossing the Atlantic either

Euripides Trousers (Tom D.), Thursday, 8 September 2011 17:01 (twelve years ago) link

ferrets are disgusting animals

"taint" is for some reason the most commonly used slang word for the area between your genitals and your anus.

 (gr8080), Thursday, 8 September 2011 17:24 (twelve years ago) link

Explanatory: http://www.quora.com/Why-is-it-called-a-taint

Upt0eleven, Thursday, 8 September 2011 18:10 (twelve years ago) link

As Interpol issued arrest warrants for the fugitive Libyan autocrat Col. Muammar Qaddafi and two others on Friday, reports came from Niger of a new convoy of high-ranking Libyan officials arriving across the desert. NY Times excerpt

Q had supported Tuareg rebels in Niger in the past, so it makes sense I guess that they would flee that way. The rebels don't seem to have found a way to prevent this.

Elsewhere I read that NATO said they will not bomb a Q convoy if it is identified and is fleeing the country.

curmudgeon, Friday, 9 September 2011 14:27 (twelve years ago) link

taint was the missing link for tom d

caek, Friday, 9 September 2011 14:58 (twelve years ago) link

Associated Press
TRIPOLI, Libya – Suspected Muammar Qaddafi's loyalists staged twin attacks on a key oil refinery Monday in possibly coordinated strikes that suggest revolutionary forces still face resistance in areas under their control. At least 15 attackers were killed, an anti-Qaddafi commander said.

The back-to-back assaults in the coastal oil facility at Ras Lanuf -- saboteurs setting fires and then a convoy of gunmen riding in from the desert -- was a reminder that opposition forces have potential security challenges across Libya despite pushing out Qaddafi's regime from all but a few strongholds

Not over yet, and still no Qaddafi

curmudgeon, Monday, 12 September 2011 14:17 (twelve years ago) link

NATO warplanes maintained attacks on remaining pro-Qaddafi sites. The military alliance said its targets Sunday focused on Qaddafi's hometown of Sirte, including a military logistics facility and three surface-to-air missile systems.

NATO's not done yet either

curmudgeon, Monday, 12 September 2011 14:18 (twelve years ago) link

Most Libyans speak of the far greater crimes committed by the Qaddafi regime during more than four decades of power

“Those responsible for the dreadful repression of the past under Col. Al-Qaddafi will need to be held accountable,” said Mr. Cordone of Amnesty. “The [revolutionaries] must be judged according to the same standards. Without this, justice would not be done and a vicious cycle of abuses and reprisals risks being perpetuated.”

curmudgeon, Thursday, 15 September 2011 18:04 (twelve years ago) link

And in more news,msnbc reports:

Nicolas Sarkozy and David Cameron landed in Libya to a heroes' welcome on Wednesday, promising help for the new rulers that French and British air power helped

curmudgeon, Thursday, 15 September 2011 18:05 (twelve years ago) link

loafers on the ground

goole, Thursday, 15 September 2011 18:07 (twelve years ago) link

just flew in from paris and boy are my armaments tired

zvookster, Thursday, 15 September 2011 18:10 (twelve years ago) link

A fascinating report from Tripoli by Rory Stewart:

http://www.lrb.co.uk/v33/n18/rory-stewart/because-we-werent-there

Asks the question of why Tripoli has so far been relatively calm.

o. nate, Friday, 16 September 2011 19:00 (twelve years ago) link

three weeks pass...

Gaddafi captured?

Lars and the Lulu Girl (NickB), Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:24 (twelve years ago) link

12.22pm: Reuters is quoting NTC official Abdel Majid as saying Gaddafi has been wounded in both legs.

12.18pm: An NTC official has told al-Jazeera that Gaddafi has been captured and was wounded while being detained. There is still no independent verification available.

Lars and the Lulu Girl (NickB), Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:25 (twelve years ago) link

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-15385955

Matt DC, Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:25 (twelve years ago) link

he's probably hoping they hand him over to the icc. i'm guessing they might not.

Upt0eleven, Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:27 (twelve years ago) link

SPICE MUST FLOW

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:35 (twelve years ago) link

/cynical

Anyway, it will be..... quite interesting to see what happens next

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:36 (twelve years ago) link

The Reuters news agency says Col Gaddafi had died of wounds sustained during his reported capture in Sirte.

James Mitchell, Thursday, 20 October 2011 11:58 (twelve years ago) link

Oh boy

Lars and the Lulu Girl (NickB), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:00 (twelve years ago) link

femoral artery is a bitch

dayo, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:01 (twelve years ago) link

Reuters is quoting NTC official Abdel Majid as saying Gaddafi has been wounded in both legs.

http://www.animated-gifs.eu/cartoons-roadrunner/0004.gif

Juice Should Be Sterliized (Tom D.), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:03 (twelve years ago) link

Mahmoud Jibril, Libya's Interim Leader, quoted as saying "Thank God ILX is online for this moment, God is great and thank God"

interspecies smalltalk (schlump), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:05 (twelve years ago) link

A pro-Gaddafi television website denied Thursday reports that the strongman had been killed or captured.

‘The reports peddled by the lackeys of NATO about the capture or death of the brother leader, Muammar Gaddafi, is baseless,’ said Al Libiya television.

Gaddafi ‘is in good health,’ it added.

Earlier National Transitional Council commander Mohammed Leith told AFP that Gaddafi was captured Thursday as his hometown Sirte was falling, adding that the ousted strongman was badly wounded.

James Mitchell, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:11 (twelve years ago) link

Pics or it didn't happen tbh

Y Kant Lou Reed (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:11 (twelve years ago) link

ntc official is confirming qaddafi's death.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:19 (twelve years ago) link

What a splendid job NATO has done of completely ignoring its mandate. (if reports are to be believed etc etc)

Upt0eleven, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:24 (twelve years ago) link

http://images2-telegraaf.nl/multimedia/archive/00910/arrestatie_910587i.jpg

http://images2-telegraaf.nl/multimedia/archive/00910/kaddafishot_910586i.jpg

Y Kant Lou Reed (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:27 (twelve years ago) link

those images should maybe be linkified

dayo, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:28 (twelve years ago) link

that image is profound in ten different ways, kinda speechless

mid-song laughing elvis (schlump), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:29 (twelve years ago) link

xp yeah sorta grizzly, featured on the guardian liveblog just right there, also

mid-song laughing elvis (schlump), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:29 (twelve years ago) link

ugh thanks i guess

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:29 (twelve years ago) link

yeah p much. although the guardian didn't either.

Upt0eleven, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:29 (twelve years ago) link

Oh, I'm sorry dayo, I'll ask a mod

Apologies to Tracer too

Y Kant Lou Reed (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:30 (twelve years ago) link

You can tell he's been shot in the leg by the blood that's all over his face.

James Mitchell, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:34 (twelve years ago) link

Eeek, that's pretty fucking real.

Lars and the Lulu Girl (NickB), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:34 (twelve years ago) link

That pic is on the front page of the BBC website now. It's kind of terrifying that he's looking right at the camera.

Matt DC, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:36 (twelve years ago) link

NATO airstrike did for the old boy allegedly?

Juice Should Be Sterliized (Tom D.), Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:43 (twelve years ago) link

NATO confirmed that they airstruck his convoy at 6am BST today.

So is that pic his corpse being dragged about or what?

peligro, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:46 (twelve years ago) link

The look in his eyes reminds me of this guy:

http://www.ilxor.com/ILX/ThreadSelectedControllerServlet?showall=true&bookmarkedmessageid=2118471&boardid=60&threadid=84970

rustic italian flatbread, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:59 (twelve years ago) link

I mean:

worst animal friends

rustic italian flatbread, Thursday, 20 October 2011 12:59 (twelve years ago) link

can't believe there isn't a good flash based infographic dissecting the timelines, confusion & differing reports regarding all this

mid-song laughing elvis (schlump), Thursday, 20 October 2011 13:50 (twelve years ago) link

Body dragged through the streets of Sirte and "manhandled"

Juice Should Be Sterliized (Tom D.), Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:05 (twelve years ago) link

Al-Jazeera is now showing a close-up of Gaddafi's face. He does not seem to be alive.

We cannot confirm his death.

nakhchivan, Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:07 (twelve years ago) link

The 18 year old who shot Gaddafi, supposedly

Y Kant Lou Reed (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:12 (twelve years ago) link

lol BBC, not sure I've ever seen "killed" w/ quotes in a headline

incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:17 (twelve years ago) link

what about ELVIS "KILLED" ON GRACELAND TOILET

conrad, Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:22 (twelve years ago) link

reuters has now downgraded his condition too

nakhchivan, Thursday, 20 October 2011 14:24 (twelve years ago) link

omg at guardian front page, jesus fuck at how graphic it is

mid-song laughing elvis (schlump), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:20 (twelve years ago) link

can we call this a success now

unorthodox economic revenge (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:26 (twelve years ago) link

http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4130/5183688097_59abd84f51.jpg

omar little, Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:29 (twelve years ago) link

america is running out of classic boogeymen

Threat Level: Panda (jjjusten), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:33 (twelve years ago) link

thank god we have a slate of republican candidates to fill the gap

Threat Level: Panda (jjjusten), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:33 (twelve years ago) link

whoa at guardian front page

caek, Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:36 (twelve years ago) link

xp: and Joseph Kony

do not wake the dragon (DJP), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:37 (twelve years ago) link

can we call this a success now

nah

lumber up, limbaugh down (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:38 (twelve years ago) link

Who knows what the future holds but the more prosaic but nonetheless important thing I'm going to start watching in the Maghreb is the elections in Tunisia

What does one wear to a summery execution? Linen? (Michael White), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:41 (twelve years ago) link

so we "lead from behind" going forward y/n?

7 Crazy Chinese Mothers (will), Friday, 21 October 2011 01:59 (twelve years ago) link

The "flawless" performance of the Eurofighter Typhoon in the Libyan war has catapulted the aircraft ahead of its main rival to win one of the most lucrative of defence deals in recent times.

The Indian government has shortlisted both the Dassault Rafale and the Typhoon, both veterans of the Libyan campaign, for a planned £7 billion order of 126 jets for its air force.

The Typhoon was already leading the pack after the jet scored highest in a technical assessment by Indian pilots who flew the aircraft in a series of exercises in 2010.

But it is believed that it will be the Typhoon's performance in the Libyan conflict, where it completed more than 600 combat missions, that will help to clinch the deal, the result of which will be made public before Christmas.

Nigel Farage is a fucking hero (nakhchivan), Sunday, 30 October 2011 19:51 (twelve years ago) link

can we call this a success now

I'd say yes, based on two salient facts: Ghaddafi is permanently removed from the picture and the US and NATO are not stationing any troops in Libya as a result (although there may be a fairly small number of military advisors in-country). Also, the Libyan people appear to be accepting of the casualties they suffered in the process of deposing Ghaddafi, as a necessary price and not an excessive one. Given what war is like, that's a success.

What happens next is out of our hands and I prefer it that way.

Aimless, Sunday, 30 October 2011 20:05 (twelve years ago) link

two weeks pass...

saif arrested by pro-government fighters

conrad, Saturday, 19 November 2011 12:45 (twelve years ago) link

Now why do I suspect the hand of Western governments in this? The ones who wouldn't want him to spill all he knows in The Hague?

StanM, Saturday, 19 November 2011 15:29 (twelve years ago) link

?????????

max, Saturday, 19 November 2011 15:32 (twelve years ago) link

ja, probably the c1a

caek, Saturday, 19 November 2011 15:35 (twelve years ago) link

What kind of dirt do you think Gaddaffi son Saif has?

http://www.cnn.com/2011/11/19/world/africa/libya-gadhafi-son/index.html

curmudgeon, Saturday, 19 November 2011 16:06 (twelve years ago) link

It's sad he thought he was saif

I certainly wouldn't have, but hey. (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 19 November 2011 16:36 (twelve years ago) link

four months pass...

http://theweek.com/bullpen/column/225833/a-year-later-libya-is-still-a-mess

This piece is written by a Glenn Greenwald endorsed conservative who might be an isolationist. But I also have read other pieces on the problems in Libya and on Tuaregs who had supported Quaddaffi now returning to Mali with more weapons

curmudgeon, Thursday, 22 March 2012 16:20 (twelve years ago) link

Well-armed Tuareg separatists started attacking army bases in Mali's desert in January, after many Tuareg fighters returned from Libya, where they had assisted in the ousting Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi.

The United Nations refugee agency says the conflict has uprooted 130,000 people in and around Mali. Many soldiers have died in the conflict.

Tuareg nomads have launched periodic uprisings for greater autonomy in Mali and Niger.

curmudgeon, Friday, 23 March 2012 15:52 (twelve years ago) link

five months pass...

The trailer was uploaded to YouTube by Sam Bacile, whom The Wall Street Journal Web site identified as a 52-year old Israeli-American real estate developer in California. He told the Web site he had raised $5 million from 100 Jewish donors to make the film. “Islam is a cancer,” Mr. Bacile was quoted as saying.

ask morbs if he is better off than he was 4 days ago (Nilmar Honorato da Silva), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 10:47 (eleven years ago) link

top, top work from the lad there

ask morbs if he is better off than he was 4 days ago (Nilmar Honorato da Silva), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 10:47 (eleven years ago) link

Yeah, what a dong. The film itself is nightmarish.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qmodVun16Q4

Still, feel like someone needs to go out and explain the internet to Libya and Egypt.

OK CLARABELLE PART 3: The Return of the MOO! (how's life), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 10:55 (eleven years ago) link

So essentially he made this movie to provoke some kind of mad Islamic shit. Well done, Mr. Bacile.

something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 14:39 (eleven years ago) link

his name is literally sambacile

very sexual album (schlump), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 15:17 (eleven years ago) link

well, this guy is a shoe-in for the "thanks a lot, asshole" hall of fame now

look at this quarterstaff (Hurting 2), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 15:36 (eleven years ago) link

god, rip ambassador

the late great, Wednesday, 12 September 2012 16:03 (eleven years ago) link

holy shit that video.

❏❐❑❒ (gr8080), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:03 (eleven years ago) link

learning about that guy's work he seemed to genuinely care about africa and the middle east, real bummer

the late great, Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:15 (eleven years ago) link

i have fam in the diplomatic corps and usis and the dude was a golden bear so it feels vaguely personal to me too, that's kinda dumb i know but true

the late great, Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:16 (eleven years ago) link

his name is literally sambacile

Apparently it is a pseudonym.

pun lovin criminal (polyphonic), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:18 (eleven years ago) link

holy shit that video.

― ❏❐❑❒ (gr8080), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 21:03 (7 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:37 (eleven years ago) link

The wildly varying overdubs have me wondering if it's some sort of fit-up, but I don't think there's anything non-crazy you can make from any 10 seconds of it.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 12 September 2012 20:39 (eleven years ago) link

It's despicable trolling. Like if 4chan decided to start a war.

something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 21:06 (eleven years ago) link

A statement released on the behalf of the 80 cast and crew members of "Innocence of Muslims," a film that reportedly prompted Tuesday protests at the U.S. Embassy in Cairo and the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi, indicates that they are not happy with the film and were misled by the producer.

"The entire cast and crew are extremely upset and feel taken advantage of by the producer. We are 100% not behind this film and were grossly misled about its intent and purpose," the statement says. "We are shocked by the drastic re-writes of the script and lies that were told to all involved. We are deeply saddened by the tragedies that have occurred."

http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2012/09/12/u-s-ambassador-to-libya-3-others-killed-in-rocket-attack-witness-says/

Legendary General Cypher Raige (Gukbe), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 21:37 (eleven years ago) link

i'm sure romney's press conference is getting discussed on the politics threads but yo his face here:

http://i.imgur.com/d987y.jpg

❏❐❑❒ (gr8080), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 21:49 (eleven years ago) link

Haha, I posted that same photo over on the other thread. He looks like such an ass!

Thanks WEBSITE!! (Z S), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 21:56 (eleven years ago) link

Gawker sez

"In the script and during the shooting, nothing indicated the controversial nature of the final product. Muhammed wasn't even called Muhammed; he was "Master George," Garcia said. The words Muhammed were dubbed over in post-production, as were essentially all other offensive references to Islam and Muhammed."

pun lovin criminal (polyphonic), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 22:14 (eleven years ago) link

woah

❏❐❑❒ (gr8080), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 22:25 (eleven years ago) link

this is fucking completely, completely insane.

Odyssey Dong (how's life), Wednesday, 12 September 2012 22:29 (eleven years ago) link

between the amateur movie shenanigans and the middle east foreign policy implications, this whole thing is a bit arrested development

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 12 September 2012 22:33 (eleven years ago) link

This story is insane - there's no such person as Sam Bacile, the donors weren't Jewish, the actors were hoaxed… Juan Cole breaks it down with the aid of some important reporting by AP.

http://www.juancole.com/2012/09/romney-jumps-the-shark-libya-egypt-and-the-butterfly-effect.html

Get wolves (DL), Thursday, 13 September 2012 09:14 (eleven years ago) link

i'm still amazed that AP managed to produce quality reporting

Thanks WEBSITE!! (Z S), Thursday, 13 September 2012 13:42 (eleven years ago) link

most surprising element in this whole crazy story

Thanks WEBSITE!! (Z S), Thursday, 13 September 2012 13:42 (eleven years ago) link

Greenwald on the Administration's truthy spin of the consulate assault:

The Obama White House's interest in spreading [the it-was-the-video] falsehood is multi-fold and obvious:

For one, the claim that this attack was just about anger over an anti-Muhammad video completely absolves the US government of any responsibility or even role in provoking the anti-American rage driving it. After all, if the violence that erupted in that region is driven only by anger over some independent film about Muhammad, then no rational person would blame the US government for it, and there could be no suggestion that its actions in the region – things like this, and this, and this, and this – had any role to play.

The White House capitalized on the strong desire to believe this falsehood: it's deeply satisfying to point over there at those Muslims and scorn their primitive religious violence, while ignoring the massive amounts of violence to which one's own country continuously subjects them. It's much more fun and self-affirming to scoff: "can you believe those Muslims are so primitive that they killed our ambassador over a film?" than it is to acknowledge: "our country and its allies have continually bombed, killed, invaded, and occupied their countries and supported their tyrants."

It is always more enjoyable to scorn the acts of the Other Side than it is to acknowledge the bad acts of one's own. That's the self-loving mindset that enables the New York Times to write an entire editorial ...purporting to analyze Muslim rage without once mentioning the numerous acts of American violence aimed at them (much of which the Times editorial page supports). Falsely claiming that the Benghazi attacks were about this film perfectly flattered those jingoistic prejudices.

Then, there are the implications for the intervention in Libya, which Obama's defenders relentlessly tout as one of his great victories. But the fact that the Benghazi attack was likely premeditated and carried out by anti-American factions vindicates many of the criticisms of that intervention. Critics of the war in Libya warned that the US was siding with (and arming and empowering) violent extremists, including al-Qaida elements, that would eventually cause the US to claim it had to return to Libya to fight against them – just as its funding and arming of Saddam in Iraq and the mujahideen in Afghanistan subsequently justified new wars against those one-time allies.

War critics also argued that the intervention would bring massive instability and suffering to the people of Libya; today, the Washington Post reports that – just as the "president of Afghanistan" is really the mayor of Kabul and the "Iraqi government" long exercised sovereignty only in Baghdad's Green Zone – the central Libyan government exercises little authority outside of Tripoli. And intervention critics also warned that dropping bombs in a country and killing civilians, no matter how noble the intent supposedly is, would produce blowback in the form of those who would then want to attack the US.

When the White House succeeded in falsely blaming the consulate attacks on anger over this video, all of those facts were obscured.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/sep/20/obama-officials-spin-benghazi-attack

kizz my hairy irish azz (Dr Morbius), Friday, 21 September 2012 15:03 (eleven years ago) link

We see this over and over and yet never learn the lesson. The New York Times editorial page today declared the Iraqi government "on the wrong side" by virtue of its alignment with Iran and Syria and suggested that US aid - only a fraction of what is necessary to rebuild that country after the US destroyed it - should be cut off if such insolence continues. US-enabled regime change, time and again, exacerbates the very problems it is ostensibly intended to resolve.

If the Iraqi government continues to side with Iran, how much longer will it be before calls for regime change in Iraq are renewed? And how much longer will it be before we hear that military intervention in Libya is (again) necessary, this time to control the anti-US extremists who are now armed and empowered by virtue of the first intervention? US military interventions are most adept at ensuring that future US military interventions will always be necessary.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/sep/24/cnn-journal-libya

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Monday, 24 September 2012 19:30 (eleven years ago) link

how much longer will it be before calls for regime change in Iraq are renewed

a really, really really REALLY long time before the American public is keen to re-invade Iraq, I'll wager.

Greenwald's kinda sad/hystrionic these days

stop swearing and start windmilling (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 24 September 2012 19:32 (eleven years ago) link

also anti-US extremists are not in power in Libya thx for playin Glenn

stop swearing and start windmilling (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 24 September 2012 19:32 (eleven years ago) link

http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2012/09/23/libya-orders-disbanding-of-illegitimate-militias/57829890/1

What's Greenwald gonna say about this? That Libya was forced to do this by the US

curmudgeon, Monday, 24 September 2012 19:36 (eleven years ago) link

"Who lost China?"

The windiest militant trash (Michael White), Monday, 24 September 2012 19:41 (eleven years ago) link

All the anti-Sharia (not a big fan myself) fanatacists and Muslim Bortherhood alarmists out there should remember that we don't have "permanent allies, only permanent interests" and that one of our permanent interests (or please explain why not?) should be stable democratic regimes, supported by their ppls amd capable of the slow, boring ameliorist change that anybody from a market watcher to a political advocate should realistically hope for. If a moderate Islamist candidate is elected in Turkey, in Libya, in Egypt, how essentially different are they from Christian Democrats or run-of-the-mill US candidates from both parties or the BJP or whatever? Pusing hard for short-sighted poliical outcomes is the sad hallmark of a country which only remembers its own anti-colonialist struggles in the moost puerile, hagiographic and context-free way. Engagement, useful and patient engagement that avoid pushing ppl towards radical, facile positions isn't particularly sexy but it would serve the US's and humanity's interests far better.

The windiest militant trash (Michael White), Monday, 24 September 2012 19:54 (eleven years ago) link

also anti-US extremists are not in power in Libya thx for playin Glenn

― stop swearing and start windmilling (Shakey Mo Collier), Monday, 24 September 2012

hence "to control" them, jeezus effin christ

philippe reignes and michael hastings had quite a spat:
Hillary Clinton Aide Calls Reporter ‘Unmitigated A**hole,’ Tells Him To ‘F*ck Off’
http://www.mediaite.com/online/hillary-clinton-aide-calls-reporter-unmitigated-ahole-tells-him-to-fck-off/

zvookster, Monday, 24 September 2012 20:02 (eleven years ago) link

"He engaged in a likely pattern of deception both to his probation officers and the court," Judge Suzanne Segal said in issuing her ruling.

The preliminary bail hearing began with Segal asking the defendant -- dressed in gray slacks and a white and yellow striped T-shirt, with handcuffs and chain around his waist -- what his true name was.

"Mark Basseley Yousseff," he replied.

The judge then asked again, what is your name?

"Mark Basseley," he said this time, again without spelling the name out.

Don't ever stop changing your name.

die face down in some dude's pool (how's life), Friday, 28 September 2012 14:10 (eleven years ago) link

three weeks pass...

Will the US "Osama" whatever suspects it identifies in the murders?

...(I)t is difficult to imagine a more menacing policy: if the US president continues simply to execute anyone he decides should die with drones and bombs, then the only certain outcome is that there will be more and more people who view the US as a justifiable target for retaliation and vengeance. That the White House is eager to have it known that they are rejecting the option of arrest and due process in favor of secret assassination is a potent reflection of how degraded American political culture is regarding such matters, of how normalized the most extremist theories of power have become.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/oct/19/benghazi-attack-suspects-drones

cancer, kizz my hairy irish azz (Dr Morbius), Friday, 19 October 2012 16:23 (eleven years ago) link

four years pass...

so uh, how's this going?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 21 May 2017 09:23 (six years ago) link

wow i forgot what a fly in the ointment i was in this thread :/

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 21 May 2017 09:24 (six years ago) link

fwiw, last I heard, remnants of Gidoffy's army were fucking up Mali, working out of bases in southern Libya and the Libyan civil war continues to cause havoc, including plenty of civilian deaths. Thousands of refugees fleeing toward Italy in anything that floats and in some things that can't float for very long. I have no regrets concerning the position I took itt.

A is for (Aimless), Sunday, 21 May 2017 18:54 (six years ago) link

so uh i feel a little odd for reviving this when i did :o

re: our long dispute upthread, a parliamentary report into the intervention concludes that it strengthened ISIL

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DAu7XUAUwAA5LJp?format=jpg&name=large

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 May 2017 07:55 (six years ago) link

Ah, the old "not informed by accurate intelligence" excuse again.

Wag1 Shree Rajneesh (ShariVari), Friday, 26 May 2017 08:00 (six years ago) link

"honest mistake guv!"

it's almost as if the overstatement of civilian danger, terrorist ties of the rebels, and long-term consequences were totally predictable and pointed out in real-time

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 26 May 2017 08:16 (six years ago) link

Not just pointed out - the UK actively worked with Qaddafi to suppress the same groups when it was expedient!

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/oct/24/britain-family-gaddafi-legal

Wag1 Shree Rajneesh (ShariVari), Friday, 26 May 2017 08:26 (six years ago) link

Tracer Hand, do you have a link to read the whole of that document? Seems important!

A further wrinkle I didn't know about was that the West also propped up Hissein Habré's murderous regime in Chad in the eighties because he fought Libyans for a bit. The policy has really been all over the place, and the only constant has been a lot of North African civilians killed.

Frederik B, Friday, 26 May 2017 11:18 (six years ago) link

Thanks! Will work my way through it all, but began with reading the conclusion, and that is pretty great as well. Is it a truly bi-partisan report? Because it seems impressively even handed, but I don't know enough to say. Don't know anyone on the committee, for instance.

Frederik B, Friday, 26 May 2017 17:43 (six years ago) link

Reminds me of the influence of Chalabi and Iraqi exiles, and PNAC neocons, in 2002:

the political momentum to propose Resolution 1973 began in France...

“the decisions of President Sarkozy and his Administration were driven by Libyan exiles
getting allies within the French intellectual establishment who were anxious to push for a
real change in Libya.”

On 2 April 2011, Sidney Blumenthal, adviser and unofficial intelligence analyst to the then United States Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, reported this conversation with French intelligence officers to the Secretary of State. According to these individuals Sarkozy’s plans are driven by the following issues:
a. A desire to gain a greater share of Libya oil production,
b. Increase French influence in North Africa,
c. Improve his internal political situation in France,
d. Provide the French military with an opportunity to reassert its position in the world,
e. Address the concern of his advisors over Qaddafi’s long term plans to supplant France as the dominant power in Francophone Africa.

it's just locker room treason (Sanpaku), Friday, 26 May 2017 18:08 (six years ago) link

Yeah, the whole chapter is pretty damning. Sarkozy is such a shithead.

Frederik B, Friday, 26 May 2017 18:21 (six years ago) link

Xps, it's a mixture. Most of the Labour MPs (Clywd, Gapes, Hendrick iirc) are unrepentant adventurists, though Qureshi isn't. Quite a few of the Tories (Blunt, Baron and Rosindell) have voted against, or not bothered to turn up for votes on, military actions in the past. You also have the world's only pro-Russia Pole (Dan Kawczynski). It's a weird blend of people but that probably works in its favour.

Wag1 Shree Rajneesh (ShariVari), Friday, 26 May 2017 18:35 (six years ago) link

81. Unpublished House of Commons Library research found that the UK spent some £320 million on bombing Libya and approximately £25 million on reconstruction programmes. However, those figures do not include the UK’s contribution to multilateral reconstruction projects, such as those run by the United Nations. In addition, Dr Adrian Gallagher, University of Leeds, pointed out that the Government reduced its estimate of the cost of the military intervention from £320 million to £234 million. Taking into account UK contributions to programmes run by the United Nations, which had overall responsibility for co-ordinating reconstruction, and the European Union, Dr Gallagher concluded that the UK “spent just under half as much (48.72%) on rebuild than on intervention.”

Frederik B, Saturday, 27 May 2017 14:25 (six years ago) link

value for money much, UK?

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 27 May 2017 22:04 (six years ago) link

two years pass...

ican we call this a success now

― unorthodox economic revenge (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 20 October 2011 15:26 (seven years ago) bookmarkflaglink

ogmor, Wednesday, 3 July 2019 15:29 (four years ago) link

:/

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 16:04 (four years ago) link

Migrants stranded in Libya endure sewage, maggots, disease

By intent, and certainly a politically more palatable solution to the migrant problem than hosting the concentration camps in Italy.

Backed by Italy, Libya enlists militias to stop migrants

I anticipate this model to stop refugees fleeing overpopulation, resource scarcity, and the climate crisis will promoted in other nations of the Maghreb and West Asia (and maybe even Mexico).

despondently sipping tomato soup (Sanpaku), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 16:10 (four years ago) link

I got handed a lot of shit for saying this over and over.

I am totally unconvinced that the people of Libya are going to benefit from this war, however much this is invoked as the sole purpose of our bombing.

― Aimless, Wednesday, May 25, 2011 11:58 AM (eight years ago)

A is for (Aimless), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 17:35 (four years ago) link

Post WWII, the populations that have benefited from foreign military/intelligence agency intervention (South Korea, Kosovo) are utterly dwarfed by those that have been harmed. We're batting well under 0.1.

despondently sipping tomato soup (Sanpaku), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 17:39 (four years ago) link

I am totally unconvinced that the people of Libya are going to benefit from this war, however much this is invoked as the sole purpose of our bombing.

idk what yr crowing about, you think they would have been better off getting massacred by Khadhafee? yeah ok whatever, this is an unprovable hypothesis.

Οὖτις, Wednesday, 3 July 2019 17:56 (four years ago) link

There would have been a crackdown on regime change plotters in Benghazi (who had been collaborating with French military intelligence since late 2010), and least those who didn't obtain asylum. However, it wouldn't have thrown the nation into regional (and tribal) conflict for a decade.

Often, dictatorial rule is preferable to civil conflict.

despondently sipping tomato soup (Sanpaku), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 18:28 (four years ago) link

Ah, yes, Οὖτις, you were the one who looked at my stated misgivings about our participation in the Libyan war and concluded that I thought "colonialism was worse than genocide". How genocide crept into the discussion is a mystery only you can solve.

A is for (Aimless), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 18:39 (four years ago) link

"humanitarian intervention" is a bad idea that otherwise sensible ppl keep falling for

obama said in some interview late in his term that intervening in libya was his worst mistake as president, and it's hard not to agree

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Wednesday, 3 July 2019 18:45 (four years ago) link

piracy on the Mediterranean, seems a little unlikely

― goole, Thursday, 25 August 2011 16:58 (seven years ago) bookmarkflaglink

ogmor, Thursday, 4 July 2019 09:22 (four years ago) link

does anyone want to intervene to topple haftar/the army? terrorising the south, indiscriminately or at least inaccurately shelling tripoli, how many dead civilians would it take?

ogmor, Thursday, 4 July 2019 09:34 (four years ago) link

are open air slave markets not a big issue in libya now too?

||||||||, Thursday, 4 July 2019 10:05 (four years ago) link

Often, dictatorial rule is preferable to civil conflict.

― despondently sipping tomato soup (Sanpaku), 3. juli 2019 20:28 (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

My main problem with this is that dictatorial rule is pretty inherently unstable, and most often ends in civil conflict anyway.

Frederik B, Thursday, 4 July 2019 10:36 (four years ago) link

Both Haftar and Jarvanka are UAE clients. There won't be a US led intervention.

despondently sipping tomato soup (Sanpaku), Thursday, 4 July 2019 16:06 (four years ago) link

five months pass...

Of course. Saudi Arabia has been using the same janjaweed to guard their own border with Yemen for several years, having learned how useless their own National Guard (ie, army) is.

Stupor is appropriate (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 24 December 2019 21:53 (four years ago) link

one year passes...

Interesting article but doesn't say that NATO bombed Libya's Great ManMade River & destroyed a pipe factory, causing water scarcity since 2011. Now 4 out of abt 7 million Libyans could “face imminent water problems,” a potential “humanitarian disaster.” https://t.co/je5ASKbfGq

— Lucia Pradella (@LuGuangMing) August 18, 2021

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 18 August 2021 11:51 (two years ago) link

two years pass...

Up to 20,000 are now believed dead in Libya. This tragedy hasn't just been caused by floods, but by NATO's 2011 military aggression and ongoing sanctions that have decimated the country and undermined its ability to prepare for extreme weather events. https://t.co/mUekVkd5Vw 1/2

— Kai Heron (@KaiHeron) September 14, 2023

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 14 September 2023 12:20 (seven months ago) link

Community notes does its job again

Libya was once one of Africa's most prosperous countries, but years of lawlessness have left it a fragile, divided state - ill-prepared to cope with the forces unleashed by a natural disaster. https://t.co/aFGO37ettU

— BBC News Africa (@BBCAfrica) September 13, 2023

xyzzzz__, Friday, 15 September 2023 17:34 (seven months ago) link


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