2008 Primaries Thread

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lol

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Symmetry required gabbneb to start this.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait wtf why can't we just start a new thread AFTER the primaries since the other one is already the de facto primaries thread?

Hurting 2, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama just schooled Billary. LOL

SeekAltRoute, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

none of you are even reading each others' posts anymore, are you?

TOMBOT, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

delete thread

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll have to find the speech on Ye Olde Youtube.

The Reverend, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Gracias so much Tomboto.

This is the primaries thread. Before there was a looking-forward-to-primaries thread. Then there will be an election thread.

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

delete jhosehawfurka

TOMBOT, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Biden (D-Acerbia) dropped out? :(

daria-g, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

ok from daniel, esq on the other thread

he currently has John Edwards hammering away at HRC, giving Obama the luxury to remain, to a degree, "above the fray."

I think HRC is gonna start throwing shit at O soon enough, and he'll have to fight back. It's easy for me to see Edwards 'rising above' in that scenario.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

hey what happened to el tomboto?

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Biden will now not-so-quietly angle to become either the secretary of state or veep for the next Dem nominee.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Biden as Sec of State would make me haps

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

biden is a fucktard credit card conman stooge

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

william shatner as press secretary is the only appointment I care about

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd like Richardson as Sec of State, but he might also make a good running partner.

The Reverend, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I think HRC is gonna start throwing shit at O soon enough, and he'll have to fight back. It's easy for me to see Edwards 'rising above' in that scenario.

-- BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, January 3, 2008 10:26 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

lol yeah right man. his whole persona is about fighting

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think HRC is gonna start throwing shit at O soon enough, and he'll have to fight back. It's easy for me to see Edwards 'rising above' in that scenario.

Depends. Obama's going to be in the lead in New Hampshire tomorrow morning. If he keeps rising, he may not have to get into the muck. And as long as Edwards is around, he'll have to keep punching hard.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Biden wrote the three greatest pieces of legislation in history - the Magna Carta, the authorization for the Louisiana purchase, and the RAVE act

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought he authored the Dred Scott decision too?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:31 (sixteen years ago) link

But Edwards still has a chance. He's got to win at least South Carolina to stay viable, tho.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 04:31 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards, never had a shot

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:32 (sixteen years ago) link

fucking drug warrior asshoole trying to restrict my vulnerability to ecstacy wtf

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe he (Edwards) didn't. I thought he had a chance in Iowa and, if he won there, he'd have a puncher's-chance in New Hampsire.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN just reported 212,000 Dem turnout. In 2004, it was 125,000.

that's Kind Of A Big Deal, right?

Clay, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

yah totes

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I think HRC is gonna start throwing shit at O soon enough,

ummmmm like as soon as six weeks ago?

gr8080, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:38 (sixteen years ago) link

also yeah that is totally rad about dem. turnout

gr8080, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing that's a product of having more than one popular candidate?

Simon H., Friday, 4 January 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

What was the Republican turnout?

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

tombot- maybe lock one thread or the other?

-- gr8080, Thursday, January 3, 2008 6:49 PM (12 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

gr8080, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:50 (sixteen years ago) link

About 114,000 Republicans turned out. The last contested Republican caucuses in 2000 drew about 88,000. George W. Bush, then the governor of Texas, won.

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/huckobama.jpg

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 04:59 (sixteen years ago) link

huckateeth

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 4 January 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

No? OK, fine. We'll go with the fucking bloated thread then.

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 05:14 (sixteen years ago) link

yup you sure will.
you kids are some complainy ass complaintron bitches

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 08:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqoFwZUp5vc

max, Friday, 4 January 2008 08:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing that's a product of having more than one popular candidate?

also to do with longer lead time (more press) and much savvier stat-addicted teams in place, shoveling yr snow and sitting yr kids

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 4 January 2008 08:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Carried over from the last thread... You ppl are truly sportsfan nutbagz with the "2% reporting" tea leaves.

Obama -- who I still might vote for -- increasingly strikes me as the New Mario Cuomo: makes kinda pretty speeches hitting the idealistic chords, canny in his votes/governance, endorses scum when playing strategically (Lieberman in CT primary last year for Obama, D'Amato in a Sen race for Cuomo). Of course Obama has the added shining-armor-of-youth factor.

Bill Clinton did not look drunk, acc to Gergen and the Amen Chorus he looked "devastated." LOLOLOLOL

I wish the Chappaqua Hillbillies had waved bye-bye at the camera on that platform last night, with their fixed grins of defeat. Nice touch having Madeleine "Madam Genocide" Albright up front (I though she was Ma Rodham for a second).

Carter probably not much opposition for reelection

uuuuuh, Carter had a death-battle with Ted Kennedy in '80 just to get renominated.

i hope morbs is looking at that cnn table and trying to figure out why edwards won the conservatives and electability-fanboys, and clinton tied in the union households

I leave the inside-baseball to you, honeybunch, cuz I don't give a shit.

clinton campaign complaining abt obama celebrity is soooo absurd

OTFM! "The celebrification of politics" -- yeah, ever since a Warner Bros movie star became the defining prez of modern times.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

also, Obama has cuter kids than Cuomo.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:15 (sixteen years ago) link

^

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

And less skeletons in his closet (as far as we know anyway.) Also Cuomo couldn't ACTUALLY ever decide to run so really it's a fucking stupid analogy, ain't it?

Alex in SF, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I wasn't talking about their office-specific ambitions, so no, not that fucking stupid.

What were Mario's skeletoons, aside from Bill Clinton's infamous bimbo-taped remark that "he looks like a mafioso"?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Ya know honestly I can't remember now (was it family? graft?), but wasn't there schtick somewhere? I remember being told that was one of the reason why he never actually ran.

Alex in SF, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:34 (sixteen years ago) link

never stopped Gerry Ferraro

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Um actually it did.

Alex in SF, Friday, 4 January 2008 15:36 (sixteen years ago) link

BEDFORD, N.H. - He flatlined in Iowa and he's struggling in New Hampshire, but Rudy Giuliani shook off the early-state blues Thursday as only he can.

"None of this worries me - Sept. 11, there were times I was worried," Giuliani said.

LOL

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

haaaa

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

everything can be compared to 9/11

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Grrrr....

Recent re-run Onion headline:

"Giuliani Elected President of 9/11"

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.theonion.com/content/files/images/Giuliani.article.jpg

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

nice Indiana Jones style plane with red line

blueski, Friday, 4 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

New Thread, Thank fuck for that.

The more I see Obama speak the more I warm to Edwards. Obama says almost nothing but says it gracefully and sincerely, Edwards has much more substance but somehow I don't believe it when he says it.

Ed, Friday, 4 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

New thread, but the old one is thriving in a way that this one is not. Why is that??

Jesse, Friday, 4 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb's stable of acolytes.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

At this point, whether a pol believes what he says is irrelevant to me (besides being, to some extent, unknowable). I care is that s/he's held to what s/he runs on, which given the National ADD Culture is admittedly a semi-fantasy.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

The more I see Obama speak the more I warm to Edwards. Obama says almost nothing but says it gracefully and sincerely, Edwards has much more substance but somehow I don't believe it when he says it.

Yeah, I feel exactly the same way. I couldn't even watch all of Obama's speech - I found it to be pure meaningless drivel. "Inspiring." "Great speaker."

Hurting 2, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

And yet Edwards says the right things and comes off as disingenuous somehow.

Hurting 2, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

who da fuck do you people expect to see up there, Albert Schweitzer or Desmond Tutu?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

(xpost)Um because he is disingenuous maybe?

Alex in SF, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

wow The National Review's The Corner has some LOL stuff today. I won't cut and paste but two entries got me, one said basically, "The biggest Repub. winner in Iowa last night is Rudy because he never planned to win Iowa anyway," and the second said, "Awww I don't want Hilary to lose the nomination because I will miss hating her."

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

wow The National Review's The Corner has some LOL stuff today

Oh that's for sure. Them, Hewitt, RedState -- lols a-plenty.

Then there's this guy:

http://vodkapundit.com/archives/009372.php

Ned Raggett, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

via gawker
http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/gawker/2008/01/Picture%2034.jpg

remy bean, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz @ fat guys in stripes

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

"Edwards is disingenuous" is the new "Spielberg is manipulative"

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

voted for the war = fuck him

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

anybody who thinks huckabee was the stupid option for Iowa goppers didn't watch the same debates I had to sit through. Who were they supposed to pick? Romney? FFS

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:28 (sixteen years ago) link

getting mighty gabbnebby about edwards here morbz

ps why do we have this thread?

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:28 (sixteen years ago) link

BECAUSE WE KNOW WHO THE CANDIDATES ARE

CUZ THE OTHER FUCKING THING IS 8000 POSTS LONG

CUZ WE MIGHT LOSE DARIA

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

DARIA '08

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

tombot OTM re Huckabee in the debates. He was easily the most affable and well-spoken - didn't come off like a robot or a giggly madman and made all his responses sound reasonable.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just going to lock the other one.

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck you people for not being able to get along and form any consensus on how to behave

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

democracy!!

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

LOCK LOCK LOCK LOCK

Tracer Hand, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

FOUR MORE THREADS

caek, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

rip hueg thread

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey Mo and I agree: That thread was an asshole.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

okay, so reposting this here:

She could always needle him on policy issues, though, right? Not that they would be very productive. I certainly think Hillary's in a tight spot here -- I think her underhanded attacks at Obama's character, even though she made them through surrogates, backfired and made her look two-faced. She can't afford to repeat that in New Hampshire, but she needs to do something to stop his momentum.

-- elmo argonaut, Friday, January 4, 2008 7:35 PM (5 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

Not that I want her to, mind.

-- elmo argonaut, Friday, January 4, 2008 7:36 PM (4 minutes ago)

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

just paste that whole thread into this one

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

didn't come off like a robot or a giggly madman and made all his responses sound reasonable.

exactly, everybody else sounded like a lunatic, a joker (thompson) or mitt's insincere ron popeil shit

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

the press is waxing epic and rhapsodic on obama's win in iowa, i don't recall iowa results ever being cast in such a momentous tone

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

haha gff

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

press immediately playing an 'iowa picked the outsiders' meme, which doesn't really make sense under scrutiny

xp

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, the wit and wisdom of Karl Rove:

On the Republican side, we talked about the core issue for Republican voters. It was not quite what I was expecting. To Karl Rove, the issue that will determine who gets the Republican nominee is "fidelity to core principles," or who is the most faithful conservative. He said it will make things a lot easier for the Democrats who have a "binary decision" to make — do they want Hillary or not. On the Republican side, our voters are going through a laundry list of issues to see who is the most consistently conservative guy on a host of issues.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

trans: "oh shi-"

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

every 4 years, the "momentousness" of Iowa/NH increases bcz of the batshit blather of the cable news monster.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

mitt's insincere ron popeil shit

Huckabee and Obama are the post-fear candidates.

the press is waxing epic and rhapsodic on obama's win in iowa
The turnout for Iowa Democrats was 239,000, which was a whole lot higher than expected and in past elections, and Edwards got the majority of "second choice" people.

Eazy, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Rove for http://www.logoblog.org/wp-images/campaign-logos/jim-gilmore-logo.jpg

caek, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ apostrophe

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Not really about the primaries but roffle:

http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/2201/2160014390517954f318md7.jpg

Ned Raggett, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

no sex in the campaign room

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Zogby Poll puts Clinton ahead of Obama in NH.

Poll taken before IA caucuses.

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/zogby_hillary_and_mccain_slightly_ahead_in_nh_before_iowa_caucus_was_held.php

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 4 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

speculation on HRC's NH strategy: http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1700129,00.html

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Some blather towards the end (Kennedy roflz), but Sully's right in the main about Huck and Obama's oratory:

One aspect of this race that has not been given enough notice so far: Obama and Huckabee and Edwards are easily the best public speakers in this race. They won last night in part because of their ability to connect with people in large settings. You hear in Obama and Huckabee the cadences of the churches they come from - "the holy places where the races meet" - but you also hear men who have honed their rhetorical skills over the years, and actually connect their own thoughts into words. Contrast these skills with Romney and Clinton, who are competent but programmed like a salesman and a focus group respectively.

In the television and internet age, old-style rhetoric is sometimes regarded as an anachronism. It isn't. Huckabee's brilliance in the debates gave him this opportunity. Obama's public speeches have been the best in a candidate since Reagan and Kennedy. As someone who was trained in and loves debate, it's good to see this old skill gain new salience. Lincoln would be proud.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah I heard a bit of southern preacher in Obama's cadence last night - first time I've ever noticed it

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

press immediately playing an 'iowa picked the outsiders' meme, which doesn't really make sense under scrutiny

it makes plenty of sense - it lets them take a massive shit on hillary

Tracer Hand, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Sullivan's been on an OTM roll yesterday and today.

Besides everything else, Huckabee and Ombama pass that you'd-want-to-have-a-beer-with-them/work-with-them/sleep-with-them test.

Eazy, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

did you guys see huckabee on leno? dude is so likeable

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

did he play bass?

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, with the band

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

they also showed a clip from when leno interviewed him like a decade ago and he made some joke about how even leno's chin could fit in the governor's mansion

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.emofaces.com/en/emoticons/d/drumming-emoticon-drum-kit.gif

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd never sleep with Huck, thanks.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

The more I see Obama speak the more I warm to Edwards. Obama says almost nothing but says it gracefully and sincerely, Edwards has much more substance but somehow I don't believe it when he says it.

*sigh* I agree; no matter what Edwards says he comes off as unctuous and douchey/ <trial lawyer,etc>

still going to support Obama...

(I feel unnervingly like my great-great aunt Mazelle who would likely vote for somebody if she liked his hair)

will, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

ILE, you sent a message today! A thread of change! On to AAD!

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

One aspect of this race that has not been given enough notice so far: Obama and Huckabee and Edwards are easily the best public speakers in this race.

Yes! In the rush to pinpoint "big causes" and "sweeping narratives" to the Iowa results, a lot of people have forgotten the most simple, straightforward explanation: The two most charismatic candidates won. That shouldn't be so surprising. HRC has organization and smarts, but Obama moves people. Lots of GOP candidates have something going for them (to GOP voters, at least), but Huckabee sounds like he's talking to you, personally, with an intimacy that makes his rivals look amaturish by comparison.

Now, the best speakers -- the most charismatic figures -- don't always win the primaries. But it doesn't take tortured reasoning to see why these two candidates connected with voters so well in a state that highly values retail politics. We'll see how that plays on 02.05, when organization and money are more important (with so many big primaries taking place on the same day, there's no real way to effectively engage in "retail politics"; by that time, of course, both Obama and Hucakabee will be either the frontrunner or the co-frontrunner, so they'll have a chance to be at least competitive).

The biggest Repub. winner in Iowa last night is Rudy because he never planned to win Iowa anyway

This is one of the most ridiculous things I've ever heard a political commentator say. Astounding.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes! In the rush to pinpoint "big causes" and "sweeping narratives" to the Iowa results, a lot of people have forgotten the most simple, straightforward explanation: The two most charismatic candidates won. That shouldn't be so surprising. HRC has organization and smarts, but Obama moves people.

I've been saying it for months!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i cant understand rudy's logic in not campaigning in iowa

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

That photo of the black navy guy is mega creepy. Is she trying to channel blackness?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

i cant understand rudy's logic in not campaigning in iowa

He knew he wouldn't win there (or in the other early states). Some of HRC's advisors suggested, early on, that she shouldn't compete in Iowa, fearing that she'd do poorly there; obv., she rejected that advice.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

This is one of the most ridiculous things I've ever heard a political commentator say

Oops! I would like to point out that I was incorrect, he didn't say biggest winner he said biggest beneficiary. Anyway.


Rudy Time [Mark R. Levin]
The biggest beneficiary of the Huckabee win in Iowa is not Huckabee, it's Rudy. The biggest beneficiary of a McCain win in New Hampshire would be Rudy. Romney's strategy was to win Iowa and New Hampshire. He has now lost Iowa. R

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

did anyone see Biden's dropping-out speech? was he in a broom closet?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

i cant understand rudy's logic in not campaigning in iowa

Pluses = save the money and time for a blitz of the other states & hopefully gain an early edge there

Minuses = lost early exposure + makes him look kind of like a loser

I wouldn't call it against him yet, and if he can't pull the nom I don't think Iowa will have been a significant factor.

Hurting 2, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

he's just biden his time until veepstakes, xp

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Not only did Rudy lose in Iowa, but he lost to Ron Paul in Iowa. Rough.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Fallows:

And Bill Clinton!!! Who managed a wan smile but for seconds on end stood motionless, as if traumatized or stuffed. Better than anyone else in the country he must understand the situation. The young candidate with the sex appeal and the fun and the magic and the sense of the future and the opportunity to shed the old -- Clinton knows the advantages that candidate has. And he knows full well how feeble the appeals to "experience" and "ready from day one" and "competence and responsibility" were when they were issued sixteen years ago by a candidate who really was superbly prepared and experienced: the incumbent president, eight-year vice president, victorious war commander, former ambassador and CIA director George H. W. Bush.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

nobody watched the dropout speeches because the coronation of obama was on

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting claim from Levin, speaking of him:

I am informed that Dick Morris and Newt Gingrich are helping Huckabee behind the scenes. Morris has been everywhere today promoting Huckabee.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani is probably dearly wishing he could've run for Pres in 06 (or even 04)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

what will those guys do when hill loses the nom?

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah I heard a bit of southern preacher in Obama's cadence last night - first time I've ever noticed it

-- Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:09 (24 minutes ago) Link

thats not new. he does it better than gore did! i guess people like it?

artdamages, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

don't tell him he's got no claim on selma alabama

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

xp - Morris: toe sucking

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz @ imagining Bill having to tell Hillary she's not sexy/appealling enough

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSXnQkqYqA4

^^common freestyling at obama's church on nye

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh I hate Common

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

one of my (ex)coworkers saw him when she was getting breakfast at some local restaurant the other day.

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh Powerline, you are to be mocked:

How is it that mainstream conservatives find themselves on the verge of having no viable like-minded candidate early this year? The easy answer is to focus on the flaws of Romney and Thompson. Romney has only recently embraced conservative positions across-the-board. In addition, his religion probably hurts him and he seems to have difficulty connecting with voters. Thompson entered the race late and has failed to show the fire voters apparently are looking for.

But the deeper answer, I think, lies in the perception that Republicans haven't governed very well during the past seven years. If the Republican Congress had performed better in general and if President Bush had handled the war in Iraq better (or arguably if he hadn't launched it), one can easily imagine that George Allen (or perhaps Bill Frist) would be the frontrunner for the nomination right now. The perceived failures of Congress and of the president knocked both of these Senators out of the box, and Bush's lack of popularity has Republicans flirting with non-traditional Republican options.

There's irony here because I would argue that the flaws of the Republican Congress and of the Bush presidency don't stem from adherence to conservative principles. But life is unfair. I've long suspected that the Republican party (which is synonymous in large segments of "the public mind" with "conservative") isn't perceived as having performed well enough to elect a mainstream conservative president this year. It may turn out that it isn't viewed as having performed well enough even to nominate a mainstream conservative.

Because it's all about perception, don't you see.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

perception perception perception perception perception perception

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't get how those guys can be so constantly, perfectly out to lunch. don't they run banks and shit in real life? nothing on that blog ever has a whiff of reality in it.

gff, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Coke up Fred Thompson and we've got a horserace.

Eazy, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://soundboard.com/memberphoto/974211149974389.jpg

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

george allen knocked himself out the box, he didn't need any help from the perception of congress

dmr, Friday, 4 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.sustland.umn.edu/design/images/colortechniques1.jpg

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

yah you know i was thinking abt thompson last night and how everyone was trying to hand him the gop nomination on a platter but he just couldnt be bothered to reach out and accept it wtf

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

did you guys see huckabee on leno? dude is so likeable

no news -- he's charmed the pants off jon stewart for at least a couple of years now (not very difficult, granted)

tremendoid, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

what will those guys do when hill loses the nom?

Ready their sights on Obama (e.g., "His middle name is Hussain!"; "He went to a muslim jihadist school!"; "He refused to take the oath on a Bible!" "He's a covert Islamofacsist!").

I am informed that Dick Morris and Newt Gingrich are helping Huckabee behind the scenes.

On the one hand, it helps Huckabee to have experienced stategists guiding him now that he's a frontrunner. On the other hand, I don't think guys like Dick Morris and Ed Rollins really mesh well with Huckabee's style. We'll see. . .

The biggest beneficiary of a McCain win in New Hampshire would be Rudy.

This is stupid, too. It assumes that Giuliani's only obstacle to the nomination is Romney, which is now very stale thinking. If McCain wins N.H., he'll become a viable "Nat'l Security GOP" alternative to Huckabee. At that point, what's the basis for Giuliani's candidacy vis-a-vis McCain? That McCain isn't hawkish enough? That Giuliani better mixes nat'l security bona fides with pandering to social conservatives? Neither of those -- or any other rationales I can think of (at the moment -- make sense.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of disagree with that color wheel.

jaymc, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Ready their sights on Obama

dude never revealed their toe-sucking to the world or pwned them in govt-shutdown-showdown

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

dude never revealed their toe-sucking to the world or pwned them in govt-shutdown-showdown

Wha?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

i think in idexed color myself

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Contrary to what some bozo erroneously wrote, Giuliani didn’t skip Iowa from the get go. He stopped campaigning there to save him the embarrassment of putting in a fight and losing. Now at least he suffered a spinnable defeat. He has been through worse. 9/11 anyone?

Jeb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Gingrich has been smart about anti-establishment strategy for the past few years, seems like a good match for Huckabee.

Eazy, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Contrary to what some bozo erroneously wrote, Giuliani didn’t skip Iowa from the get go. He stopped campaigning there to save him the embarrassment of putting in a fight and losing. Now at least he suffered a spinnable defeat. He has been through worse. 9/11 anyone?

-- Jeb

Is this Jeb Bush?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Gingrich has been smart about anti-establishment strategy for the past few years, seems like a good match for Huckabee.

That -- among other things -- is why I didn't mention him in my post. Gingrich is a good match for Huckabee as an advisor, in many ways.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Is this Jeb Bush?

As if ...

Jeb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxxxxxpost

The GOP woes come in part from the fact that their coalition involves gumming together interests that can't hold for very long. Hardcore evangelicals will no longer tolerate someone who merely pays lip service to evangelical social principals in order to advance "true conservative principals." Huckabee's success suggests that they may not even like those "true conservative principals" much.

Also I thing the GOP has created a monster it can't control with the immigration issue.

Hurting 2, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Hardcore evangelicals will no longer tolerate someone who merely pays lip service to evangelical social principals in order to advance "true conservative principals." Huckabee's success suggests that they may not even like those "true conservative principals" much.

I don't know about that. At the moment, there's no acceptable evengelical alternative to Huckabee (an alternative that might, for instance, be less populist and more economically conservative), so it's hard to test that theory.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 4 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

ARG Poll on New Hampshire, taken before the Iowa Caucus:

Democrats:
Clinton 35% (+4)
Obama 31% (+4)
Edwards 15% (-6)
Richardson 5% (+0)

Republicans:
McCain 35% (+5)
Romney 25% (-5)
Huckabee 12% (+1)
Paul 9% (+2)
Giuliani 8% (-1)

and Zogby's NH Poll, also taken before Iowa:

Democrats:
Clinton 32%
Obama 26%
Edwards 20%
Richardson 7%

Republicans:
McCain 34%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 10%
Giuliani 9%
Paul 7%

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

that poll is moot

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

no its good for figuring the bounce

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

ARG was the worst in IA

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

ARG is located in Manchester, NH -- so their NH polling may be a tad more accurate

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

where huckabee @

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

republicans trying to erase him from history

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Robert Zimmerman, a Democratic national committeeman and major Clinton supporter from Long Island, N.Y., echoed what many in the Clinton camp were saying overnight. “Being the underdog will be very liberating,” he said.

yes, thank god for third place.... SUCH FREEDOM
lolz

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.surveyusa.com/

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

where huckabee @

what am i, tracer wizard? this was the best i could find

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

not good enough

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton declares herself candidate for young voters
WASHINGTON - It wasn't long ago that Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaign scoffed at the notion that young voters would deliver an election. How quickly thing can change.

Just seconds into her speech Friday morning, Clinton was declaring herself the candidate for America's youth — stealing a page from the new Democratic presidential front-runner, Barack Obama. The night before, the under-30 crowd came out in larger numbers than ever in Iowa caucuses normally dominated by the AARP-card set, delivering victory for the Illinois senator who promised to bring change to Washington.

That's why after her third-place finish in Iowa, Clinton got off her plane in New Hampshire and declared: "This is especially about all of the young people in New Hampshire who need a president who won't just call for change, or a president who won't just demand change, but a president who will produce change, just like I've been doing for 35 years."

"I'm running for president to reclaim the future — the future for all of us, of all ages, but particularly for young Americans," she said a few seconds later.

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.cs.dartmouth.edu/farid/research/digitaltampering/stalin1+2.jpg

Jeb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz at claiming 35 years of "experience"

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

why doesn't she just say I'M OLDER!

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, think of the great political skills from hillary we could look forward to in a general election

gabbneb, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

cant remember if i got that from the onion or not

deej, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

More candid stuff to come from Underdog Rodham! Maybe "Lobbyists are real Americans too" needs another workout.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm older and know better! heed my experience, you goddamn kids!

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

where did this hillarys a stone cold operator thing come from - what a train wreck god

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton repeatedly jumping on obama bandwagon lolz. Yesterday it was all her nonsense about change, today it's the youth vote, tomorrow it'll be her street work in chicago.

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

and how she's black

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

She's a Smooth Operator except for healthcare taskforces and prez campaigns.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

and how she's black

I picture her working hard to get an endorsement from Lil Mama

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i.realone.com/assets/rn/img/6/1/5/1/11111516-11111519-slarge.jpg

i am an octoroon!

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

btw look who pops up if you google hillary right now

http://i13.tinypic.com/89hyhx0.jpg

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

If the Obama campaign can point out that in the Dem chorus, he's doing all the calling and Hillary's doing all the responding -- it may be enough to portray her as a calculating opportunist

also, WTF is this about Hillary's claim of 'innocence'? what the fuck does she mean?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

it means she's a virgin

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

btw love hillary's new babe in the woods meme
xpost dammit

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

(sorry that is not very nice--it probably means she thinks she hasn't been in washington to be corrupted???)

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

been in washington long enough

Mr. Que, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

she did not have vince foster killed

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

where does chelseas come from?

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Anglo-Saxon Cealc-h3ð = "chalk wharf"

El Tomboto, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

oh ok

jhøshea, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i have a hard time reconciling 'experience' with 'innocence,' honestly.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

chelsea clinton is actually a chalk golem? awesome.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

so did Blake.

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

new campaign poster, plz

elmo argonaut, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

"I did very well with people over 45, and I didn't do as well with people under 30. I take responsibility for that," she said. "I'm going to talk over the next five days as much as I can about creating opportunities for young people."

Is it possible to sound more calculated and vague at the same time?

bnw, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

My fave hated lefty blogger:

I suppose the one good thing about Iowa is that Hillary finished third. Not that this will stop her. Quite the opposite. The Clintons are serious pit bulls, and finishing just behind John Edwards of all people will only intensify her power quest. Recall that husband Bill finished fourth in '92 with a whopping three percent. Didn't stop Bubba from ripping out throats to the White House.

For now, we must endure the liberal revivalist clamor, since the faithful truly believe that This Is Their Time. No point in talking to them. Just smile, move slowly, and always keep an exit in clear sight.

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/01/saints-preserve-us.html

Dr Morbius, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Your fave rightie blogger?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 4 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

What makes the "innocence" and "experience" pics funny is that Obama's campaign manager(?)'s name?

David Axelrod!

Oh the lol of it.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 4 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

more lolz with Mitt

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 4 January 2008 23:55 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC's New Hampshire Comeback Plan

Atlantic blogger Matthew Yglesias thought this was a pretty good plan, except for the "Who would be better v. John McCain in a GE?" plank. Yglesias is right: I think the answer is pretty clearly Obama.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think "playing the gender card" will work well - at the risk of sounding totally sexist, women are more likely to vote for a man they'd like to sleep with than a woman who reminds them of their mother.

Shakey Mo Collier, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

but then I have a tendency to enjoy considering national elections in terms of "who is the most sexually dynamic candidate"

Shakey Mo Collier, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I missed this great line from Obama last night, commenting on his new status as frontrunner:

Referring to his new status as the Democratic front-runner, he said: "This feels good. It's just like I imagined it when I was talking to my Kindergarten teacher."

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

(Gently jabbing at HRC for claiming Obama plotted to be President since Kindergarden).

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:10 (sixteen years ago) link

With Huckabee showing the attack ad that he didn't want to show, it's fun seeing the passive-aggressive guys rise to the top.

Eazy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

In other news, Maverick Candidate and 'Stand Up Guy' John McCain takes money from Swift Boaters

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:17 (sixteen years ago) link

dude is broke, no surprise there. hoping folks have short memories

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Watch Carl Bernstein call Clinton 'wounded' »

lol

HI DERE, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Watch Carl Bernstein call Clinton 'wounded' »

I'm increasinly troubled by the number of commentators who seem to think that an Obama nomination is all-but-assured. It reminds me of the way sportswriters -- in a mindhive -- annoint a team as the inevitable champion of a 7 game series after they win Game 1. It's obviously more likely than not that the Game 1 winner will win the series, but it's by no means assured (I'm looking at you, Dallas Mavericks).

Anyway, I can certainly see HRC coming back. What's more difficult is to see the road she takes to come back; that is, it's hard to see how, at this juncture and given what she and Obama have shown so far, she can be nimble enough to slow down the Obama momentum.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think Obama has it in the bag by any means but like I said upthread, I can't really conceive of an angle that Hillary can take that will successfully woo voters away from him.

Shakey Mo Collier, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:26 (sixteen years ago) link

here apparently are her strategies:

* Hillary aides are reportedly studying whether they can hit Obama on gun control, an issue where Obama has taken a hard line that might turn off some New Hampshire voters.

* Hillary, who isn't known for frequent Q and As with reporters, made herself extensively available to them in New Hampshire today, and quickly made it clear that she would now get serious about "drawing contrasts" with her "leading opponents." This was apparently part of a concerted effort on the Hillary camp's part to prevent Obama from coasting off his Iowa victory.

* Bill Clinton will spend the next five days campaigning for Hillary in New Hampshire, though he had reportedly not planned to.

* In another effort to signal that Camp Hillary would be playing rougher in the days ahead, Hillary also said this today:

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/hillary_plans_to_draw_contrasts_with_obama_in_days_ahead.php

er that last point is also from the article just didn' get tagged

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I dunno, sounds like more of the same (does she really wanna make gun control a huge national issue right now? wtf, she's gonna pump up her NRA credentials...?)

as has been noted above, perhaps her biggest problem is that she's a pretty uninspiring and business-like public speaker, especially compared to the pulpit-thumping oratory that Huckabee and Obama (and even Edwards to some extent) can regularly muster.

Shakey Mo Collier, Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

"Of all the people running for president, I’ve been the most vetted, the most investigated, and my goodness, the most innocent it turns out."

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

That all rasies an interesting question: If you were an HRC advisor, what would you suggest she do in New Hampshire? Would you be content with the strategy set forth in the linked memo above? (n.1)

________________________________
(n.1) Obama's strategy is, right now, easier to see: Stay ahead and above the fray, act like a frontrunner. I suppose he'll have to address the fact that New Hampshire voters like things more rough-and-tumble than Iowa voters, but I'm not sure that forces him to change his strategy. Besides, after last night's victory and victory speech, I bet lots of New Hampshire voters have Obamamania.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah that gun control thing is fucking loony. we can only hope it ends up with her hunting ducks in an orange jumpsuit a la kerry.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Former Sect. Labor Robert Reich's bold prediction for the GE: Obama v. McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

at the risk of sounding totally sexist, women are more likely to vote for a man they'd like to sleep with than a woman who reminds them of their mother.

Risk not averted. Oh well.

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 5 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, you sound exactly like the GOP folks who used to write to Letter To The Editor of the Orange County Register when Clinton got reelected in 1996.

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 5 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

And in conclusion:

http://www.latimes.com/media/photo/2008-01/34570416.jpg

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 5 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

so gonna happen

jergïns, Saturday, 5 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

It reminds me of the way sportswriters -- in a mindhive -- annoint a team as the inevitable champion of a 7 game series after they win Game 1.

That's because in the twenty-first century, elections are covered like playoffs. Dunno if it was always like that, but it sure is now.

J, Saturday, 5 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Hillary Clinton doesn't quite get that to be talking change while completely surrounded by Bill and his cabinet might not be the way to go. That stage setup was like a wax museum piece from the Clinton library.

It won't happen, but I would love to somehow see Al Gore put a dagger into the back of Hillary's campaign and drop an endorsement on Obama in the next couple of days. Not that I am sold on Obama, but I sure don't want the Clintons to get back into the White House.

earlnash, Saturday, 5 January 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

It's possible, I guess; Gore really dislikes HRC. In fact, one of my law partners is apparently connected to some Gore insiders. He says that Gore was considering a Presidential run, but he couldn't bear the thought of losing to HRC, who seemed all-but-inevitable at the time.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

gore can still be veep again right? lol awesome

El Tomboto, Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

NO CHANCE.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Ominous Signs in New Hampshire for HRC

Doesn't mean she won't win. But the Obama wave is cresting, and I don't think she has enough time to break it. I keep hearing that New Hampshire is a rougher, tougher state to campaign in, that going negative works there, that HRC's more conservative leanings will play well there, but from what I've read, I don't see it.

I wonder what will happen if HRC loses the first three (Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina)? What if she doesn't win a state in January? Does she hang on for Super Tuesday, where her organizational strength and DLC-establishment connections might catapult her forward?

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

daniel go to sleep and/or lay down and relax.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

you deserve a medal for these links though. you're basically my RSS reader.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

man i couldn't even imagine the palpable tension on that stage after the second boo.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

hill & bill need to change their look back to this

http://www.theodoresworld.net/pics/0907/hippieclintonsImage1.jpg

gershy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:31 (sixteen years ago) link

OTM.

Sundar, Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

do you think hillary ever smoked w33d??

gershy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Thanks for the kind words, J0rdan. I'll sleep, tho I get less and less of it these days.

Can't resist one more link. Check this out, HRC is "directing" ABC News to alleged evidence that Obama's 'Too Liberal' (because he supported the abolition of minimum mandatory sentences for convicted criminals). To be fair, I'm not sure HRC used the words "too liberal," but she's now drawing that comparison between herself and Obama, which I think shows where her mindset is.

By the way, on the few video feeds I've seen today of HRC, she sounds bad. Flat and forced, I guess, are the best ways to describe it. Even if I can't get behind her as a candidate (I find her uninspiring), there's a soft spot in my heart for the Clintons. Bill Clinton won -- twice -- in a country that was in the middle of a long, hard rightward drift. Times are different now, and a more progressive candidate, like an Obama, might be the right man for the era. But what Bill Clinton did then was masterful and gave many of us hope. HRC losing the nomination is okay (indeed, I don't support her candidacy), but I really don't want to see their legacy tarnished with unseemly tactics against a rising star in what I suspect is a losing cause.

Okay, end of rant. I will get some sleep now.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

http://slog.thestranger.com/files/2008/01/Romneypacksudgeyes.jpeg

jergïns, Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:43 (sixteen years ago) link

70's era Clintons should be played by Will Ferrell and Hope Davis in any future biopic.

Simon H., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:43 (sixteen years ago) link

xp
so gonna happen....but what?

Simon H., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:44 (sixteen years ago) link

omg @ jergins pic

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

One more: John Edwards delivering a pointed and good speech in New Hampshire. His message: He's the fighter on the Democratic side.

The scrapy underdog role suits Edwards well. I know his problems (too young looking; some find him insincere; too smooth), but he has a lot of upside. I also like his strategy of trying to now frame this as a two-person race: Obama v. Edwards. It (obv.) isn't true, but it's a way for him to provide a new twist to his message and to make him seem vital.

Alright, now sleep.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I also like his strategy of trying to now frame this as a two-person race: Obama v. Edwards.

the only prob with this i think is that he's really come back into the race as the dem's really viable anti-hillary/establishment candidate.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:59 (sixteen years ago) link

"really viable" meaning not kucinich or dodd etc.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 04:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the one thing I really actually appreciate about edwards taking the silver in iowa is that he can continue to put forth his ideas and people have to listen to him; if he had gotten third as expected no democrat would have actually talked about issues in any substantive fashion until January 2009

El Tomboto, Saturday, 5 January 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

(not because they have nothing substantive to say, necessarily, but because there is nothing substantive separating obama and hilary on the policy front that everybody doesn't already know)

El Tomboto, Saturday, 5 January 2008 05:04 (sixteen years ago) link

even after the total nightmare that has been bush, i have to admit that none of the candidates inspire me with any sense of confidence whatsoever. :(

(and, on a different note) does anyone beside me look at the race in the historical context and think: after

bush 1988 / clinton 1992 / clinton 1996

i was uncomfortable with bush 2000. but after

bush 1988 / clinton 1992 / clinton 1996 / bush 2000 / bush 2004

i am REALLY uncomfortable with clinton 2008, almost regardless of what her policies would be. can we at least play at democracy a bit more convincingly than having two families run the country for 20 years? and i liked clinton.

mitya, Saturday, 5 January 2008 06:10 (sixteen years ago) link

mitya, your discomfort is not unique at all. It seems with the turn of the new year, a lot of Dems have suddenly felt "oh shit this is the year isn't it" and had a second scan of "HRC: Prez" and didn't feel right.

I admit I feel the same as you, even if I like HRC as a candidate.

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 5 January 2008 06:13 (sixteen years ago) link

an appraisal of obama's political experience, getting legislation passed in the illinois senate:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/03/AR2008010303303.html

and a hesitant critique of that experience:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/03/AR2008010303303.html

elmo argonaut, Saturday, 5 January 2008 06:42 (sixteen years ago) link

good article but you posted the same one twice.

Hurting 2, Saturday, 5 January 2008 06:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Say, are any of you going to do something locally asides from just voting? I.e. voter-reg, headin' to some sorta local meeting, something like that?

kingfish, Saturday, 5 January 2008 06:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.theodoresworld.net/pics/0907/hippieclintonsImage1.jpg

hillry ckinton mad uugky 1976

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 07:57 (sixteen years ago) link

bill lookin mighty christlike

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 5 January 2008 08:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting analysis of what's at stake in New Hampshire

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 11:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Anyway, the above-linked article sets forth what I think is HRC's remaining move against Obama (n.1): That he's "too liberal." HRC, who now must react to Obama's Iowa win, can't move to his left, and she didn't gain enough traction with her No. 1 argument (that she's more "experienced" and "ready to lead from Day One"; maybe this argument works better in New Hampshire, but I doubt HRC thinks -- at this point -- she can rest on it). So the natural move is to Obama's right. And she can frame that argument in a way that doesn't necessarily isolate the left base, by arguing that she's better positioned to respond to the right's "attack machine," then trotting out all the things that machine supposedly will say about Obama.

I see the reasoning. But I think it also opens another line of attack for Obama about how the fight between HRC and him is about the past v. the future. HRC (and Bill Clinton) grew up politically in an era when the country was moving right, and if liberals were going to succeed, they had to move with it. That led to "triangulation," where Bill Clinton appealed to a diverse group of voters by distancing himself from both the Democratic and Republican parties. But now may be a different moment, giving an opening to a more progressive candidate, like Obama. The question, and the legitimate debate, is which direction the country is prepared to go to: center-right (HRC) or center-left to left (Obama). That question can also be seen as whether the country is where it was in the 90s (or even further right), which would support continuing the politics of the past, or at a different point, and ready for something new, which would perhaps support a more progressive Democrat.

__________________________________
(n.1) I say it's her "remaining move" not because she's desperate, but because there are only so many options available to a candidate. She's already deploying her strongest argument: That she's more "experienced."

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 12:48 (sixteen years ago) link

you didn't sleep much huh

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 5 January 2008 12:52 (sixteen years ago) link

lol. Sorry if I'm bombarding the thread too much.

About 5 hours of sleep. I'm up getting ready for a guitar class for me, and a piano class for my daughter. Then, sadly, probably to work.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 13:00 (sixteen years ago) link

bill lookin mighty christlike

He looks like Sam Beam, of Iron & Wine! I knew I liked that guy.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 13:01 (sixteen years ago) link

daniel, esq 2008 = kingfish 2004

Pleasant Plains, Saturday, 5 January 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

Rock Hardy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Will someone liveblog the debates tonight? Maybe on another thread?

shanecavanaugh, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

daniel, esq 2008 = kingfish 2004

Hm. Not sure what this means, but it doesn't sound flattering.(n.1)

_______________________
(n.1) Nothing against Kingfish, btw. I only recognize the name.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hillry ckinton mad uugky 1976

FUCK YOU!

does anyone remember that britishes poster in 04 who used tell us v eruditely all this CW stuff we already knew? who was that guy again?

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Ed

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Tom Cl3veland or something wasn't it?

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

whatever happened to that guy?

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i13.tinypic.com/71pt75g.jpg
FUNFUNFUN

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

til Daddy takes the T-Bird away

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

We've come on holiday by mistake

caek, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

NIGHTMARE VACATION

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

New poll has Obama beating Clinton by 10 in NH, and if Kerry's bounce in 2004 is any indication his lead is only going to go up from there. I hate to be too cocky, but... stick a fork in her.

Hatch, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

WOW!

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Hatch, are you the WFMU DJ of the same name?

Rock Hardy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

THATS A HUEG MOTHERFUCKING BOUNCE RIGHT THERE!

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

lol - http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/fred_thompson_im_skipping_new_hampshire.php - i'm not working for McCain or anything

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes indeed, that's me.

Hatch, Saturday, 5 January 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't count HRC out until at least early February. She obv. has money and organization, and those are v. important on 02.05.08 (more important than retail politics, since there are so many big states in play on one day).

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

if she loses nh its over

jhøshea, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

george will on obama:

Barack Obama, who might be mercifully closing the Clinton parenthesis in presidential history, is refreshingly cerebral amid this recrudescence of the paranoid style in American politics. He is the un-Edwards and un-Huckabee -- an adult aiming to reform the real world rather than an adolescent fantasizing mock-heroic "fights" against fictitious villains in a left-wing cartoon version of this country.

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

obv hrc is playing thru to superduper tuesday, but she's clearly behind if she loses NH, and won't be looking too good if she comes in 3rd again in SC

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

shell take care of edwards in sc

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

That WP article is mostly about Huckabee (and, to a lesser extent, Edwards). And, in that regard, George Will is a Madisonian ''establishment GOP'' hack (i.e., for free markets and limited gov't; not an evengelical). A smart, articulate hack, to be sure, but a hack nonetheless.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I rarely agree with David Brooks, but his column yesterday made a good point.

"When an African-American man is leading a juggernaut to the White House, do you want to be the one to stand up and say No?"

If Obama sweeps the first four states--which will probably happen as long as he gets NH on Tuesday--it could be awfully damaging to the Clintons' reputation if they do decide to stay in the race through Super Tuesday. And even if she did stay in, she might be better off losing than pulling off an upset and potentially alienating a huge portion of the Democratic electorate.

Hatch, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

she's not gonna drop out before super tuesday unless say edwards beats her in nh.

gabbneb, Saturday, 5 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

literally the most terrifying .jpg on the internet

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

like, romney rectal examination> tubgirl> goats> 2girls1cup

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

goatse, even.

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

That WP article is mostly about Huckabee (and, to a lesser extent, Edwards). And, in that regard, George Will is a Madisonian ''establishment GOP'' hack (i.e., for free markets and limited gov't; not an evengelical). A smart, articulate hack, to be sure, but a hack nonetheless.

-- Daniel, Esq., Saturday, January 5, 2008 12:41 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

oh im fully aware of that; even though that article is 'mostly about' huckabee, those points are the most redundant in the discourse right now. The more interesting parts to me are his take on the dem candidates, and i think he really gets right to the point about what is grating about edwards (in the larger sense, i'm not about to get into his specific economic points and easy dismissal of corporations as the root of all evil)

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

daniel, esq 2008 = kingfish 2004

haha, thank God somebody else is there to dump links everywhere. There's no way i'm going back to heavy blog reading, due to anxiety levels and current non-desk-based job.

Altho, fun comment on Balloon-Juice about how when the BSRW machine comes about to aim at Obama, you just know they're going to start whispering about how he secretly fathered two black daughters.

kingfish, Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Further confirmation of the biiiiig Iowa bump this poll conducted yesterday and today has Obama beating Clinton by 12 points in NH.

Hatch, Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

What is Wisconsin and why is it so unimportant?

Gravel Puzzleworth, Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

What is Wisconsin? That is one of the greatest American mysteries.

Rock Hardy, Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

O_O @ poll

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama: Ecstasy & Agony [Jonah Goldberg]

This is just a late Friday night prediction. But after reading this regrettable excess from Ezra Klein as well as all of the more reasonable but nonetheless hopeful, proud, idealistic and sincere sentiments of pride and well-wishing for Obama as the first serious mainstream black contender for the White House (some, but by no means all, of these sentiments shared by yours truly) , I think it's worth imagining a certain scenario. Imagine the Democrats do rally around Obama. Imagine the media invests as heavily in him as I think we all know they will if he's the nominee — and then imagine he loses. I seriously think certain segments of American political life will become completely unhinged. I can imagine the fear of this social unraveling actually aiding Obama enormously in 2008. Forget Hillary's inevitability. Obama has a rendezvous with destiny, or so we will be told. And if he's denied it, teeth shall be gnashed, clothes rent and prices paid.

01/04 09:14 PM

and what, Saturday, 5 January 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's up by 12 in New Hampshire? Wow. There are waves and there are waves. Implications: (a) HRC better recover fast, while there's time and (b) I hope Obama's momentum draws off lots of independent votes, so that -- on the GOP side -- Romney beats McCain, to crush McCain's supposed "momentum."

I wonder how Obama's big lead will impact independents. Will they jump on his bandwagon or, realizing that he's going to win the Democratic N.H. primary anyway, do they vote Republican, where they have more of a chance to impact the nat'l race (presumably by making McCain viable)? Any information on how independents will vote in N.H.?

Hatch, your WFMU show is v. good, btw.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

romney is totally the kind of pretty boy flake that reminds me of jack ryan, the dude he was supposed to run against in IL who ended up folding in disgrace after it was revealed he took his wife to 'sex clubs' and encouraged her to have sex in public

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

the dude obama was supposed to run against, rather

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Shame on you, Jonah Goldberg, with your thinly-veiled call to bring out the angry white males to put down the ''uppity'' black candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

obama will win because white folks were afraid of the LA Riots. got it

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Jonah Goldberg has no shame. He can't even understand the concept.

J, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel do you think Romney would be less threatening to the dems or do you just prefer him over McCain?

Gravel Puzzleworth, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney is an easier matchup for Democrats. I don't want to face McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, haven't been keeping up with this thread, but:

has anyone caught footage of obama's speech today in NH? nothing remarkable, but the interesting part to me is that the only audio they have is a direct feed from his mic so you cant hear the audience cheering when they do; which was the same situation that led to the infamous DEANSCREAM.

they caught people cheering a few times during pauses, but i think they had to turn the gain on obama's mic way up or something.

not calling it a conspiracy but it was enough for me to notice it.

gr8080, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

also they're showing extended segments of all the other major contenders speaking and obama's the only one who was set up this way.

gr8080, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

romney is totally the kind of pretty boy flake that reminds me of jack ryan, the dude he was supposed to run against in IL who ended up folding in disgrace after it was revealed he took his wife to 'sex clubs' and encouraged her to have sex in public

http://www.animationalley.com/images/prints/mpa/mpa_trek9.jpg

lol

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney wins Wyoming! Matt Drudge must scream it from the mountaintops!

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, haven't been keeping up with this thread, but:

has anyone caught footage of obama's speech today in NH? nothing remarkable, but the interesting part to me is that the only audio they have is a direct feed from his mic so you cant hear the audience cheering when they do; which was the same situation that led to the infamous DEANSCREAM.

they caught people cheering a few times during pauses, but i think they had to turn the gain on obama's mic way up or something.

not calling it a conspiracy but it was enough for me to notice it.

-- gr8080, Saturday, January 5, 2008 4:32 PM (12 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

his voice has sounded so sore-sounding lately id be surprised if he was able to scream

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/06/us/politics/06donate.html?_r=1&ref=politics&oref=slogin

The candidate in perhaps the most enviable position financially is Representative Ron Paul, Republican of Texas, who has reported raising $19.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2007 over the Internet, about the same as Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton.

jesus christ

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah. Ron Paul is cleaning up, money-wise. It's the "libertarian/isolationist" wing of the extremely-fractured (but still potentially formittable) GOP.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ fox news keeping him out of the NH debates

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i think abc news did the same thing to kucinich??

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

or is doing, rather

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory?id=4089055

indeed

J0rdan S., Saturday, 5 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah but thats based on his inability to garner a large enough % of the vote. Paul is ahead of Thompson in NH and garnered 10% in Iowa ahead of Giuliani - certainly a sizeable enough portion to deserve debate time. kucinich was nowhere near that

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 23:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm in no way a ron paul advocate btw, merely enjoying how he scares the republican establishment

deej, Saturday, 5 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Went back to Boise for Xmas and Jesus F., every other house has a big-ass Ron Paul sign. And I am guessing these are the majority of internends losers pouring $$$ into Paul's paypal coffers: people in backwoods location whose vote 'wouldn't matter' anyway. Like no one is ever really going for Montana/ID/Wyo's votes.

Abbott, Saturday, 5 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Comic-book villain-like Ron Paul scares the GOP establishment. Seemingly nice-guy Mike Huckabee terrifies the GOP establishment.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 5 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

are any blogs liveblogging the debate thingie?

Gravel Puzzleworth, Saturday, 5 January 2008 23:48 (sixteen years ago) link

im watching it while i post to ilx :>

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

guiliani's smile is crepey

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

/old news

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

is this worth turning off the playoffs?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

w/o ron paul around i'm gonna go with no

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

someone post if there is a romney/rudy throwdown though

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul is in this debate, its on abc

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

not after those last 4:00 minutes of play

xxp

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

haha i love the look mccain is giving huckabee while he talks about foreign policy

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

while huckabee talks about it

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ fred thompson turning into the tom tancredo of this race now

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:13 (sixteen years ago) link

% of votes wise i mean

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:13 (sixteen years ago) link

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/01/05/oreilly-gets-in-confrontation-with-obama-staffer/

^^o' reilly fights w/ obama staffer (shoving involved)

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:15 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/01/05/art.oreilly.ap.jpg
casual friday?

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:15 (sixteen years ago) link

romney - "education that is not through madrassas ..."

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

how is this not the radio wtf

Gravel Puzzleworth, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

from TPM:

They shook hands and Mr. O’Reilly said he thought Sen. Obama was great and that he loved him and loved to have him on the show and said he would think about coming on after the primaries.

apparently obama turns o reills into a babbling 8-year-old

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

omg i just turned this on and giuliani is talking about 9/11!!!!!!

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean what are the chances 95% at this point?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

lol giuliani on a people perverted.

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

man, listening to rudy for .4 seconds is terrifying

johnny crunch, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

he keeps saying "perverted" guys

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

they used "perverted" in his recent ad

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i know! "a people perverted" amazing!

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:26 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain's gotta love this romney v. huckabee stuff

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

LEADERS ASSASSINATED

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

xp

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"which one?"

ZING

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

HUCKABEE ZING

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

gotta love mitt supporting "surge" behind closed doors

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

god ron paul so crazy mccain cracking up

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:29 (sixteen years ago) link

giuliani brought it back to 9/11. drink!

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i really like this debate format

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

THE DAY MY CITY WAS ATTACKED

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

ban rudy

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

at this point i like to think the other candidates are funneling him $$ for his provided entertainment

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i want to run over mitt's sons w/ a hybrid SUV

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

"these will be the beliefs that i have"

giuloliani

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:37 (sixteen years ago) link

omg "they came from god" someone plz put us all out of our misery

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lone ron paul clapper after impassioned speech is kind of a microcosm huh?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sure he was making it rain right after tho

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:44 (sixteen years ago) link

this is on ABC?

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:45 (sixteen years ago) link

god i hate republicans

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah gr80

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:47 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus ive got infomercials over here.

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:48 (sixteen years ago) link

HILARYCARE

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:49 (sixteen years ago) link

oh i guess they're delaying it.

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i just switched to McLaughlin group

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

LET ME BREAK IT DOWN FOR YOU

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

DJ FRED THOMPSON IN 2008

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

"I like mandates...Let me tell you what kind of mandates I like, Fred." -- Romney

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Gah! I'm missing all of it. Are the GOP and Democratic debates both on tonight?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:54 (sixteen years ago) link

yessa

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

When this is over, a Massachusettes resident can tell me if Romney's plan worked. I'm genuinely curious.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:56 (sixteen years ago) link

if it hadn't worked i would imagine the other candidates would be hitting him on it, but it seems as if they are attacking his idea for a national plan and how 'his' state's plan would translate

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:57 (sixteen years ago) link

but that's just speculation obv

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 00:57 (sixteen years ago) link

"Let me defend our friends in the pharmaceutial industry"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt says pharma companies are doing good work and then says people need better information about the cost and quality of stuff. Big Pharma's already spending 60 Billion dollars advertising those pills, bro, what more you want?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

FUCK YOU ROMNEY

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

lol i just realized this is called 1 Night 2 Parties

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess someone vetoed 2parties1night

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Then the after party then the hotel lobby...

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

dude start posting debate reaction videos to youtube NOW!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:03 (sixteen years ago) link

reactions to 2girls1cup already accurately capture my reaction to this debate

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

what do they do during commercials? do they just zing each other like crazy? i hope

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain stares at the ceiling thinking "i hate these assholes"

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

They sit in silence and glare at Ron Paul.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

You joke, but...

(xxpos)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

i know right? its funny cuz its true

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe I should watch this

dan m, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

GUYZ LET'S CHANGE THE SYSTEM WITH A TECHNOLOGICAL FENCE

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

AND ID CARDS THAT CANNOT BE TAMPERED BECAUSE THEY ARE MADE OUT OF DIAMOND

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Whoa!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain hittin' back!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney: "What he says is technically true..."

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

so busted

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

FIRST REAGAN REFERENCE OF THE NIGHT!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

romney is getting obliterated here

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain is so on-point here that I may fall in love with him again.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

SPECIAL QUEUE AREA OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY IN WHICH ILLEGALS CAN WAIT IN LINE.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

eh. he's just a non-monster which makes him look good in this company.

xp

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

giuliani brought up reagan earlier xpost

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred Thompson's awoken from a nice nap.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

im starting to feel bad for romney

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

fred's awake

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lollllll @ alfred

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain with the zing of the year i think

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

A diversion:

One More Thing on Mitt and Health Care [Kathryn Jean Lopez]

Romney got applause from our debate-watching group here for defending the pharmaceutical companies.

Good for him.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:15 (sixteen years ago) link

romney getting zinged left and right

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani may have just given the most human answer of his career.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred Thompson, back after enjoying a cigarette and ice tea.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Get that man a Red Bull.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

thompson sounds like he's thinking aloud

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

"hmm, wonder what i think about this ..."

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

OMIGOD THEY'RE ALL ASLEEP.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

i want to poke those bags

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe they he keeps little pictures in there and pulls them over his eyes when he gets bored at these debates

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani: "New York was not an amnesty city. We returned every ferret to its country of origin."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Anone knows where you can watch the debates online?

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Jesus, can we get the pharaceutical companies to invest in a technological fence to get illegals to the back of their lines in their home countries?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

What was the Mccain zing?

Gravel Puzzleworth, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:21 (sixteen years ago) link

romney was bitching about being misquoted and mccain said "if you change positions as much as you do you probably will get misquoted, mitt" (or something to that effect)

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Who the fuck elected Romney as debate spokesman?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Ron Paul popular with the Diggnation Internerds because all his solutions boil down to, "Ctrl-Alt-Delete" ?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:25 (sixteen years ago) link

ROMNEY FIXED THE OLYMPICS A+++ WOULD VOTE AGAIN

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

OOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

FUCK!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha mccain can't control himself!!!!!! i love it

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

hahahaha

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

It was 10 minutes too late, and probably cheap, but it needed to be said.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Live stream:

http://www.wmur.com/video/14986153/index.html

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

he couldn't finish the zing without laughing!!!!

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow he hates Romney SO MUCH

Gravel Puzzleworth, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain, bending down to lick cream from a bowl.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, beneath his criticism, did Giuliani just hint that he's scared shitless of Obama?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:30 (sixteen years ago) link

This fag gives Huckabee credit for mentioning same-sex marriage OUT LOUD even if he's opposed to it; the others are totally avoiding it.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:31 (sixteen years ago) link

"vertical leadership"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Ron Paul popular with the Diggnation Internerds because all his solutions boil down to, "Ctrl-Alt-Delete" ?

probably b/c libertarian types tend to be nerds with far more socialization problems than your average ILM poster, so why not support the guy who wants to kill off lots of your fellow americans? End the oppression that IS the FDA and environmental protections!

kingfish, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

huckabee big upping obama

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

he's smart

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Zingfish!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

UNLEASH COBRA'S TECHNOLOGICAL MIGHT

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

thompson confused

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

OMIGOD FRED THOMPSON WAS CAUGHT NAPPING

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

looool

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

"You can make a good case for oil being more expensive in the future."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson is truly the most Reaganesque candidate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i relate to thompson right now bcuz i know the feeling he's getting w/ the heavy eye-lids bcuz that shit happens to me all that time in class basically i feel you fred.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I am back and loving this. Thompson is on fire!

(Seriously, he's -- in some ways -- the real maverick on the GOP side).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

SHUT HIM UP

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

it is his bedtime soon this late debate is cruel

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

"We need to avoid a more diversified situation."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

THERE WILL BE BLOOD

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

GIULIANI: "WE NEED TO FIND OIL ON THE MOON"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani wants to go nuclear.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani: "WE SHOULD EXTRACT OIL FROM THE BURNING CARCASSES OF ARABS."

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Christ, I disagree with almost all their positions, but Huckabee and McCain really are the best ones here. Look at Romney: he's uploading more information into his cortex.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee is v. smooth. I really hope Romney wins New Hampshire.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

DAMMIT! IT'S OVER, AND I MISSED VIRTUALLY ALL OF IT.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Charles Gibson's got class. He should do this sort of thing more often. I especially like how his bifocals smirk whenever Thompson opens his mouth.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

This is a nice touch.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama needs a sandwich

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee to Obama: "I'll see you in October."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

aw little rock reunion!

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

KISS! KISS!!

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary looks pretty. dig the green.

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

"Bill Richardson! What're you doing here?!"

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i imagine everyone tellin yo momma jokes

johnny crunch, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

poor kucinich

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney and Huckabee had an "oh shit" expression when the Dems walked on. Meanwhile Giuliani and HRC couldn't stop grinning at each other.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee to Obama: "I'll see you in October."

You callin' the primaries, Alfred? I'm noting predictions.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Charles Gibson's got class. He should do this sort of thing more often.

Yes! I nominate him to be the perma-moderator of all these debates.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani asked HRC to be his steady girl.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Can someone list all the zingers McCain had? I missed the entire debate :(

youcangoyourownway, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought they did a real good job w/ some hardball questions

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

It wouldn't surprise me if all the candidates onstage were debatign whether Richardson's suggestion of a tequila bar was a good one in that weather.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:47 (sixteen years ago) link

last zing i think was after romney started talking about how he was the candidate of change trying to get some of that obamadust to rub off on him and mccain said, "yes romney, you ARE a candidate of change" and then paused for laughter.

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:47 (sixteen years ago) link

This was by far the best GOP debate I've seen.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

romney got killllled

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

the best part of that zing was that he couldn't finish it w/o laughing

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

THEY ARE RECOUNTING ROMNEY ZINGS

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

step: "these guys hate romney"

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Jesus, why are the GOP candidates focused on Hils when it's ROMNEY THEY CAN'T STAND?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.facebook.com/politics/index.php?

lol

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

what does it say about you that the rest of the candidates in a presidential election have collectively decided to morally rise above you??

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Step: Fred Thompson did well (LOLZ)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

haha omg @ chart linked by kerm

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

what quaaludes was stephanopolis on that he thought thompson had a great performance??

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

ban college

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

The same one deez guys are on:

Kathryn Jean Lopez:

An e-mail:

is like the dad in the room, listening to all the b**ching between the
brothers or the daughters, and then simply ends debate with a simple,
authoritative, but not loud statement of who will be punished and sent
to their room. Problem is, in a campaign, you have to be loud
sometimes.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

loooooooool xp

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

The K-Lo post was about Thompson.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Could do with more pictures on this thread.

http://i248.photobucket.com/albums/gg187/nick-uptoeleven/hills.jpg

Unfortunately the girl is English, So no she can't. Can't have a donation neither.

Upt0eleven, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

"The Economy" won because that was the closest answer to "monetary policy."

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't worry: Ron Paul will print less money.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

ban Upt0eleven

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

take your lolcats zings back to 6 months ago plz

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

soooooorry

Upt0eleven, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

btw deej otm about step loving thompson? he accounted for like 2% of the discourse during the debate

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Prediction: Hils will spit pea soup in former toadie Step's direction tonight.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

2%? Did you correct for Ron Paul?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, get 9/11 truthers out of shot!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i would like to meet the 261 collegiates who thought fred t. looked presidential tonight

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone wanna elaborate on this richardson/obama thing?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Flashing red lights on Brian Ross mean he's serious.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Starting on foreign policy on the Democratic side seems to favor HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.blinne.org/photos/uncategorized/siren.gif

xp

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

That Gibson response to Obama was sorta brilliant.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

xp Exclusive! Must Credit ABCNews Clue Crew!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

So was the Gibson oh-snap line to Edwards now.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i16.tinypic.com/733dpj4.jpg

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

gj with your escape chars, Diane

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

That Gibson response to Obama was sorta brilliant.

Yeah, for it IS the Bush doctrine. If the Pakistanis opposed Obama's taking Osama out he WOULD violate their sovereignty.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/06/us/06debate.3374.jpg

Romney and Thompson all "do I have to?"

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Fuck Richardson: he wants a return to Cold War let's-pluck-annoying-leaders-out-of-office, which I guess is the "realism" some Dems want.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

giuliani wanna fuck

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i11.tinypic.com/6jyieqb.gif

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

college kids know Thompson loves the reefer

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

LOLZ at HRC passive-voice usage: "(Osama) was not taken out at the time."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i voted for thompson option because it was closes to "thompson didn't die"

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

He's right, you know. Drug companies aren't the. xxp

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Grr at HRC giving a perfectly reasonable response.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Musharraf must be loving this. :/

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama response shot: "Oh shit, she's making sense."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC's strategy is emerging early: Sound very, very detailed and knowledgeable; a policy wonk, like her husband. This is how her "experience" card might pay dividends for her in a debate v. Obama.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf all three of them are right, if our country is threatened by rogue groups inside a nation that can't control them we absolutely should step in

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is at people getting mad about obama being 'pro bush doctrine' or whatever

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

i agree with deej

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

and yeah, kind of annoyed by hillary giving the best answer

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

The thing Obama said about the Pakistani leadership having to be "legitimate" was kind of frothy. Any legitimate Pakistani leadership, as it currently stands, would be islamistic.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

you never drug companies.

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

This may be a major advantage for HRC, folks. If Obama stays at the broad, sweeping level, viewers will ask, "Where's the beef?" (substance).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is at people getting mad about obama being 'pro bush doctrine' or whatever

Well, it's nice to see that you approve of the Bush doctrine.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah a little disingenuous because a hypothetical tactical strike is way different than regime change in a sovereign nation.

xxp

petey_carnum, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the word is "islamistical," Jeb.

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL at Gibson posing a question that could have been asked in 1976.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards: "If someone attacke us with a nuclear weapon, they have nuclear capability."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Uhh Bhutto was killed over the Xmas break. How "calm" a response could the Bush administration have hoped for?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, it's nice to see that you approve of the Bush doctrine.

-- Jeb, Saturday, January 5, 2008 8:18 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

thats not the bush doctrine retard

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

thats practical intelligent foreign policy

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary is winning so far. real strong + with specifics

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm going to go out on a limb and say something I very well may regret: HRC wins this debate tonight, and she'll make N.H. very competitive.

So far (early, I know), everybody else sounds very abstract.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

"I would call Jack Bauer."

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Deej beat me to it.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, HRC sounds like she's rewriting the Truman Doctrine, but that was a rather good response.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

missing the gop zings at this point...

petey_carnum, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's vagueness is disappointing to me, he's just positioning w/ reminders about iraq being a mistake

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred, as a pure matter of rhetoric, you've got to give HRC her due.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

HA! HRC looking like Richardson like he's a gardener.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf all three of them are right, if our country is threatened by rogue groups inside a nation that can't control them we absolutely should step in

This sure sounds like the Bush doctrine.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i12.tinypic.com/6lcc4sg.gif

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

And Obama started his response to two questions with Oh, I've worked on this issue before, which really should be at the end of the response or mentioned in a very short way (as HRC did, frankly).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

"yet"

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson = the Dem's Fred Thompson.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

there's a difference between declaring war unilaterally on a single nation and tactical missile strikes against rogue groups WITHIN a country that the nation can't control

xps to jeb

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Gibson's sharp and thoughtful. And he seems a little pro-HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, HRC starts to flail for the first time.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

this is gonna be good

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

now hillary is sounding kind of wack

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

hah yeah xp'd by alfred

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

But she's doing her attack in a surprisingly effective way. Not too mean or petty-sounding.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

btw Andy McCarthy's response to the debate above:

Hillary Just Announced ... the Bush Doctrine [Andy McCarthy]

Any state that gives safe-haven to terrorists who would attack the United States will face massive retaliation ... as if that state was part of the terrorist organization. Where have I heard that before?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

she should have transitioned out of the foreign policy part into whats wrong w/ obama but instead she's doing that calibrating and positioning re:"change" and vague shit like "consistency"

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Aside from Richardson (maybe), didn't they all endorse the Bush doctrine?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

and Richardson's a "realist" of the old school, so of course he would.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Is HRC trying to woo Edwards as a veep candidate?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

how liberally are you guys defining the bush doctrine?? any preemptive actions of any kind???

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Everybody's oddly defending Edwards.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

or as someone who could help her nail obama

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Custody battle.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh Obama is awful at this sort of thing.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

there's a difference between declaring war unilaterally on a single nation and tactical missile strikes against rogue groups WITHIN a country that the nation can't control

This is kind of a thorny theoretical problem, and this not really the time and place, but there are all kinds of problems with that distinction: who is the arbiter on what constitutes a "rogue group" and what does "can't control" mean? (All of this, of course, assuming that the "host country" opposes the U.S. going in.)

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think he is flailing terribly right now

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

obama is anticipating some negative shit coming his way

johnny crunch, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

As I have remarked before, Obama is a pretty mediocre debater.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

jeb i agree - which is why dividing people into 'pro bush doctrine!' and 'anti-bush doctrine' is kind of useless

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

xps

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

He is a mediocre debater. Still, Obama closes that one nicely. But he didn't get a chance to refute some of those flip-flop charges.

Now Edwards is chosing his dance partner.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards is being kind of annoying. and i like him.

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

So are we gonna bomb the forces of status quo or not?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

damn double team

petey_carnum, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

good to see edwards turn on clinton too, was afraid he'd be against just obama

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I said on the other thread that Obama's a bit like a Law Professor: Great at stump speaking, a bit rattled and humbled when challenged.

Now HRC will attack Edwards. Temporary alliance over. Knives out.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

35 years of change? child plz

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

lollllll

richardson to hillary: "u mad"

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I'M VOTING FOR RICHARDSON!

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

lol fuuuuuuuuuck richardson. this is the same type of thing step said wasn't going to happen w/ him tonight.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

wait what happened? i missed it.

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

CHANGE

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

hes kind of a hippie

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson surging. He's gone head-to-head with the North Koreans.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson said he'd been in hostage negotiations that were more civil...

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

does a bill richardson smoke weed?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson's jab was soooo lame - a failed Mccainism.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson coming out against obama weirdly

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

And the spotlight moment for Richardson amounts to . . . nothing.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Who's gonna count all that change?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh edwards stump speech time

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson got the remains of soldiers back from North Korea.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Who's gonna count all that change?

-- Kerm, Saturday, January 5, 2008 8:38 PM (10 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

coinstar

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, at last: Edwards' Romney moment: "good" corporations.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

haha charlie zinging edwards

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah deej otm. anti-corp shit is played/boring/plz stop

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

take a drink every time someone says 'change'

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul: "STOP MINTING CHANGE"

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck.. edwards shilling for at&t????

petey_carnum, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sorta glad HRC will win this debate. If she didn't, I'm fairly sure she would beat and slap Bill senseless later tonight.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha kerm

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

How much do you guys think the debates will matter in the primary much less the election?

I'm thinking people will watch the debates and just think "god HRC's voice is so bitchy lol"

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

No. Again, my prediction: HRC will rebound after tonight. She may not win N.H. or the nomination, but she'll get a bounce from this performance.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson killin it

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

if it didn't sound like his his synapses werent quite connecting fast enough anyway

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

god HRC's voice is so bitchy lol

But she's got a lovely voice!

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

poor close though

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

"change" to Richardson = ending war

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

obama has a good answer here

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

but-but-but-but

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Lem-Lem-Lem-Lem

Pillbox, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

real good answer from obama

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

A+ for that one

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

oh shit Obama citing the Dem-controlled Congress as a reason why the surge is working = baaaaad.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

no way!!!

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Harry Reid frightened the sheikhs in Anbar province!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

That was ridiculous.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

How much do you guys think the debates will matter in the primary much less the election?

As pointed out by noted ron paul looney Andrew Sullivan, Huckabee and Obama basically won Iowa on the strength of their rhetorical skills (and comparative weakness in that category demonstrated by their opponents)

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Cons' heads exploding over Obama crediting Dem victory for Sunni turnaround, even tho Condi acknowledges this.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I cannot believe Obama thinks there was a link between the 2006 elections and the tribes in the Anbar province thwarting al-Qaida.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards is giving a clever political -- realistic -- response.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson can't distinguish between eighth graders and eight-year-olds.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

dem debate is a lot more boring than the repub one

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Cons' heads exploding over Obama crediting Dem victory for Sunni turnaround, even tho Condi acknowledges this.

When was that? Sounds very un-Condi.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

As pointed out by noted ron paul looney Andrew Sullivan, Huckabee and Obama basically won Iowa on the strength of their rhetorical skills (and comparative weakness in that category demonstrated by their opponents)

Well, in Iowa, sure. But will it matter for New Hampshire? The U.S.?

Maybe I'm just remembering how much Kerry supposedly kicked ass in the 2004 debates and eventually had nothing to show for it afterward.

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

dem debate is a lot more boring than the repub one

-- deej, Saturday, January 5, 2008 8:51 PM (6 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

civility is engaging but boring

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

she can turn a phrase, Clinton. "in vigorous agreement"

horseshoe, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I cannot believe Obama thinks there was a link between the 2006 elections and the tribes in the Anbar province thwarting al-Qaida.

-- Jeb, Saturday, January 5, 2008 8:49 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

why?
genuine question, not argument

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

deej, how has anything changed?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Bush and Defense approved the surge before the Dems acquired control.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

??? what do you mean? deaths are way down. obama cited a specific example in which the political situation in the u.s. encouraged anbar tribes to start negotiating. i don't see why thats so hard to believe

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

(and? what does that have to do w/ what obama said)

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe I'm just remembering how much Kerry supposedly kicked ass in the 2004 debates and eventually had nothing to show for it afterward.

Kerry is a very proficient technical debater, but he's a poor communicator. I watched the 2004 GE debates with my (admittedly, v. Republican) in-laws. As poorly as Bush did, they nailed it: "Bush talks to the people; Kerry talks to the Senators."

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

is the rest of this 30 min long?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

lol double team

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

This questioner is terrible, but he's pitching a total softball to HRC. And she's all over it.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Condi used "The Dem Congress might force us to pull out soon and you'll be on your own" as a stick in her talks with Sunni leaders.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

u sad

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

That "you're likeable ENOUGH, Hillary" thing was weird.

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

UMMMMM i'd rather have a beer with hil than obama or edwards

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

adequately likeable

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

a bong with Obama?

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

haha
(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

That "you're likeable ENOUGH, Hillary" thing was weird.

I wonder how that will play. It's consistent with Obama's current theme: Act like the frontrunner.

But again, HRC is totally hitting her themes.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

That "you're likeable ENOUGH, Hillary" thing was weird.

-- Rock Hardy, Saturday, January 5, 2008 9:00 PM (58 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

was lol

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

35 years again. What happened in 1972? McGovern campaign.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

"I'm the only one who faced down North Korea about troop remains."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

It's weird for Richardson to tout his cred when his boss' wife is a few feet away.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"I'm the only one who just farted."

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

why?
genuine question, not argument

Well, it's such a tenuous link. A more common explanation is that the al-Qadia guys just didn't know how to behave: shoot-outs, wanton murders, that sort of thing. As an aside, I'm not entirely convinced by the concomitant argument, which goes something like, "we will see no political reconciliation in Iraq until we indicate that we are going to stop nursing them." I can think of a host of reasons why the Iraqi government is dysfunctional — the vast U.S. troop presence supposedly spoiling it seems an insignificant one.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson's banging on the table is annoying as fuck

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL at HRC smirking at the mention of Gore's name.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

and that Gore allusion was TOTALLY gratuitous.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Bill Richardson going to cry?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

UGH -- JFK was "one of our greatest presidents." Fuck you, fucktard.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards: "We always picture our first day in the White House. I always imagined what would happen if John Kerry died."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards and those damn mills

Pillbox, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

These questions--jeez. "If Obama wanted to marry your daughter..."

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards is so much better when he doesn't smirk (like now). But the nature of his message is going to energize some people and turn off a whole lot of people (sounds like pandering).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

back to the barricades

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, that was a generality.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

why is edwards still talking unnnnnggghhh

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, that was a generality.

What was?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

OH SNAP

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

He's got to establish "mill" drinking-game viability... Patience...

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Gibson as moderator in every debate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Uh-oh. Obama got tagged by Gibson.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

god these guys are so boring

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Gibson as moderator in every debate.

^^^ This.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

obama didnt like seeing edwards' monopoly on boring and meandering answers

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

it was an okay zing. he was too insider. "if they are standing up"?? i mean does he mean literally? that really didn't register with me.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary w/ the wrestling slam

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

disgusted obama ftw

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC: "Reality break: We're all scumbags, okay?"

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

larded??

Mr. Que, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah shes still killing it here

obama should have brought up the coalition-building thing instead of another personal story

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary does great.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Gibson as moderator in every debate.

^^^ This.

-- Daniel, Esq., Saturday, January 5, 2008 9:14 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Watch HRC bounce tomorrow.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

OH MAN

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lollllll at everyone freaking out about his criticism of the 'change' argument

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Gibson = the only adult in the room.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

charlie is great. can't be said enough.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

35 years ago I worked to help to make the case for the notion of change.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary on fire

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

sadly

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah hopefully it wont matter

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

35 years ago I worked to help to make the case for the notion of change.

lol

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I am the loudest.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

WHAT THE FUCK IS EDWARDS SAYING ABOUT TEDDY?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards showing he knows shit about history.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Arch-conservative Taft busted more trusts, fucktard.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards sounds so trite and pandering to me.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone know where edwards dad worked?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

goldwater republican in illinois i believe

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone know where edwards dad worked?

for Teddy Roosevelt.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

obama couldn't help but look at hillary when crediting bill. that was weird.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

obama sucks at this shit

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought that was his best moment of the night

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, this is waaaaaay less informative -- or entertaining -- than the GOP debate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama-- My words>>>>>>>>>your action

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson's "this is they type of bickering america retreats from" would carry more water if he wasn't dead in teh water

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

pretty easy when yr operating as a flat line xxp

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish Biden was here.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

emboldering?

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson: "Cut out all these cliches! Now let me launch into his stock cliches."

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson: "Cut out all these cliches! Now let me launch into my stock cliches."

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Obama checking his email?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

posting on facebook

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Why is it that we seem so confident about winning the GE?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

guyz this is personal for john

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Cut to Kucinich via satellite

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

lol "we"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

daniel you forget we enjoyed the repub convention because it was such a freak show

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

er debate

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

and because it was like a 5-way ufc fight

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

well scratch thompson from that

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i hate this constant tone of incredulity. more sniping plz

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

This is like watching C-SPAN at 3 am.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess we'll see how much debates really matter bcuz no one watching this tonight can honestly say that hillary didn't almost mow everyone else down

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

feeling like fred thompson here

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno j0rdan it felt like hillary has a marginal victory here.

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"weatherization"! ugh!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's low profile here suggests that he's trying to underplay for the NH voters -- don't raise a fuss, notice how great I look.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:28 (sixteen years ago) link

OOHHHHHHHH

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary was more straightforward and confident sounding than barack i thought, sadly.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

ahaha gibson got zinged

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Gibson mocking lib mindset.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

lol "we"

Good to see that I have a cynical colleague.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

The media frame of the debate will be desperate "shrill" HRC slapped down by Edwards/Obama team.

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i hate john edwards

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

decent edwards here i think! he's not repeating his corny FIGHT FIGHT FIGHT cheerleader shit

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the media narrative tomorrow will be: "HRC's back."

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

he's not?

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

lol i am college grad who just lost job :(

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

no! he's using specifics and good imagery

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i voiced my distaste at the wrong time :(

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

No, he's annoying...

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

"If you elect me President, I will work a second job in a mill."

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

he is annoying, but that speech didnt mention mills, fighting against the corporations, etc

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

He said "Mills, factories"

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

he's a step away from ron paul in terms of raving oratory and 'look at me bcuz i am not them' strat

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

not really but still

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf @ line item veto

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Line Item Veto?!

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Light Rail! Line Item Veto!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

a microcosm of this boring-ass debate was charlie's softball debate-joke that none of them even swung at!!! no one even whiffed!!! wtf?!!

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

lol richardson

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson, u r dum

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

FUCK YOU BARACK YOU RUINED THE MOMENTUM OF LULZ

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards/Obama are acting like frat boys. Not flattering.

Nice closing by Edwards. That question was tailor-made for HRC, but she was sort of flat with it. Obama is terrible with it (but he's playing protect-defense).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama-- "I wish I'd been boringer"

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

nah him and hillary had to play it safe and just say 'we all did good', what more could you expect

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

'nah' was an xp

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

no i don't blame him he just ruined a good moment

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean obv it's not a coincidence that hillary and obama were the ones who answered it presidentially.

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the debate was a wash. hillary was best but only marginally, what a boring debate

republican debate was good TV, like some odd reality show

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson will be Obama's Secretary of Not Knowing Stuff

mulla atari, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm still stunned by the collective muttering after gibson's debate joke

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

debate was good news for mccain for sure

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe romney's worst showing during the whole race?

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

debate was good news for mccain for sure

^^^ This, especially if independents now vote for McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary looks at least as hot tonight as she did in iowa

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/01/hillarys-debate.html

^^^this kind of shit makes me want to go all daria on a motherfucker

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that will be an outlier opinion, but we'll see.

Stephanopolis just said that Edwards seemed the most energetic and vital, so maybe I'm way off-base.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

He went for a jog!

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel I accidentally posted in tonight's ILNFL thread that i thought step was RONG in his analysis on both debates

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

idk if you saw it but he said thompson had a great night when he was basically inconsequential

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Didn't see it. I generally like Step, tho.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i don't think he's a bad dude by any means but he was off-base tonight

J0rdan S., Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://news.theage.com.au/edwards-rebukes-clinton-during-debate/20080106-1kd0.html

clinton says 'obama changes'. edwards says that now that things have changed, and he and obama are making changes, hillary has changed. hillary says: "I want to make change but I've already made change," she said. "I'm not just running on a promise of change - I'm running on 35 years of change."

jermainetwo, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

we can spare some change.

jermainetwo, Sunday, 6 January 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i don't think he's a bad dude by any means but he was off-base tonight

I think Step sometimes overcompensates for his role with the Clinton Admin. by being especially tough on the Clintons.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:02 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, I'm out, guys. I'm going to the White Room to get knockered.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Nite.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:04 (sixteen years ago) link

First paragraph OTM; Second paragraph off-base

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:08 (sixteen years ago) link

from my local news:

"One candidate though decided to get some rest. Fred Thompson was taking the day off from campaigning."

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Yglesias right in his assessment of the GOP debate? Generally, I think he's a pretty sharp commentator.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary's 35 year fight against the death penalty & nafta have made me proud to be an american.

gershy, Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe I'm wrong about what will resonate from tonight's debate. Still, I stand by what I said above. But we'll see.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 04:38 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit i just got to see McCain "change" zing on Romney.

zing: A-
McCain's shit eating grin: A++++++++

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

who was it that said that o/ed were coming off like frat boys?

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Gibson as moderator in every debate.

You mean Mr. "The-surge-is-working,-just-admit-it-you-cut-and-runners!"

Pleasant Plains, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:35 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain zing: http://youtube.com/watch?v=c6DR1Y3j_4k

caek, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Another zinger:

ROMNEY: I've been very firm about my position on the war.
HUCKABEE: Which one?

Pleasant Plains, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:36 (sixteen years ago) link

who was it that said that o/ed were coming off like frat boys?

Me. You disagree? (NP if you do; just curious).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't see the debate, but in the image above they certainly look pretty chummy.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

That Edwards/Obama photo isn't from tonight. It looks like they were on The Price is Right set!

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:52 (sixteen years ago) link

dating game, morelike

it's a cheesy huffpo composite

gershy, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

They both jumped on HRC (tho it was the way they behaved that made them seem like frat boys). Still, when Edwards rejected HRC's overtures, and sided with Obama in attacking HRC, I felt like I was watching an old pro-wrestling skit (when a ''good guy'' suddendly kneecaps his friend and reveals himself to be in cahoots with the ''bad guys').

(I'm not saying Obama, Edwards and/or HRC are ''good guys'' or ''bad guys,'' btw; I'm just using shorthand to distinguish my hypothetical wrestling characters).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Given my dislike for HRC, those instances were the highlight of my night (even if I thought she actually gave a good performance). Within debate parameters, though, I thought Edwards kind of ran away with this one. If New Hampshirites were watching, it should probably give him a 3 to 5 point bump.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought Edwards was embarrassing tonight, particularly his invective against the "status quo." He had an opportunity to speak about his own ideas about health care, and instead he let loose with a string of transparently banal rhetoric. If HRC is for single-payer care, that's "change" by any measure. I think Edwards position papers are often stronger than those by the other candidates in the debate, but sometimes I wonder how much of their strength he even comprehends. Well, that, or his debate strategy is selling him way short. Because he came across like a lightweight.

(P.S. I couldn't read Obama's facial expression as delivered the droll, "You're likable enough.")

amateurist, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:09 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC's response to the idiotic question about her "likability" was quite strong, I thought, in reminding voters that Bush was often trumpeted as the "guy you'd want to have a beer with" (etc.). (My problem with her has more to do with my threshold for tolerating political cynicism. She's not the worst imaginable candidate by any stretch of the imagination, but her voting record reveals just enough cynical "positioning" to make her less palatable than Obama, who has indulged in his share as well.)

amateurist, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

That Edwards/Obama photo isn't from tonight. It looks like they were on The Price is Right set!

-- Johnny Fever, Saturday, January 5, 2008 7:52 PM (37 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

it is from tonight

gr8080, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama to HRC: "the price is wrong, bitch!"

milo z, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul: "Because of INFLATION"

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I have to admit, I was sitting there watching Ron Paul talk about the reason fuel prices are so high having to do with inflation and felt kind of enlightened all of the sudden. However, not enough to go see if what he's talking about has any merit.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:43 (sixteen years ago) link

lol kerm

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 6 January 2008 06:53 (sixteen years ago) link

test

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Sunday, 6 January 2008 07:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul: "Because of INFLATION"

he was hilarious. like, IVE WAITED MY WHOLE LIFE TO GET ON TV AND TELL PEOPLE ABOUT THE GOLD STANDARD AND BY GOD I'M GONNA DO IT. a good foil to huckabee's william jennings bryan routine.

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 6 January 2008 08:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Man this is confusing! I'm half listening to the radio, and they're saying something about the Georgia caucus, and then they say Saakashvili has won! Turns out, they said Georgia in the Caucasus. :-/

StanM, Sunday, 6 January 2008 09:13 (sixteen years ago) link

just getting around to watching the debates tonight on youtube, starting with the democratic debate (youtube username: yd2008 , if anyone's interested on where to find)

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 6 January 2008 09:15 (sixteen years ago) link

cheers thx. football took precedent today, only because my 'hawks are still in it.

Cosmo Vitelli, Sunday, 6 January 2008 10:56 (sixteen years ago) link

You mean Mr. "The-surge-is-working,-just-admit-it-you-cut-and-runners!"

-- Pleasant Plains, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:35 (6 hours ago) Link

yes

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 11:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean christ im not looking for him to be 'right' i'm looking for him to ask tough questions and get the candidates to answer w/ some fucking convincing arguments

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 11:48 (sixteen years ago) link

test

otm

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 13:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Time.com -- 01.06.08

This is basically what I was saying above, i.e., HRC may have misanalyzed the electorate and this isn't her moment (I'm not claiming wisdom, tho; I thought HRC would bounce after last night's debate performance, and I now get the feeling she'll be pilloried for it). But the short article goes way beyond that, to suggest that the size of Obama's Iowa win has shaken HRC's campaign to the core.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 14:14 (sixteen years ago) link

You mean Mr. "The-surge-is-working,-just-admit-it-you-cut-and-runners!"

-- Pleasant Plains, Sunday, 6 January 2008 05:35 (6 hours ago) Link

Er, the "surge" is working; it's the political part that's shit.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:15 (sixteen years ago) link

er, as hrc said last night, the political part was the whole point of the surge

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

er, as hrc said last night, the political part was the whole point of the surge

It was an expedient answer, but it could prove politically dangerous come November. The thing is that if the monthly U.S. death toll dips below a certain threshold the public will accept a continued troop presence — as McCain (I think it was) pointed out, the U.S. still has personnel on some Japanese islands, and no one seems to mind that (except for the Japanese locals). The toll for december was the lowest since early 2004 or something like that, so it’s feasible that the threshold could be passed sometime soon. Now, that doesn’t make Iraq’s political future any brighter, but most Americans, I believe, realize that a premature withdrawal likely would make havoc of the shiver of political will that is still there, so if they are presented with a stay-the-course McCain and a cut-and-run Obama/Clinton in a general election the Dems could be in trouble.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:46 (sixteen years ago) link

My strong belief is that in six months time if not sooner Iraq will be a huge mess again on all fronts. I'd like that not to be true. But I'm willing to bet it will be.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

well theres been a huge jump in the polls something like 30% to 48% in people who think the war is going well buuuuut the numbers on wanting the troops to come home and thinking the war was a mistake are actualy trending even further in the anti-war direction.

so the public mood on the war seems to be: right nice surge can we stop doing this now plz.

the comparison w/japan korea etc as far as continued troop presence is kinda absurd - thers no war going on in those places - we lose something like 0 troops a year there. is that the threshold? when do you think were going to hit those numbers in iraq?

jhøshea, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Jhoshea has it right -- this isn't a 'surge is working, let's see it through,' it's a 'surge is working, let's go home' mood in general. NRO types etc. think otherwise, which is where it'll bite them in the butt soon enough.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 6 January 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

its worth noting that iraq is still by pretty any measure one of the absolutely most fucked places in the world.

jhøshea, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:00 (sixteen years ago) link

the comparison w/japan korea etc as far as continued troop presence is kinda absurd

"kinda"

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think anyone talking about "permanent" bases in Iraq is expecting even dozens of casualties a month in perpetuity.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont think anyone talking about "permanent" bases in iraq has any fucking idea what theyre talking abt

jhøshea, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

this isn't a 'surge is working, let's see it through,' it's a 'surge is working, let's go home' mood in general. NRO types etc. think otherwise, which is where it'll bite them in the butt soon enough.

^^^ This. For collective psychological reasons not completely clear to me, all pro-war arguments -- including the notion that the surge is working -- seem to be long past their "freshness date." Barring some dramatic event (e.g., a formal political treaty resolving Sunni-Shia differences in Iraq, a partitioning of the country, driving AQI completely out of Iraq in a very visible way), I don't see pro-war arguments becoming viable again.

Of course, that also doesn't mean scare tactics about what might happen if we leave Iraq (offered by the GOP nominee) won't be persuasive with voters.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm referring to stuff like McCain's 100 years comment.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes. That comment should be stuffed down his throat in the GE.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's 100 Years in Iraq [Ramesh Ponnuru]

He defended his comment that he would be fine if US troops were in Iraq for 100 years, so long as they were not taking casualties. I think liberals are overestimating his vulnerability on this point. But the question I would like him to answer is how he thinks speculating about staying forever will go over in the region, and whether such speculation serves our interests there.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

its really hard to overestimate mccains vulnerability on the war in a ge

jhøshea, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

He defended his comment that he would be fine if US troops were in Iraq for 100 years, so long as they were not taking casualties.

That's rhetorically defensible, but (a) it sounds completely manufactured, given his prior -- unqualified -- comment and (b) it's stupid (I'm all for having permanent bases established in Iran and North Korea, too, starting right now, so long as they wre not taking casualties; and so long as we're making a wish list, I want a pony).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

does McCain like ponies?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

It was probably unqualified before because its kind of obvious... He's talking about having a presence in Iraq after things settle down, which is a discussion worth having.

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Hm. That's putting the cart before the pony, don't you think?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

have the discussion after the "settling down" maybe.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

who's settling down with a pony?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

"Whoa, whoa, whoa... let's plan the occupation AFTER we're in Baghdad, hotshots."

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Iraq: impossible to leave. Oil. Defense industry.

StanM, Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

"Whoa, whoa, whoa... let's plan the occupation AFTER we're in Baghdad, hotshots."

I was sort of being facetious. Obv., we should do advance planning.

By the way, I'm not so sure it was obvious he was saying "after things settle down" (obv., now he's saying that, because his statement is so unacceptable otherwise). Remember, this is the candidate who sang "Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" a few months ago. He's very aggressive and hawkish when it comes to using U.S. miliatary power.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Two new New Hampshire polls:

Mason-Dixon Poll: Obama up 2% (a + 6% swing for Obama); McCain up 8% (a + 16% swing for McCain). Interestingly, Clinton and Romney's support is basically unchanged from a month ago.

Zogby Poll: Romney edging McCain; Clinton edging Obama. This poll is partially based on data from before Iowa, so take it with a grain of salt. It also apparently takes into account the fact that many N.H. independents will vote Democrat (for Obama), which will hurt McCain on the Republican side (I hope!). And while HRC still leads Obama, he's on a major uptick.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I was watching a live Frank Luntz poll on Fox last night, re: the Dem debate and pretty much the whole restaurant full of people were righteous over Obama, having been Clinton supporters as recent as December.

Hardly scientific with such a small sampling, but fun to watch.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I saw that. Like I said upthread, I apparently badly misanalyzed how New Hampshire votes would evaluate the debate.

Here's the other (pretty obv.) thing that struck me about that Luntz focus group: the group's reactions were very focused on character traits and broad impressions of the candidates' platforms, and not very focused on specific policy suggestions or the nuances between the candidates' positions. For instance, here are a few things I heard said (not verbatim, but close to it):

• [On who will best bring about “change”]: “I think HRC avoided the question, and Obama was very specific about how he would implement it” (end of comment)
• [On change]: “Obama won it because he was more even and HRC was not” (end of comment)
• “I was v. impressed with Obama’s coolness under fire, and HRC seemed to crack”
• “HRC seemed dogmatic, almost angry, like she was vicious and that’s what hurt her”
• Q: “Will you stand up for HRC?” A: “No. She got on the defensive for one sentence and stayed on the defensive and she didn’t need to be. . . . It was only worth one sentence and she should have articulated a clear, positive message”
• “She’s doing the same old things that have been going on since her husband was president years ago. She’s in the middle of things.”
• “She doesn’t like to be questioned. You bring up a point, and she gets v. upset.”
• “I can’t trust her.”
• “Her answers aren’t informative. . . Obama’s answers are informative.”

Obv., it's hard to give informative opinions on the fly and so soon after a debate (see our (sarcastic) live-blogging of it, for example). Still, these responses are just devoid of any discussion of content. Not one comment about the specific policy agendas of any candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:24 (sixteen years ago) link

the group's reactions were very focused on character traits and broad impressions of the candidates' platforms, and not very focused on specific policy suggestions or the nuances between the candidates' positions

this kind of statement reinforces my concept of you as an immigrant from outer space. have you EVER paid attention to political campaigns before this year? I mean, WE KNOW.

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry dude I appreciate your posts overall but once in a while it's like YEAH AND???

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

you ain't rollin with pawns I guess is what I'm attempting to express

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

in that sense the "why does people never likes you?" question was maybe the only important one. i thought she did the only thing she could w/it, and obama's "you're likable enough" sounded mean, but she's kinda stuck. people aren't going to suddenly start liking her. you can go into all the crypto-sexism underlying the "i don't like hillary" mentality, but it doesn't really matter. (btw i don't like hillary much, and i don't rule out crypto-sexism as a contributing factor.)

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

(although of course i would argue there are plenty of non-sexist reasons not to like her too)

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

otoh it's hard not to worry that everybody's getting seduced by these daydreams of "omg how cool if we elect BLACK MAN" and not really thinking through how things are going to go between now and election day. but on the other other hand, whoever the democratic candidate is is going to be subject to unbelievable slime and vitriol, and all three of them are vulnerable to that (because anybody is). obama definitely has play with the self-identified "independents." (one guy i know says he'll vote obama if he's the nominee, but probably republican otherwise -- i know, MAKES NO SENSE, but i think there's a certain amount of that out there. a lot more than there is for hillary.)

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i think people know they're "taking a risk" and sort of want to do it. the idea that the risk-free alternative is hrc, tho, is lol-worthy.

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Some people just rub you the wrong way, even if they don't intend to or try all sorts of ways not to. They just do. Hillary's problem is that this applies, in her case, to about 52% of the population.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

no, it applies to more than that. a lot of us would happily vote for her regardless.

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

she's defensive and angry. johnny sunshine just plays angry on tv.

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

it really doesn't matter that if she'd make the best president

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, there was a point last night when you could tell she was inches from losing it.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i think people know they're "taking a risk" and sort of want to do it. the idea that the risk-free alternative is hrc, tho, is lol-worthy.

this is true. i mean, i respect her effort to position herself that way, and i think she's run a good campaign for the last year. i'm a lot more sold on her now than i was a year ago. (that is, i've gone from knee-jerk "she can't elected" to "yeah, ok, she can maybe get elected.") but she still hardly seems like a safe bet.

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

you ain't rollin with pawns I guess is what I'm attempting to express

Not sure what this means. I know the point I made was obvious, but I think it's worth reinforcing sometimes.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Poor Hillary. And I say that with all seriousness. If she loses it will not be because of policy or issues but because of likeability. It's weird, even I cannot explain why I am not fond of her. I try to grasp at something substantial and all I get is hot air with a side of BS. And no matter how many Mark Penns are behind her that will never change. Not within the next few weeks, at least.

youcangoyourownway, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I know the point I made was obvious, but I think it's worth reinforcing sometimes.

no. the first clause of that sentence should always obliviate the second. FFR.

El Tomboto, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, I mean I like her fine. I think she's great. I just don't like her style as campaigner, and it's totally ingrained.

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

That focus-group — blech. It’s sheen over substance. I, too, cannot help but thinking this has an awful lot to do with Hillary’s being female in that I think that subconsciously affects their opinion of her (the same way Obama’s being black does their opinion of him — the ultimate white guilt reliever). (That’s unfair, I know.) I think she gave a very calm and composed perfomance — someone like Edwards was far more heated — but once you’ve been stamped with a brand you’re in for a tough one.

Tipsy Mothra OTFM about Obama’s probably embarking on an uncertain journey, should he become the nominee. There is just no way his momentum is going to last, and he hasn’t an awful lot going for him besides his message of change, his pedigree, and his oratorial skills.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

he hasn’t an awful lot going for him besides his message of change, his pedigree, and his oratorial skills.

this counts for an awful lot, though.

m bison, Sunday, 6 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

it seems that one of the daunting problems facing most of the democratic nominees in the past has been a lack of a well-delivered positive message, and obama has articulated his message better than anyone else in either party.

m bison, Sunday, 6 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

http://gothamist.com/2008/01/06/video_of_the_da_148.php

the botox looks pretty obvious in these. and i like the sweater for the irish folks.

gabbneb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Tipsy Mothra OTFM about Obama’s probably embarking on an uncertain journey, should he become the nominee. There is just no way his momentum is going to last, and he hasn’t an awful lot going for him besides his message of change, his pedigree, and his oratorial skills.

I think you're confusing his campaign style with his substance (although I know I was myself being slightly down on Obama for similar reasons upthread). Anyway, in a campaign, message, emotion and oratorical skills are most of the game, aren't they? WTF did Bush have going for him besides his message and his *likability* in 2000 (exclusive of the general political situation, which is even more favorable to Obama now than it was to Bush in 2000)?

Hurting 2, Sunday, 6 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Evening Standard, nice move:

http://i19.tinypic.com/726esxt.jpg

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards’ daughter looking kinda hawt:

http://blog.reidreport.com/uploaded_images/edwards_family-771256.jpg

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

fucking hell johnny, that's just... fuck this country!

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

ban this pedophile fuck

and what, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

"I've been making change for 35 years"

HIL ON DA CASH REGISTER!

Dr Morbius, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

reading David Brooks' "Edwards' political career is likely over" should tell you he's the candidate most feared by scumfucks.

Dr Morbius, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul: "STOP MINTING CHANGE"

Still the funniest thing I have read on this thread

youcangoyourownway, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

ban this pedophile fuck

-- and what, Sunday, January 6, 2008 9:13 PM (12 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

huh?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Mickey Kaus nails it:

I was surprised by all the talk in the debate spin room about Hillary's angry little speech after Edwards took Obama's side in the great "change" debate. The talkers assumed it was a potential Rick Lazio election-losing moment, an audience turnoff--a judgment echoed here and here ("dogmatic ... angry ... vicious"). ... I was surprised because when it happened, I thought to myself, "pretty good response." I've seen it again--here--and I still don't get what's wrong with it. Unconvincing, maybe. Heated, yes. But not overheated or uncontrolled or unhinged. This isn't the sort of thing I usually say--but isn't Hillary's outburst exactly the sort of forceful putdown male candidates not only get away with, but are expected to come up with? ... Maybe have a high tolerance for confrontation. I thought Lazio won that debate. ...

http://www.slate.com/id/2181118

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards’ daughter looking kinda hawt:

-- Jeb, Sunday, January 6, 2008 4:12 PM (40 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

and what, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

any kaus commentary on hil vs edwards is nullified by the fact that 80% of his posts are about the ridiculous edwards love child story

and what, Sunday, 6 January 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Feeling grumpy today, eh? For your information, Edwards has two grown up daughters, one of whom is standing on his right in the picture above.

Jeb, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I agree with Kaus though - I thought Hillary's response was good. I didn't think she sounded "shrill" at all and only seemed moderately angry, which I didn't find unreasonable.

Hurting 2, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, the Shrillary headlines have already hit the presses blogs

youcangoyourownway, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

source plz

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha i have no idea!

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

no, it's from pollster.com

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_of_pollsters_rating_the_n.php

Kerm, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/NHTopzDems600.png

jhøshea, Sunday, 6 January 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary definitely had the better debate performance and i found her eminently more likeable when she got mad. she seemed more human

deej, Sunday, 6 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, Zogby doesn't have a great track record for NH but... hey now! CNN/WMUR/UNH, the second most reliable per that Pollster list, now has Obama up by 10, and USA Today/Gallup has Obama up by 13. Unless Obama gets caught in an airport bathroom, this contest is over.

Hatch, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:15 (sixteen years ago) link

And the Nevada Culinary Workers plan to endorse a candidate Wednesday. If (when) Obama wins NH, he will almost certainly be their pick. That means Obama wins IA, NH, NV, and SC. Seriously, this really is over.

Hatch, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Jesus Christ ...

Did the weakest Dem candidate for the general election won tonight? I think so.

By sending forth Hussein Osama out of Iowa, Democrats have unwittingly weakened their general election prospects.

Hussein's exotic mixture of radical liberalism, Kwanzaa Socialism, antipathy towards the unborn, and weakness against his jihadi brethren will all come back to destroy him against almost any Republican opponent, even the snake-grope from Hope.

I think we as Republicans should be celebrating tonight at the coronation of Hussein, in whose presence millions of Democrat women, from elementary school teachers to journalism majors to law school grads to dykes on bikes will go weak in their knees.

As defenders of this great Republic, and of the pinnacle of Western civilization that it represents, we should all come together tonight and agree on a common strategy that will keep the White House from becoming a madrassa.

God Bless America, Land of the Free.


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1948084/posts

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Kwanzaa Socialism

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't Hillary's outburst exactly the sort of forceful putdown male candidates not only get away with, but are expected to come up with?

no, it would have looked just as slightly unhinged if it came from mitt romney or john mccain

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

What exactly did you find “unhinged” about it?

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

To: nwrep
If Obama wins the nomination, I expect to see Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton try to horn in on the campaign, claiming that it was their past efforts that paved the way for an Obama candidacy, and that he owes them.

-PJ
26 posted on 01/03/2008 9:36:36 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (Repeal the 17th amendment -- it's the "Fairness Doctrine" for Congress!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:33 (sixteen years ago) link

If a man went all "tee hee, I dunno, right on, uh, hur hur giggle" to a question about likeability...Jesus fuck. Lord only knows. All I got to comment with is swears.

Abbott, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://home.att.net/~phildragoo/wsb/media/240742/site1119.JPG

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess dee the lurker's been hard at work since quitting ilx

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://home.att.net/~phildragoo/wsb/media/240742/site1578.JPG

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:37 (sixteen years ago) link

As defenders of this great Republic, and of the pinnacle of Western civilization that it represents, we should all come together tonight and agree on a common strategy that will keep the White House from becoming a madrassa.

I hear music swelling under this.

mulla atari, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Barracuda by Heart?

Abbott, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:42 (sixteen years ago) link

ha i was just listening to that not a half an hour ago. uh so do these people really believe this muslim shit or is it just a particularly lame attempt at propaganda.

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:44 (sixteen years ago) link

It's like an inspiring monologue made a previously wimpy character near the end of a hit movie made in an alternate America where lynching is still okay.

mulla atari, Monday, 7 January 2008 00:45 (sixteen years ago) link

omg andy rooney is mad abt the candidates names - he doesnt like them!

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

huckabee touting his foreign policy experience - 'i've visited israel nine times' lol u fundie

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

guys the streaming audience-meter on foxnews.com is really fun

Gravel Puzzleworth, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah his ratings went crazy down when he talked about visiting other countries!

Gravel Puzzleworth, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

foxnews.com top stories

* Truck plows through Wal-Mart
* Stolen money used to post bail
* Buffet bans men for overeating
* Image of Jesus appears in potato
* Bold theft caught on tape
* Women, gay men are worst drivers
* Inmate sues jail after breaking out

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain is doing pretty shitty here and they haven't even started on immigration

Gravel Puzzleworth, Monday, 7 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

they have now

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i think mccains doing pretty good

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

going 'im too old for this shit' while romney smirks kinda says it all

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

* Women, gay men are worst drivers *
* Women, gay men are worst drivers *
* Women, gay men are worst drivers *
* Women, gay men are worst drivers *

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

'mitt, im talkin to chris right now'

SONNED

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

romney turning into the GOP's bitch is the funniest shit ever

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

the law huckabee passed in ark. that allowed children of immigrants to receive fed aid for college is the best thing he's ever done

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ethan did you see all the romney zings last night?

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i was out but i saw them today looool

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

'which one?' ahahhaa

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno, i'm not even trying to guess what people who might think romney might be preferable to mccain or huckabee could think because those dudes seem to have souls? Their live-graph thingie had romney's approval at like 90% of their focus group when he was talking about this stuff...

Gravel Puzzleworth, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

why are they all stuttering so much more than yesterday?

Gravel Puzzleworth, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

the repub. debate was the most entertaining non-sports non-30 rock tv show ive seen in 6 months i think

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

last night*

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

why is thompson even there? he rarely speaks.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i wish ron paul was around

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

no, wait....

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

when they speak "sensitively" of other countries these guys just drip with condescension. actually huckabee is the least objectionable in this respect.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee is the least objectionable in many respects.

And if you throw out Paul/Hunter/etc., the most objectionable in others.

milo z, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson, refreshed after a 10-minute power nap.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

^^i could hear alfred tell these jokes forever

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

damn, rudy

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

'giuliani, how will you mobilize republicans in the 2008 election?' '9/11'

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

last night i turned on the debate and giuliani was talking abt 9/11 and it made me so happy

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

heh, ron paul is talking sense re. foreign policy/islamism.

romney condescends to him.

paul and mccain are the only adults here.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, whoops. had an internet moment--i was watching last night's debate on youtube, and forgot that it wasn't live.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

The jokes on the Simpsons ep tonight are amusing.

kingfish, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i watched that, and you are wrong

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Enh, some of them were, then they got worse. Such is life.

kingfish, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

what was one you laughed at?

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

The Fred Thompson one and the Dennis Kucinich one.

Oh, and Homer making the guy dance like a crazed gold prospector.

kingfish, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

the dennis kucinich joke? really??

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

This is the Simpsons in 2008; I'll take what I can get.

xp

the first one, not the second.

kingfish, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

it was the first one ive watched in about a year because the concept seemed like it could be funny but instead it was a bunch of lazy custos non-insights about nothing

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:35 (sixteen years ago) link

why have fake candidates if youre going to make a bunch of jokes about hillary?

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:36 (sixteen years ago) link

John McCain trying to look likeable = funniest thing ever

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

X_X

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.news.cornell.edu/chronicle/99/8.19.99/mole-rat.JPEG

Sparkle Motion, Monday, 7 January 2008 05:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Supposed to be an image...oops whatever. Carry on

Sparkle Motion, Monday, 7 January 2008 05:05 (sixteen years ago) link

josh marshall

These folks have been knocked senseless by the events of the last three days. And they seem almost incapable of even thinking straight. Through the day I got pitched, formally and informally, by various Clintonites on Obama stories, most of which were almost embarrassing to hear.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 09:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I laughed at the Arianna clone and her Latino queen "ex-husband" w/ the assless chaps.

953 new answers

All the children are insane

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:21 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/01-06%20NH%20summary.php

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:40 (sixteen years ago) link

img embed didn't work, here's the link -- aggregated & averaged polling data for NH:

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/01-06%20NH%20summary.php

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Robert Shrum's take on the missteps of the Hillary campaign:

http://www.nydailynews.com/opinions/2008/01/07/2008-01-07_sen_clintons_massive_mistake__and_the_fi.html?page=0

The Clinton industry, encrusted with the beneficiaries and acolytes of the first and probably only Clinton presidency, has turned Hillary into a product whose sell-by date has passed. In a year of change, she has been positioned as the establishment candidate. The relentless appeal to "experience" reinforces that - and too often elides into a dubious attempt to take credit for some of Bill's accomplishments.

More fundamentally, Hillary seems to be making an argument about herself, not the future or the voters. No wonder she is losing to a young senator who comes across as the leader of a revolution in our politics.

There could still be a Clinton miracle, but by tomorrow night she is more likely to be the KOd Kid than the Comeback Kid.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Shrum makes a good point - she's not doing enough to emphasize the stakes that would make experience important. And back on to character, I also have been wondering if she would help herself by Sister Souljah-ing Bill - saying she won't be as focused on the small stuff. Not that she's gonna do that.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

If Hillary were to pull a Sistah Souljah movement on her own husband, wouldn't that mean characterizing him as too radical and playing herself (even more) towards the center? Maybe I'm misunderstanding your use of Sistah Souljah.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 14:59 (sixteen years ago) link

fine, distancing herself. except that wouldn't be what she's doing precisely.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Josh Marshall agrees with Shrum's point that Hillary is running a Clinton in '96 campaign, when what she needed was a Clinton in '92 campaign:

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/062901.php

There's a particularly kind of politics -- ideological and tactical -- when you're king of the hill, the guy or gal on the high ground parrying competitors trying to unseat you. This was particularly the case in the unique politics of the late 1990s when you had this great and very canny politician, Bill Clinton, holding the bundle of powers and prerogatives of the presidency squaring off against an emboldened but frequently unpopular and overreaching Republican Congress.

There are certain dynamics unique to that particular situation. Many Dems now bewail and reproach Clinton's 'triangulation' and micro-initiatives. But they had a great deal of political logic in that context.

...

But that model doesn't work for a damn when you're in opposition, as has been the case since 2001. And it was a ridiculous model for Hillary to follow in this election.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:05 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah shrum's obviously the guy to listen to here, sheesh

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

what i don't understand is why "george w. bush" isn't included in every sentence these candidates make between now and election day

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

at this point i'm kind of hoping for a hillary win in n.h. just to hear the grinding gears of the conventional wisdom realigning again. acting like anything's sure right now is so dumb.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge: Talk of HRC Exit Engulfs Campaign

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 7 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

gephardt, dukakis, kerrey, gore, kerry... am i missing anybody for whom shrum has campaigned for president?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

honestly, while almost every candidate is implicitly distancing themself from Bush, it would probably be a waste of time opposing a lame-duck administration that's already on its way out.

xxxpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah shrum's obviously the guy to listen to here, sheesh

Even a stopped clock tells the right time twice a day - Shrum may be an idiot, but I think his diagnosis here makes a great deal of sense.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:18 (sixteen years ago) link

This article was my introduction to John McCain (didn't follow 2000)

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A19085-2004May11.html

"Joe is bipolar and has had some severe alcohol problems as well," McCain tells a reporter. "He used to have hair. He has been accused several times of harassing interns. And he tried to pick me up this morning at the wrong end of goddamned National Airport." (Note to lawyers: He is kidding.)

caek, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

"the Clinton brand"

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo, i don't have shrum's experience with losing elections, but it's kind of amazing that he think hillary can out-"change" obama - in case you and he have forgotten, hillary is presently running a PRIMARY campaign in which she needs to point up her USP in the democratic field. if she gets the nomination, she will certainly do a pivot and run as an agent of change. clinton in 96 needed no such pivot because he didn't need to fight a primary battle

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:24 (sixteen years ago) link

"None of us would write a check to Osama bin Laden, slip it in a Hallmark card and send it off to him. But that's what we're doing every time we pull into a gas station," - Mike Huckabee.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

what i don't understand is why "george w. bush" isn't included in every sentence these candidates make between now and election day

coming soon to a general election near you...

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"Let Hillary be Hillary" = SOMEONE SHOOT THAT MOTHERFUCKER

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton campaign is bumming Obama out

"I find the manner in which they’ve been running their campaign sort of depressing lately," he said.

"Sen. Clinton saying, 'don’t feed the American people false hopes. Get a reality check.' You know? I mean, you can picture JFK saying, 'We can’t go to the moon. It’s a false hope. Let’s get a reality check.' It’s not, sort of, I think what our tradition has been," he said.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

"None of us would write a check to Osama bin Laden, slip it in a Hallmark card and send it off to him. But that's what we're doing every time we pull into a gas station," - Mike Huckabee.

-- elmo argonaut, Monday, January 7, 2008 10:25 AM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

huckabee quotes thread plz

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

what i don't understand is why "george w. bush" isn't included in every sentence these candidates make between now and election day

this is what my Mom says. they're not running against the dude.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"Bob Shrum has fought eight US presidential elections and lost them all. That has not stopped his re-emergence as an influence on Gordon Brown, an old friend to whom he has played host in Cape Cod."

The Times, September 27, 2007

--

Public dissastisfaction with Gordon Brown, according to YouGov:

July - 27%
October - 48%
December - 60%

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

not in the primary, at least

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know that Shrum is all that great, but he hasn't had very good material to work with either.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:31 (sixteen years ago) link

On NPR this morning HRC said she'd stay on through Super Tuesday.

Nightmare scenario: something happens to Bush in the Middle East and Cheney gets 12 months as president.

(Bush gave some fine Q&A answers yesterday to Israeli and Middle Eastern journalists.)

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

seems like bush'll have to be a central theme of the general election. republicans will make democratic candidate out to be gay mexican jihadist, democrats will make republican candidate out to be george bush.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary is presently running a PRIMARY campaign in which she needs to point up her USP in the democratic field. if she gets the nomination, she will certainly do a pivot and run as an agent of change. clinton in 96 needed no such pivot because he didn't need to fight a primary battle

But I think the point is that she didn't have to choose "experience" as her selling point. There were other options available to her: as the first woman to run for President, she could have made a convincing pitch for herself as the choice of change. She could have run on her vision for the future. Instead she chose to run as the candidate of experience - which turned out to be a very problematic choice, for reasons that Shrum mentions.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

you're suggestion that hillary ask people to vote for her because she's a woman??

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:47 (sixteen years ago) link

when someone loses theres always the tendency to blame the strategy but a lot of the time its just cause theyre not as good as the competition.

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:47 (sixteen years ago) link

She could've done this in a sly way. Put a mother in the White House, etc.

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Cokie Roberts inside-Beltway-media/pols-whorehouse hilarity yesterday on Stephanopoulos: "No matter which Democrat wins, there'd be a lot of changes."

DECKCHAIRS

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the point is that she sort of DID have to choose "experience" as her selling point, because the other positions were already staked out so clearly. head-to-head with obama as to who is the breath of fresh air, there is simply no way she can win that.

as for "her vision of the future" she's been a lot more specific about that than obama has been!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

There's nothing wrong with experience per se, but the problem for Hillary is that the concept of experience carries a lot of baggage for her. For one thing, it leads her to run on her experience as First Lady, which for a lot of people, reminds them of precisely things they didn't like about her in the '90s. A lot of people had a problem with the "two for one" argument given by the Clintons for why the First Lady, an unelected position, which had traditionally been completely ceremonial in nature, should now become a policy-making role. Once stung by the healthcare reform defeat, Hillary retreated to a more traditional First Spouse role. Now she is reviving that whole controversy as her chief selling point!

xposts

I'm not saying she should say "vote for me because I have two X chromosomes" - but I think she could have used that inescapable fact to put her whole candidacy in a different light. Instead of using it as an advantage, it seems like she sees it as a liability - one that she has to defuse by being more cautious and centrist than her competitors.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/NHTopzDems600.png

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think she's wrong about that

as for your first graf i think you've clearly defined the hurdles she has to overcome

xpost

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:57 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ totally straight line - BIDEN SUPPORTERS ARE NOT AFFECTED BY ANYTHING

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

That's really her style, though -- she is very good at talking policy and elaborating on her own plans, and you could easily make the case that Hillary is really the most rational, methodical candidate in her field. That said, policy wonking is not a very inspiring tactic for voters whose policy preferences depend on whether they feel they can believe in and trust the candidate.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:00 (sixteen years ago) link

"biden their time"

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Instead of using it as an advantage, it seems like she sees it as a liability

But objectively, I think being a woman is an electoral liability, more so than being a black man. These kinds of super-aggressive, head-to-head contests just don't work so well for women. Which is why Hillary comes across as shrill and nasty when she's on the attack, when if she were a man, she'd probably come across as witty and forceful.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary comes across as shrill and nasty because she's shrill and nasty, not cuz she's a woman!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

take a bow

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

biden their time even after he dropped out

dmr, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Gravel officially drop out?

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

<i>Hillary comes across as shrill and nasty because she's shrill and nasty, not cuz she's a woman!</i>

No, rubbish! Men can just get away with it more easily, it's more expected of them. Look at McCain's neat little put-downs of Romney in the last debate. They worked well for him, but if Hillary tried something similar against Obama, she'd just seem nasty with it.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that's bcz Romney, even w/ politics aside, is so clearly an ass.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Are we talking about "perception" versus "reality"? Look, when she attacks she's merely shrill, period. She does though have a way with an imperious one-liner.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

As expected, Hillary's national lead collapses like the Big Dig. Rasmussen had her up by 17 last week... today she's up by 4.

Hatch, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

yr both right - her shrill nastiness doesnt play as well cause shes a woman.

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I know I'm going down a dangerous road by saying this, but Barack Obama is black in just about the least threatening way possible to white Americans that might otherwise have a problem with a black candidate. He's a bi-racial guy raised in the Midwest, and he doesn't have any of the trappings of the stereotype of "Black Politician" that gets denigrated so much on Fox News. Plenty of Americans will vote for a black candidate as long as he doesn't remind them too much that he's black.

If anything, I think whispering campaigns about his "MUSLIM PAST" will hurt him more than his race.

Hillary on the other hand has qualities that people who are already hesitant about a woman president especially dislike in a woman (though, as pointed out, they'd be fine in a man).

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

no one says a man is "shrill" unless he has a skinny neck

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul can get pretty shrill.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

It's the Tiger Woods thing, Hurting.

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

can I just say?

LOL HILLARY FIREWALL GETTIN' HAXXOR3D

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

no one says a man is "shrill" unless he has a skinny neck

Well exactly. The very fact that there's a pejorative gender-specific term for aggressive behaviour...

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

U CAN SAY THAT LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The first African American senator was in 1870. Since then we've had exactly four others. The last (and only current one) being Barack Obama.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

what i don't understand is why "george w. bush" isn't included in every sentence these candidates make between now and election day

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 15:14 (59 minutes ago) Link

thats exactly why people LIKE obama, he's not waging the same battles as folks have been the last two terms. A couple 'lol george bush is dum' jokes and suddenly he's a hypocrit. much smarter to dismiss bush in passing as a member of a much larger club of idiots who cant get things done - esp in a PRIMARY campaign where that also indicts yr main rival

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

if you could make a line graph of 'ilxors interests in hearing bush-bashing' i bet it would have bottomed out like two years ago

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Come the main event, I think you'll hear more Bush-bashing, implied or otherwise

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sure the Dems will try to tar any Republican candidate with that brush

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

billy kristols first times editorial (whywhywhy) is up and hes suddenly on huckabees dik for whatever devious reasons

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/07/opinion/07kristol.html

my favorite part is his imaginary savvy, moderately conservative New Hampshire Republican debate viewing friend

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd guess he wants to sink romney and get his boy maccain in there

deej negative campaigning works, no matter why you think people like obama - and with george w. bush as president, negative campaigning is very easy - the ads don't even have to be particularly negative - they just have to remind people that GEORGE W. BUSH EXISTS, which the republicans are doing a pretty good job of making people forget

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Negative campaigning works, but it looks bad coming from the candidates lips. Always better to have attack dogs do the dirty work for you.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

This is a point the Bush campaigns REALLY understood well.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

the problem with hillary's message is it spells it all out for you - instead of saying "look at how much shit we have to get done and how little time there is before it's too late," letting you then make the conclusion for yourself, "oh shit, better get someone who really knows what they're doing," she's "look at me, i'm so special, i really know what i'm doing," which is exactly what most people don't like about her

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

the clinton campaign takes another shit on the Iowa caucus (via Andrew Sullivan):

The Iowa caucus process is a broken and flawed process. It was designed to allow for the active party Dems generally known to one another to assign delegates and was not designed to handle a flood of students and independents. It was a system designed to give more power to Dem party loyalists. In the tension over whether the candidates should be chosen by the party or by the general public, the Iowa caucus was designed to give the party the advantage. For this reason, the Iowa system failed on Thursday.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Can someone explain to me the Michigan primary situation? Do they just not get a say in what candidates run now? If so that's effin crazy, yo

Will M., Monday, 7 January 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

The Iowa caucus process is a broken and flawed process. It was designed to allow for the active party Dems generally known to one another to assign delegates and was not designed to handle a flood of students and independents. It was a system designed to give more power to Dem party loyalists. In the tension over whether the candidates should be chosen by the party or by the general public, the Iowa caucus was designed to give the party the advantage. For this reason, the Iowa system failed on Thursday.

Clinton spin or no, I also just heard a Brian Lehrer guest bring up the point (without any Clinton partisanship) that the current system was designed during the Vietnam war to give more power to Dem party bosses at a time when most Dem voters opposed the war but the bosses did not.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Nonetheless, Obama made a pretty smart move by using the acceptance speech to make Iowa sound even more important than anyone thought it was, thus de facto making it that important. He sounded more like he was accepting the party's nomination or even the White House, and I'm sure it was deliberate.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but such a statement attests a thinly veiled contempt for young and independent voters, which is not what she wants to be doing right now. xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, it sounds bitter and snippy.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:44 (sixteen years ago) link

the iowa system didn't harm hillary did it? it harmed biden, dodd, kucinich...

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

What I hear from friends in MI is basically what is said in this article: their votes don't count.

http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080107/NEWS06/801070333

dan m, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

deej negative campaigning works, no matter why you think people like obama - and with george w. bush as president, negative campaigning is very easy - the ads don't even have to be particularly negative - they just have to remind people that GEORGE W. BUSH EXISTS, which the republicans are doing a pretty good job of making people forget

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, January 7, 2008 10:29 AM (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

as a general rule yeah negative campaigning works, but bush faced - to no effect - an overwhelming amount of it in 04 only to win by a significant margin. The last thing i think we should do in bringing up bush is remind ppl of the condescending bush-bashing of the last 8 years

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.theindyvoice.com/george-bush-dick-cheney-dumb-fuck-mountain.jpg

lol!!!!

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"look at me, i'm so special, i really know what i'm doing," which is exactly what most people maureen dowd doesn't like about her

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

You also need negative strategies that target potential voters for that candidate instead of just pandering to a smug base. The "Bush is dumb and doesn't understand the rest of the world" thing didn't seem to cross party lines very well, because it played into the idea that those smug liberals think we're just a bunch of hicks.

Hurting 2, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

another line straight from dowd without a shred of evidence to support it

i really don't think we need to worry about people getting offended over insinuations of bush's stupidity and incompetence! they agree! who knows though, maybe the campaigns think like you do. but personally i think running against a historically unpopular president is a gimme - make the fight between the new broom of the democratics vs the failed policies of the bush administration

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Obama and Huckabee both take a negative view of Bush as a given. In a way, by not having fought the early-2000s battles lets them focus on the future more than the past.

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a given?? nothing is a given! these vipers will disappear bush like yesterday's pizza box if they can! and they will! people have tiny fucking memories! ignoring the fact that your opponent's current leader and president has almost single-handedly destroyed the world is insane.

new orleans is still a disaster area.

ground zero is still a hole in the ground.

more people without health insurance every week.

and soldiers dying every day.

but let's not mention any of this, let's be positive. jesus fc - born to lose

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

ignoring the fact that your opponent's current leader and president has almost single-handedly destroyed the world is insane.

i hate bush as much as the next cynthia mckinney but this is as delusional & self-important as right-wingers OMG WORLD WAR III!!!!! rhetoric about a few thousand confused jihadist dudes

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Hart jumps on Obama - http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/01/former_dem_pres.html

the iowa system didn't harm hillary did it? it harmed biden, dodd, kucinich...

without the viability rule, edwards would have benefited less from 2nd-choicers, and she probably would have beat him to 2nd and not looked as weak

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ahh, bill bradley.. good dude

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

nice jump shot

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently he could ball so well cuz he had like crazy peripheral vision or some shit??

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

he's not that old either

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Bradley's basketball ability was enhanced by his unusually wide peripheral vision. While most people's horizontal field covers 180 degrees, his covered 192 degrees. Vertically most people can see 47 degrees upward; Bradley could see 72 degrees.[3]

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

the next step in human evolution

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

new orleans is still a disaster area.

ground zero is still a hole in the ground.

more people without health insurance every week.

and soldiers dying every day.

but let's not mention any of this, let's be positive. jesus fc - born to lose

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, January 7, 2008 11:07 AM (5 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

which is why spending time 'bush bashing' when you are trying to make the argument that through reasoned dialogue we can solve these problems is counterproductive to yr whole message (if you are obama)

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

is Shrum applying for a job? is Bradley?

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpmbHvX9KtY

romney supporters in douchesack strategy shocker

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

when in the space of three years you've turned sentiment about the global hegemon from slight resentment/envy/admiration to outright fear and mistrust that automatically makes every global conflict 1,000 times more dangerous

i guess i'm tired of bill clinton's line that you need to talk about the other party as if they simply differ on the means to the same end that you want

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Did any of you stop to think that maybe these people owned the signs? That they changed their mind after seeing McCain flip-flop on the bush tax cuts -- within a single interview? Or that they finally figured out he was lying about amnesty? Or maybe that they got tired of his playground bully shtick the other day?

These are not criminals. They realize they're being filmed and yet they are calm. Like you should be. Think, people.

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

when you are trying to make the argument that through reasoned dialogue we can solve these problems is counterproductive to yr whole message

i am trying to make the argument that we can solve these problems by booting as many republicans out of washington as humanly possible

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, i understand these signs are posted on public property etc etc and it's hard to source the video but it's still pretty amusing

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

EVERYONE ON THIS THREAD: THE 1ST THING OBAMA OR WHOEVER WILL DO IN THE GENERAL ELECTION IS TO TIE HUCKABEE MCCAIN OR WHOEVER TO BUSH - THERE WILL BE PLENTY BUSH BASHING JUST WAIT UNTIL THE PRIMARIES ARE DONE OK - WHOEVER SAID THIS WILL BE ACCOMPLISHED THROUGH PROXIES IS CORRECT - LETS MOVE ON

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

thanx jh, we've been over that!

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

THATS WHAT IM SAYING

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer, if you think that kicking republicans out of office and shoring up a massive democratic majority in the legislature is going to lead to less corruption over time, then you are most likely retarded.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

the beltway consensus is that huckabee and obama are up because they represent a break from "the partisan politics of the past"

bullsh*t - they are up because they talk good and seem like winners; people just want things to get better than they are, for their looming insecurities about their finances, the environment, and the war to be stanched (immigration panic is a stand-in for these insecurities) and for an adult to be in charge - these challenges will require partisanship in order to get anything done over the republicans who will back and fill as long as it takes

haha jhøshea yeah ok

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

what we should talk abt is how obv conflicted bill is at the prospect of hil becoming president of the united states of america

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean he really hates her right

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo i actually don't really give a shit about "corruption" - i think it's actually the only way half the sh*t in the US gets done

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer Hand's War

as long as there are sterling ethical Dems like John Murtha around...!

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney wins Wyoming GOP Caucus

Even Wyoming media shrugged. I had to struggle to find this on the Wyoming news site.

Bill Bradley got far less shafted by the media than Romney is now. Not shedding any tears here. "Interesting"

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

haha dig my selective censorship

jhøshea bill's autobiography contains another glowing encomium to hillary on like every other page - i guess you could say it's all calculated but it seems pretty real

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

actually democrats are less corrupt than republicans - which isnt saying much

sure part of that has to w/being the ruing party - but theres also just more tolerance for that sort of thing in their culture

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

looking like a winner is a big part of winning.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

id say bill feels incredibly indebted to hillary - and intellectually he probably believes in her - but they have been married for 30 years so they do probably totally despise each other

but its his behavior more than any sort of reasoning that lead me to believe that hes not totally on board here - hes just seemed weirdly emotional and distracted the whole campaign

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

hey guys i feel better now

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i think if elections were decided on the basis of logic and reason, we would have had Presidents Gore and/or Kerry. instead, we got Bush because Gore seemed like a robot, but then almost pulled it out when he got all fired up at the end. and we kept him because Kerry and Edwards presented a legal case clearly outlining the failures of the admin and people still went for the guy who admitted he kinda fucked up a little bit but was all aw-shucks about it. we won last time because people got shocked by katrina and finally got angry about the news, and we played to that against less attractive people.

if a partisan message decided elections better than one based upon personal characteristics, we would not hear regular interviews with undecided voters who fail to make any serious ideological distinctions between candidates, but want to vote for the person who seems the least "like a politician." if the message that one side is inherently better than the other got through to these people, it would have done so already. the best way to make it clear is by example - getting a transformational figure in office who can establish a solid majority that then produces solid results over time.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

they have been married for 30 years so they do probably totally despise each other

i imagine just the reverse

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

"The people of Wyoming took the first step towards bringing true conservative change to Washington," Romney said in a statement. "I am honored to have won many of the first delegates awarded this primary season. As the Republican nominee, I promise to fight to seat all ofthe Wyoming's delegates at the national convention."

(I know I'm being an ass but lollers)

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

people still went for the guy who admitted he kinda fucked up a little bit but was all aw-shucks about it.

and who promised to save them from scary married gayz. "it's cuz people want a reglar guy" can easily mean "a reglar guy who panders to my bigotries." (obviously mexican terrorists will be the married gayz of this election. wonder if any gop operatives are trying to get immigrant-bashing initiatives on the state ballots, to really get out the nativist vote.)

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

the people who decided the election were not the people scared of married gayz

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

f the message that one side is inherently better than the other got through to these people, it would have done so already

Because it isn't true?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, we know about your strange ideas

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer, if you think that kicking republicans out of office and shoring up a massive democratic majority in the legislature is going to lead to less corruption over time, then you are most likely retarded.

Bush and Gore, what's the difference?

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

^so fucking lame^ Keep those expecs at rock bottom.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, but isn't it pretty elementary that majorities will seek to entrench their own advantage through corrupt means?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

there's an old saw about power and corruption, but i won't insult your intelligence pretending i need to repeat it.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, keep those expecs of leaders who won't illegally invade foreign countries at the cost of thousands of lives and billions of dollars at rock bottom.

The Reverend, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

And honestly, as cynical as I can occassionally get about partisan politics, the issues of government transparency and reform are the strongest reasons why I cast my support for Obama.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary now trying on Edwards' message: "This is very personal for me."

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, but isn't it pretty elementary that majorities will seek to entrench their own advantage through corrupt means?

duh. we also don't live in Zimbabwe. one side beats the other on policy every time.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

^^lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

joe trippi (GRAIN OF SALT) says hillary is broke http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/edwards_adviser_trippi_hillary_is_broke.php

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

what kind of reformer bona fides does Obama have?

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

or are you just going by "sit down with the insurance companies to fix healthcare"?

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, keep those expecs of leaders who won't illegally invade foreign countries at the cost of thousands of lives and billions of dollars at rock bottom.

Yeah, Democrats and Republicans -- they'll all torture detainees, right? And repeal the Kyoto Treaty? Might as well go with Nader.

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton didn't sign the Kyoto treaty. Dems rolled over on torture (repeatedly)

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

what kind of reformer bona fides does Obama have?

-- Dr Morbius, Monday, January 7, 2008 1:06 PM (5 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

or are you just going by "sit down with the insurance companies to fix healthcare"?

-- Dr Morbius, Monday, January 7, 2008 1:07 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

hey jerkass what are your solutions, then

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

He worked on ethics (lol) and death penalty reform in IL.

dan m, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: I'm not running (this time), asswipe. Edwards's solutions will do.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i like how morbs is so deeply skeptical of everything pols say unless what they say is skeptical at which point he just laps that shit up without question

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

MORBS IN 2012!

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

fixing healthcare vs childish gimmicks

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

this race is very personal for dr. morbius

J0rdan S., Monday, 7 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

skeptical is the thinking person's default setting for life

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

you appear to have missed my point

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

whew!

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

ive been waiting for someone to bring a 9/11 truther mentality to economic issues

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

what kind of reformer bona fides does Obama have?

I know it's some bullshit to paste from a wiki but here ya go

As a state legislator, Obama worked with both Democrats and Republicans in drafting successful legislation on ethics and health care reform. He sponsored a law enhancing tax credits for low-income workers, negotiated welfare reform, and promoted increased subsidies for child care. Obama also led the passage of legislation mandating videotaping of homicide interrogations, and a law to monitor racial profiling by requiring police to record the race of drivers they stopped. During his 2004 general election campaign for U.S. Senate, Obama won the endorsement of the Illinois Fraternal Order of Police, whose president credited him with having been "immensely helpful in working with police organizations" on death penalty reform.

dmr, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

That's all dandy, dave, but can he manage it at the Fed level, or will he continue along the lines of his Senate vote to make class-action lawsuits harder?

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

dr morbius : politics :: geir : music

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i know it's iffy to micro-parse the stuff people say live, but "I have so many opportunities for this country" is not a phrase i'd like to hear

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

automatic windows, power locks, tru-coat paint

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

and a racing stripe to make america go faster

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Clinton: Hillary is tougher than Mandela, Rabin

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/01/bill-hillarys-t.html

lol waht

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton cries http://abcnews.go.com/Video/playerIndex?id=4097366

i like her here a lot more than usual

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

she won't bake cookies, but here come the waterworks

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

we know you hate women, morbz

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

you do know that everyone is as bored with your potshots at me as they are with the Clintons, right?

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

poll?

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

pls, hrc seeking sympathy is as calculated as hrc tough as nails

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

anybody's potshots at dr morbius >>>>>>>>> the clintons >>>>>>>>>>> dr morbius's potshots at the clintons

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

poll which are you more bored with?

ethan's potshots at morbs
morbs' potshots at the clintons
life

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

What's this "at me" bit, tho?

libcrypt, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

actually democrats are less corrupt than republicans - which isnt saying much

sure part of that has to w/being the ruing party - but theres also just more tolerance for that sort of thing in their culture

-- jhøshea, Monday, January 7, 2008 11:35 AM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

^^^ NOT FROM CHICAGO

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

if a man had squirted a few tears discussing how tough the campaign was, the press would declare it a breakdown, y/n?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

ED MUSKIE '72, CANUCK LETTER

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

yah deej im talking on the national level - state or local politics - anything goes!

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo, y

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canuck_Letter

Ended his race, essentially.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

potshots = dud

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

ahh, bill bradley.. good dude

-- and what, Monday, January 7, 2008 12:11 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

the last time i saw my grandfather alive it was 2000 and he was putting bill bradley placards on all the tables at my gore-staffer cousin's wedding

max, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

yah potshots should totally die

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Potstickers, on the other hand...

jaymc, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

a chicken in every potshot
no amnesty for potshots
i've been making potshots for 35 years

Kerm, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway.... so is Romney done if he loses NH?

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

no. he could keep himself in the game by winning MI or SC.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Hugh Hewitt has already volunteered to have his brain implanted on Mitt's body.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

but he could easily lose MI to McCain, and SC to Huckabee, where Thompson's busy preparing to hit him/help McCain

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

def looks that way. depends how he does in michigan, but he won't win sc. assuming mccain wins nh, i think it becomes a two-man race b/w him and huckabee.

m bison, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

he could even lose MI to Huck

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

btw Obama made very good use of "They" in his Iowa speech

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Big crowds, sniping mark final NH stage

Don't scare me with headlines like that, Yahoo News.

Eazy, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe "NH" is working title of the next rockstar north release

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I wouldn't bet on it, but Romney can win SC. Huckabee is the favorite now, but he might lose some support if/when he looks less like a winner after NH. Romney's in second place there, but he could benefit from Giuliani's increasingly lower profile. Romney might lose some support on the other hand to McCain, but McCain has historical problems there that aren't aided by his immigration stance, which he'll get hit on.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"black lovechild"!

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

but he could easily lose MI to McCain, and SC to Huckabee

this seems likely to me as well

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

i think huckabee will do very very well in SC

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

does anyone think there may be a chance of a brokered republican convention?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

meaning what exactly

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

a brokered convention would be the most entertaining ever

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

is there any chance of a wrestling republican convention

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:17 (sixteen years ago) link

only chance of brokered convention is trying to take down huckabee. even if ppl really want to do that, i srsly doubt that's their style.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:17 (sixteen years ago) link

if no candidate gets the majority of delegates, the republicans retreat to the fabled smoky back room to do their mind-melding and horse-trading

xpost to shakey

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:17 (sixteen years ago) link

right, I know what it is - I was just wondering what scenario you were envisioning that would happen in... I mean, I think *someone* will definitely have a clear majority, just not sure who yet.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:19 (sixteen years ago) link

haha I'm probably *way* late on this according to the article date, but I had no idea Romney was implicated in some National Lampoon's Vacation antics:

http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1638065,00.html

After catching a couple of McCain interviews on Sunday morning, I want to elect him Zingmaster General.

petey_carnum, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

hitch goes toxic

http://www.slate.com/id/2181460/

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Would we accept, if Obama's mother had also been Jewish, that he would therefore be the first Jewish president?

this from a dude who wont stfu about how his jewish grandmother makes him fullblooded heeb

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

If you wanted a "black" president or vice president so much, you could long ago have turned out en masse for Angela Davis—also the first woman to be on a national ticket—or for Jesse Jackson or Al Sharpton. So, why didn't you? Could it have been the politics?

This is kind of a point.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ok that was fucked up but i kinda agree with him on normally anti-fundie liberals getting all gooey long as its BLACK fundies

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Isn't there something pathetic and embarrassing about this emphasis on shade? And why is a man with a white mother considered to be "black," anyway?

&

It would sound as absurd to a Kenyan to hear praise for a black candidate as it would sound to most of my European readers to hear a recommendation of a "great white hope." A white visitor to Kenya might not be able to tell a Kikuyu from a Luo at a glance, but a Kenyan would have no such difficulty.

are contradictory statements

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

There's something pathetic and embarrassing about our obsession with Barack Obama's race. By Christopher Hitchens

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

why not canonize hubert harrison or butterfly mcqueen - "as my ancestors are free from slavery, I am free from the slavery of religion"

and what, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Hitch in pretending not to understand the importance of symbol SHOCKAH

en i see kay, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe he doesn't think symbols necessarily govern effectively.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

getting all giggly over the church's website reads like some dim blogger imitating hitchens. OMG a button where you DONATE by BUYING STUFF what a fucking SHAM

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

The problem with Hitch's thesis here is that, with the exception of David Gregory/Beltway types blathering about history on "The Today Show," I haven't heard anyone mention Obama's skin color.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

yes this is the least participated-in 'national obsession' yet

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Hitchens is such a bozo - altho this: "the site offers a volume called Bad Girls of the Bible: Exploring Women of Questionable Virtue, which I have added to my cart" made me laugh

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

BAN HITCH
worst troll ever

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz doesn't he realized he JUST DONATED MONEY TO A CHURCH

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

"our"

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Huck skates Vert - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012846.php

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I haven't heard anyone mention Obama's skin color.

Which pundits are you unaware of??

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

who won't Hil copy? - http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/01/07/556046.aspx

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

reads like some dim bloggerimitating hitchens.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh i have been racking my brain trying to think of the quote describing fascist politics in 'vertical' terms vs the flattening 'horizontal' effects of liberal democracy... paul berman? maybe it was just a poli sci prof of mine talking off the cuff, i really can't remember. (all googles lead to huckabee, at the moment)

anyway, what a crepey little phrase

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

"I lift up mine eyes to the hills, from whence cometh my policy directives."

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Hitch would be more likeable if he talked about giallo movies and Nicky Wire.

Nicole, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

OH SNAP! a picture thread

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

hitch would be more likable if he didnt present wrongheaded bullshit in the most condensing way possible

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

lol typo

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

that hitchens article on obama is incoherent. it seems to change what it's saying (implicitly) every paragraph, or even every other sentence.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

the only common denominator seems to be "i have a feeling most everyone out there is a fool."

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

arh fuckd bi spellcheck agian

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

everything falls into line with hitch if you imagine ("imagine") him as a decaying 'apolitical' upperclass nativist brit with intellectual pretensions

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:26 (sixteen years ago) link

although, i should say, what *is* the deal w/the church obama belongs to? is hitchens remotely on target here?

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/graphics/2006/12/08/bfoxbridge.jpg

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

it's full of hucksterish con men, like nearly every church ever

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

that's not fair. obama lives in or near hyde park in chicago right? there are many progressive churches around there that wouldn't raise any of our hackles.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

but... all churches raise Hitch's hackles

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

ohhh i get it... getting all het up about what churches the candidates belong to. he's just extending his brand.

the racial stuff is just off, tho. it doesn't make much sense and looks nasty any way you cut it.

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

this is easy - hitch thinks religion is for the little people who didn't go to oxbridge

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

it doesn't belong in the serious world of politics

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

who would be hitch's ideal candidate?

an athiest with a hawkish foreign policy?

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

(i'll just mention adolf hitler so nobody else feels they need to.)

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

John Gielgud in Chariots of Fire

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

britishers not understanding american race politics lol

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

“VERTICAL” FOR DUMMIES by Mark Kleiman

Josh Marshall is puzzled:

He sees, on Huckabee's website:

“I think America is looking for someone vertical, who is thinking, Let's take America up and not down.”

Josh demands an explication de texte:

“Can anyone explain what the hell that means? Vertical? I guess if you're main opponent was Fred Thompson you might push the fact that you spend most of your time standing up. But seriously, is there something I'm missing here? Or is this the weirdest campaign I've ever heard?”

Really, the quotation doesn't seem like much of a puzzle to me, in light of this passage from Huckabee's victory speech last night:

“Americans are looking for a change. But what they want is a change that starts with a challenge to those of us who were given this sacred trust of office so that we recognize that our challenge is to bring this country back together, to make Americans, once again, more proud to be Americans than just to be Democrats or Republicans, to be more concerned about going up instead of just going to the left or to the right.”

There, that wasn't so hard to parse, was it? Admittedly, the last thing you look for in the speech of a contemporary American office-seeker is a vivid, original metaphor. Especially if all your friends think the politician in question is a boob because he went to Bible college.

Update Josh and his readers claim to hear in Huckabee's "vertical" reference a "dog-whistle" appeal to evangelicals, for whom "vertical thinking" means thinking oriented toward God. But this hardly fits the canonical "dog-whistle" episode where some coded meaning is hidden in an otherwise incomprehensible expression (e.g., references the Dred Scott decision as a coded way of signaling a desire to bring fetuses under the protection of the 5th and 14th Amendments).

If you worship any of the versions of the Sky-God from Ouranos onward, "up" means, among other things, toward Heaven. But the root metaphor is even more universal than that; "higher = better" is among Lakoff's "embodied metaphors," built into the way our bodies confront the world. When Ezra Klein says that Obama's rhetoric is designed to "elevate" the listener — or for that matter when a property appraiser inquires into a parcel's "best and highest use" or an organization chart puts the CEO at the top of the page — they're not reciting secret code-words; they're just employing a universally comprehensible image.

If there's anything more dangerous than treating your opponents as boobs, it's imagining them as engaged in dark rituals.

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

um, that's very nice mark kleiman, but if you want to say something like "higher and better" or "elevate" or "best and highest," you say one of those things. if you want to say "heavenward" but recognize that might problematic, you say something like "vertical."

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yah fundie nutjobs would never use coded language wtf

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

there are plenty of links like this one, too

http://members.cox.net/deleyd/religion/solarmyth/vh.html

the idea that it's an evangelical buzzword doesn't seem far-fetched

dmr, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

no, i think that's wrong. 'vertical politics' smells like a big ol' code-phrase to me.

+ what i was trying to remember is a (maybe much) earlier and unrelated use of vertical/horizontal to describe a different set of oppositions

xps

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee:

... to make Americans, once again, more proud to be Americans than just to be Democrats or Republicans, to be more concerned about going up instead of just going to the left or to the right.

Come on! Which interpretation is most likely?

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

oh i guess that settles it then

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

sadly that hitchens piece isn't even the most hateful op-ed i've read this hour. ladies and gentlemen, i bring you... bob garfield:

http://adage.com/garfield/article?article_id=122906

^@^, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

britishers not understanding american race politics lol

-- elmo argonaut, Monday, January 7, 2008 8:43 PM (19 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

hitch is an american you wanker. if gabbneb knew his shit he'd know the brideshead "zing" wouldn't fly.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

uh he doesnt seem too american to me

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

He became an American citizen last year.

jaymc, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

you can take the boy off the island...

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

he's in t.s. eliot 'he's yrs' 'no he's yrs' territory now

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

he emigrated to the US in 1981, clever dick.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

at 32 years old

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

he wasn't an american til he waxed his crack

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

why did i write that

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i know, he's been in america since 1981. what's your point?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

im not denying any sort of person from anywhere the ability to understand american culture but culturally hitchens is not at all american

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

his persona and voice are very brit-writing-for-yanks. he knows we like that caustic cambridge stuff.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

sadly that hitchens piece isn't even the most hateful op-ed i've read this hour. ladies and gentlemen, i bring you... bob garfield:

http://adage.com/garfield/article?article_id=122906


I kind of liked it actually. Pretty much on the mark.

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

No Faith, no Hope, no Charity--Hitchens is the nation's biggest loser.

Hitchens is such a sad fellow, let's all pray that he finally discovers God and recovers his senses.

He is so jealous and envious of all of us who love and trust in the Lord.

A sad, sad, fellow indeed. A fellow no one in his right mind can trust!....not even with his dog!

J0hn D., Monday, 7 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

although im sure its easy for a britishes to see how america has influenced him

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

J0hn that's an incredibly fucked-up post.

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i have advanced a theory on the hithens thread that he will be born again after a drink induced brush w/death

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Also wtf that Gerfield piece isn't hateful at all! Did you not get what he was talking about?

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

sounds kinda blinkered but whatever.

xpost to jhoshea

his persona and voice are very brit-writing-for-yanks. he knows we like that caustic cambridge stuff.

-- tipsy mothra, Monday, January 7, 2008 9:03 PM (37 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

oxford, dear boy, oxford.

q: was billy wilder an american? is 'double indemnity' an american film?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

go away.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

dan did you not catch the part where garfield unceremoniously leaps from talking about "five alarm racists" to the overwhelming desires of "the vast, white audience"?

^@^, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay that Hitchens article is really, really stupid. Like, mind-bogglingly stupid.

xpost: No, I didn't. It read to me that he was saying white America is explictly and implicitly racist. Is that a controversial statement?

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that the phenomenon that Garfield talks about is real enough. Not to say that conservative and racist are the same thing, but I think that this pheonomenon may have something to do with the many anecdotes of those arch-conservative aunts, uncles, grandparents and so on who have never voted for a Democrat in their lives but yet insist that there's something they like about Obama.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

dude he talks like england he acts like england what can i say

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

so wait john d. is not john darnielle i take it...

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

sarcasm/irony

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I think he was quoting slate comments section

dmr, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

just a guess

dmr, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

dude he talks like england he acts like england what can i say

-- jhøshea, Monday, January 7, 2008 9:18 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

sure but it's not like plenty american literary types haven't been fake-english; but to be honest i was arguing with gabbneb who has some weird problem with den kuch's lady for not being a citizen. hitch is a citizen so that's kind of the end of it unless gabbers is imposing some other kind of norms?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's church is led by rev. jeremiah wright, who is by and large a great guy

deej, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

yah i dont think citizenship has much bearing on someones understanding of a culture - which is what gabneb was getting at

jhøshea, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

xp Would you describe him as "flamboyant"?

jaymc, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

dan: no, of course that's not a controversial statement. but the fact that he moves so easily from talking about hardened racists to making blanket assumptions about white america en masse throws up some pretty major alarm bells to me. he's like a stranger who overhears one person at a party tell a racist joke and immediately assumes he's in the company of men.

i guess i can see how "obama's winning because he's actually white enough" passes for some sort of shallow insight, but to me it just sounds like dude's comforting himself.

^@^, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

the only problem i have with mrs. kuch, quit it, is that she isn't mrs. gabbneb. i've got a big problem, though, with anyone who's such a moron they think americans are gonna elect a president with a furrin wife, especially one more than willing to tell them what's what.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think it's his wife that's keeping him from the white house, but maybe i shd leave that argument to the citizens.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

the only problem i have with mrs. kuch, quit it, is that she isn't mrs. gabbneb. i've got a big problem, though, with anyone who's such a moron they think americans are gonna elect a president with a furrin wife, especially one more than willing to tell them what's what.

Teresa Heinz Kerry?

Jeb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Not to say that conservative and racist are the same thing, but I think that this pheonomenon may have something to do with the many anecdotes of those arch-conservative aunts, uncles, grandparents and so on who have never voted for a Democrat in their lives but yet insist that there's something they like about Obama.

... not calling you wrong, but I think it might also because the lack of electable GOP candidates? just a thought.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think it's his wife that's keeping him from the white house, but maybe i shd leave that argument to the citizens.

there are a number of things, his wife included, that are probably sufficient in this regard

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

in '04, THK had been a citizen for 33 years and shared a name with America's favorite vegetable. not that people liked her much.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

dan: no, of course that's not a controversial statement. but the fact that he moves so easily from talking about hardened racists to making blanket assumptions about white america en masse throws up some pretty major alarm bells to me. he's like a stranger who overhears one person at a party tell a racist joke and immediately assumes he's in the company of men.

i guess i can see how "obama's winning because he's actually white enough" passes for some sort of shallow insight, but to me it just sounds like dude's comforting himself.

WTF, that's completely wrong. Or anyway, that's not the way I interpreted that. He doesn't come across at all to me like someone who's comforting himself, rather as someone who is being very cynical about American race relations. He doesn't think he's "in the company of men" (correct me if this is not meant to imply dude is identifying and aligning himself with the racists), he thinks he's in the company of assholes who might do the right thing in spite of themselves.

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

... not calling you wrong, but I think it might also because the lack of electable GOP candidates? just a thought

Sure, I agree there are many other valid reasons that someone who is otherwise politically conservative might express admiration for Obama (including his inclusive, hopeful message), but I'm just saying that in a few cases part of it could be a desire to showcase the fact that they couldn't possibly be racist, because, hey look, I'm open-minded enough to support a black man for President.

o. nate, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Katha Pollitt:

In real life, Obama has made the same sort of compromises Clinton herself has made. As she pointed out, he said he'd vote against the Patriot Act, and then he voted for it. He casts himself as the candidate who'd repair our bellicose relations with the world, and then talks about bombing Pakistan. He talks about putting Republicans in his cabinet, as Bill Clinton did. His health-care plan, as Paul Krugman points out every day on the New York Times op-ed page, is weaker than Clinton's or Edwards'. I'm sure Hillary Clinton must be wondering what the difference is between "triangulation" and Obama's calls for unity.

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/anotherthing?pid=266783

Dr Morbius, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Gallup has Obama & Clinton tied nationally:

http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/01/gallup-clinton.html

elmo argonaut, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

keep shouting into the void there, xp

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

a few cases part of it could be a desire to showcase the fact that they couldn't possibly be racist, because, hey look, I'm open-minded enough to support a black man for President.

Do you think this is also affecting Democrats voting for Obama?

Gavin, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

saying Obama talked about "bombing Pakistan" is a gross distortion

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

barack obombistan

tipsy mothra, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

meanwhile I just flipped past Schnitt's show and he was talking about bombing Eye-ran again. "REMEMBER THE U.S.S. COLE!!!"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

this hrc soft-voice shit is driving me batty. get her off the stage already.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

In the Electoral Marketplace, He Had to Pass the Halle Berry Test

he had to have sex with Billy Bob Thornton?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Where's the bounce? In South Carolina, apparently, where Obama is already breaking 50%.

Hatch, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

DAMNN

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/01/rival-reacts-to.html

edwards says 'crybaby'

obama says '...'

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

is this teary-eyed story going to die after a couple of days or is this gonna be one of those dean-scream, THE MOMENT IT ALL CHANGED things bleggggh

m bison, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i hate it when simpy shit like this takes over but that's the ball game

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

SO WHY POST IT?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I just don't even understand what she was tearing up about...? Its not like someone asked her a tough or personal or even vaguely pointed question. she wasn't discussing anything particularly moving or inspirational.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean "how do you do it?" what kinda weakass "gimme" question is that??

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

why post it? in a 'stay classy, john boy' kind of way

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

the BBC gets in on the act - footage of HRC tearing up while saying "everybody thinks this race is about who's up and who's down... it's about our country" and the spoken signpost from the presenter is (verbatim):

"DOWN IN THE POLLS, HILLARY TURNS ON THE EMOTION"

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

she was crying because she's never gonna be prez solving all of our problems/the future of America's gonna die with the quixotic, doomed candidacy of the great liberal hope barack obama

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

presenter 100% OTM

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

they didn't even have to change the textbook they used on gore in 2000, just dusted it off a little

haha gabbneb you have so much faith in our national institutions no matter how dishonest they are, it's kind of amazing

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

which ones?

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

the primary process, the general election process, the press, the national parties

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

NRO: Margaret Thatcher wouldn't have made fun of Hils.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, I don't pretend that there's some alternative to them that will magically appear like a pony

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

oh and i so do, gabbneb!

"constantly reinventing herself, the most ambitious politician alive, willing to say and do anything.." yadayada i can't believe you buy all that again

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

again with the pony

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer you're being petty and you're smarter than that

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

In lieu of an eight-paragraph post about Obama race editorial, can I just ask how I was the last person on the planet to notice that Chuck Norris was campaigning for Huckabee? I'm sitting there watching news about the Iowa results and I'm like wait, WTF: was that CHUCK NORRIS in the background there???

nabisco, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

smarter than what? the repetition of ancient scripts meant to turn democratic leaders into robotic aliens, propogated by a press corps which is universally acknowledged to viscerally loathe hillary clinton? i should fricking hope so!

of course it is always possible that hillary engaged in some playacting, and squeezed a few tears out in order to have that clip replayed endlessly and mocked by the national media -- what a devious player she is

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

"constantly reinventing herself, the most ambitious politician alive, willing to say and do anything.." yadayada i can't believe you buy all that again

no, i don't think hrc is driven by ambition. i think she's absolutely driven by the right things (tho i think she's also driven at least in minor part by a desire for revenge at the way she's been attacked and vilified that causes her to want to win for personal reasons). i do think that she constantly reinvents how she goes about it because she just doesn't have especially great political/personal skills the way her husband and obama do, and that she is totally willing to try on different personas/demeanors to try to compensate. i think even people who agree with and admire her dislike and are sick of it and are very happy to find a natural, someone who has the confidence she doesn't, who is unafraid of being open in a way she isn't.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, nabisco.

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

TS: David Bowie vs Prince

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

nabisco i noticed that. he has a huge head.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it will be a while still before a woman is able to exist in national politics in the charismatic natural-charmer way that people like Bill and Barack are

nabisco, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i honestly don't know what the 'motivation' for her 'outburst' is. i can't bring myself to watch the video of it. i'm predisposed to a fair amount of dislike for HRC, so i'm tempted to think it's largely frustration. but, i have no idea what it's really about. shit, i tear up at the right commercial at the wrong time sometimes.

now, as an event, 'stumbles' and/or 'emotional moments' like these are fresh bloody chum to the dim and simplistic end of the media -- local television, crucially -- so sadly enough, this will be an important moment. if i were running a rival campaign, i'd keep my collective trap shut and not give it much air. the temptation to swat at the (deceptively) easy pitch is right there (edwards!!) but if you want to play your own tune for the time being you can't get sucked into this kinda thing.

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

xps, obv

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe for "able" in that last post of mine you should substitute "allowed" or "allowed successfully"

nabisco, Monday, 7 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

probably the definitive chuck-as-pundit moment: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4IpCuucaZBI

(tracer i wasn't referring to your arguments but your tone. but i'm sorry, i wasn't adding to anything by saying it.)

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:00 (sixteen years ago) link

possible, but there are lots of women who if not quite stars are perfectly capable political performers - condi, sebelius, whitman, napolitano, hutchison, etc.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:00 (sixteen years ago) link

BOXER

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I haven't watched it either but judging from the transcript, yeh I kinda think bbc presenter IS otm. what, she cries when someone asks her who does her hair?? wtf

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb otm re: women. hillary /= all women in politics.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

BOXER is a perfectly capable political performer in the way DEAN is

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

or, er, Thatcher.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Have you seen Hillary's hair lately? She should cry when someone asks her about it!

(cue rage at making hair joke about someone with bad hair who also happens to have a vagina)

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

dude, she has great helmet hair

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

why is there ennio morricone-style music in that chuck norris/mike huckabee ad? i don't recall chuck being in any westerns. are they hoping people will confuse him with clint eastwood?

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i suppose it's some generalized movie/machismo/lone wolf/stand up for what's right sort of thing.

amateurist, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.ladyofthecake.com/mel/space/images/shothair.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Feinstein WAY more Thatcheresque than Boxer. I pretty much hate her tho (and Thatcher too! quel surprise)

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:07 (sixteen years ago) link

would Thatcher fly here? I'm not so sure.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:07 (sixteen years ago) link

oh probably not - she struck some particularly British chords in her ascendancy.

I think my favorite nat'l level woman-in-politics is probably Mikulski, actually.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:08 (sixteen years ago) link

we want our prez to be 'likeable'. even HW was sort of amiable in his country club wimpy thing.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

no, i don't think hrc is driven by ambition. i think she's absolutely driven by the right things

every politician is driven by ambition, kucinich or paul no less than hillary or obama or huckabee. it doesn't necessarily cancel out also being "driven by the right thing," though.

J.D., Monday, 7 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf Mikulski's a lesbian??! I had no idea

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

really hillary is more blatantly ambitious than any candidate running now except maybe giuliani, it's hard to imagine how anyone could miss it

J.D., Monday, 7 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm merely explaining to tracer that attacking hillary on style is not the same as the standard rightwing fear-based attack on her as craven harpy

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:12 (sixteen years ago) link

meanwhile Thompson's doin' it so that the Mainstream Media can admire what fine pussy he gets every night.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:12 (sixteen years ago) link

but if you want to play just to play, i'd suggest that the guy who was a state senator a few years ago might have her beat there

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

thx for that image Alfred

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

That list would be 100% more convincing to me if it didn't contain, like, Condi, who is perceived as even more screened-back / robotic / inhuman than Hillary is: are you seriously imagining Rice making warm forthright connections with people at pancake breakfasts here? The reasons I say that kind of thing isn't yet a wide-open option for women all go kind of double for someone like Rice.

I'd also note that I say that not solely in terms of some kind of suspicion of women or anti-woman bias, but because the current models we have of Likable Politician are all male/masculine models, and there's no reason they SHOULD map neatly onto women, who are still in the process of creating models of whatever kind of persona is the best one for a woman to communicate with an electorate.

Even the Thatcher model here is ... again, it involves not having the warm-human-connection thing someone like Bill Clinton had; one of the selling points of her persona was STERNNESS, for god's sake

nabisco, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson, once again, is just helping out his good buddy Johnny Mac

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Condi has her own challenges, sure. Maybe she doesn't belong on the list. But I can totally see her talking football with the folks.

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

or about pussy with Thompson.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

oh DEAR

gabbneb, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

She talks about pussy with everyone so that's not a stretch.

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

oh the zings

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

did I mention I have a family member serving as Condi's bodyguard

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

oh the stories I wish he would tell me

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

picard.jpg

gff, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.impawards.com/1996/posters/bound_ver1.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:18 (sixteen years ago) link

can we get back to race relations again for a minute.

i know this was covered in this thread and the old one, but how do blacks view obama's background in terms of race and class? (not there is one answer for one group of people, obv)

i ask because i was watching a some reruns of the chapelle show late last night. and i was watching this "race draft" skit. tiger woods, played by chappelle w/the 'dorky white guy voice', is drafted by the blacks and it occurred to me that, like tiger woods, obama isn't (at least in one sense) 'black'

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think Mikulski is out.

jaymc, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(quite a revelation, i know)

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

oops that was an xpost to myself

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

there were many many months in the media (i.e. FOX) where the headlines were all like "IS OBAMA BLACK ENOUGH?" as though there would suddenly be some anti-Obama backlash and every black person would vote for Fred Thompson

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I've heard a few black people say they weren't sure Obama was black enough but they also went on to say that they never voted anyway so I kind of tuned them out.

HI DERE, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:41 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

obviously obama is 'blacker' than alan keys

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i was watching one of the cable news channels and on the news scrawl it said jesse jackson is supporting obama, but his wife did a radio ad for hillary in south carolina

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

so maybe its just bros vs hos

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:43 (sixteen years ago) link

obama is black enough to not get elected.

tremendoid, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:54 (sixteen years ago) link

thats controversial

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

if i were to place a cash bet today on who'd be president i would def. pick obama

artdamages, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean no offense but i'm in no mood to assuage sudden white hand-wringing over the one-drop rule in 2008. fuck off, vote for him or don't.

tremendoid, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

grrr said i wouldn't post here, i've taken to cynicism with a born again fervor and when the dems lose I'MA GET PAID

tremendoid, Monday, 7 January 2008 23:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I honestly can't conceive of a scenario where the Dems lose this election - barring some sort of unpredictable, world-shattering event that completely changes the playing field

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

THIS JUST IN: BRITNEY GETS CUSTODY

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Dems screwed now

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thepage.time.com/letter-to-afscme-president-mcentee

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:13 (sixteen years ago) link

who is he kidding

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

don't think that line will last long if bradley's on the ticket

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean no offense but i'm in no mood to assuage sudden white hand-wringing over the one-drop rule in 2008. fuck off, vote for him or don't.

-- tremendoid, Monday, January 7, 2008 11:57 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Link

sounds like you got your own issues. i just think its interesting. and, you know, maybe what the american public or factions thereof think about race is complicated.

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

omarobama bradley

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently obama in a decent baller himself

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

"i too was seduced by jfk" - hillary staffer on the radio

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

if hilary people are conceding obama is jfk like then its over for her

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

it seems like today is the day the media decided this shit is over

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

artdamages you're right and i'm sorry and no fucking duh it's complicated URGE TO KILL RISING uh again i'm sorry.

tremendoid, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 00:26 (sixteen years ago) link

its cool

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i happened to be thinking about the question of obama, his race, his candidacy, and the possibility of his presidency, and I couldn't help but wonder -- and this is optimistic -- that an obama presidency could prove to be a profound touchstone for a conversation about race on a scale that this country hasn't seen since the civil rights era. whether people describe him as african-american, as 'acceptably black,' as multiracial, or however, everyone is going to have an opinion on the subject, and his candidacy is not going pass unremarked on this issue.

i just hope the process is more productive than ilx racism threads.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

A survey taken late last month for CBS found that nearly 40% of black voters in South Carolina believed the country was not "ready to elect a black president," compared with 34% of whites -- a sentiment that Obama aides viewed as a far greater impediment to his election than flat-out racism among those who would never vote for him anyway.

deej, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

two out of three of my black coworkers I interact with on a daily basis were retreading the "gonna get shot" narrative angle the morning after iowa

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

retreading the "gonna get shot" narrative

this had occurred to me, too ;_;

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

deej, source?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

i just hope the process is more productive than ilx racism threads.

dear obama,
hollertronix c/d?
also, u want to rock y/n?
thx!

tipsy mothra, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

p.s.
kill whitey?

tipsy mothra, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Do you think this is also affecting Democrats voting for Obama?

Maybe in a few cases - I don't really think this dynamic is responsible for a large percentage of Obama support from either side though.

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, Hillary promises to abolish the FAFSA

she's actually doing pretty well in full-throated mode in this rally i'm watching. it helps that she isn't at the royal distance from the audience.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, "we should even have a government blogging team"

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

by tomorrow morning, she'll be smoking weed and playing Wii

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

<i>"we should even have a government blogging team"</i>

Please tell me that's not a real quote.

Nicole, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Ok, "that is not a real quote."

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

the blogging team is not part of a government transparency initiative

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

bill and chelsea do not look like deer in headlights standing behind her

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the blog post about "acceptable blackness" is a LITTLE bit oversimplifying things. I mean it's true to an extent, but I don't buy this idea that "the racists" will vote for him to make themselves feel better, as though racists were a monolithic voting block. I'm sure the "acceptable blackness" factor will be one of many affecting voters with varying degrees of racism and/or white guilt, but it's not like half of America is going to go "OMG FINALLY A COMPLETELY WHITEWASHED BLACK GUY WITH NO TRADITIONALLY BLACK CHARACTERISTICS DON'T EVEN TELL ME ANYTHING ELSE ABOUT HIM!"

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Also I think the most racist voters are more likely to come up with some excuse like, "I just don't like the looks of him," or "I just don't trust him" -- especially with the added *secret muslim* story and the international past.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

lololol, WMUR evening news excerpts interview with Gravel in which he complains about campaigns busing in supporters from New York, then reports that he went to Exeter the day before "and told students there to use marijuana instead of alcohol" (there goes the morbs vote!)

Romney campaign commercial forecasts more change in the next ten years than in the last ten decades - scariest shit i've ever heard

this really is the greatest show on earth.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Hurting OTM. Can't wait to hear my grandfather's opinion on this

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Dude Barack basically promised to abolish the FAFSA on his site:

Obama will streamline the financial aid process by eliminating the current federal financial aid application and enabling families to apply simply by checking a box on their tax form, authorizing their tax information to be used, and eliminating the need for a separate application.

Abbott, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

My father-in-law (in thick Israeli accent): "I don't know, there's just something I don't trust... He is a stranger"

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

My in-laws can be moderately forgiven for not having a full grasp of the American media from whence they sometimes get wrongheaded ideas.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QaDUDN0G1k

wait, where's Martin Sheen?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

what up dixville notch

jergïns, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 08:53 (sixteen years ago) link

so this bloated all day orgy is officially on and i already miss the 2 hour thrillride that was iowa.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 11:42 (sixteen years ago) link

You know who would love this election? My racist grandfather.

caek, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 12:25 (sixteen years ago) link

... and they're off!

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 14:45 (sixteen years ago) link

http://theanchoressonline.com/2008/01/07/will-2008-finish-what-1968-began/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, the Anchoress. She's a curious sort, that one.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

The biggest problem with Hillary's campaign is the minute a blogger buys a campaign staffer a drink, they fall over themselves to blab all the petty gossip on how the Clinton campaign is imploding and their manager sucks and how she's probably going to drop out anyway. The press is going to spin NH as a mass Democratic Exodus with Obama in the starring role of Moses, but will gloss over the fact the Clinton campaign was rupturing internally.

But that's how NH goes.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

"I don't know, there's just something I don't trust... He is a stranger"

The Madrassa Candidate

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I wrote that ^^^ before I saw that the Anchoress has already deployed the same Obama-Moses analogy. Heh.

xpost

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I honestly can't conceive of a scenario where the Dems lose this election

You know it's the Democratic Party, right?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I have a sneaky feeling no one but Edwards would have a decent shot to beat McCain in November (and I'm far from sanguine about that matchup).

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I wouldn't get too confident just yet. xp

Nicole, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

(0)_(o)<woah) @ John "Gates of Hell" McCain

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/07/washington/politicsspecial/21400645.JPG

I like her suit!

caek, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

she looks like willy wonka

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

There is no
Poll I know
To compare with
The GOP nomination

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Any good post-Iowa Super Tuesday states polling data yet? Hillary was leading by like 33 points in NJ as of December and I'm curious how much of the gap Obama closed.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

funny hitchens didn't mention any of this: http://www.time-blog.com/swampland/2008/01/obamas_other_life.html

(should i be skeptical of joe klein? never read him much. this does read like something drip-fed from camp O. looks damn good tho!)

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know about state-by-state polling data, but Gallup has Clinton & Obama tied at 33% nationally for a survey taken Jan 4th-6th.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Joe Klein is essentially just another 3-card monte dealer.

a dose of healthy eyeroll:

If I truly believed that there was a real chance for change in this election, brothers and sisters, I'd be out there waving my placard. But our imperial system does not require change, merely an executive who can help run it more efficiently. Obama is emerging as that executive. Like Reagan and Bill Clinton, Obama becomes who you want him to be, at least in your own head. That's an important political gift. Bush was and is too polarizing. A system based on lies, theft, alienation, and murder needs a steadier hand. That's what the Obama campaign is all about. He has arrived at the perfect time. The guy may very well pull it off.

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/01/crate-expectations.html

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I wouldn't get too confident just yet.

That puts it mildly.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Can we go back to Kristin Chenowith stepping off of McCain's bus?

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

dennis perrin should write monologues but maybe stay away from politics

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

there a fact in there somewhere? "everything is lame and and here is why: because it makes me feel bad!!"

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:17 (sixteen years ago) link

the facts are all around you, grasshopper

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

That Dennis Perrin post is exactly what's wrong with your brand of smug, masturbate-in-a-dark-corner leftism.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Liberals are anxiously dreaming, insisting that it's their birthright to have a Dem prez elected this year, and when that happens -- and it must happen, do you hear, it MUST HAPPEN -- the universe will begin to right itself. At least, they hope that's the case. Contemporary American liberalism is all about hope. They turn their sad cow eyes to their keepers, trusting that the blades being sharpened aren't intended for their throats.

I mean give me a fucking break. Just because DP is a child doesn't mean we all are.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

?? do you think through these nonzings before you write them? the point is: what kind of trust does 'dennis perrin' deserve? does he actually say anything about joe klein, which i asked about? there's nothing in that post that tells me anything about anything, other than dennis perrin is disappointed! so fucking what! beneath every blowhard is a crybaby.

lol xp

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

the second half of that perrin blog post is reflections on Star Trek, fwiw

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I always jerk off with a light on, H2.

What kind of trust do you deserve, "gff"?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, "gff," IF THAT IS EVEN YOUR REAL NAME

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Why do people even pay attention to Morbs when he "talks" politics?

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

better me than gabbneb

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, marc cooper does the same "constant bile all around" schtick -- he's not fan of democrats. but he's actually an indespensible reporter on a number of topics (immigration, the southwest, NA gambling, LA, etc etc) and he's done shit beside run a crabby blog! like...escape from pinochet

you should read cooper, morbz, you'd like him probably

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

(xpost) hahahaha okay that's true

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

paul supporters tell hannity that fox sux.

all they need is pitchforks.

Hunt3r, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Can we go back to Kristin Chenowith stepping off of McCain's bus?

lols

caek, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I subscribe to The Nation, I've read Marc Cooper.

My hope died somewhere around 1984, just pity me. And take note of the date when "MORBZ WUZ RIGHT!" breaks through the clouds. (it might be during the debate where McCain and Obama both vow to renew the USA PATRIOT Act)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

should i be skeptical of joe klein?

there was a controversy over a klein column on fisa. i tried figuring out what that was all about, but i was too lazy. glen greenwald called him out though and greenwald is super thorough and even-handed (and long-winded).

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

did i miss the lols upthread at the o'reilly/secret service scuffle?

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

that was gold

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Joe Klein should teach a master's class on hackdom.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I assume someone already posted a McCain/Wilford Brimley photo. (Wilford is about Chuck Norris' age, anyway...)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul supporters chasing Hannity = funny
Paul supporters appearing to be exclusively twenty-something yr old males = equally funny

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

there was a whole lot of funny going on in that clip.

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

will Hannity whine about the violation of his Constitutional rights?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Hannity will whine about the violation of his constitutional walk

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

there was a controversy over a klein column on fisa.

yeah he wrote some column in Time saying the democrats' plan on FISA was to require a court order to wiretap every foreign terrorist, tie law enforcement's hands etc etc ..... the whole thing was wildly RONG and it came out that the information was fed to him by Hoekstra (gop hack)

Klein sucks

dmr, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

and for days he not only stuck to his story, but accused critics of "partisanship."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah and klein is still on CNN all the Time as a talking head

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

how can that be? what kind of trust does 'joe klein' deserve?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

lol u mad

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway, ok joe klein blows!

obama carrying on diplomacy while campaigning, does not blow.

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Dick Morris is proof enough that there is no such thing as a "discredited" pundit. (Not that Cokie, Sam, George etc have an iota more credibility.)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

how can that be? what kind of trust does 'joe klein' deserve?

-- Dr Morbius, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 5:15 PM (17 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

are you being facetious here or what? i have no idea what three quarters of your posts mean

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

thats how i roll!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i have no idea what three quarters of your postsILX mean

Ned Trifle II, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

well it makes reading your posts a delight (xpost)

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

see what i did there?

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess Gloria Steinem's been waiting for Hillary to fall behind in the polls, so she could write an op-ed like this:

Women Are Never Front-Runners

Gender is probably the most restricting force in American life, whether the question is who must be in the kitchen or who could be in the White House. This country is way down the list of countries electing women and, according to one study, it polarizes gender roles more than the average democracy.

That’s why the Iowa primary was following our historical pattern of making change. Black men were given the vote a half-century before women of any race were allowed to mark a ballot, and generally have ascended to positions of power, from the military to the boardroom, before any women (with the possible exception of obedient family members in the latter).

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Black men were given the vote a half-century before women of any race were allowed to mark a ballot

who the fuck is she kidding

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I always feel weird reading complaints about black men gaining social status before women. It seems to tread reeeeeeally close to crypto-racism.

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Black suffrage - 1870
Women's suffrage - 1920

Care to dispute this timeline?

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

um, jim crow?

m bison, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah all that 'civil rights' stuff, what were they on about

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

While what Glo-ri-ah says on enfranchisement is LITERALLY true, it's yet another instance of liberal my-suffering-is-bigger-than-yrs crapola.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs otm

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

(!)

Nicole, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

everyone thought that the women's vote would END ALL WAR and we can see how that idea played out

zzzzzzz

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

is she gunning to be HRC's Secretary of Defense?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I say she's gunning for "galpal"

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m supporting Senator Clinton because ... she also has an unprecedented eight years of on-the-job training in the White House

oh plz, so very lame

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Steinem in a-lady-should-be-well-married Jane Austen move!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of sexism and hillary

http://images.huffingtonpost.com/gen/7224/thumbs/s-IRON-large.jpg

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FjS8_WWhjao

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Irrelevant, but it should be posted:

http://memosphere.files.wordpress.com/2007/09/fancyfred.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i7.tinypic.com/6l9lxde.jpg

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:24 (sixteen years ago) link

From an online biography of Frederick Douglass:

Black voters came out strongly for the Republicans in the 1868 elections, helping Grant win the presidency. With Grant in office, the Fifteenth Amendment passed through Congress and was submitted to the states for ratification. This amendment guaranteed all citizens the right to vote, regardless of their race. Douglass's push for state approval of the amendment caused a breach between him and the woman suffragists, who were upset that the measure did not include voting rights for woman. Old friends such as Susan B. Anthony and Elizabeth Cady Stanton accused Douglass of abandoning the cause of women's rights. At the annual meeting of the Equal Rights Association in May 1869, Douglass tried to persuade the woman suffragists that voting rights for blacks must be won immediately, while women could afford to wait. "When women because they are women are dragged from their homes and hung upon lampposts, .....then they will have the urgency to obtain the ballot," said Douglass. One of the women in the crowd cried out, "Is that not also true about black women?" "Yes, yes," Douglass replied, "but not because she is a woman but because she is black." The women in the audience were not convinced by Douglass's argument, and some of them even spoke out against black suffrage. Douglass's relationship with the woman suffragists eventually healed, but women would not receive the right to vote until 1920.

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Woodrow Wilson: "Why would women want the vote? Aren't they supposed to be smarter than us?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Epic Turnout would be a nice drag name

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Care to dispute this timeline?

Well, of course not. I am a feminist, I just think the whole "see? even BLACK PEOPLE have more rights than women now!!!" routine is a bit weird. And it's usually brought up (as it was in this case) when comparing the two is really unnecessary.

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

nate since you seem to be a robot, yes, i know black men voted during reconstruction.

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm pretty sure both you and gloria steinem know about poll taxes, literacy tests, the grandfather clause, that kind of thing.

linking any of this up to obama beating clinton twice is just noxious

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not denying Jim Crow, or the fact that black men in many states still faced big obstacles to voting after they had been granted suffrage by Constitutional amendment - though I also couldn't deny that having a right to vote albeit with obstacles in certain regions is still probably better than not having the right at all.

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

gosh I wonder why Steinem doesn't mention that there's been 35 women in the senate, and only 5 african americans.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Gloria gets it right. Normal, decent people are loath to acknowledge it, but they are crypto-sexists through and through. Once they get a chance to put a dagger in any aspiring woman’s back, they gleely take it. Now, I’m not one to condemn them for that (turf wars are part of human nature), but for any clear-eyed person not to see this obvious matter of fact is truly astonishing.

Jeb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

or 243 congresswomen vs 121 african american representatives (how she would parse black women in congress I have no idea)

Jeb Hillary is not every woman

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway there was already some discussion of fave women in public office above (hillary is not at top of list)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

as with Obama's race, there's no doubt that Clinton's gender is a contributing factor to her perception and strategy on the campiagn trail, but treating tracking polls like a referendum on the state of U.S. prejudices is just retarded.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

jeb that is most rong thing i've read today

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

and i've read that 'sexy indie sirens' thread too.

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

did some western states like wyoming have woman's suffrage 40 or 50 years before th 19th amendment?

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

(didn't)

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm w/o my fact checker AND typist today

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, I think that's right - although I think the purpose in the earliest states to grant women suffrage was to get enough population to achieve statehood.

At the same time, how long was it that black men had the right to vote, but were counted as 3/5 of a person?

Sara R-C, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

(I can't figure out if Steinem's argument is deliberately disingenuous or just blatantly stupid)

Sara R-C, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the headline sez it all

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

did some western states like wyoming have woman's suffrage 40 or 50 years before th 19th amendment?

Hmm, yes, it appears they did. Interesting.

xpost

By the end of the nineteenth century, Idaho, Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming had enfranchised women after an extreme amount of effort by the suffrage associations at the state level.

from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Women's_suffrage

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

jeb are you seriously stating that people are choosing not to vote for HRC because they are secretly indulging in some submerged woman hatin'? what the fuck. that's not an "obvious matter of fact" so much as just... asinine.

why has everything i've read about either race or gender in this race seemed out and out creepy, at best? "omg the one guy is BLACK and the woman is a WOMAN holy shit there's something going on here has anyone noticed this??"

i'm about to discount everyone who's ever mentioned either at this point

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

but cynthia mckinney is black and a woman so she wins i guess

artdamages, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting fundraising news on the Obama front... a funraising event was planned two weeks ago. This was the email sent out:

Dear Friends,

At this very time last year, I was asking many of you to participate in Senator Obama's first Presidential fundraiser here in New York. I want to ask for your help again, to Welcome Back Barack! Senator Obama will come straight from New Hampshire on Wednesday, January 9th to spend an evening with New York supporters at the Grand Hyatt. Last night, Iowans proved that America is ready for Change We Can Believe In. Be a part of the Obama movement so we can continue to spread the message, build the campaign, and fend off Republican attacks in the very near future. If you join the Sponsor reception, I will gladly introduce you to the next President of the United States, Senator Barack Obama, there will be a photo line there as well. Details can be found below and please click the link to contribute. See you on Wednesday!

https://donate.barackobama.com/page/contribute/nyhyatt?custom1=Arthur%20...

$500: General Reception
$1000: Question and Answer Reception
$2300: Photo and Chat Reception

All the very best,

Arthur

This was followed up by the following email today, indicating an surplus of big-money donors:

http://www.observer.com/files/imagecache/article/files/OBAMAEMAIL.JPG

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:09 (sixteen years ago) link

can we discuss how graceless Bill Clinton looks when facing impending doom?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

those wwe pictures, otm, i keep expecting hhh to bust from behind the curtains in that video

m bison, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

basically bill clinton u mad

m bison, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:19 (sixteen years ago) link

what's going on with mccain?

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

oh um cnn.com confused me plz ignore

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

wow yea what was up with that bill video? he sounds horrible, and not very coherent.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, his plans ever since January of 2001 have been to live in the White House again one day and now, after a year of being convinced it would be a sure thing, he now has to fuss and squirm like a grumpy little baby who isn't getting his way.

Johnny Fever, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i think he might just be sick?

remy bean, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

SICK OF THE 22ND AMENDMENT

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

terrifying graph of candidates' net worth

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

omg

dan m, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

he's like the jolly greenback giant

HO HO HO
MITT ROMNEY

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

that's just as scary as romney_fudge.jpg

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo can you tinypic that? bandwidth exceeded

gff, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

xposta at the net worth thin - lol! b/c i am at work i'm on this huge widescreen monitor - flipped vertically, so i rarely have to scroll up or down. i just get this huge 16-inch smiling romney!

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

damn it. here's the link to the andrew sullivan post with the graph:

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/01/the-candidates.html

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

uh oh dr edward tufte to thread! shitty misleading graph!

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Another fun graph!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Damn, Romney should have just paid off our deficit and said "Look bitches. Vote for me" and it would have worked.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't understand Obama's 2nd place showing in the Sicko graph, given the campaign's claim that he's not taking any lobbyist/PAC money.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

also wicked bad job shopping those heads on - totes fun tho lol heug romney!

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Contributions from the Health Industry - 2008 Election Cycle
HMOs, pharmaceutical companies, physicians and other health professionals. is key, i think.

remy bean, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

so, doctors basically

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

seeing as how unions, corporations, and banks can't contribute

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

if a nurse gives obama money, it presumably goes on the chart. just like if a first-year analyst at an investment bank gives him money, it's a 'corporate contribution'.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

and hey wow the two candidates raising the most cash raised the most from "the health industry"

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

astronomical turnout today, some polling stations are requesting additional ballots (particularly democratic primary ballots)

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/01/08/559115.aspx

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

amazing how they give the most money to the people they think have the best chance of winning

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

yah the problem w/trying to divine too much from presidential contributions is corporate money tends to go toward the front runners regardless - unlike congressional campaigns where some candidates are explicitly owned by certain industries.

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Is there anyway I can see the lolhueg Romney graph in larger form?

The Reverend, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

is there anyway i can get my romney in lol life-size cutout form?

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Is there anyway I can buy Romney?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

if u can make him president of the united states of america he'll do whatever u want

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I finally figured out who Romney reminds me of, and I think it's fudge.jpg that did it: Judge Doom from Who Framed Roger Rabbit?

The Reverend, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

GiantRomney is kind of hysterical!

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

http://modeshift.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/romney.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

He looks a bit like Vince McMahon, I never noticed that before.

Nicole, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

that pic makes mitt look like an action figure, with little toy microphone and karate chopping hand

m bison, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

ASK A MITT ROMNEY

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

it is just because he's currently outside of the "clinton falters while obama surges" storyline, or has john edwards been that much less visible in the past few days? after he sided with obama at the debates, he just got swept under the rug, didn't he?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder what that net worth chart would look like with Bloomberg on it.

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Elmo, read Glenn Greenwald on the Edwards "disappearance."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards is so suckling on the Obama VP nipple.

but you know, them is frat boys.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Is anyone else as worried as I am about what the Clintons are going to do after tonight's blowout if they don't decide to quietly back out over the course of the weeks leading up the February 5th? I wouldn't put it past them to go all out anti-Obama and risk the General Election for the Democratic Party, just to settle what they seem to see as a personal feud with Obama. I'd like to think they're too smart to go down that road, but...

Hatch, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz I wouldn't think they're "too smart" about anything at this point

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

God I hope not, what a completely useless thing to worry about.

HI DERE, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Just like Bill was too smart not to campaign for Gore in the South the week before the '04 election?

otoh, it's likely Hil will want to keep her powder dry for 2012. Nixonlike.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

otoh, it's likely Hil will want to keep her powder dry for 2012. Nixonlike.

this seems more likely to me

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

after McCain keeps us in Iraq.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

if hillary tanks, bill is gonna waste no time becoming obama's new best friend. i'd expect to see him stumping for him in the fall.

tipsy mothra, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards is so suckling on the Obama VP nipple.

Edwards wants Hillary out of the race so that he can get attention as the alternative and votes as the (older) white guy.

but you know, them is frat boys.

not actually true

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards' people are asserting that he could stay in to the end

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

if hillary tanks, bill is gonna waste no time becoming obama's new best friend. i'd expect to see him stumping for him in the fall.

I don't think so - he's being used as Hill's attack dog against Obama right now, and that's bridge-burning stuff.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

gabb, the frat boys things was sarcasm.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Are there exit polls yet for tonight?

Mordechai Shinefield, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

some ppl actually think/assume edwards was

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

re: exit polling

In past years, the network consortium that conducts the exit polls distributed mid-day estimates and tabulations to hundreds of journalists that would inevitably leak. In 2006, however, the networks adopted a new policy that restricted access to a small number of analysts in a "quarantine room" for most of the day and did not release the results to the networks and subscriber news organizations until just before the polls closed (information that did ultimately leak to blogs). As far as I know, that process will remain in place today.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/looking_for_new_hampshire_exit.php

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

some polls will be closing at 7pm, others at 8pm, so it's unlikely we'll see any returns until 7, I'm guessing.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(eastern time, natch)

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

mike gravel currently hospitalized for flu & respiratory infection, btw

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

re: I wouldn't put it past them to go all out anti-Obama...

A panicked and cash-short Clinton campaign is seriously considering giving up on the Nevada caucuses and on the South Carolina primary in order to regroup and to save resources for the massive 19-state mega-primary on February 5.

At the same time, some top independent expenditure groups supporting Clinton have been exploring the creation of an anti-Obama "527 committee" that would take unlimited contributions from a few of Clinton's super-rich backers and from a handful of unions to finance television ads and direct mail designed to tarnish the Illinois Senator's image.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/01/08/clinton-allies-may-dump-m_n_80460.html

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder what that net worth chart would look like with Bloomberg on it.

I think it was a recent Harper's Index bit where they listed the combined net worth of the top 10 candidates, then went on to say that Bloomberg's net worth was 11 times that.

joygoat, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Mitt's worth about $250M and Bloomberg's worth about $11B - so about 40 times the size of Mitt on that chart, I guess.

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/08/unite-here-expected-to-endorse-obama/

so assuming he wins today, he's basically got the first 4

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

so... I know this is kind of morbid but re: "gonna get shot" comments upthread about Obama, how likely is this, really...? Even assuming he generates the kind of ill-will + celebrity combo that might bring out a crazed assassin-type, it's nigh impossible to assassinate someone with his level of security, isn't it...? I mean when was the last serious attempt on a public figure's life, Hinckley? (Russell Weston didn't even come close to Clinton)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently, the Secret Service takes it seriously enough to beef up his security staff, beyond that given to most other candidates at this stage of the nomination process (Hillary being an exception for obvious reasons).

Report: Secret Service increases security for Obama

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

given the amount of unhinged stuff about his radical islamism in the reaches of the far right (and the number of guns in the reaches of the far right), it's not like you could call assassination concerns exactly paranoid.

tipsy mothra, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

well I didn't call them paranoid, I said "morbid"

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting chart from The Economist:

http://www.economist.com/images/ga/2007w52/p66-CampaignCost.jpg

http://www.economist.com/daily/chartgallery/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10276639

I wonder why election spending has skyrocketed like that in the past couple of cycles?

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

because elites have more money to spend

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

is that adjusted for inflation?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

bcz it's all about TV ad saturation, geometrically moreso every 4 years. Which is why DEBATES DON'T MATTER (short of a gaffe).

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

(my guess is no, Shakey)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

http://subbooks.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/06/richistan.jpg

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

If Bloomberg gets in the race, he could spend as much as a billion by himself - not unthinkable, considering he spent $85M in the last mayoral election. I think that David Remnick is correct to say that there is something unseemly, to say the least, about the prospect of Bloomberg spending that kind of cash:

http://www.newyorker.com/talk/comment/2008/01/14/080114taco_talk_remnick

o. nate, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

its weird - but maybe its just cuz I'm in California - I don't remember ever seeing TV ads for presidential candidates on broadcast television for the last few elections. its really rare. Maybe they just don't bother out here.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, inflation. Because we've clearly had 100% inflation since 2004 and 900% since 2000.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

bloomy isnt doing shit - even if he were deluded enough to get in the race - take it from someone who gets plenty of exposure to the guy - hes got nooooo juice

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:08 (sixteen years ago) link

gimme a break I know inflation doesn't account for ALL of it, but it would smooth out the curve a little

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.salon.com/opinion/kamiya/2008/01/08/obama/story.jpg

jhøshea, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.polizeros.com/pzarchive/radio/images/2003/08/22/030822bat.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

that obama illustration amused the fuck out of me too

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dvdactive.com/images/reviews/screenshot/2004/4/motu1.jpg

Y'know. Only, like, black.

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

^

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

its weird - but maybe its just cuz I'm in California - I don't remember ever seeing TV ads for presidential candidates on broadcast television for the last few elections. its really rare. Maybe they just don't bother out here.

because cali hasn't really been in play at the presidential level since, what, reagan? same is true in ny (and probably in reverse in texas). the markets are big and expensive and not worth the investment.

tipsy mothra, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I would think you'd see ads ahead of the Feb. 5 primary though

dmr, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

seeking 0.01% - m4w

Eazy, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

When did Perot announce in '92? Have ballot restrictions gotten tougher in the intervening years?

milo z, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:47 (sixteen years ago) link

he's not running

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:49 (sixteen years ago) link

did Bush I win California in '88? I don't remember.

gabbneb, my oracle, tell me.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:54 (sixteen years ago) link

a Republican hasn't won CA since Reagan

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:55 (sixteen years ago) link

no wait he DID win! wtf

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.salon.com/opinion/kamiya/2008/01/08/obama/story.jpg

this picture is made of win.

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, Bush I won CA in '88, tho by less than 5 pts. it was Clinton that permanently realigned CA and New England.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton made the Dems the party of the info class

gabbneb, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

biting tongue

milo z, Tuesday, 8 January 2008 23:58 (sixteen years ago) link

... AND AWAY!

Precincts reporting: 2.99%

Clinton: 38.34%
Obama: 37.24%
Edwards: 17.02%

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

As always:

http://www.politico.com/

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was the first Dem since Humphrey to win MI, CT or ME, the first since Truman (if you except Johnson's post-assassination domination of the whole map) to win CA or IL*, the first since Roosevelt to win NJ or NH, and the first in history to win VT.

*if you accept Kennedy stole it

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but racist Dems dominated the South up until the mid-60s, so it’s a ticklish comparison.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Dems didn't lose those states because there were some Southern racists in the party, they lost them because they were states of the establishment. Dems were aided in these places by the growth and movement of the knowledge-based upper middle class, but Clinton made possible the realignment by identifying and surfing that wave.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama pulling ahead.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Or not.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm an obama supporter but hilary crying and stuff made me sad and now i want her to win nh she deserves to win one.

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Dems didn't lose those states because there were some Southern racists in the party, they lost them because they were states of the establishment.

Is this states in the South you are referring to? Either way, my point was that the Democratic Party of the 50s was so different to that of today that most comparisons aren’t very instructive. The same, of course, goes for the GOP.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i heard about the crying wtf

xp

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Mike Gravel ftw at 0.16!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:48 (sixteen years ago) link

NH has same day registration. Gravel is voting himself.

(is he out of the hospital?)

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Is this states in the South you are referring to?

what? are you a britishes? none of the States I referred to are in the South. they are all Northern if not far Northern states.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:53 (sixteen years ago) link

and they've all gone Dem since 92 with the exception of NH in 2000

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/

TPM's scoreboard gives you the actual vote count, not just the percentages

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Thank goodness. I was about to panic until I read that only 10% of the vote had been counted.

youn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i wonder who won the moose vote

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

omg crazy screaming ron paul fans on cnn

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

msnbc calling it for mccain

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

none of the States I referred to are in the South. they are all Northern if not far Northern states.

Ok, I see what you mean now. But I was making another point: since the Democratic Party of today is so different to that of the 1950s, say, it’s fairly meaningless to say that this or that state hasn’t gone blue since like 1950-something.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

LOLOLOLOL @ Rudy.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i10.tinypic.com/6nvya7s.jpg

lol drudge hate mccain

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge has the following:

OBAMA 36; CLINTON 37; EDWARDS 17; RICHARDSON 4; KUCINICH 2…
MCCAIN 38; ROMNEY 29; HUCKABEE 11; PAUL 8; GIULIANI 9; THOMPSON 1…

James Mitchell, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:16 (sixteen years ago) link

kind of a nail biter here

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

now *mccain wins is in red

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:17 (sixteen years ago) link

tmp needs to start fucking w/ajax wtf

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

But I was making another point: since the Democratic Party of today is so different to that of the 1950s, say, it’s fairly meaningless to say that this or that state hasn’t gone blue since like 1950-something.

to the extent that it has a different base of support, that is in no small part the work of one W.J. Clinton

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:19 (sixteen years ago) link

this might be a dumb question, but how is a 9-point lead with 10% reporting enough statistically to call a victory?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

they're calling it based on exit polls

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

*cough* Florida *cough*

Alex in SF, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, why is clinton so close :-/

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton ahead son

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:23 (sixteen years ago) link

my guess is, earlier reporting precincts are smaller/more rural, right?

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton strength = NH wants to keep this thing going cuz they're not sure who's the one yet? I've been known to vote that way in a primary.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, HRC's not going to decisively win NH. Maybe not at all. No one saw this coming a week ago. That's the big story here. Good night, folks.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

it's 5:30 pst and you're going to bed?!?

jergïns, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

HahaHAhahahahahaHAAAAAAAAAaaaaah!

Giuliani Sinks to Fourth in Florida
A new Datamar poll in Florida finds Mike Huckabee leading the Republican presidential primary race with 24% support, followed by Mitt Romney at 20%, Sen. John McCain at 18% and Rudy Giuliani now back in fourth place at 16%.

Two months ago, Giuliani led the GOP race. With little chance of winning the other early states, he has been campaigning nearly non-stop in Florida for several weeks.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:30 (sixteen years ago) link

jergins, i feel like going to bed now, but was just saying good night to ILX for the night.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:33 (sixteen years ago) link

well the cnn exit polls wont say who won overall but they do break it down by gender so if you just figure the total numbers based on those (as i just did) they have obama winning by abt 3.5% - which im sure is totes within the margin of error

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#NHDEM

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I have a crush on Norah O'Donnell. plz halp

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq?

As Soon As Possible

Gradually

Keep Troops in Iraq

LONGER

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

LONGER

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

iawtc.

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Those figures make NH a pretty *old* state, don't they?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

everyone on tv is so psyched abt this gop race being all up in the air

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

http://possumblog.mu.nu/images/norah%20odonnell-small.jpg

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

lol yah n new england none to fuk

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

rrrrAOWR!

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

LONGER

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Exit polls showed issues swayed Democrats but Republicans picked on personality

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

the tv people are really getting into the idea of a rudy resurgence

all on msnbc are referring to the gop race as "52 card pick-up" lol tryin to starta meme

fukin buchanon yells not talks

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

longer?

xxxp fuck

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't she married to Dan Senor? or is that someone else?

I tried jergins' trick and I got Obama 39, Clinton 38

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

chris mathews mouth is truly terrifing

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

BOTW

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

jhoshea, sorry, not jergins

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

lol jergins

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

yah my trik!

i couldve miscalculated - maths not the strong suit

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

the tv people are really getting into the idea of a rudy resurgence

More like hoping for, I'm guessing? B/C right now all I'm seeing is Rudy imploding like WTC 7.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

lol hoos i was kidding

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i just did: total votes / percentage men / percentage of men won

etc

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

oops, that slipped out

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Whatever the final results are tonight it seems clear the final polls missed some late movement in Hillary's direction -- to put it mildly.

--Josh Marshall

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

yah rudy was fukd from jumpstreet

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

DAS ROMNEY FAMILY

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i3.tinypic.com/6s64wzo.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

lol romney world class douche

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%
Thompson 438 2%

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

you can use other numbers in that poll to show Clinton 39, Obama 38

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

that's 438 TOTAL votes folks

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf @ model boobs

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"I must, I must, I must increase my bust" xxxxp

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.politico.com/global/080107_aslide_signs5.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost does that "surprise" involve a penis?

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Dang, Marlboro cartons are $36 up there?!

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

ysi those gas prices?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

lol gas cost more than that?

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

$3.15 dawg

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

thats only like 8 cents mor no?

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Still under $3 in good ole NJ

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

haha its sooo much more than when i moved nyc and jettisoned the car

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

so why aren't they calling NH for hillary? the margin between her and obama is the same as the margin between mccain and romney

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

dude hil up 6 w/25% in

this bad

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

tpm slow

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck uuuu hillary

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

so are there bars and drinkx at these campaign headquarters? I couldn't be a staffer for one of these guys and not be guzzling Bombay and tonics as I await the results.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary might be the comeback kid :-S

youcangoyourownway, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i8.tinypic.com/7x9604i.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee is so cute.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ person in Huckabee crowd holding up sign right in front of camera.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

does this mean daria will return from exile?

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Huckabee’s being even more charming than usual.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary's miraculous 2nd-inning comeback

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i9.tinypic.com/8343h1i.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I still think Obama people are counting on the more urban/city areas of NH to report.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

yah i wouldnt be surprised by an obama uptick as the night goes on - but still

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

in fact its back to under 5 w/30% in

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Why do I suspect this is because of Obama’s backers having become complacent, staying home drinking and playing wii...

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

the exit polls indicate that Hillary won the cities and Obama won the rurals

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Plus the McCain factor, obv.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

so if hillary/obama wins by just a couple few % what happens

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

now on msnbc hil by 4 w/32% in

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards due to drop out, probably. Perhaps tonight.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.inaccessible.net/ghost.gif

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

it goes to the House of Representatives.

(xxxpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

um, Edwards has suggested he'll stay in til the end no matter waht

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Man, that would be a bitch if Hillary lost after being up like this. Yeah, I went there.

youcangoyourownway, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

he's certainly not gonna drop before his home state. which is in the South, btw.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

If Hillary wins, if ever so slightly, Obama is in for BIG TROUBLE.

um, Edwards has suggested he'll stay in til the end no matter waht

They all do. Cash is king, remember.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

is there any chance of a hilary obama ticket or does go against his whole hope/new blood steez?

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

what ar eyou talking about?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards supporters lean obama right

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

there is no chance of a hillary obama ticket

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I think part of this is because NH doesn't want iowa to tell them who to vote for, and that's exactly the line obama's been trying to feed this week.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

it's not that they don't want IA to tell them what to do. it's that they don't care what IA does.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

mccains got 7 kids wow

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

how many r black lol

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, mccain steals comeback line from hillary

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

The McCain campaign has ditched "The Final Countdown"? Boohoo!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

o u bich

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

in the biopic Laura Dern would play McCain's wife.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain made sweet luv to nh <3 <3 <3

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

mccains got 7 kids wow

-- jhøshea, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 2:12 AM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

how many r black lol

-- jhøshea, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 2:12 AM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

rofl *DEAD*

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Are NH voters lying to exit pollsters for fun? I could see why they might want to.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I would!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i voted ron paul motherfucker

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Stephanopoulos: NH message is "don't end this"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

we could have another instance of exit polls skewing young

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

what obama's doing in his spare time - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012861.php

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

If Hillary wins, Bill's going to have to apologize for what he said today about the NH primary yes? Maybe he'll cry.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

if hil wins bill should consider saying stuff like that all the time - also hil: moar crying

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

revenge of the older women. are they for hillarytears or are they, like my grandmother, uncomfortable with O?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck all these old wite motherfuckers

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton 39, Obama 37

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

positive mo!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont feel like going upthread and chacking, but isn't this roughly what happened last week, where the early results had clinton in a lead and it disappeared by like 9 or so?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

yes but O picked up a lot earlier

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

college towns yet to report

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

obama pulled ahead after like 3% in iowa - weve got 40% in now and shes still ahead

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/09/us/politics/09moment.html

tearing up

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

ah i didnt start watching returns until much later for iowa. at any rate, pissed.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think O is going to catch up.

youcangoyourownway, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/8/83/O_Magazine_cover.jpg

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ Clinton supporters going nuts when Obama falls to 36%

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

xp, that book was left in my house by the previous owner. I read it cover to cover.

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

stop calling him O. only Oprah is referrec to as O.

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I think O is going to catch up.

Perhaps, but a narrow Obama win is still a major Clinton achievement.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

msnbc saying obama got no iowa bounce according to exit polls

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's victory speech was awful.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

John McCain claims comeback win; supporters chant "Mac is back"

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.netweed.com/prohiphop/graf/prodigymac.jpg

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/01/08/new_hampshire_buzz.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's victory speech was awful.

Waaay too long.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

i wouldn't vote for mccain for president.

policies/voting record aside, isn't he like 90 years old?

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

so wait, clinton got emo after lady asked her how she did her hair??? HER FUCKING HAIR???

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Will be 72 on election day.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i13.tinypic.com/6ov4ktz.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama @ 37% to Hilz' 39% at 9:30 EST

Sparkle Motion, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

O MG xpost

Sparkle Motion, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Since change is the theme, can we change the casts of all the cable news networks? They r dum

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

(except Norah O'Donnell of course...yum)

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

40% to 36% at 9:38 according to CNN.com

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

39 to 36 according to nytimes.com

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

both with 46% reporting

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost o man ILX is bringing the LOLZ today.

The Brainwasher, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

omg mike barnicle - this guy is caught fabricating some tear jerker cancer kid and what does he get - to be on tv!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

omg no

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

fuuuuuk mike barnicle

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

gah 40 to 36

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

chris mathews is blaming himself for the clinton lead

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

haha for realz? all the more reason to punch him in the balls if i ever see him.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton gonna win here

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Count faster. I have to go to bed.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

;_;

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC: HRC getting the ''pity'' bounce.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

So if HRC wins here Obama is pretty much over, right?

mulla atari, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I've grown to really hate Chris Matthews over the last six weeks.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

No way, I don't think so. xp

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, exactly right. you will never hear from him again. the general matchup will be dodd vs thompson. meet our next president, jeb bush, and his veep howard dean.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

the election will be decided by the crucial state of westchester

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul is the weirdest little dude

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

is that his grandma behind him?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess if hrc wins here, it makes nevada and south carolina in particular kind of "tie-breaker" states before feb 5?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred Thompson, sleeping soundly in the Concord Airport Hilton.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Watching pundits make a u-turn live on television - classic

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

39 to 37 again

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post I'm sure he'll get a talk show.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf are the paul people chanting?

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

RON PAUL

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

a Hillary win doesn't necessarily produce a "tie," and SC and NV don't necessarily break it

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

sounds like a sheffield united game

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

sound like: save bill clinton! save bill clinton!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

RON PAUL RON PAUL RON PAUL RON PAUL RON PAUL

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

this shit is so archaic zzzzz

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess in terms of the nebulous 'front runner status' idea, i figure if she wins here, it takes some of the shine off obama.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul has the same laugh as seth rogen

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

is he really talking about the fucking gold standard. I had no idea.

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

i read that as: ron paul has the same length as seth rogen

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

omg the fukrs they let on tv: ralph reed, bill bennett

wtf do u have to do to disgrace yrself these days

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

that is also true, xp

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

yah ron paul luvs gold standard lol

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

does anyone who doesn't have a facebook account support ron paul?

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul to usher in magical world where your money actually gets more valuable over time without any economic side-effects.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

why cant i find info on %s with google news

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NH

i'm hitting refresh roughly every 40 seconds

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

god wes clark is count dracula

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul updated his profile. He changed the following: Birthday, Work Info, Education Info. 3:35pm

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul took the position "No: It is been working for over 200 years, why change the system now?" in the Debate Group Should the US do away with the Electoral College system? 2:02pm

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Gender:
Male
Relationship Status:
Married to
Carol Paul

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I like these slightly nervous cheers from his audience. they seem to have realized he's just thought, 'fuck it, I'm out, this is my last chance on national TV, I'm really going to bring the crazy: CIA, gold standard, federal reserve, bong hit libertarian foreign policy'

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Description:
As a specialist in obstetrics/gynecology, I have delivered more than 4,000 babies.

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

^omg guys

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm getting my %s from the front pages of nytimes.com and cnn.com

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

whoa @ baby count

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

lulz @ Paul facebook acct

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

everyone on tv crediting clinton comeback to ladies being pissed at journalists n obama/edwards hurting her feelings

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

No income tax, yay!

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul sounds like Dana Carvey.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

yah whatevs you should see their property etc taxes

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

College kids, per usual, end up being unreliable. Thanks dudes!

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

"why is is so close at this point?" "well, again, tight race."

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Dang! Clinton got 34% of the IND votes in the Dem primary vote. That's higher than expected, right?

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

this dude on CNN is explaining how %s add up to 100 in a really complicated way

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

LIVE FREE OR DIE

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

rudy is calling nh the kickoff - lol whats iowa the pregame

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i would much prefer vt vote instead of these fuckers

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Where does Fox News spend all their money? Because it's not on graphics software.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Iowa = bad performance of the national anthem xxpost

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Roland Martin on broadcast CNN, or am I just getting this bullshit on CNN.com?

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

lol guyz did you see romney's speech?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

florida is halftime then?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

halftime adjustments?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

dude can't even win halftime

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Where does Fox News spend all their money?

rainy day o'reilly legal fund

Clay, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

wingnut called hillary's orbison moment - http://theanchoressonline.com/2008/01/07/will-2008-finish-what-1968-began/

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"stick with the game plan and execute"

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

39 to 37 hil still up by 4,000

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

how are dem results too close to call (as per cnn) and yet mccain is projected winner with both parties reporting @ 60%?

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

bigger margin + exit polls

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

ah

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

new clinton theory: warm weather loured old fogies outside

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

http://theanchoressonline.com/2008/01/07/will-2008-finish-what-1968-began

Obama, Clinton and Edwards all agree that the United States has the right to go after terrorist leader Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan without first obtaining permission from the government in power. Ummm…wasn’t President Bush called “arrogant” for suggesting that the US is sovereign and did not need the UN’s permission to protect her interests? And ummm…how can we go after bin Laden like that if…we won’t be listening in on phone calls, or anything? Just wondering!

Hey, that's what I wrote a couple of days ago! He's right, of course.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

its pretty funny watching tv dudes scramble to explain this shit

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

An email to Sully:

After all your postulating about Obamamania I'm visualizing Hillary wearing a strap-on with New Hampshire emblazoned on it, and you bowing before her.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

big o falls back to 36

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

He's right, of course

no, he's not.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ Chris Matthews suggesting old women are voting for Hillary because they're going to die soon.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Bad visual.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary wearing a strap-on with New Hampshire emblazoned on it,

worst. porn. ever.

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

xp to Alfred.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

omg tancredo 23 votes

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ALAN KEYES: 62 AND COUNTING!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Who is this guy?
http://www.gwu.edu/~action/2004/nh102003/nhbushpr1003vs.jpg

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

so I guess Thompson can return to "Law & Order," no? The same number of people who voted for him bought Mick Jagger's Goddess in the Doorway in England.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lol vermin supreme i crossed paths w/that dude a few times in boston

http://www.verminsupreme.com/pics/Vermin-Call_Police-01.jpg

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

he used to try to throw such great parties that the would be come famous and time travelers form the future would come to them

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

why are we not voting for him?

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

we can vote for him - hes got momentum now!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

he beat james mitchell!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

CALL POLICE

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

4400 voets is a lot for BO to make up...

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

i called it for hillary like an hour ago didnt u hear

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

let's not call him "BO" eh?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i was having a nice meal :-/

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Britishes reporting on the campaign - http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/While_you_wait.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

how big are the college towns that have not been counted?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

5000 voets u_u

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

xxp, The Guardian's US coverage has been terrible as long as I've been literate

caek, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

AP calls it for hrc

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

msnbc call 4 hil

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL VOTERS

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

called

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC: HRC wins N.H.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

BRAIN WILLIAMS JUST CUT INTO LAW AND ORDER: SVU

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck u

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

omg fuuuuuuuuck u tim russert i want benson and stabler

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

where is amon to post ascii mddl finger

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

"the contrarian nature of new hampshire"

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

ppl being carried out of clinton hq on stretchers

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Wolf Blitzer still won't call.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

oof 6000 voets

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

for some reason i feel like voting for clinton is like hiring marty schottenheimer

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

get you to the playoffs but won't win you super bowl?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah :\

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred Thompson = Joe Gibbs

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

bill clinton=parcells

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

fred thompson = nick sabean

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Dear 62 and counting citizens of New Hampshire who voted for Alan Keyes,

http://img186.imageshack.us/img186/6250/keyspleaseue3.jpg

The Reverend, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN says big college precincts still haven't reported. A tie perhaps?

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lol puhlz

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul = jim mora, sr

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

guliani = ... ... mike tice? mike martz?

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Just a random thought: when are people going to start referring to Hillary as Clinton 44? Bush 41, Clinton 42, Bush 43, Clinton 44 ... Ad absurdum.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG Alan Keyes. *love*

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

you'll have to pry my 44 from my cold dead hands

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

obv, but obama = tony dungy

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Chelsea Clinton '24!

The Reverend, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

^ban

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

better dungy than edwardz

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC v. McCain = bad dynamic.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:46 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC v JMcC is some boring ass bullshit

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

correction; charisma-less bullshit

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

NH awards delegates proportionally, so if the math is straightforward, that means Clinton gets about 12 delegates and Obama gets around 11. So in terms of electoral math, the placement of 1st and 2nd matters little - except in terms of psychology, of course.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:49 (sixteen years ago) link

All this means is that this is still up in the air, amirite? It's not a lock for anybody yet.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:50 (sixteen years ago) link

yes HOOS

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, if I understand correctly, Clinton and Obama are now tied in number of delegates, since Obama won 16 in Iowa to Clinton's 15.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

obama looking like hes spoilin for a fight

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Rt, Hoos. But if Edwards gets out after this, it's a big plus for HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:52 (sixteen years ago) link

delegate numbers mean absolutely nothing at this stage

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

ew mcteeth

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

But if Edwards gets out after this, it's a big plus for HRC.

uh, no

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes. (a) it stops Edwards doing Obama's dirty work by attacking HRC and (b) Edwards is cutting into HRC's ''beer track'' vote.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

No, it's not up in the air. Well, it is, but the momentum is Hillary's now, and somehow I suspect she'll uphold it more forcefully than Obama did his.

But if Edwards gets out after this, it's a big plus for HRC.

uh, no

True.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

at this point i'm kind of hoping for a hillary win in n.h. just to hear the grinding gears of the conventional wisdom realigning again.

i got my wish! listen at them gears. nobody can figure out what the storyline is now.

tipsy mothra, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

delegate numbers mean absolutely nothing at this stage

Isn't that a bit like saying that the score in a baseball game means nothing after the first inning?

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

conventional wisdom has it that edwards/obama are splitting the anyone but hillary vote

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.whitekit.com/images/crest_white_strips.jpg

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

CW is wrong on this point.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually I think the best thing for Hillary at this point would be for Edward to stay in the race and keep making nasty cracks at her.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, that may be true, but I think Edwards won't make that mistake again (to the same degree, at least).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 03:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Sully speculates that, apart from NH's non-conformist tendencies, more voters thought HRC did really well in Saturday's debate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Ugh:

Look, Barack Obama’s an impressive guy; I don’t know anybody who dislikes him. But I think we should be encouraged that voters can stand up against an emotional 24/7 media Valentine for one candidate, and vote instead for a person they think will be a steadier and more reliable Commander-in-Chief (especially important in time of war). Hillary as insurgent against the liberal MSM—you go, girl!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes (re: debate, Alfred).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I still think her allegedly "shrill" response to the change theme was actually quite good.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:04 (sixteen years ago) link

We all did!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:05 (sixteen years ago) link

ILX Wisdom trumps Conventional Wisdom. Again!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Looking swell!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC can make the MSM's apparent dislike for her work to her advantage.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

That ''I found my own voice'' line was a brilliant phrase.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

nate - the candidates have less than 25 delegates so far. on super tuesday, more than 1500 delegates are awarded. so the answer to your question is no.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, you never know - it could come down to those last 25 delegates, couldn't it?

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

no, it won't

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton and obama are tied in delegate count now, i believe

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I still think her allegedly "shrill" response to the change theme was actually quite good.

i thought it sucked, actually

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

delegate numbers mean absolutely nothing at this stage

Isn't that a bit like saying that the score in a baseball game means nothing after the first inning?

-- o. nate, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 10:56 PM (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

A 1-1 score after the first inning means absolutely nothing.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

what won for her was sympathy and generations - more old people voted, fewer young ones did

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Come on people! Media narrative means everything = big Hillary win.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

but it isn't a 1-1 score. in baseball terms, it's still 0-0.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Media narrative means everything

right, and delegate count means nothing

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's still winning the less-democratic groups, ergo obama is more electable afaic

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

A 1-1 score after the first inning means absolutely nothing.

By calling it a 1-1 score you're implicitly granting my point.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Will news people learn not to go all batshit from this? Likely not.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ media

still, fuck hillary

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

It sounds like Obama and Hillary are both going after the Edwards supporters who might be getting ready to bolt after his lackluster showing in NH: they both made a bigger point of taking an anti-corporate stance than either did in their post-Iowa speeches.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

PLZ STOP WITH BASEBALL ANALOGY

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary looks like 'this shit is tiresome - can you give me the keys already?'

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Gabbneb OTM about what won N.H. for HRC. In 2004, when the youth anti-war vote was supposed to help Kerry win, Joe Scarborough -- watching people waiting to vote in line -- said, ''I dunno; looks like the same old voters to me.'' Not saying this will hold true in 2008, but don't count out the old, Baby Boomers vote yet.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary insults my intelligence. fuck you, hillary!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's still going after the same independents he's always gone after

Yes, but he was more also vocally anti-corporate in his concession speech tonight than he was after Iowa. I'm listening to NPR and Brian Lehrer just remarked on it as well. Hillary also included some corporate-bashing in her victory speech.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Edwards give a concession speech yet?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, he did.

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Tom Petty rocks!

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary pointing at imaginary friends in the audience

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Was it a good concession speech?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

As you said, the "found my voice" part was genius.

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

so teatro

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Lesson: You don't want to be the ''inevitable nominee'' in the Democratic primary.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

OTM

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

wolfblitzen is a douche

danbunny, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of like this quotation from Yglesias:

The TV coverage I've been watching has implied that New Hampshire is a crazy comeback surprise and Iowa is somehow the "real" result. I think they're wrong. Iowa is the anomaly, because of the bizarre public forum that is the Iowa caucus. You know why Hillary does worse in a caucus? Because women who are leaning Hillary go to the caucus with their husbands, and he says "Let's go for Obama" or "Let's go for Edwards" and she says "Well, all right then" because she doesn't want to spend the next hour sitting alone in the Hillary group. I've sat through a caucus. This is how it works.

Hindsight's always 20/20 and all that ...

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

how often are primaries this close? it's still 2 pts between them

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Yglesias is smart. Also, in a caucus -- where 2d choices are important -- I think the ''anti-HRC'' vote is magnified (unifies a lot of the anti-HRC vote).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews is all about a candidates looks (and machismo).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:35 (sixteen years ago) link

disliking edwards more than every

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Is it possible that independents -- seeing the huge advantage for Obama in the polls -- decided to vote in the Republican primary, where their votes may count?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I think they said that the independent voters still went heavier towards the dems.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

But Hills got more of a percentage of them than anyone expected.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

stolen election, amirite??

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe New Hampshire is just populated by racists?

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Brian Williams just referenced "Dewey Defeats Truman." Well, c'mon. Let's not get silly.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder whether black voters -- who (according to polls) were waiting to see how Obama did before deciding to support him, and had great hope after Iowa -- now stay with HRC in South Carolina?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:54 (sixteen years ago) link

chris matthews is such a sexist jackass. i don't know what happens after this but i will say, part of the commentary on here is why i'm spending hardly any time around ilx. you see a bunch of guys trashing a woman long enough, guess what - it's fucking annoying and on the internet, you can just go somewhere else. it's worse when it's coming from the national press corps trying to tell the country how to pick a president.

look at the gender gap in new hampshire. obama might be inspiring to some but in that debate when he gave hillary that snooty look and said "you're likable enough" in that utterly condescending, dismissive tone i was like, hey man, fuck you. seriously.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:54 (sixteen years ago) link

hrc - our first black female president lolz

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews: Voters are racist/sexist, and only show it when an ''Archie Bunker voice'' asks them who they'll vote for.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, he should know his place, right?
xpost

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

lol hillary. lololol. burn the witch. the media and the big blogs will have to try harder next time (i'm sure they will).

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria's right about that ''You're likable ENOUGH'' line by Obama. I think it hurt him. It made him look petty and frat boy-ish, not high-minded and transformative.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't speak for anyone else, but I don't hate Hillary because she's a woman. It's because she's Hillary Clinton.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

paul tsongas, gary hart, ed muskie

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

daria how would you feel if someone claimed the hillary campaign's near constant attacks on obama were because of her racism?

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

A persecution complex is a term given to an array of psychologically complex behaviours that specifically deal with the perception of being persecuted for various possible reasons, imagined or real.

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

But I think you misjudge Obama's motives for saying that, Daria. I don't think he was showing his sexism. I think it was a way of showing himself as an aggressive frontrunner (gently jabbing down at your opponents). But it was unbecoming and, given Obama's image, the line made him look bad.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Agreed that line was a bad idea. Totally unnecessary. She was in the middle of her own Kodak moment and it was bad form for him to spoil it.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know how you can follow the meta-coverage on the press in this race and not understand that there's some deeply rooted misogyny at work here. esp in the mean girls high school sense

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:06 (sixteen years ago) link

of course there is - im not saying there is no misogyny ever im saying obama isnt the source of it just cuz he took a shot at somebody he's running against

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't notice any, even subversive, misogyny directed at her for a full year when she appeared to be on the fast track to the White House. It's only when her candidacy became an uncertain proposition. News dudes always dismiss the underdogs in ugly ways.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I think daria is just saying she agrees that that was a shitty line

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't notice any, even subversive, misogyny directed at her for a full year when she appeared to be on the fast track to the White House.

are you fucking serious

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Dar-i-A!
Dar-i-A!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

not that obama is the source of all woman-hating on the campaign trail. that shit was set in motion decades ago when all these bloggers and reporters were in 7th grade e.g. you either hated that girl who sat in the front of the class and always raised her hand, or you were bill clinton

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't notice any, even subversive, misogyny directed at her for a full year when she appeared to be on the fast track to the White House.

was it damp under your rock?

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, everyone hated Gore's sighing and Kerry's smirking because they were women

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

what the fuck have I stepped in

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

am I the only one who doesn't watch Chris Matthews and doesn't give a fuck about anything he ever says or does?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Not to be all Morbs*, but there's not that much evidence that an Obama presidency will be very different from a Clinton presidency, so a lot of the vehement Clinton-hatred/Obama-love here is coming from somewhere else - misogyny or no.

*(the difference between me and Morbs being that I will gladly back either of these candidates in spite of not believing I will receive the moon they promise me)

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:13 (sixteen years ago) link

There is definitely misogyny at work in this primary race.

I can't stand Matthews, but I like Obermann.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:13 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, everyone hated Gore's sighing and Kerry's smirking because they were women

-- gabbneb, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 12:12 AM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

Anti-intellectualism in those campaigns doesn't preclude the possibility of misogyny in this one

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what's great about tonight tho? most of us are actually gonna get a say in this thing.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

there's not that much evidence that an Obama presidency will be very different from a Clinton presidency

bullshit

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, I didn't do a lot of column reading. Just tv watching. But seriously, all I ever saw was "Hillary is the next president. Cower in fear, GOP losers. It's time in this country that a woman runs things."

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, anti-intellectualism

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

The number of aggro white dudes who still hate Hillary with a seething passion is kind of amazing.

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

do you really think people backing obama over hillary would be hating just as much if she wasnt doing a bunch of slimy unpleasant shit in her campaign? or would welcome this if she was a dude?

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

yup

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Anti-intellectualism in those campaigns doesn't preclude the possibility of misogyny in this one

i don't think kerry and gore were being 'intellectuals'. the fact that hillary is a woman doesn't preclude the possibility that she possesses character traits that people find unattractive in more than one gender.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

srsly, i think if you think this is about her being a woman, you are fatally not getting it

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

the people for whom gender matters that much vote for the other side no matter what

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

theres def a ton of dudes madd cuz shes got tits but that doesnt mean disliking any woman ever is sexist, and accusing liberal obama supporters of this is veering towards GOP 'dems hate condi cuz shes a strong black woman!!' bullshit

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

BTW, on the GOP side, what happened to immigration, the new ''third rail of politics''? I mean, soft-on-immigration John McCain won going away.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh look at these senators giving poor alberto gonzales such a hard time... why do they hate mexicans??

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i9.tinypic.com/71fgyvc.jpg

flattery will get you nowhere, CNN

Kerm, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I would instantly gain so much respect for HRC if she'd tell Bill to stay home and dump all her old '90s-minded staff. THAT'S the thing I hate about her.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:22 (sixteen years ago) link

people in new hampshire don't have to worry much about learning spanish, daniel

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Of course it's not only about gender. Obama is a great communicator and Hillary is mediocre at it, no doubt. But that doesn't explain the hatred.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i9.tinypic.com/71fgyvc.jpg

^^ so gonna happen

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Fair enough. It's hard for me to evaluate, having recently moved to Earth.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:25 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit daniel w/ a zing

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:26 (sixteen years ago) link

in a few cases it's because he didn't ever support the war and she keeps voting yay on cheneystyle fearmonger bullshit

but it's hard to shake the feeling that people really have a lot less patience for the lady-wonk than they do for the masculine version of same

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:26 (sixteen years ago) link

zing sustained

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:27 (sixteen years ago) link

majority of hillary haters i know are broads tho... dudes respect her professionalism & hard-ass stance

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:27 (sixteen years ago) link

esp. non-dems

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:27 (sixteen years ago) link

majority of hillary haters i know are broads tho.

^^same

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Dear msnbc: Please give Rachel Maddow her own show. I don't have time to listen to the radio.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

broads be catty

Kerm, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

hurting, i'm not a hillary hater as far as policy goes, but her campaign has been slimier than obama's in my mind, and i think that might piss people off

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

too moist

Kerm, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i've got to go.

Kerm, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

haha my fiancee hates hrc, tho, adding on to the ladies hate cool h train

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

1 week til Nevada debate. Obama will be getting schooled, methinks.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

loool @ ron paul's gender gap (11% male, 4% female)

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:32 (sixteen years ago) link

98% racists

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:32 (sixteen years ago) link

100% Sean Hannity haterz

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yo bumrush the colmes

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:40 (sixteen years ago) link

At least this will save us from all the Obama-is-the-12th-Imam slough. But a fine montage it is ...

http://home.att.net/~phildragoo/wsb/media/240742/site1119.JPG

Jeb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:41 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf/lol @ 'NO ONE HAS REAL REASONS TO HATE HILLARY' try her war vote (still a big deal to me, fuck u dudes) and TRIANGULATING on EVERYTHING

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

My wife backs Hillary. I'm for Obama mainly because of the Iraq/Iran votes and a moment that turned me off in which Hillary made a really insensitive-sounding defense of the payroll tax cap.

I'm willing to take a gamble on the fact that an Obama presidency, would, in fact, be better than a Hillary presidency, but I'm skeptical. I'm not convinced Obama won't or hasn't made the same devil's bargains with corporate interests Hillary has. He's a better, more energetic speaker, and he talks a lot about hope and change, and he rattles off the same laundry list of problems any dem. candidate would and makes unrealistic claims that he's going to solve them. Which I forgive, to a extent, because he is campaigning.

Triangulating? Isn't Obama's whole "unity" and "non-partisan" schtick a re-branding of triangulation?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Triangulating? Isn't Obama's whole "unity" and "non-partisan" schtick a re-branding of triangulation?

-- Hurting 2, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 11:46 PM (19 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

no, not at all

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:46 (sixteen years ago) link

deciding you're randomly against flag burning = triangulating
convincing republican lawmakers to go along with videotaping police interrogations = unity and nonpartisan 'schtick'

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't see obama making the kind of moves that hillary has in the past that suggest she is much more prone to making decisions based on short-term political expediency.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:48 (sixteen years ago) link

so what's the tough talk on Pakistan if not triangulation?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:50 (sixteen years ago) link

convincing republican lawmakers to go along with videotaping police interrogations = unity and nonpartisan 'schtick'

-- deej, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 11:47 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

in CHICAGO nonetheless, the city known for torturing black suspects up into the mid-1980s

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:50 (sixteen years ago) link

so what's the tough talk on Pakistan if not triangulation?

-- Hurting 2, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 11:50 PM (20 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

real talk?
im going to reiterate it totally makes sense that, should pakistan be unable to squash independent groups that are threatening the u.s. and we have ACTIONABLE intelligence to that effect, we should take action.

and no this is nothing like bush's iraq war strategy

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I've been wondering about that, Deej. Say it wasn't Pakistan. Say it was England. Would you feel the same way?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

The number of aggro white dudes who still hate Hillary with a seething passion is kind of amazing.

ILX to ILX!! WTF

daria how would you feel if someone claimed the hillary campaign's near constant attacks on obama were because of her racism?

Nobody is claiming Obama's campaign going after Hillary is anything other than politics. It was just that Obama's cutting little remark had a moment of training all the massive anger I've had over the coverage of this race onto him, which isn't fair to him, but sometimes it's just visceral. The media's fucking sexist, though. She's shrill. She cackles. She's cold and calculating. Oh, wait, now she's playing the victim and saying waaah, poor me. She can't win. Fuck 'em.

Hey, I'm not saying women don't do it too. A (female) colleague of mine was just saying today, oh, I heard her at the debate and she was so shrill, and then my boss was like, oh, and then she was crying, I can't believe it, and I said well, too bad I'm still voting for her.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

????
if the IRA was threatening to nuke the u.s. and the uk couldn't stop the ira, yes

xp

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/graphics/2007/12/14/wuspols114.jpg

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf/lol @ 'NO ONE HAS REAL REASONS TO HATE HILLARY' try her war vote (still a big deal to me, fuck u dudes)

^^^

I got so caught up in defending my non-sexist position that I'd momentarily forgotten THIS. Her Clintonian campaign style is a distant second.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:57 (sixteen years ago) link

WAHT?!?!? xp

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I also don't think Hillary would start a war like Iraq, even though she voted for it. Which, admittedly, reflects badly on her decision to vote for it.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:58 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe i'm assuming 'actionable intelligence' means something diff than u dudes do

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:58 (sixteen years ago) link

"Actionable intelligence" = quick and precise strike, amirite?

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

hey daria, i can see why you'd want to take a break from ilx, but fwiw your posts on this thread are one of the only reasons i read it. and agreed on media coverage of clinton; sometimes i think i must be making it up.

horseshoe, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

????
if the IRA was threatening to nuke the u.s. and the uk couldn't stop the ira, yes

xp

-- deej, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 12:54 AM (3 minutes ago)

I think Daniel was probably more likely talking about the Islamic extremist groups that actually might conceivably threaten the U.S. from England. Like if the English P.M. claimed he was doing as much as we could and we said "that's not good enough" and sent in the bombers.

Of course we wouldn't do that because we couldn't and we might bomb Waziristan because we can.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:00 (sixteen years ago) link

PS, guys, the rabid Hillary hate started at least as far back as 1992. What pisses me off is seeing the so-called "liberal" bloggers picking it right back up because she might win an election.

Sorry I'm just not getting it, though. How would I know. There's always some reason to hate her, and it's never exactly sexism, but it's a funny thing how so many people at once find different reasons not just to not support, but to either hate, or just do the "lol this, lol that, hilarious" backhanded sarcastic shit, which is possibly more annoying.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Like if the English P.M. claimed he was doing as much as we could and we said "that's not good enough" and sent in the bombers.

-- Hurting 2, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 12:00 AM (18 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

i think that would depend on whether it was good enough or not! if we have 'actionable intelligence' that we are under immediate threat then yeah i dont see whats wrong w/ protecting this interest. Or at the very least, i dont see whats wrong w/ that position for a presidential candidate - i think its not THAT much of a stretch to make the case for making a move into another country based on (again) 'actionable' intelligence. Like most things it depends on the circumstance

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the sexism works like this - Hillary isn't the most likeable powerful female ever, granted, but often when a powerful female ISN'T disarmingly likeable the floodgates tend to open. Like as soon as there are other legitimate reasons not to like a powerful woman, the hate tends to be double.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry I'm just not getting it, though. How would I know. There's always some reason to hate her, and it's never exactly sexism, but it's a funny thing how so many people at once find different reasons not just to not support, but to either hate, or just do the "lol this, lol that, hilarious" backhanded sarcastic shit, which is possibly more annoying.

-- daria-g, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 12:00 AM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

that sounds more to me like everyone here acknowledging that she doesnt have many supporters. the same way we go 'lol this, lol that' about mainstream serious republican candidates

daria is otm about the media and guys in gen. but on ilx, at least in this thread, id say most anti-hillary people have been pretty damn reasonable

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:04 (sixteen years ago) link

daria i'm not a clinton supporter by any means but your posts about hillary have been the most worthwhile on this thread

-- and what, Wednesday, November 21, 2007 12:24 PM (1 month ago) Bookmark Link

sayin though lets keep it cool

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Liberal bloggers do it because she's not only too center-left for their tastes, but also a little hawkish.

I resent your characterization of me, a Hillary detractor, as still having some kind of buried misogyny that I'm trying to cover up by justifying other reasons to say not nice things. If Elizabeth Edwards were as viable as she was, and was running, I might not support her but wouldn't have a bad thing to say about her.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

what deej said

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

And anyway, I'm not accusing anyone of sexism, I'm really not, it's just that.. as a woman it pisses me off to see a bunch of guys gleefully trashing a woman who, to my mind, has done nothing whatsoever to deserve it. I've seen it here, and in the media, and on the blogs, for months and months, and long before the race even got heated and anything you'd call questionable campaign tactics even happened. To "and what," maybe if you dropped into a thread of a bunch of white guys all trashing a black man for whatever reason (I know there are many of those on ILM, take your pick), wouldn't you step in and be a little pissed off about it just on the basis of.. demographics, say.

Chris Matthews on the gender gap "I wish we had more women on this panel to talk about it." ROFLs

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, you admit you don't get it. maybe... you don't get it?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:07 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, here's a very simple theory of elections - people vote for the candidate that makes them feel the best

here is the application of the very simple theory of elections
1952, 56 - lol, everyone likes Ike
1960 - lol, no contest
1964 - :(, everyone feels bad about existing admin, sympathy vote
1968 - everyone feels bad about everything, no more sympathy for existing admin
1972 - nixon wants you to feel better than humphrey does
1976 - everyone feels bad about existing admin, no sympathy, other guy has funny grin
1980 - everyone feels bad about existing admin, no sympathy, other guy promises AM in USA
1984 - noontime in USA, with Bruce Springsteen
1988 - a lot of people still feel pretty ok about the admin; junior guy's kinda funny, but better than that dour guy on the other side
1992 - whoops, that didn't turn out so well; take a look at this sunny, optimistic new guy!
1996 - hey, this is great!
2000 - whoops, now lots of people hate the old guy, and lots of others hate the people who hate him; the junior guy's not as good, but alright, i guess; so's the new guy tho, maybe
2004 - holy fucking shit! lots of people love this guy, lots hate him. maybe we don't feel so good about him, but this new guy seems to want us to feel worse? he's not mr. personality or anything either.

who in this election's gonna make people feel good? this isn't hard.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I'm cool. I think it's probably a few folks that really burned me and not most everyone, actually, but the ones that did made me pretty convinced I should just walk away.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:07 (sixteen years ago) link

done nothing whatsoever to deserve it?

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:09 (sixteen years ago) link

There's always some reason to hate her, and it's never exactly sexism, but it's a funny thing how so many people at once find different reasons not just to not support, but to either hate, or just do the "lol this, lol that, hilarious" backhanded sarcastic shit, which is possibly more annoying.

FWIW (not much, I realize), I don't hate HRC at all. I respect her. But I don't support her in the primary, for two reasons: (a) she was -- to me -- on the wrong side of two key war votes (Iran/Iraq) and her advisory team and rhetoric suggests that she'd have a more hawkish foreign policy and a more overreaching view of executive power than I'd like and (b) I don't think she can win in a GE (especially against John McCain). But those criticisms are based on her policies and likelihood of success, not her gender.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:09 (sixteen years ago) link

At times I've felt that Joe Lieberman was targeted for extra hatred in part because he's a diminutive Jew. That said, I FUCKING HATE JOE LIEBERMAN!

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:10 (sixteen years ago) link

guys can I just lock the thread? I mean look at what gabbneb just posted. lol voeting amirite

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel I hear you, that's totally fair.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:12 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, did you know kerry has a big chin? and botox? and metrosexual hair? and looks like frankenstein? and isn't the kind of guy you'd want to have a beer with? and is french? and gay? and yellow? and a card-carrying member of the cultural elite? all because he's a woman, of course.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Daniel was probably more likely talking about the Islamic extremist groups that actually might conceivably threaten the U.S. from England. Like if the English P.M. claimed he was doing as much as we could and we said "that's not good enough" and sent in the bombers.

Rt. So what if a dangerous Islamic extremist group -- that announced its intention of getting nuclear weapons and using them against the West -- was found to have a hub in London and we had good "actionable intelligence" on where it's key leaders would be at a given time. We ask London to take action, but for internal political reasons, it refuses and objects to our taking any unilateral action.

So, do we fire missles or send troops/special ops into London?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:13 (sixteen years ago) link

gabb i think it might be time to go to bed

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb seriously stfu

horseshoe, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb have you not kind of figured out yet that the real reason a lot of people on ilx hate you and the reason you hate hillary are basically the same?

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I assumed "actionable intelligence" just meant "we know where Bin Laden is" or something like that.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know that she'd be worse vis-a-vis McCain specifically than Obama would; the opposite might be true. i'm just buying the line that obama's better in general regardless of who's on the other side. this is, though, why it may be a good thing to play chicken with the other side as i said way back at the beginning of the other thread.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:15 (sixteen years ago) link

We ask London to take action, but for internal political reasons, it refuses and objects to our taking any unilateral action.

Let's get real. If England knew where and how to eliminate a group with the intention of gaining nuclear weapons that was in the city center of London, they'd act accordingly.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:16 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb have you not kind of figured out yet that the real reason a lot of people on ilx hate you and the reason you hate hillary are basically the same?

duh. i was almost gonna use me as an example here.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:16 (sixteen years ago) link

but thanks for helping me make the argument

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:16 (sixteen years ago) link

ok being that i work with/in the IC can I just go ahead and let you guys know that "actionable intelligence" means information which has been processed, evaluated (corroborated) and summarized in such a way as to be readily applicable in the decision making process by the people tasked with a given decision

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:18 (sixteen years ago) link

but once again, i don't hate hillary, if you'd bother to listen

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Madeline Albright on Leonard Lopate, paraphrased: "Foreign Policy is really just about how you get other countries to do what you want them to do. You use diplomacy, you use economic carrots and sticks, or you use force. That's about all there is."

Bush's foreign policy has been overreaching and stupid. Neither Obama nor Hillary are likely to be as stupid, but I'm guessing both would have a similar approach to using force, regardless of voting history. All I was trying to say.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

like "should we blow up where osama lives?" actionable intelligence: osama is living in the ritz carlton downtown --> no

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I hear you, Hurting. OBL is such a unique figure I think we have a lot more options when it comes to him personally. Still, it's tougher when you change the unwilling actor from Pakistan to, say, England (even with OBL as the target).

And you're right, Johnny, it wouldn't happen with England. But changing the hypothetical actor to an ally refocuses the question in important ways, so the debate (is Obama's position similar to the Bush Doctrine) can be examined in a different -- maybe clearer -- light.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry, I meant a Western ally.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:21 (sixteen years ago) link

hey guess what guys

she would repeal the bush tax cuts
she would put pro-choice judges on the supreme court (she voted against roberts & alito)
she would support stem cell research (voted for it every time)
she supports net neutrality
she has a 100% rating from NARAL and a 0% from the christian coalition

its not that bad unless youre purposefully being a dick about it

-- and what, Thursday, October 18, 2007 1:40 PM (2 months ago) Bookmark Link

^^ posted this when hillary was the inevitable future prez & still agree with every word of it but telling me im a misogynist for preferring a more liberal less nixonian candidate is not really helping

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:22 (sixteen years ago) link

ok can someone explain to me superdelegates? and will hrc and obama continue to split the delegates at 9 each or one more go to her once all the votes have been counted?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:28 (sixteen years ago) link

The thing is that Pakistan is only Pakistan on a map. Those national borders are completely arbitrary and the rural parts of the country itself are still based in tribal tradition. Throwing a hypothetical Western location into the discussion is just a big, ugly red herring.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Many of the upcoming states are "winner take all" re: delegates.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:30 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb's advisors are dumbfounded at the failure of their 'gabbneb is the greatest poster of all time' message in the early rounds. a chief strategist asks, "don't these people understand who they want at the top of the statscock month after month?" advisors complain privately that voters don't perceive the "real gabbneb" known to friends and associates.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:39 (sixteen years ago) link

one staffer hints darkly of anti-yuppieism

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:40 (sixteen years ago) link

still, the question remains - will gabbneb cry?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Gothamist: based on our rudimentary lipreading skills, it looked like Bill Clinton told her, "I'm really proud of you, I really am."

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:46 (sixteen years ago) link

...because of the wang.

Sparkle Motion, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 06:49 (sixteen years ago) link

telling me im a misogynist for preferring a more liberal less nixonian candidate is not really helping

aye. especially when the new line against obama will probably be "he's too liberal to win!" i've already heard the mcgovern thing a few times. the boogeyman of centrist democrats: "he's another mcgovern!" great, thanks. nice to see someone's still getting milage out of old george. (who meanwhile is trying to impeach the president.)

tipsy mothra, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 07:10 (sixteen years ago) link

mileage. i always drop the 'e'.

tipsy mothra, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 07:11 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb have you not kind of figured out yet that the real reason a lot of people on ilx hate you and the reason you hate hillary are basically the same?

"Well, that hurts my feelings," he replied. "But I'll try to go on."

gershy, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 07:20 (sixteen years ago) link

it's very personal

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 07:20 (sixteen years ago) link

i have a habit of misunderstanding foreign-policy issues but...

it's my sense that bombing some site in waziristan -- which only might result in killing some major al qaeda figures -- would create many more problems than it solved. the chances of doing real damage to al qaeda versus killing civilians and in general inflaming muslims across the world...?

i have problems with adam curtis' the power of nightmares (i'm not convinced that al qaeda was really just a construct of western politicians and media) but think he is right in terms of a basic if convenient misunderstanding of islamism (if not human history) by american politicians.

my read is that obama has to retain a degree of hawkishness to seem viable. i'd like to think he actually wouldn't strike pakistan as president. but of course i can't count on this.

as for hillary, her response to the same question invoked bill's bombing of the sudan, as though this was a proud accomplishment and not an embarrassing fiasco.

amateurist, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 08:32 (sixteen years ago) link

<I> the chances of doing real damage to al qaeda versus killing civilians and in general inflaming muslims across the world...?</i>

or rather, doing all of these things at once. the net result still = bad

i don't know, sometimes i feel like the usa is like pavlov's other dog, who just couldn't figure it out

amateurist, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 08:39 (sixteen years ago) link

re deej's surgical strike fantasies -- a guy with al-quaeda links in london got sent down yesterday in a british court for planning terrorist activity in pakistan, in a coals-to-newcastle stylee.

he only got 13 months. does pakistan have the right to bomb london, though -- surgically, of course -- in cases like this?

similarly american donors funded the IRA, but weirdly enough the british didn't bomb boston.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 09:16 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i.cnn.net/cnn/2008/POLITICS/01/08/primaries.main/hillary.nh.win.ap.jpg

I CAN HAS MY NEW HAMPSTER NOW PLZ?

StanM, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 09:42 (sixteen years ago) link

halp

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 09:43 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dccc.org/stakeholder/archives/body_snatchers.jpg

StanM, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 09:52 (sixteen years ago) link

deej's defense of the united states' right to bomb whatever country it wants has been the most surprising thing about this thread so far. (i guess this means he's in favor of israel's helicopter strikes on hamas leaders too?)

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:11 (sixteen years ago) link

daily howler --

A new opportunity: With the presumptive defeat of Candidate Clinton, a 16-year story will come to an end. This gives Democrats a new chance to take control of the narratives told about its leaders. By now, it’s abundantly clear that a Nominee Clinton would be subjected to endless nonsense throughout the campaign, as was the case with Candidate Gore all through 1999 and 2000. These attacks would be based on sixteen years of mainstream demonology -- and it’s clear that many Dems and libs believe many parts of these RNC tales. (Let’s not pretend that we don’t.) Obama’s nomination [would let] Dems start again. And, with new, more aggressive liberal institutions in place, it will be harder -- much, much harder -- to assemble the welter of Demon Tales that were used to trash the Clintons and Gore. The defeat of Clinton will let Democrats and liberals at long last start over again.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:13 (sixteen years ago) link

on c4 news yesterday even syd blumenthal seemed to have basically conceded.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate to trot this out because it's so obvious, but...
Did anyone else notice that the moment the networks started calling NH for Clinton, every other political writer started explaining why OF COURSE HILLARY WON, etc, etc, when only six hours earlier they had an entirely different narrative spin on the evening? (She won because she cried! She won because the women of NH came out for her! She won because Bill was tough on Obama!)
Maybe after a surprise like that the pundits should be like: oops? I guess we don't really know what is fueling the votes at the moment? Our bad?

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, I've got a primary question for someone who is brighter than me:

Romney came in second place in Iowa and second place in NH.
McCain came in third place in Iowa and first place in NH.
Huckabee came in first place in Iowa and third place in NH.

Isn't the candidate who came in second both times the better (more consensus generating) choice than the one who came in 3rd in one and 1st in the other? Why are people calling Romney a double-loser instead of a compromise candidate?

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:23 (sixteen years ago) link

regarding the MSM's misogyny towards The Inevitable, it should be mentioned that some of these pundits were just as gleeful tonight at her comeback. Tim Russert looked like someone was tickling his asshole. At the end of the day, a lot of em are just sports junkies. They want a great game. They want the momentum swinging like a pendulum and they want the underdog to smash the juggernaut. Dems are coming through.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Mordechai at this point the votes are more reflective of how much money and time people spent in those places. For instance, McCain didn't spend anything on Iowa -- he conceded it from the get-go. On the other hand, Romney outspent everyone in both Iowa and NH and came in second. There are a lot of ways to interpret it.

I listen to BBC's "Newspod", a 30-minute roundup of the day's radio news, and it's always a day late by the time I listen to it. It's not that surprising that so many people were wrong about the Democratic results in NH, but it's fascinating listening to the explanations people were already spinning about WHY Obama was going to win -- they were already writing the first draft of history before anything had even happened yet.

The dynamics of Hillary vs McCain scare the shit out of me for two reasons.

1) The press has been in love with McCain for years, and has hated Hillary even longer.

2) Despite being Bush's butt-boy for years and basically running on the SAME POLICIES as Bush, McCain stands a very good chance of painting himself as the agent of change and Hillary as the candidate of the past.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish we could vote for candidates in the primaries without worrying about their electability. There's no reason, outside of MSM narratives and whatever, that Hillary couldn't beat McCain. She wins of policy, and hell, she wins on personality too. I'd much rather watch her speak than McCain (who bores me).

Actually, on that note: I've watched so many speeches these last two weeks (mostly on CSPAN) that I'm ready to rank speakers from my favorite to least favorite:
Obama > Romney > Clinton > Richardson > Paul > Guiliani > Huckabee > Edwards > McCain

I LOVE listening to Romney speak. Even though I disagree with every blessed word that leaves his lips.

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:45 (sixteen years ago) link

She wins on* policy

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:45 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm ready to rank speakers

Didn't I read that Obama's speech writer is this 24 (26?) year old dude who worked for the Kerry campaign in 2004, when he was 20 (22?) ?

StanM, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I read that Obama wrote his own speeches?

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 11:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama wrote his keynote speech at the 2004 DNC. this guy is writing for him now.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:01 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at George Stephanopolous analyzing the "semiotics" of HRC's onstage antics last night.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Link?

Mordechai Shinefield, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m seriously hung. I worked nearly 11 hours on the phone yesterday. I could only estimate how many people I called. My prize? Cheering for the winner in Manchester (and apparently being on television)!

I am a bit bummed I didn’t get waste time here. Maybe I’ll slog through the thread this afternoon.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria's right about that ''You're likable ENOUGH'' line by Obama. I think it hurt him. It made him look petty and frat boy-ish, not high-minded and transformative.

To me the line and delivery were anything but frat boy-ish; he sounded cool and distanced, much better than McCain's pandering "candidate of change" one-liner.

Anyway, this is minutiae.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m seriously hung.

take it to the crush thread.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:24 (sixteen years ago) link

To me the line and delivery were anything but frat boy-ish; he sounded cool and distanced, much better than McCain's pandering "candidate of change" one-liner.

I agree. I think that moment was well played by both candidates.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:25 (sixteen years ago) link

To me the line and delivery were anything but frat boy-ish; he sounded cool and distanced, much better than McCain's pandering "candidate of change" one-liner.

I hear that view. Clearly, Obama was trying to sound cool and distanced: Like the frontrunner. We just heard it differently.

FWIW, I think Obama and Edwards came off like frat-boys too often during that debate (e.g., Obama's "Oh, I was watching the playoff game backstage" line). I don't think that lines like that are are good for Obama (who woos voters with his powerful, graceful, elegant and hyper-serious rhetorical style), at least not in the primary.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 12:42 (sixteen years ago) link

stop attacking their gender, Dan

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i see what you did there

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:36 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:37 (sixteen years ago) link

do you think the substance of George's tv semiotics were lol-worthy, Alfred, or his exercise of them/use of the word? dude was a Rhodes Scholar, y'know (and summa at Columbia the year before Barack, tho the latter's biography suggests there's no reason they would know each other).

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:38 (sixteen years ago) link

the columbia semiotics program at columbia sucked in the late 80s

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:40 (sixteen years ago) link

at least, at columbia it did

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:40 (sixteen years ago) link

hi-fives, gershy, but i'm actually physically able to stick out my lower lip

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 13:42 (sixteen years ago) link

lol daria poking her head in after the big win to accuse ilx and everyone else of sexism.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:05 (sixteen years ago) link

do you think the substance of George's tv semiotics were lol-worthy, Alfred, or his exercise of them/use of the word? d

The substance, gabbs, such as it was. I don't much care – neither do most voters – about where and why Madeleine Albright and Wes Clarke were "positioned" last Thursday, but Michael Deaver would be proud.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean theres like nothing hillary couldve ever done to piss people off - like repeatedly rolling over for the worst administration of my lifetime on the most important issues of the day.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:07 (sixteen years ago) link

but anyway i had anxiety dreams abt the election last night which then seamlessly morphed into dreams abt selling records on ebay where i was going to be out of town when the auctions ended and unable to ship them out - i kept canceling the auctions but then when id look at my selling page there were more there.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Stephen Colbert's best line on his opening night was "Someone was up there wearing a Madeleine Albright mask."

I wish we could vote for candidates in the primaries without worrying about their electability.

I do it; not that hard.

Oh, Alfred's gonna love Mo Dowd quoting Ruth Gordon & Garson Kanin re Rodham's boohooing. Her best stuff:

There was a poignancy about the moment, seeing Hillary crack with exhaustion from decades of yearning to be the principal rather than the plus-one. But there was a whiff of Nixonian self-pity about her choking up. What was moving her so deeply was her recognition that the country was failing to grasp how much it needs her. In a weirdly narcissistic way, she was crying for us. But it was grimly typical of her that what finally made her break down was the prospect of losing.

As Spencer Tracy said to Katharine Hepburn in “Adam’s Rib,” “Here we go again, the old juice. Guaranteed heart melter. A few female tears, stronger than any acid.”

The Clintons once more wriggled out of a tight spot at the last minute. Bill churlishly dismissed the Obama phenom as “the biggest fairy tale I’ve ever seen,” but for the last few days, it was Hillary who seemed in danger of being Cinderella. She became emotional because she feared that she had reached her political midnight, when she would suddenly revert to the school girl with geeky glasses and frizzy hair, smart but not the favorite. All those years in the shadow of one Natural, only to face the prospect of being eclipsed by another Natural?

...Her argument against Obama now boils down to an argument against idealism, which is probably the lowest and most unlikely point to which any Clinton could sink. The people from Hope are arguing against hope.

Wow, I totally missed Billy Blythe's "big Obama fairytale" line. As big as how liberally you were gonna govern in your second term, you fat criminal fuck?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Also loved Dowd's description of her walking into the "office" to catch her fellow fools obsessing over HRC'S Muskie moment.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:21 (sixteen years ago) link

What was moving her so deeply was her recognition that the country was failing to grasp how much it needs her. In a weirdly narcissistic way, she was crying for us. But it was grimly typical of her that what finally made her break down was the prospect of losing.

surprisingly otm

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Obama starting to sound pretty good to me at this point. Not that I think Obama should concede, or that he doesn't have a (slim) chance to win the nomination, but I hope the two sides can make peace because that ticket would likely be unbeatable... unless Huckabee can get Jesus to be his running mate.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I agree, but Dowd attacking the Clintons for their lack of idealism is a bit rich coming from the columnist most responsible for purely superficial gibes at pols.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i will say that clinton is otm when she said she found her voice. not just the crying - although i did say upthread that that human hillary was immensely more appealing than her usual schtick - but her speaking and behaving in a more intimate manner altogether - that was surely the cause of her comeback.

there was a headline on huffpost a couple days ago that said something abt hillary wrestling control of her campaign from the advisers. if so well done.

but still i dont trust her. is having her back completely against the wall what it takes for her to be at all genuine. surely if she wins she'll go back to being completely calculating.

but of course it not just the endless scheming. i mean thats endemic in politics. its the scheming + consistent wrongness.

so while i do admire what shes done in the last few days. the fact that she was even in that situation to begin with just points back to her flaws.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton-Obama ticket would likely be beatable. By John McCain, [secretly hypocritical] torture-saint "maverick."

"purely superficial gibes" are suited to purely superficial pols.

Dowd's finish, for jhoshea:

At her victory party, Hillary was like the heroine of a Lifetime movie, a woman in peril who manages to triumph. Saying that her heart was full, she sounded the feminist anthem: “I found my own voice.”

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Dowd attacking the Clintons for their lack of idealism is a bit rich

maybe but it's accurate ... given the last few days of the "false hopes / it's a fairy tale / you're no MLK" message ...

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:29 (sixteen years ago) link

another great thing abt hillary/obama would be that itd give us by far the best shot at: 16 years, no republican presidents.

not that i think obama is cooked. its a coin flip now. w/obama maybe still having somewhat of an edge. nh over the years has had a soft spot for the uncharismatic candidates that the rest of the country has no time for. mccain and tsongas come to mind. obv hillary is much stronger than either of those dudes. but still nh is more forgiving of her sort of foibles.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you overestimate the popularity of McCain amongst the Christianist Right, and underestimate the effect of turning out a broad coalition of new female, minority, and youth voters.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:32 (sixteen years ago) link

as much as I think being Caucasian male is an impregnable (ha ha) condition until history is made, I like Obama's chances against McCain slightly more than Clinton's.

So Romney, Edwards both cooked?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I wouldn't give Obama an edge. With a national primary on the 5th, most superdelegates already going for Clinton, and no fundraising advantage for either candidate, Hillary has at least a moderate advantage on name recognition alone. Even if she loses SC and NV.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:34 (sixteen years ago) link

i really dont get the mccain fear - hes on the mostest wrong side of the most important issue of the election, hes old dead-looking and weird, and the republican party is at a 30 year nadir.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:35 (sixteen years ago) link

And believe me, I have some idea of the Obama campaign's strategy. I have put in time at the NY office and attended their leadership training program. The idea was IA + NH = narrow win over Clinton on February 5th. Even with IA and NH they knew the national primary would be really rough.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

no if she looses sc and nv obama is pretty clearly in the drivers seat.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

That's what they'll so, but I don't think they'll believe it. They're tearing out their hair this morning trying to figure out what to do, I guarantee it.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:37 (sixteen years ago) link

yah sure but theyre a campaign - thats their job. obv they have to be completely on top of their game to make this work.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Mccain is on the mostest wrong side of the most important issue of the election

Haven't you heard? "The surge is working."

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:40 (sixteen years ago) link

anyhow its compelling that we have races on both sides that look like they wont be decided til super tuesday.

especially for the tv people.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

By the fall people will be saying, "The sure worked, so can we go home now?" Not, "The surge worked, now we don't have to go! I hope we get to stick around for another 100 years!"

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs the polls have for a while consistently shown majorities or pluralities for these views: the war is the most important issue of the election, the surge is working, the war was a mistake, the troops should come home now.

so mccain is one for three on the most important issue of the election and 0 for 1 on the issue that the next president will actually have to take action on.

hes been saying shit like being in iraq for 100 years would be fine for ever and hes gonna get killt w/it in the ge if he makes it that far.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Another good thing to consider... if Obama is VP he is President of the Senate. Not bad.

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:49 (sixteen years ago) link

He SHOULD be killed on the "100 years" thing. I have my doubts.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 14:53 (sixteen years ago) link

And.. here we go again! Dowd with the Lifetime movie crap. Chris Matthews was on MSNBC this morning saying Hillary wouldn't have even won her Senate seat in NY if it weren't for Bill messing around and people feeling sorry for her! Then he went back to drooling over Obama's beautiful speeches and how he was so tall and lanky and would just glide onstage. (Not kidding.) What an asshole.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

We agree.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

he should get a job more suited to his interests, like judging the Miss America pageant

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney not cooked, Dr. M. But he has to break through soon.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

In a workplace context, Obama may have reminded women of under-qualified hotshots who come along and get the big job with less experience because they're cooler and have more rapport with the boss and are, after all, men.

No shit, Sherlock.. :)

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

That's the thing, Daria. Obama avoids that problem when he stays ultra-sober and serious. But when he doesn't -- as I argue above (and Alfred disagrees with) -- he falls right into this trap of looking like the underqualified cool kid who is succeeding b/c he's ''one of the guys.'' But don't bet on Obama making these mistakes often (if it was a mistake; I see Alfred's point, even if I disagree).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, I know. It's far from over. Probably the Obama-Edwards team up at the debate didn't help either one.. Anything can still happen but I think Obama's got more to worry about now, he's a momentum candidate more than a policy wonk. He'll probably win South Carolina.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:10 (sixteen years ago) link

its interesting how some discount charisma as unsubstantial and unjustly consequential. while having someone in charge thats sliding by on it alone is obv a dangerous situation - its not a coincidence that all great leaders have it in spades. theres more there than just the shine.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

But that's just it, Daniel: Obama's remark (and tone) was too urbane for a fratboy.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

It was his interaction with Edwards at HRC's expense and his football reference that really reminded me of a frat-boy. The ''likeable enough'' line did too, but to a lesser extent. What that line did, I think, is make Obama seem snide -- maybe petty -- which doesn't jibe with his image. I do not think he'll make that mistake again (also b/c I think he and HRC will both try to sound like insurgents -- not frontrunners -- for a while).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I really wish you ppl talked about policy instead of all this sports analysis, but I guess that horse left the barn around the final Reagan-Mondale debate...

Open primaries are a really vile thing.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs this is the primaries thread i dont want to keep having to tell you

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

uh ok maybe not like "insurgents", dude.

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

T/S: Clinton/Obama Vs. McCain/Huckabee

Hatch, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I missed the football reference, but then I actually missed watching all the debates because the Pitt-Jax wild card game that evening was a lot more exciting.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

there is no way mcain has the republican nom locked up. its totally wide open. ghouliani is waiting in the weeds. romney is super-rich. huckabee is counting on the blue-collar-comedy endorsement (though there is a larrythecableguy/fred thompson.jpg out there).

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

under-qualified hotshots who come along and get the big job with less experience because they're cooler and have more rapport with the boss and are, after all, men.

some people call those "interpersonal skills"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

http://mizian.com.ne.kr/englishwiz/library/friends/images/carnegie.jpg

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Pitt-Jax wild card game that evening was a lot more exciting

Exciting only to the extent that the Jags go on to beat the Patriots.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, but this is a democracy. You can't just win by getting the votes of the dudes in upper management.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

See that's why I watched Jax with such interest, I was more worried when they were killing the Steelers in the first half but Garrard didn't play that great and both teams made some really dumb mistakes. It'll be a great match up though.

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Just somebody beat the Patriots, plz.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

this is the primaries thread

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

now i gotta figure out who to vote for, lol

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, Obama informed everyone in the debate that the Redskins lost (I was at a bar on the Hill with a bunch of dejected Skins fans and a bunch of soon-to-be dejected Steelers fans).. hell the biggest headlines in DC papers are STILL "Joe Gibbs retires."

daria-g, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

dude's gonna focus on a more interesting sport now?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i forgot to include "the patriarchy" in that list of institutions gabbneb trusts

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

don't forget "the system" TH

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

also, "society"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

not to mention "they" and "them"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

(big xpost) clinton/obama sounds ghastly to me - would obama be used as some kind of hope-envoy?. mcain/huckabee would give the dems a landslide so long as they don't fuck things up.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

and Rolling Stone magazine

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

big ups the RIAA

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer, didn't you essentially say upthread you don't like the people voting for the democratic nominee? do you support the party bosses making backroom deals? why do you suppose the primary system came about?

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

no, what i said was that i don't like not having an identifiable party leader. and i don't like having a bloody 1+ years of intramural fighting right before the election. in many - most? - other countries, the parties choose their own leaders. that way, people always know who the leader of your party is, and that person has gotten in the papers on every issue even if their party doesn't hold the presidency.

my perfect system? keep the primaries but hold them one year AFTER the elections rather than one year before. that way the nominee is chosen and decided, and can then lead the opposition effectively for three years up until the next election.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

no, what i said was that i don't like not having an identifiable party leader

Tracer doesn't like the separation of powers, but does like party bosses

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Here we go again: Diebold rigging claims

http://drunkardslamppost.wordpress.com/2008/01/09/diebold-and-new-hampshire/

StanM, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't like having a bloody 1+ years of intramural fighting right before the election.

im actually starting to appreciate our endless election process as a proving ground for the candidates - it might actually make them better at their jobs

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

^on crack^

haha, Tracer you expatriate! Pols fall SO far in and out of fashion over 3 years. Plus the Dems change what they (say they) stand for every 6 months.

Hold a national primary 2 months before the election. Put us out of our misery.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

our endless election process keeps our candidates (they sure ain't leaders) from doing their putative jobs.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, you know what's wrong with the political season? it just isn't long enough!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks for the clarification tracer.

keep the primaries but hold them one year AFTER the elections rather than one year before. that way the nominee is chosen and decided, and can then lead the opposition effectively for three years up until the next election.

thats an interesting idea (way better than morbs'!). i am not personally interested nor do i have anything invested in dem or rep party politics, but yeah surely we can all agree how it works now is flawed esp. w/the compression of primary dates.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

The discrepency may just be a matter of demographics: urban voters may like Hillary more than rural voters.

ya think?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

so rural voters like obama better?

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

that's what the exit polls say

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC's "i found my voice" line is nauseating. it's reasonably clear way of narrativising the rough couple days to her win in NH, but what a gross boomerist way to do it. you're a US senator in your 50s, and you've found your voice? just now?

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

this is the first time i've halfway agreed with MoDo, what a day...

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Hil's like an Aaron Sorkin character!

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

oh god don't even bring that dipshit up

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

she invented the television? xp

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i don't actually like the executive branch as currently defined much at all, even before bush turned it into a bulldozing machine. it's too much like having a king. i think a famous american once made the same observation.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

this is the first time i've halfway agreed with MoDo, what a day...

i know, right?

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

def the president has waaaaays too much power

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lol blame lincoln and fdr RON PAUL RON PAUL RON PAUL

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

uh increase in exec branch is not just a libertarian issue

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

(should read exec branch POWER)

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

its really a byproduct of the system

you have three branches, two of which are made up of multiple guys. of course the one made up of one guy is gonna be better at seizing power while the others fight amongst themselves.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

joeks bruv

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Pols fall SO far in and out of fashion over 3 years. Plus the Dems change what they (say they) stand for every 6 months.

yeah, and this is part of the problem. if things get too far out of whack, like during the intervening three years the nominee gets caught masturbating with a rubber hosepipe and an orange, then there would be a mechanism for another primary -- in fact, such a mechanism probably already exists in and amongst the party rules. which, may i remind those here who seem to consider this whole circus as handed down on tablets, have no basis in law or the constitution and are therely purely for the benefit of the party who created them and can thus be changed if the party feels that it should.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

we're getting a great national debate these days with our current system aren't we?

"i am the candidate for change"

"no, i am"

"my name is (x) and this is where i grew up"

CAN WE SKIP THIS PART PLEASE

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img.breitbart.com/images/2008/1/9/D8U2DTF80/D8U2DTF80.jpg

Dude's starting to look like Jack from "Will & Grace".

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer i don't get your wish for a solid and unambiguous 'party leader.' that just doesn't make sense in a non-parliamentary system

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

there are way more people in the exec branch than any other. if you don't like that, you don't like most of the regulatory state.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

well whichever party has the presidency has a de facto leader, but the opposition gets none unless there's a particularly egregious, overweening bastard who just has to tell everybody what to do (i.e. gingrich) -- this guarantees either no real visible rational debate, or a debate between a president and a nutcase

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

uh gabby come on dont play dense there is one decider in the executive branch

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry i forgot

http://weblogs.elearning.ubc.ca/leftcoastleaner/cheney_short_of_breath.jpg

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

a US party's eventual nominee for president is not the same thing as the opposition party's "shadow PM" or whatever equally-but-differently gnarly bullshit european parties arrive at

+ there are 50 state legislatures and governorships, big city mayoralties... there's just way more moving parts in the US, and more ideological range within the parties. it's a big country!

xp, well "well whichever party has the presidency has a de facto leader"... except in cases like this year! where the "party that has the presiden(t)" who is not a de facto leader, quite the opposite. how do they figure out who gets the ring next? how about... a big ugly series of public votes on the matter?

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

there's plenty to complain about w/r/t primaries -- "WHY IOWA AND NH ALL THE TIME JEEZ" -- but asking for it to be more efficient and rational just seems synoymous with making it less public and in the end less healthy

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a big country!

lol

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i wish we'd go back to the vp being 2nd place voter getter in the pres election. that'd make things interesting.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

lol assassination

jhøshea, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

but then i was also hoping the 2000 election would have been contested by gore partly just for the chaos that would ensue.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

that'd make things interesting.

yeah, we'd have 2 dozen extra presidential candidates

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

gr3at system you guys are designing here

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

anything that moves us even an inch closer to the destruction of the 2 major parties is cool with me, but I can't envision it till we're China's lackeys.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

2 dozen presidential candidates? sounds good to me!

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

has there ever been a point in US politics where there weren't only 2 major parties? there are those moments where one is in the process of fracturing over a particular issue, or a substantial bloc of people with an issue previously ignored... but the equilibrium goes back to 2 in a binary election system.

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

This discussion right now is like having a guy ranting during a World Series game about how baseball should be more like cricket.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

please stop.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

no lets talk about who we would have supported in the 1932 democratic national convention

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

THE HOOV!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

BIG HOOV aka the market crasher

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd have gone for will rogers all the way.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

HOOV wasn't at the 1932 Democratic convention.

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

in the election of 1860 the Dems were split in two, and Lincoln ran against fellow Republican and future secretary of state William Seward.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

we;ll stop, elmo ... when we have a second party.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys are forgetting that the real problem with the primaries is that they eventually end with the most decidedly undemocratic process in perhaps the entire system, the rest of it doesn't even hardly count

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i blame the people who are still undecided on election day. idiots.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Wha? Well, anyway, I haven't seen anyone discuss this (they probably have and I missed it), but I noticed how much HRC's victory speech emphasized domestic issues, beginning -- I think -- with the housing crisis.

Maybe this also had something to do with her N.H. win. Obama's "game-changer" status is largely (maybe implicitly) built on foreign policy issues, e.g., the day he's sworn-in as President, the Arab world will see the U.S. differently (more favorably). But if foreign policy concerns are slipping behind economic anxiety in voter's minds, that won't be as significant a card for Obama to play. And maybe HRC will sound stronger on those issues or do a good job of emphasizing them. Anyway, what issues the campaigns emphasize going into February will be interesting (a few months ago, it was foreign policy/nat'l security; maybe now "it's the economy, stupid").

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe now "it's the economy, stupid"

Unless there was a terrorist attack yesterday, it's always the economy.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Culinary Workers Endorse Obama

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

i like marc ambinder's take on NH:

Every time you think you know how politics works....

Consider: Hillary Clinton's own internal tracking poll projected an 11 point loss.

So her victory is more than the sum of its parts.

Here are some of those parts

** Women came home for Hillary, for some reason
** the campaign's absentee ballot program worked well
** The campaign believes that working folks had trouble voting in the caucuses;
** Clinton has always had a much deeper base of support in New Hampshire
** New Hampshire voters have already taken their independence seriously
** Barack Obama spent a month in Iowa, making an argument tailored for Iowa; he did not have the time build up the momentum in New Hampshire; the bounce was ephemeral.
** She stepped out of the bubble: she took control at her events, forcing the fire marshal to let in more voters, tearing up, giving honest answers; she’s started to warm up to her traveling press corps a bit. (A bit.)
** She took control of her campaign, writing most of her stump speech, making most of the key decisions herself
** Barack Obama’s television ads portrayed him as a god; black and white photographs with white lettering; very thematic; very arrogant, in a way – many of them featured Obama talking to voters; Clinton’s ads were more conventionally inspiring, with lots of American flags, lots of American images; not as threatening or ponderous.
** She performed well at the debate
** The tears worked; the free media was influential

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless there was a terrorist attack yesterday, it's always the economy.

Iraq/Iran are big issues. But a recession is looming, so . . .

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Out to rock Michigan:

http://www.latimes.com/media/alternatethumbnails/photo/2008-01/34647783-09100225.jpg

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

He's no worse than the Nuge.

Nicole, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i caught huckabee playing bass w/a local bar band in new hampshire on cspan a few days ago.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

at least the nuge had some good tunes

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

deej's defense of the united states' right to bomb whatever country it wants has been the most surprising thing about this thread so far. (i guess this means he's in favor of israel's helicopter strikes on hamas leaders too?)

-- Tracer Hand, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 5:11 AM (7 hours ago) Bookmark Link

you guys are missing the point - this is an issue of judgment obv, depending on the degree of our knowledge and how serious and immediate the threat actually is, how far negotiations have gone, the potential consequences of such an action (including incorporating the potential blowback into your decision making) - all i'm saying is that no, i don't think it should ever be ruled out, and it should be a viable response, particularly if yr talking about rogue groups acting with impunity w/in a country that cannot control them.

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

yr acting like i'm saying it should be our first response to just go in and bomb whoever we please, which is not the position that ive taken or that obama ever took.

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

so iowa and nh got plenty of juice this go around, does anyone see nevada and/or south carolina getting similar THIS IS THE TURNIN POINT kinda coverage?

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

deej, you must understand that this doctrine applies only to countries that have no capacity to retaliate effectively. For example, Finland.

Aimless, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Stop watching 24.

Gavin, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

so iowa and nh got plenty of juice this go around, does anyone see nevada and/or south carolina getting similar THIS IS THE TURNIN POINT kinda coverage?

south carolina could be for the dems.

artdamages, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:09 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, might depend what the expectations/polls are like. lol, feb 5 is hueg.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

NV and SC seem much more make-or-break for Obama than for Hillary

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

As a Floridian, you have no idea how mad I am right now that our primary means nothing! Stupid GOP legislature and their shady election practices.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

deej, you must understand that this doctrine applies only to countries that have no capacity to retaliate effectively. For example, Finland.

-- Aimless, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 12:57 PM (19 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

yr assuming that the country in question would want to retaliate

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Stop watching 24.

-- Gavin, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 1:01 PM (17 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

stop oversimplifying the issue

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:19 (sixteen years ago) link

rogue groups acting with impunity w/in a country that cannot control them

lol bush admin

Gavin, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

lol kennedy admin
lol clinton admin

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:22 (sixteen years ago) link

NV and SC seem much more make-or-break for Obama than for Hillary

Probably. Obama needs momentum going into Super Tuesday, when he won't be able to do much in-person retail politicking (given the number of big states in play that day), which has been his strength.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I think they should move voting days to Saturday, and that the president should get to eat ice cream whenever the president wants. The End.

Abbott, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

bush admin is the most rouguish

Gavin, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

it's not strength in retail politicking so much as she's much better known/more exposed, and is therefore favored in states that haven't paid as much attention. NV and SC can impact 2/5 if they got lots of attention, but I think things will stay pretty much the same until then, assuming Edwards is still around and his people don't seriously migrate to the others, with her having the natural advantage and him having a bit more momentum

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Rt. I'm saying Obama's power to woo people with his magnetic stump speeches will be less significant when there are so many big states voting on a single day. In that environment, HRC's potential advantages (name recognition and exposure and existing organization and establishment backing) may be too much to overcome.

But Obama's a magic man -- and there's contests before Super Tuesday -- so who knows.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

woman who made hillary cry votes obama

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

sexism alive and well

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

the idea that she gained votes by crying is nauseating. I hope it isn't true.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i give credit to hillary's debate perf, which i think everyone on ilx for the most part agreed was a winner?

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah the cnn exit polls suggest that hillary won over ppl for whom the debates were a bigger deal

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i didn't like it, but it clearly was a winner for the people who put her over the top

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i give credit to hillary's debate perf, which i think everyone on ilx for the most part agreed was a winner?

OTM. HRC's best move is to be a "newly-humanized" policy wonk (who has just "found her voice"). Policy wonkery makes her credentials feel meaningful in a way that just insisting "I'm more experienced" doesn't.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

agree that Hillary was better in the debate (did a good job of laying out her case) and Obama seemed like he was coasting. I just thought nobody watches the damn things.

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Groundhog Day has come early: 2-10 more months of "CHANGE CHANGE CHANGE"

(that was all that went on at that debate, right? along with parsings of "You're likable enough.")

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

her case didn't convince me, but she made it passionately and I can see how it would work for people who were still at that point undecided / convincable

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Where's the 01/07 Nevar Forget crying Hillary eagle internet meme picture?

StanM, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Another N.H. Lesson: Pay little attention to FOX News post-debate focus groups.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

btw many many xposts but lol at nevada's restaurant/bar staff unions getting behind the dude who admits he did blow. WHO WOODA GUEST

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

that was all that went on at that debate, right?

nah there was one part where hillary did a much better job than usual of laying out her "i'm more experienced" line w/o using those exact words

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

now that I've heard her "Hillary, how do you do it" breakdown from yesterday... I've gotta vote for Obama over Kucinich in the primary, in the event that it's still a race.

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

That "breakdown" was the most anticlimactic thing I've ever seen given the hype it generated.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the opening section w/ responses to 'a major attack on the united states' - hillary killed it w/ specifics, obama was all generalities

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the woman who triggered the breakdown admitted she was asking about hilary's hair

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

her "breakdown" struck me as super-calculated "here's something for the press to spin" bullshit.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/campaignmatters?pid=268328

The Nation blames the bradley effect ... ehhhhh
i feel like even arguing that is self-defeating

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

the opening section w/ responses to 'a major attack on the united states' - hillary killed it w/ specifics, obama was all generalities.

^^^ This. I remember we were all noting this at the time. Obama was playing pass-protect defense for much of that debate.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

after 04 when i think the general consensus was taht kerry "won" the debates, are these kinds of debate benchmarks something that dems care about more? do gen election voters pay less attention to debates (or just interpret them in different ways)? it seemed like bush basically stayed on message but sidestepped a lot of details in his debates, but i could be off on that.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

her "breakdown" struck me as super-calculated "here's something for the press to spin" bullshit.

Exactly.

milo z, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

the late deciders went slightly for HRC, but the early deciders went heavily for her. i thought this was a case of NH avoiding risk and going with a known quantity at the last minute, but it looks more like the situation we thought we'd see before the iowa result: obama neck and neck with (if slightly behind) hillary as the established candidate.

even a month or so ago, if i'd seen a crystal ball to today (that didn't show me iowa at all), and i saw obama w/in 3 points in NH, it'd think "wow holy shit! he's close enough to do it!"

xp according to ambinder obama's internal polling takes 'bradley effect' into account, so something else happened. nation's campaign reporting has been unimpressive imo.

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary killed it w/ specifics, obama was all generalities.

these are their basic debate strategies. it doesn't mean one couldn't do the other, just what they bet works best for them.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/campaignmatters?pid=268328

The Nation blames the bradley effect ... ehhhhh
i feel like even arguing that is self-defeating

-- deej, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 3:01 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

except obama was polling at 37% and got... 37% - nobody who said they were voting for him didnt vote for him.

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^^^^^

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

nation's campaign reporting has been unimpressive imo.

-- gff, Wednesday, January 9, 2008 2:03 PM (4 minutes ago)

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I'm telling you guys it's the unexpected independent bump Hillary got (for reasons we may never know).

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

it looks like undecideds went for hillary. big deal.

and what, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

v v interesting that the iowa and NH results leave things very equivocal and uncertain still! battles in SC and NV! exciting!

gff, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img27.picoodle.com/img/img27/4/1/9/f_babyromneym_1e0423a.jpg
poorly matched photos and captions are the gifts that newspaper websites keep giving

I DIED, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

babykisser

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

my mom on mccain: "he seems a little crazed to me. can you imagine him having his finger on the button? no thanks."

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

A letter to Sullivan:

I am a 52 yr old, gay woman who is a resident of Illinois and who has enthusiastically supported Obama since he ran for State Senate. Iowa made me swoon and I looked forward to seeing the New Hampshire primary put the Clinton candidacy to bed. But, by Monday night, I was sputtering that "we are not electing Jesus here" and was appalled/furious at the undisguised and creepily malevolent glee that the talking heads (Fox bobbleheads/barbies and Chris Matthews deserve particular mention; and you, sir, do not come out unscathed) were throwing up as "analysis" of the "Hillary meltdown" and of their frankly undisguised loathing of her. I thought it was sexist and so did every woman I know.

You dismissed the Steinem editorial as "old-line lefty". Newsflash: there were twenty copies of that editorial in my in-box before breakfast yesterday morning – all of them from women who are ardent Obama supporters. We remain Obama supporters and will work "until the last dog dies" (thanks, Hillary!) for his nomination. However, we are just about done with a media that cannot report, analyze or provide information on candidates without first filtering it through its self-aggrandizing, inside-the-beltway-fantasy- filter about what would provide a better election narrative. Okay, so much of the media does not like Hillary? Neither do I. They just have to stop with the comments about tears, wrinkles, brittleness, legs and her alleged cackle. I may not want to vote for her—but I have always respected her. Peggy Noonan was too-obviously thrilled to write that Obama "took Mama to school" in Iowa; looks to me like Mama took the country to school last night.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

these are their basic debate strategies. it doesn't mean one couldn't do the other, just what they bet works best for them.

Remind me again why it's so shameful I don't watch these?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

if a candidate drops out of the primary (i.e. edwards), do they get to decide where to allocate the delegates they've gathered?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs, it's not that you don't watch debates, it was that you said the "coverage" was much more reliable in learning what the candidates actually stand for.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

do they get to decide where to allocate the delegates they've gathered?

I think it's up to the delegates? but the candidate can give them guidance?

dmr, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Reich on the health care plans - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119984199293776549.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC v. McCain = Bad Dynamic:

3. The odds of a Republican presidency suddenly got a lot higher. There’s really only one potential matchup that would give the GOP a better than even chance of winning: John McCain versus Hillary Clinton. McCain is a popular personality who can attract the support of voters who aren’t inclined to support his party. Clinton is an unpopular personality who loses the support of voters who are otherwise inclined to support her party. If she wins the nomination, it will be because she’s a polarizing figure who rallies Democrats as the object of Republican attacks. (If George W. Bush could run for re-election, he’d easily ace the GOP primary for the same reason.)

Not sure about that last sentence (incl. the paranthetical), but otherwise, I think Chait is right.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo, by "coverage" I didn't particularly mean all this CHANGE! CRYING! CHUCK NORRIS! BRADLEY EFFECT! gassery.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

fair enough, but what do you mean by 'coverage'?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

YOU NEED MORE
THAN RECORDS THESE DAYS.

YOU NEED COVERAGE.

COVERAGE?
YOU MEAN THEM
ROOT WEEVILS

THAT CRAWL AROUND
POPPING CAMERAS?

THOSE ROOT WEEVILS
WRITE HISTORY.

LET THEM
WRITE HISTORY,

AND LET THE PILOTS
FLY THE AIRPLANES.

PILOTS.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:36 (sixteen years ago) link

There’s really only one potential matchup that would give the GOP a better than even chance of winning: John McCain versus Hillary Clinton

I agree that McCain might be the strongest GOP candidate in the general election, but I'd still guess that he has less than an even chance of making it that far. NH has always liked McCain - but he's not leading in the polls anywhere else that I've seen. Where does he go from here?

o. nate, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd say mccain has as good as shot as any to absorve the vote that would have gone to giuliani were he running a real campaign. he can run, and pretty legitimately, as the foreign policy experience candidate in a field where no one really has any.

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

and mccain has been showing up pretty well in national polls with huckabee, altho not sure where he is state-by-state

m bison, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Dunno. He was hoping (a) for a post-N.H. bounce and (b) with no viable alternatives left, to emerge as the GOP establishment-backed rival to Mike Huckabee. His terrible victory speech last night won't helping him, tho.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

xp

like, a list of proposed 'solutions' to issues, Senate voting history, donors and fellow travelers, incidences of blatant lying, etc.

Alex Cockburn takes down the Big 3 (before declaring R*n Pa*l as his favorite):

John Edwards is offering us a populist package, with homilies on fair trade, gaps between rich and poor, corporate greed and so forth. Decent people, including many labor organizers, are working for him. I don't believe a word he says. His record on war and empire is bad. He has poor judgment. Why spend $400 to have a hairdo that makes you look like a slick lawyer with a fancy haircut?

Barack Obama? I can't remember a single substantive statement he's made. In terms of political philosophy and pragmatic intention, his platform is like the Anglican clergyman's answer when asked for his conception of God: an oblong blur. When he's pressed, Obama's positions on war and empire are usually very bad. Talk about "moving beyond partisan differences" invariably ends with the Establishment's long-term goal of abolishing Social Security.

Hillary Clinton is the candidate for corporate power at home and empire abroad. She argued passionately in the White House for the NATO bombing of Belgrade. Two days after September 11, 2001, she was calling for a broad war on terror. She voted for the Patriot Act. When it came time for Mrs. Clinton to deliver her speech in support of the attack on Iraq, she reiterated some of the most outlandish claims made by Dick Cheney.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

If you needed a reason why the right won't support McCain:

To Senator McCain, congratulations. But he has not got this thing wrapped up by any stretch. It’s less than a year since he tried to push a disastrous immigration bill into law — one as manipulative as any pork-laden appropriations bill — with vigorous opposition from talk radio, conservative bloggers, think tanks, and the grassroots. I don’t see how such a man wins the Republican nomination. I’m second to none in praising him on his surge leadership. But on a whole host of issues — including water boarding, tax cuts, and the freedom of speech — he’s not one of us. Rush Limbaugh has emphatically stated that McCain is not a conservative — and he has more than a few listeners with similar instincts. McCain’s not going to be handed this nomination. Conservatives suspect that he’s a recipe for heartache

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Do people like it when McCain calls everyone ''my friend(s)''? I hate it. Like fingernails on a blackboard.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

unconscious bias against Obama? - http://www.physorg.com/news117208899.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Cockburn's pithy pensees aren't even worth Huffington's blog. The Edwards haircut remark is lame, and his speculation on Obama's SS plans are uninformed if not stupid.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Alex Cockburn and David Duke united! - http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/01/09/quot-the-duke-s-quot-campaign-advice.aspx

gabbneb, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

What the Hell Happened Last Night?
by: Chris Bowers
Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 15:29:21 PM EST

Was it massive polling error? Were women motivated by a double standard imposed on Clinton for showing emotion? Was it the Wilder / Bradley effect, where white voters lie about supporting African-American candidates to pollsters out of perceived social pressure? Was it something else? Twelve public polling organizations were in the field in New Hampshire entirely after the Iowa caucuses. One of these organizations concluded interviews on Saturday, January 5th. Seven concluded interviews on Sunday, January 6th. Four concluded interviews on Monday, January 7th.. The average of the final results from these pollsters is as follows:

Obama: 37.25%
Clinton: 29.92%
Edwards: 18.92%
Richardson: 5.75%

Now, compare this to the results, with only one precinct outstanding
Clinton: 38.99% (+9.07, +30.3%)
Obama: 36.39% (-0.86, -2.3%)
Edwards: 16.91% (-2.01, -10.6%)
Richardson: 4.60% (-1.15, -20.0%)

While Obama and Richardson both saw their support drop from the final polling average, Edwards saw his drop as much as Obama and Richardson combined. It is possible that Edwards saw his numbers drop for a different reason than Obama or Richardson, or even that all three saw their numbers drop for different reasons. However, given Obama's numbers dropped the least, both in overall terms and in percentage terms, I am not convinced of a "Wilder effect here at all. Or, at least, I am not convinced that the "Wilder effect" was the only dynamic in play. It seems equally plausible that Edwards and Richardson saw their support drop much the way third-party support always drops from the polls to the final results. The lower the perceived chance a third-party candidate has the win, the larger their expected drop from the polls to the final results. It would appear that those voters broke toward Clinton.

Here is what I think happened, in chronological order:
Chris Bowers :: What The Hell Happened Last Night?
First, Clinton probably had a superior absentee voter program, which gave her a small boost. Likely voters are not guaranteed voters, but those who have already voted are. Before they were rebalanced, the exit polls showed Obama narrowly ahead of Clinton, 39%-38%. Absentee voters were not included in the exit poll, and a successful and strong absentee voter program can indeed account for a 3-4% net swing, especially since Clinton held a commanding 48%--31% lead among voters who had their minds made up the longest. This is also, for example, is why Brian Bilbray outperformed Francine Busby in final polls in CA-50.

Second, the polls were somewhat wrong, probably due both to a very mild "Wilder effect" and to improper weighting of the electorate / measurement of likely voters. However, the polls don't have to be more than 1% wrong in order to make this scenario work (although the more wrong the polls were, the easier this scenario works). Given that Rasmussen, a polling firm that utilizes the automated, IVR methodology, showed the campaign to be a little closer than other pollsters who used live interviews, there probably was a mild "Wilder effect" of about two percent or so. IVR polls should eliminate the Wilder effect altogether, and so it is useful to look to them as a baseline when determining the presence of a Wilder effect.

Third, there was a break toward Clinton on Election Day itself, when no polls were taken. A survey of 2004 and 2000 polls taken between Iowa and New Hampshire shows there is a tendency for Iowa bounces to begin to recede after three to five days, meaning that by Election Day Clinton should have been pulling back on Obama anyway, with or without a sympathy vote. Exit polls back this up. Among voters who decided who to vote for in the last week, Obama led Clinton 43%-28%, probably due to a huge surge in the two days after Iowa. Among voters who decided in the three days before the election, Obama still led by a smaller amount, 37%--34%. Among those who made up their minds on Election Day itself, the bounce had faded entirely, and Clinton pulled into a 39%-36% lead. That accounts for at least another half of a percent. Of course, the sympathy vote probably didn't hurt.

Fourth, Edwards and Richardson supporters who favored Clinton as a second choice disproportionately broke away and choose Clinton, since the narrative implied both that she was the only other candidate who could win and that she needed help to do so. We all saw this, for example, in 2000, when Nader was a factor and Gore was in a position similar to Clinton. In the end, Nader underperformed his final polls by 1.2%, and Gore outperformed his final polls by 2.0%, providing Gore enough of a boost to win the popular vote. By way of contrast, Edwards and Richardson supporters who favored Obama as a second choice probably didn't think Obama needed any help. This could have added as much as 3% to Clinton's total.

Fifth, Clinton was assisted by the ballot order, probably to the tune of about 3%. Clinton was at the top of the ballot, and it is a well-known long and long-studied phenomenon in politics that placement at the top of the ballot provides a not insignificant edge to any given candidate.
This is a "perfect storm" scenario that requires no significant polling error, no significant Wilder effect, and no significant sympathy effect for Clinton. The top of the ballot, a superior absentee voter program, a naturally fading bounce, and an also somewhat typical "third party effect" from Edwards and Richardson supporters can, in and of itself, account for the ten-point swing from Obama to Clinton. However, that it requires all of these less than mysterious pieces to fall into place makes it somewhat dubious. The most likely scenario is that the four reasons I provide all played a role, but less than the amounts I suggested here. Further, the three most common reasons being given, Wilder effect, sympathy effect, massive polling error, all also probably played a role, but less than is being trumpeted by others. It was probably just a perfect storm for Clinton incorporating all seven rationales.

Still, this result should give real pause to anyone like me who believes pre-election final poll averages are almost always a very accurate predictor of final results. If a whole host of factors fall into place, clearly it is possible to bust up final averages by as much as 10%. Clinton got a perfect storm, drawing on as many as seven different factors It will take a long time to sort this out with any certainty, and even then certainty may never come. The future performance of polls in predicting final results will now be watched much more closer than ever. I guess they are "on notice."

deej, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys i have been reading this thread for 2.5 hours and it has not stopped

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 9 January 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

it is happening... again

Romney puts it all on Michigan - http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/01/09/565494.aspx

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson out - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080110/ap_on_el_pr/richardson

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

will he endorse O? helping him take NV?

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Welcome back Richardson! To NM.

Abbott, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Bush-Legacy campaign continues - http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewPolitics.asp?Page=/Politics/archive/200801/POL20080109e.html

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:33 (sixteen years ago) link

The agent of the candidate for change:

"But those tears also have to be analyzed. They have to be looked at very, very carefully in light of Katrina, in light of other things that Mrs. Clinton did not cry for, particularly as we head to South Carolina where 45% of African-Americans who participate in the Democratic contest, and they see real hope in Barack Obama."

Hunt3r, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:36 (sixteen years ago) link

run jesse(s) run! for the love of god just run.

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 00:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I've gotta vote for Obama over Kucinich in the primary, in the event that it's still a race.

this is me. i doubt california's coming into play.

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:00 (sixteen years ago) link

daaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaamn xxp

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

That interview with Obama's manager is not where Obama should go, despite my wanting him to show he's capable of throwing hard punches. That kind of talk plays into HRC's hands.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Absolutely.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Did she cry when Obama lost NH? Then she does not represent the black voters of SC.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Jeff Chang:

HRC will sound more liberal and more concerned with racial justice than she ever will again this election season in the days before South Carolina. And you can bet that a lot of dedicated young activists in the Clinton and Obama campaigns are about to be tapped for the ride of their lives.

Because of the hard work of what might now be seen as a vanguard group of activists at the University of Iowa, Iowa State, and other college campuses in the Hawkeye, Democratic candidates are more interested than they've ever been in what you're going to be doing on the day their little election comes to your state. So if you're a left-leaning college student, know that for the next several weeks, you will be the most courted young person in the history of American politics.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Not in the Mountain time zone, I bet. :(

Abbott, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Hain't none comin' round to court this maid.

Abbott, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:21 (sixteen years ago) link

shouldn't al sharpton be derailing democrats right around now? can't believe he's letting the jesses steal his thunder here.

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Sharpton's dealing with the Feds now.

Gavin, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't stand Karl Rove, but what he says in the article Gabbneb links isn't wrong. And it goes beyond a bad moment for Obama; it struck a blow against his entire image (for reasons I set forth above, which -- in fairness -- Alfred disagrees with for reasons I understand).

From now on, I think Obama should be ultra-serious (as he is in his stump speeches), get more policy detailed fast (which he certainly can do) and use humor in a gentle, self-depricating way (he's done this to great effect when he talks about his wife (e.g., how she reacted to pundits saying Obama is a political savior)).

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah that bitter bill c. 'fairytale' comment is this close to sticking if obama doesn't meet his starfuckers halfway with some policy meat

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was at the top of the ballot, and it is a well-known long and long-studied phenomenon in politics that placement at the top of the ballot provides a not insignificant edge to any given candidate.

Grrr, so why don’t they change the system?

Jeb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate that Romney is pulling his ads in Florida; it seems to open up even more room for a Giuliani win in Florida. And as much of a buffoon as I think Giuliani is (and, therefore, a good matchup in the GE), I'd prefer him not to lead the delegate count after "Tsunami Tuesday" (tho I'd greatly prefer him to McCain).

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Rosa Brooks (LA Times) on Bloggingheads.tv: "If the Republican attack machine tries to portray Obama as the 'scary black guy' or the 'scary Muslim guy,' it won't work. We're moving to a place where that's just not attractive to people. The average American is better than that at this point. There has been a cultural sea change in the nation on issues of race."

LOL. Silly pundit. Were it only true.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i think the candidates would do well to (appear to) work under the assumption that race and sex don't matter but the average american is still a dipshit, fuck all that noise. talk radio alone could bury several campaigns under several tons of freeflung shit without even trying.

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, I think that tactic would definitely work for some significant of the population. The question is how much - Obama doesn't need everyone's vote.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"Political scientists have proposed various theories aimed at salvaging some dignity for the democratic process. One is that elections are decided by the ten per cent or so of the electorate who are informed and have coherent political views. In this theory, the votes of the uninformed cancel each other out, since their choices are effectively random: they are flipping a coin. So candidates pitch their appeals to the informed voters, who decide on the merits, and this makes the outcome of an election politically meaningful."

http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/books/2007/07/09/070709crbo_books_menand?currentPage=2

I don't know if this is true, but it has obvious implications for race + sex during the election.

Mordechai Shinefield, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:34 (sixteen years ago) link

That's obviously a nonsensical theory, and it isn't even the main theory addressed by that article you linked to, it's just used as an example of a theory.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Who the fuck are "the informed" and "the uninformed?" No one knows anything.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Of course that's nowhere near as insulting and arbitrary as the main theory being reviewed in that piece.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a huge false assumption that "the uninformed" vote randomly

Curt1s Stephens, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

There was a nice article a couple of months ago – its name and publisher escapes me – that refuted Surowiecki’s “The Wisdom of Crowds” concept on the basis of some new findings. Does anyone remember it? I would love to read it again.

Jeb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean I'm college-educated and read a good amount of campaign coverage from just about every imaginable part of the political spectrum and I try to make sure I have a basic grasp of current foreign policy and economic and social issues, and the fuck if I feel like I'm truly "informed" - especially when it comes to predicting what kind of president a candidate might make.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I really have no idea (about the validity of the article, the theories, etc).

Mordechai Shinefield, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:03 (sixteen years ago) link

The article does a fine job of taking the "Myth of the Rational Voter" theory apart.

The theory itself is just a typical conservative economist confusing his ideology for objective realtiy.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Bit po'faced to shuffle your feet and call yourself uninformed, Hurting. The standard for being 'informed' is hardly perfect clarity and an ability to predict the future.

milo z, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:11 (sixteen years ago) link

If 10% of the voters are informed, that means that 1 in every 10 voters fits the criteria. Probably knowing the different candidates, and understanding their basic policies (etc) would qualify you as informed. Otherwise only 1% of the voterbase would probably be "informed."

Mordechai Shinefield, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:13 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost Maybe. But also with the use of "informed" there's an assumption of a rational standard - that idea that if voters just knew what I know they'd make they choice I make because that's the rational choice.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:15 (sixteen years ago) link

the same writer reviewed a book in 2004 that explores the 'shortcut' model more positively

http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/08/30/040830crat_atlarge

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess it's "uninformed" to think you like Ron Paul because of his views on the war while having no idea what he stands for in terms of economic policy and immigration. At the same time, not knowing the specific difference between Obama's and Clinton's healthcare proposals (I'm not sure I do), but I'm not convinced that voting for one or the other nonetheless because of gut feelings about their character is necessarily a bad way to choose.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, last sentence came out garbled but I think it's clear what I meant.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:20 (sixteen years ago) link

"I like this person better" is not necessarily a worse way to choose a president than "I like this platform better," in other words, and it's certainly not "flipping a coin" in any case.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Hurting, the New Yorker piece wasn't even suggesting that some choices should be privileged over others. Voting for someone because of their welfare platform, while ignoring other policies, is a valid decision. The problem is that only 30% even named an issue to explain their vote, and only 1/5th didn't contradict themselves. (The New Yorker contradiction example is: Anti welfare, but pro the government giving assistance to the poor -- though I don't know why this is a contradiction, you could be pro assistance and anti the current methodology... ANYHOW).

Mordechai Shinefield, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe that's a bit extreme - I just mean the first is a bit underrated and the second a bit overrated. (xpost to self)

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I think one of the problems with "I like that person better" is that you rely on MSM to evaluate the person's personality. What % of people are actually watching speeches? With policy, ideally, you can take the quotes that people have said and analyze them. Personalities are so touch and go, tho.

Mordechai Shinefield, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Fair point. I need to fucking go to bed. Night all.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:34 (sixteen years ago) link

xp yeah i'm not sure how much even the 'shortcut' model controls for whatever media filters contribute to building a given voter's impressions on candidates. perhaps i should read the book.

tremendoid, Thursday, 10 January 2008 06:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Is HRC still promising new spelling rules and jobs?

http://images.google.com/images?q=%22new+jobs+for+tommorrow%22&

StanM, Thursday, 10 January 2008 08:50 (sixteen years ago) link

We made up a great Democratic National Debates Drinking Game -

Every time a candidate says the word "change," take a shot. Every time Bill Richardson says the words "I'm the only one up here who..." take two shots.

You'll be rip roaring drunk in ten minutes.

If Assholes Could Fly This Place Would Be An Airport, Thursday, 10 January 2008 10:25 (sixteen years ago) link

lol camille paglia hate hillary http://www.salon.com/opinion/paglia/2008/01/10/hillary/?source=whitelist

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:08 (sixteen years ago) link

At this point Paglia is the academic version of Maureen Dowd.

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

not even

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Richardson's problem is that he looks like Horatio Sanz. Who could live down the comparison to one of this century's greatest monsters?

Nicole, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: more Dowds, more Paglias, fewer Rodhams, plz

Richardson can go back to saying "maricon" on Imus now.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

John Kerry Endorses Obama

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:22 (sixteen years ago) link

^beginning of the end^

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Rosa Brooks (LA Times) on Bloggingheads.tv: "If the Republican attack machine tries to portray Obama as the 'scary black guy' or the 'scary Muslim guy,' it won't work. We're moving to a place where that's just not attractive to people. The average American is better than that at this point. There has been a cultural sea change in the nation on issues of race."

LOL. Silly pundit. Were it only true.

-- Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, January 9, 2008 8:52 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Link
_________________________________________________________________________

Wow. So, I've had conversations with three women in the past 24 hours, all probably 30-45 years old, all strangers (one a friend of a friend, two others in a coffee shop when we turned to watch CNN at the same time) -- all of whom have some crazy skepicism about Obama because he toured with Oprah, and concern that somehow that means that he'll be representing African-American interests over American interests if he's elected. One today said to me that she didn't know why any white people were out stumping for him like Oprah is. The one was last said she knew how angry African-Americans were about slavery and how if one was in office you don't know what he would really do. (I tried pointing out that Larry David stumped for him yesterday, tried asking them if there is any African-American who they thought would not act this was -- Hallie Berry was the only one she could come up with.) Just weird, naive, racist stuff from these professional (thought not intellectual) women.

-- Eazy, Tuesday, January 8, 2008 3:45 PM (2 days ago) Bookmark Link

Mind, this was in Chicago. Guess what they're saying down in North Carolina?

Jesse, Thursday, 10 January 2008 15:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Guess what they're saying down in North Carolina?

http://bunchofpants.com/images/blogimages/oprah.jpg

J0hn D., Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not saying, btw, that Obama can't win. Far from it. He can win (in fact, he's far more likely to win than HRC). But the idea that Obama won't be the target of aggressive -- and at least somewhat successful -- whisper campaigns ("He's Black! He's a Muslim who will turn the country over to Islamofacists!") is fantasy.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

it may be fantasy to think that these campaigns will be whispered, if he gets the democratic nomination.

darraghmac, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I have no reason to suspect the pattern of every campaign being worse than the last since 1980 will be broken.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

darraghmac OTM. I am actually terrified about that the latent nastiness that I suspect is bubbling under the surface for many of my fellow countrymen will spew forth should Obama get the nomination. Just warning everyone to brace themselves.

youcangoyourownway, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

You're right.

He can win (in fact, he's far more likely to win than HRC). But the idea that Obama won't be the target of aggressive -- and at least somewhat successful -- whisper right-wing campaigns ("He's Black! He's a Muslim who will turn the country over to Islamofacists!") is fantasy.

Fixed.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Rich fuck prepares to buy a spot on the ballot:

http://www.villagevoice.com/news/0802,robbins,78813,2.html

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, Obama's people would do best to underplay Kerry's support. Don't need that drama.

youcangoyourownway, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I find it hard to believe Bloomberg would enter unless he wanted to spoil it for someone. I can't imagine he thinks he'd win.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

more adverts- what could we substitute for gunboats or wolves this time? an obama lookalike in a towel with a scimitar? sounds like a bruckheimer shoe in

darraghmac, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i can see bloomberg pulling support away from romney's mainstream business base in the republican party, possibly stealing away from Hillary's older, centrist base.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:44 (sixteen years ago) link

bloomy just wants to raise his profile so he can get a cabinet spot or run for congress or some such shit

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

could backfire tho - i cant see him having any appeal nationally

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Bloomie doesn't strike me as a collaborator. or as much of anything but a CEO.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't fathom why anyone outside of NY gives a fuck about Bloomberg, or is even remotely aware of him... I don't think the electorate can take THREE NYers running for Prez. how obnoxious would that be.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

it depends on who gets nominated: he could do damage either party in a Huckabee-Clinton matchup

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

woman vs. jew vs. black vs. mormon FITE

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I better not see Kerry hovering over Obama at campaign events like he's Chuck Norris or someone.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

vaht a cahntry

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

i have a hard time believing that that attacks against obama are going to be any worse than the attacks against hillary.

xposts to the karl rove comments about obama - didn't rove express some serious glee back in 2007 that hillary was emerging as the main candidate? i wouldn't be surprised at all if he was making those comments about obama because he'd much rather see hillary be the nom.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

prophet-worshiper vs. profit-worshiper

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

is ross perot still alive?

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

if he can do what he did why couldn't bloomberg? cuz as a ny jew he can't appeal to the same crowd?

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

77 years and still tickin'

xpost

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

can a presidential candidate OWN a tv station?

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

b/c Bloomberg doesn't have the qualities of a fiery outsider. He's more of a "grower", as a friend put it.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

grower, not a show-er, eh?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

that would be a provocative campaign slogan

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

We need more plutocrats in this race. ROMNEY-BLOOMBERG FITE.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think bloomberg's penis has the charisma to run a successful presidential campaign

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Look, said the stories, rich men can do more than make fools of themselves on TV game shows: They can speak seriously about the environment, about guns that shouldn't be sold, and about schools that don't teach. His solutions for these ailments are only modest and of the most pedestrian variety. But he has been elected mayor of New York twice and he is hugely wealthy, so he must be taken very seriously.

I think this is a little unfair. Bloomberg has been an excellent administrator, and some of his proposed initiatives, like congestion-pricing, have been a bit more than pedestrian. I don't see why his being rich should take away from the credit due to him.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i suppose if you dont like plutocrats you ought to want an extra one in the race, no?

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

(xpost)

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

westside stadium transfat initiative

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

if bloomberg was prez then we could finally outlaw smoking in this country altogether

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

then i could finally start my blackmarket cigarette business

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

westside stadium transfat initiative

lol

aorta congestion pricing

dmr, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Bloomberg can also lock up any protesters on the Mall like he did at RNC '04 here

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://cache.boston.com/resize/bonzai-fba/AP_Photo/2008/01/10/1199980228_5889/539w.jpg
barack looks appropriately concerned

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

kerry's still wearing a livestrong bracelet

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

cancer hasn't been cured yet

Mr. Que, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

the congestion pricing thing totally fell apart though didn't it?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: I think that's a security tracking device Howard Dean clamped on him

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

that's a drink tag, come on

xp

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

ban john kerry

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

You can't shuck and jive at a press conference. All those moves you can make with the press don't work when you're in someone's living room.

- new york attorney general and hillary supporter andrew cuomo offering his deep analysis of obama

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

uh...

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

ughhhh

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck i was hoping this wouldn't get totally insane with racial politics, but between donna brazile and jesse jackson jr.'s statements over the past few days + shit like that, this is gonna get bumpy

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/images/andrewcuomo-small.jpg

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

brazile...? what did she say?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

the congestion pricing thing totally fell apart though didn't it?

yeah. as maybe it should have, it was an interesting idea but in some ways it would have functioned as manhattan imposing a tax on queens and brooklyn (anyone who knows more about it feel free to correct me on this if I'm rong)

dmr, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/Brazile_on_Bill_Depressing.html

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

david brooks said on pbs last night obama has the educated, elitist, "bill bradley voters" AND the black vote so he still has a shot.

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

what did mark shields say

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

"jesus christ why am i sitting anywhere near you, you fucking halfwit"

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

he didn't agree, but his comments weren't as memorable as brooks'

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

oh yeah...he said the african american vote is important and in play in southern states

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

the phrase "i found my voice" bugged me the moment i heard it... and the more i think about Bill's politicking in NH the angrier i get: this is the 'fairytale' comment, which was a response to a question about mark penn's judgement:

Second, it is wrong that Senator Obama got to go through 15 debates trumpeting his superior judgment and how he had been against the war in every year, numerating the years, and never got asked one time, not once, ‘Well, how could you say, that when you said in 2004 you didn’t know how you would have voted on the resolution? You said in 2004 there was no difference between you and George Bush on the war and you took that speech you’re now running on off your website in 2004 and there’s no difference in your voting record and Hillary’s ever since?’ Give me a break. “This whole thing is the biggest fairy tale I’ve ever seen…So you can talk about Mark Penn all you want.

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

another classic brooks paraphrase, this time on edwards: 60 % of americans dont like big government and only 20% don't like corporations so he doesn't give a shit about edwards

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

thats the classic republican move of creating the illusion that big government and big, multinational corporations are somehow seperate, distinct entities

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill is totally misrepresenting Obama there, no surprise

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh why is this party so dysfunctional

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

the hilary camp keeps using that tact w/obama. hilary has said a number of times that obama voted for the patriot act and war funding too.

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

trying to crush everyone's hope for change?

artdamages, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

My impression of Obama is that he probably would have voted for the Iraq war resolution if he had been in the US Senate at that time. It's one thing to give a speech opposing the war when you're a state senator, it's quite another to vote against a resolution that enjoys high public support and is being presented as necessary in order for the country to take a hard-line against a dictator on a matter of national security when you're on the national stage. This is all speculation, of course, but I think that his centrist instincts would have probably trumped his anti-war skepticism.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

you're probably right

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

when will the obama campaign bring up the fact that he's held elected office longer than HRC?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

This is all speculation, of course, but I think that his centrist instincts would have probably trumped his anti-war skepticism.

totally unfair speculation - stick to the facts. Obama was against the war at the outset. Hillary voted for it and parrotted Dubya's talking points justifying it.

There were actual principled senators that voted against the resolution, you know.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxpost, what the hell does that have to do with anything? what's important is that he came out against it when it was in vogue to support it.

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Mikulski, Feingold, etc.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

(x-post)

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

yah he prob wouldve voted for it wtf is this based on besides "centrist instincts"

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just going by what he says about national security now. He's willing to keep the use of force on the table for dealing with Pakistan - so why wouldn't he have wanted to keep it on the table for dealing with Saddam?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

gee, I dunno cuz we have ACTUAL ENEMIES in Pakistan? and Saddam posed no threat (as any non-idiot in 2002 could've told you?)

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

the context of obama's statement that he did not know how he would have voted on the war resolution comes from an interview at the DNC by a reporter trying to find inconsistency with his endorsement of john kerry and their differing stances on the war, in case anyone forgot

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean lolz @ muslim countries they're all the same, lets bomb 'em amirite

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

WAHT THE DIF BETWEEN AFGHANISTAN AND IRAQ ITS ALL ALQUEDA RIGHT DUUUUUHH

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

"I said then that I certainly do not oppose all wars, but dumb wars -- rash wars."

dmr, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

the 'use of force in pakistan' issue looks dangerous on its face but it's of a piece with criticizing the bush approach to foreign policy, where every decision is warped around the black hole of iraq: scrimp on afghanistan, talk shit about iran, effectively ignore al qaeda everywhere outside of baghdad, and make a devil's bargain with musharraf (who we then have to babysit no matter what)

lol xps

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

gee, I dunno cuz we have ACTUAL ENEMIES in Pakistan? and Saddam posed no threat (as any non-idiot in 2002 could've told you?)

-- Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, January 10, 2008 6:41 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

um what the fuck. this is some roadrunner amnesia shit.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

So you're saying that the difference at Obama vs. Hillary is not that he's more reluctant to use force in general, or that he has a better appreciation for the virtues of diplomacy versus military action - but just that he is better at reading intelligence reports and deciding who the real enemies are?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

GO WAY

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry o nate that's bullshit

"i bet if he were hillary, he would have voted for it"

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

the possible difference between obama and hillary is that he's more skeptical (it would probably be sexist to say he has better instincts or is smarter) than she is. like a lot of us, but perhaps unlike many senators, it just smelled wrong to him.

the context of obama's statement that he did not know how he would have voted on the war resolution comes from an interview at the DNC by a reporter trying to find inconsistency with his endorsement of john kerry and their differing stances on the war, in case anyone forgot

he's explained, as was obvious anyway, that his statement was intended to protect the nominee, but there isn't really any question how he would have voted

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

there isn't really any question how he would have voted

would he be in the position he's in now if he'd been a senator then and voted against?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sayin it looks to me like Obama has better judgment and is less likely to be complicit in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people for the sake of political expediency or because of incredible gullibility

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

well his claim is that he'll do what's right on the merits, rather than deciding based on GOP talking points domestic political calculus.

whether that will be true, yeah who knows. HRC's record in this regard is not good... the whole country's was not good in 02! 80% bush approval, remember that? seems like a billion years ago

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

would he be in the position he's in now if he'd been a senator then and voted against?

number of senators voted out of office cuz they voted against the war = 0

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012874.php

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently Obama has also voiced support for missile strikes against Iran if necessary to prevent them from acquiring nuclear weapons:

Democrats and Iran: Look Who Supports Bush's Next War

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary'd have this thing locked if she'd voted no - of course she wouldnt be hillery then

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

contrary-to-fact hypothetical situations are really the worst, least revealing questions a reporter could ask. anyway, as far as i know, hillary hasn't been very vocal expressing any regret about her vote authorizing force.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Dick Durbin voted against the iraq resolution, and Obama's sort of followed in his footsteps as a liberal illinois senator so its easy to see him voting against it in office

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

no, that's not what he said, o. nate. this is what he said...

He added, "launching some missile strikes into Iran is not the optimal position for us to be in" given the ongoing war in Iraq. "On the other hand, having a radical Muslim theocracy in possession of nuclear weapons is worse." Obama went on to argue that military strikes on Pakistan should not be ruled out if "violent Islamic extremists" were to "take over."

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i.e. he opposes missile strikes on Iran. he's for military strikes "on Pakistan" if, say, the Taliban gain control.

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

this is really the worst thread ever

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

"b-b-but gabbneb, isn't that just the bush doctrine???"

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

"radical Muslim theocracy" = "Iran", no?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

"I LOVE YOU THIIIIIIS MUCH!"

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/08/us/campaign14-600.jpg

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

obama on iran: not very reassuring. iran having nuclear weapons is 'worse than' US launching attack on iran? it's all fun and games till somebody gets hurt.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

It's not written well, but I read it such that "radicul Muslim theocracy" = "Pakistan." Even if it does = "Iran," I don't think you can automatically read it to suggest that he's saying that the current regime = "radical Muslim theocracy."

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

ie, no, I think you're reading it wrong

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

all he saying yes there is a situation in which id use military force

OMG HES SAME AS HILARY OMG

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

especially given that it's generally estimated that they're years away from the capability

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

He added, "launching some missile strikes into Iran is not the optimal position for us to be in" given the ongoing war in Iraq. "On the other hand, having a radical Muslim theocracy in possession of nuclear weapons is worse." Obama went on to argue that military strikes on Pakistan should not be ruled out if "violent Islamic extremists" were to "take over."

"on the other hand" = still talking about iran
"went on to" = moved on to pakistan

iran is a radical muslim theocracy yo.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

and it doesn't possess nuclear weapons

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ie, no, I think you're reading it wrong

I don't think so, because it appears that the reference to a "radical Muslim theocracy" was in the context to the discussion about Iran, and that he then changed the subject to Pakistan.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

It makes no sense to read that second sentence as a reference to Pakistan, because Pakistan already has nukes - the whole point of the missile strikes is to prevent that scenario.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

at o nate's defense, i'm not quite sure he was saying "OMG HES SAME AS HILARY OMG" but rather that obama isn't quite as anti-war as some seem to paint him compared to hillary.

and i think that o nate is quite right in saying that opposing the war in '02 as a state politician is quite different from opposing the war on the national stage as a senator in '02. sure there were a few senators that opposed the war, but i'm not totally sure that he would've been one of those. and i like obama. i just don't think o nate's point was as ludicrous as some here are making it out to be, even if it's not a totally relevant point to make.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

wrong, Pakistan is not a radical Muslim theocracy

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

(sorry to o nate if i'm screwing around what your point actually was)

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

obama has made a bigger deal of the need to start negotiating with iran directly, which hillary dinged him for early on (the experience/naievete question, remember?)

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Pakistan is definitely NOT a radical Muslim theocracy. Its a military junta, the army is in charge, not a cadre of priests.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

wrong, Pakistan is not a radical Muslim theocracy

So the missile strikes are to prevent it from becoming a theocracy? How would that work?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

shakey is correct, thanks

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Iran is way more capable of being dealt with diplomatically than Pakistan is for a whole host of reasons - they have a more stable, nominally representative government; they are interested solely in jockeying for power in the region (ie, upstaging Saudi Arabia); they don't have the bomb; etc.

Pakistan, by contrast, is wildly unstable, DOES have the bomb, has radical Muslim extremists deeply embedded in its intelligence community, etc. Its more unpredictable, and unreliable as an ally.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:09 (sixteen years ago) link

there are all kinds of plausible scenarios in Pakistan where it is totally conceivable that Musharraf would get knocked off, the Muslim loonies in the intelligence community take over and install a theocracy, and start waving their nuclear dick around

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh sorry for the horrible grammar

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Pakistan is definitely NOT a radical Muslim theocracy. Its a military junta, the army is in charge, not a cadre of priests.

-- Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, January 10, 2008 7:07 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

YES WHICH MAKES HIS COMMENT RE PRE-EMPTIVE STRIKE ABOUT IRAN, YOU FUCK.

glad gabbneb is confident that no-one in the US now believes iran to be working on nuclear weapons, but one 'actionable' intelligence report from the unreconstructed intelligence services could turn that round pretty fast, so obama's comments are worrying.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

raising the level of discourse yet again, that one guy.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

no need for yelling/namecalling sheesh

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh time to take a break until SC gets closer

dmr, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:19 (sixteen years ago) link

nv caucus is on the 19th, sc the week after. the former is more unpredictable at this point, but the culinary union endorsement bodes well for obama, i'd think.

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

So the missile strikes are to prevent it from becoming a theocracy? How would that work?

he's very clear that missile strikes would follow a radical takeover of Pakistan, not precede it, nate. but you're still arguing about how to read the sentence, rite? say i grant your point for purposes of argument that it's about Iran - I couldn't possibly give a shit if after appropriate international efforts (note that the article doesn't get into any of that UN stuff, we're just assuming Obama=Bush here) we strike iranian nuclear facilities - not an invasion and occupation of the country, not bombing tehran - to prevent their violation of international law in getting the bomb and with it the capability to hold policymaking in much of the western world hostage through threats to Israel (among other neighbors), and i imagine lots of other dems feel the same way. we've got a problem with 'preemptively' bombing the shit out of a country, not 'preemptively' bombing a nuclear weapons factory. fuk u if u disagree.

anyway, like that one guy said, the best intel is this is all moot until 3-8 years from our learning that they started up again, and provided that their leadership/our relationship with them hasn't changed. and let's just ignore how O has separated himself, at least rhetorically, from some other candidates on that latter front, rite?

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just pointing out that Obama seems to feel the need to make hawkish noises even now - with the unpopularity of the war at all-time highs. So I'm skeptical how principled an anti-war position he would have taken if he had been a US Senator in '02. That's all. I admit it's speculation - though I wouldn't say "baseless" speculation.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

that article is from January 2005, btw

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's comments are worrying.

-- That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, January 10, 2008 1:12 PM (18 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

in comparison to whom

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

jhoshea is otm here

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just pointing out that Obama seems to feel the need to make hawkish noises even now - with the unpopularity of the war at all-time highs. So I'm skeptical how principled an anti-war position he would have taken if he had been a US Senator in '02. That's all. I admit it's speculation - though I wouldn't say "baseless" speculation.

-- o. nate, Thursday, January 10, 2008 1:32 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

'hawkish noises' v. practical honesty?

in his 2002 speech he specifically opens with "i don't oppose all wars, i oppose dumb wars." The nonexistent threat of iraq's nonexistent weapons of mass destruction vs. an unstable muslim theocracy holding nukes

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

in comparison to whom

Kucinich, I assume...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

well, he needs to show some resolve regarding matters of foreign policy, which means introducing the possibility of military force under a very specific set of circumstances. if he came out opposed to using the military in the face of genuine threats, it would play directly into the conception that he is naive and inexperienced re: foreign policy.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

ahh yes, now there's a practical candidate we can get behind ... none of this 'if threatened with nuclear annihilation, we would stop it' hawkishness! xp

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think it's "hawkish" to accept and discuss the possibility that the military may be necessary to deal with completely unpredictable and violent scenarios

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

(exactly, im being facetious)

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

right right too many x-posts

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

that article is from January 2005, btw

I'm not just referring to that article - but also to his more recent comments about sending troops into Pakistan, or keeping a nuclear option on the table. Maybe there really is a big difference between Obama and Clinton on their relative attitudes about the use of military force, but I'm having a hard time making it out.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

recent vote on the Iranian guard is a good indicator

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

The one he didn't vote on?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

the one hrc most certainly did vote on?

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean if you're looking for distinctions here

m bison, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

weren't his recent comments re: pakistan about 'military force' in a general sense or bill clinton-style airstrikes?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean if you're looking for distinctions here

I guess that's a distinction - but it's hard to draw much assurance from it. Maybe he was just tired that day?

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

he was bombing pakistan

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

right. so he's not talking about "sending troops" anywhere -- and honestly, i don't think any dem candidate would

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2007/10/the-obama-disse.html

+ there was odd stuff going on about the scheduling of the Kyl/Lieberman bill. maybe gabbneb can help us all out there

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Anyway - on reflection, I think that Obama probably is a bit more dovish on the whole than Hillary is. Even though I suspect that he might have voted for the Iraq resolution in 2002 if he had been a US Senator, I also am pretty certain that even if Hillary had just been a state senator from New York in 2002, she still wouldn't have made an anti-war speech like Obama made.

o. nate, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton's NV chair is harry reid's nephew?

gff, Thursday, 10 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

As with his endorsement of Lieberman in '06, I don't care that Obama's "I don't know how I would have voted" line was a save-a-Kerry comment.

Still, Bill Clinton taking someone to task for opportunistic rewriting of their history = sickmaking

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

the hilary camp keeps using that tact

it's TACK, not TACT

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

THANK YOU

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

tack 1 (tk)
n.
...
4.
a. A course of action meant to minimize opposition to the attainment of a goal.
b. An approach, especially one of a series of changing approaches.

tact (tkt)
n.
1. Acute sensitivity to what is proper and appropriate in dealing with others, including the ability to speak or act without offending.
2. Archaic The sense of touch.

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

nothing to do with yesterdays events, but a friend of mine just threw this up on his blog and i figured this was as good a place as any to share:
Mike Huckabee congratulates Canadians

The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

a. A course of action meant to minimize opposition to the attainment of a goal.
b. An approach, especially one of a series of changing approaches.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tack_(sailing)

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll just pick out the highlights, but in the course of a single column Rove manages to flag Obama's "trash talking", "his days playing pickup basketball at Harvard", and the alleged fact that "he is often lazy."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/063354.php

jhøshea, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

wow

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

kerry endorsing obama == edwards is toast?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 10 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry is poison. Edwards is safe!

Johnny Fever, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

what slot will Bush fill in the Hillary admin? ;-D

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that Obama probably is a bit more dovish on the whole than Hillary is.

He is. For additional evidence, look at their foreign policy advisors. Democrats who supported the Iraq War and who generally have a more hawkish view of the use of U.S. military power dot HRC's advisory team. Democrats who opposed the Iraq War and who generally have a more tempered view of the use of U.S. military power dot Obama's advisory team. I linked to some of the articles making this point on the old thread.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

the way i said it made the link sound tenuous, but dick durbin has been a huge obama advocate - he was going door to door talking to people in NH for him - and he was one of the senates 23 senators voting against it

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

they're also from the same state

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

So's Hillary.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

durbin is actually a representative here

deej, Thursday, 10 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

durbin started the "draft ('draft') obama" movement

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

but ok

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

my man George Miller has come out for O, considered a signifier of where Pelosi's sympathies lie

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Brand Hillary - http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2008/story?id=4114520&page=1

gabbneb, Thursday, 10 January 2008 23:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i just misread the Edmund Hillary RIP thread title. hmnn...

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 10 January 2008 23:33 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

As with his endorsement of Lieberman in '06...

Apparently Ned Lamont disagrees with your assessment...

Hatch, Thursday, 10 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

rove is a despicable human being, but.. are "trash talking" and "playing pickup basketball" really offensive racial code?

daria-g, Friday, 11 January 2008 00:13 (sixteen years ago) link

he's saying that O, like Harold Ford before him, isn't really like that nice, clean-living JC Watts. he's calling him a Sprewell, rather than a Grant Hill (who's endorsed O, btw, even tho his mom once roomed with C). the people who like that sort of thing can come up with the bad words on their own, just like the people who get off on his calling O "prissy." but I dunno, maybe we should give karl rove the benefit of the doubt, you know?

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 00:33 (sixteen years ago) link

rove is a despicable human being, but.. are "trash talking" and "playing pickup basketball" really offensive racial code?

Yes, it is.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

dont forget "lazy"

jhøshea, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm really not getting it. Trash talking isn't serious, it's part of the game. Trying and failing to understand why anyone would be like "He's competitive at sports..? Oh hell, I'm not voting for THAT guy." This is America dude.

The "lazy" part is shitty (the RNC's done press releases saying that before) but I'm just saying, the stuff about basketball seems like kind of a stretch

daria-g, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

"You're callin' ME lazy? Let me get back to ya after some of this here coffee..."

http://www.baldiness.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/06/fred-thompson.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm really not getting it.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Thompson's gonna endorse McCain tomorrow, maybe?

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

wow @ daria.

woe be to obama if he takes the bait (any part of this campaign season becomes an all-out 'referendum' on race and/or gender = goodbye dems; hence, goodbye dems) but still wow. this is what i was alluding to when I said talk radio could easily play saboteur but post-imus (lol) i figured it would have to be instigated by someone with nothing to lose, enter one rove.

tremendoid, Friday, 11 January 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Some have argued that Rove has a legacy to protect and a bet on which candidate will best protect it - http://intrepidliberaljournal.blogspot.com/2007/08/karl-roveclinton-gambit.html

But what if it's more than a bet? What if, say, Bill made a non-aggression pact with HW - http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2007/12/18/bill-clinton-george-hw-bush-will-help-president-hillary/

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

More on Miller - http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/10/193650/880/621/434673

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf bill

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone watching the GOP debate? NROWorld's gloating that Big Fred's doin' great.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

NROWorld being addicted to one-liners as they are, no wonder they think that.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

a thompson revival would be an excellent subplot to this already rich campaign season

http://images.huffingtonpost.com/gen/7684/thumbs/r-GOP-DEBATE-SC-large.jpg

jhøshea, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

frank lutz's focus group luvs thompson

btw frank lutz's fox news focus groups are the nadir of human civilization

jhøshea, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^ This.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain (to audience about Huck):

"FUCKWIT!"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Gah. I pray Huckabee crushes McCain like a grape in South Carolina.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

LOLZ:

...Was Thompson's performance tonight a one-off? The old lion finally, overawingly—but, alas, temporarily—roused? Will he settle back into slumber tomorrow? And just what was he up to? Clawing Huckabee out of sheer annoyance? Or establishing himself as king of the jungle? And if the latter, why not a paw or two in the direction of McCain?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

uh yah why ever could that be?

jhøshea, Friday, 11 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ Furry Fred Thompson

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 11 January 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

of course making a deal with BushCo would be totally out-of-character for the Clintons this go-round - http://www.newsweek.com/id/69545 (and http://www.slate.com/id/2177540/nav/fix/#burklecoup)

"President Clinton believes in redemption and moving forward," says spokeswoman Jennifer Hanley.

amazingly, so does BushCo! - http://www.newsinkling.org/cia-leak-investigation/waxman-white-house-is-blocking-fitzgeralds-cooperation-in-plame.html

and, oh look, the Clintons' book agent got Rove a book deal with Carville's wife - http://www.orlandosentinel.com/services/newspaper/printedition/saturday/orl-a2fill2207dec22,0,2196213.story. Who, as it happens, was a member of the White House Iraq Group, and is reported to have testified before the Plame grand jury.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

hey, who do you think might be attorney general in a Clinton administration? http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/11/nyregion/11cuomo.html?ref=us

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

nice job linking to mickey kaus homie

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 04:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://baltimorechronicle.com/2007/123107Parry.shtml

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 05:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I like Huckabee, but this might have been slightly over the top ...

Mention of the recent confrontation between Iranian patrol boats and U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf triggered a lot of tough talk and saber rattling from the group, with Huckabee warning the Iranians that if they had been any more provocative, "The next thing you see are the gates of Hell."

Jeb, Friday, 11 January 2008 05:23 (sixteen years ago) link

slightly

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 11 January 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

full-court press: http://abcnews.go.com/WN/Vote2008/story?id=3892297&page=1

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf @ daria not getting the racial coding of basketball and trash talking but reading sexism into any criticisms of hillary ever

deej, Friday, 11 January 2008 08:58 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf @ gabbneb for exactly the converse!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 11 January 2008 12:30 (sixteen years ago) link

(the converse actually being prevalent, and woven into the press discourse about her!!)

Tracer Hand, Friday, 11 January 2008 12:45 (sixteen years ago) link

from that rove link upthread:

Naturally, this leads to speculation that Rove wants Senator Clinton to prevail in next year's primaries because he perceives her as the Democrats weakest candidate.

this is kinda what i was saying before about rove's comments about obama and hillary. makes more sense, too, now that bush has allegedly been saying that clinton will most likely be the nominee.

maybe i just see this is because i do think hillary is the weaker candidate, i don't know. but i wouldn't be surprised if rove/bush think so, too, and that they're not optimistic about republican chances if obama is the nominee.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 11 January 2008 13:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe Rove wants you to think he thinks she's the weakest. It's turtles all the way down.

Kerm, Friday, 11 January 2008 13:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Senator Barack Obama's campaign wasted no time in responding to the President.

"I can't tell if Bush is endorsing Hillary, hoping she's the nominee, or thanking her for her votes on Iraq and Iran," Obama, D-Ill., spokesperson Bill Burton told ABC News.

ZONG

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 13:21 (sixteen years ago) link

source?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 13:55 (sixteen years ago) link

oops, nevermind, got it

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 13:56 (sixteen years ago) link

bottom line about all the supposed Rove psy-ops is that Rove doesn't really know for sure who the stronger candidate will be and also doesn't know for sure who the Republican contender will be, so there's no point in trying to read him.

Hurting 2, Friday, 11 January 2008 14:00 (sixteen years ago) link

kerry endorses obama
bush 'endorses' clinton

haahahaaaaa

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 14:01 (sixteen years ago) link

ned lamont (the guy who bumped lieberman from the dem party in '06, then lost to him) endorses obama

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 14:27 (sixteen years ago) link

bottom line about all the supposed Rove psy-ops is that Rove doesn't really know for sure who the stronger candidate will be and also doesn't know for sure who the Republican contender will be, so there's no point in trying to read him.

OTM. Myths of Rove's omniscience way, way overrated. The tortured analysis that people are applying to his every comment is overdone. First he criticizes Hillary (then the front-runner), and people assume that he is trying to boost her by criticizing her. Then he criticizes Obama (at that time the front-runner), and people assume that, well, he is still trying to boost Hillary. Maybe he just likes to criticize Democrats?

o. nate, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

That's just what he wants you to *BANG*

Kerm, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Mark Clemente, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:10 (sixteen years ago) link

in other news:

kucinich wants an nh recount

Mark Clemente, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Rove doesn't know what's up, but Hurting's got the bottom line

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont know when gabbneb's being sarcastic anymore

m bison, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

At this point, Obama has enough high-profile endorsements to be considered -- if not "the" establishment candidate -- at least "an" establishment candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

If she picks Cuomo for AG, who else is going to get in there? I'm for a fully dynastic cabinet. What position can we give to Patrick Kennedy?

Hatch, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

If they weren't burning bridges so furiously, a Pres. Obama could appoint Bill or Hillary Clinton to cabinet posts.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 15:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Supreme Court

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 15:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I heard that, too. It would be a great role for Bill Clinton.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

like he'd take it

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Schwarzenegger for McCain? http://thepage.time.com/2008/01/11/first-action-hero/

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

w j clinton appointment to scotus would be a fucking laff riot

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

the confirmation hearings wd be like Clarence Thomas crossed with the impeachment trial, ie, I would move to Canada

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

mayb they could take a case that would legally define "is"

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha clinton would never shut up during oral* argument, it would be hysterical but I'd feel bad for the transcribers.

*NYUK NYUK NUYK

Mr. Que, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Like I said, if it weren't for the new hostility between their camps, I'm not sure why Bill Clinton wouldn't consider a Supreme Court appointment by Obama.

As to Obama's viability, to me, this is one of his biggest Achilles heels. But I suspect that, in a GE, the stakes are high enough were all angry Democrats will fall into line behind him, even if they preferred a more aggressive candidate. It's getting to the GE that will be the challenge here.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

um, wasn't Clinton's law license revoked? Would you want someone on SCOTUS who perjured himself?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm beginning to have my doubts that Obama can make it. He really needed a blitzkrieg quick kill. He needed to deliver the coup de grâce in NH, when Obama fever was high, the JFK comparisons were thick on the ground and the media was on side. Now it's going to be a long slog, and I'm pretty sure Clinton is going to be better at the long slog.

Zelda Zonk, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Clinton Eligible Again to Practice Law -- 2006

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

having a former leader of the executive branch appointed to the highest court of the judicial branch? excuse me but i'm sure even the most sympathetic congress would block that nomination.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

He's a convicted liar!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

he's not William Howard Taft.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

(who was made Chief Justice and had been campaigning for it his whole life, but whatever)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

man, people really hate Bill Clinton.

Mr. Que, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, Clinton wants to travel the globe palling around with influential people and receiving adoring crowds/groupies. he does not want to be a supreme court justice. hillary theoretically might.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

lots of young interns work for SCOTUS.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i could see Hilary doing that.

they call them clerks Alfred

Mr. Que, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

"I did not have inappropriate contact with that plaintiff"

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

"i'd love to grant your petition for certiorari, hot stuff."

Mr. Que, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm pretty sure Clinton is going to be better at the long slog.

And it will never seem sloggier. Hundred-Years Mac vs the Change Agent might prompt a record number of minor-party votes even w/out Bloomberg.

btw, you Bloomie semi-apologists -- you did read that his Ambition Adviser is KISSINGER, right?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Now it's going to be a long slog, and I'm pretty sure Clinton is going to be better at the long slog.

i dont know why this is assumed considering hillary's never rly been in a long slog in either of her election bids. as far as money and organization it's a wash. if obama can take nv and take sc decisively (which looks probable), he takes back the momentum heading into colossal fuck tuesday.

m bison, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm pretty sure Clinton is going to be better at the long snog.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Do people Democrats genuinely believe that Hillary Clinton would be capable of winning a general election and regaining the White House? Honestly?

youcangoyourownway, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

on one hand, you have to beat Somebody with Somebody. Dems' best hope would be that the GOP has a nominee who can inspire nearly as much hatred as Hil does.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm beginning to have my doubts that Obama can make it. He really needed a blitzkrieg quick kill. He needed to deliver the coup de grâce in NH, when Obama fever was high, the JFK comparisons were thick on the ground and the media was on side. Now it's going to be a long slog, and I'm pretty sure Clinton is going to be better at the long slog.

-- Zelda Zonk, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:20 (17 minutes ago) Link

I'm having a hard time seeing the connection between your metaphors and reality.

Hurting 2, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

There's no evidence that a "quick kill" in Iowa and New Hampshire, or a lack thereof, determines outcomes.

Hurting 2, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe not, but perceived wisdom was that an Obama win in NH would have been a mortal blow to Clinton.

Zelda Zonk, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

u ppl are trying to reach a Chris Matthews level of random thought, aren't you?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

"perceived wisdom"

Hurting 2, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Dems' best hope would be that the GOP has a nominee who can inspire nearly as much hatred as Hil does.

That or a GOP nominee who will keep much of their base unmotivated/won't inspire much enthusiasm and who won't peel off too many independent and/or Democratic votes.

So Huckabee, Romney or Giuliani would be fine. McCain, as I've said, is the GOP candidate I don't want to see.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

what evidence is there, exactly, that either on of them will be better in the "long slog"? neither one of them has had a tough contest before. a tough contest between popular national democrats is uncharted territory for either one of them anyway!

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

let me say "either one of them" 1 more tiem

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

"colossal fuck tuesday"

i think we need to retitle this thread

Tracer Hand, Friday, 11 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder what total posts # will be on S.F.Tuesday. NERDS!

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

or C.F.Tuesday

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Cable News Bukkake Tuesday

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

C on Tuesday

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol:

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/2008/01/giuliani_staffers_forego_paych.php

J0rdan S., Friday, 11 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

NERDS!

-- Dr Morbius

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.horrordvds.com/reviews/misc/pictures/nerds.jpg

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean what's he gonna do, send troops there? nuke it? lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

he does not explicitly "threaten[] reprisals"

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

that's true, he just says "they would regret that day."

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

"Symmetry required gabbneb to start this" is eventually going to become as annoying as "Because I want to wait to see how the 2006 congressional elections play out."

jaymc, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I sought immortality.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

having a former leader of the executive branch appointed to the highest court of the judicial branch? excuse me but i'm sure even the most sympathetic congress would block that nomination.

So why was Taft OK?

jaymc, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh wait, Alfred already mentioned that.

jaymc, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Peggy Noonan's latest bit of tosh:

But I think the crying moment, as it is called, though she didn't cry, gained extra force because it occurred just as Mr. Obama, as a personality, was settling in as rather a chilly fellow. Sleek and elegant, yes, but cold, or at least cool at the core.

Barack Obama is up against a lot of tropes, a lot of assumptions and understandings about what it is to be young, gifted, black and a major political figure. He's not Jesse Jackson, he's not Dr. King, he's not Andrew Young. He's trying to break a mold, make it new, be who he is, anticipate expectations, upend clichés, startle you into seeing him clear. He plays down emotionalism in terms of his visage (not his words), keeps his guard up, wears dignity like a cloak. When he appeared with Oprah in Des Moines, she vibrated at the podium like a puppy. He came on cool and loping, always using his hands in the frame in a slow and deliberative manner, to show he never gets a tremor, doesn't break a sweat. He's cool. Is that a universally beloved attribute in a national candidate? Is it a plus that carries a minus?

Was what is called sexism part of the story? I suppose, and in a number of ways. When George Bush senior cries in public, it's considered moving. Ditto his moist-eyed son. But in fairness, they have tended to appear moved about things apart from themselves, apart from their own predicaments. Mrs. Clinton was weeping about Mrs. Clinton. If a man had uttered Mrs. Clinton's aria--if Mr. Obama had said, "And you know, this is very personal for me . . . as tired as I am . . . against the odds," and gotten choked--they would have laughed him out of town.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I dunno that last paragraph is fairly OTM (esp re: Hillary tearing up about nothing particular apart from herself and her, uh, hair)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

In isolation, maybe, but the simplistic binarity – Obama cool, HRC emotional – is the same blarney the alpha male-obsessed Noonan's been peddling for years.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

her and Chris Matthews should have a lovechild

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

nauseating phrases of the moment ts

"i have so many opportunities for this country" vs "iron my shirt"

"i found my voice" vs "what is called sexism...i suppose"

trick question: all awful

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

no, she's totally right. Obama's cool (and his ironic sense, which boomers just don't understand at all) is a minus for him to some extent.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

what he has to do is foreground the family more. a big part of his appeal is that - other than race - the family looks a lot like that of a lot of people who help decide elections.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:28 (sixteen years ago) link

also, I heard a Michelle speech the other day that was as thoughtful/"inspiring" as the ones he gives, if not more

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama is up against a lot of tropes

Different tropes for different folks?

Aimless, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

you could say that O was raised in the suburban era, while C preceded it

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't stand smarmy Peggy Noonan, but that middle paragraph -- and especially the line about Obama wears his "dignity like a cloak" -- makes a decent point. That jarring contrast between his elegant/dignified demeanor and how he appears when he drops his guard, even a little -- e.g., the "you're likable enough" line -- can turn people off faster than the same semi-flippant line from someone else, say George Bush. Also, Noonan's point isn't far off from the Yglesias post I linked to above, which I think nails one of Obama's biggest vulnerabilities.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I LOVED THAT LINE AND HIS DELIVERY. I'm convinced it's the pundits – who worry about such sorry minutiae years after we've forgotten, e.g. Reagan's "comeback" perf in the second '84 debate – who create this elitism, unless I'm underestimating American resistance to polish and irony.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

rove is sorta otm about the trash-talking thing, tho - "you're likeable enough" is exactly the sort of thing dudes say to each other in locker rooms after a game. obama was just treating hillary like one of the boys. which is totally sexist, of course. not that most women have spent much time in guys' locker rooms.

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i loved the line, too - it was grudgingly affectionate but perfectly expressed the notion that 'yeah, you're electable and would be an effective president, but we don't need you anymore'

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

dudes in a locker room slap each other's butts and scream "YOU KICKED ASS!"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I LOVED THAT LINE AND HIS DELIVERY. I'm convinced it's the pundits – who worry about such sorry minutiae years after we've forgotten, e.g. Reagan's "comeback" perf in the second '84 debate – who create this elitism, unless I'm underestimating American resistance to polish and irony.

I know you did. I didn't mind it, but I immediately thought it wouldn't play well. You are underestimating American resistance to polish and irony (at least with older voters). I think we had this discussion during the debate, just moments after he said it.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess I didn't attend the Michael Deaver-George Stephanopolous Graduate School of Semiotics.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I got my degree from their online university!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Reagan helped America resist the Polish Irony Curtain. Sorry.

Kerm, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

The idea that anyone with the massive ego and calculation to join the modern presidential campaign circus (with its packaged evasions openly masquerading as "answers") isn't essentially cold makes me larf.

(no-hope idealists like Kucinich excepted obv)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone have any insight as to why CNN "unearthed" those ugly Ron Paul newsletters and asked him about them in the last couple days (as opposed to, say, almost a year ago when we were all discussing them?)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Won't the presidential candidates seek a private audience with Morbs?

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: Giuliani paid them

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Drew Westen asks if Bush gave Hillary New Hampshire - http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=c9dee2e5-ab83-47c9-8d1c-8163177eb1d4

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

and now, some Roseanne v Oprahma fun!

http://joemygod.blogspot.com/2008/01/rosanne-barrs-blog-disappears-after-she.html

Oprah, you play the race card and the gender card too.

You are a closeted republican and chose Barak Obama because you do not like other women who actually stand for something to working American Women besides glamour, angels, hollywood and dieting.

When Americans find out that Obama backs right wing corporate racist anti worker bullshit, they will not vote for him, and the victory will go to the most racist right wing republican ever.... Mccain, who is a fascist!

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz. Barr is completely nuts btw (altho she made way more interesting TV viewing than Oprah)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

jamie lee curtis @ huffpo on hillary almost as insipid as barr

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

let me guess -- pro?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Why is a woman's natural emotionality, as well as incredible sense and judgment and compassion and strength, a liability. None of you would be here were it not for a woman's strength -- you men try giving birth, something Mrs. Clinton has done. Most of all, don't we really want a president with a heart, a big, open, warm, loving, mother's heart to lead us out of this bleak despair, into the light of hope and peace.

she is so dismally off the mark i wish i could embed the foghorn sound here

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

holding to her argument, my mom would make the best president because she's given birth 7 times

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I second that "emotionality"

(Jamie Lee might not be writing this if her intersexed status had been resolved differently)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

wau

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Drew Westen asks if Bush gave Hillary New Hampshire

sooo sick of NH conspiracy theory b.s. yes any election w/ a surprising outcome MUST HAVE BEEN STOLED OMG

dmr, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

It was refurbished.

Kerm, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

oh I kinda misread his last paragraph

but still, did anyone here even know Bush made a speech that day

dmr, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

anne rice endorses hillary, struggles for relevance

elmo argonaut, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

God, I think I would start asking these people if they could please be quiet about the endorsements.

Abbott, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

"If you have a social need, you're with Hillary. If you want Obama to be your imaginary hip black friend and you're young and you have no social needs, then he's cool."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,2238148,00.html

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

and it's only gonna get nicer from this point forward.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 11 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone have any insight as to why CNN "unearthed" those ugly Ron Paul newsletters and asked him about them in the last couple days (as opposed to, say, almost a year ago when we were all discussing them?)

The New Republic just went back and got paper copies of even more damaging shit than what was previously known. Instead of two or three newsletters incidents, there's 20 years of racist/anti-Semitic/militia-nut goodness.

milo z, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul devolution.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

for a second I thought that said the fr33 r3publ1c

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul may be a racist nut, but he does say some surprisingly reasonable things at times. Like this morning I heard him on the radio talking about how ludicrous the notion of a US Navy destroyer being threatened by a few Iranian speedboats is.

o. nate, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, his turn on russert was hilarious!! competing forms of nutcasery + reasonableness, one alternating after the other.

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

uhhh - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Cole_bombing

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

how ludicrous the notion of a US Navy destroyer being threatened by a few Iranian speedboats is.

uh USS Cole bombing yo

damn x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

like, the earth isn't really threatened by global warming, just a few people on it

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

to at least be fair, a ship docked in a friendly port and a patrol off the coast of iran are slightly different situations. plus i doubt as "speedboats" a zodiac with a suicide bomb on it and a small, fast iranian vessel have much in common.

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, paul lives in a universe where most people think an IRGC flotilla is gonna speed up the charleston tomorrow if we don't kill everyone west of the river jordan

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

"If you have a social need, you're with Hillary. If you want Obama to be your imaginary hip black friend and you're young and you have no social needs, then he's cool."

This is the kind of talk that's going to shift the debate back to grounds on which Obama can win. It will be amazing if the tsunami of social forces that contributed to HRC's win in N.H. are repeated (but with respect to race, not gender), by her, to hand Obama the nomination.

Having said that, there's a ton of interesting stuff in that Guardian article that quote comes from (linked above).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

In fact, HRC and her advisors have been making a lot of mistakes in the past few days when it comes to comments about race.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 11 January 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of folx struggling for relevance:

"Oprah, you play the race card and the gender card too. You are a closeted Republican and chose Barak Obama because you do not like other women who actually stand for something to working American Women besides glamour, angels, hollywood and dieting! When Americans find out that Obama backs right wing corporate racist anti worker bullshit, they will not vote for him, and the victory will go to the most racist right wing republican ever.... Mccain, who is a fascist!" - Roseanne Barr.

from sullivans dish, but the link he had dint work. whatsup roseanne, where you bin?

Hunt3r, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

check Dr. Morbius' link, above

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i really do try to stay current and read this thread, der.

Hunt3r, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Encounters with Iranian patrols in that part of the gulf are a common occurrence, and it seems unlikely that an official Iranian patrol-boat would be sent on a suicide mission against a US ship - unless maybe it was Al Qaeda pretending to be an Iranian patrol? You can never be too careful, I guess.

o. nate, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

what is "Al Qaeda" now? how hard would it be for a coupla rev guard guys to do something on their own?

gabbneb, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

there was obviously a lot of confusion about what was going on during that confrontation... even so, the point stands that if Paul's contention was that a small boat can't hurt a US Navy warship, he's dangerously wrong.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

shakey for president!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

shakey mo otm

deej, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

in general Paul's reasonable statements = broken clock being right twice a day

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man the roseanne blog is like marissa-level crazy

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Changing the Vibration

An energy vampire changes the "vibration" in a group. They know how to do that but they don't know why they do it. They do not know how to run the energy through themselves and discharge or transform it. They hoard it and are all mentally ill as a result.

Posted at 11:14 AM - Permalink

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

comedy gold

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

... at the top is nothing but ROT, (fascists like to have sex with little boys)..the log cabin republicans (closeted gays), brought the most bigoted anti-gay ideas to the masses...Log cabin republicans are in charge of the republican party and have been since Reagan. They also helm the catholic church and the evangelical movement. Ralph Reed is so far into the closet he can't see daylight for the red dress he has pulled over his head. Karl Rove is a gay man too, from Salt Lake City Utah. He is Bush's brain...think about it, about the endless sneer they all have..."What a laugh we will have when we meet up with Roy Cohn and J. Edgar Hoover in our special place reserved for us in Hell! Not just anyone can get into that club!"

Posted at 7:30 PM - Permalink

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

when did Roseanne go bonkers?

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

she's always been like this

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

she has in lucid moments admitted she's nuts for years.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

the log cabin republicans (closeted gays)

and what, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

^^ that's the kind of crazy i can roll with

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I imagine she's been confused ever since her parents tried to raise her as both a Jew AND a Mormon lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

(also lol at celeb HRC supporter calling anyone else "corporate anti-worker")

Dr Morbius, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

even so, the point stands that if Paul's contention was that a small boat can't hurt a US Navy warship, he's dangerously wrong.

I'm not about to hazard a guess about what Paul's contention was, but to me at the time it sounded like a refreshing breath of skepticism into an increasingly bellicose game of escalation.

o. nate, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, paul lives in a universe where most people think an IRGC flotilla is gonna speed up the charleston tomorrow if we don't kill everyone west of the river jordan

-- gff, Friday, January 11, 2008 4:33 PM (30 minutes ago)

of course u kno i meant EAST whoops

gff, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

an increasingly bellicose game of escalation

oh its all just empty sabre-rattling. neither side has anything to gain from open confrontation, and everything to gain from maintaining this stupid facade of threats and accusations. Both sides are playing this game for internal and regional political reasons.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ie, Iran gets to look like the "big Muslim power standing up to the US" and the Bush admin gets to keep its fearmongering amped up to 11.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i believe this is true, but i also believe that this does not mean that an actual really bad crisis could result. as noted somewhere today, these types of small time encounters with ships have precipitated huge crises before, and there is no reliable communication line between the parties by which to avert needless escalation. plus, some very influential people really really want escalation.

Hunt3r, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:38 (sixteen years ago) link

http://z.about.com/d/politicalhumor/1/0/i/k/cheney_drevil.jpg

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:41 (sixteen years ago) link

u only needs one of ahmedinejad in his members only splendor rite

Hunt3r, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

YBoth sides have) everything to gain from maintaining this stupid facade of threats and accusations. Both sides are playing this game for internal and regional political reasons.

Very true. Expect more sabre-rattling through the GE, at least.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 12 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZArWe8o_hI

۞_۟۞

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

holllly shit

deej, Saturday, 12 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

not a big story campaign-wise but nice to see professional douchebag/attack dog sid blumenthal get busted
http://www.blog.newsweek.com/blogs/stumper/archive/2008/01/11/blumenthal-on-the-boil.aspx

gershy, Saturday, 12 January 2008 06:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Posted By: rudyg (January 11, 2008 at 8:49 PM)

How come this is only being reported now?Days after the NH primary.I hate the Clintons,I hope the American people wake the *** up and dont take a step backwards.

gff, Saturday, 12 January 2008 06:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i12.tinypic.com/6wohd89.jpg

this a nice van

jhøshea, Saturday, 12 January 2008 07:07 (sixteen years ago) link

unclerico.jpg

Kerm, Saturday, 12 January 2008 07:12 (sixteen years ago) link

what's in that youtube clip guyz?

can't watch at work

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 12 January 2008 07:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Jockin on Ron Paul a la "Baby Got Back." You ain't missing much.

Kerm, Saturday, 12 January 2008 07:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump/archive/2008/01/11/kennedy.aspx

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 14:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama and HRC really want Kerry and/or Ted Kennedy's endorsement? Seems a bit like the Kiss of Death to me.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 12 January 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

any endorsements are good for news coverage gets the spotlight off yr rival etc

jhøshea, Saturday, 12 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The Baby Primary - http://www.slate.com/id/2181495/

My rules were simple:

1. No actual kissing. No Democrat or Republican is putting saliva on Baby Dahlia.
2. No pictures with former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel. He's way too creepy.

gabbneb, Saturday, 12 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain conflates trading with Arab nations with trading with al-Qaida. "I don’t want to trade with al-Qaida, all they want to trade is burqas," he says, smiling smugly. "I don’t want to travel with them, all they want is one-way tickets."

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not about to hazard a guess about what Paul's contention was, but to me at the time it sounded like a refreshing breath of skepticism into an increasingly bellicose game of escalation.

-- o. nate, Friday, 11 January 2008 23:05 (Yesterday) Link

the point he was making was the incident could be used as another 'reason' to go to war w/iran just as the gulf of tonkin incident ultimately gave johnson the authority to escalate the vietnam war.

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

if this statement came from kucinich what you all think? (or substitue someone from the anti-war left you respect) i.f. stone was one of the first people to be skeptical of the gulf of tonkin incident at the time. dude was way on the left, but he was right for being skeptical and actually did some journalism to back up his suspicions.

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

he is eating that babies soul

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't my grammar terrible?

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v208/jcoombs/12591162_763402.gif

remy bean, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

told you!

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

zang!

caek, Saturday, 12 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I heard some ass on Gwen Ifill's Washington Week say Edwards is done. SHOOT EM ALL.

Dr Morbius, Saturday, 12 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i3.tinypic.com/8e9k4qw.gif

Kerm, Saturday, 12 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Perrin on the Paul bigot revival:

Whatever Paul actually believes about minorities and queers is not the real concern here. What bothers liberals, TNR's James Kirchik among them, is that Paul is the only presidential candidate who is seriously running against the state. This includes anti-imperialism and calls to end the Drug War. Given that Hillary and Obama are nowhere near this mindset -- quite the opposite -- means that anyone who is must be a bad person. If those newsletters didn't exist, hit men like Kirchik and the libloggers who support him would find something else to smear Paul with. Because, at bottom, they oppose any dismantling of the war state (recall Kos' shitting all over Kucinich). They simply want their preferred candidates to run the machine instead.

For TNR, there's another angle to its anti-Paul attack: Israel. Paul wants to end U.S. military aid to Israel, and is critical of Israeli aggression (he's also critical of Hezbollah and Hamas, but that doesn't count). This simply won't do for Democrats and many liberals, who either support Israeli violence and occupation, or are at best mum on the topic.

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/01/pauling.html

Dr Morbius, Saturday, 12 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

thats the stupidest fucking thing youve ever posted

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

which of the major candidates policy proposals would, in practicality, amount to a genocide of non-white americans?

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I heard some ass on Gwen Ifill's Washington Week say Edwards is done. SHOOT EM ALL.

morbs reppin for the last white guy standing

gabbneb, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron Paul on Civil Rights

* No affirmative action for any group. (Sep 2007)
* Don't ask, don't tell is a decent policy for gays in army. (Jun 2007)
* Voted YES on protecting the Pledge of Allegiance. (Sep 2004)
* Voted YES on banning gay adoptions in DC. (Jul 1999)
* Voted YES on ending preferential treatment by race in college admissions. (May 1998)
* Rated 67% by the ACLU, indicating a mixed civil rights voting record. (Dec 2002)

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

"genocide"s an awful big word for you to toss around, ethan.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

So this Perrin fellow is pretty much a fuckin' retard, I gather?

milo z, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

you forgot:

* voted YES on pro-genocide bill

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

im not saying ron paul wants to put black folks in gas ovens but destroying every federal protection & taking us back to jim crow days doesnt bode well

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Atwater: As to the whole Southern strategy that Harry Dent and others put together in 1968, opposition to the Voting Rights Act would have been a central part of keeping the South. Now the new Southern Strategy of Ronald Reagan doesn’t have to do that. All you have to do to keep the South is for Reagan to run in place on the issues he’s campaigned on since 1964… and that’s fiscal conservatism, balancing the budget, cut taxes, you know, the whole cluster…

Questioner: But the fact is, isn’t it, that Reagan does get to the Wallace voter and to the racist side of the Wallace voter by doing away with legal services, by cutting down on food stamps…?

Atwater: You start out in 1954 by saying, 'Nigger, nigger, nigger.' By 1968 you can't say 'nigger' - that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is that blacks get hurt worse than whites.

And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me - because obviously sitting around saying, 'We want to cut this,' is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than 'Nigger, nigger.'

and what, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

xp - I'm sure the states would step up the plate. God knows Alabama and Mississippi have spotless civil rights records.

milo z, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

don't forget that shining beacon of tolerance and humanity known as texas

hstencil, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

ethan i don't even know how to respond to your point. i'm not trying to make ron paul out to be something he isn't. i tend to agree w/much of what he says about foreign policy and i think ghouliani (who has falwell on his team)or huckabee would be much more dangerous for the rights of people here and abroad. but its a moot point because we all know ron paul isn't going anywhere anyway. i could find good things to say about different candidates, but that doesn't mean i support everything they say or what you think the outcomes of their policies would be.

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

he must really be ghouliani if he's got a dead guy on his team.

hstencil, Saturday, 12 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

more mistake son my part. good now everyone can disregard everything ive ever said.

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

my god atwater was such a horrible fuck

El Tomboto, Saturday, 12 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

to saw that 'fiscal conservatism' is racist or code for it or whatever maybe makes sense for atwater to say in that context. but it is also part of a real american intellectual tradition that can't easily be dismissed by racist smears or because racist politicians. i have no knowledge or interest the kind of politics atwater is describing or the kind he is a part of (if you want to say they are different) so i can't speak to it.

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:32 (sixteen years ago) link

(say not saw)

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:32 (sixteen years ago) link

dorothy day was against welfare too

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:33 (sixteen years ago) link

but Atwater, Rove, and their ilk transformed what was a legitimate strain of conservatism into supremacist semiotics.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:34 (sixteen years ago) link

wait, there is a legitimate form of conservatism?????

artdamages, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:37 (sixteen years ago) link

har har.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 12 January 2008 23:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's Plane Strikes Parked Plane on Runway
January 12, 2008 11:40 AM

ABC News' Lisa Stark and Sunlen Miller report: The plane carrying Sen. Barack Obama struck another plane while taxiing at Midway Airport in Chicago early Saturday morning.
At 2:45 a.m. Central Time, the Gulfstream 2 plane that carried Obama, nine other passengers and two crew members struck a parked Cessna 208 general aviation plane, which can carry 10 to 12 passengers.
There was minor damage to the wings of both aircraft, although no one on either of the planes was injured.
Inside Obama's plane, the hit was so small that no one realized they had clipped the other plane's wing until someone on the plane, looking out the window, noticed the swipe.
The plane, because it was taxiing and heading to park, was not under the control of air traffic controllers at that point.
Members of Obama's campaign staff, Secret Service members and two crew members were flying along with the senator.
Before leaving his Las Vegas event that evening, Obama commented that he only had one hour to speak to the crowd, so his pilot wouldn't get "cut off" and so he wouldn't get in trouble with his wife. Obama will be in Chicago today, enjoying a prescheduled day off with his family.

There's no excuse for this, the Obama plane striking a parked plane. Obama campaign needs to tell his pilots to stay awake and watch it! Also, I think Michelle Obama should be more flexible with her husband, knowing 'what time it is' in this campaign and how short the window of opportunity is between primaries. Perhaps he just should stayed overnight in places instead of rushing so 'he doesn't get in trouble with his wife' and I feel as though she shouldn't make him get back if it is too late, prescheduled or not.

Posted by: RuthieM | Jan 12, 2008 12:10:09 PM

gershy, Sunday, 13 January 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I would have a comment but the Obama campaign has decided that their new tact is to call anyone who disagrees with them racist.

Remember folks in the new America, African Americans are not to be criticized under any circumstances that just wouldn't be culturally sensitive.

Posted by: John Romano | Jan 12, 2008 12:27:42 PM

gershy, Sunday, 13 January 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I did not know this was a new kind of tact!

Abbott, Sunday, 13 January 2008 00:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, I think Michelle Obama should be more flexible with her husband, knowing 'what time it is' in this campaign

HIRE THIS MAN:

http://chappleanc.com/public/media/WhatTimeIsItMorrisDay.gif

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 13 January 2008 00:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Current Nat'l Democratic Picture

HRC getting nearly 50%.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 13 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

my god atwater was such a horrible fuck

most karmic brain aneurysm ever

Shakey Mo Collier, Sunday, 13 January 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

“Atwater was a trusted advisor of U.S. Presidents Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush. He was also a political mentor and close friend of Karl Rove. Atwater invented many of the techniques of modern electoral politics, including promulgating reputation-destroying rumors. His opponents have characterized him as the ‘happy hatchet man’[1] and ‘the Darth Vader of the Republican party’.

Atwater was also a musician. He briefly played backup guitar for Percy Sledge during the 1960's, and frequently played with bluesmen such as B.B. King. Atwater recorded an album with King and others on Curb Records in 1990 entitled ‘Red Hot & Blue’.”

Jeb, Sunday, 13 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I remember reading an article on Atwater in the early '90s where he referred to something (forget what) which 'offended his libertarian principles', to which someone replied 'Lee Atwater isn't a libertarian, he's a utilitarian -- he'll say anything he needs to say to get his guy elected'.

Jeff Wright, Sunday, 13 January 2008 04:50 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC on Tim Russert's show: she bein' feisty.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 13 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

How so?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 13 January 2008 15:41 (sixteen years ago) link

So this Perrin fellow is pretty much a fuckin' retard, I gather?

Did you read the whole fuckin' post?

Dr Morbius, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

yup! pretty stupid

gff, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

lessee, apparently calling paul out for having his name on a bunch of racist and homophobic shit is suspect because it was done in TNR, which aired both the bell curve shit and is still a pro-war magazine on foreign policy stuff. perrin doesn't actually go to bat for the racist/homo-hating newsletters, just airs a crypto-zionist reason for TNR to not like it.

(while we're on the topic, dude says "When Israeli fighter jets were pounding Lebanon in 2006, it took weeks for leading libloggers to type the slightest negative word" uhhh none of the ones i was reading! but whatev)

then there's this:

I might be mistaken, but so far as I know, Ron Paul has not left the campaign trail to oversee the killing of a black man. Liberal hero Bill Clinton did in 1992, flying back to Arkansas from New Hampshire to witness Rickey Ray Rector take the lethal needle. (Since Clinton was our first black president, did that constitute black-on-black violence?) Clinton also expanded the police and prison state, in which a large number of African-Americans are trapped, and shredded the safety net for the poor, among whom reside many African-Americans. Does this make Bill Clinton a racist? Hush yo' mouf!

which is pretty rancid in itself. but also is built on a pretty stunning logical fallacy: that thinking ron paul's close association with racists and homophobes is bad is the same as thinking bill clinton's record on criminal justice is good

gff, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Democrat John Edwards on Sunday waded into a dispute between his rivals, criticizing comments by Hillary Rodham Clinton and her husband that some have considered disparaging to Barack Obama and black people generally.

"I must say I was troubled recently to see a suggestion that real change that came not through the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King but through a Washington politician. I fundamentally disagree with that," Edwards told more than 200 people gathered at a predominantly black Baptist church.

Sen. Hillary Clinton recently was quoted as saying King's dream of racial equality was realized only when President Lyndon B. Johnson signed the Civil Rights Act of 1964, while Bill Clinton said Obama was telling a "fairy tale" about his opposition to the Iraq war.

Edwards did not name either of the Clintons in his speech, but turned the argument back on them.

"Those who believe that real change starts with Washington politicians have been in Washington too long and are living a fairy tale," he said.

gershy, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll tell you this: I've studied various strands of American right wing political philosophy and beliefs, and have had many conversations with rightists of different temperaments, and when it comes to seriously defending First and Fourth Amendment rights (what remain, anyway), I'll stand with libertarians like Ron Paul. I may not agree with most of his beliefs, nor that of the anti-statist right overall, but I know that Paul and others like him aren't looking to tap my phone or break down my door in the middle of the night. Think the Branch Davidians were paranoid?

i mean, this has nothing to do with the substance of the 'liberal attack' on paul -- that he is probably a racist and homophobe and has an awful voting record on race and sex issues -- an argument that DP handwaves away by saying "I may not agree with most of his beliefs," while dismissing it because of where it was printed, on a totally unrelated issue (TNR's pro-israel editorial line)

this is like reading comprehension 101, the guy doesn't make any sense.

gff, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

whew that's kind enough serious engagement with 'red state son'

man is edwards content with doing obama's dirty work or what?

gff, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

kind OF enough

gff, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton surrogates getting NASTY

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/13/bet-chief-raps-obama-in-sc/

gershy, Sunday, 13 January 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama gets McCaskill - http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/01/obama_slams_clintons_meet_appe.html?hpid=topnews

gabbneb, Sunday, 13 January 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

man is edwards content with doing obama's dirty work or what?

I don't think he has another good option. As I understand it, he wanted (pre-N.H.) to push HRC out of the race. Once it was down to him and Obama, he was going to attack Obama as soft and not a "fighter." It's not a bad strategy, at all, but you have to get HRC out first, and that's not happening (anytime soon, at least).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 13 January 2008 23:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani: 'Hey I like God too, you know.'

Ned Raggett, Monday, 14 January 2008 00:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Obama really going to go up against Robert L. Johnson? Seriously? Does he not realize that Robert L. Johnson is the only black billionaire widely respected by African Americans? Does Obama not know the Charlotte Bobcats are only of the few teams able to beat the powerhouse Boston Celtics?

Seriously, this primary season is fucking stupid. There has been nearly no policy debate. Polls, endorsements, scandal. Who fucking cares?

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 14 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

newsflash: elections are popularity contests

J0hn D., Monday, 14 January 2008 14:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I gotta hand it to Rudy G for bragging to an evangelical church that he prays to Mary

J0hn D., Monday, 14 January 2008 14:12 (sixteen years ago) link

This thread certainly wdn't like policy debate.

more Krugman on Obama's econ fumfering today:

The Obama campaign’s initial response to the latest wave of bad economic news was, I’m sorry to say, disreputable: Mr. Obama’s top economic adviser claimed that the long-term tax-cut plan the candidate announced months ago is just what we need to keep the slump from “morphing into a drastic decline in consumer spending.” Hmm: claiming that the candidate is all-seeing, and that a tax cut originally proposed for other reasons is also a recession-fighting measure — doesn’t that sound familiar?

Anyway, on Sunday Mr. Obama came out with a real stimulus plan. As was the case with his health care plan, which fell short of universal coverage, his stimulus proposal is similar to those of the other Democratic candidates, but tilted to the right.

For example, the Obama plan appears to contain none of the alternative energy initiatives that are in both the Edwards and Clinton proposals, and emphasizes across-the-board tax cuts over both aid to the hardest-hit families and help for state and local governments. I know that Mr. Obama’s supporters hate to hear this, but he really is less progressive than his rivals on matters of domestic policy.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:13 (sixteen years ago) link

oh morbs get off the high horse = the electorate doesn't like policy debate and the first recorded complaints about this are 5,000 years old

J0hn D., Monday, 14 January 2008 14:17 (sixteen years ago) link

oh wow, "tilted to the right," how awful!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:19 (sixteen years ago) link

YEP

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't see how you can pass some semblance of universal health care through Congress without "tilting" to the right.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:21 (sixteen years ago) link

when pundits become substantive experts on matters of the economy, i will eat my hat.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:27 (sixteen years ago) link

ditto pols

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think you can say Krugman doesn't know anything about economics, but wake me up when he knows anything about politics.

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

do we have to explain how government works to morbs?

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

you only seem to explain (sic) how elections work

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Can we put you two on TV?

Ned Raggett, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:23 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think we're as telegenic as you, ned

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

No, I insist.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

from left to right: gabbneb, Daniel, Esq., elmo, Soto.

http://i.cnn.net/cnn/feedback/images/confirmation/crossfire.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.micropersuasion.com/Picture%201-31.jpg

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

nice of alfred to fall on the sword and be novak

J0rdan S., Monday, 14 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

TV's already too much fun, Ned.

Perrin re-explains things for andwhattards:

Of course, Paul is imperfect on the civil liberties front. His stances on immigration and abortion rights alone should make one wary. And his laissez-faire approach to economics would hand more power to corporations, given the present system. Thus, I don't view Paul as some kind of answer. Indeed, if the guy were ever elected to high office, I suspect that he'd either be weighed down by political/economic reality, which would negate most if not all of his plans, or he would crash ahead regardless, sending the system into chaos and shock. But this is all speculation. Ron Paul is not going to be president....

I support no one for president. Not. A. Soul. No matter who takes the wheel later this year, the ship will remain on the same destructive course for quite some time. Enjoy shuffleboard and bingo while you can, and try not to spill your Mai Tai on the deck.

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/01/no-paulogies.html

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:29 (sixteen years ago) link

no no no ;_;
not tucker carlson please

elmo argonaut, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I support no one for president. Not. A. Soul.

I'm fucking innocent! You won't break me!

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I tend to view the starry-eyed Clinbama fantasists as the innocents.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:34 (sixteen years ago) link

when pundits become substantive experts on matters of the economy, i will eat my hat.

-- elmo argonaut, Monday, 14 January 2008 14:27 (1 hour ago) Link

fyi, krugman teaches economics at princeton.

hstencil, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Yup. And I've put a few of his textbooks he's written on reserve for econ courses.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

please post pics of hat eating

artdamages, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"And his laissez-faire approach to economics would hand more power to corporations, given the present system."

it seems to me lots of people have two ideas in their head at the same time which confuse what they think about economics, corporations and the state. 1) laissez-faire (or 'free-market') policies will increase the power of corporations and 2) corporations have too much power and influence in government. politicians and corporations purposely invite this kind of confusion to increase their power and wealth. of course Reagan style deregulation helps corporations - thats the point!

artdamages, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:51 (sixteen years ago) link

but there is a difference between what romney says he would do and what paul says he would do. there is a difference between crony capitalism and the free market (for one the first is prob inevitable and the second is largely theoretical).

artdamages, Monday, 14 January 2008 15:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Subject: Ophra's Friend

Who is Barack Obama?

Very interesting and something that should be considered in your
choice.

If you do not ever forward anything else, please forward this to all
your contacts...this is very scary to think of what lies ahead of us
here in our own United States...better heed this and pray about it and share it.

We checked this out on "snopes.com". It is factual. Check for yourself.

Who is Barack Obama?

Probable U. S. presidential candidate, Barack Hussein Obama was born
in Honolulu, Hawaii, to Barack Hussein Obama, Sr., a black MUSLIM
from Nyangoma-Kogel, Kenya and Ann Dunham, a white ATHEIST from
Wichita, Kansas.
Obama's parents met at the University of Hawaii. When Obama was two
years old, his parents divorced. Hi s father returned to Kenya. His
mother then married Lolo Soetoro, a RADICAL Muslim from Indonesia.?
When Obama was 6 years old, the family relocate to Indonesia. Obama
attended a MUSLIM school in Jakarta. He also spent two years in a
Catholic school.

Obama takes great care to conceal the fact that he is a Muslim. He is
quick to point out that, "He was once a Muslim, but that he also
attended Catholic school."

Obama's political handlers are attempting to make it appear that
that he is not a radical.

Obama's introduction to Islam came via his fa ther, and t hat this
influence was temporary at best. In reality, the senior Obama returned
to Kenya soon after the divorce, and never again had any direct
influence over his son's education.

Lolo Soetoro, the second husband of Obama's mother, Ann Dunham,
introduced his stepson to Islam. Obama was enrolled in a Wahabi school
in Jakarta.

Wahabism is the RADICAL teaching that is followed by the Muslim
terrorists who are now waging Jihad against the western world. Since
it is politically expedient to be a CH RISTIAN when seeking major
public office in the United States, Barack Hussein Obama has joined
the United Church of Christ in an attempt to downplay his Muslim
background. ALSO, keep in mind that when he was sworn into office he DID NOT use the Holy Bible, but instead the Koran.

Barack Hussein Obama will NOT recite the Pledge of Allegiance nor
will he show any reverence for our flag. While others place their hands
over their hea rts, Obama t urns his back to the flag and slouches. We have seen this in untouched photos.

Let us all remain alert concerning Obama's expected presidential
candidacy.

The Muslims have said they plan on destroying the US from the inside
out, what better way to start than at the highest level - through the
President of the United States, one of their own!!!!

Please forward to everyone you know. Would you want this man leading
our country?...... NOT ME!!!

bnw, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

If Barack Hussein Obama stops asks you for directions, KEEP GOING.

HI DERE, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

andbnwhat

jaymc, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

since obama is a secret radical muslim does that mean he will make all of us convert to muslim if he is elected?

artdamages, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"democracy" (ie, two white hick states)

who do you think edwards' base is??!!!

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

that was a forwarded email caught in the work spam filter. I deleted it like the Ophra would want.

bnw, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Ophra Huzzah

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I like Elmo's bowtie.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 14 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Durbin sticks up for Obama's anti-war record

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Both events, clearly intended to tap into Clark County's large Hispanic population, stood in stark contrast to Mrs. Clinton's last visit to Nevada, when she gave a stump speech from a stage far from supporters in a nature preserve and then departed majestically whence she came.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/11/us/politics/11clinton.html

Tracer Hand, Monday, 14 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

gtfo! ridiculous

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

hilary might have krugman but she's lost the crucial 'copyeditor primary' it seems

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i thot the krug was an edwards man.

hstencil, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

(x-post) >>We checked this out on "snopes.com". It is factual. Check for yourself.

As a matter of fact, I DID check this on Snopes, and as you might surmise, it is for the most part NOT factual. Pretty much a fabricated crock of crap.

Dan Peterson, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

The crowd broke out into “Hillary, Hillary!” especially in response to lines like, “All of our problems are interconnected, but we treat them as if one were guacamole and one were chips.”

haha, "i've been trying to dip the subprime mortgage crisis into the iraq war, but maybe i've been approaching these problems the wrong way..."

elmo argonaut, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

that line does not make any fucking sense

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i know obama is the real rhetorician in the dem primaries but do her analogies have to be so base and retarded?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

where is Hillarysombrero.jpg

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I never realized the nation's problems were so delicious

dmr, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

“I’m very committed to reaching out and meeting the people in this state,” Mrs. Clinton said. When asked about her teary-eyed moment in New Hampshire, Mrs. Clinton referred to having “that connection and that empathy” that might appeal to voters.
http://i48.photobucket.com/albums/f211/katiewnh/1021_wide.jpg
"I have people skills!

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

"

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

uh actually Clinton referred to having “that connection and that empathy” that might appeal to voters. << more sly BS from this article!

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

i thot the krug was an edwards man

he appreciated Edwards' being first to release a plan, likes his and Hillary's better than Obama's, and chronically gives O shit since O called him out, but essentially approves of all of them. he misses the point that the differences in their "plans" are largely minor differences of rhetorical emphasis with lots of room to align with one another in actual governance, and that the differences in rhetorical emphasis are largely responses to how the candidate is perceived by the public.

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

The crowd broke out into “Hillary, Hillary!” especially in response to lines like, “All of our problems are interconnected, but we treat them as if one were guacamole and one were chips.”

haha, "i've been trying to dip the subprime mortgage crisis into the iraq war, but maybe i've been approaching these problems the wrong way..."

they are all guacamole dont u seeeee

jhøshea, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

what we need to do is crumble the chips of subprime mortagage lending into the guacamole of targeted tax cuts, wrap it up with affordable health care, and bake the whole enchilada with a spicy molé sauce. of like, love.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

spicy molé sauce of change, more like

Simon H., Monday, 14 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

as a Jew who loves Indian food, how can I trust that my interests will be represented in this mexican a la carte scenario

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

as a Jew . . . how can I trust that my interests will be represented in this mexican a la carte scenario

Convert.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 14 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

MMM GIMME SOME MOLE

http://media.npr.org/blogs/bryantpark/richardson.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not sure that one candidate necessarily does better than another depending on who's on the other side, but i'd still like (contra kos) the other side to pick first - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012892.php

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

wouldn't richardson be reppin' for his home state's green chiles?

hstencil, Monday, 14 January 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

tho kos may just want us to get romney, in the not-illegitimate belief that he's easier to pick off

lots of good stuff at washmonth today

hillary spontaneously wells up again - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012887.php

the some girls try too hard take on hillary - http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012886.php

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

The one you're all waiting for: Hitch on HRC

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

that's the best he can do? oddly toothless

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 14 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

well it's kind of a c+p for him at this point

gff, Monday, 14 January 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Asking us to remember the name of the chapter in his book about Juania Brodderick does him no favors.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 14 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

But WTF: Mark Levin of the NRO says that Huckabee won't attack McCain's record because Huckabee "is apparently in the tank for" McCain? Waht?

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 14 January 2008 23:25 (sixteen years ago) link

he wants to be veep

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 23:31 (sixteen years ago) link

But he can actually win, if evengelicals keep uniting behind him and the ABH (Anybody But Huckabee) vote is split b/w 3 candidates.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 14 January 2008 23:33 (sixteen years ago) link

i think he's quite aware that he isn't going to win

gabbneb, Monday, 14 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

from the hitch:

Well, the main "experience" involved the comprehensive fouling-up of the nation's health-care arrangements, so as to make them considerably worse than they had been before and to create an opening for the worst-of-all-worlds option of the so-called HMO, combining as it did the maximum of capitalist gouging with the maximum of socialistic bureaucracy.

kinda reads funny, like someone should tell ol' chrissy that hmos were invented in the 1970s.

hstencil, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

wouldn't richardson be reppin' for his home state's green chiles?

Oh yeah you fucking KNOW it! Them're delicious. (And people kind of look at you weird if you ask for mole in my neck of th woods.)

Best thing about Richardson is he allows me to get intermittently excited about my state.

Abbott, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 00:07 (sixteen years ago) link

theres a funny 'i hate huckabee' facebook group that uses both conservative AND liberal arguments against him in their description, quoting both the cato institute AND slamming him for his pro-life stance

deej, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Proper term is "I Fart Fuckabees," hello9

Abbott, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Is it wrong or base of me that one of my main concerns about a Clinton presidency would be if the press got wind of fresh Bill philandering, followed by crushing one-term defeat?

Simon H., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

xposts - haha i was to mark levin earlier tonight, he makes me laugh. hearing him yell about how much he hates mccain made me less worried about the prospect of a mccain presidency

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

*insert "listening" into that first phrase there. god i have so many typos.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Other merriment:

In response to Huckabee’s line that Americans want to elect as president someone who looks like “the guy they work with, not the guy who laid them off,” Hoekstra insists “the right Republican response is that we shouldn’t be judging people based on what they look like. We should be judging people on whether they have the qualifications . . . the ability to get the job done. I’d like a guy who has the skills of Bill Gates and Steve Jobs.”

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Newt:

...the challenges to America whether from immigration, from the secular Left seeking to drive God out of public life, or from those who would undermine English as the language of America is a different set of dangers than the those of 1980.

pinhead

Aimless, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm shocked no one commented on this Romney gem:

“Here in Michigan, the skies are cloudy all day, the trees are all the right height, people talk without an accent and most of the cars on the road are American made — as they ought to be,” he said. The crowd likes that line.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

my mom favors a Clinton-Jobs ticket. i have tried to argue that mock turtlenecks=unelectability.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh yeah you fucking KNOW it! Them're delicious. (And people kind of look at you weird if you ask for mole in my neck of th woods.)

Best thing about Richardson is he allows me to get intermittently excited about my state.

-- Abbott, Tuesday, January 15, 2008 12:07 AM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

kinda reads funny, like someone should tell ol' chrissy that hmos were invented in the 1970s.abbott that bill dropped out already.

hstencil, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd like a guy who has the skills to lay me off.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 05:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Plus when Obama was a young man, he did things I won't mention, that he admitted to doing in his book: organizing his community; any other suggestion, as to my inference is irresponsible.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 05:32 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.wral.com/news/state/story/2300999/

In the pocket of the hamster wheel industry?

Kerm, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 06:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm shocked no one commented on this Romney gem:

“Here in Michigan, the skies are cloudy all day, the trees are all the right height, people talk without an accent and most of the cars on the road are American made — as they ought to be,” he said. The crowd likes that line.

-- Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, January 14, 2008 8:48 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Link

That sounds straight out of Prairie Home Companion - is that the point?

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 07:20 (sixteen years ago) link

people talk without an accent

stevie, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 13:27 (sixteen years ago) link

exactly!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 13:35 (sixteen years ago) link

people talk without an accent

you don't understand

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 13:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i do. its if they have an accent that i don't understand.

stevie, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 14:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't understand

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 14:05 (sixteen years ago) link

that's okay.

stevie, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 14:09 (sixteen years ago) link

this is what i'm thinking re Gore - http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2008/1/10/12035/4350?source=weekly

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 14:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm afraid stevie still doesn't understand

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

arcade fire endorses obama!

sean gramophone, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Will their influences -- Springsteen and Echo & The Bunnnymen -- endose HRC, to set up a true generational divide?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

uh, did the Ex-Prez actually call Obama "a KID"?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

is there a website that lists endorsements from entertainers (and uh, indie rock bands too)?

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:51 (sixteen years ago) link

better than 'boy' xpost

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Yoopers definitely have an accent.

jaymc, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:52 (sixteen years ago) link

is there a website that lists endorsements from entertainers (and uh, indie rock bands too)?

http://www.newsmeat.com/campaign_contributions_to_politicians/donor_list.php?candidate_id=P80003338

jaymc, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:53 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks! i wonder how many gave to hilary too though.

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

michal chabon maxed out his contrib to obama. i didn't realize he'd have that kind of cash.

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

You can search by candidate at the top of the page. I just used Obama as a sample.

jaymc, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 15:57 (sixteen years ago) link

props to mark ruffalo for giving 600 bucks to gravel

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

And Barry Manilow is a Ron Paul fan, apparently.

jaymc, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:03 (sixteen years ago) link

i think hes just really anti-war

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Manilow also listed for Edwards. Celebs spread it around like corporations...

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i could see where rich people would give money to ron paul just to fuck with the rest of the republicans

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

And Barry Manilow is a Ron Paul fan, apparently.

I read this as RuPaul.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

is rupaul one word? cuz otherwise defacing ron paul signs would be very easy.

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

DIVA-LUTION

jaymc, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

props to mark ruffalo for giving 600 bucks to gravel

even more hateable now

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

tom clancy gave $ to duncan hunter

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

shocker

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I was going to say.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

still funny though

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

kelsey grammar gave money to guiliani.

thats it i'm not watching fraiser reruns anymore unless david hyde pierce gives $ to obama.

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

kelsey grammar gave money to guiliani

another shocker there

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess i hadn't been following his life closely enough to know what his politics were

artdamages, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

to the right of Niles.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

oh awes, just what we needed

http://www.tpmcafe.com/blog/coffeehouse/2008/jan/15/playing_with_fire_smearing_obama_among_jews

gff, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

think adam sandler has contributed to giuliani (plus plugged him in at least two movies).

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0007/16/sun.07.html

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

this shit is ridic

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

ok finally, obama does his high road thing and tries to put this away:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/Obama_putting_out_the_fire.html

then, HRC follows by saying the same thing

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/01/clintons_lets_all_come_togethe.php

meanwhile, charlie rangel is out there calling obama 'stupid' for his role in the MLK/LBJ fracas of the past week

http://thepage.time.com/ny1-release-on-rangel-interview/

yeah, lookin good there

xp whoa

gff, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

"Well, I think you have a family audience so I'd rather not use the exact words, but it is an anti-Semitic slur."

any guesses?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

blintz jockey

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i try not to be too pessimistic about HRC; come november chances are she could be the nominee and i'll have to figure out what i can do to get her up over mccain or romney. but the above sequence of events looks horrible and is horrible. and plenty of real shitbags have gone after O on Hil's behalf. Robert L. Johnson, gimme a break

gff, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

let's ask the racial slur database!

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Hil would say that this is what he can expect in the general

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

if not much worse

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

i try not to be too pessimistic about HRC; come november chances are she could be the nominee and i'll have to figure out what i can do to get her up over mccain or romney.

What's amazing to me, tho, is that in a head-to-head matchup, HRC currently has a bigger lead over McCain than Obama has over McCain (they both lead McCain, ever so slightly). So maybe she'll be fine as the nominee, but I doubt it.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

this is what I'm saying about letting the other side go first. it's entirely possible that Hillary does better against McCain by neutralizing the experience thing, while Obama's youth neutralizes McCain's non-youth. Obama on the other hand appears to do better than Hillary against Huckabee, where the relevant question is likeability.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

(and not being a fucking nutjob)

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

that would be credible if she were thrashing him handily but she isn't. + i'm still convinced that the GOP is going to be much worse against her (and more effectively so) than against BHO, swiftjihadi BS notwithstanding.

xps yeah i saw that poll with HRC having a slightly better edge against mccain, strange

gff, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

which isn't to say that those poll results couldn't easily flip once the campaign begins and people realize how old mccain is or remember how much they don't like hillary

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

but they're worth taking seriously

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

is there a worse "liberal" columnist than richard cohen

obama's minister may have supported farrakhan? in 1982? that's really what you're pushing

such a hack

dmr, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Dukakis led Bush I in polls in summer '88, y'know

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

in 1982?

oh sorry they gave the award last year ... bad reading comprehension

still a hack

dmr, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

another contra argument is that obama has likeability to fall back on. hillary still doesn't match up to mccain on experience - http://www.slate.com/id/2182073/ - and if/when he wins that battle, she's gotta turn to age.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

the idea of hillary winning the nom is, like, crushing

deej, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

another contra argument is that obama has likeability to fall back on. hillary still doesn't match up to mccain on experience - http://www.slate.com/id/2182073/ - and if/when he wins that battle, she's gotta turn to age.

But either Democrat (HRC or Obama) is going to make Iraq the issue in a GE. I don't care how he tried to backpeddal from, or soften, his statement that we should stay in Iraq for 100 years, but coupled with the recent announcement by an Iraqi official (Abdul Qadir) that our presence may be needed through 2018, that sets up a hopefully clear fault line: leave soon or stay long-term.

That's a debate I think/hope we can win.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the idea that all we have to say is McCain = Bush, and suddenly everyone's gonna say 'oh, i did not know that' and they'll all turn out to vote against mccain is at least in part a fantasy

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

What I was hearing on morning chat shows today was.. McCain's problem is the GOP base doesn't like him on: immigration, taxes, and given that immigration is the big issue GOP would try and demagogue to win the election.. and then if enough of the base doesn't turn out b/c of tax issue, probably values issues too, he's no evangelical

daria-g, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

the idea of hillary winning the nom is, like, crushing

Yeah. Might as well hand the White House over to the republicans for the next 8 years now.

Nicole, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

The Dem primaries are harder to win than the general election. GOP's on the wrong side of every issue.

daria-g, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the idea that all we have to say is McCain = Bush, and suddenly everyone's gonna say 'oh, i did not know that' and they'll all turn out to vote against mccain is at least in part a fantasy.

You're right about that. But (a) tying the two can do some damage and (b) we can tie them together on some of this Administration's most unpopular policies, e.g., the endless occupation of Iraq.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Nicole??

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

What I was hearing on morning chat shows today was.. McCain's problem is the GOP base doesn't like him on: immigration, taxes, and given that immigration is the big issue GOP would try and demagogue to win the election.. and then if enough of the base doesn't turn out b/c of tax issue, probably values issues too, he's no evangelical.

Don't bet on this. I spoke to a prominent leader in Florida's evengelical community, and he said he would happily support McCain in a GE (and would campaign for him).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

(Spoke with him yesterday)

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

GOP's on the wrong side of every issue.

and the Dems come mighty close!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

(as do the voters)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

gop, dems, voters - wrong
morbs, dennis perrin - right

dmr, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a small club

dmr, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I spoke to a prominent leader in Florida's evengelical community, and he said he would happily support McCain in a GE (and would campaign for him).

Of course he would. Evangelicals -- like Rupert Murdoch -- just want to run with the big dogs, whoever they are and whatever they believe.

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, there had been discussion in some corners that if a non-evangelical (e.g., McCain) won the GOP nomination, evangelicals would either not vote or support a third-party candidate. Won't happen, tho.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm really annoyed because one of my closest friends sent me an email titled "Don't forget to vote today....for HILLARY!"

I think this is the first primary where I'm not voting. Even if I didn't think HRC was unelectable in a general election, the Michigan primary setup is very flawed, as detailed here:

http://jackshow.blogs.com/jack/2008/01/essay-primary-o.html

Nicole, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Of course he would. Evangelicals -- like Rupert Murdoch the guy in 'There Will Be Blood' -- just want to run with the big dogs, whoever they are and whatever they believe.

-- Tracer Hand, Tuesday, January 15, 2008 6:37 PM (6 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

trumping up this fake immigration "issue" has been nauseating (I'm lookin at YOU Lou Dobbs)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

"well last election it was the fags, this time let's use the beaners"

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont think theres a question huge #s of evangelicals will be voting repub in the next election. the q is how big

deej, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Nader, in da club!

You won't hear a call for a national crackdown on the corporate crime, fraud, and abuse that have robbed trillions of dollars from workers, investors, pension holders, taxpayers and consumers... Candidates will not shout for a payback of ill-gotten gains, to rein in executive pay, or to demand corporate sunshine laws....

The candidates will not demand a reduction in the military budget that devours half the federal government's operating expenditures at a time when there is no Soviet Union or other major state enemy in the world. Studies by the General Accounting Office and internal Pentagon assessments support the judgment of many retired admirals and generals that a wasteful defense weakens our country and distorts priorities at home.

You won't hear a consistent clarion call for electoral reform. Both parties have shamelessly engaged in gerrymandering, a process that guarantees reelection of their candidates at the expense of frustrated voters. Nor will there be serious proposals that millions of law-abiding ex-felons be allowed to vote...

http://counterpunch.org/nader01152008.html

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

you say things that most people don't prioritize won't by prioritized by officials running for elected office? well i am shocked

deej, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

he's right about jerrymandering! only he and hendrik hertzberg seem to care about that one

gff, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

who did you poll, deej?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

what opinion poll ever has ever had gerrymandering trump education, economics or health care?

im not saying that it SHOULDNT, but if thats yr issue then raise awareness about it w/in the electorate - then politicians are forced to talk about it. The idea that a candidate who wants to win should be spending his time talking about issues that half the country prob doesnt even understand (how many u.s. citizens actually know what gerrymandering means?) is ridiculous

deej, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thephoenix.com/OutsideTheFrame/content/binary/060425_Pol_MittRomney_ex.jpg

we ought to double Dr. Morbius

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

dammit

http://thephoenix.com/OutsideTheFrame/content/binary/060425_Pol_MittRomney_ex.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

talk about lowered expecs -- you think Bushgore 2000 spread awareness of the need for electoral reform, deej?

And what about leaders LEADING instead of regurgitating the popular priorities of their constituents? I believe that's touched on in both Profiles in Courage and the Broadway musical 1776...

(Nader deals w/ economics and health care in the C'punch piece.)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I believe that's touched on in both Profiles in Courage and the Broadway musical 1776...

our nation's founding documents

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm surprised Morbs cites a ghostwritten text.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

it was a bestseller, who cares who dun wrote it? (like Raymond Carver's stories)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

GORDON LISH FOR PRESIDNET

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i think what morbs is saying is that america needs a real leader, someone we can all rally behind, a "strong man" if you will...

http://images.ctv.ca/archives/CTVNews/img2/20061228/475_ap_saddam_061228.jpg

hstencil, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2007/08_02/PutinWildAP_468x300.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sure morbs prefers zombie presidents, right?

hstencil, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

but the Zombies were britishes

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.npr.org/politics/politicaljunkie/2007/jan/mcgovern140.jpg

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

The Nevada Supreme Court will decide if tonight’s Democratic debate can proceed without Dennis Kucinich.

I'm surprised MSNBC hasn't booted Edwards...

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently, there's been some very low turnout at the Michigan polls today, and apparently some McCain folks are already trying to downplay its significance. Mittmentum?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 15 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

MITTMENTUM!

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 15 January 2008 22:36 (sixteen years ago) link

marshall has been bringing the mitt roflz all week

gff, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary: "John, who is, as we know, the son of a mill worker..."

WOFFLES

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Putin pic = hilarious deleted scene from Zoolander

milo z, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

at least she didn't say "meal"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

What the hell is going on? Are Obama and Edwards not on the ballot?

The Reverend, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

not in michigan, no

ciderpress, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Ahh, I assume this has to do with the state's early-primary hijinx?

The Reverend, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

So, is it fair to say, at this point, that on the GOP side either there's no frontrunner or it's Romney? Every big contest has been won by a different candidate, and Romney has won 2.

If Huckabee wins S.C. and Fla., where does the GOP race stand? I can't see Huckabee winning it, but maybe. Maybe . . . a brokered convention?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

"well last election it was the fags, this time let's use the beaners"
-- Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, January 15, 2008 6:47 PM (Yesterday)

Why they'd mess with a winning formula now is beyond me.

Eric H., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess plenty of Dem voters were urged to vote for Mitt just to keep him in the raise longer. Actually, I would have done the same thing. Why not throw support behind the guy who can never ever be elected yet will be in there long enough to draw fire from the other two GOP types?

Michigan's open GOP primary is kind of like that; it allowed me and several other thousand registered Democrats to vote for McCain in 2000, helping him to win that state.

kingfish, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

these minor-candidate-free debates are great

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

so did I miss anything besides or I should take gabbneb at face value?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus, we must endure Romney for a little while longer, and The Corner's crowing for lots longer. Mark Levin:

I never thought a president would be impeached in my lifetime, but Clinton was (and should have been). I never thought a president would be elected again without winning the popular vote, but Bush was (and legitimately so). I never thought the continental United States could be struck as it was on September 11, 2001. I have to say — at least at this point — that I don't believe it is impossible for the Republican nomination to be settled at the convention. I'm not saying it will, but it can't be completely ruled out.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Sullivan quotes this letter:

(1) Romney's supporters consist overwhelmingly of the Republicans who still like Bush (as, to a lesser extent, do Huckabee's). McCain and (of course) Paul draw their vote from the Republicans and Independents who don't like him.

(2) The exit poll of that weird race on the Democratic side indicates that ultimately Hillary will beat Uncommitted by only about 13 points -- her 2 to 1 current lead is simply because the returns from Detroit are always the last to come in, and blacks are overwhelmingly voting Uncommitted because they're not allowed to vote for Obama. (The exit poll also indicates that, if Obama had gotten on the ballot, Hillary would have beaten him about 45-37, with Edwards getting 12%.) But poor people in general definitely prefer Hillary, as they did in Iowa and New Hampshire -- which means that poor Democratic whites must be going for her overwhelmingly.

So the odds are rapidly growing that the Democrats will end up getting entangled in a really vicious racial fight for the nomination -- blacks and well-off reformers overwhelmingly for Obama, poor and lower-middle class whites overwhelmingly for Hillary -- with serious repercussions for November.

(3) Indeed, the main message of this latest fight is that things may end up changing politically in this country a lot less than commentators have been saying. We may very well end up seeing a Romney vs. Hillary race, despite the unpopularity of both among the American people as a whole, simply because the majority of Republicans still like Bush and therefore like Romney, while the majority of Democrats still like Bill Clinton and so like Hillary -- with the majority of Americans in the middle of the spectrum getting shut out of the process completely, as they usually do. And we may also end up seeing a revival of the brutal racial split between white and black Democrats that people were beginning to think was finally buried. Plus ca change...

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary: "John, who is, as we know, the son of a mill worker..."

awesome

daria-g, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

from the Times today...

Ms. Ramsey, 59, is supporting Senator Barack Obama of Illinois. She likes him, she said, but she is also tired of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York and her husband, Bill Clinton, the former President. "Hillary and Bill, we've done that," Ms. Ramsey said."

wotta sexist

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

alfred's post is :(

deej, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

We're going to be hearing pretty soon about the genius of the Rudy strategy--hoping that the early contests will produce no clear front runner, waiting for moderate, delegate-rich states to vote.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 12:09 (sixteen years ago) link

70% of African-Americans in Michigan voted for uncommitted over Hillary Clinton. Not a good sign for her.

Hatch, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 13:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Brad Delong compares the stimulus approaches - http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2008/01/economic-stimul.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:24 (sixteen years ago) link

We're going to be hearing pretty soon about the genius of the Rudy strategy--hoping that the early contests will produce no clear front runner, waiting for moderate, delegate-rich states to vote.

It's certainly true that you couldn't have set it up for Giuliani any better: No single frontrunner emerging and a dire need for an establishment-backed, delagate rich alternative to Mike Huckabee.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Rudy is over. They have John McCain now.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

(and Huckabee. and Romney. etc.)

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

You're probably right about Giuliani, Gabb. I'm just saying that this is probably what he would have hoped for, short of him doing very well in early states where he basically conceeded the contest and didn't campaign. It's just not a very good strategy.

blacks and well-off reformers overwhelmingly for Obama, poor and lower-middle class whites overwhelmingly for Hillary

This is true. I've begun to see Obama as a "Bill Bradley plus" candidate, basically as outlined above. Like Bradley, he has the highly-educated, high-information voter (cutting across racial lines), but perhaps unlike Bradley, he can also draw a significant block of African-American voters who don't already fall into the "Bradley constituency."

But (a) the key may be Hispanic voters who aren't already in the "Bradley constituency," (b) seeing Obama this way makes him look less like a transformative figure and more like a candidate that pops up in every Presidential cycle, with traditionally limited appeal and (c) it highlights a criticism of Obama that I liked to upthread (that, for any number of reasons, he doesn't tap into the outrage of the Democratic base as well as, say, HRC or Edwards).

Depressing, since I have such high hopes for Obama. If Obama wins the next two contests, tho, he can regain that momentum moving into Super Tuesday. But I see that HRC's national support has recently neared 50% of Democrats again, which means Obama probably has a hard road to travel.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

yea, if obama doesn't get SC or nevada, i think he's pretty much done - not that he doesn't have a strong chance of winning those states, though. it does sadden me though that HRC is probably going to be the nominee.

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I think that's true. He's sort of a "movement" candidate, and he needs to ride that wave. But I think he has a very good shot at winning both contests.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

are you guys talking about what they call "common wisdom"?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean what a bullshit phrase and oxymoron to boot.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/08-US-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Stop hurting America, Tucker.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Zogby: Clinton and Obama tied nationally; Obama leads in Clinton's age demo

http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSN1554681020080116

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sorry if this was already done but it's too funny

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKsoXHYICqU

Surmounter, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:06 (sixteen years ago) link

being that ppl actually pay attention to like current events, y'all have probably seen it like 20 times, but it just made my mornin ; )

Surmounter, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary: "John, who is, as we know, the son of a mill worker..."

Admittedly, not bad for a race-baiting, change-agent elitist c*nt who just found her voice.

Except I'm not sure she was consciously trying to be funny.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

You then, must see the continuing saga of Obama Girl.

She rocks.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

yes i just saw that, how funny!!

Surmounter, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

wait, guyz, this is too funny! you hafta see this! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDwODbl3muE&feature=related

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

was that Tracy Flick/Hillary video from slate posted upthread? (i can't be "arsed" to look) pretty obvious but i lolled.

gershy, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

For Elmo: The Adventures of Conventional Wisdom Man.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

haha: http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/15/mccain-campaign-responds-to-mailing-in-sc/

“Today, a shadowy political organization calling itself ‘Vietnam Veterans Against McCain’ launched a vicious attack on John McCain in an attempt to impugn his character in the closing days of the South Carolina Republican Primary,” Orson Swindle, who was a fellow prisoner of war in Vietnam with Mr. McCain, said in a statement put out by the campaign. “The group claims that John McCain turned his back on his fellow POWs in order to save his own skin.”

There's something just so hilariously lazy about some of these jerk-offs thinking, "well, hell, it worked last time, let's do it again"

kingfish, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

"Orson Swindle"

gershy, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:40 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG. Jim Pinkerton, new advisor to Mike Huckabee, on how he (and, presumably, Huckabee) would deal with American Muslims.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Orson Swindle sounds like a failed porn name.

Nicole, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.vietnamveteransagainstjohnmccain.com/cin_wasmccainbrainswashed.htm

gff, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.madore.org/~david/images/cards/english/queen-diamonds.png

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

He looks like the grinch.

Nicole, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://churche.home.mindspring.com/tb/irish.jpg

gabbneb, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

oh my wau

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 16 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://nymag.com/arts/theater/features/42753/

yes, that's exactly what she said

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 14:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sure she was just tired and babbling tho

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Mamet: if there were the two candidates, McCain and Obama, either of them would probably make a hell of a president... But I’m not the guy to ask about politics.

well, obviously.

great from Colbert last night after MSNBC Hil montage-

HILLARY '08: What Barack Said

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 17 January 2008 14:54 (sixteen years ago) link

shocker that mamet doesn't like the girl

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

mamet on just about anything but dramatic theory and practice = sucks (including his actual directing)

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 17 January 2008 15:37 (sixteen years ago) link

You also directed a Ford commercial. Why?
I did it for the money. Why do you think I did it?

and what, Thursday, 17 January 2008 15:56 (sixteen years ago) link

all my favorite people are endorsing my favorite candidate

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/01/leahy_for_obama.html

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.mediainfo.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003697586

Hilarity ensues.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

it's better with the visual aid

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/jan/17/joke-leaves-em-gasping/

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(Haven't been able to get that site to load.)

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf I don't get how that's an "inappropriate" joke at all

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

shakey are you serious

gff, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I dunno, maybe. depends on who said it and how it was said, I guess.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

he's just the first guy to get called out for a joke everyone's already thought of but then decided not to tell because it's a dumb, unfunny joke.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

everyone, huh

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

yes. even george clinton.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 17 January 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

but feel free to interpret my offhand remark through the narrow lens of dull literalism if you wish.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 17 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 17 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards made his bed - http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/064006.php

gabbneb, Thursday, 17 January 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Rielle-ty bites.

Nicole, Thursday, 17 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

judge tosses whiny vegas lawsuit, Bill gets testy about it, and Leahy pimps Obama. This might be enough Omentum to push him through NV and SC.

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 18 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

YesYesYes -- Huckabee Pulls Even With McCain in South Carolina

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 18 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Best primary season ever.

Sparkle Motion, Friday, 18 January 2008 06:04 (sixteen years ago) link

This is a fun one.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 18 January 2008 14:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Feingold on Edwards. Pretty much sums up the reasons I can't understand anyone wasting their time/money/vote on him:

Voted for the Patriot Act, campaigns against it. Voted for No Child Left Behind, campaigns against it. Voted for the China trade deal, campaigns against it. Voted for the Iraq war... he uses my voting record exactly as his platform, even though he had the opposite voting record.

Hatch, Friday, 18 January 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2008/01/carl_bernstein_weve_got_the_hi.html

gabbneb, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: cuz he might've changed, and might be able to beat McCain.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

are you calling him electable?

gabbneb, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards v. Romney might be fun. Who will flip-flop fastest? Who will pander most? Who has better hair?

Sadly, won't happen.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 18 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

half of the electorate thinks he's a big phony (edwards I mean)

dmr, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

They don't know him like we do.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 18 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

half hate Rodham's guts, so he's at least even there.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill's outburst about the lawsuit = classic Clinton sliminess

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

so someone posted a week or 2 ago that McCain wd be toast in November because he's so wrong on the "#1 issue," Iraq. Well, it's almost universally agreed now that the economy is #1 -- maybe because everyone realizes that NO ONE in this cluster of losers is getting us out by 2013 -- and, if David Brooks ain't lying, McC carried voters who disagree with him on the war in NH and Michigan, and lost Repubs who agree with him. Be afraid.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:44 (sixteen years ago) link

nah I always figured McCain would be toast because Republicans in general don't like him. Which is reflected in the polls and in the primary voting patterns.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 18 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

The rules that constrain other men,
mean nothing to McCain.
The punches that bring pain to other men,
mean nothing to McCain.
McCain!
McCain!
McCain!

President Keyes, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

CW would have it that rise of economy as issue translates to increased support for Romney

gabbneb, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

rather than the guy who recently said he doesn't know much about economics

gabbneb, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I always figured McCain would be toast because Republicans in general don't like him. Which is reflected in the polls and in the primary voting patterns.

From your lips to GOP primary voters' ears.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 18 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews is sorry he's such an asshole

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

...being careful not to say "I'm sorry" or "I apologize."

Rock Hardy, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

exactly

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I really hate him and he may not be wrong at all this time

Dr Morbius, Friday, 18 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf comments

"Hillary Rodham...Smith.... would not be elected to anything. She is just not that good of a politician on her own. This is not taking into account her marxist-neoconservative ideology for a moment which certainly would not help either."

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 18 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

marxist neoconservative?

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 18 January 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Irving Kristol?

mulla atari, Friday, 18 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Allan Bloom?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 18 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

you can figure this one out shakey

gabbneb, Friday, 18 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards staying in the race helps Obama. Anti-CW, I suppose, but it's true.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 19 January 2008 04:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Anti-CW, I suppose, but it's true.

i'd take exception to both poles of that sentence, potentially. i think the CW is that no one knows where edwards supporters go, and that it's right. sure, he could be spoiling hillary's great white victory party in the South. but is an obama nomination conditioned upon his winning a couple of red state primaries via the black vote (an argument that echoes with the new hillary campaign line that obama is the 'black candidate' a la jesse and al before him rather than the consensus political star like her hubby that he appeared to be after iowa) rather than the big pieces in the delegate pie? i don't think so. maybe a few people in NY and CA and IL are for Edwards because he's the conservative-seeming union man, but those folks tend to go with the party standard-bearer and have already realized who's the loser and who's the winner in that race this time around, and thus I think they've already realigned to Hillary as reflected in polls. to the extent people in those states are still sticking with edwards at this point, though, i think there's a decent chance it's for ideological reasons - they're for the angrier leftmost dude. which isn't to say they'd realign automatically to obama. a fair number of people on the left seem to distrust him on ideological or attitudinal or even constitutional (not the document) grounds (david brooks in the times today mentioned people who reject candidates because they remind them of someone they didn't like in high school). and hillary might pick off some of them with her aura-of-inevitability pivoting towards attacking bush more vocally, and her hillary=change and no-difference-on-iraq neutralizing. but i don't think you can just assume that she would win a majority of his supporters.

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i think there are a fair number of people who are for edwards because of his hair because he's a compromise in a sense between the other two - he talks left and is demographically right, he's young but not that young, he's not 'of washington', but he's not 'inexperienced' either, he's not old news like hillary, but is less of a 'risk' than obama. if he's gone, these people could resign themselves to hillary, or take a chance on obama, and i wouldn't want to call which one. or maybe i'm naive, and these democrats just like white people.

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 05:15 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, Obama wants to be a game-changing map-changer like Reagan who turned a whole generation/demographic onto his party by personality alone, he must be a secret neocon wingnut, amirite?

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah that reaction was lols, but still kind of expected. like positively invoking reagan IN ANY WAY wasn't gonna provoke the kneejerks. It's also smacks of more obama seed-planting for the GE before the primary's over.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 19 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"is you is or is you ain't my constituency?"

msp, Saturday, 19 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

romney won nevada. haha!

akm, Saturday, 19 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

no surprise there - it's a caucus and they've got a coupla mormons out there. the real questions here are 1) can huckabee beat mccain in SC or come close, and 2) what happens in FL. if McCain's stll in solid 1st going into 2/5, this thing's over. if Huck or Romney are still threatening, we could be in it for the long haul. if romney manages to win FL, there's a chance momentum would swing enough mccain people his way that he could come out king on super tuesday, but that might be a stretch.

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Rudy to be strong in FL and Thompson to make a good showing in SC so that nobody drops out and the GOP race stays crazy wide open for weeks

dmr, Saturday, 19 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

huckabee beat mccain in SC

S.C. is huge for McCain. He's never won a closed-primary of GOP voters, I don't think, so a win here today would give him huge momentum on Super Tuesday. So GO HUCKABEE.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 19 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I want Rudy to be strong in FL and Thompson to make a good showing in SC so that nobody drops out and the GOP race stays crazy wide open for weeks

-- dmr, Saturday, 19 January 2008 19:10 (37 minutes ago) Link

seconded

artdamages, Saturday, 19 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit NV caucuses getting crazy

gr8080, Saturday, 19 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

The Guiliani "At Least We Beat Duncan Hunter" Express chugs along.

mulla atari, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN calling NV for Clinton

gr8080, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN projecting small Hillary win in Nevada. Obama takes the rural counties where no one lives.

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Boo.

Johnny Fever, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Who won the radioactive mutant vote in the nuclear testing counties?

mulla atari, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

kucinich duh

J0rdan S., Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

so what does this mean for obama? does his whole candidacy come down to sc?

J0rdan S., Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

no its still up in the air till super tues, rite?

gr8080, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

idk :/

J0rdan S., Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

If Obama loses SC he's just gonna keep losing.

mulla atari, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Does Thompson drop out if comes in 3rd in SC, or hang on pathetically til Super Tues.

mulla atari, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

am i wrong or does it feel like obama's outlook has taken a dramatic turn for the worse since new hampshire? would a well-timed pre-super tuesday dropout from edwards be enough to reverse the tides?

^@^, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah it might. edwards being in it just helps Hilary at this point.

gr8080, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

If Obama loses SC he's just gonna keep losing.

pretty much agree w/ this, without some sort of concrete momentum shift he can't compete on 2/5

dmr, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

am i wrong or does it feel like obama's outlook has taken a dramatic turn for the worse since new hampshire? would a well-timed pre-super tuesday dropout from edwards be enough to reverse the tides?

Yes, Obama's lost a lot of pizzaz since N.H. However, his strong showing in Iowa and N.H. convinced many African-Americans that he can win, so that migth help in in S.Ca. and beyond. But if he doesn't win S.Ca., it's going to be a very -- very -- uphill battle for him. It probably already is.

And it's debatable who Edwards' continued candidacy hurts the most: Obama or Clinton. See linked article above.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck i didn't realize that edwards only has about 5%. its not exactly like he hasn't been paying attention to NV either, iirc, so what happpens now? is this deflating enough for him to consider an early exit?

xpost

^@^, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess what i'm asking is, if these results hold true, is edwards still on pace to pull in enough delegates to play kingmaker somewhere down the road or does this loss change the big picture for him?

^@^, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

fucking NV

obama's been v. anti-casino in IL so i'm kind of not surprised

deej, Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess what i'm asking is, if these results hold true, is edwards still on pace to pull in enough delegates to play kingmaker somewhere down the road or does this loss change the big picture for him?

Edwards' delegates won't mean anything unless Obama turns things around (starting with S.Ca.).

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 19 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

is this deflating enough for him to consider an early exit?

apparently not, they're saying they're in till the end

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/edwards_on_nevada_loss_im_in_this_until_the_end_for_the_sake_of_middle_class.php

dmr, Saturday, 19 January 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, delegates or not, his goal is to stick around as long as possible and make himself a pain in the ass to try to leverage what support/influence he has into a job issue promises from the winner

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 23:53 (sixteen years ago) link

btw, why is bill bennett on my television? is there some sort of welfare program for disgraced neocons going on?

gabbneb, Saturday, 19 January 2008 23:54 (sixteen years ago) link

why is bill bennett on my television?

He was probably hanging out in Vegas this weekend anyway.

mulla atari, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:03 (sixteen years ago) link

he already stole the joke from us, the fat fuck

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ mitt's entrance music in vegas - "a little less conversation." you know, from Ocean's Eleven.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder if Ron Paul coming in 2nd will cause pundits to write off Nevada as an aberrant state.

mulla atari, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

are we really going to get stuck with clinton? it seems so wrong

jergïns, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder if Ron Paul coming in 2nd will cause pundits to write off Nevada as an aberrant state.

i don't think anyone's surprised that a state with a lot of rural western wackos would throw a little extra ron paul's way

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Does Nevada have a big Mormon population, being next to Utah and all?

mulla atari, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Delegate-wise, the only thing that's putting Clinton far ahead of Obama is superdelegates. Otherwise, they're neck and neck. Unfortunately, the actual delegate counts haven't mattered in years.

jaymc, Sunday, 20 January 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd actually feel bad for Giuliani were it not for the fact that if elected he'd destroy the world.

mulla atari, Sunday, 20 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

It has a fair amount of Mormons (there is a temple in Las Vegas), and Harry Reid is Mormon. So.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Wapo, say that there is a large mormon population in Nevada and they went 90% for Romney.

xpost

Ed, Sunday, 20 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Srsly the suburbs of the suburbs of Vegas are like all Mormon.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain just picked up another state. On one hand, THANK GOD HUCKABEE DIDNT WIN ANOTHER. But on the other, McCain is a threat in the general.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 20 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

obama absolutely has to win south carolina now, but i'm getting a feeling that hrc will end up swamping him superduper tuesday regardless. fuk u, democratic sheep.

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama got more delegates in Nevada today somehow.

Pleasant Plains, Sunday, 20 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, weird proportional deal, but news story is HILLARY WINS so it barely matters

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

DUNCAN HUNTER RIP

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

heaven needed a dude who did really badly at things

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Farewell, goofy San Diego dude. You were all too typical.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 20 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Clintons (allegedly) bringing the SUBTLE "Barack HUSSEIN Obama" robocalls! Yeah, i'll be voting for them lol

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 05:09 (sixteen years ago) link

You think that "allegedly" is strong enough to link it to them?

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

are we really going to get stuck with clinton? it seems so wrong

oh come on. there's something to the "i don't understand the american mind, otherwise how the fuck did W win twice" school of thought. but even if you are an obama supporter, can't you at least get excited that dems are actually turning up to vote? one of the things that is most frustrating to me about these primaries is that a lot of the people that support obama are so violently anti-hillary that i actually suspect they'll just drop out of the process sometime between now and november. and that doesn't say strong political convictions to me. maybe i'm wrong, and i really hope i am. but i know that if he gets the nomination, i'll vote for him wherever i'm living, no sour grapes. i hope that everyone on this thread can say that for their respective party (i'm sure there's a lurking republican somewhere)

also, from what i've seen, the omaba "we got more delegates" thing is actually wrong, according to the nevada democratic party. not sure where the confusion is, and i'm not obsessively following on blogs so maybe this was altered while i was at dinner, but just wanted to get that out there as it was the last definitive thing i saw on the subject in mainstream media (NYT)

colette, Sunday, 20 January 2008 05:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not so much anti-Hillary herself as I'm anti the way the Clintons and their entourage go about things. I won't drop out, though. I'll just hold my nose and vote for her like I did John Kerry, like I did with Al Gore.

I actually voted Dole in 1996, but that's before I was actually paying attention to ANYTHING that wasn't music or girls.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 20 January 2008 05:50 (sixteen years ago) link

2 things, colette

from nyt
"LAS VEGAS — Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton won the vote in the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday, giving her a second consecutive victory in what is shaping up as a protracted battle with Senator Barack Obama.
Clinton scored a clear victory measured in the number of people attending the caucuses on her behalf. But Mr. Obama’s campaign was successful by another measure — in the allocation of delegates to the national nominating convention, a result of a complex formula that gave more weight to votes in some parts of the state."

also, i think the obama campaign is attracting a large number of independents, disaffected ex-dems and new voters/students. these people have no strong party loyalty. i think the "average" hillary supporter is very much a party regular who almost certainly will vote for the person who gets the nom. this is why hillary will (i'm beginning to think) win the nomination, but won't necessarily be the most electable candidate.

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:02 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck this, i'm anti-hillary and have been since well before most folks saw obama as a viable candidate

RIP Molly Ivins

deej, Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:02 (sixteen years ago) link

^ahead of his time

J0rdan S., Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm anti-hillary to an extent, but i couldn't imagine myself not voting dem

J0rdan S., Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

this is why hillary will (i'm beginning to think) win the nomination, but won't necessarily be the most electable candidate.

-- gershy, Sunday, January 20, 2008 12:02 AM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

not only do polls show this, but evil genius rove has been saying forever now that republicans should be rooting for hillary to win the nom because she is easily the most beatable

J0rdan S., Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:07 (sixteen years ago) link

i agree, if you consider yourself a member of the democratic party, you should support the candidate who wins a fair & open primary system. however, more & more people don't think like that these days.
xpost in there somewhere

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:10 (sixteen years ago) link

why should I support a candidate who: 1. I didn't vote for 2. who's policies/platforms I don't agree with? Out of blind loyalty to some "party"? I mean, I'll most likely vote for Hilary if Obama doesn't get the nom (though I still think/hope he will), but the idea that I "should support the candidate" whoever it is is absurd - I've never understood people who vote by party instead of by candidate. This is going to be my first election, so I'm really excited and I hope Obama can pull through...

Anyway, what are the odds of Edwards dropping out after SC? He really needs to, polls show that majority of his supporters would flock to Obama if he were to drop out. Hopefully Edwards' ego doesn't cost Obama the nom...

The Brainwasher, Sunday, 20 January 2008 06:46 (sixteen years ago) link

In the meantime, WUV:

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/photo/homepage/hp1-19-08v.jpg

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 20 January 2008 07:35 (sixteen years ago) link

guys i have this distinct sinking feeling.

with hrc looking more and more likely for the nom, and mccain getting mcmentum or whatever, i don't think the dems are so unbeatable anymore.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^ This (I hardly thought we were "unbeatable" before, but with McCain as the nominee, I think he's the heavy favorite, even given current polls).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

To be fair I was reading lots of Andrew Sullivan's "omg dems = juggernauts they would be SOOO stewpid to fuck this up" throughout most of last fall, but I probably should have taken Andrew fucking Sullivan with a grain of salt.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

No, he's a sharp commentator, and seems to be v. intellectually honest for a right-of-center pundit. A lot of people have been misjudging the Democrats chances for victory. But an HRC v. McCain matchup make our chances far worse.

Bonus horrible thought: Joe Lieberman finally gets to be VP!

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 15:08 (sixteen years ago) link

lol noes

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 15:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not as concerned about McCain as I used to be. most of the GOP base doesn't like him! they're pissed because he's against torturing people among other things. and the Dems win on every issue. the one thing GOP was going to demagogue to swing the election - I thought - is immigration, and McCain's not an anti-immigration zealot like the rest of them, so.. no way. I actually think Mitt might be a pretty tough opponent. Dems still highly likely to win it.

I still don't get why some folks think Hillary is so bad. The Obama campaign.. well.. they do attract a lot of comparatively wealthier voters who can afford to base their vote on nebulous ideals instead of stuff like health care, jobs and education. AFAIK the exit polls in primaries are showing the vote splitting among class lines (exception being African-Americans mostly for Obama, Latinos mostly for HRC).

daria-g, Sunday, 20 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Plus any candidate who professes to admire Reagan really disturbs me

daria-g, Sunday, 20 January 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

You're missing the point with McCain, Daria. A lot of the GOP base doesn't like him, so he's vulnerable in the primaries. But he peels off lots of independents, and moderate Democratic votes, in a GE.

His problem was always getting past the primary and into the GE. If he gets there, he'll be formidable. I'll take Romney or Huckabee (or even Giuliani, to some extent) as a GE opponent. But I didn't want McCain, and frankly, I especially don't want him against HRC. But whatevs.; it is what it is.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, the only reason to like Obama is because you're rich! No other reason is possible!

Hilary had a lot of awful votes in the Senate, and sure, Obama, simply wasn't there for a lot of them, but some things are just unforgivable (hello iraq war, patriot act, etc.).

But, yeah, the Reagan thing is mystifying and depressing.

x-post

askance johnson, Sunday, 20 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Have you actually seen the Reagan video? He wasn't talking about how much he admired him, he was waxing professorial about the strategies Reagan used to win the election and change the electoral map while implying that he can do the same thing, sewing seeds (as someone mentioned upthread) for the GE to give him even more center appeal.

This whole "OBAMA <3's REAGAN" meme is serious talking point bullshit.

en i see kay, Sunday, 20 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I've never understood people who vote by party instead of by candidate

i've never understood people who when given a choice between somebody like mccain vs somebody like hillary would choose to abdicate their vote

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Plus any candidate who professes to admire Reagan really disturbs me

LOL PWNED - http://zennie2005.blogspot.com/2008/01/hillary-clintons-lists-ronald-reagan-as.html

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

they do attract a lot of comparatively wealthier voters who can afford to base their vote on nebulous ideals instead of stuff like health care, jobs and education.

Plus any candidate who professes to admire Reagan really disturbs me

with all due respect, you are truly lost if you buy into these talking points

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Bonus horrible thought: Joe Lieberman finally gets to be VP!

if McCain wins the nom, it's in no small part because he's reminded people that he hated the gays and the baby-killers, at least on paper, for much longer than Mitt Romney has. he's not gonna pick a veep who erases that goodwill, notwithstanding a Gore-style reinforcement pick and/or Rove's dream of winning over teh jewz. given his age and position, and especially if he's running against Obama, he's more likely to go with someone outside Washington who looks like a poster person for the sorts of young MOR suburbanite families who decide national elections - someone like ("like") Tim Pawlenty, his earliest adopter, who won reelect in a close contest in '06. Eleanor Clift suggested today ("today") that Pawlenty could be the Veep no matter who gets the nom. and recall where the GOP convention will take place.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

this thread is actually more depressing than the apocalypse one.

GOTT PUNCH II HAWKWINDZ, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I still don't get why some folks think Hillary is so bad.

-- daria-g, Wednesday, November 5, 2008 11:36 AM (Wednesday, November 5, 2008 11:36 AM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah ive been scared about mccain/pawlenty for some time now. pawlently is our version of huckabee.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

the "omg he said he liked reagan" bullshit is so naked in its dishonesty and desperation. read the fucking quote.

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

by the by, i tend to think of people who choose not to vote -- supposedly after wrestling with their deep, complex consciences -- as megalomaniacal narcissists who imagine that contenders for the most powerful office in the entire world will somehow resemble them

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

except when those people decide to vote for third party candidates, they're still "megalomaniacal narcissists who imagine that contenders for the most powerful office in the entire world will somehow resemble them" - amirite??

gershy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

ding ding ding ding ding

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

he Obama campaign.. well.. they do attract a lot of comparatively wealthier voters who can afford to base their vote on nebulous ideals instead of stuff like health care, jobs and education.

get in line like the proles, uppity Obama voters! i guess wealth explains why Obama beats Hillary among independents, men, 30-44s, small town/rural voters, blacks and college graduates.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

but tracer what about the people who do vote that think they have had a hand in choosing the contenders for the most powerful office in the world?

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

you are assuming nonvoters take elections seriously

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

er what about them art? certainly everyone who does vote, and everyone who doesn't vote, has a hand, either directly or indirectly, in choosing the person who will occupy the presidency

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

has a hand

http://www.ronpaulkc.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/rt_romney_support_070805_ssh.jpg

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

er what about them art? certainly everyone who does vote, and everyone who doesn't vote, has a hand, either directly or indirectly, in choosing the person who will occupy the presidency

-- Tracer Hand, Sunday, January 20, 2008 5:30 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

yep.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

hey man i just don't like to be called a megalomaniacal narcissist.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

im no more a narcissist than anyone else.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

OR im as much of a narcissist as everyone else

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

do you want to keep talking about yourself?

BleepBot, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, thanks for asking.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of Reagan, a perfectly obvious article on why He Still Matters.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't it more about how he doesnt?

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

from Carl Bernstein's Hillary book:

Hillary's time at Wellesley was not made easier by whatever tendency toward depression she had either inherited or developed-a tendency that surfaced again in the White House. Periodically at Wellesley she fell into debilitating, self-doubting funks. During the early weeks of her freshman semester, she was so deflated that she called home and confessed failure and an inability to cope. She had never been away from home-even for a weekend-on her own before. She missed the comfortable precincts of Park Ridge, and insisted she was incapable of adjusting to the Wellesley milieu. Whatever her anger at her father, she briefly seemed to miss him. He said she could come back to Illinois, but Dorothy said she didn't want her daughter to be a quitter. Her mother prevailed.

After Hillary decided to stay at Wellesley, she seemed to regain some of her old confidence and began making friends who would figure in the rest of her life. But even as she steadied her footing, there were stumbles and persistent signs of melancholy. In the winter of 1967, her junior year, she again experienced what she described in a letter as her recurring "February depression." Despite earning As, dating a Harvard man regarded as a good catch, and working off-campus with disadvantaged children (including a seven-year-old Negro girl she tutored and had formed a close bond with), she sometimes overslept, nodded off in her classes, and became concerned that her teachers regarded her as a washout. "Why am I so afraid?" she wrote to her high school friend John Peavoy. "Or why am I not afraid? Am I really not unique after all? Will I have a cliched life? Is life merely absurd?" (Hillary now sounded like a character in The Catcher in the Rye.) She now called herself an "agnostic intellectual liberal" and an "emotional conservative."

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

that explains so much

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

She is such a bore.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

she now described herself as an "agnostic intellectual liberal" and an "emotional conservative."

lol @ college students

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

totes

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

what's wrong with hillary?

she's divisive enough to bring out the whole ant hill to save the conservative colony in the election.

she's divisive enough to basically not get any done when she's in office. she would be seen as bush has been seen to liberals. she can do no right. villified. trampled. causing no reconciliation to our country which needs some reconciliation so we can move forward.

and worse: despite all that, she's pretty dang conservative. so it's not like the liberal agenda gets much play regardless. iraq = dud. she's pro big business so any healthcare solution she's got is a joke. etc etc. like her anti-video game stances... it just shows that when it comes to things she doesn't understand, she's willing to call it bad instead of being open-minded.

eh, i'm full of shit. if it's hillary vs. mccain i've gotta laff cause i'd almost rather vote for mccain. again, like kerry, if this is the shit that rises to the top, we deserve it. it's a shame too cause we need more ladies in the mix. is this the best we can do?

m.

msp, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Rudy's campaigning in FL w/ Judi and Doody http://www.patriotsandpolitics.com/mccollumpic.jpg

also, Jon Voight, wtf

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

kerry would have been a fine President, and is a worse campaigner/less average-American-seeming than Hillary. but he also didn't start with her negatives.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

just about everyone running this time has better political skills than those running last time

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

kerry's probably instinctually more liberal than hillary too

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain i'd almost rather vote for mccain

No no no no no.

HRC is, in some ways, the worst of both worlds in terms of a candidate: She is perceived to be a liberal (bad for a GE) when, in fact, she's far more conservative than her Democratic competitors (bad for governing philosophy).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think she's far more conservative than her competitors

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Sully citesDavid Brooks on HRC: The White House thinks she's the best qualified to continue their legacy.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

this is all rorschach to some extent. i think it's possible that edwards talks further left than he is while both hillary and obama talk further right than they are (tho right now hillary may be talking both further right and further left than she is, lol). maybe she's in actuality the furthest right, maybe not, but ultimately i don't think there are massive differences between the three.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Consider her foreign policy advisory team versus Obama's. If that's an indication of her likely governing philosophy, she's (possibly far) more conservative and hawkish than Obama.

(Articles linked upthread or on the prior thread).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton may be a bit more conservative on foreign policy, but to be fair, isn't Obama's healthcare proposal a bit more conservative than hers? Krugman at least seems to think so.

o. nate, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe. But Krugman has an unhealthy hatred for Obama.

Why is that, by the way? Was he snubbed by the Obama campaign?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's campaign at one point came after him for something he put in a column and he's been all over them ever since.

once again, the difference between the candidates' plans are based on different theories of which approach covers the most people, and the actual on-the-ground differences between them remain to be seen based upon questions they have yet to answer (but that can preliminarily be subject to some supposition).

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Whatever Krugman's reasons are for disliking Obama, it would be lazy not to evaluate the substance of his claims. And from what I've seen, his criticisms are not necessarily easy to dismiss out of hand.

o. nate, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I wasn't dismissing them out-of-hand. I was making a different point.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I've been meaning to read-up more on the various health care proposals and the philosophies behind them. Any recommendations on where to start, in that regard, would be welcome.

(I've been reading Krugman's blog posts on the subject, tho not his NYT columns (I just fell out of the habit of reading the NYT Op-Ed page once the paywall was put up, and haven't been terribly interested in starting again now that they've torn the wall down)).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Friday's NYT ran a chart of the Dem and GOP candidates' various plans.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Thx.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

the trumpeted 'difference' between the plans largely refers to whether they would initially impose a mandate requiring the purchase of coverage - edwards and clinton impose one, while Obama imposes one only for children, relying on cost-cutting efforts to encourage adults to purchase coverage. often unmentioned is that edwards and clinton have not said what they would do to enforce the mandate, while obama has signaled willingness to impose a mandate down the road if cost-cutting doesn't do the trick. and none of these plans rhetorically address (tho edwards often alludes to it) the problem of under-insurance.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

so maybe the slight differences between the plans reflect serious ideological differences among the candidates, or maybe, you know, they're all basically the same plan with minor variations designed for rhetorical or political purposes.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

This recent column by David Leonhardt seems fairly evenhanded. He prefers Obama's approach to savings incentives and his tax policy, but he prefers the healthcare mandate approach of Edwards and Clinton to Obama's plan. If the mandate really is a better and more progressive policy, but Obama is leaving it out for "rhetorical and political purposes" then who's the triangulator here?

o. nate, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary and obama essentially split the House co-sponsors of the single-payer bill. conyers, who introduced it, has endorsed obama. remember where kucinich, a vocal single-payer advocate, threw his support in iowa. but i guess these guys are just rubes, right?

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

some more triangulators who've endorsed Obama:

Dick Durbin (National Journal #1 liberal rating in the Senate)
Pat Leahy (National Journal #4 liberal rating in the Senate)
Diane Watson (National Journal #1 liberal rating in the House)
George Miller (National Journal #2 liberal rating in the House)
Barbara Lee (National Journal #6 liberal rating in the House)

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

but lol, he's a Reagan-lover

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sure there's plenty of reasons that a proponent of single-payer could choose to get behind either Obama or Clinton - I'm not claiming their proposals are that far apart. At this point, the proposals are just that - and the finished product that comes through Congress (if it does) would no doubt look quite different than any of the proposals at this point. I'm just saying that those looking for evidence that Clinton is "far more conservative" than Obama on matters of domestic policy need to work a bit harder. And some informed observers have actually found the opposite.

o. nate, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i agree that she's not far more conservative, as noted upthread. i refuse to agree that she's more liberal just because one arguably over-literal economist disproportionately attacks obama after obama took him on and failed to yell about bush enough for his taste.

gabbneb, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

The truth is that they are probably pretty close on the conservative-liberal spectrum. I wouldn't say she's more liberal than Obama just because Krugman said so. He does point to specifics though in making his claim. And if the specifics may not be as conclusive as he might hope, they do perhaps make the case that the differences between them are slight.

o. nate, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

saw an obama speech where he said he'd give everyone a seat at a table, doctors, nurses, even insurance and pharmaceutical companies (but they could buy all the chairs cue laughter and applause). he'd lay out his plan and ask for their input. and he'd air this on cspan.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i hope he uses that on hilary during a debate.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(but they couldN'T buy all the chairs cue laughter and applause)

i really need to reread my posts before pressing submit.

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i fear reagan is now permanently lodged in the “great president” category, to the point where it's really no surprise to see democratic presidential candidates pander to those who remember him fondly

J.D., Sunday, 20 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

similar with thatcher here in the UK (cf Blair in 96/7?)...

stevie, Sunday, 20 January 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.slate.com/id/2101842/

yeah, too bad hitchy's take on the boob doesn't stick.
m.

msp, Sunday, 20 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I was just thinking today about how there must have been a tipping point in the last couple of years where dem. strategists decided they had lost the fight on Reagan and decided to coopt him instead.

Hurting 2, Sunday, 20 January 2008 23:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Have Republicans always been willing to say a few nice things about JFK or is that a recent thing?

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 23:58 (sixteen years ago) link

It's popular to regard him as the last 'tough' national security Dem, but I don't think there's too many people who'd want to run against the '64 map either.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

heh:

One could go on. I only saw him once up close, which happened to be when he got a question he didn't like. Was it true that his staff in the 1980 debates had stolen President Carter's briefing book? (They had.) The famously genial grin turned into a rictus of senile fury: I was looking at a cruel and stupid lizard. His reply was that maybe his staff had, and maybe they hadn't, but what about the leak of the Pentagon Papers? Thus, a secret theft of presidential documents was equated with the public disclosure of needful information. This was a man never short of a cheap jibe or the sort of falsehood that would, however laughable, buy him some time.

The fox, as has been pointed out by more than one philosopher, knows many small things, whereas the hedgehog knows one big thing. Ronald Reagan was neither a fox nor a hedgehog. He was as dumb as a stump. He could have had anyone in the world to dinner, any night of the week, but took most of his meals on a White House TV tray. He had no friends, only cronies. His children didn't like him all that much. He met his second wife—the one that you remember—because she needed to get off a Hollywood blacklist and he was the man to see. Year in and year out in Washington, I could not believe that such a man had even been a poor governor of California in a bad year, let alone that such a smart country would put up with such an obvious phony and loon.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 21 January 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

This article analyzes the GOP race correctly, I think. There are three groups: Nat'l Security GOP voters (who favor McCain), Economic GOP voters (who favor Romney) and Social Conservative GOP voters (who favor Huckabee). The voters in the final two categories would likely unite against McCain if Huckabee (who can't pick up the Economic GOP voters) dropped out. And these factions, together, they would -- easily, I think -- beat McCain.

So, at this point, Huckabee = Dud.

Also, I hadn't realized that S.Car. was an open primary. Still, it gives McCain significant momentum going into Super Tuesday.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 21 January 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Since SC is open, does that mean independents can vote one week in the GOP primary and then come back the following week and vote in the DEM primary? Surely not.

Johnny Fever, Monday, 21 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

There are three groups: Nat'l Security GOP voters (who favor McCain), Economic GOP voters (who favor Romney) and Social Conservative GOP voters (who favor Huckabee).

yes, we know

The voters in the final two categories would likely unite against McCain if Huckabee (who can't pick up the Economic GOP voters) dropped out.

likely? mccain and romney will surely fight for the social conservative vote, and romney may have a leg up, but there's still lingering distrust there, and mccain has made some decent plays in that territory. remember also that there are a fair number of Feb 5 states in which social conservatives are not a major factor.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

how problematic would the latino vote be for obama? how likely is it that he would pick a latino running mate? how likely is it that would be richardson (http://www.westerndemocrat.com/2008/01/obama-richardso.html) as opposed to salazar (http://politicalwire.com/archives/2007/01/04/salazar_says_hes_available_for_veep.html)? recall where our convention is.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb if u had to pic who you think is gonna take the nomination are you behind our dude obama or do you think hillary's probably gonna lock it up

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

"Perhaps if Obama spoke more forcefully about the hundreds of thousands of nonviolent drug offenders who were not as fortunate as he, and are now locked up in jail, he might gain a bit more credibility and support from those who accuse him of being devoid of substance.

Obama is fortunate he wasn't busted during Bill Clinton's years in office. Clinton left behind a larger, darker prison population than when he took office. Black incarceration rates during the Clinton years surpassed those during Ronald Reagan's eight years. That Clinton did nothing about mandatory minimum sentences was no surprise. That he did nothing to change the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine that disproportionately affects African Americans was no surprise. That he successfully stumped for "three strikes and you're out " in the crime bill, for restrictions on the right of habeas corpus and expansion of the federal death penalty was no surprise. When he came into office one in four black men were in the talins of the criminal justice system in some way; when he left, it was one in three. In many states ex-felons are denied the right to vote, a factor that had a direct impact on the 2000 presidential vote in Florida."

http://www.counterpunch.org/bliss01212008.html

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I’ve been skeptical of an Obama/Salazar nomination since it was first discussed on Meet the Press a year or two ago. If Senator Salazar is in the conscious of any Democrat, it is either for:

1. Introducing and supporting former Attorney General Gonzales.
2. Lambasting MoveOn and the anti-war movement for supporting Ned Lamont against Senator Lieberman.

This isn’t to say he hasn’t been an excellent senator, he has, but Obama will need to strengthen the base by selecting an experienced, and beloved liberal. Frankly, it might be wise to look at former politicians, not contemporary ones.

One more comment about playing the Latino vote. If we’re serious about playing racial politics to gain a Democratic advantage we should be putting pressure on Governor Richardson to run against Senator Domenici. This is a winnable seat for Richardson.

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Oops. Not run against, but run for Domenici’s seat. Obviously.

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

boy do i hate 'conscious' as noun. i agree that richardson should run for domenici's seat (and don't think of him as a great veep candidate). i also probably agree that obama may/should pick an experienced former politician. i don't agree necessarily that that candidate will/should be a base-reassuring liberal. i think the closest you'll get is an outspoken older type who is credible on non-ideological grounds like bradley or gore.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

salazar wouldn't be my favorite veep pick, but i wouldn't mind him either. he would certainly reinforce the this-is-not-the-old-democratic-party message.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

People are underestimating the Democrats ability to combust. More so than the dramatically fractured Republicans, I believe the Democrats will be unable to fully compromise on a candidate.

Senator Obama and Clinton’s supporters detest each other with a fervor that I believe to be unmatched in the Republican party, or by any prior Democratic contest and supporters of John Edwards are simply confused to why the Democratic party has shifted from its historical values.

Whomever is nominated will have to do the impossible task of reuniting their party. A task becoming increasingly difficult when primary margins are shrinking rather than widening.

While we can speak specifically to the nuances that push Clinton to the left of Obama or vice versa I think the flag-barer Democratic blocs, who have thus far been somewhat underrepresented, see both as too moderate to represent their long-held Democratic values. A liberal on the bottom of the ticket will go a long way to bringing together the party.

There’s certainly the issue that no one clearly stands out as a potential running mate for Obama. Simply put, there’s too many shortages in his potential candidacy that would usually be filled by their vice presidency for one person, and those who come close tend to be supporters of Clinton or Edwards. As soon as a potential name is brought up it takes no-time to shoot it down.

Frankly its reminiscent of President Bush. Remember when Lynne Cheney seemed like a likely choice for his running mate?

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the flag-barer Democratic blocs, who have thus far been somewhat underrepresented, see both as too moderate to represent their long-held Democratic values

RONG

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Um, OK? Why?

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

flag-barer?

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Pete Domenici just announced he'll be retiring because of some disease or another.

Abbott, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

is obama connected w/the dlc?

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

is obama connected w/the dlc?

No.

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

obama has the endorsement of the 5 most liberal senators. i think its pretty clear where he stands even if goofy edwards supporters still dont get it and confuse juvenile us-against-them confrontationalism w/ "real liberal" values

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Governor Romney paid tribute to Martin Luther King, Jr. when speaking to a group of employees at Gate Petroleum today and then shook hands and posed for photos with African-American families at a parade....

He jumped off the Mitt Mobile to greet a waiting crowd, took a picture with some kids and young adults and awkwardly quipped, ”Who let the dogs out? Who who.”

He took pictures with many in the crowd and greeted one baby wearing a necklace saying, “Hey buddy! How’s it going? What’s happening? You got some bling bling here!”

Romney even received some hugs, but some Obama supporters held up signs and one woman yelled, “Mitt Romney go home. You are holding up the parade!” Once the parade did start Romney hopped back on the Mitt Mobile and headed to his next stop.

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

video here: http://embeds.blogs.foxnews.com/2008/01/21/romney-who-let-the-dogs-out/

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

is it too much to hope that b.g. beats mitt romney to death for that

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

started to watch video, had to shut it off before wincing could start

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

awkwardly quipped, ”Who let the dogs out? Who who.”

seriously wtf so hard to know who to hate more, him or giuliani.

horseshoe, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

THIS GUY!

Abbott, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

the scariest thing is that the kids seem to like him... i can imagine romney getting 10-20% of the black vote against hillary if the racist-clinton stuff sticks

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Are you gonna post that on your 'evidence to stop Romney from getting elected' thread?

I don't think the guy stands a fucking chance, personally.

Abbott, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

kids like romney?

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

or are they just scared of hilary?

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i still want him to get the nom because i think hes more beatable than mccain and because dude would provide nonstop lolz but i dont think its necessarily a slamdunk

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, i love romney even more now

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

what are the odds theres a serious romney skeleton in the closet? unlike giuliani or really any other GOP dude i think even just a tiny bit of infidelity or ugly personal stuff will sink mitt's whole appeal

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

a few people have speculated that the unnamed-candidate-scandal story concerns him, but it would seem like what-if-ism

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i know its 99% improbable but i still hold on to my initial feeling that hes got a big child porn collection or something

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

he smoked once. in high school.

latebloomer, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

what are the odds theres a serious romney skeleton in the closet? unlike giuliani or really any other GOP dude i think even just a tiny bit of infidelity or ugly personal stuff will sink mitt's whole appeal

0.01%

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

he once smelled coffee

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

my guess is he's easier to beat because he's less known, a mormon, an obviously shameless panderer, awkward at times, kind of a weirdo, and maybe there are more than a few republicans who like ethan just don't like a dude in a starched shirt and tie. i'm probably wrong, but i flirt with fearing him less than others in office because of what i take as his empirical orientation. i'm not gonna say that he's a fake republican or anything other than a consultant justifying whatever ends the party establishment prefers, but i do have a sense he may really believe in research, tho i suppose his tendency to make fine rhetorical distinctions should remind me less of an academic and more of the current truthiness regime.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

he once lived in France. really.

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Massachusetts too i hear

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani: "Florida counts, and I'm counting on Florida. Both ways."

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

"i'm probably wrong, but i flirt with fearing him less than others in office because of what i take as his empirical orientation. i'm not gonna say that he's a fake republican or anything other than a consultant justifying whatever ends the party establishment prefers, but i do have a sense he may really believe in research, tho i suppose his tendency to make fine rhetorical distinctions should remind me less of an academic and more of the current truthiness regime."

what are you talking about?

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

romney perfectly fits the 80s movie frat/jock archetype

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

staying on message - http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/01/poll_shows_rudy.html

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

romney's a nerd, dude

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm starting to wonder if the real umderstory of the GOP race is the fight between sides of the bush family, with pere and Jeb for Romney, while the W regime is backing mccain

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i still want him to get the nom because i think hes more beatable than mccain and because dude would provide nonstop lolz but i dont think its necessarily a slamdunk

Me too. I will miss the lulz Mitt brings to the campaign if he ends up not being the nominee.

Nicole, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

romney's a nerd, dude

-- gabbneb, Monday, January 21, 2008 9:15 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

sorry, bro, hes a prep

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

which would be funnier - Obama-Romney or Biden-Giuliani?

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

xp - lol, suburbs

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney would greet Obama at the debate with a rousing "Who let the dogs out? Who? Who?"

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

if romney is doing "who let the dogs out" this year, then i guess we'll have to wait till 2016 for some candidate to make a lame reference to "crank dat {soulja boy)."

Eisbaer, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

'senator mccain, let me ask you - how do we superman the hoe?'

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I still love this:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=zCQZNMCbES0

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

wes clark is still a good bet for sec of defense under president hillary right?

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, or VP.

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Full disclosure, my support of Senator Clinton is largely due to the likelihood of Wes Clark’s presence in her administration.

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

you know, i saw some stuff come over rss about huckabee talking about "your flag" to a south carolina audience, and the press sort of went joeks bruv about the squirrel frying. i'd kind of forgotten about it (until the hitchens column lol)

but srsly huckabee is talking about the stars and bars. this is fucked.

gff, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah huck loves neo-confederates even more than ron paul

and what, Monday, 21 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney Ahead in Florida? Let's hope it holds (Romney (a) would be a v. beatable GOP nominee and (b) probably would be the best President among the likely GOP contenders, since he's really just a technocrat/deal-maker).

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 21 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

just want to see mccain and huckabee lose in FL

giuliani win would be ok because i dont see him parlaying that into a national victory at this point tbh

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

huckabee pretty unlikely to win, but i dont even like the outside shot

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

romney might not look so good when thompson drops out and endorses mccain

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 22:57 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems like all these potential GOP nominees have flaws too big for Repub voters in a general election. Plus, Repub party in general has driven the ship of state aground. I just don't see them uniting and voting the ticket, holding their noses or not, with so many fractures in the party.

Rock Hardy, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

That's probably a "no shit, sherlock" type of post, but I have to remind myself of it every now and then.

Rock Hardy, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate this fucking article teaser on CNN.com so much:

Analysts say black women never have held such power in determining the Democratic nominee for president. Black women are expected to make up more than a third of all Democratic voters in South Carolina's primary in five days. These women face a unique dilemma: Should they vote their race, or should they vote their gender?

HEY HERE'S AN IDEA; HOW ABOUT VOTING ON THE ISSUES?

HI DERE, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:08 (sixteen years ago) link

no one does that! but i know what you mean

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

is it just me or is it hard to figure out policy differences between hillary and obama?

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:12 (sixteen years ago) link

its you

deej, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill "has a dream" - http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=33364

gabbneb, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

????

artdamages, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I've been voting my gender and race in every presidential election since I've been able to vote.

Nobody's asking us white males if we're voting our gender or our race.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 21 January 2008 23:26 (sixteen years ago) link

romney might not look so good when thompson drops out and endorses mccain

Why? You mean Romney's chances to win the nomination might suffer when Thompson drops out, or are you referring to something else? (n.1)

__________________________
(n.1) And F--k a Fred Thompson. I detest that guy, even if he had more scruples than other GOP contenders (by not making promises that evengelical groups tried to force on him for their enthusiastic support; linked upthread, I think). Still, f--k him for paving the way for a McCain, which in most circumstances would have been unthinkable.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 21 January 2008 23:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate Mike Huckabee, too, for (thus far) stoping Mitt Romney from crushing McCain (I would have loved Huckabee if he crushed McCain, mind you, but it isn't going to happen).

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 21 January 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

he's really just a technocrat/deal-maker

a republican president has to make deals with some pretty nasty factions

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

x, capt. obv

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

John Edwards gonna RISE ABOVE! (maybe via some kind of crane or scissor lift)

Kerm, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

this is atrocious to listen to

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

barack and hillary are doing like a debate speech version of "*** Shreds" videos

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Does Hillary think this is good for her campaign?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama (mostly) taking the highroad.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary seems to be unable to leave well enough alone in this dirt dishing

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

plink plunk grrrrrowl bang bing bong chunka chank gronk pling janga rang blao peep zot jaranga jaNONNNNNNGGGG

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF is the graph thing?

Ed, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

It's hard to imagine anything the Democrats could do that's dumber than this campaign. You had it in a walk! Everyone hates Bush, and no one loves any of the other GOP candidates.

And now you're going to make the anointed candidate, whomever that might be, look weak? Ensure that a big chunk of the base isn't going to like whichever one comes out on top, and that independents/moderates will have more reason to look at the candidate with suspicion?

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.lestinto.it/wp-content/img/cast.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

is this just on cnn?

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

FREE FOR ALL! Policy platform or debate spectacle?

Kerm, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, as to electability. . .

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary cares about poverty so much she joined the Board of Wal-Mart to ensure they used American labor and paid a living wage.

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

john and the mill

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Is anyone completely disgusted by both Senator Clinton and Obama right now? I’m seconds away from writing John Edwards a check.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently they are buddies now . . . I’m still disgusted.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

he stanks just by association at this point. this debate has been horrendous

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is edwards saying hes the only one who can beat mccain because hes a white male?!

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

“I have to investigate more Bill’s dancing abilities before I could judge whether in fact he was a brother.”

My ears are bleeding.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

not coming away with a bad impression of hillary at all.... obama's performing kinda lazy and shes the only one im really feeling tonight

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is edwards saying hes the only one who can beat mccain because hes a white male?!

-- and what, Monday, January 21, 2008 8:47 PM (38 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

didnt he just specify that thats not what hes doing

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

BROUGHT TO YOU BY AMERICANS FOR BALANCED ENERGY SOURCES

>>>>:(

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry drake i was on the phone while he was saying it

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

all that shit about how we all do well in cities but he does well in rural areas sure sounded like that

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah he acknowledged that and said he meant because he was from a small town in the south

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

he tossed out some "I'm not saying it's because of race or gender" bullshit

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

great debate. edwards has come out looking good not because the others are beating up on each other, but because he's just done a really good job in this one.

wtf is edwards saying hes the only one who can beat mccain because hes a white male?!

what do you think is the whole unsaid justification for his campaign?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

"sonned by hillary" sounds wrong but it's the phrase that came to mind - hillary could eat all these people for breakfast and have the republicans for dessert

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

u crazy

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah hil is just killin it

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

if i have to hear barry um and ehh and uh through another statement that should be a slamdunk

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

we should have some kind of voltron joint presidency - an oval office full of this kind of sniping every day would be great for democracy

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

i am, uh umm proud uh christian

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

hil saying she would go to the mat for healthcare was the only fuck-yeah moment so far

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

killing it!

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

the employees of lobbyists, the associates of lobbyists, the children of lobbyists

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

O_O

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

That's interesting, because I think Obama is catching heat because he is responding aggressively to Hillary.

Edwards is clearly winning this debate.

Hillary is making shit up left and right.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah obama cant debate for shit

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is letting me down tonight.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

ehh he's been rough on every debate

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary is a very effective liar.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

hes fine once he gets into speechifying mode but dude really cannot speak off the cuff

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary might be making shit up left and right but she's coming across as very self-assured and "strong." Obama just seems kind of self-doubting and confused vis-a-vis all the stuttering and uh uh uh.jpg

Clay, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i think edwards is the lyingest one here

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Hil went to the mat for healthcare, laid down on that mat, and was pinned.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

She didn't make up any of that..
Edwards called out on taking money from state lobbyist/friends of lobbyists/family of lobbyists = LOL

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

the edwards sonning was beautiful

im kinda coming to terms with a lot of my hillary dislike being... maybe not sexism outright, but something equally superficial

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards is right in that he performs the best against mccain in national polls. hillary consistently performs worse than either of them against mccain.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i thoroughly enjoyed the repeated refs to edwards being another white dude running for president, especially obama's 'whether you're black, or you're a woman, or you're john'

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

hey anderson cooper im looking for the best political team on television

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

y'know any?

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

as the only person on ilx who was actually born in the town this debate was held in, let me say i have no fucking idea where SC is gonna go with this

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

No idea what'll happen, but I don't know for sure who was speaking to what audience, eg has Hillary decided to focus more on Feb 5 now and not worry much about how it plays in SC. I didn't watch most of it but being a nerd I recorded to watch while cleaning up a bit around here.
Cooper= "A night of moments." Ya think?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

on the post-debate stage shots there chelsea clinton appeared to be flirting with john edwards.

Clay, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

'whether you're black, or you're a woman, or you're john'

pffft heheh

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow, did Obama get owned the rest of the time as much as he just did in the replay I'm watching on CNN right now?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama was weak tonight. Hillary is misleading. She is a liar. Edwards reminds me of a Muppet.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i missed what cnn is replaying now but this is daaaamn

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

hopefully before we get to the 100th 'hillary is a liar' post someone will mention what she actually lied about?

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Search me, the Rezco thing was on the front page of the Chicago Tribune yesterday or the day before.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

i still want obama to take it but the idea that oh well hillary clinton is just a LYING POLITICIAN but that uhhh-bama is the real deal - is it somehow not important to actually win the 2008 election now??????

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

the rezko thing is extreeeemely misleading

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know all the details but Rezco did help Obamas buy a very expensive house and get one hell of a deal on it, couple hundred thousand under the asking price.

I got no idea why he thought it was a good idea to bring up Reagan in the first place back in Reno. Transformational? Yeah, he duped working class Democrats into voting for him and then gutted social services and screwed them over basically

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Talking heads are like "WTF a real debate? WTF!" don't know what to say. ha.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's explanation of the reagan thing was really well-done

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

there was nothing illegal about the rezko deal

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

'deal'

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean good lord if you want to look at 'improper dealings' you certainly can't act like the clintons dont have a full ledger of that stuff ... agreed its also mostly bullshit, but so is this. the rezko thing is a total smear. he was a dirty dude who was involved w/ 398423983 different politicians who had no idea what he had his hands in

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://mediamatters.org/items/200706140007

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

when hillary was hammering dude about supposedly praising the last 15 years of republican policies i wish he had just been like TWO WORDS WELFARE REFORM SHIT IM OUT

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't like to speak ill of the dead but Reagan was a horrible president and I can't think of a thing positive about being transformational in that sense - he just talked a bunch of BS to make people feel good but look at what he did to the country.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

??? he was talking about building consensus, daria

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

well dude was friends with tip o'neill and lots of dems liked him and if youre just saying hey lets not say fuck-you to half of govt and half of america lets try to work with them its a fair comparison

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i know hillary is not her husband, but clinton definitely campaigned on doing the reagan thing before scaife fucked his game up

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

daria why dont you talk to me about whitewater

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

this thing about obama's 'present' votes is utter bullshit

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^otm

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:28 (sixteen years ago) link

god why is he speaking so haltingly

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

really the fact that hil is going over the votes looking for shit like that and thats the best she's got is sad as fuck

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

the thing is, though, every time he took a shot at her she rolled with it & busted back, every time she took at shot at him he kinda blew it

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

deej has word not come in there wherever you live that "whitewater" ended up amounting to a big fat zero?

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Whitewater? In which Ken Starr spent years and millions to find the Clintons did nothing illegal whatsoever?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno cue dr morbz or some other paultard to call me a cynical gabbneb for this but in a general election its a good resource to have a candidate who can find some nitpicky shit about their opponent and blow it up into a character issue

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

obama really started it with that last-second dig about her working as a "corporate lawyer" while he was working chicago or whatever.. the way he just tacked it on felt cheap and the crowd was baying for a response and then it was kinda howyousay, ON

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Anderson Cooper looks so confused

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

none of this stuff is explosive - "it's all in the game"

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

obama really started it with that last-second dig about her working as a "corporate lawyer" while he was working chicago or whatever..

not everyone has the luxury of working at some public-interest gig immediately after law school, mr. obama. not even The King of All Trial Lawyers john edwards.

if either hillary or edwards responded to obama in that fashion, they would not only have my vote but also a contribution. for real.

Eisbaer, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

really as much as i like seeing pols called out for their bullshit this whole thing was just ugly & counterproductive

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's comment about Reagan is not hard to follow, but tons of people really want to misunderstand it.

My criticism of Obama's Reagan comment is that he underestimated the capacity of the base to be deliberately obtuse.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

to be honest ive become deeply suspicious of anyone with a serious antipathy towards obama or clinton

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i think obama knew what he was doing with the reagan comment

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

possibly the closest he's come to a sister souljah moment

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

deej has word not come in there wherever you live that "whitewater" ended up amounting to a big fat zero?

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, January 21, 2008 9:30 PM (8 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

looking forward to seeing how that whole rezko thing works out too dude

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

in case you werent getting the fucking message that its what i was drawing a parallel to

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

not everyone has the luxury of working at some public-interest gig immediately after law school, mr. obama

wtf does this mean

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.soulstrut.com/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/doggie.gif

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

you'd think a clinton fanatic like daria would be above buying into dishonest smear campaigns

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

im kinda coming to terms with a lot of my hillary dislike being... maybe not sexism outright, but something equally superficial

you mean like the superficial shit that brought down algore and john french kerry?

not everyone has the luxury of working at some public-interest gig immediately after law school, mr. obama. not even The King of All Trial Lawyers john edwards.

which has absolutely zero to do with hillary rodham clinton

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont understand what he means by 'luxury.'

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

he took a 15k/yr job as an organizer because he wanted to ... what does luxury have to do w/ it

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

in case y'all aren't sure who 'won' - http://thepage.time.com/2008/01/21/game-on-12/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

o_O if he was talking about content i would agree, but thats not what a debate is about

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:46 (sixteen years ago) link

obama really started it with that last-second dig about her working as a "corporate lawyer" while he was working chicago or whatever.. the way he just tacked it on felt cheap and the crowd was baying for a response and then it was kinda howyousay, ON

right, hillary didn't "start it" when bob johnson talked about what obama 'was doing in the community' when hil was fighting for all her best black friends

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

The hell are you saying, gabbneb? I know there's that old line about people saying oh, I have one black friend, that's hilarious on the Daily Show and all, but Hillary and Bill are not those people.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Since I figure that any of these three (lolEdwards) will be ineffective, the thought of Pres. Hillary doesn't bother me.

I just don't think Clinton is very electable. Her negatives are enormous, as they've always been. It's not just that she won't appeal to certain people, or won't bring in independents, or doesn't toe the line enough to thrill progressives - there's so much active dislike of Clinton that people will turn out to vote against her.

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I hope everyone knows that John McCain is stoked. The spin in this thread is getting out of control. Anyone who sees that any of the three candidates did anything remotely positive tonight is delusional.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

‘when hil was fighting for all her best black friends’

Joke?

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

er, none of them will be effective, I mean.

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I was worried more about McCain until I actually heard his SC victory speech and reacted like, holy shit, he is really old, sounds really old, and looks like the evil Emperor guy from Star Wars, plus the GOP base doesn't like him

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 03:59 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think the GOP base likes any one of their choices except either huckabee or paul (whether they admit it or not), but neither is going to win.

Eisbaer, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, we don't have to worry if McCain becomes the nominee because the GOP base doesn't like him. that's why they made him the nominee. no, wait...

also, independents just hate the guy.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:02 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf tad huck & paul are the two candidates most likely to get trashed by the GOP base

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I’d love to hear who the Republican base currently consists of.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

To some folks on this thread, would it be possible to argue a point in a straightforward manner without making me spend time guessing whether or not you're being sarcastic? Thanks.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf tad huck & paul are the two candidates most likely to get trashed by the GOP base

you may be right ... i probably pay too much mind to the GOP lunatic fringe to see some things clear.

Eisbaer, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I’d love to hear who the Republican base currently consists of.

-- Mr. Goodman, Monday, January 21, 2008 11:06 PM (15 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

http://i211.photobucket.com/albums/bb297/santorumdotjpg/SANTORUM1.jpg

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of see what Eisbaer's saying... Guiliani's stance on core Rep. 'values' is way off, Romney's a cipher...

the people who like Huck & Paul REALLY like them. ('course their haters are rather outspoken as well...)

will, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Snorg Girl is no Republican

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

To some folks on this thread, would it be possible to argue a point in a straightforward manner without making me spend time guessing whether or not you're being sarcastic? Thanks.

Would it also be possible for some in this thread to restrain from the obvious and increasingly inappropriate sports or war analogies?

No?

OK.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I do not think Bert is a log cabin republican.

Nicole, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

OTOH, i could DEFINITELY see marissa marchant being totally into ron paul.

Eisbaer, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Momus too

Nicole, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

the people who like Huck & Paul

who were outnumbered 2:1 in SC by the people who like McCain/Romney/Rudy/Thompson

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

well damn.

will, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Better known to Facebook and MySpace users as “Alice the Snorg Girl,” the 19-year-old Mariettan has been an Internet sensation since she first agreed three years ago to be a model for a T-shirt company launched by her brother’s friends. Now a sophomore at Auburn, she’s gotten used to being recognized wherever she goes.

Often, Alice gets that “You look familiar” look from fellow students who can’t seem to place her. “Some days, I’ll wear a T-shirt and people will say, ‘Oh, that’s why I know you.’”

Alice’s claim to fame is her wide-eyed, open-mouthed expressions of dorky joy. “People always ask me why I’m so happy in my photos and it’s because [company co-owner] Bryan is always dancing and making me laugh. I’m very easily entertained.”

“The worst thing about being recognized is when I’m in a bar and the bartender says, ‘Hey, aren’t you the Snorg girl?’ and I realize he knows I’m underage.”

Modeling has made Alice semifamous but not rich, because she gets paid in T-shirts. But she has gotten other offers. “I’ve gotten messages from so and so agency saying they’d like me to model. But then when I Google the company name, nothing comes up. That’s kind of creepy.”

Although she’s not sure what career to pursue, Alice knows she wants to travel around the world. She’s already got plenty of friends out there. “I was looking myself up on the Internet the other day and found out I have a fan club in Australia. That’s pretty cool!”

While she describes herself as mostly outdoorsy and athletic, Alice is also becoming politically involved this election year. “I’m finally old enough to vote this year, and I know how important it is for this country to have a change, so I’m organizing and blogging and trying to tell all my friends about Ron Paul.”

The Alice you see in her online photos is basically what you get in real life. “I’m really nerdy and weird, and I don’t mind making fun of myself. The reason I probably appeal to some people is they think, ‘She looks goofy; I bet she’s fun.’”

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

They pay her in T-shirts? Not money? WTF! That's like the guy who invented the mcnugget

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

omg CNN playing clip of Bill on Arsenio Hall! I remember seeing that in middle school, I watched Arsenio just about every night

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:31 (sixteen years ago) link

If you're dumb enough to get paid in t-shirts, you just might be a Ron Paul supporter. xp

Nicole, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:32 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^OTTshirts

Kerm, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

“I’m really nerdy and weird, and I don’t mind making fun of myself. The reason I probably appeal to some people is they think, ‘She looks goofy; I bet she’s fun.’”

oh the many, many definitions of 'fun'

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m really nerdy and weird

no shit

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

at least re weird; 'nerdy' means she likes to think of herself as smarter than she is

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

i swear, how many people supporting ron paul actually know what he stands for beyond 'he's a republican but he's AGAINST the war! lol'

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 05:38 (sixteen years ago) link

don't forget the ever-popular "libertarians want to legalize weed!!!"

milo z, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 05:40 (sixteen years ago) link

to be honest ive become deeply suspicious of anyone with a serious antipathy towards obama or clinton

-- and what, Monday, January 21, 2008 9:38 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

god, right? it's gotten so i'm a little antsy about talking to people about the primaries because i just don't want to know that shit about them. during the new hampshire debate a friend of my sister's who's an Edwards supporter was over and said something like, "if only Edwards wasn't a white man, he'd be the frontrunner." !!!

horseshoe, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 05:57 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/1/21/22103/8345/547/440825

o_O

as usual they didnt watch the debate and voted on who they hope will win .. altho at least that means they no longer seem to be huge edwards supporters

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:03 (sixteen years ago) link

the more i think about hillary's cheap rezko slam the more it bothers me. what a fuckin hypocrit

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:07 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's gotta play the lezbo card now, amirite?

gershy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:18 (sixteen years ago) link

rezbo

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:22 (sixteen years ago) link

that was a joek, daria ; )

gershy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:23 (sixteen years ago) link

gershy hates women, busted

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:25 (sixteen years ago) link

that hurts my feelings

gershy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:25 (sixteen years ago) link

"Obama: 'Yeah Well What About Kenneth Foster Huh?'"

Dimension 5ive, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:54 (sixteen years ago) link

i swear, how many people supporting ron paul actually know what he stands for beyond 'he's a republican but he's AGAINST the war! lol'

I've muttered this before, but the people around UCI manning the 'Ron Paul Revolution' tables appear to be the same general types flying the flag for LaRouche a year or two earlier.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:57 (sixteen years ago) link

dude driving the ron paul car on university ave the other day: white guy with long greasy hair, window open in the 9 degree weather so his cigarette smoke could escape, leaning to the side but not in a cool cruisin' way

Dimension 5ive, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 06:59 (sixteen years ago) link

throwin' candy out onto the sidewalk, watching little kids run up and grab it, but not in a santa claus way

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 07:48 (sixteen years ago) link

more like an elmer gantry at the poolhall kinda way

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 07:49 (sixteen years ago) link

the rezco thing was all in the game!! the trash talking had begun and hillary had that in reserve - politics has always been played this way!

one of bill's innovations/strategies for winning was "rapid response", and the cw on kerry is that he never moved fast enough to repudiate the mosquito swarm of charges and insinuations against him, was always playing defense -- whether the charges were true or not, went the thinking, kerry didn't "fight" back and americans wanted to see someone who could give as good as they got. who knows if that's true but there is something depressingly right-sounding about it. it seems to me that it's been hillary's m.o. for awhile now to answer every charge swiftly and immediately counterattack. the rezco thing doesn't amount to a hill of beans and everyone knows it but it's not a very serious charge in the first place - it was a strictly performative charge, allowing hillary to look strong and resilient and knowledgable about her opponents. you can argue that strategy will alienate more people than it attracts and you could be right but i think that's the gamble she's taking.

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:04 (sixteen years ago) link

shit on these dems

we managed to go from the best class of candidates from over a decade to a triplet of scum shits

in one night

way to show yr stripes, fuckwits

see you in 12. good thing for whoever gets the nom the gop got shit all but a mormon blue

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I'M SORRY
I KNOW THAT SHIT WORTHLESS PISS BUCKET BLITTERS WAS THE MOD
BUT COULD ANY OF YOU MENTIONED ONE REAL GOD FUCKING DAMMM SOLUTION TO PAYING PO' FOLKS EMS BILLS?
OR WHATEVER?
I'M SORRY BUT ALL OF YOU GOT P3ZND BY A COUPLE OF FUCKING CNN ANALYSTS
DO YOU KNOW BRETT FAVRE?
BRETT FAVRE ISN'T GOING TO THE SUPER BOWL.
BUT EVERYBODY LOVES HIM.
WHAT'S THAT ABOUT?

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:20 (sixteen years ago) link

FUCK ANGRY ANGRY FUCK

AND SHIT

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I sense that El Tomoboto is a bloomberg man.

Ed, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:21 (sixteen years ago) link

OTM though, I only saw that Illinois state senate procedural senate which probably had 90% of the watchers reaching for the changers which was probably a good thing because not one of them could give a lucid explanation of their health plans. Best chance in generations to fix healthcare in the US and none of them can give a decent explanation of how they might do it.

Ed, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i didn't watch the whole thing - or even most of it - but aren't all their answers basically the same?

1) rescind bush's tax cuts on households making more than $200,000/year
2) use that money to insure > 95% of america

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:29 (sixteen years ago) link

3) But definitely not illegal immigrants. If you are brown and not carrying proof of citizenship you must be refused entry to the emergency room.

Ed, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:32 (sixteen years ago) link

lol blasted

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:41 (sixteen years ago) link

a cup of tea and splash of cold water does do wonders

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 11:41 (sixteen years ago) link

"nevada: what really happened in the at-large caucuses?"

http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=269

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 12:50 (sixteen years ago) link

that article is absolutely fantastic, at least the three paragraphs I bothered to read, because it enforces a lovely idea I already had - that once again, any idea, any concept, any inkling that people under thirty had any purpose or design on this election besides holding signs and looking pretty when necessary is, in fact, utterly A WASTE OF TIME because we're ALL TOO BUSY WORKING TO SHOW UP AT THE FUCKING POLLS.

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 13:08 (sixteen years ago) link

OR DRINKING AWAY OUR LOAN PAYMENTS, PERHAPS THAT WOULD BE A BETTER TURN OF PHRASE

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 13:10 (sixteen years ago) link

LET'S JUST GET IT ALL OUT

FUCK YOU MOM & DAD, HAVE YOUR WHITE WAR BITCH
WE'LL DIE FOR YOU, THAT'S WHAT YOU ALWAYS WANTED ANYWAY

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 13:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary nasty.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 15:52 (sixteen years ago) link

ehh pretty disappointing to this obama fan. it became amazing to me how disconnected his gifts are: such a classy orator who is so klutzy on his feet? how does that even happen? i was thinking of better retorts to the BS being slung at him, more or less in real time.

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 15:59 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.politico.com/global/spinme.jpg

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Rodham no longer worried about being likeable, apparently.

Prez McCain shd start writing his inaugural on our Hundred Years' War.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

(Rush made that)

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Who cares about being likable?
Obama smiling like John Kerry in that photo. bad sign

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

You're likeable enough, daria

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

haha holy shit

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

This is even more roffly, somehow:

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_012108/content/01125109.Par.4584.ImageFile.jpg

"AAAAAAAAAAAAA!"

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

He looks like he's going to hurl it at someone.

Nicole, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Rush and Michael Moore should have a bullhorn battle royale.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

For some reason it's his watch I notice the most.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/today.parcolmem44.4091.ImageFile.jpg

Not so sharp-looking when he's on the job.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img247.imageshack.us/img247/8720/hillaryblackkidax9.jpg

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

unsurprisingly, i agree with the howler:

Boo hoo hoo hoo hoo hoo hoo! In last night’s debate, Mommy and Daddy started to fight—and all the children started to cry. “Relive the brutal moments,” they caterwaul, as they show us the tape of the tussle. Sorry, but here comes the ultimate insult: They sound just like Patrick Healy.

In fairness, Mommy and Daddy did swap accusations. First, Daddy said Mommy sat on Wal-Mart’s board while he, Daddy, fought the good fight. Moments later, Mommy said Daddy helped slumlord Rezko while she, Mommy, fought the good fight. (Boo hoo hoo hoo hoo, said the kids.) Tomorrow, we’ll discuss the fuller exchange. But for Dems, it’s a good idea to bring Rezko out now, just as it would have been good for Dems—and for Michael Dukakis, a superlative person—to explore that prison furlough program during the 1988 primaries. (You know? The program that kept this decent man from the White House when he didn’t know how to explain it?) One thing is certain: If Obama becomes the Dem nominee (as well he might, and we’ll cheer if he does), the Rezko matter will be beaten within an inch of its life. It would be extremely smart for Democrats to hash this matter out now. But boo hoo hoo hoo hoo hoo hoo! Last night, the children started to cry when they saw Mommy and Daddy fighting. Mommy! Daddy! Stop fighting now! Dick and Jane said through their tears.

P.S. Mommy and Daddy were quite civil throughout the vast bulk of the evening.

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

the writers strike has really hurt the pundits as well eh

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

howler also says that if obama wins the nomination, the basic attack is going to be along dukakisian lines rather than kerry/gore lines: not that obama is a flip-flopping liar who will say anything to be president, but that he's weird -- an alien. "why does obama have such a problem with the pledge of allegiance?"

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt Romney in SC: "Who let the dogs out? Who Who?"

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/01/21/politics/fromtheroad/entry3734680.shtml

(scroll down for video)

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

who's Patrick Healy?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

NYT political reporter

dmr, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not panicking. There are pros and cons to exchanging blows in the primaries. In the end, our front runner needs to come out looking tough and charismatic.

The press has a very narrow view of how the electorate feels about candidates going negative. Going negative can mean a lot of different things in a lot of different contexts, and not all of the consequences are bad.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

funny nobody seems to be making much of the toni morrisson/'bill's dancing' thing! definitely made me laff at the time, but obv very dicey and maybe a good example of this 'obama's cool-guy humor that old ppl don't get' meme?

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't see the Democratic debate, unfortunately, but this comment, about HRC's generally aggressive approach is all about the meta-narrative seems right. Everything is designed to show that she's the tougher candidate as between her and Obama, and that the toughest candidate is what it will take against the GOP attack machine.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

and i have yet to see much hay made of Obama hitting the I LOVE JESUS stuff pretty hard. since we inundate ourselves with all that 'secret muslim' garbage around here that kind of talk really popped out to me as important, but maybe nobody really cares, or wrote it off as 'when in SC' or something

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

funny nobody seems to be making much of the toni morrisson/'bill's dancing' thing

thank fucking god. so cringeworthy that he let himself get sucked into that

shoulda used the first part of his reponse (Bill had a special rapport with his black constituents blah blah) and left it at that, instead it sounded like Obama wants to check Bill out and see what he's packing

dmr, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

how about some straight-up sexism from france?

http://www.letemps.ch/template/editoriaux.asp?page=1&article=223530

The Issue
By Joelle Kuntz
Le Temps

Thursday 17 January 2008

Neither a woman nor a black man as such will change American policy. Neither race nor gender contain any moral value or specific politics. It's as Democrats, should the presidency befall one or the other of these two candidates, that they will change the hateful orientation of the Bush regime. Representing a current of thought organized for the long term beyond personalities and their characteristics, whoever is elected will be able to give a welcome change in the country's direction. That is Americans' principal expectation: to be done with Bushism. Those who offer the best guarantees for that result will have the best chance.

If the opportunity for choosing between a woman and a black man arouses so much excitement, that's because it brings history into play: a double "premier" that reveals changes within the heart of American society. Neither Clinton nor Obama will change America, but it's a changed America that will elect one or the other.

The campaigns of the woman candidate and the black man candidate, their reception by the public and the reactions they provoke send back powerful images of themselves to voters at this time in history.

Two historic social behaviors are being put to the test: racism and sexism. Which remains the most resistant?

From a rational standpoint, racism has lost all its arguments: no one (outside of the Ku Klux Klan) dares defend any longer the idea of natural inequality between the races and a consequent legitimate inequality in social roles. There's no longer any racist ideology.

The same cannot be said of sexism. If the principle of human equality between the genders is virtually a given, that of equality of roles and functions is not. There remain great currents of thought in defense of the woman at home, mother exclusively, armed with as many statistical and sociological studies as they need to establish their viewpoint.

Rational balance is one thing. But emotional balance is another. Even without any arguments, racism and sexism will endure. In what form? Residual or massive? Which more than the other? We don't know. We explore. We play. Are you Clinton or Obama?

(trans: Leslie Thatcher)

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm getting kinda annoyed that this is coming down to "old people win again!"

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

presidency, Oscars, etc

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

no zombies, no credibility.

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

cf Real Estate bubble bust may be worse than Dot Com bubble bust

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm getting kinda annoyed that this is coming down to "old people win again!"

I think I mentioned this upthread, but I remember on the night of the 2004 election -- when, throughout the day, there was so much talk of young peoples' anger at the Bush Admin., and how those new voters would move the country in a progressive direction (and make John Kerry the President) -- that Joe Scarborough said on MSNBC: "I dunno. Looks like the same old voters it's always been." And he was right. So I wouldn't get to excited about a change from "old people win again!" this year.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I was looking at the breakdowns of the New Hampshire dem primary and Obama got 60% of the 18-49 vote. But still lost. Sigh. I guess yeah, same old voters every time, but I'm just so goddamn sick of the baby boomers...

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Can't expect people to vote against their self-interest though, I guess.

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

They do it all the time, though.

Nicole, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Depends how you define self-interest though. You can vote against your economic self-interest in the course of voting for your social self-interest.

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I think I mentioned this upthread, but I remember on the night of the 2004 election -- when, throughout the day, there was so much talk of young peoples' anger at the Bush Admin., and how those new voters would move the country in a progressive direction (and make John Kerry the President) -- that Joe Scarborough said on MSNBC: "I dunno. Looks like the same old voters it's always been." And he was right. So I wouldn't get to excited about a change from "old people win again!" this year.

-- Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, January 22, 2008 12:26 PM (44 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

uh but this wasnt actually true; record #s of young people voted

Youth voting surged by 11 percentage points in 2004. In presidential election years between 1972 and 2000, the turnout rate had declined by 16 percentage points among young citizens before rebounding by 11 percentage points in the 2004 election.

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Bye bye Fred Thompson. Please don't be back on Law and Order k thx.

MaggieGo, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

why Chelsea was talking to Cate - http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/01/22/what_did_they_talk_about.html

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

LMAO.

http://youtube.com/watch?v=dvhuhqaYz2o

"Hilary thinks cats are expendable - can you trust her?"

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, Deej, young voting increased in 04, but not enough to carry the day (if you assume they were coming out to vote for Kerry).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

in case there's anyone who doesn't understand that O knows what he's doing in these debates - http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/064354.php

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

the young people turning the election thing is still not true, and it never has been. the past week i re-read fear and loathing on the campaign trail 72 for the fourth or fifth time, and thompson talks a lot about the 25 million new registered voters -- most of them, presumably, counter-culture -- which, of course, failed to materialize. the conventional wisdom in how to run a campaign is, by and large, <i>right</i>. i fully believe that the clintons' newfound aggression against obama will, in fact, pay off, because typically that sort of thing always has worked.

anyway, i am definitely an obama supporter (i think hrc would make a better president, but i don't think she could win), and the clintons' willingness to burn bridges to WIN is such a turn off. i know she wants to win, i know bill wants her to win, but there are other ways to go about it ("we stand for dif things," "i have more experience") but instead it's the fairy tale angle that gets prominence -- media-derived to some degree sure, but still the clintons aren't weeping about it -- and so they don't miss a wink of sleep knowing that they're trying to burn an incredibly promising politician/man to the ground in this quest. i shouldn't be surprised, but i am -- i thought/hoped bill was above this.

in the end, i think obama is handling this well. if yr getting attacked like a motherfucker, that's gotta mean yr a threat at least, right?

YGS, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

no one's giving money to the DCCC because the Dems are far more interested in fundraising at the Presidential and Senatorial levels - the top of the ticket will bring the bottom along next time. our GE fundraising will easily exceed $250M

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

so they don't miss a wink of sleep knowing that they're trying to burn an incredibly promising politician/man to the ground in this quest. i shouldn't be surprised, but i am -- i thought/hoped bill was above this.

yeah I'm not surprised at all .... I think in their logic he failed to "wait his turn" after Hillary so this is what you get

dmr, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't doubt the GE fundraising estimate, but this group will instantly negate a Democratic fundraising edge, and likely mean the GOP will have more money than Democrats at its disposal. I mean, maybe not, but look at how much that group will pump into the 08 elections vs. how much MoveOn.org pumped into the 04 elctions. It's a staggering difference.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah but moveon didn't actually accomplish anything in 04.

Eppy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Didn't look to me like Obama's debate performance was part of his strategy, then, because he looked off balance, attacked just as much, and all the reporting & my impression from watching was not that he was looking above the fray, good natured, or calm at all.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

this is ridiculous. the only people who give a shit about moveon are karl rove and a few thousand liberals who want to waste their money. it's generally expected taht the sides are going to raise $500 million each. generally people with a lotta money like to throw it to the side they think will win. everyone thinks the dems have the upper hand.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

stay calm, daria

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

"corporate lawyer sitting on the board of Wal-Mart" is his best moment so far

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, Deej, young voting increased in 04, but not enough to carry the day (if you assume they were coming out to vote for Kerry).

-- Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, January 22, 2008 1:40 PM (23 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

they were, by like 60%-40 or something, but i never claimed it would be 'enough to carry the day' - if you realize that they're 1. showing up in states where they were already solidly dem and 2. the number of other people voting also rises. acting like its young people's 'fault' or that they failed to come to the polls is wrong

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/01/22/ppp_poll_obama_expands_lead_in_south_carolina.html

taken yesterday - obama beats clinton + edwards

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton's still winning the white folks, tho

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:11 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC is still plenty ahead in the big sooper tues states tho

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

acting like its young people's 'fault' or that they failed to come to the polls is wrong

I didn't mean to imply this. I meant that I'm v. skeptical of any claims that "the youth vote" will usher in a more progressive goverment anytime soon.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

xposts - yea, and i'm afraid that even if obama wins south carolina (which does seem likely), it's still going to be extremely tough-going for him in the rest of the states on 2/5. i don't think sc will be enough, sadly.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

so they don't miss a wink of sleep knowing that they're trying to burn an incredibly promising politician/man to the ground in this quest.

Burn to the ground? Come on, now. It's a primary campaign. They are supposed to not try to win?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

daria they are smearing him! you cant possibly defend this shit

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

rezko??? voting 'present'??? give me a fuckin break

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, the thing about Wal-Mart.. isn't that a class thing? Most people don't hate Wal-Mart, and the ones who do are already Obama voters, right?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

i suppose when you voted for the war its kind of hard to come up w/ some lies to rival that truth

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Rezko and voting "present" are going to burn his political career to the ground? Really?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't see anyway Obama can honorably accept Rodham's veep spot now. And good luck getting all his fans to vote for her.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

yes 'the people' just love the wal-mart corporation, and their loyalty goes well beyond 'low prices'

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

well since there no chance in hell he'd ever be offered her veep spot, that's some fine analysis xp

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah. Besides, would you want him as the VP? Normally that spot goes to the designated "attack dog," and I'm not sure that's a good role for Obama. See, e.g., John Edwards in 2004 (tho, obv., there was more at work there).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

"Also, the thing about Wal-Mart.. isn't that a class thing? Most people don't hate Wal-Mart, and the ones who do are already Obama voters, right?"

^^^
this is patently retarded.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

lol Bill will be her vp

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, he's been friends with this Rezko guy for 17 years and Rezko raised a lot of money for his campaigns. Does that mean he did anything wrong? No, not at all. Does he have a connection to this person who's going on trial on federal charges in February? Yes. If the Clinton campaign didn't bring it up, was everyone else in politics going to just not notice a story that's been on the front page of the Chicago papers?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

ppl were fantasizing about Clinbama just 2 weeks ago here.

Fuck this thread.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

"I did not have sex with that woman."

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Whatevs. Daria will have the second-to-last laugh, I fear, followed by the last-laugh by the GOP.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Why is it retarded, now. In a lot of rural America there is nowhere else to buy stuff including groceries affordably, or at all. Doesn't mean people love it but again, I'm not getting how most folks think working for Wal-Mart is so horrible (and FWIW this was before it was the behemoth it is today).

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, it certainly looks like Obama can't overcome (ahem) on 2/5, but even disregarding SC Mo, I'm not certain those states have really focused on the race yet. which they might not at all. O can expect to do well in the South. Clinton's probably gonna clean up in the Northeast. California will probably get a fair amount of attention, and Clinton will probably win. it'll be interesting to see what happens in MO, AZ and ND, especially with O's endorsements in these. his winning ND could wake some people up. I guess Sebelius would have endorsed by now if she's gonna? will O compete in his birth state? maybe Richardson still might endorse in NM? not that I know who these guys would endorse. the most interesting state of all should be Colorado - how well does Clinton do in the swing west? shame that Washington and Oregon (and MT?) aren't online yet - I've seen some evidence that O is stronger than Clinton out here.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

ppl who had no idea what they're talking about, apparently! there's just no way. there is some serious hate btw the two of them and nobody observing these campaigns expects a veep spot xchange no matter what happens.

+ plenty of folx on this thread, including me, obama superfan #984375, keep saying that they'll vote for HRC in the general if(when) she gets it, no problem. maybe not as 'happily' but that's life

xps

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I think there's a fairly good chance Clinton's gonna win all over the map on 2/5 by dint of the national campaign (see folks, those whiteys in Iowa are good for something! the college kids, at least), and Obama's gonna become 'the black candidate' after he wins AL

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I will not vote for Hillary in the GE

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(the only vote of mine that will have any impact on this is my primary vote, and I'm voting for Obama)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm leaning more and more in that direction, esp if bloomberg enters the race, xpost

m bison, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Politics are a zero-sum game. You'd prefer McCain to HRC?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, honestly, I wouldn't be for her if I didn't think she could win. When the GOP goes after Obama and he responds with hope and change.. I just don't see how that works for him.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, by accident or design, O is boxed in, even if he wins SC -- all that time and effort to convince black voters he's for real, and coming out of it he becomes the 'black candidate' -- exactly what he has tried (successfully) not to be. meanwhile working class whites and latinos are going with H (if stuff like that ruralvotes post are indicative, this could be pretty nasty)

the attacks on O have been so klutzy and hamfisted it's hard to believe this was the HRC gameplan all along, but who knows.

plus as always, maybe i don't know what i'm talking about.

xps

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama = college kids? So many college towns in Iowa. So many African-Americans in Iowa.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's great strength, if he can capitalize on it, is that he hasn't distorted Clinton's record to make a point or to market himself. I thought he made that point in last night's debate, and it's a sign of integrity that he can keep playing up in the weeks to come. He's playing a game, but he's not playing Karl Rove's game.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Politics are a zero-sum game. You'd prefer McCain to HRC?

doesn't matter who I vote for in my district - the Dem nominee will win it no question

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

(and why sully my conscience, that being the case)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, honestly, I wouldn't be for her if I didn't think she could win.

I know that, Daria. I don't agree, but I hope I'm wrong.

When the GOP goes after Obama and he responds with hope and change.. I just don't see how that works for him.

He wouldn't react that way. From what I understand, Obama's "hope and change" rhetoric is just that: Rhetoric. He knows how to punch back hard, but he doesn't have to (or hasn't had to) in the primaries, because Edwards is there pounding away at HRC. But he would take a very different tact in a GE between just him and the GOP nominee.

And I know that's speculation, but I'll take it every day over what I (sadly) believe to be HRC's dim GE prospects.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

a very different tact

do we have to go through 'tack' again?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, from my POV blowing the Kyl-Lieberman (which was toothless, gave Bush no authority, and by the way Obama didn't even vote on it) vote way out of proportion is certainly a distortion of the record. There was a back and forth over Social Security where Obama was trying to make it out like the was a crisis, same way GOP did to try and privatize, to attack Hillary for not having a specific plan for a non-problem. Not to mention calling her calculating, triangulating, poll-driven, etc. That stuff, some folks already agree with it and there's no talking them out of it, I know.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel I hear ya, I don't know if he can punch back hard. I see Kerry and Daschle over there in his corner trying to play attack dog & I'm like.. OK, which Democrats know how to beat the GOP and which don't?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

wait - when has Hillary ever "beat the GOP", exactly?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

and which Dems know how to govern like the GOP

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

In a high profile New York Senate race, having a pretty key role in Bill's campaigns and war room.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

uh, Bill Clinton was fucking impeached by the opposition?!

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

(I guess I didn't realize you were talking elections as opposed to policy - also Clinton never got a plurality of the vote anyway, he had Perot there sucking off GOP votes)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Perot there sucking off GOP votes

I'm sure that's not how a he-man like Perot would phrase it.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

There was a back and forth over Social Security where Obama was trying to make it out like the was a crisis, same way GOP did to try and privatize, to attack Hillary for not having a specific plan for a non-problem.

he wasn't "trying to make it out like the was a crisis." his point was that hillary, who has agreed that she will "address social security" in office - as any Dem president would want to do to avoid leaving the issue to a GOP replacement - has said that she'll ensure solvency through budget discipline, which he considers a punt on the issue. He on the other hand is considering raising the payroll tax. When he first called her on it, instead of responding honestly and saying we know how to run the budget better than you, she played word games and tried to turn his attack into a sign that he's a big old privatization-lover. When she got pushed back on that, she turned to her current approach, calling him a big old taxer.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel I hear ya, I don't know if he can punch back hard.

he punches back with a smile on his face, or at least calmly, instead of looking [insert gendered epithet here]

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, I'm aware of the impeachment. There really was a vast right-wing conspiracy. I don't know why it matters if Clinton didn't get a plurality in 1992?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

he didn't get one in 96 either

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

(perot ran in that one too)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards clearly came out on top last night

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

because he's the only person you petty bitches aren't squabbling about like five year olds on a fucking playground

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway my point is that Clinton never got 51% of the country to vote for him = not exactly "beating" the GOP

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, I don't see why not punt the issue if there's not really a problem - the Dems just fought this fight and won after Bush got reelected and tried to start privatizing it. Obama picking it up as a campaign issue is just unwise IMHO, why reopen a battle when it's already over and there are far more important things to worry about?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN's focus group of undecideds all thought Edwards won, but half of them decided to vote for Obama, lol

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

once again this thread makes me proud to have a DC address. I JUST WORK HERE

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, I don't see why not punt the issue if there's not really a problem

she's not punting on policy - she's gonna do something - but she is punting on rhetoric - she knows she's gonna get in trouble if she talks about it. and i explained why not punt the issue.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know, maybe millions of baby boomers approaching retirement age might be concerned about social security? stopping bush's privitization plans was a political win for the democratic party, but it's hardly a 'solved' issue.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

it's basically a philosophical dispute about rhetoric - they're both gonna do something, but one thinks they should talk about what they're gonna do, and the other doesn't.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I was just googling for "Edwards won debate" and pulled this up from four years ago

Uncommitteds Tab Edwards Winner
Forty-one percent of these uncommitted debate watchers said Edwards won the debate tonight. Twenty-eight percent said Cheney won. Thirty-one percent thought it was a tie.

Wow. I thought Cheney wiped the floor with him. I despise Cheney, but still, that one was painful.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

of course, budget discipline doesn't look like something you do, which is probably why she isn't talking about it, which in turn is probably why she chose that solution. arguably, it illustrates that he's more confident on the issue, which may be way he made it into an issue.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow. I thought Cheney wiped the floor with him. I despise Cheney, but still, that one was painful.

yes! his poor performance is a strong part of my lingering dislike of (or at least lack of respect for) edwards.

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought Edwards was as likeable in the debate last night as I've ever seen him. He actually got to come across as the level-headed conciliator, instead of the fiery demagogue for a change. I still think there's a lingering aftertaste of smarminess to him though.

o. nate, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I have no idea what goes on from these debate focus groups. As I recall Kerry got big points for "winning" 2004 debates but only insofar as you enjoyed seeing Bush look like an idiot (I did).. Luntz's New Hampshire debate focus group of "undecideds" went overwhelmingly against Hillary and for Edwards just a few weeks ago and that didn't work out too well for him. Do these people even vote?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://d.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/ap/20080122/capt.3fb781f8821847c3b6bcc9fa775f2ac0.huckabee_2008_gajb101.jpg

Huckabee loves cereal. And that board game.

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://d.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/nm/20080122/2008_01_21t201708_450x334_us_usa_politics.jpg

Hope, Arkansas, in the house!

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

he punches back with a smile on his face, or at least calmly, instead of looking [insert gendered epithet here]

Obama makes a show of taking the high road, but his Wal-Mart jab last night was as much a street-brawler move as anything Clinton threw. I actually prefer Clinton's way of delivering a punch, since she comes across as less sanctimonious while doing it. And I'd have to check the tape, but I think that actually Clinton actually smiled more when throwing punches than Obama did last night. She had that grin on her face, like the cat with feathers hanging out of its mouth, whereas Obama seemed like he could use some Tums.

o. nate, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

she is full of shit tho. never mind her attempt to argue that obama thought reagan was a good dude or whatever! could she be more blatantly dishonest

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

uh, YES?

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i know obama's your boy and all but seriously

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

considering that republicans have been successfully planting the seed with voters that obama is a secret terrorist who's waiting to get elected and then bring down america from the inside, i'm pretty sure 'you praised reagan' is not one of the 100 worst smears directed at obama this week

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:32 (sixteen years ago) link

she is full of shit tho. never mind her attempt to argue that obama thought reagan was a good dude or whatever! could she be more blatantly dishonest.

It's all part of HRC's meta-narrative, tho: "I'm the one who will attack each and every time the GOP comes after me, and I'll be ruthless about it." Even when her specific attacks against Obama fail or are blatently dishonest, they help reinforce her narrative.

And after 2004, lots of Democrats want someone like that. I think Obama can be that guy, with far less of HRC horrible baggage, but there it is.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

It's all part of HRC's meta-narrative the plan.

-- The Joker, "The Dark Knight"

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

she comes across as less sanctimonious while doing it. And I'd have to check the tape, but I think that actually Clinton actually smiled more when throwing punches than Obama did last night. She had that grin on her face, like the cat with feathers hanging out of its mouth, whereas Obama seemed like he could use some Tums.

yeah, Clinton loves to zing - it's personal for her - while Obama finds it all pretty distasteful.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm pretty sure 'you praised reagan' is not one of the 100 worst smears directed at obama this week

It's nice to know that's the standard for presidential truthtelling. You deserve Giuliani/Podhoretz.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I actually prefer Clinton's way of delivering a punch

did you enjoy Reagan's "There you go again"? right.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, it is distasteful.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

stfu morbz

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

http://obama.senate.gov/news/060209-pen_pals_call_t/ - this is how real G's zing

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Sullivan, off his meds.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

and otm

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

I hope Sully is around for Rodham's eulogy.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

What kind of feminist is he? Good lord.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

i like this new angry hillary

remy bean, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

hillangry

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

What I'm not getting is how Sullivan could have been a Republican for years and years and now start complaining about politics not being all high minded and polite?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Still, I can't help but read Sully's piece and think, this person he despises so much sounds kind of awesome. I wonder what he'd have had to say about Sen Mikulski's first campaign, why, how can we ever elect her? She's a fighter? How shameless, how tacky!

He nicely glosses over the urge to out-and-out call her a bitch with the artful "rottweiler with issues," I'll admit.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Mikulski>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Hillary

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

he just likes the bitch in her, i guess

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

He's been a conservative but not a Republican. Idea guy.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know why i'm bothering, but while mikulski might be way more of a nerd than even relatively-bookwormish hillary, she's at least authentic and uncalculating and not pretending to be confident. at least when she isn't hitting on random men.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

What does that mean, really, to be authentic? I don't understand. Not being facetious here. I really don't, and can't figure how anyone got to be elected Senator without actually calculating political moves. I mean, what is she pretending to be that she is not, thereby making her inauthentic?

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

lol yeah hillary, inauthentic? surely you jest

deej, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

MUSIC CRITCS ARE THE ART OF PRETEND FORGETFULLNESS

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, fuck it. Burn the witch.

daria-g, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

lololololol

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you could argue that being less accomplished at projecting authenticity than all the other senators who do exactly the same thing as her actually makes her more authentic

and what, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

from wikipedia

Speech patterns

Hillary Clinton campaign logoWhile speaking from the pulpit of the First Baptist Church in Selma, Alabama on March 4, 2007, as part of ceremonies honoring the anniversary of the Selma to Montgomery marches of 1965, Clinton adopted a broad Southern Drawl during parts of her talk and used speech patterns common to the Southern United States.[70] The native Chicagoan's normal speech is devoid of this accent. Clinton's defenders pointed out that she may have adopted a southern accent because she lived in the Southern United States for 17 years.[71] Defenders of Clinton also pointed out that the most commonly circulated audio and video clips of her "Southern" speech focused a segment in which she was reciting the lyrics of a James Cleveland hymn and trying to reproduce its original cadences.[72] However, on April 20, 2007, while speaking her own words to the annual convention of the National Action Network, she once again temporarily adopted this accent.[73] On April 27, 2007, while speaking at a Greenville, South Carolina campaign event, Clinton said that she had split her life among three parts of the country and that her sometimes-Southern accent was a virtue.[74] She joked, "I think America is ready for a multilingual president."[74]

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

The native Chicagoan's normal speech is devoid of this accent.

lol

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Authentic is subjective, but this is where I'm saying that Obama is (I think very deliberately) not distorting any facts or taking quotes out of context -- this is the "high road" that could pay off if there's a way of getting this tactic across, because it's a much higher form of integrity than Bush and now Clinton have practiced.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Former President Clinton said Tuesday he enjoyed the bickering.

"I know you think it's crazy, but I kind of like to see Barack and Hillary fight," Bill Clinton told a mostly white crowd of about 300 at a black church in Greenville, S.C. "They're flesh and blood people and they have their differences — let them have it."

I gotta say, Bubba's role in this whole campaign so far has been really gross - from the lawsuit outburst to the "fairytale" comment to stuff like this. Blech.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

my father last week on the phone re: obama: "you really think people are gonna vote for a muslim?" obv there's a lot of work still to be done.

YGS, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Fwiw, Obama has adopted a Southern accent while in the South as well.

jaymc, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

is it just the name?? some kind of generational memory of 'muhammad ali'? or are those emails getting around to everyone?

i've even talked to liberals from up here who said "yeah, he seems interesting. it might be good to have a muslim president"!!

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama has taken a high-road of a sort, and I do respect him for it. I think it shows a form of personal integrity. However, I think that Clinton also has shown integrity. I don't think that her campaign has engaged in quite the all-out slime war that has been portrayed in this thread. What else can she criticize him on if not his public statements and record? His stated positions on the issues are almost identical to hers. I think that her criticisms have been within the bounds of fair play. How well does any of us know what Obama really thinks about Reagan and his ideas or why he chose that moment to bring them up? Those who like him assume he meant the best. But on the other hand if Obama's vague talk about transcending political differences makes you a bit suspicious, then remarks like that might set off a red flag.

xposts

o. nate, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i've even talked to liberals from up here who said "yeah, he seems interesting. it might be good to have a muslim president"!!

Yeah, I think my dad's girlfriend said something to this effect.

jaymc, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought he did a good job of giving the context to his Reagan statement after Hillary distorted it.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary saying over and over in the debate "I didn't say Reagan! I didn't say Reagan!" seemed like a lawyerly parsing of words that people associate with the Clinton brand (and I loved this guys until recently).

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:12 (sixteen years ago) link

it's the email! that was what my dad referenced. "a guy at work showed me this email..." (my dad is a furniture salesman, so not fortune 500 but...)

obama's vagueties def worry me. not that i think he's secretly conservative but that i'm still not entirely sure what his convictions are. but i do trust his intellect and whatever else i've been able to gather about him. but the crossover thing is totally true: going back to my family, all of them are SERIOUSLY hardcore conservatives, and when i was home for xmas none of them had anything bad to say about him at all, and i got more than an earful about edwards/clinton.

and i don't think he's done. he wins sc and suddenly momentum is his again. i don't put *any* stock in 2/5 polls yet. remember how giuliani was gonna run away with this thing?

YGS, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Fwiw, Obama has adopted a Southern accent while in the South as well.

Obama has at times adopted the cadence of the black church, his belonging to one and being a black man and all

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

but I guess Hils can be our 2nd black president rite? lol.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I fuckin applauded the dude on CNN last night calling out Toni Morrison on that moronic 'first black president' shit

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

true, but i'm sort of deferring to josh marshall's judgement:

in iowa, O had time time time to get personal and work the magic to come out from under HRC. in NH, he didn't. in SC, he has, but for the rest of the 2/5 states she is probably just too far ahead in too many places. it's a matter of d = r x t at this point.

xp to YGS

gff, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

From my reading of the transcript of Obama's remarks - and this is just my interpretation, I'm not trying to slime him - it sounds like he was saying that the pendulum had swung too far in the liberal direction by 1980, and that Reagan was actually kind of right to take the anti-government tack that he took, but that now the pendulum has swung too far in that direction, and it's time to maybe turn towards a more proactive government again. It actually makes a lot of sense to me, though naturally it's not what you'd expect to hear from a die-hard liberal.

Here's the part I'm referring to, btw:

I don’t want to present myself as some sort of singular figure. I think part of what’s different are the times. I do think that for example the 1980 was different.

I think Ronald Reagan changed the trajectory of America in a way that Richard Nixon did not and in a way that Bill Clinton did not. He put us on a fundamentally different path because the country was ready for it.

I think they felt like with all the excesses of the 1960s and 1970s and government had grown and grown but there wasn’t much sense of accountability in terms of how it was operating. I think people, he just tapped into what people were already feeling, which was we want clarity we want optimism, we want a return to that sense of dynamism and entrepreneurship that had been missing.

I think Kennedy, twenty years earlier, moved the country in a fundamentally different direction. So I think a lot of it just has to do with the times.

I think we’re in one of those times right now. Where people feel like things as they are going aren’t working. We’re bogged down in the same arguments that we’ve been having, and they’re not useful.

And, you know, the Republican approach, I think, has played itself out.

I think it’s fair to say the Republicans were the party of ideas for a pretty long chunk of time there over the last ten, fifteen years, in the sense that they were challenging conventional wisdom.

o. nate, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:18 (sixteen years ago) link

One analysis of what Clinton said last night re Obama and Reagan.

Eazy, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

That commentary about Reagan sort of points toward a long-game approach of wooing conservatives for the GE.

jaymc, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

RE Reagan comment: Once again, Obama underestimated the ability of the base to be deliberately obtuse.

RE 1st black pres: "Toni Morrison owes black America an apology." Yeah, I felt the same way.

RE Muslim email: How smart was it to start sending out these emails and making these allegations years before the GE. People have been talking about Obama the Muslim for years. The longer one believes something, the truer it feels.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, my take on Obama's basic political character is that it's defined in part by what he inherited from his secular humanist liberal Mom and in part by his academic questioning of what wisdom he received from her

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

which is basically me, too, I'll admit

gabbneb, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's knowledge of economics (or lack thereof)

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Just saw an Obama interview on CNN. He interviews really well. He is a fantastic orator. He is not as strong a debater as I'd like him to be.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 22 January 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry writes like he speaks:

As a veteran, it disgusts me that the Swift Boats we loved while we were in uniform on the Mekong Delta have been rendered, in Karl Rove's twisted politics, an ugly verb meaning to lie about someone's character just to win an election. But as someone who cares about winning this election and changing the country I love, I know it's not enough to complain about a past we can't change when our challenge is to win the future -- which is why we must stop the Swiftboating, stop the push-polling, stop the front groups, and stop the email chain smears.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:26 (sixteen years ago) link

incomprehensibly?

remy bean, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama has taken a high-road of a sort, and I do respect him for it. I think it shows a form of personal integrity. However, I think that Clinton also has shown integrity. I don't think that her campaign has engaged in quite the all-out slime war that has been portrayed in this thread. What else can she criticize him on if not his public statements and record?

-- o. nate, Tuesday, January 22, 2008 5:09 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

thats.not.what.shes. doing

deej, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry writes like he speaks

Yep. Like my in-laws (diehard Republicans) said during the 04 GE debates: Kerry "speaks to the Senators," while Bush "speaks to the PEOPLE!"

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:33 (sixteen years ago) link

(They're awesome in-laws, despite being Republican and all).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean seriously: "As a veteran, it disgusts me that the Swift Boats we loved while we were in uniform on the Mekong Delta have been rendered, in Karl Rove's twisted politics, an ugly verb meaning to lie about someone's character just to win an election."

What, he has no one to look this shit over?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i like this new angry hillary

'new'

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:39 (sixteen years ago) link

so for general election

kerry taking high road=looks like frenchified wussbag
but
obama taking high road would = looks like a principled guy?

hes got a better shot at success w/ it than kerry but...

Hunt3r, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:42 (sixteen years ago) link

taking the high road doesn't mean not hitting back or not having your supporters hit back

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama did a good thing in last night's debate with his body language, as far as raising a finger (or was it a hand) as a way of objecting to what Hillary was saying without interrupting her.

Eazy, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:47 (sixteen years ago) link

when obama hits back, he's not gonna do it in the look-at-me-I'm-so-clever style of hil or howard dean.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred's out. Who's getting his votes?

If Assholes Could Fly This Place Would Be An Airport, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Fred's out. Who's getting his votes?

What votes?

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

What about the path Reagan put us on was positive? Did he do anything positive to deal with "excesses" of the 60s and 70s or is it my limited knowledge of, you know, gutting social services and turning a bunch of mentally ill people out on the streets. I was in grade school the whole time, I don't know. I saw Obama bringing him up, I guess as a way to present himself as potentially the same kind of transformative figure, and.. that's again where I get lost, because policy wise none of the three candidates are that different.

daria-g, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, let's let Obama answer your question:

What I said — and I will provide you with a quote — what I said
was is that Ronald Reagan was a transformative political figure
because he was able to get Democrats to vote against their economic
interests to form a majority to push through their agenda, an agenda
that I objected to. Because while I was working on those streets
watching those folks see their jobs shift overseas, you were a
corporate lawyer sitting on the board at Wal-Mart.

(APPLAUSE)

OBAMA: I was fighting these fights. I was fighting these
fights. So — but I want to be clear.

So I want to be clear. What I said had nothing to do with their
policies. I spent a lifetime fighting a lifetime against Ronald
Reagan's policies. But what I did say is that we have to be thinking
in the same transformative way about our Democratic agenda.

We've got to appeal to Independents and Republicans in order to
build a working majority to move an agenda forward. That is what I
said.

Eazy, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Still lost?

Eazy, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean seriously: "As a veteran, it disgusts me that the Swift Boats we loved while we were in uniform on the Mekong Delta have been rendered, in Karl Rove's twisted politics, an ugly verb meaning to lie about someone's character just to win an election."

Huh? What's wrong with it?

mulla atari, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Clearer would be:
"As a veteran, I am disgusted. Karl Rove's twisted politics turned the Swift Boats of the Mekong Delta into an ugly verb. Swift Boat now means to lie about someone's character just to win an election."

Eazy, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry's formulation is much better. If he lost because he favored sentences of more than five words then it's the country that has a problem, not him.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, that's gore's excuse too.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry's formulation is much better. If he lost because he favored sentences of more than five words then it's the country that has a problem, not him.

+

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Let's just say that if you wrote like Kerry in my class, mullah, your ass is getting kicked.

as for the Reagan chatter: dudes, Bill Clinton's been praising Reagan's oratory for years!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

and Hillary's been praising Reagan's presidency, as I pointed out upthread, which Obama's never done

http://rawstory.com/news/2007/Groups_internal_memo_points_to_Obamas_0122.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 11:58 (sixteen years ago) link

but you know, far be it from the chief practitioner of rovian politics to be fair

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 12:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama did a good thing in last night's debate with his body language, as far as raising a finger (or was it a hand) as a way of objecting to what Hillary was saying without interrupting her.

He's lucky; if his last name was Gore, that raised hand or finger would have been replayed in slow-motion all over the news for days and referred to as "finger wagging", and we would have been told that voters are "turned off" by that kind of "condescension". "Does he think he's better than everyone else?"

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 12:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Let's just say that if you wrote like Kerry in my class, mullah, your ass is getting kicked.

Skerry.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 12:21 (sixteen years ago) link

He's lucky

no, his body language is far superior to Gore's

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 12:32 (sixteen years ago) link

from Mark Halperin's The Way to Win:

When Clinton's team anticipates a challenge from a critic, it assumes that the attacker inevitably will make a mistake that can be exploited. Then, when the accuser has been forced to lose control of his or her public image, there are benefits to reap. (Bush's team has followed this same strategy.)

First, the Old Media begins to see the critic as some combination of goofy and extreme, and everything the person does, says, or writes is viewed skeptically. Rove's operation, for instance, used derisive humor, scornful Internet videos, and tirelessly repetitive talking points to turn liberal icons such as MoveOn.org, Al Gore, and Howard Dean into wild, left-wing caricatures. rue, not everyone in the Old Media was swayed, but the opinions of many Old Media-ites could be colored this way.

...

A second benefit of counterattack: The activists on the same political side as the disfigured accuser are demoralized and defanged. Ed Klein's over-reaching gave anti-Hillary Clinton reporting a bad name, just as CBS News's bogus piece on Bush's draft record served to put that topic off-limits. Pros on both sides who understand the game (such as Morris) realize that the capacity to criticize, on any topic, is undermined after such a well-publicized misfire.

...

Finally, demoralizing the other team and polluting your accusers are great ways to rev up your own base. Every new embarrassing error exposed or outlandish statement uttered just makes your base more committed. Each additional Old Media reinforcement of a foe's negative image gets the base jazzed up, because sophisticated supporters rightly see such coverage as a victory.

hence
Obama-ites: Clinton's weak, defensive, angry, and not someone people like or feel easy around; we don't need that shit
Clinton-ites: thatssexist.jpg

Obama-ites: we could be map-changing game-changers like Reagan; she's never gonna get past 50+1
Clinton-ites: lol, you love Reagan

Obama-ites: thatsracist.jpg
Clinton-ites: Obama's the black candidate; I'm the candidate for everybody

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 12:44 (sixteen years ago) link

You're satirizing yourself now, right?

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 13:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Clinton enacted more of Reagan's agenda than any prez ever had or will, the triangulating stone-liar motherfucker

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 13:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i know that you withdraw from engaging in all this analysis, Tracer, but are you actually challenging the notion that Obama is a better politician than Al Gore?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 13:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Al Gore was a good enough politician to get re-elected three times as my Tennessee senator and good enough to be asked to be vice president of the United States. I'd say that's pretty good. My point wasn't to compare Obama and Gore's "goodness" as politicians but to compare how one gesture can be interpreted by a dysfunctional press corps as revealing the sick soul of a man they hate, on the one hand, and (correctly) as totally irrelevant on the other.

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 14:42 (sixteen years ago) link

A staggering number of pre-war lies on the 'Iraq threat.'. I wonder how much traction this issue will still have in the General Election? (Obv., can't know for sure until nominees are selected, but still . . .).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 23 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/23/us/politics/23campaign.html?hp

If any of these guys get elected, our economy is truly fucked.

It's a race to see who will be the next Hoover.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

“Every time I’ve seen things really get scary and the markets really collapse, I put aside my fear and say — aha, this is a buying opportunity,”

Yeah, me too Mitt, I can totally identify with that (????????????)

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean who the fuck is this CEO motherfucker - somebody should ask him how much a gallon of milk costs

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Do I have to read that report to find out if they're counting every "I have no doubt Saddam has WMD" as a "lie"?

Kerm, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Al Gore was a good enough politician to get re-elected three times as my Tennessee senator

he had his Daddy's name like a fair number of Senators before and after him. you remember how well he did there in the big show.

and good enough to be asked to be vice president of the United States

quite possibly because he was considered a pushover who wouldn't get in hillary's way

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

The Iraqi regime possesses biological and chemical weapons, is rebuilding the facilities to make more and, according to the British government, could launch a biological or chemical attack in as little as 45 minutes after the order is given," Bush said.

"This regime is seeking a nuclear bomb, and with fissile material could build one within a year.

^^^ best president ever

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

For a second I thought he had said that today and I'm all, "Okay..."

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm confused by this. Is Edwards helping Clinton by spreading insinuations about this Whitewateresque Rezko non-scandal? Or is he helping Obama by letting us all know that Clinton is going full-steam-ahead with running a disgustingly negative campaign against Obama?

Hatch, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

did everyone catch the Observer endorsing Obama - http://www.observer.com/2008/february-5-obama?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean who the fuck is this CEO motherfucker - somebody should ask him how much a gallon of milk costs

-- Tracer Hand, Wednesday, January 23, 2008 10:36 AM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

http://www.cbc.ca/arts/images/pics/arrested.jpg

"How much could a banana cost? Ten dollars?"

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2008/01/post_6.html#more

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

If the frequency of the use of the phrase "race card" continues at its current pace in amateur interweb political commentary I will take two shits and die before the general election.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Clinton continues angry self-righteous bozo act

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

article implies that he 'gets upset' - that seemed extremely calculated

deej, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

But, he's right. Comparing him to Lee Atwater? Obama's people saying that and CNN running with it? Come on. That's worth getting pissed about.

daria-g, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm starting to wonder if the Clintons can do no wrong in your eyes, daria

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean Bill is clearly being Hillary's attack dog, is making up stuff, issuing angry, inaccurate statements, disparaging her opponents, defending highly dubious lawsuits, etc. That is total Lee Atwater shit.

Plus Bill plays sax about as well as Atwater played blues guitar.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.allhatnocattle.net/hw%20bush%20atwater.jpg

always loved this photo

kinda wished he'd died onstage right then and there

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:03 (sixteen years ago) link

classic!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

George H.Dubya Bush doin' the G.E. Smith Guitar God Gargoyle Grimace.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought Atwater was Dana Carvey for a second.

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

They look like Mystics from Dark Crystal.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:19 (sixteen years ago) link

nah they're clearly Skeksi material

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.bookmice.net/darkchilde/dark/skeksis2.jpg

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:23 (sixteen years ago) link

More on McCain and Economics.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 23 January 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.tpmmuckraker.com/archives/005124.php

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm starting to wonder if the Clintons can do no wrong in your eyes, daria

-- Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, January 23, 2008 4:59 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

"starting"

deej, Thursday, 24 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah all that I need to know about McCain on economics is that he thinks that slashing corporate taxes by ten points and dramatically reducing government spending while fighting an expensive war indefinitely qualifies as a stimulus package.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 00:45 (sixteen years ago) link

The stuff that's been going on is politics, I mostly see it as, the Obama people thinking the Clintons are crossing the line, and vice versa if you're on the other side. If the Clintons are pushing the story about Obama's comments on the GOP and Reagan for political gain, well, Obama made the comments in the first place for political gain, because he certainly wouldn't have brought them up in that way if he weren't using this post-partisan, above the fray campaign strategy. But it's still a strategy, and not even a new one. I've been wondering if the Clintons could do any right in your eyes.

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

you gotta be kidding me

deej, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The ad plays a portion of his interview with the Reno Journal-Gazette in which Obama said in part, "The Republicans were the party of ideas for a pretty long chunk of time there over the last 10, 15 years."

The ad's narrator asks, "Really? Aren't those the ideas that got us into the economic mess we're in today? Ideas like special tax breaks for Wall Street?"

The narrator goes on to say, "Running up a $9 trillion debt. Refusing to raise the minimum wage or deal with the housing crisis. Are those the ideas Barack Obama's talking about?"

deej, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, two sides of the same coin there daria

deej, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

shh!! it's all about pragmatism!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, I've given you the benefit of the doubt as a play hard/play fair/nobody hurt partisan in this thread up to now, but you done gone batshit. Obama's comments on Reagan and the GOP were right on the money*, and the Clinton camp has distorted them because they know it's impossible to underestimate the stupidity of the general public, and they think the public will accept their distortion.

*he just forgot to add that the ideas that the GOP were the party of were bad ideas

Rock Hardy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

It was pretty foolish to say something like that during the primaries. Of course his opponents will distort his meaning. Lefties were freaking out before Edwards or Clinton made anything of it.

I say this as an Obama supporter who is frickin' pissed about how people are reacting.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

The Reagan comment was a soft pitch to his opponents. Edwards made a comment about the Reagan thing, too. Having said that, I'd like to note that there is an appreciable difference between how Edwards and Clinton reacted. Clinton actually lied about what Obama said, too his face, while smiling. The Clintons are sharks. They creep me out.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I meant that it's impossible to overestimate the stupidity of the general public.

Rock Hardy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, if I have to vote for Clinton to put a Dem in the WH in November, I'm going to put my finger down my throat afterwards. I didn't think that until the last couple of days.

Rock Hardy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

WE HOLD THESE TRUTHS TO BE SELF-EVIDENT: REAGAN WAS FUCKING GOOD AT DELIVERING SPEECHES. EVERYONE MOVE ON ALREADY.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Methinks the Clintons took the timespan invoked a little personally in that Reagan comment.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i wanted giuliani to darkhorse that shit and pull out florida. clusterfuck would be fun to watch.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 24 January 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee should be torn limb-from-limb by a pack of badgers. If he splits the anti-McCain vote with Romney, allowing McCain to win here, I'll f----g scream.

Daria-g, I hope you're right that HRC can beat McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

some florida GOP voter on NPR today was saying he hopes it goes all the way to the convention and they have to choose a candidate there, apparently because he hopes they would choose rudy. best thing for the Dems ever.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://rawstory.com/news/2007/Gore_endorses_gay_marriage__0123.html

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, I am lying to you all. I also can't read, and I'm batshit, and feeling like deej's logic has got me overmatched in any argument. You got me.

If Obama were precise and specific about what change he'd actually bring, I guess it'd be harder to debate the interpretation of what he said about Reagan.

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 07:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is obviously a new democrat, a triangulator, a centrist democrat who speaks positively about Reagan, unlike populist lefties like Bill and Hillary Clinton. Obama is also obviously a hypocrite about the Iraq war who had a direct link to intelligence which conclusively contradicted the administration's lies, yet he not only supported the invasion, but he acted as a hawkish Democratic enabler up through the 2004 election, unlike Hillary Clinton who consistently opposed the war in Iraq. </sarcasm>

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 07:48 (sixteen years ago) link

It's nice that Clinton has re-cast herself as an anti-war populist, but pardon me if I find her less credible than Obama in the mold.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 07:53 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, you've been on Clinton's wang as long as I can remmeber lolool

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, 24 January 2008 08:15 (sixteen years ago) link

dear daria:
who are you leaning towards in 08?

-- j blount (papa la bas), Saturday, April 15, 2006

gershy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 08:25 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb: shtoo shtoo, my little babushka

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 11:09 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, it's okay, i understand you just can't be hassled to look up Obama's policy positions for yourself and are content to accept the Clintons' misrepresentation of his words and record. just continue to disingenuously parrot Clintonian talking points as you have been. we don't expect much more from you at this point.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 12:50 (sixteen years ago) link

who this "we", crazy person?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 12:55 (sixteen years ago) link

myself and anyone else nonplussed by daria's adherence to the HRC script? surely i am not alone in this.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:14 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, i'm perfectly willing to accept that daria's right about hrc electability, tho i lean the other way for now, but her take on the candidates' intentions, character and rhetoric has been terminally unobjective since at least when she admitted she took hil (and O?) personally (as i recall), and people started calling it out.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:20 (sixteen years ago) link

i would've remotely bought hrc's electability until the last week or two, in which her campaign has basically gone full-on rovian divide-and-conquer style. i think it's a foolhardy gambit to pull this shit in the primary, because unlike a general election where you can live without 49.9% provided you have 50.1, you actually need the people you are pissing off in a primary run. she's completely sabotaging her chances in the general by alienating black voters (who likely won't cross party lines, but will stay home should she get the nomination) and playing a strategy that wins her democratic party loyalists but doesn't bring new voters into the fray. democrats can't win a general without independents/moderates and she's not going to get them, especially if mccain is the nom.

m bison, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:37 (sixteen years ago) link

no, i think the rovian stuff may work for her in the primary, perhaps moreso in the general, where it is more likely to emphasize her caricature

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:43 (sixteen years ago) link

moreso than

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:43 (sixteen years ago) link

assuming she's being ingenuous, daria's basically admitted her problem all along - it's a failure of perception

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:44 (sixteen years ago) link

fwiw, ge polls are looking bad for dems if mccain wins

mccain vs clinton

mccain vs obama

mccain vs edwards

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:51 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost to gabbneb

i'm not doubting its effectiveness in the primaries, it just seems unwise to potentially piss off people you want to win back should you become the nominee

m bison, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:57 (sixteen years ago) link

what can the dems do to regain their advantage over the repubs in the coming general election?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i just don't know why people need "calling out" for their defense or advocacy of a candidate. daria support la hills. so what? so do i! i also support obama and edwards. you guys need to chill a little and milo you specifically are coming across like an utter jerk.

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 13:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the real clear politics links take those la times polls into account, and the aggregate of the polls indicates that it's basically a tie with mccain regardless of who the dems nominate.

m bison, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think Hilary's attack politics are working in the Democrats favor right now. They certainly aren't working in her favor. Unfortunately, she is taking Obama down with her.

A lot of voters just see infighting and they make their big frowny faces and both candidates are bad meenies so they both loose, or the sad frowny face voters maybe stay home because everybody's a bunch of meanies, or maybe they will vote for mccain because he's not a meanie and what's the difference he supported campaign finance reform and he shoots straight and is a very nice man maybe they will have a happy face again.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:09 (sixteen years ago) link

people don't need calling out for their defense or advocacy of a candidate, they need calling out for their myopic, summary rejection of another candidate, which has been daria's take on Obama all along (if not calling him a fake, then the purportedly-ingenuous "i don't get it"), or for their apparent presumption that their favored candidate will best win over others based upon the strength of their own personal affinity for the candidate, apparently without examining the extent to which they personally match up with the electorate (while applying that standard stringently to the other side on other measures).

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:16 (sixteen years ago) link

their myopic, summary rejection of another candidate

http://www.imperialtea.com/AB1002000Store/images/accessories/kettles/blackkettlesolo300.jpg

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

when I look at polls, I like to look not just at the spreads, but at the actual numbers the candidates are getting, i.e. how many people are actually willing to vote for this guy? the increased-undecideds factor against obama means that on the RCP average a notch more are willing to go for clinton than obama, but i think it's more revealing to look at the mccain side - against hillary, he's consistently at or in striking distance of 50% in every poll since December, but against Obama, he's held below that level in half the polls.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm just playing daria's game back at her, Tracer, I might even vote for Hillary yet! (tho not likely, of course)

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:46 (sixteen years ago) link

and i don't pretend not to get hillary - i get her just fine, thanks

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

2008 elections: polls u can rely on

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yea in any case i don't think polls taken 10 months before an election really mean that much.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:51 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards might in fact be the most electable in a vacuum, but now marginally the least electable because he's the biggest loser

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer always reminds me on this thread how Southerners really have learned to expect so much less from pols than the rest of us.

I was kinda saddened to hear on Morning Edition a nice old lady-on-the-street in South Carolina say Billy Blythe's recent hatchet work was unbecoming for a former ruthless, triangulating war criminal president.

Listen closely, you can already hear the Dems shrieking "THE SUPREME COURT! THE SUPREME COURT!" trying to convince folx to turn out on 11/4 for Her Lying Ladyship, sigh...

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb, either you’re a master of playing devils advocate, or retarded.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i am the biggest devil, dude

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Setting aside, for the moment, our advocacy for our fave dem candidates, can someone explain this to me:

The two biggest concerns of the electorate are:
1. the economy
2. iraq

They think president Bush's policies are:
1. economy = bad, wrong direction
2. iraq = terrible mistake, pull out now

McCain's positions are:
1. has been and continues to be in line with Bush economic policies, says he doesn't understand economics
2. war hawk, we could be in Iraq forever

McCain still has popular support. Could conceivably beat any of the three leading Democratic candidates who:
1. have real stimulus packages and will move economy in new direction
2. advocate pulling out of iraq as soon as possible

?????????????????

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain seems serious and sober without being all stuck-up and fancy and intellectual and is willing to tell his party to go fuck itself so he must be an honorable man who cares about the people not just being a politician.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

i am interested in the fact that most people i know who trust Clinton more than Obama are relatively bookish sorts who might tend to dislike the big crowd milieu he's got going on. they believe/hope that it may be sufficient for success in life simply to put one's head down and study all the relevant materials. i think these people just don't get it. i am to some extent one of these people, but i don't pretend that i'm gonna win any elections (i have won a few elections, actually, but i was more of a schmoozer then).

i am also interested in the fact that i see a fair number of Hillary supporters/defenders who either come originally from a very white place or strongly identify with an early-generation immigrant experience (hispanic or jewish or other white ethnic). while i might get off on disingenuously calling these people racist, i think it may be true that these people either feel less affinity with obama or are more inherently skeptical of his ability to get over. maybe they know something that i don't.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i just don't understand hillary supporters who call obama out for being centrist

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i think a lot of people are so sick and tired of the speed with which bush and the republicans have flushed the country down the toilet that they want a divider, not a uniter, and obama's peace-love-n-harmony talk smacks too much of centrism and the latter

not sayin i agree but i think that's there

(/groundless mind-reading)

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain will probably not be able to win a GE for the same reasons that certain people who should know better cream their jeans about him: he won't say anything to win an election, he's not very partisan, and he has nuances. Whoever the GOP puts up their main task is going to be turning out disheartened GOP voters. One of the many reasons Hilldog makes me nervous: the Clintons are great for GOP turnout.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

xp I also think Dem voters smell blood and will turn out in droves to get their candidate into office.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless the Dems nominate a Klan member or a money or something. But I don't think Obama's going to suppress the vote.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think mccain is a "war hawk"...

The Brainwasher, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

just thinks another 100 years in Iraq is fine!

Obama's 'beyond divisiveness' talk sounds a lot like the bullshit calls for bipartisanship, which we've had plenty of since 9-11-01 -- it means the Dems roll over for 98% of what Repubs wanna do.

Then there's also his voting to protect corporations from class-action suits, the healthcare dithering chronicled by Krugman, etc.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Why do US parties do this eating their own young thing immediately before general elections rather than immediately after defeats? (this is a rhetorical question)

Ed, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Brainwasher, what is and what has been mccain's stance on the iraq war, 2002-today?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

For the moment, Morbs, I will not argue your point, but I assume you don't support Hillary, which was central to mine.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Personally, I would have preferred to have an idealized recollection of Bill Clinton's presidency as it was during a time when I didn't pay much attention to politics, but now I'm forced to see Bill's role on the campaign trail now and his handling of reporters as his legacy. He comes across like a demagogue and a bully, quickly spinning out from relatively innocuous questions about Hil's campaign to admonishing the questioner for their shamelessness and how they hate fairness and America. He's like BizzarrO'Reilly at times.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain will probably not be able to win a GE for the same reasons that certain people who should know better cream their jeans about him: he won't say anything to win an election, he's not very partisan, and he has nuances. Whoever the GOP puts up their main task is going to be turning out disheartened GOP voters. One of the many reasons Hilldog makes me nervous: the Clintons are great for GOP turnout.

If this analysis is correct, then perhaps the best thing for the Democrats' chances in a Clinton-McCain match-up would be a Bloomberg candidacy, since it would split the Anyone-But-Hillary vote?

o. nate, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:40 (sixteen years ago) link

HILLARY CLINTON THINKS CATS ARE EXPENDABLE. CAN YOU TRUST HER?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill really bugs. Is this prissy paranoia the result of permanent damage from the hyper-partisan whitewater/lewinsky years, or was he always like this?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

So I just want to know -- if HRC wins the general election, shall we refer to Bill & Hillary as THE PRESIDENTS CLINTON?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:44 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys probably already knew this, but:

Super Tuesday Won't Decide Nominations

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:44 (sixteen years ago) link

you know it's really gotten to the point where,obviously, i'm voting for obama or clinton (and support obama), but even if they lose to mccain, I cannot fathom the next four years under him being worse than the last eight years. I could easily be proven wrong I guess.

akm, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:46 (sixteen years ago) link

bill's actions are really surprising me now. i was always unsure what kind of role he would take in hillary's campaign, but i didn't think it would be the all-out attack dog thing he's doing now. i thought he would have rather sat back and let hillary fight her fight.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:47 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost No, I think Hilldog beats McCain, but Romney might be able to slime up enough energy to get the turnout he needs. Bloomberg's not gonna run, he's just pretending to run to get publicity. (Which I endorse.)

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Bill was always like this. The problem with the Clintons is that they're solid, dependable liberals, but when anything threatens their power base they'll do whatever it takes to secure themselves. That's how Bill ended up passing so much Republican legislation. He was a good "go Democrats!" booster since Bush got elected, but now that he's got a dog in this fight (no offense meant to Hillary), it's personal.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Aunt Maureen's column nails my feelings about the race right now pretty well, which I never thought I'd be saying.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:53 (sixteen years ago) link

A McCain presidency will not be worse than the Bush years. Of course, the Bush presidency has not been as bad as an Evil Mutant Cyborg That Eats Babies administration, so I don't know what people are complaining about.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:56 (sixteen years ago) link

uh in other words not solid, dependable liberals

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:56 (sixteen years ago) link

To clarify on McCain: the only reason the GOP won the last two presidential elections was because they were able to boost turnout. The evangelicals are already staying home, and if anyone but Huckabee gets in (which it looks like he won't) they're not going anywhere on election day. McCain will pick up independents but I don't know that he'll pick up more than Hillary. They split the independents, McCain loses a third of his base, Hillary gets 'em all out: H-dog wins.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's record (think his 'we gotta do this right goddammit!!' kind of stance in pushing the establishment of TSA after 9/11) lead me to believe that on the small-ticket kind of stuff that the Bush crew has been laughably, disgustingly awful at, he'd be fine -- no EPA director out there preventing california from tightening emissions, for instance. on the big ticket stuff, i think he'd be pretty bad. at least he's anti-torture. which may mean we won't see a president mccain.

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:00 (sixteen years ago) link

bill has parts of the prince memorized (if not the whole thing)

xpost

artdamages, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:02 (sixteen years ago) link

uh so does everyone who plays call of duty 3

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"never do an enemy a small injury"

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Clintons ... solid, dependable liberals

NUTS. Where, in their own minds? What was The Third Way all about?

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I generally agree with gff on McCain. He would respect the rule of law and would allow the government to function according to it's mandate. He will also drag us further into a protracted recession and a broken foreign policy. Hyperbole alert: I honestly think, if elected, McCain could be our generation's Herbert Hoover.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:09 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dlc.org/upload_graphics/leaders2007.jpg

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Third way was about securing their power base.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm coming to think that all the personal jibes against bush have been counterproductive in the long run because it allows republicans to think the problem these days with the economy, with foreign policy, with the corruption of the justice department, etc is just because bush is a fuck-up, rather than the truth, which is that bush has implemented just about every policy that red-meat republicans have been calling for for years, and that we're in the mess we're in because those policies are short-sighted, counter-productive, greedy and wrong for most americans

otherwise why wouldn't mccain be running from these policies as fast as he could?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain is pretty big on preemptive war with iran

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

it's almost like i want a republican to win this time around just so there's no doubt about how bankrupt the whole modern republican outlook is, but then i think about the people who will die and suffer, both in america and outside america, and i realize i'm being childish

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Any ideas on possible running mates? I have no idea when a Clinton-Obama (or Obama-Clinton) ticket was ever a possibility but I assume it's completely out of the question now. Edwards? Someone not in the race? Who would McCain pick?

Michael Jones, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost exactly it's like uh what does it take for you people to learn a lesson??

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

People die and suffer under any presidency.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't the next prez is a 90% likely one-termer because the political cost of trying to clean up even a fraction of this mess will be enormous?

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Who would McCain pick?

Governor Pawlenty immediately comes to mind. Not only is he a perfect fit, but the Republican convention is in Saint Paul, and this would give the Republicans a legitimate opportunity to win Minnesota.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah look for pawlenty's name to come up a lot in the coming years. if he's not a veep pick i'm betting he'll run in '12

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless something dramatic happens in between not and 2012 I think its safe to assume he will be running, if John McCain is elected, or not.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost No, I think Hilldog beats McCain

I think you're right. Democrats overestimate the appeal of McCain because he appeals to them. Political junkies and journalists love him too, because he's a straight-shooter. But I don't think his appeal really translates all that well outside the media/blog bubble - the fact that he's the nominal front-runner now says more about the weakness of the GOP field than his strength as a candidate in the general election.

I think the basic fact is that the style in which a candidate conducts his campaign matters a whole lot more to pundits, journalists, and political junkies than it does to most voters. Perhaps it's bad form for Bill & Hillary to gang up on Obama. Perhaps it messes up the tidy first-woman vs. first-black for President narrative arc. But the liberal commentators (like Maureen Dowd) who foresee doom and damnation in these lapses of decorum are exactly the sort of complacent, elitist liberals who have never won a national election. There are many well-to-do, college-educated Democrats who prefer the elegant, soft-spoken, high-minded candidate - they are Obama supporters. But I think in the end there really are more Democrats who just want someone who will fight hard for their interests.

o. nate, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

yup, he's pretty right wing on the issues but he's charming, young, and managed to hold on in '06 in a blue state. the conservative press loves him. PHEAR THE T-PAW

xp

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

But the liberal commentators (like Maureen Dowd) who foresee doom and damnation in these lapses of decorum are exactly the sort of complacent, elitist liberals who have never won a national election. There are many well-to-do, college-educated Democrats who prefer the elegant, soft-spoken, high-minded candidate - they are Obama supporters. But I think in the end there really are more Democrats who just want someone who will fight hard for their interests.

+

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Half the voting public right now is engaged in a game of guess-what-the-other-hypothetical-voter-is-thinking and the other half has no idea how it will vote so I wouldn't take any "matchups" too seriously at this point.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys probably already knew this, but:

Super Tuesday Won't Decide Nominations

That article is kind of dumb, because if either Clinton or Obama won all of the states on Super Tuesday, the other one would be forced to drop out, anyway, just because the momentum would've shifted so dramatically it'd be nigh impossible to mount a comeback.

jaymc, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Thanks, Tracer. I'm going to have to backtrack and read a bunch of comments I missed, but 1) I am not being disingenuous and 2) I guess I've thought the same thing about Obama the whole time, this is true, but fwiw it started way before I was remotely considering supporting Hillary. Let me just go back to our old thread to verify, now, but that's how I remember it, as well as being strongly against HRC only a year or two ago. 3) Gabbneb, who died and made you god, that you think you need to correct my thinking for me?

But I guess I've been here before - lots of us have a disagreement, but it's somehow appropriate to respond by getting personal, telling me I can't think for myself. Why? Have I accused any of you of being myopic or crazy? Furthermore, have you considered that, in general, it's much more likely that others will be more open to hearing your point of view if you don't call them names and insist that they need to be corrected?

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

im not a hillary clinton supporter but the idea that a person deciding to vote for clinton is somehow crazy, stupid, cynical or lying is pretty far-gone even for gabbneb

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

no crazier than old dude totes DLC centrist party line til 3 months ago then jumps on obamawagon & starts trashing hil

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

if either Clinton or Obama won all of the states on Super Tuesday

But barring some last-min scandal/miracle, that's not going to happen

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

There are many well-to-do, college-educated Democrats who prefer the elegant, soft-spoken, high-minded candidate - they are Obama supporters. But I think in the end there really are more Democrats who just want someone who will fight hard for their interests.

This is about where I'm at. I really want someone who'll fight hard for universal health care. It's so expensive to be poor and when you have a serious health problem on top of it, you're pretty much screwed. I guess for me that's the part that's personal. Even though at this point I'm well-to-do comparatively speaking, despite living paycheck to paycheck, when you get right down to the % of people who have a college degree and a job with benefits.

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

<i>I think the basic fact is that the style in which a candidate conducts his campaign matters a whole lot more to pundits, journalists, and political junkies than it does to most voters.</i>

but nate, where do voters find out what to think about each candidate other than how the media portrays them? there will be such an obvious narrative arc pre-written in the event of either mccain-hrc or mccain-obama, and i don't think either one will help the democrats. and yeah, mccain-hrc will def mean bloomberg gets in the race, pulling in probably 8% or so, and i would guess that a significant portion of that would be from the democrat side, probably ensuring a mccain victory.

YGS, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

But I think in the end there really are more Democrats who just want someone who will fight hard for their interests.

Then why are they supporting Hillary????

(jokes, bruv)

milo z, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

milo has proof that Hillary is in fact a 12-foot lizard

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

a Clinton fighting hard for anything but votes, rofl

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think mccain is a "war hawk"...

O RLY?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

While I wouldn't counsel ignoring completely what candidates say, an aspie-like over-literal reading of their words without regard to the context is even more off-base. All of these guys are playing a bit against type to try to address perceived weaknesses. Hillary knows that women are perceived as weaker in the national security dept so she hit hawkish notes until everyone had them stuck in their head. Obama knows that black liberals are not generally regarded as paragons of electability, so from his earliest days he's introduced himself as a mainstream unifying figure careful to respect the other side. Edwards knows that traditional Southern whites are not often the first choice of liberal Democratic primary voters, so he consistently positioned himself a half-step to the left of the other two. Hil is now Rovianly trying to turn Obama's pivot towards strength into a weakness. She's saying you want to be the unthreatening black candidate, fine, now you're too centrist for Dem primary voters. (This very cleverly allows her to address her own too-centrist problem with Dem primary voters by making her appear to be the more leftwing candidate without actually making gestures toward the left that would compromise her in the general). She may justify this by saying that such an approach will only help Obama in the general if she loses the primary. But she's also going directly for Obama's strength by trying to turn him back into the black candidate. Oh no, she wouldn't go so far as to marginalize him into Jesse or Al, but she's perfectly comfortable portraying him as a 'very likeable', charming, smooth-talking guy who can't be completely trusted (Vito to Pino on backstabbing in the backroom) and might let you down in the end (you know what I'm talking about, girlfriend!).

As for the Dems who want a candidate who's perceived as a fighter, of course there are more of them than Dems who just like the guy who's perceived to talk flowery (tho the ratio is smaller than it used to be). But that seems irrelevant in a general tho - I don't think either of these Dem groups decides the election. Independents do, and we have a pretty good idea who they like more.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm coming to think that all the personal jibes against bush have been counterproductive in the long run because it allows republicans to think the problem these days with the economy, with foreign policy, with the corruption of the justice department, etc is just because bush is a fuck-up, rather than the truth

that's definitely the approach they're taking/will take, but they'd take it regardless of whether we called him a chimp too many times

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently Washington state's Dem caucus, four days after Super Tuesday, might actually matter, since apparently it's impossible to determine a clear winner after Super Tuesday. We have just under a 100 delegates to split. Hat tip to Slog.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

she wouldn't go so far as to marginalize him into Jesse or Al

She wouldn't personally, but her supporters on some liberal blogs--some of whom are rumored to be on the campaign payroll--are already explicitly referring to Barack as "Jesse Jackson" and gleefully hoping to see some "white flight" in South Carolina.

Hatch, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

must make a confusing read?

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

such tactical skill may make hillary the better candidate. obama supporters think/hope that he's so likeable/straightforward he won't need those skills as much.

if WA becomes important, that might bode well for O

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, yr basic argument seems to be it matters to you a lot that hillary gets in because of what she's gonna do on health care. i honestly don't see much difference between that and a republican saying that they don't doubt [random democrat]'s patriotism, but they want to be sure the country is safe from the terrists. andwhat, you only get half a bar.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Wouldnt that be supporting hillary because of her stance on an issue that's important to the voter (daria)? What's wrong with that?

Gnomic Huckabee, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I'm confused as to the objection on that one..

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

even if you give credence to the policy difference, it's what she's unfairly implying (or maybe actually fearing - a GOP-oriented trait these days) about the other guy

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

and again, i gotta go back to if you actually fear this guy, your perception is off. but maybe i gotta respect that.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Well he is black.

(joke! joke!)

Gnomic Huckabee, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I know I'm preaching to the choir (mostly), but just to underline my point about McCain:

mccain economic plan

mccain iraq plan

People across the spectrum believe that McCain is more moderate than he is. To be fair, he is much more responsible, economically, than GWB.

I believe McCain is honest in his intent to balance the budget, but he wants to do that while making the Bush tax cuts permanent, introducing new tax cuts for the middle class, eliminating the AMT, and reducing corporate taxes by 10 percentage points, while increasing spending on the Iraq war.

I don't know how he's going to balance the budget that way.

Where are the spending cuts going to come from that are going to eliminate trillions of dollars of deficit during a war-time recession after massive tax cuts?

IT'S A TOTAL FUCKING FANTASY. MCCAIN = VOODOO ECONOMICS. THIS RIGHT WING SUPPLY SIDE SHIT IS EXTREMELY FUCKED UP YO.

But I know tons of people, dems & independents (plus the republican base) who think this guy is a moderate.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ive been saying since i read it in the nation in 2000 -

MCCAIN IS THE FOURTH MOST CONSERVATIVE SENATOR IN THE WHOLE DAMN SENATE

and as of the 109th senate hes the SECOND MOST CONSERVATIVE

http://voteview.com/sen109.htm

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

109 14826 4 NEW HAM R GREGG 63 536 0.882 98.000
109 29740 4 NEW HAM R SUNUNU 61 529 0.885 99.000
109 15039 61 ARIZONA R MCCAIN 99 505 0.804 100.000
109 15429 61 ARIZONA R KYL 37 542 0.932 101.000

huh

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

MCCAIN IS NOT A MODERATE

HERE IS A LIST OF SENATORS FURTHER LEFT THAN MCCAIN

109 49309 25 WISCONS D FEINGOLD 55 536 0.897 1.000
109 14230 31 IOWA D HARKIN 36 540 0.933 2.500
109 14307 6 VERMONT D LEAHY 35 542 0.935 2.500
109 15011 71 CALIFOR D BOXER 33 521 0.937 4.000
109 10808 3 MASSACH D KENNEDY ED 15 530 0.972 5.500
109 40104 12 NEW JER D CORZINE 11 199 0.945 5.500
109 14914 12 NEW JER D LAUTENBERG 25 537 0.953 7.000
109 13039 52 MARYLAN D SARBANES 20 542 0.963 8.000
109 29142 5 RHODE I D REED 28 543 0.948 9.000
109 94240 6 VERMONT I JEFFORDS 49 517 0.905 10.000
109 14400 82 HAWAII D AKAKA 31 535 0.942 11.000
109 4812 82 HAWAII D INOUYE 40 488 0.918 12.500
109 14709 23 MICHIGA D LEVIN CARL 29 542 0.946 12.500
109 15021 21 ILLINOI D DURBIN 21 538 0.961 14.000
109 40101 33 MINNESO D DAYTON 36 516 0.930 15.000
109 49308 73 WASHING D MURRAY 40 539 0.926 16.000
109 14213 1 CONNECT D DODD 41 520 0.921 17.500
109 39310 73 WASHING D CANTWELL 41 537 0.924 17.500
109 14871 72 OREGON D WYDEN 51 542 0.906 19.000
109 29373 12 NEW JER D MENENDEZ 13 223 0.942 20.000
109 40502 21 ILLINOI D OBAMA 30 538 0.944 21.000
109 14440 52 MARYLAN D MIKULSKI 17 519 0.967 22.000
109 49300 71 CALIFOR D FEINSTEIN 39 535 0.927 23.000
109 14858 13 NEW YOR D SCHUMER 37 539 0.931 24.000
109 40105 13 NEW YOR D CLINTON 32 532 0.940 25.000
109 14920 3 MASSACH D KERRY JOHN 31 526 0.941 26.000
109 29732 23 MICHIGA D STABENOW 34 539 0.937 27.000
109 49901 22 INDIANA D BAYH 48 537 0.911 28.000
109 14101 11 DELAWAR D BIDEN 42 502 0.916 29.000
109 14912 66 NEW MEX D BINGAMAN 57 529 0.892 30.500
109 15704 1 CONNECT D LIEBERMAN 52 509 0.898 30.500
109 15703 25 WISCONS D KOHL 39 541 0.928 32.000
109 14922 56 WEST VI D ROCKEFELLER 28 434 0.935 33.000
109 15054 65 NEVADA D REID 33 543 0.939 34.000
109 40500 62 COLORAD D SALAZAR 44 532 0.917 35.000
109 14812 36 NORTH D D DORGAN 57 532 0.893 36.000
109 15502 36 NORTH D D CONRAD 79 525 0.850 37.000
109 1366 56 WEST VI D BYRD ROBER 87 530 0.836 38.000
109 15425 37 SOUTH D D JOHNSON 45 538 0.916 39.000
109 14651 43 FLORIDA D NELSON 74 541 0.863 40.000
109 49702 45 LOUISIA D LANDRIEU 66 530 0.875 41.000
109 29305 42 ARKANSA D LINCOLN 36 540 0.933 42.000
109 40301 42 ARKANSA D PRYOR 43 543 0.921 43.000
109 14203 64 MONTANA D BAUCUS 62 530 0.883 44.000
109 15015 11 DELAWAR D CARPER 56 542 0.897 45.000
109 40103 35 NEBRASK D NELSON BEN 106 542 0.804 46.000
109 49905 5 RHODE I R CHAFEE 76 531 0.857 47.000
109 14661 2 MAINE R SNOWE 53 536 0.901 48.000
109 49703 2 MAINE R COLLINS 46 544 0.915 49.000
109 14910 14 PENNSYL R SPECTER 70 531 0.868 50.000
109 15020 24 OHIO R DEWINE 65 543 0.880 51.000
109 40302 33 MINNESO R COLEMAN 33 520 0.937 52.000
109 49705 72 OREGON R SMITH GORD 48 539 0.911 53.000
109 29369 34 MISSOUR R TALENT 61 544 0.888 54.000
109 14506 22 INDIANA R LUGAR 48 538 0.911 55.000
109 14712 40 VIRGINI R WARNER 46 537 0.914 56.000
109 40300 81 ALASKA R MURKOWSKI 27 531 0.949 57.000
109 40501 43 FLORIDA R MARTINEZ 48 534 0.910 58.000
109 49704 35 NEBRASK R HAGEL 52 537 0.903 59.000
109 49903 24 OHIO R VOINOVICH 69 539 0.872 60.000
109 14103 66 NEW MEX R DOMENICI 24 519 0.954 61.000
109 12109 81 ALASKA R STEVENS 33 536 0.938 62.000
109 49307 67 UTAH R BENNETT 26 537 0.952 63.000
109 14009 46 MISSISS R COCHRAN 23 537 0.957 64.000
109 40304 54 TENNESS R ALEXANDER 43 536 0.920 65.000
109 49502 54 TENNESS R FRIST 33 542 0.939 66.000
109 49306 49 TEXAS R HUTCHISON 47 542 0.913 67.000
109 15501 34 MISSOUR R BOND 38 543 0.930 68.000
109 15701 64 MONTANA R BURNS 33 531 0.938 69.000
109 14852 32 KANSAS R ROBERTS 30 536 0.944 70.000
109 14503 67 UTAH R HATCH 23 530 0.957 71.000
109 29141 14 PENNSYL R SANTORUM 46 524 0.912 72.000
109 14226 31 IOWA R GRASSLEY 32 544 0.941 73.000
109 29754 37 SOUTH D R THUNE 42 530 0.921 74.000
109 40303 47 NORTH C R DOLE 36 538 0.933 75.000
109 14031 46 MISSISS R LOTT 32 501 0.936 76.000
109 29345 63 IDAHO R CRAPO 29 542 0.946 77.000
109 29918 45 LOUISIA R VITTER 46 530 0.913 78.500
109 94659 41 ALABAMA R SHELBY 43 535 0.920 78.500
109 14809 63 IDAHO R CRAIG 39 539 0.928 80.000
109 14921 51 KENTUCK R MCCONNELL 26 543 0.952 81.000
109 29523 32 KANSAS R BROWNBACK 50 535 0.907 82.000
109 29148 40 VIRGINI R ALLEN 37 542 0.932 83.000
109 29512 44 GEORGIA R CHAMBLISS 27 532 0.949 84.000
109 29909 44 GEORGIA R ISAKSON 22 537 0.959 85.000
109 29537 65 NEVADA R ENSIGN 50 536 0.907 86.000
109 15406 51 KENTUCK R BUNNING 26 530 0.951 87.000
109 15424 53 OKLAHOM R INHOFE 44 536 0.918 88.000
109 49706 68 WYOMING R ENZI 28 519 0.946 89.000
109 40305 49 TEXAS R CORNYN 36 538 0.933 90.000
109 15633 68 WYOMING R THOMAS 33 521 0.937 91.000
109 29108 62 COLORAD R ALLARD 38 542 0.930 92.000
109 49700 41 ALABAMA R SESSIONS 29 542 0.946 93.000
109 29566 48 SOUTH C R GRAHAM 62 525 0.882 94.000
109 29555 53 OKLAHOM R COBURN 56 538 0.896 95.000
109 29548 47 NORTH C R BURR 36 537 0.933 96.000
109 29936 48 SOUTH C R DEMINT 26 538 0.952 97.000
109 14826 4 NEW HAM R GREGG 63 536 0.882 98.000
109 29740 4 NEW HAM R SUNUNU 61 529 0.885 99.000

HERE IS A LIST OF SENATORS MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN MCCAIN

109 15429 61 ARIZONA R KYL 37 542 0.932 101.000

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

109 40104 12 NEW JER D CORZINE 11 199 0.945 5.500
109 14914 12 NEW JER D LAUTENBERG 25 537 0.953 7.000

holla back nj

max, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary and Obama both hold liberal voting records:

109 40502 21 ILLINOI D OBAMA 30 538 0.944 21.000
109 14440 52 MARYLAN D MIKULSKI 17 519 0.967 22.000
109 49300 71 CALIFOR D FEINSTEIN 39 535 0.927 23.000
109 14858 13 NEW YOR D SCHUMER 37 539 0.931 24.000
109 40105 13 NEW YOR D CLINTON 32 532 0.940 25.000

Listen, Hillary supporters, Obama is to the left of Hillary. His hope and unity speaches are not about triangulation, but about making a broad coalition of people comfortable with his progressive policies.

I know that, on paper, his health-care plan appears to be to the right of Hillary, but in the end, if not during the general election, who do you think is going to swing back to the right? The DLC chair or the senator who pointedly had his name removed from the DLC list, who sought unity within the party inclusive of liberal Democrats?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/064653.php

Who do you think will be a stronger Republican candidate in the general election? Mitt or McCain?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd guess McCain, but you can't just assume that based on polls at the moment - Romney isn't nearly as well known as McCain.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

in case you forgot Obama's the black candidate, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080124/ap_on_el_pr/obama

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt!

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Former Sec. Labor R. Reich (Politely) Slams the Clintons

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

what's this bill is saying about "obama's union people intimidating nevada caucus-goers"?

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 24 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

in case you forgot Obama's the black candidate, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080124/ap_on_el_pr/obama

wtf Bill you were just complaining yesterday about how the media is inappropriately focusing on race and gender! grrrr

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Gail Collins doesn't go far enough here, but she's waking the commentariat up to the probability of a shared presidency.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the basic fact is that the style in which a candidate conducts his campaign matters a whole lot more to pundits, journalists, and political junkies than it does to most voters. Perhaps it's bad form for Bill & Hillary to gang up on Obama. Perhaps it messes up the tidy first-woman vs. first-black for President narrative arc. But the liberal commentators (like Maureen Dowd) who foresee doom and damnation in these lapses of decorum are exactly the sort of complacent, elitist liberals who have never won a national election. There are many well-to-do, college-educated Democrats who prefer the elegant, soft-spoken, high-minded candidate - they are Obama supporters. But I think in the end there really are more Democrats who just want someone who will fight hard for their interests.

Well, I don't think Aunt Maureen has actually run for office, but regardless, the idea that only latte-sippin' liberals like Obama is very much a Clinton talking point--if just the effete poindexters voted for Obama in the primaries so far he wouldn't be one of the two leading candidates right now. And something has to be driving South Carolina voters into Obama's camp, given the ground Hillary's lost there. I don't think it's entirely unreasonable to suggest that it's at least partially to do with Bill's behavior of late.

(I also don't think anyone takes Dowd seriously on actual politics, she's the commentator of mores and culture, not practicality.)

If you don't think Obama's a pretty damn sharp political operator, you might want to take a closer look at his actions thus far. I mean, c'mon, he's almost beating a Clinton, right?

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

(That said, I do wish Obama's people were doing more to get stories in the media right now about how Hillary won NH even though the polls showed her down, and that she could still very well win SC. Need more stuff about there about how Hillary Clinton will never be the underdog unless she's running against zombie RFK or something.)

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh and maybe Wes Clark for Dem running mate? (I just still like him for that Outkast ad.)

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh and maybe Wes Clark for Dem running mate?

For Obama? Doubtful, since Clark already endorsed HRC, I think.

Besides, I prefer Sen. Jim Webb: strong nat'l security bona fides, former Republican Cabinet Member, seen as a tough guy, and with a son currently serving in Iraq.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh yeah, I'm sorta assuming Hillary's gonna win at this point.

I like that Webb is in our camp and in Congress, but I really, really don't want a dude like that in the White House. If he changed sides once...

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

CLINTON LIEBERMAN 08

(Southland Tales joke)

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

fall preview of Surrender Monkey theme:

Senator John McCain launched into a pointed critique of his Senate colleague Hillary Rodham Clinton today, saying that “for the first time in political history” a presidential candidate has called for outright surrender in a war.

“Candidate Clinton has called for surrender and waving the white flag,” he said during an appearance in West Palm Beach. “I think it’s terrible. I think it’s terrible.”

“I look forward to the debate with Senator Clinton on that issue. Americans don’t want to throw away the hard-earned gains we have made against Al Qaeda and Iraq. If Senator Clinton has her way, Al Qaeda will trumpet to the world that they have beaten the United States.”
“For us to do what Senator Clinton wants us to do — that is to wave the white flag -– I cannot guarantee United States security in the region or in the United States.”

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Webb is more likely to be a Hillary veep than an Obama veep, if anyone

the Wes Clark fad has always been one of the more bizarre blogosphere tics

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

The latte-sippin' liberals thing is an exaggeration, but it's not inaccurate that (exception: Iowa) there's a significant class divide among Clinton/Obama voters.

What We Can Learn From The Democratic Exit Polls
If one assumes that Obama is the more likely nominee, it means that he is going to find a way of reaching white working class voters. If he can't, he'll have trouble winning a lot of those Midwestern swing states. Clinton, meanwhile, has to suggest those independents and independently-minded Democrats who don't look back nostalgically on the '90s that she would make a better nominee and president.

daria-g, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

NEWS BULLETIN: THERE'S A STARBUCKS IN ALMOST EVERY TOWN IN THE US.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

the Wes Clark fad has always been one of the more bizarre blogosphere tics

I’d love to hear why (because obviously this thread needs more of you talking out of your ass.)

For Obama? Doubtful, since Clark already endorsed HRC, I think.

Wes Clark has been campaigning aggressively for Senator Clinton and has been effective in picking up supporters in foreign policy circles. For example, I’ve found many students and factulty at the Kennedy School are strongly supporting Senator Clinton almost solely because of Wes Clark’s endorsement.

It also might be because of 54M4ntha P0\/\er’s currently low reputation and almost blind support for Senator Obama.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

so can everyone on this thread stop using "latte liberals," sincerely or ironically?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

fall preview of Surrender Monkey theme

the Dem reply should be that "my opponent John McCain has repeatedly called for us to stay in Iraq for 100 years"

dmr, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

are you Wes Clark, Jr., Mr. Goodman?

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm an americano liberal

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

mickey kaus proves once again he is the dumbest man in politics

http://www.slate.com/id/2182569#obamaescape

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't think of a better plan. Can you?

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

dmr, Camp Clinton has in fact issued that reply.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i've already stated my ideal Obama/Clark ticket, and despite Clark's endorsement of HRC (no surprise since he's been associated with the Clintons for years) i happen to think it would be a pretty sterling choice for obama, as he would lend considerable foreign policy cache to the ticket as well as their having compatible positions on goverment transparency, etc.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

no surprise since he's been associated with the Clintons for years

Do you really think that’s his primary reason for endorsing Senator Clinton? Even better, do you think Mr. Clark and his liberalist entourage will bode well with the realists that Senator Obama has surrounded himself with?

I hate when policy is muddled by politics.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I know Clark got trashed in '04 for being a Clinton surrogate, and he was supreme NATO Commander during Bill's presidency and was similarly smeared for actions over Kosovo. But no, I don't know the man's mind. Why, do you know something about his affiliation with the Clintons that I don't?

Also, "liberalist entourage" = I really don't know what you're talking about.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 24 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Webb is more likely to be a Hillary veep than an Obama veep, if anyone

Why? HRC doesn't need someone to shore up her hawkish bona fides, so someone like Webb is less valuable to her (unless he brings certain states into the Democratic column that would otherwise likely go Republican).

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Webb is a much more ideologically centrist Dem

deej, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

True, but he could help drive Obama (in voters' minds) toward the center.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

By contrast, HRC is already in the center (on many issues, at least), so Webb doesn't help there, either.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to change my username to "liberalist entourage".

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Haha, I'll stop saying "latte liberal" when people stop referring to the concept without actually using the phrase.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

The more obvious move is to find a Sister Souljah--after Saturday--to stiff arm. The most promising candidate is not a person, but an idea: race-based affirmative action. Obama has already made noises about shifting to a class-based, race-blind system of preferences. What if he made that explicit? Wouldn't that shock hostile white voters into taking a second look at his candidacy? He'd renew his image as trans-race leader (and healer). The howls of criticism from the conventional civil-rights establishment--they'd flood the cable shows--would provide him with an army of Souljahs to hold off. If anyone noticed Hillary in the ensuing fuss, it would be to put her on the spot--she'd be the one defending mend-it-don't-end-it civil rights orthodoxy.

I can't think of a better plan. Can you?

P.S.: Abandoning race-based preferences would certainly solve Obama's Boldness Gap, as described by Dan Gerstein.

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, he should just skull-fuck MLK's corpse at a klan rally.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

that would solve all his problems.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

how the fuck does mickey kaus still have a job

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

there should be an agreed-upon standard that if in your career as a pundit you're flat-out wrong on shit more than 80% of the time you are forced to retired

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

there should be an agreed-upon standard that if in your career as a pundit you're flat-out wrong on shit more than 80% of the time you are forced to retired

Charles Krauthammer and William Kristol to thread. . .

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Clark and Webb are both part of the military and foreign policy establishments writ large, which in general are more comfortable with Hillary than Obama. Hillary needs men, and Webb is an alpha male poster boy. Clinton and Webb have worked together in the Senate. I'm sure there are lots of people who would like an Obama/Webb ticket, myself perhaps included, and I wouldn't rule it out, but I think it's less likely - they have fewer personal connections and Obama is more likely to pick someone with more experience and more outsider cred.

it amuses me that the leftbloggo falls over Clark because a) he would have been a Republican if Karl Rove had returned his phone calls, b) he was arguably inserted in the 04 race by the Clintons to bring down Dean by splitting his vote, c) the idea that he's-a-general + he's-anti-war = victory is like ron-paul-level simplistic, d) he's a pretty bad politician, and e) cringe at that outkast shit. also the dude just kinda creeps me out.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

he doesn't blink

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Who will get the crucial Kucinich vote?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

his blinking, like the rest of his brain processes, are too fast for mere mortals to observe

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

c) the idea that he's-a-general + he's-anti-war = victory is like ron-paul-level simplistic

gabbneb.... otm?

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

You seem surprised.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

lol i forget who but i read some smug righty article during the 04 race: "it's so cute when the dems pull out a general or a defense expert. nice going, we've got thousands where that came from."

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

"it's so cute when the dems pull out a general or a defense expert. nice going, we've got thousands where that came from."

Yes, Republicans have 1000s of generals and defense experts stored away in the closet.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

ted haggard, mark foley, larry craig...

and what, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

they've got lots of things in those closets.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

(xpost: damn you!)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

So Sly Stallone now supports McCain and Chuck Norris supports Huckabee. Not fair. Every candidate should have an aging action star in their entourage.

So . . . Tom Cruise for Ron Paul, maybe? Others?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.newsmeat.com/celebrity_political_donations/Tom_Cruise.php

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

kucinich: david carradine

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC/Cruise. Hmmm. . . Both have crazy bug eyes, sometimes. Could work.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Their laughs are both very creepy.

Nicole, Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Good point!

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards/Cruise works, too, tho.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

It's the hair. And the teeth.

Nicole, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

back to race again - hillary's status as white non-ethnic may bode pretty well for her electability, given that white non-ethnics Johnson and Carter are the only Dems in modern history to win with a majority of the vote, and the only other white non-ethnic we've run, our hero Algore, 'won' with a plurality. Scandinavians Humphrey and Mondale and Irish McGovern and Greek Dukakis didn't come close, while half-Czech Kerry missed the cigar. Irish(?) Billy C. won twice, of course, but both times with only a plurality, even after he was an incumbent, and in any event he may have signified as a sort of sui generis figure.

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

and after Reagan made the Irish safe for America

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney/Timothy Dalton!(Or Pierce Brosnan.)

Oh, right right, back to the race . . .

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

and Clinton's ancestry in the US dated to the 18th C

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.newsmeat.com/celebrity_political_donations/ <-- some of the R backers on here are o_O (Adam Sandler) Mr Rogers :(

bnw, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

mr. rogers is fucking dead

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Dabney why you brake heart

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

That list is awesome, especially -- as you say -- for the GOP doners.

Hey, GOP, you have exercise guru Denise Austin and game show host Bob Barker and magician David Blaine and Jack-Of-All-Trades Drew Carey and Dabney Coleman on your side. Flaunt Your Star Power, GOP.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

drew carey o gnoooes

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Jessica Alba gave $600.00 to Harold Ford, Jr.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

(She's hott.)

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

ROGERS, FRED M
PITTSBURGH, PA 15213 KERRY, JOHN FORBES (D)
Senate - MA
KERRY COMMITTEE $1,000
general 10/16/02
ROGERS, FRED
PITTSBURGH, PA 15213
F C I THORNBURGH, DICK (R)
Senate - PA
THORNBURGH FOR SENATE COMMITTEE $1,000
general 09/20/91
ROGERS, FRED
PITTSBURGH, PA 15213
FAMILY COMMUNICATIONS INC HEINZ, HENRY JOHN III (R)
Senate - PA
PEOPLE FOR JOHN HEINZ COMMITTEE

remy bean, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Dabney Coleman is the "you forgot Poland" of celebrity campaign doners.

Eppy, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

ie he's obviously friends w/ Teresa

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

she was a board member of the company that produced the show

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

That web site has a GOP delagate count on the right hand side, showing Romney ahead. With a possible small lead in Florida now, his spin team needs to quickly and forcefully send out the message that as GOP contenders drop out, Romney's support will rise as the "anti-McCain" (Romney appears to be picking up Fred Thompson's Florida supporters).

Hopefully, that will propel him to a win in Florida, and then beyond.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i think you guys are overestimating the opposition to mccain

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

You think McCain has won over the hearts and minds of the GOP?

That would be bad.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

no, but I think the idea that there are lots of people who wouldn't settle for him is overblown

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Agreed (e.g., see above, where my friend -- the Florida evengelical leader -- said despite his support for Huckabee, he'd support (and even campaign) for McCain if he's the GOP nominee). But that doesn't mean McCain is the GOP base's first choice. If they'd prefer an alternative (and only "settle" for McCain if necessary), I want one alternative to emerge, e.g., Romney, who also has the advantage of being far more vulnerable in a GE.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i forgot to mention jfk, who won with a plurality (but probably didn't actually win)

gabbneb, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

this is o/t but we don't have a "rolling congressional youtube roflz thread"

sheldon whitehouse vs epa administrator

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-plXrnjN03U

gff, Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

sheldon whitehouse vs epa administrator

We can do better. No-Holds-Barred Tag-Team Match: Edwards/Cruise v. Romney/Timothy Dalton.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 24 January 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

In other news: Al Gore sez it's ok for me to get married.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 24 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill was no friend to the black man.

He relished this bond and often acknowledged his honorary blackness. It is important to remember that the description of Clinton as black was prompted by his experience of personal, public humiliation at the hands of his political foes. It is not a claim about his racial heritage, but instead a reaction to his experience with and use of cultural markers that often stand for the denigrated elements of black life in America.

We knew this, but to read it so baldly -- to recall the nonsense said by intelligent people like Toni Morrison -- galls. He's claiming martyrdom!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ouch

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

A group that lobbies for needle exchanges, for allowing more immigrants with HIV/AIDS to legally enter the country, and for condom distribution in prisons received a $303,000 federal earmark pushed by Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.).

That was one of 261 earmarks Clinton personally helped usher through Congress. That's more earmarks than any other member of Congress seeking the presidency, according to an analysis by the watchdog group Citizens Against Government Waste (CAGW).

...

For the candidates still in the primary race, Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) had 46 earmarks ... and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) had no earmarks, according to the CAGW. McCain has campaigned on having no earmarks during his time in Congress, and he has pledged to eliminate them if elected president.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:43 (sixteen years ago) link

well, if citizens against government waste says so!

and what, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:44 (sixteen years ago) link

just a preview of coming attractions

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont get what gabbneb's point is

deej, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:52 (sixteen years ago) link

he likes Rear Window?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 00:53 (sixteen years ago) link

gold star

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama does the top ten - http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/01/vice_president.html

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

HAGAR, SAMMY R MR.
NOVATO, CA 94948
F.W.O. INC./ENTERTAINER George W Bush (R)
President
BUSH-CHENEY '04 (PRIMARY) INC Lost $2,000
primary 07/11/03
HAGAR, SAMMY R.
NOVATO, CA 94948
F.W.O. INC./ENTERTAINER Dana Rohrabacher (R)
House (CA District: 46)
COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT CONGRESSMAN DANA ROHRABACHER Won $1,000
primary 02/08/02
HAGAR, SAMMY
MILL VALLEY, CA 94941
VAN HALEN GROUP Dana Rohrabacher (R)
House (CA District: 46)
COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT CONGRESSMAN DANA ROHRABACHER Won $1,000
primary 12/23/93
HAGAR, SAMMY
MILL VALLEY, CA 94941
VAN HALEN GROUP Dana Rohrabacher (R)
House (CA District: 46)
COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT CONGRESSMAN DANA ROHRABACHER Won $1,000
primary 11/25/91
HAGAR, SAMMY
MILL VALLEY, CA 94941
VAN HALEN GROUP Dana Rohrabacher (R)
House (CA District: 46)
COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT CONGRESSMAN DANA ROHRABACHER Won $500
general 11/25/91
HAGAR, SAMMY
MILL VALLEY, CA 94941
VAN HALEN GROUP Dana Rohrabacher (R)
House (CA District: 46)
COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT CONGRESSMAN DANA ROHRABACHER Won $1,000
primary 03/11/88

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

NELSON, PRINCE ROGERS
LOS ANGELES, CA 90067 BOSCHWITZ, RUDY (R)
Senate - MN
PEOPLE FOR BOSCHWITZ 1990 - $-1,000
primary 06/25/90
NELSON, PRINCE ROGERS
LOS ANGELES, CA 90067
BRESLAUER, JACOBSON ET AL BOSCHWITZ, RUDY (R)
Senate - MN
PEOPLE FOR BOSCHWITZ 1990 Lost $1,000
primary 02/20/90
NELSON, PRINCE ROGERS
LOS ANGELES, CA 90067
BRESLAUER, JACOBSON ET AL BOSCHWITZ, RUDY (R)
Senate - MN
PEOPLE FOR BOSCHWITZ 1990 Lost $1,000
primary 02/20/90

...

:(

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Ted Nugent (bio)
rock star, hunter

Election Picks
1 win, 1 loss
$500 Republican
$1,000 Democrat
total: $1,500
Contributor Candidate or PAC Election
Result* Amount Date FEC
Filing
NUGENT, THEODORE
CONCORD, MI 49237
SINGER BARCIA, JAMES A (D)
House (MI District: 05)
BARCIA FOR CONGRESS Won $1,000
primary 07/25/92
NUGENT, THEODORE "TED"
CONCORD, MI 49237
SELF/DAMN YANKEES WORLD WIDE WILSON, THOMAS DOOLEY (R)
House (MI District: 07)
COMMITTEE TO ELECT THOMAS DOOLEY WILSON Lost $500
primary 06/17/92

!!!!

Eisbaer, Friday, 25 January 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

then again, maybe nuge's contribution to this barcia fellow isn't so surprising:

Political career

Barcia was a member of the Michigan State House of Representatives, from 1977 to 1983. He left the House after being elected to the Michigan Senate, where he served until he resigned in 1993 to enter the United States House of Representatives.
Barcia's Congressional District from 1993 to 2002
Barcia's Congressional District from 1993 to 2002

Barcia was elected as a Democrat from Michigan's 5th congressional district to the 103rd Congress and to the four succeeding Congresses, serving from January 3, 1993 to January 3, 2003. He was a moderate Democrat who opposed abortion and gun control. He had a lifetime rating of 54 from the American Conservative Union--the highest of any Democrat from Michigan at the time.

After the United States 2000 Census, Barcia's district was dismantled by the Republican-controlled state legislature. Most of his district's territory was shifted to the 10th District, but his home in Bay City was merged with the neighboring 9th District of fellow Democrat Dale Kildee. The new district retained Barcia's district number (the 5th), but was geographically more Kildee's district. Under the circumstances, Barcia opted to run for his old seat in the State Senate and won.

On April 23, 2004, he was indicted on federal campaign finance law violations relating to the failed 2002 congressional bid of then-Macomb County Prosecutor Carl Marlinga. The charges against Barcia were dropped in July of 2005.

On October 10, 2002, Jim Barcia was among the 81 House Democrats who voted in favor of authorizing the invasion of Iraq.

Eisbaer, Friday, 25 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait, wait, wait, wait: Ted Nugent donated to Democrats?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Haha Ron Paul just blamed Iraq on the Clinton administration.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I just saw a trustapaulian on the bus home from work. He didn't look like he had friends.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

NYT endorses Hillary in primary - http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/opinion/25fri1.html?_r=1&ref=opinion&oref=slogin - arguing she's better prepared. I didn't realize that needed to be established. There is little discussion on the other hand of who's likelier to win.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

ok just discovered superdelegates this shit be fucked up y'all wtf is up with superdelegates is this a democracy or not????

libcrypt, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama, the incandescent if still undefined senator from Illinois. .. we need more specifics to go with his amorphous promise of a new governing majority, a clearer sense of how he would govern.

See, now, I'm not the only one who thinks this..

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/01/24/clinton_pulls_negative_sc_ad.html

now she's copying huckabee. which candidate has she not tried on for size?

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

the choice was Kristol clear

gershy, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:17 (sixteen years ago) link

which candidate has she not tried on for size?

RON PAUL.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

just got back from trivia night and there was a question on how many delagates the front-runners have--but not counting pledged superdelegates. I got it wrong.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I do kinda like that the last few presidential elections have activated parts of the electoral process that everyone thought was outdated, like the electoral college and party conventions.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

but I'm a nerd.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

activated underscored parts of the electoral process that everyone thought was are outdated, like the electoral college and party conventions.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

RON PAUL

he leapt immediately to mind, and then was crossed off just as quickly. you don't need to be reminded who the black candidate is again, do you?

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Putting the ad on & yanking after team Obama came out with a really harsh response? Hey, not a bad idea. I'm sure Huck didn't invent it.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost If there's anything you shoulda revised there, it's "outdated."

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 07:11 (sixteen years ago) link

NYT endorses HRC and McCain.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 12:07 (sixteen years ago) link

i wonder what happens if Hillary comes in 3rd in SC

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 13:47 (sixteen years ago) link

It means I can vote for Edwards on Feb 5.

Obama's nonspecifics still slightly preferable to HRC's track record.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs, how can you still prefer Edwards when he's the Dem's Mitt Romney?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

blah!

blah blah blah!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:43 (sixteen years ago) link

YES!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:43 (sixteen years ago) link

NO WAY!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:44 (sixteen years ago) link

blah!

blah blah blah!

-- Tracer Hand, Friday, January 25, 2008 8:43 AM (0 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

Translation: yahhh trick yahhh!!!

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred, bcz Hil is the Dems' McCain?

Gary Younge on Obama and bipartisan pipedreams:

As a means to an end, bipartisanship makes sense. But as an end in itself, it is a hollow notion unless you define who you want to join forces with and why.

...the partisanship in Washington that has disillusioned people is in fact "partysanship"--the support not of one idea or program over another but of one party over another. Democrats backed the war and have refused to stop its funding, impeach Bush or protect civil liberties because they believe that to do otherwise would be bad for the party, regardless of the country's interests.

While the Democratic Party's interests may at times coincide with that of the American people, they are clearly not synonymous. The party's raison d'être is to win elections, not to change America. Depending on the time, place and candidate, it may well stand for office but little else. The right understands these limits of electoral politics only too well. Its victories have ended in Washington, but they didn't start there and were not sustained there. The terrible truth about the past seven years is not that the country has been divided but that the wrong side has been winning. The right has fought for its agenda and has never been in doubt about who its enemy is.

It's high time the left did the same (by) recognizing that divisions exist and that to resolve them we have to take sides and fight for our beliefs. Unity is not forged by fiat but by struggle.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards is great in a lot of ways. I wish the other candidates were tackling the issues he is. There are aspects to his plan that I like as well. I am also totally accepting of the fact that his positions have shifted and strengthened, but ultimately, this guy is comes off as a dilettante.

I can't support anyone in the primaries who not only voted for the Iraq resolution, but who actively made the administration's case for the Iraqi threat in public. Edwards was on the same intelligence committee as Durbin!

I'll actively support whoever wins the nomination, but I have good reason not to trust Edwards and Clinton. I have no reason to expect Obama to leave us high and dry. That's something, at least. (and no, that is not the only reason I support Obama)

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

"The Democratic Party: We Have Different Interests Than the American People" might not be the best slogan ever.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 15:57 (sixteen years ago) link

the democrats' constant "little dog" inferiority complex is the real problem and i think it goes beyond strategy to something deeply psychological. in a fascist system, power is the only arbiter of validity, so if you're the party of the powerless -- in broad strokes -- you need to call on something pretty profound to not end up with a bad case of stockholme syndrome

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 16:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, for 6 very important years there the dems were the minority in every single branch of government, and completely shut out from any decision-making, so there's a certain validity to it in context. (The fact that the GOP acting unilaterally led in no small part to its downfall could be brought up more.) Saying shit like "While the Democratic Party's interests may at times coincide with that of the American people, they are clearly not synonymous" is just getting behind the very successful GOP strategy of convincing Dems that the perceived majority of public opinion is virulently against them on certain issues, and that if they don't vote a certain way they'd be drawn and quartered. This wasn't true, and again, proceeding on assumptions like this screwed the GOP in a major, major way. It really needs to be re-emphasized the degree to which the GOP's seemingly successful tactics got it kicked out of Congress and, soon, the White House.

(And the Dems aren't the party of the powerless--they're supposed to be the party of the people, which in a democratic system means you're actually the party with power. To say nothing of their historical support of such powerful institutions as unions, the middle class, and government itself.)

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's couching bipartisanship in inclusive terms, but in practical political terms bipartisanship means there's someone to share the blame with. That's why the war has ultimately not been as bad for the GOP as it really should be, given public opinion.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

La Noonan:

There are many serious and thoughtful liberals and Democrats who support Mr. Obama and John Edwards, and who are seeing Mr. Clinton in a new way and saying so. Here is William Greider in The Nation, the venerable left-liberal magazine. The Clintons are "high minded" on the surface but "smarmily duplicitous underneath, meanwhile jabbing hard at the groin area. They are a slippery pair and come as a package. The nation is at fair risk of getting them back in the White House for four years."

That, again, is from one of the premier liberal journals in the United States. It is exactly what conservatives have been saying for a decade. This may mark a certain coming together of the thoughtful on both sides. The Clintons, uniters at last.

Mr. Obama takes the pummeling and preaches the high road. It's all windup with him, like a great pitcher more comfortable preparing to throw than throwing. Something in him resists aggression. He tends to be indirect in his language, feinting, only suggestive. I used to think he was being careful not to tear the party apart, and endanger his own future.

But the Clintons are tearing the party apart. It will not be the same after this. It will not be the same after its most famous leader, and probable ultimate victor, treated a proud and accomplished black man who is a U.S. senator as if he were nothing, a mere impediment to their plans. And to do it in a way that signals, to his supporters, "How dare you have the temerity, the ingratitude, after all we've done for you?"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Those final Noonan paragraphs are a bit much, no? I mean, candidates have negative campaigned against each other during primaries for decades. Why will this particular instance "tear the party apart," and even if that's true, why should Obama respond in kind? Wouldn't that make the tear even more damaging and irreversible?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The far left (including its mouthpiece The Nation) has always disliked the Clintons - big surprise there. Noonan's overblown rhetoric is ridiculous. Oh those nasty Clintons! Who will think of the children?!

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

(I'm not condoning the Clintons' distorting Obama's words and record, mind you. I just don't draw the sweeping conclusions from it that Noonan does (but I also sort of hate Peggy Noonan, so maybe I'm bias)).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

well, remember: Noonan agrees with Limbaugh that a McCain nom would destroy the Republican Party. These are not people who rest easy at night.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

If both parties get torn apart: Best Election Ever.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

And if McCain wins the GE? Does she think that will destroy the GOP?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

that way a new Reagan can rise from the ashes.

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Noonan is a hack.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"Hillary hits all the morning shows, gets hit with a surprise on NBC: An old photo of her and Bill next to disgraced Obama associate Tony Rezko. NBC's Matt Lauer says that the network "received" the photo and that its date is uncertain; the same pic also popped up on Drudge this morning."

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/hillary_on_the_morning_shows_surprised_by_photo_of_her_and_rezko.php

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

hahahaha oh that is good

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Whatever Pegster, I'm annoyed at Bill right now but I'll totally tear up to see him in the White House again.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

were you quoted on this week's Onion front page?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.drudgereport.com/rez.jpg

Mark Clemente, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm starting to think all of this "the clintons are dirty fighters" stuff is an attempt to defang hillary in advance so that any fightback of hers on any issue or accusation whatsoever can be painted as the actions of a vile gutter-brawler

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

"received" the photo

i've been wondering what role the O campaign had in the demise of its Senate opponents

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems to me that anything that keeps the Rezko story in the headlines is good for the Clintons (as long as it doesn't turn out he's been a major supporter for years). Maybe the Clinton campaign sent the photo to NBC?

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

its just turning something she's promoted as a virtue (her "strength", "toughness", "ability to handle the Republican attack machine") into a liability - the flipside of what Obama's opponents are trying to do to him.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm starting to think all of this "the clintons are dirty fighters" stuff is an attempt to defang hillary in advance so that any fightback of hers on any issue or accusation whatsoever can be painted as the actions of a vile gutter-brawler

well, yeah!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a symbolic gesture broadcast to elites to convince them not to write obama off as weak/defensive/etc. people have already pretty much made their minds up as to whether the clintons are dirty dealers or not. (and most dem voters know they're not.)

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

the real weakness of the clinton strategy right now is that they're using bill to do it. it may be more effective in the short term, but in the long term hillary's usual strategy of using associates to put out slams is much more devestating.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

people have already pretty much made their minds up as to whether the clintons are dirty dealers or not. (and most dem voters know they're not.)

Because they have short memories?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

uh, whitewater?

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey if Obama wants to keep Rezko in the news, fine. AFAIK the Clintons didn't have a connection to the guy for 17 years.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: Rose law firm, nursing home scandal, refusing clemency to brain-damaged con -- all whistleclean to me!

Obama should sidle up to Hil and use the line from Vidal's The Best Man : "I'll use whatever I have to. I can't let you be president."

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

What's the deal with Whitewater? Nothing came of it other than Ken Starr wasting millions of dollars. Far as the Nation and a lot of the blogosphere goes, I am starting to wonder what the deal is with the so-called liberal left not only disliking the Clintons (OK then, fine if there's a policy issue) but happily dredging up the worst BS attacks of the vast right-wing conspiracy like they were valid.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

look, the investigation into the clinton scandals ended up in an impeachment for oral sex. that's the clintons' problem.

xpost what daria said.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

it's an easy but risky assumption that the obama campaign provided the photo -- could have been a supporter not actually involved with the campaign, you know?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems to me that anything that keeps the Rezko story in the headlines is good for the Clintons (as long as it doesn't turn out he's been a major supporter for years). Maybe the Clinton campaign sent the photo to NBC?

WTTLGHP

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

though there's always marc rich.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

could have been a supporter not actually involved with the campaign, you know?

Maybe it was Rezko trying to do Obama a solid.

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what guys? i think hillary's just... i dunno, too ambitious. she seems ruthless. something about her voice.. just rubs me the wrong way.

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

the last 7 years have really raised the bar for dirty dealing.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Look, we can all agree that the right-wing smear campaign of the 90's was more disgusting than the Clinton's nasty old-school politicking.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Am I crazy or has politics since the first years of this country always been "nasty old-school politicking." Yes? Just because some political figures in the nation's history are remembered with some kind of halo like they were above it all doesn't mean it was actually the case during their time.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, the problem with Hillary is that she's so calculating. She thinks about her next moves all the time as far as advancing her own campaign, a campaign that's designed for her to gain political power. It's disgusting.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe there are lots of people on the left, including the moderate and center lefts, who were happy to support and defend the clintons as long as they were in office and/or the best thing going, but never actually liked them all that much? and are tired of them by now?

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

daria OTM - its always been ugly and vicious. It wasn't all Lincoln-Douglas debates you know.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

All campaigns are the same. Plus, I am a sexist.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, but, Daria, Jefferson, Adams, and Pinckney had, you know, "substance." Bill doesn't know anything BUT sliming.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

My socialist father dad personally dislikes Hillary to the point where he would not vote for her against GWB. The "aging-cynical dad" vote is KEY people.

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Semantics dictate that I don't include daria with Jefferson, et al.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

see Adams sex-scandal smear against Jackson, etc etc

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I gotta give props to the Obama oppo people for digging up that Rezko photo to try and throw things off-message during the morning chat shows. Zing

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/has-bull-gone-bull-moose/index.html
Matt Bai revisits "Clintonism."

So what changed in so short a time? I doubt there was any strategic decision to make the former president an enforcer; his stump speech now is almost exactly the same as it was a few months ago — cerebral, quiet and as substantive as anything you will ever hear in a presidential campaign. Rather, everything controversial he said in the last few weeks — from the “fairy tale” comment in New Hampshire, to his misuse of Barack Obama’s comments on Ronald Reagan, to his berating a Nevada reporter for asking about race — has come spontaneously in response to direct questioning. This suggests that, after Hillary Rodham Clinton lost Iowa and appeared to be on the verge of sudden extinction, her husband simply reacted, as most husbands would, emotionally. His outbursts have betrayed a smoldering anger. Were I the former president’s cardiologist, I’d be wondering if all this campaigning were really such a good idea.
...
Of course, we’re only talking about a few elite Democrats here; it’s possible that the average Democratic voter still reveres the former president as much as he ever did. Still, the danger for Mr. Clinton is that all the drama may remind voters of what they really didn’t like about the ’90s. If that happens, then it ceases to be a mere issue of tactics and becomes, instead, a part of the campaign’s larger narrative. When I saw Mr. Clinton speak in Walterboro, S.C., yesterday, his “statesmanlike aura,” which had been blinding when I saw him a few months ago, seemed to have dimmed.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

the Lincoln-Douglas debates were NOT gentle. Douglas suggested that Abe had an eye for black poon.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Isn't your aging cynical dad in Rhode Island? I'm just saying, I think they can afford to lose a few of those votes there.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/1/18/1941/63976

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't care how ruthless a pol LBJ was, if he had the Clintons' "principles" the Voting Rights Act would never have been signed. "They've always been the same" is the ultimate cynicism.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost Bill knows lots of things besides sliming. Have you ever heard him speak?

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

it's not just the diminishment of Bill's statesmanlike aura, it's his willingness to put his chief party standardbearer status on the line, and his learning that a lot of Dems are more than willing to strip him of it. maybe his willingness to go there out of care for his wife would play as more sympathetic or even touching if 'there' weren't so nasty.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"John, it's just politics."

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, Soto pls, Clinton's a fucking genius

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

My aging cynical dad dislikes all the candidates on both sides. Even McCain who he used to like a lot for his alleged "independence" (aka right wing nuttery played as straight talk because the rest of the GOP's gone off the cliff).. but now my dad evidently doesn't even like McCain because he's against dunking the heads of terrorists under water. (I about fell off my chair and then explained what waterboarding really meant but I don't know if I got through to him, and wondering if I should have not bothered so that he didn't change his mind and vote McCain.)

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost Bill knows lots of things besides sliming. Have you ever heard him speak?

Words, words, words.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, ever listen to talk radio anywhere? I imagine a lot of centrist 50/60 males everywhere would not like to vote for her?

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Talking with a friend last night who leans right, he says the conservative talk shows have been slamming McCain nonstop.

xpost C'mon dude.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

how old are you again?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, the problem is not that HRC does and says things that are politically expedient for her campaign. the problem is when those words and actions don't line up, or when she deliberately misrepresents words or actions (either hers or her opponents) for political gain.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

also, don't shit on my home state. thanks.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Re: that MyDD post, the paper wrote that in an editorial and rather misleadingly paraphrased what she said to them, per the newspaper's editor:

http://facts.hillaryhub.com/archive/?id=5309

(yes, I read the Hillary sites)

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not! I lived in RI for three years dude!

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I doubt there was any strategic decision to make the former president an enforcer; his stump speech now is almost exactly the same as it was a few months ago — cerebral, quiet and as substantive as anything you will ever hear in a presidential campaign

This raises a good point - even though a candidate can spend 99% of their time speaking about the issues and making substantive speeches, the 1% of the time they spend making off-hand comments about the other candidate will get 99% of the media air-time.

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

even that's ok, elmo, but when HRC and Obama's platforms are almost indistinguishable, I'm going to lean towards the naturally more affective and effective speaker, not to mention the one who doesn't have The Screaming Lobster of Hope beside him.

(xxpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

clintons want to play dirty against the other side, fine. maybe it's justifiable or even recommended for them to do it on our side too. but don't pretend that isn't what they're doing or expect us to like them for it.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

The Screaming Lobster of Hope

^^^ changable display names plz :( :(

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://ashpolitics.wordpress.com/2008/01/19/the-reagan-hypocrisy/

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

http://static.px.yelp.com/bphoto/bdPAXw6aSXPUS5X8tcSb6w/m

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.midsouthwrestling.com/jydrip.jpg

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb can you point out any of these nasty things that bill clinton has said in order to help secure the democratic nomination for his wife? examples would help here

in any case, i'm shocked, shocked that there is politics going on in this presidential campaign

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

i like bill becoming a bigger issue because it highlights the whole banana republic-ness of hilary fo prez.

Hunt3r, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

not that she is w/out merit, but it is a but for cause of her candidacy imo

Hunt3r, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

banana republic?

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, stepping back a bit. (Hat tip to Ned via off topic chat we had recently.)

Do you guys think there's a chance that either HRC or Obama would lose a 2004 election blue state?

The only one I can see *maybe* going back to red is Wisconsin. But there are more red states that are far more vulnerable to turning blue than vice versa.

Do you guys think, given today's context, that Clinton or Obama will be less popular than *Kerry*? And Kerry still got 49% of the electorate.

All HRC or Obama will have to do is secure the blue states from 2004, and gain one more -- say, New Mexico -- tadah, Democratic presidency. If they lose a blue state, ok, Colorado? Nevada? Virginia? I mean, *if* Florida goes blue this year, which is entirely possible, the Dems are walking in regardless.

Yes, I know there's more to this than just getting a Dem in the Whitehouse. We're voting for personalities, yadda yadda yadda.

Ned brought up the SCOTUS issue. There are many people hanging on to life literally on the left leaning side of the SCOTUS bench. *FOR THIS ISSUE*, I could give a shit if it's HRC or Obama who's president. I don't want more asshots on SCOTUS for the rest of my fucking life. This is the least mutable thing about our country. It's really important to me, personally.

Anyway, back to primary minutae and Daily Kossing.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i take it you haven't heard, tracer, about barack 'fairy tale' obama?

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

that is a very cute lobster, Alfred

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

taking sides "the whole banana republic-ness of hilary fo prez" vs "but it is a but for cause of her candidacy imo"

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

The Screaming Lobster of Hope

photoshop plz lolxxxxxps

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, you're on this thread, therefore you presumably follow the races. If you haven't heard or read B. Clinton's remarks, get off this thread.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

cryinglobster.jpg plz

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Do you guys think there's a chance that either HRC or Obama would lose a 2004 election blue state?

I think McCain would threaten in multiple blue states, and that Wisconsin might be less of a worry than some others

Do you guys think, given today's context, that Clinton or Obama will be less popular than *Kerry*? And Kerry still got 49% of the electorate.

No, of course not. But the opponent will be more popular than Bush.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/24/raising-mccain/index.html

So how seriously can we take a poll showing Senator McCain running ahead or even with Senators Obama and Clinton? While voters want change and favor the Democrats and their positions, a Republican candidate who is seen as an agent of change and not strongly associated with orthodox conservative beliefs could put up a strong challenge to a Democrat in November.
In a national Pew survey conducted in January, voters were asked to judge the political ideology of President Bush and each of the leading Republican and Democratic candidates. While President Bush, Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney were placed on the far right end of the ideological scale, John McCain and Rudy Giuliani fell in the middle — where voters placed themselves. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama were considered liberal — and placed about as far to the left of voters as President Bush was to the right.
...
But to some extent these strengths are a problem for John McCain in gaining the Republican nomination. The Pew survey found that Republican voters do not think Senator McCain is conservative enough. Ideological ratings of Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee fall pretty close to the ideological self-identifications of the average Republican voter. And in many closed primary and caucus states, these are the only voters who count.

(Check out the results of where voters place themselves. Actually to the right of moderate.)

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

tho Clinton certainly would be less popular than Kerry with certain parts of the electorate on the other side

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it's highly likely a Dem will be our next Pres, but assuming that it's going to happen makes it less likely to happen.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

No, of course not. But the opponent will be more popular than Bush.

How so?

I think it's highly likely a Dem will be our next Pres, but assuming that it's going to happen makes it less likely to happen.

How so?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

(Check out the results of where voters place themselves. Actually to the right of moderate.)

looking at the results of elections over the last 60 years will tell you the same thing. yet people still live in this dreamland where the great left-thinking public keeps rejecting the Dems because they are insufficiently ideological.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

btw I'll pay $2 to anyone who designs a Screaming Lobster of Hope graphic.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I know Bush is really unpopular, but have you guys even checked out one of the GOP think tank sites recently? Talk about tension and despair.

"just a bunch of dumb old white guys"

You may disagree, but Bush, as unpopular as he is, is still a more likeable dumb old white guy in the GOP than the current GOP runners. (And Huckabee is an android planted to fuck things up for the GOP, I'm convinced.)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

"First it is factually not true that everybody that supported that resolution supported Bush attacking Iraq before the UN inspectors were through. Chuck Hagel was one of the co-authors of that resolution. The only Republican Senator that always opposed the war. Every day from the get-go. He authored the resolution to say that Bush could go to war only if they didn't co-operate with the inspectors and he was assured personally by Condi Rice as many of the other Senators were. So, first the case is wrong that way."

"Second, it is wrong that Senator Obama got to go through 15 debates trumpeting his superior judgment and how he had been against the war in every year, numerating the years, and never got asked one time, not once, 'Well, how could you say, that when you said in 2004 you didn't know how you would have voted on the resolution? You said in 2004 there was no difference between you and George Bush on the war and you took that speech you're now running on off your website in 2004 and there's no difference in your voting record and Hillary's ever since?' Give me a break.

"This whole thing is the biggest fairy tale I've ever seen...So you can talk about Mark Penn all you want. What did you think about the Obama thing calling Hillary the Senator from Punjab? Did you like that?"

"Or what about the Obama hand out that was covered up, the press never reported on, implying that I was a crook? Scouring me, scathing criticism, over my financial reports. Ken Starr spent $70 million and indicted innocent people to find out that I wouldn't take a nickel to see the cow jump over the moon.

"So, you can take a shot at Mark Penn if you want. It wasn't his best day. He was hurt, he felt badly that we didn't do better in Iowa. But you know, the idea that one of these campaigns is positive and the other is negative when I know the reverse is true and I have seen it and I have been blistered by it for months, is a little tough to take. Just because of the sanitizing coverage that's in the media, doesn't mean the facts aren't out there.

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

(Check out the results of where voters place themselves. Actually to the right of moderate.)

looking at the results of elections over the last 60 years will tell you the same thing. yet people still live in this dreamland where the great left-thinking public keeps rejecting the Dems because they are insufficiently ideological.

-- gabbneb, Friday, January 25, 2008 6:32 PM

^ yezir

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I could Photoshop something, but it'd have the Obama campaign logo in it, is that OK?

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

No, of course not. But the opponent will be more popular than Bush.

How so?

cos bush was immensely popular with a sizeable subset of conservatives but massively unpopular with dems and many independents (enough to catapult a moribund kerry campaign to 48%).

I think it's highly likely a Dem will be our next Pres, but assuming that it's going to happen makes it less likely to happen.

How so?

i will cite precedent in the case of tortoise v hare

m bison, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC's campaign is likely to out-Rove Rove, guys. (stressing "likely")

I'm not saying we should assume a Democrat will be our next President. I'm just saying that, you know, the reverse-Kerry-lost effect is really making you guys seem far more paranoid than you need to be, that's all.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

alfred i'm kind of stunned that you're ordering me off this thread when you won't even cite one example of bill clinton being "nasty" to obama

the extract above is what most people appear to be worked up about, have taken as evidence that bill is "nasty" and an "attack dog".. but look at what he says. is that really it? is that the best you can do? i'll keep an open mind that there is other stuff out there bill clinton has said that is actually nasty, below-the-belt, etc etc but until you put up, please drop the imperious martinet act

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy, if McCain wins the GOP nomination, I think he'll be the heavy favorite (especially over HRC; sorry, Daria).

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what guys? i think hillary's just... i dunno, too ambitious. she seems ruthless. something about her voice.. just rubs me the wrong way.

Yes, and apparently she is a murderer, too!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

(Kidding, kidding).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro seems to be shouting into the wind a bit here.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

where is the pinefox in these troubled times

and what, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

We haven't seen how McCain will fare in a presidential general election. Does anybody think that over the course of the presidential campaign people could be made to understand that he is not a moderate?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I doubt it, since those juicy little details will all be filtered through McCain's core constituency: The Nat'l Media.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Why is everyone assuming McCain is going to be popular, much less REALLY popular?

The narrative is there. Where's the evidence?

(Granted, a lot could change between now and November. But no one knows what that will be. Probably random petty shit that has a huge effect on one candidate to be determined randomly.)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

calling Obama's narrative a "fairytale" when Clinton himself has made bald-faced lies about his "opposition" to the war = uhhhhhhh, not "nasty" perhaps, but deeply hypocritical and disingenuous and unbecoming a President

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Isn't anyone concerned about stripping Michigan and Florida of their primary delegates for moving their primary dates up? It seems like so much red meat for the RNC in the general election: "The Democrats disenfranchised your state in the primary -- Why vote for a Democrat who doesn't value your vote?" I mean, I can see Florida becoming decisively 'red' in the general if the GOP uses that line.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

(^^^ referring to Clinton's own claims about being against the war from the start there, in case that isn't clear)

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost I went into my reasoning above as to why I think McCain's gonna have basic mathematical problems if he's the nominee.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Elmo, I don't think Detroit is going to vote for McCain just because of a messed up Dem primary. Just a hunch.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

"unbecoming a President" sounds like a danielle steele novel - good title

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

the problem for the Republicans in terms of a McCain nom is that he will suppress the Republican vote because large parts of their core constituencies don't like him

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Florida is a concern. But Florida is for the GOP to lose at this point.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Dems would be less suspicious of Hillary if the Clintons hadn't demonstrated time and time again that they're far more interested in helping the Clintons than helping the party. Which is fine and understandable and all, but recent events have really played into that feeling.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

please drop the imperious martinet act

I like this phrase!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, the potential for a "disenfranchisement of Florida" meme is troubling me as well.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill has also called Obama a "kid" btw

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

The narrative is there. Where's the evidence?

There's no evidence about how any of these candidates will fare in the General Election, but there are good reasons to fear McCain far more than any other GOP hopeful. Many of them are set forth above. Remember, stalwart conservatives like Peggy Noonan apparently fear McCain somehow slipping through the primaries precisely because he isn't, in their view, an appropriately conservative candidate, which will make him appealing as a moderate/independent/outsider in the GE.

Lots of other reasons, too. I'd have to circle back later to elaborate, tho.

Shakey, significant part of the GOP base don't love McCain, but they'll campaign for him over a Democrat, esp. HRC. And I'm anxious to hear the mathmatical difficulties McCain will face as a GE candidate, Eppy.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

calling Obama's narrative a "fairytale" when Clinton himself has made bald-faced lies about his "opposition" to the war

OTM. I was about to unearth this story. Do I need to say that I despise his tone – the self-pitying lilt he gives his words even when he's on the attack?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC is not a Trojan Horse for Bald Britney.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but Florida went red last time. I think we're expecting it to stay red this time, and if it happens to go blue this year, well that will be a pleasant surprise. I don't see why all the worry about Florida.

I'm hardly gung-ho over Clinton (except now, thanks to the pic elmo posted(!)). But i mean, an old mean man who wants to keep us in Iraq for 100 years is likely going to lose to a Clinton. Yes stressing "likely". But just sayin'!

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Iraq is where McCain is most vulnerable.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

He says he knows little about economics, too (tho he now denies saying it), so maybe there's hope there, as well.

I want to be hopeful vs. McCain, but I'm not.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

The problem with the "but Condi told us they wouldn't go to war" argument is that it amounts to "Hillary wasn't pro-war, she was just a chump."

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I would be willing to bet good money that MI stays blue, most democrats in Michigan are pissed at the state party rather than than with the democratic party in general.

Nicole, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

The narrative is there. Where's the evidence?

i like this - it could be said about every campaign ever.

artdamages, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

The truth on the Clintons' war record

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

In the last two presidential elections, in which I'm pretty sure the GOP had a far better image than they do now, they still wouldn't have won without large increases in turnout. The evangelicals / social conservatives are already disillusioned (lotsa stories about evangelicals getting out of political activism) and something happened for the Dems to whomp the GOP in the midterms. McCain's gonna further alienate the evangeicals, and though he'll pick up independents, I really don't think he'll pick up appreciably more independents than Hillary will given the way she's been tacking since she ran for Senate. McCain is a nice guy and all, but if you're an independent, are you gonna vote for the pro-war anti-health care guy, or the anti-war pro-health care lady? Whose husband presided over the best economy in recent memory? So McCain loses a portion of her base, Hillary maintains hers, and they split the independents. Hillary wins.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2008/01/the-fine-art-of.html

Both of these attacks – i.e., Reagan and the “present” voting – are clearly factually false. And everyone who pays attention to the news knows it. And Clinton knows it too. Obama’s invocation of Reagan had nothing to do with praising Republican ideas, and the “present” thing has already been debunked too.

But still, she and her campaign keep harping on this -- dishonestly. What’s so infuriating is that, in doing so, they assume their audience is too ignorant to learn the truth. It’s not so much that they’re attacking Obama – after all, that’s politics. It’s that Clinton’s attacks illustrate a deep contempt for voters. Call it “the rube strategy” – we’ll say what we want and most people will be too ignorant to ever figure out the difference.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Now, I think the problem with Hillary is that she'll drive up GOP turnout way, way more than Obama will. So that's my worry. I think she's still the favorite though.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, hire me as a campaign writer!

Daniel, it's understood.

I got hit in the gut when Kerry BARELY lost. Yes, BARELY. In retrospect, we all say "Kerry went down big time". He did go down, but not BIG TIME!

And it's good to not assume either side has a shoe-in for the Presidency, but all the despair and worry that "Oh, now the GOP is DEFINITELY going to win" talk here whenever a Dem farts is, frankly, really fucking funny.

Eppy - McCain is NOT nice! That's the whole point! Everyone who thinks HRC is "like a total bitch" is definitely not going to like McCain either.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain loses a portion of her base, Hillary maintains hers, and they split the independents. Hillary wins.

"This is the biggest fairy tale I've ever heard!"

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate McCain, actually, but honestly, aren't the people who think Hillary's a bitch exactly the kind of people that will like McCain's soft-spoken war hero schtick?

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I got hit in the gut when Kerry BARELY lost. Yes, BARELY. In retrospect, we all say "Kerry went down big time". He did go down, but not BIG TIME!

Some of you thought John Kerry would win the 2004 Presidential election. That's because you looked it up in the polls. I looked it up in my gut, and it told me Bush would win. And he did.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Everyone who thinks HRC is "like a total bitch" is definitely not going to like McCain either.

I think a lot of the people who hate Hillary for "being a bitch" might go for McCain because a lot of the things she gets chided for are much more palatable in a male candidate.

Nicole, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the latent concern here is what will happen after the election. A Dem's gonna go into office with at least three gigantic problems to face, and it would be a lot better to blow in on a wind of party unity and domination than grudging better-of-two-evils acceptance.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Nicole otm

xpost

horseshoe, Friday, 25 January 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

xp

and in 2004 they hooked up the steal-a-vote machines in Ohio, as they will again.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy, Nicole - No, they're not exactly the same people, although some do exist.

There's this thing called "the silent undecided" that -- get this, NONE OF US IN THE BLOGOSPHERE REALLY KNOW -- that has been a factor in elections, surely, since 2000.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

"unbecoming a President" sounds like a danielle steele novel - good title

so does, you know, the lewinsky story

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, I have a selfish objection in that I'd much rather keep Hillary as my Senator until she drops dead than to have her as a 4/8-year pres.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost I'm not in the blogosphere, dude.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Do I need to say that I despise his tone – the self-pitying lilt he gives his words

that's fine, but that doesn't mean he's being nasty or hitting below the belt - this is such totally standard-issue give-and-take it's pretty crazy the way some of you, and many elsewhere (in the pundit class) have reacted

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy - ILX is an honorary lifetime achievement comunal blog with all comments and no entries.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, "there are a bunch of people who we don't know what they're going to do!" isn't an argument for either side.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Exactly! The either side part is important.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Yet, here we are in the lol primaries thread debating about not making arguments

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.solarnavigator.net/films_movies_actors/actors_films_images/jeff_goldblum.jpg

THE SILENT UNDECIDEDS, YOU FOOLS!

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

HAHAHAHAHAHAH

I think we have a Screaming Lobster Of Hope source pic!

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain loses a portion of her base, Hillary maintains hers, and they split the independents. Hillary wins.

Seriously, I hope you're right, but I think this is way off. Reformulate it: McCain doesn't inspire hatred in Democratic voters, but HRC inspires hatred in GOP voters. So the GOP turns out overwhelmingly to bar her from winning the GE (even those who don't like McCain hold their nose and vote for him). Meanwhile, McCain -- moving to the center, where he's more natural -- peels off independent votes and lots of Democratic votes (obv., many Democrats don't like HRC, and more won't after this bitter primary is over). McCain wins. Easily, I'm afraid.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

It's the glasses.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

hey no need to be nasty, Mackro

Tracer Hand, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I just don't see the GOP being inspired by ANYTHING at this point!

You guys don't have to look at right-wing blogs, but if there's any time to see the amount of desparation there, NOW is the time to have a gander at it.

Tracer -- ??? As in Ms. Jackson?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain is NOT nice! That's the whole point! Everyone who thinks HRC is "like a total bitch" is definitely not going to like McCain either.

you're dreaming

I think a lot of the people who hate Hillary for "being a bitch" might go for McCain because a lot of the things she gets chided for are much more palatable in a male candidate.

true of many. for others, it's that McCain's meanness plays as the complaint of the regular Joe, while Hillary's plays as the contempt of the elite.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you're really discounting the amount of hatred on the right for McCain, to say nothing of the general feel of defeatedness on the right now. Again, I think Obama would do better, but look, the GOP had to acheive a record high level of turnout in 2004 to beat John friggin' Kerry. Faced with a (despite the evidence here) beloved figure on the left like Hillary, the Dems are going to at least maintain their levels, and no matter how much the right hates Hillary, I just don't think they're going to get their turnout even higher.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:08 (sixteen years ago) link

attention people perplexed by the notion that john mccain is popular - please refer to the multiple national polls showing him beating all democrats, kthxbye

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, Bill won in much less felicitous circumstances, and he's almost as hated as Hillary.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not afraid of him, but the idea that this will be a cakewalk is just wrong

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

TBF the Dems haven't started taking shots at McCain yet.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill won against spectacularly weak opponents

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Just say "Guys who hate women are going to vote for McCain" if that's what you're hinting at, guys, and be done with it.

Now what?

gabb - what the hell do polls mean in January 2008?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

We haven't even had Super Tuesday yet, and here you are saying McCain is the prospective winner.

???

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Much like, say, KERRY was the prospective winner about four years ago.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

we're not calling him the prospective winner, we're saying don't discount him out of hand.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

no one is discounting anybody in the Top two of either party right now.

(for once)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

We haven't even had Super Tuesday yet, and here you are saying McCain is the prospective winner.

True! MITTMENTUM!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, I would love Mittens to win the nomination.

Nicole, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I also think Romney would make the least-objectionable President of the GOP contenders.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm actually hoping Guiliani wins Florida, just to fuck shit up more for the GOP.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

by the way guys, if I'm coming off as aggro, it's just rhetorical aggro. I'm not angry at anybody here or anything. Apologies for the browbeating style.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

if you're an independent, are you gonna vote for the pro-war anti-health care guy, or the anti-war pro-health care lady?

its unlikely independants would frame those issues that way (er would have the issues framed that way for them).

i am scared of mccain cuz i want a dem administration, but i am skeptical that he can get the nom.

artdamages, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm actually hoping Guiliani wins Florida, just to fuck shit up more for the GOP.

-- Mackro Mackro, Friday, January 25, 2008 7:18 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

yes

artdamages, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Apologies for the browbeating style.

Well, you hurt my feelings. But I'll try to go on.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm actually hoping Guiliani wins Florida, just to fuck shit up more for the GOP.

-- Mackro Mackro, Friday, January 25, 2008 7:18 PM

totes

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

hey, Daniel, did you notice the traffic on Calle Ocho the other day when McCain stopped by Versailles for his cortadito?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

ALS, do you live in FL?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, you hurt my feelings. But I'll try to go on.

Did I? Tracer said I was being nasty, so I was just clarifyin'

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Daniel was riffing on Hillary.

jaymc, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually, I think Iran is going to hurt McCain more than Iraq will.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Then again, Iran could potentially hurt any candidate. But Iran is an incredibly important issue here, at least for the election.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

who's Iran?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Sofaraway

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

So, anyway, how many blue states will McCain win back from the 2004 election again?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to know which are the more left-leaning women-hating states here.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I am actually starting to think Mitt could be a more formidable opponent..

Regarding McCain, he's got a notoriously explosive temper and I wonder whether it wouldn't show up at some point. plus, honestly.. he's really old.. and I believe I saw some polling that voters would def. hesitate on that.

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Daniel was riffing on Hillary.

I was, but my anemic sense of humor makes lines like that hard to understand. I need zing lessons.

hey, Daniel, did you notice the traffic on Calle Ocho the other day when McCain stopped by Versailles for his cortadito?

No, I missed it. He drew a big crowd? See, South Florida I would think is McCain Country (formally Giuliani Country), i.e., the GOP base here are mostly "Nat'l Security Republicans." It's upstate where I think McCain may have some trouble with "Social Conservative Republicans."

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I am actually starting to think Mitt could be a more formidable opponent...

No.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm dying to hear Obama's stance on Cuba. The he-is-an-A-rab meme will circulate again on AM radio.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Will Obama's Stance on Cuba Hurt? -- Time Online Edition, 2007

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

he found his sister soulja, hooray

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Cynic.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not sure how it could hurt him - since the Dems are not contesting Florida this go round (it was stripped of all its delegates).

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

(That's only for the primaries, I believe.)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, that's what I meant - it won't hurt him in the primaries.

o. nate, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

His Sister Soulja killed Kennedy, how ironic.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

uh taking on florida cubans is not exactly jabbing someone to your left xps

gff, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

now now you're gonna make mickey kaus cry.

Eppy, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I just got an e-mail saying that it is likely Senator Kennedy will endorse a candidate if not tomorrow night than sometime next week. Any predictions?

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Whoever he has to deal with most often in the cloakroom.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think that Obama's stance on Cuba qualifies as a sister souljah moment, even by the standards of that fucked up kaus article.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

There's been a lot of speculation that Ted Kennedy will endorse Obama. He reportedly phoned Bill and told him to lay off Barack. I'd imagine Obama has some other big endorsements lined up between Saturday and the 5th... meanwhile, has anyone notable endorsed Clinton lately? I mean other politicians, not the Times.

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

There's been a lot of speculation that Ted Kennedy will endorse Obama. He reportedly phoned Bill and told him to lay off Barack. I'd imagine Obama has some other big endorsements lined up between Saturday and the 5th... meanwhile, has anyone notable endorsed Clinton lately? I mean other politicians, not the Times.

I should say that piece of information was sent to me by someone with close-ties to the Clinton campaign. Might be nothing ... but, you know.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Goodman, are you Mark Penn?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 25 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

And was your Clinton-tied source Karl Rove?

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Why? You don't think his information is legit?

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Karl's? No, I'm sure it's totally legit.

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Even if you're getting it from a Clinton source, the rumor is still that it's gonna be Obama. Not that I think Ted Kennedy's endorsement will make a shred of difference outside possibly Massachusetts.

"Two sources say [Clinton has] directed a flood of calls the senator's way, with everyone from union leaders to his Massachusetts constituents scrambling to stop what Clinton's camp is worried could be an endorsement of Obama."

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.93950.com/images/lobstr.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

How significant, really, is Ted Kennedy's endorsement, though?

jaymc, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

The only significance, aside from the possible "Barack is the first candidate who's inspired people like my brothers John and Bobby did," is that it might help him in Massachusetts. Obama is significantly behind in the polls, even with endorsements from Kerry and Deval Patrick.

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img217.imageshack.us/img217/2984/lobsterhl0.jpg

daria-g, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing HRC will do well enough in the Northeast.. Obama may have to rely on the West Coast.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

While I don't know if it will translate into votes in Massachusetts or elsewhere, I don't think that Teddy K.'s endorsement, being the quintessential elder establishment Dem, is insignificant -- at least inside the beltway.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, it's taken pretty much for granted that Hillary is favored by establishment Democrats, yes?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

the Screaming Lobster of Hope should count on the Bay State's fishermen vote.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Sen. Kerry and Gov. Patrick have already endorsed Obama (and Teddy makes three!)

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.kinetictrailers.com/images/11_23/alfred.jpg

BleepBot, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

B+ (lobster is not screaming)

elmo argonaut, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

at least inside the beltway.

Well sure, but what I'm saying is, how does this begin to translate to primary votes?

jaymc, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

the more you look like a winner, the more likely you are to become one. the question is how the endorsement gets played.

gabbneb, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

haha. gabbneb = our generation's Mark Hanna

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

who's got a screaming bill for me?

BleepBot, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

bleep u a hero dawg

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

How significant, really, is Ted Kennedy's endorsement, though?

-- jaymc, Friday, January 25, 2008 9:45 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

his decision to endorse obama (or establisment dems in aggregate) might tell you he knows which way the wind is blowing.

artdamages, Friday, 25 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

that's fine, but that doesn't mean he's being nasty or hitting below the belt - this is such totally standard-issue give-and-take it's pretty crazy the way some of you, and many elsewhere (in the pundit class) have reacted

the press have overreacted in this way because he has directly impugned their motives and behavior on more than one occasion recently. So the punditry has their feathers ruffled (see last night's Daily Show bit). BUT, this should not obscure the fact that Clinton is still being a dishonest jackass attack dog for Hillary, and that its pretty nauseating. At least for those of us who find blatant self-righteous hypocristy nauseating.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, but see, HRC represents a triumph of feminism!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:06 (sixteen years ago) link

seriously what was that bullshit Bill was spewing about how Obama and the unions wanted their caucus-goers votes to count 5 times more than everyone else's votes, and that's why there was a lawsuit challenging the caucus arrangement? that didn't even make any sense (and that lawsuit was appropriately thrown out - not that it won Obama Nevada anyway)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

In retrospect it seems clear the Clintons knew that the lawsuit was bullshit would fail and pushed it anyway just to smear Obama. They were probably planning all along to flood the at-large precincts with nurses and other workers from the vicinity who were technically allowed to vote there, even though they don't work on Saturdays. I hate them, but they're crafty.

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:27 (sixteen years ago) link

They also got ABC News to "break" this story that Obama maybe didn't return all the Rezko money, an investigation that was already done by the Sun-Times. On the night before the SC election, too. All the while whining, "boo hoo the media is for Obama and against us."

Hatch, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:30 (sixteen years ago) link

^i take it this is what hillary was referring to before about "there being more" to the obama-rezko thing?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 25 January 2008 23:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton: Hey, maybe I want those Florida and Michigan delegates after all

Surprised they aren't worried about "Hillary will do anything" backlash.

clotpoll, Saturday, 26 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

what fucking backlash? america doesn't have enough energy to be angry at any of this shit anymore. let her have it, what is she going to do, run us further into the ground?

El Tomboto, Saturday, 26 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Honestly: If Obama is a Reaganite, then I am a salamander.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/24/AR2008012402801_pf.html

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, this is easy. the dems are not the 'party of the powerless'. fuck that noise. they are the party that is inclusive of and willing to stand up for minorities. which means that the majority, including the less well-off, are more than willing to eschew them as long as times are ok. of course even the less well-off have been relatively comfortable since the end of wwii and especially after Dem presidents have helped give them a rising tide. this primary is a race between a democratic standardbearer (and, probably permanently sidelined, her runner-up whose daddy worked in a meal) whose claim on electability lies in no small part in her demographic majoritarian identity, and a minority representative whose claim on electability lies in his rhetorical appeal to majoritarian consensus. it's two sides of a coin, but count me among those who believe that the narrative of the latter of the two will ring truer with more people in the end.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

because of authen-tic-i-ty

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

was someone talking about Obama's kumbaya naivete?

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/01/25/bill-clinton-john-mccain-and-hillary-are-very-close/

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

is Feingold positioning himself as a veep candidate against his better half in well-known legislation?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/01/25/feingold-rips-edwards-aga_n_83225.html

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_01/012967.php

again, i look not just at the spread but at the actual numbers. the best story here, giving credence to the bobby mcferrin school of mccain-watching, is that no republican breaks 46%, while dems exceed 50 several times. but right, we care about comparing the candidates. hil again gets a higher number than O against Mc, but again Mc is almost in striking distance against her but not against him. and when you see how high O and H's numbers go, it helps confirm what H's negatives suggest - O has a higher ceiling than she does. the only candidate against whom she does better than he is Romney. I'm not sure why that is, but one supposition is that O-Romney produces the lowest gross name id of any matchup. another is that it's the only matchup in which a quasi-Southern Dem faces a non-national Northern Repug, '92 all over again.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

(well, ok GHWB was a national figure, but you know what i mean)

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

dude its friday night, hit the bar and argue about the election there

deej, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

dude, i've already had several glasses out, thanks

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC has a Miracle Microphone that can amplify thoughts and words from the future!

http://rawstory.com/news/2007/MSNBC_blames_Romney_whisper_on_microphone_0125.html

StanM, Saturday, 26 January 2008 12:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton’s admirers counter that, as a member of the U.S. Senate, she has learned the art of compromise. In just seven years, she has mastered the power relationships and legislative labyrinths of this most difficult club. “Hillary believes in governing,” Neera Tanden said. When Tanden worked as her legislative director, Clinton would call again and again from the Senate floor to gauge the effect that a new amendment would have on a bill. Such attention to minutiae is rare in a legislator. The question, though, is whether her indisputable virtues—hard work, intellectual acuity, a command of policy—are ideally suited for the White House. A senator must convince fifty to sixty fellow-politicians; a President must rouse three hundred million fellow-citizens.

fantastic article - http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/01/28/080128fa_fact_packer

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Packer's tone is all over the place -- admiration, pity, revulsion for HRC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:16 (sixteen years ago) link

that's a rather, well, dramatic take on it. i think it's an even-handed examination of someone's strengths and weaknesses.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm talking about the article (which I read on the bus yesterday). The "touching" part is reeling at Packer's idea of HRC's sense of humor: singing "Stop! In the Name of Love" while traipsing down a hallway.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

i know you're talking about the article

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.slate.com/id/2182689

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Gary Wills points out Constitutional problems with a Clinton presidency:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/26/opinion/26wills.html

Bob Herbert is shocked, shocked at the Clinton campaign's activities (though he does bring up some stuff I was unaware of):

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/26/opinion/26herbert.html

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Herbert is righteously indignant

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

The Clinton camp knows what it’s doing, and its slimy maneuvers have been working. Bob Kerrey apologized and Andrew Young said at the time of his comment that he was just fooling around. But the damage to Senator Obama has been real, and so have the benefits to Senator Clinton of these and other lowlife tactics.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

The "touching" part is reeling at Packer's idea of HRC's sense of humor: singing "Stop! In the Name of Love" while traipsing down a hallway.

I dunno, seems like something my mom would do. Definitely warms me up to Hillary, at least a tiny bit.

Hatch, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Two things stood out for me in the Packer article, both of which expressed my feelings pretty well.

On Hillary:

“There is a quality of playing the embattled, beleaguered victim that I find unappealing and depressing.”

On Obama:

"If you’ve got the votes, you will beat them and do it with a smile on your face.” It was a summons to reasonableness, yet Obama made it sound thrilling.

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

packer is a robot designed to regurgitate conventional wisdom; so is herbert (though he positions himself more leftward - packer appears to be one of those people who tries to have no discernable judgment about anything)

Tracer Hand, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, it made me realize just how dumb the LBJ argument is:

“Dr. King’s dream began to be realized when President Lyndon Johnson passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964, when he was able to get through Congress something that President Kennedy was hopeful to do—the President before had not even tried—but it took a President to get it done.”

JFK wasn't able to get it done, at least in part, because he was murdered after three years in office, and LBJ definitely wouldn't have been able to get it done had Kennedy not been murdered. The LBJ comparison actually reflects poorly on Hillary I think--besides the fact that she's nowhere near the power politics sensei Johnson was, she shares his habit for micro-managing which got us mired in Vietnam. Johnson was effective in Congress but an absolute slimeball as a human being, and he screwed the Democratic party up for decades.

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, who knows if MLK could've gotten it passed if he was president (though he wouldn't have been elected), but he was just as effective and canny a political actor as LBJ was, just in a different role. Arguably he also boxed LBJ into a corner where he was forced to support civil rights, not where he was able to.

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought this was very perceptive:

Similarly, if this campaign is, among other things, a referendum on the current occupant of the White House—as elections at the end of failed Presidencies inevitably are—then its outcome will be determined partly by whether voters find George W. Bush guilty of incompetence or of demeaning American politics.

...

These rival conceptions of the Presidency—Clinton as executive, Obama as visionary—reflect a deeper difference in how the two candidates analyze what ails the country. Obama’s diagnosis is more fundamental: for him, the illness precedes the Bush years and the partisan deadlock in Washington, originating in a basic failure of politicians to bring Americans together. A strong hand on the wheel won’t make a difference if your car is stuck in the mud; a good leader has to persuade enough people to get out and push. Whereas Clinton echoes Churchill, who proclaimed, “Give us the tools and we will finish the job,” Obama invokes Lincoln, who said, “As our case is new, so we must think anew, and act anew. We must disenthrall ourselves, and then we shall save our country.”

G00blar, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

the gary wills article reminds me that the democrats, should they take the white house, will be paying for the sins of this bush adminstration for many, many years

Tracer Hand, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, who knows if MLK could've gotten it passed if he was president (though he wouldn't have been elected), but he was just as effective and canny a political actor as LBJ was, just in a different role.

Which, when you think about it, really does skew Hillary's comments to race. Does "It took a president to get it done" mean: "It took a white person to get it done"?

G00blar, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I totally understand the Johnson fetish for political junkies--dude was definitely impressive--but every few years they should really go back and read one of his bios. They can just read the Goodwin one, that's shorter, but it still reminds you that he was a horrible human being.

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v134/tracerhand/HR.jpg

I tried so hard my dear to show that you're my every dream
Yet you're afraid each thing I do is just some evil scheme
A memory from your lonesome past keeps us so far apart
Why cant I free your doubtful mind and melt your cold cold heart

Tracer Hand, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, hillary is a beacon of warmth and light and everyone who questions her is a robot

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

“In her personal life, she’s always seemed like she had something to hide,” Dee Dee Myers, who was a top adviser on Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign, and who served as White House press secretary for the first two years of his Presidency, said. “She had a difficult father, and she spent a lot of time trying to create an image of a functional family when she could have just said, ‘It’s my family.’ The burden of perfection was upon her, and she carried it into her marriage. There’s always this fear of letting people see what they already know.”

one more sexist asshole, amirite?

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.newsweek.com/id/104430

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

The burden of perfection was upon her, and she carried it into her marriage. There’s always this fear of letting people see what they already know.

Ha. This reminds me of so many of my friends' parents, back in grade school and high school, keeping up an image of a perfect family because everyone else did too. I wish I had some articles I've read on this to bring up here, some.. reflections on the feminist movement and wondering how.. it opened doors for women but at the same time, had many feeling like now they had to be perfect at everything. advance all the way up the corporate ladder, break that glass ceiling, and iron everybody's shirts..

daria-g, Saturday, 26 January 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm baffled at Herbert quoting a random posting on a "major news blog" to make a point. You know, I do wonder if there's been a concerted effort on the part of the Obama campaign to portray the Clintons as responsible for the "Obama is a Muslim manchurian candidate" smear making the rounds. That's such garbage - those right wing emails have been circulating since his Senate campaign four years ago - only different is, now the so-called liberal blogosphere has realized it and thinks it's new news.

daria-g, Saturday, 26 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

packer appears to be one of those people who tries to have no discernable judgment about anything)

Have you read The Assassins' Gate?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

You know, I do wonder if there's been a concerted effort on the part of the Obama campaign to portray the Clintons as responsible for the "Obama is a Muslim manchurian candidate" smear making the rounds. That's such garbage

yeah, that's why Kerrey repeated that shit or are you gonna continue to pretend they don't know exactly what they're doing?

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Sully quotes The Harvard Crimson editorial endorsing 'bama. I must say, it's better than what I read in my students' college newspaper.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, I had dinner with my friend's family a few weeks back and the wacky right-wing uncle brought up the Obama-is-a-Muslim thing. Those e-mails may have been around for a while, but they're definitely getting a lot more attention now. That's certainly understandable, since he's a much more prominent figure than he was 4 years ago, but it's also very real, I think.

But yeah, Herbert quoting what looked like a blog comment is nutso.

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i like how hillary's toughness is supposed to be this great feminist signifier of all the things women have to face and men don't when all of these studies of her make clear it goes back to a childhood in which she was brought up by a strong-willed woman and a strong-willed man who wanted her to be equally strong-willed, and that this personality developed significantly before she ever came close to the job market. and precisely what glass ceilings did she face that put the armor on her? i fail to recall anything in her working experience like the sandra day o'connor story of being offered secretarial positions - everyone regarded her as a star from the beginning, and by all accounts she had her pick of opportunities and rose up the ladder without obstacles and with apparent ease.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, I'll have to reevaluate my personal experience of these issues, I suppose. One of which is that there is rarely anything precise you can point to about a glass ceiling. If there were, if it wasn't more about the aggregate of subtle things, life would be easier.

daria-g, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

In other words, re asking: where's the glass ceiling? she didn't face that, everyone made things easy for her, her accomplishments don't really count, and the condescending "i like how this is supposed to be a great feminist signifier"

DUDE, YOU ARE AN EXAMPLE OF THIS RIGHT NOW.

daria-g, Saturday, 26 January 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to see the studies that prove her parents were strong-willed. They sound interesting!

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

dude, you are becoming incoherent. i'm not condescending to hillary or saying her accomplishments don't count, i'm attacking what other people are projecting on her by reference to the actual facts of her life.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

roxy, pls to read any book or article about hillary's early life

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Your favorite Hershey bar is Krackel.

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost her accomplishments don't really count

I think it would be more accurate to say that her accomplishment count for exactly what they are, and do not rate extra points for the fact that they are the accomplishments of a woman instead of a man.

I don't suppose you would be very happy with someone who praised HRC on these terms: "well, for a woman, you have to admit she's pretty capable" or conversely, "you have to allow HRC to fail more often than a man, because women always start a step behind men".

It is more satisfying all the way around to say, HRC is the best person who is running, and here is why...(insert accomplishments here).

Aimless, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

nice one, xp

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Gabbnebb, I look into your eyes and I see a K, a G, and a B.

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

is that what they teach in yr "college"?

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes. You are exactly correct.

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Rhetoric has long been a mainstay of curricula.

Aimless, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually, I was quoting what McCain said just now.

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

(About Putin, not gabbnebb.)

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

roxxxzakkk seems a little light on reading comprehension - i regard hersheys as more edible kitsch than food (i prefer lindt excellence dark) and krackel is the kitschiest.

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Edible kitsch!

roxymuzak, Saturday, 26 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

see also: gnawing on a gnarden gnome

remy bean, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://schools.bcps.org/schools/chs/catonsville/history/images/edible-shoe.jpg

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

if hillary ends up winning the nomination, it's going to be quite interesting to see gabb's contortions to justify his support for her nomination.

Eisbaer, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

In his autobio, Michael Medved, the right wing film critic, has a mildly creepy section devoted to his Yale friendship with Hillary, who he was obviously in lurve with. He describes her as the nicest, warmest, smartest girl in the world, who stays up all night comforting him when he feels depressed--and then Slick Willy shows up and sweeps her off her feet.

mulla atari, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Good lord, that's a vision I didn't need.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

he wanted to give her his vast, right-wing (CENSORED)

gershy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

the mind boggles at the historical implications of it all if this coupling HAD actually come to pass ...

Eisbaer, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

SO NOT GONNA HAPPEN indeed ...

Eisbaer, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.fraterslibertas.com/Images/Radio/medvedralphie.jpg

Eppy, Saturday, 26 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

if hillary ends up winning the nomination, it's going to be quite interesting to see gabb's contortions to justify his support for her nomination.

dude, no contortions of any kind are required. this is all about who i think has the best chance of winning. i've admitted a) i could be wrong about that, and b) i like hil just fine and am happy to support her (probably happier than i would to support edwards, but obviously not as happy to support O).

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

get that mo-ron off m thread, xp

gabbneb, Saturday, 26 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Breaking News 7:01 PM ET:
A.P. and Television Networks Project Obama as Winner in South Carolina

Mr. Goodman, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:10 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN: a "strong" win; unable to project 2nd place (probably to keep people watching, but who knows?)

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards "running third"

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Second place -- 'decline to state'

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

hurrrrraahhhhh

youn, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

COLUMBIA, S.C. - Barack Obama routed Hillary Rodham Clinton in the racially-charged South Carolina primary Saturday night, regaining campaign momentum in the prelude to a Feb. 5 coast-to-coast competition for more than 1,600 Democratic National Convention delegates.

Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina was running third, a sharp setback in the state where he was born and scored a primary victory in his first presidential campaign four years ago.

The Associated Press made its call based on surveys of voters as they left the polls.

About half the voters were black, according to polling place interviews, and four out of five of them supported Obama. Black women turned out in particularly large numbers. Obama, the first-term Illinois senator, got a quarter of the white vote while Clinton and Edwards split the rest.

scott seward, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

why do they gotta go with "racially-charged"? can't they just say "hotly contested" or something. idiots.

scott seward, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, the news media--they didn't say anything until voting was over, and the moment it was they projected a winner based on exit polls. Good try guys!

Eppy, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, the news media--they didn't say anything until voting was over, and the moment it was they projected a winner based on exit polls. Good try guys!

+

Mr. Goodman, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Gov. Charlie Crist of Florida will endorse John McCain

Mr. Goodman, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:42 (sixteen years ago) link

One more ...

CNN and MSNBC are projecting that Hillary Rodham Clinton will come in second; John Edwards will be third.

Mr. Goodman, Sunday, 27 January 2008 00:42 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz @ Obama's dig at Strom Thurmond - best zinger of his speech

Shakey Mo Collier, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Good speech.

Eppy, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Reagan zinger also funny

Shakey Mo Collier, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dudehisattva.com/coulterobama.jpg

gershy, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

THERE'S ALWAYS SAMOA!!!!

"Shortly after the polls closed, Mrs. Clinton flew to Tennessee to hold a campaign rally as she looked ahead to the next round of contests. Her concession came in the form of a brief statement: “We now turn our attention to the millions of Americans who will make their voices heard in Florida and the 22 states, as well as American Samoa, who will vote on Feb. 5.”

scott seward, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, right, obama is gonna CREAM her in samoa.

scott seward, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, . . . ughhhhh . . .. This could kill Mittmentum in Florida.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

No racial politics here.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, once again, no racial politics here, right?

I really like Bill Clinton, but this is a bit much. . .

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Hussein Obama is actually an anagram for American Samoa

Hurting 2, Sunday, 27 January 2008 02:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Ok, but it really is an anagram for "American Saboa Bush K"

Hurting 2, Sunday, 27 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Americkcan Bossa Hub

Hurting 2, Sunday, 27 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I heard Obama's victory speech was very impressive. Anyone have a video link to it? YouTube doesn't have it posted yet.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

2:1

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary: BARACK IS TALKING TO ME, AND I AM NOT LISTENING!!!! LA-LA-LA!!!

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards: I'm just thrilled to come in third!

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Speech.

Hatch, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:47 (sixteen years ago) link

1. go here - http://www.c-span.org/videoarchives.asp?CatCodePairs=,
2. scroll down and click on the hillary speech
3. wait for the 'quiet' shtick to start (or the quiet-loud-quiet-loud shtick - she must be one of these emos you hear so much about)
4. see how much you can get through before you turn it off

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Requisite "Homegirl Should Put Obama in His Place" HRC Friend: maybe i'm just cynical and not receptive to the whole obama inspirational thing...but i think we need a leader who can more than lead a pep rally

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:50 (sixteen years ago) link

obv conflating the ability to lead a pep rally with only having the ability to lead a pep rally is a pretty absurd leap

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Caroline Kennedy endorses Obama - http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/27/opinion/27kennedy.html?_r=1&ref=opinion&oref=slogin

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

this is probably stupid, but i had a minor euphoric moment this evening. and maybe it's shallow optimism, but damn, despite all the crap that's hosed up with the country right now, here is something bright and good. something actually changing for the better.

.. i just realized that we're freaking out and fighting over whether to elect a black man or a woman as our president.

dude guys... synchronize bongs and chug beers at will.
m.

msp, Sunday, 27 January 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

"dude guys" = a++++

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 27 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

o i x u

remy bean, Sunday, 27 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

more previews - http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/27/opinion/27rich.html?ref=opinion

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I am so, so relieved that Obama didn't even come close to losing in S.C. I'm really hoping he can keep it up. What a race!

Simon H., Sunday, 27 January 2008 06:17 (sixteen years ago) link

What a race!

gershy, Sunday, 27 January 2008 06:20 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i30.tinypic.com/v9efr.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 27 January 2008 06:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Frank Rich is OTM Today

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 14:06 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, that was a simply masterful acceptance speech. The Corner is terrified

Barack Obama's speech tonight was simply exceptional — and a reminder of why he is one of the most remarkable political talents in our lifetime. He was able to speak in ways that seem to rise above conventional politics, even as he was able to masterfully push back against the Clinton attacks of the last several weeks. His capacity to touch and stir authentic emotions is remarkable. And unlike Clinton and especially Edwards, the Obama message is about unity, not divisions; and hopes rather than grievances. If Obama wins the Democratic nomination, Republicans have a great deal to fear. He has tremendous break-out potential.

---------------
Overall, a stunningly deft performance, and a moving one. It's the best liberal case you'll ever hear for moving on from the Clintons.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 27 January 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Juxtapose The Corner's article and The NYT's Frank Rich article. Instructive.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 27 January 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

where's the Screaming Lobster of Hope this morning?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 27 January 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Drunk dialing Gina Gershon.

Nicole, Sunday, 27 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Srsly though, he should stick to having affairs with c-list actresses.

Nicole, Sunday, 27 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

who will the following Governors endorse:
Phil Bredesen (TN)
Brad Henry (OK)
Bill Ritter (CO)
Kathleen Sebelius (KS)

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL

The candidate with the more limited demographic appeal is clearly Hillary Clinton, who so far has proven herself a rock star only to the Virginia Slims-'n'-menopause set and their sensible-shoe-wearing sisters in the upper middle classes.

Jeb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

also: new hampshire

remy bean, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, all this weekend over on the right has been bloodletting over who supported the surge more and when. Not the sign of a healthy party.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i assume Bredesen would lean Hillary, but if she's campaigning without him, presumably he isn't gonna endorse, which seems logical for him, and if he were gonna endorse, I sorta doubt she'd be hitting it first. Henry would be a little more likely to endorse, and I'm not sure which way he would go. Youth would suggest Obama, while veep prospects could go either way and might favor Clinton. I doubt Ritter would endorse Clinton, but I'm not sure he would endorse Obama, who's already announced some Colorado backing, either. Again, I'm not sure Sebelius will endorse, but I've got a hunch you might see her with Obama some time after next Wednesday.

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

if he were gonna endorse, I sorta doubt she'd be hitting it first

if he were gonna endorse Obama, that is

gabbneb, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

this is probably stupid, but i had a minor euphoric moment this evening. and maybe it's shallow optimism, but damn, despite all the crap that's hosed up with the country right now, here is something bright and good. something actually changing for the better.

.. i just realized that we're freaking out and fighting over whether to elect a black man or a woman as our president.

dude guys... synchronize bongs and chug beers at will.
m.

OTM

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

re: bill clinton's comment about jesse winning SC twice, isn't he just saying what everyone else knows and has said already a million times -- that there are a hell of a lot of black people in SC and that most of them would probably vote obama? and that's why he was spending so much stump time there in support of his wife? once again my outrage-o-meter fails to register anything

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Scarlett Johansson announces engagement to presidential candidate, film at 11.

kingfish, Sunday, 27 January 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ inept latimes

remy bean, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

"Joe Lieberman has become a partisan hermaphrodite."

remy bean, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Full vid of Obama's victory speech,

~17 mins.

I like it.

kingfish, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

yeesh @ that latimes article

J0rdan S., Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

i appreciate that he's worried about my "emotional energy" though

J0rdan S., Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Rarick OTM.

Anyway, if you guys want to do some nervous math, revisit http://www.270towin.com

Predict which swing states might go blue! Or if you're feelin' really chancy, predict which blue state will go back to red.

Bets are awaitin'!

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

The Screaming Lobster Of Hope you see above Alfred's "Where's the Screaming Lobster Of Hope this morning?" post will be your host. Enjoy, and good luck.

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I gotta say, Obama showing strong support in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina is a pretty good harbinger. HRC is going to be clawing even harder for traction now.

I am especially glad that SC black voters put a big, indirect slapdown on Bill. Now maybe the man will show some restraint.

Aimless, Sunday, 27 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck speculated on some interesting possible interpretations of exit poll data showing that a substantial 21 percent of those who believe Clinton would be the best nominee in November voted for Obama, while only 4 percent of those who believe Obama would be the strongest nominee voted for Clinton.

and what, Sunday, 27 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

interesting possible interpretations of exit poll data = big, indirect slapdown on Bill?

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 27 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck speculated on some interesting possible interpretations of exit poll data showing that a substantial 21 percent of those who believe Clinton would be the best nominee in November voted for Obama, while only 4 percent of those who believe Obama would be the strongest nominee voted for Clinton.

i know tons of people in the south who voted for jesse in the 84 and 88 primaries because they knew he wasn't going to get the nom but they wanted to send a message (which is possibly the interpretation of current results bill was trying to set up with his comment)

did obama really say that as president he would appoint mitt romney "secretary of lookin good"??

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

...while reading a dave letterman top ten, yes

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

aw i really wanted that to be real!!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

lolllllllllll

gr8080, Monday, 28 January 2008 08:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/01/author-toni-mor.html

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thepage.time.com/halperins-take-five-reasons-why-the-kennedy-endorsement-is-a-big-deal/

Ted Kennedy has a "huge following" among hispanics and working-class Dems?

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Ted Kennedy has a huge following among Kennedys.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article732401.ece

Dom Passantino, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:38 (sixteen years ago) link

3. The national press will be obsessed with the story for days and days to come

^^^ this is probably the most significant factor

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

patrick "patches" kennedy (D-RI) also to endorse obama

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama leads Clinton by 2 in Colorado - http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_8089114

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Do Any Polls Show That Bill Clinton's 'Obama/Jackson' Comparison Is Really Hurting HRC?. If so, I can see why TPM says Bill Clinton "jumped the shark" with his comment.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton was asked why "it takes two people to run against obama" and he insinuated via the jesse jackson comment that SC's democratic party is pretty black, and that's why hillary was putting so much effort into the campaign there -- i just don't see how this is controversial??!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:18 (sixteen years ago) link

pundits play this kind of inside baseball chatter amongst themselves on the airwaves constantly but woe betide any polician who actually does so themselves

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:20 (sixteen years ago) link

It's different when it comes from Bill Clinton, the de facto leader -- and, up to now, inspirational voice -- of the party.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

only controversial in the sense that it seems to fit a strategy that many people think is dirty pool

Clinton campaign strategists denied any intentional effort to stir the racial debate. But they said they believe the fallout has had the effect of branding Obama as "the black candidate," a tag that could hurt him outside the South.

dmr, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

that's from the AP

dmr, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton was asked why "it takes two people to run against obama" and he insinuated via the jesse jackson comment that SC's democratic party is pretty black, and that's why hillary was putting so much effort into the campaign there -- i just don't see how this is controversial??!

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, January 28, 2008 9:18 AM (14 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

it sounded to me like he was implying that south carolina didn't matter because jesse jackson had won there previously and it didn't mean very much

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder how this Florida business will play out in the press. if hillary "wins" there will it be seen as meaningful?

dmr, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:37 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone who thinks the clintons arent race baiting is fucking stupid - this shit so gross

jhøshea, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

it sounded to me like he was implying that south carolina didn't matter because jesse jackson had won there previously and it didn't mean very much.

It sounded to me like he was implying that the real Democratic frontrunner wouldn't need to rely on African-American support, which is a bad message to send to a significant, valuable and loyal constituency.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

well, she's already expected to win my a comfortable margin in FL since none of the candidates have campaigned there, and making a show of support to FL voters before the primary will probably shore up her victory there. however, if the clinton campign continues to press to seat the delegates in FL and MI, the storyline in the press is likely to be one of conflict between the Clintons and the DNC, with the possible effect HRC alienating herself from the party establishment. Honestly, I really don't see the DNC granting her request to seat those states' delegates -- it will stand by its prior commitment so as not to be seen as supporting one candidate or another.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

guys the question was specifically about why hillary needs bill to be on the campaign trail in SC. there's no need to "interpret" his answer except in relation to that question. bill mentioned that jesse won SC twice, that he ran a great campaign, that obama was running a great campaign. the clear implication was that hillary had an uphill battle in SC in part because the democratic party is so black there.

i honestly don't know what dog i'm backing in this fight yet, and have still not decided who i'm supporting in tennessee (my dad has ALREADY voted for obama, though).

i just think it's important to be intellectually honest about these little media-created moments. jhøshea if you've got some evidence you haven't shared i'd love to hear it.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

there's no need to "interpret" his answer except in relation to that question.

oh give me a break

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/01/bubba-obama-is.html

Clinton was asked, the day before the primary, when everyone knew who was going to win, why it took "two Clintons to beat" Obama. He responded that Obama "ran," past tense, a good campaign, acknowledging same. And he inserted into his response Jesse Jackson, a 24+-year-old non sequitur. Clinton plainly was stating that Obama was difficult to beat because of the black vote. Just as plainly to me, the implication is that a candidate reliant upon black support to win a primary will not get the nomination, as jesse jackson illustrated, and that obama is reliant upon black support not because he's the acknowledged weaker candidate receiving a sympathy vote from black people who want to show their affections for one of their own, but because obama is a liberal race man unable to cross over and obtain white support as jackson was perceived to be. Surely you understand that Bill, like any politician, answers a question not as if seeking the correct answer to an academic quiz, but to inject the campaign's talking point of the day/week/month into the dialogue.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer, bill knows how to work the press corp extremely well, though i don't dispute the fact that he was providing an answer to the question. i am amused that you're willing to grant bill the authenticity of speaking only from one side of his mouth, however.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Just as plainly to me, the implication is that a candidate reliant upon black support to win a primary will not get the nomination, as jesse jackson illustrated, and that obama is reliant upon black support not because he's the acknowledged weaker candidate receiving a sympathy vote from black people who want to show their affections for one of their own, but because obama is a liberal race man unable to cross over and obtain white support as jackson was perceived to be.

whether this is "reporting" or "analysis" it's wildly speculative -- gypsies get less out of tea leaves

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, what do the people you went to high school with think when they hear 'Jesse Jackson'?

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

what, all of them?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus, tracer, this is bill clinton; rhetorical deftness and ledgerdemain is his craft. just because you don't choose to interpret them just doesn't mean there aren't multiple layers of meaning at play.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

ok just as long as you're open about the fact that this is your own fairly involved extrapolation of a pretty straightforward statement

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

ledgerdemain

too soon

xpost

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

half the registered democrats in SC are black, and 4 out of 5 of them voted for obama -- should we all pretend this isn't so?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

you seem to be missing this part: Just as plainly to me, the implication is that a candidate reliant upon black support to win a primary will not get the nomination, as jesse jackson illustrated, and that obama is reliant upon black support not because he's the acknowledged weaker candidate receiving a sympathy vote from black people who want to show their affections for one of their own, but because obama is a liberal race man unable to cross over and obtain white support as jackson was perceived to be.

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill's answer wasn't "Obama has a lot of black supporters, and the majority of SC Democrats are black," it was "Jesse Jackson"

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

well, now you're being disingenuous. are you incapable of seeing the jesse jackson reference as clinton implying that obama got the black vote just because he's black? and that a "black candidate," like jackson, is unelectable nationally?

xxpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

and that a "black candidate," like jackson, is unelectable nationally

this is the extrapolation which is totally unsupported by anything bill said.

again, the quote is in response to a (very smart-ass) question about why hillary feels like she needs bill campaigning for her in SC.

clinton implying that obama got the black vote just because he's black

why do YOU think obama got 4 out of 5 black votes in SC? take all the time you want.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Because blacks dont think for themselves?

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

im trying to understand you here

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

jesse jackson is a national symbol of 'the black candidate' for white america, tracer

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

haha deej are you serious??

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

that must be why alan keyes did so well in SC in 2000

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

nice try, dipshit.

xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer do you understand, even just as a strategic point, why it's a bad idea to link obama to jackson & imply he's getting the black vote simply because he's black? a few months ago his wife led obama among black south carolinians - why was that, if theyre are a monolithic race-voters?

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

bill clinton's mind is truly a machiavellian, rovian insinuation machine -- all he has to say is that hillary's got an uphill battle in such a black state and by omission this PLANTS the thought in everyone's mind that obama can't win in the general election because he's a non-mainstream narrow-appeal black candidate! yes that was surely his plan!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

he didnt say "hillary's got an uphill battle in such a black state", he said JESSE JACKSON

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

seriously, if you think that the ONLY reason 80% of the black vote in SC went to Obama, then how would you characterize the 20% who didn't? Take all the time you want.

xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

stop pretending that you aren't interpreting it more than anyone else

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

bill clinton's mind is truly a machiavellian, rovian insinuation machine

lolz if you mean this as a joke.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i always wondered why all my friends in south carolina as a kid loved clarence thomas so much

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

a few months ago his wife led obama among black south carolinians

a few months ago his wife led obama among everybody -- this has changed big time

i agree 100% that linking obama to jackson was a bad idea -- where i differ from the rest of you is that i think what bill said was barely an idea to begin with, it was a blunder borne of clinton's famously big mouth rather than a calculation

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

this reminds me of the save-a-kramers on the michael richards meltdown thread who decided that what he was really saying was "as a white comedian i feel marginalized by a PC society who allow you to say words that i cannot, because i wish to deconstruct around with those words as part of my act"

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

xp yeah that wacky bill clinton, always shooting his mouth off on the campaign trail, with no eye on strategy or coded messages

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

all he has to say is that hillary's got an uphill battle in such a black state

dude i'm not gonna pile on and call you a dipshit (?!? come on guys), but this statement needs some context. a few short weeks ago, hillary was CRUSHING obama in SC, especially among black democrats. it was axiomatic that obama had 'a problem' with black voters. and now lo and behold, after getting into SC and campaigning there, obama (maybe not black enough, too nerdy, too young, and sure to be assassinated, remember?) does very very well among blacks. even the clinton expectations-setting doesn't account for how thoroughly she got dumped.

so then bill goes out to the media and says basically, 'oh big deal, it's just a bunch of black people! they picked jesse jackson, u guys remember that shit lol"

xps

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i talked to a white hillary supporter at my work yesterday who said she had been down at the headquarters and everybody was real bummed about south carolina but 'who cares, it's such a small state and it's not even important'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

democracy in action!

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

SC's my homestate in case u didnt know

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

a/s/l

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Aw shit. Stop The Presses

Romney, McCain call each other 'liberal':
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/national/1131ap_republicans_florida.html?source=mypi

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Lieberman's on my campus this afternoon. The Sanctimony Express!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i think one thing thats important to remember is that there are more white racist voters than black voters in america - whenever the republican party wishes they had black voters as a cherry on top of their big white sundae they can never actually do it because any appeal to black voters would alienate a greater number of racist white republicans than it would bring in new black republicans

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

same for bush/mccain and the strategy of not being a xenophobic race-baiter on immigration - see how well that worked out with republicans

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, by accident or design, O is boxed in, even if he wins SC -- all that time and effort to convince black voters he's for real, and coming out of it he becomes the 'black candidate' -- exactly what he has tried (successfully) not to be. meanwhile working class whites and latinos are going with H (if stuff like that ruralvotes post are indicative, this could be pretty nasty)

the attacks on O have been so klutzy and hamfisted it's hard to believe this was the HRC gameplan all along, but who knows.

plus as always, maybe i don't know what i'm talking about.

xps

-- gff, Tuesday, January 22, 2008 2:39 PM (6 days ago)

y i not have job riting for major media??

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

i think one thing thats important to remember is that there are more white racist voters than black voters in america

link?

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

(not being a dick, genuinely curious if there was something you were citing)

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

"Obama's lead over Clinton among black men is more than 50 points, and among black women, once a Clinton stronghold, Obama has an 11 point advantage," said CNN polling director Keating Holland.

in october, hillary had a 24-point lead over obama among black voters nationally. i don't have any idea why the numbers have changed so much but the clinton campaign must be aghast at this.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

xp For that to be true, it would mean that more than 16% of whites are racist.

(Whites make up 80% of U.S. population, blacks make up 12.8%. 16% of 80% = 12.8%.)

jaymc, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

of the 120 million people voted in 04, 12 million were black, 93 million were white

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't have any idea why the numbers have changed so much

campaigning!

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

well yeah. but specifically.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

ethan's point is indirectly proven by the continued practice of race-baiting. politicians will stop using such tactics to appeal to white racism when it ceases to be politically expedient to do so.

xposts

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

and for the millionth time we've had this argument on ilx i dont mean racist in the cross-burning kkk membership sense, just in the subliminal 'i dont want to vote for a candidate who wants to help blacks as much as whites' sense

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

did y'all hear Donna Brazile's comment that part of Obama's success can be attributed to the fact that he's the first American presidential hopeful to talk to white and black voters the same way? a friend reported this to me; it struck me as kind of profound.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

i think thats true - really i think why the clinton tactics in SC are doomed to fail with anyone who doesnt already dislike obama is that he's one of the first politicians ive seen who doesnt treat the 'black vote' as this big alien voting bloc outside of the real voters you need to win elections

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

bill of course is the worst example of this - play the sax, sing in a gospel choir, eat some soul food, then gut welfare & smack sister souljah around

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, she didn't say as much, but it seemed like a pretty direct indictment of Bill Clinton.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

one of the interesting things about presidential campaigns in the 24-hr-cnn/blog/youtube/etc age, is that increasingly you can't play to different independent factions of voters without those other factions finding out, and obama's doing the best at actually having a consistent message & persona that appeals across all those barriers

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

my support of Obama basically boils down to this: he doesn't scare or embarrass me, which I can't say for ANY of the other front-runners. As far as his presumed inexperience, a lot of the same people levying this critique likely supported a no-name governor from a no-name (no offense, Arkansans) state back in '92, yeah?

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

and i guess of mitt "who let the dogs out" romney. and, oh, lots of people, i guess.

xposts

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i wonder sometimes about like presidential campaigns in 1890 or whatever - candidates really could just go from town to town saying absolute contradictory things and there wasnt really a mechanism calling them out on it!

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

brazile's thing about obama makes me worry that pundits will take this as a sign that we live in a post-race america

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

the mitt video reminds me of jack donaghy & his little league team - 'hey look, its that king we met!'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

one of the interesting things about presidential campaigns in the 24-hr-cnn/blog/youtube/etc age, is that increasingly you can't play to different independent factions of voters without those other factions finding out, and obama's doing the best at actually having a consistent message & persona that appeals across all those barriers

^^^ agreed

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

xp max i hear you, but i dont think obama is necessarily moving for 'post-race' as much as just not using race as a political wedge or a bargaining chip

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i think that's true about obama being able to speak to different blocs in the same way; it's also true that he has the opportunity to move into that space because of people like jesse jackson and stokely carmichael and mlk and bob moses -- obv

my dad's arg for obama is that he's going to bring a lot of new people (including howard dean) into the powerbase of the democratic party, put fresh new people in all kinds of positions up and down the party as well as in all the various federal agencies he gets to influence; with clinton it's the same old gang

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

ya i guess its also abt not marginalizing the black vote--actually appealing to them instead of just doing enough to not piss them off and starting a press shitstorm

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

he doesn't want terry mcauliffe calling the shots for the dems for the next 8 years

xpost

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

basically every politician wants things to be racialized when its good for them and non-racialized when itll be bad for them

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

and here goes bill clinton, making things racialized exactly when it's bad for his wife!!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

max, I hope not, but I don't think that's what Brazile meant.

I think her point was mostly that people are smart enough to know when they're being cynically pandered to and politicians do that at their peril.

yeah, Obama's discourse about race is more people are complicated, rather than race doesn't matter.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

what brilliant legerdemain

xpost

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

are you fucking kidding?

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

he tried to make the SC campaign about race so white voters would abandon obama, it backfired, and now he's crying foul and saying it doesnt matter

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, not brilliant, just fucking predictable and old as the hills.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

so, basically, exactly what i just said

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

haha ok sure

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

'hey maybe i can use some of this "racism" to get white people to vote for my wife instead of the black guy.... oh no, it's getting out of hand!'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

guys just fyi obama went to my school before he transferred to columbia and helped initiate a set of college policies that led to us being (at least numerically) one of the most racially diverse lib arts schools in the country

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost isn't that what your analysis suggests??

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

max what's your school?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

well yeah tracer... actually the more i think about it the more it seems like the michael richards thing to me, this indignant 'how can you DO this, i'm WHITE!' appeal met with unexpected shock & disgust and then backpedaled away from

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean what was the point of hillary's lbj/mlk comparison if not to say 'blacks talk pretty but whites get things done'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

0cc1dental college in los angeles

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

his "mentor" was one of my least favorite politics profs tho

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

which was an unfortunate truth in 1964 but is not in 2007

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

toni morrisson endorsed obama!

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i think you're attributing way more to these comments than they merit

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

how uncharacteristically relevant of her

remy bean, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

ah, the save-a-racist's cry against analysis

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

'i dont know what the big deal is, it's just a word!'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

trent lott just meant that strom thurmond would've enacted firm republican policies

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

please

by the way, william kristol agrees with you guys and is eager to write about it -

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/28/opinion/28kristol.html

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

my question for you: who benefits from this endless tea-leaf reading about bill clinton's secret vile racist soul?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

millions of voters who actually have sense

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

kristol was a rumsfeld basher too - i guess i should start liking rumsfeld since bill kristol doesnt!

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, if Obama gets the nomination, when the general election rolls around, there's going to be plenty of Republican racebaiting. it's always good to point it out for the bullshit it is, whoever's doing it.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha who benefits from this tea-leaf reading of the KKK's publications??

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer i really cant believe you're arguing this in the language of every clueless troll over the many years we've both been on ilx - guess what, words have meaning, seemingly innocuous language can be a code, white moderates from arkansas can make racist appeals, and to pretend that we're all just overanalyzing this poor white man's words is completely disingenous

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

really i've been trying to remain civil with clinton supporters but ever since this racist / 'how could we possibly be racist!' shit came down from on high all it's made me want to do is say fuck em

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

the fact that anyone thinks Bill Clinton just says shit without thinking is hilarious

Dandy Don Weiner, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer here's what you said on the don imus thread:

all these other big media names going "hem haw, it wuz bad but i know he's not a racist" - alec baldwin, mike lupica being two that i've read today - remind me a lot of the nick sylvester thing, where it was instantly clear who considered themselves personal friends and who didn't have that stake in it.

-- Tracer Hand, Friday, April 13, 2007 6:30 AM (9 months ago) Bookmark Link

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

can you understand how some of us feel you're doing the same thing with regards to the clintons?

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

From NBC's Ken Strickland
Sen. Ted Kennedy said he will "offer my help, my voice, my energy and my commitment to make Barack Obama the next president of the United States," according to remarks prepared for delivery today. And in not-so-subtle pushes against the claims of Obama's biggest rival, he'll says, "I know that he's ready to be president on Day One."

Kennedy acknowledges the "work and dedication" of Hillary Clinton and John Edwards, calling them his friends. "But I believe there is one candidate who has extraordinary gifts of leadership and character, matched to the extraordinary demands of this moment in history. He understands what Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. called the 'fierce urgency of now.'"

The Massachusetts Senator then directly responds to rivals' criticisms, calling on the crowd to "reject the counsels of doubt and calculation." While Kennedy doesn't specifically name Senator Clinton, his target seem obvious. "We know the true record of Barack Obama," Kennedy will say of Obama's war stance. There is the courage he showed when so many others were silent or simply went along. From the beginning, he opposed the war in Iraq. And let no one deny that truth." Kennedy voted against the initial war authorization.)

On who's really the "change" candidate, Kennedy will say: "Barack Obama is the one person running for President who can bring us that change. Barack Obama is the one person running for president who can be that change."

And toward the end of the speech, Kennedy connects Obama to his brother, JFK. "There was another time, when another young candidate was running for president and challenging America to cross a New Frontier." Kennedy says JFK also faced criticism from Democrats about his lack of experience.

"Harry Truman said we needed 'someone with greater experience' -- and added: 'May I urge you to be patient,'" Kennedy will say. "And John Kennedy replied: 'The world is changing. The old ways will not do... It is time for a new generation of leadership.' So it is with Barack Obama."

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

ok i just watched the tape again and i'll concede that bill was in all likelihood trying to downplay obama's victory in SC by suggesting that hillary didn't stand a chance there in part because of all those black voters. (which, when you look at the results and at the trend of black support both nationwide and in SC, is pretty incontestable.) and then it's like he INSTANTLY realizes this is a stupid thing to say because he instantly says jesse ran a good campaign and obama's run a good campaign -- he's trying to give them credit, rather than saying they're lucky. but he has already stuck his foot in it. again, for the record, i don't think this is a very controversial thing to say. i do think it is a stupid thing to say. but i don't think he was trying to send a "coded message" to white america in some informal gravel driveway interview with a hostile, smart-aleck reporter. sorry i just don't! i can see why you guys could think that, though. he leaves way too much open for interpretation.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

Around Bill's entourage it's called "dropping the J-bomb."

Aimless, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

THOSE REPORTERS, THEY ARE JUST SO UNCOUTH, WHO ARE THEY TO ADDRESS A FORMER PRESIDENT IN ANYTHING LOUDER THAN A REVERENTIAL WHISPER????

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I look forward to seeing Dubya on late-night talk shows in 4 years

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

anywhere but in the white house

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

and what, find me a tape of clinton saying nappy-headed hoes or the n-word or that strom thurmond would have made a good president and we can draw those kinds of comparisons - you're right, i don't give imus or richards the benefit of the doubt, but hey maybe they've written lengthy chapters about their involvement in grassroots civil rights organizing like bill has

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

as long as he's back drinking

xxpost

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer this isnt (necessarily) about whether or not clinton is RACIST (the answer to which comes down to "depends on how you define racism" for most white people, i think), but whether or not he was RACE-BAITING

max, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Guys guys guys: Thursday's debate. HIGHEST STAKES YET. What can we expect?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

what about sending a postcard to his mom with a picture of a darkie trying to eat the 'world's largest watermelon'?

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

wait waht

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

btw here's obama's response to the jesse jackson thing

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vmE1VWUlOD0

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

max i am aware of that - i have no opinion on whether or not anyone "is" racist, just whether or not they say or do racist things, and to my mind what bill said and did wasn't meant to inflame or divide - but again, i can see how people could interpret it that way.

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

(see how conciliatory i'm being, even though i think you are all TOTALLY WRONG and are buying into a GINNED UP controversy that BENEFITS REPUBLICANS?)

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

if that's not good enough what about getting sued by the NAACP for failing to enforce the voter's rights act in arkansas?

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

re: thursday's debates. i'm not sure - will HRC be a bit more subdued? i don't know. it might be a more civil debate due to the unpopularity of the bickering stuff.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

uh how does recognizing bill's sliminess benefit republicans?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost i haven't gotten to that part in the book yet, so i'm not sure what the clinton-approved answer to that question is

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

division, hatred and fear always benefit republicans

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer, it grosses me out that people like kristol are acting all high and mighty about race, too, but it's not like i'm all, "bill clinton's racebaiting! guess i'll vote mccain in the general." whatevs.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

i still don't hate Hillary, for what it's worth.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, ok dude, whatever. i'm giving up trying to understand you. xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

division, hatred and fear always benefit republicans

-- Tracer Hand, Monday, January 28, 2008 1:12 PM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

then maybe the clintons should stop promoting these

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

In that William Kristol column linked above, he loses a bit of credibility by suggesting Edwards may drop out of the race before Thursday's debate.

My reading is that Edwards will stay in to the last dollar and well beyond and won't release his delegates before the convention. The only reason why he wouldn't would be if Obama or Clinton walk off with enough delegates on Super Tuesday to wrap up the nomination.

Aimless, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

via TPM election central:

Here are the Hillary talking points on Bill's Jackson comment:

DAILY Q&A:

JACKSON, FLORIDA, KENNEDY AND MOMENTUM

Wasn’t former President Bill Clinton playing the race card when he sought to downplay Barack Obama’s victory in South Carolina by comparing him to Jesse Jackson?

* No.

* Look, President Bill Clinton has spent his entire public and private life repairing the breach in this country.

* Both his Presidency and his post-presidency career have focused on unity, not division.

* So I reject the premise of the question.

* We need to focus on the challenges facing this country – the state of our economy, the continuing war in Iraq, the need for universal health care.

* And those challenges require a President who can come to the office ready to lead on day one, Hillary Clinton

LOL I REJECT THE PREMISE OF THE QUESTION, NOTHING TO SEE HERE LOL

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

soooo anyway - Kennedy endorsements seem well-timed to undercut Clinton's standing with institutional Democratic forces...? (how many Dem voters actually listen to the Kennedys anyway?)

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards' continued presence is really starting to be irritating - what's the point, get out of the way, no one's buying your grandstanding act, etc.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

what do u guys think of the ROMNEY WHISPER???

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_x_KIpTVmC8

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean what was the point of hillary's lbj/mlk comparison if not to say 'blacks talk pretty but whites get things done'

no, her point was that it took an old Senate hand in the Presidency to actually change the law, never mind the size of the people's movement led by a non-politician. never mind that Obama, unlike MLK, is also a Senator, with arguably comparable or greater legislative experience or horse-trading skill vis-a-vis hillary.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

did you see John Edwards on David Letterman recently? he looks like 30 Rock Kenneth when he grins. also, I still like him, too.

horseshoe, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

the Republicans are doing more damage to their party by playing the liberal card than the Democrats are doing to theirs by playing the race card

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

oh by the way i fully support any reporter's right to be a wise-ass smart-aleck but they should try to stay away from "when did you stop beating your wife" type questions and they should also try asking questions that will actually elicit an enlightening reponse

i like edwards too! it's kinda hard to hang when you're contending with personalities the size of clinton and obama though

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

also when you continually vote one way in senate while positioning yourself as the opposite

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno i feel pretty enlightened by bill's answer to that question

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

half the registered democrats in SC are black, and 4 out of 5 of them voted for obama -- should we all pretend this isn't so?

from a political-trainspotting perspective, absolutely not. that doesn't mean it should be a talking point that implies that whites won't vote for Obama and will vote for Hillary. especially when Hillary couldn't beat him among white men in a red state.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

did you see John Edwards on David Letterman recently? he looks like 30 Rock Kenneth when he grins. also, I still like him, too.

OMG, maybe it's because I watched like 5 episodes of 30 Rock last night, but I was just thinking this.

jaymc, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, the point of Edwards campaign as of now is to stay relevant and get a seat at the table when the pie is sliced. He likes the idea of making a difference in the outcome.

Never mind that his ideas aren't really very different. He thinks the differences are worth more than they are and that he is fighting for something important - his nuances. Like many politicians, it comes down to his ego getting tied to his politics to where he can't really tell them apart.

Aimless, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:35 (sixteen years ago) link

looooooo @ rudy

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2344/2201854062_3e12ecae01.jpg

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

RUDY RECORD

- "Fought on the front lines of the culture wars and won: He cleaned up Times Square, driving out prostitutes and pornography, making it safe for families."

- "Pioneered initiatives that increased adoptions by 113 %, while the number of abortions in New York City fell faster than the national average."

- "Fought to stop the use of public funds for the desecration of religious symbols and values."

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

lol i love standing in front of the chris ofili that's in the walker and going "now this is just shit." thx rudy~!

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

SOTU theme = earmarks - http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0108/8138.html

ie McCain '08

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Like manyall politicians, it comes down to his ego getting tied to his politics to where he can't really tell them apart.

fixed

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

haha i get so gleefully schadenfreudy about rudy. the bastard could have ridden 9/11 to the bank for the rest of his life on these dubious speaking and consulting engagements but now nobody is going to listen to the pathetic fucker about anything ever again

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.offbeatenough.com/wp-content/uploads/2006/12/ferret.jpg

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

RUDY 08: YOU HAVE A SICKNESS

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

a people perverted

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

have you guys seen his new campaign commercial where he brags about not getting newspaper endorsements

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, yeah

it's here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4iD0JVIYmI

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

lol Hitchens:

How can one equal Bill Clinton for thuggery and opportunism when it comes to the so-called "race card"? And where does one even start with the breathtaking nastiness of his own conduct, and that of his supporters, in the last week? Barack Obama carries South Carolina having made no sectarian appeal to any specific kind of voter, and the best Clinton can say is that this is no better than Jesse Jackson managed to do. Really? Did Jackson come south having already got himself elected the senator from Illinois? And, come to think of it, was Jackson so much to be despised and sneered at when he was needed as Clinton's "confessor," along with Billy Graham, during the squalor of impeachment?

This calculated willingness to shop on both sides of the street of racial politics was actually analyzed quite shrewdly by Dick Morris, the former consigliere of the gruesome twosome, in conversation with Sean Hannity last week. The Clintons, he thought, would be quite happy to lose big to the "black vote" in South Carolina. It would enable them to signal that they were the ones to stem the flow of the color tide. Morris' host protested that this seemed a touch cynical. Morris jovially assured him that he knew the people he was talking about.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Does Hillary really want the Florida & Michigan delegates so bad that she will risk looking inconstant and disloyal to her own party by going against her previous commitments?

I understand that the Dem candidates were pressured by party officials in IA, NH, NV, & SC -- the early primary states -- not to campaign in MI and FL, and now that those contests have passed, it just seems like a huge slap in the face to those early states.

Classic Clinton, really.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I really don't see the party reversing its position re: MI and FL just to appease Clinton and hand her some extra (and dubiously "earned") delegates. That would look like some really craven, undemocratic, backroom manipulative bullshit to a large part of the Democratic Party.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

how's "craven, undemocratic, backroom manipulative bullshit" any different from primary politics of years past?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

well, touche - its hard to conceive of a scenario wherein such a move would NOT look like the party bending the rules and "crowning" Hillary against the will of the actual voters

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know, it just seems like a huge gamble for her campaign to even attempt it -- Does she not realize the risk she runs, i.e. appearing in the exact image of the cynical political operator that she's worked for months to counter?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

She'll risk it.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

the Democratic electorate got John Kerry last time. Anything's possible.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

but why would the Party capitulate to her demands? What do they gain from it? They'd be risking alienating their voting base (and in turn suppressing turnout in the GE), they'd look like idiots for going back on their previous policy, etc.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know why i'm feeling this NOW but her condescension and contempt towards voters is really upsetting to me

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

like, who the fuck does she think she is? ugh.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

(don't answer that ^^^, rhetorical)

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

SHE IS THE PRESUMPTIVE NOMINEE.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

when you assume you make an ass etc

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, that hurts my feelings.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

when you presume you make an ass out of you, me, and legendary long distance runner steve prefontaine

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I think if she tried to make MI and FL count, it'd be VERY transparent to the voting public. It's not like the DNC decided after the fact that those states wouldn't count; Obama made a decision not to campaign in Michigan and Florida because he knew they didn't count.

jaymc, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

for the record she IS trying, I just can't see a reason for the Party to kowtow to her demands

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

right -- and there's plenty of time to make peace with MI and FL during the general election campaign, yes?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll likely be voting for "Jesse" on the 5th as the feasible STOP RODHAM choice.

(and wearing my '72 McGovern button)

I've actually never doubted that the Florida delegates will be counted, eventually. Let's see.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, that's disgusting that she's trying.

jaymc, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

do you guys really think the democratic party are really that stupid?

Mr. Que, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I got a call from some neighbor of mine to work the Obama California campaign leading up to Feb 5th.

I might do it, haven't decided.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

see? the only people i think would be happy at hillary's trying would be her supporters, especially in MI and FL -- it's not exactly gonna win anyone else.

but is daria around to give a counterpoint?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

when you assume you make an ass etc

This would be perfect without the "etc".

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i cant make my face into an ass

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

also, startling to see how promptly Clinton supporters are aiming turds at the Kennedys

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

examples plz

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

just blog comment trolls, nothing of note

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney's apparently picking up steam in Florida (tho I don't know how Crist's endorsement will impact the GOP primary), but Romney needs to get stories like this to Florida GOP voters.

If Florida's GOP voters know enough about this, it should make a difference, maybe a game-changing difference.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

did i miss a link to an article about the HRC/MI/FL thing? why is everyone talking about this now?

gr8080, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

If McCain does NOT win Florida, I will be very happy.

Even better if it's Ghouliani

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney's done. Giuliani supporters are McCain-supporters-in-waiting, and dude has already essentially endorsed his friend. Huckabee supporters are at least equally if not more likely to go McCain, and Huckabee's got no love for Romney and is increasingly an entrant in the McCain veepstakes. Fox News hates Romney. Whose endorsement is he gonna get? Jeb's been pretty quiet. Dick? There's a popular guy.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

I dunno - its been mentioned several places over the last few days that she's been pushing for it.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, i could be wrong, but i think we know who the repub candidate's gonna be.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee supporters are at least equally if not more likely to go McCain

really? why do you say this? I wouldn't have drawn this conclusion but I haven't been following FL closely - what with their track record of not knowing how to vote/hold an election.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney's done. Giuliani supporters are McCain-supporters-in-waiting, and dude has already essentially endorsed his friend. Huckabee supporters are at least equally if not more likely to go McCain, and Huckabee's got no love for Romney and is increasingly an entrant in the McCain veepstakes. Fox News hates Romney. Whose endorsement is he gonna get? Jeb's been pretty quiet. Dick? There's a popular guy.

I HOPE YOU ARE WRONG.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, i could be wrong, but i think we know who the repub candidate's gonna be.

Parker Posey??????

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i30.tinypic.com/v9efr.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know how the whole MI thing went down, to be honest. I think it's kind of assumed the delegates will be seated anyway. I guess Florida's reps are not happy about the DNC's move, of course.. and again not sure what the deal is, beyond having heard that, frankly, under Dean the DNC is sort of off on an island and clashing with other organizations in the party (DCCC, DSCC, DLCC). Clintonistas vs Dean, Clintonistas vs Kennedys..

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, i could be wrong, but i think we know who the repub candidate's gonna be.

Agreed, but at what cost to the GOP?

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

it's come up again because the FL primary is tomorrow -- but Hillary's campaign released this on Jan 15th:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZGFhZmRhOTNiNWE1YzBiYzRlNmZlNThlZTE3MjMyZWI=

Let us be clear about something else, however. While Senator Clinton will honor her commitment not to campaign in Florida in violation of the pledge, she also intends to honor her pledge to hear the voices of all Americans. The people of Michigan and Florida have just as much of a right to have their voices heard as anyone else. It is disappointing to hear a major Democratic presidential candidate tell the voters of ANY state that their voices aren’t important.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Everyone is talking about Florida now because Hillary will be holding an event there after the polls close and a bunch of bloggers got bent out of shape and keep talking about how she's breaking a pledge to the DNC (not true), which is good for Hillary because it keeps people talking about Florida.

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Florida, Mrs. Clinton will hear you now.

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Talking about Florida = South Carolina is yesterday's news
Not a bad plan

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC understands Florida Democrats who, like her, are searching for their voice.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, why do you assume that the "delegates will be seated anyway"? i don't understand how you reach that conclusion so easily.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC spending energy in Florida is probably best for Obama, who's better off spending energy in Virginia or the south Rockies states, i.e. the most swingin'est swing states that were red in 2004.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Not to mention Ohio.

If the Dem nom gets all the Kerry blue states plus Ohio, the Dems win.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Talking about Florida Kennedy endorsements = South Carolina is yesterday's news

fixed

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Well I don't know, I'm just guessing that once it gets to the convention we may know clearly who the nominee will be and the # of Florida delegates won't make any difference so no more interest in pissing them off. I think I've just read it enough places to see it as conventional wisdom..

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

... uh... the "conventional wisdom" that i'm reading is that this contest may very well last right up to the convention and that it's become a fight for delegates, rather than states?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not sure if Kennedy helps. It's sort of at odds with the notion of change and new ideas and such. Kennedy as establishment Democrat old politics goes way back further than the Clintons in this regard. Maybe I'm wrong but it's like why do Kerry and Kennedy want to revive the 60's.

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i140.photobucket.com/albums/r4/Heimdall00/Romney-Florida.jpg

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

provide sources if you like, i'm not trying to provoke any sort of response but i want to know where you're reading this xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

THAT'S THE SPIRIT, AND WHAT!

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe because the 60s were a time of unprecedented and widespread civic action?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee... is increasingly an entrant in the McCain veepstakes

fucking gross.

will, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

It could be a fight all the way to the convention. In which case, well, I guess they'll fight about Florida and Michigan too but the whole thing will generally be a clusterfuck, with the superdelegates and all.

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, here's one - Democrats Strip Michigan of Delegates

"No one at this table believes that the delegates from Florida and Michigan will be absent from the convention," Fowler told the rules panel.

Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., said in a statement: "The threat not to seat the delegates of Michigan and Florida at the Democratic convention is a hollow threat. They will be seated, and when they are, it will be plain for all to see that the privileged position that New Hampshire and Iowa have extracted through threats and pledges from candidates is on its last legs."

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

link is bad :(

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb i disagree about romney. i think he's going to win tomorrow, and i think he wins the nomination.

YGS, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

does anybody have a copy/link to HST's writings in late july / early august of 2004? during and after the DNC?

remy bean, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

http://a.abcnews.com/Politics/WireStory?id=3940764&page=2

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, i'm going out on a limb here - i know romney in some ways looks more like a rally-round choice - but it's my hunch

gabbneb, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

remy this is the only election piece hunter penned in 2004 (to my knowledge)(it's also wonderful): http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/6562575/fear_and_loathing_campaign_2004/

YGS, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

as usual i agree with josh marshall on the MI/FL matter:

01.25.08 -- 5:38PM // link
No Way
The Clinton camp really needs to be shut down on this new gambit of theirs to muscle the party and the other candidates into seating the Michigan and Florida delegate slates.

And let me be very clear about what I mean. It was very debatable decision whether the DNC should have punished Florida and Michigan with the loss of their delegates slates because they broke the rules the party had set down for scheduling their primaries. By 'debatable' I don't mean it was right or wrong, only that it was a pretty draconian move and I know there was a lot of discussion about whether or not it was the right thing to do.

But that was the decision -- one that each of the candidates at least implicitly agreed to. Indeed, each agreed not to campaign in either of these states, again implicitly agreeing to the decision not to seat the delegates.

The Clinton camp is just pushing to seat these delegates now because the contingencies of the moment mean that the decision would favor Hillary. She was the only one whose name was on the ballot in Michigan, thus insuring her win. She has a wide lead in every Florida poll taken this month.

Even Michigan was a matter of her basically pulling a fast one on the other candidates by not taking her name off the ballot. Each of the major candidates signed a pledge not to "campaign or participate" in any primary or caucus prior to Feb. 5th except for Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. The other major candidates adopted what seems like the only reasonable interpretation of the pledge (see text here) and pulled their names from the ballot.

But then Hillary didn't, thus in essence guaranteeing her win in Michigan.

The Clinton campaign said taking her name off the ballot wasn't required by the pledge. But what can "participate" mean over and above "campaigning" other than formally being a candidate in the race?

In any case, by gaming the process Clinton already insured her win in Michigan, though it seemed only for a symbolic victory, not real delegates.

But all these particulars are secondary to the principle, which is that you don't change the rules in midstream to favor one candidate or another. This is no more than a replay, with different factual particulars, of the attempt to outlaw the at-large caucuses in Nevada after the Culinary Union endorsement made it appear they would help Barack Obama.

Perhaps there's some detail of this question that I'm not aware of. And if there is I'll revise my opinion accordingly. But based on what I know now this is pretty clear-cut.

Hillary can muscle for every advantage she wants. Good for her. She's a fighter. But everyone else should see this for what it is and say No.

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

It's just politics. They're trying to change the media narrative. Obama made remarks a few months back hinting that he'd seat Florida delegates as well. Something else I've read is that the convention itself isn't bound by DNC rules.

Here's more -
http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_convention_delegate_process_explained

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Josh Marshall is so in the tank for Obama

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

(thanks YGS)

remy bean, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee challenges Romney over fried chicken
Mitt Romney's failure to eat fried chicken with the skin on is nothing short of blasphemy here in the South, according to GOP rival Mike Huckabee.

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney: no-fried-chicken-skin eatin' liberal

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

01.28.08 -- 12:55PM // link

Clan
If the issue is dynasticism in politics, I guess there's some measure of irony in the group endorsement I'm now listening to from the Kennedy family.

(ed.note: For those of you who are keeping track, this is one of the posts that provides clear evidence we're in the tank for Clinton, as opposed to the others that provide the final proof that we've been covert Clinton-haters all along.)

--Josh Marshall

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee has a point, tho

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, gff, i was just looking for that

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

But this was at KFFC!

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

kentucky fuckin' fried chicken

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

lol even former fatso eats chicken skins

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee, looking ahead to a flotilla of southern states up for grabs on Super Tuesday, was told about the move by a reporter here in the Florida panhandle.

"I can tell you this," he said, "any Southerner knows if you don’t eat the skin don’t bother calling it fried chicken."

"So that's good. I'm glad that he did that, because that means I'm going to win Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Arkansas, Oklahoma … all these great Southern states that understand the best part of fried chicken is the skin, if you're going to eat it that way."

Huckabee admitted that he hasn't eaten fried chicken in a while because of his weight loss program, preferring it broiled or baked instead.

And speaking of possible gaffes, a good Southerner might also dispute one of Huckabee's claims: since when is Oklahoma "a great southern state"?

...

Yeah, Huckabee's crazy. Please don't drop out, Huck.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

KFCGATE 2008

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary wishes she'd thought of this tactic first

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

'well, the people of south carolina eat a lot of fried chicken... but uh yeah obama ran a good campaign'

and what, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

the buttermilk-batter constituency

remy bean, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

it's never too late, and what

Bill: "It's quite peculiar that Obama didn't bother with the batter at Popeye's that Americans hold dear to their hearts."

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

so want squirrel zing from camp romney now

gff, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.gwu.edu/%7Ebaseball/images/cluckulogo.jpg

daria-g, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

RIP cluck u @ nyc ;_;

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

lol ethan

xxxp

gr8080, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it's telling that so many in the press and blogland who normally shit on ted kennedy are now acting like he's basically awesome since he's endorsed obama. it seems more like the kennedys are getting a boost from barack than the other way around. he sure as hell isn't riding their coattails at this point

El Tomboto, Monday, 28 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

T80MB80T

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee makes the Dems look better with his stupidity, so I hope he stays.

Bill Magill, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

have you seen his ass? who'd want him riding their coattails?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

and yeah as msnbc pointed out a Ted K endorsement is kind of the Madden curse of this shit

El Tomboto, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i know everyone's sick of this so i'll try to keep it brief but i'll concede that what bill said is technically -- dictionary-definition -- racist. (if racism = the privileging of skin color over other factors in making an assessment). that he was talking about a situation in which the privileging of skin color by voters may have played a role shouldn't have mattered -- he can't read people's minds. the situation is complex. and why the hell shouldn't black voters want to be a part of the first black candidate to have a real, serious shot at the white house? i know my mom loves obama but deep down she really really wants to vote for hillary because it's the first time in her life she'd be able to vote for a woman to be president. if she likes the candidate why the hell not?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

tombot not 8080, the reason kennedy's endorsement is important is that its signifying that its ok for establishment folks to not feel indebted to the clintons, that they would have nothing to fear from endorsing barack

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's arg = we're all on this bus together, and i'm going to drive us to a better place
hillary's arg = the bus is broke and i'm the mechanic

all these reductionist metaphors which we seemingly can't live without obscure the fact that clinton and obama are two complicated human beings with all kinds of old grudges and hopes and biases many of which are probably unknown even to themselves, and we really only have the faintest idea about how they would govern

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

and yeah as msnbc pointed out a Ted K endorsement is kind of the Madden curse of this shit

-- El Tomboto, Monday, January 28, 2008 4:04 PM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

??? he doesnt normally endorse candidates in the primaries

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

look at bush jr for instance, he was just supposed to be a kind of benign nitwit

xpost

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Why Ted Kennedy's Endorsement Matters

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

and clinton was supposed to be a progressive, not a center-right micromanager

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

(Or, I should say, why T. Kennedy's endorsement should matter).

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah yglesias otm

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

It would matter more if it were someone else besides Ted Kennedy.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry. None of his speeches have ever shaken my belief that he's a windbag.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Duh, he's a politician; OF COURSE he's a windbag!

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Don Imus got into an animated discussion this morning about former President Bill Clinton's comparison of Obama's South Carolina primary victory over Senator Clinton to Jesse Jackson. ''If I had made that comparison to Jesse Jackson,'' I have a feeling that I'd be talking to Al Sharpton again,'' Imus told Michael Graham of Boston's WTKK.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

(The entire point of politics is to find the windbag who will pontificate on the issues you care about.)

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, but the QUALITY of the air escaping from the bag matters.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

the windiest bag full of the baggiest wind, yes, but certainly consequential no matter how you look at it

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

(The entire point of politics is to find the windbag who will pontificate on the issues you care about.)

thanks -- I'll be sure to remember it.

Whatever else she is, HRC is NOT a windbag. Neither is Obama. Romney is a wet bag. Giuliani is a bag of dicks.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Everyone you've listed is a total windbag, come on.

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

2008 Presidential Candidates: If you were a bag, what kind of bag would you be?

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry for being grouchy. This thread gets especially gaseous when it turns into a transcript of what CNN/FOX News have been no doubt discussing all day.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not saying it's a bad thing that politicians are windbags! If they weren't, no points of view would ever get put across to anyone.

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

e.g. discussion on the Ted Kennedy thing and a question on how it will "play out".

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

what would the opposite of a windbag be? someone who didn't blow a lot of smoke up people's collective asses but got stuff done?

Mr. Que, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

no the cnn/fox stuff is good! i don't get those channels over here! maybe you should tag it somehow, though

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

ah i see you just did

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not saying it's a bad thing that politicians are windbags! If they weren't, no points of view would ever get put across to anyone.

Not necessarily so. You can drum a point home in multiple settings, without having each individual speech run long and go on-and-on about your own importance.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Insofar as pols love the sound of their voices, Dan's right, they're windbags, and exceptions are rare. But Obama's speeches are too chiselled to qualify as windbaggery. Even when they soar, the sentences are short and declarative.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

alfred i would bet than any person who doesn't feel the obama magic would describe him as a windbag

Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^this

(NOTE: I like Obama a lot but come on, dude is a total windbag)

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

alright. I'm gonna watch William Jennings Bryan speeches on YouTube.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

That man is a dynamic speaker.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

AND A WINDBAG

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Now you've got it!

HI DERE, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

My Fair Alfred

Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

never realized douglas actually resembles a bag of wind

deej, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

dude, look at their foreheads -- that's where they keep the wind!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

The Demon Racist of Fleeeeeet Street.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://cache.eb.com/eb/image?id=62214&rendTypeId=4

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

(I guess everyone in Congress in the mid 19th century was a windbag)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

everyone in every congress ever was a windbag!

Mr. Que, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

(I guess everyone in Congress in the mid 19th century was is a windbag)

'Cept me.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 28 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

IN THE ACT OF WINDBAGGING

http://archive.salon.com/news/feature/2004/07/24/senator_byrd/cover.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 28 January 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

screamingwindbagofhope.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 28 January 2008 23:28 (sixteen years ago) link

so we had heard from the Clinton campaign, after the initial mention of Rezko's name at the NV debate, that we had not heard the last of Rezko. now he's been pulled in on bond violation. perhaps this is a conspiratorial bent of my own thought, but what are the chances that the Clinton camp pressured or enticed that arrest to occur right now before super tuesday? i mean, a bond-jumping slumlord campiagn contributor -- what a millstone to hang around obama's neck! though who knows whether or not it will play.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 28 January 2008 23:28 (sixteen years ago) link

like there's no one that sleazy in Clinton's pocket lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 28 January 2008 23:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Man, Obama should pump the Mich Rich into this news cycle.

mulla atari, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 00:59 (sixteen years ago) link

This kind of thing isn't good for anyone:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/NY_NOW_Betrayal.html

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf

deej, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Psychological Gang Bang of Hillary is Proof We Need a Woman President

http://www.nownys.org/pr_2008/pr_011108.html

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

"Kucinich lovers"? Those woman haters. Worst press release ever.

mulla atari, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Breaking News: Rudy Giuliani hints at dropping out

Giuliani_jvd3hwnc Rudy Giuliani appears to be pondering an end to his long pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination.

In a meeting in the back of his chartered plane en route to St. Petersburg, Fla., a short while ago, the onetime, longtime GOP front-runner told a small group of reporters, including The Times' Louise Roug: "The winner of Florida will win the nomination."

He then went on to predict he would win. And his spokeswoman, Maria Comella, said later he was speaking with confidence.

But that's an unusually categorical statement suggesting that only a total first-place upset by Giuliani, who trails both Mitt Romney and John McCain in all major polls for Florida's Republican primary tomorrow, will keep him in the competition, despite previous repeated vows to continue.

Giuliani's campaign, which led in national polls when it began and stayed there for many months, is showing signs of serious financial fatigue. This month his top staffers are foregoing their paychecks so the maximum amount of money can be invested to salvage his political fortunes in the Sunshine State, which was where Giuliani's late-state strategy was to kick into high gear.

So far, he's yet to finish first anywhere and ended up behind Rep. Ron Paul in Iowa and Nevada.

In his meeting with reporters today, Giuliani added that, no matter what happens Tuesday, he definitely would participate in the Republican debate co-sponsored by The Times on Wednesday at the Reagan Library.

--Andrew Malcolm

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

re: Rezko, it's Patrick Fitzgerald on the case - Rezko's trial date (late February, less than a month from now) was set by a judge last April. I strongly doubt any timing here is connected to Clinton campaign.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

If Patrick Fitzgerald is overseeing the prosecution, you're probably right.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF? Does Romney think this type of attack is going to derail McCain? He needs to sharpen the focus on his message: McCain is not a true conservative, he doesn't understand the economy and has no plan for it, and he is soft on immigration. COME ON, ROMNEY!

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

That list almost makes McCain sound awesome.

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I know. That's what GOP voters are going to think, too, if they see it.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Why did Romney stop at 10? There's got to be plenty more. (I am at this point more worried about the prospect of a Romney nomination than McCain, I know you all will think I'm crazy)

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I may not be able to lol later, but anything the GOP is doing right now is making me lol far more than worry.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 05:33 (sixteen years ago) link

totally

dmr, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Dave on Mitt - http://www.onegoodmove.org/1gm/1gmarchive/2008/01/mitt_1.html

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

obama response to sotu is boring, but can anybody identify the CDs on his bookshelf?

remy bean, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:01 (sixteen years ago) link

They are all Saint Etienne.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:09 (sixteen years ago) link

"President Bush, you're in a bad way."

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:11 (sixteen years ago) link

obama response to sotu is boring, but can anybody identify the CDs on his bookshelf?

-- remy bean, Tuesday, January 29, 2008 1:01 AM (10 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

he's phenomenal

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:12 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think that little response held a candle to his s.c. victory speech, and made less efficient work of the same rhetorical points

remy bean, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/sotu

vid/transcript of his response. I don't really see cds, more like your professor's office with books on top of books.

kingfish, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the sotu response benefits from being more intimate

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

crowd stuff gives me a nuremberg feel

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I think both approaches have their upsides; the crowd appearances have a much different dynamic and there's a much more overt emotional ebb & flow.

kingfish, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:37 (sixteen years ago) link

really? I get more of a rotterdam vibe

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:40 (sixteen years ago) link

MAYDAY MAYDAY

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:40 (sixteen years ago) link

let me know when sven vath and westbam have published their endorsements

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:41 (sixteen years ago) link

derrick may and green velvet are obv done & done
crystal method and uberzone still up in the air

El Tomboto, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:43 (sixteen years ago) link

its about half as long so i would argue more efficient
i prefer his crowd performances, where he can feed off their energy, but that was a good response.

deej, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 06:53 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf @ ny now shit

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 07:03 (sixteen years ago) link

like damn

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 07:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I am at this point more worried about the prospect of a Romney nomination than McCain, I know you all will think I'm crazy

U R crazy.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 08:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney is a creepy robot but seems like he knows how to run an organization given CEO status. I'm not saying trends are on the GOP's side but he seems like the least bad option especially when most voters don't watch all the daily news BS showing him being robotic. McCain is nuts.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:07 (sixteen years ago) link

americans are more likely to elect a woman or a black man than a mormon. people are scared of them!

YGS, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt Romney is an anagram for Mormon Titty

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah the evangelicals will stay home rather than go to the polls and vote for Mitt. And with the economy in the state it is in, I think his CEO credentials will end up backfiring on him.

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I think if it comes down to a convention the compromise will be that MI's delegates won't be seated since not everyone was on the ballot, but FL's will. Or MI's uncomitted delegates will go to Obama. But they probably won't want to piss off Florida for the GE. I really hope it doesn't come down to a convention though.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, I don't know if anyone mentioned it above, but Teddy gave a great fucking speech.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

A Surge of Applause

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Howie Kurtz:

The answer is that journalists are not accustomed to covering a candidate who moves crowds the way Obama does, who uses speech cadences and rhythm like Martin Luther King Jr. without making his talk explicitly about race.

YGS, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Sure they are! Remember when Al Gore visited a black church and "talked black"?

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

all respect due the man, but those oratorial cadences are no more MLK's than they are Cicero's -- some people just have an ear for rhythm and timing and know how to work a room.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Hmm to H. Kurtz. Well, a related question. Assume Bill Clinton's South Carolina comments were designed as a "dog whistle" (terrible term) over race. Which constituency is he calling to HRC's side with the whistle?

Maybe it's obvious, but I'm not so sure.

And I know, Daria and others reject the question's premise. That's why I phrased it the way I did.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

http://i29.tinypic.com/3498kn7.png

StanM, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lol2

http://i25.tinypic.com/2use5a1.jpg

StanM, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Assume Bill Clinton's South Carolina comments were designed as a "dog whistle" (terrible term) over race. Which constituency is he calling to HRC's side with the whistle?

I think it's pretty obvious: Obama is trying to position himself as someone whose appeal is not racially defined. Clinton is trying to pigeon-hole him as the black candidate, with limited appeal to non-African Americans.

Zelda Zonk, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

True, to some extent, but I have a different theory about the main target audience.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

local Spanish language paper endorsed Obama as the candidate with the best record on immigration fwiw

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost, sorry -
Those oratorical cadences are probably not Cicero's.. :) But I will say, Obama's style sounds very 60's to me, the repetition, to me a lot of times it seems more about cadence and sound and the way the phrases are structured. I prefer a different style for political speeches, the one he uses sounds dated to me. Kerry did that too, reaching to be another JFK. To me it sounds like the past.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

of course, no commentator has yet said on-air, "Who the fuck WANTS to be JFK?"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, there's a bunch of liberals out there as bored and depressed by the Democratic Party's devotion to the bullshit memory of JFK as it is to its obeisance to the Clintons.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Good. I think that's become the key constituency. The concern, as I understand it, is that an Obama candidacy may blow apart the Democratic coalition by sending Hispanics to the GOP, especially if McCain is the nominee (he's to the left of the other GOP contenders on immigration).

(xp to Shakey)

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah JFK was kinda a shitty president - people give him too much credit for the things he *might* have done

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

as opposed to hillary clinton, who is the past

xxxp

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Hispanic vote is not gonna go to the GOP when all their candidates are being racist demogogues a la "OMG WE MUST TURN BACK THE TIDE OF BROWN PEOPLE"

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain isn't.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

The fear is about a GE versus McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently Obama is campaigning in California on the issue of supporting driver's licenses for illegal immigrants? Now, I think I agree with that actually, but.. it's an issue that I think well over 2/3 of the public is against and potentially a killer in the general election. Not getting why he's doing that. Far as dog whistles go, again I'm sure you are not surprised at all about me saying this, but Hillary has had very, very overwhelmingly high support among Latino voters well before any of the recent media controversies in South Carolina. I do not think there would be any point when she already has their votes.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, if Hillary's the past of the 90's, Kennedy and Kerry are the past of the 60's! Which one is more past, now? :)

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

i know what you're trying to say, but i think this decade has a lot more in common with the 60s than the 90s!

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

which sixties? These?

http://www.delawarenationalguard.com/history/images/civilwar.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

i realize that what you're getting at but unfortunately about half of america wants kennedy reincarnated from a president. its better than reagan 2.0 (so not gonna happen). 'sounds like the past' is a pretty weird charge to level against obama when you're supporting the political dynasty candidate who wont shut up about 35 years of experience

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

someone needs to meld photos of JFK and Reagan.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, there's a bunch of liberals out there as bored and depressed by the Democratic Party's devotion to the bullshit memory of JFK as it is to its obeisance to the Clintons.

Yeah, I am. I wasn't even born until well over a decade after JFK was killed. And what bigger political dynasty do the Dems have than the Kennedys? The Clintons are two people of the same age. There are how many Kennedys and have been big players at the national level in the party for how long, now?

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

really anyone seriously saying obama's campaign is too '60s' i would begin to doubt if they're even a liberal

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

xp so because obama is endorsed by the kennedys he's a political dynasty candidate instead of the candidate with the same last name as the guy who was president for all of the 90s? thats a pretty neat trick

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

im not jfk ball-licker either but whining about comparisons to him as some kinda regressive thing is this close to weird coded right wing limousine liberal stuff

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

'obama's just so... berkley'

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it's fairly universally agreed that Obama is an amazing public speaker. Maybe you're a cadence snob?

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.jewishinseattle.org/JF/images/Safire.jpg

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

'i hate that san francisco sound'

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

i wonder if richardson's gonna come out with an endorsement:

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/01/29/richardsons_choice.html

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe I am a cadence snob! I never cared for his speeches. If you don't want America divided rich against poor than try and level the economic playing field more, give people health care, that's the problem, it's not a deficit of inspiring rhetoric.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost to myself - it said by the end of the week it would come, if he does decide to go through with one.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess you have a right to be suspicious of obama's stated plan to end the economic divide by giving speeches

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

oh wait

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Politics is at least 50% rhetoric though...

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

f Richardson is to endorse either Clinton or Obama -- "I might, I might not, how's that for an answer?" -- he said he'll do so by the end of the week.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost Richardson still wants an appointment in the next adminstration, probably. If he does it, he's gonna hold his nose and guess on a front-runner, but it seems like a dumb thing to do.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

If Richardson is to endorse either Clinton or Obama -- "I might, I might not, how's that for an answer?" -- he said he'll do so by the end of the week.

-- Mark Clemente, Tuesday, January 29, 2008 5:30 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

"maybe. maybe not. maybe fuck yourself."

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

"it's not a deficit of inspiring rhetoric"

well, they do not lack for flowery words in Washington, but in terms of engaging people in their function as citizens and advocates, there's a sharp contrast to clinton there.

clinton = "fixing this shit is my job because i'm the only one who knows how"
obama = "come on, people! let's fix this shit together!"

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson owes a few big debts to the clintons, surely

remy bean, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Look, the limousine liberal thing I guess I'd only associate with Huffington Post, but I do think.. I dunno I guess I've had my POV permanently changed by spending time at an Ivy League school where all the rhetoric was super liberal, meanwhile the graduate students made shit money and were treated like garbage while most all the undergrads were rich and they didn't even have need-blind financial aid until about 2004. Inspiration is great but I really needed health insurance, and right now I have benefits and all but immediate family of mine are intensely worried about not having money for retirement, not being able to get a less physically tough job because they'd be (probably) uninsurable, not being able to save because the price of gas is so high and their current job is a long drive away, stuff like that.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Rhetoric is probably less effictive on college campuses than in actual elected positions in the federal government, though. (Rhetoric is probably less effective on college campuses than anywhere ever.)

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

the weird thing is i think hillary is campaigning the most like the kerry of 08 - if you watch old debates, bush is doing the idealist thing, the america-can-be-great thing, while kerry was positioning himself as this brainy fix-it guy who would come in and do all the hard work and get america working again

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

which is all stuff that obama is equally committed to...

YGS, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

i agree. but the condescending 'this is broken, you need me to fix it' attitude is more kerry & clinton than obama

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

'i have so many opportunities for this country'

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

And I'm getting even more cynical now but I do not expect most citizens will be engaged and advocates. They will vote on the issues but after the election? Most everyone is too busy trying to make enough money to get by, save for a house, retirement, college education, maybe working two jobs (a surprising number of my coworkers do), worried about the economy going into the shitbin, affording health care, child care, etc.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

but lol i guess barack talks like jfk this means hes the establishment candidate amirite

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I've got the brains, you've got the looks.. let's make lots of money

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

xp with an argument for the candidate of lowered expectations

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, you seem to maintain that hillary is the only candidate with workable policy positions on the table but obama only has moonbeams and pretty words! come on! i don't understand why you're spinning obama's speechmaking as a liability

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

because of the wang

remy bean, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

remy i think you're looking for Lame Meme Reemerging

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

"If I do endorse, it's going to be a gut feeling. It's not going to be about statistics, about past ties," Richardson said. "I've been on the campaign trail with both of them. I feel that I know them. I feel I know the issues. I feel I know what makes them both tick."

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I honestly don't think it's a liability for him, no! I just personally find it not my cup of tea at all. But I don't like a lot of music that is exceedingly popular either, it's a matter of taste is all.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

it's cute when you use outmoded words like 'meme' in a bid to sound superior

remy bean, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

just a link to a thread, doggie

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't like a lot of music that is exceedingly popular either

so obama is top 40 and hillary is indie rock?

YGS, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Caption this photo?

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/29/us/29caucus-337.jpg

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary is beth ditto

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Haha my day will be devoted to reading about how Americans are almost entirely uninformed about politics.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

"I'm a real estate developer outside Tuscon, Chuck."

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary = unitas, obama = namath

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, come on. All I'm trying to say is that it really isn't reflective of the majority view if I don't like Obama's speeches.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

"then i was like, do you KNOW where this finger has been??"

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

so just to change it up, if mccain gets it in the GE - how come nobody makes a deal out of him cheating on his 1st wife?

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

not that i give a fuck but i presume a lot of republicans do

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Here is a quote from the article I just finished (which, I should emphasize, is an academic journal): "At long last, and despite some flickering dissent, there now seems to be near-consensus that by anything approaching elite standards most citizens think and know jaw-droppingly little about politics."

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

You can probably see the problems with that one.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Sebelius didn't wait - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080129/ap_on_el_pr/obama_sebelius

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess Hillary's never gonna be majority leader, huh

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

so obama is top 40 and hillary is indie rock?

Don't kill my buzz.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

hrc: kelly osbourne
obama: usher
edwards: beck
mccain: phil collins
romney: daughtry
huckabee: scott stapp

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:17 (sixteen years ago) link

http://ation.no/applause.gif

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I just had a small revelation. Clinton might just win February 5th based on this bullshit "Obama was mean to me at the State Of The Union" storyline. Mark my words, it might very well work. It's the same sympathy vote tactic they employed in New Hampshire, and people are getting fooled again. I feel sick...

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

she won't make that point herself, but she certainly won't stop the media from reading into shit like that. it's a blip on the media screen that will most likely be forced out of frame by Florida tomorrow and her continued statements that its delegates should be seated.

i sympathize with your dread but let's not get carried away.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I just had a small revelation. Clinton might just win February 5th based on this bullshit "Obama was mean to me at the State Of The Union" storyline. Mark my words, it might very well work. It's the same sympathy vote tactic they employed in New Hampshire, and people are getting fooled again. I feel sick...

Is the Democratic primary race really going to whipsaw back and forth based on who was last allegedly victimized by their opponent and/or the nat'l media? It sometimes feels like that.(n.1) That's no way to choose a nominee or to find the best person to win the GE. Ridiculous.

______________________________
(n.1) e.g., HRC was mean to everyone by acting like the presumptive nominee before Iowa; Obama and/or the nat'l media were mean to HRC before New Hampshire; the Clintons were mean to Obama before South Carolina; Obama was mean to HRC right before Florida/Super Tuesday.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

What's this now?

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Huge photo so I won't hotlink it here, but Obama was actually talking to Claire McCaskill:

http://blogs.trb.com/news/politics/blog/Clinton%20greets%20Kennedy%20with%20Obama%20turned.jpg

jaymc, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

noise noise noise

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

amy klobuchar! u go

xp

gff, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

"Obama faces other direction" is really a story now?

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

In some quarters, apparently.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes it was a big story on cable news today, and it's getting a lot of play from Hillary-loving bloggers.

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

both of them?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

That is seriously the most middle school fucking thing I've heard in a while.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Gossip Girl wouldn't be interested in this shit.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I should go watch Gossip Girl.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img503.imageshack.us/img503/8090/1184040522276lb8.jpg

gff, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

"He's mean to me." "She's meaner to me." "The media is baiting me." "She's slighting me." "This is too ugly and unbecoming." "That hurts my feelings."

No way to choose a nominee.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Angry black men, runnin' amok.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Not shakin' hands.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Refusin' to smile.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

SOTU thing was pretty silly. I think they're talking about it because the actual speech was so goddamn boring.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

stand up sit down fite fite fite

gff, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

cf comments here:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/01/obama-on-the-st.html

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

That said I bet Hillary was sorta trying to mess with him by walking right over there in a bright red suit to shake hands with Ted Kennedy.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

. . . she was gonna start a fistfight until Kennedy cut her off.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

NH Union Leader is PISSED at Hil:

Hillary's word: It's worth nothing

14 hours, 42 minutes ago

COURTING VOTERS in Iowa and New Hampshire, last August Sen. Hillary Clinton signed a pledge not to "campaign or participate" in the Michigan or Florida Democratic primaries. She participated in both primaries and is campaigning in Florida. Which proves, again, that Hillary Clinton is a liar.

Clinton kept her name on the Michigan ballot when others removed theirs, she campaigned this past weekend in Florida, and she is pushing to seat Michigan and Florida delegates at the Democratic National Convention. The party stripped those states of delegates as punishment for moving up their primary dates.

"I will try to persuade my delegates to seat the delegates from Michigan and Florida," Clinton said last week, after the New Hampshire primaries and Iowa caucuses were safely over.

Clinton coldly and knowingly lied to New Hampshire and Iowa. Her promise was not a vague statement. It was a signed pledge with a clear and unequivocal meaning.

She signed it thinking that keeping the other candidates out of Michigan and Florida was to her advantage, but knowing she would break it if that proved beneficial later on. It did, and she did.

New Hampshire voters, you were played for suckers.

http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Hillary's+word:+It's+worth+nothing&articleId=0853268a-d982-4190-81e8-740ae942f510

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

she's got the red suit! retreat!

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Glad you think it's a silly story too Daria, and I agree Clinton was probably trying to instigate something like this just by walking over there. But I mean... keeping this story alive is basically Clinton strategy today. This is their end game.

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey you know one of the advantages of being a woman candidate is that you can wear any bright color suit you want.

Union Leader is a Republican paper AFAIK they don't even endorse a Democrat.

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey you know one of the advantages of being a woman candidate is that you can wear any bright color suit you want.

Obama couldn't get away with wearing a red suit before Labor Day.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

True, they endorsed McCain. But obviously I, for one, would like the "Hillary is a contract-breaking opportunist" to be the media narrative for a couple days.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the media's driving it, guess there was a lot of chatter in the press gallery (some pundit wrote that) again probably because Bush said nothing interesting whatsoever (sad - what happened to mars, bitches?)

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

the interpretation of who-didn't-greet-whom is fucking retarded, let's please move on

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I remember lol'ing so hard @ the Mars thing.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Human-animal hybrids

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

can we call an ilx-wide moratorium on not jumping up and down in a pavlovian frenzy to whatever bullshit controversy the media is drumming up to sustain interest in this race between three pretty good candidates? i usually find ilx somewhat sane on things like this and i'm starting to feel like half of you of been body-snatched and replaced by youtube commenters

xpost yeah elmo!

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

hydrogen-powered cars

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

government blogging team

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

"i want to send you the check TODAY"

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

school uniforms

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

can we call an ilx-wide moratorium on not jumping up and down in a pavlovian frenzy to whatever bullshit controversy the media is drumming up to sustain interest in this race between three pretty good candidates?

I tried to resist posting the Drudge-like goofy-looking-politican photo, but, you know, it's a pretty good one compositionally.

Eazy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Jay Smooth weighs in, awesome-as-usual, on HANDSHAKEGATE.

sean gramophone, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

the three pretty good candidates i had in mind by the way are pauly shore, dan cortese, and kennedy

ROCK THE VOTE

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.eurielec.etsit.upm.es/%7Ebisho/blog_files/vote_or_die.jpg

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

SWITCHGRASS

gff, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

switchgraiss

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Gorey thoughts - http://nymag.com/daily/intel/early_and_often/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

was hoping that would be edward gorey's endorsement

and what, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, that was a pretty dramatic article

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I just read Dan Cortese is producing some stupid reality show for nbc. Why is he still working? I wonder if he hangs out with Eric Nies.

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

best reality show ever

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

This picture!

http://nymag.com/images/2/daily/intel/08/01/29_hauntinghillary_lg.jpg

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd be less surprised if gore came out and endorsed a candidate (if he endorses anybody, it'll be obama) now than if he did a few months back, obviously. the kennedy endorsement makes it seem a bit more likely.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't stop looking at that picture.

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Anyone heard anything credible about the GOP vote today in Florida? Early exit polls, perhaps?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://nymag.com/images/2/daily/intel/08/01/29_hauntinghillary_lg.jpg
I AM WITH YOU ALWAYS

max, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

guys I hear gore can control migrating birds with his mind, too

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

http://nymag.com/images/2/daily/intel/08/01/29_hauntinghillary_lg.jpg

"You may be an undigested bit of beef, a blot of mustard, a crumb of cheese, a fragment of an underdone potato. There's more of gravy than of grave about you, whatever you are!"

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I like where these captions are going already.

was hoping that would be edward gorey's endorsement

Haha, same here. From BEYOND THE GRAVE (which would be even better).

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

An Inconvenient Boo!

Okay, that's my Custos quota filled for the day.

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2164/2229468414_5fb28d1298.jpg

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

OK searching Google images for Ted Kennedy is not a good idea

daria-g, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:32 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.thesimpsonsquotes.com/images/quimbywave.gif

Nicole, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Uggggg. . . Not Feeling Mittmentum.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney still has his considerable personal financial fortune to draw on, and the Florida primary is certainly neck-and-neck. The question remains, however, whether Romney could continue spending through the Feb. 5 array of primaries at the high levels necessary for him to capitalize on a Florida win.

As opposed to broke-ass McCain?

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

OPO: David Brooks or the boomers.

Kennedy went on to talk about the 1960s. But he didn’t talk much about the late-60s, when Bill and Hillary came to political activism. He talked about the early-60s, and the idealism of the generation that had seen World War II, the idealism of the generation that marched in jacket and ties, the idealism of a generation whose activism was relatively unmarked by drug use and self-indulgence.

Eppy, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

do you guys really think the democratic party are really that stupid?

I think they totally is. In an unlimited kinda way.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

OPO: David Brooks or the boomers

Brooks

gabbneb, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

do you guys really think the democratic party are really that stupid?

Y.E.S.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

oh brooks. ima go and march in a suit and tie so that everyone knows im that good kind of protester, and not decadent.

im curious to see what the recreate 68 group does at the democratic convention here in denver.

Join us in the streets of Denver as we resist a two-party system that allows imperialism and racism to continue unrestrained.

Hunt3r, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Not sure what to make of this, but exit polls show the percentage of Floridians who cast votes in the GOP primary today and are self-described conservatives is higher today than it was in 1992.

So Florida's GOP electorate has moved to the right over the past 15 years. But how does this impact tonight's crucial race?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless, of course, Florida's GOP electorate is simply SMALLER than it was in 1992, i.e. the less conservative former GOP voters have gone Dem or stayed home.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:47 (sixteen years ago) link

In which case that's some shoddy reporting b/c the lede confuses number with percent. Isn't that shit on the job interview test they give you at any newspaper?

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Again, don't kill my buzz.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm praying for the Mormon here.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Good news... after South Carolina and the Kennedy endorsement, Rasmussen has Obama and Clinton tied in Connecticut. Gonna be an interesting week...

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Gah, wrong like. Here it is.

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Any good polls on NJ? I'm thinking about doing some GOTV volunteering for Obama this weekend.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:54 (sixteen years ago) link

EXITS: McCain 34.3%, Romney 32.6%, Giuliani 15.3%, Huckabee 12%...

Uggggghhhhh. . . .

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the Feb 5th polls are just starting to roll out, this is the first one I've seen lately... but there was a NY state poll last week that had Obama just about tied with Hillary in NYC's districts.

Hatch, Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

That would be huge for Obama. If it weren't for HRC being a NY Sen., you'd expect Obama to do well there (lots of high-minded, high-information voters).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 29 January 2008 23:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Welcome to upstate, dude.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 00:14 (sixteen years ago) link

the dreaded I-10 Corridor or whatever.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow. Only 1.17% in but the Democrats are 2-1 in turnout against the Republicans.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 00:37 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i28.tinypic.com/34y6utx.png

NO, NO I DIDN'T

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

So, with the demise of Rudy--do all his crazed neo-con advisers try to jump on with McCain?

mulla atari, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

So, with the demise of Rudy--do all his crazed neo-con advisers try to jump on with McCain?

It’d be nice to see Norman Podhoretz teach but he is 76 so I imagine he and his wife, Midge Decter retire.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

It appears that Florida has been called for Senator Clinton. A 25% win would not be unexpected.

With the totals hovering around 30% does anyone have an explanation for ‘Other’ receiving an impressive 7%? Is Mike Gravel surging? Mikementum?

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm shocked that N-Pod is such a force after Alfred Kazin, Gore Vidal, Hitchens, among others, have revealed him to be such a humorless windbag.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I’ll answer my own question. Mike Gravel has actually received 2.7% of the current vote! The other 4% were confused voters, Senator Biden, Governor Richardson, Congressman Kucinich and Senator Dodd.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Why are CNN and MSNBC saying McCain's ahead, and predicting dire things for Romney, while Drudge has Romney ahead?

This is maddening.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

ROMNEY YOU FUCK COME ON

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

For some reason Drudge has consistently gotten faster numbers than AP. Either way, Romney is down 2% and about 20,000 votes.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

This is going to swing for McCain. Miami-Dade and Pensacola have yet to fully come in and both are heavy McCain counties.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Sadly, that's probably right.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

In which case that's some shoddy reporting b/c the lede confuses number with percent. Isn't that shit on the job interview test they give you at any newspaper?

if doctors or lawyers or engineers made the same mistakes yr avg national political hack makes on a weekly basis they'd be in jail

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

You’re a Romney supporter? Or do you just want the Republican to be stuck in a haze? Sadly I don’t keep up with this thread and have no idea on peoples various affiliations.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Republicans stuck in a haze.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Republican haze + mortal, unshakable fear that McCain is the one guy that can win for the repubs

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Well on that note, it is possible that Mike Huckabee might surpass Rudolph Giuliani in few minutes. Walton, Jackson, Washington and Calhoun have yet to report.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, McCain has some vulnerabilities, but if he's the GOP nominee, I think he wins the GE.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

MITTMENTUM:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/29/us/florida_337_7.jpg

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Go Huckabee! Sow the seeds of discord and confusion! Suffer the knuckle draggers to come unto thee. Feed the multitudes upon nothing but a couple of crusts and a rancid fish. Fear not, for the prayers of many ride with you.

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Before primary season I was convinced that Senator McCain would be unbeatable in the general election but the more I think about some of the possible Democratic tickets (e.g. Senator Obama/Senator Hagel, Senator Clinton/Wes Clark ticket or hell, Mayor Bloomberg/Senator Hagel) the less I’m convinced.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

He's not unbeatable, but he'll be the prohibitive favorite, esp. against HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah I'm by no mean sure he could win, he's just the only guy on the GOP side that I think is capable of winning.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

As I've said, HRC v. McCain pits a candidate who will energize her opposition and alienate broad swaths of voters v. a candidate who will hold his voting block (for fear of an HRC win) and peel off independents and moderate Democratic votes.

Not a good dynamic.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Senator Clinton not being able to win against Senator McCain in the general election is a Rovian falsehood, one that I’m surprised so many Democrats have bought into.

Any Democrat can run and win without an independent majority in this election. I have every reason to believe at risk states (e.g. Ohio, Minnesota, Florida) will have record Democratic turnout making independents a moot point.

I’d be a bit more worried about Senator Obama as we have yet to see him campaign on policy but I’m still fairly confident Democrats will rally around whomever in big numbers.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"Mr. Obama has lined up support from unions representing plumbers and pipefitters"

huhuhuh

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

As I've said, HRC v. McCain pits a candidate who will energize her opposition and alienate broad swaths of voters v. a candidate who will hold his voting block (for fear of an HRC win) and peel off independents and moderate Democratic votes.

I’d agree if the Republicans were inspired by any of their candidates and thus far they have not.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Too much voting. Too many typos. Too much drinking.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait and see.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

"Could you turn the sign the right way, please?"

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/29/us/clinton_337.2.jpg

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ned i'm surprised you haven't started a "post pictures of upside down signs" thread

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

This is more my speed:

STARSBUCK COFFEE

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lol "me ball sack" thx ned

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Go McCain, beat Mittens. Still think Mitt is a stronger candidate in the GE

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

daria you are going against a whole year of polls telling you otherwise, fyi

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Go McCain, beat Mittens. Still think Mitt is a stronger candidate in the GE

Yes, but you think HRC is a stronger candidate than Obama. . .

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Uggggh. Daria gets her wish: McCain wins Florida.

I sure hope you're right about him being a weak GE candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I am curious what Karl Rove’s heir apparents, Mark Penn and David Axelrod would do to beat Senator McCain. If their reading this, I suggest questioning the legality of a John McCain presidency. Should those in Panama Canal Zone be considered ‘natural born’?

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

daria you are going against a whole year of polls telling you otherwise, fyi

Those polls are meaningless at this point.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

"Yeah, I'm the man."

http://www.latimes.com/media/alternatethumbnails/photo/2008-01/34997982-29171041.jpg

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

goodman mccain polled ahead of every single candidate in either party so i dont get how they are irrelevant

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

FOX, CNN, and, lol, The Corner have declared McCain the winner.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

oh lord help us if its McCain-Clinton in a couple of months.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

It'd already been called for McCain when I wrote that, I think.
I know what the polls say, maybe part of it is that when I look at these guys and think Mitt is clearly the least insane, but then if he also has support of the GOP base much more than McCain does, that's trouble. The guy has tons of $$$$ and that goes a long way too.. also he is running against Washington now as a fresh face..

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

The Corner tolls its chimes of doom:

So it is over. Finished. In November, we'll be sending out our most liberal, least trustworthy candidate vs. to take on Hillary Clinton—perhaps not more liberal than Barack Obama, but certainly far less trustworthy.

And the worst part for the Right is that McCain will have won the nomination while ignoring, insulting and, as of this weekend, shamelessly lying about conservatives and conservatism

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Want more depressing rumors, from the left? I've heard that the reason that so many Democratic Representatives and Senators endorsed Obama is that internal Democratic polling shows McCain beats either Obama or HRC in the GE, so those on the Hill are now worried about how HRC -- one of the most polarizing political figures in the country -- will damage the party downballot, causing Democrats to lose seats in both Houses.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe it won't be that bad, but there's a bit of panic setting in. Look, as I said, I think McCain has vulnerabilities -- he's wrong on the war ("We should stay in Iraq 100 years"), he's overly-hawkish on Iran ("Bomb, bomb, bomb, bomb-bomb Iran"), he is underinformed on the economy ("Spending cuts stimulate GDP," "Sen. Phil Gramm is my key economic advisor") and lacks an economic agenda -- but he will be the favorite in a GE, and we've got an uphill battle to beat him.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

based on informal polling of the office, McCain is a no-question vote if he's up against Hillary, but Obama would make them think twice and might even get their vote. This is from the dubya-hating lifelong conservative crowd, not the 31%, btw.

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

It's not even February yet.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Obama is definitely the right match-up against McCain. He's got the generational-divide thing going, he can make a clean debate about the Iraq War, and he can rally the troops (while McCain, at his best, isn't very inspirational (he is folksy/funny, tho).

The downside fear is that Hispanics will flock to the GOP, especially with McCain being a moderate on immigration, and that will severely damage the Democratic coalition. If that's so, it's a pretty bleak picture, no matter how you look at it.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, that's true, Ned. A lot can change.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

a McCain-Obama race may be the dullest ever. Even bearing in mind how dirty McCain's supporters have been here -- as an indie voter I got several calls from McCain's camp, using gay baiting and immigrant hating as hooks -- I can't imagine how they'd insult each other in the general election.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I think a lot will change.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's robocalls used immigrant-bashing? That's odd, given his moderate stance on immigration.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Guys, no Democrat has even gone after McCain yet. He's totally untested in a two-party matchup. Give it time.

And honestly, I don't know who's stronger, but I really don't want to have to listen to Mitt fucking Romney for another 10 months.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I think a lot will change.

I'm curious: What do you think will change? (Obv., I'm keeping in mind that no-one can account for unanticipated events, e.g., OBL is caught, Iraq spirals into full civil-war, gas prices climb to $130/barrell, etc.)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

To say nothing of the fact that a lot of the right's base will say nicer things about Obama than McCain at this point.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I really don't want to have to listen to Mitt fucking Romney for another 10 months.

I'll take Romney's Max Headroom imitation any day of the week over McCain's nails-on-the-blackboard trademark line, "My friend(s)".

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

But Mitt's basically the boss from Office Space.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

WHOA. McCain's victory necktie = FAGGIEST EVER

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

What do you think will change?

Let's just say that a slew of those 'unanticipated' events you mention don't deserve that qualifier. No predictions, though, just hunches.

This is going to be a long, long year.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

But Mitt's basically the boss from Office Space.

Haha. That's far more entertaining than McCain will be.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Giuliani will endorse Mr. McCain tomorrow.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I know this is going to sound naive, and I can't really justify it, but Romney seems to have run an entire campaign on the basis of unabashed lying, and it makes me want to strangle baby goats. Not to be all "McCain is so truthful," Huckabee is being at least as straightforward as McCain, but Romney just fills me with anger.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I was probably more willing to tolerate unabashed lying 8 years ago.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder where Pat Robertson will wind up.

kingfish, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

spread-eagled naked on the bed.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Is there a chance that McCain, as his lock on the nomination gets stronger, abandons his grotesque positions on torture, among other things? A huge part of my McCain problem is how badly he lies -- you can see the strain of appeasing the movement-conservative base.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Is there a chance that McCain, as his lock on the nomination gets stronger, abandons his grotesque positions on torture. . .

Did I miss a change in McCain's philosophy? Earlier in the campaign (and for the past few years), his strong opposition to torture is one of the ways he bucked the rest of the GOP. He now advocates torture?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

He now advocates torture?

No

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Uh, I'm talking about his, Graham, and John Warner's kowtowing to Bush in the fall of '06; they gave them what he wanted!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

All very nice, but he yielded in 2006, which is why I can't trust the fucker again.

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

which is why you must look behind the bullshit that Limbaugh, Hewitt, and The Corner post about McCain. He may be opposed to torture, but he held his nose and gave the adminstration what it wanted.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

You mean that his anti-torture bill allowed a loophole whereby Gitmo detainees can't take advantage of it in court? Again, sorry to be so ignorant, but you've hit an apparent blind spot for me.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Lest we forget.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, I did forget. Point taken.

But I remember in the GOP primary debates McCain defending his opposition to torture. So it isn't as if he is campaigning now as the pro-torture GOP candidate (quite the opposite, I think).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

So it is over. Finished. In November, we'll be sending out our most liberal, least trustworthy candidate vs. to take on Hillary Clinton—perhaps not more liberal than Barack Obama, but certainly far less trustworthy. And the worst part for the Right is that McCain will have won the nomination while ignoring, insulting and, as of this weekend, shamelessly lying about conservatives and conservatism

hah. Interesting. I haven't heard anything about internal Dem polling.. from where? DNC? Do they have a good pollster? When did they take the polls? Before the economy looked to really be in recession?

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Recent. Can't elaborate much beyond that. Very worrisome, tho. Still, Ned's right: A lot can happen.

Daria, I hope and assume you know from what I've written here (if you remember my mostly nondescript posts at all) that I'll happily support HRC if she's the nominee. But especially against McCain, I think her nomination is a grave tactical mistake. I hope I'm wrong.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

so hopefully this means we'll see a lot more Obama endorsements this week now that dems know it's mccain.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee Staying In, Giuliani Getting Out -- Advantage: McCain

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

One Glimmer of Hope, With Little Time Left for Romney

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

slowly chomping away at America's balls

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey c'mon Ned, Daniel, if you guys know stuff, let us in on it!

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

At the moment I'm too hyp-no-tized by your funny/scary moving McCain image to do much thinking about the horse-race.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

any normal dude's jaw would get sore after awhile.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:17 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain is no normal dude, dude.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

As I recall, Ned also had a feeling of "creeping geopolitical dread" in early 2001, so now I'm worried.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

ned_ms_cleo.jpeg

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

"call me nao for a reed'n!"

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I am not a goddamn prognosticator nor do I pretend to be one. All I'll say for now is that the amount of energy being vented on these primaries -- here, there, everywhere, up to and including the candidates and races themselves -- is secondary to a lot of factors beyond anyone's control which will determine this election, the two most predominant being where things go next in Iraq and how the economy plays out over the course of the year. That may sound utterly obvious, I have no idea. Take it for what it's worth. But nine months is a long LONG time.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I see your points, Ned, and my expression of worry was actually genuine. Just though a Cleo/Ned shop would be too funny to ignore.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Cleo is a fake.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

So Hillary looks like the smartest guy in the room, flaunting the DNC's rules about MI and FL and getting symbolic victories, free press, and momentum, not to mention the possibility of delegates. I just thought voters were nauseous of at all costs, ends justify means shit after last 8 years. She must really know that we need her.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Last times I had creeping (geo?)political dread: November 2000 (srsly I was horrified at likely election outcome.. but was in France so the reporting on it was not focused on trivia).. runup to invasion of Iraq (has everyone in this country gone crazy?) and immediately after the third debate in 2004 (oh shit, Kerry's going to lose this election).
I feel maybe I'm comparatively lucky when the economy continues heading into the shitbin because I have a university job (layoffs = impossible, pay cuts = impossible) and don't own real estate..

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:39 (sixteen years ago) link

You're a Prof.? The "layoffs=impossible" line = possible giveaway. Nice job, if so.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:42 (sixteen years ago) link

No, I work in IT!

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:51 (sixteen years ago) link

runup to invasion of Iraq (has everyone in this country gone crazy?)

yeah me too but trust me if the black man or the woman wins the shoe will be on the other foot.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:51 (sixteen years ago) link

You would have to set the office on fire to get shitcanned around here. Plus, I am one of the people who actually do work..

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not IT but otherwise Daria and I are pretty much in the same situation.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:54 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah me too but trust me if the black man or the woman wins the shoe will be on the other foot.

Pardon?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:55 (sixteen years ago) link

the sky will be falling on a lot of people

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf guliani is dropping out?

tremendoid, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 09:44 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like it.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 09:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Not surprising.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:09 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards out!

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:11 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards out!

Sad

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:12 (sixteen years ago) link

will edwards endorse obama?

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:13 (sixteen years ago) link

he fucking better

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:14 (sixteen years ago) link

def

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:14 (sixteen years ago) link

when will Mike Gravel throw in the towel, that's what I want to know

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:16 (sixteen years ago) link

U MEAN THROW IN THE ROCK LOLOLOLOLOLOL

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:17 (sixteen years ago) link

... though I have complete faith that John Edwards will go on to do great things, of possible Al Gore proportions.

I’ve heard Mr. Edwards speak on a number of occasions and he was always genuine. It embarrasses me that the liberal wing of the Democratic party flocked to the center to support either Senator Clinton or Senator Obama and left him in the dust.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Democrat John Edwards is exiting the presidential race Wednesday, ending a scrappy underdog bid in which he steered his rivals toward progressive ideals while grappling with family hardship that roused voter's sympathies but never diverted his campaign, The Associated Press has learned.

The two-time White House candidate notified a close circle of senior advisers that he planned to make the announcement at a 1 p.m. EST event in New Orleans that had been billed as a speech on poverty, according to two of his advisers. The decision came after Edwards lost the four states to hold nominating contests so far to rivals who stole the spotlight from the beginning — Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.

Source: AP News

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:18 (sixteen years ago) link

will edwards endorse obama?

he fucking better

Ugh. That’s all people care about in this thread. Politics is fine if it has meaning at the end of the day but without that we’re all better off following football instead. Go team! Rah! Rah! Rah!

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:19 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe someone made him a deal?????

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:19 (sixteen years ago) link

can someone plz ban mr goodman from this thread weve god all the morbses we can handle thx

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:20 (sixteen years ago) link

for real

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I’ve heard Mr. Edwards speak on a number of occasions and he was always genuine.

You measured him on the Genuine-O-Meter?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

From Daniel, Esq.'s link upthread...

The key was that McCain nearly doubled Romney among the 39% of Republicans who called themselvs moderates or liberals

A Britishe Writes: what do liberal Republicans stand for? And this McCain is one?

Ned Trifle II, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i have never in my life heard anyone describe themselves as a liberal republican

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

the word liberal to republicans is up there w/child-molester terrorist etc

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:29 (sixteen years ago) link

the only 'liberal' republicans i can think of are...luger? maybe arlen specter? and these guys are 'moderates'. i don't know who would describe themselves as a liberal republican.

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

So maybe 38.9999999% of Republicans call themselves Moderates and there's Just This One Guy who calls himself a liberal?

Ned Trifle II, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:34 (sixteen years ago) link

or the pollsters didnt actually phrase the question in those terms?

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Here's the poll that's being referred to...
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/blogphotos/Blog_Florida_Republican_Exit_Poll_Party_2008.gif

Ned Trifle II, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

well then ok not sure what to say abt that 11%

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:37 (sixteen years ago) link

oh wait ok all of those can be accounted for by democrats and independents that voted on the gop side this time

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:40 (sixteen years ago) link

? You'll have to explain further.

Ned Trifle II, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

the democratic contest yeilded no delegates -- disenfranchised moderates who would have otherwise voted on the dem side maybe wanted to effect the republican contest?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i could be wrong but i think you have to declare to vote in fla so i dont think those were actual dems

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/gawker/2008/01/obama-1.jpg

^^^ OBEY OBAMA. fuckin' rad. large image.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:51 (sixteen years ago) link

interesting about edwards - i thought he'd really stick around until feb. 5. yea, he fucking better endorse obama, but i don't know if he will. i'll be really curious to see where his supporters flock to - as others mentioned upthread it's kind of difficult to determine who benefited more from him sticking around.

i know it probably didn't mean much, but that "private meeting" edwards had with clinton a week or two ago kind of frightens me now. cabinet position offered then? though i wouldn't be surprised he just waits and endorses the clear frontrunner later, whoever it ends up being.

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:52 (sixteen years ago) link

? You'll have to explain further.

look a the top part of the poll 20% of the voters in the republican primary consider themselves independents or democrats - they just registered as republicans for whatever reasons.

for the 3% that are democrats is likely because the florida democratic primary didnt count this year due to beef abt the primary date w/the national democratic party.

most of the independents are probably pretty much republicans in their views - but some just have ideologies that dont particularly conform to party doctrine: like libertarians who are anti-immigration and pro-drug legalization or anti-war anti-abortion christians etc.

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:54 (sixteen years ago) link

ftr no registered independents can vote in a fla primary

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:57 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not sure of the regulations regarding financial support of a shuttered campaign for another candidate, so what about edwards' war chest? not that he has a surplus of cash, but every little bit counts.

also, edwards' endorsement will be a huge media story and therefore a boon to whomever receives it.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards has no "war chest" – it's an armoire.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 14:59 (sixteen years ago) link

"war hutch"

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

"war vanity"

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

what with all his emollients and unguents and prettifyng cremes and such

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

"war drawer"

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

it has some screwdrivers, matches, and old coupons in there

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:05 (sixteen years ago) link

http://voteforbreakfast.com/images/sexy_edwards.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:09 (sixteen years ago) link

jhoshea otm

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

most of the independents are probably pretty much republicans in their views - but some just have ideologies that dont particularly conform to party doctrine

HI DERE

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Really charming portrait of exurban Tennesseans sitting around grousing about the candidates in the NY Times today. "Anybody but Obama-Osama," one chortles to the delight of all. God, why we didn't let the Confederacy go, I have no idea.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

80 gitmo attorneys endorse Barack - http://www.miamiherald.com/campaign08/story/397317.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

80 gitmo attorneys endorse vs. 30 helens agree

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.t-bone.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/thirty_helens2_400px.gif

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Ralph Nader launched a website for the Ralph Nader Presidential Exploratory Committee this morning.

"Testing the waters," emails Nader spokesman Jason Kafoury.

http://www.naderexplore08.org/

FUUUUUUCK YOOUUUUUUUUUUU

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Ralph Nader is older than John McCain

http://thepage.time.com/excerpts-from-obamas-speech-wednesday-in-denver-colorado/

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:03 (sixteen years ago) link

How many candidates would you like to limit each office on the ballot to, elmo? in this land of the bought and paid for?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I wouldn't count on Nader getting more than 0.3% of a national vote, anyway; the autocratic Dem bullies kept him off all but a handful of states' ballots last time.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

God, why we didn't let the Confederacy go, I have no idea.

Morbs: Objectively Pro-Slavery

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i think he's a sanctimonious uncharismatic loser of a candidate who is ruining his long, storied career of good work and public service by muddying electoral waters with his high horse yet again. not to mention he'd make an awful president.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

you sound just like Eric Alterman! you might wanna have that looked at.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

it's nice that a presumed democracy is ruled with the iron fist of two corporate parties tho. Better horseshit than high horses, right?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Nader/Paul Revolution!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs are u ;_; abt edwards? s'ok commere s'ok *hugs*

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

the horseshit just falls from a greater height, morbs.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd vote for nader just because i hated the backlash against him the last election

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

braindamages

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Does McCain have enough hair to be president? You have to go back a long, long way before you find a pretty bald guy who got elected.

Zelda Zonk, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, all the way to gerry ford

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah thats about the level of discourse i expect from you gabbneb

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, got elected, rite

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

any time, sub-NS dude

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I had no illusions with Edwards; he just had the best script of the remaining three. I will vote unenthusiastically for Obama on Tuesday, expecting nothing.

Perrin:

What if it's McCain vs. Hillary in November? Oh man, that would be a blast to witness. Two nearly identical choices for imperial manager, the one slight difference being that McCain says he's opposed to torture, while Hillary must wait to check wind velocity and direction. I can see the liberals twisting themselves into numerous knots trying to justify a Hillary vote over McCain, assuring each other that it's the right thing to do, and of course reaching back to Bill's criminal years for inspiration. You mules better hope that Saint Obama gets the nod instead. At least with him, the fantasy is easier to pull off. Change! Hope! Stardust! Ponies! If I ruled the world . . .

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/01/pre-soaking-your-sane.html

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

sub ns?

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i can virtually guarantee that most noizers will NOT like what we play

What, you do melody?

-- Dr Morbius, Wednesday, January 30, 2008 10:36 AM (Wednesday, January 30, 2008 10:36 AM) Bookmark Link

go back to norway, morbs! it's the land of purity!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama on Edwards' exit:

“John Edwards has spent a lifetime fighting to give voice to the voiceless and hope to the struggling, even when it wasn’t popular to do or covered in the news. At a time when our politics is too focused on who’s up and who’s down, he made a nation focus again on who matters – the New Orleans child without a home, the West Virginia miner without a job, the families who live in that other America that is not seen or heard or talked about by our leaders in Washington.

"John and Elizabeth Edwards have always believed deeply that we can change this – that two Americans can become one, and that our country can rally around this common purpose. So while his campaign may end today, the cause of their lives endures for all of us who still believe that we can achieve that dream of one America.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

there goes our chances for ending poverty

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

there they goes, indeed

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards is out?!? well, looks like obama's getting my Pennsylvania primary vote, inevitable marital arguments be damned.

Beatrix Kiddo, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't give a fuck about purity, gabbhole; just having a meaningful choice.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

won't everyone arrange to make Morbs' vote "meaningful"?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

"meaningful vote" = "protest vote", no?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

no. But if the only candidate offering CHANGE is a no-hope minor-party candidate, that's where I go out of necessity.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

lyndon larouche is offering change

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

is paul the new larouche?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

nader's the new larouche; paul's the new david duke

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, yes, polls are irrelevant at this point. Nevertheless, Drudge reports that Rasmussen's new numbers show McCain beating HRC (48% -- 40%) and Obama (47% -- 41%). This is not where nat'l Democratic leaders expected to be nine months out from the General Election.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i29.tinypic.com/e0268i.jpg

this guy? not convinced

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

beating mccain will have to happen in the press. it'll be extraordinarily difficult to get the major media to rethink it's strange hard-on for this ill-tempered and unreliable guy, but that's what will have to happen.

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

if mccain considers giving up his all war all the time stance then i will consider being afraid of him (but only if hillary is the nominee)

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

not to mention this coming rescission isnt going to go over well for the gop

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

richardson, edwards, & gore are now the endorsements to get, i guess. i expect edwards will endorse someone, not sure about gore or richardson

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

is everyone convinced mitt won't win california?

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

not exactly an endorsement, but close enough:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/01/30/carter-praises-obama/

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

"Obama's campaign has been extraordinary and titillating for me and my family," Carter told the newspaper in an interview published in its Wednesday edition.

http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/01/30/art.carter.gi.jpg

Carter: Obama Titillates Me

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

SO DIDN'T NEED TO KNOW THAT, JIMMY

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

the whole family!

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

"I have titillated in my heart..."

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

in hopes of getting an endorsement, i think obama was pretty smart to act fast and kiss up to edwards, publically

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i can't source this right now, but i think edwards informed obama before he informed clinton? fwiw

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

hmm

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

whichever way his endorsement goes, if it comes before super tuesday, it will probably be timed to get the most press coverage and influence the vote the most. i'd guess late saturday.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain will never win - evangelicals and racist libertarian types will stay home, suppressing Republican voter turnout. right-wing radio hates him, which is no small thing. If he's the nominee, what it will come down to is how motivated the Democratic voting base is and getting them to turnout, which I don't think is going to be a problem.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

also I dunno if I missed any discussion upthread but I was feelin the major schaudenfreude for Rudy last night

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

is everyone convinced mitt won't win california?

i'm pretty sure that delegates are doled out by congressional district

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I am already imagining Chuck Schumer's rationale for voting to confirm Rudy as McCain's AG next February.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain = Kerry of the GOP in function, Dean of the GOP in gaffes, except even more fracturing squared.

if mccain considers giving up his all war all the time stance then i will consider being afraid of him (but only if hillary is the nominee)

if McCain considers giving up his stance for the Iraq war in earnest, and mentions wanting to pull out, moreover apologizes for "bomb bomb bomb-bomb Iran", McCain will actually be the most relatively decent GOP candidate for president since I was born, and the idea of his election won't nearly scare the shit out of me.

Of course, if he just SAYS this to get elected, and then does the opposite -- entire possible -- then never mind.

But Shakey's right, although I wouldn't generalize that result as much, but still I think many here are NOT looking at how chaotically fucked the GOP is.

We're scared of a guy who the GOP couldn't hate even more right now, stressing "right now"

We all know McCain suffers BADLY whenever he kowtows to the party line, should that be his campaign strategy. McCain comes off as a dumb old crazy guy. Even John Howard, ex-Australia PM, would do better here than McCain. (in fact, they kinda look the same.)

And this is as good as it can get for a GOP vote. Romney has no chance either. There just isn't anyone on the GOP side who can make the GOP happy. That alone will likely sink the GOP.

I like how Drudge's percentage points barely add up to 90%.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I predict that voter turnout will be huge on both sides and that it will be a close contest.

McCain is a serious threat, but none of these candidates have run in a GE and certainly not against each other, so who knows what things will look like. This will be tight.

I do think Obama is the Dem candidate with the greatest chance of not looking like the same old same-old.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I am already imagining Chuck Schumer's rationale for voting to confirm Rudy as McCain's AG next February.

lol

jhøshea, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain vs. Hillary would make for the most unlistenable campaign ever - both are horrible public speakers

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Otoh the debates would probably devolve into screaming matches. Vince McMahon could be the debate moderator.

Nicole, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/The_Mudcat_lobby_Stop_Hillary.html

Edwards advisor Mudcat Saunders, tribune of the working-class rural white guy, on MSNBC not long ago:

I can't speak for John. I can say this that, you know, being a southerner, being a rural American who's been completely devastated by the trade policies of the Clintons, I'm going to do everything in my power to make sure that he does not endorse Hillary Clinton.

He says it's about NAFTA, and the 22nd Amendment.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought someone had said recently that hillary and mccain are actually pretty close? mccain said something like the debates would be akin to the andy griffith show

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

They'll probably be a lot more like A Face in the Crowd.

Nicole, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

if it's obama vs mccain that would seem to play right into the obama's change rhetoric, except that mccain has worked together in a bipartisan fashion which would undercut undercut the other part of his message of uniting/working together/etc.

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i luv me some mudcat saunders

max, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, hulk hogan has endorsed barack obama kekeke

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought someone had said recently that hillary and mccain are actually pretty close? mccain said something like the debates would be akin to the andy griffith show

"someone" = bill clinton

did you actually believe that?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain too short to be president (5'7")

Gavin, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sure mccain would call hillary an osama-lover in a very friendly, affectionate way

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Hogan endorsed Obama? Awesome. Our scorecard now is Huckabee/Norris, McCain/Stallone, Obama/Hulk Hogan. Who is the aging action star brave enough to stand beside HRC?

McCain will never win - evangelicals and racist libertarian types will stay home, suppressing Republican voter turnout. right-wing radio hates him, which is no small thing. If he's the nominee, what it will come down to is how motivated the Democratic voting base is and getting them to turnout, which I don't think is going to be a problem.

No no no no no no no. McCain's problem has always been getting past the primaries; he'll be very strong in a GE, where he can peel off moderate Democrats and independent voters, who are attracted to his independent/moderate/maverick image (an image shaped by McCain's real core constituency: The Nat'l Media).

McCain is winning the GOP nomination only because the field has been too fragmented up to now, allowing McCain to emerge from the pack at just the right time to appear as the real favorite, and GOP voters are going to hold their nose and vote for him. Once McCain is the nominee, look out below (see Rasmussen poll above).(n.1)

________________________________
(n.1) Sadly, Romney's chances are dwindling: I think Feb. 5 is his last stand. And his chances depend almost entirely on how the hard-right axis of talk radio, uber-conservative leaders and pundits assess McCain. If that noise machine really goes after McCain this week, maybe the base rallies behind Romney. Doubtful, but maybe.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

he'll be very strong in a GE, where he can peel off moderate Democrats and independent voters

I seriously doubt McCain's ability to do this against either Hillary or Obama. Why would they go for McCain, what does he offer that the Democrats don't? Support for the war? lolz

And why should evangelicals or "OMG MEXICANS!"-types vote for him. He's been on the wrong side of all their issues. All he has going for him is his conservative military "cred"/foreign policy bonafides, which are laughably out of step with the majority of the country.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:28 (sixteen years ago) link

or do you think it will come down to the "well he's the only white guy on the ballot and I ain't votin for no lesbians or negros" factor

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama Gameplanning Against McCain

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

No Shakey, I think it will come down to the "He's a former war hero, who was a POW for 5 years for G-d's sake, he's a moderate, straight-talker who bucks his party when he feels they're wrong: Just the kind of man who America needs now. A Daddy, but a more compassionate Daddy."

And if you think for a second that HRC can draw the right contrast on Iraq with McCain, you're mistaken (I think, tho I hope I'm wrong).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

it'll be interesting to see how much the 'mccain is a moderate' canard holds up once the GE comes around, because it's not so much true. he's more moderate than bush but that doesn't make him Specter or something

akm, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

since when is the Republican party interested in moderates

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

And if you think for a second that HRC can draw the right contrast on Iraq with McCain, you're mistaken

I think she will essentially lie through her teeth to draw this distinction, emphasizing that she wants to bring home the troops now/regrets her vote for the war/etc (in contrast to McCain). altho yeah psychologically for the electorate it will be do you prefer angry mommy or angry daddy

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

also I am increasingly thinking Hillary is fucked now and we're gonna be lookin at Obama v McCain

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

the shitkicker/dirty-dealer/homeschooler axis of the GOP has never liked mccain but they will get on board, it's just a matter of how quickly and enthusiastically

xp shakey i think your radar is off, HRC is in no way fucked

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

since when is the Republican party interested in moderates.

They're not. But they hate the notion of losing to HRC. And people like voting for winners, and McCain has that glow now.

Romney, not so much. By the way, on the Romney front, I think this summarizes his real problem with GOP voters:

The always delightful Ben Domenech of RedState has written a farewell speech he wishes Fred Thompson had given. Check out Thompson's descriptions of his rivals:

"Rudy Giuliani? Slick cheater. Mike Huckabee? Jesus freak. John McCain? Crazy. Mitt Romney? Woman."

No comment required.

GOP = The Daddy Party. And despite reservations about McCain, I'm convinced that the base will come out to vote for him against HRC. The fear with Obama is, as I said upthread, that he could send Hispanic voters to the GOP, but that assumes a lot of groupwide bias dictating voting patterns (not necessarily a faulty assumption, but a big assumption that may not be true).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

He's a former war hero

This worked for Kerry.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

think any Dems will "swiftboat" McCain?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

This worked for Kerry.

Kerry looked French and windsurfed.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I think many here are NOT looking at how chaotically fucked the GOP is

Emotions right now won't necessarily be emotions later but the amount of screaming vitriol surfacing on various right-wing sites whenever someone says, "We have to pull together behind McCain for the good of the party" is telling -- for now. Early, early days.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Agreed. Let's hope they poison McCain's candidacy over the next week.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i think that shit will be put to bed pretty quick if need be, maybe much more decisively than any clinton-obama animus. sorry to be gloomy!

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Kerry protested the Vietnam War, that's why they could Swift Boat him.

Gavin, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

That too, yes.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC/Carl Weathers?

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

NO WAIT

HRC/Cynthia Rothrock!

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

The fear with Obama is, as I said upthread, that he could send Hispanic voters to the GOP

no way in hell is this going to happen. GOP spent too much of the last couple years pandering to racist demogogues re: immigration, and in my latino neighborhood, the local spanish-language paper just gave the highest marks to Obama out of all the candidates (also mentioned upthread).

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC/Carl Weathers

YES!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

An example of the irritated right:

"John McCain can eat shit and die before I pull the lever for him."

And that's just the second comment.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

no way in hell is this going to happen. GOP spent too much of the last couple years pandering to racist demogogues re: immigration

Not if it's McCain, Shakey. Otherwise, I agree. See my link upthread about HRC's belief in her supposed "Hispanic Firewall" against Obama, which highlights exactly the same themes the GOP will try and exploit.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

If McCain is selected as the Republican party’s nominee, I will not be able to vote for him, any more than I could vote for Hillary Clinton. I will leave my vote blank at the top of the ticket, or find a third party candidate to support

That's a funny article, Ned. But I think here is where lots of GOP voters will break ranks with the blogger, "hold their noses" and vote for McCain, rather than risk HRC as President. But we'll see.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

In fact, I will enjoy watching right-wingers rail against McCain over the next few days. Let them be the party in disarray for a week.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

its gonna be for more than a week - there are some deep, irreconcilable differences in the GOP right now

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but if McCain thumps Romney on Super Tuesday, I'm not sure Romney can go on (he has money, but he'll have a string of damaging setbacks).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I think here is where lots of GOP voters will break ranks with the blogger, "hold their noses" and vote for McCain, rather than risk HRC as President.

Thus my comment about how this is the state of things right this second, not necessarily down the road, you see.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

what will the lot of you if HRC is the nominee and not Obama? will you hold your noses and vote "for the sake of the party"?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

*what will the lot of you do

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

no we're all gonna switch parties and vote for McCain, smarty

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

wouldn't surprise me

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know what i'll do, honestly

jergïns, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I voted for my dad once.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

if HRC is the nominee I won't vote for her. My district will go for her overwhelmingly I'm sure, so I might not even bother voting in the GE if that's the case.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

definitely anticipating the dem debate tomorrow, like unreasonably so

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Florida no longer allows write-ins; if it did, I'd write "Dan's dad," "Oliver Wendell Holmes," or "Henry Wallace."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

not voting is just about the dumbest thing you can do, IMO. i'm sure the Florida poll workers appreciate it though, right before they throw your ballot in the trash

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

(It was the '92 election; I didn't like either Bush I or Clinton so I wrote in my dad.)

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha

Hunt3r, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man, i was hoping for HRC/JMcC morphing action

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe i should do it

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Ladies and gentlemen, McCain Derangement Syndrome.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

F'n Maureen Dowd, huh?

Eazy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

not voting is just about the dumbest thing you can do, IMO

my district is probably the most solidly Democratic district in the country, it doesn't matter who I vote for in the GE.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

It doesn't matter how many times you say that Shakey, civics classes have brainwashed the masses.

not voting is just about the dumbest thing you can do

The Dems and Repubs resurrect Hitler and Stalin in 2012; what does Mr. Que do?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

"hold the nose and vote fer Joze"

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs that would be a good comparison if hillary clinton or john mccain resembled hitler or stalin in any way

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

your morals are so pure they might as well be invisible

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't give a shit about whether people vote for the two main parties or for someone else but, given that voting is the current mechanism for registering your opinion on governmental policy, not voting to me means you've abdicated all rights to complain about or disagree with what decisions elected officials make.

If you voted for Nader, you have every right to complain about the President. If you didn't vote, shut the fuck up.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: I knew that was comin', I'm sorry it was you though.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm coming to think civil disobedience (and judiciously applied violence) are looking like much more efficient mechanisms than voting.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

From Ned's linked blog:

The Surge is responsible for the vastly improved situation in Iraq and for our consequentially improved situation globally. The other two (NB: Guantanamo and torture) are of marginal importance by comparison.

This man has a strange worldview. The Surge has "vastly improved our situation globally", but Gitmo and torture presumably have little bearing on our global situation at present?!

Aimless, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

not voting to me means you've abdicated all rights to complain about or disagree with what decisions elected officials make.

Does this mean illegal immigrants can't complain about elected officials?

G00blar, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Or prisoners?

G00blar, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Or children? (sorry, I'll stop)

G00blar, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm coming to think civil disobedience (and judiciously applied violence)

can't have it both ways!

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah we really stopped that iraq war dead in its tracks didn't we

sorry, i usually agree about protest and civil disobedience but its utter failure to stop the war is pretty dispiriting to me

as for judiciously applied violence, uh good luck with that

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys, you're so cute

ha ha i should qualify what i said above with the fact that i lived in a state in 2000 that was gonna go for bush no matter what so i voted for nader, so ha ha that ended up about as good as voting for Felix Frankfurter

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

If it's HRC v. McCain, McCain wins, it's that simple. Obama has to somehow pull off the Dem. nomination.

Bill Magill, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

bill i'm curious -- do you say that because of the media dynamic, or is there something else?

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

G00blar: yes, yes and yes. The attendant clarifications are:

1) Illegal immigrants who become legal citizens should have their opinions listened to. I am not particularly bothered one way or the other by what happens to illegal aliens; I don't think they should be kicked out of the country but, conversely, I don't think they should have the same rights as American citizens. Immigration laws should be changed to deal with this (and no I don't have the magic answer).

2) Prisoners should have all of their rights as American citizens reinstated once they have satisfied the terms of their incarceration.

3) Children? Come on now.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

dan what about the opposite argument: if you voted you shouldn't complain about bush winning. you played the game and lost.

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

i think if you pax taxes you should get to vote, it's kinda one of the founding principles of america

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

complaining: also a founding principle of america

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

dan what about the opposite argument: if you voted you shouldn't complain about bush winning. you played the game and lost.

how is this the "opposite" argument? Dan is saying if you didn't vote at all, STFU.

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't understand the "well I hate both parties so I'm going to hold my breath and not vote at all." There are many local issues on your ballot that will make a difference in your everyday life. Who the president might be may not factor in your life (unless you're in the military and don't want to go to Iraq), but whether your taxes get raised to fund a freakin' ballpark or a mandate saying you can't adopt a child if you're gay should be enough to vote.

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

(and judiciously applied violence)
(and judiciously applied violence)
(and judiciously applied violence)
(and judiciously applied violence)
(and judiciously applied violence)
(and judiciously applied violence)

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i40.photobucket.com/albums/e239/allocryptic/hillmccain.jpg

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

y u do dat

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

now do one with the omfgoggles dog and me

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm coming to think civil disobedience (and judiciously applied violence) are looking like much more efficient mechanisms than voting.

CIA to immediately begin surveilling Dr Morbius, plz.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I plan to vote, as always, in my local race, but to say that I should STFU for not voting for one of two awful nominees is purism of a kind I don't even have.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

but, as Ned said, it's way too early.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

even if you live in a solid red/blue district or state your vote still counts for the total - if enough ppl in solid blue states had opted to go for nader or not vote in 00 gore wouldn't have won the popular vote, which was of no official importance but plenty of rhetorical/cultural importance

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

This man has a strange worldview. The Surge has "vastly improved our situation globally", but Gitmo and torture presumably have little bearing on our global situation at present?!

-- Aimless, Wednesday, January 30, 2008 9:06 PM (21 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

did you even finish reading his post? or read him at all?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, maybe this is corny and unrealistic, but look at the final count for 2004 - kerry lost but he got 59,028,111 and if you voted for him the 1 on the end of that big-ass number is YOURS

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

me and Alfred are on the same page here

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:32 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

see i don't think that's corny. but i do think that not voting for a president--at all--because you don't like the candidates, think they are awful, etc. make you sound like a whiny five year old. you're never going to have a "perfect" candidate

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:32 (sixteen years ago) link

and yes i am with dan, don't bitch if you didn't vote

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll risk sounding whiny, thanks.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, maybe this is corny and unrealistic, but look at the final count for 2004 - kerry lost but he got 59,028,111 and if you voted for him the 1 on the end of that big-ass number is YOURS

this DOES NOT MATTER unless you live in a swing-state. my vote is statistically insignificant, and thanks to the "winner-take-all" electoral college model, my vote has zero impact on the GE because my district is gonna throw its delegates to the Dem nominee by a huge margin, as it has for the last, oh I dunno, probably 50+ years.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I pay taxes and vote in elections where my vote is counted so I'll bitch all I want, thx

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Que, what does it take for you to understand the diff btwn "Not Perfect" and LOATHSOME? At least three of us appear to fucking hate Rodham and McCain.

as for judiciously applied violence, uh good luck with that

Lexington and Concord, baby. (Harpers Ferry too)

gore wouldn't have won the popular vote, which was of no official importance but plenty of rhetorical/cultural importance

lololol. That fact will be as obscure as Tilden-Hayes in 40 years.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't Henrik Hertzberg been quietly advocating district reform?

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

i understand that your vote is literally one in 100 million but its still nice to look at that number on the end of it there and think that its a 7 instead of a 6 because of YOU

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Every time I see post-election violence in Kenya or Ukraine or see democracy and human- and privacy right ebbing away in Russia, statements like

I'm coming to think civil disobedience (and judiciously applied violence) are looking like much more efficient mechanisms than voting.

just seem spoiled and myopic to me.

Michael White, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Que, what does it take for you to understand the diff btwn "Not Perfect" and LOATHSOME? At least three of us appear to fucking hate Rodham and McCain.

okay, fine. you hate hillary, but LOL we should get rid of the electoral college anyway but what are the chances of that happening.

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

if every non-swing state voter who doesnt bother with a dem because its throwing a vote away or whatever actually did go in for hill or obama it could put the popular vote higher than mccain even if he wins the electoral college, and that's important when it comes to the legitimacy of the presidency

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean voting may be a 1 in 100 million thing but the real value of voting isn't winning today, it's in keeping the institution of a stable democracy alive over time.

Michael White, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

dan what about the opposite argument: if you voted you shouldn't complain about bush winning. you played the game and lost.

That is a stupid argument and if you advance it, you should probably re-examine what you think America's principles are.

i think if you pax taxes you should get to vote, it's kinda one of the founding principles of america

There is a good amount of truth to this and I don't know exactly how much that complicates the illegal immigrant issue.

Also, unless your state completely disallows write-in candidates (I had no idea FL did this btw), you can always vote for SOMEONE. Maybe they won't win but you've at least registered your opinion.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i understand that your vote is literally one in 100 million but its still nice to look at that number on the end of it there and think that its a 7 instead of a 6 because of YOU

if its just a case of pride, why can't I be proud that I'm one of the lone votes for some write-in candidate, as opposed to becoming complicit in the eventual crimes of someone I find completely abhorrent...? why should I be compelled to vote for one of the two major candidates? fuck that

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

even if he wins the electoral college, and that's important when it comes to the legitimacy of the presidency

yeah really impacted Dubya's "legitimacy" didn'it (see 90% approval rating post-9/11 etc)

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

is it really worth californians writing in 'mickey mouse' to not be able to say to president romney that he lost the popular vote?

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean voting may be a 1 in 100 million thing but the real value of voting isn't winning today, it's in keeping the institution of a stable democracy alive over time.

this is a more legitimate argument, but note that it doesn't necessitate me voting for either major party candidate

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Results 1 - 10 of about 32,300 for bush "lost the popular vote". (0.28 seconds)

and what, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

the real value of voting isn't winning today, it's in keeping the institution of a stable democracy alive over time.

otm

no one is talking about you shakey

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what I've been "spoiled" by? 40 years of lousy government, with no end in sight.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

well, finally: a more worthwhile conversation than will-Edwards-endorse- Obama.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I know someone said the word "nader" but can we all calm down?

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

wow this thread just because a thousand times more obnoxious than it normally is

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i think if you pax taxes you should get to vote, it's kinda one of the founding principles of america

this gets the relationships backwards: rights to the franchise don't stem from one's status as a taxpayer

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

became^

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

if its just a case of pride, why can't I be proud that I'm one of the lone votes for some write-in candidate, as opposed to becoming complicit in the eventual crimes of someone I find completely abhorrent...?

i just think it's sad to do this, that's all. . .and how self-absorbed do you have to be to think you're "complicit" in the crimes of a president when, LOL, the president doesn't even know your name

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

going on ad nauseam about how everything in mass politics is so impure and disappointing and then dropping in a yearning for a little headknocking is straightup brownshirt talk

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, here are your non-violent options. Remember: Good choices are made from good options.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

big xpost to dan: i think it is an american principle that people's rights are natural and not derived from voting

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

nd how self-absorbed do you have to be to think you're "complicit" in the crimes of a president when, LOL, the president doesn't even know your name

wait so my vote DOESN'T matter? what are you on about.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: I bet he doesn't know the name of most of the folks who've been "dying for freedom" the last 6 years, either.

gff, I'll take necksize 15 1/2.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

voting is not a mechanism for erecting a perfect social order for all time, it's a method for sorting out varying amounts of social power and possibly irrevocably pitched cultural and ideological conflicts without people killing each other

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

We're not changing anyone's mind here, folks.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

going on ad nauseam about how everything in mass politics is so impure and disappointing and then dropping in a yearning for a little headknocking is straightup brownshirt talk

^^^ this

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

also, if Al Qaeda had managed to kill only the Clintons and Bushes, [SELF CENSORED FOR MY OWN PROTECTION]

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

hmm I don't really like any of those third-party options (McKinney? gtfo)

if Obama doesn't get the Dem nod maybe I'll just vote for Sun Ra

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

oh good someone said brownshirts. I'm going to the store. WORK IT OUT WHILE I'M GONE.

Eppy, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

this country is built on headknocking and worse, wake up and smell the shit.

wow, I hate Democrats.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't really like any of those third-party options

THE PROHIBITION PARTY may be your salvation.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

but... I love booze!

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

like Dubya, I couldn't have survived the last 8 years without it!

*chokes on pretzel*

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean voting may be a 1 in 100 million thing but the real value of voting isn't winning today, it's in keeping the institution of a stable democracy alive over time.

I don't know if I completely buy this particular line of rhetoric. If the system doesn't work, it should be destabilized. If the form of that destabilization is the rise of another political party, that's great! If the form of that destabilization is rioting and civil war, that's not so good but maybe necessary...?

why should I be compelled to vote for one of the two major candidates?

You shouldn't be compelled to vote for anyone, let alone have your vote restricted to a Democrat or a Republican. If you choose not to vote for anyone at all, though, I don't want hear shit from you.

big xpost to dan: i think it is an american principle that people's rights are natural and not derived from voting

People have basic rights to life that should be guaranteed to them by the American government because they are citizens of the United States. The Bill of Rights didn't apply to slaves, dude.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs, the history of almost any country is a catalog of crimes, blunders, and general human style twatwafflery, interspersed by moments when people actually get something positive done, Lord knows how. I agree about the 40 years of lousy government, but one thing I can say to the right-wing jackasses is, "If you dare fucking question my patriotismm or my committment to this republican experiment in democracy, I won't wave some flag in your face, I will simply say that I voted in every single election since my majority for which I was eligible, even some where I wasn't even in country."

Michael White, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

but... I love booze!

changeyourevilways.jpeg

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Whereas I would say, "Fuck off, right-wing jackass."

Srsly, why waste energy proving yourself to a jackass?

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

If the system doesn't work, it should be destabilized. ...If the form of that destabilization is rioting and civil war, that's not so good but maybe necessary...?

Join me on the barricades, Danno!

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

twatwafflery

nice word!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah really impacted Dubya's "legitimacy" didn'it (see 90% approval rating post-9/11 etc)

Well, actually.. Kerry might've contested all the irregularities and shady stuff happening in Ohio 2004, that Bush won the popular vote was one factor that had an effect on not challenging all that and demanding recounts. (Other factors I don't know.. Kerry being Kerry..)

daria-g, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Join me on the barricades, Danno!

Yeah so not ready to go there yet (but I recognize that, as a line of rhetoric, your viewpoint deserves airing)

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

The Bill of Rights didn't apply to slaves, dude.

Awesome justification, helps the people that picked your cilantro sleep at night I'm sure.

Gavin, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Srsly, why waste energy proving yourself to a jackass?

Committment to democratic dialogue.

Michael White, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry, I just don't see why not giving my vote to one of two presidential nominees, after having debated their respective demerits for years, means I'm not participating in this great engine of liberty, especially when I can't use a write-in option; besides, by voting in my local race I feel enfranchised.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

gore wouldn't have won the popular vote, which was of no official importance but plenty of rhetorical/cultural importance

In what way? Democrats repeated it ad nauseam en route to losing across the board in 2002 and 2004. No one cared. It didn't sway anyone. Didn't weaken Bush or the Republicans in the least.

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

what's better – glowing with civic responsibility like the thousands of Cuban-born citizens in Miami-Dade County who call the talk radios and plead, "Please tell me who to vote for"?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Awesome justification, helps the people that picked your cilantro sleep at night I'm sure.

lolololololololololololololololol

HI DERE, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

The one thing that keeps me voting in presidential elections is the Supreme Court pick.

Michael White, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not really interested in this 'argument', i'm gonna keep morphin shit for now

http://i40.photobucket.com/albums/e239/allocryptic/barryclincain.jpg

barry mcclinton would like to show you his stimulus package

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

does anybody really think a system that arrives at Senator Travis Bickle and First Lady Wal-Mart is NOT broken?

Local voting is way more important and cost-effective (and still generally presents sucky choices in NYC).

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

America has principles?

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Barry McClinton looks a little... gay.

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Local voting is way more important and cost-effective

lol

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's latest endorsement.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Vote here! Only $5!

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Post made pick purely for all-year MADRASSA headlines to come.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

wow - looks like hillary's sit-down with the dirty digger didn't pay dividends after all

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm sure her buddying with lindsey graham and trent lott will work out great, tho

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

voting is a about selecting the option which is most likely to give the result closest to your beliefs. how you do the "most likely" and "closest" math is up to you, but asking for one flick of the lever to give you the big rock candy mountain seems worse than stupid to me.

this isn't to preclude idealism, of any kind. i'm an idealist. however, asking for the entire political order to be based on a certain brand of idealism is...problematic, usually because you're just inviting a lot of disappointment on yourself when you inevitably don't get your wishes gratified. and also because people have tried to do it for real over the years and lots of people were killed.

"voting doesn't solve anything" may have a certain false ring of truth to it, but it only seems to resonate with people who think "voting should solve everything i care about right now."

sorry for the civics 101 but yeah i called morbs a nazi and then got godwin's invoked so i thought i'd explain myself.

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

ny post is being contrary, it would never endorse the same candidate as the NYT

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

possibly rupert imagines obama to be the more, uh, pliant candidate

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

either that or it just thinks he's gonna win - the post loves a winner

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I have no basis for believing that choosing Rodham over McCain (or vice versa) will "give the result closest to my beliefs," especially after Bill turned out to be a worse president than Poppy Bush (something I never would've believed in '92, but I've grown).

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

well...that's politics! thanks for participating, citizen.

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

not often that you get to say "New York Post OTM"

dmr, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i think we've shown voting ad not voting means different things to different people.

artdamages, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thepage.time.com/2008/01/30/clinton-serenaded-by-the-black-elvis-in-arkansas/

get it?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

BLELVIS IS NOT FROM LITTLE ROCK
THE TRUE BLELVIS WALKS THESE DC STREETS

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I love the fact that the debate tonight will be in Simi Valley. How appropriate.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

DAMN TIME MAGAZINE ALWAYS GETTING EVERYTHING INCORRECT

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

given that ted kennedy, the nypost and pretty much the entire democratic establishment is endorsing obama i guess all you guys know who to blame if hillary wins the nomination

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

white people

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

LEWINSKY

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

also, FEMININE SOLIDARITY

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

twatwafflery

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

POLAND

El Tomboto, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i40.photobucket.com/albums/e239/allocryptic/all4.jpg

romney + obama + clinton + mccain

i'm done so i'll stop now

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

omigod now Obama can show his face in the Deep South!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

the first truly multigendered candidate

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

voting is a about selecting the option which is most likely to give the result closest to your beliefs. how you do the "most likely" and "closest" math is up to you, but asking for one flick of the lever to give you the big rock candy mountain seems worse than stupid to me.

Bit of a strawman - I've never seen a soul who thought that voting should be a process whereby they got to vote for their Ideal Candidate.

Saying "all of these people are shit, I don't want to vote for any of them" is not the same as saying "I demand a candidate who matches me 100%."

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

and in this election, there won't even be a third-party candidate who isn't abhorrent (Cynthia McKinney, whichever asshole the LP throws out there)

I don't want to vote for Cynthia even as a meaningless protest vote!

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

wow that last one is amazing

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

one more, Elmo, throw some Huck in there for good measure

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:36 (sixteen years ago) link

BLELVIS IS NOT FROM LITTLE ROCK
THE TRUE BLELVIS WALKS THESE DC STREETS

He's still around? Alive and well?

dell, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting comment from a friend just now on my blog -- an expat who currently lives in Serbia:

funny thing about the US campaign abroad… no one knows, or seems to care about the republican candidates. they all know obama and clinton, but really, no one else. little time is spent even mentioning the names of the republican winners. as you can imagine, this country(serbia) is a bit queesy about another clinton holding the reigns and also having her husband back around. yes, this country despises them… something about crushing economic sanctions that still hurt, oh yeah, and those 72 days of bombing the bejesus out of this country too…

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i demand that nader kucinich and ron paul are added to the morph -- otherwise i will retreat into my own personal underground bunker where my two cats will always love me

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

That last one looks like some sort of Christian traveling salesman.

Nicole, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Tiger on Barack - http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=080130173847.suv5kt02&show_article=1

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Saying "all of these people are shit, I don't want to vote for any of them" is not the same as saying "I demand a candidate who matches me 100%."

both of these look like ways of avoiding "doing the 'most likely' and 'closest' math" to me. it doesn't seem like a hard thing to at least figure out which issues are important to you and then finding out if there is a candidate with a reasonable chance of taking the office who matches what you think about them. if nobody fits, fine.

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

- voting is a about selecting the option which is most likely to give the result closest to your beliefs. how you do the "most likely" and "closest" math is up to you, but asking for one flick of the lever to give you the big rock candy mountain seems worse than stupid to me.

- Bit of a strawman - I've never seen a soul who thought that voting should be a process whereby they got to vote for their Ideal Candidate.

(a) that latter is misinterpreting the former
(b) we had a thread about Nader, back in the day, where several people were saying exactly this -- that they felt a responsibility or duty of conscience to vote for the candidate they most agreed with, without regard to what practical effect that was most likely to have on the world

nabisco, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

we had a thread about Nader, back in the day

zing?

gff, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

That last one looks like some sort of Christian traveling salesman.

http://ec2.images-amazon.com/images/P/0785271368.01._SCLZZZZZZZ_AA240_.jpg

jaymc, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

How is it a misrepresentation? Voting for an ideal candidate vs. voting for the candidate who'll give you "the big rock candy mountain"????

Candidate "they most agreed with" is neither the Ideal Candidate nor the "Big Rock Candy Mountain candidate" - not that I see how the two are different.

It also kind of fits in with the part you didn't quote - "Saying "all of these people are shit, I don't want to vote for any of them" is not the same as saying "I demand a candidate who matches me 100%.""

milo z, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

the first truly multigendered candidate

-- elmo argonaut, Wednesday, January 30, 2008 4:30 PM (Wednesday, January 30, 2008 4:30 PM) Bookmark Link

You're forgetting somebody:

http://z.about.com/d/politicalhumor/1/0/M/e/1/giuliani_trump_drag.jpg

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:53 (sixteen years ago) link

An outtake from Ghosts Can't Do It II -- The Dark Side.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

THIS MAKES TEH CHOICE CLEAR

Hulk Hogan does not endorse. Hulk Hogan tells you how it's gonna be.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sure this has been posted before, but this is a very effective sounding ad. Let's hope there is a barrage of equally-cutting ads over the next week.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Tiger on Barack

i smell fanfic

Gavin, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:10 (sixteen years ago) link

"trusted in times of crisis"

GO ON MENTION 9/11 ONE LAST TIME.

James Mitchell, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought they'd forget to mention 9/11, but, phew, McCain managed to work it into his statement.

James Mitchell, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

the Beeb: "this was an extraordinary declaration of love; I don't believe I've ever heard something so passionate"

gabbneb, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hannity spent the whole first hour of his show today pretending to be pro-mccain, having "seen the light" that the GOP needs to "modernize."

he even took calls from listeners who were all pissed at him for selling out.

then he was all lol jk

gr8080, Wednesday, 30 January 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Nader is getting ready run. I hope Dobbs enters the race just to fuck up shit for the right wing!

akm, Thursday, 31 January 2008 00:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Dobbs will become my new hero if he does (even tho I hate him).

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Dobbs: I'd be a 'Candidate of Last Resort'. Still, he says, "Never say never."

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, now I'm imagining Lou Dobbs singing Romeo Void songs.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.losblogueros.net/mt-weblog/fotos/lou%20dobbs.jpg

"I think it would be better
If we...SLEPT together."

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate you Ned, for making me think about Lou Dobbs sex.

Nicole, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Could be worse. Could be Glenn Beck.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Ew.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Glenn Beck hate sex.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama coming to Minneapolis on Saturday!!!

http://my.barackobama.com/page/s/minneapolis

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

<3 <3 <3 ron paul for sonning mccain & romney

and what, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's distortions are making Romney look good in this debate.

mulla atari, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, now I'm imagining Lou Dobbs singing Romeo Void songs.

"A Spic in Trouble (Is a Temporary Thing)"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://mediamatters.org/static/images/item/dobbs-20070803ssa.jpg

mulla atari, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

lol dobbs

gr8080, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's angle is greater than 90 degrees!

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton + obama + mccain + romney + huckabee + nader

http://i40.photobucket.com/albums/e239/allocryptic/presidetn.jpg

behold

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, and ron paul is in there somewhere, too

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like it has braces

J0rdan S., Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:57 (sixteen years ago) link

kinda

J0rdan S., Thursday, 31 January 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

alan alda~

gff, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Old white guys smilin'.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

(McCain/Rudy 08!)

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain's distortions are making Romney look good in this debate.

Have to agree - I don't know which one is actually giving the real story, but Romney's very organized, point-by-point comebacks made it seem like an open-and-shut case.

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

WELL GOOD. GO MITT.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, Lou Dobbs refers to the 'so-called Latino vote.' Matthew Yglesias asks the right question: "So what does he (Dobbs) call it?"

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

TPM seems to think Romney got beat in this debate, or at least that he faded badly at the end. Depressing if true.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Synchronized smirks!

http://www.latimes.com/media/alternatethumbnails/photo/2008-01/35025466-30190101.jpg

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Do you link every Yglesias blogpost? xpost

Gavin, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Sorry to over-read tea leaves, but Romney's smirk screams "despair and resignation," while McCain's smirk screams "I'm finally almost free of all you dummies."

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Hardly, but I do like Yglesias.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I like to think they're both making fun of Ron Paul's nose.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

He is quite the Peter Pan looking motherfucker

Gavin, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

When Ron Paul drops out of the race, he'll have a second career as a villian in either the new Batman or Superman movie franchises.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

this is by far McCain's worst performance -- why is he so snippy? He's in the lead!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul 08:
i got no strings to hold me down
to make me fret or make me frown

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm very relieved to hear you say that, Alfred.

TPM said that, earlier today, right-wing radio hosts -- e.g., Rush Limbaugh -- were cozying up to McCain (or maybe just resigning themselves to the idea that he'll be the GOP nomine), and modifying their stance against McCain. Anyone heard anything like this? I was hoping between now and Super Tuesday, those GOP forces would attack McCain viciously.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm going to regret this in the morning, but Romney is...civilized and cool.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I prefer "PRESIDENTIAL."

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

that's cant!

If Obama's the nominee, I hope McCain reprises this performance.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.gallup.com/poll/104044/Gallup-Daily-Tracking-Election-2008.aspx

hilz only 6 pts above obama nationally

and what, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, and the trending is really in Obama's direction. I wonder how McCain's ascention to frontrunner status is going to impact the Democratic primary. When HRC positioned herself as the "inevitable nominee," it certainly had an effect on the GOP side, with Giuliani campaigning on the notion that he (and he alone) could beat HRC in a GE.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:52 (sixteen years ago) link

"interviewing conducted Tuesday night shows the gap between the two candidates is within a few points. Obama's position has been strengthening on a day-by-day basis. As recently as Jan. 18-20, Clinton led Obama by 20 points."

So now it's kinda where Edwards supporters go.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

weeeellll it looks like dick wolf is an obama man

gff, Thursday, 31 January 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Bottom Line: GOP Voters Want To Win, which is why they'll hold their noses and vote for McCain. The article asks what conservative leaders -- who dislike McCain -- will say if he wins the GOP nomination.

Again, I found this in the context of searching for an article about the GOP's talk radio leaders' reactions to McCain's Florida victory and frontrunner status. I'm hoping that the Rush Limbaugh's of the world viciously attack McCain this week, but I'm less and less hopeful.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Today, Limbaugh made a 'non-concession speech', laid into McCain, and promised more of the same this week.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 04:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Limbaugh refused to say he'd support McCain as the nominee (although he didn't say he wouldn't). I also heard an angry "conservative" caller talk about how much she hated McCain and how she'd even vote Hillary over McCain.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 04:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I happened to tune in for 10 minutes today for this very reason

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone know if you can watch the debate tonight online? i don't get any channels at all and i'd like to see it.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

(meant the obama-clinton debate, not the repub. debate last night)

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I think NPR's replaying it at some point.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Rasmussen has Hillary leading in CA only by 3 points, and in Massachusetts by 6. That's some major movement.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm assuming even if he doesn't win some of these primaries the change will make a big difference in his delegate count and give him a good shot

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:56 (sixteen years ago) link

hilary has the early voters though.

The Brainwasher, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:57 (sixteen years ago) link

well, a lot is going to depend on what happens in the debate tonight, and whether or not the three heavies who have not yet endorsed (richardson, edwards, gore) will do so before tuesday.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:59 (sixteen years ago) link

who's getting raymond burr's endorsement?

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 14:59 (sixteen years ago) link

that guy from the milk commercial.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

oh wait that's aaron burr.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

also, can I say how fucking hilarious and pathetic it is to hear political analysts wringing their hands over where the PRECIOUS WHITE MALE VOTE is going to go now edwards is out of the race

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

tonight's debate is going to be the greatest thing ever y/y?

The Brainwasher, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

also, can I say how fucking hilarious and pathetic it is to hear political analysts wringing their hands over where the PRECIOUS WHITE MALE VOTE is going to go now edwards is out of the race

-- elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:03 (13 minutes ago) Link

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm kind of nervous about it. it's gonna be intense, no edwards around to break up the tension a little. obama really needs to be on it, obv.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

They can invite Huckabee and Paul to sit in on that one too.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, kinda nervous

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:23 (sixteen years ago) link

They can invite Huckabee and Paul to sit in on that one too.

I lol'ed.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.mercuras.com/0108/HillaryNutcrackerCRUNCH.gif

gershy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

it's as if hillary is literally going to crush my testicles and emasculate me! hahahahahaha!

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

If I were Obama's debate coach, right about now I'd be training him to look for his "there you go again" moment.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:03 (sixteen years ago) link

so... does anybody know where i can watch "the hollywood donnybrook" online?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

the debate's in the kodak theatre, where the american idol finals are held... would srsly love it if one of them could work an am. idol reference like, i dunno, "senator, you're hitting more false notes than kelly pickler"

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

i think you mean that paula & randy should moderate the debate

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i would srsly not love that

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

YES THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT I MEAN

xpost

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

simon cowell is the only tough interviewer currently working in the united states

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:10 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe the debate winner should marry brett michaels

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

bret

Hurting 2, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

honest question: why don't they have numbers running continuously at the bottom of the screen to text 1) who you think "won" the debate and 2) who you want to vote for??

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

because to do so would destroy what ever shred of dignity democracy in this country had left?

Mr. Que, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll only maybe watch this if whoops/applause from the peanut gallery is prohibited.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Are they going to muzzle them?

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I saw the start of at least one debate this 'season' where the moderator said there would be no cheering, and it seemed to be observed.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"dignity"?? with brian williams and tim russert? fuck, if it got people to tune in and pay attention i'd be all for it - make this stuff feel fun and modern instead of fusty and completely unconnected from how anyone lives their lives

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah this shit needs to be less like tennis and more like basketball basically

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

They did that at the Republican debate last night and it didn't work, if I remember correctly.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

not everything has to be a three ring circus

Mr. Que, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe it's something about California.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

TH, isn't it already like The Biggest Loser?

yeah sure, give ppl the illusion that it's connected to how they live their lives. Maybe Hil will say "gallon-a-gas" again!

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

(did Tracer somehow find out in the last week why everyone was pissed at Bill Clinton? I lost track)

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

He oppressed Borat, I thought.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

WaPo is reporting that the Obama campaign has raised $32 MILLION in this past month alone.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2008/01/31/obama_to_report_32_million_rai.html

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I LIKE WHAT YOU DID THERE DOG BUT THIS REZCO THING IS WEAK, I'M SORRY, I THOUGHT IT WAS WEAK

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

you could have "backstage" clips of them training up with their practice opponents, cut to them flubbing a line and cracking up until finally... they come our with that zinger, hold their gaze, and it's like "CUT!" and everybody hugs

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i think it shows... it shows SO much courage to get up there and give your all... i think you're just... you're just great, hillary, really. you took your competitor's rhetoric and you really made it your own. i thought it was great.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

"American Votez, that's 'votez' with a z."

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

All worth it to see the look on his face when Randy calls Obama "dawg."

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

They could have Edwards come out and reprise some of his best lines from past debates, as a farewell encore.

o. nate, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

The only one who could reach the white guys
Was the son of a mill worker

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

They could have Edwards come out and reprise some of his best lines from past debates, as a farewell encore.

this is such an awesome idea! get kucinich and dodd and richardson out there too except they don't get to say anything, just wave

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Then they could all campaign together, no matter who gets the nomination--"Candidates Live 2008"

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary/Obama duet as the big showstopper, of course.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

as a warmup they could get audience members to try to debate them - "debating with the stars"

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

money shots - audience members bursting into tears after a particularly cutting comeback - crowd does big sitcom "awwwwwww"

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill could make a special guest appearance with the sax.

Nicole, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

that's big-time! maybe at the very last one

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Wall Street execs could toss the candidates "treats" and watch them scramble on all fours for them.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

morbius have you ever watched television?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

guys didn't they already make this premise into an awful movie with randy quaid?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it was Dennis actually

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

American Dreamz

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

They didn't take it anywhere near far enough.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

lol got my quaids mixed up

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

If there are any Amer Idol jokes at all tonight, they'll be about Sanjaya.

President Keyes, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

The only one who could reach the white guys
Was the son of a mill worker

A+ second line

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

so this story is making the rounds, on former pres. clinton's helping a canadian mining contractor close a deal in kazakhstan who then donated millions to a clinton foundation: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/31/us/politics/31donor.html?ref=politics

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Though it would be great if Obama said, "Hillary, it sounds like you poppin' those crazy lady pills Paula Abdul is always high on."

President Keyes, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

^^ who are you and why are you trying to be funny

gff, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

My gf has now gotten two different mailings from a union she no longer belongs to, asking us to back Sweet Lady H.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

so like, anybody know where i can see this online? no?

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

^^ who are you and why are you trying to be funny

Random Googler

President Keyes, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know, i know cnn is broadcasting so maybe they will have it streaming on their site as well?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, I watch lots of films and baseball on TV, but never been bored or masochistic enough to sample American Idol.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

yea i really want to find out where i can watch this online

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

doesn't seem like it, though they may have an audio feed :/

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

if news24 was worth a damn they'd show this instead of a rolling repeat of their newsblock

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, can't find it anywhere, although cnn.com does a bunch of "cnn live" videos, maybe they'll put up clips fast?

G00blar, Thursday, 31 January 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

A persuasive column from Peter Beinart on why the current Obama-Clinton primary battle is more likely to help the eventual nominee in the general election than to harm him or her:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/30/AR2008013003210.html

o. nate, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

NYC ILXors, I'm running Obama GOTV phone banks in Manhattan Saturday afternoon and Monday evening. Randomly had one of the dudes from Oakley Hall with me at the one I did last night. Hit me up for details, hatch(at)wfmu(dot)org, if you want to participate.

Hatch, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Beinart is so wishy washy but.. he does have a point re: the opinions of Noonan, Fineman and Cafferty on the party being torn apart.

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

obama tracking ahead by 10 points in GA

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

NYC ILXors, I'm running Obama GOTV phone banks in Manhattan Saturday afternoon and Monday evening. Randomly had one of the dudes from Oakley Hall with me at the one I did last night. Hit me up for details, hatch(at)wfmu(dot)org, if you want to participate.

Good post. This is true for me and Senator Clinton in Boston, 262-353-5403 if you want to get involved.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

FITE

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

early indications suggest that edwards' blog activist types are siding for obama, possibly helping him snag a moveon.org endorsement

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0108/Consolidating_the_left.html

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

wondering whose eulogy to the edwards' campaign will be the most well received at tonight's debate...

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

"... a man who had the courage to apologize for his wrongheaded jihad-enabling vote..."

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

he didn't just vote for it, he fucking co-sponsored it

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.2008masks.com/

UH

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Giuliani masks = landfill

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, that Romney mask.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:19 (sixteen years ago) link

The Bill mask needs a lot more red paint.

Nicole, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The Romney mask looks like a repainted Kerry

Ed, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

what's Rudy gonna do now, angle for AG in a prospective McCain admin?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't feel too bad for Rudy - he got to fly around Florida for a couple of months and be greeted by adoring crowds, all expenses paid.

o. nate, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i've noticed obama camp is really leaning heavily on the web advertising -- obama has the big splash ad on salon.com today

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I/21FXNlvhpFL.jpg

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't feel too bad for Rudy

oh no need to worry on that count. fucker should be in jail and barred from public office imho

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

That Obama mask is like a still from a mediocre 80s film in which Richard Pryor's face gets caught in a taffy machine.

Eppy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I can hear the laughter:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/01/31/us/31schwarzenegger2-337.jpg

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

That's a nice Ed Meese mask but where's one for HRC?

HI DERE, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I can hear the laughter:

that's some serious Legion of Doom cackling going on there

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I just early-voted for the first time! On an electronic machine, no less.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's mask looks like across between Robert LaFollette and Nixon (which sounds about right, no?).

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

ted kennedy and john kerry in the bay area this weekend to speak about obama; emails went out about five minutes ago, obama server completely jammed. too bad! i wanna see me a kennedy!

akm, Thursday, 31 January 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

The Nation has endorsed Obama

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

With former First Lady Nancy Reagan looking on, Paul disagreed with President Reagan's choice of Sandra Day O'Connor as a Supreme Court justice, while Huckabee and McCain declined to say whether they would have tapped her for a spot on the high court.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sorry.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"Would you go there if we promised you a spot on the Supreme Court?"

HI DERE, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Sandy and Mommy in a Huckathree-way?

uh sorry

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckathree-way

Nightmares forever.

Nicole, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think these apologies have been strenuous enough.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

so i haven't bothered to look at salon.com in like, two years, but I just took a look and it appears to redirect to obama's site. how long have they been doing that?

akm, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't feel too bad for Rudy - he got to fly around Florida for a couple of months and be greeted by adoring crowds, all expenses paid.

Adoring crowds of 100 per campaign stop.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

akm, it's adspace; they put the obama website frontpage up as the daily non-salon-subscriber ad

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, that Obama ad on Salon is the creepiest fucking I've ever seen.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Dropping out lost Edwards 4%, but the other 8% is in it for the long haul.

I DIED, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Adoring crowds of 100 per campaign stop

Hey- but at least he wasn't freezing his ass off in NH. Pretty smart strategy if you ask me.

o. nate, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

the rudy campaign was really a tremendous fail. like, "i'll wait until the second trimester to stop drinking" level of foolhardiness.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey- but at least he wasn't freezing his ass off in NH. Pretty smart strategy if you ask me.

"We studies our campaign's strengths and weaknesses and decided that it was better to spend our paid-for vacation in Florida, not Iowa or New Hampshire."

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

a Rudy supporter to our campus paper today: "At least he kept us safe."

UH

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

SAFE FROM A MUSHROOM CLOUD OVER OUR CITY, ALFRED.

You could show some more appreciation.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's mask looks like across between Robert LaFollette and Nixon (which sounds about right, no?).

Reagan

Dropping out lost Edwards 4%, but the other 8% is in it for the long haul.

lol. perhaps they are rolling averages?

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post He means from the squeegee mens.

President Keyes, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Websites with their site passes and such. Dumbasses.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 31 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

TPM.tv (Josh Marshall) said today that Romney has decided not to buy any more ad time in Super Tuesday states, which -- to Marshall -- suggests that Romney knows the writing is on the wall.

If the "highlights" of last night's debate that TPM.tv showed are representative, Romney sounded terrible: Resigned and beaten. I've never seen him fumble over words before. And he stumbled at the precise time that he needed to be strong (when he was asked if McCain's claim that Romney favored a timetable for withdrawal from Iraq was accurate).

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

An example of the weird dynamics at work -- at RedState they're asking everyone to stop with the nasty racist comments like 'Juan McCain'.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

wolf blitzer will be the debate moderator tonight. ugh.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

he can't even moderate the volume of his own voice.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just gonna take credit for calling this months ago - Romney should have had this thing on paper, but his fatal flaw was that he's a dilettante in the game - he sorta sucks at politics compared to the guys who've been doing this for most of their lives.

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I still harbor hope that hair like Romney's will be appreciated by the Republican electorate.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

*Romney's hair

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just gonna take credit for calling this months ago

I just want to point out that I have been OTM throughout this thread

jergïns, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

The comments on that Red State thread are kind of telling:

"John McCain cares more about the good opinion of the Hispanic community and/or foreigners than he does Americans and America's best interest."

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I was on here in '95 telling you all that Clinton would in fact be re-elected.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I got the bell-bottoms thing wrong in '78. :-(((((

Rock Hardy, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

WELL JEEZ.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Get it right next time, Rock.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.politico.com/global/omoney.jpg

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is most liberal senator in 2007 - http://nj.nationaljournal.com/voteratings/

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I have another prediction: On November 4th, 2008, the voting process will not go as smoothly as it ought to. There will be recounts and challenges to recounts. There will be claims of suppressing the vote and counter-claims of voter fraud.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I've been wondering ('wondering') what Moynihan would be doing were he still alive, and today his widow endorsed Barack.

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Biden was 3rd-most-liberal, just ahead of Bernie Sanders, lol

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

if the fucking Natl Journal sez it, it must be fucking so.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Fucking A, Bubba

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

agreed, alfred.

and yet i gave bama my email addy anyway!

Beatrix Kiddo, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AH47iuMTuC8

lol AMERICAS MAYOR

and what, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

AMERICUZMAYERAMERICUZMAYERAMERICUZMAYERAMERICUZMAYERAMERICUZMAYER

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

you can vote for which questions get asked during tonight's debate here:

http://dyn.politico.com/debate/democrats/VoteForQuestion.cfm

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz @ questions

" Question on: Leadership
are you honest? thank you"

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

"Question on: Leadership
Why should we believe what you say about anything?"

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

"Question on: Social Issues
Do you read the funnies in the news paper? If not why not? I ask this because it can give you a look at what people are thinking and going though in the country. Even if it is in some what offbeat way"

jesus

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

"Question on: Leadership
Mars?"

LOLOLOLOL i really want to see wolf blitzer ask this one

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Re Salon ad, this is creepier by far

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

it is kind of nice looking

remy bean, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF why are there so many fucking questions about NASA???

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

With that I would like to say that we have run out of Obama pasters!

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF why are there so many fucking questions about NASA???

http://onyxheart.com/roflcopter/wp-content/uploads/2006/12/lolinternet.JPG

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

i am not even joking like 80% of the questions that have been voted up most are ALL ABOUT MANNED SPACE EXPLORATION

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://obeygiant.com/images/Obama_icon.jpg

how is this creepy? the banner ad is a little creepy

xxxxp

dmr, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess the redface half is kinda weird

dmr, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

soviet realism is always kind of creepy

El Tomboto, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

in that "ha ha makes you laugh now but forty years ago UH" creepy style

El Tomboto, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

it's "creepy" because it draws on propaganda aesthetics but, uhh, that's kinda the dude's defining style xpost

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

the artist, not obama lol

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thenonist.com/images/uploads/creative_commies.jpg

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pittstate.edu/engl/nichols/krugerbody.jpg

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://farm1.static.flickr.com/70/164260495_d3f1ff6328.jpg

gabbneb, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i.usatoday.net/life/_photos/2007/10/04/eggers-whatx.jpg

jaymc, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

thats more of a young adults novel aesthetic

jhøshea, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

It looks like it was done by the same guy who did Zep's Mothership

Bill Magill, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img2.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/f8a432e330.jpg

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

obama has a posse

dmr, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i can say that I honestly don't ever hear a thing about clinton on the streets or from anyone's mouths; the streets of SF are filled with obama signs, flyers, etc; and clinton is allegedly in the lead here in the polls. I know that the former might follow the latter, but still, there seems to be little to no 'buzz' about HRC right now.

akm, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Really? I've been hearing alot of buzz about this harvey milk character.

Cosmo Vitelli, Thursday, 31 January 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

If you could measure an election based on buzz, Ron Paul would be winning right now. Hillary's people are hiding in the wings somewhere, probably playing bingo at the rotary club.

Hatch, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:07 (sixteen years ago) link

nice work on the KMFDM, daria. Actually, OBAMA could totally be an album title of theirs.

I DIED, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Some of them might be playing bingo It's too bad Hillary's people's votes aren't weighted less than the special, different votes of Obama's people.

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Good point.. hold on, let me fire up my Photoshop again

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria seems relaxed and funny before Super Tuesday. Confident?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Some of them might be playing bingo It's too bad Hillary's people's votes aren't weighted less than the special, different votes of Obama's people.

+

Daria seems relaxed and funny before Super Tuesday. Confident?

If she’s not, I am.

Mr. Goodman, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:21 (sixteen years ago) link

What was I thinking? BARACK is a much more KMFDM title.

I DIED, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Hardly. That has six letters in the title as opposed to five.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Goodman is Mark Penn.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, I guess BARAK is better.

I DIED, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:29 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img2.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/466a467135.jpg

(sorry was too lazy to make the 'm' perfect there..)

daria-g, Thursday, 31 January 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I am all for manned space exploration/going to Mars

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

on the condition that we leave Rudy there.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://losangeles.craigslist.org/search/sss?query=debate

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 00:58 (sixteen years ago) link

hollywood liberals amirite

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 00:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Here we go, yo.

Tonight's predication: first candidate to mention the Superbowl wins the election.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, streaming video on cnn.com.

G00blar, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Wolf did not bring his usual C- game.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

THE ONLY RULES ARE THERE ARE NO RULES

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

No rules!

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz!

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

obama on the i <3 edwards train right out of the gate

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Shocker.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow. Watching this makes me wish they would run together.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Great opening question ...

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Ed Helms!

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

oh wook deya fwendzz

El Tomboto, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:13 (sixteen years ago) link

this is hilarious. it's all aw <3

Clay, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Nuanced policy discussion in the first 10 minutes. Thank you CNN.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:16 (sixteen years ago) link

live stream on CNN workin great on firefox

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

they've got them awfully close together

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:21 (sixteen years ago) link

both have claimed the mantle of edwards!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Ha ha. Just tuned in.

Am I wrong or is Obama more "on-his-game" than usual in tonight's debate? (He's an amazing speaker, but an average debater).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

both have claimed the mantle of edwards!

This is good for everyone.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

man they both sound great

like a couple of intelligent, non-crazy, level-headed people

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

obviously trying to sway the ex-edwarders. edwardians?

xp

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

man they both sound great

like a couple of intelligent, non-crazy, level-headed people.

Yeah, I was going to say. . .

It's too bad that "crazy" wins General Elections.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:30 (sixteen years ago) link

lol obama straight talk express zing

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

i am loving this talk about coming together as democrats vs republicans

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I love them both. I want a group hug.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

They do both sound rational and smart. But in the General Election, you'll hear the GOP counter-argument. It will be all, "YOU ARE A TAX AND SPEND LIBERAL" this, and "YOU WANT TO WAIVE THE WHITE FLAG, MY FRIEND, AND LET THE TERRORISTS, WIN" that, and "YOU ARE A SISSY."

Interestingly, Obama is making an overt effort to position himself as the better candidate to beat McCain. Early in the primary cycle, it was the GOP candidates who were vying to be the "anti-HRC."

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

oh shit obama sticks it to the kodak theatre celebrities! hahahaha

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

The differences between them are, from what I've heard so far, razor-thin. It sounds more like they're debating Wolf Blitzer than each other.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Bravo, Sen. Obama.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

great obama response on immigration

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

i havent seen this much consecutive sense-making on cnn like, ever

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, def. a good response to a jerky question.

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

labor rights for immigrant workers YEAH obama!!

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

thank god we get these windows of sanity inbetween the fucking godawful "reporting" on these people

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

why is hillary throwing immigrants under the train now???

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is debating better than he has been. It isn't that he's miraculously changed. It must be a combination of (a) the candidates effort to cool-down the hostility, (b) the loss of Edwards, who Obama relied on to attack HRC from the left, and (c) the narrowing of the field to two, so he can squarely focus on HRC. Maybe there's more, too.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

"wolf you keep up tryin to..."

^^^ yes

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:47 (sixteen years ago) link

obama otm

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

this is a good debate - right before super tuesday they couldve done a lot of stupid shit but instead its policy wonk stuff

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

"people dont come here to drive, they come here to work"

right wing talk radio is going to be allll over this tomorrow

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's tone is much better tonight: Mostly referring to HRC as "Sen. Clinton," no jokey-ness, no smirks. This is his best face.

HRC is good, too.

Yes, this crop of Democratic candidates are wonky, esp. these two.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

plz no more "bring _____ together" tonight.

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

all the lefty stuff!! its like everything good about edwards got reconstituted into non-useless candidates

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

3than my little sensors stood on end when she started with that answer too but she kept with it and it was a good move, saying she understood people's anger and confusion and tying it into the real problem which is exploitation

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of wonky, mike gravel is currently debating against no one in particular

http://ustream.tv/channel/alternative-debate

ciderpress, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha, "you kept changing your position, but that's ok, cause it's a tough issue."

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

what the fuck is this interstitial music

El Tomboto, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

just play some dimmu borgir

El Tomboto, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

oh god help us a question on "character" after the break!

xpost HA

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

This music! OMG! Speaking of KMFDM!

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

lol gravel

<3

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary... likeable?

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Am I wrong or is Obama more "on-his-game" than usual in tonight's debate?

No, he's so fucking money tonight

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

of what the hell, I'll switch to the "people-meter" stream just for fun

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

link pls

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.cnn.com/video/live/live.html?stream=stream1

if not that then the image on the right with the red line in the middle

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

whoa this meter is way hillary-tilted - it goes up to 70 before she even says anything!

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

nice CDF shout-out from hilz

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

lol "tilted"

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

The nice thing here, I think, is that whichever candidate is selected, we'll be well-represented in the General Election. Just after Kerry won the nomination in 2004, I began thinking "Oh, no. We nominated this guy?" Not that he wasn't qualified (certainly more qualified than the incumbent), but he was just a horrible candidate.

That won't be a problem this year. Even HRC -- who I sadly think will get slaughtered unless something dramatic happens -- will make me proud.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:02 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC with the sly smile: "Who is it brave enough to say that Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee?"

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ROMNEY ZING LOL

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ZING!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

oh that's a good one oh lord

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ok time to turn off the damn meter

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck that meter

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary had bobby kennedy's children??

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

so who are the people all this corny 'this is about your lives' stuff works on

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe that insult will -- finally -- wake Mitt from his resigned slumber.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

what was it

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

half of it was the delivery

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

the question was if either of these candidates can be "CEO" of america with no business experience like mitt's got

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Sen. Obama just rub Sen. Clinton's back?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary said, uh bush was a shitty CEO president, barack said yeah plus romney spent a shit-ton of his own $$ and still cant even beat john mccain lol

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

checking for a "device"

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama said: "Well, let it be noted that Mitt Romney hasn't had a very good return on his investment during this Presidential run so far. Over the past year, I'd say my management skills on the campaign trail compare very favorably to his."

Or something like that. With snazzy delivery.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

guys this is making me proud to be a democrat

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

the zing part was "get a decent return on his investment"

xp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

just tuning in, but "`pushing back' special interests and lobbyists" -- yawn.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

guys this is making me proud to be a democrat

same here ... then again, i heart the policy-wonk shit.

Eisbaer, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

im waiting to watch the rerun of this it sounds great

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

DEAR MY CABLE COMPANY: PLS DO NOT RUN EMERGENCY BROADCAST SYSTEM TEST DURING PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES, k thx

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

As squishy as that "I can get new people engaged" argument is, if there are few policy-related differences between them, that could be a compelling argument for Obama.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG AND ESPECIALLY DO NOT RUN THREE OF THEM IN A ROW AAAAGGGH

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is HRC with the turquoise necklace and earrings?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

'well, i regret deeply theres been a bush in the white house all this time'

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

"the king is dead, long live the queen" LOL

Eisbaer, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

"nobody has an advantage" ??????

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

damn hillary nailed that "take a second clinton to clean up after the second bush"

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

wait was that diane keaton

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at HRC for extolling the mediocrity of the Bill Clinton years.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:12 (sixteen years ago) link

why have they shown rob reiner 300 times if diane keaton is in the audience? did somebody just tell the camera dude who she was?

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

it was a cheap line and peanut-gallery shaker.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

The Republicans are fucked.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

alfred are you clocking in for morbz while hes on vacation or what

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf is HRC with the turquoise necklace and earrings?

AZ/NM

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at HRC for extolling the mediocrity of the Bill Clinton years.

"mediocrity" looks damn good if it's being compared to a total clusterfuck.

Eisbaer, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Blitzer. Wolf Blitzer.

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

"We're going to change the system like my husband did when beating George H.W. Bush" -- FUCK OFF

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i'd take a million daria crazypants posts over your tired "politicians are bullshit amirite!~!!" schtick

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

hilary's won me over to the degree that i now feel for not wanting her to win (because she's got no fucking shot in the ge)

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm just catching up...and on transcript Obama still looks better than HRC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

on the theory that "anyone looks like a giant when surrounded by pygmies"

Eisbaer, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

hey guys did you ever notice that politicans say stuff to get elected? let me post condescendingly about it 40000 times

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm glad that this isn't about attacks, but while Hil isn't quite on her A game, they're both really doing a good job of making the best mostly positive case for themselves

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

ethan, fuck off if you've never read any of the 10 million Obama posts I've made on this and the other thread.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah alfred go vote for Oliver Wendell Holmes, brah

Mr. Que, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

she teed up on that one like ornaldo bloomps

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

calling her HRC is the most annoying thing ever btw

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

been meaning to say that for like 3 months

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

she's not a highway

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

the way they cut to commercial it was like the other coach had to call a time-out after a dunk

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:16 (sixteen years ago) link

whenever he starts a sentence doyle mcmanus sounds like dave letterman

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

it's faster

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

caling her HRC is still better than the smug 'rodham' act

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha thats so true, incl shot of obama looking semi-dejected

xps

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

billy blythe lol look at me

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, J0rdan. I say HRC all the time. No slight intended whatsoever. It's just easier than typing "Sen. Clinton." Calling her "Hillary" is what irks me.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

BHO

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

barack hussein overdrive

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred, both brought their "A-Game" tonight.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i call her clinton or hilz

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I once again suggest Sweet Lady H.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Daniel otm. It's like NRO calling Mittens "Mitt" like they take Jaeger shots with him.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

J0rdan, if I thought people would understand BO, I'd type that, but I'm sure you can see where that would lead to confusion and misunderstanding.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, that was a good Clinton answer.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean its just a pet peeve carry on

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

the question was if either of these candidates can be "CEO" of america with no business experience like mitt's got

-- and what, Thursday, January 31, 2008 9:07 PM (8 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

I'm not actually watching/liveblogging the debate at the moment, but there was a pretty good npr piece yesterday about how Mitt's biz experience with takeover firms isn't really all that much like traditional executive experience

Hurting 2, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:19 (sixteen years ago) link

One area where I think Obama is winning tonight is that he's very aggressively road-testing his messages against John McCain. I think the meta-message is that he's better positioned to oppose him.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's fumbling now. This is all air.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah 'i will be most effective going up against john mccain' - what does that even mean?!

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

'i opposed this war' - it's like hes saying NOTHING

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I disagree. That's exactly his selling point. He needs to drive that home.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

"There you go again"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

big o calls the repubs iraq strategy "fuzzy" - nice

daniel i think that works in both their favors -- as long as stories about john mccain are being told, by them, on this stage, it sets the narrative up for either of them to tee up on

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

CHILLS

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

i was j/k-ing daniel esq

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess we shouldn't make too much of this audience, which are going to clap like seals at any left-liberal one liner if it reminds them of Aaron Sorkin.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Understood, ethan.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

WE'RE HAVING SUCH A WONDERFUL TIME

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

"iraqis have to get serious" hahaha

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah who do these liberals think they are, applauding liberal policy ideas from a future president

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at all the dumb-ass NASA questions getting ignored

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

As good a writer as Obama is, I can't FATHOM how he can't cite geopolitical data like HRC did re Syria and Jordan to support his foreign policy.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

haha I love that they're bringing up "100 years" as often as possible

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

As good a writer as Obama is, I can't FATHOM how he can't cite geopolitical data like HRC did re Syria and Jordan to support his foreign policy.

He's less wonky and specific, Alfred, but he's plenty wonky and can be very specific. And this is his best debate, by far (of those I've seen).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

100 years + 'i will hate gooks as long as i live' needs to be a moveon.org ad like now

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

obama is ultra-sharp; just because he isnt saying what you in particular want to hear doesnt mean he's not totally on his game

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

he was um-ing and uh-ing a lot at the start but now hes killing it

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

though im tired as all the people hes met at townhall meetings

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i know the "we" thing is part of his whole campaign but, like, dude, we get it, you met a bunch of people who embody every policy issue ok

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

100 years + 'i will hate gooks as long as i live' needs to be a moveon.org ad like now

Sadly, I think this line helps McCain. I would stay away from this one.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

good answer

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

(Obama)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i kinda agree with daniel on this one, along the lines of trying to knock bush for being to everyman

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

surge: demolished

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Rhetorically, "ums" and "ohs" are only a problem if they're used to fill gaps of silence. That isn't how Obama uses those verbal crutches.

Don't worry: He's a far more dynamic speaker than the GOP nominee will be.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

will Blitzer ask them what exactly they intend to in Afghanistan?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus christ wulf blitzer

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, voters just want a guy they can get a beer & hate gooks with

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

they keep citing Afghanistan as a failure -- what would they do?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

hey maybe they'll talk about it lol

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

good answer, Hils.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

obama needs to say that he DID anticipate how fucked-up the war should be

this is a huge hole in the clinton candidacy

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

hey wait its 9:30 isnt this over

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, this all comes across was pretty terrible waffling

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

uh xp

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I don't think her answer here is very powerful.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

wait what just happened?? why are they booing???

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama needs to arguge that his background makes him a more credible anti-Islamic terror candidate than HRC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

wolf said "so did you just say you were naive in trusting the president" or some shit

El Tomboto, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

wolf bloltzer

xp

he tried to nail her by asking if she was naive in trusting bush's case for war

xp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Big problems for HRC on this point. She won't have the clean debate with McCain that Obama will. And McCain will try to hug her on this point and blur distinctions.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't think it's a huge hole in her campaign for her to say she trusted bush not to be a deranged war freak

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

how awesome that blitzer is the first to get booed

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Ohhhhhhhh. Advantage: Obama.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama nees to tell this Hollywood-lefty crowd, "These terrorists hate fags and secularists like you. This adminstration's no better. Let's come together!"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

also barack is making this distinction without looking like an asshole

xxxxp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

That look by HRC is priceless. She would rip Obama limb-from-limb with her bare hands if the cameras weren't running.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

FINALLY

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

"the terrorist threat, Isreal..."

Simon H., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

ayo
http://image.com.com/tv/images/story/spongebob.jpg

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the clean debate with McCain is that he wants to stay in Iraq for 100 years..

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

why do reporters boast about being in "the spin room"?? christ

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i feel like im taking crazy pills every time somebody tells me 'i will hate gooks for as long as i live' works in mccain's favor

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I missed the first part of the debate, so I ask: were they asked about the crowing on the right about the success of the surge? This is what McCain is going to discuss for weeks.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

oh jeez wtf sex and violence questions

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't grok the argument that being able to say you were against the war from the start is a useful point to make in a debate vs McCain in which the subject is: what do we do now.

That racist McCain comment is just old news. Old news is old news. I also think Barack being against the war from the start is old news and not a useful answer to the questions about current policy...

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

hey there's spielberg, where's morbs?

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Ugh, I hate this stuff. Now comes the part where everyone has to talk about how they worry about what kids are watching on MTV.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

i feel like im taking crazy pills every time somebody tells me 'i will hate gooks for as long as i live' works in mccain's favor

-- and what, Thursday, January 31, 2008 8:41 PM (18 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

i guess i just don't think it would be impactful either way. i mean i think the ppl who would be SERIOUSLY OUTRAGED are probably voting dem no-fail anyway and the people who would find good things in that— not necessarily the racism but the "tenacity" or w/e— are voting republican no-fail either way

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Both had good answers on the surge. Same as they've said before.

Daria, you couldn't be more wrong on that critical point.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

UGH

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

obama was like "first we had intolerable violence and a dysfucntional government, then we had spikes of horrific violence and a dysfunctional government, and now we're back to intolerable violence and a dysfunctional government -- and meanwhile we're spending billions of dollars and none of it has made america any safer" BLADOW

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

MEMO TO OBAMA: WATCH WHAT THEY'RE WEARING ON AMERICAN IDOL

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

not that independents wouldn't be SERIOUSLY OUTRAGED but idk i feel like if it could fuck him over it would have already at some point

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

wow obama w/ the self-dedicating hillary save

also return of hillary cackle

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

that cackle is priceless

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

self-deprecating*

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

"I've made it very clear to Bill that if you fuck with my campaign, your ass is on the couch again"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i feel like im taking crazy pills every time somebody tells me 'i will hate gooks for as long as i live' works in mccain's favor.

He won't be seen negatively for it, because he was imprisoned and tortured. He'll get a pass on this. Beyond that, it reinforces his image as "The Daddy." That's the appeal of the GOP in GE over the past 20 years.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

STOP THIS ROAD METAPHOR SHIT

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

"it's a lonely job in the white house" struck a kind of odd, chekhovian note

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

^^but could chip away at liberal/moderate support that he needs

xxp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what obama is great at, keeping that megawatt smile under wraps and making you look forward to it

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

^

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

gr8080 otm, yes

omar little, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"what do you think of a clinton/obama obama/clinton ticket"

"well, i agree with everything barack just said"

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll just say, most people weren't against the war from the start, it's more - how do we get out.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Not the point.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

so what is the big story from this debate?

hatchet buried?

too friendly?

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Love how Obama grins quietly while HRC cackles.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

i like what ethan said about taking everything good about edwards and putting it in two non-useless candidates.

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

attaboy! attagirl! whew

the big story is that the republicans have got a steam train bearing down in their ass

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

The Corner's best response to the debate:

I keep wanting Obama to be their nominee, because another Clinton era will be hell. And he does seem fresher and more intellectually honest. BUT — she just sounds so much more like a grown up. Her lack of principle, which we could call pragmatism, will allow her to do what it takes when the time comes. The question is, given that this is a two-party nation, should we consider it a decent outcome to get a bad Democrat for four years instead of a bad Republican?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

haha er i meant bearing down ON

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Her lack of principle, which we could call pragmatism, will allow her to do what it takes when the time comes.

^ psychopathic

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

"when the time comes" i mean what -- when the lamb opens the seventh seal??

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah not sure what "what it takes" means, which usually means in NROWorld "blow shit up."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

God bless, but I really wish they hadn't had this in Hollywood.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I started to cringe every time they cut to the audience.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy otm

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

it reenforces every stereotype about Dems.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Especially in contrast with where the GOP debate was, y'know?

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Ethan didn't get it when I poked fun at the audience.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:57 (sixteen years ago) link

it's be like Romney and McCain debating at the Heritage Foundation.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry i just got to the thread - anyone catch what happened when wolf made some remark towards the end, hillary said something, and it was the only response to elicit some booing from the audience? i missed it, what happened?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I listened more than watched because of all the shots of celebrities trying to look serious

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't know about boos, maybe someone mentioned McCain or Romney or Bush

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

OK - I think the audience booed Wolf for a stupid question.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

yea it was like a mixed clapping-booing response

lol @ the celebrities looking serious, it's so true

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

They were saying O-BOOO-MA!

Hurting 2, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

he tried to nail her by asking if she was naive in trusting bush's case for war

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Some of them even had BEARDS and GLASSES.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

god watching the other news networks other than msnbc is truly an exercise in depression right now

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

why, what are they saying?

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

ivanka trump, natalee hollaway, & britney spears.

talk about a three-fer

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

cnn is showing highlights and analysis of the debate, deeznuts

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

don't mean to retread old ground if it's been talked about already, but i thought hillary was far more polished for like the first 3/4 of the debate. looked far more prepared, gave better, clearer, and more precise responses, and her energy level was better. i was kind of frustrated at a lot of obama's weaker responses.

but something seemed to change after one of the breaks. like as soon as the topic changed to iraq, her whole tone seemed to worsen. she seemed pretty tired towards the end. obama pretty much nailed the whole iraq discussion, that topic really seems to favor him against hillary.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

but hil pretty much dominated the health care and immigration parts, huh?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I thought Obama was great, but when I look back on it, I really feel like Hillary was more prominent somehow.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

i think you're all high, they both sounded great

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

But we have to pick a winner!

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf Stevie Wonder?

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

F---k a Bill Bennett (Obama's "an athelete, he should know he had to do more tonight").

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:14 (sixteen years ago) link

He's not a gym rat, he's naturally talented!

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

haha whoa, wtf??

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

when I look back on it, I really feel like Hillary was more prominent somehow.

she definitely gave longer responses, huh? at least it seemed like it.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm off to bed, i'll read the 100+ posts tomorrow.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

And god bless her she really does get worked up about health care.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Crawford on MSNBC pointed out that Obama's taking a huge risk by campaigning (in California) on support of driver's licenses for illegal immigrants. Am I once again one of the few who thinks that's going to destroy us in the general election?

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Well if McCain's the GOP nominee it's a much less effective charge no?

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I think there's also a difference between actively trying to get it enacted (a la Spitzer) and just "supporting" it. I think his answer tonight was pretty good.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

from NRO Corner:
>>Better Hillary Than McCain? [Jonah Goldberg]
From a reader:

I just watched Ann Coutler on Fox say she'd vote for Hillary over
McCain. I was stunned, as was Newt.

<< what ?

Vichitravirya_XI, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.jupiterimages.com/common/detail/95/58/23305895.jpg

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Ann Coulter is from the Rockefeller Republican wing of the party, which finds Hillary a lot more socially and attitudinally sympatico than a manner-less military brat with zero business background

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but still. . .

Ann Coulter voting for HRC?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

their man Mitt just isn't cutting it, tho, so they've realized McCain's their best hope

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

oh like you can take anything Ann Coulter says seriously

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Ann Coulter saying something shocking?

xxp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think McCain : Republicans as Lieberman : Democrats, hence.. I mean, there's no hatred like hatred of an apostate, right?

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean plz it would end her career

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

"welcome back to hannity & colmes, we have out dear friend and noted hilary supporter ann coulter here with us"

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Anne Coulter is just a performance artist anyway.

Awww.. Anderson Cooper is so cute when he tries to look serious

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

No, that's the thing.. that's just her trying to make the ultimate slam on McCain for her followers - she's like "McCain, I would vote for Satan before I'd vote for you."

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of hate CNN's smug panel, but I'm afraid to turn to FOX.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

way less smug over there

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

theyre still doing natalee holloway dude

deeznuts, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey, Josh Marshall on MSNBC!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Satan running?

Abbott, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

He just withdrew after fading in Florida.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Ann Coulter's supposed to make everybody go all "An alligator with sunglasses? Now I've seen everything!"

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

BTW, commentators on CNN and MSNBC are all over HRC for her Iraq answers. It's a big problem for her, and will be a huge problem in a GE.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

wtf Stevie Wonder?

The man thought it was time for a standing ovation. The man was mistaken.

Pleasant Plains, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

is california a winner-take-all primary?

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll take MSNBC's blogger panel every day of the week over CNN's smug, old-media panelists.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL CNN California maps..

two states! We want two states!

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Again.. I'm still (not being snide, I really am) not clear on how this is a problem in the general election. GOP wants to stay in Iraq. Democrats want to get out. What can be more clear? Plus, the economy is the big issue anyway.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the criteria should be whether McCain is more likely to make a racist gaffe or a sexist gaffe.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:47 (sixteen years ago) link

While campaigning for president, Limekiller emphasizes his campaign committee's diversity by referring to them as "a black, a woman, two dips, and a cripple." To everyone's dismay, the "radical right" calls to offer their moral support.

[I can't find the strip]

kingfish, Friday, 1 February 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

re: the hill article --> file away for general election

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Won't matter. McCain will say, "Yeah, I returned a call, but I never seriously considered it, and only would if they agreed to make their party more conservative to suit me." No points.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

lol santorum is on oreilly talking shit on mccain

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 04:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but he just said he'd vote for McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 04:05 (sixteen years ago) link

since everybody agrees democrats are a lot more popular than republicans right now they should cool it with the 'hey mccain is almost a democrat!' talk

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow I feel like we're in different universes here :).. I'm not saying tell everybody McCain considered being a Democrat, I'm just saying pass out flyers in rightwing evangelical churches about it.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Industriously circulating that story could cut a little into the GOP base, I suppose -- maybe. But, by and large, the GOP base will hold their nose and come out to vote for McCain in the GE, especially if his opponant is HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

is california a winner-take-all primary?

no I'm pretty sure it's district by district

dmr, Friday, 1 February 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

CA divides up the delegates by district and by state-wide proportionality and then a couple more are drawn from the state leadership and then they kill a chicken and read the entrails for the remainder.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 05:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Just another day in OC

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 05:42 (sixteen years ago) link

re: the hill article --> file away for general election

-- daria-g, Thursday, January 31, 2008 10:01 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

...

Wow I feel like we're in different universes here :).. I'm not saying tell everybody McCain considered being a Democrat, I'm just saying pass out flyers in rightwing evangelical churches about it.

-- daria-g, Thursday, January 31, 2008 10:18 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

By the time we get to the general election, painting the Republican as a right-wing ideologue will be more effective than painting him as a party-straddling moderate.

The large swath of independents and moderates from both parties will have more of an impact on the General Election than the Republican base.

From 2004:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/7/7b/U.S._party_affiliation.svg

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 05:55 (sixteen years ago) link

just watched this, not much to add besides echoing the feeling expressed by ethan etc. re: feeling proud to be a democrat. both policy and cordiality were refreshing

J0rdan S., Friday, 1 February 2008 07:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Again, I will say that I will campaign for anyone with a (D) by their name come time, but I am rootin' for Obama.

kingfish, Friday, 1 February 2008 07:30 (sixteen years ago) link

FB, you're trying to post an .SVG as an image, i don't think it will work

kingfish, Friday, 1 February 2008 07:36 (sixteen years ago) link

fox and friends billing the debate as a "makeout session"

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:13 (sixteen years ago) link

the relative unity, clarity and purpose of that debate no doubt enraged right wingers nationwide

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:16 (sixteen years ago) link

seriously, if you don't listen to right wing talk radio, you really owe it to yourself to tune tomorrow, monday and tuesday. the way they're going off on mccain is amaking for some classic radio.

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:19 (sixteen years ago) link

i assume a lather of some type is being worked into?

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:33 (sixteen years ago) link

"timetables" in iraq is going to be a huge topic in the g.e. -- the democrat will be painted as a milquetoast micromanager who ignores generals on the ground

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:38 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah.

apparently, a few commenters on the news channels have stated that mccain's recent victories show that conservative talk radio is no longer a force to be reckoned with, which is adding fuel to the fire.

xp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 11:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Not sure where to post this, but the otherwise useless Charles Krauthammer acknowledges the Reagan-Bil Clinton geneaology:

What is the legacy of the Clinton presidency? Consolidator of the Reagan revolution. As Dwight Eisenhower made permanent FDR's New Deal and Tony Blair institutionalized Thatcherism, Clinton consolidated Reaganism. He did so most symbolically with his 1996 State of the Union declaration that "the era of big government is over." And more concretely, with a presidency that only tinkered with such structural Reaganite changes as tax cuts and deregulation, and whose major domestic achievement was the abolition of welfare, Reagan's ultimate social bete noire.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 12:13 (sixteen years ago) link

And Sullivan gives Obama the crown.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 12:18 (sixteen years ago) link

will this Mccain 'i hate gooks' thing go anywhere? maybe not during the primaries, but I can see that coming back up to bite his ass during the general election. Obv. extenuating circumstances with him, and no-one probably believes he is an outright racist, and yes the electorate obviously forgives a lot of things in their presidents, but...

akm, Friday, 1 February 2008 14:07 (sixteen years ago) link

jeez, Krauthammer OTM.

and, surprisingly, so is NYT TV critic Alessandra Stanley on the "cordiality" horseshit:

Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton began their historic showdown by exchanging rapt stares and caring smiles, like local news co-anchors who despise each other but rally to look convivial during sweeps week.... Both managed to hold back any spurts of anger or irritation. It might have been expected that a debate between a man and a woman would at times echo the quarrels between a married couple. It didn’t. The Republicans did the night before. In Wednesday’s debate at the Reagan library, Senator John McCain and Mitt Romney grew as tense and testy as a couple fighting (yes you did, oh no I didn’t) in front of a marriage counselor.

The Democrats managed to put on a far more polished and appealing performance that did not really fool anybody.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

on NPR during the drive into work this morning, Robin Young was giving a preview of the RIVETING AND IMPORTANT analysis forthcoming on her show -- BARACK OBAMA HELPS HILLARY OUT OF HER SEAT -- WAS HE OBSEQUIOUSLY DRIVING MISS DAISY LIKE A HOUSE NEGRO?? OR WAS HE BEING A CHAUVINIST CONDESCENDING TO HER FEMALENESS??

for fuck's sake, they can't help themselves, can they?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway, it's nice most of you now think there will be candy canes, stardust and ponies whether Obama or Rodham waltzes to victory.

We may find out in 9 months whether you wanna tag Edwards the "useless" candidate (ie, the only one who pushed O and Her leftward).

hey there's spielberg, where's morbs?

I was in a hot tub with James McAvoy, gr80.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Krauthammer OTM.

-- Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:11 (24 minutes ago) Link

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Krauthammer is an idiot. That column is the sound of conservative desperation. He knows they're fucked this year, so he consoles himself with meaningless shit like comparing Bill Clinton to Reagan (unfavorably, of course) and parroting bullshit GOP talking points (like a Hillary win would mean a "co-presidency")

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was a worse (ie, more accomplished) Reagan than Reagan, loverman.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:40 (sixteen years ago) link

it's nice most of you now think there will be candy canes, stardust and ponies whether Obama or Rodham waltzes to victory.

name names. who thinks this? how bout some quotes?

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was a worse (ie, more accomplished) Reagan than Reagan, loverman

ridiculous

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

yah i think there will only be ponies and rainbows if obama wins

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

... but you just agreed with krauthammer that all clinton 'accomplished' was putting the finished touches on reagan's sweeping changes?

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

on NPR during the drive into work this morning, Robin Young was giving a preview of the RIVETING AND IMPORTANT analysis forthcoming on her show -- BARACK OBAMA HELPS HILLARY OUT OF HER SEAT -- WAS HE OBSEQUIOUSLY DRIVING MISS DAISY LIKE A HOUSE NEGRO?? OR WAS HE BEING A CHAUVINIST CONDESCENDING TO HER FEMALENESS??

for fuck's sake, they can't help themselves, can they?

-- elmo argonaut, Friday, February 1, 2008 9:16 AM (21 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

I really hate people sometimes.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

o.nate & gff, who abolished AFDC, again?

No, I think Clinton was even more of a Reagan than Krauthead does. (except I guess Billy Blythe didn't really "believe" in what he was doing; whatta guy)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

vote morbs for ponies and rainbows and men-only debates

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:46 (sixteen years ago) link

dudes you cant be more reagan than reagan - think abt it jeez

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:46 (sixteen years ago) link

under the morbius administration, rainbow clad children riding ponies will be charged with meting out judiciously applied violence

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Krauthammer as Sec'y of HHS

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I read that as rainbow-clad children-riding-ponies

Hurting 2, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!
http://i27.tinypic.com/8ydfuc.jpg
VOTE DEMOCRATIC!
www.democrats.org

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

The Clinton years were basically an adjustment period in the middle of a long stretch of Republican government, but least he wasn't a supply-sider. I mean, at least the economic policies of the Clinton administration were rational, even if they were Republican ones.

But, c'mon:
NAFTA
WTO
Deregulation
Welfare cutbacks
Accelerated divide between rich and poor

At least he wasn't a supply-sider.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 15:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was a worse (ie, more accomplished) Reagan than Reagan, loverman

ridiculous

-- o. nate, Friday,

dudest, the Telecommunications Act of 1995, the punitive hit on welfare welfare reform, the crime bill – the stuff of which Reaganism is made.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Might have been mentioned already but if not:

CNN announced Thursday that it will partner with the Ohio Democratic Party and the Ohio Republican Party for back-to-back presidential debates at the end of February.

With the race for each party nomination likely to extend beyond the February 5 Super Tuesday contests, it’s increasingly possible the critical battleground state of Ohio – which holds its presidential primary March 4, along with three other states — could very well determine the 2008 Democratic and Republican nominees.

...

The Democratic debate will take place Wednesday, February 27, while the Republican debate will follow on Thursday, February 28. The network said further details will be released soon.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton was a more accomplished more Reagan than Herbert Walker, that's for sure.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:02 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, and a worse prez for it. (GHWB: toughest prez on Israel in my lifetime)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

oh shit, re: ohio. i'm glad i've already begun the process of requesting an absentee ballot.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe we should divert conversations about Israel away from the primaries thread. That could go sideways.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Alessandra Stanley should stick to reviewing the OC.

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

i expect ponies and rainbows if obama wins and stardust and marshmallows if hillary wins

max, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Somerby is right that the American political press corps is reminiscent of nothing so much as the court at Versailles

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

but who can effectively court the crucial leprechaun vote?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

somerby must be good at stating the blatantly obvious, then

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

btw, thanks, gff. that will forever be stamped in my head as the fighting dems logo.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

we'll keep supplying the Versailles court with cake if we keep discussing idiocies like the HRC snub at the SOTU and Obama holding HRC's chair last night.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

if there was a Chris Matthews at Versailles, I wanna hear about it (actually, NO)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless one of these candidates can cure my alopecia and give me a 12" dong I'm going to vote Nader

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:16 (sixteen years ago) link

dongs in every bunghole

Mr. Que, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:17 (sixteen years ago) link

or bungs in every – well, never mind.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, you Dems pokin' my pinata... I hope you're still laughing on the Fifth of November, you cockeyed optimists!

(my twelver needs no help from the First Manager, thx)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

lol ron paul

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:22 (sixteen years ago) link

MORBIUS WHAT ARE YOU GOING ON ABOUT

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Accelerated divide between rich and poor

hey this parts not actually true!

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: YOU OF EARTH ARE IDIOTS

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Clinton's policies on trade and welfare reform were good policies for the time. Deregulation probably went a bit too far under him. On taxes, Clinton probably did the best that could be expected, in the face of an intransigent Congress and an adverse political mood, by rolling back at least some of the Reagan tax cuts for the wealthy. I think the "Reagan lite" epithet only really carries a lot of zing if you think Reagan was the antichrist, not if you think, as I do, that he did some things right and took others too far, but that Clinton struck a better balance.

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

why are you upsetting paradigms, o. nate?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

y'all are doing nothing to help the stereotype that liberals are a bunch of whining sissies.

Mr. Que, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

jut cause i <3 marshmallows and rainbows doesnt make me a sissy

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean you should see how upset i get if i dont have them

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

now, for a comedic interlude:

"For the first time ever, Al Franken is ahead of Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) in an opinion poll."

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait, is that true?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yea, via tpm election central

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I found this: http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/01/31/senatepoll/

I actually support Ciresi, and will be caucusing for him on Tues.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, you Dems pokin' my pinata... I hope you're still laughing on the Fifth of November, you cockeyed optimists!

We're gonna wash that man...

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

We’re going to pick up that seat. If not Al Franken, than Michael Ciresi. I don’t think anyone believes Senator Coleman’s bipartisan image that he’s been promoting for the last few years.

We really need a rolling thread for the house and senate …

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Alessandra Stanley should stick to reviewing the OC.

She doesn't even do things like that very well! I always end up wondering how she got a job at the NYT when I read her reviews, kind of like Calum writing for the Guardian.

Nicole, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/02/poll_al_franken_ahead_in_minne.php

Wow, that's great news.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

"Alessandra Stanley" sounds like a Laura Linney character.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

i just hope that last night's debate has rendered obsolete the idea that Obama can't go point-for-point with Clinton on detailed policy discussion.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

seems like everyone is declaring obama the winner - which is just what he needs to roll up those edwards supporters and keep his mo running thru super tuesday

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

"keep his mo running" <-- waht

HI DERE, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, momentum, nvr mind

HI DERE, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

i think obama needs another major endorsement to put him over the top for feb. 5. right now it's still pretty tight in most states, with clinton having slight leads

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.npr.org/programs/atc/features/2007/jul/rocca200.jpg

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Shut your momentum, Dan.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m shocked that so many people in this thread are reluctant to acknowledge that former President Clinton’s economic policy was more than ‘mediocre’. 116 consecutive months of growth, averaging 4% per year; the median family income rose by approximately $6,000; creation of over 20 million jobs; and so on and so forth.

Regarding trade policy, like it or not the acronyms that everyone in this thread loves to hate, APEC, GATT, NAFTA, and WTO were/are necessary. Frankly, I find it sad that the free trade constancy of the party has jumped shipped vying instead for an isolationist policy that would make any pre-Regan era Republican blush.

… Don’t stop thinking about tomorrow.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

'free trade' ain't free

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs and goody dont fight - you need each other

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha ok you just quoted clinton's campaign song from '92 wtf xxpost

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's lead economics guy seems to be a free trader, FWIW.
http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/01/31/econ_advisors_austan_goolsbee/
Krizner: Do you believe that current trade policies, in terms of our key trading partners, are flawed? Has free trade essentially helped to weaken the U.S. economy?

Goolsbee: Look, those are two totally different questions. I'm an economist, so you know I'm going to say "no" to the second question -- open markets are good. But I don't think it helps when you open up trade agreements and see that they're 2,000 pages long, and they look just like the tax code -- that the first three pages are about opening markets, and then the next 1,997 pages are loopholes, giveaways, special protections for individual industries. I mean, that's getting us pretty far from the case for open markets.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

okay this is really funny

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

moveon.org has officially endorsed obama

http://moveon.org/press/pr/obamaendorsementrelease.html

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus took them long enough. not that I think it will matter very much

akm, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

well, it's probably not going to resonate strongly in the press but a grassroots gotv mobilization for obama can't hurt

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

so bloomie made his strongest denial the day after giuliani drops out. just sayin'

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, that's getting us pretty far from the case for open markets.

It’s a shame that Senator Obama (nor Clinton) are running on this type of thinking.

It reminds me of an essay that J0rg3 D0m1nguez wrote for the current issue of Foreign Policy that articulated this point perfectly. Free trade itself is not bad policy, if anything it should be looked at as a goal that will take many steps to reach.

That is, we simply can’t wish it so. We must move towards it slowly with not only the ability to articulate its difficulties but the ability to change policy when necessary. Instead, we’ve taken a dip and the entire philosophy is seen as repugnant. This is not an either/or proposition.

From that FP piece,

Of the repeated injuries the Founders claimed against the king of England, the very first was his refusal to “assent to laws,” which are “wholesome and necessary for the public good.” Today, the United States regularly flouts the very laws and norms of trade, international law, and human rights that it expects the rest of the world to follow. The most pressing priority for the next U.S. president will be to end the double standards that the United States believes its strength and stature afford it.

We must reassure our partners not run away.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:39 (sixteen years ago) link

if Obama is the nominee, don't be surprised if Bloomie gets in.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lol morbs fakin' insider knowledge, the support for his candidacy is simply not there dude

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

if Obama is the nominee, don't be surprised if Bloomie gets in.

Also, don’t be surprised if I jump ship to support him!

Mayor Bloomberg/Senator Hagel is the dream ticket that keeps me up at night.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know much about bloomberg. seriously what's the draw for him? who, outside of new york, is really into him/even knows who the fuck he is?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

(don't mean to be snarky, i'm actually curious)

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

he used to throw awz caribbean coke parties for his top guys @ bloomberg lp

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Mayor Bloomberg/Senator Hagel is the dream ticket that keeps me up at night.

lol

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't know much about bloomberg. seriously what's the draw for him?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Bloomberg#Political_positions

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo, there could be just enough support for his candidacy to KEEP THE WHITE HOUSE WHITE.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

by voting for a new york jew?

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus you're an idiot

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge has an item asking if Gore is to endorse Obama, linking to the Atlantic, which seems to have died of the attention

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: to throw the election to McCain, dumbfuck

(and he's a Boston Jew)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

some Gore speculation

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man gore endorsement would be so awz

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Sen. Ted Kennedy’s endorsement of Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination should come as no surprise to readers of Newsmax’s Insider Report, which has disclosed Kennedy’s membership in the so-called “Gang of Four” Hillary Clinton haters.

The Four — Kennedy, John Kerry, Howard Dean, and Al Gore — have pledged to stop Hillary from getting the nomination, and each has his own reason for detesting Clinton.

lol

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Sen. Ted Kennedy’s endorsement of Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination should come as no surprise to readers of Newsmax’s Insider Report, which has disclosed Kennedy’s membership in the so-called “Gang of Four” Hillary Clinton haters.

The Four — Kennedy, John Kerry, Howard Dean, and Al Gore — have pledged to stop Hillary from getting the nomination, and each has his own reason for detesting Clinton.

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL

xp lol

max, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I hope the ghost Gore photo gets used again, it is great.

Nicole, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

http://members.aol.com/thefightingfury/whoclix/sinsyn2.gif

max, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

newsmax <3 <3 <3

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.connollyco.com/discography/gang_of_four/solid_hi.jpg

remy bean, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to see GO4 membership cards

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

newsmax would be a great handle for max

Hurting 2, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Gore is said to be waiting until after the primaries on Super Tuesday, Feb. 5 to enter the fray with an endorsement.

The word in political circles is that if Obama appears the winner that day, Gore will endorse him — in hopes of driving the final nail into the coffin of the Hillary Clinton campaign.

arggh, doesn't it need to be done before feb. 5 to really make a difference? if he's going to do it, it really needs be done, like, tomorrow.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

from the Atlantic piece...

A well-connected Tennesseean told me two things today that got me thinking about this. The first is that Obama and Gore have been speaking regularly, about every two weeks or so. The second is that, despite this, and despite Tennessee’s primary on Tuesday, Obama has not visited the state since June. It may be simply that he does not plan on competing there. Or it may be that he’s been waiting for a special occasion.

pretty thin, but not nothing

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

interesting endorsement:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=axRc4lOTS9n0&refer=bondheads

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I remember when Giuliani used the "waiting for a special occasion" strategy...

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Alessandra Stanley should stick to reviewing the OC hudding in a corner with a bottle of white wine, waiting for the tremors to stop.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/020108DailyUpdateGraph2.gif

A three points margin!

NB: I think the Edwards numbers are still there because of the rolling 3-day sample used in the poll

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

elmo is that a national poll or a specific state?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Obama's gonna do it. Hillary's perceived negatives (previous Clinton admin, war vote, unegaging speaker, polarizing figure who energizes the right) outweigh his (youth/inexperience).

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

mark, it's nationwide

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.huffingtonpost.com/gen/10178/thumbs/s-HARRY-large.jpg

The Clinton campaign convened a conference call with health policy experts to denounce Obama's new mailer (.pdf), which attacks Clintons plan for "forcing" Americans to sign up for insurance, and which features a couple at a kitchen table that recalls, for some, the famous insurance-industry financed "Harry and Louise" ads against the original Clinton plan.

"I am personally outraged at the picture used in this mailing," said Len Nichols of the New America foundation, a leading supporter of mandatory insurance, who called it a "Harry and Louise evocation."

"It is as outrageous as having Nazis march through Skokie, Illinois," Nichols said. "I just find it disgusting that this kind of imagery is being used to attack the only way to get to universal coverage."

Update: At the end of the call, Clinton aide Howard Wolfson disavowed the Nazi reference, saying the campaign didn't think it was appropriate, though he acknowledged the passions the issue stirs.

LOLOLOL

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha oh man so does Godwin's Law apply to campaigns too...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

a man! and a woman! sitting at a kitchen table! HOW DEPRAVED! HOW INSIDIOUS!

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

looool

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

shit those are the nationwide numbers... wow that poll climb is seriously awesome. he might pull this off

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

what is the first big primary after the 5th?

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, when you're debating the insidious implications of stock photography in political mailers, i guess your campaign has really started to scrape the barrel.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- According to this, it would be next Saturday (3 states, 200 plus delegates), then Virgina the following Tuesday (again, over 200 delegates).

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Whoops, Maryland and Virginia, rather, plus DC.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m thinking most of you are unaware of the Harry and Louise commercials because this is an obvious attempt to recreate them.

For those curious: you can see a few of them on YouTube.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

March 4th is the real biggie following Feb 5th

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m thinking most of you are unaware of the Harry and Louise commercials because this is an obvious attempt to recreate them.

no, I remember these commercials. but so what? OMG a campaign is using a proven successful tactic against another campaign - THE NAZIS ARE COMING

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

You're right, they should have had the married couple figuring out their finances while skydiving or something.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Or while spinning clay or a potter's wheel. Or digging through garbage. Anything but sitting at a kitchen table, those bastards.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

or while escaping from a furlough program

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

no wait - while fathering an illegitimate black child

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

on a swift boat

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I’m thinking most of you are unaware of the Harry and Louise commercials because this is an obvious attempt to recreate them.

lol

the post-2/5 calendar looks pretty Obama-friendly to me, and he's already up in the air in many of these states

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr Goodman is actually Krugman, btw

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Harry and Louise are more contemporary than Jesse Jackson

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

xp, lol

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Reading the Corner is so satisfying this week.

Rock Hardy, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

wow @ 20 points to 3 in under two weeks!

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

yea that's amazing

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

How will superdelegates play out if this is going to go the distance in Dem primary?

BleepBot, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

theres no way theyll be allowed to swing the election

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

MN is tightening up.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_democratic_primary-447.html

This poll was taken before Edwards dropped out.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, I think we are forgetting that Harry : Louise :: Hitler : Eva Braun

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

the post-2/5 calendar looks pretty Obama-friendly to me

what are you saying, gabbneb?

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

that it consists of states in which he might be expected to do better than hillary

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

why would you think that?

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

damn, thinking about last night's debate, and watching some footage from other ones, i think wolf blitzer is possibly the shittiest debate moderator i've ever seen

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb i sincerely hope you're not saying what i think you're saying

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

if Obama is the nominee, don't be surprised if Bloomie gets in.

Why Obama over HRC?

Mayor Bloomberg/Senator Hagel is the dream ticket that keeps me up at night.

Bloomberg/Hagel sounds like something you need to get inoculated against.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ET TU, GABBNEB? ET TU?

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Hil's probably got ME and LA we'll see about - AR is upstairs - and I think O's KS purchase is to be seen as far as NE goes, but I think he's gonna do well or more than well in the VIs, WA, MD, VA, HI and WI, and then it's 2 weeks to Ohio. If we get there, it might decide the nom, but I'm not sure we'll get there.

I have no idea what you think i'm saying

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

wolf really was awful -- his thirst for bloodsport was not slaked, alas, and his symbiotic beard is thirsty still

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, NYT story a few weeks ago said B was more likely to enter if the D/R candidates were 'ideologues' or 'polar extremes' and used Obama and Huckabee as examples, in contrast to Hil v McCain. Now I don't find Obama to be much of an ideologue, but I bet Mr Slashing the School Budget thinks so.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

gabby i'm just curious why you think the states ned mentioned -- before you went and looked up all the other ones -- will lean obama

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I found Wolf a lot less objectionable as a modertor than, say, Tim Russert.

xpost

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:26 (sixteen years ago) link

the non-entities from politico were miles better than anybody else i've seen so far at the debates

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

True.

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

... but who will win American Samoa?

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

gabby i'm just curious why you think the states ned mentioned -- before you went and looked up all the other ones -- will lean obama

i still don't understand what you're saying. the only state ned mentioned was virginia, but i knew of most of the other states in the rounds shortly following.

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

do you mean why do i think the states i mentioned will lean obama?

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost haha yea. the woman was a little awkward last night though, no? but i'll take russert over wolf any day. wolf has absolutely no control of the debate.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxxpost or something. this gets complicated

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

wolf "did you hear that? he just dissed you! are you seriously gonna sit there and take that!?" blitzer

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Last night's Democratic debate on CNN drew 8,324,000 million total viewers, making it the most-watched primary debate in cable news history, and the second-most watched on TV this election cycle (ABC's Democratic debate on Jan. 5 drew 9,360,000)

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think Russert's "gotcha" style of journalism translates well to the debate moderator role. I think he makes everyone more tense than they need to be. Wolf's a lot more mellow, and I think that improved the tone of the debate.

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

MD/VA/VI - black people
WA - lots of hippie liberals and well-off youthful post-partisan independents
WI - farm-state peaceniks
HI - duh
NE - O's sorta from next door and has Ben Nelson's endorsement

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

yea, maybe it was the no-time-limits thing last night. maybe wolf would've been better if there were time limits on responses. i think it's better when candidates are forced to be concise. (well, if only because obama tends to give more concise responses and clinton tends to go on and on and on)

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

MD/VA/VI - black people
WA - lots of hippie liberals and well-off youthful post-partisan independents
WI - farm-state peaceniks
HI - duh
NE - O's sorta from next door and has Ben Nelson's endorsement

Wow

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain perhaps to secure nomination on Super Tuesday. Also helping him is the fact that Romney -- until today -- hadn't bought any ad time in the February 5 states. Even now, the only state where it's confirmed that he will be buying ads is California, where McCain just picked up the Gov.'s endorsement.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

if the moderators had any balls (metaphorically speaking) or really just skills they'd let the candidates go on as long as they wanted but guide them back if they went off the subject

it was like blitzer wanted to do a bernard shaw and "test" hillary with some kind of "whaddya made of huh" taunt

there gabbneb that wasn't so hard was it

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

it was no thing; i just couldn't figure out what you were saying

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

ok, slick willie

Tracer Hand, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

it was like blitzer wanted to do a bernard shaw and "test" hillary with some kind of "whaddya made of huh" taunt

When was this? I must have missed that part.

o. nate, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

LA's hard to call with the Southern Arkansans vs the New New Orlineans. Bobby Jindal could suggest the former hold sway, but he could also suggest that people are looking for new and youthful.

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

actually, Hillary's got a decent chance in VA. more white people, fewer smartypants.

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

man i hate bobby jindal

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

(compared to MD)

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

piyush posh

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

saw him on hannity & colmes explaining that we live in a post-racism america but liberals keep making everything about race!

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

The Corner today has been a treasure trove. My current favorite:

One problem Romney has, which I was acutely aware of the other night, is that he comes off just a bit too effete.

Yes, precisely.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nndb.com/people/362/000022296/george-bush-sr.jpg

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama gets the coveted Joanna Newsom endorsement.

Hatch, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

and things were going so well.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Next album: Bo

Ned Raggett, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://flickr.com/photos/sketchartists/2232758657/

Dr Morbius, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Obviously the Skokie shit was ridiculous, but I think the criticism that the Obama campaign is adopting a pretty gross conservative tactic of the past isn't as absurd as y'all are making it out to be.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

if you look at the actual mailer it's not in the same ballpark as Harry & Louise by a long shot in terms of being misleading or distorting. The only comparisons to be made between them are they both are opposed to universal healthcare via mandates, and both prominently feature a couple of white folks at a kitchen table.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

If that's where Obama wants to start the discussion borrowing right wing tactics we'll never get to universal health care. :( This is by far the biggest thing I care about in this election.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Even if it is a deliberate Harry & Louise reference--which of course is possible--I don't think there's anything ethically problematic with reminding voters about what happened last time Hillary Clinton tried to pass a universal health care plan.

Hatch, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

you mean this is possibly the last ginned-up outrage you'll get to declaim before your candidate loses her lead? xpost

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

What the hell? Why do you think my candidate is my candidate? Because my biggest issue is universal health care.

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys come on i think we can all agree that opposing forced consumerism is a behavior only a nazi would indulge in

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, i just think the 'obama uses right wing tactics' talking point is built on pretty flimsy evidence, i don't mean to trash health care as an issue

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

obama has that nazi look about him

and what, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

LAT endorses Obama - http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

nice

Mark Clemente, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

the jury is still out on what difference, if any, a mandate would make in a national health plan

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

California SEIU and Charlie Rangel's wife endorse Obama - http://thepage.time.com/2008/02/01/msnbc-moveonorg-endorses-obama/

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i sure as fuck don't know, tho my tiny little libertarian streak doesn't like the idea of fining people for not signing up for shit they maybe can't afford

xp

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

But even with the paper and SEIU and MoveOn and Ted Kennedy all over Spanish radio and Oprah in California on Sunday, he still may not be able to make up the early voting gap.

Hatch, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

the health care issue is seriously important to me too, but also the one i'm most pessimistic about so honestly i'm not sweating the details between H and O too much

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

early voters are more likely to be older and therefore more likely to vote for hillary anyway, y/n?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

forcing people to give money to insurance companies is just disgusting - now if they found a way to cut those bastards out thatd be another thing

jhøshea, Friday, 1 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Not only that, I think Hillary probably has as effective and discipled an early voting operation there as she did in Florida. As much as 25% of the votes may have already been cast well before Tuesday. We'll see...

Hatch, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I suppose I may as well be pessimistic because it's not that hard to turn people against supporting it by trotting out Harry and Louise and I'm profoundly disappointed that one of two major candidates is doing that. If Obama views universal health care as a core value worth fighting for, why is he campaigning on it this way?

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a point of difference, one of few, on paper. it's that and "the war."

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Is that all it is really?

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

that's it, I'm voting for Nader

burt_stanton, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm voting for Nude Spock

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm probably voting for nader.

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

if it's Obama-McCain, he'll have the most hair

gabbneb, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Fuck Ralph Nader. I'm voting for Cynthia McKinney.

Hatch, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

no no no jw, let's write in perpetual RI 3rd party candidate Bob Healy

COOL MOOSE PARTY 4 LYFE

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

he basically runs every election for Lt. Gov. with the platform that he will abolish the post if elected, lol

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ROFL --> Cool Moose party. When's Carcieri up for reelection?

daria-g, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

2010, I think.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

What the hell? Why do you think my candidate is my candidate? Because my biggest issue is universal health care.

-- daria-g, Friday, February 1, 2008 3:45 PM (52 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

daria,

There is very little difference between the candidates on health care.

The basic difference is the mandate. The mandate is only effective if it's enforced, if everybody who can is paying in and those who can't are subsidized. The only candidate to outline how this would be done was Edwards.

Dude, your candidate just dropped out of the race.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Has anyone seen the actual flyer?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

no but ive seen nazis in skokie

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

no but ive seen nazis in skokie

Lately?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 22:52 (sixteen years ago) link

my friend got arrested protesting nazis in skokie. the police were pushing everyone away from them and he kinda pushed back, and the cop fell over. Then grabbed his arm. then he spent the night in jail

luckily just before he turned 18 so it was expunged.

deej, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:53 (sixteen years ago) link

senior year everyone went around calling him 'copkiller'

deej, Friday, 1 February 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Note to Self: Avoid Skokie.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 1 February 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

but then you never get to eat @ pita inn!

deej, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

^^advice we should all follow

xp

gr8080, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:05 (sixteen years ago) link

One thing is clear, however: whichever candidate does get the nomination, his or her chance of victory will rest largely on the ideas Mr. Edwards brought to the campaign.

Krugman u mad

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

"Ideas"

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

oh i think that's true: Edwards was way out in front on talking about a lot of stuff that progressives were nervous about broaching openly: climate change, health care

gff, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

There are so many things wrong with that Krugman column.

1) Polls have consistently shown broad public support for universal health care over the last few years, and it was inevitable that the Democratic nominee would make it a big campaign issue, given that the GOP refuses to embrace it. The idea that Hillary Clinton, of all people, wouldn't be making a big push for health care--ridiculous.

2) The idea that John Edwards came up with this policy out of his own little head is absurd. Professionals have worked for years on this sort of plan since they're all aware single-payer is politically unfeasible and Medicaire's in far more jeopardy than social security. What other sort of plan would a dem nominee have grabbed onto?

3) Why would anyone think, given the 2006 midterms, that a dem would run a Kerry-esque campaign in 2008? If that was the case, a Kerry figure would've been leading the polls in 2007. Hillary? No.

4) This isn't the Edwards effect, it's the "public opinion changed" effect. Dems can and do embrace climate change policy because public opinion finally moved behind it. Because, y'know, gas prices jumped up.

5) The idea that health care and the environment are going to be the big Dem advantages rather than the war and the economy is crazy. We're all sorry the white guy had to drop out, Paul, but stop riding his jock for two seconds.

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I agree with Eppy. Edwards never struck me as anything more than a stuffed-suit opportunist.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:23 (sixteen years ago) link

(ie, voted for NAFTA, but now he's against it! Co-sponsored the Iraq bill, but now he's against it! Approved the Patriot Act, but now he's against it! etc. Get off the stage already, phony white guy)

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

And c'mon, "Kerry figure"? Edwards was half of that ticket!

Eppy, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:29 (sixteen years ago) link

ohhhh lord 2pac big please talk to this sucker cause they killing america they taking the pain and struggle of life of america the only thing we coulda express our minds and pain. and these suckers took it and made it look like garbage thats why we get judge so much cause these shit dont be making sence

am0n, Friday, 1 February 2008 23:32 (sixteen years ago) link

(Bill) Clinton & Richardson to watch Super Bowl together

wonder if it means anything...

Mark Clemente, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:17 (sixteen years ago) link

They both have time on their hands?

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

damn

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Not unexpected, tho. I'm sure Richardson thinks he is a possible VP candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:35 (sixteen years ago) link

no, i was congratulating you. i'm pretty sure he's said he's not gonna endorse before 2/5, which i think reflects that he hedges his bits but knows who he owes more.

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

his, er, bets that is

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i did not want to imagine richardson "hedging his bits"

elmo argonaut, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:48 (sixteen years ago) link

ewwww

Mark Clemente, Saturday, 2 February 2008 00:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Gonna get me some hedge clippers.

Aimless, Saturday, 2 February 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

! JUST ANNOUNCED !

DEADHEADS FOR OBAMA
featuring
BOB WEIR, MICKEY HART, PHIL LESH , & FRIENDS

The Warfield Theatre
Monday, February 4th, 2008
Doors 6:00 PM/ Show 7:30PM

Tickets are $35.00 general admission (main floor)
and $35.00 reserved seating (balcony) plus applicable service charges
All ages are welcome to attend this event.

Tickets will be available through Ticketmaster.com ONLY.
This is a Will Call only event.

Grateful Dead Members to Reunite for Barack Obama

Members of the Grateful Dead will host a get out the vote
concert in support of Democratic Presidential candidate Barack Obama on
Monday, February 4th at The Warfield Theatre in San Francisco.

Mickey Hart, Phil Lesh, and Bob Weir, joined by Jackie Greene, John Molo, and
Steve Molitz, will play a show together in support of Barack Obama.

The video website Iclips will be producing a live simulcast streamed via the
Internet on www.iclips.net at approximately 7:30 PM PST.

This will mark the first time that the members of the legendary band have
performed together since 2004. They have agreed to reunite for this
one-time-only event in order to lend support to Senator Obama leading into the
crucial "Super-Tuesday" series of primaries held on Tuesday, February 5th.

deej, Saturday, 2 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

WAU

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

one time only / since 2004

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Saturday, 2 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

DEADHEADS FOR OBAMA -- featuring -- BOB WEIR, MICKEY HART, PHIL LESH , & FRIENDS

I may have to vote for John McCain, after all.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 2 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

omg, ann coulter pledges to campaign for hillary if mccain gets the nom?!?!

msp, Saturday, 2 February 2008 03:07 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain could probably end her career in a line

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Michelle O. Smarter than your average bear.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

...so I guess Edwards is back on the ballots?

Simon H., Saturday, 2 February 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, this can't mean what it looks like:

http://l.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/us/news/editorial/0/76/07695d3160853ae217721cc5a643ba03.jpeg

Hurting 2, Saturday, 2 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

How is Ann Coulter taking the news that her beloved Dead are rocking for Obama?

milo z, Saturday, 2 February 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't listen to her. Vote nader/bloomberg/http://www.soimmature.com/images/bagocrap.gif

i am angry that stuff is not whatever the absence of makes me angry

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 06:48 (sixteen years ago) link

plus i am drunk

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 06:49 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain could probably end her career in a line

McCain's doing coke again?

Eppy, Saturday, 2 February 2008 08:12 (sixteen years ago) link

susan eisenhower's editorial just gave me a big downer. mainly because as much as I might like any candidate, there's no president can undo in 2009 what's been done in the past four decades

El Tomboto, Saturday, 2 February 2008 09:04 (sixteen years ago) link

couldn't agree more, but i think obama's the only candidate who at least appreciates how broken shit really is. Good luck whoever wins getting re-elected.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 2 February 2008 09:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Shit's going to get worse before it gets better. Start training your children John Conner/Brandon Lee-style to help you fight off the assholes; it's going to take a full generation to fix shit.

"Kids, it's time to learn about the National Recovery Administration..."

kingfish, Saturday, 2 February 2008 10:06 (sixteen years ago) link

it's going to take a full generation to fix shit.

hahahahaha ahem ahem no fucking comment

El Tomboto, Saturday, 2 February 2008 10:08 (sixteen years ago) link

or two.

or twelve.

kingfish, Saturday, 2 February 2008 10:10 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.phillesh.net/philzoneimages/home_page/obama/plf_obamaposter-2008.jpg

deej, Saturday, 2 February 2008 12:37 (sixteen years ago) link

or two.

or twelve.

-- kingfish, Saturday, February 2, 2008 2:10 AM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

You know, it's been said that the economy of central Asia still hasn't recovered from the Mongol invasion.

The Reverend, Saturday, 2 February 2008 12:41 (sixteen years ago) link

susan eisenhower's editorial just gave me a big downer. mainly because as much as I might like any candidate, there's no president can undo in 2009 what's been done in the past four decades

-- El Tomboto, Saturday, 2 February 2008 09:04 (6 hours ago) Link

^^^^Unfortunately, This.

I have decided, however, that am going to get all pumped up at this rally and be like woo-hoo, hope may not where a man is from, but it is audacious.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

^be

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not sure I want a new NRA. I seem to remember there being some problems.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

will algore be at the show?

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i've assumed hillary would win ME, but is it possible the sagebrush types there would help O? assuming they're on the Dem side?

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

The concert will be webcast at www.iclips.net.

gabbneb, Saturday, 2 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I can hardly wait until 2009, when Obama or Hillary starts having problems getting shit passed and Morbs calls us all chumps.

Eppy, Saturday, 2 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i doubt it will take that long

remy bean, Saturday, 2 February 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

the NRA being an example mainly sticking in my head due to seeing "Mad Love" at the theater last night(there's a card in the credits for it) and drunkposting.

kingfish, Saturday, 2 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm kind of amazed how Obama's logo fits right into that steal your face like the Dead have been waiting 40 years for him.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 2 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.dipdive.com/

At 4:30, it's too long, but it's pretty cool.

Rock Hardy, Saturday, 2 February 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Read the excerpted narrative to this ad -- to see John McCain's closing argument in November: POW; inspired by Ronald Reagan; will cut wasteful spending; will keep taxes low; proud social conservative who will never waiver. This will be a powerful pitch.

Daniel, Esq., Saturday, 2 February 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Across the street, Tom O’Hara, 62, was sullen. He was getting ready to open his bar, O’Hara’s, and was pondering his irrelevance, a Republican man pummeled by a Republican backlash.

“Did the Republicans do too many wrong things?” Mr. O’Hara said. “Oh yes, they did. I’m upset with George Bush. He gave away more money than the Democrats. I’m very concerned about immigration. Don’t tell me everyone should come in here and pick my fruits.”

He said he did not know if he would even bother to vote. None of the candidates stir him. “They don’t have the fight,” he said.

Anyway, he said he thought the race was sewn up. “We think we know who will win: Bill and Hillary, and Bill will be in charge of the White House. I’m very unhappy about that. And I feel powerless.”

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 16:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Frank Rich otm X 2:

In what she advertises as 35 years of fighting for Americans, Mrs. Clinton can point to some battles won. But many of them were political campaigns for Bill Clinton: seven even before his 1992 presidential run. The fistfighting required if she is president may also often be political. As Mrs. Clinton herself says, she has been in marathon combat against the Republican attack machine. Its antipathy will be increased exponentially by the co-president who would return to the White House with her on Day One.

and

What we also know is that, unlike Mrs. Clinton, Mr. Obama is not hesitant to take on John McCain. He has twice triggered the McCain temper, in spats over ethics reform in 2006 and Mr. McCain’s Baghdad market photo-op last year. In Thursday’s debate, Mr. Obama led an attack on Mr. McCain twice before Mrs. Clinton followed with a wan echo. When Bill Clinton promised that his wife and Mr. McCain’s friendship would ensure a “civilized” campaign, he may have been revealing more than he intended about the perils for Democrats in that matchup.

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

? A "wan echo"? That strikes me as highly inaccurate, I watched the debate. I think Bill's predicting it'd be civilized because.. afaik the Bush scorched-earth attack dogs are with Romney and not likely to go for McCain.

I don't know what to say - Frank Rich doesn't like the Clintons, and hasn't for years and years, and trashed Gore last time around too.
JOURNAL; J. Crew vs. Banana Republic
Eight months to go -- but hey, who's counting? -- and we're stranded with two establishment, tightly scripted, often robotic candidates who are about as different from one another as J. Crew and Banana Republic. Both are wealthy, Ivy-League-educated boomers who took safe paths through the Vietnam War, whose career advancement was greased by their dads, who advertise their intimacy with Jesus, who reek of smarmy soft money and who will do anything to win, whether it be Mr. Gore's lying about his own Congressional voting record in a debate or Mr. Bush's heartless exploitation of women's fears of breast cancer in a scurrilous attack ad.

In the true Clinton manner, both are also chameleons, ready to don new guises in a flash -- from Mr. Gore's down-home wardrobe to Mr. Bush's last-minute emergence as a champion of campaign finance reform, patients' rights and clean air. The substantive disputes between the men are, in truth, minimal in a prosperous post-cold-war era when both parties aspire to Rockefeller Republicanism (literally so in that each standard-bearer is the prince of a brand-name American dynasty).

daria-g, Sunday, 3 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF?: "Romney leads McCain by 37 percent to 34 percent in California." Within the margin of error, but still . . .

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

that must be wrong, cnn reported this morning "The poll shows the race on the Republican side isn't as close — John McCain holds a 32-24 percent lead over Romney with Mike Huckabee at 13 percent. Ron Paul pulls 10 percent of support among likely Republican voters."

akm, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

as for the 'yes we can' video; obviously those things probably aren't going to sway anyone, I don't think the average person is that influenced politically by hollywood and entertainment stars. also, how come scarlett johannson is constantly shown at a mic but never actually sings anything? anyway, i'm sure it was fun for the people who made it, although I think it kind of lessens the impact of that speech, which was one of the great political campaign speaches of recent times

akm, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

regardless though i predict obama squeezes by clinton in CA

akm, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs will start calling you chumps when Hil decides to go with the McCain plan for Iraq, abandons universal healthcare, etc..

milo z, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

akm, is the CNN poll you cite evaluating the GOP race nationwide or in California only?

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

it was in a piece in the ticker about california (and obama and clinton being essentially tied) so i'm not sure what that reuters thing is about, I think maybe they got mccain and romney reversed?

akm, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Super Tuesday's going to be interesting.. I have no idea what's going to happen, I'm seeing some state polls closing up, some not, Hillary's had a significant uptick in daily trackers since the debate (Rasmussen, Gallup) but.. ??

Yeah, Romney = WTF. GOP primaries are winner-take-all so California could be huge, but I don't see Romney ahead anywhere else but Massachusetts.

daria-g, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

also, this: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/02/03/MNF7UR6FE.DTL&tsp=1

akm, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

romney's doing better in CA cuz that's the only place he's campaigning

gabbneb, Sunday, 3 February 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

If he wins there, but loses everyplace else on Tuesday, I guess at this point he'd consider that a win and a reason to keep going on through the early March primaries.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

frank rich hasn't done actual reporting for years, he just repeats things people tell him

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

sort of a proto-blogger

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

frank rich hasn't done actual reporting for years, he just repeats things people tell him

as opposed to reporters, of course

gabbneb, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

garrison keillor has endorsed obama. how very special.

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not arguing for Frank's neutrality or anything, I'm just saying I agree with him. Why does the NYT hate the Clintons so much, though?

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

A reminder - seven years ago, a patriotic group of Americans had to make a choice between conventional experience and change they desperately needed. It wasn’t an easy decision. Both options were compelling in their own right, but when it was time to make a decision, the choice was clear. The New England Patriots started Tom Brady over Drew Bledsoe, and Brady went on to be the MVP of Super Bowl XXXVI. Now that’s change we can believe in.

lolz

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

haha ouch

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

ooh this is interesting:

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/02/breaking-news-p.html

was linked to it through tpm

Mark Clemente, Sunday, 3 February 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Why does the NYT hate the Clintons so much, though?

they hate them soooooo much they endorsed hillary for president

jhøshea, Sunday, 3 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Well they're not dopes--she is still their senator. But Maureen's still very anti-Clinton, Frank's anti-Clinton, there were the Times' boosting of Whitewater back in the day. I mean, judging by the columnists, it's like they endorsed Obama, you know?

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/020308DailyUpdateGraph2.gif

gr8080, Sunday, 3 February 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

NY Times front-page story today about Obama lying his ass off about nuclear-regulatory bill that never got passed, despite his trumpeting it as a success in Iowa.

Dr Morbius, Sunday, 3 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/03/us/politics/03exelon.html

Dr Morbius, Sunday, 3 February 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

From a NYT story:

"Looking to Tuesday, Mr. Romney has concentrated his efforts in states that award delegates by caucuses and conventions, where His organization efforts can help offset the pull of Mr. McCain’s higher name recognition."

Whoa, God really is on the Mormons' side.

Eppy, Sunday, 3 February 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

G00blar, Sunday, 3 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

there's still 10% unaccounted for in that gallup chart -- and if the upward trend of obama's numbers suggests anything, it's that those undecided will probably break more towards obama. here's hoping.

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 3 February 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

BILL KRISTOL: Look, the only people for Hillary Clinton are the Democratic establishment and white women. The Democratic establishment -- it would be crazy for the Democratic Party to follow an establishment that's led it to defeat year after year. White women are a problem, that's, you know -- we all live with that.

(laughter)

JUAN WILLIAMS (National Public Radio correspondent and Fox News contributor): Not me!

HUME: Bill, for the record, I like white women.

KRISTOL: I know, I shouldn't have said that.

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 3 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 3 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Brit Hume loves all women of the world.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 3 February 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Thanks to the wonders of my booth tv here at the bar, i get to flip back & forth between Michelle Obama on cspan and the puppy bowl.

kingfish, Sunday, 3 February 2008 23:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is doing a good job at hoovering up the Kennedys...

carson dial, Sunday, 3 February 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

wau Bill Kristol

gr8080, Sunday, 3 February 2008 23:55 (sixteen years ago) link

superbowl sunday obama girlfest rally with michelle obama, caroline kennedy, oprah & maria shriver in california is a pretty daring headline grab for monday morning

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Five points for whoever finds this advanced somewhere as a serious comparison:

"A Massachusetts powerhouse comes to grief in Arizona. The Patriots? No, Mitt Romney, up against John McCain."

Ned Raggett, Monday, 4 February 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ it was the analogy that had to be made

just looking at how the campaigns are being run -- with all the analysts pondering whether endorsements turn into votes, i think an endorsement is what a campaign can make of it, and i give credit to obama's for knowing how to stage-manage and sell the significance of those endorsements to the press.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Tomorrow:

Hillary in New York, Woostah and New Haven, CT
Barack in Hartford, Boston, and... E. Rutherford, NJ

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

NRO lolz spotted by the Balloon Juice guys:

Boasting in Boston [Michael Graham]

I am so confident of both a Patriots win today and a Romney win in Massachusetts on Tuesday that I made this pledge on the air Friday: "If the NY Giants beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, I will vote cast my Super Duper Tuesday primary vote for (shudder) John McCain."

So when I say "Go, Pats!" I really, REALLY mean it.

I also think they are even more of a lead-pipe cinch to win the Super Bowl than McCain is to win the GOP nomination. Either way, I'm putting my money..er vote where my mouth is.

02/03 05:45 PM

kingfish, Monday, 4 February 2008 07:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Right on time... Obama's first national lead. CNN has Obama at 49 and Clinton at 45.

Hatch, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Zogby has him up by 5 in MO and 6 in CA

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

I haven't trusted Zogby since 2004.

Nicole, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama 'responds' to the NYT story on Exelon:

The "fact check" did not address Obama's remark about the bill having "passed." It also did not respond to the article's reporting that Exelon executives and employees have contributed $227,000 to Obama's campaign.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/03/obama-defends-record-on-nuclear-leak-bill/

Dr Morbius, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:43 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

Well Suffolk and Rasmussen have him up in California too, but only by 1%.

http://www.pollster.com/USTopzDems600.png

Hatch, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:46 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

$227,000 to Obama's campaigns. That includes a US Senate race, a failed US House race, and several Illinois State Senate races.

Hatch, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:47 (sixteen years ago) link

thats like nothing

deej, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:52 (sixteen years ago) link

lying about watering down nuke legislation, that's nothing too I'm sure.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:53 (sixteen years ago) link

lol so I guess the concerns about a parade conflicting with primary voting in Boston were unfounded lol lol lol lol lol

HI DERE, Monday, 4 February 2008 14:54 (sixteen years ago) link

The Washington Post:

Obama's not the only candidate wading deep in a pool of contributions from the nuclear energy industry.

Clinton has received $68,650 in 34 contributions from NRG Energy, and the company's chief executive, David Crane, is listed as one of her Hillraisers -- meaning he has brought more than $100,000 in contributions into the campaign. The Clintons' ties to the New Jersey-based power giant run deeper than that, though. The company committed $5 million to the Clinton Global Initiative in 2007, according to the web site of the charity run by former president Bill Clinton. The company's six-year commitment is $175 million.

Hatch, Monday, 4 February 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Stanley Fish enters the strange self-perpetuating world of Hillary-haters:

http://fish.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/02/03/all-you-need-is-hate/

Horowitz observes that there is an "inexhaustible fertile market of Clinton hostility," but that "the search for a unifying theory of what drives Hillary's most fanatical opponents is a futile one." The reason is that nothing drives it; it is that most sought-after thing, a self-replenishing, perpetual-energy machine.

o. nate, Monday, 4 February 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

so Alex Cockburn is right, manmade global warming is just a cover story for the nuclear-power revival. Bring on Candidate Gore!

Dr Morbius, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:05 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:12 (sixteen years ago) link

IT IS HAPPENING... AGAIN

http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/02/clinton_crys_in_connecticut.html

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.edsdeadbody.com/otherwork/writings/tp-giant.jpg?

roxymuzak, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:18 (sixteen years ago) link

oh god

Mark Clemente, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama 2 to 1 in Utah

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/1,5143,695249479,00.html

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.foxnews.com/images/244224/0_61_120406_bush_tears.jpg

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to see Obama break down and sob like a baby before he gets my vote.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:44 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, if they ever have a 'Barack Obama Cries' moment on the campaign trail, it will be stage-managed to evoke Jesus in the garden of Gethsemane

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I think someone on Fox yesterday noted that Santorum had endorsed McCain...? I lolled.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

no, Romney

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

that makes more sense... I just laughed that anyone still cares what that loser thinks.

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.spectator.org/dsp_article.asp?art_id=12682

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, doncha know that Santorum is A REAL conservative who lost Pennsylvania because the voters of his state weren't ready for the truth about Iraq and male-male bestiality?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary's trail of tears.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

she's gonna kill in Oklahoma

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

The Obama rally was a blast. The Target Center sold out in 18 hours. Tonight, Kal Penn and Scarlett Johansson are going to teach me how to caucus.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Travis Bickle endorses Obama:

http://my.barackobama.com/page/-/blog/Feb4Deniro.jpg

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

"I am the candidate for change! There is no red America or blue America. We will unite and come together for our country! Also, I will wash the scum off of the streets."

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

"are you caucusing with me" etc. etc.

Eppy, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

This particular Hillary "crying" (eesh) thing is kinda touching, honestly.

Eppy, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

ROCK THE EMOVOTE

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

"Someday a real rain will come and wash all this scum off the streets" aw xpost

roxymuzak, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

does hillary only get emotional when someone has expressed how great she is? "you like me -- you really like me!"

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

that's nice

roxymuzak, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

does hillary only get emotional when someone has expressed how great she is the day before a major primary?

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder if, and to what extent, Obama's nat'l "surge" is based on Democratic voters believing that he'll match-up better against McCain. He certainly is making that a big part of his closing argument.(n.1)

__________________________________
(n.1) Obv., tho, HRC might win a far more decisive victory tomorrow than one might believe if they were focused solely on the most recent nat'l poll numbers.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 4 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

any word on what the super delegates will mean

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

waht?

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

a run-down of state-by-state super tuesday expectations from the obama campaign:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Axelrods_expectations.html

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

softening expectations is probably a good move, continuing to cast their candidate as underdog

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

not really, xp

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary's trail of tears.

-- Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:54 (59 minutes ago) Link

she's gonna kill in Oklahoma

-- gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 17:55 (58 minutes ago) Link

o damn

gff, Monday, 4 February 2008 18:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the super delegates will mostly go in a herd toward the clear front runner as soon as they know. I have no idea what's going to happen tomorrow, from my POV the tea leaves don't look good, but then again the polls have been all over the place.

http://www.talkleft.com/story/2008/2/4/124123/6787

daria-g, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/020408DailyUpdateGraph2.gif

daria-g, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

still 10% unaccounted for

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

that would be the leaning stay-homes

Dr Morbius, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

can't believe I didn't register to vote :/

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

vanity fair profile of obama: http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2008/03/obama200803

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

lol germans:

http://img521.imageshack.us/img521/6718/hillobamacu5.jpg

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

chris rock robocalls for obama! audio here: http://media.putfile.com/Chris-Rocks-Robo-Call

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

honestly, obama seems to be really banking on star-power to GOTV tomorrow but it seems like a really risky play

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

You know, Chris Rock is free to make whatever jokes he wants about women but I wouldn't have him out there representing my campaign.

daria-g, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

i was just posting it as 'lol celebrity robocall' but i guess you can characterize him as a misogynist if it makes you feel better

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama winning hispanics in AZ - http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/02/fixcam_week_in_preview_super_t.html

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

scarjo also robocalling for obama lolz

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill Richardson can grow as many beards as he wants, he still looks like Horatio Sanz.

Nicole, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

can he?!

roxymuzak, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

He pastes them on his chin if he needs to.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Richardson came first

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

no, wait

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

dude yuck

HI DERE, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

c on b

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama tells gabbneb "DUDE NO"

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/02/04/us/04obama-337.jpg

Ned Raggett, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

can't believe I didn't register to vote :/

Haha, I also missed the deadline for the primary. Way to go, young people.

Hurting 2, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g_xB0ql4TjplweLCiejFLUhhU9YgD8UJ1QKO0

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://kikidesign.hautetfort.com/files/Applause.gif

xp

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Curt1s and hurting, it's not too late to register to vote in November. You can expiate your sins (it is February, after all) by getting registered now.

Michael White, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

The former president and Richardson planned to watch the game together at a private residence in Red River, a community of about 500 people in the mountains of northern New Mexico with a small ski area that attracts winter visitors because of the wang.

HI DERE, Monday, 4 February 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

an insanely optimistic view for obama on tuesday:

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/thebeat?pid=279743

it kind of reads like "if obama gets california, and massachusetts, and alabama, and alaska, and colorado, and the northeast, etc etc etc, he'll lock the nomination up"

there's no way i'm investing anything in this article.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama ahead in AP poll: http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5ijClHoidEl8XEJMJoUooHU1R_nmgD8UJJ8QG0

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

there's no way i'm investing anything in this article.

Send it to the patent office. That outcome is as guaranteed as a Patriots' undefeated season.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 4 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm just going to assume everyone has seen that will.i.am "yes we can" music video so we can just note its existence and move past it

elmo argonaut, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/02/obama_mccain_sh.html

Obama doing better against McCain across the board

gabbneb, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

To be honest I'm feeling about as optimistic about tomorrow as I was about the Pats undefeated season. (Not very.) I guess I better start watching NASCAR, it's only a little over 2 weeks before the Daytona 500 and I don't have a favorite ever since Dale Sr RIP.

daria-g, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Super Tuesday is coming just in time, bcz if it was Friday I'd likely think Obama isn't worth it, and stay home.

Dr Morbius, Monday, 4 February 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

To be honest I'm feeling about as optimistic about tomorrow as I was about the Pats undefeated season

“We’re only going to score 17 points?” Brady said before chuckling about it. “OK. Is Plax playing defense? I wish he had said 45-42 and gave us a little credit for scoring more points.”

Plaxico Burress: Plz to give the Patriots -- AND HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON -- a little more credit.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 4 February 2008 23:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Curt1s and hurting, it's not too late to register to vote in November. You can expiate your sins (it is February, after all) by getting registered now.

yeah I'm just bummed I can't rep in the primaries!

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 4 February 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm just going to assume everyone has seen that will.i.am "yes we can" music video so we can just note its existence and move past it

it was linked and commented on up above

akm, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 00:06 (sixteen years ago) link

BOB DOLE DOESN'T LIKE IT

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe it's best if Limbaugh and Hannity end up being the agents that really destroy the GOP.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah I'm just bummed I can't rep in the primaries!

-- Curt1s Stephens, Monday, February 4, 2008 5:56 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

i dunno about curits (is this yr first election?) but for hurting, if its anything like illinois where you are in jersey then you can show up at yr old polling place w/ proof of state residency and you might not have a problem??

deej, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

https://voter.njsvrs.com/PublicAccess/jsp/PollPlace/PollPlaceSearch.jsp

see if you are still registered from last election

deej, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know whether to be happy or sad that hard-core conservative radio hosts and pundits are unable to derail McCain's nomination.

Is it over for Romney tomorrow?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah McCain's almost certainly going to sew up the nomination tomorrow seems to be the consensus.

Clay, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Only chance for Romney is California, and the polls there have been wildly divergent. The one that had Romney up (Zogby, maybe?) may well be an outlier.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i just hope obama comes out of tomorrow with some momentum for 2012 (to supplant pres. mccain) and that romney doesn't.

tremendoid, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton camp reveals some thoughts on tomorrow's elections and its aftermath:

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/02/04/clinton-camp-expects-nomination-fight-to-go-on/

i'm sorry, but i think this michigan and florida stuff the clinton camp is trying to pull is complete bullshit.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

*their aftermath, not "its"

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

obama and edwards weren't even on the goddamn ballot in michigan, come on!

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"making sure all votes will be heard" give me a break

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i'll stop now

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i just hope obama comes out of tomorrow with some momentum for 2012 (to supplant pres. mccain) and that romney doesn't.

Like my Dolphins when they hit their bye week, you're already looking ahead to next season.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

pres. mccain

Pres. McCain!@*! Blech.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

stuff the clinton camp is trying to pull is complete bullshit politics. winning the nom > not winning the nom lol

tremendoid, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

NINE MONTHS TO GO, people.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I posted this on Slog on impulse, so I'll post it here. Parenthesis denotes subsequent edit. I'll probably regret it, so tear it apart. The thread was about Hillary Hate in general.

Hillary is definitely waaaay over-hated, but it comes to two things, both of which are obvious, and one of which is really sad:

* Most men and women in the U.S. hate women (in position of power)
* Hillary comes off so much like Nixonian mother wagging her finger at you

Hillary is a smart candidate, but she's bringing out that inner rage most people have toward their nagging mothers. "You BETTER vote for me if you know what's good for you *scowl*" is the inner dialog bubble people are putting hovering over Hillary, no matter what actual good or bad comes from her mouth.

McCain is your fun although kinda-scary grandfather that you run to when you've had enough of Mom, so he can spoil you.

Obama is your sage hip cousin.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Panic is setting in among Democrats and hard-core conservatives. The world is a funny place.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Who's going to be the Van Driessen that unites us both in peace and harmony and sings us "Lesbian Seagull"?

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.rhino.com/rzine/images/Banhart1.jpg

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Who's going to be the Van Driessen that unites us both in peace and harmony and sings us "Lesbian Seagull"?

RON PAUL AND ALAN KEYES.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

i do wanna know wtf paul is doing with all this money ie is he saving up for a third party run

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

<3 maria shriver.

gr8080, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 05:22 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man it's going to be so hard to wait like 24 more hours for results! aaaaah!

Maria, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 10:02 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMA TAKES FIRST PRIMARY!

gr8080, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 10:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Find your local Dems Abroad caucus here:

http://www.democratsabroad.org/countries

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 11:02 (sixteen years ago) link

obama gets the first win in unimportant, obscure location, hillary cries at a public forum, the rest of us get stuck in punxsutawney with bill murray.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 11:27 (sixteen years ago) link

when will results start coming in?

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 13:52 (sixteen years ago) link

the guy responsible for hillary's unlistenable quiet voice - http://blog.washingtonpost.com/sleuth/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/04/AR2008020402700_pf.html

The next round of primaries and caucuses this month tends to look better for him than for Clinton. Her strategists are pessimistic about her chances in Washington, Louisiana, Wisconsin and Maryland, as well as in the District. But they see Ohio and Texas on March 4 as critical states in which she has a foundation of support and could add to her delegate strength.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:13 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.slate.com/id/2183594/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:18 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thepage.time.com/2008/02/05/times-for-super-tuesday/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:20 (sixteen years ago) link

so, like, any idea when results will start coming in?

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:20 (sixteen years ago) link

That Obama video (the one with people singing over his speech) is EMBARRASSING. The Obama campaign actually forwarded it to me. They need to stop with that.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:21 (sixteen years ago) link

hurting i've been trying to identify precisely why that ad it so awful and coming up short.. something about doing a hagiography of a one-term senator, the black-and-white, grainy film quality; it feels like fake history. its wackness runs even deeper than that, though

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

That's a good start.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:26 (sixteen years ago) link

It also seems to appeal to some kind of imaginary demographic in a 90s MTV News sort of way.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:26 (sixteen years ago) link

NINE MONTHS TO GO, people.

I've never wanted an overseas sabbatical so badly.

Cockburn on Rezko's link to a shady Ba'athist millionaire.

Fake history is the only kind we can bear to look at anymore.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Who's the buzzcut playing the guitar?

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:31 (sixteen years ago) link

that video is embarrassing cos they tried to turn a damn speech into a damn song, which is just corny as balls

also

But they see Ohio and Texas on March 4 as critical states in which she has a foundation of support and could add to her delegate strength.

she is absolutely shitting herself if she thinks Texas is going her way.

m bison, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

hurting i've been trying to identify precisely why that ad it so awful and coming up shor

because everyone in it sucks? ok maybe not kate walsh.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:34 (sixteen years ago) link

also Common is in it, which is pretty much an automatic sign of suckage

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the video appeals to a real demographic

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:35 (sixteen years ago) link

c'mon, kareem is awes, and i have vague positive feelings towards common

m bison, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

the obama campaign only put the music video up on their website after someone clued them in that it was getting millions of views -- they didn't produce it but they were more than happy to leverage its popularity. and hey, it's not quite good but it's sincere, right? :P

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

and on a similar note, dave matthews has endorsed obama.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:39 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a good thing politically. it sucks artistically.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

i think the video appeals to a real demographic

Campus Democrats

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:42 (sixteen years ago) link

and hey, it's not quite good but it's sincere, right?

Much like Obama?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:44 (sixteen years ago) link

this is the first time wonkette has made me laugh all campaign season:

CANDY CROWLEY MADE A FUNNY: Wonkette operative Robert Platt informs us that CNN’s Candy Crowley says Obama’s mission is to “suck off enough delegates.” A grueling end to a grueling campaign season, indeed.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:48 (sixteen years ago) link

i doubt the audience for this is exclusively youthful

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 14:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Hey Ed, about Democrats Abroad...do you know why do they have polls open from February 5 to 12? You don't get counted for your state anyway, right, so why not just do it on one day? (Also, I don't understand why the e-mail I got about it said it starts "February 5 +13 GMT." +13 GMT?)

Maria, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

If I didn't have shit to do today I'd be sitting in a bar reading All the King's Men.

Eppy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:22 (sixteen years ago) link

DUDE, WHERE'S MY PARTY? OH, YEAH, I ASKED MYSELF THIS OVER A YEAR AGO WHEN I FINALLY DECIDED TO SWITCH TO THE CONSTITUTION PARTY. GUYS LIKE MC CAIN AND DOLE WERE KEY TO THIS DECISION. IF REPUBLICANS NOMINATE MC CAIN, THEY ARE PUNTING.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COMPROMISE IS FOR WHORES.

Eppy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I WILL NOT VOTE IF OBAMA GETS NOMINATED. HOW CAN AMERICA PUT AN INEXPERIENCE CANIDATE TO RUN THE COUNTRY? HE SEEMS LIKE A NICE GUY BUT I DON’T HAVE CONFIDENT THAT HE CAN RUN THE COUNTRY. HE WILL BECOME THE PUPPETS OF KENNEDY!

Comment by I DON'T BELIEVE - February 4, 2008 at 9:23 pm

Eppy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:28 (sixteen years ago) link

so, like, any idea when results will start coming in?

Pretty late, I would say. Not sure about other states, but in NY the polls are open until 9 p.m. I guess they'll have a lot of early East Coast numbers right after 9 but it probably depends on how close the races are.

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

+13 GMT is the last possible time it is Feb 5th anywhere, not sure about that. Dems abroad have their own delegates to the convention (for the first time this year, they had non-voting ones last time). Not sure on the 5-12th thing, maybe that is for postal or email votes rather than in person events. Doesn't seem to be one for Dublin.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I think GA is first candidate for results, polls close at 7pm there, I think.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Alex Cockburn has suggested that the GOP won't mind at all if Billary gets to preside over "losing Iraq," recession, etc. hence the shrugging over McCain.

Alabama & Georgia close at 7 ET, a slew at 8 (NJ, CT, Illinois, Mass, Missouri, Tenn etc).

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

the GOP won't mind at all if Billary gets to preside over "losing Iraq," recession, etc. hence the shrugging over McCain.

That might be true, but it's a foolhardy strategy given an unpredictable future. Next pres has some tough shit to deal with, no doubt, but who knows what opportunities he/she will have to look like a great American hero.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:36 (sixteen years ago) link

so did I hear -- on the BBC? -- that the Obama camp is hoping the day's results bring them no less than 100 delegates fewer than Clinton?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Makes sense. Given HRC's institutional advantages and Obama's frantic race to introduce himself to voters in all these Super Tuesday states, they think a 60/40 split today (favoring HRC) is a win for them. Plus, it keeps their narrative going that Obama's gaining momentum, setting him up for bigger things in the March primaries.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:41 (sixteen years ago) link

zogby/reuters have obama running with CA at 49%, which is probably BS, but still. i hope polls like this don't have the opposite effect: leading people to stay home because they think he's already won.

my wife said that video was so bad it made her almost want to NOT vote for Obama. I was like, "well it's not like HE made it". Fucking Black Eyed Peas. The best part of that video is seeing Matthew Fox strumming his guitar horribly. Oh for Andy Samberg to parody this; curse you, strike!

akm, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I e-mailed "Michelle Obama" and told "her" that I thought the video was a liability.

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm glad they have voting delegates this time, it'd be just too depressing if they didn't! (I changed residence too recently to get absentee ballot in time.) And there is one for Dublin actually, it's at a pub near where I catch the bus. I voted online but I might drop by after work and see if they need any volunteers later.

A friend of mine who's a big Obama supporter sent me a link to that video, and given the comments here, I'm glad I didn't click the link....

Maria, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Fucking Black Eyed Peas. The best part of that video is seeing Matthew Fox strumming his guitar horribly.

Suddenly I am so so glad I have not watched this video.

Nicole, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't see videos, so instead I read articles about Obama playing footsie with the nuke industry and being in General Dynamics' pocket to make me almost not vote for him.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

I e-mailed "Michelle Obama" and told "her" that I thought the video was a liability.

Oh come on, we're in the minority here. I don't know if you've heard, but the Black Eyed Peas have sold something like 20 million albums.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

14-year-olds don't vote, Jaymc

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Where is the love?

Nicole, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.drudgereport.com/hrce.jpg

Oh, Drudge...

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

un_chien_andalou.jpg

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/photo/homepage/hp2-5-07a.jpg

^^this picture makes mccain look like he just stepped out of a wheelchair for the first time in years, and the crowds are helping him walk

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL

Hurting 2, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama must've laid hands on him!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

no no he rubbed Obama's head.

will, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Doing Penance [Mark Krikorian]

Given the likely results today, tomorrow begins a period of penitence, prayer, and fasting — a five-year period for conservatives and Republicans to reflect on our pride, envy, anger, sloth, covetousness, gluttony, and lust. McCain-Clinton is a curse we've brought upon ourselves, both because of departure from our principles and because of failure to adapt the application of our principles to today's conditions. Honestly, I don't think we deserve to win this time.

lol

Rock Hardy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, Krikorian. Is there no beginning to his insight?

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

does anybody know why in hell Maxine Waters endorsed Rodham? I thought she had more brains.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Is there no beginning to his insight?

http://1heckofaguy.com/wp-content/photos/goldwater1964poster.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I feel better already.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton took just nine seconds behind a closed curtain to cast her vote in New York's Democratic presidential primary.

Was there no one else one the ballot besides presidential candidates? I had to vote for like 15 different judges, plus county clerk, water reclamation commissioner, etc.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

There was nothing else on the Brooklyn ballot. Except you could also vote for delegates individually, instead of just choosing the candidates' name, which was confusing (and unprecedented, I think).

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I voted for both Obama and his delegates.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

even if there were multiple races, if you're voting a straight dem line, you can do it in seconds - we have the old lever machines

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess this is the primary, rite, but still, presumably hrc knows who she's voting for

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs, were you able to write in LaRouche?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

NEVER DUN THAT

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I only had a presidential candidate to vote for. Arkansas will run another primary in May for all the statewide races.

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

as an independent I couldn't vote in the primary last week; it took longer to park than to vote.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

oh that is Herbie Hancock, isn't it. he doesn't suck.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

DUDE, WHERE'S MY PARTY? OH, YEAH, I ASKED MYSELF THIS OVER A YEAR AGO WHEN I FINALLY DECIDED TO SWITCH TO THE CONSTITUTION PARTY.

One of these years the Constitution party will manage 5 percent for itself, et al.

Eric H., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess this is the primary, rite, but still, presumably hrc knows who she's voting for

-- gabbneb, Tuesday, February 5, 2008 10:52 AM (18 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

I knew I was voting for, too, since I brought in a notebook where I'd copied down the Chicago Bar Association's recommendations for qualified judges. I still had to vote for:

1. President
2. Senator (Durbin running unopposed)
3. Congressman (Rahm Emanuel running unopposed)
4. Delegates (vote for 6)
5. Alternate Delegate
6. State Senator
7. State Representative
8. Metropolitan Water Reclamation District Commissioners (vote for 3)
9. State's Attorney
10. Clerk of the Circuit Court
11. Recorder of Deeds
12. Board of Review
13. Supreme Court Judge
14. Appellate Court Judges (2 vacancies)
15. Circuit Court Judges (9 vacancies)
16. Subcircuit Judges (3 vacancies)
17. Ward Committeeman
18. Referendum Question

And then check my ballot to make sure I hadn't made any mistakes.

But maybe Chicago's elections are just unusually comprehensive.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I think there was only one button on my ballot here in NJ, for the Presidential candidate. I didn't see separate buttons for delegates. Maybe I screwed up though.

o. nate, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I have never had to vote for a list that long in any election, primary or general

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

so basically, lol, Chicago

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, voting for judges is pretty dumb. In the races where more than one candidate was considered "qualified" by the Chicago Bar Association, I voted for the woman. If there weren't any women, I picked whatever name sounded better.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

^why I skip offices all the time^

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

we vote for judges but not Ward Committeemen

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

we've got city council, i guess

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I think in the vast majority of cases, the office of ward committeeman is occupied by the ward's alderman.

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

how quaint

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Or maybe not:
http://chicagoist.com/2007/02/26/ask_chicagoist_whats_a_ward_committeeman.php

jaymc, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

basically what we need to remember is that chicago is really fucked up

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://thepage.time.com/2008/02/05/times-for-super-tuesday/

list o' poll closing times.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Man, am I glad it's almost over and every f'ing journalist can stop saying "Super Tuesday" every two sentences for the next four years. I hope. (and this is in Belgium ffs. I can only try to imagine how bad it must be in the US itself)

StanM, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.slate.com/id/2183717/nav/ais/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like we might not even know calif. results by tomorrow morning, jeez

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm going to try to vote today. never voted in a caucus before.

actually three other guys at work are voting in a caucus today, also for the first time ever. we all like obama, i wonder if this is indicative of anything or just a coincidence?

M@tt He1ges0n, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

what the fuck is with counterpunch supporting ron paul? i gotta stop reading those guys.

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't see an "endorsement," but Cockburn has said his favorite candidate would be putting Paul and Huckabee in a blender.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

(who would you think he'd 'support'? have you read his clearly unimpressed Obama articles?)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

get there early matt! gonna be a mobscene out there today

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

the tuesday, it is so very super

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I keep imagining confused six and seven years olds believing Super Sunday and Super Tuesday must be related somehow.

Aimless, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I support putting Paul and Huckabee on puree

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

at least the Dems will have a candidate funneling all the 'spensive arms Israel could ever want to them. whew!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I need those arms way more than Isreal does.

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

you should move to another country or something -- like cockburn.

xpost

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Washington state election pamphlets are like novels, much like that Chicago one above.. except EVERY YEAR.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: arent you fucking british?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Adding insult to injury, WA state pamphlets have the lowest form of art on the cover every time.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Sarcastic art?

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

an apatow script?

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

HAHAHA

"Come 'vote' in this year's 'election'"

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 18:59 (sixteen years ago) link

"Grungey the Apathetic Voter wants YOU..."

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

No, you have to see it to believe it.

The WA Primary pamphlet I got in the mail yesterday had the worst pencil drawing ever: multiple hands of multiple ethnicities holding a gigantic thick #2 pencil like a totem pole onto a little post-it note ballot.

I'M NOT MAKING THIS UP!

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

in NYC, we all receive an original Picasso in the mail

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of wish I'd received a pamphlet covered in mulatto hands. ;_;

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

plus coupons for Sbarro!

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ only way to get morbz to vote?

and what, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ZINGLE!

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I am projecting that at 8PM Eastern, the fat dude who works the table in my election district will make his perennial 'Being There' joek when he goes to look my name up on the voter rolls.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

we've got a Shoney's coupon for you, andwhat

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

in November I'd like to have andwhat in the booth with me so I can shit down his throat as I pull the lever for the Socialist Workers Party.

gabbnerd's name is Chauncey Gardiner?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone able to tell me for sure what time polls close in tennesse? i think it's 8 but i'm not certain.

Upt0eleven, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Depends on the time zone, I'd think.

Cars in the market were circling around with women leaning out of the windows going "OBAMA! WHOOOOOOT!"

One lone Hillary was holding a sign and was chastising a man for having a pit bull.

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

One lone Hillary supporter...

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

in November I'd like to have andwhat in the booth with me so I can shit down his throat as I pull the lever for the Socialist Workers Party

dude

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

"The Hillary often wanders alone in the wild..."

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

in November I'd like to have andwhat in the booth with me so I can shit down his throat as I pull the lever for the Socialist Workers Party.

-- Dr Morbius, Tuesday, February 5, 2008 2:10 PM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

http://www.smwa.net/downloads/funny/pms.jpg

and what, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I am projecting that Obama's victory speech tonight will be "feat. Fergie"

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

"Clumsy because I've fallen in love... with AMERICA!"

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Now just imagine will.i.am's video for that.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

As long as it doesn't involve Obama droppin' it like it's hot in a booty skirt...

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh like you wouldn't enjoy the resulting cultural chaos.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

re:Cars in the market were circling around with women leaning out of the windows going "OBAMA! WHOOOOOOT!"

One lone Hillary was holding a sign and was chastising a man for having a pit bull.

so PP I was wondering what the general take on Ms. R-C is in Little Rock? (outside what I would imagine is a large Fuckabee culture warrior contingent, obv). Do the local Dems look upon her fondly as one of their own, or is she basically remembered as a shrill, carpet-bagging snob?

will, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.columbia.edu/acis/history/68-chicago.jpg

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

will HRC get Stevie Nicks at her side at the victory speech?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I am projecting that Clinton will be joined by Mike Espy, Mickey Kantor and Norm Mineta

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

also Shelly Silver and Christine Quinn

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee already announced as winner in W. Va.? How early are these things closing?

Eric H., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

and Chris Cuomo

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

WV is a convention format, decided during the day. You won't get the rest until tonight.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Next time instead of a primary the dems should just play Hollywood Squares with their celebrity endorsers.

Eppy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton camp wants more debates, possibly one per week for the rest of the contest:

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/debates_debates_and_more_debat.php

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't see an "endorsement," but Cockburn has said his favorite candidate would be putting Paul and Huckabee in a blender.

-- Dr Morbius, Tuesday, February 5, 2008 6:48 PM (53 minutes ago)

wtf cockburn

gotten increasingly disenchanted with him over the last few years, but this is mind-boggling.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

haha Mackro otm, WA pamphlet is ridiculously lolhueg

The Reverend, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

because we were all wondering what Dov Charney was thinking - http://www.slate.com/id/2182933/#tshirt

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton camp wants more debates, possibly one per week for the rest of the contest.

Must mean HRC's camp thinks she won the last one, and it will help HRC today.

If HRC loses the next debate, tho, expect her to oppose further debates.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

i think it means the clinton campaign doesn't know how to get any momentum over the next few weeks

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

"VOTE FOR ME OR I'LL SPANK YOU WITH A KNIFE!"

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

i think it means the clinton campaign doesn't know how to get any momentum over the next few weeks

I LIKE YOUR THEORY BETTER.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

so PP I was wondering what the general take on Ms. R-C is in Little Rock?

People still like her. They got to know her, and Arkansas is a pretty transitional state as it is with retirees and football coaches. I've seen more Hillary! signs in people's yards than Obama.

There is a lot of anti-Huckabee resentment just due to the fact that he was pretty much a Very Blue Dog Democrat. He raised taxes to fix the highways and didn't demonize immigrants. Democrats didn't like him for marching around the capitol on the annual Roe v Wade Day as well as taking handouts from anybody and setting up a "renew our vows" registry up on Target.com.

And everyone knows he was behind Wayne DuMond getting clemency, even though his name isn't officially on the document.

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

it's a decent chess move, tho

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

if a standard gambit

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

i think it means the clinton campaign doesn't know how to get any momentum over the next few weeks

yea i agree with this. others have mentioned that the more time obama has to campaign, the better he does, the more momentum he gets, the more his speeches inspire people to vote for him, etc.

i think obama was fine during the last debate, but i can't help but think that clinton comes off a little better (iraq questions excepted).

If HRC loses the next debate, tho, expect her to oppose further debates.

yep.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't the conventional wisdom that the less-favored candidate will always want to debate more, in order to make up ground and get free face-time on the networks?

xxpost

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think it's that Hillary beats Obama in the debates; I think they both do ok, and he arguably did better than her in the last one. The real issue is that debates are a contained environment in which they start from equal positions, a tabula rasa, rather than primaries or caucuses in which one candidate has momentum and the other tries to hold on. Also, debates are decided exclusively by the commentators rather than actual voters.

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

oh yeah, it might also say something about Hillary's January fundraising

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

same with her attacking Obama on matching funds

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

oh yeah, it might also say something about Hillary's January fundraising

^^yea definitely. debates are free publicity.

Mark Penn:

"The campaign believes that it’s critically important that we continue the debate," he said, citing the questions of "who offers universal healthcare and who's best prepared to fix the economy."

these are issues that i thought hillary outperformed obama on, at least in last week's debate.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

sometimes you can tell what gabbnebb's links will say by reading the URLs

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

The whining begins:

Today, Romney for President Campaign Manager Beth Myers issued the following statement regarding the outcome of West Virginia's Republican Party convention:
"Unfortunately, this is what Senator McCain's inside Washington ways look like: he cut a backroom deal with the tax-and-spend candidate he thought could best stop Governor Romney's campaign of conservative change.

"Governor Romney had enough respect for the Republican voters of West Virginia to make an appeal to them about the future of the party based on issues. This is why he led on today's first ballot. Sadly, Senator McCain cut a Washington backroom deal in a way that once again underscores his legacy of working against Republicans who are interested in championing conservative policies and rebuilding the party."

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, i'm for anything that keeps huckabee and romney in the race longer and encourages schism within the GOP

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

James Dobson -- I Will Never Vote for that Scoundrel, John McCain. Too little, too late, I'm afraid.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

^^also rush

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

love that rush will vote for a candidate he thinks will undoubtedly screw-up the country just so that person doesn't end up being a republican

J0rdan S., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Poor Mittens. I wonder if he is going to be broke after today.

Nicole, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

He won't be. Seeing the writing on the wall, he placed very limited ad buys in the Super Tuesday states.

California is his line-in-the-sand. If he doesn't win it, I'm not sure he even stays in the race.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Seeing Romney out before Ron Paul would make me laugh quite a bit.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, and I gather Hewitt finally hedged a bit and said, "Well, um, I'll support McCain in the general, sure!" What a pathetic lickspittle.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I think I have just realized that I really hate the word "lickspittle".

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Super Vocab Tuesday

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

is there anything to like about the word, except for the fact that it is particularly, uh, evocative?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I really like the words "toady" and "sycophant". "Lickspittle" is just gross.

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

it's got "lick" in it.

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd just like to point out that.. Hill's January fundraising was about $13.5 mil which would be on track for a record-breaking quarter, so it's not like her fundraising is drying up, more that Obama just pulled in an unprecedented amount of $$.

daria-g, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

lil old ladies be sendin' green stamps

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

It's also phonetically clumsy with the "-cksp-" in the middle. It just doesn't sound right to me.

"Moistly queefing lickspittle" is probably the worst phrase in the world.

HI DERE, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

stop quoting Ulysses, Dan.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

"And I said ugh I said oof."

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Stately plump Rush Limbaugh

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"that lickspittle coug, queefing moistly in her jorts"

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

lazy idle little liberal

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

(wrong Joyce, but whatever)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Is the old guy in the middle peeing on the Diebold machine?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

The loneliness of the Georgetown undergraduate Hillary supporter.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting article about how Obama resisted being photographed with Gavin Newsom 4 years ago during the gay-marriage controversy in SF, and how that snub may have affected Newsom's decision to endorse Clinton:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/02/05/BAM5US1B5.DTL&type=politics

o. nate, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Way to go -- side with the pols who betrayed gays in '93 versus the one guy -- the only guy -- who's actually said the word "gay" in campaign speech after speech.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Newsom is a slimeball and his gay-marriage stunt was fantastically stupid and badly timed

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Greg Nickels, Seattle mayor, can eat it but he endorsed Obama.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Surely this threatens the all-important Joanna endorsement.

Simon H., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

newsom is well known for his moral courage
Joanna Newsom's cousin is a shit (allegedly)

gershy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I expect WA Gov. Gregoire to endorse Clinton, but if she endorses Obama it will be like wau

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

how petty xpost

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean basically he handed the Republicans a wedge issue in a national election year for the sake of shoring up local short-term political support for himself. fuck him.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

how will O win SF or get a table at plumpjack now?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I think he's gonna win SF.

don't forget that Deadhead benefit yesterday lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Steve Wonder just called my answering machine and sang "I just called to say I love you" and told me to vote for Obama.

svend, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i saw one sad hillary supporter outside of Bart today trying to give people flyers; the streets of the financial district have been filled with Obama people all week. still this doesn't necessarily mean anything

akm, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary robocalled us so much yesterday (4 times!) my wife has now actually been put off voting for her, she was so annoyed

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I got ScarJo and some unknown dude.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Scarjo why don't you call me anymore :(

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I haven't seen but one lone Hillary sign in my 'hood in SF. It's all Obama.

Michael White, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Signs in my neck of OC -- Obama, McCain, Ron Paul.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ me too. I haven't seen ant Romney. I 'spect if I got out to the east side (christ-bitten white-flighters) more I'd see much Huck.

will, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

My apologies if it's been posted already: Todd Purdum's profile of Young Obama.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7229169.stm

while no-one is looking (is cnn even carrying this?), the cia admits to waterboarding.

jermainetwo, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Jack Nicholson robocalled us for Hillary yesterday; he sounded like a rapist or child molester.

akm, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Signs in my neighborhood:

Hillary, Huckabee, and ... Ron Paul?

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost - i know, right? the timing is too perfect

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

yes

http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/02/05/terror.threat/index.html

xposts

dan m, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I have seen just one Republican sign here in SF: Ron Paul

Michael White, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

while no-one is looking (is cnn even carrying this?), the cia admits to waterboarding.

except McCain, who can now scream "NOOOO TORCHA!"

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

more likely he'll keep his moth shut about it, at least today

Simon H., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

it's all paul in atx. ugh.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like a good day to bury bad news for the CIA

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

er, mouth. his moth has a mind of its own. xp

Simon H., Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Phil'z coffee on 24th has a Hillary sign. other signs I've seen have been for Ron Paul downtown (roflz) and a bunch of Obama stuff in various spots.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

except the news is not buried

dan m, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

the cia admits to waterboarding.

was this really not official until now?!?!

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

News is not buried? In the deluge of Super Tuesday coverage?

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

except the news is not buried

who are you kidding

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

if you think the punditry and the campaigning candidates are gonna stop and talk about this over the next couple of days I think you're sorely mistaken

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Never said any of them would, only that the story is being reported. Are you guys listening or just reading threads?

dan m, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

there are different levels of reportage

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

FACEBOOK: daria is voting for Hillary because her #1 issue is universal health care! 11:21am

^^^^^^ lolololololol second time's the charm!

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillarycare is a pale imitation of universal healthcare and not what the US deserves. Best deal on the table though.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

xpost

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

What do you think of her plan, Jon?

Michael White, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Reading David Brooks's column today, I realized that although the Clinton healthcare plan is better on the merits, Obama's plan might be a bit smarter in terms of what can politically be accomplished:

Cooper, who, not surprisingly, supports Barack Obama, believes that Clinton hasn’t changed. "Hillary's approach is so absolutist, draconian and intolerant, it means a replay of 1993."

He argues that her more coercive approach would once again be a political death knell. No Republican will support it. Red state Democrats will face impossible pressures at home. It’s smarter to begin by offering people affordable access to coverage and evolve from there.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/05/opinion/05brooks.html

o. nate, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

the outlook on health care reform looks exceedingly poor to me. the success of any plan will have fuckall to do with the plan's relative merits and everything to do with the political strength of the president + party pushing it. since O shows, at this date, a much greater chance of pulling down-ticket candidates along with him, if health care is your concern, he seems like a better marginally less hopeless shot.

gff, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:25 (sixteen years ago) link

waterboardings all over the news dudes

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

gimme a break the story isn't even on CNN's front webpage

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Good point. I guess it does come down to what happens in the Congressional races and how big the margin of victory is for the Presidential race, as to the degree of perceived mandate for a sweeping reform.

xposts

o. nate, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Que, don't ever take away smack from pol junkies in their own thread, for shame!

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

guys cindy mccain is scary looking

gr8080, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey Mo "IF ITS NOT ON CNN I DONT PAY ATTENTION" Collier

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Britney HAS to try to do something today, as she always does on big political news days.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:33 (sixteen years ago) link

hey its not on Fox News either!

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

or yahoo or or ...

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Is not in CNN or Fox front webpages, is on ABC, is also on MSNBCs page but hiding below another headline. Hardly stellar . You can bet on any other day it'd be more prominent. Super Tuesday is the the lead story even on AlJazeera and France24, waterboarding pushed to much less prominent positions. Fairly effective media management I'd say.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys don't understand mass media do you

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I think we do, and how the CIA is playing it.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

It's tops on Google news, on the NYT front page, and getting reported in NPR hourly updates.

I don't see why it is surprising that the confirmation of what basically EVERYONE who is paying attention has known for what, years, is not as big a story as the primary elections across 24 states. And to say "it's not being reported" smacks of willful ignorance due to some other sort of agenda.

dan m, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, just fyi, this story came out yesterday and was on the evening news

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

And to say "it's not being reported" smacks of willful ignorance due to some other sort of agenda.

TIN FOIL HAT BRIGADE ROLLING THREAD 2008

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think anyone is suggesting that it is not being reported. Only that if it came out yesterday or tomorrow or next tuesday it would be getting a hell of a lot more coverage. Maybe it is just dumb luck, but when an intelligence agency starts putting actual faces and names out there saying we tortured these people you have to be a little cynical about the timing of their announcement.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL - http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Obama_votes.html

there is no doubt this dude would be our funniest president in a long time

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't see why it is surprising that the confirmation of what basically EVERYONE who is paying attention has known for what, years

cuz up to now the CIA has denied it in a "we won't say we have BUT..." way? admission is key. especially where laws are being broken.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

ed anyone in this country who thought that the CIA WASN'T waterboarding before yesterday must be pretty stupid, why would you need Mulkasky's confirmation for this

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

this is an important argument

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^cuz up to now the CIA has denied it in a "we won't say we have BUT..." way? admission is key. especially where laws are being broken.

Ed, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Virginia Voters Don't Know When Their Election Is

The Associated Press is reporting that the Virginia State Board of Elections has received over 400 calls already this morning from confused voters wondering why their polling places are closed today. Some folks were apparently unaware that Virginia's Republican and Democratic primaries are being held Feb. 12, a week from today, along with Maryland and D.C.

gr8080, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

its not about what anyone KNEW what was going on, its what was admitted to in sworn testimony - you are aware that there's a legal issue at stake here, I assume?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I doubt anything will happen to the CIA anytime soon because of this.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

..no matter if it were Super Tuesday or not.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

as far as shit getting lost in the shuffle I was more concerned that the telecom immunity bill was coming back up today. now it seems like it might not get a vote until tomorrow. still probably pass though :(

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought they'd postponed that until after 2/5 specifically becuase Reid needs Hillary and Obama's votes...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Baptize America

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:58 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

dunno, I'm just going off this

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/fisa_update_retroactive_immuni.php

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

not that that would get much coverage on any day blah blah whine

dmr, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:00 (sixteen years ago) link

but who are they really?

http://nymag.com/news/politics/2008/electopedia/

gabbneb, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:33 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMA LARGE IN EXIT POLLS

gershy, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:37 (sixteen years ago) link

omg the cia admit doing something illegal... CONSEQUENCES

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you guys google maps & twitter have joined forces to give us remarkable insight like this:

http://xs124.xs.to/xs124/08063/super_twitday110.jpeg

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Too good to be true? Obama winning GA, CT, IL, AL, DE, MA, MO, NJ, AZ, UT, NM?

Hatch, Tuesday, 5 February 2008 23:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I've a blood test tomorrow morning, I'm finishing some wine, LET'S ROCK THE HOUSE

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:00 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN calls Georgia for Obama.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

oh fuck off no way re those drudge results

A B C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

wait wrong board completely

A B C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

UGH how am i supposed to sit in class from 7-10 while the wheels of democracy turn just outside of my peripheral vision

A B C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

TrayD= a bro

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:03 (sixteen years ago) link

seriously talk about the spirit of america

A B C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

not that anyone should necessarily care, but i voted for the first time ever today! (for barack)

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

"McCain, Romney in Dustup Over Dole... "

i read this as "McCain, Romney in Dubstep over Dole"

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

damn son @ hatch link

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

no fair Drudge calling CA I haven't even voted yet!!

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:07 (sixteen years ago) link

guys tpm's server is being crushed by the weight of super tuesday

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah shit is taking like 20 minutes to load

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

that's because you are using a toy computer hoos

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

it says:

These are the second wave exits. Not certain whether or not they're weighted. Assume they're not.

GA: C- 25.5, O - 75

CT: C - 45, O - 52.2

IL: C - 29.1, O - 69.6

AL: C - 37, O - 59.6

DE: C - 41.9, O - 55.6

MA: C - 47.3, O - 49.8

MO: C - 45.1, O - 49.8

TN: C - 51.6, O - 41.1

NY: C - 55.6, O - 42.2

NJ: C - 47, O - 52.2

AR: C - 71.2, O - 25.5

OK: C - 60.5, O - 30.4

AZ: C - 44.8, O - 50.5

These below are first wave ...

NM: C - 45.6, O - 51.8

UT: C - 39.9, O - 60.1

CA: C - 49.6, O - 46.3

akm, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:18 (sixteen years ago) link

that's because you are using a toy computer hoos

-- J0rdan S., Wednesday, February 6, 2008 12:12 AM

nah dude i'm at work and shit is like "blurghasdfasdfjlhasdfj"

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like I didn't have to vote after all!

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ok on the exits, they saying 20% of dem voters > 65 y/o and 25% of gop voters > 65 y/o.

Hunt3r, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

fuck drudge, he called it for kerry in 04 (or was that wonkette)

anyway I'll believe it when I see it

OBAMA LARGE is a pretty funny headline tho

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Where's the best live video cvge?

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:49 (sixteen years ago) link

that's a complex question

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

IF MITT ROMNEY DOESN'T WIN SOME BIG STATES TONIGHT I AM GOING TO JUMP OFF A BUILDING IN THE NEXT M. NIGHT SHYAMALAN FILM.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:58 (sixteen years ago) link

BBC and ABC both working nicely.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 00:59 (sixteen years ago) link

cnn calling illinois for obama, oklahoma for hillz

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Where's the best live video cvge?

Sean, aren't you on a continent that covers this shit on the real tv?

G00blar, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC call CT and IL for McCain

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:03 (sixteen years ago) link

if only i had a telly, O Gooblar!

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

re Waterboarding, I actually didn't know the US hadn't already admitted to it.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:07 (sixteen years ago) link

haha sorry am instinctively jealous of north american types!

G00blar, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

G00blar, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

obama got 41% of the white vote in Georgia.

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

abc radio has been going apeshit about mccain and the betrayal of conservative principles

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

he is not doing well in whites over 30, and much worse over 45 pretty much everywhere.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

white Democratic or overall???

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

G00blar -> http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/SuperTuesday/page?id=4218669

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:11 (sixteen years ago) link

from the exits so white democratic.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Curtis --

Results will be coming in until late tonight, but we did just learn one piece of great news.

Thanks to you, we're projected to win Georgia.

I'll be in touch again later tonight when we have results from more states.

Barack

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.onlinevideowatch.com/super-tuesday-live-streaming-guide/

Alba, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

lol crut1s

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Curtis--

Nice going. Thanks to you we're projected to lose Georgia by exactly one vote. Way to get motivated.

Barack

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Curtis--

I'll upload that T.I. album to sendspace. It's fire.

Barack

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Cheers ed, but I think I'm going to bed. Gotta teach in the morning, and don't really want to stay up all hours of the night to see the "news"--it may not even be clear by morning!

xposts lol

G00blar, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Curtis --

WTF? I told you to vote twice for me. Did you? No. Now I'm going to lose. Nice going.

Barack.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

arkansas going to hillz and huckabee

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:31 (sixteen years ago) link

She's racking up some wins early. Why is this night going so well for Obama?

I guess it's too early.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton & Huck winning Ark. = mad shocking

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost
Well because there's not yet been any significant Dem result (ie, any states where the outcome wasn't v clear from advance polls). And yet Obama more than exceeded poll expectations in Georgia.

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, that's fair.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/02/05/us/05mccain-600.jpg

Jeff Treppel, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Tennessee to Clinton

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

:/

will, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

those ones weren't really in doubt though

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

ark/tenn i mean

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Look at Gov. Richardson sporting the stylin' beard!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

DASHING!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC calling Alabama for Huckabee.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Just to demonstrate how unsurprising things have been so far:

http://www.pollster.com/GATopzDems600.png
http://www.pollster.com/ILTopzDems600.png
http://www.pollster.com/OKTopzDems600.png

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.pollster.com/TNTopzDems600.png

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

just got home, was a madhouse! awes~~

voted 4 prez and then bailed, sorry mn-dfl, didn't feel like deliberating anything tonight... tho i am confused as this caucus is apparently NOT going to decide our senate candidate (btw mike ciresi and al franken)

maybe i walked out the wrong door but i saw no exit poll people, i guess it's sort of moot since the caucuses only go for an hour and a half here. they start counting at 8pm here, and extended hours might be a possibility, big big crowds!

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

(btw mike ciresi and al franken)

You support both? I don't think you get to do that.

Eric H., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC calling MA for Clinton.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

NY, too.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee's doing remarkably well.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I think gff is saying that Cerisi and Franken are the two Senate choices in MN for the DFL

Sara R-C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Huck in Alabama

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I love Charles Gibson.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC calling Delaware for Obama.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I only did the Presidential preference in MN as well; INSANE mob of people. We had to wait in line to get into the building at all. (Granted, Northfield is a very liberal town, but 2004 was crazy... this was way way crazier than then.)

Sara R-C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee's doing remarkably well.

Yeah. It's like Huckabee winning the South, McCain winning the Northeast and Romney maybe -- maybe -- winning some stuff in the West.

So is there a real race on the GOP side, or is it just forestalling the inevitable?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge being weirdly slow in updating for those latest wins...

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

(CNN just called DE for Obama too.)

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Has anyone figured out how exactly people are calculating the number of superdelegates? Does it not matter that Obama has more, like, actual delegates?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:09 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN's not calling MA since none of the Boston precincts have reported yet.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC is calling MA for HRC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Among white voters, 62 percent voted for Obama in Illinois

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

among Hispanic voters, 52 percent voted for Obama and 46 percent voted for Clinton. (in IL)

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge being weirdly slow in updating for those latest wins...

Possibly by design. Drudge prefers Romney.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

In addition, the poll also indicated that Obama polled far better in Clinton's home state of New York than Clinton did in Illinois.

Clinton captured 56 percent of the votes in New York state compared with 47 percent of Obama. A significant gender gap was seen among white voters in New York, with only 52 percent of white men voting for Clinton compared with 42 percent for Obama, while 62 percent of white women voted for Clinton compared with 34 percent for Obama.

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Gibson and Stephanopolouspolouspopolous superbly explained how delegates are chosen.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Someone on CNN trying to draw conclusions about Hill's demographic draws based on numbers from NY, which doesn't make much sense.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

You convinced me Alfred, I'm changing to ABC.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge calling NJ for HRC.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

(Via ABC.)

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Plouffe: Clinton Debate Plan Resembles “Second-Tier Congressional Campaign”

zing

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Echoing gff and Sara, the place where I caucused (near the U of M) was crazy full! There were about 200 people in line on the sidewalk in front of me and just as many behind me by the time I got to the front of the line. Apparently they ran out of ballots within a half hour of opening, so everything was on paper slips, no chance to include anything but presidential candidate preference.

Public radio was talking about traffic jams all over the metro area, people even abandoning their cars in the road to go poll.

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

rad!!

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, take the bus or walk, fules

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC calls McCain in NY.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Also appears to be calling AL for Huckabee, though he uh has less votes right now.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh cause all the evangelicals came out.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

cspan's feed from ap... i hate listening to the networks 'call it' one way or another, tbh

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2008/by_state/US_Page_0205_VD.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Yep, caucus in St. Paul had a huge line, maybe 10-15 minute wait to get into the building.

clotpoll, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:35 (sixteen years ago) link

ha u weren't at the middle school on summit were you??

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:38 (sixteen years ago) link

watching George Will and Cokie Roberts is like drinking warm chocolate milk.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

there was definitely a big line when i was there, but i mist have timed it right, cos it moved pretty quicky

xp uh

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

watching George Will and Cokie Roberts is like drinking warm chocolate milk.

vomit inducing?

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I was at Macalester one a block away.

clotpoll, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

That was coherent.

clotpoll, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

vomit inducing?

yes -- a purgative.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

The plummiest of spews.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

"Lickchunder"

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

One of Nitzer Ebb's finest B-sides.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I advise everyone to stay away from The Corner tonight -- holy shit.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Are you kidding? Entertainment galore! Andy McCarthy having a meltdown is pure roffles.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

He must feel really good about his choice of people to support over this past week. "GUILIANI! Uh...okay, ROMNEY! Er.."

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 02:53 (sixteen years ago) link

You have to wonder if the total disaster that was the Bush administration has made people care about politics again.

Jeff Treppel, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:00 (sixteen years ago) link

obv

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I'm not wondering at all, frankly.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

could just be the internets

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

The YouTubes?

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, I guess one good thing had to come out of it...

Jeff Treppel, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Heh - watch Huck get courted by McCain for veep.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ yeah I was thinking in a defend the indefensible scenario, at the very least Bush's arrogance/ ignorance will cause a massive turnout this go round.

will, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Didn't you guys think the same last time around, though?

VOTE VOTE VOTE Americans, come on. (What time is it over there?)

emil.y, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Huck's Arkansas victory speech = wet towel

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost There was record turnout last time around!

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:08 (sixteen years ago) link

why isnt california on cnn's map of yellow states??

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Corner watch update -- Lopez lamely noting "This room (ie Romney headquarters or wherever she's at) needed the Utah win." Like THAT was in doubt.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Last proper election? I can believe that, but Bush still won. xposts

emil.y, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Blame Karl Rove, yo.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:11 (sixteen years ago) link

this state by state thing is cool and all but are any networks/sites displaying a running count of total delegates?

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

bush had the evangelical turnout that he didnt have in 2000

xxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Mike Huckabee: "Every person has intrinsic worth and value . . . " Blah, blah, blah.

Shut up, Mike Huckabee. Stop hurting Mitt Romney's chances.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

ABC projects Obama winner in ND.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

huckabee "this ol' razorback" lol

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:13 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, after tonight I can't see how McCain WOULDN'T court Huck as a veep nominee. Listening to conservative talk radio the last few days has been instructive -- Limbaugh, Schmitt, et al excoriating callers for their enthusiastic support for Huckabee, deaf to the fact that he'd won their hearts.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:15 (sixteen years ago) link

But Huckabee will be a liability in those swing states.

We'll be debating evolution in the Northeast!

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:16 (sixteen years ago) link

SHUT UP, GOV. MIKE HUCKABEE.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile the world's biggest Romney toadie soldiers on:

Given the Rush blast, the Dobson declaration, and Huck's strength in the south, McCain can't be considered a frontrunner by any conventional standard.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

guys cindy mccain is scary looking

-- gr8080, Tuesday, February 5, 2008 12:33 PM (4 hours ago) Bookmark Link

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:18 (sixteen years ago) link

according to ABC's political directior, the national POPULAR vote for Obama and HRC is within a few thousand.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Meantime, the current NY Times main photo:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/02/05/us/05campaign2-511.jpg

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

http://homepage.mac.com/shakesvoltage/05mccain-600.jpg

Jeff Treppel, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Republicans: The party of MEN.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:23 (sixteen years ago) link

note that Joe Leib needs no 'shopping

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

JEFF T 0TM x 10^100000000000000000000000000000000

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee with Patriots dig lol

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

i just ran the cspan numbers from 10 minutes ago and:
Hillary: 2,791,174
Obama 2,757,911

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah but what about DELEGATES?

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:26 (sixteen years ago) link

There's no way of knowing about the delegates yet, right?

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

not according to the AP, hang on, lemme find it

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

obama "winning" connecticut surprises me. what separates those rich white folx from their neighbors?

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

delegates won SO FAR

IE: what actually matters in a primary race?

xxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_on_el_pr/super_tuesday_delegates

McCain, Obama lead delegate count

By STEPHEN OHLEMACHER, Associated Press Writer 9 minutes ago

WASHINGTON - Sen. John McCain jumped to a commanding lead in the Republican delegate race over Mitt Romney in early results on Super Tuesday. Sen. Barack Obama was ahead of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.

McCain won 198 delegates to 0 for Romney and 18 for former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. A total of 1,023 delegates are up for grabs in 21 states.
Overall, McCain led with 300 delegates, to 93 for Romney and 61 for Huckabee. It takes 1,191 to win the nomination at this summer's convention in St. Paul.

Obama had 43 delegates in early voting Tuesday, while Clinton had 32. A total of 1,681 delegates are at stake in 22 states and American Samoa.
Overall, that gave Clinton 291 delegates, to 243 for Obama, with 2,025 delegates required to claim the nomination in Denver at this summer's convention.

The AP tracks the delegate races by projecting the number of national convention delegates won by candidates in each presidential primary or caucus, based on state and national party rules, and by interviewing unpledged delegates to obtain their preferences.

In some states, like Iowa and Nevada, local precinct caucuses are the first stage in the allocation process. The AP uses preferences expressed in those caucuses to project the number of national convention delegates each candidate will have when they are chosen at county, congressional district or state conventions.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney: THIS CAMPAIGN'S GOING ON!

Yes . . .

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Well shit, it'd be nice if AP would give us some place to look at that delegate info in more detail!

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

gah, i mean going all the way back to iowa

fuck this stupid outdated system ffs

xxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

This page is pretty cool, esp. how you can zoom in and look at county-by-county returns: http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/demmap/index.html

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, am i missing something?

delegates are what count, not states or poular votes, right?

why isn't that what's at the bottom of every TV screen?

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yes delegates are the only thing that counts, besides superdelegates

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Delegates tonight according to ABC:

Obama 197
Hillary 190

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

(Delegates won so far tonight, I should say.)

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney's speech is pretty crypto-racist here

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

obama "winning" connecticut surprises me.

I dunno, man. Hartford's a pretty big city.

Also Romney's speech is creeping me out.

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Warms my heart how well Obama's doing in MN

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

People aren't showing delegates because they don't know until district-by-district votes come in for the Dems, since it's proportional. They can call the states way before they can call the delegates. Right?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

We asked people to vote for me. "THEY HAVEN'T!"

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

link to the Romney speech?

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder what the next debate's going to be like. Cordial? Knife-fighting?

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

(A little tent revivalist thing going there, Romney had).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Speech ongoing, Nicole.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

GOP Delegates won tonight:

McCain 244
Romney 56
Huckabee 45

GOP Delegates won total:

McCain 337
Romney 133
Huckabee ?

(There's a lot of states Huckabee's up in that they haven't called yet, though--MO and GA especially.)

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:40 (sixteen years ago) link

A least Romney has a little spark of life tonight.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

thin-lipped white man

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

NBC sez GA goes to the HuckaBeast

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

So to summarize, on the GOP side, we have a candidate who can only win in states he's lived in (Romney), a candidate who can't win (Huckabee), and a candidate who can only win in states the GOP will lose in the GE (McCain).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

that's the hope.

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks, eppy

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:42 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Bermans_count_606534.html

Obama campaign claims a (total) delegate lead right now...

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

lol Peggy Noonan on NBC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Huck gets a proportion of 72 delegates for GA, would get all 58 if he won MO.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:47 (sixteen years ago) link

here comes hillz

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Peggy Noonan still dreaming of writing another Boys of Pointe du Hoc speech.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

If Romney wins CA and splits the rest of the western states with McCain the night ends with McCain 300 / Romney 250 / Huckabee 150, but if Romney doesn't win CA he's tied with Huck and McCain's up by 250. (Totals.) Which mostly closes the race.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:52 (sixteen years ago) link

whoa -- Obama wiping Clinton in Idaho.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks to great micing, Hillary sounds like a robot fo realz

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Funny: HRC is a better debater than a stump speaker; Obama is a better stump speaker than a debater. Or maybe HRC's speech is just a bit lackluster tonight.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

is the daily show going live tonight?

deeznuts, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Weird tornado reference. HRC WILL STOP TORNADOS.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:53 (sixteen years ago) link

GO MITT F---G ROMNEY IN CALIFORNIA.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

whoa -- Obama wiping Clinton in Idaho.

Yikes! Maybe she should concede?

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:54 (sixteen years ago) link

It would be nice if Mittens took Ca.

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

77% to 22%, according to NBC.

(xxpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

NBC calls Minnesota for Obama.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

current drudge breakdown:

CLINTON: AR, MA, MO, NY, NJ, OK, TN
OBAMA: AL, CT, DE, GA, ID, IL, KS, MN, ND, UT

HUCKABEE: AL, AR, GA, MO, TN, WV
MCCAIN: AZ, CT, DE, IL, NJ, NY, OK
ROMNEY: MA, MN, MT, ND, UT

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

hell yeah, stay in huckabee, out of spite for romney if nothing else.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

NONONONONONONONONONONO.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 03:59 (sixteen years ago) link

WE WANT MITTENS TO WIN

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Did Harold Ford campaign for Hillary in TN? Dude _was_ put into command of the DLC last year.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, but mccain & huck hate the FUCK out of romney, so really we have benefits all round.

Besides, there's still California to call.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I kind of like Hillary, she reminds me of some of my relatives

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ND & ME to Romneybot 8000

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:04 (sixteen years ago) link

So the theory is that Mitt appeals to CA conservatives who don't like McCain's moderate aura but also don't like Huck's evangelicalism?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:05 (sixteen years ago) link

The OC is a strange place.

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

He'd fit in perfectly in Newport Beach, for sure.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean I can't conceive of a fully-functioning human being liking Mitt Romney, so maybe I'm biased...

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:06 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost They'd like his pro-biz schtick?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I like him a lot! As a figure of fun, anyway... xp

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I live around here, Eppy, I can! They appear in local magazines called OC Metro and congratulate each other at big beefy meals.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:07 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems to be that one pattern that is holding up tonight is that Obama beats Clinton in all of the caucus states. Is it just a coincidence that the caucuses happen to be in states where Obama's support is strong, or is there something about the caucus format that favors Obama?

o. nate, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:08 (sixteen years ago) link

my brother today: "I'm not voting for Clinton, she reminds me of my HS friend's mean mom"

Euler, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost I guess he just seems like such a rube! Has anyone read that Transmetropolitan series where there's an election going on and one candidate is referred to as "the Smiler"? Looks exactly like Romney.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess he just seems like such a rube!

And this is undercutting the general perception of him how...?

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

in mn, the 'caucus' is no different than a primary really, you mark your preference, there's no second round stuff like in ia

i think 'caucus' means that other party business can be attended to at those meetings

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

MO to Clinton

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I caucused tonight (KS) and the room was huuuuugely for Obama (like 4 to 1, 800ish people there), but I don't think it was the caucus format that engendered it. Clinton is a very hard sell huge; tonight it was just old ladies going for her. Whereas the Obama part of the room was packed and rockin (college town).

xpost here it was a "stand with the people who support your candidate and we'll count you by hand". We had two rounds of voting, like Iowa.

Euler, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I sometimes have nightmares where Lou Dobbs is the cruel ringmaster in an evil circus of terror and fright

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost gff is exactly right about caucusing in MN; if you stay to do the actual "caucusing," you can offer resolutions to the party platform. I have never done it, though.

Sara R-C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

i can't remember where i read this but an iowan said somewhere that what can happen is a couple goes together to the caucus, she wants to vote hillary, he's leaning obama (or edwards), and then they realize they've got to go stand in their caucus groups separately and who wants to do that, so she goes with him

Tracer Hand, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Drudge & MSNBC have Romney in the lead in CO.

in MO, the diff is currently 50-47 Hill, but with only 83% reporting.

xp: more fun with Lou Dobbs

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I sometimes have nightmares where Lou Dobbs is the cruel ringmaster in an evil circus of terror and fright, botw

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, here in Oregon, our primary isn't until May 20th, whereas at least Washington gets their's on Saturday...

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer that anecdote is buried in the nomination thread.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer i bet that happens exactly never

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

bitches be votin how their hubbies tell em

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

noooooo. not MO to clinton. argh. that's the Predictor State.

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

superstition

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:28 (sixteen years ago) link

cnn calling GA for huckabee

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

That's so three hours ago xp

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:32 (sixteen years ago) link

ITS TH WEED

danbunny, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, good. McCain's about to give his speech.

That man is a dynamic speaker.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

"TONIGHT, MY FRIENDS. . ."

Ughhh.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Mainly tie = Clintons + Obamas bumrushin' Seattle on Friday. Aw shit.

I'll be caucusing for the first time in my life this Saturday! (which kinda gives away which party I'm voting for, although that shouldn't be too surprising.)

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I caucused in 04. It went pretty smoothly.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Did you live in WA yet at that time?

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

make sure you tell your wife which corner to get in.

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

that google maps w/ twitter is freaking me out

max, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

here comes obama

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

MITTENSBOT BE TAKIN MOAR STATES

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:41 (sixteen years ago) link

STFU already mccain

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Man-o-man, the difference between Obama and every other Presidential contender in terms of rhetorical power and grace is stunning.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Track California:

http://vote.ss.ca.gov/

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:47 (sixteen years ago) link

hmmm not lookin good for O in CA

xp

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:48 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit i'm just realizing how late it is in chicago

do you think its intentional he let everyone else go first?

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:48 (sixteen years ago) link

slow start to this speech but when bro gets the motor running he's fantastic

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:49 (sixteen years ago) link

wait, there were tornados in arkansas??

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Has anyone dared to watch David Brooks on Newshour's coverage tonight?

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

y'know, I didn't even know arkansas was a state until today so... yeah, we both learned something today.

xp

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait, why doesn't it look good for Obama in California? NBC says it's too close to call.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Yahoo news running live vid of obama, which I just found out about. I don't have the cable.

http://www.yahoo.com/s/777435

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

tornadoes in Ark. and Tenn. Bad weather favors Hillz, I guess

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

more like too early to call i think

xxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

http://vote.ss.ca.gov/Returns/pres/dem/map010001000000.htm

ooof rly not good for Bommer in CA

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

4.6% ( 1068 of 23108 ) precincts

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Notably a lot of rural CA counties and L.A. county haven't been tabulated yet... although, except for Santa Barbara County, Clinton is pwning pretty much.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 04:59 (sixteen years ago) link

California is a proportional state, isn't it? That is, if Obama gets 40% of the vote there, doesn't he get 40% of the delegates there?

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

john edwards @ 11%

deeznuts, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

John Edwards 11%?

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Early voting.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel.. yeah.. but he loses by 10 points in Cali, he has to pwn in many more states to make up for that.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

that google maps w/ twitter is freaking me out

-- max, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 4:40 AM

you guys google maps & twitter have joined forces to give us remarkable insight like this:

http://xs124.xs.to/xs124/08063/super_twitday110.jpeg

-- BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Tuesday, February 5, 2008 11:58 PM

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:02 (sixteen years ago) link

"We are the ones we've been waiting for."

That is beautiful.

sean gramophone, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

<3

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul 25% in MT!!

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Super Tuesday has been brought to you by Super Grover!

http://www.oafe.net/yo/art/mupsssg4.jpg

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:03 (sixteen years ago) link

"We are the ones we've been waiting for."

That is beautiful.

tho technically Jim Wallis has been saying it for about 3 years now...

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Hunh. Michelle Obama(in shoes) is about as tall as her husband. Not bad.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:05 (sixteen years ago) link

"wait for LA" they say on the CA counts, but i dunno, 55 to 32 at 14% counted is a lot to make up

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:06 (sixteen years ago) link

elizabethkucinich.jpg

xp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing L.A. County isn't going to oppose the state trend.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing SF County maybe Santa Clara and Monterey might go Obama, otherwise...

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080206/ap_on_el_pr/romney

Romney pledges to stay in GOP race

By GLEN JOHNSON, Associated Press Writer
41 minutes ago

BOSTON - Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney pledged to fight all the way to the Republican nominating convention this summer if necessary, despite being overpowered by John McCain in Super Tuesday contests.

He celebrated victories Tuesday in his home state of Massachusetts, as well as wins in Utah and North Dakota. But he was pummeled elsewhere on a day he had hoped to prove his presidential campaign wasn't doomed.

Nonetheless, Romney vowed to keep up his fight, casting it as a battle to save the future of the nation...

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Alaska leaving heavily BHO with 20% in

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:11 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit holy shit

missouri

3275 of 3371 Precincts Reporting - 97%
Name Party Votes Vote %
Obama, Barack Dem 387,064 49%
Clinton, Hillary Dem 383,853 48%

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC: HRC wins California.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing SF County maybe Santa Clara and Monterey might go Obama, otherwise...

Early numbers suggest that Senator Clinton is winning 2-to-1 in San Francisco County, San Mateo and Santa Clara. However, Obama is running a few points ahead in Marin (which is actually the only county he has a lead in).

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:13 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN projects Hillary in Arizona

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:14 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC sez Mccain in CA

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:14 (sixteen years ago) link

DAMN. MSNBC: McCain wins California.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:14 (sixteen years ago) link

her first win in a state in which she has not lived or not adjacent to a state in which she has lived

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:15 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC: McCain wins Missouri.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

what will be interesting this Saturday is if Ron Paul takes WA.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit holy shit

This will swing for Senator Obama. Boone, which is the only county that has yet to fully come in heavily favors Obama.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: You really think he might?

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't doubt he'll do well, but I can't see him taking more than 25%.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

did the Politico blow it on MO?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

It's over on the GOP side. Romney is way past his freshness-date, and Huckabee has no realistic chance outside his small circle.

They're already reading the last rites about Romney's campaign on MSNBC.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

what will be interesting this Saturday is if Ron Paul takes WA

isn't McCain pretty strong up there?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

cnn has obama winning w/ 98 % in MO too...

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

xp

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The California results are depressing me.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Yup. Romney dead. Not sure about a McCain/Huckabee ticket but I wouldn't rule it out.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I can’t believe no one is yet spinning a potential 20 point, or a 70 delegate loss in California. This would be a nightmare situation for Senator Obama, unless he believes he can win big in Pennsylvania (he won’t).

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

my vote in the Texas primary MIGHT ACTUALLY MATTER for the first time

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Considering the early results in MO, it might be a little early to say that Cali's numbers will stay consistent.

Simon H., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:22 (sixteen years ago) link

re: Romney, yup, he's sounding like Edwards did when he said he'd stick around till the convention. riiiiight.

Simon H., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:23 (sixteen years ago) link

damn cali...

will, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Senator Boxer just confirmed she will be voting for Senator Clinton (she is a super delegate).

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I note Hewitt's been reduced to saying that McCain can only be stopped if Romney and Huckabee join forces. Uh-huh.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:26 (sixteen years ago) link

To give you guys an idea why the GOP hates McCain...

Imagine if the Democrats' Winning Knight In Armor in '08 was Lieberman...

Yeah, I'd upchuck too.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:27 (sixteen years ago) link

the story on the Republican side is that McCain lost as many States as he won. yes, he's the nominee, but he doesn't have the halo hoped for, and he's got a not-inconsiderable backside to cover in the South. Huckabee's just made quite a case for himself, but in the end I think he scares the Northeast too much. Pawlenty's Catholic-cum-Baptist beats Sanford's Episcopalian, but he's not a Southerner, and couldn't lock in his caucus for McCain.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

If I did my math right, the exit polls show Obama getting ~44.5% of the California vote.

M.V., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

were i still doing so, there's no shortage of op-ed toons i could collect expressing the BSRW hatred of McCain.

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney out soon. (MSNBC)

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

of course, this ain't one of them, buuuuuuuut:

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v322/ellimayhem/ronpaul.jpg

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought MO had been called for hillz?

gershy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:32 (sixteen years ago) link

This GE is going to be terrible, if it goes the way I fear it will.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:32 (sixteen years ago) link

nine

months

feel free

explore

you have an eternity

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:35 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- Daniel, am I going to have to repeat my NINE MONTHS thing at you or what?

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, you are. Ned, we're in the same age range(-ish). Surely you have some sinking feelings based on how virtually every Presidential election in recent history has gone (Bill Clinton -- a singular political figure -- excepted).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Please explain how Bill Clinton is a singular political figure and Barack Obama is not.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama might be. He isn't yet. I have great hopes for him.

AND HE WINS MISSOURI!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:40 (sixteen years ago) link

w00t

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Daniel, assuming the worst is always healthy in situations like this -- I'd rather be pleasantly surprised than unpleasantly. I stick to my core belief, though, that the election is going to be decided by factors outside of the matchup of the candidates, and outside of their or anyone else's control. Right now I'm reasonably sanguine on that point -- right now.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:42 (sixteen years ago) link

red states in which the Dem vote exceeded the GOP vote - Colorado, Missouri, North Dakota, Tennessee

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, cnn has obama leading by 5K in MO with ~2% left

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish there was some way of knowing how much of the current CA count was made up of early votes.

Dan I., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:44 (sixteen years ago) link

AND OBAMA WINS ALASKA!

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Politico has finally retracted their call on MO

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Clinton's doing so well in CA for the same reason she did so well in FL. A significant portion of the ballots they're counting are 2-3 week old early votes.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, i was just about to post that. CNN has Obama winning, no GOP results for alaska yet.

xp: didn't like 5M absentee primary votes in california get sent in right after the NH primary?

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:46 (sixteen years ago) link

wot a fuct beginning to a fuct odd system we have

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:47 (sixteen years ago) link

guys karl rove is awesome on fox news

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

made a good point (dunno if it's been brought up here) about barack winning states that dems have a 0% chance of winning in the gen election

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:50 (sixteen years ago) link

why? what;s the ministry of information have for us tonight?

xp

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:51 (sixteen years ago) link

OH YEAH! TWO Cali counties for O

......

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Ned, is your Dad still a McCain fan?

M.V., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:52 (sixteen years ago) link

total delegates so far as estimated by cnn:

clinton: 371
obama: 306

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

total delegates so far as estimated by fox:

clinton: 624
obama: 518

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Ned, is your Dad still a McCain fan?

I'm trying to remember when I said he was! I've no doubt he admires McCain's service as a fellow Naval Academy grad and all but I don't ever recall him being a dedicated fan, honestly. He voted Nader in 2000 and is strongly considering Obama this time around. Voted Kerry in 2004 IIRC.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:54 (sixteen years ago) link

rove has an encyclopedic knowledge of voting trends and history and demo info etc. about nearly every county in every state and it was really interesting to hear what he had to say, both bcuz he's really fucking smart and bcuz it's interesting to hear what a republican that doesn't give a fuck about public perception (unlike hannity or wallace or whoever) thinks (this applies for ari fleischer on cnn as well).

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris Matthews, speaking of Obama, brings up Robert Kennedy's assassination. Nice.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Chuck Todd projects that when CA is all accounted for, fewer than 10 delegates will separate them, not counting the supers

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

xp to kingfish

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:56 (sixteen years ago) link

obama wins states that Dems don't because he appeals to people who ordinarily wouldn't consider Dems

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Rove's point still might not mean anything if only Ohio goes blue along with the '04 blue states this year. Just sayin' Shrug.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

made a good point (dunno if it's been brought up here) about barack winning states that dems have a 0% chance of winning in the gen election.

You can say the same about McCain. Rove doesn't, tho, because he's a GOP strategist.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain can't win florida or california or missouri?

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:01 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary won states she's lived in or states next door to them, states dominated by urban liberals, and a state dominated by old white folks and hispanics. obama won states with significant populations of independents, southerners, and rural folks.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I think some of you guys get turned on by fearing the GOP. Just admit it.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:02 (sixteen years ago) link

What I found really weird about the McCain hate on WABC was some of the specific reasons cited. I can at least sort of understand why someone might be attracted to the general conservative philosophy of small government and (the appearance of) every man for himself and low taxes and whatever. But they were calling out McCain's opposition to ANWR drilling and his support of McCain-Feingold. I mean is there really a significant constituency of voters out there who is frothing at the mouth to open up more natural areas to oil-drilling and has strong personal feelings that campaign contributions should not be limited? Or does Exxon-Mobil just like hand these hosts a list of talking-points stapled to a check?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:02 (sixteen years ago) link

yes

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

WHO ARE THESE PEOPLE?

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

or were you saying yes to the last question

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i.somethingawful.com/forumsystem/emoticons/emot-obama.gif

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain can't win florida or california or missouri?

Look at the states he won today. He was swept in the South. He won the Northeast. Yes, he won California. That does soften the picture for him.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the lesson from all these delegate counts is that no one knows a fucking thing, really. I do wish they would start showing delegate counts w/o the superdelegates, though--seems like a concession to the Clinton camp.

Anyway, I'm going to go to bed and hope Cali looks better when I wake up.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:08 (sixteen years ago) link

anyway i'm not trying to play cpt save-a-rove, just saying he was a good talking head

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:08 (sixteen years ago) link

He is a good talking (pin) head.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Rocked out with Ellison & Rybak tonight. Obama fever in MN. Way beyond expectations. Minneapolis killed!

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:22 (sixteen years ago) link

ughhhhhhhh fuck you california
bunch of tards voting for edwards

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:23 (sixteen years ago) link

dude where was that?? i... did laundry after voting

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

xp

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

the Edwards people voted before he dropped out

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

morons

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:27 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, absentee voting didnt really help this early, now, did it

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's a full percentage point ahead in MO with 99% in.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton won 5 McCain states, 2 Huckabee states and 1 Romney state
Obama won 4 McCain states, 2 Huckabee states and 4 Romney states

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:34 (sixteen years ago) link

couldnt cali stick to sucking schwarzennager's cock and stop fucking up national elections too

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Calm down, Beavis.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:46 (sixteen years ago) link

My name is Californiholio! I require TP for my bunghole!

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:48 (sixteen years ago) link

capn save a cali

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:50 (sixteen years ago) link

if he carries NM, obama will have taken every super2zday caucus state

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:51 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN estimates that, across the Democratic primaries, Barack Obama got 48% of the popular vote and Hillary Clinton 49%.

caek, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Deej, as noted above, that 11% for Edwards doubtless drew on a hell of a lot of early votes made when he was still in the race. On the GOP side, Giuliani pulled in about that amount in turn last I checked. I agree that's a flaw but it's not a unique one to California's setup.

Meantime, had things been winner-take-all in California, instead of scoring a share of delegates from California, Obama might have had NO delegates. And the superdelegate situation, which is indeed kinda ridiculous, is a national party deal rather than a state one.

Just saying.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 06:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i miss edwards already

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:09 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/forumdisplay.php?f=95

for lolz

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:11 (sixteen years ago) link

new mexico very close, bill richardson's beard unable to seal the deal yet

gershy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I find it kinda weird that you guys have such a democratic way of choosing presidential candidates (ordinary people actually get to vote for them - in here choosing a candidate is done inside the party), yet a democratically questionable way of choosing the actual president (the one who gets a bigger amount of votes on a national level might still not win).

Tuomas, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:12 (sixteen years ago) link

tell me about it

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:14 (sixteen years ago) link

the county data indicate that while Obama beat Hillary in Republican territory in Connecticut, Idaho, Illinois*, Minnesota*, and Utah, they pretty much split Republican territory in Alabama, Colorado, Delaware, and Georgia (where Hillary did better in the most Republican parts), and Hillary won the map in Missouri.

*for the most part

upshot for me is Obama is more popular (or less unpopular) in the rural, outdoor-oriented West/the more pacifist Northern tier, including the upper Midwest, while Hillary's still equal or better among whites through the Southern tier, including the lower Midwest.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Alaska's coming in...looks like Mitt in the lead

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:15 (sixteen years ago) link

(among democratic primary voters, of course)

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:15 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- In the fine tradition of Ted Stevens and Don Young

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Mitt could win THE BIGGEST STATE!

(..in square miles)

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:20 (sixteen years ago) link

and grizzly bear population

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:22 (sixteen years ago) link

God damn it, Ned. Don't mention Ted Stevens around me. I tend to lose my temper.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Dj Grizz shillin' for the Roms

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:23 (sixteen years ago) link

(sent 46 mins ago)

Friend --

The votes will be counted into the night and into tomorrow, but today we won states and we won delegates in every part of the country.

As of right now, we have won more states and delegates than Senator Clinton. It's a remarkable achievement we can all be proud of.

Tonight, we know one thing for sure -- our time has come, our movement is real, and change is coming to America.

At this moment in history, the stakes are too high and the challenges too great to play the same Washington game with the same Washington players and expect a different result.

This time must be different.

There will be those who say it cannot be done. But we know what we have seen and what we believe -- that when ordinary people come together we can still do extraordinary things.

Yes, we can.

Thank you so much,

Barack

Donate

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Downtown Seattle this Friday is going to be nuts.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:48 (sixteen years ago) link

We want pics,

and free promo shit

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 07:51 (sixteen years ago) link

States Obama won with (so far) more than 60% of the vote:

Colorado
Georgia
Idaho (over 70%)
Illinois
Kansas (over 70%)
Minnesota
North Dakota

States Clinton won with (so far) more than 60% of the vote:

Arkansas

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:06 (sixteen years ago) link

So why is the press all "Clinton won!" over here then?

StanM, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:07 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary won states she's lived in or states next door to them, states dominated by urban liberals, and a state dominated by old white folks and hispanics. obama won states with significant populations of independents, southerners, and rural folks.

What the shit? Tennessee and Oklahoma vs Alabama and Georgia? Which old white people, southerners, and rural folks are next door and count more than others? Connecticut urban liberals vs New Jersey urban liberals? I'm not getting it. Obama won big in caucus states with very few Dems which we don't have a prayer of winning in the general election, this is true..

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:07 (sixteen years ago) link

We haven't gotten to the GE yet. That's the point. Rove is doing a good job in distracting youze guys very well.

Suppose Obama wins the Dem nomination.

How many Hillary supporters today are going to vote for McCain or another GOP over Obama?

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:25 (sixteen years ago) link

States Clinton won with (so far) more than 60% of the vote:

Arkansas

but cnn says obama has 75% in AK?

oh wait, when i actually click on the candidate links, clinton is sweeping AK, so the front page is fucked up.

Jordan, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:28 (sixteen years ago) link

AK = Alaska

Curt1s Stephens, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:29 (sixteen years ago) link

as far as the media's concerned they split today right down the middle. Neither of them lost ground. She'll get a few more delegates out of it, but he's better prepared to take the next round and the momentum has been swinging in his favor for the last month or so. Today isn't going to stop that, since they'll both spin victory. Things look slightly in his favor, depending on the superdelegates.

Either way I think a protracted battle with her has it's upsides for the GE: it increases his visibility, sharpens his debate, and possibly kills criticisms that aren't picking up traction.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:36 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain can't be president? (born in the Panama Canal Zone, which isn't technically the USA)

http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/019165.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural-born_citizen#Children_born_outside_the_United_States_to_American_parents

StanM, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:42 (sixteen years ago) link

so if he's elected and Congress says he's not a natural born citizen, then... (?)

StanM, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:43 (sixteen years ago) link

The McCain thing is an interesting twist! hmmm...

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, we will wait until after he's elected to act on this tenet if it's true at all. Uh-huh.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:55 (sixteen years ago) link

The only reason I don't believe it's true is because the GOP would have outed McCain with this ages ago if it were true.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 08:55 (sixteen years ago) link

He was born on a military base, which I believe is technically US soil...

carson dial, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 10:02 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

Obama won big in caucus states with very few Dems which we don't have a prayer of winning in the general election

Why is it that when John McCain soars in traditionally Democratic states and does well with Independents we think it makes him a formidable general election candidate, and when Barack Obama cleans up in traditionally Republican states and dominates with Independents, people like Daria try to argue that he wouldn't be able to win a general election?

Hatch, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 13:24 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah the most ridiculous part of that is the idea that california dems wouldnt unite behind obama if he became the candidate is ludicrous

deej, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 14:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Why is it that when John McCain soars in traditionally Democratic states and does well with Independents we think it makes him a formidable general election candidate, and when Barack Obama cleans up in traditionally Republican states and dominates with Independents, people like Daria Karl Rove try to argue that he wouldn't be able to win a general election?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 14:43 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20080206

lol

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 14:44 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, at least in the state where I currently live (KS) there's historically been not much Dem infrastructure to speak of, so it's just fallen to Republicans in the fast. So that means there's little interest in the usual Dem machine candidates here, of which Clinton is just the latest example. And there is a big group of religious right voters here who tend to vote solidly Republican. But there are lots of others who tend Republican because they don't like the Dem machine candidates, but would consider Dems who aren't insiders. So I think KS is a real possibility for the Dems in November if Obama is the candidate, but no way if Clinton is. And I suspect it's similar for other states where Obama did significantly better than Clinton last night.

Euler, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 14:49 (sixteen years ago) link

more than 2/3 of Dem GE voters voted in the primary in MO. less than 1/2 of GOP GE voters did.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.ucomics.com/comics/db/2008/db080206.gif
Unfair. This applies to plenty of people from the generation that grew up with Kennedy.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, what do you expect from an old boomer like Garry Trudeau?

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Good Lord, New Mexico still isn't finished counting all the votes.


Obama 63,011 49% 12 92% reporting
Clinton 62,493 48% 13 5:55 AM EST

kingfish, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

He was born on a military base, which I believe is technically US soil...

This is the truth. The actual rule, if I'm reading my Constitutional Law book correctly, is that you need to be a born citizen of the US, as OPPOSED to naturalized. So, born on US soil, either in the 50 states, military basaes, embassies, etc., OR born to US parents who-cares-where.

What would be more interesting would be, say, a person with dual citizenship, like my cousins who have both US and Italian citizenship...would they be able to run? I'm thinking yes.

B.L.A.M., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Good Lord, New Mexico still isn't finished counting all the votes.

I think the difference there is ultimately going to be whether they split the 26 pledged delegates or whether Clinton gets it 14-12 (I think she won one of the congressional districts very handily, which I assume gives her that edge with delegates). Suppose the outright winner might sway the superdelegates. Or maybe they don't give a toss.

Michael Jones, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Winning the popular vote in New Mexico could be an important symbolic victory, though, as it would suggest that Obama can attract the Hispanic vote, despite losing in Arizona and California.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I was born on a US army base in Germany to two US citizens. I guess I can run for Prez now, I never thought I could.

Bill Magill, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

DRAFT MAGILL

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

HOOKERS AND BLOW FOR ALL

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Where there's a will, there's a Magill!

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

By the exit it looks like if Obama wins NM it will be inspite of the the Latino vote, not because of it.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr Que, what do the hookers get?

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

HOOKERS GET HEALTH CARE

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Will the blow be covered by the new health care regime?

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

DO I LOOK LIKE BILL MAGILLS PRESS SECRETARY

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't get this superdelegates thing. Who appoints them?

According to CNN, Obama has marginally more elected delegates than Clinton, and yet she has far more superdelegates, which puts her on top. So if the percentages don't budge in the following primaries, Obama could win the primaries and yet lose the race, is this right?

Zelda Zonk, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Most of the superdelegates are elected officials belonging to the party: all the representatives, senators, and governors, as well as national committee members.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama won the white vote in NM, including whites 60 and over, but I want to know where he won

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Presumably between the end of the primaries and the convention, assuming things are still close, there will be a whole heap of horse trading by both sides trying to strip superdelegates from each other.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

List of Democratic superdelegates

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Thanks

Zelda Zonk, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:45 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton's trying like hell to use the results on super tuesday to say that obama is now the "establishment candidate" lol what

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

nice try, tho

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama won big in caucus states with very few Dems which we don't have a prayer of winning in the general election, this is true..

lol hello there, my name is Minnesota, perhaps we've met?

John Justen, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

This could be one heck of a convention.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama
Rep. Artur Davis (AL)
Del. Eni FH Faleomavaga (AS)
Gov. Janet Napolitano (AZ)
Rep. Raul Grijalva (AZ)
Rep. Anna Eshoo (CA)
Rep. Xavier Becerra (CA)
Rep. Barbara Lee (CA)
Rep. Adam Schiff (CA)
Rep. George Miller (CA)
Rep Zoe Lofgren (CA)
Rep. Linda Sanchez (CA)
DNC Hon. Eric Garcetti (CA)
DNC Norma Torres (CA)
Rep. Ed Perlmutter (CO)
DNC Dan Slater (CO)
Debbie Marquez (CO)
DNC JW Postal (CO)
Rep. Chris Murphy (CT)
Rep. John Larson (CT)
DNC Stephen Fontana (CT)
DNC Martin Dunleavy (CT)
Rosa DeLauro (CT)
Mayor Adrian Fenty (DC)
DNC Dr. James Zogby (DC)
DNC Arrington Dixon (DC)
Rep. Robert Wexler (FL)
DNC Allan Katz (FL)
Rep. Sanford Bishop (GA)
Rep. Hank Johnson (GA)
Mayor Shirley Franklin (GA) **
Rep. Neil Abercrombie (HI)
DNC Hon. Gail Bray (ID)
DNC Grant Burgoyne (ID)
Gov. Rod Blagojevich (IL)
Sen. Barack Obama (IL)
Sen. Dick Durbin (IL)
Rep. Melissa Bean (IL)
Rep. Jerry Costello (IL)
Rep. Danny Davis (IL)
Rep. Luis Gutierrez (IL)
Rep. Phil Hare (IL)
Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (IL)
Rep. Bobby Rush (IL)
Rep. Jan Schakowsky (IL)
DNC Constance Howard (IL)
DNC Margaret Blackshere (IL)
DNC Hon. Emil Jones Jr. (IL)
DNC Hon. Iris Martinez (IL)
DNC Tom Hynes (IL)
DNC Willie Barrow (IL)
DNC Michael Madigan (IL)
Rep. Dave Loebsack (IA)
DNC Michael Fitzgerald (IA)
Gov. Kathleen Sebelius (KS)
E. Lee Kinch (KS)
Rep. Albert Wynn (MD)
Rep. Elijah Cummings (MD)
DNC Karren Pope-Onwukwe (MD)
Gov. Deval Patrick (MA)
Sen. John Kerry (MA)
Sen. Ted Kennedy (MA)
Rep. William Delahunt (MA)
Rep. Michael Capuano (MA)
DNC Alan Solomont (MA)
Rep. John Conyers (MI)
Rep. Jim Oberstar (MN)
Rep. Keith Ellison (MN)
Rep. Betty McCollum (MN)
Hon. Mee Moua (MN)
Rep. Bennie Thompson (MS)
DNC Johnnie Patton (MS)
Sen. Claire McCaskill (MO)
Rep. Russ Carnahan (MO)
Rep. Lacy Clay (MO)
Sen. Ben Nelson (NE)
Rep. Steve Rothman (NJ)
DNC Steven Horsford (NV)
Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (NH)
Rep. Paul Hodes (NH)
DNC Hon. Martha Fuller Clark (NH)
Fmr DNC Chair Fred Harris (NM)
Rep. G.K. Butterfield (NC)
DNC Everett Ward (NC)
Sen. Kent Conrad (ND)
Rep. Earl Pomeroy (ND)
DNC Jim Maxson (ND)
DNC Mary Wakefield (ND)
DNC Kitti Asbury - (OK)
Rep. Earl Blumenauer (OR)
Rep. Patrick Murphy (PA)
Rep. Chaka Fattah (PA)
Rep. Patrick Kennedy (RI)
DNC Waring Howe Jr. (SC)
Sen. Tim Johnson (SD)
Fmr Sen. Tom Daschle (SD)
Rep. Jim Cooper (TN)
Rep. Steve Cohen (TN)
DNC Lois DeBerry (TN)
Rep. Al Green (TX)
DNC Moses Mercado (TX)
DNC Bill Orton (UT)
Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)
Rep. Peter Welch (VT)
Gov. Tim Kaine (VA)
Rick Boucher (VA)
Rep. Bobby Scott (VA)
Gov. John P. deJongh, Jr. (VI)
Rep. Adam Smith (WA)
Pat Notter (WA)
Rep. Gwen Moore (WI)
Gov. Jim Doyle (WI)
DNC Peter Jorgenson (WY)
DNC John Millin (WY)

obama's endorsing himself!

get bent, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

shorter Clinton campaign: "We stopped Obama's momentum, but expect us to lose the next few primaries. And we're actually leading the count in delegates if you include the party officials who've pledged their support to me. oh, and by the way, obama is the establishment candidate."

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

yay for patrick kennedy, the least ugly of the natural-born kennedeys

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Hurray Obama won my district!

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

yay for eric garcetti! i'm proud to live in cd13.

get bent, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

does anyone have an official delegate count for Clinton/Obama...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

never mind

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i think it's gonna take until tomorrow for them to apportion all the delegates district by district?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Sullivan cites these:

The Obama camp projects topping Clinton by nine delegates, 845 to 836. NBC News, which is projecting delegates based on the Democratic Party's complex formula, figures Obama will wind up with 840 to 849 delegates, versus 829 to 838 for Clinton.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

obama's endorsing himself!

Didn't you hear? We're the ones we've been waiting for.

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

well, yes. and hillary clinton is also a superdelegate, and so is her husband.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

The DNC’s credentials committee meets this summer, probably in July, and it is not clear which candidate’s representatives will be in control: the committee’s seats are allocated through a formula linked to the candidate’s performances in the states. If the committee winds up being controlled by Hillary Clinton – if, that is, she has a delegate lead in July, the Florida and Michigan delegations will be credentialed.

But if Barack Obama controls the credentials committee, and his committee is given the opportunity to deny Hillary Clinton delegates from Michigan and Florida that could put her over the top – that’s his prerogative.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/dem_fla_michigan_revote.php

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Are any ilxors going to be delegates to their senate district conventions?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Hypothetically, if Clinton wins because of Michigan and Florida, shit is gonna get real ugly within the Dem party.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

hey stealing elections is a grand American tradition

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I will personally run over Mark Brewer (head of the Michigan Dems) with a pickup truck.

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

funny thing is, if michigan and florida had kept their show in march, they'd be even more relevant now! way to go.

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

losers

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

hey stealing elections is a grand American tradition

http://www.simonsays.com/assets/isbn/0743255526/BC_0743255526.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

lovin the RBH beard

get bent, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

he even looks a bit like Hils.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think we're going to have a brokered convention, and I don't think the nomination will be decided by super delegates. By the time the credentials committee convenes in July, whoever is behind in pledged delegates will probably be under tremendous pressure to concede. If Clinton is ahead even slightly, Michigan and Florida will be seated and she'll have a big victory. But as of today it seems far more likely that Obama will have a slight edge, a few delegates from Michigan and Florida will be seated as a compromise, and the vast majority of the super delegates will vote for whoever won in the pledged delegate count. I'd like to think that either Clinton or Obama would step aside with dignity in July, and I imagine that either one of them will have no choice but to offer VP to the other. I can imagine Obama accepting if Clinton is the nominee, but I think she'd decline the VP slot.

Hatch, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd like to think that either Clinton or Obama would step aside with dignity in July

I cannot conceive of Clinton doing this

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Re: FL

Just so everyone's clear, it was our Republican-heavy state legislature who moved the primary date up to 1/29 and state law dictates that both party primaries must be held on the same day. FL Dems could've balked at a primary and held a caucus instead on any day of their choosing, but found the idea of a caucus in FL to be a huge clusterfuck in the making. However, Howard Dean didn't care and stripped our state's delegates, prompting the candidates to vow against campaigning here. As much as I would've liked my vote to count this time, it wouldn't be at all fair for it to count after the fact when the results might have been entirely different if campaigning had gone on as usual in FL.

As for Michigan, where Edwards and Obama weren't even on the ballot? If they count, that's the most fucked up thing EVAR!

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:32 (sixteen years ago) link

they were not on the ballot in MI, Clinton was the only one

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I noticed upthread that folks are referring to Minnesota as a Republican state. Um, no.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, obama now the establishment candidate? nice one, penn. i could see it with the ted kennedy endorse., etc., but it just doesn't line up - no way in hell you can portray hillary clinton as the insurgent candidate, come on! this is the candidate whose whole bloody point is that she has all this insider washington experience!

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Lots of buzz out there today that the Clintons are now trying to buy this nomination, Mitt Romney style. Clinton's campaign manager was asked this morning if Bill and Hill had started pumping their own millions into the race before Super Tuesday and he dodged the question.

Hatch, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:41 (sixteen years ago) link

What would be more interesting would be, say, a person with dual citizenship, like my cousins who have both US and Italian citizenship...would they be able to run? I'm thinking yes.

Lieberman likely has dual citizenship, so probably yes. Though if he'd been ruled ineligible he'd have broken off and formed his own country to be elected President of.

President Keyes, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

"millions"? Bill hasn't made any mashed-potato-circuit speeches this quarter, has he?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Eli Sanders of Slog has a great post about what to expect with the Washington Dem Caucus this Saturday

http://slog.thestranger.com/2008/02/welcome_to_washington

Two choice, corny quotes from former Dem WA state party chair Paul Berendt...

Our state is the home of independent, cranky, edgy Democratic liberalism. We are the home of a labor movement with muscle and workers tough enough to fight for their rights. People here get pissed off when you don’t respect the environment. We have more hikers and bikers than just about anywhere. We have a progressive social conscience that cares for those down on their luck. We are willing to fight hard for the equal rights of people who march to a different drum… There is a profound feminist ethic in our Democratic politics. Polls show that the percentage of women who vote Democratic in our state is one of the highest in the nation.

...and former Edwards co-chair and Seattle attorney Jenny Durkan...

We love to vote. We vote on everything, and anything. We love it so much, we sometimes vote several times on the same issue. Blend that love of voting with the fact that we all have opinions, and an abundance of coffee and it all adds up to a very raucous caucus. But we are also the true bell weather—when Obama sweeps here Saturday, the handwriting will be on the wall. Little ideas grow big here—just ask Costco, Microsoft, Nordstrom, and Starbucks.

Until Durkan's final line, she's more OTM than Berendt, even though Berendt's last line shouldn't be ignored. WA = tons of white older liberal women in the big cities i.e. Hillaryrama.

My guess, Obama and Clinton will pretty much tie in WA, which will disappoint the projected Obama victory here previously. I will be caucusing on Saturday, nonetheless, for Obama.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:43 (sixteen years ago) link

We love to vote. We vote on everything, and anything. We love it so much, we sometimes vote several times on the same issue. Blend that love of voting with the fact that we all have opinions, and an abundance of coffee and it all adds up to a very raucous caucus

You want to avoid her at the Target checkout line.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Hypothetically, if Obama were to be the candidate, what, if anything, would you like HRC to do in his administration, ideally? Should she remain in the Senate or would she be a good member of the cabinet?

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post "No no no! THIS budget hair-clipper and hair-care kit is more robost! FUCK YOU!"

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

She'd probably try for Senate Majority Leader.

Hatch, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost - secretary of health and human services, she'd be good at it (but then she'd have to implement obama's health plan)

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I posted this on the Chicago thread but thought it might be interesting here. It's super-sloppy because I could find a good map of Chicago wards and had to doctor one that was already filled in in places for some other election. Anyway:

http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2309/2246957518_bef606d8ea.jpg?v=0

Pink = Wards that Clinton won
White = Wards that Obama won by 50-80%
Gray = Wards that Obama won by more than 80%

This is pretty much a microcosm of how the country seems to be voting. The gray area is almost exclusively composed of wards with an African American majority. The pink area in the middle is mostly Hispanic neighborhoods. The pink area at the top and bottom is mostly older and working-class whites. And the white area is where most of the young, college-educated whites live.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

(With the exception of #19, which is probably close enough to black neighborhoods to go for Obama but close enough to the suburbs to keep his margin of victory a bit lower.)

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Chicago looks like a blunted Florida.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought it WAS Florida!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

The O'Hare panhandle.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Look at the little poof ball in the northeast!

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I imagine a FL map would look much the same, except Clinton would probably have the Jacksonville corner too.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

ruh roh:

Pawlenty to attend Munich security conference with McCain

http://news.postbulletin.com/newsmanager/templates/localnews_story.asp?a=326831&z=16

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I will never be happy until we get Sen Rodham out of the Senate, Cabinet, Chappaqua Chamber of Commerce, etc.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

you will never be happy

mookieproof, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I will never be happy until we get Sen Rodham out of the Senate, Cabinet, Chappaqua Chamber of Commerce, etc.

Fixed.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

XPOST dammit

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll give you this, Morbs, you're dogged, but I fear you're doomed to a lot of unhappiness.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I only bothered posting that since so many responses were similar.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Dennis Perrin supplies my tsk-tsk glee at the illusion of Democrat dynamism:

Of course, part of assembling the New Tomorrow is staking out permissible boundaries of discussion. Stanley Fish in the New York Times recently instructed us on the proper way to critique Hillary, assuming one must critique her at all. Party apparatchiks like Jane Hamsher immediately waved Fish's decree around, lest the poor, undefended Senator from New York suffer more sexist abuse from powerful, dark forces. Because if you despise Hillary Clinton, especially if you're male, all you're really showing is your fear of strong women. Conversely, if you distrust Saint Obama, and fail to fall to your knees as his rhetoric takes flight, you might be racist, or simply cynical and empty, incapable of understanding this spiritual moment in time.

Got it? Good. There'll be more lessons as the initial crusade winds down, culminating in the Denver coronation, where all doubts will be erased, all anxiety soothed, and the final, united march to the Promised Land begins. Aren't y'all excited?!

http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/02/please-turn-to-page-44-in-your-hymnal.html

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Hypothetically, if Obama were to be the candidate, what, if anything, would you like HRC to do in his administration, ideally? Should she remain in the Senate or would she be a good member of the cabinet

I'm with Morbz - Clintons out of US gov't plz

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually, one conviction out of the many Clinton '80s/90s scandals could take HRC out of NY politics. After release, she could re-enter the fray in Chicago where she belongs!

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, while this will be mostly ignored, the caucus this Saturday in Washington will involve Republicans too. Except only half of the total WA GOP delegates will be counted. The other half will be drawn from the WA Primary on Feb 19th.

WHY the GOP here decided this was a good idea, i have no fucking clue, but unsurprisingly, I'm not really saddened by this at all.

The one wild and crazy guy who might peep his head out this Saturday though:

http://www.rense.com/1.imagesH/paulheart_dees.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, I respect you and Morbs' antipathy for her, even if i don't entirely share it, but she's arguably not the worst Democratic Senator, has the ear of powerful moderate to conservative forces in the party and if Obama ever were to be elected President, he'd have to deal with the world as it is, not as it should be, and I think he's smart enough to prefer her in his tent, pissing out than outside, pissing in.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron should just go ahead and dress up colonial style, with a wig. Can't hurt him any.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

or simply cynical and empty

yeah the guy who wrote that piece is not cynical at all, no sir

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

realistic.

Paul has been endorsed by ... Howard Stern and Krist Novoselic.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Founding Fathers: With You Always

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually Krist Novoselic endorsed Obama.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm endorsing courtney love

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Ron should just go ahead and dress up colonial style, with a wig. Can't hurt him any.

That will probably majorly help him here, seriously, as I think many people who are Ron Paul fanatics are also fanatics of Tim Eyman (Washington state anti-tax icon / asswart) Eyman has dressed up as Darth Vader at the Capitol to publicize his annual round of ass-initiatives. And he still wins them on a semi-regular basis.

Paul has been endorsed by ... Howard Stern and Krist Novoselic.

Novoselic endorsed Obama, although he once donated to some Ron Paul rally in the past, hence why it was initially reported as an endorsement of Paul.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

latinos voting for a clinton over a black guy? preposterous!

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

(sorry, with regards to the irritating duh-ness of this

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

)

remy bean, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

he'd have to deal with the world as it is, not as it should be

You're lapsing into Tim Russert style polarities.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

man, watching the democrats destroy themselves would be funny if it weren't so fucking depressing

circles, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

God, I saw some comment on an OC paper thread last week where someone speculated that rich housewifes were "paying those damn illegals to vote for Clinton" or something. Ned, does this sound familiar?

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

except that isn't what's happening? it's a primary. xp

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred, if either candidate wins the White House, they'll have to be very careful about being gracious to the other, imho, to avoid pissing off the other's core constituencies.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

The Dems "destroying themselves" looks like a polite game of cricket compared to the GOP right now -- stressing "right now".

Heather, heather, heather...

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

the democrats are not destroying themselves. if you ignore the grumpies on the thread, you'd realize we have two pretty good candidates! certainly much better than kerry.

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

God, I saw some comment on an OC paper thread last week where someone speculated that rich housewifes were "paying those damn illegals to vote for Clinton" or something. Ned, does this sound familiar?

It doesn't, but as I could probably wander down to Corona del Mar and randomly record anyone on the street saying similar, I'm hardly surprised.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

And yeah, Dems destroying themselves? Compared to the GOP hoohah today? (And I stress, 'today' only.) Consider this if you dare -- especially the comments. Just one example of tons right this second.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I agree w/ Mr Que, sort of. I don't think any candidate in either party is very remarkable, but I won't have any compunction about voting for either of them against a Republican.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

that map might illustrate the demographic breakdown of a major metro area, but I think it's more useful to look at an entire State. Illinois is Obamaland, yes (and Hillaryland of sorts), but I think it's interesting that he won most of the Northern and Central small-town and rural areas, while she won the more Southern-identified tier.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Michael, were you ever alive to feel that we had a remarkable presidential candidate ever? Asking earnestly.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

has dennis perrin actually stated some reasons for not supporting hillary except that people -- stan fish, if you totally misread him -- say it's sexist not to. or not to support obama, except that people -- unnamed, unquoted -- say it's racist not to?

there are good critiques out there, from the left, from wherever, of these two candidates, but d. perrin isn't making them, at all. no, he's not realistic, and neither are you. this endless bill maher crabbyathon is totally self-indulgent, and as crowd-driven as all the 'sheep' he thinks he's better than. "mommy hillary" and "saint obama" haw! zing! got 'em there!! except nobody anywhere actually thinks those things, or is voting for those reasons.

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG, Ned, that link is GOLD:

Just a small sampling!

On February 6th, 2008 at 11:32 am, Renee_VA said:
Still not voting for Shmanesty McCain. Actually thinking about voting for Obama just to help start the process of:

1. cleaning out the party so they can decide what is is they actually stand for

or

2. officially becoming Independent and looking at third party options from here on out (no more Republican voting here)

#3On February 6th, 2008 at 11:33 am, MTNEER said:
As an Arizonan familiar with Johnny’s record, I will vote in November for the down ballot conservative candidates and write in the name of a true conservative for president.

#4On February 6th, 2008 at 11:33 am, One_American said:
It feels like the Republican Party has been hijacked…by liberals and the liberal media.

#5On February 6th, 2008 at 11:36 am, PaleoMedic said:
I took small comfort in seeing Colorado go to Romney. We had a huge turnout at our caucus, and while I think the caucus should go the way of the dinosaur, it was an interesting evening. Our precinct’s straw poll went Romney - 32, Paul - 17, and McCain - 1. the disctrict was just as strongly for Romney.

That said, getting home and seeing the results nationwide was not unexpected but still deflating as hell. Most annoying was the Huckabee effect in the east and south as the evangelicals refused to vote for “one o’ them there Mormon fellas.”

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's baiting Bill Clinton, trying to hang the loss of Democratic governors, senators, and representatives during the Clinton presidency around his neck as evidence of the Clintons' being politically divisive.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/obama_directly_attacks_bills_p.php

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

It's a strange world out there, Mackro. Threw up a few more links similar to that in my muttered thoughts on yesterday. If you REALLY want to boggle/fear/laugh, 'enjoy' the folly that is Polipundit.

Right now I'm waiting on what happens at CPAC tomorrow. That should be a doozy. Sadly, No! is supposed to be reporting on it as it happens.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

"mommy hillary" and "saint obama"...nobody anywhere actually thinks those things, or is voting for those reasons.

Are you familiar with college students, lib bloggers, or whoever those People in the Street are found every week by NPR?

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

okay so who actually won more delegates yesterday, C or O? (two numbers would be nice - one w/ super-d's and one without) i keep reading different things.

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Are you familiar with college students, lib bloggers, or whoever those People in the Street are found every week by NPR?

well you clearly aren't.

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

ahh maybe i read that clinton's ahead overall w/ delegates but that obama won more delegates on 2/5?

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Delegates are still being counted, too, although the estimates look like Obama won more yesterday.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

morbius are there any active politicians you like or respect? what are the policy goals you want a new president to enact?

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN is reporting that Obama is ahead in the total delegate count (altho in terms of yesterday's primaries, Clinton won more than he did). I haven't seen anything refuting that?

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Michael, were you ever alive to feel that we had a remarkable presidential candidate ever? Asking earnestly.

Jefferson-Adams?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Have there been any recent polls for LA, NE, WA, ME, DC, MD, and VA?

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost - maybe the problem is that i've been reading articles that were posted at various times since last night that may not have the most accurate and up-to-date counts

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, the wit and wisdom of Glenn Beck, from a commenter over at Balloon Juice:

I’ll just paste the same email I sent out to my buddies.
I listen to RW radio during my mornign and evening drive, just to hear what the carzies are up to.
My synopsis of Glenn Beck, 2/6/08:

Oh man.
I spent the AM listening to the Glenn Beck show, post-Super Tuesday.

If you didn’t listen to right-wing radio this AM, you missed some
great schadenfreude. Put it this way: it started with Beck saying
that conservatives have three choices now: “to park the car in the
garage with the engine running; to try to understand just HOW this
happened; or to rally round McCain like a bunch of good little
puppets—AND I’M NOT GONNA DO THAT”

then there was a diatribe about how Beck had been “so wrong” about
George W. Bush being a conservative, listing W’s crimes against the
party in a voice that grew louder and louder with every bullet point,
until he was practically shrieking.

After a brief rant about midgets (apparently, by beck’s own account,
he melted down on CNN last night), Beck went on an uninterrupted 15
minute rant about “what I believe as a conservative”. When I pulled
into the parking lot at work 20 minutes ago, he was still going and
for all I know he’s STILL losing his marbles. The best part was that
nothing he said made sense. It was like listening to one of those
crazy derelict people that walk through Philadelphia having intense
angry conversations with someone who only exists in their imagination.

He was like the crazy cat lady from the Simpsons, or my kid having a
temper tantrum..

I am SO excited to listen to Hannity this evening on the way home. It
is going to be even better.

And by the way, this neglects to mention that just before the “I believe” rant was a rant on “legal darwinism” and something about activist judges updating the constitution and feeding mcdonalds to obese people. I sewar I ma not making this up, and if it weren’t for the fact that Beck’s show wants to charge people to download his show (like someone’s gonna pay $6.95/month to listen to that crap?) I would have posted it verbatim.

No, I don't know what the deal is about the midgets.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

im assuming obama wins HI + WA - correct?

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Have there been any recent polls for LA, NE, WA, ME, DC, MD, and VA?

I don't know poll numbers but I just read an AP story handicapping the 2/12 races. Obama is considered a lock in DC, likely winner in MD although Hillary has a couple key endorsements, and Virginia will be hard fought

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Don't assume Obama wins WA. I think it's going to be a tie, although slightly more likely than Clinton. Meaning, not a win for either.

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

yea, seattle will be hardcore obama, but i'm not sure about the rest of the state

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxp I'd guess Louisiana, D.C., and Maryland, too, on the strength of the black population. Nebraska and Virginia are toss-ups. The caucus system seems to favor Obama right now (fewer early votes?), so Nebraska could come down for him. Have no idea about Virginia.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Last poll I saw Obama was up 53-40 in WA.

clotpoll, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha i had a dream last nite i was at a cubs game and glen beck got shot.

xxxxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems like the timing is very good here: winning most of the states over the next week could tip the momentum by the time we get to Texas and Ohio, which I figure are currently trending toward Clinton.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

gr8080, are you sure it wasn't Rod Beck?

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/pics/0624rodcov-autosized258.jpg

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

South Florida has the honor of being home to this thing, one of the most toxic blogs I've ever seen.

But we're overstating the GOP confusion. McCain will deliver an address at a conservative thinktank in DC, in an attempt to "mend fences" (not the right metaphor I want to use around brown-skin-hatin' Repubs). Hannity, Limbaugh, Levin, et all will return to the foldd, especially if they keep reminding themselves that HRC is still the favorite to be their opponent.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, otm. i keep saying the GOP 'civil war' will fizzle out. the radio crowd will piss and moan like they have some independence but all in all it's a party that knows how to get in line

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred's almost certainly correct. The venting is now, but just for now.

McCain's bunch says their delegate count is higher than guessed:

Speaking with reporters today, McCain adviser Charlie Black said, "To date, we have 775 delegates, Romney has 284, Huckabee has 205. It takes 1,191 to clinch the nomination. There are 963 left to be chosen, so Romney or Huckabee would have to have all of them -- all of them -- to get to 1,191. Now you can't do that because a majority of those 963 are chosen in proportional primaries, which means you'd have to get 100% if the vote to get them all.

"It's virtually impossible for Romney or Huckabee to be the nominee just based on the arithmetic," Black added. "I see it as virtually impossible. I'm superstitious like my boss, I don't want to say anything's impossible, but it's virtually impossible on the arithmetic."

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

in an attempt to "mend fences" (not the right metaphor I want to use around brown-skin-hatin' Repubs)

roflz

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sure the right-wing venting is "just for now" but I still fully expect a McCain nom to essentially depress Republican voter turnout. Just based on whose been voting in the primaries, its clear there's gonna be a lot more Dems goin to the polls in Nov then Republicans.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

SurveyUSA for KING

Obama over Hillary, 53-40 - http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=74221038-6d06-4283-bfd3-6054dcc54677&q=45617

McCain at 40, up 15 over Romney - http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=74221038-6d06-4283-bfd3-6054dcc54677&q=45616

Obama over McCain, 55 to 38 - http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=1b3063b5-f7d7-4900-8bf3-c2cbc6a0295f&q=45622

McCain ties Hillary at 46 - http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=1b3063b5-f7d7-4900-8bf3-c2cbc6a0295f&q=45621

their robots may oversample techie Seattleites, but they beat Zogby in California

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

from the NY Times Caucus blog, Obama not taking the bait on more debates

Mr. Obama said most of that fighting would be done on the ground in the next voting states, not in debates. When asked whether he would accept the invitation from Mrs. Clinton to attend four more debates in the coming weeks, he laughed.
“I don’t think anybody is clamoring for more debates,” he said. “We’ve had 18 debates so far. I think we’ve had 10 more than we’ve had in the last Democratic contest.”
He said he would agree to at least one debate, but noted, “It’s very important for me to spend time with voters.”

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

but wouldn't a HRC nom more than make up for the McCain Depression?

xp

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sure the right-wing venting is "just for now" but I still fully expect a McCain nom to essentially depress Republican voter turnout. Just based on whose been voting in the primaries, its clear there's gonna be a lot more Dems goin to the polls in Nov then Republicans.

I think you are vastly underestimating the power of hillaryhate.

xpost exactly

John Justen, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

The fence-mending begins!

No one has fought harder to advance the candidacy of Mitt Romney than Hugh Hewitt, who wrote the book on Romney—literally. As profoundly as I respect Hugh—he’s one of my oldest friends and one of the smartest, most big-hearted people I’ve ever met—I myself was never quite able to buy the argument for Romney. Yesterday, as Hugh continued to use his website, deep into the evening, to hammer McCain while promoting Romney, I began to worry that Hugh might even pull a Coulter, announcing that he’d rather support Hillary or Barack than pull a lever for McCain.

Silly me.

Hugh’s first post of the day today is realistic, intelligent, and gracious—and the very reverse of a Coulter.

Romney and Huckabee ought to begin to note Senator McCain's lead and urge their followers to recognize that if they cannot come back they and their followers will have to come in and join the party's eventual nominee. Senator McCain would do well to make a similar statement though his lead is significant and his collapse unlikely. Putting Humpty Dumpty together again cannot wait for St. Paul....

There are seven reasons for anyone to support the eventual nominee no matter who it is: The war and six Supreme Court justices over the age of 68....When activist judges are more than willing to rewrite rules of long-standing, periods of exile should never be self-imposed "for the good of the party." Exiles can go on a very long time indeed. Ask the Whigs.

Brother Hugh at his very best, which is saying something.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you are vastly underestimating the power of hillaryhate.

That's for sure. (Two confirming examples here and here, for instance.)

As for Hugh, even a lickspittle can change his stripes. *flees Dan's wrath*

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

"brother hugh," ewwwwwww

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Ambinder: "As first floated by The Page, I can confirm that, according to advisers to the campaign, Sen. Hillary Clinton is weighing a self-loan in order to finance a competitive race against Barack Obama over the next few weeks."

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:03 (sixteen years ago) link

a self-loan? She's run out of nursing homes to soak?

apparently at the NY Repub lovefest for McCain yesterday (?) our so-not-a-crook ex-senator Fonzie T'Omato sneered something like, "Ya don't want McCain? Wouldja rather have HILLLLLLARY?!"

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the difference lies with under-60, non-partisan, somewhat culturally liberal but middle to upper class and business/pragmatic-minded suburban/urbanites - Dave Reichert Republicans, perhaps. They prefer Obama to McCain, but aren't so sure about Hillary.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you are vastly underestimating the power of hillaryhate.

I'm assuming Hillary isn't gonna win. Partly based on the fact that Dems will realize Obama vs. McCain is a better matchup.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Hold on, I need to recalibrate my racial-stereotype Obama/Clinton vote counter here


static void CountPerson(DemocraticPerson p, ref float[] count)
{
if (p.Ethnicity == Ethnicity.AfricanAmerican)
{
count[Candidate.Obama] += 1.0;
}
else if (p.Ethnicity == Ethnicity.Latino)
{
count[Candidate.Clinton] += 1.0;
}
else
{
// caucasian, asian, whatever
if (p.Gender == Gender.Female)
{
if (p.Age >= 35)
{
count[Candidate.Clinton] += 1.0;
}
else
{
count[Candidate.Clinton] += 0.5;
count[Candidate.Obama] += 0.5;
}
}
else
{
count[Candidate.Obama] += 0.75;
count[Candidate.Clinton] += 0.25;
}
}
}

Am I matching you guys right here?

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

After yesterday especially, I don't think we can assume automatically that Hillary will lose the nom or that she's the weaker GE candidate.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I think its weird that anyone would think I'm underestimating the Hillaryhate, considering that its one (among many) reasons I've always thought she was a shitty candidate and a bad idea for the Dem nom (as noted in this thread and the previous one)

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

One salient point: Obama, the lesser-known candidate, has now won or come extremely close in the two states that Bush pulled away from us last time.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:11 (sixteen years ago) link

morbius are there any active politicians you like or respect? what are the policy goals you want a new president to enact?

-- and what, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 1:36 PM (35 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Still not voting for Shmanesty McCain. Actually thinking about voting for Obama just to help start the process of:

1. cleaning out the party so they can decide what is is they actually stand for

or

2. officially becoming Independent and looking at third party options from here on out (no more Republican voting here)

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: Feingold

policy: start with reading Israel the riot act and cutting the Pentagon budget by 40%.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

msnbc has the delegate count at

obama: 838
clinton: 834

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:17 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks morbius, serious

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:18 (sixteen years ago) link

popular vote in the dem race is within 1% by all counts

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

a cinema-oriented blogger on a numbing NYT editorial:

"Any candidate, and any party, presuming to unite this country must first unite their own. That is how democracy is supposed to work."

--Pravda

Outside of economics, strictly, I think the biggest achievement of the Bush Administration, 2000-2008, has been to work on a bipartisan effort with the media to pummel our country into a deeper acceptance of idiocy and insubstantiality, and to silence or marginalize those who would speak up in protest. Do so few really notice that all the candidates are using GWB's playbook from 2000? Heal, unite, bring good & honor back to the Oval Office. We're being branded and herded like cattle, and the vehicle for doing so is simply a narrative with a promised endpoint. Have your preferences--express your individuality in the form of your consumer choice for the presidential candidate--but please, folks, do it on our terms.

...Debord may have been a cranky and tyrannical avant-gardist prone to ridicule, but he was nevertheless right, and his condemnatory diagnosis was spot on. The first response: don't stay quiet.

http://elusivelucidity.blogspot.com/2008/02/obey.html

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Should we be expecting an imminent Gore endorsement now that Obama fought Clinton to a draw on Super Tuesday?

o. nate, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Tbh, Morbs, that playbook is as old as democracy.

xpost

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

SPARTAAAAAA

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

One salient point: Obama, the lesser-known candidate, has now won or come extremely close in the two states that Bush pulled away from us last time.

-- gabbneb, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 1:11 PM (Wednesday, February 6, 2008 1:11 PM) Bookmark Link

But these are Democrat primaries. I don't expect Obama to get 80% of the Idaho vote in a general election (or even over 50%.)

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

policy: start with reading Israel the riot act and cutting the Pentagon budget by 40%.

-- Dr Morbius, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 2:16 PM (31 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

I agree that the US should, ideally, cut aid to Israel and make more demands on them, but this would make little more than a small dent in our vast Middle-Eastern foreign policy problems.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Should we be expecting an imminent Gore endorsement now that Obama fought Clinton to a draw on Super Tuesday?

this is what I was thinking as well. seems likely...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you mean "Democratic," PP

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

my guess is that the gore, edwards, & richardson endorsements aren't going to fall right away, if anything they will probably be held in reserve until needed on March 4

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

^yea this my guess too. though if obama cleans up the next few states to come, we might see the endorsements before 3/4.

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

*well* before 3/4 is what i meant

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't even assume that all 3 will go for obama -- i think that it's a bit naive, honestly

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

my guess is that edwards will endorse first, richardson will endorse when a clear front-runner becomes apparent, angling for a veep nod or cabinet slot, and that gore will not endorse before the general

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

it makes more sense politically for Richardson to go with Hillary

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

unless he really cares about and thinks he could get veep

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Gore and Richardson have obvious Clinton (Bill) connections, so if they do make a strategic endorsement, it may be in that direction.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't even assume that all 3 will go for obama -- i think that it's a bit naive, honestly

yea you're right, i was mainly thinking gore and edwards. even edwards i really don't know. richardson is totally up in the air of course.

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I dunno about that - lotta bad blood between Gore and the Clintons

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

edwards can't afford to wait very long if he wants his endorsement to still have impact --he has to reach his supporters before they are already fully incorporated into the other two camps

ok, that's all

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

It would make sense for Richardson to endorse Hillary, but then why hasn't he endorsed her yet? One of the networks asked him last night if he was ready to make an endorsement, even after having spent the Super Bowl with Bill Clinton, and he was still cagey. Although at one point it seemed as though he was saying he might prefer Obama if not for the fact of his long history with the Clintons.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i really don't see gore endorsing clinton, i don't know. i think either he won't endorse anyone, or he'll endorse obama

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

"Clinton poisoned the '00 election for Gore" is one available narrative

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

He might know that he makes more sense as an Obama veep given that hispanics already like Hillary a lot. It also might be bad for him to endorse Hillary and then see his State vote the other way. Or he just might not be sure who he really likes best.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

honestly, i think an obama / richardson ticket would be very formidable in the general election

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

rainbow coalition lol

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:08 (sixteen years ago) link

hmm haven't thought of that before but does sound like a fairly impressive combo - Richardson gets to flout his foreign policy exp and pull with Latinos, Obama handles the "vision thing"... altho I don't see Bill being a very effective "attack dog"

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I like Richardson, but think he's a bit of a disaster as a politician, and such a ticket would raise a serious Dems=lol, minorities problem

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

how do "brokered convetions" work?

if it ends up being one, does ted kennedy's support for obama mean anything?

cuz like he seems like a guy that would pull out old favors and naked pixx he's had for years to get shit done....

M@tt He1ges0n, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Salazar could be interesting because both 'transcend' their designated racial identity in ways that appeal in big-white-majority cultures

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

among Dems at least, Obama seems to have a bigger problem with Northeastern white ethnics than with rural western whites

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

obama/napolitano

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

"white ethnics" == italians? portuguee? what

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Sebelius better than Napolitano

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd be tempted to say that Obama picking anyone vaguely Blue-Doggish would cost him some of his starry-eyed collegiate "Change" acolytes, but given said kiddies' parents' utter denial of Clinton's triangulating Reaganism, probably not a big deal.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

obama choosing another female pol as vp would play as "ZOMG ULTIMATE SNUB"

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

"white ethnics" == italians? portuguee? what

portuguese - lol, Southern New England. Irish, italian, jewish, polish, what have you.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

obama choosing another female pol as vp would play as "ZOMG ULTIMATE SNUB"

-- elmo argonaut, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 3:23 PM (49 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

plus napolitano would siphon AZ votes from mccain

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

too bad moynihan's dead

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

um, I know Teddy's the most confirmed of legislators and all, but is Obama/Kennedy completely out of the question? just asking.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:27 (sixteen years ago) link

terrible idea

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:30 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMA/MORRISSEY more likely

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:31 (sixteen years ago) link

talk about fighting past battles, who wants an election that focuses on Chappaquiddick?!

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

This thread needs more:

http://img.timeinc.net/time/daily/2007/0703/cqhagel_0305.jpg

He's a perfect match for Senator Obama.

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Can you see the headlines, gabbs? "OBAMA/CHAPPAQUIDDICK"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

is that Frasier's Dad?

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Gore unveil Policy of Truth

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

is that Frasier's Dad?

Wow

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, thanks, I'm familiar with the Teddy the K boogeyman, guys, I'm just trying of the ultimate guy/girl to get Obama over to the urban grandmas (incl mine)

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama needs the Dem equivalent of Henry Cabot Lodge.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Harold Ford

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

the ultimate guy/girl might well be hillary, if she'll take it

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

just asking

just answered!

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

No way would she take it, unless she already has hired assassins lying in wait. xp

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i think obama/hilary would be awesome

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

if he picks Richardson, Dave Chappelle will look like Nostradamus

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd read about a dozen variations of this line from Dowd's column this morning: "Tuesday’s voting showed only that the voters, like moviegoers, don’t want a pat ending."

Is this the dumbest thing ever? It suggests that voters as a monolithic body decided to split their vote in order to prolong the primary. As opposed to the prolonging being a natural result from the split votes. What exactly do Dowd and commentators believe is happening? That there's a giant voter cabal determining voting patterns consciously? Or is she making a Jungian call here - that the US voter group unconscious is prolonging the race?

Mordy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's breakthrough among whites - http://www.slate.com/id/2183835/nav/ais/

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah thats retarded - im pretty sure obama supporters and hillary supporters both hoped the race would end yesterday with a decisive win

and what, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

haha Dowd is just being lazy

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Dowd is super lazy, but I've heard this formulation or something like it about a dozen times since yesterday. I think the election pundits have totally lost their shit.

Mordy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:49 (sixteen years ago) link

the clinton self-loan rumors? they're true.

Late last month Senator Clinton loaned her campaign $5 million. The loan illustrates Sen. Clinton’s commitment to this effort and to ensuring that our campaign has the resources it needs to compete and win across this nation. We have had one of our best fundraising efforts ever on the web stoday and our Super Tuesday victories will only help in bringing more support for her candidacy.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Clinton_loaned_her_campaign_5_million.html

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

that's in addition to the 13.5 million raised by her campaign

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

how do "brokered convetions" work?

Basically the delegates are wooed and cajoled into switching to the other side. There will be multiple votes, until there is a clear winner.

A brokered Democratic convention is a near impossibility because of the super delegates.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Knight

Mackro Mackro, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Can we get a new thread? My computer is protesting when I load the whole thing.

The Reverend, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton: "My opponent was able to raise more money, and we intended to be competitive, and we were, and I think the results last night proved the wisdom of my investment."

I'm having trouble parsing this in a way that doesn't resolve into a tautology

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Can we get a new thread? My computer is protesting when I load the whole thing.

-- The Reverend, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 11:15 AM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you are vastly underestimating the power of hillaryhate.

Ya know, based on participation in this thread and every other political forum I read on the internets, I think the turnout of women voters in Democratic primaries is somewhat underestimated and the reasons they are favoring Hillary totally undiscussed? There's a huge gender gap in a lot of these primaries. And please don't dismiss the idea out of hand that women might go to caucus with their husbands and follow along with what they are doing, whereas they wouldn't in a voting booth. It happens.

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

lol internet boys' club

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton-Romney. They can give each other self-financing.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

and daria, i think the gap has as much to do with generation as with gender

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain giving a press conference asking for the conservatives to lighten up on bashing him while fucking lieberman is standing behind him is o_O.

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

wild speculation, but i think this financial disclosure from the clinton campaign might effectively rally the obama contributor base -- or it could certainly be leveraged towards that end

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

I think the turnout of women voters in Democratic primaries is somewhat underestimated and the reasons they are favoring Hillary totally undiscussed

older women going for Hillary is kind of a no-brainer, no?

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Latinos love of Clinton is kinda more of a headscratcher to me - she doesn't seem to be particularly strong defender of immigration or anything like that

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain giving a press conference asking for the conservatives to lighten up on bashing him while fucking lieberman is standing behind him is o_O.

He wanted Joementum?

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Or he's a Joementalist.

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Yesterday NPR posited the "Latino" culture's "strong" matriarchal tradition. As a "Latino," I think it's only partly true.

(xxpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, the internet is a boys' club. Sometimes I don't check this thread for a while and then I check back in and I'm kind of struck by.. how there's obviously a lot of disgust for her and constant mocking of pretty much anything she and her campaign do.

And since I seem to be the only woman posting here I find myself asking, why is it that you guys hate her so much? But given that the majority of Democratic primary voters are women, shouldn't you guys be the ones asking why she is winning most of their votes?

[We now return to our regularly scheduled round of Hillary-bashing.]

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Nicole.. OK, I'm not the only one. Seemed like it for a while

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I want to talk more about the womens' vote. Are these women not going to vote for Obama in the general? my Mom certainly would, but I can't say that about my octogenarian grandmother. and what is the size of the womens' vote that Hillary would swing in a general (discounted by increased turnout in opposition to her and at least some loss of independents) vis-a-vis the size of extra male and independent and youth support Obama would obtain (discounted by at least some losses among older white folks and hispanics)?

the idea that women following husbands outside the privacy of the voting booth being responsible for Obama's caucus wins is completely ridiculous imo.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I've gone into plenty of detail about why I would never vote for Hillary gimme a break

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Pundit on ABC last night put the women going for Clinton down to the fact that Women normally manage family healthcare and Hillary has the better plan, which is, at least, plausible.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

That's not what I said, gabbneb. I simply said that for some women that probably does happen.

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

BBC posits this:

But over and above any dislike for Mr Obama, the main attraction of Mrs Clinton for many Hispanic voters is her husband.

They remember Bill Clinton's presidency as a time of economic prosperity - and his wife has benefited from those positive feelings.

In the Mercado, a market in East Los Angeles, Mario and Susana Espitia said that they felt that Obama was a "good guy" ("es un buen tipo"), but that they would vote for Mrs Clinton.

"In spite of Monica Lewinsky, Clinton was a good president, the economy was going well, we had jobs, and there was not a war. It's a great deal, we get her and the back-up support of her husband," said Mario.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Health care matters a lot to me, of course I've mentioned it here and got LOLZ HEALTHCARE

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently, besides romney, there's recent precedent for self-loaning to campaigns; kerry in 2003 and john mccain in 2007 took out loans against a mortgage and a life insurance policy, respectively.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

mmm, Newsmaxy

J0hn D., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

mccain giving a press conference asking for the conservatives to lighten up on bashing him while fucking lieberman

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:36 (sixteen years ago) link

"In spite of Monica Lewinsky, Clinton was a good president, the economy was going well, we had jobs, and there was not a war. It's a great deal, we get her and the back-up support of her husband," said Mario.

argh hillary supported this fucking war you idiot

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Health care matters a lot to me

keep repeating that obama-doesn't-care-about-health-care mantra

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

let's all make up crazy shit and then cite to newsmaxxy

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Gabbneb, you can read, WTF. That is not what I said.

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

when discussing "Latinos," by the way, let's omit Cuban-Americans, who LOATHE both Clinton as much as Limbaugh does.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, obviously men are for obama because he's a man (unless they're for hillary because they're old like her) and woman are for hillary because she's a woman (unless they're for obama because he's young like them). what about this is hard to understand?

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, i understand you feel embattled and i do sympathize that you don't think you've been received fairly, but please -- i don't think anyone here bears you any personal animus, although it's pretty obvious that the ilx demographic slants obama anyway, so the deck (at least here) is kinda stacked against you, sorry to say

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

when discussing Latinos, btw, let's pretend that Cubans make up 1 in 20

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

ilx: full of jerks, what are you gonna do?

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, there's a lot that I like about Hillary -- she's smart, she's got experience, and I think she would make a decent president -- but there's more that I like about Obama, especially in terms of his ability to actually win a general election and set aside the country's divisiveness. The idea of a fresh start is awfully appealing, and I don't think that he's all rhetoric either: I think that's just his strategy at this stage in the game. The only thing about Hillary that has really disgusted me so far is her attempt to count the Florida and Michigan delegates.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary's record -

2006: Voted in favor of H.R. 6061 to create border fence Sen. Clinton voted in favor of H.R. 6061 (whose main sponsor was Rep. Peter King (NY)) to create a 700 mile reinforced fence along the U.S.-Mexico border, and to provide for other barriers for border control. H.R. 6061 passed by a vote of 80-19.

2006: Voted on Senate floor for amendment to fund border fence Sen. Clinton voted in favor of the Sessions amendment to H.R. 5631 (whose main sponsor was Rep. Bill Young (FL)), the Department of Defense Appropriations bill. The Sessions amendment would provide for $1.8 billion for the construction of 370 miles of border fencing and 461 miles of vehicle barriers along the southern border. The Sessions amendment passed by a vote of 94-3.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't understand why Hillary is automatically the devil. I prefer Obama but I am really fine with either of them being the Democratic nominee because I think they both speak to issues I care about in the way I want my President to address them.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

okay yeah i'm confused about the "loan" - does she get paid back from her own campaign later on?

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, Obama voted for both of those

Mr. Que, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I think they're both markedly less evil than Bush, but probably won't get much accomplished and will basically be the same President once in office.

If I vote for Obama in the primary, it's going to be because I think Hillary v. McCain is a more difficult fight than Obama v. McCain.

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost - I think you can be paid back but are allowed not to be

dmr, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, Obama voted for both of those

yeah I know so why would they prefer Hillary over him - you're missing my point

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yes shakey obv the only issue we vote on is the fucking fence

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Old women are voting for Hillary because she sends them disgustingly deceptive--but very effective--direct mail that claims Obama is against universal health care and wants to raise their taxes and take away their Social Security check.

Can we talk more about Hillary's $5 "investment" in her own campaign and how this might be her death knell? We're going to be seeing a lot of stories about where Bill Clinton's wealth comes from, i.e. shady dealings with Kazakhstan and Ron Burkle.

Hatch, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

If you really want to get to the core reason of why I support Obama over Hillary, I think it's really embodied by his campaign, particularly in the rhetoric and values it espouses. Far from being window dressing, I think the idea of 'bringing people together,' that 'there is more that unites us than divides us,' and the persistent use of the 1st person plural embodies a kind of participatory civic action that, if I can be optimistic for a second, is a cornerstone to restoring politics. I want people to care and be involved in politics again, especially on the local level where it can make the most difference, and I think Obama's experience as a community organizer has set the tone for his campaign.

Obama, I think, is the only Democratic contender who could actually forestall corporate influence in Washington, as opposed to Clinton, who I think is more comfortable leveraging her corporate connections to enact her pet policies.

(end screed)

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

My wife voted Hillary precisely because she liked what happened to the country economically under Bill and sees Hillary as a continuation of that line of economic thought. She also thinks that Obama doesn't have good explanations for past votes that contradict his current stances and Hillary does (as did Edwards while he was still in the race).

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

*sigh*

my point is that neither candidate has shown any great leadership or sensitivity on immigration (which is a bigger issue than just a fence and i probably the biggest high-profile issue specifically affecting latinos in this election), so a latino preference for Hillary would seem to be about something by and large besides policy... is this a crazy conclusion for me to draw?

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, I wouldn't jump to conclusions about the make-up of this board. I like Hillary at least as much as I like Obama (part of the reason I didn't vote in NYC yesterday - I didn't feel compelled to cast a vote for one over the other). Sometimes I like Obama a bit more (generally when I read that his favorite television show is The Wire - a fairly ridiculous reason to vote one way) and sometimes I like Hillary more. I certainly don't hate her, though.
Which is to say: I suspect that Obama supporters feel more certain of their candidate than potential Hillary supporters. Or at least more passionate. There's certainly something about Obama that inspires louder voices than Hillary. Which might mean that plenty of Hillary supporters are lurking.

Mordy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I will categorically not vote for Clinton, no matter what. Beyond the specifics, I have a strong, deep mistrust of her and her political machine, which has been strengthened by her behaviour throughout this pre-election cycle.

John Justen, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

ilx: full of jerks, what are you gonna do?

I don't think ILX is full of jerks personally to me, but something to consider is that maybe there's some degree of solidarity in which when you see a bunch of guys behave like jerks toward another woman, one takes it a little personal? It's not feeling sorry for her, now, it's about.. wanting to take a stand against the forces of jerkdom which probably most women are familiar with in their own lives.

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Someone may have posted or commented on this already, but here is an interesting article, albeit from the Washington Times, which argues (convincingly, I think) that Obama is a much harder matchup for John McCain than HRC.

I'd guess the "surge" in support for Obama is -- in part, at least -- based on a growing realization that we'll face McCain in the GE, and that he will be a far more formidable opponent than we anticipated.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

No, I don't know what the deal is about the midgets.

Apparently while on the teevee last night somebody said to Beck that the midget vote hadn't come in yet in CA. He then laughed. Beck then claimed on his show today that someone sent him an irate e-mail berating him for laughing at an insensitive term and urging him to "rise above it," haw haw haw. I kinda think he made it up.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I'm pretty sure I won't vote for Clinton if she's the nominee (it's all about the war for me). I live in *&^#( @ Kansas right now, so if the nominee isn't Obama, this place will go Republican anyway, so it won't matter which way I vote. I'll probably vote for my wife instead in that scenario.

Euler, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Dennis Perrin is posting as daria.

Here's evenhandedness: lol at Obama "fending off corporate interests" when he's up to his eyes in their support.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Re: superdelegates, I'm not sure if I agree with Hatch (?) upthread that Hil or 'Bama would concede, but I do think that most of the superdelegates are remaining uncomitted now that the race is competitive so they can just go with whoever wins more committed delegates. The superdelegate system is designed to keep out candidates the establishment is horrified by, and Obama's getting the support of the establishment at this point. Anyone with an investment in the Democratic party should do everything in their power to avoid having this come down to the convention.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think ILX is full of jerks personally to me, but something to consider is that maybe there's some degree of solidarity in which when you see a bunch of guys behave like jerks toward another woman, one takes it a little personal? It's not feeling sorry for her, now, it's about.. wanting to take a stand against the forces of jerkdom which probably most women are familiar with in their own lives.

ILX'ors are snippy and hyper-aggressive, but I doubt they're opposed to HRC on gender-bias grounds. On the other hand, I have a strong visceral negative reaction to seeing the conservative-leaning "Good Old Boys" who dominate TV punditry, and I certainly don't want us emulating that.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, 60% turnout in my ward yesterday!

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, just to be clear -- I don't think my preference for Obama has anything to do with his having a penis, or her having a vagina. (Or does she lack a penis, and he lacks a vagina? whatever)

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

has daria forgotten who was standing on that Iowa defeat-night platform w/ Hil? All the Forces of Jerkdom the Dems could muster (maybe Rahm Emanuel was missing).

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:57 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost I will vote for Hillary if she is the D nominee; I just won't do it as happily as I would if the nominee were Obama. The bottom line for me is the Supreme Court, and Hillary's choices would be preferable to McCain's or Romney's or (god forbid) Huckabee's.

I don't think John is totally alone in his "I'm a liberal type who won't vote for a Clinton" thinking, though. I've got several liberal women friends who can't stand her for their own reason. (One of them because "she stayed with her husband after he CHEATED on her." It's not necessarily a policy or personality thing - feelings about Hillary are polarizing for any number of reasons).

Sara R-C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

For the record, a) I'm a dude, b) I'm pretty sure I've been saying nice things about Hillary throughout this thread.

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbius, he has far far fewer corporate interests by a huge factor than, say, a 20-year-old political dynastic enterprise called Clinton Inc.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

ILX'ors are snippy and hyper-aggressive, but I doubt they're opposed to HRC on gender-bias grounds.

Yeah, truth be told, I would love to vote for a woman for president, but Hillary's not it, unfortunately.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

^this is true for me as well

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

that said, if she is the nominee i'll vote for her

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I should've added that.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Hil took the Latino & Asian-American votes in Cali largely because she shored up support with community leaders early. She got Villaraigosa in L.A., and the predominantly Latino unions that have supported him. She made sure she picked up Fabian Nunez and Debbie Huerta. She made sure she picke up on Newsom's popularity with Asian-Americans, and she got endorsements down the line from a number of Asian-American elected officials.

Obama pissed off segments of the Asian-American community with his "Clinton (D-Punjab)" shit, and the whole 80-20 initiative to unite the Asian-American community to defeat the Obama nom started when some O staffers waffled on a questionaire about affirmative action for Asian-Americans.

Obviously "communities" bleh, but these are pieces of the puzzle.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

far far fewer corporate interests by a huge factor than, say, a 20-year-old political dynastic enterprise called Clinton Inc.

That would be why I voted for him -- that he's not quite as accomplished at being corrupt.

Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Here is a video of Hillary Clinton lecturing a group of Code Pink women on why we need to go to war in Iraq (March 2, 2003): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZcY6TGfAxE

Her active support for the war in Iraq (beyond her vote on the resolution) is a significant part of my strong distaste for Clinton.

I do not believe that she has a good explanation for her support for the war in Iraq.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think John is totally alone in his "I'm a liberal type who won't vote for a Clinton" thinking, though.

He's not. It should be noted, tho, that there are plenty of people in a similar spot on the other side of the coin (they're die-hard Republicans who will never, ever, vote for John McCain).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I do not believe that she has a good explanation for her support for the war in Iraq.

She doesn't. That's one of the reasons she's not as well-positioned to oppose McCain in the GE.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

She made sure she picke up on Newsom's popularity with Asian-Americans

Gavin's popular outside the bay area with Asian-Americans? weird

anyway thanks for elaborating HOOS I knew about the Villaigroso nom but not some of that other stuff

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I like Hillary's policies and experience just fine, and would probably think the actual person just great, and if she's the nominee I'll get all excited and enthusiastic for her. But I found her aura-of-inevitability act ridiculous if not offensive given that her record was nothing special compared to those of her opponents, she started with the highest negatives of all, and her political skills just aren't that great. Her willingness to try on different personas and voices makes my skin crawl, and her willingness to play dirty within the party instead of simply arguing that the other guy won't stand up as well in a tough fight turned me cold. Now that she's dialed back the intramural hardball and coronation campaign, I feel slightly more disposed to her, and could end up ruefully rooting for her if additional data suggests she's the electability queen, but all she has to do is talk in her consultant-directed soft voice, and part of me prays I don't ever have to hear her again. Of course, that's sexist, unlike my similarly visceral reaction to Bush's cowboy act and Cheney's hardman-on-pacemaker schtick.

I think it's interesting that daria keeps complainng about all the boys beating up on Hillary, but even apart from her actually explicitly anti-Obama comments, I read a lot of her pro-Hillary comments as to the same effect, and don't recall her ever saying anything at all that's positive about him.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

nom endorsement

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I love Hillary. Her conduct at certain points in this campaign has been fairly repugnant, and I do have self-interested reasons for preferring Obama. But I would love to vote for a Democratic woman for president, especially one who's a committed feminist like Hillary. I just think Obama would be better.

(And I agree that people are being dicks to you on this thread at times, Daria.)

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost to Daniel, Esq., that is also true - I just think they'd be more motivated to hold their noses and vote for McCain if Hillary was the D nominee than if Obama was the D nominee.

(But yeah... I have a whole stable of R relatives who seem to call McCain "McBlame" for some reason.)

Sara R-C, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Never underestimate the ability of the Republican Party to close ranks.

Gavin, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Sadly, I think you're both right.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

ThisI won't vote for Hillary if she gets the nom shit is crazy, hold your nose and pull the lever. You're never going to get a proper left winger nominated, let alone elected, to county dog catcher and the alternative is 4 more years of Republicanism in whatever form it takes which will be far worse with the added bonus that the most likely nominee on the other side is over 70 and may gift the whitehouse to whatever social conservative slug he gives the VP spot to in order to placate the Neanderthal wing of his party.

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:11 (sixteen years ago) link

'nebb otm

roxymuzak, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Gavin OTM - I seem to recall a lot of "Republicans don't like Bush either!" fervor in 2004.

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

ThisI won't vote for Hillary if she gets the nom shit is crazy, hold your nose and pull the lever

I'll do no such thing. If Hillary gets the nom, she won't need my vote to win my district. And I don't want to be complicit in her getting elected.

we've been over this.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Her active support for the war in Iraq (beyond her vote on the resolution) is a significant part of my strong distaste for Clinton.

I do not believe that she has a good explanation for her support for the war in Iraq.

I agree, and her explanations of her vote strike me as very GWB. This is one of the main reasons why I will be very uncomfortable with her as the Democratic nominee.

Nicole, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Ed, that's not true at all. Many of us live in states where our general election vote doesn't matter. Shakey's in Solid Blue territory, I'm in Solid Red territory - I think John J is in Solid Blue territory.

If one of us chooses to not vote for Hillary on principle, it wouldn't change a thing.

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

...will vote for Hillary if she is the D nominee; I just won't do it as happily as I would if the nominee were Obama. The bottom line for me is the Supreme Court

Seconded

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I seem to recall a lot of "Republicans don't like Bush either!" fervor in 2004.

? I don't remember that at all!

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I would definitely vote for Hillary if she's the nominee, but I'd be a lot more excited if it were Obama, and I agree with Milo that a Clinton vs. McCain contest would be harder.

ILX'ors are snippy and hyper-aggressive, but I doubt they're opposed to HRC on gender-bias grounds.

But I think the tricky thing about talking about gender bias & HRC in general is that people don't have issues with her because she's a woman, the issues they have against her often get mentally processed and expressed differently because she's a woman. This is hard to get around, especially because it's not often intentional.

Maria, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that a lot of older women are sincerely invested in and excited about the possibility of the first woman President, and that there are men who would share in their investment/excitement if she were the nominee, but I can't help questioning how many of them are really just not that comfortable letting the cool, young black guy be their voice.

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

As for pet causes -- while I don't expect Obama to champion gay rights significantly over any other candidate, he's the only Dem candidate to mention queer folk in his stump speeches. That, and the Clinton's abandonment of gay rights after the '92 election was pretty distasteful.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Has anyone read anything about the possibility of a right-wing third-party candidate emerging, possibly one based on anti-immigrant sentiment (e.g., Lou Dobbs)?

That might be one very effective way of undercutting McCain's GOP support (I'm not sure what impact it would have on the Democratic base, if any).

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

That is the nature of democracy, especially in a system like either of the ones in the US or the UK, but the alternative is being complicit in the other guy getting elected.

xpost

Ed, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:15 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think you should feel obligated to vote for Clinton just to keep a Republican out of office. That kind of goes against what voting is supposed to mean.

I do think that if you don't vote for anyone at all you're a fucking idiot, though.

Shakey, in the runup to the 2004 election, the most vocal Bush detractors in my office were Republicans. They all voted for Bush again.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't help questioning how many of them are really just not that comfortable letting the cool, young black guy be their voice.

Really? Are we going to get into this shit again?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Can't we just assume that everyone subconsciously distrusts everyone who isn't like them and move on?

Eppy, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Anybody "leaving the country" when McCain/Huckabee sweeps the Midwest and trounces Hillary in the GE?

Gavin, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Frank Rich has had a theme in his Sunday op-eds that there is no way Hillary can beat McCain in the main election, so Democrats are idiots not to unite behind Obama.

"I'll do no such thing. If Hillary gets the nom, she won't need my vote to win my district. And I don't want to be complicit in her getting elected."

I think I agree with this. I live in NJ which will go to whoever the Democrat is. I can't vote for Hillary, and won't vote for any of the Republicans. I'd be safe to sit this out if Obama isn't the nominee. I'd quit my job and volunteer for him if he is, though.

Bill Magill, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I agree, and her explanations of her vote strike me as very GWB.

They were both foreign policy newbs with limited grasp of modern military strategy and tactics? I can forgive people being wrong, but I'm less likely if they don't acknowldege what's right in front of them, as GWB has done, either from political expediency or just ideological rigidity and I worry that a candidate, like Obama, might be just as myopic only ideologically rigid in his pacifism. POTUS is a hard job and no matter how much history you read or don't, at some point you have to realize that you're basically winging it.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

But I think the tricky thing about talking about gender bias & HRC in general is that people don't have issues with her because she's a woman, the issues they have against her often get mentally processed and expressed differently because she's a woman. This is hard to get around, especially because it's not often intentional.

I realize it's hard for anyone to evaluate themselves on issues like this, but I don't think I am biased against HRC in any way because of her gender, and if I see her actions through a gender-impacted lens, I at least think I'm aware of it. I prefer Obama because (a) I prefer his position on the use for American military power, (b) his foreign policy advisory team (made up of people who opposed the Iraq War from the start), (c) I think he's a much better GE candidate than HRC (because of her very high negative ratings). Maybe there's some "gender processing" going on in my head, but given my reasons for preferring Obama, I don't think so.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Has anyone read anything about the possibility of a right-wing third-party candidate emerging, possibly one based on anti-immigrant sentiment (e.g., Lou Dobbs)?

That might be one very effective way of undercutting McCain's GOP support (I'm not sure what impact it would have on the Democratic base, if any).

-- Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, February 6, 2008 10:15 PM

I hear tell that Ron Paul is saving up all that money for a third-party run.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Michael White OTM, like ANYONE is really prepared to inherit the steaming and hictoric pile of shit that will be dumped on the next president on "Day One"

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul/Dobbs '08

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

The main issue in this election is, or should be, Iraq, and HRC is complicit in that fiasco.

Bill Magill, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

A large part of why I prefer Obama to Hillary lies in the fact that he's an Ivy League-educated, relatively laid-back, liberal-leaning black man. Like me.

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I hear tell that Ron Paul is saving up all that money for a third-party run.

But he isn't hardline anti-immigrant (openly), is he? I thought -- ostensibly, at least -- he was libertarian and isolationist.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think Paul will run. He got away with it before because he was a non-entity (the party left him and his district alone). If he Naders them this time, they'll pour money into a primary challenge in two years.

milo z, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

A large part of why I prefer Obama to Hillary lies in the fact that he's an Ivy League-educated, relatively laid-back, liberal-leaning black man. Like me.

Easy there, college guy.

Daniel, Esq., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

The "Clinton wins Missouri" story wasn't the only oopsie for the Associated Press on Tuesday night. Within an hour of making that mistake, the AP reported that Led Zeppelin was going to headline the Bonnaroo Arts and Music Festival, which will be held June 13-15 in Manchester, Tenn. Seventeen minutes later, that story was retracted.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, i just realized i'll be coming back to the us, unemployed, 2 months before the election. if i could somehow get money to live on, i could volunteer for the campaign. i'll probably get a job instead though.

daniel - i wasn't directing that toward you, i haven't been following ilx that closely. it was more of a general comment. i have trouble figuring out how gender affects my reactions to hillary myself, which i only realized recently.

Maria, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:24 (sixteen years ago) link

A large part of why I prefer Obama to Hillary lies in the fact that he's an Ivy League-educated, relatively laid-back, liberal-leaning black man. Like me.

"This is our moment! We are the agents of change! Yes we can! Where the titties at?"

Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Lez Zeppelin takes Americans Abroad

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

MBV to headline 'Mile High' Democratic Convention

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Hmm.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary widens lead in Gallup tracker:

http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/020608DailyUpdateGraph2.gif

And remember -- she's NOT the establishment candidate anymore, lol, everyone on the same page, plz.

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I do understand that plenty of perfectly reasonable arguments against her have been made on this thread and elsewhere..

You know, I can totally see the effect this primary has had on me and I'm pretty outspoken about politics, but the sheer avalanche of criticism from the media and on every politics site gets exhausting, especially when some of it is personal and vicious - and it is - much more so than for the other candidates. After a while the impulse is to just tune out, let the conversation go on without you, and vote for her anyway. But if that's how the atmosphere is, I think it could be a lot harder to stand up at a caucus than in the privacy of a voting booth, now.

daria-g, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

wau, xp

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at you guys needing to explain again to daria why you hate/don't hate hillary.

Cosmo Vitelli, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:29 (sixteen years ago) link

A large part of why I prefer Obama to Hillary lies in the fact that he's an Ivy League-educated, relatively laid-back, liberal-leaning black man. Like me.

"This is our moment! We are the agents of change! Yes we can! Where the titties at?"

-- Pleasant Plains, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 10:26 PM

t/s lol vs. O_o

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

A large part of why I prefer Obama to Hillary lies in the fact that he's an Ivy League-educated, relatively laid-back, liberal-leaning black man. Like me.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:James_Toofer_Spurlock_from_30_Rock.jpg

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, fuck it.

http://l.yimg.com/img.tv.yahoo.com/tv/us/img/site/27/89/0000042789_20070911163124.jpg

Mr. Goodman, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:31 (sixteen years ago) link

ouch that poll! people like a winner, i guess

gff, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

it's okay because hillary doesn't pay attention to polls

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

errr, that's a worrying poll.

Simon H., Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Unlike_Mark_Penn.html

elmo argonaut, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Imho, all of these candidates have limited vision and excessive corporate connections and until this country realizes that it's democracy is reeling towards plutocracy at a dizzying pace and puts real, meaningful, maybe amend-the-Constitution limits on the money in politics, that's what we're going to get, but I have a certain sympathy for the Clinton/Blair argument that keeping your hands perfectly clean while your opponent is ammassing a warchest is equivalent to saying, "No, I don't need any armor. Armor is what has made the sport of jousting as dull and unmanly as it is to-gahhhhhhh, ugggghh!" Politics, perhaps in a democracy as much as any society, is a reflection of that society as a whole and let's not flinch to much at the reflection our candidated are casting upon the people. Let's not be so appalled and ashamed that we become impotent in the process. I don't mean to say we should cut any corner or condone any skullduggery but I don't want to end so squeamish and prissy that I end up, however distantly, in the demise of a woman's right to choose (i.e., privacy rights), or the de facto end of habeas corpus, or a zillion other things that the Repubs will never fully account for on their own.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah but the news going into last night was that hillary "won" super tuesday, but now its a lot closer.

xxxxp

gr8080, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I couldn't vote in the primary, but I lean towards Obama because his speeches, books, and bearing suggest levelheadednes. Not for a second do I think he's a pacifist, though. Quite the contrary: something in his determination suggests that he could handle a conflict that takes years of continued US military might.

Plus, let's remember our history: you don't get to be a "great" president without a major conflict, and if there's one thing -- the only thing -- that Obama's got in common with JFK, it' san angling for greatness.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

My mom called me to say that she cried while voting for Hills yesterday.

roxymuzak, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

aw

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

ice cold, hoos

HI DERE, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:42 (sixteen years ago) link

naw dude for srs!

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Not for a second do I think he's a pacifist, though.

actually, the most batshit thing i recall him saying thus far was suggesting the use of american troops in pakistan's nw frontier whether musharraf/whomever liked it or not

mookieproof, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

HOOS is a champion of the aw thread.

roxymuzak, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

it was bombing, not troops iirc

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

and frankly given Pakistan's totally fucked up regime and public pronouncements that they have no interest in getting Bin Laden, I think that's totally justified policy (probably not too smar to say so on the stump tho)

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

you are an internet hard man

mookieproof, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, did you read the piece on Bhutto in The New Yorker a couple of issues back?

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

nah I don't read the New Yorker

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

(altho I was never really a Bhutto-booster if that's what you're getting at)

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:54 (sixteen years ago) link

actually, the most batshit thing i recall him saying thus far was suggesting the use of american troops in pakistan's nw frontier whether musharraf/whomever liked it or not

Or this could have been the oft-used Dem tactic of hitting from the right (i.e. Kennedy blaming Eisenhower-Nixon for a "missile gap," Mondale suggesting during the debates that Reagan was soft on communism).

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

rather similar to McCain suggesting we could have troops in Iraq for a 100 years.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Gallup Poll Daily tracking will not begin to reflect the impact of Tuesday's voting on national Democratic preferences until tomorrow.

jaymc, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Shakey, check it out, for real.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/01/28/080128fa_fact_coll

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:13 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_primaries.html

Real Clear Politics polling averages show Hillary's national lead shrinking to 2.7 points.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary's eating tacos! - http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Cant_wait_for_Texas.html

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:21 (sixteen years ago) link

A smart political scientist at Chicago gives some thoughts on Obama's "metapolitics" that I think say clearly what some of Obama's supporters on this thread have been getting at:

http://sgrp.typepad.com/sgrp/2008/01/politicsmetapol.html

Euler, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I have to admit that although I'm fine with either candidate, there's something a bit depressing about the idea of a Clinton/McCain race, the idea that what's seems like such an important election might be between two candidates that their respective parties just can't get that excited about.

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:27 (sixteen years ago) link

("fine with either" meaning Clinton/Obama, obv)

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:27 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm finding it interesting how often people are conflating Bill and Hillary (Billary) and it makes me wonder what kind of influence he has in her campaign and in what ways she is substantially different from him?

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:28 (sixteen years ago) link

she doesn't bang interns

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:32 (sixteen years ago) link

(btw I'm still making my way through that NYer piece but I'm not entirely sure what you were getting at by posting it...? I'm aware of Bhutto's history, the complexities of the relations between various parties, Musharraf's intransigence, etc.)

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Given how fucked up Pakistan is and the fact that they have the bomb, bombing the NW frontier might end up us giving us far worse blowback than any pay-off we might get.

Michael White, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm finding it interesting how often people are conflating Bill and Hillary (Billary) and it makes me wonder what kind of influence he has in her campaign and in what ways she is substantially different from him?

Perhaps, Michael, because the Screaming Lobster of Hope insists on the conflation?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, no shit. Americans get so trigger happy with aerial bombardment, like it's got no consequences.

Gavin, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:39 (sixteen years ago) link

otm

Hurting 2, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:40 (sixteen years ago) link

this makes me optimistic:

Five reasons Hillary should be worried

but i imagine you could just as easily write up a "Five reasons Obama should be worried"

Mark Clemente, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Given how fucked up Pakistan is and the fact that they have the bomb, bombing the NW frontier might end up us giving us far worse blowback than any pay-off we might get.

there is obviously that potential. all kinds of scenarios are possible. I am reminded of the time we allegedly "let Bin Laden go" when a drone plane couldn't get permission to bomb a convoy, a scenario which is quite different from a "shock and awe" campaign. I'm not advocating anything specific - and Obama's comments were clearly calculated for political effect - but at the same time I agree with him in principle that we shouldn't take any options off the table, particularly in regards to an illegitimate regime that has no real control over much of its territory.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Should we bomb them before or after we stop giving Musharraf billions of dollars?

And what is this table people are always putting bombs on?

Gavin, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess my point is there are ways we could deploy force to capture Bin Laden that wouldn't necessarily result in an insane nuclear disaster (just as there are ways we could do it, clumsily, and subsequently screw ourselves and Pakistan). What would some of you guys posit as a best-case scenario? Clearly things are fucked as they are now, the Taliban is operating with impunity and we're propping up an increasingly delegitimized and useless military dictatorship that is undermining the very democratic institutions we would most like to see established. A worst case scenario is obviously insane Islamists in charge with the bomb, somehow getting one delivered via terrorists to America (which, I gotta say, seems highly HIGHLY unlikely for all kinds of reasons). Is there nothing better than these two scenarios, given how complicated things are...? Should using our own special forces in the way they're intended - quietly and deliberately and carefully - not play any role here?

I can't believe I'm advocating for some kind of military intervention at all, but the fact that Bin Laden hasn't been caught seems completely fucking ridiculous and galling to me.

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:55 (sixteen years ago) link

NBC reports youth vote tripled in GA and quintupled in NY

gabbneb, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:55 (sixteen years ago) link

This thread is now longer than the one that spawned it.

mulla atari, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought "the U.S." was interested in seeing Pakistan not disintegrate, not promoting democratic institutions. This is probably not the thread for this discussion though.

Gavin, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Tim Russert sez that only 45,000 votes between Obama and HRC.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought "the U.S." was interested in seeing Pakistan not disintegrate, not promoting democratic institutions

seems assbackwards to me. the latter is by far more important than the former. who cares about these arbitrary colonialist border designations.

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Wednesday, 6 February 2008 23:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder how many dollars difference between Obama and HRC now?

In other news, some of HRC's senior staff volunteered to work without pay this month.

BleepBot, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:00 (sixteen years ago) link

pakistan is approaching twice the size of iraq, has six times as many people, a more forbidding terrain and a nuclear weapon. a bombing campaign isn't going to do anything but piss even more muslims off. a ground campaign without the express and overwhelming support of the pakistani government, army and people is both absurd and impossible, leaving alone the current state of the us military.

i mean sure, keep your options on the table, but get a fucking grip on what they actually are.

mookieproof, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:00 (sixteen years ago) link

You are kidding, right? We give money to Musharraf to keep the country together so the bombs stay right in our corner.

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Also invading countries and massacring their people on flimsy security pretexts is, like, wrong and shit.

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

fwiw Clinton is probably bears as much responsibility as any other president for convincing Americans that it's ok to sort of *spot bomb* at will.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought I made it fairly clear I'm not advocating an invasion or massacre.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:03 (sixteen years ago) link

This thread is now longer than the one that spawned it.

And thus, if I'm not mistaken, the longest thread in ILX history.

Pretty sure top three are:

2008 Primaries Thread: 7253+
Your 2008 Presidential Candidate Speculation Thread: 7238
try glasgow more: 6800+

I think a Chicago thread from a couple years ago might be 4th. Dave Matthews only has about 2500.

jaymc, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

We give money to Musharraf to keep the country together so the bombs stay right in our corner.

uh, I'm pretty sure the nukes aren't being stashed in the non-federally governed northwest provinces

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.willisms.com/archives/shawn.jpg

mookieproof, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

the NWFP /= Pakistan

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:04 (sixteen years ago) link

fwiw Clinton is probably bears as much responsibility as any other president for convincing Americans that it's ok to sort of *spot bomb* at will.

This can't be said often enough.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Ok, I thought when you said "keep all options on the table" you meant that we should consider bombing and/or invading Pakistan in order to kill bin Laden.

If the NW secedes, Kashmir and other provinces could follow. What military dictator worth his stashed military uniform would let that happen?

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I was going to suggest a while back that we have separate threads for liveblogging the debates but I guess it's a bit late for that now

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Kashmir's not seceding from anywhere and is kind of a separate issue (uh, India claims it too y'know). It doesn't even border the NW provinces nor does it have a similar autonomy so what are you talking about...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

we should consider bombing and/or invading Pakistan in order to kill bin Laden.

I don't know where we would bomb in Pakistan to get Bin Laden, I don't think he hangs out in Rawalpindi knowhutimean. A full-scale invasion is both impossible and inadvisable for all kinds of reasons. I was referring - as I assume Obama was - to targeted attacks against Al Qaeda, presumably in the NW.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:13 (sixteen years ago) link

fwiw Clinton is probably bears as much responsibility as any other president for convincing Americans that it's ok to sort of *spot bomb* at will.

and yes thirded absolutely. hey lets bomb Afghanistan btw did you hear I'm guilty of perjury?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm talking about Pakistan being a very fragile nation-state with a lot of people who want to break it up. The U.S. government has decided that the breakup of Pakistan is not in its interests, and actions that show Musharraf's weakness are likely to embolden any of the various separatist movements in the country. Anyway, I don't think this minutiae is worth debating since we probably don't disagree in any substantial way, I just thought it was weird to think that the U.S. would be ok with any level of dissolution of the nation of Pakistan.

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:18 (sixteen years ago) link

i just spoke to my mom -- lower middle class conservative Catholic white woman, a real Dobson voter -- and she expressed dissatisfaction with all of the candidates in the republican field. what surprised me, though, was that she swore to vote for Obama in the democratic primary because she hates Hillary just that much. I hardly think she represents any trend, but I had never really thought of that electoral possibility.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama as fuck-the-world candidate

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

he's the black eminem

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

she swore to vote for Obama in the democratic primary because she hates Hillary just that much. I hardly think she represents any trend, but I had never really thought of that electoral possibility.

are you kidding? I thought people had been discussing that factor for months

El Tomboto, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Ha- that's exactly what my Dad did too. He's registered independent, but has voted for Bush in the past couple of Presidential elections (I guess you could characterize him primarily as an "evangelical values" voter). This time around he decided to vote in the Democratic primary for Obama - even though he doesn't think Obama is really experienced enough - just to stop Hillary. (He also doesn't like any of the GOP front-runners, though he was tempted to vote for Ron Paul.)

I wonder how much of Obama's vaunted appeal to independents is really fueled by Hillary-hatred. If it is, then it would be ironic if he won the nomination, but then saw his independent appeal dry up once Hillary is out of the picture.

o. nate, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I probably mentioned this on the other thread, but I'm pretty certain my mom (middle-middle class, pro-lifer, Republican-leaning except for on environmental issues) would vote for O.

will, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:29 (sixteen years ago) link

over any of the Repubs

will, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:29 (sixteen years ago) link

btw, I called Republican divide/McCain win back in mid-December.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

See, I don't think my Dad would vote for Obama in the general - his primary vote was purely calculated to derail the Hillary train.

xpost

o. nate, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:31 (sixteen years ago) link

My dad voted for Bush twice, now is totally into Obama. I think it's a mixture of Clinton hatred and shitty wars. I think he would go O in the GE. He also liked Kucinich, but I think that's because he's from Cleveland.

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I wouldn't rule out the possibility that my dad could go for Obama in the general - I just see it as unlikely. However, unlikely is still better than not in a million years - which is the chance he'd vote for Clinton.

o. nate, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

your dad voted for Bush twice but also likes Kucinich? I think your dad represents the "batshit crazy" voting block

(no disrespect meant to your dad)

akm, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Gavin's dad agrees with stuff that people say

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:44 (sixteen years ago) link

paulite accosted me on campus today and was totally unprepared for the double-barrel.

so much fun.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Paulites left Ron Paul signs all over the men's restroom so I put them in the urinals

Curt1s Stephens, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:48 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, Mark Shields calls MD/DC/VA the "Crab Cake Primary"

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

the double-barrel?

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i got roped into a 2 am "why you should support ron paul" aim convo by a friend the other night

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"Support the only candidate for freedom, the only candidate for peace!"

"No, thanks."

"Why won't you support Dr. Paul?"

"uh cause he has a 19th century economic sensibility and a ridiculous naivete about foreign policy? not to mention he put his name on a newsletter that spewed racist editorials. at worst he's a disingenuous racist, at best he's a terrible delegator who i don't want with his finger on the button."

*cue guy stuttering, moving on to girl behind me*

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

two of my four bandmates voted for ron paul WTF?!

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

"Support the only candidate for freedom, the only candidate for peace!"

"No, thanks."

"Why won't you support Dr. Paul?"

"uh cause he has a 19th century economic sensibility and a ridiculous naivete about foreign policy? not to mention he put his name on a newsletter that spewed racist editorials. at worst he's a disingenuous racist, at best he's a terrible delegator who i don't want with his finger on the button."

"Sir, we reserve the right to refuse voting for any candidate. My manager, my bartender and myself will not tolerate your archaic candidate on our ballot. We have not and will not charge you with idiocy. I'd rather not call the police. Please fuck off."

*cue guy stuttering, moving on to girl behind me*

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:52 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, I don't doubt that there's at least a few indie voters going Obama as anti-Hillary votes. even if they're not going for him in the general, it suggests they'd be less likely to turn out against her then.

I also think it's possible that repubs are far more likely to talk about their willingness to vote for Obama than Dems are to talk about their unwillingness to vote for him.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Btw, my Dad's position isn't so much anti-Hillary as it is anti-Bill - the thought of a co-presidency is what really scares the bejeezus out of him.

o. nate, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I will admit that I was reluctant to vote for Obama in the primary (I think "unwilling" is a bit too strong) - for reasons of experience. If he wins the nomination, I'd gladly vote for him. But, right or wrong, I decided to vote this time based on my assessment of who's more qualified for the job rather than for reasons of perceived electability.

o. nate, Thursday, 7 February 2008 00:59 (sixteen years ago) link

David Brooks claims this could all come down...to PUERTO RICO. Awesome.

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I heard about that as well. Could be interesting.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:04 (sixteen years ago) link

this thing isn't going past PA, and I'm somewhat skeptical that it'll get that far

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:05 (sixteen years ago) link

if someone wins decisively in OH without losing badly in TX, it's over

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

could stay up in the air if Clinton wins OH having lost whites in VA, tho

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

or we might get into a fight over who won what part of OH

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

two of my four bandmates voted for ron paul WTF?!

-- Hurting 2, Thursday, February 7, 2008 12:51 AM (30 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

yeah we got asked to play some ron paul benefit that was being organized by a dude that puts on a big indie rock fest every summer...i was like "sorry"

M@tt He1ges0n, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:23 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i think part of the mn romney win was the 15% for Ron Paul.

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Honestly, it just comes down to whether or not Obama's gonna get over the 45% hump. If he can actually pass Clinton and keep going, he'll just rack up progressively more delegates to tie it up. If not, Clinton's probably going to win.

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://markhalperin.files.wordpress.com/2008/02/obamadoublemoney.jpg

i lol'd

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama Is Not Jesus

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:31 (sixteen years ago) link

damn tpm be crushing my hopes and dreams ;(

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

" He looked at me, and the look in his eyes was worth 1,000 words," said Mack, now a regional field organizer. Obama hugged her and whispered something in her ear – she was so thrilled she doesn't remember what it was.

lol

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

for some reason i began reading that as if it were an onion editorial

deej, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

How old is the author and how many campaigns has she had close contact with?

I call bullshit on most of what she is talking about.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

something funny about texas: http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=514

With 193 pledged delegates at stake, Texas is the biggest prize to come in its upcoming March 4 “primary.” Except it’s not mainly a primary.

126 of those delegates will be chosen at the district level, but differently than in other states where they’ve been allocated based on Congressional district: they’ll be chosen based on totals in 31 state senate districts by caucuses in more than 18,000 precincts. The remaining 67 pledged delegates will be chosen by statewide primary vote.

meanwhile, obama has matched hillary's $5mil in 24hrs:

http://my.barackobama.com/page/contribute_c/sincefeb5_email/graphic

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

meanwhile, obama has matched hillary's $5mil in 24hrs:

yea that is completely amazing. i'm happy to have donated a small amount of that :)

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

woo for tx mattering.

lets not fuck this up, people.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

though tbh i'm sure we will, the clintons have ties in tx going back a long way.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:20 (sixteen years ago) link

What about Waco? Does that have any effect on TX Dems?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Branch-Davidian mainly has currency with the kinds of people that are gonna vote for Ron Paul anyway.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

In this town at least.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:29 (sixteen years ago) link

a not-small percentage of Texans think the B-Ds should have been torched on purpose

milo z, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:31 (sixteen years ago) link

In Waco there's more bitter resentment towards the B-Ds (for tainting the reputation of their Christian town with the whiff of cultism) there is towards the Dems for any wrongdoing.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:32 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC makes last minute decision to fly to Seattle for an "announcement" at Pier 30. Some are guessing that Gov. Gregoire is going to publicly endorse her there. I'm guessing they're right.

In response, Obama is having a free-to-the-public "Stand For Change" rally at Key Arena at 11am on Friday.

I think I'm going to bring my camera to work the rest of the week.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alex_Jones_(radio)

^ loudest member of "janet reno is a murderer" squad

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

That is, HRC is flying to Seattle tomorrow/Thursday (She wasn't scheduled to be in Seattle at all. Just Bill)

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Tell Bill hi when you meet up over beer and brautwurst.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary/Godzilla '08

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm so going to turn Bill onto the Mariachi Mac N Cheese at Beecher's.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:38 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMAMECHAMOTHRA!

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.couchscout.com/_borders/mac_cheese_lg.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:45 (sixteen years ago) link

http://cheesebyhand.com/wp-content/uploads/2006/08/beechers_counter.jpg

Bill Clinton's very special press conference venue on Friday.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:47 (sixteen years ago) link

counter girl is fat in the good way. I want someone to eat cheese with.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:50 (sixteen years ago) link

actually I dunno her face looks a little melty

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Some delegate estimates: http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/your_election_central_delegate.php

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 04:28 (sixteen years ago) link

fluffy bear puttin us back on track

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 05:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not advocating anything specific - and Obama's comments were clearly calculated for political effect - but at the same time I agree with him in principle that we shouldn't take any options off the table, particularly in regards to an illegitimate regime that has no real control over much of its territory.

Well said. Touché

The only thing I'd like to hear a President take off of the table (okay, maybe not the only thing) is torture, and not for sentimental reasons alone, even little kids worldwide understand that the swine who resort to torture, are admitting to their impotence in suasion and are thus unsympathetic.

Michael White, Thursday, 7 February 2008 05:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Neat point made here, that last night both Obama and Clinton got 2x the votes that McCain did.

kingfish, Thursday, 7 February 2008 06:18 (sixteen years ago) link

well that makes me feel pretty

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 06:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jeff-chang/why-latinos-and-asian-ame_b_85359.html

looks like jeff chang sez 'big hoos otm'

deej, Thursday, 7 February 2008 06:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't help see this whole thing between Obama and Clinton as a spectator MMORPG type thing, with Obama and Clinton being the two left for the entire Penny Arcade expo to watch.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 07:45 (sixteen years ago) link

This thread is now longer than the one that spawned it.

And thus, if I'm not mistaken, the longest thread in ILX history.

Pretty sure top three are:

2008 Primaries Thread: 7253+
Your 2008 Presidential Candidate Speculation Thread: 7238
try glasgow more: 6800+

I think a Chicago thread from a couple years ago might be 4th. Dave Matthews only has about 2500.

-- jaymc, Wednesday, February 6, 2008 2:04 PM (9 hours ago) Bookmark Link

didnt you guys let a chicago thread go past 10,000 once?

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 09:23 (sixteen years ago) link

also thanks for the link on Barack's Metapolitics.

I think it made some solid arguments for a real difference between Hillary and Obama, despite how nearly identical they are on policy. I think it also kind of legitimized some of the "hope," "change," "yes we can" stuff that often gets criticized as fluff.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 09:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Probably a silly question: If Obama wins every state in February does he build up enough momentum to take Ohio and Texas?

caek, Thursday, 7 February 2008 10:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing this is the first time in many years the superdelegate count has really mattered (in the sense that they don't really have to make up their mind until the summer and, if the gap is only a few hundred either way in pledged delegates, the super-ds determine the outcome). But d'you think those who've yet to publicly endorse (about 400 or so, I think) will just fall in line behind anyone who has a strong lead in pledged? So the remaining primaries essentially force the ditherers to go with the front-runner?

It may be so close that that isn't even a likely scenario.

Michael Jones, Thursday, 7 February 2008 10:20 (sixteen years ago) link

my mom is the very definition of gwb loving evangelical and she voted for huckabee. (her employer is a dobson-esque publication).

my dad is an evangelical minister and despite voting clinton in 96 has always voted for the GOP. (he has never preached politics from the pulpit and is pretty guarded about it in convos with members of his congregation).

but he's pretty repulsed by the GOP stance on immigration and is pro-amnesty/reform so he voted mccain. i think he could be persuaded to vote for obama in the general because barack's "social justice" rhetoric might outweigh the pro-life thing this time around. also the war thing.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 11:17 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry should read:

and despite except for voting clinton in 96 has always voted for the GOP

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 11:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I was a bit surprised that Hillary had a spare $5 million in her piggybank to throw at her campaign. But I guess Bill has earned a mountain of money in the past 8 years.

Zelda Zonk, Thursday, 7 February 2008 11:24 (sixteen years ago) link

okay, so now the obama site now says they've raised $7mil since the polls closed toesday night. wau.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:16 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton camp and the one-debate-a-week challenge:
In Public Letter, Hillary Camp Challenges Obama To Debate On Fox News

Patti Doyle, Hillary's campaign manager:

...I was disappointed to see that Senator Obama rejected the idea of having more debates given the fact that he and Senator Clinton have had only a single one-on-one debate. I think we can do better and so does Hillary.

Senator Clinton believes voters should have more than one opportunity to see the candidates discuss the issues and has accepted five debates between now and March 4th from CNN, MSNBC, WJLA, ABC and Fox News.

To that end, we hope Senator Obama will join Senator Clinton for a debate a week beginning this weekend. I'm sure we can find a suitable place to meet on the campaign trail. There's too much at stake and the issues facing the country are too grave to deny voters the opportunity to see the candidates up close.

As Senator Obama has said, "In an era when Americans are rightfully skeptical about the quality of our politics, let us set an example they can be proud of and give them the kind of campaign they deserve." We couldn't agree more.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

from what i've heard obama laughed off the idea of more debates, but i'm curious what will happen

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:33 (sixteen years ago) link

"we want to debate and we want to debate FIVE TIMES."

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

he'll do one or two but no way is he going to allow clinton all that free tv time

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:36 (sixteen years ago) link

The bottom line for me is the Supreme Court

How does it feel to be a quadrennial robot who enables the Dems to nominate the most spineless candidate every fucking time due to this bare-minimum criterion?

I would also point out that the current most-liberal justice was appointed by Gerald Ford.

My mom called me to say that she cried while voting for Hills yesterday.

I bet daria doesn't have a problem w/ gender-based voting when it comes from the reverse angle.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish I were a quadrennial robot, that sounds awesome.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:45 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.numtopia.com/janice/blog/img/aibo.gif

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:46 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish I were a quadrennial robot, that sounds awesome.

Me too! It sounds cylon-esque.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:51 (sixteen years ago) link

ohh hil raised $4 million since tuesday's polls closed

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Yah, we need more worker's rights, enviromental law, etc. respecting justices like Roberts and Alito.

Just because you're sick of hearing this knee-jerk justification for voting Democratic doesn't make the issue go away. It's real. Conservative presidents will nominate conservative justices, and you should understand that this matters, no matter how much it irritates you. And this isn't just about Roe v Wade.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

And it's not just about the Supreme court, but federal courts as well. Bush managed to do a lot of long term damage here.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Conservative presidents will nominate conservative justices,

You really don't know what you're talking about. Besides Ford:Stevens, you might wanna look up Earl Warren.

Also, Dem voters wouldn't have to be such sheeple if they raised a full-throated cry when their senators vote to confirm Alito and Roberts.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs' greatest fear:

http://www.mikedidonato.com/wp-content/Robo4.PNG

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

dr morbius, you may want to look up alito, scalia and roberts

i mean what the fuck, gerald ford wasnt exactly popular w/ the republicans for any number of things, including his judicial nominee

deej, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Ugh, who would want to watch five more debates?

Gavin, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:05 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs, quit shitting on people's motivation to vote. you can disagree and argue you point but wtf do you get out of expressing so much contempt?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Voting in the auction-style, big-money prez campaigns we now have is usually an empty gesture ... as that blog post I linked yesterday said, "expressing your individuality in the form of your consumer choice for the presidential candidate" is like a placebo. And people feel all warm and cuddly about it. I just find it sad.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs' trail of tears.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

well im glad youve just admitted that you find democracy to be a sham, now stfu

deej, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:13 (sixteen years ago) link

my dad is an evangelical minister and despite voting clinton in 96 has always voted for the GOP... i think he could be persuaded to vote for obama in the general because barack's "social justice" rhetoric might outweigh the pro-life thing this time around. also the war thing.

man that's heartening to hear. Not because of the voting for Obama thing per se, but that opposition to war and "social justice" issues can be as much of a priority as the pro-life and sanctity of marriage hot-buttons. You know, WWJD and all that.

will, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

well im glad youve just admitted that you find democracy to be a sham

I wish we had a democracy, chum. And that you could read.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:15 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: There've been a slew of articles lately about (socially, at least)liberal evangelical voters

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:16 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm so glad we have a republic and not a true democracy

Mr. Que, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish that instead of a republic we had a pony.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish we had ponies instead of a corporate oligarchy

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.amazon.com/images/P/1400030927.01.LZZZZZZZ.jpg

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ok Morbs I know we live in a corporate oligarchy voting for a democrat doesn't make me feel any better about that I just LIKE THEM A LITTLE BETTER THAN THE REPUBLICANS OK?

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.ya.com/eltikitaka/files/SEGUNDA.jpg

quadrennial robot prototype

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay never mind about the "I wanna be a robot" thing.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

You really don't know what you're talking about. Besides Ford:Stevens, you might wanna look up Earl Warren.

breathtaking

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i thought ike appointed warren

Mr. Que, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:27 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, I checked and he did. EAT IT MORBS

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:29 (sixteen years ago) link

although I guess Morbs's point is he turned out to be less conservative than people thought. Still, let me know when you can show me the inverse of that.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, I meant Ike, dingalings. Y'know, a conservative?

Eisenhower and conservatives widely expected Warren to continue being the righty he had been. Ike sposedly said EW was "the biggest damned-fool mistake I ever made."

HILLARY '08: A LITTLE BETTER THAN THE REPUBLICANS, OK?

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:31 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs was not saying that stevens appointed warren, he was saying a republican appointed warren. he was also calling someone ignorant while simultaneously demonstrating that he's even more ignorant.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost okay gotcha! isn't souter considered a dissapointment, too?

Mr. Que, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbnerd = incoherent Eustace Tilley

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Daria, I am female and post on this thread but I've just moved and don't have broadband yet...

Relax FB - I don't think Pawlenty is going to be riding VP sidesaddle on the Straight Talk Express any time soon - my Senior Correspondent (eg my mom) pointed out that NO WAI will this happen because McCain didn't deliver MN for him on Tuesday (she also told me off for thinking it might happen in the most DUH voice she's got). Mom also wondered what poor armchair was missing its upholstery when Hillary busted out that brocade pantsuit in NH.

My mom is 63 and is part of the 'women Hillary's age who can't stand her' demographic (she has a pretty big case of it and talks rubbish about Vince Foster). THEY ARE LEGION and she is not going to vote for a Clinton in the General. Nor will she vote for McCain because he is snarky. Huckabee she's seen before in a film called Bob Roberts and thinks is crazy. But she totally would consider a vote for Obama, especially after Bill Clinton tried to chew on him, and pointed out how AMAZING it must look to those outside America that Obama was happening at all. I think Americans like to feel like they are making history at the ballot box and many surprising people are thinking of an Obama vote.

I voted for Obama in the expat poll despite wanting a woman prez someday; it raises my hackles when Hillary gives it the big feminist spin like there's no Billary.

Tracer, pls to post scary poster photo I mms'd you.

suzy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs, so am I getting this right that you are proffering stealth moderates/liberals as evidence that the ideology of the president does not matter wrt judicial nominations?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Anyway, the depressing ILX/Gen Y rationale of "yer never gonna get a liberal elected, so sigh and vote for the DLC robot" is opposed to my voting philosophy, which is to act in a way I would like generalized in the electorate. And settling for a Clinton isn't that way.

Fluffy: not "does not matter." Isn't the absolutist bedrock the "SUPREME COURT! SUPREME COURT!" Dem Chicken Littles pretend it is.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:37 (sixteen years ago) link

still matters

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

not enough to vote for HRC.

also, ppl seem unaware that Bill Clinton probably rolled back civil liberties / expanded surveillance more than any prez til Dubya (and that includes Nixon, not for lack of trying).

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Neat point made here, that last night both Obama and Clinton got 2x the votes that McCain did.

McCain also has more opponents. I'd be interested in seeing the full vote totals from both parties to see who got more.

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I understand the frustration with the "because of the supreme court, I will vote for whoever is wearing the appropriate party lapel pin, no matter how repellent they are to me", especially this early in the game when people should still be trying to get their chosen candidate support instead of capitulating.

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbius, vote for Feingold in the GE. I support that decision. I like him.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Capitulating?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think that having a different voting strategy or a different set of voting priorities can accurately be described as "capitulating".

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:44 (sixteen years ago) link

In the end voting is not always necessarily an expression of your deepest principles.

And I have total respect for anyone's wishes to vote for a third-party candidate for the purposes of bolstering that party's future standing or even just as a protest or whatever, but I do NOT feel like tolerating jackasses making uninformed presumptions about everyone else's motivations.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Hurting OTM; making presumptions makes a pre of u and mptions.

Wait that didn't work

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:46 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not really identifying (nor do I care much about) others' motivations. I'm just saying what their effect on reality is: voting for Coke or Pepsi.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Morbs, your argument suggests that you know nothing about how Ike, Ford, GHWB and GWB compare as political and ideological animals, or about the judicial careers and philosophies of Warren, Stevens, Souter, Roberts or Alito (or Scalia or Ginsburg, etc.), or about how the political maps have changed over the last few generations, or about the rise of the 'originalist' and other conservative legal movements, or about the rise of the religious right, or about the right's politicization of the judiciary. Or you do know a little about these things, and you're making a typically ridiculous, red-faced argument to justify your own political narcissism.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not really identifying (nor do I care much about) others' motivations. I'm just saying what their effect on reality is: voting for Coke or Pepsi.

-- Dr Morbius, Thursday, February 7, 2008 10:48 AM (38 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

Right, because the last seven years have basically just been Clinton in a different can.

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:49 (sixteen years ago) link

To some people, yes.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, to get the right person on the court, you should vote for mccain because he's kind of the 00s version of a rockefeller republican, and he might fuck up and appoint someone not completely horrible, never mind any forces that might pressure him

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:50 (sixteen years ago) link

gabb, I really can't be bothered to do long goddamn posts on this goddamn board for yr personal edification.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:52 (sixteen years ago) link

you can't be bothered to not be a moron, bro

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:53 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20080207

lolololololol

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 15:53 (sixteen years ago) link

And, just to reiterate my original point. I ***UNDERSTAND*** how irritating the "yeah, but the supreme court" vote any Dem in the GE argument is. However, no matter how offensive that argument is, each president gets to appoint dozens if not hundreds of federal judges, and hese judges make a ***HUGE*** impact on how the law is impacted.

The ideology and politics of a president and his/her party have a huge effect on how justice is carried out. HUGE.

Vote how you want, based on the criteria that are important to you. I'm just saying that this has a real life impact.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

THIS SHIT CAN HAVE IRL CONSEQUENCES

(sorry)

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:02 (sixteen years ago) link

(fuck I mangled the quote too, just ignore me as always)

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:04 (sixteen years ago) link

How does it feel to be a quadrennial robot who enables the Dems to nominate the most spineless candidate every fucking time due to this bare-minimum criterion?

...

I'm not really identifying (nor do I care much about) others' motivations.

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:06 (sixteen years ago) link

lieberman has been stripped of his superdelegate status for endorsing john mccain lol link

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

ok lol

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:08 (sixteen years ago) link

gff, even if you love playing "gotcha," I post about shit i don't care about all the time. It's ILX.

Dr Morbius, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man if i had any pull in the mccain campaign i'd encourage him to jettison that ghoul and denounce the endorsement, but as it is i can just laugh

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

ok morbs i'll just assume you're totally full of shit at all times then, kind of like i did anyway

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:15 (sixteen years ago) link

meanwhile, the debates debate is interesting: i'm waiting for the 'obama is afraid' line from camp HRC. and it wouldn't be w/o reason! obama kind of sucks at them. clearly HRC is also afraid of obama holding rally after rally unchecked, where he pretty much kills

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Dr Morbius is becoming the Louis Jagger of the primaries thread.

G00blar, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I do hope that Obama keeps the debates to a minimum. Why give her free coverage?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought they already dropped the "Obama is afraid" line; wasn't it linked upthread?

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee she's seen before in a film called Bob Roberts and thinks is crazy.

OK, suzy, this is the post of the week.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:24 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm waiting for the 'obama is afraid' line from camp HRC

yeah, not too hard to see the underlying tone in that letter upthread.

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama has answered once that he thinks it's important to "spend time with the voters" iirc

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

obama doesn't suck at debates just because he doesn't come with the policy minutiae and pithy zings you want from him. he could do that, but is choosing not to, having been coached to reach more voters by keeping things at a higher level of generality and lower level of vocabulary and greater level of friendliness, like Bush did. this is why he so often pauses after getting a question and/or talks about how he wants to answer it slightly differently. Kerry 'won' debates easily in the eyes of the professional class, but that didn't help him much.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

5 debates (once per week) is quite simply overkill, though -- but it's probably just a starting number that Obama will have to negotiate down. Hillary will get some debates, but then again, so will he, and he really didn't too all that bad at the last one. The head-to-head format helped him, I think.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Fortunately, I don't think the "Obama is afraid" line will be embraced by anybody other than die hard Hillary supporters. I don't think it will convince anyone towards Hillary away from Obama.

he should be savvy enough to dodge that weak-ass bullshit.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I think it would have been great if, in response to the debate request, the Obama camp released a 1-line statement that read "Are you high?????"

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Dan Perry = Obama's Brain.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

“There’s this theory that Obama needs to somehow prove his machismo by rhetorically headhunting in the debates,” said David Axelrod, Mr. Obama’s senior political adviser. “But that’s not who he is. He’s going to make the points he thinks are important, but he doesn’t think the country needs someone who just scores points in debates by attacking.”

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

gabb are you totally sure about those 'choosing not to' and 'coaching' points?

xp ok well i guess that answers that.

i did like his immediate response, tho: 'we've had 220394857 debates, wtf do we need more for?'

one idea floated on the blogosphere somewhere was to have more debates held by specialist organizations or more obviously partisan magazines, so it'd be on a particular policy theme, instead of standing in front of wolf fucking blitzer every two weeks

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/02/by_frank_james_sen_hillary_1.html

OBAMA: "I don’t think anybody is clamoring for more debates. We’ve had, what 18 debates so far. I think we’ve had 10 more than in the last Democratic contest.. Here’s the good news. We will have more debates. We are still trying to sort through our schedule

"Sen. Clinton starts off with I think 100 percent name recognition and a very familiar brand. We benefit from being on the ground talking to voters directly. So what we have to do is figure out, to balance how do we provide enough debates where people can continue to hone in on the differences between the candidates at the same time not using up so much time preparing for debates where you’ve got one a week or one every four days or something where it burns up a lot of time that we could be on the ground, in town hall meetings with voters..I’m sure we will accept at least one."

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

the theory is that undecided voters, at least in the general, are not looking for the smarter or more verbally-hardmannish candidate, they're looking for the more affable, honest and trustworthy candidate. obama's responses might look weak to you, but not to them.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

who wants more debates?! These people have been campaigning since 2005. We've heard all we need to know. Just pick someone already, for crissakes.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Unless, of course, you don't know much about Obama, and Clinton gives you warm fuzzies 'cause happy times, then I think you should hold off making a decision.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i hope to god wolf blitzer doesn't moderate the next debate

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I just read hints that Romney MAY drop out today.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

But how many of you think McCain feels more trustworthy to the undecided than either Obama or HRC? Honest question here.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

who wants more debates?!

They really get tedious after a while, because the same ground gets covered over and over again. Although I would love another Mittens/McCain debate because their level of hate for each other is funny.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

This isn't to say that obama has a zing-free style, but he's gonna zing in a way that doesn't make him look like a smartypants. This is why he zinged mitt on his "management skills" and hillary on her likeability.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

But how many of you think McCain feels more trustworthy to the undecided than either Obama or HRC?

McCain feels more trustworthy to me (I'm not saying who I'd vote for, so save the shitstorm plz), and I doubt I'm alone in this, which is another reason I am very pro Obama.

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney has been the Sam Malone of the GOP all this time. Him dropping out would just empty the theatre ;_;

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Marion Barry to endorse Obama

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain feels more trustworthy to me (I'm not saying who I'd vote for, so save the shitstorm plz), and I doubt I'm alone in this, which is another reason I am very pro Obama.

John, if you support McCain's insistence in the war, then stop reading, but assuming you do NOT support it, does that not affect your ability to trust the guy either? If so, how? Sorry if this is a vague question. But I don't feel nearly as cozy with McCain as I do Clinton, which is saying quite a bit, and I don't hate McCain that much.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

also, for clarification, "trustworthy" has nothing to do with "agree with position of X on issues" for people, so it isn't exactly an electability slam dunk.

xpost i think this ought to answer your question

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I think a for a majority of independents, if you ask them who their favorite candidates are, they will say Obama and McCain.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean the level of flipflopping McCain has done in the past three years makes Hillary seem really consistent. I know, lol, right?

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

As for Clinton haters within the Dem party, we'll wait and see once we get to the general election.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, here's the big X factor.

Assuming this whole thing plods all the way until July, there will still be FOUR MONTHS until the election. Doesn't seem like a long time, but it's barely been over a month since Iowa happened, for sake of perspective.

Supposing HRC gets the nomination, it's anyone's guess who will come off as more trustworthy than the other, because the campaigns are going to change DRASTICALLY for both of them.

Just sayin', testing out who's trustworthy NOW seems pretty pointless to me.

Also Ghost Of Ned: IRAQ ECONOMY IRAQ ECONOMY IRAQ ECONOMY BUSHLICKING BOOGABOOGABOOGA etc.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd say McCain is more consistent than Hillary. If I am wrong, please provide examples.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

The first thing that will be milked out of McCain is his complete asskissing of Bush, which was bright as day during the past four years. That alone will be a major blow.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:00 (sixteen years ago) link

to clarify, now that I've read your question again, what i'm saying is that "trustworthy" is similar to the (ugh i hate this term) "straight talk"/"character" factor. in re:the war, I am against it, but I don't think that McCain was/is for it for the same duplicitous reasons many others were. which doesn't make it right, but isn't a damning factor against his trustworthinessitude either.

lotsa xposts there

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Also Ghost Of Ned: IRAQ ECONOMY IRAQ ECONOMY IRAQ ECONOMY BUSHLICKING BOOGABOOGABOOGA etc.

Verbatim.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain was more consistent in asshattery, I'll give you that.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean I hear you guys about your concerns about Hillaryhate sinking her, but I think you guys are really letting your fears take the best from you.

Wait until the nominations are locked in, THEN worry, if you're going to worry about the GE.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Just sayin', testing out who's trustworthy NOW seems pretty pointless to me.

ok, but if so why did you ask the question about trustworthiness of McCain vs. Clinton vs. Obama in the first place?

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Shocking, but a lot of people really LIKE Hillary too. I know it's a strange world outside this thread.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

ok, but if so why did you ask the question about trustworthiness of McCain vs. Clinton vs. Obama in the first place?

Because I wanted to point out that the worrying was kinda pointless *right now*, and there are other things to galvanize first.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Re: Romney bailing -- looking pretty likely.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

christ does anybody really want to watch anymore totally boring debates? what the hell would they even have to talk about that hasn't been enumerated countless times in the last dozen or so debates anyway...?

also why was Lieberman a superdelegate at all...? I thought he was an independent now?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

But how many of you think McCain feels more trustworthy to the undecided than either Obama or HRC? Honest question here.

or maybe not

John Justen, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Question is this -- let's say Romney does in fact go any second now. Does Huckabee stay in? Hell, does Ron Paul?

I admit it would be pretty funny for there to be one last GOP candidate debate and have it just be McCain and Paul up there.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess what I'm saying is: if you think it will be easy to sink Hillary, wait until the guns are pointed at McCain. Not saying there won't be misfires on either side, but it's "over" if HRC wins the Dem Nomination, which seems to be the really odd sentiment in his thread.

Again, I'm caucusing for Obama this Saturday, but I'm def. supporting Hillary if she wins on *idealogical* grounds, not "GAWD, well i guess i HAVE to vote for her" grounds.

xpost - John, my honesty was, um, honest. I just wanted to clarify that my *asking the question* was *not* meant to be a snarky statement against HRC or Obama, which it could have easily been taken, ESPECIALLY in this thread.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul is never gonna concede, he wants his time in the spotlight - I'll bet he stays in right up to the convention.

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul is likely going to stay until at least Texas.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

if Romney is dropping out "really soon", that will make the GOP semi-cockus this Saturday in WA really interesting for Ron Paul.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

So I guess part of the Obama response now re: debates is that the Clinton camp sent their offer for more debates to the press before they sent it to to Obama's campaign, i guess trying to play her move as grandstanding for the media. (which may be true, they want the attention on this debate issue and off of her self-loan or fundraising stories)

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

occasional weirdo indie rockers aside, a 3rd party Paul would take more votes away from Republicans than Democrats, no?

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul even LOOKS like Perot, sorta. Of course.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Perot, but with a Scientology sheen.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

So I guess part of the Obama response now re: debates is that the Clinton camp sent their offer for more debates to the press before they sent it to to Obama's campaign, i guess trying to play her move as grandstanding for the media.

If that's true, maybe the best response would be to publicly say "we're considering it" and delay a little to take some of the steam out of the issue?

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

More via NRO re: Romney:

This is the Final Countdown [Kathryn Jean Lopez]

I'd read what Byron reads into the e-mail and media drop-off too. I also am told there is a finance call right after his CPAC speech. I take that to mean there will be news in the CPAC speech. Either way, this is the beginning of the closing.

02/07 12:14 PM

More Re: Romney Pulling Out? [Byron York]

I just talked to another source in the Romney camp about the possibility that Romney is preparing to pull out of the race. "I think you pretty much nailed it," he told me. "You might also note that there have been no media buys placed since Super Tuesday. The radio silence is deafening. Go to CPAC. I would highly recommend it."

02/07 12:07 PM

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

ROMNEY OUT!

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

about the upcoming february primaries/caucuses, it no doubt looks positive for obama. but i'm a little nervous about wisconsin, texas, and ohio (my home state). i don't know, maybe all the momentum obama will get from the upcoming primaries will really help him out in texas/ohio (as will the funds, extra campaigning, etc.), but those two states' demographics look pretty good for hillary, to such an extent that obama's lead with the upcoming states might not matter with those two contests.

Mark Clemente, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMENTUM

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Speaking of fundraising, have a laugh:

http://www.february7.org/

"STOP HILLARY...oh um yeah you can stop Obama too. Uh."

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

So Romney is apparently not dropping out but "suspending" his campaign.

jaymc, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

So you think Romney's departure could possibly help Huck end the McMentum?? As much as Huckabee scares the shit out of me, he would probably be easier for the dem candidate to beat than McCain in...

askance johnson, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

"not dead, but merely sleeping"

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

how is it that Fuckabee is hanging in longer than Romney...?

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Jesus power

will, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Churches vote in larger packs than senior management.

Eazy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

morbius's impression of edward g. robinson is uncanny

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

okay, this is probably old had (and irrelevant) to everything & anything, but i kinda like it: Hey There Obama

remy bean, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm imagining Romney with a little pulsating light in his forehead indicating that he is in sleep mode.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney of Borg

remy bean, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee's chortling big time.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm torn between my enthusiasm for Obama and my hatred for precocious children.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

The 'suspending' bit is hilarious because 2 to 1 says Romney is thinking, "Wait, I can hold on to my delegates and be a kingmaker at the convention."

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Watching this CPAC thing on CNN.com, talk about boring. Blah blah blah, you should all read Atlas Shrugged and Conscience Of A Conservative, blah blah.

Hatch, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

you should all read Atlas Shrugged

did Romney actually say this???!

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

RON PWNL

He's the non-senator, ya know.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

No more mittmentum, campaign suspended

Ed, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

rats, bbc behind, carry on nothing to see here.

Ed, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney on c-span right now, introduced by Laura Ingram as the "only conservative left in this race."

Hasn't dropped the bomb yet.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

A NATION BUILT UPON ITYS FOUNDING FATHERS CAN NOT LONG STAND WITHOUT ITS CHILDREN'S FATHERS IN THE HOME

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

, introduced by Laura Ingram as the "only conservative left in this race."

good lord I do not understand these people. their hatred of mcain is completely baffling to me; but have fun digging your own graves, idiots. you won't be missed.

akm, Thursday, 7 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

here's where i again urge everyone to tune into conservative talk radio this week. its amazing.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

not funny enough for lolution thread:

http://i181.photobucket.com/albums/x18/gr8080/obit.jpg

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

here's where i again urge everyone to tune into conservative talk radio this week. its amazing.

I tried to watch Glenn Beck last night for the lolz .... he was gonna have Chuck Norris on and rant about McCain, but he decided to talk about the Democrats first and I couldn't hang ;__;

dmr, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

IN THIS TIME OF WAR I CAN NOT HAVE MY CAMPAIGN BE PART OF AIDING TERROR

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

(on him staying in the race aiding the dems)

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Glen Beck has a very weird column on CNN right now - he was equally odd on TV last night, being taken to task by some black conservative for not getting behind McCain and complaining about being betrayed by Dubya

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

what a complete and utter fucking douchebag

xp about Mitt

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

lol moderater mentioning "mitt romney's main opponent" bringing the boos

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Glen Beck has a very weird column on CNN right now - he was equally odd on TV last night, being taken to task by some black conservative for not getting behind McCain and complaining about being betrayed by Dubya

-- Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, February 7, 2008 8:09 AM (22 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

if you're talking about Juan Williams, i caught a bit of them and at one point Glen belted out, "Juan! You know me! I'm an ALCOHOLIC!"

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Juan Williams a conservative?

polyphonic, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

No more mittmentum, campaign suspended

DAMN. 10 Things Romney Could Have Done Differently. Just sayin'. . .

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson don't like him.

xp

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2004169088_campaigns07m.html

Lol, way to go Seattle Times on concentrating on the REAL issue this weekend.

"I just found out about this caucus business this morning," said Terry Shull, 70, a retired naval officer, sitting at a desk at the Obama headquarters in Pioneer Square. "I said, 'What? The primary doesn't matter at all? That's nuts!' So I figured I'd better help make sure everyone else knows they have to show up at a caucus."

Shull, who says he's never been involved in politics before this election, began volunteering for the first time Wednesday.

He spent the morning sitting elbow to elbow with about 20 other volunteers, who straddled wooden chairs, munched on M&Ms and Doritos, and called list after list of Obama supporters to remind them where they need to go on Saturday.

"I'm inspired. We have the power to cause change. And we only have three days left," Shull said, his native Southern accent seeping into his speech.

At Clinton's campaign headquarters down the road in South Park, the type of junk food is different, but the sentiment among the volunteers remains the same.

"The biggest hurdle at this point is getting people educated about the importance of this caucus," said Charla Neuman, spokeswoman for the Clinton campaign, gesturing with a McDonald's hamburger. "We're going to be here for the next three days, putting on caucus training sessions, calling supporters and making sure people know what to expect."

Diane Coats, 55, a nurse and mother of two, began volunteering for Clinton for the first time Wednesday.

Like Shull, Coats had never worked on a political campaign before, but after hearing the inconclusive results of Super Tuesday, she said she realized that "our state can actually sway the election. That hasn't happened since I can remember."

To sum up:

Obama: Frito-Lay/Mars, Inc :: HRC : McDonald's

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't like him either, xp

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

"Juan! You know me! I'm an ALCOHOLIC!"

Yes!!! wtf was that all about?!

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder how Jaun Williams feels about all the "LOL JUAN MCCAIN" comments made in just about every GOP pundit website in existence.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Will someone make a "Never Forget" pic for Mitt?

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Juan Williams, sorry

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama: Frito-Lay

Someone had to take their money after Colbert was kicked out of the race.

James Mitchell, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.barackula.com/

^ didn't know any actual black people lololol

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

I wonder how JaunJon Williams feels about all the "LOL JUANJON MCCAINMCLEAN" comments made in just about every GOP pundit websiteILX DANCE MUSIC POLL in existence.

-- Mackro Mackro, Thursday, February 7, 2008 1:22 PM (48 seconds ago) Bookmark Link

FIXED?

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:24 (sixteen years ago) link

LOLOLOLOL not just fixed. chisselled.

Ron Paul could win Washington caucus. Not a joke. Really. He Could.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

On the Republican side, Paul reported more than 1,000 donors, giving him the edge over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 700 and Arizona Sen. John McCain with 500, filings show. All donors of $200 or more must be disclosed in the filings.

The edge in donors is important because those are the same dedicated partisans likely to spend their Saturday at Washington's precinct caucuses.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

holy shit @ Barakula

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/gandalf_paul_08.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Jon did you listen to the mp3 clips? holy shit

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

if ron paul takes washington limbaugh's head is going to cave in

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Jon did you listen to the mp3 clips? holy shit

My ears, they burn.

Ed, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

is it me or does barackula look a tiny bit like tracer hand?

mookieproof, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

And they never post at the same time, do they, mookieproof?

Michael White, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

It's like Tracer Hand had a baby with Barack Obama, and it was a vampire.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I've always thought that might happen.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

if ron paul takes washington limbaugh's head is going to cave in

Hmmm Should I caucus for Ron Paul instead? Do I have time to get my RonPaulstafarian bleached dreadlocks and goth totem bag to play the part?

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain/Romney '08 vs Clinton/Obama '08 ???

James Mitchell, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

It would be like 21 Jump Street! xp

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro Depp

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain/Romney '08 vs Clinton/Obama '08 ???

Hahaha@nof____gway.com

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Fuck that. Mackro Grieco - xpost

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Anyone hear how McCain was received at that right-wing convention today?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

ha hasn't spoken yet, as far as i know

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

It's not for another hour and quarter.

Michael White, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

you know what's a good way to get people to boo? ask them not to boo

dmr, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN shot of Bill Kristol and Bill Buckley doing Jaeger shots at CNC bar.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

How quickly things change. A month ago, Republicans were fretting about this. Now, Democrats fear a brokered convention. What a(n entertaining) circus that would be.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:47 (sixteen years ago) link

RIP MITTMENTUM

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, mittens

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://planetwebdesign.com/americacries1agc.jpg

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

^never been more appropriate

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=8346673551

^ lolol

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

up there on his own planet now

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I was hoping Mitt would stay in longer so I could make a hilarious photo shop of "Mitt" as the Hamburger Helper mascot feeding his huge Mormon family.

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2008/02/07/us/07romney2-450.jpg

Now cracks a noble heart. Goodnight, sweet Prince.
And flights of angels sing thee to thy rest.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

:D

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

MSNBC showing a sobbing Bill Kristol passing a skull of his father, the late neoconservative Irving Kristol.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

Did he take a laxative to help pass it?

Rock Hardy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=8346673551

^ lolol

-- Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Thursday, February 7, 2008 12:50 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

how about the kid who started the group:

http://profile.ak.facebook.com/profile5/159/29/s671107649_3700.jpg

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

mirror pic PLUS motorcycle jacket

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

FOX News is reporting that Peggy Noonan has composed a sestina in honor of the late Calvin Coolidge.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

ahahaha

http://www.mybuttonstore.com/catalog/BO-SupObama3.jpg

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney already saying he'll be back for 2012.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro, do we have to explain the difference between depth of enthusiasm and number of enthusiasts?

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney's going to run against McCain's reelection campaign in 2012?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Start early, I figure.

And now, what we've all been waiting for -- Hugh Hewitt, with love in his heart.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Governor Romney is an incredibly gifted man --intelligent in the way very few people are, charismatic, and blessed with an amiable openness and determined, strong character, shoulder-length, sun-streaked blond hair, sparkling blue-green eyes the color of the Caribbean, cameo skin, and a perfect size-six figure.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

god what a dicklicking lunatic hewitt is, it's really unbelievable.

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

he gives dicklicking lunatics everywhere a bad name

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently none of the money MoveOn raised for Obama in the past 2 days was included in the 7+ mil total they trumpeted today, so we should expect to hear the Obama fundraising till to ring again soon. And to think that MoveOn was founded in large part to protect the Clintons' interests... heh.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

haha sry that did come off kind of homophobic xp

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

but i mean shit:

Forty years later Mitt Romney's campaign did take off, came very close to success but fell short, and unlike George Romney's campaign then, Mitt Romney's campaign of the last 14 months is really an opening act for a role in the leadership fo the GOP that will continue for years to come, and Senator McCain will almost certainly look for help from the Romneyroots as the GOP will this year and in the years ahead.

what a load of utter frantic craziness. not a sentence here comports with reality at all.

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

romneyroots lol

"big money big money no whammies come on big money"

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

He defends the right to bear a Red Rider Carbine with a Compass in the stock.

xpost

Ed, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

guys should we start a new thread? i think the loss of mitt calls for one

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Not until the last Ron Paul fan on earth has shuffled off this primary coil.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

When I think of the GOP as the party of "MEN" (as some of my conservative friends are fond of saying), I think of some of their leading pundits and thinkers, e.g., Hugh Hewitt. It reminds me that the GOP is often really a party of pampered armchair warriors who want to feel macho and tough. Maybe that isn't fair to Hewitt, I don't know much about him, but I'm thinking of fellows like Glenn Beck, Sean Hannity, and even some conservative-leaning pundits in the MSM.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

*cough* Jonah Goldberg *cough*

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

*cough* Yes *cough*

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

are you guys getting prostate exams over there or what

Mr. Que, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:03 (sixteen years ago) link

keep Hewitt and Goldberg away from our prostates.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Prostate exams? Is it Friday already?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton's gonna win NM - she's up 1,000 votes with 1% left, and it's coming from a district that favors her. She won in the more Republican part of the State.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

can we continue discussing Hewitt?

Like Reagan In '76, Romney Is Staying In

As I wrote below, the GOP needs to keep the MSM focused on the issues that unite the GOP, and the best way to do that is by a series of contests throughout the spring, from Virginia to Pennsylvania and beyond. Each state that has a primary scheduled deserves the attention of the big three candidates, and the results will help even the frontrunner Senator McCain calibrate his message and provide opportunities for him top assure the base in each state he travels to of his determination to run as a conservative even as independents see him on the nightly news.

Was it a good thing for the GOP when Ronald Reagan stayed in the race against Gerald Ford in 1976 even after the Californian had fallen far behind Ford in the hunt for the nomination?

Most people say yes, even though at the time many were demanding that Reagan exit stage right.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, so Hillary's staff *are* getting paid after all.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2008/story?id=4257358&page=1

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait, is Romney out or in?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Or somewhere in between (i.e., nominally in, but really out)?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i would vote for heidi klum

max, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

i would vote for her all night

max, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain addressing committee now.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN reports that Hewitt seen giving Romney a "passionate embrace" in parking lot of Boston hotel.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:28 (sixteen years ago) link

ahahaha i would love a picture of that

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

CNN reports that Hewitt seen giving Romney a "passionate embrace" in parking lot of Boston hotel.

Any tounge?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

just the discreet whispering of quality wool suiting and zippers falling

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

heavens

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

No, I'll take more of the Klum-type pics, thanks. Damn she's hot.

Bill Magill, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

5 reasons why hilary should be worried

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

The calendar is her enemy. Now that more than half the states have weighed in, there is a fairly predictable formula for determining who is most likely to win the upcoming contests.

In caucus states, Obama’s organizational strength shines: He has won seven of eight. Up next are three more caucus states, Washington, Nebraska and Maine.

Obama also runs tremendously well in states with large African-American populations, another promising sign since next Tuesday’s three primaries are in the District of Columbia, Maryland and Virginia — all of which have significant percentages of black voters.

Then comes another caucus state, Hawaii, where Obama is viewed as a native son.

The bottom line is that it figures to be another month before Clinton hits a stretch of states — places like Ohio and Pennsylvania — where she will be strongly favored to win.

So it couldn’t be any clearer as to why the supposedly inevitable candidacy is anything but — even when she’s supposedly winning.

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

btw that link's been posted twice already

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

So, Hils not broke after all article had this innit:

"One longtime Democratic consultant not affiliated with any campaign wondered if perhaps the whole thing wasn't a big stunt to garner media attention and look like an "underdog."

- what'd you guys think?

BleepBot, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

seems plausible

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i have a hard time believing her campaign is broke. i'm sure they have less money than obama, but broke...c'mon

akm, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

HILLARY CLINTON: ESTABLISHMENT-APPROVED UNDERDOG.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess it probably caused her backers to give $$ .... but I think it sparked Obama's, too

dmr, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary has issued a TOWN-HALL CHALLENGE to Obama to be set in Orono, ME this weekend.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Wrestling match?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought I hated Joe Klein, but.. Well I read it and thought, when the whole thing started I was arguing that the Obama campaign is about itself.

http://www.time.com/time/printout/0,8816,1710721,00.html
And yet there was something just a wee bit creepy about the mass messianism — "We are the ones we've been waiting for" — of the Super Tuesday speech and the recent turn of the Obama campaign. "This time can be different because this campaign for the presidency of the United States of America is different. It's different not because of me. It's different because of you." That is not just maddeningly vague but also disingenuous: the campaign is entirely about Obama and his ability to inspire. Rather than focusing on any specific issue or cause — other than an amorphous desire for change — the message is becoming dangerously self-referential. The Obama campaign all too often is about how wonderful the Obama campaign is.

Also, this link is actually worth clicking.
http://www.oliverwillis.com/archives/2008/02/07/mitt-romney-epic-fail/

daria-g, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ha holy shit nobody knew it was coming:

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/crowd_stunned_as_romney_drops.php

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Joe Klein and daria didn't read the metapolitics link

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

To be fair, Daria, a lot of the HRC campaign -- until recently -- was about how inevitable her nomination was.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I have so many opportunities for this country

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary swats obama across the nose with a lacy glove, demands satisfaction and pistols at dawn.

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Come volunteer for the day and bring a friend! There will be phones, Hillary trivia, and door prizes! The Hill-Star who brings the most people with him/her and the Hill-Star who makes the most phone calls by the end of the day will both receive an autographed copy of The American Health Choices Plan, Hillary's plan for universal health care coverage.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

loooool

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

There's a lot of opportunities
If there aren't, you can make them
Make or break them

I've got the brains, you've got the looks
Let's make lots of money

daria-g, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

There will be . . . Hillary trivia

Thank goodness she won't be dangerously self-referential.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney supporters began to boo. Others shouted, "No!" At least one woman shouted, loudly, "Why?"

"And in this time of war, I simply cannot let my campaign be a part of aiding a surrender to terror," he said.

More crowd noise: "No!" and "Oh no"

"This is not an easy decision for me. I hate to lose. My family, my friends and our supporters... many of you right here in this room... have given a great deal to get me where I have a shot at becoming President. If this were only about me, I would go on. But I entered this race because I love America, and because I love America. This has never been about me."

The crowd: "Come on! No!"

Romney: "I feel I have to now stand aside for our party and our country."

"We love you Mitt," one woman yelled.

Romney received a standing ovation upon exiting. His supports filed out of the ballroom, fumbling for their cell phones. I saw one woman crying

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Booo.... Scatterde for our party and our country
We love u mitt

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I do wonder if embittered Mitt groupies will boo McCain.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Every campaign does this kind of goofy shit to bring on volunteers, though. At least they're not handing out orange hats and setting up campgrounds :)

daria-g, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Can I just say that this is giving me massive giggletits:

"[...]This has never been about me."

The crowd: "Come on! No!"

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

I do wonder if embittered Mitt groupies will boo McCain.

Word is his speech was received with half applause, half boos.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

The part about some people surrendering to terror was a nice touch, Mittens

daria-g, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

But I entered this race because I love America, and because I love America.

but how does he feel about America?

akm, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Some calm and measured thoughts from the ever-reflective M. Malkin and her restrained, gentle commentators re: McCain's speech:

On February 7th, 2008 at 3:49 pm, miker said:

Ok this really takes the whole enchilada. As long as Juan McPain has Juan Hernadez within arms reach of his campaign, I will not believe one single word from him about Amnesty. Heck he just said “I stand behind my position on illegal immigrants”, so why does anyone think he would change his mind?

Satan himself could be running against McPain and McPain STILL wouldn’t get my vote. NEVER EVER!

Etc. etc.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ha holy shit nobody knew it was coming:

yeah totally awesome watching it live and knowing that.

GET ONE BLACKBERRY

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Satan himself could be running against McPain and McPain STILL wouldn’t get my vote. NEVER EVER!

Mature, even for her.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG GLEN BECK IS ON CNN RITE NOW EXPLAINING THE "I CANT VOTE FOR MCCAIN BECAUSE I'M AN ALCOHOLIC" RHETORIC!!!!!!!!!!!!!

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

YOU CANT KEEP ENABLING SOMEONE WHO HAS A PROBLEM!

YOU HAVE TO LET THEM COLLAPSE ON THEMSELVES!

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Mature, even for her.

That was actually one of the comments but I suspect she thought the same.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

so the Republican Party is like sweet, sweet liquor? (Southern Comfort?)

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

NO MCCAIN IS THE BOOZE

THE PARTY HAS A PROBLEM

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

A disease, then?

daria-g, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

SINGLE MALT MCCAIN, AGED 70 YEARS

dmr, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

can we get a .jpg of McCain on some malt liquor plz

x-post

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

a party, perverted

and what, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

no no, the McCain booze is aged in a damp cellar for 5 & 1/2 years

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:25 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, that's not funny

Mr. Que, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:26 (sixteen years ago) link

yikes

xp

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:27 (sixteen years ago) link

It's a little funny. Way more grim, but still a little funny.

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

"no no, the McCain booze is aged in a damp cellar for 5 & 1/2 years"

not funny at all

Bill Magill, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:28 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sorry, but that is a little funny.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:29 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/images/707.jpg

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I CANT VOTE FOR MCCAIN BECAUSE I'M AN ALCOHOLIC

What's this about?

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

i just explained upthread

it lead to jokes about mccain being a brand of booze

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, i guess i went there. pretty tasteless of me, sorry! lol xxp

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Isn't the current Republican an alcoholic?

Pleasant Plains, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

POURED OUT A MCCAIN FOR MY DEAD HOMIES

J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks for bringing up glenn beck guys!

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

John Barleycorn McCain

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Ah, conspiracy theories:

We're told from a reliable source on the ground at CPAC: "They stuffed the main room with McCain supporters. But the overflow room booed him heartily, cheered when Romney was mentioned, booed when McCain said he hopes we forgive his absence from CPAC in the past."

Our source was sure to add: "There was forced applause by the supporters, but not the whole room; laughs and scoffs when he mentioned his conservative record."

The overflow room has 100+ people in it, we're told, with minimal (seven-ish) McCain supporters.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I LOVE THE CORNER:

It Needs to Be Said [Kathryn Jean Lopez]

This McCain speech would not have been given today, if it weren't for folks like Mark Levin, Rush Limbaugh, Andy McCarthy, Sean Hannity, and Laura Ingraham. Can I thank them on behalf of America?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Any port in a storm, Ms. Lopez.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

The McCain speech was pretty vile. This bilge about Democratic obstruction on FISA (when Jay Rockefeller and Harry Reid want to help McConnell as much as they can) is pure cynicism:

It is shameful and dangerous that Senate Democrats are blocking an extension of surveillance powers that enable our intelligence and law enforcement to defend our country against radical Islamic extremists."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Shouldn't we be happy about McCain's pending nomination in one way: it signifies a stake through the heart of the Rove-esque Republican revolution? At least McCain has shown he's been able to go across the aisle in the past. If Congress remains Democratic, won't that be a good balance, if McCain in fact becomes Prez? Granted, he's utterly horrible on the war.

Bill Magill, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't see the quote in the post preceding mine. Forget what I said. That's a fucking joke

Bill Magill, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

She means he's being pushed to the right to appease the right-wing talk show cabal? If it's true, and if -- a big if -- he has to keep pushing rightward though November, it might hurt him in the GE.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah McCain has one of the worst records when it comes to privacy.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Shouldn't we be happy about McCain's pending nomination in one way: it signifies a stake through the heart of the Rove-esque Republican revolution?

Rove is as independent as anyone. He could decide to be a Democratic strategist if he feels it will help him and those who wish him to do so. Insert "muahaha"s as needed.

Rove left the sinking ship last year, for all intents and purpose.

Mackro Mackro, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:49 (sixteen years ago) link

um, no. Rove has been an activist, ideological Republican since he was young.

gabbneb, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

"Huckabee Defiant: On arrival in NY City to tape a show with Tyra Banks, Arkansan vows to go on."

sweet mother of fuck! oh man that show is going to be like a fever dream wtfffff

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

note to self: TIVO TYRA

HI DERE, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently Tom Delay is complaining about the room-stacking right now on Cavuto's show. Poor boy.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

POURED OUT A MCCAIN FOR MY DEAD HOMIES

-- J0rdan S., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:34

lol'd at this

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I am in shock over the upcoming TyraHuckapalypse.

Nicole, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't want to watch it, i just want the gifs

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

He's a populist!

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Some details:

Former Arkansas Governor and Presidential Candidate Mike Huckabee will attend private meetings and tape guest appearances on national television programs on Thursday, February 7, 2008. He will appear on Tyra Banks Show and The Colbert Report. Here are some video opportunities:

4:00 p.m. ET - Arrives at Tyra Banks Studio, 221 W 26th Ave (Between 7th and 8th)

4:15-5:15 p.m. ET - Taping of guest appearance on The Tyra Banks Show.

6:15 p.m. ET - Arrives at Steven Colbert Studios, 513 West 54th St (Between 10th and 11th Ave.)

6:30-7:30 p.m. ET - Taping of guest appearance on The Colbert Report.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Clearly all three of them should present together. This is a golden opportunity not to be wasted.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

bass guitars & vaseline for everyone!!!

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

He's a populist, she's a hottie. Good match.

Daniel, Esq., Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

and both crazier than a shithouse rat

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I really just love this because after all the serious/dumbass talk today at CPAC, what a contrast.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Ned Raggett OTM.

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

guys when does newt gingrich emerge from seclusion to save the gop?

mookieproof, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama "suggests Hillary should release her tax returns, if she's going to be putting her own money into the campaign."

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:09 (sixteen years ago) link

i really wish the media would stop with this BROWN VS. BLACK : RACE WAR! angle, it's almost as annoying as BLACK WOMEN IN CRISIS: RACE VS. GENDER from a few weeks back.

The Brainwasher, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Rasmussen tracking Obama & Clinton tied at 44%

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

My mom called me up right after Romney's speech. "In this time of war? In this time of war? If I was there, I would have hit him in the head with a stick."

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

And then we had an awkward conversation about the dems, since she's a Hillary supporter.

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently she came out of the voting booth on Tuesday and said to my dad, "Canceled your vote!"

Eppy, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

hahahaha

Shakey Mo Collier, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

BREAKING

OBAMA GIRL DIDN'T VOTE!!!!!

gr8080, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha

dmr, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

so does McCain's virtual lock on the Republican nomination possibly help Obama draw in independent voters in the forthcoming primaries -- the Anti-Hillary effect?

elmo argonaut, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

hahahhahaha

The Brainwasher, Thursday, 7 February 2008 22:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Romney: "This isn't an easy decision. I hate to lose."

LOL you douchebag losing wasn't your "decision"

Hurting 2, Thursday, 7 February 2008 23:07 (sixteen years ago) link

'suck my dick. j/k i luv u guis. no rly suck my dick.'

gff, Thursday, 7 February 2008 23:07 (sixteen years ago) link

there is totally something weird going on here

fucking Terry MacAulliffe. I hate that guy.

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

"oh we're so poor!"... "j/k bff!"

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 00:01 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah this is fishy

J0rdan S., Friday, 8 February 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Bubble Trouble in CA primary. You may have heard about it, but now there's a petition to get all the DTS votes counted, even if necessary for a count by hand.

bad news for the election integrity movement in California

There are 3 million total DTS voters in California who had for the 1st time this year the right to in Tuesday's Democratic Party presidential primary.

The bad news?

In what the media is now calling "Double Bubble Trouble," 94,000 "Decline-to-State" votes in Los Angeles County -- 50% of the total DTS ballots cast -- are being rejected due to a ballot design flaw, despite the Courage Campaign's discovery of the "double bubble" problem and official notification to the Registrar prior to Election Day.

Unfortunately, Dean Logan, the Registrar in charge of Los Angeles County, is refusing to conduct a physical hand-count of every "Decline-to-State" vote before the official vote is certified in just a few weeks.

Every vote must be counted. And time is running out. Please sign our petition to Registrar Dean Logan today demanding that he conduct a physical hand count of all "Decline-to-State" votes cast in the Democratic primary. The more names we add to this petition, the more likely it is that the Registrar will count every vote:
http://www.couragecampaign.org/page/s/counteveryvote

Please sign the petition for a total count.

Wiggy Woo, Friday, 8 February 2008 00:40 (sixteen years ago) link

1620 new answers

How the hell is anyone actually able to keep up with this thread? I've been reading it pretty much an hour or more a day and can't keep up.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Not to complain about anyone discussing the race. I'm glad for that.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:10 (sixteen years ago) link

How the hell is anyone actually able to keep up with this thread?

It was decided that the course of national politics was more interesting to follow whether or not Vampire Weekend only eat fresh organic cream cheese when on their yachts.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

It was decided that the course of national politics was more interesting to follow whether or not Vampire Weekend only eat fresh organic cream cheese when on their yacht.

Wait, wait: Who decided this?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

The cover of that VW disc is v. snazzy. Songs therein, not so much.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Non-zing. I've posted on the VW thread all of twice, I think, and couldn't give less of a damn what kind of class signifiers they give off. I spent probably six hours following this thread Tuesday, and still couldn't keep up with all of even that day's posts. xp

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I've been spending hours reading it from Tuesday's posts and I'm up to late Wednesday night now.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

I find it fascinating and wonderful that this time SO many people are interested. There was record breaking turnout at the CA polls Tuesday!

Wiggy Woo, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

CAN WE NOT MERGE THE TWO THREADS KTHNKXBYE

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ good idea

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

''Rolling Indie Thread 2008''

-- Keep it in here, boys.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:31 (sixteen years ago) link

I've posted on the VW thread all of twice, I think

I wasn't zinging you! I was explaining why I was here and why my VW thread contributions were essentially three posts worth of "They're from New York, the end."

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:33 (sixteen years ago) link

They're from NY? I thought they were from Cape Cod. Cod Rock.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I probably shouldn't have said anything, this is going way off-track.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

YEAH, WHY DID YOU SAY THAT?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:36 (sixteen years ago) link

(j/k)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

A question: I keep seeing doubt expressed at Obama's ability to take Ohio. Is there any legitimate reason why, at this point, Obama should have difficulty taking Ohio? I don't know the specifics of the Clinton/Obama's campaigns in that state, but judging by the precedents set by other states, the demographics seem to be in his favor.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:39 (sixteen years ago) link

HRC is very well mobilized in Ohio (big comittment of resources).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

after he racks up victories in the next few weeks clinton will proclaim she' broke and cry about it.

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:41 (sixteen years ago) link

my gut feeling is that OH will be right-down-the-middle like Missouri and either one could grab it

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

so guys.

did you hear about mitt romney.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

RIP ;_;

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Great timing on Dobson's part

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Plus it's part of HRC's new ''big state'' strategy. She'll likely lose a lot between now and the Ohio/Tx primaries, and she's focused on (re)gaining momentum by winning those two big states.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:46 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFSVG7jRp_g

^^^^

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

You think it will matter, Ned (either now or in November)?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

her strategy doesn't make sense to me because this is a "delegate race" now, and if obama wins 7 primaries/caucuses in a row (with VERY decisive victories like he's been doing) he'll have an even bigger delegate lead, and tons of momentum.. so once they get to Texas and Ohio he will either : 1. win 2. come within a few percentage points and get half of the delegates anyway... right?!?

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, that's how it seems to me, although I doubt he'll get decisive victories in all 7 states. WA, at least, seems pretty split.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Her strategy sounds loosely modeled on Giuliani's "Florida gambit," which may not be a good sign. Unlike him, tho, she'll campaign, pour resources into the other states, and make them contests. Put differently, she won't allow herself to slip from the public conciousness.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

You think it will matter, Ned (either now or in November)?

I just think it's a bit goofy.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

click that youtube for obama talking about how he likes that new 'american gangster' album

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

and plz to contrast w/ sista soulja clinton

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I just think it's a bit goofy.

It's all Dobson has left this election cycle, short of (a) extracting massive concessions from McCain now (before he's locked up the nomination, but even that's a stretch, given that McCain has no serious challengers anymore), (b) supporting the Democratic nominee in the GE or (c) backing a third-party candidate.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Now it's funny you should mention third-party -- the Anchoress seems to be the only person on the right who is pursuing the whole 'suspend' theme to a...well, not necessarily logical conclusion, but an intriguing one. I'd been idly wondering about that myself.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

deej what does dude say, can't watch it at work

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

he also likes The Wire, his fave character is Omar.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:01 (sixteen years ago) link

he says a nuanced bit about how he likes hip-hop but disagrees w/ some of the messages, nothing overwhelming except when u think about how he could be president

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

If there's a third-party run, I'm wondering where it will come from: Anti-immigrant sentiment, evangelical supporters (or a combo of the two). Ron Paul won't work, tho he may run as a third party. I'm not sure prominent evangelical leaders want to get behind a losing GE effort, unless the strategy is explicitly to deny McCain the Presidency.

As I've said elsewhere on this thread, tho, I know at least one prominent evangelical leader in Florida, who assures me that he'll support -- and even campaign for -- McCain in November (even tho McCain is hardly his first choice for the GOP nomination).

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:03 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah the vibe cover story to that effect back in oct was pretty interesting.

i saved that shit and plan to keep it like my dad kept moon landing headlines & shit.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

um, there is a third party candidate.

http://visibility911.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/10/cynthiamckinney.jpg

Green Party, bitches.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

She seems so happy.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

If there's a third-party run, I'm wondering where it will come from

http://us.history.wisc.edu/hist102/photos/assets/photos/1118.jpg

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

BRING IT ON, OLD MAN!

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

she looks very presidential in the last pic IMO.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL. She has crazy, bugged-out eyes.

I LOVE HER.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

she is very pretty.

that's cynthia mckinney, right? i like her.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

that shit last year where they were running the terrible mugshot of her over and over to play up the LOL CRAZY BLACK LADY angle really pissed me off.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Give this a run, y'all. I tied between Hillary and Barack

Canditate Quiz

B.L.A.M., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I got Obama:

Barack Obama
Score: 54
Video Agree
Immigration
Taxes
Stem-Cell Research
Health Care
Abortion
Line-Item Veto
Energy
Marriage
Gun Control
Education

Disagree
Iraq
Social Security
Death Penalty
Environment

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:28 (sixteen years ago) link

MIKE GRAVEL!??

MIKE GRAVEL!??

Oy, vey. Anyway, it's

Mike Gravel
Obama
HRC
Ron Paul
Mitt Romney
John McCain (way in back, he must be a conservative)
Mike Huckabee

Hmmm. . .

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

I got Gravel too. I keep forgetting that Hil and Obama are both for "merit pay" for teachers, ugh.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I also wish there were better Iraq options. But what can you do?

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

ILX'ors for MIKE GRAVEL.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

if only you could choose a candidate based on their current positions on issues which all happened to be weighted equally. lol.

Cosmo Vitelli, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

My top 2:

Hillary Clinton
Score: 39

Barack Obama
Score: 39

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:37 (sixteen years ago) link

and yeah, fuck merit pay

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

why, i think it's a good idea.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Last thing teachers need is more incentive to teach to the test.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:43 (sixteen years ago) link

well, i think there should be new standards set in place to judge whether a student is up to par - not just standardized tests, but if a teacher has a large percentage of their students up to or even surpassing grade-level the teacher should be rewarded

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Average student scores don't describe the average student, they describe a student popution that's generally OK but then has a few students that are so far behind that they pull everything down. Those kids need to have more time devoted to them, which means you have to pay for more teachers or teachers' aids. Merit pay based on student performance will motivate teachers not to help "problem kids" so they won't get saddled with more and the ones they have will get transferred to another teacher.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i got gravel, too

gbx, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Merit pay based on student performance will motivate teachers not to help "problem kids" so they won't get saddled with more and the ones they have will get transferred to another teacher.

I don't know about this. If these "problem kids" are the ones pulling down the class-average, then teacher would HAVE to help them out, no? When those students improve, the class average rises... Merit Pay would reward teachers who put in the extra effort and really try with their students, at least in theory...

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

candidate quiz is dumb as hell.

The immigration question has no good answers - 'fining employers' is attached to "and then lynch all the wetbacks" shit. WTF?

milo z, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

teachers in middle class schools = $$$, teachers in inner-cities = :(

dowd, Friday, 8 February 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

To really get a problem kid to improve, teachers generally need to spend almost all their time with the kid, and if they do that, then they're not teaching all the other children, whose grades then fall. Plus, like I say, once you get the reputation for being good with dicipline problems or learning-disabled students, you just get more the next year, which would make it even harder to get the bonus. If we're talking federal education reform, I'd much rather see a) more money for teacher's aids, and b) signing bonuses for math & science teachers, who could do better salary-wise in the private sector. Or, you know, just more money in general.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know about this. If these "problem kids" are the ones pulling down the class-average, then teacher would HAVE to help them out, no? When those students improve, the class average rises... Merit Pay would reward teachers who put in the extra effort and really try with their students, at least in theory...

-- The Brainwasher, Friday, February 8, 2008 2:56 AM

The problem is that, given the degree to which some of these "problem kids" have issues, trying to help them (even to the best of your ability!) has a way of stalling the learning process for the rest of the classroom.

xp ha eppy

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

whether "merit pay" for teachers is a good idea depends a lot on how you structure it. Obviously you wouldn't just want to link it to overall test scores because then teachers in districts with better scores would just be riding the wave. Linking it to "improvement" in test scores might sound like a better idea, but how do you actually measure that unless a teacher stays with the same students? If you're talking about a more complex system that involves evaluation based on a variety of criteria that have to do with more than tests, then it could be a good idea, but there are lots of inherent dangers in that. You don't want it to become a tool of retaliation, for example.

The current system probably does too little to reward merit and punish crappiness - I say that as the husband of a very hardworking teacher. But I think there's also a myth that the schools are filled with garbage union/tenure-protected teachers who are just there to get a paycheck. There aren't many teachers like that. The way to improve the schools is smaller class sizes, better funding structures (more spent directly on education, more equity), and greater socio-economic diversity in schools.

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:03 (sixteen years ago) link

merit-pay is ultimately just another gimmicky idea that will make little difference

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, exactly. Merit pay is fine, but it's not actually going to help anything.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I got Hillz. : (

Followed by:
O
Gravel
Paul
Mitt Romney RIP ;_;
McCain
Huck

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

i got barack, random internet quiz otm

gershy, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Possible Democratic VPs. Unsurprisingly -- based both on history and on the top-tier candidates' dislike for each other -- neither Obama nor HRC is expected to select the other as VP if given the opportunity to do so. Interestingly, and again, unsurprisingly, the Ohio Gov. is a likely VP choice for both candidates. Jim Webb -- my VP preference -- is also among the top candidates.

This, of course, is all based on SCIENCE.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 03:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I learned from Chris Matthews today that JFK and LBJ hated eacother so that doesn't really preclude an Obama/Clinton ticket

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary. differences: death penalty (I'm strongly against it but.. none of them are with me on that), energy (not for subsidies for ethanol.. I think.. not real knowledgeable on that though).

She's against merit pay as well --

Question: Should teachers receive pay based on the performance of their students?
Answer: No
Explanation: Hillary Clinton told Iowa teachers that merit pay is a bad idea, and that it could be "demeaning and discouraging." She also commented that there is no fair way to determine which teachers deserve a pay increase. She supports increased funding for those schools that are showing improvement, because teachers are more important as a team than an individual.

per the "explanations" on this site Obama is for it.

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Obama is more likely than Obama/Clinton because I really, really doubt Hillz would settle for Veep. What would be the point.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton: 58
Obama: 55
...
Huckabee: 10
McCain: 7

Pretty accurate.
(Still caucusing for Obama tho)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Typically, the nominee rarely chooses the runner-up for the VP spot. The link I provided mentions this. Kerry choose Edwards, and Reagan choose Bush, but you need to go backwards for years and years (to the 60s, I think) to find the next example.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 03:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, but the opposite could be just as valid because of "recent trends in VP nominations"

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:55 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of Kerry/Edwards, have you guys read this?:

Kerry talked with several potential picks, including Gephardt and Edwards. He was comfortable after his conversations with Gephardt, but even queasier about Edwards after they met. Edwards had told Kerry he was going to share a story with him that he'd never told anyone else—that after his son Wade had been killed, he climbed onto the slab at the funeral home, laid there and hugged his body, and promised that he'd do all he could to make life better for people, to live up to Wade's ideals of service. Kerry was stunned, not moved, because, as he told me later, Edwards had recounted the same exact story to him, almost in the exact same words, a year or two before—and with the same preface, that he'd never shared the memory with anyone else. Kerry said he found it chilling, and he decided he couldn't pick Edwards unless he met with him again. When they did, Kerry tried to get a better personal feel for his potential number two; as rivals for national office since 2000, shortly after Edwards had entered the Senate, the two men hadn't spent a lot of time together. Kerry also wanted a specific reassurance. He asked Edwards for a commitment that if he was chosen and the ticket lost, Edwards wouldn't run against him in 2008. Edwards agreed "absolutely," as Kerry recalled him saying. If Kerry had shared this at the time, I would have told him what I did later: it was naive to think he could rely on a promise like that. Unlike Joe Lieberman, who'd been plucked from relative obscurity by Gore, Edwards had made his own mark in the primaries. He was ambitious—and if he saw his chance the next time, he was likely to go for it.

On the day the Edwards pick was made public, Edwards and I talked for the first time since I had informed him of our decision to work for Kerry and he had reacted angrily. He said he knew I'd helped get him on the ticket and he was grateful. I told him that I welcomed the possibility that we might be friends again, but that wasn't the reason for my preference. I believed it was the right move for Kerry. Kerry's relationship with Edwards would sour after the election—and mine would simply fade away. When Elizabeth discovered she had breast cancer, John and Teresa reached out to help the Edwardses find the best doctors they could. Marylouise and I called—but afterward, never heard from John again. Maybe we shouldn't have expected to. Kerry told me that the Edwardses simply stopped returning calls or talking to him and Teresa. Within months, Edwards started preparing for a bid in 2008. Kerry said that he wished he'd never picked Edwards, that he should have gone with his gut.

...

http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1626498-1,00.html

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

This is an interesting thought, too, but I'm skeptical. Maybe the press will turn against Obama, but (a) I don't think it will and (b) even if it did, I don't think it will hurt him as much as you might fear. Obama's power doesn't come from an adoring press core (but, cf, see J. McCain), it comes from his amazing grace and power as a speaker. That's what is so special about him. That and he's an innovator in terms of campaigning skills. So I'm not as worried about this as Kevin Drum apparently is.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 03:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, I read that. It really makes Edwards look opportunistic and just bad.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 03:58 (sixteen years ago) link

which was my gut feeling about his populism to begin with

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:01 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost re Obama backlash -- when you need to pull in a blog post by James Wolcott as evidence of a trend, you're kinda reaching.

Martin Van Burne, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:12 (sixteen years ago) link

hi guys i just drop buy wondering if you all could illustrate a tidy resume of whats up with say clinton, obama and why not mccain on the following themes

* Health and social mission
* Environment and Sustainable Development
* Management of the state and economy
* Education, Family and Human Development
* Future of us politics

Sébastien, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:15 (sixteen years ago) link

ban Sebastien

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost -- no robots?

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Wow. Edwards and Santorum enjoying some quality time with their dead sons.

LOL. She hais crazy, bugged-out eyes.

I used to like McKinney, and even Zell Miller, but something crazy happened to Georgia Democrats.

Pleasant Plains, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

SPEAKING of Santorum, what the hell is he thinking tonight, I wonder -- seeing George Allen up there introducing McCain and him all 'but I'M the real conservative ex-Senator! fuck you!'

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I used to like McKinney, and even Zell Miller, but something crazy happened to Georgia Democrats.

otm

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

hi guys i just drop buy wondering if you all could illustrate a tidy resume of whats up with say clinton, obama and why not mccain on the following themes

try the internet

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm a bit tired to tackle all of Sebastian's post, (n.1) but as to this item

Management of the . . . economy

I'd say it's an easy choice (for me). Obama and Clinton favor progressive taxing of upper-income earners and would target any stimulus to the sector that really can stimulate the economy (working-class people, who actually would use any stimulus funds to pay for goods, thus injecting that money back into the economy, and stimulating it).

By contrast, McCain -- when he has economic ideas at all (he's candidly admitted that he lacks an interest in, and a deep knowledge of, the economy) -- says that spending cuts stimulate the econony, and former Sen. Phil Gramm, not known for his compassion on economic issues, is one of McCain's top advisors (I can dig up some choice Gramm stuff later). Also, one of his few sensible economic positions -- opposing the Bush tax cuts -- is now part of his reinvention of himself (he now says he only opposed the cuts because there weren't equivalent spending cuts, which is something he certainly didn't say (or even imply among his reasons) at the time).

Long story short: There are very good reasons to believe, on policy and other grounds, that either Obama or HRC is make a better manager of the economy than would McCain.

_______________________________
(n.1) However, I don't think he should be run off. We need more conservative voices around here. Real debate strengthens the mind.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:24 (sixteen years ago) link

"He," in my footnote, is Sebastian.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

re: o backlash

"Here's the thing. My parents remember this kind of fervor for John F. Kennedy. I remember it to a slightly lesser degree for Bill Clinton - who, by the way, is still a rockstar, still draws fans who want to touch him and have him sign their bras, and can still hold a room of his supporters riveted for two hours with just his voice. I've seen it happen. It is, actually, a little unnerving."

but wait there's more

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Mccain believes in supply-side/voodoo-/reaganomics.

Any more questions?

kingfish, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:32 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha oh ZELL MILLER, how we forget you, you who reminds us of such a bad period in all our lives

kingfish, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

You might forget him, but Zell Miller & Co. had the last laugh that year. Oh, how I fondly remember those halcyon days of late October 2004 ("Zogby says Kerry is almost a shoe-in!," "I can feel a change in the air," "Bush will lose this election").

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i got hillz followed narrowly by b. hussein obama

lol huckabee didn't even appear on my list

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:38 (sixteen years ago) link

OMG, Obama's middle name is Hussein!?! I'm changing my vote.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama and Clinton favor progressive taxing of upper-income earners and would target any stimulus to the sector that really can stimulate the economy (working-class people, who actually would use any stimulus funds to pay for goods, thus injecting that money back into the economy, and stimulating it).

Theoretical at best.

I would be happier if one of the candidates would say we need market correction before we can even consider any sort of stimulus package. In no circumstance should we help someone who enters a speculative market when they could not afford to do so or the financial institutions that opened the door for them.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Theoretical at best.

What do you mean by this?

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:40 (sixteen years ago) link

(Do you mean that the candidates' economic plans are theoretical at best, or my description of those plans is too theoretical, and thus inaccurate?)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:42 (sixteen years ago) link

I would be happier if one of the candidates would say we need market correction before we can even consider any sort of stimulus package. In no circumstance should we help someone who enters a speculative market when they could not afford to do so or the financial institutions that opened the door for them.

Daniel wasn't even talking about housing/foreclosures here. You're conflating two different issues.

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:43 (sixteen years ago) link

That's right.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:44 (sixteen years ago) link

the themes in my post were the themes of our "debate of the chiefs" televised extravaganza, i was sort of posting for contrast or something, i mean, sustainable development? anyone heard a word of it .. i havent! from watching ok tv of a foreign coverage of us election pov idksddc,bvfsf,n

Sébastien, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Not sure about all the "Sustainable Development" issues. McCain, I believe, says that global warming is a real threat requiring change. He sponsored a bill to cut emissions, I think, years ago, which was defeated, but later drew criticism for supporting a more tepid GOP bill.

I'm working from vague memory here, tho. Someone else here can correct me if I'm mistaken.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:49 (sixteen years ago) link

well right winger radio says he "believes in the global warming hoax"

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Right. Example of Conservative Scientist attacking McCain for his 2004 climate-change Congressional Hr'gs.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Thing about all the McCain-related bitching is that it's primarily from (using Dr. Bob Altermeyer's def) your standard rightwing-authoritarian follower-types. In other words, they'll fall in line with whatever "strong leader" is defined for them.

So that's 28-30% of the vote secured for McCain already.

kingfish, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

A longer piece on the same subject (McCain's 2004 position on global warming).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh, yeah. I have no doubt that -- when push comes to shove -- the right wing will fall in line behind McCain. Especially if HRC is the Democratic nominee.

I know some say differently now. Words, words, words.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 04:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I think SOME of the right wing will stay home. But I wouldn't get overconfident yet

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:58 (sixteen years ago) link

also while I find it hard to believe talk radio won't come around, they're hammering McCain so much that it's a bit difficult to see how they'll change courses

Hurting 2, Friday, 8 February 2008 04:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Words, words, words.

Lots of sabre-rattling now. They'll come around.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 05:00 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/02/07/60minutes/main3804268.shtml

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Everything we know (and might say) now is going to change after the conventions.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 05:16 (sixteen years ago) link

"...Whoever wins this Democratic primary...they're the toughest, baddest candidate on the block."

eeeh, relatively speaking, but kinda true.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

(grahmor aside)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 05:19 (sixteen years ago) link

obama at noon not 11 say the friends who work at key arena

jergïns, Friday, 8 February 2008 06:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama campaign says "doors open at 11" for Key Arena event.

Sparkle Motion, Friday, 8 February 2008 07:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Go there with yer cameras. We want pics, dammit, and not just the usual wire services.

kingfish, Friday, 8 February 2008 07:20 (sixteen years ago) link

How many folks here have blown out a lunch for a campaign event? The only time i can think of doing so was when Ralph Nader visited Ann Arbor sometime in 2000, and we sat around in the theater for an extra 30-60 'coz he was delayed.

kingfish, Friday, 8 February 2008 07:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.glumbert.com/media/romneyarnold

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 07:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm debating whether to go down to the Obama-rama tomorrow. I have a meeting at that time, but it's just a school thing that I can easily skip out on.

The Reverend, Friday, 8 February 2008 08:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Jay-Z merch at Easy Street should fly tomorrow

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 08:33 (sixteen years ago) link

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2004171450_clinton08m.html

RON SIMS, ET TU?

No mattah, I'm kinda happy to see Hillary cutting out some bullshit in her appearances. (Bill being in Tacoma helps) She's sharpening herself. Although I'll hold that thought until Obama at noon tomorrow.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 08:45 (sixteen years ago) link

No endorsement of Hillary from Gov. Gregoire yet

HMMMM

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 08:51 (sixteen years ago) link

lolz Ann Coulter on "The Today Show." Matt Lauer is soooooooo in love with her.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 12:18 (sixteen years ago) link

most of you have probable read up on it all already, but here's an article that sums up the clintons' funding situation fairly well

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120244004594552909.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_leftbox

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

here's another:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=washingtonstory&sid=a7Fp3OexFdD0

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama "has more than 650,000 donors. That's far more than the Clinton campaign, which won't release the numbers."

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:31 (sixteen years ago) link

the pessimism in me thinks that it's going to be neck and neck until the end, with clinton winning because of the michigan/florida delegates

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:38 (sixteen years ago) link

"One thing about the current debate debate: Obama's has agreed to the two debates in which Clinton is probably least interested -- ones held in states where she leads, Ohio and Texas.

Meanwhile, he's not going to risk a game-changing debate moment until after the next run of votes, in which he seems to have an edge, is over."

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:47 (sixteen years ago) link

karl rove, as he's stated before, thinks it'll most likely be hillary:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/karl_rove_on_the_democratic_race.html

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Gee, I wonder why.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

yep

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton and Obama are threatening America's peace and prosperity, says GWB.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/02/08/bush-peace-and-prosperi_n_85646.html

StanM, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Jesus God, the conventions aren't til late summer. Who the hell can take this for so long?

great Dennis Perrin quote: "the Most Important Election Ever In Our Lifetimes, More Important Than The 1932 German National Election And You Know What Happened Then"

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:22 (sixteen years ago) link

also, re "Who need more debates?" Uh, maybe if they actually discussed the major issues they've hardly (if at all) touched on? Israel, campaign finance reform, the need to raise taxes on the wealthy, Russia, the trillion dollars of US debt China holds, etc.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Who the hell can take this for so long?

haha maybe don't check the thread 100 times a day then! for an unimportant coke vs. pepsi taste test you sure seem to keep up on the news about it

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I gotta keep busy somehow til exhibition baseball starts, dude.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:34 (sixteen years ago) link

<i>How many folks here have blown out a lunch for a campaign event? The only time i can think of doing so was when Ralph Nader visited Ann Arbor sometime in 2000, and we sat around in the theater for an extra 30-60 'coz he was delayed.</i>

I once skipped class to see Fonzie stand on a box in the middle of Peace Park and preach about the strengths and abilities of Bill Clinton.

Pleasant Plains, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i hope the press will follow up on Obama's suggestion for Clinton to release her tax returns

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

WA Gov is endorsing Obama, apparently. maybe this was mentioned and I missed it, but I know people were speculating the Clinton conference today was to announce his endorsement...guess not

akm, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

oh is that the noonan article from today? xxpost

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost - yea i thought that endorsement was in the bag for the clintons camp!

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

actually maybe i didn't hear that

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Deep down journalists think she's a political Rasputin who will not be dispatched. Prince Yusupov served him cupcakes laced with cyanide, emptied a revolver, clubbed him, tied him up and threw him in a frozen river. When he floated to the surface they found he'd tried to claw his way from under the ice. That is how reporters see Hillary.

And that is a grim and over-the-top analogy, which I must withdraw. What I really mean is they see her as the Glenn Close character in "Fatal Attraction": "I won't be ignored, Dan!"

Way to go, Noons! Jeez: "Hillary's an incarnation of the dire, atavistic will to power. No, scratch that -- she's a psychopathic cunt LOL." o_O WTF I'm not one to defend Hils but that's some wacko sexist shit, Peg.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 15:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Ra, ra, Hill-a-rey...

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Married to a love machine...

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Former Sen Lincoln Chafee (R-RI) may change party and endorse Obama. Local news, I know, but may help to balance the delegate totals here on March 4, small though they may be.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:07 (sixteen years ago) link

(He was the only Republican senator to oppose the authorization of the Iraq War, FWIW)

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Great Hendrik Hertzberg piece this week. This is basically what I've been saying to Clinton supporters within the last few weeks (although less articulately):

Obama’s Democratic critics worry that his soaring rhetoric of reconciliation is naïve. But, as Mark Schmitt has argued in The American Prospect, Obama’s national-unity pitch should be viewed as a tactic as well as an ideal. It might lengthen his coattails, helping Democratic candidates for the House and the Senate in marginally red districts and states. It would not protect him from attack, of course, but it would enable him to fire back from the high ground. And, as a new President elected with a not quite filibuster-proof Senate, he would be in a better position to peel off the handful of Republican senators he would need to make meaningful legislative progress than someone who started from a defensive crouch. Hillary Clinton would make a competent, knowledgeable, and responsible President. Barack Obama just might make a transformative one.

jaymc, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama just might make a transformative one.

While this is a big reason why I have and will continue to support Obama, it's also the reason one of my colleagues isn't supporting him. He supports Clinton because he thinks she can screw up a lot less in 4 or 8 years than Obama can. (He assumes that a Republican will screw things up worse than either.)

Euler, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Lincoln Chafee is kind of awesome.

HI DERE, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

He supports Clinton because he thinks she can screw up a lot less in 4 or 8 years than Obama can. (He assumes that a Republican will screw things up worse than either.)

this is also the thinking of my "true conservative" friend, who was unhappy with the post-rudy republican options and is pissed at bush for damaging "true conservatism." (i've pointed out that this sounds suspiciously like unreformed marxists saying that failures in the ussr/cuba/etc don't matter because "they weren't true communists," but to no effect)

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Lincoln Chafee is a really amazing guy IRL too, for what it's worth

remy bean, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/02/06/should-democrats-fear-a-long-race.aspx

Should Democrats Fear a Long Race?

I've seen a few people suggest that it'll be a disaster for the Dems if the primary drags out until the convention in August. See, for instance, Ed Morrissey, who predicts a "coming meltdown" if, say, superdelegates hand Clinton the nomination, black voters revolt, McCain gets ample time to win over conservatives, and the Dem nominee has only a short window to raise funds and consolidate support. That's an extreme scenario, but I've heard other versions, too.

I'm not sure. One could, alternatively, imagine that the absence of a clear Democratic opponent would make it much harder for McCain to start attacking (back in 2004, the GOP was able to coalesce around the Kerry flip-flopping meme early on, which gave it time to sink in). Meanwhile, it seems that as long as the Democratic nomination is up in the air, dissatisfied conservatives are more likely to spend time airing their grievances with McCain than training their fire on his opponent.

Clinton and Obama would also have time to sharpen their message on the economy, in a debate waged largely on their terms—McCain's ability to change the subject here would be minimal. And they'll presumably get positive press so long as it's a horse race. Obviously there are wild cards (if the Clinton-Obama slugfest got much, much uglier, that would hurt; and Morrissey's right that it would be a fiasco-and-a-half if superdelegates unfairly swung the race, or if the Michigan/Florida controversy explodes), but on its own, a drawn-out Dem race isn't necessarily a problem for the party—and might even be a boon.

and what, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:27 (sixteen years ago) link

normally I'd be inclined to support the "practical" candidate, but 2008 isn't a normal election year.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary Clinton would make a competent, knowledgeable, and responsible President. Barack Obama just might make a transformative one.

Notice the difference in verbs though: "would make" vs. "just might make". This is kind of how I see it too. It's hard to imagine that Clinton wouldn't at least be a competent, effective President, but she's unlikely to change the nature of the political conversation. Obama, OTOH, is a more speculative bet, but with more upside. He might change the political landscape - or he might be an ineffectual idealist (shades of Carter, perhaps).

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't Zbignew Brzezinski one of Obama's top advisors? lol

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:32 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton: low risk, low return
obama: high risk, high return
mccain: high risk, low return

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Should Democrats fear democracy?

"competent president" = things continue to get worse, more slowly

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:34 (sixteen years ago) link

well gradual decline (which is inevitable) is better than a freefall... hilary is the safe choice

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:35 (sixteen years ago) link

"A Clinton Presidency is going to be unexciting, not especially idealistic and only better by comparison with Bush. But it will break no one's hearts."

interesting sentiment from some livejournal linked by some blog

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:37 (sixteen years ago) link

not that i agree, but a perspective to understand the obama-wariness in most traditional dems

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

It will break conservatives' hearts, and delight GOP fundraisers.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Gov. Gregoire for Obama! w00t.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:39 (sixteen years ago) link

see this is what confuses me: clinton: low risk, low return, but i take it this assumes she'll get elected. i've never understood why clinton is seen as a low risk candidate -- sure, she's likely to run a competent presidency and in that regard she is low risk.

but yea, that's assuming she gets elected, which is huge fucking assumption. as a candidate in a general election, she strikes as being the higher risk by far. as others have mentioned 1000x, it just doesn't seem likely that she'll win over any new supporters apart from the normal democratic constituencies, i.e. exactly what gore and kerry won previously, i.e. not enough to win the general election i just don't see her winning over anybody that mccain couldn't win more easily.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

isn't Zbignew Brzezinski one of Obama's top advisors? lol

Obama was one of his star students

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

clinton: low risk, low return
obama: high risk, high return

I understand that this is all part of the "experience vs. change" narrative, but what is the actual 'high risk' w/ Obama? That he'll crumble under the pressure, or not put people more experienced than him in the cabinet? I'm just trying to imagine what the nightmare scenario is with him, and other than him failing to clean up the Iraq mess really well or magically save the economy (things I'm not entirely sure any president would be capable of right now, at least in one term), I'm not sure what that is.

Alex in Baltimore, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Brzezinski was against the Iraq War from the beginning, I believe. And he's a smart guy, if perhaps a bit too dove-ish for some.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 16:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Reading the Wikipedia Jimmy Carter page, it's interesting to note other parallels:

- Like this year, in 1976 there was a wide-open field in the Democratic primary.

- Carter started the campaign as an underdog with low national name-recognition.

- A key to Carter's success was favorable coverage by the national news media:

The media discovered and promoted Carter. As Lawrence Shoup noted in his 1980 book The Carter Presidency and Beyond:

"What Carter had that his opponents did not was the acceptance and support of elite sectors of the mass communications media. It was their favorable coverage of Carter and his campaign that gave him an edge, propelling him rocket-like to the top of the opinion polls. This helped Carter win key primary election victories, enabling him to rise from an obscure public figure to President-elect in the short space of 9 months."

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:48 (sixteen years ago) link

On the economic front, it's not hard to see parallels between the stagflation that confronted the Carter administration, and what will likely be the situation facing the next President.

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

also, they've both got big ears and a funny smile

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I was pleased to find out last night that my mom voted for Obama. She's roughly Hillary's age and is an ambitious businesswoman, so I guess I just assumed that she'd vote for one of her own. She said she was on the fence until election day, but in the end she decided she wanted to send a message that she wanted more than just politics as usual. And she compared Obama to JFK, saying that she's confident that if he is the nominee that he would attract "the best and brightest" to work for him.

jaymc, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd really like to know more about Carter's presidency, he's such an interesting figure.. whats a good book on the subject?

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

they've both got big ears and a funny smile

Huckabee, too. In fact, Obama and Huckabee could create the BIG-EARS UNITY TICKET that the country so desperately wants.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 16:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I convinced my grandma to vote for Obama.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd really like to know more about Carter's presidency, he's such an interesting figure.. whats a good book on the subject?

The Poseidon Adventure

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

The mass media also torpedoed Carter's last year w/ the incessant castration-fear drumbeat of AMERICA HELD HOSTAGE

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

(j/k). Carter was perhaps underrated. Unlike the Presidents to follow him, he had too much humility and modesty to pass off responsibility for bad happenings on other people (e.g., his famous "the economy's woes are my fault" speech, which you can't imagine a President giving today).

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Alex in Baltimore OTM. I've had the same discussion with the very smart but weirdly neocon-ish dude in the office across the hall. I guess I understand some of the apprehension w/r/t to Obama, but it seems weirdly vociferous among otherwise reasonable indies and even Dems (this is all personal experience. I don't have any polls to back this up).

At the very least, dude couldn't do worse than the last 8 yrs even if he called a press conference each and every morning of his term to let the American public watch him take a dump on the White House lawn.

will, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:57 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: wait a sec, Carter's "malaise" speech was widely interpreted as putting blame on the American public. (also unimaginable today, as was his winning the nom with NO MONEY)

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

For anyone who's studied political science, the Carter comparison makes you cringe--the Carter administration is a legendary source of cautionary tales. Neudstadt's (and someone else's) book Thinking in Time contains so many critiques of Carter's actions that at one point they actually apologize for picking on him.

Point is, there are important differences, not the least of which is that Obama's been a senator and so has national experience, whereas Carter came from Georgia and tried to change Washington with new people. Unlike Carter, Obama is shying away from talking about timeframes for getting things done, which is good. And he does seem more savvy about how Washington works than Carter was. Obama's strategy thus far has been underappreciated and savvy as hell. Carter took advantages of new electoral rules and post-Watergate cynicism to come from behind. Clinton came from behind on a message of hope as a southern governor too. And he had many of Carter's problems. I think Obama's smart enough to avoid them. He'll make his own mistakes.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Ambinder offers a list of potential McCain Veeps:

1. Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN)
2. Gov. John Huntsman (R-UT)
3. Sen. John Thune (R-SD)
4. Ex-Sen. Fred Thompson
5. Ex-Sen. George Allen
6. Gov. Bobby Jindall (R-LA)
7. Mike Huckabee
8. Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL)
9. Mitt Romney

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Carter was a nice guy but a horrible president.

Obama's message isn't "Washington is Broken" but "Let's All Stop Being Such Dicks For a Half-Second, OK?" He's more looking to return the system to some sort of stability than he is in reforming it. (Which makes uh certain folks here see red, I'm sure.)

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Haha uh I guess I should say is a nice guy, huh.

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

ok, HALF my bus on the way to work was vacant. I was the youngest person on the bus, I'm usually in the older half. Obamahooky in effect.

(if I wasn't already caucusing for O, going to work, and knowing that half of the city is going to the rally at noon today, I'd be playing hooky too)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Brzezinski is NOT by any stretch a "dove."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe I'm mis-remembering it, but I thought he took blame for at least a large portion of the economy's woes during that speech.

I'll look into it later.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 17:04 (sixteen years ago) link

You're right, Alfred. But Brzezinski was against the Iraq War from the beginning (I believe), and he's been pilloried for it.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Walter Karp wrote a few sympathetic essays on the Carter administration - how as genuine insurgents he was regarded with something like contempt by the Democratic Party establishment and was thus doomed to fail. But it didn't help that he and his staff held Congress in such contempt that Tip O'Neil and others wouldn't even return his phone calls by the third year.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

the inclusion of george "macaca" allen is a bit o_0, he was on stage at CPAC before McCain, and he'd make a good attack dog but his recent loss and lampooning in the media would make him a huge liability to a GE campiagn, y/n? xxxpost

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:07 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that Sanford and maybe Barbour are leading McCain veep possibilities.

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Gook/Macaca '08

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, seriously, it won't be Huckabee. He's one of the few people the right-wing talk-show circuit hates more than John McCain.

Daniel, Esq., Friday, 8 February 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Dobson's endorsing Huck!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

Barbour!?

Rock Hardy, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Carter's presidency also underlined the importance of the bully pulpit. He was notoriously weak at communication and handled the media ineptly.

Michael White, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting details from the new TIME poll:

The poll also sampled all voters' views of several possible vice presidential choices — and their various impacts on a potential race. According to the survey results, 62% of likely voters want Hillary Clinton to name Obama as her running mate. By contrast, only 51% of the same voters want Obama to return the favor. The same voters, by a margin of 55% to 11%, believed that Obama would help rather than hurt Clinton's chances were he to become her running mate. If Obama tapped Clinton as his running mate, that margin shifted, with 38% saying it would help his chances and 31% saying it would hurt.

http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1711123,00.html?xid=rss-nation

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:17 (sixteen years ago) link

pretty much nails the "hillary clinton has higher negatives" plank in place, like the press wasn't slow enough to catch on to that

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

yea, too bad half the voters haven't caught on to that

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Barbour!?

-- Rock Hardy, Friday, February 8, 2008 11:13 AM (10 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

!?!?!?

will, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Re: Gov. Gregoire endorsement of Obama.

Perspective: Gregoire isn't a wildly popular governor here, although more respected now than before. I apologize for deferring to racial breakdowns here, but Gregoire is the first high ranking white female in Washington to endorse Obama and is a superdelegate (Dem Senators Maria Cantwell and Patty Murray endorsed Clinton, no endorsement yet from J. McDermott yet), which might send a message to a lot of her otherwise-Clinton-supporting fans of a similar demographic in the state.

Also, far less transparent, endorsing Obama is good for her campaign this year. O being popular in Seattle and relatively *more* popular in more conservative eastern Washington ("Hillaryhate" if you must), especially. Although I'll give her credit and assume she may have endorsed Obama because she fucking wanted to. Gregoire has grown some gonads the past 4 years, and I've liked her more and more over time.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Pawlenty as VP? When your only nat'l recognition is based on the fact that an interstate bridge collapsed after you cut taxes, that's kind of a negative, isn't it?

Martin Van Burne, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

The GOP hates metal and pavement

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

naw conservatives love the guy, plus he's young, and he hung on in '06. even the most daring dfl-ers around here arguing that the bridge collapse was the fault of gop 'drown it in a bathtub' policy couldn't blame it on pawlenty outright (correlation not causation)

gff, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Gook/Macaca '08

-- Dr Morbius, Friday, February 8, 2008 12:09 PM (19 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

lol

Alex in Baltimore, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:36 (sixteen years ago) link

also: funny how being at the wheel when something horrible happens seems to help republican executives, no matter the underlying evidence (see also: rudy, GWB)

xp yeah real actual lol from morbs there!

gff, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:37 (sixteen years ago) link

there were some gwb/brownie style shenanigans surrounding the pawlenty administration and THE GREAT KOLLAPSE -- his transportation secretary was off on some dubious junket to a warmer clime and didn't come back for a week and a half (or something). but this is all pretty deep in the weeds... bottom line is yes he'd be a strong veep candidate. he's got all his hair, can tell a joke, and is in no way a "maverick."

and i'd be happy to have him leave mn for a while and go lose an election! adios homie

gff, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:44 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, yeah, McCain in Seattle too, but it's a closed fundraiser at the Westin hotel for just three hours.

WHY GOP AFRAID OF SEATOWN?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL @ gregoire growing some gonads, urgent & key for being a competent governor

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:46 (sixteen years ago) link

sorry, proper link

LOL @ gregoire growing some gonads, urgent & key for being a competent governor

you disagree?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:47 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll admit "growing some gonads" is a goofy phrase... but.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:48 (sixteen years ago) link

pawlenty is a such a douchey little ferret u guys have no idea.

M@tt He1ges0n, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

McD's/Polenta '08

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

you disagree?

Strongly

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Ok, I really don't think much of this list.

1. Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) - leading CW candidate and very good possibility, but my instincts say he's gonna look elsewhere. Pawlenty's politically skilled and just the right age and very well targeted at the people who decide these things and could help make a serious push in a key swing region, but I think McCain alone does pretty well among indies and he might be more concerned about getting his base out than going the extra mile to cross over, and anti-war feeling in the upper midwest might make it harder to swing this year. Still he's undoubtedly on the shortest list.

2. Gov. Jon Huntsman (R-UT) - a Mormon from the State upstairs from McCain's? Who was born in Silicon Valley? Whose daddy was a millionaire? Are you nuts? I guess he might make sense if McCain wants to make a play for California while taking a risk in the South and writing off the Northeast. Which I seriously doubt. Of course, McCain is nuts.

3. Sen. John Thune (R-SD) - a pretty good possibility I'd forgotten about, he's distanced himself from Bush and close to McCain, but is an evangelical with social conservative cred and has a bit of that indefinible daddy party image without seeming scary or unattractive. Also a business guy and would have some upper midwest impact while appealing more to the South than Pawlenty would. He's 8 months older than Obama.

4. Ex-Sen. Fred Thompson - I know they're friends and he's a real Southerner with conservative cred and the tv thing gives the ticket a little more sheen, but come on, two old, tired-looking and sleep-inducing white guys? Not gonna happen.

5. Ex-Sen. George Allen - Macaca.

6. Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA) - I know he's sold in LA, and is a conceivable future-of-the-party-type figure, but future is the key word here - he's only 5 years older than I am - and I'd seriously doubt his wider appeal in the South and West where people don't know him yet.

7. Mike Huckabee - Yeah, he'd lock in the Southern evangelicals and appeal in the upper midwest, but McCain isn't gonna scare/write off the business/insider wing of the party and some of his indie cred.

8. Gov. Charlie Crist (R-FL) - very popular executive in a semi-key State that's semi-Southern, but too moderate and isn't he, you know, gay?

9. Mitt Romney - well, business experience would help and he's got cred with the biz wing/insiders, who count for a little more than the relgiious nuts, but somehow I don't think McCain's gonna totally ignore them either. The enemy and the fake? No.

My additional possibilities...

Gov. Mark Sanford of SC - a business guy who doesn't seem too Wall St, real Southerner but not a hick, young but not too young, attractive but not too pretty. He didn't endorse this year, but chose McCain over Bush in 2000, and shares his fiscal discipline/anti-pork ideology, and has a bit of a libertarian streak. I'd guess that he's on the short list.

Gov. Haley Barbour of MS - solid conservative and Southern and intra-party credentials, quite possibly such that he could hurt McCain's crossover ability, but the Katrina response could be played to soften his image and give him wider appeal - a few black Dems including Clinton's Ag secretary endorsed him for re-elect. Also, he's somewhat personable and energetic even if he's gross to people like us, and would probably help in at least the lower Mississippi (AR, MO), and perhaps further up (IA).

Kay Bailey Hutchison - Southern woman with biz background and would be argued to have more experience than Hillary, who she's also older than. Conservative cred, but I think her abortion and immigration record would be too problematic within the party. Also, even if she's got exec experience, I think he'd be discouraged from picking a Senator even from a relatively safe R state.

Tom Ridge - not strong Southern or ideological conservative cred, but I don't think he'd piss too many people off either, and has serious homeland security and economic and executive experience that would reinforce the Daddy party-ness of the ticket and appeal to the Wall St crowd without scaring really anyone. Don't count him out.

Colin Powell - fuck you, Barack. It wouldn't please the conservatives or the racists, and it's a pretty unlikely choice (they're both in their 70s, tho the year-younger Powell seems more vigorous), I admit, but come on, you think that ticket wouldn't be hard to beat?

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I think you could pretty easily take down Powell for helping build the Bush administration's case for war while not having the balls to express his reservations publicly.

Simon H., Friday, 8 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Ridge would also help lock in OH, seriously contend if not gain the upper hand in PA, and make a play for NJ, perhaps especially against Barack.

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Powell would never accept.

jaymc, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

xp Daria, do you know anyone who was happy with Gregoire before and after her barely-election in 2004?

Yes, I realize that you don't HAVE to "grow gonads" to be a competent governor, but since this was Gregoire's first term, and she won by literally a hundred votes (which is always a case for speculation), she had to prove herself, and slowly but surely she did. The latter is my definition of "having grown gonads". Does that make my point clearer?

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

hmmm a powell pick seems to me like a bigger fuck you to the bush/neocon legacy, while simultaneously looking like a desperate bid to steal some obama gleam... still, the much vaunted 'independent voter' would be getting a lot of attention, wouldn't he

gff, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

You guys are being great GOP strategists, I have to say!

(Not meant to be snarky, just... interesting observation.)

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

John McCain (D-AZ)

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

xD

gff, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, fox news has made that exact "mistake" before with someone else, can't remember right now -- it was within the past year or so

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh! Of course: it was creepy congressional page-hound MARK FOLEY

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe Ambinder's right to ignore non-edge-Southerners, tho - I guess if you look at polls, McCain still wins easily in the really red states

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro daria's just taking issue with your gender-specific verbiage

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, you should have said 'grow some ovaries'

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:23 (sixteen years ago) link

1. Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) - leading CW candidate and very good possibility, but my instincts say he's gonna look elsewhere. Pawlenty's politically skilled and just the right age and very well targeted at the people who decide these things and could help make a serious push in a key swing region, but I think McCain alone does pretty well among indies and he might be more concerned about getting his base out than going the extra mile to cross over, and anti-war feeling in the upper midwest might make it harder to swing this year. Still he's undoubtedly on the shortest list.

Pawlenty barely kept his seat in the last election, and that was mostly due to a great third party candidate who siphoned off a lot of independent votes (and who attracted dems 2-1 over republicans). MN is not in love with Pawlenty, but he is well respected among conservative and moderate republicans alike, and he doesn't have high negatives. He is well liked in the suburbs and disliked in Minneapolis (the liberal powerhouse that has kept this state blue in the past couple elections).

Minnesota has voted Democratic in presidential elections for almost forty years, and the Democratic party (DFL) has dominated since the forties, but recently, the suburbs and the exurbs have been moving rightwards (for a ton of different reasons). I think its too early to tell whether our move toward the right is continuing. We're still a blue state, but many considered us to be a swing state in the last election and I hope to prove them wrong.

I don't think I could predict what would happen in MN with a McCain/Pawlenty ticket.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not sure tom ridge is really that popular in pennsylvania, let alone ohio

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

The answer is obviously Schwarznegger. (Does the VP have to be born on American soil?)

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, so no

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe mccain should ask dick cheney to pick out a vp for him

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, in case he needs to succeed the pres in an emergency.

same reason bill cant be hill's veep.

xxp

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

on the anecdotal evidence front I found out today that my dad voted for Obama in the Missouri primary. he's voted for a few Dems here and there but always Republicans for prez since '84 (if I remember it right he literally changed his mind on the way to the polls and voted for Reagan over Mondale).

it's an open primary so you can participate on whatever side you want, my mom voted for McCain.

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

one more - Rob Portman. Economic experience/comfortably within the biz wing, the right age, and Ohio. Would do zero to please the religious right, but don't know that anything in his record would explicitly offend them either.

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary Rodham Clinton told roaring partisans she's the candidate of "dreams and practicality"

YOUR CAKE: now you can have it AND eat it! oops j/k lol

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro daria's just taking issue with your gender-specific verbiage

lol, gonads are gender neutral, dude. I no longer use the phrase "grow some balls" nor "grow some ovaries"

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton has now raised $8 million on-line since the polls closed Tuesday, Howard Wolfson, the campaign’s spokesman, just announced on a conference call. He said the campaign has acquired 75,000 new donors and has raised a total of $10 million since Feb. 1.

He said that Mrs. Clinton’s giving of $5 million to herself acted as a prompt to her supporters who, he said, weren’t aware that she needed the money.

Mrs. Clinton has been in a money race with Senator Barack Obama, who raised $32 million in January, nearly triple the contributions to her campaign.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

btw, here's Ambinder's post w/ comments - http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/mccain_veepstakes.php#comments

someone there brings up Carly Fiorina, who has endorsed and appeared with McCain

gabbneb, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

true, testicles and ovaries are TYPES of gonads

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr Goodman, perhaps you know -- I've heard that the $5million loan to her campaign was already paid back to her from those recent contributions. Is that true?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:51 (sixteen years ago) link

in which case, she may be keeping up the fundraising pace but she's still behind

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:52 (sixteen years ago) link

http://static.flickr.com/48/175339223_b79d4d2008_o.jpg
Stop! Stop! If you interrupt the mating dance the male will become enraged and maul us with his fearsome gonad!

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain/Zoidberg '08

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Slogan: "Stop staring at those weird things on our faces."

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

has this been posted before?:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IA8Wy51Ionk
^
hillary's appeal to the youth vote

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:10 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha, it might have worked better if they didn't portray her as someone who's going to stick with you until something better somes along and then she'll unceremoniously quit your band

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Just when I though nothing could possibly be more annoying than the "Yes We Can" video...

Hatch, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

key arena's full, 17k+

jergïns, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Another Carter parallel/irony:

Super-delegates were created after the insurgent outsider campaigns of then Sen. George McGovern, D-SD, and former Gov. Jimmy Carter of Georgia, secured the Democratic party nominations in 1972 and 1976, respectively. The idea was to return some power to party officials. Political scientist Rhodes Cook has said super-delegates were created as a "firewall to blunt any party outsider that built up a head of steam in the primaries."

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/02/the-super-deleg.html

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Shuster yesterday asked during an interview whether “Chelsea is sort of being pimped out in some weird sort of way?” by making calls to superdelegates. He is supposed to be making an on-air apology later tonight.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

jergins speaks truth

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2004171983_webobama08m.html

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Officials closed the entrances to KeyArena at about 11 this morning, turning away thousands who had gathered to hear Barack Obama speak at noon.

Doors were locked after KeyArena reached its capacity of 20,000, officials said. Those who made it inside were not allowed to leave because police wanted to keep those outside from forcing themselves in. People outside were banging on doors and windows of the arena, as police were trying to maintain peace.

Seattle police sent officers outside into the crowd to physically push people away from the doors so that no one would get crushed or trampled.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

William Spiritdancer, of Seattle's Central District, pulled his four children — ages 7 to 14 — out of school to see Obama speak. The teachers were cool about it, he said

lolz

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

hahahaha

Curt1s Stephens, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't agree with the strain of allegedly sexist comments coming from MSNBC talking heads, but what does Clinton stand to gain by threatening not to debate on that network anymore? "The press hates Hillary" storyline has another chapter now, I guess.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Super-delegates were created after the insurgent outsider campaigns of McGovern and Carter...The idea was to return some power to party officials.

It really is true that democracy peaked in America in the '70s.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

thats_racist.gif

naw j/k

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Here a possible angle:

Democratic Presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will meet in a televised debate in Cleveland on Feb. 26, after a day haggling over whether there would be any debate in Ohio at all before the state's March 4 primary.

The Obama campaign put out a news release shortly after 7 p.m. saying it had agreed to a debate sponsored by NBC and its affiliate in Cleveland, WKYC, that would be broadcast in all Ohio media markets, including Cincinnati.

That's from this morning.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm confused, what's the angle?

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary presses for weekly debates; Obama says he'll agree to two -- in Ohio and Texas, where she is favored, and probably would prefer not to debate. Hillary campaign seizes on dumb talking head comments to stop to negotiate a debate at a different location / different network.

I could just be spinning conspiracy theories, though. When you get immersed in so much chatter it gets confusing trying to connect up different bits of information.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I will seriously be much happier and less distracted once this shit is settled and I can regain relative sanity until at least October.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

is no one going to call out my crackpot theory? ugh

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, it appears that that is the debate that they are threatening to walk out on - so the theory's not looking that crackpot to me.

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

well, defending chelsea's honor, even if it is disingenuous, is a pretty ironclad reason -- i don't think anyone but internerds would float the idea that the clinton campaign is leveraging the remark against her daughter for political advantage

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I agree with Shuster tho.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Rep. David Obey (D-WI) endorses Obama, btw

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

OBEY

HI DERE, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I see two problems with your theory.

1. This was largely a complaint from the ground that snowballed into an issue that Senator Clinton was forced to address. I received three e-mail’s about it before the campaign officially commented on the remarks.

2. Senator Clinton needs to debate. Policy is her largest asset and we’ve only reached real policy discussion in the last two weeks.

3. Most importantly, wouldn’t you defend your daughter?

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

lol. three.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:22 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxxxpost : Charlie Crist totally weirds me out:

http://www.floridafaf.org/images/crist_color_sm.jpg

I know he's from Floria and everything but geesh.. he is sooo tan

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

No one in their right mind would think that Shuster meant "pimp" literally though - so the taking offense does seem a bit overdone - but it's not like the Clinton camp has much to lose by making it an issue. Either they get an apology from the network, which makes them look good and gets a favorable story for them (ie., the media has an anti-Clinton bias) in the cycle for a day, or else they get to skip a debate that tactically probably wouldn't help them much anyway.

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Joe fuckin' Klein, accusing Obama of "messianic" tendencies:

Rather than focusing on any specific issue or cause — other than an amorphous desire for change — the message is becoming dangerously self-referential. The Obama campaign all too often is about how wonderful the Obama campaign is...There is an odd, anachronistic formality to Obama's stump speech: it is always the same. It sets his audiences afire, but it does not reach very far beyond them. It is no accident that Obama is nearly invincible in caucus states, where the ability to mobilize a hard core of activists is key — but not so strong in primaries, where more diverse masses of people are involved. He should be very worried that this nomination is likely to be decided in the big working-class primary states of Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

he wasn't attacking Chelsea though. I mean, maybe his choice of words was misguided, but he didn't say anything that was egregiously wrong

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I know he's from Floria and everything but geesh.. he is sooo tan

There's rumors that the sunshine's not the only thing he likes about Florida.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:25 (sixteen years ago) link

There is an odd, anachronistic formality to Obama's stump speech: it is always the same.

aren't stump speeches always the same? (genuinely asking)

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:33 (sixteen years ago) link

(i mean, yea i know stump speeches are tweaked for particular audiences, and obama does that anyways, but in general, we refer to a candidate's stump speech, singular, not one's stump speeches)

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

obama-haters are seriously reaching.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

He should be very worried that this nomination is likely to be decided in the big working-class primary states of Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania.

this is probably true, though, and it worries me.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:36 (sixteen years ago) link

press calling obama cult-leader have maybe forgotten about lyndon larouche?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

meanwhile:

obama up by 20 points in virginia

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno about my aforementioned crackpot theory, but after the self-loan and the "staff going without pay! oops not really lol", the clinton campaign seems to be gaming the media for as much free fundraising publicity as it can get this week

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

they're just making up stories out of non-issues in order to combat the obama momentum

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

"staff going without pay! oops not really lol"

lolz

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

math question: if (1)obama wins most of february's contests decisively, and (2)hillary wins ohio/texas/pennsylvania, but not decisively enough to get a lot of delegates, can he take the lead in delegates (not including super-d's, yet)?

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:42 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah we spoke about that yesterday.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

i worry -- the obama campaign claims confidence against the clinton attack machine, but i think hillary's a different type of candidate altogether when she's trailing in polls. has she ever been on the losing side of an election?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

well considering she's only run for one office, i would say no.

Mr. Que, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

The "we are the change" Obama line is creepily reminiscent of Nashville's Hal Philip Walker. (and nowhere as funny as Rodham's "dreams and practicality")

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxpost - sorry i must have missed it. when i look at the numbers i'm not sure, since ohio/texas/penn are so delegate rich

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

what can they use against obama, though? the only thing i can think of that may really hurt him is that church he belongs to which allegedy has ties to Farrakhan...

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

xxxpost she was neck and neck with rudy, but when he dropped out she pretty much had it in the bag against lazio

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

I think according to the Obama campaign's math, the answer is yes. He should still hold a slight lead in pledged delegates even if he loses in all three of those states, as long as they're not very distant losses.

Hatch, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs, "we are the ones we've been waiting for" is apparently a hopi proverb? something like that?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

well, I bet it sounds better in the original.

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

obama camp memo, lays it all out pretty well why obama is the best match against mccain (re: independent voters):

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/obama_campaign_memo_hes_the_gu.php#more

i should send all this stuff to my mom.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I will seriously be much happier and less distracted once this shit is settled and I can regain relative sanity until at least October.

seriously. i haven't gotten anything done at work in the past two weeks. more of my time is taken up by reading political sites, blogs, news, etc. than by anything else. i also think i've made like 2 posts to the rest of ILX in the past month.

Mark Clemente, Friday, 8 February 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

timesaver for Mark and elmo:

"Laugh about it, shout about it when you've got to choose
Every way you look at it you lose."

Dr Morbius, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Crowd for Obama getting turned away today:

http://i29.tinypic.com/2le3zgk.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

NBC NEWS STATEMENT REGARDING CHELSEA CLINTON COMMENT:

On Thursday's "Tucker" on MSNBC, David Shuster, who was serving as guest-host of the program, made a comment about Chelsea Clinton and the Clinton campaign that was irresponsible and inappropriate. Shuster, who apologized this morning on MSNBC and will again this evening, has been suspended from appearing on all NBC News broadcasts, other than to make his apology. He has also extended an apology to the Clinton family. NBC News takes these matters seriously, and offers our sincere regrets to the Clintons for the remarks.

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

all in all, it was a shitty comment and he deserves to be chastened for it.

contrary to fact hypothetical: had shuster made a remark about obama pimpin' out michelle, he would have been fired and possibly hunted down by enraged vigilantes, y/n? lolz

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.thefug.com/files/images/cans_0.jpg

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

wish they'd change the program's name to "Tucker!"

Eppy, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I think according to the Obama campaign's math, the answer is yes. He should still hold a slight lead in pledged delegates even if he loses in all three of those states, as long as they're not very distant losses.

It is possible, and if it happens it will be slight. It will be difficult to nominate a candidate who did not win New York, New Jersey, Florida, California, Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania though.

I see this being brokered before Pennsylvania. Chairman Dean needs to step up.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/02/sweet_obama_pressing_clinton_t.html

Statement from Obama campaign: “Why should Democratic voters have to wait until after the primary campaign is over to find out important information about Senator Clinton's finances that Senator Obama has already disclosed?

For someone who claims to be fully vetted, hiding a campaign loan from voters until after Super Tuesday and refusing to release your tax returns until after the primary doesn't seem like the best way to prove that there are no surprises for the Republicans to find once they start digging.”

Clinton camp counters: "If you want to talk disclosure, what about Rezko?"

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Not fair. Shuster is one of the best journos/commentators on MSNBC.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

well the Clinons are acting like they don't know Rezko even though they've been photographed with him...

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:44 (sixteen years ago) link

has she ever been on the losing side of an election?

My memory is whispering to me that Bill lost a campaign for Arkansas governor. I could be wrong there.

Aimless, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

He lost when he ran for a house seat in '74.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Jondy sort of looks like Don Imus.

jaymc, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Rezko also has campaign financing ties with Villaraigosa, who's a major Clinton backer. Also:

According to the 1997 story in the Chicago Tribune, both Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton attended the fund-raiser for Senator Moseley-Braun on June 25, 1997. And the next day, records show, one of Mr. Rezko’s companies donated $10,000 to a state Democratic party organization that was supporting Ms. Moseley-Braun, records show.

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/the-rezko-clinton-connection/

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/clout_st/2008/02/ex-gov-edgar-sa.html
Ex-gov Edgar says Rezko reflects more on Blagojevich than Obama

"I haven't seen anything yet I would consider as a smoking gun with that," Edgar says. "I took campaign contributions from Tony Rezko and, I don't know, I don’t remember him ever asking for anything. He was one of those guys that liked to be involved."

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Edgar is a repub btw

deej, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah I doubt Clinton's gonna wanna push the Rezko angle very far

Shakey Mo Collier, Friday, 8 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/0b568f786d

not actually funny, but a pretty spot-on hillary impersonation

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Schuster was suspended.

Good.

What pissed me off was that, for fuck's sake, Chelsea Clinton is 27 years old and is capable of acting and thinking on her own. I mean, what if one of my relatives ran for office and I went out and campaigned on their behalf. Clearly I don't have a brain and am just being pimped out right?

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

It will be difficult to nominate a candidate who did not win New York, New Jersey, Florida, California, Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania though.

otm. as an Obama backer I think he really needs to prove himself by winning one of the upcoming big ones.

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Carville likely has some hand in the HRC campaign:

Now, maybe there's some other explanation for it. But personally, if I'd been vigorously denying a role in Hillary Clinton's campaign (beyond financial contributions), I'd probably be especially protective of that itinerary if its front page referred to participating in an "HRC strategy call."

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080207.WBwbradwanski20080207132831/WBStory/WBwbradwanski/

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

also: ROFLWAU & KUDOS to JW for making teh wankette frontpage

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:13 (sixteen years ago) link

has she ever been on the losing side of an election?

it should be mentioned that thanks to Jack Ryan's scandal, Obama skated into the senate without hardly even having to run against Alan Keys.

Conversely, that year's democratic primary race for the Illinois senate seat is a testament to Obama's ability to go up against the establishment and win, as well as proving that "the more people hear/see him, the more they like him" is OTFM.

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

"Wizard Is Hungry"

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

My memory is whispering to me that Bill lost a campaign for Arkansas governor. I could be wrong there.

they lost in 1980, due to a Cuban riot at Ft. Chaffee and his raising the cost of car tags.

Clinton got rid of his bearded advisors and Hillary dropped the Rodham from her official name. He was re-elected two years later.

Pleasant Plains, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's primary race? What? Someone leaked his opponent Hull's divorce records w/allegations he abused his ex-wife and the guy's campaign tanked.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blair_Hull

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

ur annoying.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Jon that's awesome

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is the only person I've ever voted for who has won.

xxxp lol kudos jon

xp gtfo w/ that daria. Hull was NEVER a formidable opponent, just some loser with a ton of money.

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

ok, maybe he was a formidable opponent, but i was talking more about his ability to eat away at Hynes' lead the way he has Hillary's.

purely anecdotally, no one in Illinois liked Hull regardless of his money or possible wife beating tendencies.

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

daria, i really don't think you want to play "discredit the opposing candidate's previous election victories" lol

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:27 (sixteen years ago) link

amusing that for all the complaints about how mean ILXors are to Hillary, it's the Hillary supporter lashing out with the attacks

milo z, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

oh this again

J0rdan S., Friday, 8 February 2008 22:34 (sixteen years ago) link

http://hoboken411.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/hoboken-politics-hillary-obama-germany.jpg

A carnival float carries large papier-mache effigies during the traditional Rose Monday carnival parade in Düsseldorf, February 4, 2008. The Rose Monday parades in Cologne, Mainz and Düsseldorf are the highlight of the German street carnival season.

o. nate, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

?!?!!?

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I was just surprised at the comment about Obama's primary win given that the frontrunner until a few weeks before the primary got torpedoed due to scandal about his personal life. I mean by all accounts he ran a good campaign but it's not really a test of your ability to go toe-to-toe with a strong candidate when the other guy implodes like that.

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:36 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah and i was saying that i wasnt talking about hull, i was talking about his ability to take down a guy like hynes who is part of the chicago democrat machine.

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:39 (sixteen years ago) link

see also all of illinois being all "obama? more like osama!" until the guy actually got on tv and people were like "ok we'll vote for you, even in rural parts of the state"

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:40 (sixteen years ago) link

but your point is taken re: Hull.

note that i started out by conceding how much easier Obama's walk to the senate was than Hillary's.

hugs.

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:41 (sixteen years ago) link

aw

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

wow, I'm getting ANGRY BLOG COMMENTS!

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:43 (sixteen years ago) link

haha post them here

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

see also all of illinois being all "obama? more like osama!" until the guy actually got on tv and people were like "ok we'll vote for you, even in rural parts of the state"

Setting: My barber shop, last weekend:

PATRON: So, Jay, who ya gonna vote for?
BARBER: Oh, I know better than to get into that.
PATRON: Hillary or McCain might work, but I don't know about this Broke a Comma guy.

Pleasant Plains, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, post, what are they angry about?

daria-g, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:46 (sixteen years ago) link

They accuse me of FAKING THE WIKIPEDIA thing!

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:47 (sixteen years ago) link

well, didn't you?

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:48 (sixteen years ago) link

"2008 presidential wartime election" <<< this

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I could have edited wikipedia for effect but I mean FFS I just stole the image from a messageboard.

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:50 (sixteen years ago) link

haha ok so someone else faked it

elmo argonaut, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:51 (sixteen years ago) link

MAYBE? I was able to get it to nearly work by changing only a few letters and the width of my browser window, but they're acting like this is some big deal?

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:53 (sixteen years ago) link

why do you hate freedom

mookieproof, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

guys what is happening with this jw/wonkette thing i'm late to the show

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

jw made out with obama and blamed 9/11

Mr. Que, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:56 (sixteen years ago) link

jw made smuckers outta wonkit

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 22:59 (sixteen years ago) link

(Detective work by Wizard Is Hungry.)

gr8080, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I am going to drink bourbon and ride the mechanical bull with wankette BYE

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Andrew Sullivan, getting it. He understands that support for Obama needn't have anything to do with pretty words and palaver about change:

A meme is developing is that support for Obama is all emotion, fantasy, hysteria, etc. There's no question that the emotions behind Obama are powerful. And any fool can see why. His oratory does what oratory should. He is the greatest public speaker in American life since Reagan. And the shame and demoralization of the Bush-Cheney years - when we launched a war with reckless indifference to planning it, when we tortured prisoners and called it "enhanced interrogation", when we saw a government rendered so utterly useless that a hurricane made the US look like the third world, when conservatives added $32 trillion to the debt of the next generation, when a president made sophomoric jokes about not finding weapons of mass destruction he leveraged American global credibility on ... if you don't feel emotions in wanting to put this disgrace of an administration behind us, then you are not being rational.

But the strongest case for Obama is not emotional; it is as coolly rational as he is

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

In contrast, Larry Kudlow:

One of the troubles with American politics nowadays is that we don’t appreciate our military men and women enough. We don’t value their intelligence, their fitness, or their values. There was a time in American history — especially in the 19th century — when we held the military in great esteem. George Washington, of course, was one of our bravest generals, blessed with uncommon character and strength. Well, John McCain is a descendant of George Washington, and is a foot solder in his army. America yearns for exactly that kind of foot soldier. That’s why he’s gonna win.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain is a descendant of Washington?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:16 (sixteen years ago) link

did u know obama is related to dick cheney lolz.

The Brainwasher, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:17 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain is a descendant of Washington?

It's not only the cherry tree that grows.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Eno should sell oblique strategy card decks to the GOP. It might be their most efficient option.

Mackro Mackro, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama just drove by my work in a big assed motorcade. we went out on the street and waved. it was fun.

jergïns, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:39 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking of oblique strategy, there's this from the Guardian

The Clinton camp is expected to argue that she is better placed to deal with McCain on security and economics. Her team is also expected to bring up a testy exchange of letters between McCain and Obama in 2006.
McCain accused Obama of backtracking on a promise to support him over a bill to restrict lobbying. He accused Obama of "self-interested partisan posturing". Obama responded to say he was "puzzled" by McCain's outburst.
"It was sad to watch," said a Clinton campaign source. "He has no idea how to deal with McCain."

seems like if he dealt with him better, the Clinton team could release the letters as proof that Obama and McCain are best buddies

dmr, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Pretty good photo, really:

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/dayart/20080208/621obama_jt_up.jpg

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Meantime, from the hit book series 'Where's Barack?'

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/dayart/20080208/621obama09_barackinline.jpg

Ned Raggett, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Does anyone know anything about the Alabama 3rd? Is this a winnable seat? Apparently a friend of a friend is making a serious bid it.

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:47 (sixteen years ago) link

If you actually read that Obama v. McCain letter exchange, McCain's vitriol does seem to come out of the blue. Of course, I don't know much about the run-up to it, but Obama's the one who winds up looking the better man.

jaymc, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:47 (sixteen years ago) link

for it ...

Mr. Goodman, Friday, 8 February 2008 23:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, I posted the McCain-Obama letter reference last week or so on the "shit to stop McCain from becoming president" thread. It's an interesting point the Clinton camp raises. I took saying he was "puzzled" as, at the time, the equivalent of an academic saying they're "surprised" which is basically code for "WTF R U DOING?" Of course if you expect that you might want to run against McCain in an election.. perhaps Obama should have written his response differently because the whole exchange has crosscurrents with McCain hitting him a number of times on inexperience and he seems to concede McCain's points there. Of course McCain comes off like a hothead as well. Here they are:

obama.senate.gov/letter/060206-sen_obama_and_sen_mccain_exchange_letters_on_ethics_reform/

daria-g, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Where does Obama concede McCain's points about inexperience?

jaymc, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Ned grabbed the best pics. The P-I had a good round of 'em.

"IT IS ON!" Maybe U.S.E. should be Obama's touring band?

http://i31.tinypic.com/nwk5tv.jpg
http://i31.tinypic.com/11lkc4j.jpg
http://i32.tinypic.com/dzav69.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i29.tinypic.com/29za8e8.jpg
http://i25.tinypic.com/28jz0jc.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

man this campaign is some crazy shit

Shakey Mo Collier, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:14 (sixteen years ago) link

srsly

Mark Clemente, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:16 (sixteen years ago) link

FURRIES4OBAMA WOOOO

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Saturday, 9 February 2008 00:32 (sixteen years ago) link

fwow @ mccain vitriol

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows takin' it to the people.

Eppy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

TAKIN IT TO THE STREETS

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 02:26 (sixteen years ago) link

You can call the Westin Hotel in Seattle right now, where McCain is right this second, if you want to phone in vitriol

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 9 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

http://img528.imageshack.us/img528/7091/222727420723bac81e37ogz4.png

Mr. Goodman, Saturday, 9 February 2008 02:41 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.zpub.com/un/0,,2002241014,00.gif

gershy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 04:45 (sixteen years ago) link

guys, Obama is a mean fratboy sexist. except when he's dealing with John McCain. then he's an overly-academic, kumbaya-singing lightweight.

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 04:48 (sixteen years ago) link

how many delegates does edwards have at this point and what happens to them?

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:06 (sixteen years ago) link

last i heard he has about 26. since his campaign is in suspension, they still "belong" to him, once he is completely out, I think they are up for grabs - gabbneb?

gershy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i'll pass, thanx

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Are they good on crackers?

Mackro Mackro, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:12 (sixteen years ago) link

26 might just be enough for him to play kingmaker though?

latest stuff on TV is saying that if they keep splitting states at the current pace, a brokered convention is inevitable.

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:18 (sixteen years ago) link

last i heard he has about 26. since his campaign is in suspension, they still "belong" to him, once he is completely out, I think they are up for grabs - gabbneb?

-- gershy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:08 (12 minutes ago) Link

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

i'll pass, thanx

-- gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:09

lol

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:33 (sixteen years ago) link

fucking hippies

xp

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:34 (sixteen years ago) link

last i heard he has about 26. since his campaign is in suspension, they still "belong" to him, once he is completely out, I think they are up for grabs - gabbneb?

No, they’ve been freed. They can move where they’d like.

Mr. Goodman, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:41 (sixteen years ago) link

actually i own those delegates - not really sure what im doin w/them tho

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:44 (sixteen years ago) link

joe can i have one? i will trade you a libble invite.

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:45 (sixteen years ago) link

yah sure np

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:47 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh what a crazy year if all this excitement and turnout leads to one of the candidates getting handed the nom in a back room deal. bad things will happen.

also can we get a primary election reform movement going as soon as this fucker wraps up?

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:47 (sixteen years ago) link

actually i own those delegates - not really sure what im doin w/them tho

Add water, watch them grow, and be amazed!

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:50 (sixteen years ago) link

also can we get a primary election reform movement going as soon as this fucker wraps up?

yeah, remember how we got rid of that archaic and troublesome electoralol college?

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 05:51 (sixteen years ago) link

im thinking party will do everything they can to prevent a brokered convention - baselessly speculative prediction should neither candidate collect enough delegates to wrap up the nom: party mucky-mucks superdelegates et al anoint delegate leader pre-convention by convincing 2nd place candidate to concede due to hopelessness of superdelegates uniting against her.

bad things that should not happen: superdelegates swinging the election, mich/fla delegates seated. im thinking the dem leadership is well aware how much either of those options would hurt their credibility in the general election.

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:02 (sixteen years ago) link

mich/fla delegates seated

yeah, that won't happen. Those stupid monkeys would be scraping their own poo off the walls for years.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess maybe that's where the phrase "shit fit" comes from?

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:05 (sixteen years ago) link

by convincing 2nd place candidate to concede due to hopelessness of superdelegates uniting against her.

Ha! I love how the pronoun tells the entire story in that sentence.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is the male Oprah.

Colin_C., Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, you're right, I'm afraid. No, wait... not afraid... what's the word?... THRILLED! That's it. Hillary can't beat McCain, she just can't. He would hulk smash her, and the dems know it whether they're saying it yet or not. I ain't no swing voter, and I would come within an inch of voting for McCain myself. The only shot she ever had was to run against another moron or really divisive candidate, but no, apparently republicans are not suicidal, and they're picking a guy who can actually win.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/02/08/obama-leads-clinton-by-on_n_85799.html

its pissing me off that the ap is counting the superdelegates in their tally when superdelegates can do whatever they want - it doesnt matter who they claim to support they can change their minds any time - its like awarding an election through polling instead of voting!

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:20 (sixteen years ago) link

according to that article obama is leading clinton in super-tuesday delegates by 2 w/91 yet to be awarded due to slow counting.

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:22 (sixteen years ago) link

id still give hillary a slight edge over mccain just cause of the current political climate - but yah if hillary gets the nomination ill be v v v afraid

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:24 (sixteen years ago) link

joe u got any delegates left? email me?

max, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:26 (sixteen years ago) link

its pissing me off that the ap is counting the superdelegates in their tally when superdelegates can do whatever they want

They need to be called something other than "superdelegates" for starters, and then their awesome power would be taken seriously. As it is, people assume they have something to do with elections in Japan.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Superdelegates get to choose the next Boredoms members.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:27 (sixteen years ago) link

y sure max - im looking for guess papers btw

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:28 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/nyregion/09about.html?ref=politics

NYT article says "Catholic Vote is Harbinger of Success For Clinton".

Colin_C., Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Does it matter whom Catholics like Mr. Quinn voted for in the Democratic primaries? By November, it may not. Still, Catholics, who make up about a quarter of the registered voters in the country, have backed the winner of the national popular vote for at least the last nine presidential elections, going back to 1972.

lol this article knowing its ridiculous but soldiering on anyway w/nary a mention of catholics predictive powers in dem primaries.

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:36 (sixteen years ago) link

The Democrats have it exactly wrong. Hillary is the easier candidate, Mr. Obama the tougher. Hillary brings negative; it's fair to hit her back with negative. Mr. Obama brings hope, and speaks of a better way. He's not Bambi, he's bulletproof.

The biggest problem for the Republicans will be that no matter what they say that is not issue oriented--"He's too young, he's never run anything, he's not fully baked"--the mainstream media will tag them as dealing in racial overtones, or undertones. You can bet on this. Go to the bank on it.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120241915915951669.html?mod=rss_opinion_main

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Ornicus points out that while what Schuster said was obviously repellent, Matthews says worse shit every night and gets away with it.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 06:52 (sixteen years ago) link

if hillary gets the nomination ill be v v v afraid

That she might lose and McCain would win? Shit, man. I seriously might have to sit that election out and let the cards fall. Hillary is not my candidate at all, except on those few big social issues that we're all supposed to foul our shorts about and base our votes on, and I am weary of that. Other matters are at hand, and neither candidate is going to be spending a lot of time thinking about the contents of uteruses once they have to seriously, honestly start rebuilding the infrastructure of a thoroughly fucked-up country. (Am I talking about Iraq? Well, let's see what the weather does this year.)

I am unconvinced that McCain has lost leave of his senses and turned 180 degrees on everything he has ever said he believed in his whole career. Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter will back me up here! It's why they hate him. It would be great fun to watch them both vote for Hillary, like they say they will. I do not think a McCain presidency would be anything like a disaster. Even his position on the war, turncoat as it seems, isn't, like, nuts.

"Obama and Clinton 'will withdraw our forces from Iraq based on an arbitrary timetable' without regard to consequences, he said. He will heed the advice of the commanders there."

WELL FUCK ME SIDEWAYS, FINALLY SOMEBODY WILL!

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 07:04 (sixteen years ago) link

The commanders will be so shit-happy they'll put up a giant red white and blue banner on an aircraft carrier that says UNDER NEW MANAGEMENT.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 07:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm sorry, that post got away from me. What I meant to type was GO OBAMA.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 07:16 (sixteen years ago) link

"Logic says that the facts might prove to be an embarrassment" — namely that Mellencamp had in fact been backing John Edwards.

That's the work of either a sloppy editor or one with a sense of humor.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 07:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Hoos that article was linked and mentioned here yesterday. then again lol 8000 posts this thread could prolly use a nighttime news team to repeat today's top stories.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:30 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:37 (sixteen years ago) link

damn i need to cut back on the "haha"s & the "lol"s

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:37 (sixteen years ago) link

this thread was founded on lols. you owe it your allegiance.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:43 (sixteen years ago) link

8120+ messages so far.

Shit, seeing as how we're going to have daily new threads once the election hits, lets see if we can break that record.

kingfish, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:45 (sixteen years ago) link

so let's talk huck. He's basically staying in this race because A)he's getting delegates for cheap, and B)good christian souljas like Dobson are pressuring him to keep it up. He know's mccain will get crowned, and I think he'd rather be on the receiving end of a mccain teabag than oppose him. He's gotta tread pretty lightly here, right?

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 08:58 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah. that's actually a slightly scarier ticket than any i can think of.

tremendoid, Saturday, 9 February 2008 09:02 (sixteen years ago) link

16 years of these assholes is a pretty big percentage of the what like 6000 years planet earth has been around.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 09:10 (sixteen years ago) link

on the receiving end of a mccain teabag

ew ew why

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 09:13 (sixteen years ago) link

there will be nightmares now

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Saturday, 9 February 2008 09:13 (sixteen years ago) link

repubs know how to use the oval office, too.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 09:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Howard Dean has said he's gonna bring this thing to a close if we don't have a decision after Pennsylvania on 4/22. fwiw, of course, but I doubt it goes on beyond that because the states that follow should have less impact than the bigger ones before them, and shouldn't tell us anything we don't already know. sure, if things are still tied up, there could be a desire for a delegate fight, but I think there would be significant pressure from not just the dnc but the base too to band together for the good of the party, quite possibly by forming a ticket. if Hillary is leading, I think Obama magnanimously falls in line with the knowledge that the remaining schedule doesn't really favor him, and accepts the Veep slot or goes back to wait his turn. if Obama's leading, and Hillary doesn't do the same, I think Dean plus the institutional forces already aligned with Obama - Kennedy, Daschle, etc. - plus perhaps a Gore endorsement, will be able to quash her going forward.

the thing is, I sorta suspect that Hillary has the upper hand given natural advantages in the big March and April states. the question is whether the momentum and coverage of the next four weeks of Obama winning and Hillary losing will be enough to get him to or beyond parity when we get to OH and maybe PA.

I suppose saying that Hillary's got the Catholic vote is more tactful than the NYT's saying that white ethnics and hispanics aren't so comfortable with the hugely successful young black guy filled with apparent ease. And that the later generations like Obama because he's young, not because they feel more enfranchised and identify less with the immigrant experience. Just like the relatively comfortable set of independents and lean-Republicans to whom Obama appeals and Hillary does not. It's an important point, tho - the Clintons have something here that Obama doesn't, which is a problem for him in the primaries. The question is whether it's actually a problem in the general. Fortunately, two of Obama's better Veep candidates - Sebelius and Biden - are Catholic, and old enough (perhaps just in Sebelius' case) to reassure earlier generations. I won't bring up Teddy again, but would note that Chris Dodd fits the bill too, tho he's also a somewhat unlikely choice. Other younger and (much?) more unlikely Catholics include Tim Kaine, Brian Schweitzer, and Ken Salazar. Presumably left-field pick Tony Zinni, who's about Biden's age, would fit the bill as well.

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 13:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Napolitano's Catholic, too, but can we all pls not pretend that we're gonna put anyone who's single on a ticket?

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 13:55 (sixteen years ago) link

so let's talk huck. He's basically staying in this race because A)he's getting delegates for cheap, and B)good christian souljas like Dobson are pressuring him to keep it up. He know's mccain will get crowned, and I think he'd rather be on the receiving end of a mccain teabag than oppose him. He's gotta tread pretty lightly here, right?

I will vote for Huck if he will agree to change his name to Dr. Superman.

M.V., Saturday, 9 February 2008 13:58 (sixteen years ago) link

huckleberry as my grandmother calls him is still there in no small part because he can be - he has very little campaign infrastructure to pay for, so it's not like he's gonna run out of money. and he's there out of self-interest, because he wants a larger role of some sort in the party or in the religious right. and it's not like mccain really has a problem with his being there - he probably helps hide and delay some of the dissatisfaction with him, and mccain probably prefers the dude by miles to some of the other wingnuts.

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:02 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/us/politics/09bush.html?adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1202565767-xSQtF52oX6pHnwZ071er7w

this thing suggests that while McCain isn't gonna go out of his way to piss off the base, he's not gonna worry too much about picking a Southern evangelical either, and is more likely to pick a reinforcing rather than balancing candidate. of course 'security' could mean household/financial as well as national security - a Pawlenty or Sanford would fit the bill - but I think this increases the likelihood we're gonna see a more experienced Tom Ridge-type figure. and is it impossible that he picks Giuliani? also, while he doesn't quite fit the theme, I'd forgotten about Brownback. a McCain-Keating ticket would be too funny.

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I will vote for Huck

I will vote for Huck shortly after I receive a sign from God that I am guaranteed a place in heaven, and shortly before I kill myself to get there.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:06 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't resist

McCain will never get the nomination. Bet everything you can on that.

-- don weiner (don weiner), Friday, June 3, 2005 3:08 PM (Friday, June 3, 2005 3:08 PM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:10 (sixteen years ago) link

there's still time!

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:10 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain has a strategic interest in keeping Obama's primary vote down in all future open-primary states. Maintaining a sham "contest" on the Republican side helps him deny Obama some independents in the next couple months.

M.V., Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:11 (sixteen years ago) link

gabbneb never talks about policy. He's ILE's Democratic Fred Barnes, only more cherful.
All the John McCain speculation upthread seems so laughable now, especially when, as Andrew O'Heir rightly pointed out (dicussing his appearance on FOX News last night), "he's got all all the lifelike vividness of Lenin's corpse, smiling in this ghastly, dead way."

-- Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Wednesday, November 8, 2006 12:23 PM (Wednesday, November 8, 2006 12:23 PM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:12 (sixteen years ago) link

McCain isn't gonna go out of his way to piss off the base, he's not gonna worry too much about picking a Southern evangelical either, and is more likely to pick a reinforcing rather than balancing candidate.

otm, that seems like his style. But so what.

More interesting to wonder what kind of Supreme Court justices McCain would appoint. Whoever gets the presidency pretty much has a 100% guarantee of appointing two new justices of his or her choice, replacing two very old libruls who are mainly alive only because dying while George W. is in office would be too much guilt to carry into the afterlife.

kenan, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:15 (sixteen years ago) link

For what it's worth, Bob Shrum weighs the Republican field and says it's already McCain. I agree with him right up until the end when he talks about how to win (shocker). I note that he fails to reckon with Huckabee, who is neither implausible nor extreme-seeming, but he's right that in the his-turn party, Warners don't top the ticket.
-- gabbneb (gabbneb), Saturday, March 11, 2006 12:24 PM (Saturday, March 11, 2006 12:24 PM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:17 (sixteen years ago) link

so much for Powell as McCain's VP:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/08/colin-powell-may-support-democrat-or-independent-in-%e2%80%9808/

akm, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:25 (sixteen years ago) link

oh, I wouldn't conclude that

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 14:28 (sixteen years ago) link

oh man we would get a real nice debate on the merits of war in iraq w/a mccain/powell ticket

jhøshea, Saturday, 9 February 2008 15:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Powell's gonna be on Late Edition on CNN tomorrow

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 15:31 (sixteen years ago) link

i agree with just about everything gabbneb said in his longer post upthread speculating what will happen with the dem race.

and of course, this is key to determining who it'll likely be:

the thing is, I sorta suspect that Hillary has the upper hand given natural advantages in the big March and April states. the question is whether the momentum and coverage of the next four weeks of Obama winning and Hillary losing will be enough to get him to or beyond parity when we get to OH and maybe PA.

Mark Clemente, Saturday, 9 February 2008 15:38 (sixteen years ago) link

honestly tho, if obama 7 or 8 or 9 of these february contests, wouldn't that catapult him towards winning in march as well?

m bison, Saturday, 9 February 2008 17:25 (sixteen years ago) link

so we've obviously seen the new clinton campaign strategy for aftr super tuesday, which is an attempt to recast her as the upstart candidate. all of campaigns press-directed activities have been attempts to shore up this storyline -- the loan, the fundraising plea, the call for more debates, the 'press-hates-hillary' shuster affair. but keep in mind -- it takes money and time to come up with new talking points and strategies and requires organization to spread the new narrative -- you can bet a large part of these new-found funds are being used to focus-group new campaign slogans and shit like that... and clinton does need to raise a lot more funds and will be holding more traditional fundraising events, rather than just rallies.

so obama has an advantage here -- i really hope that the obama campaign can take the opportunity to talk more policy and actually set forth proposals for programs and legislation -- the plan for 80% reduction in emissions he set out in seattle is a good example, and delivered to the correct geographic crowd. if he can continue the strong grassroots support and season his events with a few more policy specifics, it will counter the narrative that the obama campaign is self-referential / a cult of personality / all generalities & no specifics.

elmo argonaut, Saturday, 9 February 2008 19:51 (sixteen years ago) link

so obama has an advantage here -- i really hope that the obama campaign can take the opportunity to talk more policy

Don’t worry, he won’t. Senator Obama will get hammered by both Senator Clinton and McCain if he even comes close to making policy the focus of his campaign, the campaign is well aware of this fact.

Mr. Goodman, Saturday, 9 February 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

it will counter the narrative that the obama campaign is self-referential / a cult of personality / all generalities & no specifics.

You can’t change what he, or his campaign is. Frankly, if you’d like to see him win you should be praying he doesn’t attempt to change the narrative.

Mr. Goodman, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

dude, you're really obnoxious.

elmo argonaut, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Since on many levels Obama and Clinton "policies" are indistinguishable, and Obama's the more fiery speaker, HRC better buy some rosary beads.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, the only people that care about policy are the 10% of the population that's strongly involved in politics, so the more turnout increases, the less policy matters. 30% turnout = at least 2/3 of voters are making their decision based on personality or associative cues.

Eppy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Worth reading -- reports on caucusing in Nebraska. TONS of people showing up for Democratic voting, overwhelming expectations. Some bits:

1:52 p.m.

The decision to have only one caucus site in all of Sarpy County appears to have been a bad one.

Reports are coming in that the caucus site in Papillion is overhwhelmed.

Thousands have turned up, when organized expected only several hundred.

They are still registering.

Traffic is backed up on Highway 370.

"All of Sarpy County is at this school and they've run out of registration forms," said Cindy Perich, of Papillion.

She had taken today off to caucus on behalf of Barack Obama. But, she left. It was too chaotic.

"It's totally unorganized. I'm totally disappointed with the (Nebraska) Democratic Party," said Perich.

* * *

11:42 a.m.

It doesn't look good for Clinton at Monroe Middle School.

The line to the Clinton box is empty. The line to vote for Obama is about a half block long.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Goodman, has the possibility that Obama is smarter than Hillary ever occurred to you?

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:26 (sixteen years ago) link

i hope obama's momentum can help him out in texas and ohio

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Mr. Goodman, has the possibility that Obama is smarter than Hillary ever occurred to you?

Of course it has. Look, I vote on three issues. The future of two of these determine my future employment as I plan to work within their area of policy and as a part of the next administration. It is in my best interest to support the candidate who I think will not only best serve the country, but serve myself (and my beliefs) as well.

While I have the utmost respect for the three leading candidates, I believe Senator Clinton is the candidate who best fits my ideology and interests.

Mr. Goodman, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

you are out of a job if clinton looses?

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

The future of two of these determine my future employment as I plan to work within their area of policy and as a part of the next administration

At least you're selfless.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

you are out of a job if clinton looses?

http://www.medgadget.com/archives/img/12423511gp1.jpg

gershy, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

From: Lil' Boosie

Date: Feb 9, 2008 9:48 AM
Subject: VOTE FOR A CHANGE
Body: Normally I dont even get involved in all the politics... but make sure you go vote for BARACK TODAY...

You want to see change in the world... make sure you go vote.

gff, Saturday, 9 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

lxy reports that washington's caucus today is "already really annoying"

jergïns, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee takes Kansas

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

LIVE REPORT FROM MACKRO MACKRO VIA PHONE:

--

"From Queen Anne Hill, 'pro-Hillary'/Gary Locke district:

Obama -- 90%
Clinton -- 10%
GOP -- a vast and empty silence

Now off to the Kimya Dawson instore at Easy Street.

Rock. (Pretty surprising even for me!)"

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

i wish more ron paul fans wouldn't vote

-- J.D., Sunday, 30 December 2007 10:28 (9 hours ago) Link

Sorry. We're coming out in droves on super tuesday. Get ready.

-- If Assholes Could Fly This Place Would Be An Airport, Sunday, December 30, 2007 2:51 PM (Sunday, December 30, 2007 2:51 PM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:40 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- He adds his estimates aren't official, but just judging by the raising of hands. Also adds it was a total madhouse, people asked to leave if preferences had already been recorded -- scene outside "like a natural disaster had happened and everyone was waiting in line for supplies"

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

at least he broke 5% in NY, xp

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

is QA supposed to be pro-Hillary because richies live there?

gabbneb, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

My wife drove by the Republican caucus site in our crappy Kansas town this morning as the caucus was ending, and said every person she saw was age 65 or older (I guess the three Ron Paul voters were still inside moping).

I'm surprised Huckabee won so big here---there's a lot of military here, and I thought they'd be very pro-McCain.

Euler, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- Ask the man when he gets back to this thread.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Not one of Huckabee's better photos:

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/photo/homepage/hp2-9-08a.jpg

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Now off to the Kimya Dawson instore at Easy Street.

lol

gr8080, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Was he chewing on a baby with those incisors?

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

i am hoping huckabee can make a run and conservative infighting will continue.

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

i saw ann coulter on cspan at the cpac thing and she said she would have voted for giuliani because he would pick judges that would be against miranda rights

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm still in shock that ann coulter's a deadhead.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not!

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

lol at lowercase "deadhead"

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

it is kind of baffling to me that coulter/rush/etc thought mitt a "true conservative"

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess they were enamored by his wealth/biz background?

artdamages, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

haircut.

Cosmo Vitelli, Saturday, 9 February 2008 21:58 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm surprised Huckabee won so big here---there's a lot of military here, and I thought they'd be very pro-McCain.

I kind of feel like Huckabee's good-guy born again persona goes over pretty well in KS, b/c it's probably how a lot of people view themselves. There might be a lot of military in some places, but there are tons of registered Republicans all over the state to kind of balance them out.

circles, Saturday, 9 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

greenwood elementary (sea, US) initial tally:

obama 55
hillary 9
undecided 6

jergïns, Saturday, 9 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

when do the results start coming in? i thought i had read nebraska's caucuses were over at like 5 est?

m bison, Saturday, 9 February 2008 23:15 (sixteen years ago) link

link passed along to me:

http://community.livejournal.com/seattle/5045218.html

Wow. That's fucked up.
---
http://wa-democrats.com/

http://wa-democrats.org/

The second goes to the WA state Democrats website. The first one? The WA state GOP site.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 00:34 (sixteen years ago) link

oh boy:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Now_on_MSNBC.html#comments

Mark Clemente, Sunday, 10 February 2008 00:47 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like she's pimped out her leverage.

^@^, Sunday, 10 February 2008 00:50 (sixteen years ago) link

i saw ann coulter on cspan at the cpac thing and she said she would have voted for giuliani because he would pick judges that would be against miranda rights

-- artdamages, Saturday, February 9, 2008 9:50 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Link

for a second there i was pro-coulter; my brain read that as 'miranda july'

^@^, Sunday, 10 February 2008 00:51 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMHLI7ypeLQ

Crappy vid of Obama with a megaphone addressing the 3K+ supporters who got stuck out in the cold outside the Key Arena yesterday.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 00:56 (sixteen years ago) link

they had one of those specials for McCain a few days ago

The Brainwasher, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Well, just back from caucusing. My precinct had 35 people show up, of whom 28 went for Obama and 7 for Clinton, with 5 delegates going to the former and 1 to the latter, which looked like it was more or less the story for all the Everett precincts. Hopefully that result is replicated all over WA.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Looking at Jergins' post, maybe so.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

some people in the comments section say this was planned to be paired with a mccain headliners & legends ep?

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:03 (sixteen years ago) link

At my district's '04 caucus, maybe 100 people showed up total. The theater they held it at this year has 3,000 seats and there were probably another thousand people who couldn't be seated. Very happy to see that.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:04 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.komotv.com/news/15440961.html

So it looks like turnout statewide was around _double_ 4 years ago

Also, word from tacoma:

Senor Funkapus (4:16:35 PM): how was the vote breakdown?
c**** (4:17:42 PM): so I guess there were multiple districts there and the split us up into different rooms. my district ended up being 118 people I think with over 70 to obama
Senor Funkapus (4:17:52 PM): neat
c**** (4:17:57 PM): 11 obama delegates and 5 hillary delegates is how it broke down
c**** (4:18:06 PM): to the county convention
c**** (4:18:19 PM): not sure how the others broke down yet

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:09 (sixteen years ago) link

double THAN 4 years ago, rather

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

It seems they might be breaking it down a bit differently in different places. Ours had the whole congressional district (Everett/Marysville/Tulalip) gathered in one place, broken down by precincts that seem to have gotten about 7 to 4 delegates each based on turnout.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

That should be legislative district rather than congressional district, no one had to drive here from Bellingham.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay, Obama is winning WA & NE handily.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, secondhand word is that whatever county Omaha's in is something like 77% for obama.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:28 (sixteen years ago) link

did they ever say who won New Mexico?

The Brainwasher, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Is your s/n really "Senor Funkapus"? That's awesome. xp

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I think they're still working on that, but last I saw Clinton was in the lead.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Is your s/n really "Senor Funkapus"? That's awesome. xp

Yes it is. I needed a new aim name after (i think) yerac & RJG had my old one banned. So i went for one appropriately stupid, and months later San Andreas was released with George Clinton's character sporting a startingly similar moniker.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Never played San Andreas, so I don't know about that.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh it's worth it, especially on a PC.

Anyhoo, CNN's calling NE & WA for Obama, who's currently leading 2-to-1 with something like 73 and 48% of the vote in.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#NM

New Mexico

Updated 7:42 p.m. EST, Feb 8, 2008

County Results
Exit Poll

Clinton 68,654 49% 13 99%reporting
Obama 67,531 48% 12
Edwards 2,060 2% 0
Richardson 1,211 1% 0
Uncommitted 413 0% 0

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I almost have a feeling that would change on a revote.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile in the 'cheap shot but still I snickered' category, on the comments on this story:

Gov. Huckabee is the candidate that I can point out to my kids and say with pride "look, there is our President."

Posted by: cons3rvative | February 9, 2008 02:40 PM

Gov. Huckabee is the candidate that I can point out to my kids and say with pride "look, that guy thinks dinosaurs were pets 4000 years ago".

Posted by: PetDino | February 9, 2008 02:46 PM

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:55 (sixteen years ago) link

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/09/bushs-former-un-ambassador-backs-mccain/

February 9, 2008

Bush's former U.N. ambassador backs McCain

Posted: 08:15 PM ET

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton endorsed John McCain for president Saturday, the latest high-profile conservative to get behind the Arizona senator’s bid for the Republican nomination.

Bolton, who was a controversial choice to be the top U.S. diplomat at the United Nations, served in the post from August 2005 until December 2006. President Bush had to use his power to install Bolton into the position through a recess appointment after Senate Democrats successfully blocked votes on his nomination. Democrats cited Bolton’s temperament and brash style as one of the many reasons why they opposed him. Their decision was a major rallying point for conservatives in 2005.

“John McCain was very active and supportive during my confirmation hearings to be the U.S. Ambassador to the UN,” Bolton said in a statement released by McCain’s presidential campaign. “His belief in me at that time was a testament to his courage to fight the liberals in the Senate and vigorously advance American interests at the UN...

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

xp hahahaha

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:58 (sixteen years ago) link

My other-side-of-the-state WA caucus had what seemed to be a good number of people show up, most of whom had never been to one before. My precinct was 32 people, 25 for Obama, 5 for Clinton, 2 undecided. It ended up being 5 Obama delegates and 1 Clinton one.

Friends who were in another precinct at the same place said it was similar, overwhelmingly pro-Obama.

joygoat, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

"liberals in the Senate"

(xxpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Aaaaand the Louisiana results are now slowly trickling in...

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

This Hillary speech at the J-J dinner in Virginia right now is actually pretty good.

"One day, children will take it for granted that a woman or an African American can be president."

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:07 (sixteen years ago) link

Her speeches might be good, but she usually sounds like a non-native speaker when she delivers them.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

What is this 'inspiration' you speak of?

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Well I'll just say that as many speeches as I've seen her give over the last 1+ years, this was the first time I thought she nailed a really good theme.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

she really should have played that line up a lot more ... its not like obama where he has to prove that he's 'beyond' race or something

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:13 (sixteen years ago) link

hey, Dana Bash's fiance getting his mensch on in reminding people of Katrina w/ the CNN-iPhone maps

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

all three of them

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:21 (sixteen years ago) link

LA exit polls: Obama ~53%, Clinton ~%45.

M.V., Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Aaaaand the Louisiana results are now slowly trickling in...

-- kingfish, Sunday, February 10, 2008 2:06 AM

M.V., Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:27 (sixteen years ago) link

OK, back from Seattle Saturday:

to answer Gabb's question about Queen Anne Hill waaaaaaay above into the "more result" black-hole..

Not saying Hillary was more popular here just because of richies, but because of large number of richies & status quo types. More than a week ago, I saw many more Hillary signs than Obama signs.

HOWEVER, two important things happened since Tuesday:

* Romney dropped out
* Supertuesday resolves for the Democrats, basically, nothing

There's STILL SEATTLE CAUCUS TRAFFIC... RIGHT NOW

I had to lead a packed bus of caucus-goers on my bus off, because Queen Anne Ave was bumper-to-bumper traffic of other people deciding to drive to the caucus. We all briskly walked over, and saw a HUGE line wrapped around our junior high school venue (McClure Middle School). By the time I signed in, pref. Obama, I went to table with my precinct number made for 20 people, with about 60 people hovering around it. At one point, one guy asked for an informal tally of votes for which Candidate. It sas 9 to 1, Obama. 0.3% uncommitted or something.

Then someone came it and said, "Ok, it's really packed in here. If you already signed in and you made your preference known, your vote WILL COUNT. You can stay if you wish to continue with delegation." There will still a huge line of people out the door, so she was basically saying "If you know who you voted for already, kindly GTFO the way for the other people in line. :D", which none of us minded doing.

It wasn't really a caucus, it was more of a Forced In-Person primary. Even if we didn't talk all that much, it was great to be forced to see who my neighbors were, see some familiar faces, and meet people again.. Normally it would take a tragedy to make this happen. This time, it was a much more positive thing.

People were just PSYCHED all 'round the city today. Definitely a day I won't forget.

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee and Mccain are pretty damn close right now in LA.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Same in WA.

So, I'm reading that WA is 66% Obama now?

If that's the case, then Obama is gaining 26 delegates (i.e. the plebeian delegates) over Clinton from us alone.

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:54 (sixteen years ago) link

if he's over 60% thats real good news

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:55 (sixteen years ago) link

follow along if yer bored:

http://www400.sos.louisiana.gov:8090/cgibin/?rqstyp=elcms2&rqsdta=020908

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:56 (sixteen years ago) link

WA current at 68% for obama

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 02:58 (sixteen years ago) link

richies tend to be for obama, of course

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 03:05 (sixteen years ago) link

obama wins LA. yawn, apparently.

Cosmo Vitelli, Sunday, 10 February 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

30,800 47% Huckabee, "Mike"

Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved, Sunday, 10 February 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile in the 'cheap shot but still I snickered' category, on the comments on this story:

Gov. Huckabee is the candidate that I can point out to my kids and say with pride "look, there is our President."

Posted by: cons3rvative | February 9, 2008 02:40 PM

Gov. Huckabee is the candidate that I can point out to my kids and say with pride "look, that guy thinks dinosaurs were pets 4000 years ago".

Posted by: PetDino | February 9, 2008 02:46 PM

-- Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 01:55 (1 hour ago) Link

fucking LOL'd

J0hn D., Sunday, 10 February 2008 03:22 (sixteen years ago) link

I still can't figure out why both Hillary and Barack have used "City of Blinding Lights" as stump music. The lyrics are so weird in that context.

Johnny Fever, Sunday, 10 February 2008 03:28 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL, Field recordings and photo slide show of a WA caucus today.. I think this was mine actually, but I left early because I already signed in my preferred candidate.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23087573/

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

LA exits say more Obama voters would be satisfied with Clinton than vice versa

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

but we knew they were petty, rite?

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

white people

http://www.jaunted.com/files/admin/tompetty.png

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, got nearly 60 percent of the vote a few hours after telling conservatives in Washington, "I majored in miracles, and I still believe in them."

this could be scandalous if it turns out that school isn't accredited.

Cosmo Vitelli, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Mike Huckabee - likes Jesus, the Lovin' Spoonful

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:29 (sixteen years ago) link

am I the only one who thinks that Hillary speaks with the same intonation/cadence as Karl Rove?

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:30 (sixteen years ago) link

no.

gr8080, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:34 (sixteen years ago) link

How would the decision be made about whether to seat the MI and FL delegates or not? Is there a particular committee that would make that decision?

Dan I., Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:46 (sixteen years ago) link

yes, and it's apparently controlled by whoever's leading. it's not gonna get that far.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Newt's veep picks are Crist, Sanford and Huckabee.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Start the 'Newt is not a real conservative' calls.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Cleveland Plain-Dealer: Bill Clinton says his wife excelled at "making positive changes in other people's lives." Consider that construction. Then listen as Obama talks of bringing people together to change their own lives.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 04:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Are these 29% "Other" WA Reep votes (more than for any actual candidate) Romney supporters? Undecided? Someone make sense of this.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:37 (sixteen years ago) link

To be fair, here are pics from the GOP caucuses in Washington.

First pic is an entire precinct in Bellevue. All three.

http://i31.tinypic.com/33adsma.jpg
http://i27.tinypic.com/280l15k.jpg
http://i30.tinypic.com/2mmhlwx.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i28.tinypic.com/2qtan2o.jpg

("SPOUSE BUG"?)

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

that last Hillary picture is as Tracy Flick as it gets

milo z, Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:51 (sixteen years ago) link

I know it's a dick move to make fun of these pictures, but republicans always look like stereotypes of themselves!

Dan I., Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I wish I had a pic of the inside of the Civic Auditorium to show just how crazy it was in there. My precinct had to go outside because we couldn't hear each other over the 3,500-4,000 people in one room.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 05:55 (sixteen years ago) link

To me, the big story today is how disappointing McCain was today. Not that it matters as far as his inevitable nomination, but the fractures in the GOP remain more persistent than ever.

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:22 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee staying in is a cleverer move than I first suspected.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:23 (sixteen years ago) link

He took a good hard look at the list of primaries coming up, I suspect.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Apparently Paul is scaling back the Prez run cause he's facing a legit challenge to keep his own seat in the House. He still maintains he won't run 3rd party.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I still wanna know wtf he's gonna do with all that money.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Pizza party.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, seriously, it's not like he's blowing all those millions on tv buys. Is he just going to funnel it into a re-election campaign or hookers n' blow or silver coins minted with his own image or what...

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:32 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: Pizza standard.

The Reverend, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:32 (sixteen years ago) link

ron paul being ron paul, he is funding think tanks that will surprise everybody by producing a libertarian president in 2024.

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:38 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean longterm i think ron paul is the underreported part of the whole campaign so far. i guess because he doesn't represent anything that matters this year, this is like the least libertarian election ever: pro-tax liberals vs. pro-torture conservatives. but that's just gonna fuel his political martyrdom. whoever the next republican candidate is after mccain, it'll be someone sprinkling a few libertarian words into the standard rhetoric.

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 10 February 2008 06:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Canadians to blame for today

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 07:16 (sixteen years ago) link

hello obama.

tremendoid, Sunday, 10 February 2008 07:18 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.republicaupdate.com/images/2007/06/06/hillary_and_obama.jpg

roxymuzak, Sunday, 10 February 2008 07:24 (sixteen years ago) link

man Obama bringin it with that VA speech, really well done.

Shakey Mo Collier, Sunday, 10 February 2008 07:40 (sixteen years ago) link

it'll be someone sprinkling a few libertarian words into the standard rhetoric.

but, hell, that's already been happening for a coupla decades. I mean, what was it, the main tenets of the John Birch Society years ago were now policy aims for most republicans, some of which were achieved.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 08:13 (sixteen years ago) link

So, schedule is, i guess, Maine is on sunday, MA/DC/VA on tuesday, and Hawaii and Wisconsin on the tuesday after that.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 08:26 (sixteen years ago) link

the republicans haven't really tooted the libertarian horn too loud since reagan. bush sr. was a libertarian disaster, and aside from tax cuts bush jr. has been much more attentive to social conservatives and hawks than libertarian interests. i'm assuming that after this election people are going to be looking for new coalitions to put together, and that persistent 10-12 percent paul's pulling could look attractive. not to mention the money, and support from independents.

tipsy mothra, Sunday, 10 February 2008 08:38 (sixteen years ago) link

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080210/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_rdp

Obama's winning margins ranged from substantial to crushing.

He won roughly two-thirds of the vote in Washington state and Nebraska, and almost 90 percent in the Virgin Islands.

kingfish, Sunday, 10 February 2008 08:51 (sixteen years ago) link

obama and the court - http://www.slate.com/id/2183930/pagenum/all/#page_start

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 12:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama outperformed the exit polls in Louisiana. Might this mean some whites lied when they claimed not to have voted for him?

M.V., Sunday, 10 February 2008 16:11 (sixteen years ago) link

this sweep is what obama needed before the next round of primaries; I know clinton is favored in a few (does anyone know which)...possibly this could tip the other states for him? i feel like clinton's luster is starting to really fade at least as far as the media coverage is concerned

akm, Sunday, 10 February 2008 16:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Frank Rich predicts in civil war in the party.

Meanwhile superdelegates are getting nervous.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 10 February 2008 16:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Doris Lessing says: Obama will be assassinated if he wins

of course it's a consideration to take in mind, but wtf does she know?

elmo argonaut, Sunday, 10 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

by who, bill? grow the fuck up, doris lessing

gff, Sunday, 10 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

By Doris Lessing, that's clearly a threat.

Ed, Sunday, 10 February 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe she's making a play for the VP spot.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

crazy old lady

That one guy that hit it and quit it, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Thought this was worth highlighting from Rich's piece:

Mrs. Clinton did pile up her expected large margin among Latino voters in California. But her tight grip on that electorate is loosening. Mr. Obama, who captured only 26 percent of Hispanic voters in Nevada last month, did better than that in every state on Tuesday, reaching 41 percent in Arizona and 53 percent in Connecticut. Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign’s attempt to drive white voters away from Mr. Obama by playing the race card has backfired. His white vote tally rises every week. Though Mrs. Clinton won California by almost 10 percentage points, among whites she beat Mr. Obama by only 3 points.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Tad Devine's op-ed today might be more significant - a Gore shot across Hillary's bow?

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

southern states still show a significant racial divide ... 70% of whites in LA went for clinton

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Do they even do political assassinations anymore? Thats so 1968

The Brainwasher, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

So as a measure of how fucked-up the delegate shit is, check out the Times' helpfully transparent breakdown of the count:

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/delegates/index.html

They have Clinton over Obama 912-741. But that includes the "surveyed" superdelegates, giving her 202 and him 99. So take those away and it's 710-642, a gap of 70. Then look a little more and see they don't count any delegates from a whole bunch of states Obama's won: Washington, Nebraska, North Dakota, Iowa, Louisiana, Colorado, and Alaska. The AP projection has them within 25, but looking at that breakdown, I think (counting out the superdelegates) Obama's probably made up enough ground in the uncounted states to be pretty close to tied. Actually, going with CNN's count (http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#val=D), he makes up 71 delegates in those states. Soooo...

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:25 (sixteen years ago) link

By Iowa I meant Idaho, but they don't have Iowa on there either turns out, so give him another 1.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Which means by my count, ignoring the superdelegates, he should be up by 4.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

the whole concept of 'pledged superdelegates' is retarded

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm really curious what their methodology was--what constitues "committed"? What question did they ask? (For isntance, was it "Who are you supporting" or "Of the candidates, are you entirely committed to voting for one, and if so, which one?") Did they call all 800 within the same timespan, or are they relying on old answers? Seems real fishy.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 18:41 (sixteen years ago) link

The campaigns provide them with lists. Anyone can change their minds. Chuck Todd's math, which I'm guessing is better than any of ours, says O's ahead 65 without supes, and Hillary's ahead 24 with.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Juan Williams seemed less hateful this morning, but was he playing a double game in arguing that the GOP wants O? http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Juan_Williams_calls_out_Fox_analysts_0210.html

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama was great as usual at the lectern in Virgina last night. But it seemed like he had a little extra bit of confidence from the way Saturday's returns favored him; also maybe from doing what he does best on the same mic Hillary just spoke at. It seemed like it pushed him over the top into Presidential Contender Badass territory.

gr8080, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:16 (sixteen years ago) link

WA state GOP stopped counting GOP votes at 87% and declared McCain winner, Huckabee and Paul closely behind.

Huckabee says FUCK YOU COUNT THEM ALL BICH

Mackro Mackro, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Last night at some point I was on the phone with jules and drifting out of consciousness in the middle of sentences (ooh, fun medication!), which led to some weird nonsequitors that she told me about this morning. But her favorite was when I blurted, with no prompting and not on any topic at hand, "HILLARY JUST NEEDS TO LEAVE US ALONE!"

kenan, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I think Frank Rich is right about that point, though -- I don't know about "war," but we won't see Obama get the nom before we see Hillary bring out some demonic fucking claws. Which will shock the nation, of course, because she's so lovable right now.

kenan, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Do they even do political assassinations anymore? Thats so 1968

These things go in and out of fashion. More so than platform shoes. It's been a longer lull than usual.

Aimless, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Juan Williams seemed less hateful this morning, but was he playing a double game in arguing that the GOP wants O? http://rawstory.com/news/2008/Juan_Williams_calls_out_Fox_analysts_0210.html

-- gabbneb, Sunday, February 10, 2008 1:06 PM (49 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

the thought had crossed my mind too but i rejected it for a number of reasons ... it sounds like the same logic that calls karl rove an EVIL GENIUS

also juan sounds pro-clinton

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess mackro was right on the ron paul tip. it's a caucus, tho.

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:05 (sixteen years ago) link

lol @ "fun medication" turning kenan into a Republican housewife

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

southern states still show a significant racial divide ... 70% of whites in LA went for clinton

hillary klanton

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:24 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ Idiotic stereotyping.

It's possible to vote for one person or the other for reasons that don't have to do with race, and more to do with regional political tendencies.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

thank you for taking my post very seriously, we need more aspies on this thread

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

After all, Bobby Jindal won the LA governorship after winning more white votes from Republicans, Democrats, and independents than any other candidate.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Even as a joke, Gershy, it's a fucked up thing to say.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:47 (sixteen years ago) link

are you denying that the clintons are playing racial politics in the primaries?

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

I figured you would abandon the "it was just a joke" defense. I just didn't expect it to happen so soon.

Of course I wouldn't deny it. Bill's dismissive remarks after South Carolina cinched my Obama vote (after Edwards dropped out).

But voters from the deep south who would be susceptible to the racial politics dog whistle abandoned the Democrats in 1980 or so. So no, I don't think racial bias contributed at all significantly to Hillary's win among whites in LA.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

what does regional political tendencies mean in this case?

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Bread and butter issues. Preference for familiar names over new faces, and skepticism of flavors-of-the-week. It's part of a regional cultural conservatism, but among Dems, it has nothing to do with race.

The David Dukes of the south are Republicans now, and swap code words about original intent and states rights. Your sort of smug ignorance is the kind of thing that makes it too easy for the bigots to split up the middle -- "see, to them, you're just a racist hick, while we talk your language."

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

It doesn't take too much of a stretch of thinking to argue that any Hillary voter must be a racist. Good luck with that.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

your projecting some crazy stuff dude, but whatever.
my joke had nothing to do wit LA or the south, if the quote had said New Hampshire/South Dakota or any other northern state, would have been the same

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:10 (sixteen years ago) link

good luck with thinking all white voters in the south are immune to racial appeals too

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

white dem voters that is

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:12 (sixteen years ago) link

So when I look through the New Hampshire stuff up the page, I'll see your earlier joke tying New Hampshire voters to the Klan, right?

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

X-post

Whoah, goalposts moved again, big surprise.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

if someone had posted that upthread, yes

and you're the one making blanket statements, dude

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Cheap internet rhetorical devices employed by Gershy so far: "it was a just a joke," arguments of perversity, straw men, changing the terms of debate.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:31 (sixteen years ago) link

the straw men have been of your creation

"debate"

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:35 (sixteen years ago) link

lmao @ "dickerson pike" - who is this guy? is he buddy with rock hardy??really standing up for the honor of the South against imaginary attacks.

-- gershy, Sunday, February 10, 2008 4:29 PM (Sunday, February 10, 2008 4:29 PM) Bookmark Link

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:46 (sixteen years ago) link

ban nude spock

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:48 (sixteen years ago) link

internet hardmen will rise again

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Bread and butter issues. Preference for familiar names over new faces, and skepticism of flavors-of-the-week. It's part of a regional cultural conservatism, but among Dems, it has nothing to do with race.

-- Dickerson Pike, Sunday, February 10, 2008 3:06 PM (52 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

lol southern black folks, always choosing new faces and flavors of the week

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:01 (sixteen years ago) link

we need more aspies on this thread

Oh, I'll be back soon.

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:03 (sixteen years ago) link

WASHINGTON - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton has replaced campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle, naming longtime aide Maggie Williams to the top job.

Solis Doyle announced the shift in an e-mail to the staff on Sunday.

"I have been proud to manage this campaign and prouder still to call Hillary my friend for more than 16 years," Solis Doyle wrote. "Maggie is a remarkable person and I am confident that she will do a fabulous job."

The move comes a day after rival Barack Obama swept contests in Washington state, Nebraska, Louisiana

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Deej, yeah, I'd say that southern blacks have less vested in the existing national party power structure.

Dickerson Pike, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

lmao @ "dickerson pike" - who is this guy? is he buddy with rock hardy??really standing up for the honor of the South against imaginary attacks.

hahaha, wait, what? When have I EVER stood up for the honor of the South? I can barely tolerate this place.

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Meanwhile, Obama appears to be winning Maine...

carson dial, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:35 (sixteen years ago) link

he's also winning Grammys.

He won best spoken word LMAO.

The Brainwasher, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:44 (sixteen years ago) link

damn obama even stomping out our own ned raggett

J0rdan S., Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Clearly Obama is the spoken-word establishment. Now, to fire my manager.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 22:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Edwards in talks - http://thepage.time.com/2008/02/10/page-exclusive-tar-heel-talks/

gabbneb, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:02 (sixteen years ago) link

that post is just screaming for drudgesiren.gif

J0rdan S., Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I can't help but think he'll end up endorsing Obama.

Simon H., Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

OBAMA LARGE IN MAINE

gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Barack Obama 1,305 57.3%
Hillary Rodham Clinton 956 42.0
Uncommitted 16 0.7
Others 1 0.0

59% reporting | Updated 6:22 PM ET

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:25 (sixteen years ago) link

whooooooooo

Curt1s Stephens, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:30 (sixteen years ago) link

NBC calls Maine for Obama.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:32 (sixteen years ago) link

thank you for taking my post very seriously, we need more aspies on this thread

-- gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:43 (2 hours ago)

uhh, your post was the most half-witted thing i've ever read.

srsly. is that even funny?

molly mummenschanz, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Huge win in Maine. If Obama takes the February primaries, he'll really jepordize HRC's March ''big states'' strategy. She might wind up being steamrolled like Giuliani (tho, obv, there are significant differences between HRC and Rudy G).

Daniel, Esq., Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

The north is from Mars, the south is from Venus.

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Let's make a romantic comedy you guys!

Eppy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

more like dickerson klanston, amirite

max, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

No way will HRC allow herself to get trampled. That superdelegate story in today's NYT is worrying.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:56 (sixteen years ago) link

It's about what's expected, isn't it?

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

thank you for taking my post very seriously, we need more aspies on this thread

-- gershy, Sunday, 10 February 2008 20:43 (2 hours ago)

uhh, your post was the most half-witted thing i've ever read.

srsly. is that even funny?

-- molly mummenschanz, Sunday, February 10, 2008 5:39 PM (14 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

in this case i think gershy's post is supposed to come after yours

deej, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:57 (sixteen years ago) link

haha

jergïns, Sunday, 10 February 2008 23:59 (sixteen years ago) link

Alfred, that Rich NYT story is not just worrying . . . it's frightening.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 11 February 2008 00:02 (sixteen years ago) link

rich turns this amazing trick of both saying the obvious and being completely wrong about everything

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I was referring to the story not the Rich column, about which Tracer is otm.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:15 (sixteen years ago) link

link to rich column??

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:16 (sixteen years ago) link

it can stand repeating, everytime i hear talk about re-seating the michigan/florida delegates i want to puke

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:18 (sixteen years ago) link

An innocent question: is there any movement in the Democratic Party to abolish this oligarchic superdelegate system (which was itself counter-revolutionary)?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

at this point I'm preparing for Obama to win the delegate, state, and popular vote, while Clinton ends up with the nod thru backroom SuperD dealings. I doubt ppl would put up much of a protest if that happened.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:21 (sixteen years ago) link

if the delegate winner doesn't become the nom i guarantee there will be talks (if not movement) to abolish the system.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://bearingdrift.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/04/BO_Ludicris.jpg

ROLL OUT

am0n, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama's tie is great!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Ben Wanted shirt = subliminal donation appeal

Hurting 2, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:30 (sixteen years ago) link

gershy, next time just say IT WAS MADE PRETTY CLEAR THAT THIS WAS A JOKE AND YOU ALMOST STABBED YOURSELF IN THE FACE LIKE A HULKAMANIAC TRYING TO TELL ME I'M A DOUCHE FOR *ACTUALLY* THINKING THAT.

El Tomboto, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Haven't posted to ILX in a while but having been lurking on this thread in particular.

I think it's naive to dismiss race as a factor in Obama's white vote (or lack thereof) in some places but I don't think it's just a Southern issue (for the record: I'm a white Southerner and strong Obama supporter).

It's interesting that Obama seems to be doing best either in states with a large black vote in the democratic primary (where he wins so overwhelmingly that he only needs 25% or so of the white vote to win overall) OR in relatively racially homogenous states with a very small black population (Idaho? Nebraska? even Minnesota).

What this says to me is that it's easier for white voters, in mass, to support a black candidate in states with very small black populations, not because white voters in these places are less "racist" (a loaded word best avoided in most circumstances) but because their political thinking is less rooted in reacting to race or race-based identity politics.

In other words, white voters in more diverse areas are more likely to feel threatened by a black politician (or, more to the point, that politician's perceived constituency) or uncomfortably implicated in the effects of racial discrimination that politician makes people confront than white voters in heavily white areas.

The idea that only "racist" or Republican white voters are affected by race (if even unconsciously) is wishful/simplistic. As is the notion that this is only a Southern dynamic.

My two cents

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:48 (sixteen years ago) link

^ possibly the most thoughtful thing i've read on the race factor in the primaries.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:52 (sixteen years ago) link

it's pretty obvious, too. but the question is how much it will actually matter in the places that matter.

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama won the swing regions of Louisiana, btw

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:55 (sixteen years ago) link

tomboto otm!

hstencil much much better at the interweb beef baiting tho

molly seemed like a nice gal : \

gershy, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean, obama is not nearly as popular among white ethnic urban dem primary voters, but does that mean he's gonna lose massachusetts (lol, racists)

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:58 (sixteen years ago) link

can it be presumed that he would get a larger black turnout in swing states with significant black populations? especially after this primary?

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Gershy, Molly and I live together, so we have the same IP address.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 00:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm amazed that you try to take such pleasure in shutting down discussion by whining until the person who called you on your bullshit gets banned. I admire your commitment to open discussion.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:02 (sixteen years ago) link

I should say that I'm much more struck by Obama's ability to win massively in such lily-white areas than by his struggles (however minor, really) to gain white support in more diverse areas.

Sure -- we probably shouldn't assume that all white Clinton voters will go Obama in the general -- there's probably a sliver that will vote McCain in large part because of a reluctance (acknowledged or not) to vote for a black candidate.

But, conversely, could Obama actually put some hardcore Red states in play? Kansas?

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Prolly not 'hardcore' red, but I think there's several new states that could be play if Obama's the candidate this year, especially coming off his primary numbers.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:12 (sixteen years ago) link

What this says to me is that it's easier for white voters, in mass, to support a black candidate in states with very small black populations, not because white voters in these places are less "racist" (a loaded word best avoided in most circumstances) but because their political thinking is less rooted in reacting to race or race-based identity politics.

I think this is a really elegant way to put it.

State Democratic parties in many southern states have a functional divide between urban black political machines (Memphis, Atlanta, New Orleans) and the white-dominated apparatus in the rest of the state. The white Dems tend to be more rural and conservative, and have to content with rhetoric from the Republicans about tax dollars going to welfare queens in the ghettos, and try to offer pork-barrel and more conservative rhetoric. This is played out again and again in primary battles, executive races, and legislative manouvering. The Ford family in Tennessee is an interesting case-- Harold moved much further to the right of any elected Democratic official I can think of, but the endless ads linking him to family scandals did quite a bit of damage (more than the disgusting "call me, Harold" ad, I suspect).

I would suggest that the Dem primary race in several southern states has followed this pre-existing racial alignment.

It certainly doesn't mean that Hillary supporters in the south are in the fucking klan.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joke

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:16 (sixteen years ago) link

xp to Hubie:
in 2004 Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Mississippi, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia all went to Bush by pretty narrow margins.

If you add an increase in black + independent turnout (ignoring the myriad of other factors), Obama could win any of these states against McCain. So yeah, this could redraw the map.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Get this through your head: even as a joke, it's totally self-defeating to dismiss Southern Democrats who have had to put up with decades of having our asses handed to us by racists as being, in fact, racist.

That kind of stupidity has created an us vs them mentality that has handed hundreds of electoral votes to the Republicans over the last four decades.

So yeah, if some smug shit is going to slur what I've been fighting for-- a liberal/left voice in a place that needs it-- I'm going to call him on his bullshit.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.geocities.com/mmesuzanne/sockpuppet.jpg

The Reverend, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Regarding the Frank Rich NYT article: Rich's anti-HRC bent does color his argument, but I can imagine a nightmare convension like he envisions, even with less of a ruthless politician than Rich makes HRC out to be.

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 11 February 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

love the wal-mart bag
xp

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Reverend, just to make things real literal, are you accusing me, who has been on ILX since 01, of having a sock puppet identity in the form of my fiancee, with whom I live and share an internet connection?

False accusation. We await your apology.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

I live in Memphis FWIW. You mean Harold Jr., but your point is well taken.

But, again, I don't think this is a Southern phenomenon or even a black-white issue. Anywhere that has racial/ethnic diversity also has, unavoidably, a political climate rooted in racial competition, which impacts the political instincts of people who live there even if they resist it.

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:29 (sixteen years ago) link

he's also winning Grammys.

He won best spoken word LMAO.

-- The Brainwasher, Sunday, February 10, 2008 12:44 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

BEATING OUT BILL CLINTON TOO LMAO

link to rich column??

-- deej, Sunday, February 10, 2008 2:16 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/10/opinion/10rich.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper&oref=slogin

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

True enough. See Chicago vs downstate, or the example of Buffalo where Molly's from, where they're convinced that they have a net tax loss to support NYC, despite facts being to the contrary.

Yeah I meant Junior. We live in Nashville.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:32 (sixteen years ago) link

dick, it seems like you got out of bed on the wrong side this morning. you might just want to let it go.

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:35 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah this thread is a clusterfuck enough w/o you guys going a it

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:37 (sixteen years ago) link

so anyway everyone was saying hillary was supposed to win maine cause of the demographics and she got served - a sigh on things to come?

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

uh sign

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:40 (sixteen years ago) link

im sure ive said this before but i dont think the superdelegates have any interest in swinging this thing - particularly if the delegate leader is polling better than the second place finisher in the general election - a lot of these people have to run on the same ticket

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:43 (sixteen years ago) link

well, the point I'm making is that the conventional wisdom about demographics seems off. Obama wins big in pretty much every largely white state. But, yeah, I'm assuming this momentum will keep building and spill over into states where the demographics don't seem to be as much in his favor -- Ohio, Pennsylvania.

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

x post I pointed out that gershy's comment was unacceptable. Since then, it's been me (with one nice assist from my fiancee) defending off gershy and a pathetic claque, who have gone so far as to try to have me banned from ILX and have tried to claim that I'm using Molly as a sockpuppet. I think I was entitled to defend myself against slander, and those who pulled this bullshit should feel shame and apologize.

Since I know I won't get an apology, I'll leave it at that.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:44 (sixteen years ago) link

plz stop we get it ok

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:45 (sixteen years ago) link

jesus christ

El Tomboto, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:48 (sixteen years ago) link

deej:

http://www.google.co.uk/search?hl=en&q=frank+rich+column

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:49 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah i went there

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Dick, I don't think anyone tried to get you banned (at least not recently, I don't see any "ban Dickerson Pike" thread on ModReq)

The Reverend, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:52 (sixteen years ago) link

What this says to me is that it's easier for white voters, in mass, to support a black candidate in states with very small black populations

what numbers bear this idea out?

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:53 (sixteen years ago) link

(see primary results)

The Reverend, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:54 (sixteen years ago) link

right, but besides this primary? the argument becomes pretty circular if that's the only backup

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Rev, I tried to stick up for myself on noize board after guess who whined and I ended up with a ban after strained agitation from several folks, was accused of sockpuppeting (from ILE, not noize0, followed by gloating. Now are we done with this?

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:57 (sixteen years ago) link

yah ive heard this obama cant win wite in racially mixed states meme everywhere recently and im just not buying - there are plenty of other trends to look at there

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 01:59 (sixteen years ago) link

dp how are you not saying "in the 2008 democratic primaries, obama has won a coupla few very white states, so i conclude that white voters are more likely to vote for black people if they themselves aren't around black people (??). want proof? just look at obama in the 2008 primaries!"

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:00 (sixteen years ago) link

of course tying al gore to anyone is going for the jugular, so maybe i just don't have what it takes

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:04 (sixteen years ago) link

woops wrong thread sorry dudes!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not saying he can't win white votes in diverse areas -- clearly he can. But he's winning much larger percentages of the white vote in non-diverse areas. This is not a coincidence is all I'm saying.

Even if it's only true in this election (and since Obama is the only serious African-American presidential candidate of the post-civil-rights-movement generation, we don't have a lot of examples to go on, obv.) it's still true. And seems to mean something.

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:05 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer, did you mean me or Hubie?

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

x post woops

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:06 (sixteen years ago) link

This is not a coincidence is all I'm saying.

uh yah i dont know if you want to call it a coincidence but it could easily just be a side effect of other trends - like hillary being strong w/old white people in the northeast and south her two home regions - or any other such theories

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean people arent just voting y/n obama hes running against hillary

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:11 (sixteen years ago) link

x post - My father (67, white) voted Hillary b/c of policy details and the feeling that she's a brawler when one is called for, not a negative anti Obama formulation

She won California, jh0shea. I wonder if people in the Hillary states are seeing this is a familiar state office primary set-up, with unfamiliar urban liberal (sometimes, not always, black) vs established carefully moderate figure from outside the big city. It seems like I've seen this kind of thing many times before, just not in a presidential primary that lasted long enough to accrue a lot of evidence.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:15 (sixteen years ago) link

yah but she didnt win wites by too much in california - she did pwn latinos tho

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Los Klansmen

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:17 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i28.tinypic.com/wgvw2r.jpg

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Hubie Brown! pls come back & fix our Memphis Grizzlies

will, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:22 (sixteen years ago) link

cleentone not klanton

M.V., Monday, 11 February 2008 02:23 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www2.truman.edu/~ramberg/teaching/jins362/simpsonsaliens.gif

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Grizzlies, get Gene Bartow the fuck out of there. And move back to the Pyramid.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:25 (sixteen years ago) link

("Imagine you're Hubie Brown. You came out of retirement to lead a lowly franchise to their first playoff appearance and you win Coach of the Year with a sold-out building chanting your name. Four years later, you're broadcasting a nationally televised game between the Lakers and the Heat and your old point guard from that team is playing for the Heat and your star forward from that team is patrolling the painted area for the Lakers. Meanwhile, that team you led to respectability is one of the worst in the league and has among the lowest attendance. That hurts, jack! Wish I could.")

Sorry -- xpost.

(The Pyramid is a glorified high-school gym soon to be the world's biggest bait shop.)

Hubie Brown, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Again, two things happened since Supertuesday:

* Romney dropped out --> we know who will be the GOP candidate now
* Obama and CLinton still tied after SuperTuesday!

People are now voting different than they did before Supertuesday.

California would be an Obama state if it was a post-Supertuesday state.

It's not difficult to figure out, guys.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:30 (sixteen years ago) link

WOW WELL FIGURED OUT THAT WASNT THAT HARD TY !

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Who are the parties again? I've heard of them.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Mackro, do you think that the overwhelming majority of Mexican-American and other voters of Central American background who gave Hillary would change? If so based on what?

Relevant because they could vote in big numbers in Texas.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:33 (sixteen years ago) link

dp, based on jackshit. It's how well each candidate is campaigning in each state. Latinos didn't naturally gravitate to Hillary via Osmosis. Hillary very succinctly got the Latino vote through her hard work campaigning there -- BEFORE there was a consensus in ANY party.

Hillary didn't so any campaigning here in Washington. Heavily latino Yakima County went overwhelmingly Obama, among many other WA counties.

There are too many counterexamples to every hypothesis that "People who are colored like THIS vote like THIS" bullshit.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:36 (sixteen years ago) link

That said, if there's momentum for a winner, more people are likely going to go with the one with the momentum. That could CHANGE if the second-place candidate does some smart campaigning.

I'm not ignoring that race isn't a factor as far as campaign strategies, but you guys are making predictions on who will win JUST based on race, which I think is dumb and fucked.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

And I say that having done the same thing myself. I thought Hillary would do much better in Washington state because "OMG there are tons of older white liberal women here". I'm to blame, too. Now I know I was full of shit.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:39 (sixteen years ago) link

its all yr fault

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

xp to Mackro - Don't disagree with your point about race, causation, and voting (though I said nothing that implied necessity), I'm just saying that Texas may resemble California more than you seem to believe, and less in common with eastern Washington.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Oh I'm sure. However, Obama's surely doing some work there too, *and* he now has an advantage due to some intermediary momentum -- again, that could change on Tuesday for all we know.

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:44 (sixteen years ago) link

I also don't know how much to believe about momentum, things have been very volatile with several swings in momentum in the last five weeks.

That said I keep hearing Clinton's campaign is running out of money (I wonder if that will affect superdelegates, or is that too abstract).

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:45 (sixteen years ago) link

That said I keep hearing Clinton's campaign is running out of money

lol

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:46 (sixteen years ago) link

wow maybe that will encourage some donations maybe maybe

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:47 (sixteen years ago) link

she is consistently trailing Obama in donations.

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Schadenfreude LOL or do I just have it wrong? I can't stand reading the campaign finance news because it seems largely conjecture until the quarterly reports (and even then the vast majority of campaign money is hidden like dark matter).

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton Campaign Manager Calls It Quits

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

maybe get extra cash by pimpin daughter?

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:49 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean I assume there's a lot more Clinton money tied up in 527s, but isn't legally available cash.

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

yr suspended jh0shea

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:51 (sixteen years ago) link

dk fyi many have theorized this whaa were broke we had to donate 5m ourselves was fabricated by the clinton campaign to spur donations and cast her as the insurgent underdog

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:52 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah do you see what he did there

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 02:59 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah she'll try anything, tho replacing her CM today does kind of clarify that sharks are circling.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:01 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean all the research and charts I've put together based entirely on my "gut feeling" tell me Obama has a good shot in Texas and Ohio right now.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:02 (sixteen years ago) link

like u can get terra chips at wal mart wtf

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Superdelegates: my fear is that many will decide to disregard the polls and go along with an argument that while Obama would be stronger in the popular vote, rolling up unprecedented majorities even in some light blue states, that Hillary would represent a stronger chance at an electoral college victory even though the margins would be closer.

I don't believe that's the case but I'm thinking it may be a case the Clintonistas make. Pure gut feeling based on trying to anticipate the dodgy shit they're inevitably going to pull (in addition to FL and MI).

Dickerson Pike, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton's raised 10 million since Super Tuesday. She doesn't have money problems.

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:35 (sixteen years ago) link

huffington post has this column, reproduced from 1997 and penned by the huff herself, about maggie williams' position in the clinton whitehouse. that is, the maggie williams who was just named to manage hillary clinton's campaign. no surprise -- she's a groomed clinton loyalist:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/arianna-huffington/who-is-maggie-williams_b_85909.html

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Wisdom about race and demographics in this contest keeps changing. I think I'll wait a while before I draw any conclusions. There are plenty of other factors and the metrics are much more complex.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 11 February 2008 03:39 (sixteen years ago) link

obama won maine. wasn't clinton favored there?

akm, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:05 (sixteen years ago) link

not anytime recently. Clinton's the underdog until they hand her the presidency.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

there weren't a lot of polls tracking voter preferences in maine, but people had speculated that maine's population would likely go for clinton based on the projected voter breakdown, and for the fact that she won in neighboring new hampshire and massachusetts. but it's a caucus state, and since super tuesday those looking at the inside track claimed it was possible for obama to claim it with superior ground-level organization. this seems to have been the case, or at least one way of telling it.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:18 (sixteen years ago) link

So no one knew shit and then Obama won.

Eppy, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

The Obama campaign hasn’t addressed the win yet, but Alex Conant, spokesman for the Republican National Committee, put out this statement:

I imagine Obama’s Grammy will look nice on his mantle next to his ‘most liberal’ senator award. Glowing Hollywood endorsements and awards won’t translate into votes this fall.

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:19 (sixteen years ago) link

for the most part. and now the democratic party will now resume ignoring maine. huzzah! voting!

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

i dont understand how there are states that havent had the shit polled out of them - its only the biggest ongoing news story in the whole world wtf

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

it would be rad if they actually made a trophy for Most Liberal Senator.

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:22 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh, GWB's presumptive endorsement of McCain as the person most fit to continue his legacy is not doing anyone any good, least of all mccain.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:23 (sixteen years ago) link

jhoshea this was all supposed to be wrapped up by super fat tuesday lol pollsters dropped the ball like clinton

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah where can I see how TX, OH, and PA are trending right now?

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

weeeell supposedly the bush endorsement is to help mccain solidify his standing w/conservatives - who still mostly support bush

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:25 (sixteen years ago) link

ugh, GWB's presumptive endorsement of McCain as the person most fit to continue his legacy is not doing anyone any good, least of all mccain.

Hurting 2, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:26 (sixteen years ago) link

... simultaneously repelling independent voters towards obama, i'd think.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Glowing Hollywood endorsements and awards won’t translate into votes this fall.

Camp Obama strategic disaster!!! Story at 11.

Cosmo Vitelli, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe Obama could find Sister Souljah and throw the Grammy at her.

Eppy, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:31 (sixteen years ago) link

yah totally elmo - but theres already plenty of material tying mccain to bush - they prob figure that ships sailed

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 04:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Most people are blaming Hillary's CA win on early voting.

suzy, Monday, 11 February 2008 12:06 (sixteen years ago) link

the press seems to be not making too big a deal out of obamas sweep this weekend. theyre prob waiting to see if it continues on tues before the avalanche of hes got the mo stories commence.

then then once hes got the mo then what happens?

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 13:50 (sixteen years ago) link

He wins. Or Hillary cries. Or both.

Zelda Zonk, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:01 (sixteen years ago) link

guess we already talked about this a little bit but it seems pretty definite that RP is not running third party

HOUSTON (AP) -- Presidential hopeful Ron Paul said he will not run as a third-party candidate in a new message to supporters that seems to recognize his slim chances at getting the Republican nomination.

The Texas congressman wrote on his Web site Friday that he is making cuts to his national campaign staff and that he must also stay focused on not losing the primary for his House seat.

dmr, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:18 (sixteen years ago) link

looks like the obama campaign has opened a state HQ in providence -- gonna head down there today after work and check it out

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Am gettin on a plane, pls keep posts on this thread below 50 in the next 7 hrs kthxbye.

Ed, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary needs Wisconsin badly. (now imagine that said in the Gauntlet voice)

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:35 (sixteen years ago) link

TPM election central has several networks' current delegate estimates:

NBC: Obama 943, Clinton 895 (Not including super-delegates)

ABC: Clinton 1,127, Obama 1,110.

CBS: Obama 1,134, Clinton 1,131.

CNN: Clinton 1,148, Obama 1,121.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:40 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, did you guys see this: Bush attacks Obama

lol @ bush trying to offhandedly dismiss obama but succeeding only in making himself look like an ignorant fuckwit who hasn't been paying attention to one of the biggest ongoing news subjects of the year

"I certainly don't know what he believes in. The only foreign policy thing I remember he said was he's going to attack Pakistan and embrace Ahmadinejad," Bush said.

Of course, attacks from the other party can elevate a candidate in a primary, and Obama eagerly engaged, sending Bush's words to reporters with a rejoinder.

"Of course President Bush would attack the one candidate in this race who opposed his disastrous war in Iraq from the start. But Barack Obama doesn't need any foreign policy advice from the architect of the worst foreign policy decision in a generation," said Obama spokesman Bill Burton.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Bill calls Hillary "the best pilot change-maker I ever saw"

I think some of the cashiers at Fairway might have her beat, you know?

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:54 (sixteen years ago) link

your fairway is the worst fairway fyi

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I imagine Obama’s Grammy will look nice on his mantle next to his ‘most liberal’ senator award.

It's nice to know that gabbneb isn't the only bore who like to cite the National Journal's idiot methodology. (at least the RNC bot get paid to do it)

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:56 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs 8080, that survey does take only one year of voting into account and does not include vote not cast (OMG OBAMA VOTED 'PRESENT' LOL)

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:58 (sixteen years ago) link

your fairway is the worst fairway fyi

i'm too rich for fairway fyi

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:00 (sixteen years ago) link

then how did u know abt the change making abilities huh rich guy

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:02 (sixteen years ago) link

this thread needs more pictures of ron paul supporters

caek, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I hate to link to a rabid Dem propagandist like Alterman, but here he is on the NJ "most liberal" thing:

http://www.thenation.com/doc/20080225/alterman

National Journal rankings are nonsense. Obama is not "more liberal" than Bernie Sanders, Russ Feingold or Ted Kennedy, as any sentient individual could attest. The fact that Obama finished number sixteen three years ago, and number ten two years ago, implies that he moved sharply left during his presidential run. But the truth is, he merely missed a lot of votes. National Journal did not distinguish between important votes and silly ones, however, and so the missed votes skewed the results beyond recognition. Had the magazine used the far more respected ranking system devised by political scientists Keith Poole and Howard Rosenthal, Obama would have ranked around number eleven this year and number twenty-one in the previous Senate.

(also interesting JFK quote on the L Word)

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:06 (sixteen years ago) link

fairway is from my roots, noobs

could mccain pick the first (?) gay supreme court justice? - http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives2/2008/02/019757.php

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:10 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess we're all gonna have to turn to Ron Paul then, rite morbs?

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:11 (sixteen years ago) link

really gonna scrape to the bottom of the andtwat barrel?

anyway, nothing to be decided til April 22 at the earliest. zzzzzzzzzzz

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

see you back here then!

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

incremental reformism perpetuates the imperialism of the ruling class!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:24 (sixteen years ago) link

no it doesn't!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

yes it does!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

[insert 40 years of republican rule]

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:25 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gwqEneBKUs

^^ parody of 'yes we can' video feat. john mccain

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:37 (sixteen years ago) link

what's fairway?

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:45 (sixteen years ago) link

its a supermarket chain in nyc where gabbneb shops

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:47 (sixteen years ago) link

that survey does take only one year of voting into account

-- elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 14:58 (55 minutes ago) Link

well ... yeah

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:54 (sixteen years ago) link

That McCain "Yes We Can" video... just, wow.

Hatch, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i.e. the year he's been actively campaigning, deej

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 15:58 (sixteen years ago) link

It's hard to keep up with this thread, so I don't know if people are still indulging in Bloomberg what-if scenarios. But it seems like he's got to make a definite move soon, doesn't he? Isn't there some important filing deadline coming up in early March? The NY Times reported recently that Chuck Hagel has said that McCain being the presumptive GOP nominee effectively means that Bloomberg won't run - since McCain occupies the moderate, independent niche Bloomberg would have wanted to aim for:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/nyregion/09bloomberg.html

But the NY Daily News has also recently reported that Bloomberg seems to be still pondering it:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2008/02/10/2008-02-10_bloombergs_ballot_plan__if_he_goes_for_i.html

I guess we'll find out soon.

o. nate, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:20 (sixteen years ago) link

that video is really really well done

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:25 (sixteen years ago) link

LOL

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:30 (sixteen years ago) link

Paula Abdul, ladies & gentlemen:

You know I would love to see a woman. You know, it’ll change the world, having a female president. … Women have the ability to take over when there’s major crisis and breakdown and a woman has the ability to think on a whole different perspective. From a heart place that is different.

So get out there and vote from your heart-place, wherever that may be.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:40 (sixteen years ago) link

God forgot to give me one of those.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:41 (sixteen years ago) link

lol me n elmo readin wonkette

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post: Alfred is at least revealed to be the Tin Man.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Interesting how those RNC Obama Valentines basically parrot Clinton's anti-Obama arguments. Not enough experience, present votes...

Hatch, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm now convinced that obama is well and truly the best-dressed man in washington, per the photo on the frontpage here:

http://specials.ft.com/vtf_pdf/110208_FRONT1_USA.pdf

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:51 (sixteen years ago) link

wow obama is really pissing krugman off to the point that he comes one step from comparing him to nixon (then says nothing to back it up)

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/11/opinion/11krugman.html

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:52 (sixteen years ago) link

I laughed aloud on the bus this morning reading that cult-of-personality tripe.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:54 (sixteen years ago) link

+bonus return of you have no good reason to dislike hillary meme

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

The prime example of Clinton rules in the 1990s was the way the press covered Whitewater. A small, failed land deal became the basis of a multiyear, multimillion-dollar investigation, which never found any evidence of wrongdoing on the Clintons’ part, yet the “scandal” became a symbol of the Clinton administration’s alleged corruption.

During the current campaign, Mrs. Clinton’s entirely reasonable remark that it took L.B.J.’s political courage and skills to bring Martin Luther King Jr.’s dream to fruition was cast as some kind of outrageous denigration of Dr. King.

And the latest prominent example came when David Shuster of MSNBC, after pointing out that Chelsea Clinton was working for her mother’s campaign — as adult children of presidential aspirants often do — asked, “doesn’t it seem like Chelsea’s sort of being pimped out in some weird sort of way?” Mr. Shuster has been suspended, but as the Clinton campaign rightly points out, his remark was part of a broader pattern at the network.

and what, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:55 (sixteen years ago) link

whitewater: mountain made of a molehill for political gain

lbj/mlk remark: manufactured controversy invented for political gain

chelsea/pimpin remark: THIS IS SERIOUS BUSINESS GUYZ IRL CONSEQUENCES

and what, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

what a fucking hack

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 16:59 (sixteen years ago) link

One of the most hopeful moments of this presidential campaign came last month, when a number of Jewish leaders signed a letter condemning the smear campaign claiming that Mr. Obama was a secret Muslim. It’s a good guess that some of those leaders would prefer that Mr. Obama not become president; nonetheless, they understood that there are principles that matter more than short-term political advantage.

aka "racial puppetry in liberal opinion-writing"

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Chelsea remark I guess was the straw that broke the camel's back. MSNBC has been terrible.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zODHaIDfPXU

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

taken as a whole krugmans distaste for obama, as evidenced by the ongoing multi-column assult, seems to be primarily motivated by a strong reaction to obamas post-partisan rhetoric.

and its not just that he finds it soft-minded and destined to be tooken advantage of by immoral republican wolves (which would be a fine opinion if you like hadnt been paying any attention at all). i get the feeling that he thinks partisan warfare is somehow inherently virtuous. obama is fucking w/some deeply held beliefs there.

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

“Clinton rules” — the term a number of observers use for the way pundits and some news organizations treat any action or statement by the Clintons, no matter how innocuous, as proof of evil intent.

Exactly. I suppose you guys are quoting Krugman in a sarcastic way?

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:03 (sixteen years ago) link

i think krugman wouldve done better to say that while there is tons of irrational clinton hate, this doesnt make the clintons immune from all the shit he's decrying

and what, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean seriously after the whitewater thing and the lbj thing, i thought the chelsea para was gonna be him admitting 'ok sometimes hilz plays this game too' - however much you want universal healthcare doesnt make her not a disingenous campaigner

and what, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

campaigning as the widow of absurdity omglololol chris mathews that dude operates so far out of bounds my god

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm not the first person to say this, but shuster is being punished for chris matthews' sins, which is a big account to have to settle. and msnbc running a 'headliners & legends' puff piece on Hil, oh, just out of the blue, because it was a great program we had lying around, yeah, awes~~

still, it's good to have someone smacked the fuck down for getting pimp and ho talk into the mainstream media yet one more time.

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

"tooken advantage" ftw

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I certainly don't agree with Hillary on everything but I do see a lot of attacks on her as.. well, once you believe she does/says everything for political gain, for crying out loud she could single handedly cure cancer and stop global warming and Frank Rich/Maureen Dowd/Arianna Huffington, Chris Matthews and everyone at MSNBC would still trash her over it.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Far as I know the outcry over the Chelsea comment came directly from the blogs and word of mouth. I personally saw a reference on a blog (maybe MyDD, I don't read Kos much anymore because it's insane) and sent word to Media Matters as did some others I gather, and MM ran with it, and it went from there.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:11 (sixteen years ago) link

yah msnbc has been truly over the top w/this shit - its prob one of the reasons ive been primarily watching them on election nights - ie omg did he just say that is way more entertaining than wolf blitzer plus washed up party hacks

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

i get the feeling that he thinks partisan warfare is somehow inherently virtuous. obama is fucking w/some deeply held beliefs there.

Oh yeah, he's said so on the record, many times: he thinks this generation of Dems is too soft. He's right! But it's one thing to make this legitimate claim adn quite another to construct a false polarity: HRC-strong/Obama-weak. He seems to have convinced himself that Obama is a softie.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

I couldn't even find the worst example where someone compiled a video of Chris Matthews sucking up to Rudy Giuliani talking about how America loved him and wanted a strong leader like him and wondering whether he could beat Ahmadinejad in a fight.. and then showed clips of Matthews trashing Hillary over her looks, her clapping, her laugh, the whole "widow of absurdity" thing, why isn't she likable, can a woman really be commander in chief, and on and on.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

def shuster was sacrificed for mathews sins

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:15 (sixteen years ago) link

Hmm.. I suspect Krugman thinks Obama's more.. a centrist leaning right on the economy whose advisors have all faith in the markets to solve everything, so they have philosophical differences.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

i think dems are way too soft too - but that doesnt mean i disagree w/obama.

its weak to believe fighting is the only way to show or leverage strength.

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

As opposed to Hillary, who's... a centrist leaning right on the economy whose advisors have all faith in the markets to solve everything

Hatch, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, Schuster was, I agree. He'll be back soon enough I'm sure (I hope so, I'm not a fan but he's no worse than any of the rest of them). I get why, though, there is a pattern on that network and once a comment is made that's pretty much indefensible, then you make your case.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

He seems to forget that Bill Clinton was a centrist leaning right.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

yah i dunno daria - this ongoing assault speaks to more than just a few "philosophical differences".

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary calls for DC voting rights

serious question: i think i remember bill having the "no taxation for representation" license plate on his secret-service vehicles when he was president - did he or hillary try to do anything about DC voting rights during the 90s?

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:20 (sixteen years ago) link

and shuster is actually better than the most of the rest of them - ie hes actually done a lot of real reporting abt like real stuff - prob just out of his element filling in for tucker trying on the pundit costume.

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I thought Krugman was an Edwards fan ultimately..

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

obama allegedly meeting with edwards later today; hillary met with him thursday

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:24 (sixteen years ago) link

yah i dunno daria - this ongoing assault speaks to more than just a few "philosophical differences".

Well, it must be somewhat lonely to be one of the few Clinton-backers on the Times columnist staff: most of the other liberal and even the conservative columnists (such as Kristol and Brooks) have lined up in Obama's camp. His criticisms of Obama are no more shrill than their attacks on Clinton have been.

o. nate, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Not sure re: DC voting rights in the 90's.. the GOP was in control most of that time. I didn't move here until 99 myself.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:27 (sixteen years ago) link

Frank Rich on Sunday was the worst thing I've read in a while. Did the Clintons shoot his dog or something?

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

yah maybe its all just times editorial page crazylanditis

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:28 (sixteen years ago) link

somerby has documented rich's devotion to clinton rules over the years, if you want to put yourself through the agony

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:29 (sixteen years ago) link

pretty sure clinton didn't do jack about voting rights besides the license plates, but I think that's partially b/c the issue is mostly congress's deal anyway.

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:30 (sixteen years ago) link

lol those license plates are the best tho

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:31 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah you can't get any other license plate now in dc but that one

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:33 (sixteen years ago) link

This business of not counting all of the votes in Washington can only help Huckabee and Paul, eh?

Eazy, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:34 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, dc plates are great, I have them. They didn't do that until 2000 actually, Clinton specifically had them switched right before he left office. It was "Celebrate and Discover" before that. boring

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:35 (sixteen years ago) link

we had a "free dc: no taxation w/o representation" poster in the window of my group house during college, our landlord was pissed about for one reason or another

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:38 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that's partially b/c the issue is mostly congress's deal anyway.

Not sure re: DC voting rights in the 90's.. the GOP was in control most of that time.

yea that's what i was kinda thinking

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:40 (sixteen years ago) link

nice montage of the delegate counts at the start lol no one knows whos winning

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uYmSEDQGvc

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

The Corner cites a "longtime GOP D.C. insider":

"What our folks need to understand is this is heading to an easy win for us — with a pick up of the House to boot. The Democrats are self-destructing. If they go to convention even roughly tied, have a floor fight over Michigan and Florida and then Hillary steals the nomination with the super-delegates, it'll be worse than 1968. It will be their doom."

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:51 (sixteen years ago) link

which is one reason among many that that scenario will never happen

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:53 (sixteen years ago) link

http://images.huffingtonpost.com/gen/11211/thumbs/r-CLINTONDOWNPLAYS-large.jpg

HI DERE WAHT U DOIN!

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't discount the possibility of a major disaster at the convention.

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i don't discount the possibility of a major disaster driving votes to HRC any time between now and then

remy bean, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i think dean has already talked about sitting down w/both obama and clinton to prevent convention disaster

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:56 (sixteen years ago) link

"OK guys, now we don't want a disaster at the convention, so I'm just gonna have to ask one of you to be the bigger person and stand down."

G00blar, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

i discount the possibility of major disasters in general

which can tend to engender wrongness on my part

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

"First one to the tree and back is the nominee. GO!"

G00blar, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:58 (sixteen years ago) link

but still i do think if it we get to the convention w/o a winner there will be an agreement for the superdelegates to go to the leader

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 17:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm not really buying the convention disaster talk. I guess Bill O'Reilly is suggesting there might be riots if Obama doesn't win the nom (thatsracist.gif).

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Though you must wonder what was the point of creating the super-delegates if their power can never be used.

o. nate, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

it will not be "worse" than 1968 because there will not be hundreds of young people physically attacking police

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

exactly!

(xpost)

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

I guess Bill O'Reilly is suggesting there might be riots if Obama doesn't win the nom (thatsracist.gif).

black people wont riot in denver because there arent any black people in denver

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

hundreds of young people physically attacking police

OH COME ON MAN WTF

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

i'm fully willing to vote for Hillary in the general, but if she gets the nom through some legalistic bullshit seating MI and FL, or through tipping the superdelegates even tho O is ahead otherwise, no dice. i think these are both distinct possibilities.

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:03 (sixteen years ago) link

that seems like some weird thinking to me.

Jordan, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:04 (sixteen years ago) link

The superdelegates are going to tip things either way, yes? the whole thing could be such a clusterfuck.. the delegate totals for both candidates aren't even clear right now

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

jhøshea are you saying that didn't happen?? that was part of the whole strategy

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.hoopsvibe.com/IMG/chauncey_billups-arton20870-240x240.jpg
hey man im from denver wtf

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

lol, Donna Brazile: "No one wants to see us in spandex."

jaymc, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

im saying it was the police beating up the young people is all - tell me ur just mocking the slime of the day

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

how so? i'm already pretty turned off by a number of things in her campaign, but like i said, i'll pull a lever for her over john mccain. but if she 'wins' the nom over my preferred candidate, not by actually getting out there and getting more voter support, but by either changing agreed-upon rules after the fact, or by leaning on the most back-room and undemocratic mechanism in the whole show, may be enough for me to tell her to fuck herself. metaphorically.

if she just straight up beats Obama, no problem, that's life.

xps

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:09 (sixteen years ago) link

HILLARY WINS NOMINATION, CHAUNCEY BILLUPS RIOTS

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:10 (sixteen years ago) link

This business of not counting all of the votes in Washington can only help Huckabee and Pauljust fuck up the Washington state GOP's chances on any state level this year, eh?

Mackro Mackro, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

So gff, would you refuse to vote for Obama on principle if Clinton ended up with a lead in the pledged delegates but the superdelegates swung the nomination to him?

o. nate, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

CHAUNCEY BILLUPS HITS THREE AS TIME EXPIRES TO SEAL NOMINATION FOR OBAMA

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:11 (sixteen years ago) link

lets make chauncey a superdelegate

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Bahaha, like cops these days care if protestors throw a punch before the gassing and clubbing begins.

Gavin, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

An Edwards aide confirms to me that his meeting with Obama, which was schedule for today and was expected to focus on the possibility of an endorsement, has been canceled.

"The two of them have had a number of conversations in recent weeks and will continue to do so, but there is no meeting today," the aide says.

It's unclear as yet why it was canceled or whether it was rescheduled. Edwards met with Hillary on Thursday.

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:13 (sixteen years ago) link

Speaking of, did Gabbneb ever confirm that his real name is Chauncey?

jaymc, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

well yeah the police were beating up people in their hotel rooms and all kinds of horrible shit and most protestors were entirely peaceful but there were factions of sds committed to violently attacking the police as a deliberate strategy, they never denied this and were pretty proud of it -- in october of that year they got about 8000 people (many fewer than they had hoped) into chicago to attack the police again

thinking that the conventions protests were all about a bunch of peace-n-love hippies getting trounced by sweaty policemen fundamentally misunderstands the direction sds was taking at the time, which was deliberate violence against what they saw as the shock troops of imperialism, i.e. "the pigs"

i point this out just to remind ourselves how different that era was to this one and how ridiculous it is to make comparisons between the two -- then, you had thousands of white youth actively pursuing a working alliance with the black panther party to bring down the government of the united states

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:14 (sixteen years ago) link

ilx.xls corrupted?

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:15 (sixteen years ago) link

valid points tracer - still most of the violence was cop on hippie

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:16 (sixteen years ago) link

nate i'd have to think about it! like i said, HRC is already running on a big 'affection defecit' w/ me. but that scenario seems unlikely -- the superdelegates going against the overall voting picture seems unlikely to me, either way, come to think, but what do i know, i'm not a big DNC muckety muck. it's the MI/FL situation that pisses me off the most, tbh

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

well yeah, mot of the violence in iraq is america-on-iraqi but that doesn't mean there aren't iraqis engaging in armed struggle in order to provoke, inflame, polarize, and in general tie america down in quicksand

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:17 (sixteen years ago) link

okay, so i guess that the number of delegates at stake in each congressional district is partly determined by the number of Democratic voters in that district during the last general election and NOT strictly by the total population in that districts. in short: traditionally democratic outposts are richer in delegates. make of that what you will as you gaze into your tea leaves.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Also the cops beat a bunch of peaceful protestors in NYC right before the Chicago convention. Also, fuck cops.

Gavin, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking as a white student, im actively pursuing an alliance with beer and chicks

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Tracer's real name is DALEY

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

the fact that no one on the planet has a definitive set of numbers on this delegate business is horrifying and embarrassing to me, the more i think about it. what the fuck, how can this be something other that completely, mathematically transparent??

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

paging Capt Louis Renault

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

a bunch of super tuesday wards still havent even reported!

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

morbs that would make sense if i was in fact working for the democratic party or involved in delegate selection or something.

points for cineaste flair, tho: B-

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:24 (sixteen years ago) link

max to be fair i think a lot of weathermen were too

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

michelle obama on larry king live! tonight... haha, i wonder if michelle will be able to keep the eyes from rolling out her head sharing the camera with that decrepit hack.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

speaking as a white student, im actively pursuing an alliance with beer and chicks

is Max's real name Eli Manning?

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

tracer that is insanity. the sds didn't instigate 68, fucking daley did! they had to get The Party Man (humphrey) on the ticket, and were doing everything they could to maintain control on the democratic party. i am shocked that you are arguing this, brother!

YGS, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:28 (sixteen years ago) link

lets make chauncey a superdelegate

co-sign

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

http://bp2.blogger.com/__XCWUd8FFjQ/R7BMBCqgOlI/AAAAAAAACpk/u2HFsCZfvb0/s1600-h/AxeHillary.jpg

^^^ as if you need another reason to detest AXE BODY SPRAY

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:29 (sixteen years ago) link

Is that a real ad? If so, yeesh.

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:30 (sixteen years ago) link

when did tracer start working for the DLC?

and what, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

apparently, yes

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:32 (sixteen years ago) link

As unthrilled as I am w/Hillary as a candidate, it is crap like that that almost makes me want to vote for her.

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

now i want camp Obama to flip out at unilever or whoever all indignantly, do DARE suggest he wears axe

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

to dare suggest, i mean.

lol shoulda been a paul button

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

the idea of hillary all hotly bothered by frat-jock spray-on stink is enough to make my mind just reel away from the inevitable conclusion of that scenario

HILLARY '08: COUGAR'S CHOICE

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/021108DailyUpdateGraph1.gif

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Aesthetically pleasing symmetry in that last week.

Simon H., Monday, 11 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

if she 'wins' the nom over my preferred candidate, not by actually getting out there and getting more voter support, but by either changing agreed-upon rules after the fact, or by leaning on the most back-room and undemocratic mechanism in the whole show, may be enough for me to tell her to fuck herself.

this seems like the biggest danger right now. for a long time i just ignored punditry about the perils of a divided party because it seems like most clinton supporters would back obama and vice versa. but as it goes along and stays close it's hard for supporters of not to develop real antipathy for the other. and the appearance of backroom dealmaking could really piss off a lot of people. the last thing you want is to go into or come out of a convention with a bunch of people accusing each other of shenanigans.

i don't know the best way to avoid that, but it seems like the campaigns should be thinking about it. except that they're probably both too wrapped up in just trying to win the nomination.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:56 (sixteen years ago) link

"supporters of one" that should say.

tipsy mothra, Monday, 11 February 2008 18:57 (sixteen years ago) link

Paul Weyrich just endorsed Huckabee.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

there are still a lot of unpledged superdelegates. the way it should work is that they stay unpledged until the convention and tip a bigger margin to the popular vote / pledged delegate leader. but the campaigns are working against that scenario by heavily lobbying the SD's for immediate endorsements ...

dmr, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

hey! you guys remember mike gravel? uh... yeah, he's still running. what's he up to, i wonder?

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:26 (sixteen years ago) link

many xposts:

I had a goat named Chauncey.

roxymuzak, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

xp he is chillin'.
I thought he had dropped out due to his health but last week i heard him on the radio (pacifica, and he made them sound realistic; iirc at one point he decried the US having a standing army).

tremendoid, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

I had a goat named Chauncey.

And then you killed him and ate him. Mean.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually, my boyfriend did.

roxymuzak, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

YGS -- from what i understand most of sds saw mccarthy as the democratic party's "pressure valve" to convince the more militant youth that the democratic party was going to bring their concerns on board, i.e. get the protests out of the streets and into the party, thereby coopting the energy of the movement but making sure that energy was mobilized behind a candidate sure to lose

the only thing i'm really arguing is that violence was in fact the aim of a small hard-core group of future weathermen because they thought it would radicalize sympathizers as well as show the rest of the world that they weren't afraid to fight and get hurt -- but i agree absolutely that they didn't plan for anything like what ended up happening and also they they didn't actually instigate shit nearly as much as the cops. maybe i'm making too much of a big deal of this, but i think it is really important to remember that "militancy" wasn't a euphemism then and many student organizers considered violence essential for advancing their cause (and saw the panthers -- perhaps romantically in some cases -- as the real leaders of the revolution they wanted to fight). protesters DID attack cops and not just in self-defense. i didn't think i needed to make clear that wasn't the whole story!

Tracer Hand, Monday, 11 February 2008 19:50 (sixteen years ago) link

is Max's real name Eli Manning?

If so, THANK YOU, MAX, FOR BEATING THE N.E. PATRIOTS. YOU CAN BOOZE IT UP AND CAVORT WITH WOMEN ALL YOU LIKE. I'll only begin hating you if the NYG repeat next year (but no chance).

Daniel, Esq., Monday, 11 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

i am eli manning

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

youre all welcome

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

vote obama

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

peace out

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:02 (sixteen years ago) link

eli thank you for bringing joy to our nation

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:07 (sixteen years ago) link

via Matt Yglesias, a piece from a 1999 piece on the emerging political independence of Hillary Clinton, including a quote from the woman who was just made her campaign manager:

'The biggest mistake of the American press is thinking they know her,'' says Maggie Williams, Clinton's former chief of staff and one of her closest friends. ''You know, people think she's such a big lib. I think she's extremely conservative. I think she has more in common with people in upstate New York than in New York City, in a lot of ways.'' Williams calls Clinton ''patriotic and practical. She thinks it's important to spend money on social programs, but she wants to know that they work.''

Maybe so. But until she stands on her own politically, none of us can know. Morris says Hillary Clinton recognized long before her husband the effectiveness of a campaign based on bite-size ''values'' issues like school uniforms. She supports the death penalty, as the President does. She supports abortion rights, as he does, but she has not made the issue a priority as First Lady. For all her heated warnings about children, she has been ginger in using her influence to tilt the balance of power in their favor.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A06E0D61531F933A05756C0A96F958260&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=all

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:10 (sixteen years ago) link

just a reminder to everyone that the progressive-policy child-crusader persona she's playing to the press is a pretty recent invention

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

You know, people think she's such a big lib.

lol

Dr Morbius, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:15 (sixteen years ago) link

bullshit^

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A0CE7D7103DF936A3575BC0A961958260

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D07E0DE163FF937A25751C1A961958260&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=1

White House officials said that Hillary Rodham Clinton had been more deeply involved in development of the President's child care proposals than in any issue since the health care debacle of 1993 and 1994.

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I think remembering the past may be a part of these "Clinton Rules" I've been hearing about. Remembering the past may also be sexist.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:20 (sixteen years ago) link

<3 <3 <3

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

"No Videos found for 'huckabee tyra'" :( :(

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

stop trying to make me forget that Huckabee is Bush pt. 3

Curt1s Stephens, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

That may be the best thing to come out of this primary season. Airs Feb 29th.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

That picture is even more amazing than the Gore ghostie pic!

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

1. blingee that pic
2. put on tshirt
3. profit!

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

Amazing.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Added Huckabee, "I'm so pumped about being here."

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Monday, 11 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

guys i was going to nominate this to be added to santorum.jpg but huckabee-tyra is of a caliber perfect enough to warrant a new generation of crazytits

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Start the thread, duder.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

haaaa

-- That one guy that hit it and quit it, Friday, January 4, 2008 4:33 PM (1 month ago) Bookmark Link

Skipping 8542 messages at this point... Click here if you want to load them all.

paging Capt Louis Renault

-- Dr Morbius, Monday, February 11, 2008 6:22 PM (2 hours ago) Bookmark Link

holy shit

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno that picture is perfect the way it is, amazing, a modern day Birth of Venus for our times.

Mr. Que, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Here are some highlights from the supermodel’s interview, as provided by a publicist for her show:

TYRA BANKS: So, on your way to the Tyra Show, Mitt Romney drops out.

GOVERNOR HUCKABEE: He heard I was coming on the show, Tyra, and he said if he’s on Tyra’s show, this is done for me. I’m so pumped about being here.

TYRA BANKS: Are you pumped about being here?

GOVERNOR HUCKABEE: I am. You know, I actually said, the next time I’m in New York, find out if I can get on Tyra’s show.

TYRA BANKS: Oh, are you serious?

GOVERNOR HUCKABEE: My staff has been trying for a long time, and I think when Mitt heard that I was on, he’s said I’m out and here I am, on the way to the White House from here.

Ms. Banks later compared Mr. Huckabee’s loss of 110 pounds to “losing an entire Eva Longoria of ‘Desperate Housewives!’”

Mr. Huckabee’s interview on “The Tyra Banks Show” is scheduled to run on Feb. 29.

jaymc, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

Huckabee is totally the successful version of Bush in that he does actually convince me that he's a likeable, fun guy. I know many likeable, fun guy who would make horrible, horrible presidents.

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:24 (sixteen years ago) link

VERY long thread to wade through, just one question right now. will both obama and clinton court edwards for running mate, would that even give any advantage?

laxalt, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:30 (sixteen years ago) link

no fucking way

gr8080, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:32 (sixteen years ago) link

i dunno, i can't imagine either of them really benefiting from an edwards VP spot over other possible choices

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Kucinich '08

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Billups '08

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

ok thanks!

laxalt, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Gravel '08

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Billups '08

endorsed by me ^^^!!!

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:39 (sixteen years ago) link

MUST you mention Dick Morris.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

a 'CYT' article

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Sebilius for Obama's VP, has a nice ring to it.

kenan, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Why does Morris predict Obama victory in OH and PA? Both of those seem like Hillary country to me.

jaymc, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

if there is a problem with the nomination if foresee a long stretch of newspaper headlines that rhyme "obama" with "drama"

max, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Maybe he's betting on momentum? xp

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Why does Morris predict Obama victory in OH and PA? Both of those seem like Hillary country to me

yea there is basically no support to any of his claims about those two states. wisconsin, too. as far as i'm concerned clinton still probably has the upper hand in those states.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama/Billups '08

This would turn me into a supporter!

http://www.ballpimp.com/images/billups.jpg

USA #1

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:47 (sixteen years ago) link

Sebilius for Obama's VP, has a nice ring to it.

Sebelius has a better ring. She's not the most experienced candidate, but I still think people overrate that stuff, and it will be more important to be reassuring to non-Obama-like voters. If you discount foreign policy, she's the #1 pick.

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Banks '08

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton/Bridges '08

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

Actually, against every sensible bone in my body, if I saw "Huckabee/Banks" on the ballot I don't know if I would be able to resist voting for them. It would just be too ludicrous.

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:52 (sixteen years ago) link

That photo really would be a perfect image for a new fall sitcom.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:53 (sixteen years ago) link

i bet obama pulls off WI, or if not, very close

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Ohio is a stretch based on what i know about things ... on the other hand you have a huge system of colleges there, including the country's biggest university

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:54 (sixteen years ago) link

i bet obama pulls off WI, or if not, very close

um, yeah, he's the favorite there

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm inclined to think Ohio will go for Hillary based on how they drive.

Nicole, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

xxpost - yea, i'm pretty sure he'll win cleveland, the demographics mostly favor him there. columbus, too. don't know about the rest of the state, though. it's a pretty working-class state for the most part.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

i just read something today abt how ohio is prob not such a stretch for obama as people are thinking - i cant remember why - theres a possibility i might be consuming slightly too much media abt all this

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Also, would a cabinet posting for 'Sheed be, y'know, Guarensheed?

http://www.emptythebench.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/03/sheed2.jpg

Energy perhaps?

Mr. Goodman, Monday, 11 February 2008 21:59 (sixteen years ago) link

http://obamakucinich08.com/

- Jim

murderdogger, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Have we all seen this yet?

Talking to folks who know Bush well say he just doesn't believe Obama's earned it; that he's worthy. He has a lot more respect for Clinton and apparently would be more comfortable seeing her or McCain as his heir than Obama.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/

gabbneb, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Doesn't surprise me based on his conversation with Chris Wallace yesterday.

jaymc, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:07 (sixteen years ago) link

he just doesn't believe Obama's earned it

...yet, baby.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:08 (sixteen years ago) link

i bet obama pulls off WI, or if not, very close

yeah don't worry guys, i'm taking care of it.

Jordan, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

um, no-one cares what bush thinks, though

akm, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:12 (sixteen years ago) link

I have a feeling that Hillary waiting for OH and TX is gonna fade like Rudy did waiting for Florida...

I ain't gonna get lazy about it, no sir.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:14 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^this is the emerging meme of the moment - sure to spread like self-fulfilling prophecy wildfire w/obama sweep tomorrow

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:16 (sixteen years ago) link

is Giuliani giving HRC campaign advice now?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:17 (sixteen years ago) link

He has a lot more respect for Clinton and apparently would be more comfortable seeing her or McCain as his heir than Obama.

Sentences like that make me want to take on a Keith Olbermann tone of voice. "Mr. Bush, you have not earned the right to have an 'heir.'"

kenan, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:18 (sixteen years ago) link

certainly even bush knows how comments like that will play among primary-voing democrats?

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:20 (sixteen years ago) link

after all the net delegate gains obama is set to make in all these upcoming contests, will OH and TX net her enough delegates to make up for it? i guess that's the crucial question -- not just victory, but margin of victory, becomes increasingly important in these contests and you can bet the obama campaign knows it.

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama & Hillary camps agree to debate, Feb 21 in Austin TX, CNN/Univision

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:23 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary won't do badly in Ohio, trust. My dad grew up in cleveland and I lived in ohio for 4 yrs in college and got to know a pretty wide spectrum of folks ... columbus will be torn, ohio state leaning obama but most of the burbs etc. are gonna go pretty strictly hillary. Cincinnati and Cleveland are locks for obama. The thing is, central, country-ass ohio is a serious toss-up ... its a combination of southern rural (they are on the northern edge of the bible belt) and midwest post-industrial (i.e. Michigan) and I have a lot of trouble imagining folks voting for a black dude. you go to the wayne county fair and they are still selling confederate flag belt buckles, like dudes seem entirely unaware that ohio was, you know, in the union.

its gonna be close, i could see obama take it but that working class hillary vote is very solid there ... economics hit HARD there, and factories are still being closed down on the regular (the word when I was in school was the departure of the rubbermaid factory, thousands of jobs lost) and it happens across the state. And common sense dictates the economic argument helps hillary

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:26 (sixteen years ago) link

ohio is seriously one of the most fascinating states in the country.

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:28 (sixteen years ago) link

okay, so i'm gonna head down into downtown providence and see the New Obamarama Sweepstakes HQ, i'll let you folks know what it looks like and whether or not there is kool-aid

elmo argonaut, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:30 (sixteen years ago) link

They sell confederate flag and "Redneck Outfitters" gear at the mall in my hometown, we are south of the Mason-Dixon I guess.. it's pretty depressing. flag gear also popular in West Virginia, definitely a WTF there. I don't really understand what goes on in people's heads that buy that. The economy is about as great out there as it is in Ohio so I expect people will be voting on it, not that there are many Democrats in the area any more.

daria-g, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Michigan native, Ted Nugent:

http://www.glitteratigossip.com/glitterati/images/2007/08/30/015.jpg

Pleasant Plains, Monday, 11 February 2008 22:37 (sixteen years ago) link

chelsea whores-out to 21 y/o super delegate http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2008/story?id=4273078&page=1

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:09 (sixteen years ago) link

that is some crazy shit (lolcollege super delegates).

Jordan, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:18 (sixteen years ago) link

Rae was about to head out to dinner with friends when his phone rang and the screen said, "Number withheld." The voice on the other end said: "Please hold for the former president" and then a familiar voice said "Hey Jason, it's Bill here."

"I started to think, is this real? I am a junior in college and Bill Clinton is talking to me?" Rae said as he recalled the phone call.

Clinton talked about Hillary Clinton's electability and gave Rae an update on how things were looking on the ground in South Carolina. He then regaled Rae with stories about his travels to Wisconsin as president and the cities he visited during that time.

Rae received a call from Kerry, Feb. 1, the Friday before the critical Super Tuesday showdown. Kerry, too, talked about electability and also asked Rae about college life in general and even the weather.

wow, the weather!

Jordan, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:19 (sixteen years ago) link

he botched it

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:20 (sixteen years ago) link

it's always exciting talk with kerry

Simon H., Monday, 11 February 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

yes Bill plz tell us how things are looking on the ground in SC lolz

wtf 21yo superdelegate tho. that is nuts

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

"Bill here"

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:22 (sixteen years ago) link

http://blogs.edweek.org/edweek/thisweekineducation/upload/2007/07/remember_john_kerry/John%20Kerry%20Damascus.jpg

who amongst us doesnt like beer bongs?

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:24 (sixteen years ago) link

That dude on the left prefers fresh mackerel.

HI DERE, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:26 (sixteen years ago) link

that dude on the left is a William Howard Taft.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:27 (sixteen years ago) link

who him thats just our craaaazy foreign exchange student lol

jhøshea, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:28 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama should send one of his daughters over for extra Rudy-Huxtable-style cuteness assault

Shakey Mo Collier, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:28 (sixteen years ago) link

"i will smack this mustachio'd man right in the face, if you vote for obama. i'll do it. for the 'lulz', as they say. deal?"

gff, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:30 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

tremendoid, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:35 (sixteen years ago) link

I'M GONNA HAVE A HUZBAND NAMED BUD

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:37 (sixteen years ago) link

ahahaa
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmKLaBAgLNs

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Hustlin beat FTW

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:42 (sixteen years ago) link

too long tho, someone needs to do a real edit w/ various speeches and news reports of him winning states over that instrumental, rather than just a straight speech

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:44 (sixteen years ago) link

and definitely the punching bag footage

deej, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary won't do badly in Ohio, trust. My dad grew up in cleveland and I lived in ohio for 4 yrs in college and got to know a pretty wide spectrum of folks ... columbus will be torn, ohio state leaning obama but most of the burbs etc. are gonna go pretty strictly hillary. Cincinnati and Cleveland are locks for obama. The thing is, central, country-ass ohio is a serious toss-up ... its a combination of southern rural (they are on the northern edge of the bible belt) and midwest post-industrial (i.e. Michigan) and I have a lot of trouble imagining folks voting for a black dude. you go to the wayne county fair and they are still selling confederate flag belt buckles, like dudes seem entirely unaware that ohio was, you know, in the union.

its gonna be close, i could see obama take it but that working class hillary vote is very solid there ... economics hit HARD there, and factories are still being closed down on the regular (the word when I was in school was the departure of the rubbermaid factory, thousands of jobs lost) and it happens across the state. And common sense dictates the economic argument helps hillary

-- deej, Monday, February 11, 2008 10:26 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Link

yea, i was born/raised in ohio (cleveland), but through an citizens' group i've talked to ohioans across the state and got to know the demographics pretty well. everything deej says is here is otm. and yea ohio is a pretty fascinating state.

Mark Clemente, Monday, 11 February 2008 23:50 (sixteen years ago) link

"working class Hillary vote"? My dad works at the Boeing plant and he says that all the dudes there are vehemently anti-Hillary, even the democrats. Then again, other end of the country.

The Reverend, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:09 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, fascinating in an anthropological way. The rednecks and racists are sending it down the shitter, and those "country-ass" people are going to vote for Huckabee, not Hillary, on Tuesday. I do think Hills will win it handily though, red or blue it's a conservative state, and it favors stability, not change.

Gavin, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:11 (sixteen years ago) link

It = Ohio

Gavin, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:12 (sixteen years ago) link

RG, I think the conventional wisdom is that Hillary's specific policy proposals play better among working-class Democrats who would rather know the answer to questions like "How do I put food on my family's table?" than listen to the kind of inspirational but vague sentiment that Obama offers.

jaymc, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:16 (sixteen years ago) link

ahahaa
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmKLaBAgLNs

-- deej, Monday, February 11, 2008 1:42 PM (36 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

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Barack is a butch-buster! Look at Ellen diggin' on him! Woohoooooo! LOL!

This man's got more sex appeal in his pinky than Bush has in his whole body.

gr8080, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

But what a body it is.

roxymuzak, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't actually even know what kind of joke I was attempting to make there. I apologize.

roxymuzak, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

it's always exciting talk with kerry

Senator Kerry is actually extremely personal when talking to him one on one. I had a conversation with him about politics that turned into a conversation about vegetarian chili fries and the Detroit Lions; he was interesting, funny, and extremely intelligent.

Obviously he needs to work on his public speaking abilities.

Mr. Goodman, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, fascinating in an anthropological way. The rednecks and racists are sending it down the shitter, and those "country-ass" people are going to vote for Huckabee, not Hillary, on Tuesday. I do think Hills will win it handily though, red or blue it's a conservative state, and it favors stability, not change.

-- Gavin, Monday, February 11, 2008 6:11 PM (10 minutes ago) Bookmark Link

nah this is b.s.
there are more shades of gray.

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:23 (sixteen years ago) link

yea srsly

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:25 (sixteen years ago) link

Gore not likely to endorse anyone

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:38 (sixteen years ago) link

Come on, we all moved out of OH for very good reasons

Gavin, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:53 (sixteen years ago) link

(it's true)

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 00:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Chris, Middletown, CT February 11, 2008 5:31 pm ET

He can't endorse….he's far too busy with this global warming deal…and telling everyone its caused by humans…without explaining how it was far warmer thousands of years ago….(and far colder too) - it takes a man like Al Gore to explain why man-made CO2 has caused our planet to warm 1 degree in 100 years….and why even on his own charts does the heat rise first….then CO2 level after…(funny…cause and effect work differently in Al Gores world)

you see people Al's busy now…

The Reverend, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 01:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Reading that, those all sound like good and useful reasons for not endorsing.

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 01:06 (sixteen years ago) link

PANIC:

Mrs. Clinton held a buck-up-the-troops conference call on Monday with donors, superdelegates and other supporters; several said afterward that she had sounded tired and a little down, but determined about Ohio and Texas.

They also said that they had not been especially soothed, and that they believed she might be on a losing streak that could jeopardize her competitiveness in those states.

“She has to win both Ohio and Texas comfortably, or she’s out,” said one superdelegate who has endorsed Mrs. Clinton, and who spoke on condition of anonymity to share a candid assessment. “The campaign is starting to come to terms with that.” Campaign advisers, also speaking privately in order to speak plainly, confirmed this view.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:10 (sixteen years ago) link

Holy Toledo! I never would have imagined that.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:17 (sixteen years ago) link

barring an Obama meltdown in their TX debate, there's no way she'll win both states comfortably.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:19 (sixteen years ago) link

I assume this article is overstating the case at least a bit. Even if she loses everything in Feb., and wins Tx./Ohio on razor-thin margins, I can't see her bowing out. Why should she? She'll have won the two biggest prizes since Super Tuesday's split decision.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:24 (sixteen years ago) link

It does seem very unlikely.

Nicole, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:30 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah but its not that she'll stop, its that her superdelegates might become unpledged

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:34 (sixteen years ago) link

and if his % of delegates keeps rising the party will put more and more pressure on her to drop out.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:36 (sixteen years ago) link

That's possible, Deej, but she could still make it an agonizing process by staying in. See, e.g., Frank Rich's column, which -- while perhaps implausible -- sets forth one possible nightmare scenario.

One possibility: If the Clintons see the nomination slipping away unless it's wrested from Obama in the most vicious ways imaginable (strong-arm tactics, tearing the party apart along racial lines, allowing a horribly divisive nat'l party convention), maybe they'll decide to bow out gracefully and preserve -- perhaps even enhance -- their legacy.

Longshot, I know, but the whole premise of that article is a longshot, to me.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:37 (sixteen years ago) link

after SC I think that possibility might be unprecedented for the Clintons, but not necessarily a longshot.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:41 (sixteen years ago) link

I just think that HRC's abysmal decisions against Obama -- setting up his running the table this month (n.1) -- means his anticipated momentum may carry him through Tx. and Ohio, and if he wins those two states, too, he'll be unstoppable unless he's violently kneecapped.

____________________________
(n.1) Somebody posted the article upthread already, but apparently HRC -- despite deep fundraising advantages months ago -- decided to spend everything in the early states, while Obama spread out his ad buys to states that had primaries this weekend (the four he just swept).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:48 (sixteen years ago) link

1) At a lunch discussion thing today, one of my profs (D@nny H@y3s) made I think a really good point. There's all this talk right now about Dems being disillusioned if Obama loses or conservatives staying home because of McCain. But up til now, there's been very little talk of Iraq. As soon as there's a settled Dem candidate, it will become a central issue, since it's probably the biggest policy difference between McCain and either of the Dem contenders. And that's going to polarize the population into a more normal distribution. Dems may be pissed at Hillary, but they know McCain's going to keep the war going for as long as he's in office. Conservatives may hate McCain, but they're not going to stay home when a defeatocrat could be pres.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 03:57 (sixteen years ago) link

That may be, but the economy might be an even more significant issue, since newspapers are now running stories that we're in a recession.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

(as opposed to just worrying about one).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:00 (sixteen years ago) link

Help is on the way for HRC in Ohio: Sen. Glenn to Endorse HRC

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:02 (sixteen years ago) link

2) You can paste this back in later if the shit goes down, but I would be flabbergasted if there's a brokered convention or a split vote of the superdelegates. G00's right, it's unlikely that someone would drop out voluntarily, but the actual Democratic establishment has a very, very strong interest in not having it come down to a convention. The Clintons have their own power base, not control over the party, and in particular the people like Dean who are runing the party apparatus these days aren't Clinton loyalists. People can say they're "pledged" right now to whoever the fuck they want. If one candidate has won the most states and has the most votes, the Democratic establishment is going to get its shit together and roll over for that candidate. Dean may have to crack some whips and there may have to be favors called in but anyone who's a superdelegate would be crazy to want to throw the nomination to someone who's lost the popular vote when both candidates are viable, electable, and far from an insurgent. It's a nice idea, but I really don't think it's gonna happen.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:03 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't think it will happen, either. But with HRC as the possible disappointed candidate -- with all the Clintons' influence, savvy and machinery -- HRC could still make this a very wrenching, harmful process.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:10 (sixteen years ago) link

i think we're sort of counting chickens here! there could be surprises just about anywhere yet

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:13 (sixteen years ago) link

but.. the trouble is.. is there a Democratic establishment, now? there are the Clinton people, and the Kennedy people, and they've lined up, and afaik Dean is sort of off on an island but doesn't see eye to eye with the Clinton people to put it mildly. I mean the DNC is about broke, there's not some powerful apparatus they've got going there.

daria-g, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:14 (sixteen years ago) link

But everyone in the Democratic establishment ultimately has a concern for the party itself. And this just doesn't seem like a situaiton where they'd be willing to tear the party apart in order for their preferred candidate to win. Many of these people have their own elections to win, after all, and running on behalf of a party that essentially negates the popular vote isn't really a strong position.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:20 (sixteen years ago) link

The Dems were able to move in a pretty coherent way in the midterm elections, for instance, even though they were divided and fighting.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 04:21 (sixteen years ago) link

RESULT NUMBER TWO: http://blogsearch.google.com/blogsearch?hl=en&q=huckabee+tyra&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&tab=nb

gr8080, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 05:28 (sixteen years ago) link

i just want to post it again:

http://www.popcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/tyra1.jpg

gr8080, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 05:30 (sixteen years ago) link

The hottie and the nottie.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 05:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Tyra's not that bad

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the huckabee and the nuckabee

and what, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 05:59 (sixteen years ago) link

the governor and the lol hueg crazy lady pretending to play guitar

jhøshea, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:00 (sixteen years ago) link

did it all for the nuckabee

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:01 (sixteen years ago) link

that yo nucka, b?

tremendoid, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Seriously, I can't get over that Tyrabee photo.

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:08 (sixteen years ago) link

you can learn a lot about their sex lives from that photo.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:19 (sixteen years ago) link

<3 <3 <3

Curt1s Stephens, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I saw Dan Savage give a talk tonight and he wore a Huckabee t-shirt.

Eazy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Is that a broadcaster or a telecaster that she has?

in related news, from Sept 2007:

http://weblogs.variety.com/photos/uncategorized/2007/09/28/barack_tyra_2.jpg

Obama is tempted by the Goblin King, apparently

kingfish, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 06:48 (sixteen years ago) link

can we just stop for a moment, just a moment, and appreciate the cast of characters on display in this election? This is the stuff of legend.

tremendoid, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 08:25 (sixteen years ago) link

o damn i just found out my cousin is a superdelegate

max, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 08:42 (sixteen years ago) link

hes the dude in that clip ^^ former gore staffer

max, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 08:48 (sixteen years ago) link

can we just stop for a moment, just a moment, and appreciate the cast of characters on display in this election?

"The 2008 Presidential Election"

Starring:

Oprah Winfrey
Chuck Norris
A Bunch Of Politicians
Rudy Giuliani
Tyra Banks
Chauncey Billups
The Clinton Family
a single mother raising 9 kids in South Carolina
Wolf Blitzer
Donnie and Marie Osmond
Dead Kennedys
Martin Luther King
guy from Law & Order
The Grateful Dead
featuring George Allen as "Macaca"
and a cast of thousands of Paultards

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:07 (sixteen years ago) link

hahah, great thread. much agreed on the topic. seen this btw? http://www.5min.com/Video/Obama-with-a-Twist-by-Balloon-Artist-Ori-Livney-5714494

occamsrazor, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:08 (sixteen years ago) link

*ahem* Martin Luther King Jr.

Cosmo Vitelli, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:13 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah, much agreed on the topic too!

max, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:14 (sixteen years ago) link

take obama
his stirring oratory belies his (somewhat benign) opaqueness on certain matters.

tremendoid, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:20 (sixteen years ago) link

just writing newspaper bylines here.

tremendoid, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 09:22 (sixteen years ago) link

All in one NYTimes article:

Obama fund-raisers say he is taking in roughly $1 million a day, while Clinton fund-raisers say she is taking in about half of that, mostly online. Mrs. Clinton’s aides say that the campaign was virtually broke as of the Feb. 5 primaries, but that finances have stabilized.
...
Mr. Obama’s financial edge allowed him to begin running television advertisements in Ohio and Texas on Monday, while the Clinton campaign plans to begin advertising on Tuesday
...
Asked if that message was sinking in, (Hassan Nemazee, a national finance chairman for Clinton) pointed to the campaign’s announcement that Mrs. Clinton had raised $10 million online so far this month, and was on pace to raise more than $25 million in February.

“I predict for you we will have our best single fund-raising month in February, and that’s significant,” he said.

G00blar, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 11:32 (sixteen years ago) link

All in one NYTimes article:

I'm guessing you say that because you're amazed so much non-information could be in one story?

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 14:56 (sixteen years ago) link

The Dems were able to move in a pretty coherent way in the midterm elections, for instance

And look at the paradise they've brought us since!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

So the Obama Hope-Quarters Substation in downtown Providence is still barely set up -- there were only a couple people using laptops, folding tables & chairs, and a few boxes of supplies. There was a big sign that said "HOPE" in the window with the Obama logo in the 'O,' but I can appreciate that because the RI state motto is "Hope."

Anyway, I got a bumper sticker and a button in exchange for my address, and spoke briefly with a staffer. No kool-aid.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:01 (sixteen years ago) link

morbius, the TWO COPRPORATE POLITICAL PARTIES are THREATENING TO FISSURE along lines of BROKERED LOYALTY, why aren't you celebrating???

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:03 (sixteen years ago) link

he's too busy organizing pressure groups amongst neighborhood youth, flyering busy corners and planning demonstrations voting for ralph nader

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:06 (sixteen years ago) link

bah

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:06 (sixteen years ago) link

haha, the parties' paymasters wuill win the day, there won't be any fissuring.

I will forego voting before I vote for a future Nader candidacy.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:08 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm guessing you say that because you're amazed so much non-information could be in one story?

More the acrobatic positioning of the Clinton staffers trying to portray the candidacy as both a) strapped for cash (and thus the underdog) and b) doing quite well with donations (and thus a horse worth betting on).

G00blar, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

As laughed at sufficiently way above, I know.

G00blar, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:14 (sixteen years ago) link

. There was a big sign that said "HOPE" in the window with the Obama logo in the 'O,' but I can appreciate that because the RI state motto is "Hope."

I wonder what the screaming lobster of Hope thinks of this.

Nicole, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:17 (sixteen years ago) link

oh morbs, you and your kooky misunderstanding of checks and balances.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:19 (sixteen years ago) link

and your desire for democratic politics to conform entirely to the opinions of a small segment of the population.

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:21 (sixteen years ago) link

so for anyone paying attention to RI and where its 32 delegates will go (i.e. nobody) there was only one poll conducted recently:

Clinton 36%
Obama 27%

this is out of 474 likely dem voters, which would imply a pretty wide margin of error, and has so many folks undecided or uncommitted, it's hard to deduce anything from this other than the fact that clinton does have an advantage here.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy, would that be the majority segment who wanted to vote us out of the war in Nov '06?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm kinda enjoying the shenanigans currently going on due to the WA GOP results for this weekend, where are the schmucks who went on about "voter fraud" and endless recounts in the 2004 governor election are now turning on each other.

kingfish, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 15:41 (sixteen years ago) link

lol Derbyshire splutters:

All this emoting over Barack Obama's wonderful, wonderful personality is starting to trigger my gag reflex.

What are we electing here, a faith healer? What is Obama's view of the executive power? How, exactly, does he propose to "bring us together"? Just by being half-black? What if I don't want to be "brought together" with radical socialists who want to jack up my taxes and shut down my freedoms of speech, property, and association? What will Obama do? Steve Sailer has been documenting the astonishing — for a guy with Obama's résumé — absence of any paper trail for Obama's thoughts, ideas, and opinions. There's just his autobiography, which is unreadable (I tried), and The Audacity of Hope which I guess (I didn't try — you can only ask so much of a guy) urges us all to be really audacious and hope a lot.

Is Obama just an empty suit, who never had a thought about anything, other than his own amazing wonderfulness, in his entire life? What, for example, does he think about conservatism? Modern American conservatism is a huge and various body of thought, with many mansions. Has Obama explored it? I'll lend him my Nash if he wants to make a start. Heck, I have read Kolakowski all the way through, all three volumes; has Obama read Hayek? Buckley? Kirk?

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:19 (sixteen years ago) link

all ive got to go on are these books i didnt read!

jhøshea, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.obamaiswinning.com/

'unaffiliated' site pushing the idea that superdelegates should not be counted in determining the delegate leader

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:21 (sixteen years ago) link

That NYT article sounds more and more to me like a contrived stort, allowing HRC to get the upper-hand in the ''expectations game.'' Of course, if she has -- as many expected a few months ago -- wrapped up the nomination by the end of Super Tuesday, there would be no need to managing expectations through February.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:33 (sixteen years ago) link

That NYT article sounds more and more to me like a contrived stort, allowing HRC to get the upper-hand in the ''expectations game.''

Yup. There's one on Slate too. Reporters love to write them because they write themselves.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:36 (sixteen years ago) link

I was talking to a friend at the gym last night who's honestly split between Obama, Clinton, & McCain. She thinks she's going to vote for Hilary in the primary but is going to go hear Barack speak tonight to give him a shot. I can't recall meeting anyone (my age, anyway) so genuinely undecided.

Jordan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:38 (sixteen years ago) link

samantha bee to thread

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:42 (sixteen years ago) link

That NYT article sounds more and more to me like a contrived storty, allowing HRC to get the upper-hand in the ''expectations game.'' Of course, if she hasd -- as many expected a few months ago -- wrapped up the nomination by the end of Super Tuesday, there would be no need to managinge expectations through February.

Fixed. I have to stop posting via cell phone. Too many typos.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Is Obama just an empty suit, who never had a thought about anything, other than his own amazing wonderfulness, in his entire life? What, for example, does he think about conservatism? Modern American conservatism is a huge and various body of thought, with many mansions. Has Obama explored it? I'll lend him my Nash if he wants to make a start. Heck, I have read Kolakowski all the way through, all three volumes; has Obama read Hayek? Buckley? Kirk?

would he ask the same of mcain (or huckabee or romney)? i doubt hes read any of the classics of left-liberal thought let alone the conservatives listed.

artdamages, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:49 (sixteen years ago) link

so apparently the removal of solis-doyle from the clinton campaign is having repercussions among certain leaders in the latino community, who -- sincerely or not -- are starting to decry what they see as the scapegoating of the clinton campaign's most prominent latino for the failure to meet the campaigns early expectations.

don't know if this is going to indicate any general trend in support among latino voters or if this is an outrage manufactured by interested parties, but it may get some traction in the press -- who knows.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 16:56 (sixteen years ago) link

How come Mark Penn wasn't the one who was fired? Isn't he the architect behind HRC's campaign?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:01 (sixteen years ago) link

clintons <3 <3 <3 mark penn for eva !!!

jhøshea, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:02 (sixteen years ago) link

stories about campaign staff get no traction ever in the press

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:05 (sixteen years ago) link

How come Mark Penn wasn't the one who was fired?

How about bcz the non-firing was a substance-free media event?

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:06 (sixteen years ago) link

Eppy, would that be the majority segment who wanted to vote us out of the war in Nov '06?

I was unaware of a national referendum on that subject

gabbneb, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:13 (sixteen years ago) link

stories about campaign staff get no traction ever in the press

i guess in the world of travelling campaign coverage, journos have to continually bargain for access to the candidate and spreading the campaign-approved storyline is one way to ensure favor. but i guess if a reporter takes on the campaign staff itself, they face being denied access or being left behind. so i guess what you say is largely true.

that said, i really wish there would be more investigation into Maggie Williams and her long-standing relationship with Clinton, and how that reflects how she would staff her administration -- rewarding blind fealty with access and power, conditional on continued loyalty. hmm, remind you of any other recent administration?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

xp: I guess the National Journal didn't do that one

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:14 (sixteen years ago) link

won't the National Journal ask Morbs his opinion?

gabbneb, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:16 (sixteen years ago) link

screaming lobster of hope says: obama candidacy is "smoke & mirrors"
link

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:22 (sixteen years ago) link

pot:kettle::black

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:26 (sixteen years ago) link

quit bringing race into this

dmr, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:45 (sixteen years ago) link

we need to get a flip-flop meme on john mccain going, like yesterday. the dude has moved around on every important issue more than once. this 'maverick' thing is bs, he's just stunningly inconsistent, from any ideological vantage point.

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:49 (sixteen years ago) link

together, we can start a meme on this thread. . .a meme that will change the world.

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:50 (sixteen years ago) link

tpm election central: clinton campaign instructs surrogates to refer to super-delegates as "automatic delegates"

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

whatever the fuck that change is supposed to signify, i don't get it

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:52 (sixteen years ago) link

That they're "automatically" going to vote for HRC.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:54 (sixteen years ago) link

swinging for the zing thread, que, i like it

i didn't mean we as in ilxors i meant we as in people who don't want john mccain to be president

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:55 (sixteen years ago) link

all haw haws aside, should the mcain meme be a variation on bomb iran?

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 17:57 (sixteen years ago) link

what if we called him... JUAN mccain?

max, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:00 (sixteen years ago) link

highlighting his unceasing belligerence doesn't seem like a way to get his core admirers to like him less.

saying that he's actually kind of shifty, unpredictable and (whisper) dishonorable seems like a better attack to me. if you want to get rovian about it.

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:01 (sixteen years ago) link

http://michellemalkin.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/1shutmac.jpg

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

dishonorable might be a tough sell for him though. it might fly with the younger crowd but not the boomers. unpredictable and shifty, sure.

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:02 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, the GOP is way ahead of you guys as far as things that truly bring McCain down. Just save them off somewhere before the GE campaign Republicans conveniently forget all those insults from earlier in the year, that's all.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:06 (sixteen years ago) link

rolling 2008 list thread for shit to keep mccain from becoming president

Tracer Hand, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:07 (sixteen years ago) link

ha right i guess we do have a thread for these things!

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:08 (sixteen years ago) link

If Michigan and Florida hold emergency re-do primaries, Clinton would probably still win, right?

Dan I., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:18 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=110&session=2&vote=00015

I'd like to see McCain defend his vote to shield telecos from liability when they spy on us at the behest of the nanny state in violation of the law.

This is a lot bigger than the V-chip bruhaha.

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Fluffy, you sweetly naive soul, that's only done to keep us safe from the terrorists. And here you are complaining!

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Cockburn & St. Clair:

Barack Obama and his supporters... would do well to remember that since the mid-1970s the Democratic National Committee has spent countless hours plowing firebreaks between expressions of the popular will in such caucus and primary votes and the ultimate selection of the nominee.

Gary Hart learned this the hard way in 1984. ...Short on money, Hart then aimed, exactly like Obama, at the caucuses to show momentum. After Super Tuesday, Mondale and Hart were neck and neck. Then Hart cleaned up in the caucuses, just as Obama is now doing. The two split the big states. Mondale won New York and Pennsylvania. Hart won Ohio and California. Then, in the weeks before the Democratic Party convention Mondale and the Democratic Party machine went into action at the various state conventions. Hart watched aghast as his hard-won delegates melted back into the smoke-filled rooms and emerged with Mondale buttons on their lapels. The coup de grace came with Mondale's efficient capture of the Super Delegates, who went to him almost en bloc.

http://www.counterpunch.org/cockburn02112008.html

(also, AC is much more sanguine about McCain being a loser than I think is wise)

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:22 (sixteen years ago) link

This is an interesting point. how is it relevant to this thread?

Fluffy Bear Hearts Rainbows, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:26 (sixteen years ago) link

Wait, when in the primary season did the Gary Hart scandal break?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

that wasn't til '88.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:27 (sixteen years ago) link

...Short on money, Hart then aimed, exactly like Obama

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:31 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary needs a "Where's the beef?" moment.

jaymc, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:33 (sixteen years ago) link

WTF. Mondale ran in 84. Dukakis ran in 88.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

In 1984, Reagan was running for re-election and he could not have been more popular. Bush can't run again, and everyone wants to shit down his neck.

Thanks anyway, M.

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:34 (sixteen years ago) link

hart was a primary contender in '84, which mondale eventually won, and went on to lose spectacularly to reagan.

hart was again a primary contender in '88, when a sex scandal sank him. dukakis went on to fame and fortune as a paroler of rapist murderers, and lost to GHWB.

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:36 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary needs a "Where's the beef?" moment.

like this?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

NEED MORE ANCIENT ANALOGIES

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:37 (sixteen years ago) link

Hillary needs a Bonnie Tyler moment

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

If Michigan and Florida hold emergency re-do primaries, Clinton would probably still win, right?

Even when she was the only candidate on the ballot, HRC only got 56% of the vote in Michigan so I doubt she'd do anywhere near that well in a re-do situation.

Nicole, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I have no idea what some of you fuxors are confused about, but it's not like it's an unusual state of affairs...(Mackro added to dicklist)

I read somewhere that Hillary already has said "Where's the beef"!

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:40 (sixteen years ago) link

you have a dicklist?

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:42 (sixteen years ago) link

ew

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

When Morbs gets mad
When he gets pissed...

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:43 (sixteen years ago) link

...he grabs his pen
And he writes out a list

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:44 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.beans-around-the-world.com/photos/scenter6.jpg

Mackro Mackro, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

I am reminded of this thread:

Well, well, well: Jess (Strongo), James (Nnn Oooh) and Trife - I'm making your cards.

Nicole, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Top Hillary Supporter Says Some Whites In Pennsylvania "Are Not Ready" To Support Black Candidate:
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/02/top_hillary_supporter_obama_wi.php

^^i can't imagine how saying this could help the HRC camp. i mean, whether or not it's true, no one likes being called a racist.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

x-post -- It DOES all make sense now!

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

hart was a primary contender in '84, which mondale eventually won, and went on to lose spectacularly to reagan.

hart was again a primary contender in '88, when a sex scandal sank him. dukakis went on to fame and fortune as a paroler of rapist murderers, and lost to GHWB.

Ah, yes. Good times.

Dr. M, who's on your list?

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:48 (sixteen years ago) link

a kiss!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:49 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is wack.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Ambinder forwards this, about the vote whether or not to grant telecoms retroactive immunity for their their cooperation in making the end-run around FISA:

Sen. Obama voted to strip it (so, he voted for no immunity).
Sen. McCain voted not to strip the amendment (voted for immunity).
Sen. Clinton did not vote.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:53 (sixteen years ago) link

ZOMG hillz voted present!1?!! LOLL

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:54 (sixteen years ago) link

Greenwald must be in a froth.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 18:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is wack.

Not just wack: Wiggity wiggity wiggity whack.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:01 (sixteen years ago) link

He's wack sauce on a pita.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:12 (sixteen years ago) link

Obama is the Dane Cook of politics.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

...

sleep, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:14 (sixteen years ago) link

hahaha wtf plz to defend yr assertion

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^ This. I was being facetious. Colin doesn't seem to be.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:20 (sixteen years ago) link

I knew Gary Hart (not personally, of course) and Barack Obama is no Gary Hart. Obama can move crowds with the power of speech. Hart was pretty lackluster by comparison.

Aimless, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:24 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, maybe on my own here, but he reminds me of Dane Cook or Oprah.

People who have good resumes or on the surface have everything going for them, and are LOVED by the masses, but you can tell after hearing them talk for five minutes, or looking at them that they are full of shit.

Dane Cook in a room of college students holding up the shocker=Obama in a room full of college students holding up signs that say "change".

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:25 (sixteen years ago) link

this thread needed a david brooks

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:27 (sixteen years ago) link

"holding up the shocker"?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:29 (sixteen years ago) link

you can tell after hearing them talk for five minutes, or looking at them that they are full of shit

I find it hard to tell that people are full of shit just by looking at them. Unless they're wearing an "I am full of shit" t-shirt or something. That's okay though. You probably have special powers.

All I have to go on is Obama's voting record, public speaking and published writing. The "full of shit" thing isn't so evident there.

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lLVN3Trs5VQ

New Obama spot, which might be the sharpest political tv ad I've ever seen made.

Johnny Fever, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:30 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

I don't know man...

I just don't like Obama. You don't have to go likening me to David Brooks.

I'd like to see Hillary somehow win but oh well...

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

"holding up the shocker"?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shocker_(hand_gesture)

jaymc, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

so basically your analogy is: they are both popular and you don't like either of them?

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

When I was nineteen I stole golf carts and watched reruns of Alf.

-- Colin_C., Tuesday, February 12, 2008 1:11 PM

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:31 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ colin i think you ARE dane cook

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

I disagree, I think that you can tell a lot from someone's body language...

Including signs that they are full of it.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:32 (sixteen years ago) link

i think you're a dipshit troll who needs to stfu and gtfo

i can tell by what you are posting

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Colin: HRC IS COMING ON STRONG JUST ASK HER SUPPORTERS ON THIS THREAD STOP WORRYING ABOUT THE GOV'T PLZ.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

No, my analogy was they are people who know how to play to the masses, while not really being genuine.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Okay...

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Can't we disagree without me being a troll?

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Is the "C" for "controversial"?

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:34 (sixteen years ago) link

Yes, we can, Colin, and we need more HRC/GOP supporters on this thread, I think (they enliven the conversation). Seriously, Obama's as deep on policy issues as HRC is. She's a bit wonkier in delivering her message, but he's no slouch in that regard, either. The fact that he is a hypnotic, powerful speaker shouldn't be held against him.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:35 (sixteen years ago) link

(See, e.g., last Democratic debate in California).

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:36 (sixteen years ago) link

who is the jim gaffigan of politics?

ron paul is the doug stanhope of politics

M@tt He1ges0n, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:37 (sixteen years ago) link

I think that you can tell a lot from someone's body language...

http://www.softe4u.com/images/blm_cover.jpg

Aimless, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

http://cache.viewimages.com/xc/3317122.jpg

"Ask not, what your monkey business can do for you..."

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:38 (sixteen years ago) link

shocker wikipedia entry is empty yo

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

The fact that he is a hypnotic, powerful speaker shouldn't be held against him.

Exactly. But, to be fair, he's so incredibly good it's kind of spooky. I don't know that I've ever heard such an intrinsically attractive, inspiring voice. I can see how it might be alarming to more paranoid types.

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:39 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know that I've ever heard such an intrinsically attractive, inspiring voice.

http://www.orange-papers.org/orange-Hitler11cx.jpg

HI BOYS HERE I AM

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:40 (sixteen years ago) link

shocker wikipedia entry is empty yo

Add a closed parenthesis at the end.

jaymc, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Sure. I'm also nervous about "cults of personality," and in some respects, I can see that concern about Obama. But he isn't a screaming facist, or an intentionally dense partisan. He's cool and rationale and appeals to the same "high-minded reformist" that many before him have appealed to, without raising the slightest concerns.

(xp)

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

Colin is basically making a dumber-sounding version of the argument my mom was making to me the other day. She said that she was intersted in Obama, but was turned off watching one of his speeches, which she said felt empty (would have rather heard him talk policy than general change/hope/etc., I think). She's voting Hilary on experience + being a woman.

Jordan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

ok my non-troll-kill response is to quote matt yglesias one more goddam time:

One anti-Obama meme that I notice has gotten a lot of support even among people sympathetic to his cause is the notion that he's somehow shallow or insufficiently well-versed in policy matters. Obviously, I can't crawl into either candidate's brain and take a look around, but this idea doesn't seem to me to be especially well-supported by the evidence. Instead, it seems to draw support from a kind of implicit Law of Conservation of Virtues -- the pretty girl can't be smart, the not-so-good-looking guy must be really nice -- that has people notice that Clinton is well-versed in policy but isn't a charismatic figure, and Obama is charismatic so it "must" be that he's not well-versed in policy. He's cool and she's the nerd.

This suits the media's taste for parallels and lazy narratives into which events can be squeezed. But there's really not much basis for it.

For one thing, these takes tend to have a certain vague quality to them and often are offered by people who don't, themselves, have a particular aptitude for policy.

...

UPDATE: On the conservation of virtues point, note that everyone agrees that Bill Clinton is both very well-versed in policy (like his wife) and a charismatic figure. There's no fundamental tension here.

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:42 (sixteen years ago) link

That youtube ad = "I Am Trying to CHANGE Your Heart"

Pleasant Plains, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.orange-papers.org/orange-Hitler11cx.jpg

HI BOYS HERE I AM

-- Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Tuesday, February 12, 2008 2:40 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

http://bestuff.com/images/images_of_stuff/210x600/godwins-law-9796.jpg
xpost

sleep, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:43 (sixteen years ago) link

Three blue is ridiculous. One colorless.

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

Does Godwin's Law apply if you ACCUSE someone of calling someone a Nazi?

Catsupppppppppppppp dude 茄蕃, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:45 (sixteen years ago) link

just to clarify: the Counterpunch column was about the history of the Dems thwarting the will of the voters for the nomination, not equating fucking Hart's oratory to fucking Obama's.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

i guess not, you can't play the card for them xpost

sleep, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Yglesias' take seems equally vague?

daria-g, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:46 (sixteen years ago) link

dude i broke godwin's on this thread like two weeks ago!! it's all alles sturmabteilung alles zeit in here now, fair game

xp the part under ellipsis there is several paragraphs about obama and policy experience/knowhow. i clipped it.

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:47 (sixteen years ago) link

the history of the Dems thwarting the will of the voters for the nomination

A candidates reach should exceed his grasp, or what's a super delegate for?

Aimless, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:48 (sixteen years ago) link

Yglesias' take seems equally vague?

-- daria-g, Tuesday, February 12, 2008 1:46 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark Link

how so? its a critique of other ppl's take. or are you referring to his views outside that post? if so i also disagree

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

XP -- is that youtube clip a campaign-sponsored TV ad or an independently made viral-video clip?

Hubie Brown, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:49 (sixteen years ago) link

the Walter Karp book about Carter-Reagan detailed how the superdelegate system was put in place, and it was done largely to prevent upstarts like Carter from snatching the vote democratically.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

I'll have to go read other things Yglesias wrote.. I haven't been following him for a long long time b/c his writing has always seemed sort of.. like JMM, pretty middle of the road. But here I guess from the quote he says there's not much basis for it without offering much to disprove.

daria-g, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

People who have good resumes or on the surface have everything going for them, and are LOVED by the masses, but you can tell after hearing them talk for five minutes, or looking at them that they are full of shit.

Ok, I'll grant you that Obama has this going on, because he is a politician, and if you have such razor-sharp insight into human behavior, then good for you, it'll serve you well in life. But why pick on Obama in particular about this? Have you been watching McCain give speeches lately? He may be convincing at his own special things, but being a dyed-in-the-wool conservative is not one of them.

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:53 (sixteen years ago) link

why are you giving that to him kenan? "dude he's so fake" = wtf?

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

I'm only granting that to say that the other two candidates are (very, I think) arguably much more full of shit.

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

I don't know.

You guys always seem to be smarter than me, that's why I post here.

I'm probably in the wrong regarding my views as expressed above. I guess I shouldn't place so much emphasis on my personal liking or not liking of Obama and let it color my more rational judgements.

Still, I wasn't trying to create a clamor, just wanted to see if I was the only one who felt that way and gage how everyone else felt.

When I make a statement I'm not always making a declaration that I'm right and everyone else is wrong, very often I'm trying to create a dialogue...

I brought up my thoughts not because I was sure in them but more out my own insecurity about the way I felt.

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

"35 Years of Experience"

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 19:59 (sixteen years ago) link

colin, it's cool, i just think the dane cook analogy was really reaching and kinda hilarious. i mean, there are plenty of examples of charismatic hucksters you could cite without having to bring up the accursed star of Employee of the Month.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

lol yeah that was a little overboard

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

also he doesnt hold up the shoker:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dane_cook#Style

gr8080, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

I seem to be posting this video all over, these days, but anyone who thinks Obama might not be a thinker, might not be able to wade through complicated issues and find a nuanced, wise and maybe even visionary path through it, ought to watch these 40 minutes. it's a speech in front of a christian charity group. he talks about politics and faith and it's not the standard stump thing. and while you could accuse it of being vague i think more accurately it's wrestling with something subtle and difficult, trying to figure out the rightest way for a nation like the usa to proceed - and without just hand-waving an answer that's meaningless.

i think it's rather remarkable.

http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid353515028?bctid=416343938

sean gramophone, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:04 (sixteen years ago) link

Thing is, when it comes to "authenticity", the only difference between Obama and the other front-runners is that Hillary/McCain have actually proved themelves at least somewhat politically duplicitous over time. With Obama, such charges are just speculation. So they seems particularly unfair.

The fact that he'd have made a damn fine snake-oil salesman shouldn't be held against him...

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:06 (sixteen years ago) link

that whole "empty suit" argument is so full of shit, because if you actually cared to know what he thinks about the issues you can just VISIT HIS FUCKING WEBSITE where he as all of his ideas laid out, and videos of him talking... there's a 2 hour video of him & his advisors outlining his foreign policy plans (http://www.barackobama.com/issues/foreignpolicy/)!

No one really wants the candidates to go into great detail in their stump speeches....

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:12 (sixteen years ago) link

if O makes it to the GE, it's going to be a blast watching the fundies fanning the idea that he's the modern anti-christ incarnate: secularist (in the not overtly born-again sense), attractive, miscegenational, gifted orator making appeals for progressiveness and unity.

i don't know. maybe I'm the one being paranoid.

will, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

http://i25.tinypic.com/2vsraz5.jpg

Will M., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

That's what I tried to explain to moms, but what can you do.

xp

Jordan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:14 (sixteen years ago) link

lol

that video is impressive,

Colin_C., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:16 (sixteen years ago) link

So OK, for the Democratic party to overturn an Obama victory would require that...

1) His campaign is a "mutiny." It's not.
2) Significant portions of the Democratic machine have a vested interest in Obama not being the nominee. I don't see that they do.
3) The Democratic establishment unanimously supports HRC. They don't. The Clintons are powerful but have powerful enemies too, and they've made more of those over the course of this campaign.
4) Obama won't be aware that this could happen. He is very much aware--they're already courting the superdelegates.
5) That everyone necessary to pull off this coordinated effort thinks that putting HRC up as the nominee is worth putting a Democratic victory in November, which seems highly likely at this point, in jeopardy. Will they?

Also, did Hart actually have more of the popular vote or pledged delegates than Mondale in 84 heading into the convention? Tad Devine claims that Mondale was only 40 votes short of a majority at the end of the primary season, and that's why the superdelegates swung in a bloc:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/10/opinion/10devine.html

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

(Based on Cockburn's post, I mean.)

Eppy, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

No one really wants the candidates to go into great detail in their stump speeches....

the thing that's so frustrating is that the Democrats haven't had a cadidate who rly understands this in the last two runs. we get a candidate who is AWESOME at stump speeches but there's still ppl like my aunt and uncle (who caucused for hrc in nevada, lol old) who are all wanting 10-point plans on shit.

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:35 (sixteen years ago) link

http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid353515028?bctid=416343938

^^^ i'm elmo argonaut and i approve this clip, many thanks to sean for posting it

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

thats frustrating as hell too cuz the idea that nuanced policy decisions, many of which will be reliant on any number of variables and priorities that could change all of a sudden, demand something a lot more flexible than some reductive 'ten point plan' xp

deej, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:39 (sixteen years ago) link

Perhaps just saying what that "beyond partisanship" crap means is what ppl are waiting for. I want more partisanship, the Dems do "reaching acrioss the aisle" as an ugly habit.

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:41 (sixteen years ago) link

whereas republicans are the kind who will fuck a dem in the ass and not even have the common courtesy to give him a reach across.

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:43 (sixteen years ago) link

if you want to draw contrasts between obama and clinton in terms of how they would govern (and I know you do), i think obama has a clear advantage here because i think he would be so much better at creating alliances in the legislature than hillary clinton -- the electability / polarizing argument playing out in the primaries now has implications that reach well into the presidential term. hillary in the oval office, i feel, would turn the aisle into an impenetrable barrier

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:45 (sixteen years ago) link

not to mention the amount of political hay gop congressppl could make off of standing up to hillary

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

"standing up" in scare quotes

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

and never even mind that, because I still think McCain would beat her. By a surprising amount, maybe.

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^^^ This.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

yep

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:51 (sixteen years ago) link

Elmo, Bison & Kenan OTM OTM OTM. Clinton vs. McCain would bring indifferent Republicans out of the woodwork. Much less true of Obama vs. McCain. If Clinton did somehow win, having her in the White House would be (almost) as much a boon for Republicans as Bush has been for Democrats. The fact that I think Obama could actually manage to govern without further polarizing the parties is a big part of his appeal to me.

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i mean for all the talk of her so-called managerial acumen, she's run a pretty poor campaign for someone who was the prohibitive favorite, yeah? i should think this would be a sort of warning sign should she win the nom.

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

Clinton vs. McCain would bring indifferent Republicans out of the woodwork. Much less true of Obama vs. McCain.

people are always saying this.. proof?

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

THE REPUBLICAN BASE IS PRAYING FOR CLINTON/SHE'S SO POLARIZING just seems like a talking point to me

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

they would reunite voltron style to stop her.

bnw, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

yeah clinton hate on the right is massive massive massive

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

hillary hate is real, and it's calling from inside the house

kenan, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Gut feeling. No proof to be had. But over the years the amoung of truly rabid Hillary-hate I've encountered, from both Republicans and Democrats, inclines me to trust my gut on this. She's a lightning rod. That's not her fault, but fault isn't the issue. I've just never seen that kind of rancor directed towards Obama, by anyone.

contenderizer, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

just review rightwing talking points pre-the rise of Obama and they were all frothing at the mouth to run against Hillary (Rove most obvious example, among others)

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

or just look up the number of rightwing books about how Hillary is going to become president and ruin the country

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

brainwasher, if you live in red states (or counties or cities or whatever), the anti-clinton fervor is palpable. the risk of that playing a factor in a general election setting cannot be disputed. not to mention head to head polls (which i'll concede are difficult to make any meaningful inferences for november at this point) show a mccain-hrc race being quite close and an obama-mccain race playing slightly to obama's favor.

m bison, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

* Aldrich, Gary. Unlimited Access: An FBI Agent Inside the Clinton White House. Regnery Publishing, 1996. ISBN 0-89526-454-4.
* American Conservative Union. Hillary Rodham Clinton: What Every American Should Know. Green Hill Publishing, 2005. ISBN 0-89803-164-8.
* Andersen, Christopher. Bill and Hillary: The Marriage. William Morrow, 1999. ISBN 0-688-16755-1.
* Andersen, Christopher, American Evita: Hillary Clinton's Path to Power. HarperCollins, 2004. ISBN 0-06-056254-4.
* Boswell, John, The Unshredded Files of Hillary and Bill Clinton. Broadway, 1996. ISBN 0-553-06763-X.
* Bozell, L. Brent with Tim Graham. Whitewash: How the News Media Are Paving Hillary Clinton's Path to the Presidency. Crown Forum, 2007. ISBN 0-307-34020-1.
* Buchanan, Bay, The Extreme Makeover of Hillary (Rodham) Clinton. Regnery Publishing, 2007. ISBN 978-1596985070.
* Carpenter, Amanda B.. The Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy's Dossier on Hillary Clinton. Regnery Publishing, 2006. ISBN 1-59698-014-1.
* Goldberg, Jonah, Liberal Fascism: The Totalitarian Temptation from Mussolini to Hillary Clinton. Doubleday, 2007. ISBN 0-385-51184-1.
* Horowitz, David and Poe, Richard. The Shadow Party : How Hillary Clinton, George Soros, and the Sixties Left Took Over the Democratic Party. Nelson Current, 2006. ISBN 1-59555-044-5.
* Klein, Edward. The Truth About Hillary: What She Knew, When She Knew It, and How Far She'll Go to Become President. Penguin, 2005. ISBN 1-59523-006-8.
* Kuiper, Thomas. I've Always Been a Yankees Fan: Hillary Clinton in Her Own Words. World Ahead Publishing, 2006. ISBN 0-9746701-8-9.
* LeBorts, George and Wojciech Wilk (illus.), The Very Unofficial Hillary Clinton Coloring Book. Strobooks, 2007. ISBN 978-0979493706.
* Limbacher, Carl. Hillary's Scheme: Inside the Next Clinton's Ruthless Agenda to Take the White House. Crown Publishing, 2003. ISBN 0-7615-3115-7.
* Milton, Joyce. The First Partner: Hillary Rodham Clinton. William Morris, 1999. ISBN 0-688-15501-4.
* Morris, Dick. Rewriting History. HarperCollins, 2004. ISBN 0-06-073668-2.
* Morris, Dick and McGann, Eileen. Condi vs. Hillary : The Next Great Presidential Race. HarperCollins, 2005. ISBN 0-06-083913-9.
* Noonan, Peggy. The Case Against Hillary Clinton. HarperCollins, 2000. ISBN 0-06-039340-8.
* Olson, Barbara. Hell to Pay: The Unfolding Story of Hillary Rodham Clinton. Regnery Publishing, 1999. ISBN 0-89526-197-9.
* Podhoretz, John. Can She Be Stopped? : Hillary Clinton Will Be the Next President of the United States Unless .... Crown Publishing, 2006. ISBN 0-307-33730-8.
* Poe, Richard. Hillary's Secret War: The Clinton Conspiracy to Muzzle Internet Journalists. Nelson Current, 2004. ISBN 0-7852-6013-7.
* Regan, Turk. The Hillary Clinton Voodoo Kit: Stick It to Her, Before She Sticks It to You!. Running Press Book Publishers, 2007. ISBN 0-7624-2965-8.
* Tyrrell, R. Emmett and Davis, Mark. Madame Hillary: The Dark Road to the White House. Regnery Publishing, 2004. ISBN 0-89526-067-0.
* Wiley, Mike. Diary Of Hillary's Right-Wing Conspirator: Exposing the Media’s Lies while battling Hillary’s Far Left Reign in the Democratic Party - 1993-1996. AuthorHouse, 2005. ISBN 1-4259-0659-1.

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:00 (sixteen years ago) link

* Goldberg, Jonah, Liberal Fascism: The Totalitarian Temptation from Mussolini to Hillary Clinton. Doubleday, 2007. ISBN 0-385-51184-1.

hahahaha I mean come ON

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

wow lol

The Brainwasher, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

Unlimited Access: An FBI Agent Inside the Clinton White House

This one claims she decorated a WH Xmas tree w/ roach clips and condoms.

Mr. Que, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

THE REPUBLICAN BASE IS PRAYING FOR CLINTON/SHE'S SO POLARIZING just seems like a talking point to me

people are always saying this.. proof?

i might try to dig them up, but i believe there are polls which indicate "high negatives", meaning that while many people may like her, those who don't aren't just indifferent, but in fact have negative feelings towards her

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:01 (sixteen years ago) link

That's not her fault, but fault isn't the issue.

worth repeating

the whole clintons have baggage / she's polarizing / etc. issue may not be "fair," but it wasn't invented for election season. it's just a fact!

dmr, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:02 (sixteen years ago) link

that genie's not going back in the bottle

dmr, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Plenty of evidence. Rasmussen: 'The reality is that public opinion concerning Hillary Clinton is much more firmly established than it is for any other candidate.' That opinion is far more negative than for any other remaining Presidential candidate, as 47% will vote against her. By contrast, only 33% say they'll definitely vote against McCain.

More later.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:03 (sixteen years ago) link

Much more to say on these, and I suppose you can find what you want in them. But to suggest that there's no evidence of strong, committed opposition to HRC is ignoring reality, not challenging talking-points.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

thanks, daniel. i probably wouldn't have gotten to digging that up until later.

Mark Clemente, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:05 (sixteen years ago) link

as i tried to point out upthread, the big difference between hart and obama is that hart was running on a shoestring and obama has $$$ like mad, lol internet.

and on another thread, i said this:

it's simplistic but it has a ring of truth: hillary's sell is nuts-n-bolts and obama's is about something a little more metaphysical than that, no? can we have broad agreement on that at least.

not to bring up REAGAN again, but in electoral terms the metaphysicians have thumped the mechanics pretty handily.

(this is getting a little o/t but) there is plenty of hopes-and-dreams stuff attached to HRC's candidacy, and i don't have much doubt about obama's ability -- relative to HRC's -- to engage in 'hard work' or 'trench warfare' to enact policy. the question in my mind is, how do you make the sale, to get in the door, to do the work in the first place?

-- gff, Tuesday, February 12, 2008 12:15 PM

again, talking about unity and hope and common purpose is a GREAT way to get, surprise!, highly contested and partisan goals put through. i don't see a contradiction at all.

lots of xps

...lol regnery

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

the Hillary Hatred is as baffling to me as conservative McCain hatred.

akm, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

conservatives hate their mothers

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:11 (sixteen years ago) link

It's totally possible for me to envision Obama approaching governance like Reagan and his troika did in Reagan's first six months of office, during which they managed to get their economic package with a few votes from Democrats -- due largely to RR's great personal charm and not giving a shit about talking to someone on the other side.

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

for all the talk of her so-called managerial acumen, she's run a pretty poor campaign for someone who was the prohibitive favorite, yeah?

Hey, I'm as worried about Hillary as the nominee as the next guy, but this is superfluous. It's fucking hard, and strange, and random, to run a presidential campaign--even with Bill's experience with nat'l campaigns, anyone that thought she would 'know how to do it' and therefore have it easy is pretty much an idiot.

Does anyone believe that having whatever skills it takes to win your party's nomination have much relation to the skills it takes to be a president?

G00blar, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:13 (sixteen years ago) link

ok, healthcare:

hillary needs to require the mandate because, besides being a good populist-sounding talking point, it would give her greater bangaining strength with insurance companies and health care providers. it seems probable to me that these negotiations would be piloted by lobbies who would guarantee their clients' co-operation in exchange for de-regulation or tax-breaks for the insurance and / or health care industries.

am i on the right track so far? y/n? i just want to drill down on this issue because everyone takes for granted that universal health care would be a nearly prohibitive measure to actually enact.

elmo argonaut, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:14 (sixteen years ago) link

Does anyone believe that having whatever skills it takes to win your party's nomination have much relation to the skills it takes to be a president?

Bill Clinton to thread!

Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:15 (sixteen years ago) link

anyone that thought she would 'know how to do it' and therefore have it easy is pretty much an idiot.

so... Bill and Hillary are both idiots?

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:16 (sixteen years ago) link

'it' being 'win the national campaign'

G00blar, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

yes I know - they've both repeatedly trumpeted how she's been "vetted" and has the "best set of skills" to fight the Republican attack machine etc

Shakey Mo Collier, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Guys can we have a new primaries thread since this one is retardo long?

HI DERE, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

I'd say go for it.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:18 (sixteen years ago) link

agreed

Simon H., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

Do the honors, HI DERE

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:19 (sixteen years ago) link

After the GE, tho, we should fuse them all together to make one giant thread.

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

(j/k)

Daniel, Esq., Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

call it the Denver Death March

Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

noooo they steelin my retardo long thread

gff, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

I was really hoping for this to break the 10K barrier.

jaymc, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:21 (sixteen years ago) link

2008 Primaries Thread 2: THE QUICKENING

HI DERE, Tuesday, 12 February 2008 21:23 (sixteen years ago) link


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